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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-16-24 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Coyotes | Top | 5-1 | Win | 124 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line (-1.5 goals +120) over Arizona Coyotes, Friday at 9:05 PM ET - Carolina is in a great spot here which is why the odds on the Hurricanes have risen to as high as a -225 favorite on the money line. Where the value is here is with the puck line which is in the +120 range on this one. Regardless of the starting goalies here, we are strong on the Canes in this spot. However, we will mention that the expected starters are Karel Vejmelka for the Coyotes and Pyotr Kochetkov for the Hurricanes. Kochetkov allowed 3 goals in the loss to Dallas but had allowed 2 or less goals in each of his 7 road starts since mid-December - and an average of just 1.4 goals ruing this stretch! Arizona is without #1 goalie Connor Ingram as he was hurt in the 3-1 home loss to Minnesota Wednesday. Vejmelka has lost 14 of 20 decisions this season and has a 3.36 GAA on the season. He has allowed 26 goals in his last 6 starts including allowing at least 4 goals in 5 of those 6 starts! Vejmelka is struggling badly and faces a tall order here. The Hurricanes come to Arizona hungry for a win as they are off a 4-2 loss at Dallas. The Canes team is well-coached and is an especially tough team when off a loss. The Hurricanes had won 13 of 17 games prior to that loss. Unlike red hot Carolina, Arizona has been trending in the other direction. The Coyotes have lost 13 of 17 games and that includes 7 in a row! 16 of last 21 Arizona losses have been by a margin of 2 or more goals. The Coyotes are struggling to score goals so another loss by a multi-goal margin appears likely here. Arizona's has averaged just 1.9 goals scored in last 18 losses. Carolina has averaged 4.2 goals scored in last 14 wins. We look for at least a 4-2 final in this one and the rested Hurricanes off a loss coupled with the Coyotes goalie situation makes a win by a 3-goal margin quite possible here. Road team in a blowout has high probability here per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Carolina is the value play here. |
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02-08-24 | Capitals v. Panthers -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Florida Panthers Puck Line (-1.5 goals -100) over Washington Capitals, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET - Florida is in a great spot here which is why they are a -270 favorite on the money line. Where the value is here is with the puck line which is in the even money range on this one. Regardless of the starting goalies here, we love the Panthers in this spot. However, we will mention that the expected starters are Darcy Kuemper for the Capitals and Sergei Bobrovsky for the Panthers. Kuemper lost his starting job to Charlie Lindgren because of performance but now Lindgren is off a rough start so here comes Kuemper again. He has had a very rough season with his performance away from home being particularly bad. Kuemper has lost 8 of 12 road decisions and has a 3.77 GAA away from home this season! Bobrovsky was in the All-Star game so he was given a break in Tuesday's loss to the Flyers. Now he is back for this start and he is having a fantastic season. This is the perfect situation for a big play on the Panthers as they are off a home loss and now can take advantage of a struggling Capitals team. Washington has lost 13 of 18 games and 9 of their last 12 losses have been by 2 or more goals. Already without Backstrom since late October now they are without Kuznetsov and this Capitals team is just not at the same level as the Caps teams of recent seasons. Florida has been trending the opposite direction of Washington as they had won 13 of 17 games prior to the 2-1 loss to the Flyers Tuesday. The Panthers had scored an average of 4 goals per game last 17 games prior to the loss to Philly. The Capitals have had trouble scoring goals for much of this season and enter this game having scored just 19 goals in last 11 road games! Home team in a blowout per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Florida is the value play here. |
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11-14-23 | Panthers -1.5 v. Sharks | Top | 5-3 | Win | 105 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
#17 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Florida Panthers Puck Line (-1.5 goals +100) over San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:30 PM ET - The Sharks are, by far, the worst team in the league so far this season. San Jose is 2-12-1 but what is particularly alarming about the record is the shots on goal stats in the two wins! The Sharks could easily be winless on the season as their 2-1 win over the Flyers saw the Sharks outshot by a 39-19 margin. The 3-2 win over Edmonton saw San Jose outshot by a 41-18 margin! Also, their 12 losses in regulation have all come by a multi-goal margin! In fact, the average margin of defeat for the Sharks in those dozen losses is 4 goals per game! The Sharks are being outshot 38.4 to 24.1 on the season! This is incredible how they are being outplayed night after night and now they must deal with a red hot Panthers team that has won 4 straight games and 9 of 12. Of course this is why Florida is priced as a heavy money line favorite on the road here but we get the value on the puck line. Remember, San Jose has 13 losses this season and all 12 of the losses that were in regulation were all by at least 2 goals! Florida is scoring 3.14 goals per game this season while the Sharks are averaging just 1.20 goals per game on the season! San Jose has been held to 2 or less goals in 11 of 12 games and Florida is averaging 4 goals per game during their 4-game winning streak. 4 to 2 or 4 to 1 sounds about right here and all signs point to the Panthers handing the Sharks another defeat by a multi-goal margin. Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Florida at an even money price in this one is the value play here. |
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10-26-23 | Ducks v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
#42 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals -115) over Anaheim Ducks, Thursday at 7:07 PM ET -The Bruins are 6-0 this season and only one of the 6 victories was by less than 2 goals. Boston's average margin of victory this season is exactly 2 goals and they are allowing just 1 goal per game. Conversely, the Ducks are 2-4 this season but, other than 1 high-scoring win, Anaheim has been held to scoring just 1.4 goals per game in their other 5 games. We simply can not envision the Ducks being able to do much in the offensive zone in this one given those numbers plus the way the Bruins have been playing. That said, this one is likely another dominating Boston win and we look for the Bruins to improve to 7-0 with another victory by a multi-goal margin. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Boston at a small money price in this one is the value play here. |
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10-17-23 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Sharks | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
#75 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line (-1.5 goals -115) over San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:30 PM ET - The Hurricanes are highly motivated after their first loss of the season and we knew we were going to come with a strong play here after that Canes loss. This Carolina team is again loaded this season while it looks like San Jose will be one of the weakest teams in the league again this season. Last season the Sharks finished with the fewest wins (22 out of 82 games) in the entire league while the Hurricanes were 2nd to only the Bruins in terms of best record in the entire league as the latter had a historical regular season. So far this season the Sharks are 0-1-1 but they should be 0-2-0 with two blowout losses as they lost their opener 4 to 1 and then lost their 2nd game by only 2-1 in the shootout but they were outshot in the game 52 to 21. Complete dominance! Speaking of dominance, a key to this play is that Carolina has already scored an average of 4.3 games in regulation time of their 3 games. This is a dangerous Hurricanes offensive attack once again. The Sharks, on the other hand, have scored just 1 goal in each of their first two games this season! Carolina is sure to respond off the Saturday loss and San Jose had seen 8 of their last 9 losses (dating back to last season) come by 2 or more goals before they were fortunate to hang around in the 2-1 loss to Colorado Saturday. They will not be so fortunate here against a determined and highly motivated road team. The Canes are a massive money line favorite (-300 on the road!) for a reason here and you can also see why the odds suggest a good probability that the winner of this game in San Jose will win it by 2 or more goals. Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Carolina at a very reasonable low price in this one is the value play here. |
