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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-01-24 | Iowa v. Tennessee -7.5 | Top | 0-35 | Win | 100 | 654 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on TENN. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - Tennessee are 6-3 in their last 9 games. - Iowa are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. - Tennessee are 5-4 ATS in their last 9 games. Verdict: The Value is on the favorite. |
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11-25-23 | Colorado State v. Hawaii +5.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on HAW. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - Hawaii is 3-0 ATS and 2-1 SU in the last three meetings. - Colorado State has lost all three road games in the Mountain West. - Hawaii won their final home game last season as a double digit dog versus UNLV. Verdict: The value is on the home underdog. |
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11-04-23 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State +6 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 60 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on OKST. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - Oklahoma State are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. - Oklahoma are 1-4 in their last 5 games played in November. - Oklahoma State are 18-2 in their last 20 games at home. Verdict: The value is on the home Underdog. |
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10-21-23 | Tennessee v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 99 h 38 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on BAMA. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - Alabama are 5-0 in their last 5 games. - Tennessee are 1-15 in their last 16 games against Alabama. - Alabama are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in week 8. Verdict: The value is on the home favorite. |
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09-30-23 | Clemson v. Syracuse +7 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 50 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on CUSE. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - Syracuse are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 overall. - Clemson are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games played in September. - Syracuse are 8-2 in their last 10 home games. Verdict: The value is on the home underdog. |
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09-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 72 h 25 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on BAMA. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - Alabama are 6-1 in their last 7 overall. - Mississippi are 0-7 in their last 7 games against Alabama. - Alabama are 19-1 in their last 20 home games. Verdict: The value is on the home favorite. |
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09-09-23 | Wisconsin -5.5 v. Washington State | Top | 22-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on WIS. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - Wisconsin are 5-2 in their last 7 overall. - Washington State won 17-13 at Wisconsin last year despite being out-gained 401-253 in total yards. - Wisconsin had an edge of 22-10 in first downs in last year's game. This sets up a massive revenge spot. Verdict: The value is on the home favorite. |
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01-02-23 | Utah +1.5 v. Penn State | Top | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on UTAH. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. - The Utes are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 bowl games. - The Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in January. Verdict: The value is on the underdog. |
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12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan -7 | Top | 51-45 | Loss | -110 | 605 h 20 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on MICH. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Wolverines are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. - The Horned Frogs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 bowl games. - The Horned Frogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games. Verdict: The value is on the favorite. |
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11-26-22 | Michigan v. Ohio State -7.5 | Top | 45-23 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on OSU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Buckeyes are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. - The Buckeyes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. - The Buckeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games versus. a team with a winning road record. Verdict: The value is on the home favorite. |
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11-19-22 | UNLV v. Hawaii +11.5 | Top | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 120 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky's 7* play on HAW. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Rainbow Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. - The Rainbow Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. - The Rainbow Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. Verdict: The value is on the home underdog. |
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10-01-22 | Alabama v. Arkansas +17.5 | Top | 49-26 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 7* play on Arkansas. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. - The Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. - The Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Verdict: As good as Alabama is, this appears to be an inflated line for the road favorite. |
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09-17-22 | Fresno State +12.5 v. USC | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 54 m | Show |
Ricky's 7* play on FRES. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Bulldogs are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 road games. - The Bulldogs are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss. - The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus the Pac-12. Verdict: The Bulldogs have the better quarterback. |
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09-10-22 | Mississippi State -10 v. Arizona | Top | 39-17 | Win | 100 | 63 h 55 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on MISST. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. - The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. - The Wildcats are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games following an ATS win. Verdict: Lets not overreact to Arizona winning in Week 1. |
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09-03-22 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -16 | Top | 10-21 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on OSU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant. Key Trends: - The Buckeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games in September. - The Irish have a first year head coach and a QB making his first start. - The Irish are 3-21 in their last 24 games versus the AP Top 5. Verdict: The Irish have no business being ranked in the Top 5 in Week 1. |
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11-27-21 | Ohio State -7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 27-42 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 2 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Ohio State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Buckeyes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite. - The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. - The Buckeyes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Verdict: The Buckeyes have dominated this series. |
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09-25-21 | UCLA v. Stanford +4 | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Stanford. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Bruins are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite. - The Cardinal are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. - The Cardinal are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Verdict: The Cardinal have been a different team since making a change at QB. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama -19.5 | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 266 h 18 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Crimson Tide. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games. - The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. - The Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 bowl games as an underdog. Verdict: The Irish aren't made to play in the College Football Playoff. |
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12-06-20 | Washington State +13 v. USC | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 48 m | Show |
10* |
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10-03-20 | Auburn +7.5 v. Georgia | Top | 6-27 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Auburn. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall. - The Tigers are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games in October. - The Tigers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. Verdict: The Bulldogs offense appears to be struggling. |
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10-03-20 | Texas A&M +18.5 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Ricky's 7* play on Texas A&M. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Crimson Tide are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games. - The Crimson Tide are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. - The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Verdict: The Aggies have given Bama trouble in the past. |
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09-26-20 | Florida State v. Miami-FL -10.5 | Top | 10-52 | Win | 100 | 64 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Miami. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Seminoles are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games. - The Seminoles are 7-15-3 ATS in their last 25 conference games. - The Hurricanes are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games in September. Verdict: The Hurricanes pride themselves on forcing turnovers, which is a weakness for FSU. |
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01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Cincinnati. BC is 6-6 and I think it'll have its hands full here vs. 10-3 Cincinnati. BC lost three of five down the stretch, and only became eligible in its final game of the season by beating the Panthers. Cincinnati lost two in a row to end the year, once in the regular season finale to Memphis and then once again to the Tigers in the conference championship game. The Eagles will be without coach Steve Addazio, who was let go. Rich Gunnell is the interim. BC relies heavily upon the run game of AJ Dillon, who had 1,600 yards on the year, but who will be sitting this one out as he prepares for the NFL draft. The Bearcats have a powerful RB in Michael Warren, who had 1,300 yards and 16 TD's. QB Desmond Ridder is a dual threat and he finished with 17 TD's and nine INT's.) Key Trends: - BC is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest. - Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last six off a road loss (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: Injuries to Dillon will prove to be too much for BC to overcome here; lay the points! |
