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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane UNDER 50.5 | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 122 h 34 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Under is 10-1 in Tulane's last 11 games. - The Under is 5-0 in Tulane's last 5 games at home. - The Under is 4-0 in Tulane's last 4 games. Verdict: Ponts should be hard to come by in this game. |
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12-01-23 | Oregon v. Washington UNDER 66 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 42 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Under is 4-1 in Oregon's last 5 games played in December. - The Under is 4-2 in Washington's last 6 games against Oregon. - The Under is 5-1 in Washington's last 6 games played in week 14. Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game. |
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11-11-23 | Michigan v. Penn State UNDER 46 | Top | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 95 h 33 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Wolverines rank 1st in scoring defense allowing 6.7 points per game. - The Nittany Lions ranked 3rd in scoring defense allowing 11.9 points per game. - The pace of play for both teams is considerably slow. Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game. |
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10-28-23 | Oklahoma v. Kansas OVER 65 | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 46 h 13 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Over is 6-3 in Oklahoma's last 9 games. - The Over is 8-3 in Kansas' last 11 games. - The Over is 4-1 in Kansas' last 5 games played in October. Verdict: We should see plenty of scoring in this game. |
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10-14-23 | Ohio State v. Purdue UNDER 52.5 | Top | 41-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 60 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The under is 4-1 in Ohio State's last 5 games. - The under is 8-4 in Purdue's last 12 games against Ohio State. - The under is 14-6 in Purdue's last 20 games played in October. Verdict: Points should be hard to come by here. |
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09-16-23 | Colorado State v. Colorado OVER 60.5 | Top | 35-43 | Win | 100 | 42 h 21 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The over is 4-1 in the Buffaloes last 5 games. - Colorado ranks 2nd in the country in passing averaging 453 yards per game. - The Rams gave up 50 points in their home opener versus Washington State. Verdict: We should see plenty of scoring in this game. |
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08-31-23 | Nebraska v. Minnesota UNDER 47 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 1261 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The under is 4-1 in Nebraska last 5 games. - The under is 4-2 in Minnesota last 6 games. - The under is 8-2 in Minnesota last 10 homes games. Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game. |
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12-20-22 | Toledo v. Liberty UNDER 53.5 | Top | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is particularly significant. - The Under is 4-1 in the Flames last 5 non-conference games. - The Under is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 games overall. - The Under is 4-0 in the Rockets last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game. |
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12-03-22 | Clemson v. North Carolina UNDER 63.5 | Top | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 56 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 neutral site games. - The Under is 16-5 in the Tigers last 21 games in December. - The Under is 16-6 in Tigers last 22 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game. |
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12-02-22 | Utah v. USC OVER 66 | Top | 47-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 25 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Over is 5-2 in Utes last 7 games in December. - The Over is 6-0 in Trojans last 6 games overall. - The Over is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 conference games. Verdict: We should see plenty of scoring in this game. |
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11-26-22 | Iowa State v. TCU UNDER 47.5 | Top | 14-62 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 5-0 in the Cyclones last 5 games following a ATS loss. - The Under is 4-1 in the Horned Frogs last 5 games in November. - The Under is 4-0 in the Cyclones last 4 games on grass. Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game. |
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11-17-22 | SMU v. Tulane UNDER 65 | Top | 24-59 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky's 7* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 6-1 in the Mustangs last 7 road games. - The Under is 5-0 in the Green Wave last 5 games following a straight up loss. - The Under is 9-3 in the Green Wave last 12 games in November. Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game. |
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11-05-22 | UCLA v. Arizona State UNDER 66.5 | Top | 50-36 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on UNDER. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 7-3 in the Bruins last 10 versus . a team with a losing record. - The Under is 4-0 in the Sun Devils last 4 games following a straight up win. - The Under is 4-1-1 in the Sun Devils last 6 games in November. Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game. |
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09-18-21 | Fresno State v. UCLA OVER 62.5 | Top | 40-37 | Win | 100 | 84 h 29 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The over is 14-4-1 in the Bulldogs last 19 versus the Pac-12. - The over is 18-8 in the Bulldogs last 26 games in September. - The over is 5-1-1 in the Bruins last seven versus teams with a winning record. Verdict: These two teams can really light up the scoreboard. |
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11-21-20 | UCLA v. Oregon OVER 65 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 109 h 2 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The over is 4-0 in the Ducks last four games following a straight up win. - The over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Oregon. - The over is 7-3 in the Ducks last 10 games overall. Verdict: The Oregon Ducks offense should run roughshod here. |
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10-31-20 | Ohio State v. Penn State UNDER 64.5 | Top | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The under is 4-1 in the Buckeyes last five games overall. - The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. - The under is 9-4 in the Nittany Lions last 13 conference games. Verdict: History suggests this total is a little inflated. |
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09-19-20 | Miami-FL v. Louisville UNDER 65 | Top | 47-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The under is 20-8 in the Hurricanes last 28 games as an underdog. - The under is 15-4-2 in the Hurricanes last 21 road games. - The under is 16-7-2 in the Hurricanes last 25 conference games. Verdict: This number looks too high for two teams that will be running the ball. |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU UNDER 70.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 226 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Clemson/LSU. Clemson had its hands full in its bowl win over Ohio State. The Buckeyes had a 16-0 lead at one point, but poise, veteran experience, talent and great coaching saw the Tigers then pull away for the hard-fought 29-23 victory. LSU steamrolled Oklahoma 63-28 to advance. I think it's interesting to note that Clemson' QB Trevor Lawrence had the biggest rushing game of his career vs. the stingy Buckeyes with 107 yards on the ground with one score. I can't see Joe Burrow duplicating his monster offensive performance in his previous game. Decimating the Sooners is one thing, but this Clemson defense is an entirely different animal. Key Trends: - Clemson has seen the total go under in its last three "dome" games. - LSU has seen the total dip under the numbber in three of its last four after a cover as a double-digit favorite. The verdict: Despite the offensive talent on the field, I envision this one as more of a "chess match" than a wide open "shootout." This number is indeed a little high; play the under! |