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05-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 135 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
#22 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers Puck Line (-1.5 goals +130) over Vegas Golden Knights, Wednesday at 10 PM ET - The Golden Knights lost goalie Laurent Brossoit to injury in Game 3 of this series. Vegas then brought in Adin Hill and he was great in relief but the Knights' skaters really came out flying in that game and something seemed amiss with the Oilers all night long even though they were on home ice. That said, now a still-recovering Brossoit (he also had hip surgery recently) will be getting the start for Vegas or Hill will be making the first post-season start of his NHL career. There is a big difference between coming on in relief in a game in which your team also gets a big lead for you versus getting the start. Hill would be entering this game with a 0-0 score of course and having plenty of time to think about making his first-ever playoff start, etc. That is a much different "animal" per se and we know Edmonton is going to bring it on home ice here after the embarrassing Game 3 loss. We like the Oilers no matter who is in goal here as the Knights have the injured Brossoit, first P/O start Hill, or rusty Jonathan Quick as their choices here. The Oilers, when off a loss, are a perfect 7-0 the last 7. As for laying the 1.5 goals here, the Oilers win in this series was by a 5-1 final at Vegas and BOTH their home wins in this post-season (against the Kings) were by multi-goal margins - 10 to 5 aggregate on those two games. The Oilers, dating back to their red-hot close to the regular season as well, were 19-4 last 23 games before that Game 3 loss. This is bounce back time and we expect Edmonton to improve to 8-0 last 8 times when off a loss. Of course the Oilers are a huge money line favorite for a reason and, that being said, we see a lot of value with the puck line in this one. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Edmonton for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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05-04-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 140 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
#56 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Dallas Stars Puck Line (-1.5 goals +140) over Seattle Kraken, Thursday at 9:30 PM ET - Dallas lost Game 1 due to allowing a shocking 4 goals in the 1st period. The Stars entered the 2nd period down 4-2 and battled back to send the game to overtime only to lose in OT. That said, Dallas did build some momentum after the shocking start to that game and we expect a big bounce back effort here. The Stars have been so strong off a loss. In fact, Dallas is a fantastic 9-1 last 10 times when off a loss. Also, 9 of last 12 Stars wins have been by a multi-goal margin. Amazingly, all 9 of those victories - including 3 of them in their first round series win over Minnesota - were by at least a 3 goal margin. Seattle has been exceeding expectations after their huge upset first round series victory over the Avalanche. However, they come back down to earth here in this one as the Stars defensive play and netminding will be on point after that 5-4 OT loss in the first game. 6 of last 7 Kraken losses have been by at least 2 goals. Also, Seattle's last 2 losses in the Colorado series were by a combined score of 10 to 5. We think this one sets up very well for Dallas to respond huge at home after that ugly first period did them in on Tuesday. Of course the Stars a huge money line favorite for a reason but we see a lot of value with the puck line in this one. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Dallas for a plus money return in this one is the value play here.
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04-18-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
#58 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals +140) over Seattle Kraken, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - Every single game between these teams in the regular season was won by the road team as the visitors won all 3. Also, all 3 were decided by just a single goal. So why this play? It is because now the post-season has arrived and the cream rises to the top and we look for Avalanche and their post-season experience plus home ice edge to help lead the way to a big win here over a Seattle club in the post-season for the first time. The Kraken lost their final two games of the regular season each by a multi-goal margin. There were tight games in yesterday's first day of playoff action but the Kraken have had 11 straight games decided by a multi-goal margin and we like Colorado here. The Avalanche have won 8 of last 10 playoff games on home ice. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model as the Avalanche carry their post-season confidence and dominance from last year right into the post-season. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Colorado for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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03-07-23 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -129 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Pittsburgh Penguins Puck Line (-1.5 goals -130) over Columbus Blue Jackets, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - Pittsburgh is in a great spot here which is why they are a -300 favorite on the money line. Where the value is here is with the puck line which is in the -130 range on this one. Regardless of the starting goalies here, we love the Penguins in this spot. However, we will mention that the expected starters are Elvis Merzlikins for the Blue Jackets and Tristan Jarry for the Penguins. Merzlikins is having a horrific season and Columbus has lost 19 of his 26 starts and he has a 4.15 GAA which is ridiculously high. Jarry has a solid 2.77 GAA and has a 19-7-5 record overall. The Blue Jackets have lost 22 of 29 road games this season while the Penguins are on home ice where they have been rock solid this season. We love the fact that Pittsburgh is off a 4-1 road loss but now back home and the road loss had followed a 4-game winning streak. Also, the Penguins have won 6 straight over the Blue Jackets by a combined score of 28 to 12. That works out to an average score of 5 to 2 and there is certainly nothing average about that! The fact is the Blue Jackets struggle consistently when facing these Penguins and now Columbus enters this match-up slumping as well. The Blue Jackets have lost 10 of 15 games. The Penguins have averaged scoring nearly 5 goals per game in last 6 wins on home ice and Columbus just will not be able to keep up here. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Pittsburgh is the value play here. |
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02-13-23 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Predators | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Arizona Coyotes Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Nashville Predators, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - Nashville is off an OT win but still only 6-5 last 11 games. The big key about the 6 wins, however, is the fact that 4 of the 6 wins were by just a single goal. That means that only twice in last 11 games have the Predators recorded a win by more than a 1-goal margin. Here the Preds are hosting a Coyotes team that has been ultra competitive of late so there is a lot of line value here with the +1.5 goals. Arizona enters this game 3-1-3 last 7 games. Yes, 3 of last 4 losses have been in OT or SO so they were 1 goal defeats. Only once in last seven games have the Coyotes been beaten by more than a 1-goal margin. This should be another ultra-competitive game and we will not pass up on the line value with the big underdog in this match-up. Grabbing the 1.5 goals with the road dog Arizona is the value play here. |