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01-01-20 | Michigan +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 16-35 | Loss | -115 | 410 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR is on Michigan. I think Michigan's defense can keep it competitive in this one. Each of the Wolverines last four victories came by at least 25 points, as QB Shea Patterson finished with 22 TD's and six INT's. Michigan's strength was on defense though, especially against the run, conceding only 3.03 YPC. The Alabama defense looked shaky this year. Note that it conceded at least 46 points in two of its last four games. The Tide had a fairly easy schedule as well this year. QB Mac Jones is a capable backup for Tua Tagovailoa, but I give the nod to Patterson in the QB matchup department for sure. Key Trends: - The Tide are a poor 5-14 ATS in their last 19 following a SU loss. - The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Alabama is "supposed" to be in the Playoff, but it's not this year. The Citrus Bowl isn't that big and I believe the Tide come in disinterested. I also believe their defense is vastly over-rated. While I do think the outright is possible, in the end let's grab the points! |
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12-31-19 | Texas v. Utah -7 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on Utah. Texas has two very good offensive players in QB Sam Ehlinger and in RB Keaontay Ingram. Ehlinger had 29 TD's and the Longhorns average 35 PPG. Ingram had 795 yards rushing and six TD's, but he's listed as questionable for this game with an ankle injury. In fact, several key players on both sides of the ball are questionable for this one for Texas. Overall the Longhorns conceded 28.9 PPG. The Utes average 34 PPG and they concede just 13.2. They got upset by Oregon 37-15 in the Pac 12 Championship, a loss which coach Kyle Whittingham won't take lightly in my opinion. With one last chance for national redemption, I like the Utes behind QB Tyler Huntley to deliver the goods here. RB Zack Moss finished with 15 rushing TD's and Huntley had 18 TDs, compared to just four INTs. Of note that Utah comes into this bowl game with zero significant injuries. Key Trends: - Utes are 8-1 ATS in their last nine as a favorite. - Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. - Texas is 1-5 ATS in its last six following an ATS win. The verdict: I believe the Utes' suffocating defense proves to be too much for the Longhorns to contend with tonight; lay the points! |
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12-30-19 | Virginia +14.5 v. Florida | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 35 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* play is on UVA. Virginia was crushed 62-17 by Clemson in the ACC Title game, but the Cavs made big strides this season by finishing 9-4. The Cavaliers will have their hands full with a Florida team which finished 10-2. Virginia is led by QB Bryce Perkins. The Cavs average 32.4 PPG and they concede 26.5. Florida is led by Kyle Trask, who has 24 TD's and just six INT's. Overall the Gators average 33.3 PPG and concede 14.4. Key Trends: - UVA is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by 17 points or more. - The Cavs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after a loss vs. the spread. - Florida is only 2-4 ATS in its last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest. The verdict: I see UVA hanging around late and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, all signs point to this one being a lot more competitive than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; grab the points! |
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12-28-19 | Memphis +7 v. Penn State | Top | 39-53 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* BEATDOWN is on Memphis. The Tigers are a good team. They've won seven in a row. That includes a 29-24 victory over Cincinnati in the AAC Championship a couple of weeks ago. QB Brady White has 3,560 yards passing to go along with 33 TD's and only nine INT's. RB Kenneth Gainwell has 1,425 yards rushing, which is sixth best in the country. Overall the Tigers post a whopping 39.3 PPG. Penn State opened with eight straight victories, but it closed by losing two of three. The Nittany Lions ended their season with an uninspiring 27-6 win over Rutgers. QB Sean Clifford has 2,521 passing yards with 22 TD's and only six INT's. Overall the Nittany Lions average 30.3 PPG and concede 14.7. Key Trends: - Memphis is interestingly 4-0 ATS in its last four after a close win by seven points or less over a conference rival. - Penn State is already just 2-3 ATS this year after a win by 21 points or more. The verdict: I think Memphis has a very realistic chance of winning this one outright. I believe that Penn State's defense is going to be pushed to the brink. That said, let's grab the points! |
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12-27-19 | Michigan State v. Wake Forest +4 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Wake Forest. Michigan State was 6-6 this year. It closed out by beating bottom feeders Rutgers and Maryland to reach eligibility. Brian Lewerke leads an offense that averages 238.5 yards per game through the air. MSU's run game is poor though, averaging only 123 YPG, which ranks it outside the top 100. The Deacons though average 297.8 YPG through the air. MSU hasn't been nearly as sharp in defending the pass this year, conceding 210.6 YPG. QB Jamie Newman has 2,693 passing yards with 23 TDs and ten INTs. Key Trends: - Michigan State is just 3-5 ATS as a favorite this season. - The Spartans are 2-4 ATS in their last six when playing on two or more weeks of rest. - The Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after allowing 37 points or more in their previous outing (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think that Newman keeps his team competitive throughout and while clearly the outright isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab the points! |
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12-26-19 | Pittsburgh v. Eastern Michigan +11.5 | Top | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on EMU. Pitt lost its final two games of the year, including a 26-19 home loss to Boston College. EMU also lost its finale, falling 34-26 to Kent State. Pitt' QB Kenny Pickett has a weak 10:9 TD:INT this year. The Panthers average only 20.1 PPG, while conceding 21.8. Eastern Michigan is averaging 29.1 PPG and it's conceding 30.3. But QB Mike Glass III won't be going down without a fight today in my opinion. Note that Glass finished with a 22:10 TD:INT. Key Trends: - The Panthers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. - The Eagles are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 following an ATS loss. - EMU is a sharp 17-5 ATS in its last 22 non-conference games. The verdict: I think the offensively challenged Panthers have a difficult time keeping pace and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything definitely points to a much closer battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion; grab the points! |
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12-24-19 | BYU v. Hawaii +2 | Top | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Hawaii. Both teams were on quite the role until their final contest, losing badly in their finales. BYU had won five in a row and averaged 39.8 PPG during, however it came up short 13-3 vs. SDSU in its final game of the year. Hawaii lost 31-10 to Boise State in the MWC Championship Game. The Warriors average 33.6 PPG and they allow 31.7. QB Cole McDonald led his team to a 6-2 record at home as well. BYU only allows 24.4 PPG, but it only averages 28. QB Zach Wilson has 2,108 passing yards and 11 TD's. Key Trends: - BYU is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 as a favorite (including 0-6 ATS this season.) - The Cougars are only 2-4 ATS on the road this year. - Hawaii is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by 21 points or more. The verdict: Yes the Warriors are terrible defensively, but I think that Wilson and this Cougar offense will struggle to keep pace down the stretch with the home side; grab the point/s! |
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12-21-19 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 11-48 | Loss | -105 | 73 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on CMU. I think the Chips throw everything at this stiny Aztecs team and while I obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, I'll in the end take the points in a contest which I think'll be decided by whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last. CMU was 1-11 last year, but it finished 8-5 this season. The Chips won three in a row before falling 26-24 to Miami Ohio in the MAC Title game. So far the MAC has dominated early in these Bowl games and I like that trend to continue here with Quinten Dormady leading the charge. Dormady had 2,148 passing yards with a 14:6 TD:INT. RB's Kobe Lewis and Jon Ward each finished with 1,000 yards rushing this season. SDSU only allows 12.8 PPG, but I think the Aztecs struggle to contain this balanced offense of CMU. SDSU does not have a big running game, which makes Ryan Agnew, who had 2,175 passing yards and an 11:5 TD:INT, very one dimensional here. Key Trends: - CMU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog. - The Chips are 3-1 ATS in non-conference games this season. - SDSU is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | Top | 51-41 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* SPECIAL is on Utah State. This is only the third time in Kent State's history that it's been to a bowl game. The Golden Flashes finished only 6-6, but a three-game win streak at the end likely helped in their cause ultimatley. Utah State though has the much better defense and I think that the unit will prove to be the difference maker here. Aggies' QB Jordan Love is also a key factor here, as he's projected to be a top 10 QB in the upcoming NFL draft. The Flashes counter with Dustin Crum, who has 2,333 yards passing this year (Love has 3,085.) Key Trends: - Kent State is 5-7 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games (including just 1-3 ATS this year.) - Utah State is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 as a favorite (including 5-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think Love will go ballistic on this suspect Kent secondary and I like the Aggies to shut down Crum; lay the points! |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette +7 v. Appalachian State | Top | 38-45 | Push | 0 | 99 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Lafayette. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement, as App State has won seven straight in this series (is 4-3 ATS in those games.) UL Lafayette held on for a win over UL Monroe last week, with QB Levi Lewis going for 270 yards and three TD's. I think he'll have enough to keep his team in this one late. And he'll of course be leaning heavily on a run game which averages a whopping 274 YPG this season, led by Raymond Calais. The Mountaineers like to run the ball as well behind the strong play of Darrynton Evans. QB Zack Thomas though has also been great, with ten TD's and no picks over his last three games. Key Trends: - The Cajuns are 4-1 ATS in their last five as a road dog of seven points or less. - Louisiana Lafayette is 4-0 ATS in its last four in revenging an upset loss against an opponent as the favorite. - App State is an unimpressive 3-3 ATS at home this year. The verdict: App State smashed UL Lafayette in the 2018 Sun Belt Championship game by 49 points. Look for the Cajuns to keep this one competitive until the very end; grab the points! |
