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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-19-24 | Rangers v. Braves -1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 106 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers are on the road to take on the Atlanta Braves. It is the first game of a three-game series. The Rangers will send Andrew Heaney to the mound for tonight’s start. He has struggled this season, posting an 0-2 record with a 6.75 ERA in three starts. Atlanta will go with Chris Sale. he has posted a 1-1 record with a 4.58 ERA so far this season. Texas comes in having won three of their last four. The Texas pitching staff has given up four runs or more in three of their last four contests. Atlanta has won four straight games. Atlanta has scored five runs or more in four straight. Sale has pitched well against Texas, going 8-2 record with a 2.43 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 16 appearances. Atlanta has scored five or more runs in all but one of their home games this season. The Braves are the best team in the league in team batting average, and team RBIs. Three of Atlanta's past four wins have been by two or more. Atlanta had a day of rest while the Rangers had to travel after last nighs game. Take the Braves on the run-line Play on Atlanta,.minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play. |
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04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers -4.5 | 104-105 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The eighth-seeded Miami Heat take on the seventh-seeded Philadelphia 76ers in an Eastern Conference play-in game. They split their four games this season with Philadelphia taking the last two games. The Heat finished the regular season 46-36. The Heat finished the season 26th in scoring at 110.1 points per game this season. On the defensive end, they finished 3rd in points allowed at 108.4 points per game. Philadelphia finished the season strong, winning their last eight games in a row. They finished the regular season 47-35. They finished the season 15th in scoring at 114.6 points per game. On the defensive end, they were 9th, allowing 111.5 points a contest. The 76ers were 25-16 at home this season. Embiid is back and it looks like he has something to prove. He is a huge matchup problem for the Heat and Philly has the players to slow down Butler if needed. I look for Philly to take control early with Embiid and Maxey taking control. Play on Philadelphia. This is a 3% play. |
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04-16-24 | Warriors v. Kings +3 | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
The #10 Golden State Warriors square off against the #9 Sacramento Kings. The loser of this game will go home, while the winner takes on the loser of the 7 vs. 8 game. Golden State finished strong to c;ose out the season, winning four of their last five games. The Warriors 44-38 ATS this season. Sacramento struggled down the stretch, losing five of their last seven. The Warriors closed the season by winning 10 of their final 12 games. The Warriors have struggled with post defense this season. Sacramento is young, and I look for Sabonis to have a big game inside. The Warriors rely on Steph Curry for their offensive production, De'Aaron Fox is one of the better perimeter defenders in the NBA. I am taking the points with the home team in this one. Play on Sacramento. This is a 3% play |
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04-16-24 | Lakers +1.5 v. Pelicans | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
The eighth-seeded in the Western Conference, Los Angeles Lakers take on the seventh-seeded New Orleans Pelicans. The Lakers defeated the Pelicans in the last game of the regular season. The Lakers finished the season 39-44 ATS. New Orleans had their four-game winning streak snapped in the loss to the Lakers. New Orleans finished the regular season going 43-37-2 ATS. Los Angeles is 5-1 both SU and ATS in their last six games against New Orleans. The Lakers won three of four matchups against the Pelicans this season. Davis should be able to go after leaving the last game with back spasms. I can’t see LA losing this game in order to avoid Denver. James will not let the Lakers lose this game. Play on the LA Lakers, This is a 3% play. |
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04-14-24 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Blackhawks | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The Carolina Hurricanes face the Chicago Blackhawks. The Hurricanes are 51-22-7 and with four wins in a row, They still have a slim chance to take the top seed in the Eastern Conference. The Blackhawks are 23-51-5 this season and have lost three in a row. The Hurricanes are putting up 3.38 goals per game and have scored 16 goals in the last four games. On the defensive end, they are giving up just 2.54 goals per game including only five goals in the last four games. The Blackhawks are putting up just 2.16 goals per game and have scored just three goals over their last three games. Connor Bedard has been the only bright spot this season for Chicago. On the defensive end, they are giving up 3.51 goals per game and has given up 14 goals in their last three games. The Hurricanes still have a chance at the top seed so I don’t see them resting a lot of players. They have a huge advantage on both ends of the ice and I look for them to easily win this game by multiple goals. Play on Carolina. Minus 1.5 goals. This is a 2% play |
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04-14-24 | Pistons v. Spurs -5.5 | 95-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons and the San Antonio Spurs close out their seasons Sunday. The Pistons are 14-67 and are coming off a 107-89 win over Dallas. The Spurs are 21-60 and are coming off a one point win over Denver. The San Antonio Spurs put up 112 points per game while shooting 53.1% from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 118.9 points a game. San Antonio Spurs have posted a 43-38 ATS record this season and a 21-19 ATS at home. They have covered eight of their last ten. The Pistons put up 110.1 points per game while shooting 52.7% from the field.On the defensive end, they are giving up 118.9 points a game. Detroit is 40-40-1 ATS this season and 22-19 ATS on the road. They have covered just three of their last 10 games. With this being the last game of the season you could see a lot of players sitting out. I expect to see Wemby to play at least some minutes in this one and he is the best player on either team. I like San Antonio to win and cover in this one. Play on San Antonio. This is a 2% play, |
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04-12-24 | Predators -1.5 v. Blackhawks | 5-1 | Win | 108 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Nashville Predators go on the road to take on the Chicago Blackhawks. Nashville is 45-29-5 while Chicago is 23-50-5. Nashville has won all three meetings this season. Nashville ranks 12 in goals and 8th in shots per game. The Preds scored three or more goals in seven of their last 10 games. On the defensive end, they rank 14th in goals against and 20th in shots against per game. The Blackhawks rank last in goals and 30th in shots per game. They have scored two or fewer goals in six of their last 10 games. On the defensive end, they rank 29th in goals 26th in shots against per game. The Preds are 8-1-1 in their last 10 games against Chicago. In those meetings Nashville averages 3.30 goals per game while the Blackhawks average 1.80 goals per game. Nashville is headed to the playoffs while the Blackhawks ae just going through the motions. I look for the Preds to easily win this game by two or more goals, Play on Nashville minus 1.5 goals. This is a 3% play. |
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04-12-24 | Braves -1.5 v. Marlins | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves are on the road to take on the Miami Marlins. Atlanta is 7-4 this season while Miami is just 2-11. Last season, the Braves went 9-4 against Miami. The Braves were pounded by the Mets yesterday 16-4. Atlanta will go with Max Fried on the mound. He has struggled this season, posting an 18.00 ERA in two appearances. Last season, he went 8-1 with a 2.55 ERA with 80 strikeouts in 14 appearances. The Miami Marlins are coming off a win over the Yankees. Miami ranks 29th in batting average and last in on base percentage. Trevor Rogers gets the start for the Marlins. He is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA with nine strikeouts in two appearances. Last season, he was 1-2 with a 4.00 ERA with 19 strikeouts in four appearances. The Atlanta Braves had a 9-4 record against the run line versus the Marlins last season. Rogers is 0-5 against the Braves in his career with a 6.03 ERA in seven appearances. Fried is 3-0 with a 2.86 ERA in his last five starts against the Marlins. You have the best offense in the Braves going against the worst offense in Miami. Play on Atlanta minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play. |
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04-11-24 | Knicks v. Celtics +2.5 | 118-109 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks square off against the Boston Celtics. New York is 47-32, good for third in the East, while Boston is first in the East with a 62-17 record. The Knicks are one game behind Milwaukee for second and 0.5 games above Cleveland. The Knicks are 43-35-1 ATS. The Knicks have won two in a row. Boston has had the Eastern Conference locked up for months. The Celtics had their five game winning streak snapped last time out. The Celtics are 40-35-4 ATS this season. Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, and Jayson Tatum are all listed as questionable with injuries, while Kristaps Porzingis is listed as questionable for “possible rest.” Boston has been resting players for a while now and are still winning games. They will want to get everyone back to playing together soon. Boston is 35-3 SU at home this year. Even if not at full strength, Boston has a lot of offensive firepower to pull this game out. Play on Boston. This is a 2% play. |
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04-11-24 | A's v. Rangers -1.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
The Oakland A's finish off their three-game series with the Texas Rangers after splitting the first two games. Oakland will go with JP Sears on the mound while the Rangers will counter with Jon Gray. Sears will be making his third start of the season. He is 0-1, with an 8.68 ERA this season. In five career starts against the Rangers, he is 1-0 with a 5.55 ERA, Gray is 0-0, with a 6.14 ERA this season. Gray has a 2-1 record with a 4.60 ERA in 31.1 innings against the A’s in his career. The Rangers won four of six games played against the A's at Globe Life Field last season. The A's had won three straight before yesterday's loss. The Rangers snapped a three-game losing streak yesterday. The Rangers won six of their last eight meetings with the A's last season. Oakland's pitching staff ranked second-to-last in the MLB in ERA last year and they haven’t shown much improvement this season. Gray had an ERA under 3.50 and just 13 hits in 16 innings in three starts against Oakland last season. Sears had an ERA near 6.00 in three starts against the Rangers last season. The Texas pitching staff currently ranks in the top 10 in the league in ERA while Oakland ranks 27th in the league in batting average. I am taking the home team in this one. Play on Texas minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play. |
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04-10-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -5.5 | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets host the Minnesota Timberwolves Minnesota has won four of the last five games and are putting up 113 points per game. On the defensive end they are giving up 106 points per game, which is the best in the NBA. Denver comes into this game also having won four of their last five. Denver is putting up 114.7 points per game. On the defensive end, they rank sixth in the NBA, giving up 109.7 points per game. Denver has won four of the last five at home against Minnesota, by an average of 12.4 points. Minnesotaloves to shoot from deep and shoots it well but Denver has one of the best 3-point defenses in the league. Both teams are on the second leg of a back-to-back so the altitude in Denver could play a roll in the second half. I am taking the home team here. Play on Denver. This is a 3% play. |
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04-09-24 | Knicks -5 v. Bulls | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks will face the Chicago Bulls in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Bulls came away with a 108-100 win on Friday. The season series is tied at 1-1 with two games remaining. New York is in fourth place in the Eastern Conference. With four games remaining the Knicks can still get to second in the Eastern Conference. The Knicks are putting up 112.5 points a game and are shooting 46.4% from the field and 36.6% from deep. On the defensive end, the Knicks are giving up 108 points a game. The Bulls are putting up 111.7 PPG on 46.8% shooting from the field and 35.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 113.4 points a game. The Knicks are fighting for playoff position as they could drop into the Play-In Tournament with a couple of losses. Chicago is basically playing for who hosts the play in game, them or Atlanta. New York has more to play for and Chicago is too inconsistent for me. Play on New York. This is a 3% play. |