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01-06-20 | Miami-OH v. UL-Lafayette OVER 54.5 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -107 | 33 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Miami Ohio/Louisiana Lafayette. I'm expecting a shootout here. Miami Ohio is led by Brett Gabbert, who had 2,163 passing yards, along with 11 TD's and eight INT's. Gabbert and company have their work cut out for them today as they'll look to keep pace with one of the highest scoring teams in the nation. UL Lafayette averages 38.8 points and 501.3 yards per game this year. That ranks it 14th and 11th respectively. QB Levi Lewis has 24 TD's and four INT's. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over in nine of its last 14 when the total in the contest is set between 49.5 and 56 points. - UL Lafayette has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of its last 11 non-conference contests. The verdict: The Ragin Cajuns do not have a good defense. Look for these two teams to open up the playbook and to put on an offensive show for the nation tonight; play the over! |
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01-03-20 | Ohio v. Nevada OVER 58.5 | Top | 30-21 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER in the Potato Bowl. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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01-01-20 | Baylor v. Georgia UNDER 42 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 418 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Baylor/Georgia. 11-2. That's the record of both teams in the Sugar Bowl this year. Baylor's 11 wins ties the most in program history. Overall the Bears average 35.2 PPG, led by dual threat QB Charlie Brewer, who had 30 TD's and six INT's. Defensively though is where Baylor made the biggest strides this season, it enters conceding just 19.3 PPG, led by LB Terrel Bernard, who has at least ten tackles in four of his last six games. Georiga was throttled by LSU in the SEC Championship Game, so it'l be plenty eager to bounce back here. Overall Jake Fromm had 22 TD's and five INT's. The Bulldogs average 31.2 PPG, but their strength this year has been on the defensive side, as they concede only 12.5 PPG. LSU was the only team to eclipse the 20 points plateu on them. Key Trends: - Baylor has seen the total go under in three of its las four as a neutral field underdog. - Georgia has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four following a SU loss. The verdict: Both teams concede less than 4.7 YPG and I believe these elite defensive units will become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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12-30-19 | Mississippi State v. Louisville OVER 62.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 31 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER in the Music City Bowl. Mississippi State had to win three of its final four to become eligible at 6-6, while Louisville was 7-5. The Cards love to run the ball, averaging 214.1 YPG, but that plays directly into the strength of the Bulldogs' defense. Instead though Louisville will turn to Micale Cunningham, who will test a porous Mississippi State secondary which concedes 241.2 YPG. The Bulldogs should have a balanced attack here as well. Mississippi State runs the ball as well, averaging 226.9 YPG and note that the Cardinals are terrible vs. the run, conceding 211.0 yards epr game on the ground. Louisville is also allowing 235.3 YPG through the air, so Bulldogs' QB Garrett Shrader will have his opportunities. Key Trends: - Mississippi State has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five as a favorite. - Louisville has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight following a loss by 21 points or more. The verdict: Yes both teams like to run, but each knows how to move the football. I see weaknesses on defense and strengths on offense. This one has "shootout" written all over it in my opinion; play the over! |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State OVER 63 | Top | 29-23 | Loss | -101 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Clemson/OSU. A couple of 13-0 teams collide in the Fiesta Bowl and the winner will be headed to the Championship Game. It's going to go one of two ways obviously, either a low-scoring defensive battle, or a high-scoring shootout. And in my opinion, obviously it's going to be the latter. Both teams rank among the best of the best in the country on both sides of the ball, but I've been most impressed by each team's offense. Note that Clemson has averaged 54.2 PPG over its last six games. Note that Ohio State is the No. 1 ranked offensive team in the nation by averaging 48.7 PPG. Key Trends: - The Tigers have interestingly seen the total go over the number in three of their last four after two straight covers as the favorite. - The Buckeyes have seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of their last 15 when the total in the contest is set between 56.5 and 63. The verdict: They say defense wins championships, and while that may be true, to reach the championship game, I expect these two teams to open up the playbook and push the pace from the opening kickoff, until the final whistle; play the over! |
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12-27-19 | Washington State v. Air Force OVER 68 | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER WSU/Air Force. Yes the Cougars stumbled in their final game of the year vs. Washington, managing just 13 points in the setback, but I think that Anthony Gordon and this "Air Raid" offense take out their frustrations on the Falcons today. Gordon had 5,228 passing yards with 45 TDs and just 16 INTs. Air Force's defense is ranked better than its offense (20th and 40th respectively). The Falcons are the No. 1 ranked rushing offense in the nation with 292.5 YPG. WSU has a weak defensive front and I expect the Cougars to be "on their heels" from start to finish. Key Trends: - WSU has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after a two weeks or longer break. - Air Force has seen the total go over in six of its last eight as the favorite. The verdict: With WSU throwing the ball to the cows come home and with Air Force exploiting this weak Cougars' defense, look for this total to soar over sooner, rather than later! |
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12-23-19 | Marshall v. Central Florida OVER 60 | Top | 25-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BONANZA is on the OVER Marshall/UCF. I'm expecting a complete shootout from start to finish between the 8-4 Marshall Thundering Herd and the 9-3 UCF Golden Knights this afternoon. Note these two teams had a similar opponent this year, as Marshall lost 42-17 to Cincinnati and the Knights fell 27-24 to the Bearcats. The Herd average 24.8 PPG and I think they're going to have to open things up here to keep pace with the high-flying Knights, who average 43 PPG. Key Trends: - Marshall has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 13 as an underdog (including in two of three this season.) - UCF has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten when the total falls between 56.5 and 63 points (including in three of four this season.) The verdict: I think these defensive units take a back seat to these capable offenses; play the over! |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State UNDER 49.5 | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEATDOWN is on the UNDER WSU/Boise State. These are two mediocre offenses and two very good defenses going head to head. When you add it all up, I think this number is too high. Washington beat Washington State 31-13 in its regular season finale. Note though that Huskies' QB Jacob Eason had just two TD passes over his last three games. Boise State is led by Jaylon Henderson, who became the starter in mid November and who finished with 1,032 yards and 11 TD's. But as stated off the top, it's been each team's defense which has been its strength, with the Broncos allowing only 20.6 PPG and leading the MWC with 37 sacks, while the Huskies concede 20.4 PPG, most recently holding the Cougars air raid offense to 308 yards. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 13 off a win by ten points or more over a conference rival. - Boise State has seen the total dip below the posted number in its last four games when the line in the contest is set between +3 and -3. The verdict: Look for these defensive units to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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12-14-19 | Army v. Navy OVER 40 | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Army/Navy. Army got destroyed 52-31 at Hawaii in its regular season finale to finish the year 5-7. The Black Knights will be laying everything they have on the field of play today as they look to pull off the big upset and to erase the frustrations from a poor overall campaign. Navy finished 9-2 and it ended the regular season on a two-game win streak. Both teams run the triple option. Both teams have been decent on both sides of the ball, but especially on the offensive side. The Golden Knights average 30.3 PPG and they concede 22.3, while the Midshipmen average 39.3 PPG and concede 24.2. Key Trends: - Army has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six when playing with two weeks rest. - Navy has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last ten vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: Malcom Perry is one of the most dynamic QB's in the nation and I expect the Navy veteran to push the pace. Both teams know how to move the ball on offense and I look for that to translate into production on the field of play today; play the over! |