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11-30-19 | North Carolina -8.5 v. NC State | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 78 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* play is on UNC. NC State is going to try and play spoiler here to the 5-6 Tar Heels, but I think that UNC's depth on offense will prove to be too much for the now eliminated Wolfpack to handle down the stretch. The Tar Heels come in off a 56-7 win over Mercer last week. The Wolfpack have lost five straight and while the thought of playing "spoiler" is a nice one, I simply don't think it's going to matter in this particular instance. Outside of a two-point loss to GT last weekend, each of NC State's last four losses has come by at least two TD's. Key Trends: - UNC is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. - The Tar Heels are 2-0 ATS in their last two off a home victory by 17 points or more. - NC State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six off a road loss vs. a conference rival. The verdict: UNC QB Sam Howell has 32 TD passes this year. Expect Howell to destroy his over-matched competition today and lay the points with confidence! |
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11-29-19 | Iowa v. Nebraska +6 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 74 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Nebraska. Iowa's 8-3 and it would love another win here to bolster its bowl bid. Nebraska though is completely desperate for one more victory, as it enters at 5-6. Iowa comes in off back-to-back victories over Minnesota and Illinois. The Cornhuskers have a balanced attack led by QB Nate Stanley. The Cornhuskers have lost four of their last five, but they kept their slim bowl chances alive with a victory over Maryland last weekend. Nebraska QB Adrian Martinez has had an up and down year, but he'll have his opportunities today vs. an Iowa defense which concedes 191 passing yards per contest. Key Trends: - Iowa is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 on the road. - The Hawkeyes are only 3-4 ATS in their last seven after a two-game home stand. - Nebraska is a perfect 2-0 ATS in its last two after scoring 50 points or more in its last game. The verdict: In a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points! |
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11-28-19 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS on Mississippi State. Mississippi State has one last chance to become bowl eligible. At 5-6 the Bulldogs still need one more victory to earn a chance at a Bowl berth. Well, what better opponent than 4-7 Mississippi, who has now officially been eliminated from contention? The only two victories for the Rebels in conference play this year have come against the two worst teams (Vanderbilt and Arkansas.) Ole Miss just gave up 58 points to LSU and it struggles to put points on the board most weeks. MSU has had a difficult campaign as well, but with senior Tommy Stevens back under center, I think the home side delivers the goods in the Egg Bowl. Key Trends: - Ole Miss concedes 298.7 YPG through the air. - Mississippi State is still 15-6 ATS in its last 21 at home. The verdict: Ole Miss ranks among the absolute worst vs. the pass and I think Stevens is going to take full advantage; lay the short points! |
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11-26-19 | Western Michigan -7 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Western Michigan. Western Michigan is 7-4 and NIU is only 4-6. The Huskies need to sweep their remaining games to become eligible, but WMU is looking to better its bowl berth as well. I think the Mustangs deliver the knock out blow for the Huskies here though as they enjoy significant advantages both on the field of play and in the stats/trends. WMU needs to win this game have CMU lose this week to earn the MAC West title. WMU comes in out of its bye week as well, rested and focussed on the task at hand. The Huskies have lost two of their last three in blowout fashion, most recently a 45-17 home loss to EMU. Key Trends: - NIU is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on Tuesday. - WMU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite. The verdict: Expect the Mustangs' superior offense to be the difference in this one; lay the points with confidence! |
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11-23-19 | Nebraska -5 v. Maryland | Top | 54-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER on Nebraska. Nebraska is 4-6 and it only has two games left to become eligible. At 3-7, Maryland is officially out of contention for a bowl berth now. Yes the Terps would love to play spoiler here, but I don't see it happening vs. the desperate Huskers, who I expect to risk life and limb today to pull off the victory. Nebraska has lost four straight, most recently falling to Wisconsin last tie out. Maryland has lost five straight after getting crushed by Ohio State last year. The Huskers looked decent in defeat last week, falling 37-21 to a strong Wisconsin side. QB Adrian Martinez is going to be a difference maker here in my opinion. He has 1,712 passing yards and an 8:7 TD:INT. But he also has nearly 500 rushing yards and another seven TD's on the ground. The Terps come out of their bye week with nothing to play for. In their 73-14 loss to Ohio State they only attempted 17 passes compared to 32 rushing attempts. Key Trends: - Nebraska is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record. - Maryland is a pathetic 3-11 ATS in its last 14 following its bye week. The verdict: As mentioned above, I believe that Huskers' QB Martinez has a big opportunity here and I expect the senior to make the most of it; lay the points! |
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11-20-19 | Akron +31.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is Akron. Akron is 0-10 and playing out the tail end of a miserable season. But the Zips catch a complacent Miami Ohio team tonight that's won four straight, including a 44-3 win over Bowling Green last week to earn the Mac Eastern division title. Akron has terrible numbers, but I think the home side goes up early and then coasts the rest of the way as it looks to avoid any serious injuries. Key Trends: - Akron is 6-2 ATS in its last eight vs. teams with winning records. - Miami Ohio is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite. - The RedHawks are only 1-4 ATS in their last five after allowing 14 points or less in their last game. The verdict: This line is out of control. Yes the Zips are horrible, but the overall situation and this massive spread makes the visitors the correct call here in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-19-19 | Ohio v. Bowling Green +18 | Top | 66-24 | Loss | -107 | 35 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Bowling Green. At 4-6, Ohio needs to sweep its remaing games for a shot at Bowl eligibility. At 3-7, Bowling Green has already been eliminated. That won't stop the home side from trying to play spoiler here though. I think the Falcons do indeed use the thought of eliminating Ohio from contention as motivation today and I expect them to keep this one close until the final moments. Bowling Green comes in off a terrible 44-3 loss to Miami Ohio last week, a setback which put it out of Bowl contention. With nothing to lose though, I expect the home side to try and push the pace throughout. Ohio battled WMU and earned an OT period after it punched a last second TD in regulation. However, its hopes were then dashed in the 37-34 loss ultimately. It was the second straight loss by three points or less and I believe the mentally down-trodden Bobcats come out flat here. Key Trends: - Ohio ranks eight in the MAC allowing 432.6 YPG. - The Bobcats are a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference contests. The verdict: The Falcons are a bad team, but the overall situation highly favors them in this situatoinal spot bet in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-16-19 | Tulane -5.5 v. Temple | Top | 21-29 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* WAKE-AND-MAKE is on Tulane. Tulane broke its two game losing streak with a win last weekend to become bowl eligible and I like the Waves to carry that momentum over here. Tulane's ground game ranks in the top ten in the country, averaging 261.2 rushing yards per game. The Owls also broke a two-game slide to become eligible, but with a game vs. Cincinnati up next, I think the home side gets caught looking ahead here. Key Trends: - Tulane is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road favorite of seven points or less. - The Green Wave is 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing with two or more weeks of rest. - Temple is only 3-4 ATS in its last seven after conceding 14 points or less in its last contest. The verdict: I like Tulane's ground game to slowly break down Temples defense; lay the points! |
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11-15-19 | Louisiana Tech v. Marshall -2.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 100 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Marshall. All good things have to come to an end. Louisiana Tech is 8-1 and it's won eight games in a row. Facing a hungry 6-3 Marshall side that's looking to better its bowl positioning itself, I think the Bulldogs finally stumble on the road here. Overall Louisiana Tech averages 38.1 PPG. The Herd have won four in a row and they're 4-1 at home. Marshall only allows 371 yards of offense per game. Key Trends: - Note that Louisiana Tech is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after playing three straight conference games. - Marshall is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a cover as a double digit favorite. The verdict: I think the Bulldogs finally take a step back here in this difficult venue vs. this top notch defense; lay the short points! |
