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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7 | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
I could write a long email on this one but I won't do it. There's just too much info out there on this one. You take both teams fully rested and healed. You take the more talented team at home with revenge as a huge factor. You take the hungriest player in need of a ring (Durant) and the unanimous defensive player of the year (Green). You take the best offense. You take the -7 and cash it. I won't touch the rest of this series. This is it for me. |
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05-02-17 | Jazz +13.5 v. Warriors | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
The Warriors have rested too long and the Jazz are too tough on defense to let this game get out of hand. I'm on Utah. |
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04-26-17 | Hawks v. Wizards -5.5 | 99-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
The Wizards have had some trouble getting rid of the Hawks in this series but it's time to dominate once again at home. Washington could very well be the best team in the East outside of Cleveland but it's time for us to see this tonight. This is a home dominant team that is very balanced and ready to make their mark in the post-season. |
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04-18-17 | Bulls v. Celtics -7 | 111-97 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm betting on a big comeback by the Celtics tonight. They're going to be dialed in. |
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04-12-17 | Wolves +8 v. Rockets | 118-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
The Rockets are firmly planted as the #3 seed. Harden and the starters will be spared major minutes while the Wolves do everything they can to end their season with a win. We're getting 8 points here and we'll take it for a team that will compete hard under coach Thibs. Kark Anthony Towns has averaged 33.7 points and 18.7 rebounds in the 3 games they've played against Houston this season. The Wolves have lost 8 times in a row in Houston and the Rockets have won 9 out of 10 between them overall. Minnesota fights hard to stop the losing skid and aims for the outright win. This is the best play, my only play, a strong play and my last play for the 2016-2017 regular season. |
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04-09-17 | Wolves -5 v. Lakers | 109-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
It's time for the Lakers to realize that their home fans are screaming for them to lose in order to get one of the top 3 draft picks or else their future will be crippled. The Sixers will get any pick that falls or #4 or worse for the Lakers, but suddenly they've won 3 in a row and went up 1.5 games above Phoenix. The Suns play Dallas in the earlier game and regardless of the outcome, the Lakers know that they have to lose this game. Magic Johnson should congratulate Luke Walton with this recent hot streak for the Lakers by shaking his hand extremely tight and with enough force for Luke to get the big picture once and for all and get with the program for the future of the franchise. I'd love to see the Lakers shoot themselves in the foot, but I'm betting that Minnesota will come in ready to walk over and around the Lakers tonight. |
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04-08-17 | Bucks -6.5 v. 76ers | 90-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
  NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Milwaukee Bucks -6 (-111) Risking 11.94 units to win 10.76 units 7:05pm start
Buy the half point to -6. |
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04-06-17 | Nets +2.5 v. Magic | 107-115 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
The Nets can win 4 in a row here. They dumped the Magic 121-111 on the 1st of this month, beat Atlanta by 9 and clobbered the Sixers 141-118. Now they play the Magic again and Orlando has packed it in with 5 losses in a row and lineup changes that has them seeing imminent changes in the off-season with an expected roster dump and a huge rebuild in the works. Brooklyn is playing for each other and finally having some fun in an otherwise terrible season. Look for Brooklyn to roll with the momentum here in Orlando. Â
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04-04-17 | Wolves v. Warriors -13.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The Warriors have been a covering machine with 9 ATS wins in their last 10 and 5 ATS in a row. They are 7-0 ATS off one day of rest. Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 on the road. Minnesota beat Golden State at home less than a month ago, but the Warriors are owning the league once again and trying to end the season on absolute fire while winning their last 11. Minnesota is out of the playoffs and played their butts off last night to beat the Blazers in a very tough game by a single point at home. The Minnesota starters didn't manage their minutes to be ready to travel and get up for a quick turnaround in Oakland.  I'm on Golden State to keep dominating. |
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04-01-17 | Magic v. Nets -2.5 | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
SportsAtari's Daily ReportsApril 1st, 2017 NBA PLAY OF THE DAY   Brooklyn Nets ** ** to win 5 units 6:05pm start The Nets have been competing harder now than they have been all season. Orlando has beaten Brooklyn 5 times in a row and now the Nets catch them in Brooklyn off a tiring stretch of games including the 116-117 thriller in Boston last night. Contact me. The overtime loss to the Thunder and the loss before that to the Raptors have the Magic far removed from the post-season. The Nets knew they were out a long time ago and now they're just playing for each other and competing. The home team is rested and should compete harder than the visitor coming off extensive minutes for their starters in last night's loss. Take this at -2.Â
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03-31-17 | Nuggets v. Hornets -2 | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are cooked. The Hornets still believe in their chances after a heroic 4th quarter display is their last game in Toronto. Look for Charlotte to bring that extra confidence at home against a sputtering Denver that has already been counted out. |
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03-30-17 | Cavs -5.5 v. Bulls | 93-99 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cavs are tied at the top with Boston and looking to recover from a terrible return from the All-Star break. The Cavs need to make sure they've got the #1 seed with anything less in the East to be considered a failure. Lebron and company will play inspired and they'll attack a team that has packed it in for the season and looking ahead at draft positioning only. Cavs for the cover. |
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03-29-17 | Hornets v. Raptors -6 | 110-106 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
SPORTSATARI'sDaily ReportsMarch 29th, 2017 We owned yesterday. Miami missed the cover by a point. The rest were good at 4-1.  NBA PLAY OF THE DAY   Toronto Raptors -6 (-108) Risking 10.8 units to win 10 units 7:35pm start I like the Raptors at home to cover the 6 points because the Hornets are not playing well and they're coming off a double digit home loss. They're also 0-5 ATS following a loss of 10 pts. or more at home. The back to back spot also doesn't help with the rested home team firing off 6 wins in a row with their last 3 by an average margin of 14.7 pts. Coach Casey didn't praise their last win and wants to continue strictly enforcing the fact that good wins only come off good defensive efforts. We expect Toronto to put their defense first and keep the Hornets under 100 points to cover the 6 points.Â
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03-28-17 | Wizards -9 v. Lakers | 119-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
SPORTSATARI'sDaily ReportsMarch 28th, 2017 We'll take the push after 3 disappointing quarters of play. Congrats to anyone who took the moneyline and won.  NBA 64-64-2: -30.5 units NBA PLAY OF THE DAY   Portland Blazers -1.5 (-105) Risking 10.5 units to win 10 units 10:05pm start The Blazers are smoking hot and the Nuggets just laid an egg in their last game. I don't see how they win this one on the road in a tough building as the Blazers roll with an 11-3 record in their last 14.  BONUS PLAYS (To Win 3 units each) 1. Miami Heat -2 (-115) Risking 3.45 units 2. Golden State Warriors +1.5 (-107) Risking 3.21 units 3. Washington Wizards -9 (-110) Risking 3.3 units 4. Milwaukee Bucks +4 (-110) Risking 3.3 units
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03-28-17 | Nuggets v. Blazers -1.5 | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
SPORTSATARI'sDaily ReportsMarch 28th, 2017 We'll take the push after 3 disappointing quarters of play. Congrats to anyone who took the moneyline and won.  NBA 64-64-2: -30.5 units NBA PLAY OF THE DAY   Portland Blazers -1.5 (-105) Risking 10.5 units to win 10 units 10:05pm start The Blazers are smoking hot and the Nuggets just laid an egg in their last game. I don't see how they win this one on the road in a tough building as the Blazers roll with an 11-3 record in their last 14.  BONUS PLAYS (To Win 3 units each) 1. Miami Heat -2 (-115) Risking 3.45 units 2. Golden State Warriors +1.5 (-107) Risking 3.21 units 3. Washington Wizards -9 (-110) Risking 3.3 units 4. Milwaukee Bucks +4 (-110) Risking 3.3 units
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03-28-17 | Warriors +1.5 v. Rockets | 113-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
SPORTSATARI'sDaily ReportsMarch 28th, 2017 We'll take the push after 3 disappointing quarters of play. Congrats to anyone who took the moneyline and won.  NBA 64-64-2: -30.5 units NBA PLAY OF THE DAY   Portland Blazers -1.5 (-105) Risking 10.5 units to win 10 units 10:05pm start The Blazers are smoking hot and the Nuggets just laid an egg in their last game. I don't see how they win this one on the road in a tough building as the Blazers roll with an 11-3 record in their last 14.  BONUS PLAYS (To Win 3 units each) 1. Miami Heat -2 (-115) Risking 3.45 units 2. Golden State Warriors +1.5 (-107) Risking 3.21 units 3. Washington Wizards -9 (-110) Risking 3.3 units 4. Milwaukee Bucks +4 (-110) Risking 3.3 units
