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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-15-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
10-07-19 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 9 | 5-1 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
10-01-19 | Brewers v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
09-10-19 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 13.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
09-01-19 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
08-20-19 | Indians v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | 2-9 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
08-19-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Zach Davies comes off the IL to make the start for Milwaukee against the Cardinals. Davies had allowed 18 runs and 20 hits over his last three starts previously and is regressing after a solid start to the year. He doesn't strike out a ton of guys and has mediocre stuff. Davies faced St. Louis back in April giving up two runs and seven hits in just over four innings. StL found a lot of offense in Cincinnati and are now returning home. Dakota Hudson is 11-6 with a 3.82 ERA on the year. He's coming off a great start against lowly KC. Before that he had allowed 11 runs in his previous three outings. He's seen the Brewers twice this season giving up 10 runs and 15 hits in eight innings of work. Milwaukee flexed some muscle on Saturday and then struggled on Sunday. Still, these two should put up some fireworks on Monday. |
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08-11-19 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 10 | 1-0 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
Masahiro Tanaka has hit a rough stretch in his season. The righty has allowed 19 runs and 27 hits over his last 12 innings. Tanaka is 7-6 with a 4.93 ERA overall. This is the third time he's seen the Jays giving up six runs and 10 hits in 12 innings over the previous two outings. Toronto has scored four runs or more in 14 of their last 15 games as the offense incorporates more youth. The Yanks bullpen has given up plenty of runs and can be beaten. Since coming off the IL, Trent Thornton has allowed seven runs and 13 hits to the Rays and Orioles. This is the third time he's faced New York and both the previous outings were not great. Thornton has allowed nine runs and 12 hits in just over eight innings. New York's offense should be able to get to him and a mediocre bullpen. Give me the over. |
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07-30-19 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
07-19-19 | Phillies v. Pirates OVER 10.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Jake Arrieta is dealing with bone spurs and can really only go five innings. He's lost some velocity and doesn't throw his cutter a ton now either. Because of that, he's essentially a worthless pitcher. Also, this means a terrible bullpen is going to have to cover more innings. Pittsburgh has gone over in eight of their last 11 games with some of that being their offense, but some of that is because of their terrible staff. Jordan Lyles has allowed 17 runs and 19 hits over his last 11 innings as the righty has hit some massive struggles. The Philly lineup is starting to pick up some steam and saw some success against the Dodgers. I think we could see a ton of runs in this game. |
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07-14-19 | White Sox v. A's OVER 9.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
07-05-19 | A's v. Mariners OVER 9.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Yusei Kikuchi is seeing Oakland for the fourth time this season. The rookie has allowed 10 runs and 19 hits in just over 14 innings. Kikuchi is 1-4 with an 8.42 ERA in his last seven starts. He only has 19 strikeouts to 18 walks over that span too. Oakland's lineup is putting up over five runs per game against southpaw pitching. Seattle's bullpen isn't great either. Brett Anderson is as mediocre as they come. He's 8-5 with a 3.92 ERA this season. Anderson has seen the Mariners twice this season giving up five runs and 11 hits in just over 12 innings. Seattle's lineup is having issues right now, but they are averaging over five runs per contest themselves. The A's bullpen can be beaten. I think this one should see a ton of runs. |
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06-28-19 | Cubs v. Reds UNDER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
06-20-19 | Rays v. A's UNDER 8 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
Frankie Montas is 9-2 with a 2.85 ERA this season. He has allowed three earned runs or less in 13 of his 14 starts. This will be the first time for Montas to face Tampa Bay. They can't be feeling good after getting swept in New York. I'm not a huge fan of the Rays offense outside of a few hitters. Charlie Morton is 5-0 with a 1.59 ERA in eight road starts with five unders. He faced Oakland back on 6/10 holding them to two hits and two walks in seven innings. Oakland's lineup doesn't scare me a ton either and they got healthy against Baltimore. I think these two pitchers are locked in early and it goes under. |
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06-19-19 | Tigers v. Pirates OVER 9 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