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04-09-24 | Magic -2.5 v. Rockets | 106-118 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic are on the road to take on the Houston Rockets. Orlando is 46-32 this season and is third in the Eastern Conference. Houston is 11th in the Western Conference at 38-40. The Magic have been getting it done all season on the defensive end, allowing just 108.3. On the offensive end, they won’t overpower anyone as they are scoring just 110.6 points per game. Houston is putting up 114.2 points per game, and on the defensive end, they are giving up 113.3 points per game but over their last five, they have given up 127.4. Orlando is playing for playoff position while Houston has nothing to play for. Orlando is also 4-1 against the spread in their last five meetings against the Rockets. Play on Orlando. This is a 3% play. |
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04-09-24 | Celtics -2 v. Bucks | 91-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
The top two seeds in the Eastern Conference meet up when the Milwaukee Bucks take on the Boston Celtics. Milwaukee is second in the East but have lost four in a row. The Magic and New York Knicks are only one game behind Milwaukee. The Celtics come in on a five game winning streak. The Celtics are 2nd in scoring with 120.8 points a game. . The Celtics are shooting 48.7% from the field and 38.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 109.2 points a game. Milwaukee is putting up 119.7 points per game on 48.8% shooting from the field and 37.2% from deep. . Giannis is questionable, while Khris Middleton and Patrick Beverly are probable. Boston has been on a roll while Milwaukee is heading in the opposite direction. The injury to Antetokounmpo will be an issue. Even if he can play, he will not be 100%. The Celtics are much better defensively. Boston has beaten Milwaukee in seven of their last ten meetings. Boston is 40-34-4 ATS while Milwaukee is 33-44-1 ATS. Boston will rise their depth in this one to a win. Play on Boston on the money line. This is a 4% play. |
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04-09-24 | White Sox v. Guardians -1.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Chicago White Sox take on the Cleveland Guardians in game two of their three game series. With Eloy Jimenez and Luis Robert on the IL, Chicago has no offense, not that they had much with them. The White Sox have scored just 16 in 10 games this season. Their pitching hasn’t been any better. As a team they have posted a 4.09 ERA. Michael Soroka gets today’s start. He is 0-1 with a 4.91 in two starts. Cleveland is clicking at the plate and look to continue their hot start by sending Logan Allen to the mound. He is 2-0 this season in two starts. Last time out he went 6.2 scoreless innings with four hits and 6 strikeouts. Michael Soroka struggled in his last start, and the White Sox have no offense to fall back on. Cleveland is an impressive 7-2 both straight-up and against the spread this season. The White Sox have been shutout four times in 10 games this season and like Cleveland to win by more than 2 in this one. Play on Cleveland minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play. |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
These are the two best teams, and have been all season. Back-to-back player of the year Edey has been a force in the postseason but will meet someone almost as tall as him in Clingan. Purdue’s guard play has been suspect this season, even though they played better in the semifinals. The three ball finally fell for Purdue, they made 10 last game, and must do that again if they want to keep this one close. I think they will struggle to get good shots in this one as UCONN has a lot of length on the wings and will make things difficult. UCONN has more depth and I think their team is just better all sound. I think Purdue can keep this one close for most of the game but UCONN comes on late and covers once again. I look for UCONN to win by double digits. Play on UCONN. This is a 5% play. |
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04-08-24 | Mets v. Braves -1.5 | 8-7 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
The New York Mets have struggled to begin the season, posting a 3-6 record. They will turn to Julio Teheran to start tonight’s game. He went 3-5 with a 4.40 ERA last season and will be making his first start this season. He faced the Braves twice last season and went 0-1in 11.0 innings and gave up 10 runs on 14 hits with nine strikeouts. The Mets are last in MLB in OPS and are scoring just 2.78 runs a game. The Atlanta Braves are 6-2 to start the season and lead the NL East. The Braves will turn to Charlie Morton for tonight’s start. He went 5.2 scoreless innings against the White Sox, allowing three hits, two walks with six strikeouts. On the other end of the spectrum, The Braves are leading baseball in OPS while averaging 7.0 runs per game. Morton pitched four times against the Mets last season, going 2-1 in 22.0 innings with eight runs on 15 hits, 15 walks and 26 strikeouts. Julio Teheran is making his first start and to be honest, who knows what you are going to get from him and for how long. The Mets have won three of their last four games, while the Braves have won three straight. Atlanta is the better team and has shown a far superior offense. I think they will be able to get to Tehran early. Lay the run and a half doe better value. Play on Atlanta minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play |
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04-07-24 | Cavs v. Clippers -3.5 | 118-120 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers lost against the Lakers on Saturday while the Clippers won big on Friday over Utah. The Cavaliers are 1-3 on their five game road trip and 3-7 SU over their last ten games. They are third in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half behind second place Milwaukee. The Clippers have won two straight and five of their last six games. They are in fourth place in the Western Conference, four games out of first place. The Cavaliers have been struggling down the stretch, losing 12 of their last 19 games. The Clippers have won seven of their last ten straight up. The Clippers are putting up more than 115 points per game at home and are shooting 49%. The Cavaliers have given up more than 120 points per game in their last three games. This will also be the second game of a back-to-back so their defense could be a bit slow do to fatigue. The Cavaliers have lost six of their last nine games and five of their last six road games. Over their last three games, they are putting up 110 points a game. The Clippers have held their last three opponents under 105 points. Leonard is questionable but even if he can’t go, I like the Clippers in this one. Play on LA Clippers. This is a 3% play. |
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04-06-24 | NC State +9.5 v. Purdue | 50-63 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The surprising No. 11 N.C. State Wolfpack takes on the No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers in one semi-final. NC State had to win five games in five days to even make the Tournament now find themselves one game away from the finals. During the tournament, they are putting up 75.7 points a game and have won by an average of 10 points. On the defensive end, they are giving up 65.5 points per game. During the regular season, they allowed 72 a game. In the tournament, Purdue is putting up 84 points per game, right along their season average. On the defensive end, they are giving up 62.8 compared to 69.4 per game during the season. NC State has been the underdog in seven of their last eight games and has gone 7-0 ATS. This game could be decided by the whistle. Edey has lived at the free throw line and Burns needs to stay on the floor for the Wolfpack. If they are blowing a quick whistle and not letting them play, it could be a long night for NC State. This is a lot of points to give to a team that is lucky to be here. I think NC S can keep this one close. Play on NC State. This is a 3% play |
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04-05-24 | Thunder v. Pacers -5.5 | 112-126 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder head to Indy to take on the Indiana Pacers. OKC is finishing off a five game road trip and are in a tight battle for the top spot in the division with Minnesota and Denver. They have lost two in a row and need to turn things around and have covered just once in their last five games. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has missed the last three games and is questionable for the Pacers. Jalen Williams is also questionable. Oklahoma City is only 2-3 in their last five road contests. OKC is putting up 119.9 points per game and are giving up 113.3 points. The Pacers are seventh in the east, 2.5 games out of fourth place. They have covered the spread in three of their last five games. Myles Turner did not play on Wednesday and is questionable for tonight. The Pacers are 3-2 in their last five home games. Indiana is putting up 122.7 points a game and are giving up 120.3 points a game but have been playing better on the defensive end lately. The Thunder are finishing off a five-game road trip and probably can’t wait to get back home. Without SAG and Williams the Thunder are a different team on both ends of the court. Over the last five games the Pacers defense has been better than their season average and the Thunder are a lot worse. I will take the home team against a mentally and possibly physically tired team. Play on Indiana. This is a 2% play. |
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04-05-24 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 102 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The Washington Capitals to take on the Carolina Hurricanes. The Capitals are in the last spot in the Eastern Conference Wild Card. The Hurricanes are five points behind the New York Rangers for the Metro Division lead. The Hurricanes have lost two of their previous three matchups with the Capitals. Washington has lost three straight games. Capitals goaltending has struggled in the past few weeks, giving up five goals or more in four of their last seven games. The Hurricanes have won three of their last four games. Carolina’s defense has held their opponents to one goal or less in three of their last four games. The Hurricanes have beaten the Capitals in two of the last three games at PNC Arena. Carolina has held the Capital to two goals or less in three straight home games. Carolina has won over 65% of their home games this season and has won four straight at home. Their defense has given up two goals or less in seven straight games at home. The Hurricanes have won eight of their last 10 games overall. Washington has not only struggled on the road, they have struggled to score all season. Carolina is the better team and it will show. Play on Carolina minus 1.5 goals. This is a 2% play |
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04-05-24 | A's v. Tigers -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
The Oakland Athletics head to the Motor City to take on the Detroit Tigers. Oakland enters this game with a 1-6 record and not surprisingly is last in the American League. Detroit for a period of time, was the last undefeated team in baseball but lost the second game of a double header in extra innings to fall to 5-1. JP Sears will make the start for the A’s. He is 0-1 this season with a bloated ERA of 12.27. Last season he went 5-12 with a 4.54 ERA of 4.54. He needs to pitch better in this one as the A’s bullpen ranks the eighth worst in the league, with an ERA of 5.12. Detroit has been getting dominant pitching so far this season. Tarik Skubal will get the start for the Tigers. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 0.00. Last season he was 7-3 with a 2.80 ERA. They have no problem turning it over to their bullpen, even though they lost the game yesterday, as they rank second in the MLB with an ERA of 2.04. Last season the Detroit Tigers had a 13-11 record against the run line as favorites at home. Meanwhile the Athletics had a record of 38-41 against the run line as underdogs on the road. Skubal has been dominant over the last half a year. He has a high K rate which will be beneficial against an A’s team that tends to swing and miss. The only worry is that the Tigers are all not that great offensively. The Tigers are 5-1 and it is their home opener. Play on Detroit, minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play. |
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04-04-24 | White Sox v. Royals -1.5 | 1-10 | Win | 125 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
We have an A.L. Central clash between the Chicago White Sox and the Kansas City Royals. The Chicago White Sox are just 1-4 this season but their win did come over Atlanta. Chicago will look to keep the momentum from their win over Atlanta last time out. They will send Michael Soroka to the mound to face the Royals. He did not pitch well in his opener. He has posted a 7.20 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in five innings. There are thoughts that KC could challenge for the division, while that is not out of the question, they have gotten off to a rough 2-4 start to the season. KC let one get away yesterday as they blew a 3-0 lead late in a loss to Baltimore. They will look to turn things around by sending Seth Lugo to the mound. In his first start, he won two hits and a walk. He has posted a 0.50 ERA so far this season. When you play in the worst division in baseball you always have a chance, even when both teams could be the worst in baseball. Lugo could have another outstanding outing against a White Sox offense that is last in team batting average and 26th in OPS. Soroko gave up runs to the Tigers and no one is writing home about that offense. I would love to take the Sox in this one but I just can’t