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03-28-17 | Bucks +4 v. Hornets | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
SPORTSATARI'sDaily ReportsMarch 28th, 2017 We'll take the push after 3 disappointing quarters of play. Congrats to anyone who took the moneyline and won.  NBA 64-64-2: -30.5 units NBA PLAY OF THE DAY   Portland Blazers -1.5 (-105) Risking 10.5 units to win 10 units 10:05pm start The Blazers are smoking hot and the Nuggets just laid an egg in their last game. I don't see how they win this one on the road in a tough building as the Blazers roll with an 11-3 record in their last 14.  BONUS PLAYS (To Win 3 units each) 1. Miami Heat -2 (-115) Risking 3.45 units 2. Golden State Warriors +1.5 (-107) Risking 3.21 units 3. Washington Wizards -9 (-110) Risking 3.3 units 4. Milwaukee Bucks +4 (-110) Risking 3.3 units
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03-27-17 | Thunder -1 v. Mavs | 92-91 | Push | 0 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a lay-up and we better not miss it. OKC knows the center lying issue when they're looking towards the playoffs. At the #6 spot and the hope of home court advantage slipping away, the Thunder know that if they don't get their act together on the road, they have no chance at all. This is a 14-21 team on the road and they've got the right opponent to chip away at an ugly losing record. Oladipo has risen to the status of a star shooting guard to couple with the triple double machine in Russ Westbrook. After scoring 125 last night, with the easiest trip from Houston to Dallas, the Thunder will make use of their offensive advantage over the anemic offense of the Mavs who've only won 3 of their last 8 and averaged only 82.3 points in their last three defeats. I'm going heavy on the Thunder in this revenge spot after losing to Dallas earlier this month. It's time to win on the road and the linemakers are handing us a -1 instead of a -3.5 to -4.5, where I believe it should be. Look for OKC to get this done. |
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03-26-17 | Blazers -6 v. Lakers | 97-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
The Blazers have hit their stride with 5 wins in their last 6. They cruised past Minnesota 112-100 without playing anyone more than 30 minutes. They're chasing the final playoff spot in the West, only one game behind Denver in the standings. The Lakers have obviously been tanking and evaluating their young talent by resting or shutting down veterans. They lost 6 in a row and took a shot at the Timberwolves in a 130-119 overtime win in their last game to begin another losing streak without anyone complaining about their lack of effort.  Portland won't let this one slide. Portland dominates this matchup with 11 wins in a row. I'm on the Blazers to cover the 6 points. |
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03-26-17 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -5 | 115-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver has scored 124 or more in their last 5 games out of 6. The Pelican have scored more than 107 four times out of their last five. The game is in Denver and with Portland breathing down their necks, the Nuggets will take advantage of their firepower to abuse the sluggish defense that the Pelicans will bring as both teams aim to exchange points in a Mile High race to the finish. The Pelicans will try to get Boogie Cousins to play through the ankle injury while they also play tomorrow in Utah, so I expect them to back off late into the 4th quarter if Denver continues to push a torrid pace throughout the entire game. I'm on the over 226 and Denver at -5. |
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03-22-17 | Pistons -2 v. Bulls | 95-117 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
  Detroit is a game ahead of the Bulls and a game out of the final playoff spot. The Bulls played a tougher game yesterday that saw Brook Lopez get ejected and he'll be suspended today for sure. If Felicio remains out, the Bulls are going to be very thin in the paint. Jimmy Butler sounds checked out and the Bulls are spluttering without any sense of direction. Rondo and Bulter also played too many minutes in the hard fought overtime loss in Toronto while Detroit was hit by a buzzer beating loss thanks to Brook Lopez. They'll come out fighting tonight while the Bulls lay down tonight. This is a big pick at a great spot that shouldn't lose.
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03-21-17 | Bulls v. Raptors -6.5 | 120-122 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Toronto Raptors end the 0-11 ATS streak tonight at home. |
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03-19-17 | Mavs v. Nets +5.5 | 111-104 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
 1 ATS pick on the Nets playing their best basketball of the season. They catch Dallas at the end of their Eastern conference road trip where they dropped 2 of 3, got destroyed in Philly 116-74 in their last game and 3 losses of 4 overall. The total should also stay under 209 but I'm only locking in the spread.
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03-17-17 | Bucks -7 v. Lakers | 107-103 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
   Fading the Lakers is the right thing to do with the franchise wholeheartedly behind the team tanking for that top lottery pick. To top it off, they're facing our Bucks who've been paying us quite well as they fight for a chance to upset the Cavs, Celtics or Raptors in the playoffs. 6.5 or 7 shouldn't be enough. The Bucks deserve more respect than that right now. They need to take advantage of winnable games like this one and there's no need to look ahead at a much tougher contest against the Warriors tomorrow. Â
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03-17-17 | Magic v. Suns -2.5 | 109-103 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
   Orlando took the fall at Golden State and now they have to play a defenseless team like Phoenix that simply wants to outscore their opposition. The Magic have been one of the  most offensively inept teams this season so the gameplan is simple for this game. In a race for points, I'll take the rested scorers over the barely defensive minded and very confused Magic off a back to back.  Â
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03-15-17 | Bucks +8 v. Clippers | 97-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsMarch 15th, 2017 3 great picks. Going for 2-1 or 3-0.  NBA PLAY OF THE DAY 1. Utah Jazz -2.5  2. Memphis Grizzlies -2.5  3. Milwaukee Bucks +8Â
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03-15-17 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Bulls | 98-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsMarch 15th, 2017 3 great picks. Going for 2-1 or 3-0.  NBA PLAY OF THE DAY 1. Utah Jazz -2.5  2. Memphis Grizzlies -2.5  3. Milwaukee Bucks +8Â
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03-15-17 | Jazz -2.5 v. Pistons | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsMarch 15th, 2017 3 great picks. Going for 2-1 or 3-0.  NBA PLAY OF THE DAY 1. Utah Jazz -2.5  2. Memphis Grizzlies -2.5  3. Milwaukee Bucks +8Â
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03-13-17 | Bucks +4 v. Grizzlies | 93-113 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rolling with the Bucks again. By no means should they be considered an underdog in any matchup at the moment with the way they've been sticking it to teams defensively and rolling offensively. It's been a money train for us and I want to see what they've got against a slumping home team that hasn't won in their last 5 games and blown all 5 of their spreads while the Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6. Â Â |
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03-10-17 | Pacers v. Bucks -2.5 | 85-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Back to the well with the Bucks. |
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03-09-17 | Cavs -5 v. Pistons | 101-106 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
After losing a home and home set to Miami, the Cavs will come out highly motivated and dedicated to performing well under the bright TNT Thursday lights. After the Cavs' 106-90 loss in their previous matchup with Detroit and the fact that the Pistons are coming into this with no rest and a late flight back from a heavy beating in Indiana, it spells a cover for the Cavs. Unlike the Spurs spread that is very shady and sticking so far at -3, with trends highly favoring the Thunder in his home spot, the Cavs have moved their spread 2 points from -3.5 and it's still 5am only in Vegas. Buy it back to -5 for a better bet. Ultimately though, I wouldn't go so high if I didn't feel confident that this spread is still wrong and Lebron will have his guys coming in fierce and ready for a serious bounce back while the Pistons are caught on their heels. I recommend taking the -5.5 or -6 for the same amount.Â
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03-08-17 | Knicks v. Bucks -6.5 | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
 Bucks are looking to catch the Knicks who are stuck in a transitioning wasteland. The Knicks grabbed a win in their last game at Orlando without Melo after losing 3 of 4 with him in. The team moves the ball better without this volume shooting slow motion clog that Melo is who clearly prevents the younger roster to develop the confidence to win games together like they did on Monday. Melo is expected to return tonight while the Bucks keep the pace quick and relentless in their attack to keep rolling. Take the home team and the climbing spread. -6 is where I want it.Â
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03-06-17 | Bucks -3.5 v. 76ers | 112-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