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12-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis UNDER 57.5 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 102 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Cincinnati/Memphis UNDER. The 10-2 Bearcats meet the 11-1 Tigers for the AAC Championship and in my opinion, this one sets up as more of a "chess match" than a "shootout." Note that the Tigers actually defeated the Bearcats 34-24 in these team's respective regular season finales. The victory earned Memphis the right to host this game. Bearcats' starting QB Desmond Ridder was held back in that loss because of an injured shoulder and if he does get the call today, one has to wonder about his health/form obviously? His backup Ben Bryant struggled for 229 passing yards and two INT's, while also getting sacked five times. Look for the Bearcats to once again run the offense through RB Michael Warren II. Memphis' QB Brady White has 3,307 passing yards this season with 32 TD's and eight INT's. But with the visitors looking to control the clock while they have the ball, I think today's re-match definitely sets up as much more of a defensive affair. Key Trends: - Cincinnati has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 15 as an underdog. - Memphis has seen the total dip under in three of its last four after scoring 31 points or more in five straight games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah OVER 45.5 | Top | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Oregon/Utah. How will Justin Herbert and the Ducks upset the defensive minded Utes in the Pac 12 Championship Game? Definitely not by playing it safe and hoping for Tyler Huntley and company to make the first mistake. That'd be a recipie for disaster for Oregon. Instead, with the underdog airing it out from start to finish, I'm expecting a faster-paced affair overall and I ultimately believe this will then lead to a high-scoring "shootout" once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - The Ducks have seen the total go over the number in three of their last four vs. schools with winning records. - The Utes have seen the total soar over in four of its last five after two straight covers as a double-digit favorite. The verdict: Faster paced = more points in my opinion. This number is low, play the over! |
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11-30-19 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 69.5 | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 79 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* play on the UNDER Oklahoma/OK State. The Cowboys have only beaten the Sooners twice since 2010. Oklahoma has won ten of 11 games so far. Overall Oklahoma averages 45.3 PPG, led by Jalen Hurts, while allowing only 25.5 PPG. OKS has won eight of 11 games. The Cowboys average 35 PPG and they concede 26.5, led by Hawaii transfer Dru Brown, who makes his second start of the season in placed of the injured Spencer Sanders. Key Trends: - Oklahoma has already seen the total go under in three of four this season when the total is set between 63.5 and 70. - OKS has seen the total stay under in both games that it's played as an underdog this year already. The verdict: I think these under-rated defensive units become the mian story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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11-29-19 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 48 | Top | 30-39 | Loss | -109 | 72 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* PLAY is on the UNDER VT/UVA. Both teams enter enter this rivarly game at 8-3. Each enters on a three game win streak as well. VT has won this matchup 15 times in a row, including a higher-scoring 34-31 win in last year's matchup. I think the overall situation that each finds itself in, coming into this contest will see a much more defensive affair this time around. This is a big game, as the winner take the ACC Coastal Division crown and will be in the ACC Championship game. VT's defense though is on top form, having posted back-to-back shutouts, including 28-0 over Pittsburgh last weekend. Tech QB Hendon Hooker has 1,134 passing yards, ten TD's and no INT's, along with 262 rushing yards and four rushing TD's. UVA beat Liberty 55-27 last weekend, but it was the first time since 2005 that the Cavs have eclipsed the 50 points plateau. Key Trends: - Virginia Tech has seen the total go under the number in its last three after three straight victories over conference rivals. - UVA has seen the total go under in four of its last five as a home dog. The verdict: While these teams have played to many high-scoring games in the past vs. each other, the overall situation and numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call this year; play the under! |
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11-23-19 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech OVER 55 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT OF THE NIGHT is on the K-State/Texas Tech OVER. K-State is 6-4. The Wildcats have beaten heavyweights Oklahoma and Mississippi State, but lost to Texas and West Virginia. Texas Tech is 4-6 and it needs to win out to become eligible. K-State though will look to stop the two-game slide this week vs. an atrocious Red Raiders' defense. The Wildcats have a balanced attack with Skylar Thompson under center, so far he has a 10:3 TD/INT ratio, while the run game produces 192.9 YPG. Texas Tech QB Jeff Duffey has only played in six games and he already has 2,100 passing yards and 14:3 TD:INT. Overall the Red Raiders put up 470.2 YPG on offense ranked 17th in the country. Defensively though TT allows 480 yards per game, including 309.8 per game through the air. Key Trends: - The over is 5-1-1 in the Raiders last seven conference contests. - The over is 9-3-1 in TT's last 13 at home. The verdict: I look for a faster-paced, wide open shootout between these two hungry schools; play the over! |
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11-22-19 | Colorado State v. Wyoming OVER 50.5 | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -106 | 39 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Colorado State/Wyoming. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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11-21-19 | NC State v. Georgia Tech OVER 49 | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER NC State/Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech is coming off a terrible 45-0 road shutout loss at Virginia Tech and it's now just 2-8 on the year. Tech is only averaging 16.5 PPG this year, but it'll do its best to play the role of spoiler here, as 4-6 NC State has to win out for eligibility. This is it for the Wolfpack, who limp in having lost four straight. Both teams struggle offensively, but I think we'll have a shootout on our hands once it's all said and done tonight. Key Trends: - NC State has seen the total go over the number in six of its last eight after a loss by ten points or more vs. a conference rival. - GT has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49. The verdict: I think the home side opens up the playbook here to try and pull off the upset. And with the Wolfpack also laying everything on the line to keep their playoff hopes alive, I look for this one to indeed sneak above the posted number sooner, rather than later! |
