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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
MIKE'S NINERS/CHIEFS SIDE TOP PLAY I've backed the Chiefs for profits in every game through the postseason, and I think they're undervalued by the betting market once again here in the Super Bowl. Their defense is so underrated, and combine that with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and you have a team that should not be an underdog to anyone. In addition to backing the Chiefs, I also like the under as I think the defenses will dominate the game. 4* PLAY ON THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers OVER 51 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 41 h 39 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* NFC CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE YEAR The Detroit Lions are coming off a 31-23 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they are 12-7 to the over on the season. Sure, here they'll face a much better defense, but even so, the Niners D has not been quite as dominant as in previous seasons. Detroit has a lot more upside with the ball in their hands than on defense, and I like the over in this game even with this total which is on the higher side, especially for a playoff game.  5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +4.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 37 h 3 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR I think it's an absolute no-brainer to take the points on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. They were not quite as dominant as we've gotten used to during the regular season, but have as expected stepped up their game again in the postseason. Much respect for the season Baltimore has put together, but don't sleep on the Chiefs who have all the playoff experience you could ask for, much unlike the Ravens... Since the start of the 2018 season, the Chiefs are 8-1-1 ATS as underdogs with Mahomes on the field.  5* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +6.5 v. Lions | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 128 h 56 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - 5* BUCS/LIONS NFL DIV ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR I find it absolutely ridiculous that the Detroit Lions are asked to cover just under a touchdown against this Tampa Bay team that demolished the Eagles in the Wild Card round. The Lions meanwhile were outgained by almost 100 yards in their 24-23 win over the Rams. Sure, you're never as good as your best game and never as bad as your worst, but I am more than happy to take the points on the Bucs in this game. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCS. |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers UNDER 51 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - 5* GB/SF DIV PLAYOFFS TOTAL OF THE YEAR The Green Bay Packers put up 48 points against the Cowboys in Dallas in the Wild Card round, but they'll face a much tougher defense here against the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Playoffs. The Niners have the third-best scoring defense in the NFL holding opponents to 17.5 points per game, and I think they'll be able to take an early lead and then start to bleed clock.  I would lean to the 49ers to cover the spread as long as it's under 10, but I'm worried about the backdoor cover and feel that the under is a much better play. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 44 h 58 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Philadelphia Eagles finished the regular season 11-6 SU but only 6-8-3 ATS while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished 9-8 SU and 11-6 ATS. I think the Eagles are overvalued by the betting market once again when they visit the Bucs in the Wild Card round on Monday. Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Eagles are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCS. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys UNDER 50.5 | Top | 48-32 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET Sure, the Dallas Cowboys are averaging 37.4 points per game at AT&T Stadium and the Green Bay Packers have looked much better than expected with Jordan Love as the starting QB, but I think this total is way too high for a postseason game. Both teams have played quite well on the defensive side of the ball in recent games and the under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | Top | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL TOP PLAY The Kansas City Chiefs have had a subpar season by their standards, but this is still an experienced team that I expect to start playing up to their potential again here in the playoffs. There will be a hostile environment and cold weather at Arrowhead, not ideal for the Dolphins who are flying in from South Florida. Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff home games. Chiefs are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. |
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01-08-24 | Washington +5 v. Michigan | Top | 13-34 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* CFB NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME MAX BET The No. 1 and the No. 2 seed will clash in the College Football Playoff national championship game, and I like the underdog to cover the number as I don't think Michigan has much of an edge at all. If any team can open up this Wolverines defense it's Heisman Trophy runner-up Michael Penix Jr., and Michigan could find it difficult to come back if they fall behind. 5* PLAY ON WASHINGTON. |
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01-07-24 | Bears v. Packers OVER 45 | Top | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* BEARS/PACKERS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH The Chicago Bears are coming off a 37-17 win over Atlanta. They have scored 27 points or more in three of their last four games, the exception a 17-point outing against a Cleveland Browns team that boasts the best defense in the NFL. The Green Bay Packers have scored 33 points in back-to-back games and 20 points or more in each of their last seven games. Over is 12-2 in Packers last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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01-07-24 | Rams +4 v. 49ers | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RAMS/NINERS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Both teams have already qualified for postseason football, and they've both announced that they'll rest starters. This will add more variance, making the underdog even more attractive from a betting perspective and the Rams typically match up very well against the Niners. Additionally, while the Niners are coming off a 27-10 rout of Washington, note that the 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. 