I've been waiting for the perfect spot to do this. This is a necessary high bet and one that has been in the making with lots of patience before wagering. The line at -3 with a half point buy secures the best possible position tonight. The Bucks are hot and scoring well under a new offense with Khris Middleton back in form. They beat the Raptors and Clippers to come into this one with confidence. They've also won 6 of 9 and they're looking for revenge as well since Philly rolled into Milwaukee twice in January and beat them in their own gym. Time for the Bucks to repay the favor. Philly is back on the slow train to draft picks and processing young talent with Embiid shut down for the season. I'm on Milwaukee large. |
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03-05-17 | Celtics -6 v. Suns | 106-109 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
The Celtics are the better team with Thomas returning to his former team to pay them back for getting rid of him. The Suns will allow the Celtics to get into their offensive sets and to move the ball to open shooters throughout the game. After a 115-95 win over the Lakers, the Celtics should be able beat Phoenix by over 6 points today. In an offensive race for points, I'll take Boston. If they play a little defense, then this spread should be no problem. |
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03-04-17 | Nets v. Blazers -11.5 | 116-130 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
Portland is coming off an impressive win, the Nets are returning from Utah after getting trounced once again. Lillard and company are not backing down and will look at securing this win en route to that eighth spot in the West. The Nets are terrible and won't be able to get around the difficulty of travel on a back to back from Utah. I'm on Portland. |
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03-03-17 | Raptors v. Wizards -5 | 114-106 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
We're going with the hotter team in a strong position as a dominant home team to dismantle the Raptors again in consecutive games. Toronto's offense is stagnant at the moment and they'll be managing their minutes for another road game in Milwaukee tomorrow. Take Washington. |
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03-01-17 | Wolves +7 v. Jazz | 107-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Minnesota Wolves +7  I'm on the Wolves with the points tonight. |
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02-28-17 | Hornets -3.5 v. Lakers | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Both teams have been playing terribly but one of them is still looking to compete in the post-season while the other is now in full tank mode. Charlotte needs this more and they're 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between them at Staples Center.The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.I'm on the Hornets. |
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02-26-17 | Celtics -1 v. Pistons | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Smaller play on the Celtics only because they have too many public bets on them and they have another game tomorrow. They've lost two in a row and should come out focused and motivated to get back into competing at the top of the East with the Raps and Cavs. I'm on Boston. |
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02-25-17 | Pacers v. Heat -4 | 95-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Take the Heat to catch the Pacers off guard with both teams on a back to back. Miami is still on a tear and it's them against the league with many teams struggling to figure out how to guard Whiteside. Dragic and company at the moment. |
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02-13-17 | Pelicans v. Suns -2.5 | 110-108 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
The best overall situation tonight is in Phoenix. The Pelicans are in a bad spot after the late loss in Sacramento last night and 40+ mins of playing time for Davis and Holiday with another 38+ for Cunningham. The Suns play at a faster pace and in a race for points, Phoenix should get the better of the visiting team. |
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02-11-17 | Warriors v. Thunder +8 | 130-114 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
OKC is getting too many points at home, rested, against the Dubs who played a physical team in Memphis last night. The atmosphere will be intense. The Thunder aren't going to be able to compete against Golden State in a playoff setting. This is their biggest game of the season. 8 should be too much. |
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02-07-17 | Magic v. Rockets -11 | 104-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
  NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Houston Rockets -10 (-125) 1 pt. buy Risking 5.75 units to win 4.6 units 8:05pm start -------------------------------- Â
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02-06-17 | Thunder v. Pacers -4.5 | 90-93 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
OKC was involved in one of 3 games on Superbowl Sunday. The starters were heavily used at over 34 minutes clocked in for each of them including just under 38 for Steven Adams who shoulders a much heavier load with the loss of Enes Kanter to injury. After a fast paced game with Portland, a heavy workload and 42 points for Russ and a long night to travel to Indiana while distracting their routine with the Superbowl, I don't see how they can compete against a hot and rested Indiana team on a 6 game win streak. Indiana is 19-6 at home this season and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6. The Thunder are 1-4 ATS against the East and 1-4 ATS on the road in their last 5 against teams with winning home records. The Thunder are 3-7 in their last 10 games in the second half of a back to back. Paul George is tearing it up with 29.5 ppg in his last 4 at home. Indiana's defense was incredible on Saturday when they held the Pistons to just 26 points in the second half while forcing 21 turnovers. I like the home team and I'm recommending the half point buy to bring it to -4. |
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01-25-17 | Hawks -1.5 v. Bulls | 119-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Hawks are the best Ats bet of the day. Â |
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01-23-17 | Cavs -7 v. Pelicans | 122-124 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Cavs with a statement win. Â Pelicans still in shellshock after the biggest beat down at home to the Nets. Â |
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01-21-17 | Blazers v. Celtics -8 | 127-123 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Boston should win comfortably in this match-up as the rested home team and Portland playing poorly with the second leg of their back to back in a tough spot. Isiaah Thomas is an absolute beast and deserving as an all star starter over Kyrie Irving.  It's time to show it.  Boston has won 10 of 14 averaging 106.9 and they've have won seven of their last eight home games.  The Blazers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on no rest. Sadly, Portland has become a shell of the  impressive underdog team they were last season.  I'm on Boston to win by 8 or more but I'll take the push if we buy the half point to - 8. |
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01-18-17 | Raptors -5 v. 76ers | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Toronto sends out the bulldog of Bay Street in Kyle Lowry who rested against the beatdown in Brooklyn to face his hometown team in what should be a repeat of recent matchups that sees the Raptors covering their 8th game in a row or over the 76ers. The Raptors are also 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 0 days rest.  Toronto has averaged 120 ppg in their last 5 and they've won 4 in a row and 10 in a row over Philly. They won by 9 in Philly just over a month ago and 7 in a row there. Embiid has come down with an illness and it'll force other ailing players like Noel and Okafor who are both hurting with ankle injuries to pick up the slack and keep the process from sputtering when Philly faces their toughest competition in their recent successes over lesser teams. Toronto should win by 5 or more. |
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01-17-17 | Rockets -7.5 v. Heat | 103-109 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Houston has won 10 of 12 recent games and pummeling opponents who can't average anywhere near their 114.9 average. Miami sits at 98.3 a game and they've lost 18 of their last 22 games with 2 wins in their last 10. Miami returns home off a 6 game road trip but the 3 days off should help them to not get destroyed by 14 or more. Miami is shopping everyone but Whiteside at this point and it's finally time to call their season a bust. Houston needs the easy wins when they can get them with a near perfect Warriors team 4 games above them and only half a game away from the Spurs. I'm liking the 1st half ATS option as well since Houston wants to get out ahead early to rest starters for the back to back spot with the home game against the Bucks tomorrow. I like the 1 point even more at this point for a small wager to win 1.1 units, but you can grab the -7 for the same risk. Nothing else worth hitting on today and a small loss like this can easily be absorbed into tomorrow's wager(s). Houston is miles ahead of Miami and the Heat are crumbling.Â
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01-16-17 | Hornets v. Celtics -5 | 98-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Boston is playing some deadly basketball with only one loss against Toronto in their last 7 games. They've also won of 7 over the Hornets and covered each of those wins. The Hornets have lost 6 of 7. Both teams have had 2 days off with the Celtics clicking and offering too much firepower especially at home with a 12-6 record. Avery Bradley should be returning as well to tighten up the defense. The Celtics covered our last bet and should be alright here to win by 6 or more points against a slumping opponent. |
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01-16-17 | 76ers +8.5 v. Bucks | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