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11-16-19 | Arizona v. Oregon UNDER 68.5 | Top | 6-34 | Win | 100 | 36 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Arizona/Oregon. Arizona is 4-5 and it's running out of time to qualify for a berth. The magic number is of course six and winning on the road vs. the 8-1 Ducks likely isn't going to happen. Clearly though the only way that the Wildcats could pull off a monumental upset in this one would be to try and control the pace of this game. And that means keeping the ball out of Oregon's hands as much as possible. Arizona needs two more victories. After this its Utah and Arizona State. The Ducks are led by QB Justin Herbert, who has a 24:2 TD:INT. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go under in three of four already this year after playing a game at home. - Oregon has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 when the total is greater than or equal to 63. The verdict: Neither team plays great defensively, but I think the overall situation each finds itself coming in, combined with the above trends, do indeed make the "under" as the correct call here! |
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11-09-19 | Nevada v. San Diego State OVER 38.5 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -114 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Nevada/SDSU. SDSU is 7-1 and it comes in with plenty of momentum after having won four straight. Nevada won't be rolling over here though at 5-4 as it tries to pull off the upset and gain eligibility at the same time. Nevada beat New Mexico 21-10 last weekend, with Carson Strong going for 305 yards and two TD's. Overall Nevada averages only 19.3 PPG though, while conceding an awful 34.6. Last year the Aztecs won this game 28-24 and I expect a similar high-scoring affair here. SDSU is also rested out of its bye week. Key Trends: - Nevada has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six after a home victory. - SDSU has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four as a home favorite in teh 14.5 to 21 points range. The verdict: I look for this total to fly well over the number, perhaps even before half time. This number is much too low, play the over! |
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11-08-19 | Washington v. Oregon State UNDER 65 | Top | 19-7 | Win | 100 | 82 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Washington/Oregon State. Washington is 5-4 and it's looking to snap a two-game slide. The Huskies come off consecutive losses to Oregon and Utah, so while the Beavers won't be afraid to open up the playbook, the Huskies clearly catch a break in the overall level of competition this weekend. I think the Huskies defense steps up here vs. Beavers' QB Jake Luton. Washington has already posted 20 sacks this year and the Beavers have conceded 16 thus far. Oregon State allows 176 rushing yards per game, so expect to see the visitors hand off to Salvon Ahmed early and often, to take off some of the pressure on QB Jacob Eason, who has been sacked 12 times this year, but who faces a Beavers unit which has produced 25 sacks this season. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under in its last three as a road favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. - Oregon State has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four off an upset win as a road dog. The verdict: I don't think the Huskies take many risks here. Instead I look for the visiting side to try and control this contest as to limit the time the Beavers have the ball on offense. This number is high, play the under! |
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11-05-19 | Kent State v. Toledo UNDER 62 | Top | 33-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* MAC TOTAL BLOWOUT is on the UNDER Kent State/Toledo. Kent STate is 3-5 and in dire need of some victories if its going to go "Bowling." The Golden Flashes though have faced some incredibly tough competition this season in Arizona State, Auburn and Wisconsin. Kent State is led by QB Dustin Crum, who has ten TD's and one INT. Toledo though has a good pass defense, but a poor rush defense. That works well for Kent State, as it's run game is solid, led by the versatile dual-threat Crum. Toledo needs just one more win to become eligible and it did just enough to score a victory over EMU in OT last week. So far the Rockets have won five of seven games by six points or less. Toledo is also down to third string QB Eli Peters, who was an unremarkable nine of 18 for 138 yards last weekend. Key Trends: - Kent State has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six road games when the total is set between 56.5 and 63 points. - Toledo has seen the total go under in its last three off an extremely close win at home by 3 points or less. The verdict: Look for these two hungry teams to fight tooth and nail and for this total to fall "under" once it's all said and done! |
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11-02-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina OVER 46.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is the over UVA/UNC. This is a big game for both teams and because of that, I think this total will go over the number sooner, rather than never. The Cavs are 5-3 and hungry for that sixth victory so that they can become bowl eligible. The UNC Tar Heels are 4-4 and they're also looking for a couple more victories. Virginia averages 30 PPG and it concedes 20.8. UNC averages 27.5 PPG and it allows 25.8. Key Trends: - UVA has seen the total go over the number in six of its last eight as a road dog. - UNC has seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of its last four off a victory vs. a conference rival. The verdict: UVA has won two straight in this series, including a 31-21 win last season. I expect an even higher-scoring affair here; play the over! |
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11-01-19 | Navy v. Connecticut OVER 54.5 | Top | 56-10 | Win | 100 | 76 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEATDOWN is on Navy/UConn OVER. UConn broke a six-game losing streak with a 56-53 win over UMass and I look for it to keep the foot on the gas here as well as it looks to pull off bac-to-back victories. Navy is 6-1 after holding on for a 41-38 win over Tulane and it'll also be out for another victory here, feeling confident after having won six straight in this series. Navy QB Malcom Perry has 18 TD's already this year and last week the Midshipmen had 453 total yards of offense. Overall Navy averages 37.9 PPG and it allows 19.7. The Huskies had 539 yards of offense vs. the Minutemen last weekend. Key Trends: - The Huskies have allowed at least 35 points in four of their last six matchups. - The Midshipmen have four 40-point games this year, including in two of their last three. The verdict: The overall situation and the numbers both point to a "shootout" in my opinion; play the over! |
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10-31-19 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 57 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 75 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER WVU/Baylor. Baylor averages 38.9 PPG, which ranks it 12th in the country. The Bears have a balanced offense, which I believe will concentrate on the run today vs. a WVU team that's lost three straight, but which will also try to keep the Bears offense off the field of play today by controlling the ball while on offense. Baylor only allows 19.1 PPG and I think the Mountaineers have a difficult time mounting much of an offensive attack tonight (WVU is predictable and one-dimensional on offense with a run game which averages only 89 PPG.) Key Trends: - WVU has seen the total dip under in four of its last five following its bye week. - Baylor has seen the total dip under in five of its last six after scoring 37 points or more in its last game. The verdict: I expect more of a "chess match," than a "shootout;" play the under! |
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10-26-19 | San Diego State v. UNLV OVER 46 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -107 | 105 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER SDSU/UNLV. SDSU is bowl eligible and 6-1 overall after beating San Jose State 27-17 last weekend. So far the Aztecs have been exceptional defensively, but I think the visitors unit will be tested here today. The Rebels lost to Boise State, but then bounced back with a win over Vanderbilt. Overall the Rebels average 25.4 PPG and they concede 36.1. Key Trends: - SDSU has in fact seen the total go over in interestingly four of its last five after a win of ten points or more over a conference rival. - UNLV has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight off a road loss. The verdict: UNLV will be airing it from start to finish and it's defense has been terrible. Look for the Owls to take some rare shots down field as well today. This number is a shade low, play the over! |