One of the things I like to do is fade pitchers coming off the IL because they usually aren't ready for game speed and they are a bit rusty. Well in this game we have two candidates who are both coming off long stints away. Jordan Zimmermann last pitched on 4/25 in Boston against the Red Sox. Zimm made two minor league rehab starts giving up six runs and eight hits in just over seven innings among two levels. The Pirates lineup has some threats in it plus the DET bullpen is rather awful. Trevor Williams last pitched on 5/16 with him making one rehab start. The righty gave up two runs and four hits in three innings in AAA. Detroit's lineup is devoid of talent, but Pittsburgh's bullpen has an ERA approaching six at home. To me this one is simple with two bad bullpens getting a large chunk of innings. |
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06-13-19 | Yankees v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Ivan Nova is 3-5 with a 6.28 ERA in 13 starts with nine of them going over. Nova is 0-3 with a 9.39 ERA in five home outings this season. He did hold the Yankees to one run and four hits in New York back in April. New York is hitting .263 on the road going over in 22 of 31 contests. The Sox bullpen has a 4.34 ERA this season with 10 losses and three blown saves. JA Happ is 6-3 with a 4.48 ERA in 13 starts. Happ gave up six runs and nine hits in four innings to the White Sox back in April. Chicago is averaging nearly five runs per game against left-handed starters. Their offense is capable of adding to this total. The Yankees bullpen has a 4.72 ERA on the road and has eight losses and nine blown saves. I think this one could see a ton of runs. |
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06-12-19 | Reds v. Indians UNDER 10 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Zach Plesac has been a pleasant surprise for the Indians this season. The starter has allowed four runs and 14 hits in three starts with 14 strikeouts to just three walks. Two of those outings were against the Yankees and Red Sox so I don't consider these to be joke numbers. The Reds are hitting .197 over their last seven games and .221 on the road. They've gone under in 40 of their 65 games overall including 24 of 37 on the road. Cleveland's bullpen is 10-3 with a 3.28 ERA at home although it is a concern that Brad Hand went two innings on Tuesday. Anthony DeSclafani is 2-3 with a 4.70 ERA in 12 starts. He's been a mixed bag this year although it's not good he's allowed 14 HRs. Cleveland's lineup really doesn't scare me a ton outside of a few hitters. They are hitting .228 at home and .223 against right-handed starters. The Reds bullpen has some live arms despite losing yesterday. I think this total is way too high for two teams that struggle to score. |
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06-08-19 | Orioles v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Framber Valdez is making his first start of the season after coming out of the bullpen. We'll see how many pitches he'll be able to throw as a starter which makes this more intriguing considering Houston's bullpen will have to cover more innings. The unit is pretty good but we could see some of their lesser arms. Valdez has allowed 10 runs and 22 hits in 26 innings with 21 strikeouts and 13 walks. Baltimore's offense isn't great, but they can contribute a couple of runs sometimes. Andrew Cashner has a 7.87 ERA in his last three starts and is putting a ton of runners on base with a 1.750 WHIP. Houston's lineup is really good and should be able to get to Cashner and a mediocre to poor Baltimore bullpen. Give me the over in this one. |
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06-06-19 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
It's amazing that Edwin Jackson is still in this league. He's 0-3 with a 13.22 ERA this season. Jackson gave up 10 runs in his last start in Colorado and has a 5.21 ERA against the Yankees. The righty shouldn't be in the league anymore and now faces a Yankees team that has the offense to make him pay. JA Happ is 5-3 with a 4.83 ERA. He's coming off a solid effort vs. the Red Sox. I think he's got very meh stuff so I'll fade him when I can. Toronto is averaging 4.4 runs per game against left-handed starters. The lineup is in decent form right now. The New York bullpen has been bad this series. Give me the over. |
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06-05-19 | Rays v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Spencer Turnbull is 0-2 with a 2.81 ERA in six home starts this season. He's coming off a winning outing in Atlanta where he held the Braves to two runs and five hits in six innings. He's got 64 strikeouts and 24 walks in just over 66 innings. Tampa's offense is putting up good numbers, but they've gone under in more then half of their road games. Charlie Morton is 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA in seven road starts. Morton has allowed eight runs and 11 hits over his last three starts and shouldn't struggle with the Tigers much. Detroit is hitting around .223 at home and .222 against right-handed starters. Tampa's bullpen is good, but the Tigers are not. Give me the under. |
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06-04-19 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 10 | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