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11-14-19 | Buffalo -5.5 v. Kent State | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* BLOOD-BATH is on Buffalo. The Bulls go on the road as the favorite here looking for their sixth win of the year. Kent State needs to win out to become bowl eligible. Buffalo has won four of the last five in this series though and I expect the Bulls to continue that run of success today. The Bulls dominate defensively, allowing only 22.3 PPG overall and just 11.3 over the last three. Buffalo has also looked a lot better with QB Kyle Vantrease under center, as he's gone 3-1 with five TD's and a 61 percent completion rate since taking over for the injured Matt Myers. Kent State's been better at home than on the road this year and QB Dustin Crum, who leads the team in rushing, has only one INT. Key Trends: - Note though that Buffalo is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 vs. the conference, including 4-1 ATS this season. - The Bulls are 3-1 ATS in their last four as a road favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range. - Kent State is only 6-7 ATS in its last 13 at home, including just 1-2 ATS this season. The verdict: I like the Bulls to dominate this one defensively and to punch their ticket to eligibility vs. this "on again, off again" Kent State side; lay the points! |
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11-13-19 | Bowling Green +18.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 3-44 | Loss | -104 | 53 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Bowling Green. Miami Ohio is in need of just one more victory to become bowl eligible. But at 3-6, the Bowling Green Falcons are still three victories away. Outright victory here? Likely not! But Bowling Green's post-season aspirations are in the balance here and I think it'll have enough to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Bowling Green comes in off a momentum building 35-6 win over Akron in its last action as well. The Redhawks revolve around QB Brett Gabbert, who has three TD's and no INT's over his last three games. Note though that Miami's last three victories have come by seven, three and seven points respectively. Key Trends: - Bowling Green is interestingly 5-1 ATS in its last six after playing three consecutive conference contests. - Miami Ohio is a poor 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite. The verdict: The Falcons come in out of their bye week and with the extra time off to prepare, I look for them to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample points they've been afforded tonight; play on Bowling Green! |
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11-12-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron +17 | Top | 42-14 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Akron. EMU is 4-5 and desperate for some victories as it looks to run down a bowl berth. The Eagles are just 1-4 in conference play, while the Zips are 0-9 overall and 0-5 in league action. Note that Akron will not only be relishing the thought of playing spoiler here vs. the Eagles, but it's also out for revenge after dropping this game last year by a score of 27-7. The Zips have the second worst offense in the nation, but they actually have a decent defense, allowing only 390 YPG. Eastern allows 455 YPG. Key Trends: - EMU is a poor 6-9 ATS in its last 15 as a favorite (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) - Akron is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a two-game road trip. The verdict: Outright victory? I doubt it. But the conditions are definitely right for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-09-19 | Maryland +44 v. Ohio State | Top | 14-73 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Maryland. I think this spread is WAY too large. Ohio State doesn't need to run up the score on this one to win obviously. The 8-0 Buckeyes are rolling towards the finish line and the 3-6 Terrapins will be just another speed bump in their grand prix season. Maryland QB Josh Jackson is a gun-slinger though and I think he'll have his opportunities vs. this complacent home side. Maryland has been decent against the pass as well of late, most recently holding Michigan QB Shea Patterson to just 151 total yards. OSU QB Justin Fields could also be limited here after he went to the injury tent last time out late in the game. Key Trends: - The Buckeyes are interestingly just 5-6 ATS in their last 11 as a home favorite of 21.5 or more points. - Maryland is a decent 6-2 ATS in its last eight off a blowout loss of 21 or more points to a conference rival. The verdict: This spread is ridiculous. Look for Maryland to put up a fight until the final quarter; grab the points! |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida +2 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -106 | 84 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on USF. Temple is hoping to snap a three-game losing streak here, but I think the 4-4 home side does just enough to secure the small upset on Thursday night. The Bulls enter off a big 45-20 win over ECU and I expect them to carry that momentum over here. Temple QB Anthony Russon now faces one of the nation's best pass defenses, as the Bulls are ranked 17th in that department. The road ahead doesn't get any easier for USF either, with games against heavyweights Cincinnati, Memphis and UCF to finish up the regular season. If not now for the Bulls, when? Key Trends: - Temple is interestingly just 1-4 ATS in its last five "Thusday" night games. - USF is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a win by 21 or more points. The verdict: These two teams are moving in opposite directions right now and I expect those trends to continue; play on the Bulls! |
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11-06-19 | Miami-OH v. Ohio -7 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Ohio. This is a big game. Both teams are 4-4, but 3-1 in MAC action. The winner of this one will take control of the conference. Last year Miami Ohio won this game 30-28, snapping a five game win streak in the series for the Bobcats. These teams are contrasting in styles, with the RedHawks getting the job done on the defensive side of the ball, and Ohio getting big offensive production (Bobcats have won two straight and scored 78 points in the process.) Miami QB Brett Gabbert has been decent this year, throwing for 1,360 pasisng yards, but with five TD's and five INT's. Note that Gabbert has also been sacked 16 times this year. Key Trends: - The Bobcats have 14 sacks this season. - Ohio QB Nathan Rourke has 1,743 passing yards with ten TD's and five INT's. The verdict: The RedHawks weakness on the defensive side is against the pass. Look for the home side to air this one out early and often and expect it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover; lay the points! |
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11-02-19 | Marshall -10.5 v. Rice | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 95 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Marshall. Rice is 0-8, while Marshall is 5-3. The Herd are desperate for one more victory to become eligible and a date vs. the hapless Owls, who post only 15.9 PPG is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked. Marshall enters off a hard-fought 26-23 win over WKU and it is now in control of the West Division standings. Rice QB Wiley Green doesn't have much to work with and his numbers reflect that, as he's thrown for 161 yards or fewer in all seven of his appearances. The Herd though have the top rushing attack in the conference, led by Brenden Knox with 803 rushing yards and seven TD's. Key Trends: - Marshall is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 on the road (including 2-1 ATS this year.) - The Herd are 6-2 ATS in their last eight following a SU home victory (including 2-1 ATS this season.) The verdict: The Owls are down for the count. Marshall comes in off its biggest win of the year, but it has much bigger aspirations than just earning a bowl berth. I think the Herd lay the hammer down from start to finish and I look for them to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover; lay the points! |
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10-26-19 | Washington State v. Oregon -14 | Top | 35-37 | Loss | -109 | 105 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Oregon. 4-3 Washington State is going to get overwhelmed here today by 6-1 Oregon in my opinion. WSU posted a 41-10 win over Colorado last weekend, while the Ducks got over a major hurdle last week by taking out Washington. WSU QB Anthony Gordon leads a passing game which is No. 1 in the country with 440.7 YPG. Yes the defense held Colorado to 320 yards last week, but the week prior it conceded 532 to ASU. Ducks' QB Justin Herbert has 21 TD's and no INT's so far this season. Oregon's defense though is among the best in the country, allowing only 11.9 PPG. The Ducks have also forced 12 INT's this year. Key Trends: - Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. the Conference. - The Cougars are interestingly just 1-4 ATS in their last five after posting 280 yards or more in their previous game. The verdict: For me, the WSU defense is the weak point for the visitors and I look for Herbert to light it up. Combined with the home side's improved defensive play this season, all signs do indeed point to a Ducks ATS rout; lay the points! |
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10-25-19 | USC -13 v. Colorado | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -106 | 82 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT is on USC. Yes USC has major issues at the RB position, but I still think it's going to have its way with the porous Buffalo defense. The Trojans are tied with Utah for the lead after last week's commanding 41-14 victory at home over Arizona. USC back-up QB Kedon Slovis has looked better each time he's hit the field and he has to be feeling confident here after throwing for four TD's and no INT's over his last two games. The Buffs have managed just 13 points in each of their last two games, with QB Steven Montez averaging just 130 passing yards. Key Trends: - The Buffs are allowing almost five TD's per game to opponents. - Colorado allowed Washington State to convert on three plays of over 20 yards last week. The verdict: Last week USC's defense came up with seven sacks. This one has disaster written all over it for the home side in all three phases; I'm laying the points! |
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10-19-19 | Michigan +9.5 v. Penn State | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 51 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Michigan. Clearly it's a big game. I got down early and have a favorable line, but regardless, I think this one is going to come down to the wire. MIchigan is 5-1, and Penn State is 6-0. Last year the Wolverines won this game 42-7. Michigan beat Illinois 42-25 last week. Michigan got by Iowa and Penn State and its hands full with the Hawkeyes last week. The Wolverines average 30 PPG, while conceding just 17. Michigan QB Shea Patterson had three passsing TD's and one rushing in last weeks' victory. Penn State averages 42 PPG, while allowing only eight. But I think the Nittany Lions numbers are skewed, due to a couple of lop-sided blowouts in the early season. Key Trends: - Penn State is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven following an ATS victory. - Michigan is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I think this will be a tight, defensive affair. Grab the points! |