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10-24-19 | SMU v. Houston UNDER 68.5 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 57 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER SMU/Houston. The Mustangs are 7-0 and they trounced Temple 45-21 last time out. The Cougars are 3-4 and they're going to be hungry for a victory here as time is running out to become eligible. Houston's offense is simply not good enough to score many points here. The best strategy that the home side can employ here is to control the ball while on offense. Key Trends: - SMU has seen the total dip under the number in nine of its last 13 after playing a conference game. - Houston has seen the total go under the number in its last four off a no-cover where it won as the favorite. The verdict: The Cougars do come in off the 24-17 win over UConn and they definitely won't be going down without a fight today. I'm expecting a lower-scoring defensive war; play the under! |
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10-19-19 | Nevada v. Utah State OVER 58.5 | Top | 10-36 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Nevada/Utah State. This is a big Mountain West Conference game. Nevada is 4-2 after a 41-38 shootout win over San Jose State, while Utah State is now 3-2 after a 42-6 loss to No. 2 LSU. Nevada was blown out by Hawaii two weeks ago, so it made a change at QB last weekend and the move paid immediate dividends with Malik Henry going for 352 yards and two TD's. Clearly Utah State will be looking to bounce back after last week's frustrating setback. Previous to that the Aggies had won three straight Key Trends: "We are coming off a bye week, so we've had a little more time to evaluate them,” said Utah State coach Gary Anderson. “They are a very tough-minded team, overall, that has dealt with some ups and downs, which this crazy game of football and this conference will give you. They have been resilient, they've been tough-minded and they've battled through everything that has come their way. They started a new quarterback last game and he did a nice job.” The verdict: Utah State averages 32 PPG and it has a dynamic QB in Jordan Love. Nevada's new QB Henry isn't afraid to air it out either. I look for this one to sneak over the number sooner, rather than later! |
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10-18-19 | Ohio State v. Northwestern OVER 49 | Top | 52-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Ohio State/Northwestern OVER. Will Northwestern be able to put up any points vs. an OSU defense that allows only 8.8 PPG on average? Ohio State is 6-0 and it'll be cautious here to not look past its opponent. The Buckeyes will indeed look to go up early and then maintain the rest of the way. The Wildcats though come out of their bye week with nothing to lose. NW needs to string wins together if it has any hopes of going bowling and it won't be holding anything back on the offense side of things as it tries to keep pace with its juggernaut opponent tonight. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a "shootout" in my opinion. Key Trends: - Ohio State has seen the total go over in five of its last six as a road favorite of 14.5 points or more. - NW has seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of its last five after having lost three of its last four games. The verdict: Ohio State is also the No. 2 ranked team in the nation as far as scoring. Look for this one to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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10-16-19 | South Alabama v. Troy OVER 54.5 | Top | 13-37 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT is on the over South Alabama/Troy. South Alabama has faced some stiff competition in Nebraska and Memphis early, which is definitely a big reason why its just 1-5. Troy though has been terrible, especially defensively this year and I think it'll have its hands full with this hungry underdog and QB Cephus Johnson, who has shown signficiant strides with each outing. Both teams have had a week off to prepare as well. But as mentioned off the top, the Trojans secondary has been downright terrible, ranked 124th out out 130 FBS teams by conceding 10.22 yards per attempt. Key Trends: - South Alabama has interestingly seen the total go over the number in three of its last four off a cover where it lost as an underdog. - Troy has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six following its bye week. The verdict: With the Jaguars pushing the pace and airing it from start to finish and with the home side having to match pace, I look for this total to soar over sooner, rather than later; play the over! |
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10-12-19 | Arkansas v. Kentucky OVER 53.5 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -108 | 102 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the over Arkansas/Kentucky. This is a big game for both of these 2-3 teams. Kentucky has had a week off to absorb three straight losses and it comes into this one focused and motivated to get off the schneid. Arkansas also enters off its bye week rested and ready to try and pull off an upset here. Led by Nick Starkel, the Razorbacks aren't going to be afraid to air this one out (Starkel so far has 1000 passing yards and 11 TD's.) Kentucky averages 23.4 PPG and it concedes 24.4. Something has got to give here. Key Trends: - Arkansas has interestingly seen the total go over the number in five of its last six off a cover where it lost SU as a dog. - Kentucky has seen the total soar over the number in seven of its last nine as a home favorite. The verdict: Both rested teams will push from start to finish and I expect that to translate into production on the offensive side of the ball; this number is low, play the over! |
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10-10-19 | Syracuse v. NC State OVER 57 | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -107 | 60 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Syracuse/NC State. From both a "situational" stand point and also when looking at it from a trend based angle, I believe this one definitely sets up as a "shootout," rather than a low-scoring battle. Both teams are 3-2, but 0-1 in ACC play. Both teams also come out of their bye-weeks. The Orange offense is firing on all cylinders with QB Tommy DeVito, who already has 1,230 passing yards and 11 TD's (eight in his last two games.) The Orange defense has forced 12 turnovers, but it's still middle of the road. NC State is desperate as it turns to a new QB today in Bailey Hockman. The WolfPack have injuries on both sides of the ball, so the bye week could not have come at a better time for NC State. This is a big Conference game and I'm expecting a shootout on Prime Time. Key Trends: - Syracuse has seen the total eclipse the posted number in its last three as a road dog of seven points or less. - NC State has seen the total go over the number in six of eight this year as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: I believe the stage is set for a sprint from start to finish; play the over! |
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10-05-19 | San Diego State v. Colorado State OVER 51.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -109 | 102 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER SDSU/Colorado State. SDSU is 3-1 and Colorado State is 1-4. The Aztecs enter focused and hungry after suffering their first loss of the season last week, falling against Utah State. Colorado State’s season lies in the balance after three straight losses. This team needs to start winning immediately, as another loss will be the nail in the coffin for any bowl aspirations. The Aztecs have been impressive defensively early, but I think the team opens up the playbook today as it looks to jump-start an offense which is averaging only 19 PPG. The Rams are averaging 32 PPG, led by QB Collin Hill, who has 837 passing yards and eight TD’s. Defensively though the Rams are conceding 40 PPG. Key Trends: - SDSU has seen the total go over the number in three of its last six vs. teams with losing records. - CSU has seen the total soar over in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: SDSU has the perfect opponent today to get its offense untracked. The home side has nothing to lose and I expect it to push the pace from start to finish. This number is a little low, play the over! |