Glenn Sparkman has had one good start and one bad one this season. Sparkman is coming off a short game against the White Sox where he gave up four runs and three hits in one inning. Boston is hitting .287 in their last seven games averaging six runs per contest over that span. They are averaging over five runs per game against right-handed starters as well. KC's bullpen is 4-13 with a 4.73 ERA and nine blown saves in 15 opportunities. Eduardo Rodriguez is 2-3 with a 6.53 ERA in six road starts with five of them going over the total. Last year he gave up five runs and five hits in four innings at home to these guys. KC has gone over in 17 of their 28 home games where they are averaging 4.6 runs per contest. The Red Sox bullpen has seven losses and eight blown saves as a unit. These two have gone over in eight of their last 12 meetings including five of six in KC. |
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06-02-19 | Marlins v. Padres UNDER 8 | 9-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Matt Strahm has a 2.53 ERA over his last nine outings and had 10 strikeouts against the Yankees last time out. He's got a solid mix of pitches and is facing the worst lineup in baseball. Miami is slightly better against lefties but to me it really doesn't matter. Trevor Richards had a 2.86 ERA in five May starts. He's struggled a bit away from home, but I think he's got good stuff and should be able to keep the Pads hitters in check. Hitters are batting .183 against his changeup too. Give me the game under. I think Miami got all their runs for the series last night. |
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06-01-19 | Tigers v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 5-10 | Loss | -118 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Mike Soroka is 5-1 with a 1.07 ERA in eight starts for the Braves with six of those going under the total. He's been absolutely incredible this season with 46 strikeouts to 15 walks in just over 50 innings. The Tigers entered Friday night hitting .227 on the road and .218 against right-handed starters. They've gone under in more then half of their road games, because their offense is so brutal. Daniel Norris has a 3.68 ERA in four road starts. He's had two straight decent outings against the Orioles and Marlins, but he's not gone deep in those games. The Braves offense has hit a little bit of a funk although they are putting up some runs. Both bullpens scare me tremendously but maybe we get lucky and they both go deep into the starts. |
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05-30-19 | Indians v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Manny Banuelos is facing the Indians for the third time in since May 9th. The southpaw has been rocked both times by the Tribe giving up 10 runs and 12 hits in just over eight innings. Last time out he lost to the Twins giving up five runs and five hits in four innings of work. Cleveland's offense isn't very good, but they should be able to get to the southpaw and Chicago's mediocre bullpen. Carlos Carrasco is 2-3 with a 5.61 ERA in five road starts. He's beaten Banuelos both times in those matchups earlier this month holding Chicago to eight hits in 12 innings. Carrasco is still prone to struggles on the road so maybe Chicago can give me a run or two. I think Cleveland gets a ton off Chicago and wins easily. |
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05-30-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
Kyle Freeland has been a mess for Colorado. He's 2-6 with a 6.71 ERA in 11 starts with seven of them going over the total. The southpaw has allowed 13 runs and 19 hits over his last three outings including getting torched at home by the Orioles last time out. Freeland gave up eight runs and nine hits in six innings to the Diamondbacks earlier this month. Arizona is hitting .277 against left-handed hitters going over 13 of 21 games. Colorado's bullpen has an ERA over five at home. Taylor Clarke is making his third major league start. He's given up five runs and 13 hits to the Giants and Rays the last two times. Colorado is putting up six runs per game at home and have slanted heavily to the over. It's a concern that it's an afternoon game, but I still think it's an over. |
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05-28-19 | Cubs v. Astros OVER 9 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Corbin Martin has allowed nine runs and 14 hits in his three starts. Martin has struggled to go deep in games with just over four innings per start. Last time out he gave up four runs and six hits in just over three innings at home to lowly Chicago. The Cubs are averaging over six runs per game on the road and have gone over in 16 of their 23 road games. The interleague play means they can add another bat to their already stout lineup. Jon Lester has allowed 12 runs and 17 hits in his last two starts against the Phillies and Nats. Houston is hitting almost .290 at home with just over five runs per game. The Cubs bullpen has an ERA over five on the road and has a 50% save percentage overall. To me, this one should be a slugfest. |
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05-27-19 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Classic case of struggling pitchers against struggling offenses on Monday. Ivan Nova is 3-4 with a 6.96 ERA in 10 starts for the White Sox with nine of them going over the total. He's got a 16.36 ERA at home this season as well. KC is hitting .254 in their last seven games averaging five runs per contest as well. They have gone over in 16 of their 25 day games. The Sox bullpen is okay but they could be covering a ton of innings. Homer Bailey is 4-5 with a 6.13 ERA in 10 starts for the Royals. He's allowed 12 runs and 16 hits over his last three starts spanning all of 11 innings. Chicago is hitting .257 at home this season and has some decent hitters, but if they can't find the spark against Bailey, then it could be a long year. KC's bullpen is 4-11 with a 4.96 ERA and nine blown saves in 14 opportunities. To me, this one should be a slugfest on Memorial Day. |