Philly brings back Embiid from his scheduled rest while the Bucks got slapped around in Atlanta and need to travel back for a home game in the afternoon against a young team that has just won 5 of 7 recent games. This really is Philly we're talking about. With the day of rest and the extra day for their budding star, the Bucks are looking at a tough spot to pull ahead with a rather large spread. I'm taking the points with Philly.  Â
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01-13-17 | Celtics +2.5 v. Hawks | 103-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Atlanta has won 7 in a row but the Celtics have won 5 of 6 and 7 of 9. Atlanta is coming home after a 4 game road trip where they faced the Nets, Mavs, Pelicans and Magic in rather easy wins as they definitely rank a tier higher than all of those teams. The confidence is back up but some of it could be false after a rather easy schedule with the only +.500 team during this streak being the Spurs who they defeated in overtime. Boston is the better team. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their past six home games following a road trip of at least a week. Boston averages 4.3 more points per game making them the 8th ranked offense compared to the 20th best with the Hawks. Atlanta is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 at home and the 28th ranked team in Free Throw % compared to the Celtics who rank 5th. Al Horford returning to Atlanta is the storyline and he'll be up for a big game with 2 full days off following this one after 5 of the last 6 games were played at home. Boston should shake up the hot streak with their own offensive fury while catching 2.5 to 3 points on the spread to to help with any close finishes. The Celtics should win outright. |
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01-12-17 | Mavs v. Suns +1 | 113-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
 The NBA wants to showcase their game to foreign countries and Mexico City becomes the host of the Suns and Mavs rematch from last week. The onus is on the league to promote the game to new fans and the best way to do that is to show dynamic offenses that can score back and forth in a fun rally of points. Sadly, they've placed the Mavs who average 95.1 points against the 11th ranked offense of Phoenix who now average over 10 points better than their opponent. This was the case last week in Dallas when the Suns covered a +6.5 spread to win 102-95.  There's a high altitude situation in Mexico City as well and the aging Mavericks had one less day to prepare with a game on the 9th and 3 games in the past week while Suns only played 2 games in the past 7 days with their last one on the 8th in a well fought battle with Cleveland (L:116-120). Suns have won 2 of 3 while the Mavs have lost 3 straight. With more rest, younger legs, better offense and a showcase spot in Mexico City, the Suns should repeat their performance from last week for the win.Â
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01-11-17 | Knicks -2 v. 76ers | 97-98 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is embarrassing beyond belief. The Knicks simply suck right now and it's all in their heads. This is a talented team that can't break out of the hostage situation controlled by the mega-ego of Carmelo Anthony. The storyline is on Derrick Rose right now. This unexcused absence in his last game to be with his mother could help or hurt his headspace. I'm leaning towards a fire to be lit under the Knicks tonight as they recognize and embrace the hate and the doubters tonight. After getting booed out of their own arena, the position and placement of this game in Philly couldn't be any better. The Knicks have lost 8 of 9 with their only win coming off the game we bet on against the Bucks. We're on this one again even though Philly has won 3 of 4 recent games. They should be caught off guard by the energy of the NYK. It's a do or die spot for New York. If they lose this game with a lineup full of seasoned pros and veteran leadership, then it's graveyard time and the death of an ambitious goal to compete in the East with loads of wasted money. This is the game for New York. Their backs are against the wall and no one is going to help them out. It's time to lock the doors of the change room and unite as a team that's out for blood tonight. Philly has to be the victim or the executioner. I'm saying New York wins and I'm on the -2. |
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01-10-17 | Blazers -1.5 v. Lakers | 108-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Daily Reports January 10th, 2017 An absolutely incredible National Championship game to watch as a fan and an extremely stressful one as a bettor. I'm glad we closed our NCAAF with a big 3-0 day and focus our attention on the NBA.  3 picks to make today at 2 units each. The Cavs took the Suns lightly in their last contest and almost paid the price before flexing their talent to take the expected win. Utah is 9-9 ATS at home and 12-7 overall in Salt Lake City. Most bettors know that it's tough to go against them at home but the opportunity is a good one for several reasons. The Cavs won't let up here and will have to show a better effort from start to finish after the last game. The Jazz return home from a lengthy 5 game road trip with only a day off at home and this tends to result in a lackluster or less than full effort performance in these situations. Utah has lost 3 of 4 recent games and 5 of 7 to Cleveland. I'm on the Cavs here on a -1.5 line or -2 for anyone who can't buy half a point.  Portland has owned the Lakers by beating them 5 times in a row in LA and 9 in a row overall including the 118-109 beating 5 days ago. The Blazers are also 6-0 ATS in Staples and coming off a bitter overtime loss to the Pistons at home so they'll be looking to bounce back strong. The Lakers have won 2 in a row over the Heat and Magic. They are not mature enough to show enough hunger and desire to outclass their opponents when they get too overconfident. The 2 wins in a row may hurt them here when facing a tougher team in their own conference. Take the -1 or up to -2 for the same risk.  Atlanta has won 6 in a row and their confidence should be through the roof after the team decided to pull Milsap off the trading block in their decision to compete with a well balanced team. Korver is gone but Tim Hardaway Jr. is developing into a dynamic sharp shooter in his own right. The Nets need to regroup but they don't have the pieces to compete with better teams. After losing by 10 to the Sixers at home, it's getting a lot darker and colder in Brooklyn. Atlanta is on cloud 9 right now and should cover 7 points. Take it up to -8 for the same risk.   NBA 37-30-1: +26.97 units  NBA PLAYS OF THE DAY Atlanta Hawks -7 (-129) 1 pt. buy. Risking 2.58 units to win 2 units. (7:30pm) Cleveland Cavs -1.5 (-120) 1/2 pt. buy. Risking 2.4 units to win 2 units (9pm) Portland Blazers -1 (-116) 1/2 pt. buy. Risking 2.32 units to win 2 units (10:30pm) --------------------------
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01-10-17 | Cavs -2 v. Jazz | 92-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Daily Reports January 10th, 2017 An absolutely incredible National Championship game to watch as a fan and an extremely stressful one as a bettor. I'm glad we closed our NCAAF with a big 3-0 day and focus our attention on the NBA.  3 picks to make today at 2 units each. The Cavs took the Suns lightly in their last contest and almost paid the price before flexing their talent to take the expected win. Utah is 9-9 ATS at home and 12-7 overall in Salt Lake City. Most bettors know that it's tough to go against them at home but the opportunity is a good one for several reasons. The Cavs won't let up here and will have to show a better effort from start to finish after the last game. The Jazz return home from a lengthy 5 game road trip with only a day off at home and this tends to result in a lackluster or less than full effort performance in these situations. Utah has lost 3 of 4 recent games and 5 of 7 to Cleveland. I'm on the Cavs here on a -1.5 line or -2 for anyone who can't buy half a point.  Portland has owned the Lakers by beating them 5 times in a row in LA and 9 in a row overall including the 118-109 beating 5 days ago. The Blazers are also 6-0 ATS in Staples and coming off a bitter overtime loss to the Pistons at home so they'll be looking to bounce back strong. The Lakers have won 2 in a row over the Heat and Magic. They are not mature enough to show enough hunger and desire to outclass their opponents when they get too overconfident. The 2 wins in a row may hurt them here when facing a tougher team in their own conference. Take the -1 or up to -2 for the same risk.  Atlanta has won 6 in a row and their confidence should be through the roof after the team decided to pull Milsap off the trading block in their decision to compete with a well balanced team. Korver is gone but Tim Hardaway Jr. is developing into a dynamic sharp shooter in his own right. The Nets need to regroup but they don't have the pieces to compete with better teams. After losing by 10 to the Sixers at home, it's getting a lot darker and colder in Brooklyn. Atlanta is on cloud 9 right now and should cover 7 points. Take it up to -8 for the same risk.   NBA 37-30-1: +26.97 units  NBA PLAYS OF THE DAY Atlanta Hawks -7 (-129) 1 pt. buy. Risking 2.58 units to win 2 units. (7:30pm) Cleveland Cavs -1.5 (-120) 1/2 pt. buy. Risking 2.4 units to win 2 units (9pm) Portland Blazers -1 (-116) 1/2 pt. buy. Risking 2.32 units to win 2 units (10:30pm) --------------------------