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10-19-19 | Georgia Tech +18.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 43 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* SUPER SHOCKER is on Georgia Tech. Massive upset? Beatdown of epic proportions? Or something firmly in between?! I think the 1-5 Yellow Jackets will keep this one more competitive than what this spread would suggest vs. the 3-3 Hurricanes. I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the Canes after their upset win over then No. 20 Virginia last weekend. The Yellow Jackets on the other hand will be in a foul mood after four straight losses, most recently a 41-23 setback at Duke. Georgia Tech runs the triple-option, but QB James Graham and the Yellow Jackets have struggled on the offensive end so far. But while Miami did look impressive on the defensive side last week vs. the Cavs, the week previous it lost 42-35 to Virginia Tech. The verdict: I think the home side gets caught looking ahead as well to back-to-back tough road games vs. Pittsburgh (leading the Coastal Division right now) and at FSU. The Yellow Jackets have nothing to lose here except another game; I'm grabbing the points! |
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10-18-19 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +3.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Syracuse. 4-2 Pittburgh invades 3-3 Syracuse on Friday night. Outright victory is clearly in the cards, but let's grab the points. Pittsburgh started off the year slowly, but it's since turned thing around with three straight wins. Pitt has looked shaky at times though, especially in a loss to Penn State. The Orange finished 10-3 last year, but so far they've had some troubles adjusting with new QB Tommy DeVito under center. The verdict: But with a much more high-profile game at home vs. Miami next weekend, I think the Panthers get caught looking past this clearly desperate Orange team. This is a season-defining contest for Syracuse and I expect it to play with an extreme sense of desperation in all phases. Also note that Pitt is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after three or ore consecutive SU victories, while Syraucse is 3-1 ATS In its last four afer scoring 14 points or less in its previous game; I'm grabbing the points! |
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10-17-19 | UCLA +7 v. Stanford | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on UCLA. I got down early and have UCLA at the opening line, but since the Cardinal reported that third-string QB Jack West is going to start, the line has dropped between 3 and 4. Regardless, I believe this one now definitely favors the Bruins. UCLA's offense has come to life of late under QB Austin Burton and with nothing to lose (except another game!), the last place Bruins will be giving the pivot the green light from start to finish. The Cardinal beat the Huskies 23-13 two weeks ago, but the change at QB is going to be difficult in my estimation. Key Trends: - UCLA is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range. - Stanford is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 after playing a conference game. - The Cardinal are a poor 1-4 ATS in their last five off a home win vs. a confernece rival. The verdict: I believe that an outright upset is possible, but in the end I'm grabbing the points! |
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10-12-19 | USC +11.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 102 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on USC. USC is 3-2 and Notre Dame is 4-1. The Trojans enter off a 28-14 loss to Washington, while the Irish rolled over Bowling Green 52-0 last weekend. USC though has had a week off to digest its latest setback and with Kedon Slovis now directing the show under center, I believe the visitors can keep this one closer than what this spread would suggest (732 yards passing with five TD's and four INTs). USC also has three backs with over 150 rushing yards, so Slovis has help. USC only allows 411.4 yards of total offense per game, so I think Irish QB Ian Book takes a step back this weekend, after last Saturday's "cream puff" matchup. Key Trends: - USC is already 2-0 ATS this year after one or more consecutive losses ATS. - Notre Dame is 0-2 ATS in its last two after two straight home wins by 14 points or more. The verdict: I think the rested home side can keep this one very close. No outright, but definitely grab up all these points! |
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10-11-19 | Colorado +20.5 v. Oregon | Top | 3-45 | Loss | -106 | 84 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Colorado. Am I suggesting that you should "sprinkle" a little on the money line in this one? Of course not. But I do think that the Buffs can keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the monster spread they've been afforded here. The Buffs pulled off an upset win on the road over Arizona State, before then losing to Arizona this past weekend. Still, Colorado also has a victory over Nebraska as well. Buffs' senior QB Steven Montez is arguably playing the best of his career thus far, averaging 8.3 yards per passing attempt. Yes Oregon is still the best team in the confernce and Justin Herbert faces a weak Colorado secondary, but I think Montez keeps his team in this one late. Key Trends: - Colorado is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 14.5 to 21 points range. - Oregon is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven off a home win vs. a conference rival. The verdict: The Buffs haven't been an "easy out," as both of their losses have been tight. Expect this one to follow suit and grab the points! |
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10-05-19 | Virginia Tech +14 v. Miami-FL | Top | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 96 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Virginia Tech. The Hokies enter off a loss to Duke, 45-10. VT will be focused on the task at hand here and while I’m not in fact calling for the outright upset, I do think that the stage is set for a very competitive battle. Miami Florida is just 2-2 as well, most recently holding on for a tight 17-12 win over lowly CMU. This is a pivotal game as each team looks to keep their bowl hopes alive. Last week VT QB Ryan Willis was 7 of 8 for 112 passing yards, one TD and one INT last week. Fortunately for Willis and company, the Hurricanes have also looked horrible on both sides of the field. Miami also comes out of its bye week, and I think that rest is going to lead to rust. Key Trends: - Miami is just 1-4 ATS in its last I’ve following a SU win. - The Hurricanes are a poor 4-12 ATS in their last 16 conference games. The verdict: Willis won’t have an easy time moving the ball, but neither will Miami. In what I expect to be a sloppy game, I’m going to grab all the points and expect a “nail-biter!” |
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10-03-19 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama +12 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on South Alabama. No outright victory, but I expect this one to be a lot closer than what this line/spread would suggest. Both teams are terrible, meaning that the home field advantage can’t be overlooked as very real factor for the Jaguars tonight. The Georgia Southern Eagles are 1-3, while South Alabama is 1-4. Last year Georgia Southern went 10-3 and it beat EMU in its bowl game, but it lost all of its talent to graduation and now the Eagles are grounded. Georgia Southern’s only win this year has come against FCS Maine. Georgia Southern is also allowing 35 PPG thorugh its first three FBS contests. The Jaguars are only 1-4, but they’ve had the much more difficult schedule to this point. Note that South Alabama played Nebraska in its opener and only lost by 14 (put up 21 points of its own!) And the Jaguars other contests came against Memphis and tough road contests vs. UAB and ULM. Key Trends: - South Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with losing records. - The Eagles are only 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played on field turf. The verdict: I think Georgia Southern is on the ropes and I look for the home side to risk life and limb to pull off the upset tonight. That said, let’s grab all these points! |
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09-28-19 | NC State +6 v. Florida State | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -104 | 102 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on NC State. I think the visitors will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Wolfpack are 3-1 to start, while the Seminoles are 2-2 after beating Louisville at home last weekend. NC State can score, it averages 34.0 PPG, with RB Zonovan Knight leading the charge with 269 rushing yards and three major scores over three games. The WolfPack are also getting solid play from QB Matthew McKay, who has three TD’s and one INT. The run game is strong for the visitors as well with Ricky Person Jr, who will test FSU’s 91st ranked run defense, which allows 159 yards per game. FSU QB James Blackman has also been a manager for the most part, with the Seminoles offense centred around RB Cam Akers. Note though that NC State is allowing just 76 rushing yards per game this year, ranked 14th in the nation. Key Trends: - NC State is 5-1 ATS in its last six off a no-cover where it won SU as the favorite. - FSU is only 6-10 ATS in its last 16 at home. - The Seminoles are a poor 5-11 ATS in their last 16 after playing a conference game. The verdict: While I do think the outright win isn’t out of the question, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these two hungry sides has its hands on the ball last! |
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09-27-19 | Duke v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | Top | 45-10 | Loss | -115 | 83 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* play on Virginia Tech. Both teams are 2-1. The Hokies have looked shaky so far this season, losing to Boston College in Week 1 (five turnovers) and then struggling to get past ODU and FCS Furman. Duke meanwhile has looked a bit better, getting smashed by Alabama in its opener, followed by lop-sided wins over North Carolina A&T and MTSU. The Hokies have a big opportunity today on home field though to reverse their early struggles and I believe they step up and do just that. Note that VT has won three straight in this series. Duke’ QB Quentin Harris has looked sharp in the early going, but his numbers are skewed over the last two games facing such poor competition. The Hokies sport the 88th ranked run defense, which matches up well against Duke, which averages 181 rushing yards per game thus far. Duke has given Harris plenty of protection so far, allowing only one sack to this point, but note that the Hokies rank 17th in the country with 3.33 sacks per game. The home side turns to Ryan Willis to air it out today to Tre Turner and Tayvion Robinson. Key Trend: - Duke has only forced three turnovers this year. The verdict: I’m unconvinced that Duke can keep up this pace and I think that its young QB finally takes a step back today vs. the more experienced home side and in this difficult road venue; lay the short points! |
