June 8, 2013 at 10:02 AM #52319
Qbin Missile CrisisKeymaster
Houston Astros (22-40) vs Kansas City Royals (26-32)
Saturday June 8
Kaufmann Foundation – Kansas City, MO
HOU: Erik BedardKC: Ervin Santana
Moneyline: Kansas City -180, Houston +170
It is no suprise that the Houston Astros dropped the opener of their weekend set against Kansas City. The Astros are certainly not killing it at the plate but it is their pitching that is the team’s most glaring weakness. They are dead last in the Majors in ERA at 4.99, more than a third of a run than the second worst , Milwaukee. There are just too many unproven and/or overextended arms on the roster as the franchise was raized to try and create a better future. Based on returns to date it may be a while
It feels like Astros pitcher Erik Bedard is always attempting a comeback, doesn’t it. This time he he has hit rock bottom so to speak landing with Houston. He may not be killing it but he isn’t embarrassing himself either. In fact, he has been very effective over his last three starts posting a 2.50 ERA. Houston won 2 of those thre games including a win at Colorado in which Bedard quelled the lethal Rockies lineup. He does give up too many long balls but the Kansas City lineup is far from stacked with power hitters.
Kansas City upgraded their pitching in the offseason big time and it worked – they have the 5th best ERA in the league right now. The problem is their young offense has totally failed to live up to even modest expectations. They are last in the American League in homers, by a wide margin, with only the lowly Marlins propping them up. As a result pitchers like ace James Shields and others have been the victims of great performances in losses.
As the Royals have struggled Ervin Santana has to feel like one of the unluckiest players in baseball. The Royals have lost his last 6 games – only once did they score as many as 4 runs though. In his last start he gave up 0 ERs to the Texas Rangers on the road but still took the loss. Ignoring the bad luck Santana is enjoying his best season in a while and he has to be thinking that his luck might finally be about to change with Houston coming to town. That is only likely if the Royals can do better than the 1 run they have scored in 3 of his last 6 starts.
O/U Pick: Under
Score Prediction: Kansas City 4 – Houston 2
Houston was expected to be epically bad this season but it turns out they are just regular bad. Still there is little reason to think Saturday night is the night they are going to steal a road victory. This series may match two pretty bad teams but there is still a pretty wide gap between the Royals and Astros. I love underdogs but can’t make a case for Houston.
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