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01-10-17 | Hawks -7.5 v. Nets | 117-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Daily Reports January 10th, 2017 An absolutely incredible National Championship game to watch as a fan and an extremely stressful one as a bettor. I'm glad we closed our NCAAF with a big 3-0 day and focus our attention on the NBA.  3 picks to make today at 2 units each. The Cavs took the Suns lightly in their last contest and almost paid the price before flexing their talent to take the expected win. Utah is 9-9 ATS at home and 12-7 overall in Salt Lake City. Most bettors know that it's tough to go against them at home but the opportunity is a good one for several reasons. The Cavs won't let up here and will have to show a better effort from start to finish after the last game. The Jazz return home from a lengthy 5 game road trip with only a day off at home and this tends to result in a lackluster or less than full effort performance in these situations. Utah has lost 3 of 4 recent games and 5 of 7 to Cleveland. I'm on the Cavs here on a -1.5 line or -2 for anyone who can't buy half a point.  Portland has owned the Lakers by beating them 5 times in a row in LA and 9 in a row overall including the 118-109 beating 5 days ago. The Blazers are also 6-0 ATS in Staples and coming off a bitter overtime loss to the Pistons at home so they'll be looking to bounce back strong. The Lakers have won 2 in a row over the Heat and Magic. They are not mature enough to show enough hunger and desire to outclass their opponents when they get too overconfident. The 2 wins in a row may hurt them here when facing a tougher team in their own conference. Take the -1 or up to -2 for the same risk.  Atlanta has won 6 in a row and their confidence should be through the roof after the team decided to pull Milsap off the trading block in their decision to compete with a well balanced team. Korver is gone but Tim Hardaway Jr. is developing into a dynamic sharp shooter in his own right. The Nets need to regroup but they don't have the pieces to compete with better teams. After losing by 10 to the Sixers at home, it's getting a lot darker and colder in Brooklyn. Atlanta is on cloud 9 right now and should cover 7 points. Take it up to -8 for the same risk.   NBA 37-30-1: +26.97 units  NBA PLAYS OF THE DAY Atlanta Hawks -7 (-129) 1 pt. buy. Risking 2.58 units to win 2 units. (7:30pm) Cleveland Cavs -1.5 (-120) 1/2 pt. buy. Risking 2.4 units to win 2 units (9pm) Portland Blazers -1 (-116) 1/2 pt. buy. Risking 2.32 units to win 2 units (10:30pm) --------------------------
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01-08-17 | Rockets -2 v. Raptors | 129-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
It's going to be very difficult for the Raptors to run with the high octane offense of the Rockets who are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games. 4 of Toronto's starters clocked in over 42 minutes yesterday in the overtime loss in Chicago and now they have to travel back to be ready to face one the scariest teams in the NBA this season. Harden didn't have a good game in his last turn but they continue to win games with their 7th in a row. Houston has to be the pick here with Toronto in a very tough spot to compete through 4 quarters. |
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01-08-17 | 76ers +2 v. Nets | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets have lost 10 of their last 11 games and 5 in row. This is an awful team that will go up against another losing team, but with a very different outlook. The Sixers know that losing a lot has to be part of their growing pains and they lock into the games where they know they have the best chance of winning. As long as Embiid is in the lineup, we're good to go here. The Sixers have won 2 of 3 recent games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 overall and 6-2 ATS on the road. Philly should win this game. |
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01-07-17 | Jazz -3 v. Wolves | 94-92 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
The Jazz have to take wins when they can get them. They have the Grizzlies tomorrow, but this is the most winnable opportunity and they are the type of team that takes advantage of weaker opponents. The Wolves are nowhere near as physical and they're playing on the back end of a back to back after traveling from a loss in Washington to a rested and waiting Jazz team. The Jazz have won 8 of the last 10 meetings and the last 4 in a row by an average margin of 11 points. Utah is also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. Wiggins went off for 41 points yesterday in just under 40 minutes of play alongside Dieng, Towns and LaVine who were all pushed for heavy playing time in a highly effortful loss. Utah at -2 with a 1 point buy gives us a stronger edge but the -3 is also good for the same risk. |
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01-06-17 | Knicks +5.5 v. Bucks | 116-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The bet is good to +6 at the same risk. I don't love this pick because the Knicks are in a funk right now but you have to like the +6 points in a quick revenge game after a very tight ending in the first game of a home and home set. Milwaukee comes in confident and riding a 3 game win streak while the Knicks come in angry and motivated to recapture some pride and respect as a team that should be playoff worthy and a top 5 team in the East. After full participation in practice yesterday and most people feeling good about KP6's ability to put up worthwhile minutes today, we should see the Knicks in contention to win this game. Although the Pacers are up tomorrow for the NYK, this game means a lot more to the short-term memory of the orange and blue. I don't like this team that continues to be held hostage by Carmelo's iso-heavy, ball sticking approach to the offense, but if we can get 6 points then it's worth a bet under 2 units.   --------------------
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01-05-17 | Suns +6 v. Mavs | 102-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Dallas shouldn't be favored by 5 or more on anyone outside of Philly resting Embiid. They do rank half a game above Phoenix but we're looking at two very different teams. The Suns are feeling the heat and the push to play better defense after allowing an awful 112.2 a game. They can score plenty with a 105.8 ppg average compared to 95.6 ppg by Dallas. Averaging more than 10 points above their opponent and getting this line at a +6 to +7 puts us at a cushion in this contest as long as it remain competitive.  It's easy to overlook Phoenix in today's NBA but they have some killer guards and enough veterans up front to challenge anyone. They're coming off a 9 point win over Miami after allowing only 90 points to a similarly offensively anemic team compared to the Mavs. The Suns also battled Utah in Salt Lake City to keep the game within 5 points and they beat the Raptors by a score of 99-91. They've split their past 4 games and allowed only a 95.25 ppg average in this span. After losing their last 6 on the road, they know that this is their chance to stop the ugly streak right here with a great opportunity to enforce their offensive style of play in Dallas. The Suns get 2 days off following this game and they know that the matchup at home on Sunday to Cleveland is not going to be the most winnable opportunity. The time is now for Phoenix to keep up the defensive pressure and hopefully defeat the Mavs tonight. Getting 7 points here makes this pick much more secure. Take it at +6 or +6.5 for 75% of the risk.Â
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12-30-16 | Bucks v. Wolves | 99-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
With the Bucks playing hotter basketball and looking to climb over their .500, 15-15 record, they'll look to take advantage of an inconsistent and under performing opponent in the 10-22 Minnesota Timberwolves. The take here is that because they've got the Bulls tomorrow who will certainly want revenge after the Bucks defeated them in back to back games 2 weeks ago with the last game ending in a 95-69 beatdown, so the Bucks will want to get out ahead early, and hope to balance out their minutes in the second half to avoid fatigue. The Bucks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Milwaukee took the last four in the series, including the last two trips to Minnesota. The Wolves have lost 3 of 4 while the Bucks have won 2 of 3 with an average winning spread of 26 points against Washington and the top defense in the East over in Detroit. I have to take the hotter team here that is playing with playoff aspirations over a young bunch that seem to realize that this isn't going to be their year with a lot longer learning curve with coach Thibs than previously expected. |
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12-29-16 | Mavs v. Lakers -2.5 | 101-89 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
It should be time for the Lakers to finally beat the Mavericks. Dallas has won the last 11 meetings in a row, but they're not the same team anymore with Nowitzki over the hill and running on restricted minutes which has seen him play in only the first half of the last 3 games. Dallas played an awfully ugly and physical game against their rival at home to Houston with heated displays and altercations that were disrespectful at best. They travel to LA with this ugly scene behind them and a tough back-to-back spot before the new year in the Oracle to take on Golden State tomorrow. The Lakers have been at home since Christmas Eve with days off between games and two nights off following this one. This is the final game for the Lakers in 2016 and they get a chance to defeat an opponent that has downright owned them for 11 straight games. Dallas is in a tough spot and the Lakers better wake up here to fight like they did against Utah to secure this win. |
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12-28-16 | Pacers v. Wizards -4.5 | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Wizards have won 8 of 12, 5 of 7, with an 11-6 home record and 7 in a row at home. The Pacers are 4-12 on the road and losers of 5 of 7 with 3 losses in a row. Their last win was against the Wizards and Washington hasn't forgotten. The Wizards are doing a great job at exacting revenge on teams that beat them in their previous meeting. The Bucks and Bulls have felt it and it's Indiana's turn to feel the heat of a hot home team that wants redemption and respect from a league that easily overlooks a powerful backcourt and an emerging star in Otto Porter Jr. John Wall knows that when Isaiah Thomas makes the cut this year as an All-Star, it's going to be his head on the chopping block. The Pacers made the wrong choice in hiring Nate McMillan as their head coach. Indiana is simply not scaring anyone and currently sliding in the opposite direction. I'm on the Wizards -4 with a half point buy for a small wager. Better games ahead. |