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04-02-24 | Braves -1.5 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves take on the Chicago White Sox in game two of a three-game set. The Braves took game one 9-0 in a rain shortened game. The Chicago White Sox have not recorded a win this season. Garrett Crochet will take the mound in game two. Crochet pitched well in his first start but the Sox gave him no support. He is 0-1 with a 1.50 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP, striking out 8 in six innings. The Braves will go with Reynaldo Lopez on the mound. He has a 3.27 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in 68 appearances last season. The Braves offense has been clicking to start the season, putting up 8.7 runs per game. They have been able to cover the run-line in four of their five games. The Sox have struggled at the plate, scoring just 2 runs a game and their pitchers have a 4.75 team ERA. Crochet pitched well in his MLB debut but that was against the Tigers. The Braves have a more formidable offense. I will take Atlanta on the run-line as I don’t think the Sox can score enough in this game. Play on Atlanta minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play. |
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04-02-24 | Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 | 2-12 | Win | 120 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
The Colorado Rockies are in Chi-town to take on the Chicago Cubs. The Rockies lost game one, 5-0 to the Cubs and now have lost four of their last five. Colorado has averaged just 2.8 runs per game. They will look to turn things around by sending Kyle Freeland to the mound. His first start did not go very well asn he gave up 10 runs on 10 hits in 2.1 innings. The Cubs have won two in a row and are now 2-2 to start the season. Javier Assad makes his first start for the Cubs. Last season he made 10 starts in 32 appearances with a 3.05 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 7.7 K/9 rate in 109.1 innings. Freeland did not fare well in his first start. He should have a better outing but he has not pitched well against the Cubs in his career. He is 1-3 in five starts against the Cubs and gave up eight runs in his last two starts against them. Run-lines on home teams are taking a little chance but I like the Cubs offense to do damage early in this one. The Rockies have struggled this season, scoring less than four runs per game. Play on Chicago. Minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play. |
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04-01-24 | Suns v. Pelicans | 124-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns and New Orleans Pelicans will face each other twice this week. The Suns are in seventh place in the Western Conference, a game and half behind Dallas in sixth. They have gone 4-2 in their last six games. Phoenix is putting up 116.7 a game and are shooting 49.5% from the field and 38.1% from deep. On the defensive end, Phoenix is giving up 114.1 points per game. The Pelicans are in fifth place in the West. They have gone 3-2 SU over their last five games. They are putting up 115.2 points a game on 48.7% shooting from the field and 37.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 110.3 points. They have met once this season, with Phoenix winning by 14. Both teams are fighting for playoff position with Phoenix trying to get above the play in line and New Orleans trying to stay above it. Ingram being out hurts the Pelicans offense as he is the second leading scorer. The Suns are 5-2 SU and ATS in the last seven games versus New Orleans. The Suns are in a position where they can’t rest players unless they are winning by wide margins. Without Ingram, I like the Suns to come away with an important win. Play on Phoenix. This is a 3% play. |
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04-01-24 | Hawks +3 v. Bulls | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
This could be a preview of a Play-In Tournament game with the Atlanta Hawks being 10th in the East going against the ninth seeded Chicago Bulls. This will be the second game of a back-to-back for Chicago, after taking down Minnesota yesterday. The Bulls won the first two games of their three game season series. The Hawks have been without Trae Young but they still maintain a five game lead over the Nets for 10th. The Hawks rank 8th in offensive efficiency and 27th in defensive efficiency and play at the 7th fastest pace. The Bulls have lost four of their last five games, but are six games ahead of Brooklyn. Chicago ranks 19th in offensive efficiency and 21st in defensive efficiency and are 28th in tempo. Atlanta has won four of their last five, while the Bulls have lost four of five. This is the second game of a back-to-back for the Bulls and they have two starters battling injuries. Atlanta has played well without Young as shown in their two wins over Boston in the last week. If Caruso and or Dysoumo cannot go for the Bulls it will limit their wing defenders. Atlanta is in a good spot here to get the win. Play on Atlanta. This is a 3% play. |
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04-01-24 | Braves -1.5 v. White Sox | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves looked like they would sweep the Phillies but were denied late. The Chicago White Sox were swept by the Tigers in three games decided by a run. The Braves finished with the best record in baseball last season after winning 104 games. Morton faced the White Sox once last season, going 1-0 in that start. The white Sox lost over 100 games last season and look on their way to doing it again as they were swept by the Tigers. Flexen struggled on the mound last season and I expect him to struggle against this Braves lineup. The White Sox have struggled at the plate and I don’t see them doing a lot of damage off Morton. Morton has won all four of his starts against Chicago, allowing a total of seven runs. I like Atlanta’s offense against Flexen and Morton should pitch well enough for Atlanta to win by more than one run. Play on Atlanta, Minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play. |
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03-31-24 | Nationals v. Reds -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
The Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Reds have split their first two games. The Nat’s will send Jake Irvin to the mound to face off against Nick Martinez. Jake Irvin went 3-7 over 24 starts last season, posting a 4.61 ERA and 1.42 WHIP with 99 strikeouts in 121.0 innings. Nick Martinez came over from the Padres in the offseason. He made 54 relief appearances and nine starts with the Padres last season. He went 6-4 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. He looked impressive this spring in two starts, going nine innings with a 0.00 ERA and 0.33 WHIP while striking out 13. The reds are a good young team ans as long as their pitching holds they should make a run for the division. I like Martinez in this one as he has pitched well against the Nationals in his career. Play on Cincinnati MINUS 1.5 RUNS. This is a 3% play. |
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03-30-24 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks play host to the Colorado Rockies in the final game of the three-game set. The Rockies will look to bounce back after getting shelled in the opener. They will send Austin Gomber to the mound to face the D’backs. Last season he went 9-9 with a 5.50 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. In his last start against the Diamondbacks, he allowed six runs on seven hits in 5.1 innings. Arizona took the opener 16-1 and will look to carry that momentum over by sending Tommy Henry to the mound. He went 5-4 last season with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last ten against the Rockies. Arizona put up 16 in the opener while the Rockies have scored more than two runs only once in their last four meetings against Arizona. Tommy Henry was 2-0 in his games against the Rockies last season, even holding them scoreless through seven innings in their last meeting. The Rockies were the worst team in the NL last season and didn’t look any better in the opener this season. Play on Arizona minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play |
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03-30-24 | Illinois +8.5 v. Connecticut | 52-77 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
I am looking for a close game between Illinois and UCONN. UConn will not be able to impose their will in the paint as the Illini have the bigs that can not only match up but hold their own. Connecticut is a balanced team, but the best player on the floor will be Terrence Shannon Jr. for the Illini. He has scored 26 or more in every game in the Tournament. Both teams have covered their games so far but this will be the toughest matchup for UCONN so far. Illinois is 10th in KenPom, and they have the 2nd most efficient offense in the country. UCONN has won their games by an average margin of 18 points. Illinois will hold their own in the paint and Shannon will be able to score. I think this number is just too high in what I see as being a competitive game. Play on Illinois. This is a 2% play. |
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03-30-24 | Red Wings v. Panthers -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
The Detroit Red Wings face off against the Florida Panthers. Both teams need a win as the Red Wings have lost three in a row while the Panthers have lost two straight. The Red Wings are fighting for a playoff spot and are fifth in the Atlantic Division. They are 10th in the league in goals scored. Alex Lyon is expected to be in the net. He is 18-16-3 with a .904 save percentage and 3.07 goals allowed per game. The Panthers are 46-22-5 this season and are 13th in goals scored. Sergei Bobrovsky is 32-16-3 with a .914 save percentage and 2.41 goals per game between the pipes for the Panthers. I like the Panthers in this one as they will get it done with their defense as they allow just 2.44 goals a game. Both teams have struggled of late with the Red Wings going 3-6-1 in their last 10 games while the Panthers are just 1-5-1 in their last seven. Florida has clinched a playoff spot and is still battling Boston for the top spot while Detroit has slipped out of the second wild-card spot. The Panthers are 21-13-3 at home this season. Detroit has been a good story this season but is struggling to close it out down the stretch. Florida is better in net and will take them win in this one. Play on Florida minus 1.5 goals. This is a 3% play |
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03-29-24 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
The St. Louis Cardinals dropped their opening game to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Cardinals will send Zack Thompson to the mound, while the Dodgers counter with Bobby Miller. Zack Thompson had a rough season last year, posting a 5-7 record with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. During the spring, he posted a 2.81 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in 16 innings. The Cardinals biggest signing this offseason was Sonny Gray but he is starting the season on the IL. The Dodgers come into this game with a loaded lineup and should easily make the playoffs as long as their pitching can hold up this season. The Dodgers’ potent offense should have success against Thompson who has not found success at the major or minor league levels. Bobby Miller is in the second season with the Dodgers. The Dodgers went 15-7 in games he started last season. Three of the Dodgers' four wins against the Cardinals last season were by two or more runs and they won yesterday by a 7-1 score. Play on the LA Dodgers minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play |
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03-29-24 | Creighton +3.5 v. Tennessee | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Creighton has an offense that gets contributions from everybody and that gives them the opportunity to get hot at any time. They put up 24 points in the five-minute overtime against Oregon in the last round. Tennessee's offense can be erratic and you never know what you are going to get. The bigger elephant in the room is probably Rick Barnes. he has lost twice in the Sweet 16 with Tennessee. Dalton Knecht has been a star for the Vols this season but Creighton has an answer in Baylor Schiereman. Schiereman has a size advantage but is also quick enough to play on the outside. Creighton is well balanced on the offensive end which allows them to take advantage of matchups. The Bluejays are the bigger team and pose matchup problems for Tennessee. I like Creighton to win this game outright but will take the points. Play on Creighton. This is a 3% play |
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03-29-24 | Duke v. Houston -4 | 54-51 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
McCain has had an excellent tournament for Duke but now he will be defended by a Houston backcourt that held Texas A&M All-American guard Wade Taylor IV to just 5-of-26 shooting from the field. The Cougars thrive by playing a physical brand of basketball and the Duke guards are not really built for that type of game. Houston rebounds from all five positions and attacks the glass on both ends, which will limit Duke from getting second-chance points. The Cougars are holding teams to just 29% from 3-point range and came into the tournament ranked first in field goal defense. The Cougars are 13-4 against tournament teams this season. Duke's season looks good on paper but after taking a deeper dive, Duke has only played five games against ranked opponents this season, going 2-3. Houston will limit Duke's open looks from deep and they have enough to control the paint. I think Houston’s defense will be too much for Duke to overcome. Play on Houston. This is a 2% play |
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03-29-24 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
The Colorado Rockies were pounded in their opener by the Arizona Diamondbacks 16-1. The Diamondbacks went 10-3 against the Rockies last season. The Rockies will send Cal Quantrill to the mound. Last season, he posted a 4-7 record with a 5.24 ERA. In his career against Arizona, he is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA. Merrill Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks. Last season, he went 12-8 with a 2.39 ERA of 3.29. In his career against the Rockies, he 5-3 with a 3.89 ERA. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 7-3 record against the run line in their last ten games against the Rockies. Yo would expect the Rockies to at least put in a better showing in this game but the D’Backs have a massive advantage at the plate and on the mound. Play on Arizona minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play. |