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01-30-23 | Blues v. Jets -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 117 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
#62 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Winnipeg Jets Puck Line (-1.5 goals +115) over St Louis Blues, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - Both clubs enter this game on losing streaks but there is a big difference between these teams right now. St Louis is banged up with injuries and has been getting blown out on a regular basis. Winnipeg is having a much stronger season under coach Rick Bowness (came over from Dallas before this season) but he just laid into his team after a 4-0 home shutout to the Flyers on Saturday! That was 3rd straight loss for Jets but they have not lost 4 straight games all season long! Also, the Jets have a rock solid goalie in Connor Hellebuyck. Even if David Rittich starts between the pipes that would be fine as he has allowed an average of 2 goals last 2 starts. But Hellebuyck is the expected starter here and he is one of the top goalies in the NHL. Conversely, the Blues have allowed tons of goals as their goaltenders are struggling. Probably it will be Jordan Binnington but whether it is him or Thomas Greiss, both have struggled in recent starts. The Blues have allowed 4 or or more goals in 12 of 18 games. The Jets had given up just 2.3 goals per game last 6 home games before that 4-0 loss to Philadelphia. Coach Bowness got the attention of this team after that loss. To a man, these players have been challenged and they will respond here. Jets on home ice and off a home shutout and this is the final game for these clubs before the All Star break. St Louis is hurting and missing some key guys and other guys banged up. Jets the healthier team and on home ice and they are a big favorite on the money line but priced with value on the puck line. Winnipeg has beaten the Blues five straight times! The two wins this season have both been blowouts! The Jets entered this game with last 7 wins by an average margin of 2.4 goals apiece. St Louis has 24 losses in regulation this season and 23 of the 24 have been by at least a 2-goal margin! Home team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Winnipeg is the value play here. |
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01-12-23 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Blackhawks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Chicago Blackhawks, Thursday at 8:35 PM ET - No matter the goalies who start here we like Colorado strongly in this spot. However, we will note that Petr Mrazek is the expected starter for the Blackhawks. He is 2-10-1 with a 4.19 GAA this season! As for the Avalanche, Pavel Francouz is back and healthy and served as the back-up Tuesday and is likely to start here. He has allowed 2 or less goals in 5 of his last 7 starts. Even if Colorado does start Alexandar Georgiev here, he was showing signs of turning things around before his most recent start. In the 3 starts before that rough one he had allowed 3 or less goals in 3 straight starts. The key here is the team on team situation. Yes, the Blackhawks are off B2B wins but they lost 25 of 29 games prior to this 2-game winning streak. Also the win streak features a win over a bad Coyotes team and a win in overtime against a Flames team that fired 47 shots on goal and had a heavy shot edge. The point is we are not impressed. The Avalanche beat the Blackhawks 5-2 earlier this season. Though the Avs have endured some tough sledding on the ice recently, they are still the vastly superior team in this match-up and this is the perfect "get right" game against an outclassed opponent. Chicago just will not be able to keep up here. The Blackhawks are averaging only 1.8 goals scored per game over the last 30 games! Colorado averages 3 goals per game and this is still a team capable of "pouring it on" against weaker foes. This one should end similarly to their 5-2 meeting earlier this season as Avalanche are angry about rallying to tie their most recent game only to allow a late power play goal in the eventual loss. That said, this Avs team is ready to roll tonight. Road team in a blowout per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with the road favorite Colorado is the value play here. |
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12-14-22 | Red Wings v. Wild -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Minnesota Wild Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Detroit Red Wings, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET - Plus money is in the +115 range on this one as of early morning Wednesday. The Wild are in a great spot for a home rout here. Detroit is in 2nd game of a B2B and had top goalie Husso in goal last night. The Red Wings lost key player Dylan Larkin to injury in last night's game versus Carolina also. That is a key blow to a team that was already struggling to score goals. Though it is uncertain how much time Larkin will miss it has been announced already that he will not play in tonight's game. This is a revenge game for the Wild as they lost to the Red Wings earlier this season and we expect Minnesota will take full advantage of the situation. Detroit has lost 3 straight games and has scored an average of only 1 goal per game in this 3-game losing streak. The Wild have won 8 of 11 games and have scored an average of 3.7 goals per game during this stretch. This one shapes up to be a complete mismatch which is, of course, the reason the Wild are 2 to 1 favorites on the money line. The value comes into play here by laying the 1.5 goals on the puck line and getting a plus money return as a result. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Minnesota is the value play here. |
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05-27-22 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Blues | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals +155) over St Louis Blues, Friday at 8:05 PM ET - This Avalanche team that blew a 3-0 lead and lost Game 5 on home ice will bounce back here. That is the kind of loss strong teams bounce back from and certainly the Avs are the much stronger team in terms of how they match up with St Louis. The Avalanche, prior to the Game 5 loss, had won 9 of the last 11 meetings between these teams. Also, 8 of last 10 Colorado wins in this series have been by a margin of 2 or more goals. In all games, 9 of last 11 Avalanche wins have come by a margin of 2 or more goals.  Colorado had won 7 of 8 playoff games in this post-season before the Game 5 loss and are set up well for a big bounce back here at a solid comeback price on the puck line with laying the 1.5 goals. The road team has won 4 straight meetings and 8 of the last 10 between these teams and the strong trend away from home ice continues here. Road team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Colorado at plus money (currently +155 range) is a big value play here. |
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02-22-22 | Predators v. Panthers -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Florida Panthers Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Nashville Predators, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - Florida is an incredible 23-3 on home ice this season. The Panthers are a huge money line favorite here because of their home dominance as well as the fact that the Predators are slumping badly. We can take advantage of this situation by utilizing the puck line and not having to lay any price to have Florida at -1.5 goals. The Panthers have won 17 of 21 games since late December and scoring at an incredible rate of 4.8 goals per game during this red hot stretch! Compare this to the slumping Predators. Nashville has lost 4 straight and 9 of 13 games. Also, the Predators have lost 5 of last 6 road games and we just do not expect the Preds to be able to score enough to keep up with the most dynamic offense in the league! Nashville has scored only 2.2 goals per game during their current 4-game losing streak. Florida, on the other hand, has scored 4 or more goals in regulation time in 15 of the last 21 games. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Florida is the value play here. |
