Cappers Sports Picks

The Sparks are 1-5 AYS in Las Vegas and just 2-6 ATS against Vegas overall—no reason to get in the way of the best basketball being played in Sin City since Tark.

Past history will tell you that the Sun is the side here, but this number is begging you to take Connecticut, so we will use our experience to lay the points with New York. 

The over is 8-3 in their last 11 meetings in New York nd 8-3 following a New York ATS win. 

The Lynx finished 0-5 ATS when playing on one day's rest. Let's ride that out again in this one. 

The Aces have covered 7 of their last 10 meetings, while Seattle is just 9-24 ATS gainst Western Conference teams. 

The over cashed in four of the Aces' last five road games, let's see if they can carry that into 2023. Four of their last five games in Seattle have gone over. 

The Dream have covered five of their last six meetings and four of five in Dallas. 

The Sky are just 2-9 ATS against the Lynx and 2-5 in their last 7 meetings in Minnesota. 

It's surprising that this number has come down some but it's the right side. The Fever became a pretty reliable cover against Eastern Conference teams to end the season. Let's see if they can carry that over.

Griner is back and the bettor are all over the Liberty. The Mystics were terrific at home against the number last season and we're going to bet that continues in 2023. 

The Connecticut Sun have been at their best when the stakes have been the highest through the postseason and will need to continue that trend when they face the Las Vegas Aces on Sunday afternoon in Game 4 of the best-of-five WNBA Finals in Uncasville, Conn.

The Aces, with wins at home in Games 1 and 2, own a 2-1 lead in the series and can earn their first league championship with a victory on the road on Sunday. The Sun forced Sunday's game with a dominating 105-76 win at home on Thursday but still have their collective backs firmly against the wall.

Game 5, if necessary, will be in Las Vegas on Tuesday.

Connecticut rode a historic performance by Alyssa Thomas to garner Thursday's win. Thomas produced 16 points, 15 rebounds and 11 assists in the victory, becoming the first player in WNBA Finals history to record a triple-double.

Six players scored in double figures for Connecticut in Thursday's win, with Jonquel Jones leading the way with 20 points, DeWanna Bonner adding 18, Natisha Hiedeman hitting for 14, DiJonai Carrington scoring 12 and Courtney Williams tallying 11.

The Sun are now 4-0 in elimination games during their postseason run, beating Dallas on the road to win their first-round series and outlasting Chicago in Game 4 and Game 5 in the semifinals to earn a spot in the Finals.

The Las Vegas Aces have never won a WNBA championship. Clinching the title in a road game is fine with them.

That could happen Thursday night as the Aces look to sweep the best-of-five WNBA Finals against the Connecticut Sun with a victory in Game 3 in Uncasville, Conn.

The Sun is in a must-win situation following an 85-71 loss in Game 2 in Las Vegas on Tuesday night.

After dropping the first game of the WNBA Finals, you would think that you'll get the best effort out of the Sun in game two.  The Aces were riding on a sold-out crowd at Mandalay Bay.  It will be difficult to duplicate that energy again tonight. Take the five in what should be another close one. 

The Mercury are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings and 10-2 ATS in Las Vegas

These two have played four straight under games, while the under is also 4-0 when Dallas plays teams with a losing record. The under is 15-6 in the Dream's last 21 games against the West.

I expect the Las Vegas Aces to have very little problem putting up 90-100 against the fever, question remains will Indiana do their part? 

Until I can see more consistency from the Las Vegas Aces, it will be difficult for me to lay 16, even at home against a bad Indiana team.

The over is 15-7-1 in their last 23 meetings while the Storm have cashed over tickets in 7 of their last 9 games. 

The Mystics re just 3-7 in their last 10 meetings.  The public is all over Washington but something stinks about this number. 

The Sun have failed to cover 5 of their last 6 games and 4 of 5 against the Eastern Conference. 

The Mystics are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 meetings and 4-1 in their last 5 in Atlanta. 

Seattle isn't a place that has treated the Aces well but Seattle is just 8-17ATS at home and 12-27 ATS in their last 39 games overall.