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05-25-19 | Rays v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Charlie Morton is 4-0 with a 2.65 ERA. He's 3-0 with a 1.95 ERA in six road starts. Morton has very nasty stuff and is backed by a decent bullpen that has some live arms. Cleveland's lineup has a couple of solid hitters, but man, once you get down towards the bottom, it's awful. Before Friday they had scored just 26 runs over a seven game span with 10 of those coming in one game. Carlos Carrasco has a 1.59 ERA in his last three starts allowing three runs and 15 hits over 17 innings. As i've said in the past, Tampa's lineup doesn't scare me that much either although there is some young talent. Cleveland's bullpen is one of it's strengths as a team. Give me the under in this one as I just don't see this one having a lot of runs. |
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05-24-19 | Mariners v. A's OVER 9 | 2-6 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Wade LeBlanc has a 7.36 ERA allowing 17 runs and 28 hits in just over 18 innings of work. He's just not very good as a pitcher. Oakland is averaging seven runs per game over their last seven contests. The lineup is really inconsistent so that scares me but LeBlanc is backed by a bullpen with a 6.21 ERA on the road. That unit has eight losses and eight blown saves. Daniel Mengden is making his third start of the year. He's allowed five runs and eight hits in just over 12 innings. Seattle has gone over in 20 of their 28 road games averaging nearly six runs per contest. Oakland's bullpen has nine losses and 10 blown saves. They actually have a save percentage below 50%. These two have gone over in three of their four meetings. Give me the over. |
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05-23-19 | Marlins v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Matt Boyd is 4-4 with a 3.41 ERA in 10 starts for the Tigers with six of them going under the total. Boyd has a 3.47 ERA in six home starts and he's got 73 strikeouts to just 13 walks in just over 60 innings. The Marlins lineup is pretty putrid and is still struggling to get to 3 runs per game. They are hitting .164 in day games averaging 1.7 runs per contest with 11 unders in 12 day games. Boyd is averaging just over six innings per start, but I think he can get deeper against this weak lineup. Trevor Richards is 1-5 with a 4.44 ERA in nine outings for the Fish. He's coming off a win at home against the Mets and is looking for his first road start. The Tigers lineup is pretty bad too as they are hitting around .160 in their last eight games. Outside of Cabrera and Castellanos, not many players scare me. The Marlins bullpen has a high ERA but not a ton of blown saves. To me, this one is a low scoring game with two pitchers who should find some success. |
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05-23-19 | Rockies v. Pirates UNDER 9 | 6-14 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Jordan Lyles is 4-1 with a 1.97 ERA in eight starts with five of them going under the total. Lyles has allowed just three runs and 11 hits in his last three starts. Colorado's lineup is still really inconsistent away from home with a batting average around .220. They are averaging just over four runs per contest, but with the early game after a late one on a getaway day, we may get a reduced lineup. The Pirates pen scares me terribly, but I think Lyles can give me seven strong. Antonio Senzatela is 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA away from Coors Field. He's got to keep the walks down so he can get deeper in games. Senzatela held the Phillies to two runs and five hits in five innings, but also walked four. Pittsburgh's lineup doesn't scare me a ton outside of a few hitters. Colorado's bullpen has a nice ERA on the road and should be able to hold a late lead if they have one. Give me the under in this one. |
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05-22-19 | Marlins v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
I was wrong on the Tigers on Tuesday, but I'm going back to the well to take the under in this game. Both of these offenses are hot garbage and the 5-4 score from yesterday won't happen again. Daniel Norris is 2-2 with a 4.55 ERA in six starts. The southpaw is coming off a rough outing against the A's, but the Marlins don't have a ton of threats. Miami is hitting .248 against left-handed starters and are averaging just over two runs per contest on the road. They've gone under in 13 of their 19 road games overall. Detroit's bullpen lost Tuesday's game, but there are some decent arms there. Same with Miami who has ugly numbers, but they also have some decent pitchers in the pen. Jose Urena is 1-6 with a 4.27 ERA in nine starts. He's given up eight runs in his last three starts and has looked pretty good in his last two outings. Detroit is hitting worse then .180 over their last eight games. Their offense just doesn't have a ton of threats. Do I love the pitchers in this game? No, but I think the offenses are just that bad. Give me the under. |