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12-27-16 | Jazz -5 v. Lakers | 102-100 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Lakertown so I'm not going to get concerned about this being a road game. I'm looking at the most motivated and inspired team of the night and it has to be Utah. After losing a 3 games in a row with two of those losses coming from two of the top 4 teams from last season (GSW, TOR), the Jazz look to pick it up tonight in LA with 3 days of rest. The 76ers are up next for Utah in a couple days so there's no lookahead spot either. Utah likes to beat down on opponents under .500 with a 20-7 ATS record in these spots. The Lakers are coming off a relieving win to stop the bleeding against their arena rival on Christmas Day but they've lost 12 of 14. Utah is much more physical and D'Angelo Russell isn't 100% out there with a sore knee. If Utah shows us their defense, it should be an easy cover. |
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12-23-16 | Thunder +4 v. Celtics | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
+4 isn't bad either but I can't pass up a +5 for OKC catching Boston in a tough spot. 2 unit pick either way. The Celtics are in a sandwich game situation after beating the Pacers last night in Indiana and boarding the late flight back home for a non-conference game before the big Christmas matchup at noon in Madison Square Garden. The Celtics have been on the road and have this quick stop home before going out again. They've played 3 overtime games in a row and a well fought 7 pt. win in Indiana. The Thunder dumped on the Pelicans 121-110 on Wednesday and should be rested and ready for their only game on one of the best places to play ball in the country or the world. Getting the 5 points here is what gives us an extra edge against a team that has been involved in many close contests in the 4th quarter. Straightforward 2 unit pick. If we lose, we'll recalculate and we'll be ready for Christmas Day. If we win, we set the next goal and move on.  Happy Holidays folks,  Ari Atari-----------------------
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12-22-16 | Warriors -14 v. Nets | 117-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
We're going to take a shot at the hottest team in the league that has simply dismantled their opponents over the last 3 games by an average win margin of 29 points. The Nets are far worse than Utah, Portland and New York. Brooklyn is in an unfair spot where they have to face Cleveland tomorrow before the Cavs and Warriors face-off on Christmas Day. The Warriors also have to face the Pistons tomorrow, but if they're going to take a lazy night off on the court, it should be tomorrow and not tonight. Grab it at -14 or -13.5 for the same amount.Â
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12-21-16 | Kings v. Jazz -7.5 | 94-93 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 21st, 2016  Utah Jazz -7.5 (-108)  Risking 1.08 units to win 1 unit 9:05pm start
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12-21-16 | Wolves +5 v. Hawks | 92-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 21st, 2016  NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Minnesota Timberwolves +5(-105)  Risking 2.1 units to win 2 units 7:35pm start ----------------------- Â
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12-20-16 | Celtics -2 v. Grizzlies | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Memphis has lost 3 of 4 with an average of 86 points scored. The offense is cold, Gasol is cold, the rotation is out of whack and they have to travel tonight and play against Detroit tomorrow. As players on Memphis attempt a not-so healthy return to the lineup, their coach and like-minded spectators can notice that they may be rushing things. The rotation had just beaten the Cavs and 6 wins in a row before the back to back set with Cleveland. They had adjusted and regrouped with a new tone of offense. Now they have to figure out how to balance what was working with what used to work under their old rotation. Boston got healthier, won two in a row with dominant wins coming out of the overtime period. The Celtics are showing toughness in clutch situations and they'll need that against a team that routinely plays closely contested games. Boston is stepping up defensively and winning with team cohesiveness. I'm on Boston. |
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12-18-16 | Celtics -4.5 v. Heat | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Daily Reports December 18th, 2016 2 plays to make.Celtics are healthy and ready to grab a dominant win without overtime after 2 previous losses without Thomas in the lineup. Raptors are so hot on offense its scary what will happen when they return to playing defense again. After losing their last one to the Hawks and all the focus being laid on them by coach Casey to win the game on the defensive side, the Raptors should bring the Magic back to their offensively inept ways. Let's give it a go and take the 1-1 if we have to.     |
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12-18-16 | Raptors -6 v. Magic | 109-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Daily Reports December 18th, 2016Â 2 plays to make.Celtics are healthy and ready to grab a dominant win without overtime after 2 previous losses without Thomas in the lineup. Raptors are so hot on offense its scary what will happen when they return to playing defense again. After losing their last one to the Hawks and all the focus being laid on them by coach Casey to win the game on the defensive side, the Raptors should bring the Magic back to their offensively inept ways. Let's give it a go and take the 1-1 if we have to. Â |
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12-16-16 | Bucks +5 v. Bulls | 95-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 16th, 2016 There are 3 picks that stand above the rest and with plenty of numbers to eliminate off the line, we can go for all 3 and do the math for Saturday when the final horn sounds tonight. We're going 2-1 or 3-0. Let's get it.  NBA PLAY OF THE DAY 1. Houston Rockets -11 (-115) Bought 1/2 pt. (8:05pm) Risking 4 units to win 3.48 units 2. LA Lakers +2 (-107) (8:05pm) Risking 3.72 units to win 3.48 units 3. Milwaukee Bucks +5 (-110) (8:05pm) Risking 3.83 units to win 3.48 units
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12-16-16 | Lakers +2 v. 76ers | 100-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 16th, 2016 There are 3 picks that stand above the rest and with plenty of numbers to eliminate off the line, we can go for all 3 and do the math for Saturday when the final horn sounds tonight. We're going 2-1 or 3-0. Let's get it.  NBA PLAY OF THE DAY 1. Houston Rockets -11 (-115) Bought 1/2 pt. (8:05pm) Risking 4 units to win 3.48 units 2. LA Lakers +2 (-107) (8:05pm) Risking 3.72 units to win 3.48 units 3. Milwaukee Bucks +5 (-110) (8:05pm) Risking 3.83 units to win 3.48 units
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12-16-16 | Pelicans v. Rockets -11.5 | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 16th, 2016 There are 3 picks that stand above the rest and with plenty of numbers to eliminate off the line, we can go for all 3 and do the math for Saturday when the final horn sounds tonight. We're going 2-1 or 3-0. Let's get it.  NBA PLAY OF THE DAY 1. Houston Rockets -11 (-115) Bought 1/2 pt. (8:05pm) Risking 4 units to win 3.48 units 2. LA Lakers +2 (-107) (8:05pm) Risking 3.72 units to win 3.48 units 3. Milwaukee Bucks +5 (-110) (8:05pm) Risking 3.83 units to win 3.48 units
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12-14-16 | Lakers +1.5 v. Nets | 97-107 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 14th, 2016 8 numbers on the line and we're going after 4 plays this Wednesday. The Lakers are not as strong. Keep them at 1.4 units and the rest at 2.8 units.  NBA PLAYs OF THE DAY 1. Toronto Raptors -8 (-113) Bought 1/2 pt. (7:35pm) Risking 3.16 units to win 2.8 units 2. Indiana Pacers +1 (-102) (7:05pm) Risking 2.86 units to win 2.8 units 3. Charlotte Hornets pk (-105) (7:05pm) Risking 2.94 units to win 2.8 units 4. LA Lakers +1.5 (-105) (7:35pm) Risking 1.47 units to win 1.4 units
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12-14-16 | Raptors -2.5 v. 76ers | 123-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Raptors win in a blowout. Take Toronto. |
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12-14-16 | Hornets v. Wizards | 106-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 14th, 2016 8 numbers on the line and we're going after 4 plays this Wednesday. The Lakers are not as strong. Keep them at 1.4 units and the rest at 2.8 units.  NBA PLAYs OF THE DAY 1. Toronto Raptors -8 (-113) Bought 1/2 pt. (7:35pm) Risking 3.16 units to win 2.8 units 2. Indiana Pacers +1 (-102) (7:05pm) Risking 2.86 units to win 2.8 units 3. Charlotte Hornets pk (-105) (7:05pm) Risking 2.94 units to win 2.8 units 4. LA Lakers +1.5 (-105) (7:35pm) Risking 1.47 units to win 1.4 units
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12-14-16 | Pacers +1.5 v. Heat | 89-95 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 14th, 2016 8 numbers on the line and we're going after 4 plays this Wednesday. The Lakers are not as strong. Keep them at 1.4 units and the rest at 2.8 units.  NBA PLAYs OF THE DAY 1. Toronto Raptors -8 (-113) Bought 1/2 pt. (7:35pm) Risking 3.16 units to win 2.8 units 2. Indiana Pacers +1 (-102) (7:05pm) Risking 2.86 units to win 2.8 units 3. Charlotte Hornets pk (-105) (7:05pm) Risking 2.94 units to win 2.8 units 4. LA Lakers +1.5 (-105) (7:35pm) Risking 1.47 units to win 1.4 units
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12-13-16 | Warriors -10 v. Pelicans | 113-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