The Fever have failed to cover 14 of their last 18 meetings and 5 of 6 in Phoenix. Indiana is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10. 

The over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings, while the over is on a 5-1 run when the Aces play on 1 day's rest. 

The under cashed in 6 straight Fever games and 7 of 10 overall. The under is 8-3-1 following a Mercury ATS win. 

The Sun ave dropped 4 straight ATS decisions in Chicago and 4 of 5 overall.  The Sun are just 2-6 ATS following an ATS win. 

The under has cashed 6 of 7 when the Sun play Eastern Conference teams in addition to 4 straight overall. 

The Sun have failed to cover 5 of 7 meetings in the series and are just 2-5 ATS following an ATS win.

The over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 meetings in Chicago, that head-to-head match-up is more important to me than the trends that will tell you that both teams are trending under. 

The over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings and 10-4 when Seattle is a dog.  The over is 9-3-1 in the Sun last 13 games. 

The under is 13-3 when coming off just 1 days rest and 20 of 28 overall. The under is 9-3 when New York plays a team with a winning record.

The Aces have covered 4 of 5 meetings against the Sparks and 16-5 ATS on Saturday's prime time spot. The Aces are 24-11 ATS after an ATS loss. 

The Sun is 18-7-1 when playing on 1 days rest.  This is a game where there won't be many trends in favor of the Sun but trust me when I tell you this number is begging you to take Chicago and we're not falling for that. 

The Sky have dropped 7 of their last 9 meetings in Washington and 14 of 19 ATS overall. The Mystics are 20-7 ATS against teams with a winning rcord. 

The Dream has played well in Seattle covering 6 of their last 8 meetings, adding to their 16-7-1 record as a road dog. Seattle has failed to cover 20 of their last 28 games as a favorite. 

The public is pounding the over in this one but as usual, they'll be on the short end. The last 4 meetings in Vegas have resulted in an under as will this meeting. 

The over is 11-5 in their last 16 meetings in Seattle and 5 of 7 overall. The over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 overall. 

Definitely the game of the day but this is all Las Vegas.  The Aces are 15-5-1 ATS after coming off a SU loss. 

The Mystics are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Chicago and 14-4 ATS overall. The Mystics have covered 5 straight road games. 

The Sun is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss and 7-2 ATS playing on one day's rest.

The over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 meetings and 4 of 5 in Atlanta.  The over is 13-4 in the Fever's last 18 overall. 

The Lynx are just 2-6 ATS as a road dog, the Liberty has never been a reliable election but this number is clearly begging you to take Minnesota. 

The Mystics are 19-7 ATS against teams with a winning record while cashing 6 of their last 8 overall. 

The Mystics have cashed 4 straight unders and 4 of 5 after an ATS win.  Let's continue to ride these streaks 

This number looks like a trap number but it's nothing more than a mistake.  The Aces are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 Saturday games while Chicago is just 1-5 ATS on the big stage. 

The over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in Chicago and 17-4-1 overall. 

The Washington Mystics just handed Las Vegas their first loss of the season, leading me to believe that it'll be difficult to get up for this one, especially with the number being this high. 

The Las Vegas Aces have gotten off to a terrific start with a road win in Phoenix and then a home win against Seattle.  Those are the Aces two biggest rivals and I think we'll see a let down tonight.  They may squeeze out a win but the points are too much to lay. 

Vegas has to be afraid entering Game 5 considering what happened in Games 2 and 3 when it seemed Phoenix could score at will. But that fear got the Aces to play disciplined in Game 4 and they went on a 24-0 run of their own en route to victory. Vegas has offensive firepower as well — it had the best scoring offense in the league by 5.5 points. It has the best assembly of stars in the league, hence the preseason favorite status. 

To end this series now the Sky need to keep shooting the three-ball well. In their two wins, they shot 45 percent and 36 percent from three. In their loss? 26 percent. They have to take those long-range shots and they have to hit them at 36 percent or higher. Doing so forces the Sun to contest those shots and it opens up the painted area a little more, which we know Connecticut loves to pack up. Hitting those threes gives the Sky better looks for their twos.