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05-22-19 | A's v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
Frankie Montas is 5-2 with a 2.67 ERA in nine starts with four of them going under. He's been fantastic giving up 22 runs and 50 hits in 54 innings with 52 strikeouts and 11 walks. Montas is coming off a great win at Detroit with 10 K's and two runs allowed in a near complete game. The righty held the Indians to two runs and eight hits at home back on 5/10 striking out seven while walking one over six innings. Cleveland's offense is very inconsistent and are hitting around .225 as a unit. They've gone under in 27 of their 47 contests overall. Now Oakland's bullpen isn't great, but hopefully they won't have to cover a ton of innings. Jefry Rodriguez is coming off a losing effort at home against the O's which is a concern but overall he's allowed 12 runs and 28 hits in just over 31 innings. He's starting to use his offspeed stuff more and it's helping him. Oakland is another lineup that has been up and down. Khris Davis was placed on the IL and he can be one of their better hitters. The Indians bullpen has been pretty good for the most part and has held a bunch of leads with 13 saves in 16 chances. Day game after a "night" game so we may see some bench guys. Give me the under in this one. |
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05-19-19 | Blue Jays v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Reynaldo Lopez is 3-4 with a 5.58 ERA in nine starts for the White Sox. He's coming off a pair of solid outings against the Indians in which he held them to five runs and 11 hits in just over 13 innings of work. Lopez has 53 K's in just 50 innings and is facing a Jays lineup that just doesn't scare you a ton right now. They are 11-22 against right-handed starters hitting just .214 in those games. They have gone under in seven of their last 11. Chicago's bullpen has just two blown saves this season and a 3.72 ERA at home. Trent Thornton has a 3.13 ERA in four road starts with three of those going under. He's pitched well in San Fran and Texas in his last two outings away from home. The White Sox have scored just 10 runs over their last four contests and have gone under in eight of their last 11. Toronto's bullpen is 6-5 with a 2.44 ERA on the road and seven saves in eight chances. I think this one is an under. |
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05-19-19 | Rockies v. Phillies UNDER 10 | 5-7 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
I realize the numbers don't look right here, but I'm going to take my chances on the under here. Jerad Eickhoff is 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA in five starts with all five of them going under the total. He had a rough one last time out against the Brewers giving up five runs and eight hits in four innings, but for the most part he's been solid. Colorado continues to be a poor lineup outside of Coors Field. Entering Saturday's contest they were hitting .215 away from home. The Phillies bullpen has 11 saves in 14 opportunities. Kyle Freeland has struggled a bit this season and has ugly numbers, but he's a better pitcher on the road. He's got 30 of his 44 K's outside of Coors. The Phillies are hitting around .210 in day games and still are looking for more consistent bats other then Jean Segura. Bryce Harper is starting to do a little better, but we'll see how the rest of the lineup does. Colorado's bullpen has a sub 2.50 ERA on the road. I think this one is an under. |
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05-18-19 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Blake Snell is 3-4 with a 3.56 ERA and a WHIP of 0.977 in eight starts this season with four of them going under the total. Snell gave up two runs and four hits in just over five innings to these Yankees last time out at home striking out 12 while walking only two. Snell's pitched alright in his last two starts in the Bronx which came last year holding New York to four runs and seven hits in 10 innings. The Yankee offense just isn't what it's supposed to be right now with all of the injuries. Masahiro Tanaka is 3-3 with a 3.44 ERA in nine starts with five of them going under the total. Tanaka has a 3.03 ERA in five home outings at home. The righty beat the Rays in Tampa last time out holding them to one run and five hits in seven innings. They have gone under in 12 of their 20 day games and could be sitting some players in the day after a night game. I think this one is an under early on. |
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05-17-19 | A's v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Frankie Montas is 4-2 with a 2.78 ERA in eight starts with half of them going under the total. The righty has allowed just four earned runs over his last three starts with 16 strikeouts to just three walks. The Tigers have scored just nine runs over their last four games and are struggling to get much going offensively. They are hitting around .213 against right-handed starters going under in 22 of 35 contests. Oakland's bullpen is pretty awful which is a worry, but I think they can do some work against Detroit. Daniel Norris is 2-1 with a 3.42 ERA in five starts for Detroit. He's allowed just six runs and 16 hits over his last three starts. The southpaw is facing an Oakland team that broke out on Thursday as they put up 17 runs. That effort was one less then what they had scored over their previous six games. Detroit's bullpen also isn't great, but maybe we get lucky and Norris covers plenty of innings. To me, I think nine is a little much so give me the under. |