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11-24-21 | Bruins -1.5 v. Sabres | Top | 5-1 | Win | 110 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Buffalo Sabres, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET - Situations just do not come along much stronger than this one. High quality Bruins team off a rare 4-0 shutout loss is facing a slumping Sabres team that can not keep the puck out of their own net. Buffalo has lost 9 of its last 11 games. Also, the Sabres have allowed 5 or more goals in 7 of their last 8 losses. That is just incredibly bad and when you watch this team they just seem so undisciplined and make so many mistakes. A disciplined and focused and angry team like Boston is going to take full advantage of those mistakes no doubt. Bruins come in highly motivated after the 4-0 loss to the Flames. Boston, prior to that defeat, had won 3 straight games and all 3 victories were by identical 5-2 scores. The Bruins are starting to get healthier too while the Sabres are still without injured goalie Craig Anderson and Aaron Dell has been named the starter for this one and he remains winless on the season and Buffalo has allowed at least 5 goals in all 3 of his starts. The Sabres have lost 11 of 15 games since their surprising 5-2 start so they are starting to look like the Sabres of old and that is bad news. The Bruins, on the other hand, before the loss to Calgary, have been looking again like the Bruins of old and that is good news for Boston fans. They are going to pound Buffalo into submission tonight with a convincing win. Road team in a blowout is highly likely per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals (for plus money return currently in the +110 range) with road favorite Boston is a high percentage value play here. |
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07-07-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Montreal Canadiens Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET - The Lightning are on a 13-7 run in the playoffs but 4 of the 13 wins were by just a single goal. That means laying 1.5 goals with Tampa Bay in each of those games would have netted only a 9-11 record. The Canadiens are on a 12-5 run and 1 of the 5 losses was in overtime. That means at +1.5 goals in the last 17 games, Montreal would have a 13-4 record. That is why we're laying the price to have the benefit of having the +1.5 goals on the puck line. While Montreal certainly has a shot at the outright upset here, it is still tough to play against a Cup-winning TB team on their home ice with a chance to hoist the Stanley Cup tonight. However, if the Canadiens do fall short, we are expecting this to be a very close game likely decided by a 1-goal margin. Grabbing the 1.5 goals (and laying about a -140 price in doing so) with road underdog Montreal is the value play here as we expect a huge game from the road team in this one! Note that goalie Carey Price was fantastic in the crease in Game 4 to help the Canadiens fight off elimination and also give them momentum heading into this must win game. |
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06-13-21 | Islanders +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* New York Islanders Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Sunday at 3:05 PM ET - This is a rematch of a playoff series last year and, in that one, New York was tired in Game One and it showed. The Islanders got blasted in that first game 8 to 2 but they were short on rest and off a grueling 7-game series with Philly. This season's set-up is much different and the Islanders are ready to go from the opening drop of the puck in this one. That being said, a ton of line value here in grabbing the +1.5 goals with the Islanders. New York has played 12 games in this post-season and only 1 of them was a loss by more than 1-goal margin! Tampa Bay has played 11 games in the post-season less than half of those games were Lightning wins by more than a 1-goal margin. The road team won each of the last 3 games between these teams in last year's playoffs. Also, the only loss for the Islanders as the designated road team in that bubble format that was by more than 1 goal was the game one loss which was a very tricky scheduling situation for them. Tough defensive-minded team in the Islanders and Tampa Bay will struggle just to win this game let alone win by any kind of margin. While New York certainly has a shot at the outright upset here, it is still tough to play against a Cup-winning TB team on their home ice.  However, if the Islanders do fall short, we are expecting this to be a very close game likely decided by a 1-goal margin.  Grabbing the 1.5 goals (and laying about a -150 price in doing so) with road underdog NY Islanders is the value play here as we expect a huge game from the road team in this one. |
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06-07-21 | Islanders v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over New York Islanders, Monday at 6:35 PM ET - Though Saturday's game got away from them late in the game, the Bruins have looked like the better team in this match-up this season including this playoff series too.  Boston, prior to Game 4, had continued to dominate shots on goal statistically over the prior 6 meetings between these teams.  Rather than lay a -185 price on the money line here, the best value is with the puck line which can get you a plus money return in the +150 range.  Though Boston's most recent win was by just a single goal, 4 of the Bruins 5 most recent wins over the Islanders have been by, not only a multiple-goal margin, a margin of 3 or more goals!  The odds of a Bruins win are good here given the money line and you can see why the odds of that win coming by a multi-goal margin are also quite high.  The Bruins can take a 3-2 lead in this series by defending home ice and getting a win in this one, and per our computer math model, Boston is forecast to do just that in convincing fashion.  Look for the Bruins to go up 3-2 in this series.  Laying the 1.5 goals (and getting big plus money in doing so) with home favorite Boston is the value play here. |
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06-05-21 | Bruins -1.5 v. Islanders | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over New York Islanders, Saturday at 7:15 PM ET - The Bruins have looked like the better team in this match-up. Boston continues to dominate shots on goal statistically over the last 6 meetings between these teams. Rather than lay a -150 price on the road here on the money line, the best value appears to be with the puck line which can get you a plus money return in the +190 range. Though Boston's most recent win was by just a single goal, 4 of the Bruins 5 most recent wins over the Islanders have been by, not only a multiple-goal margin, a margin of 3 or more goals! The odds of a Bruins win are good here given the money line and you can see why the odds of that win coming by a multi-goal margin are also quite high. The Bruins can put a stranglehold on this series with a win in this one, and per our computer math model, Boston is forecast to do just that here in convincing fashion. Look for the Bruins to go up 3-1 in this series. Laying the 1.5 goals (and getting big plus money in doing so) with road favorite Boston is the huge value play here. |