In Phoenix's win over Seattle on Sunday, Taurasi was seen grimacing around the floor and hobbling up and down the court. And yet she still finished the game with 14 points, six of which came in overtime to lift her team to a win. It's just a testament to her legendary status, and even if she's not at 100 percent with her ankle you still can't give her space to get her shot off. That will play a big factor in this series against the Aces, because while Taurasi has battled with injuries all season long, she still can't be discounted in her abilities. It was evident against the Storm that she can still be impactful, and Las Vegas can't afford to forget that. 

After a slow start to the season, the Mercury caught fire coming out of the Olympic break and ripped off a 10-game winning streak that helped them earn the No. 5 seed. As for the Liberty, they are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2017, though it's in an ignominious fashion. At 12-20, their 0.375 winning percentage is the worst of any playoff team in WNBA history.

After a slow start to the season, the Mercury caught fire coming out of the Olympic break and ripped off a 10-game winning streak that helped them earn the No. 5 seed. As for the Liberty, they are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2017, though it's in an ignominious fashion. At 12-20, their 0.375 winning percentage is the worst of any playoff team in WNBA history.

The Sky have the talent and experience to be favored in this game. This team has three All-Stars in the staring lineup and two former All-Stars on the bench. The Sky can be a phenomenal team. If they play up to their potential they can blow out anyone in the WNBA and do so convincingly. And, even with all the disappointments of 2021, they’re still in the driver’s seat, playing at home, with a fully healthy team ready to go.

The Mystics have shown a ton of fight this season as they have battled through injuries, illnesses and personal matters. It all comes down to two games left in the regular season. Don’t count them out just yet.

The Dallas Wings have clinched the playoffs and will not play All-Star Satou Sabally in their game against the Las Vegas Aces on Sunday at 3 p.m. (NBA TV). Sabally returned from an Achilles injury in the Wings’ last game, but the team likely doesn’t want to push her any harder and wants to rest her for the playoffs. However, Dallas, currently the seventh seed is still playing for the No. 6 seed. If it wins both of its remaining games and the Chicago Sky lose both of theirs, the two teams will be tied for sixth at 15-17 and Dallas has the head-to-head tiebreaker.

So expect Arike Ogunbowale, Marina Mabrey and company to go full speed in an attempt to take down A’ja Wilson, Chelsea Gray and the Aces, who have yet to clinch a double-bye.

The Aces come into this contest at the top of the pack in scoring offense, ranking first with 88.8 points per game. Las Vegas is 1st in the league in rebounding (38.9 boards a game) and stand third in the league in assists by handing out 21 dimes per contest. The Aces have been average on the defensive end of the floor as they are 5th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 80.1 points

Liz Cambage will not play for the Aces causing the public to react but the Aces will still cash tonight's ticket. 

The Dream is 6th in the league in scoring offense coming into this contest as they average 81 points a game this season. Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounding (33.7 boards a night) and stands 9th in assists with an average of 17.9 per game. The Dream are 12th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 87.1 points a contest this season. 

Atlanta has enough to staty within double digits at home. 

The Mystics will play the Wings their next two games at home. Satao Sabally will not be able available to help her team as is currently out with an Achilles injury and did not make the trip to Washington. According to The Washington Post’s Kareem Copeland, Tina Charles will not suit up for a second consecutive game as she deals with a Left Gluteal Strain.

Seattle has been impressive all season, but does have a weakness on the defensive side in the paint, an area of strength for Connecticut on offense. The Sun, on the other hand, have been able to rest up more over the Olympic break while a handful of Storm players were playing for Team USA or other countries in the Tokyo Olympics. That could also play into the favor of Connecticut in Thursday’s game.

The OVER is a sparkling 23-9 when the Lynx are favorites, and 10-1 as a road favorite in their last 11 games. There will be a contrast in styles in this one but we glide over the total late. 

The Storm usually come storming back after a SU loss so far this season, including four of five cashed OVER tickets in that situation.  The betting public is all over the under but we're going to cash the ticket. 

History will tellyou that Phoenix hasnot fared well against Seattle, but of late, the Mercury have been ticket cashing machines on the road with winners in 10 of their last 12 and 6 of 7 as a dog. The Storm are ice cold, failing to cover seven straight and six straight as a favorite.