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03-29-24 | NC State v. Marquette -6.5 | 67-58 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The 11th-seeded NC State Wolfpack faces the 2nd-seeded Marquette Golden Eagles in the Sweet 16. The Wolfpack are coming off a 79-73 win over Oakland while the Golden Eagles took down Colorado 81-77. The Wolfpack are putting up 76.5 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 72.6 points per game. The Golden Eagles are putting up 78.6 points per game. The Wolfpack have won seven straight games. NC State has won its last five games as an underdog, but it's only 18-19-1 ATS this season. Marquette is 18-12-1 ATS. This is the seventh game in sixteen days for NC State. I look for Marquette to turn it up on the defensive end and put pressure on the Wolfpack. When Marquette has the ball, I can see the making Burns play defense in the pick and roll as the Wolfpack struggled to defend that all season. I look for Marquette to wear down NC State and pull away late. Play on Marquette. This is a 2% play, |
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03-28-24 | Alabama v. North Carolina -4.5 | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Alabama was able to take of business the first weekend even though against lesser competition by beating the College of Charleston and Grand Canyon. UNC was able to man-handle Michigan State and their 11th ranked defense. I expect Bama to try and out run and gun the Tar Heels. Alabama struggled all season on the defensive end and will need to try and outscore the Tar Heels and it will not be easy to slow down the NC offense. NC can play some defense and they ranked 6th at 70 points a game. NC has a huge advantage in the paint with forwards Armando Bacot and Harrison Ingram over Grant Nelson and Nick Pringle. Bama lives and dies by the three. If they are hitting from deep, Bama can keep this one close and possibly win outright but by the same token they can shoot themselves out of a game. The Pace won’t bother Carolina and I like their overall offense better. They should be able to out rebound Bama which will help them set the tempo for the game. I am taking Carolina to cover late. Play on NC. This is a 3% play. |
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03-28-24 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -11.5 | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Both San Diego State and UCONN deploy elite defenses. While SDSU is known for their defense, UCONN can get it done on both ends of the court. UCONN has covered in eight of its last nine games. San Diego State has their struggles on the offensive end, especially from deep, where they rank 301st in three point percentage. They usually can make it up with a rebounding advantage but they won’t have that in this game as the Huskies can rebound as well. This is a lot of points but I do not trust the SDSU offense to score enough points. This is a game UCONN could lose but everything must go wrong for that to happen. I think there is a better chance for a blowout than a close game. Play on UCONN. This is a 2% play. |
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03-28-24 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The St. Louis Cardinals open the season with a four-game series with the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday afternoon. St. Louis finished last season at 71-91 and in the basement of the NL Central. The Dodgers have already played this season, splitting two games with the Padres in Korea. St. Louis added starters Sonny Gray, Lance Lynn, and Kyle Gibson to their rotation. Gray is already on the IL with a hamstring injury. Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals in this one. He went 9-13 with a 4.78 ERA, and a 1.316 WHIP in 39 starts last season. He led the league in hits and earned runs allowed. During spring training, he was 2-0 with a 4.78 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. The Dodgers showed the bats are just fine as they put up 11 runs in a 15-11 loss to close out the Korea series. Tyler Glasnow opened the season for LA, going 5 innings and allowing two runs on two hits with four walks and three strikeouts. During spring, he was 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA, a 0.70 WHIP, three walks, and 14 strikeouts over 10 innings of work. Mikolas is a pitch-to-contact pitcher and the Dodgers lineup can make contact. Glasnow needs to have better control than he had in the first game. The Dodgers are at home and this lineup is loaded. Los Angeles has already played two regular season games which has to be an advantage. I like the Dodgers to pile on the runs off Mikolas early. Lay the 1.5 runs for value. Play on the LA Dodgers minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play! |
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03-28-24 | Angels v. Orioles -1.5 | 3-11 | Win | 114 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Angels kick off the baseball season in Baltimore to take on the Orioles. LA will send Patrick Sandoval to the mound to face former Milwaukee Brewers ace Corbin Burnes. Sandoval went 7-13 last season with a 4.11 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 28 starts. Burnes finished last season with a 10-8 record and a 3.39 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 32 starts with Milwaukee. Los Angeles comes into this season without Ohtani but they still have Mike Trout. Sandoval did not pitch well on the road last season, going 5-7 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 16 road starts. Baltimore was the young upstart team last season, winning 101 games and making the playoffs. The Playoffs didn’t go so well but they are looking to do better this season and went out and got an ace in Burnes. Burnes has recorded 200 or more strikeouts in each of the past three seasons. The Orioles were 49-32 at Oriole Park in 2023. Baltimore was 5-2 against Los Angeles last season, outscoring the Angels 41-27. These Orioles have won eight of the previous 10 games against the Angels. I like Baltimore in this one but I will be looking for value early with Burnes on the mound. Lay the 1.5 runs at + money. Play on Baltimore on the run line. This is a 3% play. |
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03-27-24 | VCU +8 v. Utah | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
In a NIT quarterfinals matchup, the VCU Rams take on the Utah Utes. VCU has been getting it done with their defense, as six straight opponents have failed to score more than 65 points. On the offensive end, they are putting up 71.5 points per game. They shoot 44.3% from the field and 35.7% from deep. Utah plays fast and puts up 78.6 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field and 36.2% from deep. On the defensive end, they give up 73.0 points per game. I don’t see Utah producing the same offense they have against the VCU defense. This should be a close game so I will take VCU plus the points. Play on VCU. This is a 3% play |
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03-27-24 | UNLV v. Seton Hall -5 | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The UNLV Running Rebels will travel across the country to New Jersey to take on the Seton Hall Pirates in the quarterfinals of the NIT Tournament. The Running Rebels have won their two games in the NIT by an average of eight points. On the season, the Rebels are 189th in the nation in scoring. They are 75th in field goal shooting and 173rd in 3-point shooting. On the defensive end, they are 80th in the nation in scoring defense. Seton Hall is 16-3 at home with the two tournament wins. On the season, the Pirates are 166th in the nation in scoring. They are 141st in field goal shooting and 225th in 3-point shooting. On the defensive end, they are 92nd in the country in scoring defense. The Rebels were 8-3 on the road this season. The Pirates are now 16-3 at home this season. Seton Hall. They have held their two NIT opponents to an average of 65 points per game while the Rebels have given up 78 points per game. Seton Hall is the better rebounding team and has a huge advantage playing at home. Take Seton Hall in this one. Play on Seton Hall. This is a 3% play. |
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03-26-24 | Mavs +1.5 v. Kings | 132-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings take on the Dallas Mavericks in a hotly contested Western Conference playoff battle. The Kings beat the Mavericks in Dallas twice earlier this season. Dallas has won three in a row and eight of their last nine. The Kings hold the sixth seed over Dallas bases on head-to-head so far this season. Trey Lyles, Sasha Vezenkov, and Kevin Huerter have all been hit by injuries. The Kings have 11 games in the next 19 games. Dallas is 22-12 on the road this season. They are also 8-1 ATS over their last nine games. The Kings are 14-20 ATS at home this season. Doncic and Irving will carry the Mavs over an injury plagued Kings team. Play on Dallas. This is a 3% play. |
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03-24-24 | Yale v. San Diego State -5 | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The 13th-seeded Yale Bulldogs face the 5th-seeded San Diego State Aztecs in the round of 32. The Bulldogs knocked off 4th-seeded Auburn in the first round. The Bulldogs are putting up 73.7 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 68.4 points per game. The Aztecs are coming off a close win over UAB. San Diego State plays well on the defensive end, allowing 67.3 points per game. The Aztecs have won three of their last four games, and are putting up 74 points per game. They have made over 76 percent of their free throws in their last three games which could be a factor down the stretch. They are a good offensive-rebounding team and I think they will be able to get some easy second-chance points against Yale. Yale hasn’t faced a lot of big-time offenses and gave up 76 last time out. The Bulldogs have won three straight games. They have scored less than 70 points in their last three games and SDSU is equipped to defend Yales deliberate style of play. They have struggled at the line as of late and can’t afford to give up free points. They also do not rebound well and will have to do a better job on the boards. The Aztecs are a much better half-court defensive team than Auburn and will be able to make the Bulldogs work harder to score. This is a perfect matchup on many levels for SDSU and I see them winning this game easily. Play on SDSU. This is a 4% play |
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03-24-24 | Clemson v. Baylor -4.5 | 72-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
The six-seed Clemson Tigers take on the three-seed Baylor Bears in the Round of 32. Both teams won easily in the first round. Clemson has experience as they start four seniors and one junior. Clemson puts up 77.4 points,and shoots 46.8% from the field and 35.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are allowing 71.3 points a game. Baylor is putting up 80.3 points a game and have six players scoring in double figures. On the defensive end, they are giving 71.3 points a game. Clemson allowed a lot of open looks to New Mexico but they were not able to convert. You cannot expect Baylor to do the same. Baylor is sixth in the nation in three-point percentage and 95th in offensive rebounds per game. Baylor has a lot of depth and their length at the wings will cause problems for Clemson. Baylor has a better all around team ant their depth will carry them to a win and cover. Play on Baylor. This is a 3% play |
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03-24-24 | James Madison +7.5 v. Duke | 55-93 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
James Madison is on a fourteen-game winning streak and finished the season at 32-3. James Madison puts up 84 points a game and loves to run the floor. I am never sure what Duke team you are going to get. You know Kyle Filipowski will get his but the guard play for Duke is suspect. If they are playing well Duke is a tough out, but if is the keyword. The fact that James Madison hasn’t lost since January even though they were the lower seed, showed they were the better team against Wisconsin. James Madison likes to attack the rim and will try to get into foul trouble and pick up cheap points at the line. Duke should win this game but I like James Madison to keep it within the number. Play on James Madison. This is a 3% play. |
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03-23-24 | Oregon v. Creighton -4.5 | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Oregon has the momentum on their side as they had to win the Pac-12 tournament to get here. The Blue Jays have two advantages that I like in Tournament play, experienced guard play and a rebounding edge. There are some intriguing matchups in both the front and back courts. I think the back-court matchups will be the difference in this game. The Blue Jays' guards are more experienced and will handle the pressure down the stretch if this game is close. I am looking for Creighton to be able to control the boards and come away with a win and cover. Play on Creighton. This is a 3% play |
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03-23-24 | Texas +6.5 v. Tennessee | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