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06-02-21 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Vegas Golden Knights Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Colorado Avalanche, Wednesday at 10:05 PM ET - Vegas was tired in Game One and it showed. They played goalie Robin Lehner after a long layoff and his rust showed. The point is that one should not put too much weight into the 7-1 shellacking that the Golden Knights suffered in Game One. It was a unique situation in more ways than one given the goalie situation and the scheduling situation. The latter was particularly beneficial to the Avalanche as they were well rested and took advantage of that. Marc Andre Fleury has been playing very well and had played the entire series versus Minnesota in the first round and he will be back between the pipes tonight for Vegas. While Colorado is a very strong team and it is tough to play against them the Golden Knights are really undervalued here. They had played a grueling 7-game series entering Game One of this series and it showed. But now they have had a little chance to hit the reset button after getting beat badly in the opener of this series. While Vegas certainly has a shot at the outright upset here, it is still tough to play against a powerful Colorado team on their home ice. However, if the Golden Knights do fall short, we are expecting this to be a very close game likely decided by a 1-goal margin. Grabbing the 1.5 goals (and laying about a -150 price in doing so) with road underdog Vegas is the value play here as we expect a huge response from the road team in this one. |
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05-15-21 | Canucks +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Vancouver Canucks Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Edmonton Oilers, Saturday at 3:35 PM ET - The Canucks are available at about -135 on the puck line in this match-up. Having that extra 1.5 goals on your side could prove very valuable in this game as it should be a rather close match-up. The Oilers are going to the post-season and their spot is locked up as well as their position and so their main focus here is just staying healthy as they tune up for their first-round playoff series against the Jets. As for the Canucks, they still have 3 games left against the Flames after this one. Vancouver had the long pause not too long ago as the covid-19 pandemic was particularly rough in the BC province of Canada. That said, the Canucks are still looking to make the most of these final few games and to build some early momentum for next season which will be here before you know it! The NHL is looking for an October start and getting back to a traditional October start time table for their seasons going forward. If you grabbed the road team at +1.5 goals in each of the last 7 meetings between these teams you went a perfect 7-0! 5 of the 7 wins were outright wins and 2 of the games were losses by just a single goal. With Oilers likely to be the much less focused team here, we feel there is excellent line value with the +1.5 goals and the Canucks. Vancouver is off back to back ugly losses and they want to absolutely hit the "reset button" and work to finish the season the right way these next 4 games. Edmonton has won 3 of its last 4 games but all 3 wins were by just a single goal. Grabbing the 1.5 goals (and laying a reasonable price in doing so) with road underdog Vancouver is the big value play here. |
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05-12-21 | Golden Knights -1.5 v. Sharks | Top | 6-0 | Win | 120 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Vegas Golden Knights Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over San Jose Sharks, Wednesday at 9:05 PM ET - San Jose is certainly not going to lay down here against rival Vegas but the Sharks just do not have it this season. In fact, the Golden Knights have won 7 straight meetings and the average margin of victory has been 2 goals which is what we need here to cash this ticket on the puck line. This is the regular season finale for the Golden Knights and they are still mathematically alive for the top spot in the division. With a win tonight and the Avalanche just losing once in last two games, Vegas would get the top spot. Yes the loss to Colorado Monday really hurt the Golden Knights but they will not hang their heads here. They want to end the season on a high note heading into the playoffs and, as you can tell from the -200 money line on this game, Vegas is expected to do just that. While this line is too pricey on the money line we do see excellent line value with the plus money available on the puck line. The Sharks most recent loss was in overtime but this followed a stretch in which 12 of 16 defeats were by a margin of 2+ goals. San Jose has lost 13 of 16 games overall entering this one. The Golden Knights, prior to the loss to Colorado, had won 14 of 16 games! 11 of last 16 wins for Vegas have been by 2+ goals. Laying the 1.5 goals (and getting solid plus money in doing so) with road favorite Vegas is the big value play here. |
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05-08-21 | Sabres +1.5 v. Penguins | Top | 0-1 | Win | 135 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Buffalo Sabres Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Pittsburgh Penguins, Saturday at 3:05 PM ET - The Sabres won the first two starts that Michael Houser made in goal for Buffalo. Then he and his Sabres teammates had an awful game in Thursday's 8-4 final. As a result, the line on Saturday's game is offering a rare "plus plus" opportunity as you can get Buffalo +1.5 goals and also plus money! The current line sits as high as +1.5 +140 as of about two hours before puck drop and we are stepping in on this one because we have confirmation that the Penguins are starting Maxime Lagace. He has a 3.92 GAA in his NHL career of 17 games (15 starts) and we feel Pittsburgh will try to prevent opportunities in front of the inexperienced netminder. At the same time the Sabres will want to hold the fort at the other end after they (and Houser) were embarrassed on Thursday. That said, this game could be a bit tight and certainly should be much lower scoring than the Thursday game. That means getting the goal and a half at plus money with a relaxed Sabres team playing with no pressure and wanting to end their season on a high note is absolutely the way to go here the way we see it. Grabbing the 1.5 goals (and getting solid plus money in doing so) with road underdog Buffalo is the big value play here. |
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05-06-21 | Devils +1.5 v. Islanders | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
ASA NHL PLAY ON 10* New Jersey Devils Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over New York Islanders, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET - The Islanders have a great home record this season but how motivated can they be here? They really can not catch the #1 or #2 spot in the division and being #3 or #4 does not matter so much when you do not even know who will be #1 or #2 in the division. The playoff match-ups are a complete unknown in the East right now is the point. That said, this is an Isles team that has lost 8 of 13 games. Also, the Islanders have only 5 wins by more than a single goal margin in last 14 victories. The odds of a Devils outright upset or at least of New Jersey staying within 1 goal here are quite strong as you can see. The Devils enter this game having won 4 of 5 games and the loss that preceded this recent winning stretch was a defeat by just a single goal. This one likely goes down to the wire as the Devils continue to play loose and relaxed pressure-free hockey as they know they are not making the playoffs. The Islanders recent struggles continue. Grabbing the 1.5 goals (and only laying small juice to do so) with road underdog New Jersey is the value play here. |
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05-03-21 | Bruins -1.5 v. Devils | Top | 3-0 | Win | 115 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals +115) over New Jersey Devils, Monday at 7:05 PM ET - The Devils took advantage of a struggling Flyers team that stumbled down the stretch and that is why New Jersey enters this game winners of 3 straight games. The Devils face a much different animal now and lets not forget that New Jersey had lost 10 straight games before that 3-game run versus Philadelphia. Now the Devils take on a Bruins team that is still fighting hard to make sure they secure a playoff berth. Also, Boston has been getting healthier of late and this is a Bruins team which has won 3 straight games and 9 of 11. Each of Boston's last 8 wins have come by a multiple goal margin. The average margin of the 8 Bruins wins was exactly 3 goals. Here we just need a win by 2 or more goals and this will be a road team in a blowout per our computer math model as Boston makes it 9-0 L9 wins in terms of those coming by a multi-goal margin. 9 of the Devils last 11 losses have come by a multi-goal margin and this one shapes up to be all Bruins! Laying the 1.5 goals (and not having to lay any juice to do so) with road favorite Boston is the value play here. |
