June 12, 2015 at 10:37 AM #55844
Qbin Missile CrisisKeymaster
MLB: Toronto vs. Boston Prediction
The Boston Red Sox host the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday evening in the first game of a three-game set at Fenway Park in Massachusetts.
Toronto Blue Jays (31-30) at Boston Red Sox (27-34)
Date: Friday, June 12, 2015
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Fenway Park
City: Boston, Massachusetts
O/U Odds: 9
Money Line: Boston +102, Toronto -110
Pitching Matchup: RH Drew Hutchison (5-1, 4.91 ERA) at RH Joe Kelly (2-4, 5.40 ERA)
With losses in 11 of their last 17 games, the Red Sox are struggling, and with a white hot Blue Jays squad coming to town, things don’t look great for Boston. Toronto makes the trip out to Fenway having won eight in a row.
The Red Sox send out Joe Kelly in hopes of turning things around. The Blue Jays have gotten a pair of looks at Kelly this season, getting to him for five runs in six innings of work in their first meeting at Fenway. Jays catcher Russell Martin delivered the big hit for the team in that one, lacing a two-run double to left, capping off a three-run first inning.
In the next meeting, Kelly failed to make it out of the sixth inning, allowing six hits and walking seven in 5 2/3 innings of work. Edwin Encarnacion knocked out a three-run home run in that one, but he may not be around on Friday. He’s questionable for this contest as he continues to deal with a lingering shoulder issue.
The Blue Jays counter with Drew Hutchison. He’s been hot or cold in two starts against the Red Sox this season. In his first outing against Boston in April, he allowed six runs over four innings in a game the Blue Jays won 11-8.. In his next start against them in May, he allowed just one run over five innings of work in a 7-1 win.
FREE Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Pick:
The Jays have been playing very well of late, and shifting the venue to Fenway will only help their bats stay hot. The oddsmakers aren’t giving Toronto the respect they deserve in this one. Additionally, this venue hardly suppresses runs, and neither pitcher is particularly imposing.
MLB Betting Trends:
The Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last five games following a day off, and they are 8-0 in their last eight games overall.
The Blue Jays are 6-0 in Hutchison’s last six starts against A.L. East opponents, and they are 11-5 in Hutchison’s last 16 starts in the opener of a series.
The over is 4-1 in Hutchison’s last five starts against the Red Sox, and it is 6-0 in Hutchison’s last six road starts against teams with a losing record.
The over is 13-3 in Hutchison’s last 16 road starts, and it is 5-0 in his last five road starts with the total set at 9-10.5 runs.
The over is 8-3 in Hutchison’s last 11 starts overall, and it is 5-2 in Kelly’s last seven starts against A.L. East opponents.
The play: Toronto -110, Over 9
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