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09-21-19 | Central Florida -11 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 34-35 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on UCF. UCF started last year 3-0 and it enters this one with a 3-0 record as well. I believe the Knights keep the foot on the gas here and I have a hard time seeing the Panthers keeping pace down the stretch. And if recent history is any precedence, then UCF has to be loving its chances as it destroyed Pitt last year 45-14. The Knights’ offense has been impressive, averaging 50 PPG so far. Last week the Knights smashed Stanford 45-27. Pittsburgh stumbled down the stretch last year to finish 7-7 and it’s also stumbled out of the gates this season by going 1-2. Last week the Panthers feel 17-10 at Penn State. Key Trends: - The Knights allow only 13.7 PPG The verdict: UCF QB Dillon Gabriel went 22 of 40 for 347 yards, four TD’s and zero INT’s last week. All four TD passes went to four different players. Pittsburgh has gotten decent play from QB Kenny Pickett, but I’m not reading too much into last week’s stats. Look for the Golden Knight’s smothering defensive play to be too much for the home side to handle down the stretch; lay the points! |
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09-19-19 | Houston +5 v. Tulane | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -104 | 59 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Houston. It’s the opening of AAC play for both teams. Houston is just 1-2 after back to back losses to two tough opponents in Oklahoma and Washington State. D’Eriq King has been relatively quiet so far, but I think that’s been because of the level of competition to open. The Green Wave have made significant strides and enter at 2-1, but I think they’ll have a hard time containing King and company and this Cougars offense which finished No. 16 in passing in the nation last year. Justin McMillan is a legitimate dual threat back for the Green Wave, but I don’t expect the Cougars to give up as many yards to him as they did to Jalen Hurts. Key Trends: - Houston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 when playing with six or less days rest. - Tulane is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off a home win by 17 points or more. The verdict: Tulane lacks the scoring punch of Houston and while I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I think this one comes right down to the wire; grab the points! |
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09-14-19 | Oklahoma v. UCLA +23.5 | Top | 48-14 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* NCAAF GAME OF THE YEAR on UCLA No outright victory obviously, but after starting 0-2 the UCLA Bruins are going to be desperate to pull off an upset here. With nothing to lose and playing with a sense of season ending desperation, I do indeed believe that the home side will keep this one competitive until the final moments. And would anyone fault the Sooners if they were caught “looking past” their lowly opponent in some small way today, especially after easily beating Houston and South Dakota? UCLA has talent on the defensive side of the ball and Sooners’ QB Jalen Hurts will be tested. OU’s D though is still trying to find itself under new coordinator Alex Grinch, so UCLA RB Joshua Kelly and company will have their opportunities. Key Trends: - Oklahoma is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road favorite. - UCLA is 3-1 ATS in its last four off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: UCLA has the size up front to make things difficult for OU. No outright, but expect this one to come down to the wire. Grab the points! |
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09-13-19 | Kansas +22 v. Boston College | Top | 48-24 | Win | 100 | 100 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on Kansas. Outright victory? Of course not. But I think that BC gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today. BC upset VT 35-28 in Week 1 and then followed it up with a simple 45-13 victory over FCS Richmond in Week 2. KU beat Indiana State 24-17 in its opener, before stumbling 12-7 at home to Coastal Carolina. Kansas has a big bruising back in Khalil Herbert and I believe he’ll be a difference maker today; so far he has 170 rushing yards over the first two games. Key Trends: - KU has played solid defense so far, allowing an average of 4.9 yards per play. - BC has allowed 403 total yards per game so far, so the opportunities for KU will be there tonight. The verdict: BC has a great back in AJ Dillon, but as pointed out above, I think the conditions are right for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest; grab up all those points! |
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09-07-19 | Ohio v. Pittsburgh -5.5 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 115 h 32 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh stumbled vs. Virginia last weekend, but I think the Panthers make adjustments and bounce back big vs. Ohio. The Bobcats are a legitimate MAC contender, but with a game at Penn State next weekend, clearly Pittsburgh can ill afford to look past its potentially dangerous opponent today. However, I’m not reading too much into any “trap” this weekend. I would have though if Pittsburgh had won last week, but because of the setback, that factor gets thrown out the window completely. Key Trends: - Ohio is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after a win by 21 points or more. - Pittsburgh is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by ten points or more to a conference rival. The verdict: The Panthers’ offense stalled against Virginia’s aggressive unit, but i think that Pittsburgh gets back on track with a full four quarter effort and before it’s big matchup on the road next weekend; lay the points! |
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09-06-19 | Wake Forest v. Rice +18.5 | Top | 41-21 | Loss | -108 | 100 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on Rice. Rice didn’t look very good offensively in last week’s 14-7 loss to the Army Golden Knights, but the Owls looked exceptionally good on the defensive end. Wake Forest managed a 38-35 win over Utah State in Week 1, but it pretty much looked horrible on both sides of the ball, especially defensively where it allowed over 410 yards passing. Rice won’t be lacking for confidence today and I believe the visitors are definitely over-rated considering their form last weekend. Key Trends: - Wake Forest is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten as a favorite. - The Demon Deacons are only 4-6 ATS in their last ten non-conference games. - Rice is 5-2 ATS in its last seven off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab as many points as you can! |
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08-31-19 | Fresno State +13.5 v. USC | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 730 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* game of the month on Fresno State. Clay Helton managed to keep his head coaching job for the Trojans last year despite finishing just 5-7. It’s a difficult schedule ahead for USC as well, with Stanford coming to town next, then at BYU, Utah, at Washington and at Notre Dame to follow, I believe the home side does in some small way get caught “looking ahead” to its daunting schedule. USC has plenty of offensive talent and great coaches, but it’s inexperience on its offensive line is a clear weakness. And that’s bad news facing this powerful Fresno State defensive front, which isn’t going to concede many yards on the ground and is therefore going to make the Trojans attack extremely one-dimensional. Key Trends: - Fresno State beat UCLA 38-14 last year. - The Bulldog beat Arizona State 31-20 in the Las Vegas Bowl last season. The verdict: USC also has issues in its secondary. I’m expecting a war until the final whistle; grab the points! |
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08-29-19 | Kent State +26 v. Arizona State | Top | 7-30 | Win | 100 | 733 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on Kent State. Kent State is a train-wreck the last few season and it should once again struggle this year. ASU has to be liking its chances at home after watching Arizona fall on the road in Hawaii in its opener. But the Golden Flashes won’t be going down without a fight. Don’t get me wrong, I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I do think that ASU gets caught looking past its lowly opponent here. The verdict: Kent State returns its entire offensive line, which will benefit QB Woody Barrett. I’m not convinced of this ASU defense, especially all of the new faces up front. Besides, ASU features a new QB in true freshman Jayden Daniels. The Golden Flashes have a golden opportunity here and I’m grabbing the points! |
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01-01-19 | Washington +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 31 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Washington. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Dominant Huskies secondary. Washington just faced the nation’s No. 1 passing attack in the Apple Cup vs. Washington State and it left with a convincing 28-15 victory, allowing just 152 passing yards (beat Utah 10-3 in the Pac 12 Championship as well.) Ohio State is the second ranked passing attack. Key Trends: - Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last five off a close win by seven points or less vs. a conference rival. - Ohio State is just 5-6 ATS as a favorite this year. - The Buckeyes are just 1-3 ATS in their last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest. The verdict: The Huskies have the veteran leadership at QB to keep pace and a defense to slow down the high-flying Buckeyes. Grab the points. |
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01-01-19 | Iowa v. Mississippi State -7 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Mississippi State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. Mississippi State is playing in its ninth straight bowl game and its 9-2 in its last 11 bowl games overall. Iowa is 15-15-1 all time in bowl games and it’s lost four of its last five. Key Trends: - Iowa is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five neutral site games. - The Hawkeyes are interestingly only 1-7 TS in their last eight games played on grass. - Mississippi State is 5-0 ATS in its last five non-conference games. - The Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Mississippi State has the slight edge on both sides of the ball and I’m predicting an double-digit victory today. Lay the points. |