We tend to overestimate the Warriors on every single game, but we've only touched them once so far this season for a closely contested win over the Raptors. This is a spread that I believe is too small considering the differences between both teams and the current situation. The Warriors lost a bad one to Memphis  (89 - 110) and didn't recover as expected off that loss to really beat down their next opponent in Minnesota (116-108). This is their final game in their 5 game road trip and they're going to want to  finish it with a exclamation mark. The Pelicans are sitting ducks in this spot with the Warriors rested after tough spots with 4 games in 5 nights. I say the Warriors should be able to cover a -10 spread against a team that relies heavily on one player for almost all their production. Tim Frazier is trying to step up while Jrue Holiday is set to make his return to the lineup. The last home game for the Pelicans saw them losing by 11 to the Sixers and we cashed that incorrect line easily. The Warriors blew out the Clippers by 17 before the back to back spots that left them playing without much tenacity or ferociousness. The game before that was the 142-106 blowout over the Pacers. Golden State is fully capable here and ready to end their trip with a bang. Let's go with the juggernaut offense on this one.  |
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12-10-16 | Blazers v. Pacers | 111-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
The Blazers catch the Pacers on a back to back but what's even more important is that they're returning home after a long 5 game Western conference road trip. Teams that return home after road trips longer than 3 games  tend to perform poorly. We used to hit this angle all the time until it caught up with us and needed to be refined to teams that are returning home and playing without rest. Paul George clocked in 40 minutes yesterday in a loss to the Mavericks of all teams. Portland owns the edge and will respond after a poor offensive performance against a physically dominant Memphis team. Nate McMillan is a step down from Frank Vogel and the Pacers aren't doing well at all. They'll have to face a tough spot to defend their home court against a juggernaut of a backcourt and a highly motivate Blazers squad who look to reverse a 2 game losing streak on their own 5 game road trip. The Clippers are up next for Portland, so this is really the game they have to win. I'm on the Blazers. |
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12-09-16 | Suns +2 v. Lakers | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
I don't mind taking the moneyline here and I don't recommend buying points. Phoenix is in a better position to win this game outright. Lakers have lost 4 while the Suns have lost 3. LA is missing their starting backcourt and their backup point guard with Russell, Young and Calderon out. Phoenix has a good group of veterans in Chandler, Dudley and Tucker to instill the defensive intensity that their coach demanded following their last loss. Both teams like the move the ball but the Suns have better overall scorers in Booker who got 39 pts. the last time both teams met alongside Bledsoe and Knight. The Suns can ball, but they know their place in the pecking order. After a loss to LA in their first meeting this season just over a month ago, the Suns will be motivated to return with a stronger defensive presence while pushing the ball on offense. The Lakers seem to be in waiting mode until they can get their floor generals back on the court. The Suns are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Both teams are off tomorrow with a bigger game lined up for LA when the Knicks roll into town on Sunday. The Suns will host the Pelicans and see this opportunity for back to back wins against teams they match up very well against. I'm on the Suns. |
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12-08-16 | Spurs -3 v. Bulls | 91-95 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 8th,2017 Beat-down in Dallas. Very easy win. We've cleared all the numbers on our line and reached our goal of +13 units. I'm not a fan of Thursday night betting in the NBA but there are 3 plays that show a clear edge. 2 units on the 76ers if you grab the +10. Otherwise +9.5 or +9 for 1.5 units. 1 unit apiece for the Spurs and Warriors with a couple of shady Thursday lines that don't deserve a higher bet. We'll set our new unit goal for tomorrow when the dust settles.  The Spurs are undefeated on the road this season and the Bulls have finally been brought back down to earth as a team that is mediocre at best under a 3 game losing streak and team turmoil in the mix. The Sixers are hungry, young and a little foolish but they'll recognize a winnable opportunity in a game where Jrue Holiday will have to sit and almost all the pressure rests on Anthony Davis once again while Embiid is back on the court after resting the last game. The Warriors outscored the Clippers 37-19 in the first quarter and didn't have to overuse their starters at all. Utah will be without their starting backcourt but they'll definitely get some help from the refs. I just don't think they'll be able to keep up offensively with the Warriors rolling.Â
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12-08-16 | Warriors -5.5 v. Jazz | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 8th,2017 Beat-down in Dallas. Very easy win. We've cleared all the numbers on our line and reached our goal of +13 units. I'm not a fan of Thursday night betting in the NBA but there are 3 plays that show a clear edge. 2 units on the 76ers if you grab the +10. Otherwise +9.5 or +9 for 1.5 units. 1 unit apiece for the Spurs and Warriors with a couple of shady Thursday lines that don't deserve a higher bet. We'll set our new unit goal for tomorrow when the dust settles.  The Spurs are undefeated on the road this season and the Bulls have finally been brought back down to earth as a team that is mediocre at best under a 3 game losing streak and team turmoil in the mix. The Sixers are hungry, young and a little foolish but they'll recognize a winnable opportunity in a game where Jrue Holiday will have to sit and almost all the pressure rests on Anthony Davis once again while Embiid is back on the court after resting the last game. The Warriors outscored the Clippers 37-19 in the first quarter and didn't have to overuse their starters at all. Utah will be without their starting backcourt but they'll definitely get some help from the refs. I just don't think they'll be able to keep up offensively with the Warriors rolling.Â
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12-08-16 | 76ers +9 v. Pelicans | 99-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsDecember 8th,2017 Beat-down in Dallas. Very easy win. We've cleared all the numbers on our line and reached our goal of +13 units. I'm not a fan of Thursday night betting in the NBA but there are 3 plays that show a clear edge. 2 units on the 76ers if you grab the +10. Otherwise +9.5 or +9 for 1.5 units. 1 unit apiece for the Spurs and Warriors with a couple of shady Thursday lines that don't deserve a higher bet. We'll set our new unit goal for tomorrow when the dust settles.  The Spurs are undefeated on the road this season and the Bulls have finally been brought back down to earth as a team that is mediocre at best under a 3 game losing streak and team turmoil in the mix. The Sixers are hungry, young and a little foolish but they'll recognize a winnable opportunity in a game where Jrue Holiday will have to sit and almost all the pressure rests on Anthony Davis once again while Embiid is back on the court after resting the last game. The Warriors outscored the Clippers 37-19 in the first quarter and didn't have to overuse their starters at all. Utah will be without their starting backcourt but they'll definitely get some help from the refs. I just don't think they'll be able to keep up offensively with the Warriors rolling.  Â
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12-07-16 | Kings -3.5 v. Mavs | 120-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Kings average 10 points more per game than the Mavs. Sacramento is definitely in a state of urgency on personal and team levels. They've lost 3 in a row while being competitive until the closing minutes against the Knicks, Celtics and Wizards (overtime loss). The task here is obvious; win the final game of the road trip and play all out until the final buzzer to secure the win against a reeling, lame duck of a team in Dallas. The Kings have had 2 days off compared to 1 for the Mavs who need a lot more time to bring their key players back in the mix. Barea is sorely missed, Bogut will have to sit, which is a huge loss when going up against Cousins in the paint. Dirk will continue to miss extended time in his final season as a pro. Dallas is rumored to be interested in a fire sale starting with Bogut. The situation is clear and Dallas has practically admitted and surrendered to the unavoidable outcome of being left behind from the post-season this year and a team that needs to build around Harrison Barnes for the future. The Kings need to win out and Cousins needs to become a better leader. His reputation is sinking deeper with each altercation with the refs and this Matt Barnes nightclub questioning situation has to fuel this team to overcome immature levels of adversity and step up as a professional group. The timing is right, the team is rested and the a loss here in unacceptable. Cousins and Gay need to demonstrate their value if they hope to give some success to their team or if they want their individual stock to rise in order to be legitimate trade-bait for the Kings to build towards a better future. I'm on the Kings for a bounceback win while the Mavs begin a 2 game slide that should only get worse until they get healthy.  Take the -3 if you can get a half point buy. Reduce the risk by 1/3 if you take the -3.5 or -4. |
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12-05-16 | Hornets -4.5 v. Mavs | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