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10-04-19 | Central Florida v. Cincinnati UNDER 60.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 98 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER UCF/Cincinnati. UCF is 4-1, while Cincinnati is 3-1. The Knights are already 1-0 in Conference play, but this is the Bearcats vs. league game. After last week’s 56-21 home smoke job of UConn, I think the high-powered visiting side plays a bit more conservatively in this difficult AAC road venue. Cincinnati returns home after smashing Marshall 52-14 last week. While each sides’ opponent featured a weak defense last weekend, that’s not the case this Friday night, as note that the Bearcats allow only 130.6 rushing yards and 167 passing yards per game and they’ve already posted ten sacks and two INT’s (an average of only 20.8 PPG). UCF concedes just 324.8 total YPG and it’s recorded 11 sacks, four INT’s and one pick six. Key Trends: - UCF has seen the total go under the number in six of its last seven off a home blowout win by 28 points or more - Cincinnati has seen the total dip under in nine of its last 13 as an underdog. The verdict: Yes it’s true that both sides can score at a prodigious rate, but I think it’s the under-rated and under the radar defensive units which will ultimately be the main story line’s in tomorrow’s summaries; play the under! |
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09-28-19 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin OVER 46 | Top | 15-24 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the over Northwestern/Wisconsin. Northwestern is hungry here sitting at 1-2 and it knows it’ll have its hands full trying to hang with 3-0 Wisconsin. Northwestern was humbled by Michigan State last week, but it’ll have to keep the foot on the gas if it has any hope to keep up with surging Wisconsin, which just upset Michigan last week. Hunter Johnson has struggled under center for the Wildcats and his ineptitude has put added pressure on an already overtaxed Wildcats defense. And that’s bad news facing the Badgers, who won their first two games by a combined score of 110-0. Key Trends: - Northwestern has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine on the road. - The Wildcats have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 as a dog. - The Badgers have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last ten when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points. The verdict: I expect a wide-open affair from start to finish; this number is a little low, play the over! |
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09-27-19 | Penn State v. Maryland UNDER 60.5 | Top | 59-0 | Win | 100 | 84 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* play on the under Penn State/Maryland. I think Penn State comes out a bit flat to open after its bye week and because of that, I look for this total to sneak below the number once it’s all said and done. Back on Sept. 14th the Nittany Lions escaped a low-scoring 17-10 battle with Pitt and while this one might produce a bit more offense, I’m not expecting by much. And that’s because Maryland ALSO comes out of its bye week and it’s looking to rebound though after it fell 20-17 to Temple. The home side will also be out to avenge a 38-3 loss to the Nittany Lions last year. When I make my pick on a total (in all sports), I like to look at the overall “situation” that each team finds itself in coming into that contest and in my opinion, from a situational stand point I believe this one definitely sets up as more of a “chess match,” than a wide-open shootout. Key Trends: - Penn State has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 14 vs. the conference. - Maryland has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Penn State contained Maryland’ RB Anthony McFarland Jr. last season and I predict a duplicate performance here as well. This number is just a shade high, play the under! |
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09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis OVER 55 | Top | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 60 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* NCAAF TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Navy/Memphis. After scuffling the last couple of season, the Midshipmen are out to prove the doubters wrong this year. Navy is averaging nearly 380 yards per game on the ground and while the defense has looked good early, that’s mainly due to the level of competition. Memphis has also looked good on the defensive side of things, but once again that’s been because of early competition in my opinion. Now that AAC play is here, I think these defensive units have a much more difficult time. Each has looked good on the offensive end in the early going and there’s no reason not to think that won’t carry over in my opinion either. Key Trends: - Navy has seen the total go over the number in 13 of 19 this year as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. - Memphis has seen the total go over the number in 11 of its last 16 at home. - The Tigers have seen the total soar over in four of their last five off a road victory. The verdict: A great situational play as I’m expecting a wide-open affair from start to finish; play the over! |
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09-21-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State OVER 48.5 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 57 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Colorado/ASU. Both teams are hungry for a victory and I believe each is going to push the pace from start to finish. ASU is fresh of a monumental upset for the Spartans and it has to be feeling confident here as well as the last time these team’s met in Tempe, ASU picked up the 41-30 victory. That said, Colorado posted the seven point victory in this matchup last year at home, with three passing TD’s from its QB Steven Montez. Colorado won’t be lacking for motivation here either after coming up short to Air Force last time out. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe that this one sets up as a high-scoring “shootout,” rather than a low-scoring “chess match.” Key Trends: - Colorado has seen the total go over the number in 12 of its last 15 off an upset loss as a home favorite. - ASU has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 11 of its last 17 off an upset win as a road underdog. The verdict: The opener of Pac 12 play for both and I expect some fireworks; play the over! |
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09-20-19 | Air Force v. Boise State OVER 55 | Top | 19-30 | Loss | -109 | 82 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Air Force/Boise State. These are two teams “firing on all cylinders” to open the season and I look for that momentum to translate into offensive production on the field of play this evening. Both teams are undefeated with victories over Power 5 programs already on their resumes. These are two very productive offenses, but each gets the job done differently. The Broncos are going to have a hard time slowing down the Falcons’ rushing attack, which ranks second in the country at 353.5 YPG (it has 22 runs of ten or more yards.) Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier has a stiff task tonight facing this revamped Air Force defense, but he has a pair of solid backs in Robert Mahone and George Holani to keep the visitors honest. I see both sides pushing the pace and from a situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up as more of a high-scoring “shootout,” than a low-scoring “chess-match.” Key Trends: - The Falcons have seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of their last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. - The Broncos have seen the total go over the number in six of their last eight off a SU home victory. The verdict: As mentioned off the top, I expect a wide open pace from start to finish; play the over! |
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09-14-19 | Alabama v. South Carolina UNDER 60.5 | Top | 47-23 | Loss | -120 | 119 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the under Alabama/South Carolina. Alabama comes to town off wins over Duke and New Mexico State, while South Carolina was shocked in a 24-20 loss to UNC in its opener, before then annihilating FCS opponent Charleston Southern 72-10. Alabama will be out to establish the run early and often vs. its first SEC opponent this year, so far it’s ranked 31st in the country in that department. But South Carolina has looked much better on the defensive side of the ball this year, especially up front. Imposing their will in the trenches is the trademark of the Tide and I look for offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian to stick to the run throughout, despite having mobile QB Tua Tagovailoa. Key Trends: - UNC gouged USC for 238 rushing yards, so as mentioned off the top, look for the visitors to try and establish the run game while on offense from start to finish. - South Carolina lost its QB Jake Bentley in the loss to UNC. Ryan Hilinski was 24 of 30 for 282 yards and two TD’s in last week’s blowout win, but obviously he’s being thrown to the Wolves here vs. the best potential defense in the conference. The verdict: How can the Gamecocks help their backup QB today? Clearly by protecting him and by running the ball effectively. And so with both teams firmly committed to establishing the run and assert itself in the trenches, all signs do indeed point to the under as the correct call here! |