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12-31-18 | Michigan State v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -104 | 32 h 34 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Oregon. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - No offense for MSU. As good as the Spartans are defensively, I just can’t see them keeping pace with the higher-tempo Ducks down the stretch. MSU got the better of Rutgers 14-10 in its regular season finale to finish 7-5, but the win broke a string of two games where it finished in single digits in scoring and would hit the double-digit mark for just the third time in six games. Oregon on the other hand throttled Oregon State 55-15 in the Civil War, rolling up a whopping 510-366 yardage advantage. Key Trends: - Michigan State is just 2-3 ATS as an underdog this year. - The Spartans are just 1-3 ATS in their last four off a home victory. - Oregon is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a favorite. The verdict: Bank on the Ducks running away with this one (quite literally), as the game winds down. Lay the points. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -12 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Clemson. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Suspect run defense for the Irish. This is my “key angle” for this game. The Irish ranked 29th in the country in allowing 113.5 YPG, which is the only opportunity this dynamic Tigers offense will need. Clemson RB Travis Etienne has 1,463 rushing yards and 21 TD’s. Key Trends: - Clemson is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following a SU win. - The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight bowl games. - The Irish are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site affairs following a three weeks or longer layoff. The verdict: too much QB Trevor Lawrence (2,606 passing yards, 24/4 TD:INT). Too much Etienne. Lay the points. |
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12-29-18 | Florida +7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 483 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Florida. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Surging offense. Both teams feature capable offenses and elite defensive units. Florida averaged 34.5 PPG and allowed 20.4, while Michigan averaged 36.8 points and allowed 17.6. But the Gators’ offense was simply on another level down the stretch and I think that momentum gets carried over here and it becomes my “key angle” for this contest (note that Florida posted 46.3 points over its last three games.) Key Trends: - Florida is 4-0 ATS in non-conference games already this year. - Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last skive after its “bye” week. - The Wolverines are a poor 2-9 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: I’m going to recommend to “sprinkle” a little on the money line as well. That said, grab the points. |
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12-28-18 | Auburn v. Purdue +3.5 | Top | 63-14 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Purdue. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - “Home Field Advantage.” This is a neutral site game for the Music City Bowl, but the Boilermakers are located just 350 miles from West Lafayette. Purdue has sold out its allotment of tickets heading into this one. Auburn on the other hand got some bad news in that dynamic playmaker Asa Martin is leaving the team, while QB Jarrett Stidham had already previously announced that he’d be forgoing his senior season to enter the draft. The Boilermakers struggled down the stretch defensively, but with three weeks off to prepare, I think Purdue comes to play today. Key Trends: - Auburn is just 2-5 ATS in its last seen neutral site games. - The Tigers are only 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten non-conference games. - Purdue is 7-1 ATS In its last eight non-conference game. - The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games. The verdict: The stage is set for an upset. That said, grab the points! |
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12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +3 | Top | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Wisconsin. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Recent history and inclement weather. Wisconsin beat Miami Florida in the Orange Bowl last year. Note as well that Miami played six road games this year and it lost three of them in “cold” weather (Virginia, Georgia Tech and Boston College.) This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in late December (Pinstripe Bowl). Key Trends: - Miami is just 5-7 ATS as a favorite this year. - Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as an underdog. - The Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last three off a loss vs. a conference rival. The verdict: This one could come down to the final whistle. Grab the points. |
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12-26-18 | Minnesota +6 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky's 10 play on Minnesota. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Momentum. The Golden Gophers needed a epic win over Wisconsin in their regular season finale to move to 6-6 and to bowl eligibility. I expect the Minnesota to carry that momentum over here into this one. Key Trends: - Minnesota is 5-3 ATS as an underdog this year. - The Yellow Jackets are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Georgia Tech’s four game win streak to end the season was snapped with a loss to Georgia in its finale. I think the “hungrier” team keeps this one competitive late. Grab the points. |
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12-22-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Hawaii +1 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Hawaii. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Momentum and home field advantage. LT comes in off back-to-back losses to Southern Miss and Western Kentucky. Hawaii comes in off back-to-back wins over UNLV and San Diego State. Key Trends: - Louisiana Tech is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a loss vs. a conference rival. - Hawaii is 3-1 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival. - The Warriors are 3-1 ATS in their last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest. The verdict: I think Hawaii’s offense wins the day over the Bulldogs’ defense. Play on the Warriors. |
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12-20-18 | Marshall -2.5 v. South Florida | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Marshall. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Uncertainty at the QB position for the Bulls. Forget the fact that USF lost five straight to end the regular season. The Bulls have plenty of problems on both sides of the ball and I have a hard time seeing them matching pace with this loaded Herd side. But USF is dealing with an injury to starting QB Blake Barnett, who is questionable of this one as well. Backups Brett Kean and Chris Oladokun simply won’t cut it here. Key Trends: - South Florida is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following a SU loss of more than 20 points. - Marshall is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 40 points or more. - The Herd are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 non-conference contests. The verdict: Lay the points, because this one has blowout written all over it! |
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12-19-18 | Ohio -2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Ohio. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - SDSU is amazingly 13-0-1 lifetime vs. the MAC, but I think Ohio’s relentless rushing attack will prove to be just too much for SDSU to hold up to. This is a classic battle in the trenches, as the Aztecs’ strength on the defensive side is against the run, ranked fourth in the nation. But SDSU is going to have its hands full with the Bobcats’ AJ Ouellette, who had a career high 196 rushing yards in Ohio’s win over Buffalo in its second to last regular season game. Ouellette is my “key angle” for this contest. Key Trends: - Ohio is 3-1 ATS in its last four neutral site games. - The Bobcats are 3-0 ATS in their last three after scoring 42 points or more in back-to-back games. - SDSU already just 1-3 ATS in non-conference games this year. - The Aztecs are only 3-4 ATS in their last seven off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: SDSU is healthier than it’s been in a long time, but Ohio is just too strong on both sides of the ball. Lay the points. |
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12-18-18 | Northern Illinois v. UAB -2.5 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on UAB. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Better offense. Both teams are very adept defensively. Although UAB’s defensive unit is slightly better (the Blazers allowed 17.3 PPG and the Huskies allowed 21.5), the Blazers are significantly better on the offensive side, averaging 29.3 PPG, compared to NIU’s 20.7. Key Trends: - The Blazers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. teams with winning records. - NIU is 0-5 ATS in its last five bowl games. - The Huskies are just 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 neutral site affairs. The verdict: This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the points and expect a rout. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State +5 v. Fresno State | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 33 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Arizona State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Manny Wilkins. The ASU QB is 4-1 SU this year in games decided by no more than three points. The oddsmakers believe this is going to pretty much be a “nail biter” as evidenced by this spread. I’m banking on the senior pivot once again performing under pressure and I look for him to keep this team in this one late. Key Trends: - ASU is already 3-0 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. - The Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a close win by seven points or less over a conference rival. - Fresno State is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a neutral field favorite of seven points or less. The verdict: This one has competitive battle written all over it. Grab the points. |
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12-01-18 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh +25.5 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 134 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Pittsburgh. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The Tigers play well at home, but two of their last three games have been decided by 21 points or less and they looked less than spectacular vs. South Carolina last weekend, allowing 510 yards through the air. Key Trends: - The Panthers are 5-3 ATS in their last eight as an underdog. - Pittsburgh is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 vs. the conference. - The Panthers are already 3-0 ATS This year after scoring 14 points or less in their previous game. - The Tigers are already 0-3 ATS this season as a favorite in the 21.5 to 31 points range (and 2-6 ATS long-term.) The verdict: Grab the points. |