We're getting a much better team that is motivated after a very tough loss that they quickly want to avenge, on a short line against one of the poorest teams in the West that has major difficulty with scoring. The onus is on Charlotte to play a more physical brand of basketball and they'll have to show that for 4 full quarters without letting a double digit lead slip away like they did late in the game against the Wolves in overtime. This the second time both teams will meet this month with the Hornets winning the first one 97-87 on Thursday. Charlotte recognizes that they are coughing up too many points on defense in their losses (112.4) but they still hover just below the league average (103.9) at 103.2 points allowed. The Mavs are averaging only 91.8 points per game this season and without getting one or two guys on fire down the stretch, they don't stand a chance of winning with their offensive sets and weak transition game. Dallas won't be as hungry after a huge win over the Bulls who struggled mightily on Saturday. Charlotte is a different kind of beast, led by a very talented backcourt while Dallas attempts to keep a streaky Wesley Matthews as hot as possible to keep up with Charlotte's attack tonight. Take the better team on the short line at -4 if you can't get the the -3.5 at -125 currently offered at Pinnacle. Take the -4.5 for a slightly lower risk (3/4 to 5/8 risk). |
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12-02-16 | Wizards v. Spurs -9.5 | 105-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Spurs are really 4-4 at home. This is ridiculous and after another home loss to the likes of the offensively inept Orlando Magic, something has to give. They traveled to nearby Dallas and took care of the lowly Mavs with Pau Gasol, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili resting. The roster is healthy tonight and with another 2 days off following this game, we have to expect their best overall home effort of the season. Washington simply can't close out games with another blown lead and another loss in overtime to the Thunder in OKC which they dropped by 11 pts in the extra period. The game before that was an overtime win and a 12 point loss to the Spurs in Washington before that. Spurs will beat Washington again and keep an active streak of 16 in a row in San Antonio over the Wizards. The task here is to come out ahead in the first half and blow them out to the end. Take the Spurs ATS at -9 or -9.5 for the same risk. |
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12-01-16 | Bucks -4.5 v. Nets | 111-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The Nets allow 114.5 points a game on defense. They beat the Clippers with Sean Kilpatrick going insane in the 4th with 31 out of his 38 total pts in a double overtime anomaly against the Clippers. Kilpatrick repeating that performance while Hollis-Jefferson is back on deck and cleared to play in the backcourt is highly unlikely. A letdown after a big win is in the cards for both teams defeating the top 3 in the league.  The Greek Freak went off on Lebron and the Cavs with the Bucks winning 3 of their last 4 games. The Nets played an exhausting game and stopped the bleeding on a 7 game losing streak. Both teams meet each other again after a night off following this game. The Bucks are in a better place right now as a team and will try to take advantage of a team that barely plays any defense. Take the -4 on the Bucks. |
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11-30-16 | Hawks -5.5 v. Suns | 107-109 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Atlanta is a seasoned veteran team that knows how to face gut-check moments like this one. After losing 6 of 7 recent games and 3 in a row on the road, they know the time is now to grab this final road game before returning home. Their level of play against the Warriors in a 105-100 loss was commendable against a juggernaut team. Now it's time to unleash their full defensive effort and control a young team that leaves a lot to be desired. Phoenix doesn't have the bodies inside to pound the paint and they have to rely on a quick paced transition style offense that opens doors for many turnovers and a porous defense that allows for their opponents to score on them at will. Denver beat them by 6 and the Wolves by 13 with both games being at home. Atlanta should come together in a game like this to decide whether they're capable of challenging the Cavs, Raptors and Celtics at the top of the conference. They have a long way to go, but they can't drop this one to Phoenix. Atlanta full throttle for the win and the cover over 5 points. Grab this one at -5 if you can or -5.5 for the same risk. Â |
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11-29-16 | Clippers -12.5 v. Nets | 122-127 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
The Nets have lost 7 in a row and allowed an average of 122.3 pts per game during this ugly stretch. The Clippers need a confidence boosting and dominating win after suffering back to back losses and their lowest point total (70pts.) in over 3 yrs in their last game against the Pacers. The Clippers give up only 97.4 points a game and the Nets don't play much defense while trying to piece together a team full of bench players alongside Brook Lopez. 2 starters are out for the Nets. The objective is clear and it's time to simply get back their offensive production after failing to reach triple digits in their last 2 games, while returning to form as one of the top 3 most dangerous teams in the league. If we don't get the best of out of the Clippers, then we can forget about this team challenging the Cavs and Warriors for the title this season. I don't like betting on the Clippers and we'll keep this bet at a sensible number to see what they can do for us. Clips should roll big like they did last time when they beat the Nets 127-95 two weeks ago. |
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11-28-16 | Hornets v. Grizzlies -2 | 104-85 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Charlotte lost 4 in a row before beating the Knicks with a depleted lineup and pushing Kemba Walker to another night at 40+ minutes. Marvin Williams is their strongest defensive player but he'll be out until early December at the least. The Grizzlies have found the right balance between bruising defensive pressure and offensive tempo to win 7 of their last 8 games with their only loss against Miami being avenged the following day in a back-to-back set between both teams. The Hornets were also in the same spot with similar results against the Knicks on Friday and Saturday as well. Belinelli's and Randolph's statuses are unclear but the Grizzlies come in hot and they have the advantage at home. Memphis won this matchup 105-90 in Charlotte last Monday and they should put enough together to win by 2 or more tonight. Stick with the -2 here or get the -1.5 if you can get it under -120. |
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11-25-16 | Raptors -3 v. Bucks | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
The Raptors have been dealing with a brutal schedule and biased officiating but they're going to have to embrace it. They carry a chip on their shoulder now and it'll serve to motivate them for upcoming battles against their opposition in close contests. Toronto is experienced and determined to stay in the top 4 when it comes down to the Final 4 in the NBA post-season. They have to come together and recognize their talent and capability to close out games down the stretch without coughing up key possessions. I just don't think the Bucks are near that level of capability. They'll have a stronger team in the coming years if their core is healthy and together, but it's too soon to give this team much credit. Too many adjustments need to be made and the attention seems to always be on the Greek Freak Antetokounmpo to carry this offense. The Bucks are not in a strong position here. I just want to keep this play at what it is and go for the .88 units without breaking a sweat either way. Toronto is my best pick for today. Grab the half point if you can but this play should be good to -4. |
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11-22-16 | Thunder -2.5 v. Lakers | 109-111 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
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11-21-16 | Celtics -1 v. Wolves | 99-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsNovember 21st, 2016 |
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11-21-16 | Rockets -1.5 v. Pistons | 99-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsNovember 21st, 2016 |
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11-21-16 | Grizzlies +5 v. Hornets | 105-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Daily ReportsNovember 21st, 2016 |
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11-16-16 | Warriors -5.5 v. Raptors | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an absolute scheduling error and nightmare in favor of the Warriors. The Raptors are not pleased with this situation and they have every right to be upset. Coach Casey has expressed his disgust and he tried to spin it as a tough learning situation to shake off and move forward from here on. The fact is that Toronto flew back home after a very highly contested matchup against the Cavs in Cleveland where they were narrowly edged out 121-117. Lowry clocked over 40 minutes. DeRozan was at 34+ minutes, going 10-27 shooting after being incredibly hot to start the season. The big man in Valanciunas also played over 34 minutes and his presence inside stands as the only advantage Toronto has over the stacked Warriors. This is just ridiculous for Golden State to have 2 days off and tomorrow off as well while the Raptors will most likely be too gassed late into the 3rd quarter to keep up with the offensive attack of GSW. The Warriors have a lot of fans in Canada and this is their only trip to the north. With 2 days rest following a big home win to the Suns and 2 days rest before that, Golden State shouldn't give the Raptors a chance tonight. The Raptors will take this expected loss and will place the blame on the most unfair scheduling we're going to see this season. Warriors big. |
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11-15-16 | Bulls v. Blazers -3 | 113-88 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
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