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09-13-19 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest UNDER 66 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 55 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under UNC/Wake Forest. After starting 2-0, the Tar Heels will be looking to carry that momentum over here. Most recently Mack Brown’s guys beat Coastal rival Miami. The Demon Deacons enter off victories over Utah State and Rice. UNC has gotten better than expected QB play from Sam Howell, but the offense still revolves around the run game and Javonte Williams, who has 178 rushing yards thus far. Wake has gotten exceptional play from its dual threat QB as well in Jamie Newman, who has six TD’s and no INT’s so far. Key Trends: - Despite struggling against the pass in the early going, the Deacs do already have five sacks this season. - Look for Wake Forest to utilize the run game tonight, as UNC just gave up 179 yards on the ground to Miami. The verdict: This is a big game and on the short week, I believe these under-rated defensive units become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries; play the under! |
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09-07-19 | Rutgers v. Iowa OVER 49.5 | Top | 0-30 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 32 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Rutgers/Iowa. Rutgers got 340 passing yards and two TD’s from McLane Carter in its blowout win over UMass last weekend. He did however also throw three picks. Iowa only allowed 14 points in its victory last week, but it got 252 yards and three TD’s from QB Nate Stanley and the team would also go on to post 213 rushing yards. Key Trends: - The Scarlet Knights were horrible on third-down defense vs. the lowly Minutemen last week, allowing seven third-down conversions out of 16 attempts. - Iowa had the nation’s best third-down offense last week, converting nine of 14 attempts. The verdict: Rutgers has seen the total go over in six of its last seven when the total in the contest is set between 42. and 49 points. This one has “shootout” written all over it in my opinion; play the over! |
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09-06-19 | Marshall v. Boise State UNDER 55 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 101 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Marshall/Boise State. Marshall cruised to victory with a blowout win over FCS opponent VMI. No big surprise there. Boise State though roared out to an early lead vs. FSU and then it continued to hold on for the eventual upset victory. Can anyone say “letdown” spot? For both teams! I think Marshall struggles in this difficult road venue and I believe the Broncos take a step back after last weekend’s emotional victory. This is a big game for both teams though, with a run at the Group of 5’s top spot in the New Year’s Six. Marshall is going to see a much stiffer test this time around, as Boise State registered four sacks last week vs. the Seminoles. Key Trends: - Marshall has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 14 when playing with six or less days rest. - Boise State has seen the total dip under in four of its last five as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville UNDER 55 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 35 h 0 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BLOOD-BATH on the under Notre Dame/Louisville. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Ian Book put up big numbers after taking the reins in Week 4 for the Irish last year and he’s expected to take another big step forward this season. Book’s team this year though looks different from last year’s squad and I think he’ll have some difficulties with chemistry coming out of the gate. The Notre Dame defense also lost many key players, but its top pass rushing duo in Khalid Kareem and Julian Okwara are poised to give Jawon Pass fits for the Cardinals tonight. Pass will obviously be improved from a decent season a year ago, but he’ll be leaning heavily on his other players for support tonight in this difficult matchup. Key Trends: - Notre Dame has seen the total go under in three of its last four as a road favorite in the 17.5 to 21 points range. - Louisville has seen the total go under in six of its last seven non-conference contests. The verdict: Turnover for both teams on both sides of the ball leads to this total staying well below the posted number in Week 1; play the under! |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma UNDER 80 | Top | 31-49 | Push | 0 | 35 h 21 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CASH-BOMB on the under Houston/Oklahoma. Both teams enter the 2019 campaign looking vastly different than they did a year ago. Both have new coaches and each has lost significant talent (Kyler Murray is now the starting QB in Arizona and Ed Oliver has gone to the NFL as well.) The Sooners went out and got defensive guru Alex Grinch to try and bring back some respectability to that side of the ball this season. Houston has D’Eriq King back under center after he suffered a knee injury last year. Oklahoma has a talented QB transfer in Jalen Hurts this season and while he has plenty of weapons around him, I think chemistry will be an issue to start (note as well that Hurts loves running the ball, is big and can take a beating no problem.) Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under in six of its last ten on the road. - Oklahoma has seen the total dip under in four of its last six non-conference games. The verdict: I expect these teams to come out a little “flat” to open the game and that “lull” will help in keeping this total under this sky high number; play the under! |
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08-30-19 | Rice v. Army OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -125 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* total of the month on the over Rice/Army. Every team has “big” expectations coming into a new season and these two are no different. The Army Golden Knights though come in off a historic 2018 campaign, one which was capped by a 70-14 win over Houston in the Armed Forces Bowl (11-2 overall for the Cadets last year.) The Owls will be eager to prove themselves against the up-tempo Knights. Rice finished its season with a 27-13 upset victory over Old Dominion though (just 2-11 overall though.) Rice turns to Wiley Green, who was the QB in the ODU victory and who had 621 passing yards and three TD’s, to go along with 34 rushing yards and two more scores in four appearances last year. The Army offense welcomes back seven starters, including senior QB Kelvin Hopkins Jr. Key Trends: - Rice has seen the total go over in eight of its last nine non-conference games. - Army has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 as a favorite. The verdict: Rice has to open up the playbook here if it has any shot at pulling off the upset; look for this one to fly over early! |
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08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL OVER 50.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -108 | 730 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Florida/Miami Florida. Key Trends: - It’s interesting to note that UF finished with a 1-3 record last year when it scored less than 20 points, but it was 9-0 when scoring over 20. - Also note that the Hurricanes were 0-5 last year when scoring less than 20 points, while going 7-1 when eclipsing the 20 points plateau. The verdict: Florida was 10-3 last year under Dan Mullen’s first year as head coach and I believe it has a chance to duplicate that record. The home side won’t be going down without a fight though under Miami first year head coach Manny Diaz. When you add it all up, I think this one flies over the number sooner, rather than later! |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 60 | Top | 16-44 | Push | 0 | 131 h 36 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Two of the top defensive teams in the country going head to head. Last year Alabama dominated 24-6 and I expect a similar hard-fought, lower-scoring war here as well. Clemson plays with revenge and it’s backed by one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing just 12.9 PPG. The Tide are second in the nation in scoring, but clearly this is Alabama’s stiffest test to date. The Crimson Tide are now slouches defensively either though, ranked among the nation’s leaders in most categories, including being ranked 12th in yards allowed (308.7). Key Trends: - Alabama has seen the total go under the number in four of its last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. - Clemson has seen the total go under in 20 of its last 29 following two or more SU victories. The verdict: The recent history between these clubs, combined with their nation leading defensive units make the under the correct move! |