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04-30-21 | Sharks v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over San Jose Sharks, Friday at 9:05 PM ET - The Sharks have won back to back games but both contests were against an Arizona club that has lost 9 of 11 games so San Jose knocking off the struggling Coyotes was not a total surprise. Prior to this, San Jose had lost 8 straight games and they do enter this game at Colorado having lost 4 straight road games. 6 of the 8 losses have come by at least 2 goals. Also, all 4 meetings between the Sharks and Avs this season have been decided by a multi-goal margin and the Avalanche have taken 3 of these by a combined score of 14 to 3. However, the Avs enter this game on their first 3 game losing streak of the season. That means Colorado is certainly not going to overlook anyone and they host a struggling Sharks team they should dominate here.  Of course that is why the Avalanche are a 3 to 1 money line favorite here but where the value can be found is with the puck line and there is no hesitation in being comfortable with laying the 1.5 goals here. Not only is Colorado on a 12-1 run in home games, 9 of the Avs last 11 home wins have been by 2+ goals. Additionally, their #1 goalie should be back for this one as Grubauer is now back from injury. However, if he does not play in this one, it will be Dubnyk between the pipes against the team he started this season with! He will be ready for revenge. We are 100% comfortable with either goalie here and the fact is the Avalanche are the better overall team all over the ice. That is why Colorado has outshot the Sharks by a combined 153 to 104 margin in their 4 games this season. While the Avalanche have scored at least 1 power play goal in 5 straight meetings with San Jose, the Sharks are just 1 for 15 on the power play in last 4 games against Colorado. The Avalanche also could have Rantanen and Danskoi back for this one and that will further boost one of the top teams in the NHL! Home team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Grabbing the 1.5 goals (at a very fair price currently in the -120 range) with home favorite Colorado is the value play here. |
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04-27-21 | Sabres v. Rangers -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* New York Rangers Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Buffalo Sabres, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - The Rangers are still very much alive in the playoff race. New York trails Boston by only 4 points in the standings and they finish the regular season with back to back games against the Bruins in less than 2 weeks. That means New York is certainly not going to take their foot off the gas now and they host a struggling Sabres team here that has nothing to play for. Of course that is why the Rangers are a 3 to 1 money line favorite here but where the value can be found is with the puck line and there is no hesitation in being comfortable with laying the 1.5 goals here. The Rangers have won 6 of 8 games. 21 of New York's 25 wins have been by 2+ goals this season. That means 84% of the time a Rangers win is by a multiple-goal margin! The Sabres enter this game having lost 26 of 33 games! Buffalo's last 3 defeats have been decided by a 13 to 4 combined margin and this included a 6-3 loss to the Rangers. Huge goalie edge for New York in this one. The Rangers start Igor Shesterkin and he is 4-0-1 with a 2.12 GAA versus the Sabres this season. The Sabres start Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen and he just turned 22 years old last month. It will be just his 2nd NHL appearance. He won his first start last week but allowed 4 goals to the Bruins. Even at the AHL level this season and last season he has not been overly impressive as he had a 3.15 GAA last season and has a 3.60 GAA this season. This is a team and goalie and situational mismatch. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model. Grabbing the 1.5 goals (at a very fair price currently in the -110 range) with home favorite New York Rangers is the value play here. |
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04-22-21 | Bruins v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Buffalo Sabres Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Boston Bruins, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET - The Sabres have lost all four meetings with the Bruins this season.  However, 2 of the 4 games have been 1-goal losses and this is an interesting match-up.  Buffalo cleaned house not too long ago and they are still fighting hard.  Taking a look at their last 14 games, only 2 were losses by more than a goal.  That's right, if you took the Sabres at 1.5 goals in each of their last 14 games you would have a 12-2 record!  Buffalo is still competing and they are out for revenge for a season-long beating they have been taking at the hands of Boston.  The Sabres seemed to be headed for disaster with Hutton out and then Ullmark getting hurt.  However, Dustin Tokarski has really stepped up in goal for Buffalo and has allowed just 2.2 goals in his last 5 starts. The Sabres confidence is growing as they have had 7 straight strong performances against quality opposition. Only 1 of the 7 was a 2-goal loss and that was against Boston Tuesday in a 2-0 final where the Sabres arguably deserved better. Jeremy Swayman will start for Boston here and he has made only 5 NHL starts. He has played very well yet is still very inexperienced at this level. Also, he has allowed at least 2 goals in each of his 3 road starts. Considering that as well as Tokarski's success between the pipes for Buffalo, it is hard to envision the Bruins getting much of a margin, if any, in this one! Grabbing the 1.5 goals (at a very fair price currently in the -105 range) with home dog Buffalo is the value play here. |
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04-17-21 | Penguins v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Buffalo Sabres Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Pittsburgh Penguins, Saturday at 3:05 PM ET - The Sabres have an awful history against the Penguins this season. However, this is an interesting match-up. Buffalo cleaned house a little bit and they are still fighting hard. Taking a look at their last 11 games, only 1 was a loss by more than a goal. That's right, if you took the Sabres at 1.5 goals in each of their last 11 games you would have a 10-1 record! Buffalo is still competing and they are out for revenge for a season-long beating they have been taking at the hands of Pittsburgh. The Sabres seemed to be headed for disaster with Hutton out and then Ullmark getting hurt. However, Dustin Tokarski has really stepped up in goal for Buffalo and has allowed just 2 goals in each of his last two starts. The Penguins are off a frustrating loss in the shootout versus the Flyers. The Sabres confidence is growing as they have had 3 straight strong performances against quality opposition. Look for this to be another one here! Grabbing the 1.5 goals (at a very fair price currently in the -115 range) with Buffalo is the value play here. |