I am going with Texas in this one for two very distinct reasons. The first reason is I look for guard play and the Longhorns have two excellent ballhandlers, that can also take over games. Abmas put up 33 on Baylor, and Hunter had a 30-point game against Oklahoma. The second reason is Rick Barnes but more on that later. Texas can also play on the defensive end as they held Colorado State to just 11 points in the first half. Texas will focus their defensive efforts on Knecht, who Tennessee seems to rely on, and try to slow down the Vols. Rick Barnes is known for choking in March. It is funny to think about but Rodney Terry has more Elite Eight appearances in one year at Texas than Barnes has in nine seasons with Tennessee. Tennessee is the better team on paper and should be on the court. I just think with all the history with Barnes and how underachieving Tennessee can be I like the points in this one. Play on Texas. This is a 3% play |
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03-23-24 | Washington State v. Iowa State -6.5 | 56-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
This game will be about defense, or should I say Iowa State's defense. Iowa State did what they have done all season in the first round and that is, they turned their defense loose. They are playing some of if not the best defense in the country. The Cyclones are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games and have won those games by an average of 17 points. They finished the season with an 18-point win over Houston. Washington State had to come from behind to beat Drake and I can't see that happening against this defense. WSU struggled to score against a Drake defense that is not nearly close to Iowa State. They put up just 66 against Drake and have been held under 70 points in three of their last four games. Iowa State is 24-10-1 ATS this season and I look for their defense to shut down the Cougars and come away with a win and cover. Play on Iowa State. This is a 4% play |
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03-23-24 | Michigan State v. North Carolina -4 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Michigan State finally looked like a team that started the season ranked in the top five. Inconsistency has plagued the Spartans all season despite being a senior-laden team. MSU doesn't have the big men to contain Bacout and I look for him to have a huge game. Walker can match RJ Davis shot for shot but I am skeptical of the rest of the Spartans stepping up to hit big shots. MSU keeps this one close for a while but I look for North Carolina to pull away late. Play on North Carolina. This is a 5% play. |
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03-22-24 | Grand Canyon v. St. Mary's -5.5 | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
The 12th seed Grand Canyon Lopes will take on the fifth seed Saint Mary's Gaels. Grand Canyon puts up 78.4 points a game 45.8% shooting from the field and 34.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.7 points a game. Grand Canyon has not played a tough schedule ranking 204th. Saint Marys puts up 73.2 points a game on 46.6% shooting from the field and 35.5% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 59.7 points a game. Grand Canyon played a weak schedule this season and there were not a lot of good defensive teams in their conference. Saint Mary's has a defense that has shut down some of the best offenses in the country. The Gaels like to play at a slow pace and work for a good shot. They have great shooters and a big-time scorer in Aidan Mahoney, who can take a game over. Grand Canyon has not faced a defense like St Mary’s this season. St Mary's has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 games. Grand Canyon is a great story but I think they are overmatched in this game. Play on St. Mary’s this is a 3% play |
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03-22-24 | James Madison +5.5 v. Wisconsin | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
In the South Region the 12th-seeded James Madison Dukes take on the fifth-seeded Wisconsin Badgers.The James Madison Dukes are putting up 84.4 points per game on 48.0% shooting from the floor. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.2 points per game. The Wisconsin Badgers put up 75.1 points per game on 46.3% shooting from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.9 points per game. JMU is very good from deep and has multiple players that shoot from deep. It ranks 54th in threes made per game and 42nd in three-point percentage. The Badgers rank 345th in opponent three-point percentage. JMU will have an advantage on the boards and I like them to win this game outright but will happily take the points. Play on James Madison. This is a 4% play. |
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03-22-24 | Colorado +1.5 v. Florida | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
The 10th-seeded Colorado Buffaloes face the 7th-seeded Florida Gators. The Buffaloes finished third in the Pac-12 and they’re coming off a 60-53 win over Boise State in the First Four. The Gators finished sixth in the SEC. Colorado has a game under their belt and got to experience the pressure of a tournament game with their win over Boise State. They are putting up 78.7 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 70.7 points per game. The Gators were riding a three-game winning streak before losing to Auburn in the final of the SEC Tournament. Florida is putting up 85.1 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 78.5 points per game. Colorado has won nine of their last 10 games. The Gators have won three of their last five games. The Gators haven’t played well defensively this season and they played worse in recent games, giving up at least 80 points in six of their last seven games. The Buffaloes have held four of their last five opponents under 60 points. Florida looked flat after the Handlogten injury last Sunday. His loss will hurt Florida on the boards. Play on Colorado. This is a 3% play |
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03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic -3.5 | 77-65 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The Northwestern Wildcats of the BIG10 take on the Florida Atlantic Owls from the American Athletic Conference. Northwestern is the 9-seed after finishing fourth in the BIG10 while. Florida Atlantic finished second in the AAC. Northwestern has made the dance for just the third time and now two years in a row. NW went 4-7 in Quad 1 games and 5-3 in Quad 2 and were 17-14-1 ATS. The Wildcats put up 73.7 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 69. Florida Atlantic went to the dance last season as a nine-seed and made it to the final four. The Owls had a 2-2 Quad 1 record and were 8-3 in Quad 2 games. The Owls put up 82.5 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 73.3. Northwestern likes to slow the pace of play down to a crawl. FAU should be able to take advantage of a Northwestern defense that allows their opponents to shoot 45% from the field and 36% from deep. The Owls like to play at a faster pace and should be able to get out and run as they have a rebounding edge over the Wildcats. The Owls are experienced and have tasted the Final Four I look for FAU to push the pace and Northwestern will find it difficult to keep up. Play on FAU. This is a 3% play. |
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03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
The 10th-seed Drake Bulldogs take on the seventh-seed Washington State Cougars in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tournament. Drake won 10 of their last 11 games including a win over Indiana State in the MVC Tournament Final. Drake puts up 80.3 points a game on 47.7% shooting from the field and 36.5% shooting from deep. On the defensive end, they allow 70.6 points. Washington State finished second in the Pac-12 with a 14-6 record. Washington State puts up 74.3 points a game on 46.6% shooting from the field and 34% from deep. Drake’s Tucker Devries will be the best player on the floor for either team and has the ability to take over the game. Washington State has been inconsistent on the offensive end this season and don’t shoot the three ball well. Drake has tournament experience which should play a factor if this game is close down the stretch. I will take Drake and Devries to pull off the slight upset. Play on Drake. This is a 4% play. |
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03-21-24 | McNeese State v. Gonzaga -6.5 | 65-86 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
We have an intriguing 12-5 matchup in the West Region with the McNeese State Cowboys, who finished at 30-3, against the Gonzaga Bulldogs, who finished the season at 25-7. The Cowboys went 17-1 in their conference and have won 11 straight games. They have scored more than 74 points per game on the road. They will be at a disadvantage on the boards so extra possessions will be hard to come by. The Bulldogs have won nine of their last 10 games. They are scoring more than 83 points per game and are making over 51 percent of their shots. The Bulldogs have held their last three opponents under 68 points per game. McNeese State loves to shoot the three ball and i feel that the only way for them to win is get hot from deep. They are not used to playing in a large arena so it may take them some time to get their shots to fall. The Zags should be able to dominate with their two big men in the paint. They shoot a combined 60% from the floor and should be able to control the boards, giving them second chance opportunities and limiting the same for McNeese State. I am laying the points with Gonzaga in this one as the avoid they 12-5 upset. Play on Gonzaga. This is a 3% play. |
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03-21-24 | Oakland v. Kentucky -13.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
The 14-seed Oakland Golden Grizzlies take on the 3-seed Kentucky Wildcats. Oakland finished the season at 23-11 while Kentucky finished at 23-8. Oakland won both the Horizon League regular season and conference tournament championships and closed the season winning eight out of their last nine and 17 of their last 20 games. Kentucky finished one game out of first place in the SEC. They won five of their last six games to finish the season. Kentucky has an explosive offense and even though they have struggled at times on the defensive end I feel that Oakland isn’t efficient enough on the offensive end to take advantage. Oakland doesn't defend the three-ball well and Kentucky can light it up from deep. Kentucky will also have an advantage on the boards which should lead to second-chance opportunities. Oakland can keep this close for a half but will get blown out in the second half. Play on Kentucky. This is a 2% play |
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03-21-24 | Morehead State v. Illinois -11 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
In an East Regional contest, the three-seed Illinois Fighting Illini take on 14th-seed Morehead State Eagles. The Eagles finished the season 26-8 overall and 18-11-1 ATS. They won the Ohio Valley Conference to make the Dance. The Fighting Illini finished with a 26-8 overall record and were 19-13-2 ATS and won the Big 10. Morehead State is riding a six-game winning streak but has not played in 12 days. For the season, they are putting up 75.5 a game. They are shooting 46.9% from the field and 36.1% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 62.8 points per game. The Fighting Illini were in form down the stretch going 7-1 over their last 8 games. For the season, they put up 84.4 on 47.1% shooting from the field and 35% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 73.8 points a game. The Fighting Illini have gone 3-1 ATS over their last four games. The Fighting Illini can be taken advantage of on the defensive end but I don’t believe Morehead State has the offense to do it. Morehead State has had 12 days off so it may take some time to get their in-game touch going. Illinois has two guys who can get a bucket when needed, to hit 26 free throws in the Big Ten title game. Morehead State has played just two tournament games this season and has not faced a team like Illinois. Illinois lack of defensive effort can worry you in this one but I don’t think Morehead State will be able to score enough. Play on Illinois. This is a 2% play |
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03-21-24 | Duquesne +10.5 v. BYU | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
The East Regional has a matchup with the No. 6 BYU taking on No. 11 Duquesne. The Duquesne Dukes finished the season at 24-11 overall. They won the Atlantic-10 championship. The BYU Cougars finished the season at 23-10 overall and finished fifth in the Big 12, losing to Texas Tech in the quarterfinals. This is the Dukes' first appearance in the Big Dance since 1977 and are riding an eight-game winning streak. This season they put up 70.8 points a game on 43.7% shooting from the field and 34% from deep. On the defensive end, they give up 66 points a game. The Cougars finished the season on a 4-2 run. Their offense put up 81.8 points a game this season. They shot 46.2% from the field and 34.8% from deep, On the defensive end, they gave up 69.9 points a game. The Cougars have gone 4-1 ATS in the last five games that they were favored in. The Cougars love to play at a fast pace and they love to shoot from deep. The Dukes prefer to play at a slower style and limit possessions. The Dukes have been playing great on the defensive end, allowing 70 points on their 8-game winning streak. The Dukes have the guard play to control this game and when you live by the three you die by the three. I think BYU wins the game but Duquesne covers the number. Pay on Duquesne this is a 3%play. |
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03-20-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Padres | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