4* PLAY ON THE RAMS. |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts UNDER 47.5 | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* TEXANS/COLTS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Indianapolis Colts are 11-5 to the over while the Houston Texans are 10-6 to the under. The Colts won 31-20 when they clashed with Houston back in September, but I think this will be a much lower-scoring affair as I expect both teams to be relatively conservative as they're playing for the AFC South title. Houston rookie QB CJ Stroud has been stealing most of the headlines from the rest of the team (and deservedly so), but the Texans defense has been sneaky good. The Texans limited the Titans to three points last week; the under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 9-3 in Texans last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 32 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* STEELERS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH I love the Baltimore Ravens as an underdog against Pittsburgh this Saturday. Sure, the Ravens have announced that they'll rest players as they are already locked in as the No. 1 seed in the AFC, but they're all professionals and John Harbaugh always coaches to win. Harbaugh can't even stand the idea of losing a pre-season game, so why would he lay down here against a hated AFC North rival? 5* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4 | Top | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* TEXAS/WASHINGTON CFB PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR I like the Washington Huskies as an underdog against Texas in the College Football Playoff semifinals on New Year's Day. Both teams boast explosive offenses and are also similar in many other ways. I'm happy to take the points in a matchup between two evenly matched sides. 5* PLAY ON WASHINGTON. |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 46 | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 2 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* PACKERS/VIKINGS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK Both the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings are in the hunt for a wild card, and both teams have found their groove when on the ball. The Packers have scored 20 points or more in six straight games and the Vikes have proven to be surprisingly competitive with Nick Mullens under center. The over is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 games in December and 4-0 in Packers last 4 games in December. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 3 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* LIONS/COWBOYS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Dallas Cowboys to bounce back from back-to-back road losses at Buffalo and Miami. The Cowboys have been destroying teams home at AT&T Stadium and here they'll face a Detroit team that clinched the NFC North last week. The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. 5* PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. |
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12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -6.5 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* DUKE'S MAYO BOWL CFB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I'm not sure how motivated the North Carolina Tar Heels will be to participate in Duke's Mayo Bowl. They had their sights set higher than this, and they've been hit hard by opt outs, including star quarterback Drake Maye. The West Virginia Mountaineers on the other hand couldn't be happier to be here and I think they'll get the win and cover.  4* PLAY ON WEST VIRGINIA. |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV +13.5 | Top | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 65 h 6 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* GUARANTEED RATE BOWL BOOKIE BREAKER I like the UNLV Rebels to cover the spread against Kansas in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl on Tuesday. UNLV has been undervalued by the oddsmakers and bettors all season, going 10-3 ATS while covering the spread by an average of 7.3 points. The Rebels lost some momentum down the stretch but I have no doubt they'll show up again here in their first bowl appearance since the 2013 season. 4* PLAY ON UNLV. |
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12-25-23 | Ravens +5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 108 h 15 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RAVENS/NINERS NFL XMAS DAY TOP PLAY The San Francisco 49ers have been steamrolling their opponents in recent games, but here they'll face a Baltimore team that has been almost equally hot. The Ravens are usually money as underdogs (19-5-3 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog), and I think the Niners will find it difficult to get separation. 4* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins UNDER 50 | Top | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 80 h 23 m | Show |
5* MAX BET ALERT: COWBOYS/DOLPHINS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK Both teams are 8-6 to the over on the season, but I think we'll see a low-scoring affair relative to the posted total. While the two teams' offenses usually get the headlines, note that they're both top 6 for total defense. The under is 8-3 in Cowboys last 11 road games and 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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12-23-23 | Bills v. Chargers +12.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 60 h 4 m | Show |
5* MAX BET ALERT: BILLS/CHARGERS AFC GAME OF THE YEAR This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Chargers to bounce back with a respectable outing after being humiliated by the Raiders in Las Vegas last Thursday. The Buffalo Bills are in a potential flat spot following marquee wins over Kansas City and Dallas. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. 5* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. |
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12-23-23 | Georgia State v. Utah State -120 | Top | 45-22 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
5* MAX BET ALERT: MIKE'S POTATO BOWL CFB GAME OF THE WEEK The Utah State Aggies closed out the regular season with wins in three of their last four games while the Georgia State Panthers ended the season on a five-game losing streak. The Aggies will start backup QB Levi William, but he's no stranger to the Potato Bowl after winning the MVP honors while with Wyoming in 2021. Georgia State will be without 13 players who have hit the transfer portal, including leading rusher Marcus Carroll and top receiver Robert Lewis. 5* PLAY ON UTAH STATE. |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams UNDER 46 | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SAINTS/RAMS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY The New Orleans Saints are 10-4 to the under on the season and they've held their last two opponents to six points each. The Los Angeles Rams have been involved in high-scoring affairs of late, but I think they'll find it difficult to move the ball against this Saints defense. The under is 24-8 in Rams last 32 games as a home favorite and 7-0 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. The under is 10-2-1 in Saints last 13 Thursday games. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -2 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 83 h 45 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* COWBOYS/BILLS NFL SUNDAY TOP PLAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Cowboys following five straight wins, including a 33-13 win over their rivals the Philadelphia Eagles last week. Dallas is 10-3 on the season, but only 3-3 on the road. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. The Buffalo Bills are only 7-6 on the season and in second place in the division and will most likely have to win out to catch the first-place Miami Dolphins. Desperation breeds motivation and I think we'll see a hyper-focused Bills team beat Dallas. 4* PLAY ON THE BUFFALO BILLS. |