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12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati UNDER 54 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -115 | 531 h 41 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Cinncy/VT. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Long lay off. I think the longer layoff throws a money wrench into the chemistry of each sides offense. The Bearcats got the job done with their elite defense (allowing only 16.1 PPG), which led to their 10-2 record. VT was just 6-6 and while it features some talent, the Hokies are just glad to be here. This one screams “under.” Key Trends: - The Hokies have seen the total go under the number in six of their last eight after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. - The Bearcats have seen the total dip under in nine of their last 14 as a favorite. - Cincinnati has seen the total go under in its last three when playing with two weeks or more of rest. The verdict: Conditions and numbers point to a lower-scoring under. |
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12-22-18 | Wake Forest v. Memphis UNDER 73.5 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky's 8* play on the under in the Birmingham Bowl. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Significant injuries to key offensive players for both teams. Wake Forest is likely to be without Greg Dortch, who led the ACC with 1,750 all purpose yards and who had injured his hand in a win over Duke in the reg. season finale (if he does suit up, clearly he won’t be at 100% form.) Memphis will be without RB and All American Darrell Henderson (2,328 all purpose yards and 25 TDs), who is leaving to the NFL. This is my “key angle” for this contest. Key Trends: - Wake has seen the total go under the number in six of its last eight after having won two of its last three - Wake has seen the total go under in four of its last six after allowing 14 points or less in its last game. - Memphis has seen the total go under in three of its last four after allowing 50 points or more in its last game. The verdict: This number is high, play the under. |
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12-21-18 | BYU v. Western Michigan UNDER 51 | Top | 49-18 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Above average defenses and backup QB’s. Both teams have their back-ups in here, forced to make switches for different reasons half way through the campaign. BYU allows only 21.7 PPG, while WMU gives up just 33.3. The Broncos though struggled with offensive consistency after starting QB Jon Wassink went down with inury and backup Kaleb Eleby only went 1-3 in his limited time. Key Trends: - BYU has seen the total go under the number in five of seven as a favorite this season. - WMU has seen the total go under the number in its last two neutral site affairs. The verdict: The conditions and trends point to a defensive affair. Play the under. |
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12-08-18 | Navy v. Army UNDER 40 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. These two teams like to the run the ball. Almost every game they’ve played over the last ten years has been competitive (was a 14-13 Army win last year). Navy’s stumbled this year, while Army is on the verge of posting back-to-back ten-win seasons. Look for this trend of low-scoring “chess matches” to continue on Saturday afternoon. Key Trends: - Navy has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. - The Midshipmen have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 11 off a road loss (including in four of five this year). - Army has seen the total go under in four of its last five when playing with two or more weeks of rest. The verdict: Play the under. |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern v. Ohio State UNDER 59.5 | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under in the BIG TEN Champ game. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Defesne, defense, defense! That’s my key angle for this game. The Wildcats allow 134.7 rushing YPG and 238 passing yards, while Ohio State’s only weakness has been against the run, allowing 161.9 YPG. The pass defense of the Buckeyes is on point though, which doesn’t look good for a Northwestern team averaging a pedestrian 351.1 YPG. Key Trends: - Northwestern has seen the total go under in nine of its last 14 as an underdog. - The Wildcats have seen the total go under in its last two neutral site games. - The Buckeyes have seen the total go under in their last three as a neutral field favorite. The verdict: Play the under. |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan v. Ball State OVER 53 | Top | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over WMU/Ball State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - As note that WMU has seen the total go over in its last two Tuesday night contests - Note that the Broncos have also seen the total go over in five of eight as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. - Additionally note that Ball State has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 10 of its last 16 at home. The verdict: Even without their starting QB’s, I’m expecting a more “up-tempo” pace. Play the over. |
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10-27-18 | Georgia v. Florida UNDER 52 | Top | 36-17 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Under 52.5: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. - The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Georgia. - The listed total was under 50 in each of the last seven meetings. Verdict: Take Under |
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10-06-18 | Arizona State v. Colorado UNDER 64.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Under: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the cold weather in Colorado is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 4-1 in the Buffaloes last 5 games overall. - The Under is 8-3 in the Buffaloes last 11 games following a straight up win. - The Under is 7-2 in the Buffaloes last 9 versus teams with a winning record. Verdict: Take Under |
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09-29-18 | Virginia Tech v. Duke UNDER 51.5 | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Under: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the Duke defense is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 7-1 in the Hokies last 8 versus teams with a winning record. - The Under is 9-4 in the Hokies last 13 games overall. - The Under is 36-17 in the Hokies last 53 conference games Verdict: Take Under |
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11-18-17 | Rutgers v. Indiana UNDER 47.5 | Top | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 47 h 53 m | Show |
It looks like QB Richard Lagow will get the call this week to try and help the Hoosiers into bowl game contention. Lagow does not provide the mobility of Peyton Ramsey, but does have a powerful arm. Accuracy has been a bit of an issue (59%; 6 INT) but he has a really good receiving group. Indiana is ranked #12 in the Big 10 in rushing yards and #13 in yards per play and are going up against a a very capable Rutgers defense. The QB situation on the other side of the ball is rough (6 TD passes all year), but the good news is that the running game continues to work well. Their 1-2-3 RB combo has over 1300 yards and 12 TDs and should be able to do some work vs the Hoosiers (#9 Big 10 rush defense; #8 YPC allowed). Indiana will be able to shut down the passing game and are very good on 3rd downs (#15 FBS). It feels like tough sledding for Rutgers vs an underrated defense. The only teams ahead of Indiana in yards per play defense in the Big 10 are Wisconsin, Penn St, Michigan and Ohio St. Good company. Rutgers is giving max effort on defense and their offense is predicated on running the ball and limiting mistakes. Throw in the possibility of less than ideal weather (nothing horrible; but not balmy) and this feels like a decent under play. Under 47.5 |
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