The 2024 MLB season will kick off early on Wednesday as the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the San Diego Padres in South Korea. The rich get richer as the Dodgers won over 100 games for the second straight season and then went out and got the best player in baseball as well as the best pitcher in Japan. Last season, they were second in runs per game, 3rd in home runs, and 3rd in slugging percentage. The Dodgers went through 17 starting pitchers last season as the staff was beset by injuries. The Dodgers will hand the ball to Tyler Glasnow for their opener. This spring he has produced a 0.90 ERA with 14 strikeouts in 10 innings pitched and a WHIP of just 0.70. The San Diego Padres went all in last season and it did not go well for them. Their high-powered offense struggled and their pitching staff was hit by injuries. The Padres start Yu Darvish in the opener. This spring, he posted a 2.89 ERA with 10 strikeouts in 9.1 innings pitched. He is 4-5 vs. the Dodgers with a sparkling 2.38 ERA. If the Dodgers don’t win a hundred games this year, I will be shocked. They have the best lineup in baseball with Ohtan, Betts, and Freeman at the top. Darvish has lost a bit off his fastball and his swing and miss rate declined last season. The Padres are trying to figure out their bullpen without Hader as their closer. I am taking the Dodgers to open the season with a win and playing them on the run-line for value. Play on the LA Dodgers on the run-line. This is a 3% play. |
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03-18-24 | Knicks v. Warriors -5.5 | 119-112 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks will be in San Francisco to take on the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors won back in February 110-99 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Knicks are in fourth place in the Eastern Conference. New York has won three straight and four of their last five games. They have been outstanding on the defensive end over the last five games as they have not allowed over 93 points in that stretch. On the offensive end, they are putting up 111.9 points on 46.1% shooting from the field and 36.2% from deep. Golden State is putting up 118.4 points a game on 47.2% shooting from the field and 37.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they allow 116.8 points a game. You can make the arguement tha the Knicks are playing better than th Warriors. If Anonoby plays, he's going to be limited offensively. These are starting to be must win games for Warriors as they try to stay out of the play in games. Golden State won the last game two weeks. I like Golden State and the old men to get the job done today. Play on Golden State. This is a 3% play. |
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03-18-24 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers are at home to take on the Miami Heat. Miami will be playing on the second game of a back-to-back after getting by Detroit yesterday. The Philadelphia 76ers are coming off a dominating win over Charlotte on Saturday and will have a day's rest. The Miami Heat are putting up 110.1 points a game and are shooting 53.6% from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 109.6 points a game. The Heat are 32-34-1 ATS this season but are 20-14-1 against the spread on the road. The Philadelphia 76ers are putting up 115.1 points and are shooting 53% from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 112.6 points a game. They are 35-32 ATS this season. I like the 76ers in this one as Miami will be on the back end of a back-to-back. Play on Philadelphia. This is a 3% play |
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03-18-24 | Cavs +7 v. Pacers | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are on the road to take on the Indiana Pacers. The Cavaliers come into this game having lost three of their last four, while the Pacers have won three of the last four. The Cleveland Cavaliers are fourth in points allowed at 109.6 points a game and on the offensive end, they are putting up 113.6 points per game on 47.9% shooting from the field and 36.6% from deep. Indiana is first in the NBA in scoring at 123.1 points a game on 50.5% shooting from the field and 37.4%very porous on the defensive end, allowing 121.1 points a game which ranks 26th. Cleveland has struggled with injuries but has all its regulars with the exception of Evan Mobley. Cleveland has a nice backcourt duo of Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland which will be a lot for the Pacers defense to handle. Cleveland has the better defense and I think they will be able to make enough stops to get the cover. Play on Cleveland. This is a 3% play. |
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03-17-24 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Mavs | 105-107 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets have climbed back to the top of the Western Conference. They will take on the Dallas Mavericks,who sit eighth in Western Conference. The Nuggets are riding a five-game winning streak,while Dallas is coming off a loss to OKC. Denver is putting up 114.8 points a game on 49.6% from the floor and 36.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 110.3 points per game. Dallas is putting up 119.0 points per game on 48.3% shooting from the field and 37.1% from deep. On the defensive end, the Mavericks are giving up 117.7 points per game. The Nuggets have beaten the Mavs twice this season by 11 and 26. Luka Doncic is a game time decision. Even if Luka plays I still like the Nuggets to take care of business. Play on Denver. This is a 3% play |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -3 | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers made it to the Big 10 finals by taking down the 31 seed Purdue Boilermakers. They will take on the two-seed Illinois Fighting Illini with the winner getting the automatic qualifier for the Big Dance. Illinois took the only meeting between the two 91-83. Wisconsin has played great in this Big Ten Tournament but this is a bad matchup for the Badgers. They have a bad matchup on the defensive end, evident in the fact thatIn the first game between the two, the Illinois duo of Shannon Jr. and Domask combined for 54 points. Illinois loves to attack the rim and will have Wisconsin on their heels. I look for illinois to pull away late. Play on Illinois.This a 4% play |
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03-16-24 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -2.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
The fifth-seeded UTEP Miners and the third-seeded Western Kentucky Hilltoppers face off in the Conference USA Tournament Championship. The UTEP Miners took down Sam Houston in their semi-final matchup. The Miners put up 72.9 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 69.0 points per game. Western Kentucky is coming off a blowout of Middle Tennessee in their semi-final. The Hilltoppers put up 80.5 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 74.8 points per game. Western Kentucky has had an easy time so far, winning by 20 and 31 points. They split their two games this season with both teams winning at home. Western Kentucky has turned up the defense in the tournament and with the way their offense scores they will be too much for UTEP to overcome. Play on Western Kentucky. This is a 4% play |
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03-16-24 | Texas A&M v. Florida -2.5 | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
The No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies will take on the No. 6 Florida Gators in a surprising SEC Semi-final matchup. The Aggies made it here with an upset of Kentucky. The Aggies are putting up 73.4 points per game average, and shoot 39.7% from the field and just 27.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.5 points per game. Florida is coming in off a win over Alabama. Florida gets it done on the offensive end, putting up 84.9 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field and 33.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. The Gators are able to match up well with the Aggies. They have the guard play that can go head-tom-head with the Aggies guard strength and Florida is the best rebounding team in the country which negates the Aggies rebounding proficiency. The Aggies were able to slow down florida in the second half to pick up a win this season but I see this game being played at a faster pace and high scoring with the Aggies struggling to keep pace. Play on Florida. This is a 3% play |
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03-15-24 | Florida v. Alabama -4 | 102-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
The No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide will take on the No. 6 Florida Gators in an SEC quarterfinal matchup. The Bama offense is putting up 90.8 points a game on 47.8% shooting from the field and 36.9% from deep. The Bama defense has left a lot to be desired, as they have given up 80.4 points a game.The Florida Gators are putting up 84.9 points on 45.7% shooting. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. The two teams split the season series, each taking a game on their home-court. The Crimson Tide play fast and shoot often. Bama wore down the Gators in the first matchup and with Florida playing on no rest I see that happening again. Play on Bama. This is a 4% play |
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03-15-24 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina -7.5 | 65-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
In one ACC semi-final, the fourth-seeded Pittsburgh Panthers take on the top-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels. Pittsburgh has posted a 22-10 overall record and is 12-8 in the ACC. North Carolina is 26-6 and 17-3 in the ACC. Pittsburgh is coming off an 81-69 win over Wake Forest. Carolina is looking to win the ACC Tournament after winning the regular season championship. They had no problem with the ninth seeded Florida State Seminoles, 92-67. These teams played once this season with an average margin of victory of 14.4 points. Carolina has too much firepower on the offensive end for the Panthers to overcome. Carolina will use their defense in the second half to pull away and get the cover. Play on North Carolina. This is a 4% play |
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03-15-24 | Texas A&M v. Kentucky -5 | 97-87 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Kentucky Wildcats has posted a 23-8 overall record and 13-5 in the SEC. They out up 89.5 points per game which ranked second in the country. They shot 49.7% from the field and 41.2 % from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 79.1 points per game. The Texas A&M Aggies come into this game with a 19-13 overall record and 9-9 in the SEC. On the offensive end, they are putting up 73.4 points a game on 39.7% shooting from the field and 27.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.5 points per game. The Wildcats are the better offensive team by far and they have a stronger bench. The Aggies are better on the defensive end but they don’t have the offense to take advantage of the Wildcats weaker defense. The Aggies shot 30 free throws and had 25 offensive rebounds in their last meeting but I don’t expect those two things to happen again. Kentucky will get out to an early lead and coast down the stretch. Play on Kentucky. This is a 4% play. |
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03-15-24 | Ohio State v. Illinois -4.5 | 74-77 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
The Ohio State Buckeyes took care of Iowa and will now face the Illinois Fighting Illini in the Big 10 quarterfinals. Ohio State is putting up 74.5 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 69 points a game. Illinois is the second seed in the Tournament. Illinois is putting up 84.9 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 72.9 points. Illinois has a dynamic duo in Terrence Shannon Jr. and Marcus Domask. They put up 38 points a game with Shannon having the ability to take over games on his own. Ohio State's top three players played over 30 minutes yesterday so fatigue could become a factor over a rested Illinois team. Ohio State is playing better under their new coach but has problems slowing down Shannon and Domsk. I am taking Illinois in this one. Play on Illinois. This is a 3% play |
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03-15-24 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee -9.5 | 73-56 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
The No. 1 Tennessee Volunteers have posted an overall record of 24-7 and 14-4 in the SEC. They will face off against the No. 9 Mississippi State Bulldogs who finished 20-12 and 8-10 in the SEC. The Volunteers put up 80.2 points a game this season on 44.9% shooting from the field and 34.6% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 67.7 points a game. The Bulldogs are putting up 75.3 points a game on 45.5% shooting from the field and 32.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.6 points a game. The Tennessee Volunteers, play well on both ends of the floor, evidenced by the fact they won the SEC regular season. These teams met once this season with the Bulldogs picking up the victory. The Bulldogs shot over 50% from the floor in the loss. The Bulldogs' bench added 33 points compared with just four points from the Volunteers' bench. I look for the Vols to get revenge in this one as they will turn up the defense and Miss. St will not shoot as well as they did in the last game. This game is in Nashville so look for a homecourt advantage for the Vols… Rocky Top will be sung tonight in Nashville. Play on Tennessee. This is a 3% play! |
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03-14-24 | Cincinnati v. Baylor -6.5 | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The No. 11 seed Cincinnati Bearcats are coming off a huge win over Kansas and now take on the No. 3 seed and 14th-ranked Baylor Bears. The Cincinnati Bearcats finished the season at 20-13 overall but just 7-11 in conference play. They are coming off a 20-point win over an injury-depleted Kansas. Cincinnati puts up 74.8 points a game on 44.5% shooting from the field, and 32.1% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 67.8 points a game. The Baylor Bears finished the season at 22-9 overall and 11-7 in the conference. Baylor is putting up 81.5 points per game on 48.9% shooting from the field and 39.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71.5 points. Baylor has the offensive firepower to win this one easily. You can’t take a lot from the Kansas win but Cincinnati has shown they can hang around. I look for Baylor to get it done on both ends of the court and pull away at the end. Play on Baylor. This is a 3% play. |