We're going to ride the Fever's UNDER trend until it fizzles out.  Indiana has cashed UNDER tickets in six of their last seven games, and 6 as a dog. The UNDER is 9-3-1 in the Dream's Last 13 games as a favorite. 

The Fever have covered 5 of their last six games, indicating that they're about to break out of their ATS slump. Atlanta is just 3-9 ATS as a favorite. 

The Sky are 14-4 ATS when playing on three or more days rest, while coverin 15 of their last 19 Saturday games.  The Mystocs have played well against the better teams in the league but this feels like a blowout to me. 

This looks like an over game to most, giving that 75% of the tickets written on the TOTAL have and OVER bet.  I think we'll see something different here. Five of their last six meetings overall have produced OVER's while 5 of 6 in Chicago have done the same. 

The Lynx have had success against Vegas, covering five of their last seven meetings and four of five in Las Vegas.  I'll take the generous points in this one. 

These two teams have cashed four straight over tickets, adding to the Lynx 22-8 road OVER streak. 7 of the Aces last 8 games have been OVER cash cows.

The Storm are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings and 5-1 in Phoenix. The Mercury have failed to cover six of their last eight.

The Liberty have failed to cover 7 of their last 10 meetings and are just 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games. The Fever have covered four straight against the East and 4 of 5 overall. 

The OVER is 5-2-1 in their last 8 meetings, and 6-2 in the Liberty's last 8 games as a road favorite. The OVER is 8-2 when the Fever are playing on three or more days rest. 

The Wings are just 2-5 in their last seven ATS as a road favorite. This number suggest that the books would like you to take Dallas but word is that this is not a good spot for them. 

The UNDER is 7-3 in the Wings last 10 games overall, while the UNDER is 25-11 after a SU Liberty victory.

The UNDER in this series is 39-15-3 in their last 57 meetings, while the UNDER is 13-3 in the Storms last 16 games against teams with a losing record. 

Over is 8-0 in Dream last 8 games following a ATS win.

Over is 9-4 in Aces last 13 games following a ATS loss.

This one is going to be a high scoring affair in the desert. 

The Lynx have owned Connectuct over the years, covering 34 of their last 50 meetings, including 10 of 11 in Phoenix. The Mercury are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. 

The OVER is 21-8 in the Lynx last 29 home games, and 7-1 after a SU win. The OVER is 13-5 after a Connecticut SU loss. 

The Aces have cashed five straight OVER tickets, and 18 of 25 against the Western Conference. The oVER is 7-3 in the Sparks last 10 games against teams with a winning record. 

There is not much to like about betting Indiana on the surface but late information has compelled me to put side and total up on this game.  

The UNDER 15-7 in the Sun's last 22 games overall and 13-6 following an ATS win. The Fever have a mini 4-0 under streak on the line. 

The OVER is 21-7 in the Lynx last 28 games on the road, and 20-8 after a SU win. 

The Lynx have had the Mercury number for a long time, covering 33 of their last 49 decisions, including 9 straight in Phoenix. 

The Sky are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

The OVER is 12-4 in their last 16 meetings, including 7-1 in Dallas. The Over is 59-29-1 after a SU Sky loss. The Wings have cashed 7 of 10 OVER tickets when playing on three days rest or more. 

The UNDER is 15-6 in their last 21 meetings in Washington, while the UNDER is 9-3 when the Sun are coming off 1 days rest or less.

The OVER is 13-6 in their last 19 meetings in Vegas, and 5-1 in their last six overall.  The OVER is 16-7 when the Aces match-up against Western Conference teams. 

The Liberty have been one of the worst teams to bet in the WNBA with a 15-35-2 ATS record over their last 52 games, while the Dream have covered 5 of 7 against teams under .500. 

The Mystics have been a decent wager in Dallas, covering 7 of their last 10 visits and 8 of the last 11 road games overall. Dallas has failed to cover five of their last six against the Eastern Conferene. 

The Wings have failed to cover 5 of their last 6 meetings in Indiana, and 7 of 10 overall. In addition, they've failed to cover five straight games against the East.