May 9, 2013 at 4:58 PM #52087
Qbin Missile CrisisKeymaster
Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants
Thursday May 9
AT&T Stadium – San Francisco, CA
ATL: Julio Teheran
SF: Ryan Vogelsong
The Braves have slowed since their league best start, letting others in the National League East gain ground and ceding the best record in the National League to the St. Louis Cardinals. In fact they enter this series against San Francisco just a half game ahead of the Giants. Atlanta is a very good team but they were not going to maintain their juggernaut status. Not with OF B.J. Upton playing so poorly…and how long was rookie Evan Gattis going to mash everybody? Even closer Craig Kimbrel is looking human lately.
Braves starter Julio Teheran is a player they have been waiting to come around for a while. He is sporting an ugly ERA of over 5 this season but the Braves are 5-0 in games that he has started with only one of them being connected to his positive performance. The Braves are scuffling right now but tread carefully if you think Teheran is going to pitch them out of it. Even if he does begin performing to his potential the Braves are not going to win every game he pitches.
The Giants are in second place in the National League West heading into Wednesday night’s action. Despite being 5 games over .500 they have scored only 2 more runs than they have given up in 2013. The interesting thing is that this has been because the pitching is failing to live up to its billing. Believe it or not but this is the 5th most potent offense in the NL right now and that is without getting much from regulars OF Angel Pagan and 1B Brandon Belt.
After returning from Japan Ryan Vogelsong spent a couple of seasons befuddling hitters but this season he is getting knocked around – he has the worst ERA on the team at close to 8. He is still missing some bats as evidenced by his 7+ Ks/9 but he is giving up too many hits, especially long balls at more than 1 per start. The Giants won his last start against the Dodgers but he was bombed by L.A. an unfortunate patter this season. This game is probably going over.
Beware of both pitchers in this one. Neither team is playing super right now but I am more comfortable giving the edge to the home club with the better than expected offense. Even though this one is probably a toss up I would feel comfortable making a small play on San Francisco. But don’t force it.
Score Prediction: San Francisco 7 – Atlanta 5
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