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03-14-24 | Villanova v. Marquette -3.5 | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Big East Tournament's quarterfinals have the No. 6 seed Villanova Wildcats meeting the No. 3 seed and 10th-ranked Marquette Golden Eagles. The Villanova Wildcats are 18-14 overall and 10-10 in the Big East. They barely got by Depaul yesterday. The offense put up 71.1 points this season. On the defensive end, they are giving up 65.6 points per game. Marquette finished the season at 23-8 overall and 14-6 in the Big East. They put up 79.2 points per game this season. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.8 points per game. The Marquette offense had their way with the Villanova defense in two games this season, putting up 87 points and 85 points. Nova will struggle to keep up if Marquette can get the offense rolling again. Villanova did not look good against Depaul and can’t afford to have the same type of performance in this one. I like Marquette to get the offense rolling again and come away with the win and cover. Play on Marquette. This is a 4% play. |
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03-14-24 | Duquesne v. Dayton -6.5 | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
An A-10 quarterfinal matchup pits the Dayton Flyers against the Duquesne Dukes. Dayton is 24-6 overall and a 14-4 conference record. The Dukes finished at 21-11 overall and 10-8 in the A10. The Flyers are putting up 75.3 points per game on 48.2% shooting from the field and 40.7% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.3 points per game. Duquesne put up 71.0 points per game on 43.7% shooting from the field and 33.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.8 points per game. The Dayton Flyers are a well-balanced team. They shoot the ball well from both the field and from deep. Dayton has beaten Duquesne twice this season. In the two wins, Dayton has held the Dukes to just over 60 points per game while putting up over 73 points per game. I am taking Daytin to win and cover. Play on Dayton. This is a 3% play. |
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03-14-24 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Michigan State | 67-77 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a must-win for both teams as they face uncertainty going into selection Sunday. The Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Michigan State Spartans are both 18-13 heading into this game. They split both games this season. Both teams struggled down the stretch going 1-4. Minnesota is putting up 75.7 points a game and is giving up 71.6 points. Michigan State is putting up 73.4 points a game and is giving up just 65.9 points a game. Michigan State is the better team and should win this game but this number is too high in my opinion. Minnesota has covered 24 of 31 this season and they are 8-2 ATS their last 10 games as a dog. They've also covered three straight in this series and four of their last five. Michigan State has failed to cover their last four games as a favorite. The Spartans should be better than they are and that is why I have no confidence in them covering this number. Play on Minnesota. This is a 3% play |
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03-13-24 | Michigan v. Penn State -6.5 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
The season can’t get over quick enough for the Michigan Wolverines and that was true more than a month ago. The Penn State Nittany Lions will look to put them out of their misery in the Big 10 Tournament. Penn State won the earlier game this season 79-73 at home. Michigan finished the season losing 8 in a row, while Penn State won three of their last five. For the season Michigan put up 73.5 points a game on 44.7% shooting from the field and 36.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they gave up 79.4 points a game. On the season, Penn State put up 75.9 points a game on 44.4% shooting from the field and 33.5% shooting from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 74.3 points a game. This has been a very disappointing year for Michigan, and they are one of the worst teams in the Big Ten on both ends of the floor. 12 of their 17 losses were by 10 points or more. Michigan struggles to score and has an even harder time stopping the other team. Penn State is not a great defensive team either. Michigan has talent but for some reason they can’t put things together. Michigan has struggled all season and don’t see why they would turn it around now.
Play on Penn State. This is a 3% play |
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03-13-24 | Nuggets -4 v. Heat | 100-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets head to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat. Denver is 45-20 this season and is second in the Western Conference while Miami is eighth in the Eastern Conference with an overall record of 35-29. Denver took the first meeting this season by 6. Denver has been getting it done on the defensive end, where they are giving up 110.7 points a game, which ranks seventh. On the offensive end, they are putting up 115 points per game. The Heat are coming off a bad loss to the Washington Wizards. Miami is putting up 110.5 points per game, which ranks 27th overall On the defensive end, they are giving up 109.9 points against per game. The Denver Nuggets are 15-8 as road favorites this season. The Miami Heat are 1-6 against the spread as underdogs at home this season. The Nuggets are 7-3 against the spread versus the Hea over the last 10. The Nuggets have won nine of their last ten games. The Heat have lost three in a row. The Nuggets' last five road wins have come by at least five points. Denver is better on both ends of the courts and they way Miami has struggled to score, I have to ride with the Nuggets this season. Play on Denver. This is a 3% play |
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03-13-24 | Florida State v. Virginia Tech -3.5 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
In ACC tournament action, the ninth-seeded Florida State Seminoles take on the eighth-ranked Virginia Tech Hokies. Florida State finished the season with a 16-15 overall record as was 10-10 in the ACC. Virginia Tech went 18-13 overall and also finished 10-10 in conference play. FSU struggled down the stretch, losing six of its final nine games. They were 15-15-1 ATS. Virginia Tech comes into this game riding a three-game winning streak. The Hokies were 14-17 ATS. They split their regular season matchups with both winning on their home floors. Both teams are even on the offensive end but the Hokies have an edge on the defensive end. Both games between the two were decided by single digits and with VT being the better free throw shooting team , I have more confidence in them down the stretch. Play on Virginia tech. This is a 3% play. |
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03-11-24 | Arkansas State v. James Madison -5.5 | 71-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The final of the Sun Belt Conference pits the Arkansas State Red Wolves against the James Madison Dukes. The Red Wolves put up 79.0 points per game, on 44.2% shooting from the field and 34.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. The James Madison Dukes finished the season with an overall record of 30-3. The Dukes are putting up 84.6 points per game, on 47.9% shooting from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up just 69.3 points per game. James Madison gets it done on both ends of the court. Arkansas State has been finding ways to win but that stops against the Dukes in this one. Play on James Madison. This is a 5% play. |
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03-10-24 | Texas State v. James Madison -11 | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
The No. 11 seeded Texas State Bobcats face off against the No. 2 James Madison Dukes in a Sun Belt Semi-Final. Texas State has won three straight so far in the tournament. Texas State puts up 68.9 points per game, on 44.0% shooting from the field and 32.0% from beyond the arc. The Dukes are putting up 84.6 points per game on 47.9% shooting from the field. The defense is giving up just 69.3 points per game. James Madison has dominated the Conference all season and there is no reason for that to end today. They have a more explosive offense and better defense. I look for them to book their spot in the final easily. |
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03-10-24 | Arkansas State v. Appalachian State -4.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Sun Belt Semifinals showcase the No. 1 seed Appalachian State Mountaineers against the No. 4 seed Arkansas State Red Wolves. Appalachian State finished the season at 26-5 overall. On the offensive end, they are putting up 78.7 points per game, and are shooting 47.3% from the field goal. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.1 points per game. The Arkansas State Red Wolves finished at a 16-15 overall record. Arkansas State is putting up 79.0 points per game and is shooting 44.2% from the field and 34.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. Appalachian State has won eight straight. Appalachian State won the only matchup between the two 80-57. App State has a well-balanced offense and their defense will be able to slow down the Arkansas State offense. Play on App State. This is a 4% play |
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03-09-24 | Marquette -2.5 v. Xavier | 86-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The eighth-ranked Marquette Golden Eagles take on the Xavier Musketeers in the final Big East regular season game. Marquette is 13-6 in the Big East and is now tied with Creighton for second place. Xavier is one game under .500 in the Big East at 9-10. Marquette beat Xavier 88-64 in their first meeting. Marquette is putting up 79 points a game. The Golden Eagles are giving up just 69.5 points a game. Xavier is putting up 76.2 points a game this season. The Musketeers are giving up 73.8 points a game. Marquette will be without their best player Tyler Kolek for the third straight game but the Golden Eagles are still one of the best defensive teams in the nation. Marquette's defense will be the difference in this game and even without Kolek the offense will score enough to get the win and cover. Play on Marquette. This is a 3% play. |
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03-09-24 | Northern Iowa v. Indiana State -7 | 72-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
In an MVC semifinal matchup, we have top-seeded Indiana State taking on fourth-seeded Northern Iowa. The NI Panthers are 19-13 overall and 12-8 in the MVC. The ISU Sycamores are 27-5 overall and 17-3 in the MVC. The Panthers scored 73.3 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field and 34.5% from deep. On the defensive end, they give up 70.2 points a game. Indiana State puts up 84.3 points per game on 50.2% from the field and 38.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71.6 points. In their only matchup this season, ISU won by 11 as 2-point favorites at home. Indiana State is 18-12-1 ATS this season and Northern Iowa is 15-15 ATS. The Sycamores have gone 6-4 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten games against Northern Iowa. ISU has amazing scoring depth, with five guys averaging in double figures. I like Indiana State to roll in this one as their offense will be too much for NI to overcome. Play on Indiana State. This is a 3% play. |
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03-09-24 | Iowa State -3 v. Kansas State | 58-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Kansas State will play host to the No. 6 Iowa State in the regular season finale for the Big 12. The Cyclones have posted a 24-6 overall record and 13-4 in the Big 12. The Wildcats are 17-13 overall and 7-10 in the Big 12. The Cyclones are one game back of first place in the Big 12 and are on a four-game win streak and they have won eight of their last nine. They are led by their defense, which is 2nd in the Big 12 and fifth in the nation, at 62 points per game. On the offensive end, they are putting up 76.3 points per game on 46.4% shooting from the field and 34.9% from deep. The Wildcats have struggled down the stretch, going 3-9 over their last 12. Kansas State is putting up 72.4 points per game, on 43.6% shooting from the field and 31.9% from deep. They have the 10th-best defense in the conference at 70.6 points a game. Iowa State is 20-9-1 ATS this season, and Kansas State is 15-15 ATS. Iowa State is 6-2-1 ATS on the road this year, while Kansas State is 7-9 ATS at home. Iowa State won and covered the first time and even though it is Senior Night. I don’t think that will be enough for Kansas State to overcome the Iowa State defense. Play on Iowa State. This is a 3% play. |
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03-08-24 | Missouri State v. Indiana State -11.5 | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
The MVC quarterfinals get underway with top-seeded Indiana State taking on No. 9 Missouri State. On the offensive end, Missouri State is putting up 72 points a game on 44.2% shooting. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.3 points per game. Indiana State rode their high-powered offense to the conference title. They put up 84.5 points per game, which was the best in the conference and 10th in the country. They are shooting 50.4% from the field and 38.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72 points per game. The Sycamores have three of the top nine scorers in the MVC. Indiana State was 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS versus Missouri State this season with an average margin of victory of 12 points per game. Missouri State will be playing for the second straight day. Indiana State can score in a hurry and if there is any fatigue in Missouri State, this game can get out of hand in a hurry. I am looking for Indiana State to roll in this one. Play on Indiana State. This is a 3% play. |