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05-17-19 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
CC Sabathia has allowed four runs and nine hits in three starts at home this season. Last time out he saw these Rays giving up two runs and three hits in five innings of work. The lefty has been rather effective in his older age despite not going deep in ballgames. Sabathia has a career 3.67 ERA and a WHIP of 1.260 in 49 career starts against Tampa. The Rays have gone under in 10 of their 12 games against left-handed starters hitting .226 in those games. The Yankees bullpen is 5-2 with a 3.47 ERA at home with seven saves in eight chances. Ryne Stanek gets the call as the road team does an opener once again. Stanek faced the Yankees back on May 11th giving up one hit in two innings. New York is still without Aaron Judge, Greg Bird, Troy Tulowitzki and Giancarlo Stanton so there's some talent in the lineup, but not enough in my mind. Tampa's bullpen is 5-2 with a 3.32 ERA on the road with eight saves in nine chances. We don't often see a total this high in Tampa games because of how well their pitching is holding up. I'll take my chances on the under here. |
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05-16-19 | Pirates v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Eric Lauer is 2-4 with a 5.75 ERA in eight starts for San Diego. The southpaw is coming off getting roughed up in Colorado, but before that had two solid outings vs. the Dodgers and Nationals. He's got a 3.43 ERA in four home starts this season. Lauer is facing a Pittsburgh team averaging 2.8 runs against left-handed starters while hitting .227 against them. I just don't think it's that strong of a lineup. San Diego's bullpen is alright with 18 saves in 27 chances. Trevor Williams is 2-0 with a 2.87 ERA in five road starts. He's coming off a great outing holding the Cardinals to one run and nine hits in seven innings. San Diego is hitting .225 at home where they've gone under in 14 of their last 21. Pittsburgh's bullpen is 6-2 with a 3.58 ERA on the road and eight saves in 11 chances. Give me the under in this one. |
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05-15-19 | Rays v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is going with a bullpen day started off by Ryne Stanek who has allowed three runs and nine hits in 15 innings or so. He's got 17 strikeouts to just two walks as well so the first two or three innings are taken care of. The Rays bullpen as a whole is 10-8 with a 3.32 ERA and they have just three blown saves in 16 chances. Miami's offense is so below average it's ridiculous right now. They've scored just eight runs in their last six games and have put up two runs or less nine times in their last 11 contests. Jose Urena is 1-5 with a 4.63 ERA in eight starts. He's not striking enough guys out, but he's also not getting a ton of run support when he is pitching well. I'm not a firm believer in the Rays offense as a whole. They are putting up decent numbers as a unit, but I think I can take a chance here. Miami's bullpen is not great with a 3-10 record and an ERA over five. Still, they've got a couple of decent arms in there so I'll hope they get used here. Give me the under. |
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05-12-19 | White Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Aaron Sanchez is 3-3 with a 3.21 ERA in eight starts for Toronto with five of them going under the total. Sanchez has a 1.59 ERA in three home outings although he needs to cut down on the walks. The righty is coming off a home effort where he held the Twins to three runs and six hits in seven innings of work. Sanchez needs to also learn how to go deeper in games and that will come with less walks. The Sox have scored just 15 runs over their last five games with seven of those coming on Saturday. They've scored three runs or less in seven of their last nine. Lucas Giolito is in good form right now having allowed three runs and 10 hits over his last three starts. He's cut down on the walks which has been a big help to him as well. Toronto has scored 28 runs over their last 12 contests so the offense has struggled. Both of these bullpens are a little scary but the offenses are not. I think the under is worth a look here. |
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05-07-19 | Angels v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
Griffin Canning is making his second start on Tuesday and it's against the light hitting Tigers. Canning gave up three runs and four hits in just over four innings at home against Toronto. He had six strikeouts to just one walk in the outing as well. Detroit is averaging 3.5 runs per game overall and 3.1 runs per contest against righties. The Angels have just one blown save in nine chances. Daniel Norris has allowed five runs and 17 hits in 15 innings as Tigers starter. He's got 15 strikeouts to just four walks as well. The Angels are 4-12 on the road where they are averaging 3.3 runs per contest. They are 2-9 vs. left-handed starters and are averaging 2.9 runs per contest against them. Detroit's bullpen has a rough ERA, but only four losses and six blown saves this season. Neither offense scares me and I think we've got a shot with the number being nine. Give me the under. |
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