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03-30-21 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning -1.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Tampa Bay Lightning Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Columbus Blue Jackets, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - The Lightning are in a great spot for a blowout home win here. Tampa Bay has been off back to back days so they are well-rested here and have had extra time to build plenty of motivation here. That extra hunger stems from multiple factors here. For one thing, the Bolts are off back to back losses and this is a team that has not lost 3 straight games this entire season. For another thing, the Lightning did lose the most recent game against the Blue Jackets and that was a 5-2 loss at Columbus in late January. A lot has changed since then and that includes the fact that the Jackets have struggled badly. Columbus enters this game having lost 4 straight games and 15 of their last 21 games! Of course that plus the revenge factor as well as Tampa Bay's situation is the reason that TB is a money line favorite in the -250 range here. Where we get the value in playing on the Lightning here is with the puck line. We can comfortably lay the -1.5 goals here and get a price of about -105 and we say comfortably because the Blue Jackets have 11 road losses this season and 8 have come by a multiple goal margin. In fact the average margin of those 8 defeats is 3 goals. The last 4 road losses for Columbus, including back to back defeats at Detroit, have come by a combined score of 15 to 3. Our computer math modeling reflects this one getting very ugly for the road team and we completely agree! Laying the 1.5 goals (at a pick'em price currently in the -105 range) with Tampa Bay is the value play here. |
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03-29-21 | Flyers -1.5 v. Sabres | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Buffalo Sabres, Monday at 7:05 PM ET - 17 straight losses for the Sabres. Of course that, plus the Flyers domination of Buffalo this season, is why Philadelphia is a -200 favorite on the money line in this game. While we will not lay that kind of price here we are going to get involved in this one by utilizing the value of the puck line. By laying the 1.5 goals with Philly here we actually lay no juice and get a +125 return on our investment. Of course the key here is that the Flyers must win this game by 2 or more goals. That being said, Buffalo is off a 1-goal loss but this was preceded by 12 of 15 (80%) defeats coming by 2 or more goals. The Flyers most recent win over the Sabres was by a 1-goal margin but this followed 6 straight meetings between these clubs that each were games decided by 2 or more goals. Brian Elliott will be in goal for the Flyers tonight and the veteran is 3-0 with a 0.92 GAA and a .967 save percentage in 4 games (3 starts) versus the Sabres this season. Philadelphia had stumbled lately but are off a key win over the Rangers and they know that if they are going to continue to stay alive in the playoff race, they must get wins against teams like Buffalo. Look for the Sabres losing streak to reach 18 games as a result. Laying the 1.5 goals (for a solid plus money return, currently in the +125 range) with Philadelphia is the value play here. |
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03-11-21 | Rangers v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 150 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over New York Rangers, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET - Panarin is back practicing with the Rangers but he won't be playing tonight. He is the Rangers best player. Shesterkin is the Rangers #1 goalie and he is still out with an injury. That said, New York is still a little short-handed at both ends of the ice here and they are facing an angry Bruins team that is off back to back losses. Boston is a perfect 3-0 this season when off back to back defeats and the last two victories have come by a combined score of 11 to 4. The Bruins are a big favorite here but we get line value by playing them on the puck line at -1.5 goals to get a big plus money return. Boston's last 3 wins have been by a combined score of 16 to 5. The Rangers last 3 losses have all been by multiple goal margins and a combined score of 13 to 4. The Bruins are offering line value here because goalie Rask is out but Halak has been fantastic between the pipes and comes up with another fantastic start here. Halak has had just one bad game this season. He allowed 7 goals in that one but just 1.5 goals per game in his other 8 starts. Another gem here. Laying the 1.5 goals (for a solid plus money return, currently in the +150 range) with Boston is the value play here. |
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02-09-21 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Detroit Red Wings Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Florida Panthers, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Panthers won their opening game this season in a big way by a 5-2 count. Since that big opening victory Florida has won 5 of 8 games and not a single Panthers win was by more than 1 goal. That said, the fact our computer math model is forecasting another very close game here is not surprising. The Panthers have taken 2 of 3 from the Red Wings this season but both wins were by just a single goal while the loss (Sunday) was by a 3-goal margin. That is why Detroit is a much smaller dog in this one on Tuesday in comparison with Sunday's game. That said, the value is with the +1.5 goals here. Despite their last 7 games featuring 3 against this hot Florida team and 2 each against last year's Stanley Cup Finalists - the Stars and Lightning - the Red Wings have only had 3 losses during that stretch by more than a single goal and this was a "murderers row" slate of games. In recent seasons Detroit goalie Thomas Greiss has dominated the Panthers. Look for the Red Wings netminder to continue to be a thorn in Florida's side on Tuesday. Grabbing the +1.5 goals with Detroit is the play here |
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02-03-21 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Detroit Red Wings Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Wednesday at 5:35 PM ET - The Lightning, of course, are the better team here and they are the defending Stanley Cup Champions and they are huge favorites on the money line for a reason. But the Red Wings are very likely to be the more motivated team plus should get solid goal-tending here and we like the value available with the +1.5 goals on the puck line. Thomas Greiss will be between the pipes for Detroit and, in his 6 starts he has allowed a total of only 14 goals in regulation. He has been very consistent in his starts for the Red Wings and not allowed more than 3 goals in any of them. That average of 2.3 goals in regulation time of the 6 starts that Greiss has made is also a big reason that 4 of 6 losses have been by just a single goal and two of those were in overtime. Look for another 1-goal game here. Last season Tampa Bay was also a huge favorite in both games but both were 1-goal games and the Red Wings even got the outright upset in one of those games. Detroit has some guys on the quarantine list but they have already been playing without them and gotten adjusted to that and have still been ultra-competitive most games as you can see from all the tight losses they have had this season. The Tyler Bertuzzi injury hurts but the Red Wings just battled Florida to a 3-2 loss without him on Sunday. Tampa Bay is off a 5-2 win but they entered that game on a 2-1-1 run where each win was by a single goal. Look for another close game here early Wednesday evening. Grabbing the +1.5 goals (and getting a come back price too, currently in +110/115 range) with Detroit is the play here |
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01-16-21 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Senators | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Toronto Maple Leafs Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Ottawa Senators, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET |
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09-28-20 | Lightning -1.5 v. Stars | Top | 2-0 | Win | 165 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Tampa Bay Lightning Puck Line (-1.5 goals +165) over Dallas Stars, Monday at 8:05 PM ET |
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09-04-20 | Canucks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Vancouver Canucks Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Vegas Golden Knights, Friday at 9 PM ET |
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08-17-20 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Coyotes | Top | 7-1 | Win | 150 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Arizona Coyotes, Monday at 5:30 PM ET |
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03-07-20 | Sabres v. Flyers -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 122 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Buffalo Sabres, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET |