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03-07-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Wright State -6.5 | 99-97 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Northern Kentucky Norse take on the Wright State Raiders in the quarterfinals of the Horizon League Championship. Wright State is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Northern Kentucky. They swept the regular season series 2-0. The Norse had their three-game winning streak snapped by the Raiders in their regular season finale. Northern Kentucky is putting up 73 points a game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.8 points per game. Wright State is putting up 85.8 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 82.2 points per game. The Raiders have won four of their last five games. The Norse have lost two of their last three road games. Wright State won the two regular season meetings and I look for them to make it three in this one. Play on Wright State. This is a 3% play. |
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03-07-24 | Marist v. Quinnipiac -4.5 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
The Marist Red Foxes face off against the Quinnipiac Bobcats in the MAAC Tournament. The Marist Red Foxes are 16-11 overall and 11-7 in the MAAC. Marist struggles on the offensive end, putting up 64.9 points per game on 44.4% shooting from the field and 35.6% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up just 61.8 points per game. The Quinnipiac Bobcats are 21-8 overall this season and 13-5 in the MAAC. On the offensive end. They are putting up 78.2 points per game on 44.8% shooting from the field and 35.0% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.6 points per game. The Red Foxes are scoring 59.8 points in their last four games while the Bobcats are averaging 75.6 points in their previous five games. Even though Marist has the better defense they will not be able to overcome the scoring output of the Quinnipiac offense. Play on Quinnipiac. This is a 3% play. |
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03-07-24 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | 76-71 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
The Georgia Southern Eagles enter the Sun Belt Conference Tournament with an 8-23 overall record and 8-10 in the Sun Belt. The South Alabama Jaguars are at 16-15 overall and 8-10 in the conference. The Eagles have won two straight and three of the last four. South Alabama has also won two straight and six of the last eight. Georgia Southern puts up 73.0 points per game on 43.1% from the field and 35.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 79.3 points per game. The South Alabama Jaguars are putting up 74.1 points per game on 44.7% shooting from the field and 34.7% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 75.6 points per game. South Alabama has covered the spread in five of its last eight games. South Alabama won the only meeting between the two 78-65. South Alabama will use their defense to limit Georgia Southern’s three-point shooting and come away with a win and cover. Play on South Alabama. This is a 3% play. |
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03-06-24 | Red Wings v. Avalanche -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 126 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
The Detroit Red Wings face the Colorado Avalanche in NHL action. The Red Wings are 33-22-6 this season and have the fourth-best record in the Atlantic Division. The Avalanche have a 38-20-5 record and are in third place in the Central Division. The Red Wings are putting up 3.51 goals per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 3.20 goals per game and have allowed nine goals in the last two games, both losses. The Avalanche are putting up 3.65 goals per game and have scored 16 goals in their last four games. On the defensive end, they are giving up 3.06 goals per game. They Avalanche have been finding the back of the net a lot lately and should be able to score against a Red Wings team that has allowed nine goals in their last two games. Colorado is 9-1 in the last 10 matchups between the two. The Avalanche have outscored the Wings 28-13 over those 10 games. They have won 5 straight in Colorado. Play on Colorado minus 1,5 pucks. This is a 3% play. |
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03-06-24 | Bulls -3.5 v. Jazz | 119-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls are on the road to take on the Utah Jazz. Chicago is 29-32 and is ninth in the Eastern Conference. Utah is 11th in the Western Conference at 28-34.Chicago is putting up 111.7 points per game which ranks 25th. The Bulls are 23rd in field goal shooting percentage as well as 23rd from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 113.1 points a game which is 12th in the NBA. The Utah Jazz are putting up 117.7 points per game which ranks ninth. On the defensive end, they are giving up 120.4 points against per game which ranks 26th. Chicago is 7-1 record as a road favorite and 6-2 ATS. They have won four of their last five against Utah. Lauri Markkanen is questionable for this game and it will be a big loss without him in the lineup as he leads the team in scoring. The Bulls are coming off a huge comeback win over the Kings to start this road trip and I like them to ride that momentum into this game. Play on Chicago. This is a 3% play |
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03-06-24 | Northwestern +9.5 v. Michigan State | 49-53 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
The Northwestern Wildcats take on the Michigan State Spartans. These teams met earlier this season, with Northwestern winning by 14. Northwestern is third in the conference with an 11-7 league record. They have won three of their last four games, losing last time out to Iowa. They are putting up 74.4 points per game, on 46.0% shooting from the field and 39.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.6 points a game. The Michigan State Spartans are 9-9 in conference play but have lost three in a row. Michigan State is putting up 74.4 points per game, on 46.8% shooting from the field and 37.0% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.5 points per game. MSU has struggled down the stretch and need a couple of wins to close out the season. It will be Senior Night at MSU and the Spartans will be playing with a little something extra. I like MSU to win this game but the number is a little high in my opinion. Play on Northwestern. This is a 3% play. |
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03-05-24 | Dayton -8.5 v. St. Louis | 100-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Saint Louis Billikens play host to the No. 25 Dayton Flyers. The Flyers come in at 22-6 overall and 12-4 in the A-10. The Billikens are just 11-18 overall and 4-12 in the A-10. The Flyers have struggled down the stretch going just 3-3 over their last 6. Dayton is putting up 73.9 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field and 39.5% from three-point range. On the defensive end, they are giving up 65 points a game. The Billikens have been playing better, having won two of their last three games but have just three wins over their last 13 games. Offense hasn’t been a problem for St. Louis as they rank fourth in the conference with 74.8 points per game. They are shooting 44.7% from the field and 36% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 79.3 points per game, which is last in the conference. The Flyers won the first game between the two on their home court. Dayton is 15-13 ATS and Saint Louis is 10-17-1 ATS. Saint Louis has gone 1-5 SU in their last six home games, with the five losses coming by an average of 12.4 points. The Billikens are 5-9 ATS at home. Dayton is 5-4-1 ATS on the road this year and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Saint Louis. I am looking for the Dayton defense to slow down the Billiken offense and on the other end, they should be able to take advantage of the Billiken defense. Play on Dayton. This is a 3% play |
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03-04-24 | Bulls v. Kings -6.5 | 113-109 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls are on the road to take on the Sacramento Kings. The Bulls are 28-32 overall but have a 31-28-1 ATS record. The Kings are 34-25 overall and 30-28-1 ATS. The Bulls are ninth in the Eastern Conference, four games above the Play-in line. They have struggled recently, going 2-4 SU over their last six games. On the season, they are putting up 111.7 points a game on 46.3% shooting from the field and 35.6% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 113.1 points per game. The Kings are seventh in the Western Conference, a half-game behind sixth. The kings are 4-2 over their last six games. They are putting up 118.2 points per game on 48.4% shooting from the field and 37.1% from beyond the arc. On the defensive end, they are giving up 117.9 points per game. Sacramento won the first game between the two. In their last five victories, the Kings have won by an average of 11.8 points per game. Sacramento is 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the Bulls. The Bulls have been and are still dealing with injuries. The Kings have depth and will wear down a depleted Bulls team. I like the Kings to continue their ATS streak over the Bulls. Play on Sacramento. This is a 4% play |
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03-04-24 | Clippers v. Bucks -5.5 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Clippers are on the road to take on the Milwaukee Bucks. This will be the second game of a back-to-back for the Clippers. The Clippers lost guard Russell Westbrook to a fractured left hand. Milwaukee comes in riding a five game winning streak after taking down the Chicago Bulls last time out. The defense is starting to come along as they have held six of their last nine opponents under 100 points. Things got off to a rocky start under Doc Rivers going 3-7 in his first 10 games but have now won five in a row. The Bucks are playing their best basketball of the season and will have the advantage of rest. The Bucks are second in the NBA in scoring this season. Being on the back end of a back-to-back, I wouldn't be surprised if they rest a couple of players even with Westbrook being out. Play on Milwaukee. This is a 3% play. |
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03-04-24 | Duke -6 v. NC State | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Duke still has a chance to win the conference title, but they need to take care of business against NC State. The Blue Devils have won seven of their last eight. Over those seven wins, they have won by an average of +15.6 points. NC State has been struggling down the stretch, especially on the defensive end which does not bode well when playing a Duke team that has five players that can score in double figures. The Wolfpack have lost three of their last four. I am looking for Duke to come out strong and take control of this game early as they make a push for the conference title. Play on Duke. This is a 4% play. |
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03-03-24 | Thunder -5.5 v. Suns | 118-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Phoenix Suns in the Western Conference battle. OKC won the first game between the two teams 111-99. The Oklahoma City Thunder had their six-game winning streak snapped by the San Antonio Spurs. Oklahoma City is second in the Western Conference. The Suns had their two-game winning streak snapped by the Houston Rockets last night. The Suns are sixth in the West, a half game behind the Pelicans and the same distance ahead of the Kings. This is the second game of a back-to-back so fatigue could be a factor for the Suns. They are still not at 100% as Bradley Beal returned after missing five games and gave them 20 minutes, but will he be able to go today and for how long. OKC is 6-1 SU and ATS in its last seven games overall and 2-1 SU and ATS in its previous three games with Phoenix. OKC has been one of the best two way teams this season and with the Suns playing the second game of a back-to-back I like the Thunder to pull this one out down the stretch. Play on OKC. This is a 3% play. |
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03-03-24 | Bradley v. Drake -3.5 | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Both these teams are considered a couple of the favorites to win the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament next week. Bradley has won four of their last five with the loss coming to Drake. Bradley is 6-5 on the road this season. On the other hand, Drake has not lost at home this season, going 15-0. More impressively, 12 of those wins have come by double digits. Drake is 8-6 against the spread home while Bradley is 1-2 against the spread as road underdogs and 9-10 ATS when facing Missouri Valley opponents. Drake has the best player on the court, at home and it is Senior Day. That looks like the perfect recipe for a win. Play on Drake. This is a 3% play. |
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03-03-24 | Illinois State -5 v. Valparaiso | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Illinois State has won four of their last five games. Valparaiso has lost 11 straight. Valpo won the earlier game between the two this season but has fallen on hard times. Illinois State and Valparaiso are the two worst offensive teams in the MVC this season. Both teams are putting up 67 points a game. Illinois State has an advantage on the defensive end as they give up 67.7 points a game while Valpo allows 78.6 points a game. Illinois State shot just 1-18 from deep and I expect them to shoot better in this game. I am riding the better team and better defense in this one. Play on Illinois State. This is a 3% play |
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