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11-30-18 | Utah v. Washington -4.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 112 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Washington. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Utah doesn’t have either its starting RB or QB playing in this one. - The Huskies have dominated this series, going 11-1 in the last 12, with three straight wins including a 21-7 road victory back on September 15th. Key Trends: - Utah is just 2-3 ATS after two or more SU wins this year. - Washington is still 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Look for Jake Browning to end his Pac-12 career with one more big victory. Lay the points. |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5 | Top | 30-29 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Buffalo. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Buffalo plays with revenge after falling 14-13 in this game last year. The Huskies come in with zero momentum with two straight losses. Key Trends: - Northern Illinois is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two or more SU losses. - Buffalo is 5-1 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival. - The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Lay the points. |
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11-24-18 | Utah State v. Boise State -2.5 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 62 h 34 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Boise State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - With a win today Boise State can win the Mountain West conference. Utah State’s strength of schedule is called into question here and the home field advantage factor turns into my “key” angle for this matchup. Key Trends: - Utah State is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records. - Boise State is 4-2 ATS in its last six at home. - The Broncos are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 off a win vs. a conference rival. The verdict: Lay the points. |
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11-23-18 | Oklahoma -2.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 57 h 6 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Oklahoma. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The Sooners will be playing in the Big 12 Championship game regardless of the outcome of this contest, but clearly Oklahoma still has bigger plans in mind sitting at 10-1. WVU needs to win this and have Texas lose (not likely) to be invited to the Championship game. I believe the visitors can smell the blood in the water and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas. Key Trends: - Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. - The Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: I simply can’t see Oklahoma faltering again at this point. Lay the points. |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska +10 v. Iowa | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 49 h 8 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Nebraska. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Nebraska comes in on top form, with quality wins over Illinois and Michigan State. A great “situational” angle here, as clearly the Huskers are playing for pride with no chance at a bowl. Iowa on the other hand is 7-4 and win or lose, it’s not going to affect its standings. Key Trends: - Nebraska is already 3-0 ATS this season against clubs with winning records - The Huskers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 on the road. - Iowa is just 2-3 ATS in its last five vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: The Hawkeyes get caught looking past their lowly opponent, leaving the back door open. Grab the points. |
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11-22-18 | Colorado State v. Air Force -14 | Top | 19-27 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 38 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Air Force. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Senior night. The Falcons won’t be playing in a bowl, but after last week’s collapse against Wyoming, I’m expecting the home side to take out its frustrations on the lowly Rams with a big effort on both sides of the ball. Key Trends: - Colorado State is already 1-3 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival. - Air Force is already 2-0 ATS this year as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range. - The Falcons are 3-1 ATS at home this season. The verdict: Lay the points. |
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11-20-18 | Northern Illinois -5.5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -108 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on NIU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - NIU has already captured the MAC West Title, so last week’s loss to a desperate Miami Ohio team does nothing to its ranking. However, clearly the Huskies will be looking to end the regular season on a winning note before the Champ. game. Key Trends: - The Huskies are already 3-1 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records. - WMU is only 1-6 ATS this season against conference opponents. - The Broncos are already 0-2 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: WMU is already bowl eligible and it has nothing to play for here. The Broncos lost their “mojo” after starting QB Jon Wassink was lost for the season last month. Look for the Huskies to take advantage. |
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11-17-18 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech -5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Georgia Tech. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - Virginia is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 vs. the conference. - Georgia Tech is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 vs. teams with winning records. - The Yellow Jackets are 10-7 ATS in their last 17 at home. The verdict: Home field turns out to be the difference here. Lay the points. |
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11-17-18 | Pittsburgh -6.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Pittsburgh. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 off a win against a conference rival (including 3-1 ATS this year) - The Panthers are already 5-1 ATS against the conference this season. - Wake Forest is already 0-3 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Wake is still without QB Sam Hartman and I have a hard time seeing the home side keeping pace with the high-flying Panthers. Lay the points. |
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11-16-18 | Memphis v. SMU +8.5 | Top | 28-18 | Loss | -107 | 107 h 0 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on SMU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - Memphis is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU wins. -SMU is already 3-0 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. - The Mustangs are 10-6 ATS in their last 16 at home. The verdict: SMU has won two straight and needs one more victory to become eligible. The Tigers are injured and they just punched their ticket to bowl eligibility last weekend. The favorite is primed for an outright upset here. That said, grab the points. |
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11-15-18 | Tulane +10.5 v. Houston | Top | 17-48 | Loss | -108 | 82 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Tulane. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - Tulane is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 7.5 to ten points range. - Houston is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven off a loss against a conference rival and only 9-13 ATS in its last 22 against the conference. The verdict: Tulane comes in off a nice win and is only allowing 22 PPG this year. Grab the points. |
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11-14-18 | Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois -6 | Top | 13-7 | Loss | -111 | 59 h 32 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on Northern Illinois Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - Note that Northern Illinois is 6-3 ATS in its last nine against teams with losing records. - The home team is 6-3 ATS in the last nine in this series. - The Huskies are already 3-1 ATS this season after two or more SU wins. The verdict: Take NIU. |
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11-10-18 | Oregon +3.5 v. Utah | Top | 25-32 | Loss | -103 | 92 h 24 m | Show |
Ricky's 8* play on the Ducks: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Ducks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in November. - The Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games versus teams with a winning road record. - The Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Verdict: Take Oregon |
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11-03-18 | Alabama v. LSU +14.5 | Top | 29-0 | Loss | -106 | 73 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Tigers: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Home field has been a big deal for LSU, and the Tigers have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 in Baton Rouge. Key Trends: - The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November. - The Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games. - The Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Verdict: Take LSU |
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11-03-18 | Penn State +10.5 v. Michigan | Top | 7-42 | Loss | -106 | 68 h 1 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Nittany Lions: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Nittany Lions are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. - The Wolverines are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. - The Nittany Lions are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 conference games. Verdict: Take Penn State |
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10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State +2 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 130 h 57 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* GOY play on the Cougars: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the home field advantage particularly significant. Additionally, this appears to be a classic let down spot for the Ducks coming off a lucky win over Washington due to a missed FG by the Huskies. The Cougars also come off a bye week, giving them more time to rest and draw up a game plan. Key Trends: - The Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. - The Cougars are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games. - The Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Verdict: Take Wazzu |
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10-20-18 | Michigan -7 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Wolverines: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the home team's struggles defensively are particularly significant. - The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games - The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. - The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Verdict: Take Michigan |
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