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02-25-20 | Senators v. Predators -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -124 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Nashville Predators Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Ottawa Senators, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET |
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02-20-20 | Canadiens v. Capitals -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Washington Capitals Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Montreal Canadiens, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET |
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02-18-20 | Devils v. Blues -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON St Louis Blues Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over New Jersey Devils, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET |
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01-29-20 | Lightning -1.5 v. Kings | Top | 4-2 | Win | 124 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Tampa Bay Lightning Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Los Angeles Kings, Wednesday at 10:05 PM ET |
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12-10-19 | Red Wings v. Jets -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Winnipeg Jets Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Detroit Red Wings, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET |
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03-11-19 | Senators v. Flyers -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
ASA NHL 10* TOP PLAY ON Philadelphia Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Ottawa, Monday at 7:05 PM ET - The Flyers are -270 favorites on the money line. Of course, we're not going there! However, there is great value with Philadelphia by laying the 1.5 goals on the puck line. That line is a available at even money and there is plenty of solid support for the expectation of this game being a Flyers win by two or more goals. The Senators have lost 10 of their last 11 games. The average margin of defeat for Ottawa in those 10 games was 2.4 goals. The Flyers have won 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. Each of Philadelphia's last 4 victories have come by a margin of 3 goals. The Sens went into "fire sale" mode at the trade deadline and their recent level of play reflects that. Conversely the Flyers are fighting hard and very much alive in the playoff race. Philly has won 2 of its last 3 meetings with the Senators and both of those victories came by a margin of 2 more goals. Laying the 1.5 goals (and no juice) with Philadelphia is the value play here. |
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01-16-19 | Sabres v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
ASA NHL 10* TOP PLAY ON Calgary Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Buffalo, Wednesday at 9:35 PM ET - The Sabres are on a Western Canada road swing and playing for the 4th time in 6 nights. Buffalo enters this game having lost 3 straight. The Flames scheduling situation is much better as they are on home ice and playing for the first time since Sunday! Calgary enters this game having won 7 of their past 8 games. The Flames have scored an average of 5 goals per game during this red hot 8-game stretch. Of course that is part of the reason that Calgary is a 2 to 1 money line favorite on home ice for this one. That said, the way to get value out of a situation like this is with the puck line. By laying the 1.5 goals with the Flames bettors get a plus money return of approximately +120 with Calgary. The Sabres have scored an average of just 2 goals per game in their last 9 games. Seeing the numbers above it is no wonder as to why our math modeling is projecting a dominating 5-2 home win for the Flames in this one. Calgary is one of the top teams in the NHL and a legitimate Stanley Cup contender this season. The Sabres had a hot streak earlier this season that was quite exciting for Buffalo of course. However, reality is now setting in as normalcy has returned for Buffalo. The Sabres have lost 15 of their last 21 games. Buffalo's last 11 losses have come by an average margin of 2.2 goals per game and another loss by a multiple-goal margin is in the forecast here. The Flames last 9 wins have come by an average margin of 2.7 goals per game. In road games with an O/U of 6 or more goals, the Sabres have lost 14 of their last 17 games. The Flames have won 5 of 6 games this season when playing with 2 days of rest between games and Calgary has won 10 of 13 games this season when coming off a divisional game. We predict this one turns into a home blowout. Laying the 1.5 goals for a plus money return with Calgary is the value play here. |
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10-18-18 | Red Wings v. Lightning -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Tampa Bay Lightning Puck Line (-1.5 goals) vs Detroit Red Wings, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET |
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03-27-17 | Coyotes v. Blues -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
PLAY ON 10* TOP St Louis Blues Puck Line -1.5 goals over Arizona Coyotes @ 8:05 ET: Not only have the Blues defeated the Coyotes 9 straight times, it has been complete domination. 7 wins in the 9-0 run have come by a multiple goal margin and, in fact, the average margin of victory in the 9 wins is 3 goals! Â With that being said, we like the value here of being able to lay 1.5 goals and get plus money on a Blues team that is off of a loss (rare) and will be ready to bounce back strong. Â The surge has been big for St Louis since Mike Yeo took over for Ken Hitchcock behind the bench and we've seen the Blues became a different team with Yeo leading the way. Â The loss that St Louis just had versus Calgary (3-2 in OT) saw all 3 Flames goals score off of deflections off of Blues skates! Â After that ridiculous result St Louis will take advantage of facing a Coyotes team that is struggling badly again. Â Arizona has lost 5 of its last 6 games and each of the Coyotes last 4 defeats have come by a multiple goal margin. Â In recent seasons, the Coyotes have lost a combined 82 of 109 games against teams with a winning record. Â Facing the hungry and motivated Blues in a spot like this is likely to continue Arizona's misery. Â St Louis has seen each of its last 5 wins come by a multiple goal margin. Â Off of a rare loss and considering their series dominance as well as the fact that the Coyotes are tanking, look for the Blues to respond with a huge effort tonight and win this one by a multiple goal margin. |
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03-16-17 | Sabres v. Kings -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 140 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10* Los Angeles Kings Puck Line -1.5 goals: The Sabres have lost 9 of their last 11 games but they haven't faced the Kings since mid-December and that was a big 6-3 win for Buffalo. You know the Kings will be looking for payback here and what has intensified the situation is the fact that Los Angeles is off of back to back losses and playing their final home game for the next 7 days. After this game the Kings will be heading to Western Canada for a two-game road trip and they won't be on home ice again until next Thursday. This means there is no doubt that LA will have supreme focus for this game and the home team has won the last two games between these clubs by a combined score of 8 to 3. The Kings average margin of victory in their last 13 games is 2.2 goals. The Sabres average margin of defeat in their last 11 losses is 2 goals. With Buffalo in the middle of a tough road trip out west and Los Angeles looking to respond after an embarrassing home loss versus Arizona, this one should easily be decided by a multiple goal margin. LA finds itself in a fierce fight for the final playoff spot out west while the Sabres run of 9 losses in their last 11 games has dashed any glimmering hopes about making the playoffs for this season. Off of back to back losses and playing this game with revenge, look for the Kings to respond with a huge effort tonight and win this one by a multiple goal margin. |
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