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12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions -4 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 63 h 37 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* BRONCOS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like a great spot to fade the Denver Broncos who have been playing over their heads lately, winning six of their last seven games outright, with three wins as underdogs. The Detroit Lions meanwhile are getting no respect following a humiliating 28-13 loss to the Bears in Chicago, but they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 5* PLAY ON THE LIONS. |
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12-14-23 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 21-63 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* CHARGERS/RAIDERS NFL TOP PLAY The Chargers will have to do without injured starting QB Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, but I think the rest of the team will rally behind QB Easton Stick who will make his first NFL start despite five seasons with the team. The Raiders have QB issues of their own as they've averaged just 11.5 points over their last four games with rookie Aidan O'Connell quarterbacking the team. We might see Jimmy Garoppolo back under center for Vegas here, but I still think the Chargers can keep this close. The Chargers are 40-18-4 ATS in their last 62 games as a road underdog and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Raiders are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 5-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 4* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. |
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12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants UNDER 37 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PACKERS/GIANTS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Giants are 9-3 to the under on the season. They are averaging a miserable 13.2 points per game (31st) and an NFL-worst 258.7 yards of total offense per game. The Packers have scored 23, 29, and 27 points through a three-game winning streak, but note that the under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 Monday night games and 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1-1 in Giants last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Seahawks +13.5 v. 49ers | Top | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* SEAHAWKS/NINERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a potential flat spot for the San Francisco 49ers who are riding a four-game winning streak and defeated the Eagles 42-19 in Philadelphia last week. I would not be surprised if they struggle to bring full focus for this game, especially after winning 31-13 in Seattle on Nov 23, and even if they do, this is a lot of points to cover. The Niners have all but clinched the division while Seattle's season is on the line. 5* PLAY ON THE SEAHAWKS.  |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 43 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Detroit Lions are averaging 27.2 points per game overall, but that number drops a bit when they're playing on the road. The Bears rank 2nd in total defense home at Soldier Field with an average of only 261.6 yards allowed per game. The Chicago Bears offense has been anemic all season, and they've been held to 17 points or fewer in four of their last five games. Detroit won the first meeting of the season 31-26 back on Nov 19, but I think we'll see a lower-scoring game this time around. The under is 9-3 in Lions last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-1 in Lions last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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12-03-23 | 49ers -3 v. Eagles | Top | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NINERS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Eagles will play an elite opponent for a fourth straight game following wins over Dallas, Kansas City and Buffalo. Now they'll run into a San Francisco team that has answered a three-game losing streak with three wins. I think the Eagles are due for a letdown game, and you can't play anything but your absolute best to keep up with this Niners team. The 49ers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. The 49ers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. NFC. The 49ers are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0. 5* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. |
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12-03-23 | Colts v. Titans UNDER 42.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* COLTS/TITANS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Tennessee Titans have scored more than 17 points in only one of their last seven games. The Indianapolis Colts defense has come around following a poor start to the year and has held opponents to 13, 6, and 20 points through their last three games. Offensively, the Colts will be without the 2021 NFL rushing champion Jonathan Taylor who underwent thumb surgery earlier this week. The under is 6-0 in Colts' last 6 games as a road favorite and 31-14 in their last 45 games in December. The under is 18-6 in Titans' last 24 home games and, 6-2 in Titans last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 and 6-2 in Titans last 8 games in December. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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12-02-23 | Louisville +1.5 v. Florida State | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 24 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* ACC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR The Louisville Cardinals are coming off a disappointing loss as a home favorite against Kentucky, their second loss for the season. The Florida State Seminioles are undefeated 12-0, but they have to rely on backup QB Tate Rodemaker who completed only 12-of-25 passes for 134 yards in last week's 24-15 win at Florida. FSU might have to lean on their running game here, but note that Louisville is holding opponents to 96.8 rushing yards per game (12th) and 3.3 yards per carry (15th). 5* PLAY ON LOUISVILLE CARDINALS. |
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12-02-23 | Oklahoma State v. Texas OVER 55.5 | Top | 21-49 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE YEAR The Oklahoma State Cowboys are averaging 30.2 points per game and while Texas is holding opponents to 325.3 yards per game (27th), they are much better at stopping the run than the pass. Okie State has a well-balanced offense that ranks 50th on the ground and 40th through the air, and Texas has injuries on the defensive side of ball. As for the Cowboys' defense, there are holes to exploit and they've given up 30+ points in consecutive games, both as favorites, and now they're coming up against one of the best teams in the nation. I would not be surprised if both teams put up 30+ points in this game, and I love the over. 5* PLAY ON OVER. |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -9 | Top | 35-41 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SEAHAWKS/COWBOYS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Cowboys have won three straight games in blowout fashion since a 28-23 loss to the Eagles in Philly on Nov 15. Since then, they've defeated the Giants 49-17, the Panthers 33-10, and most recently the Commanders 45-10 on Thanksgiving. Tonight they'll face a Seattle team that took a 31-13 loss to the Niners at home last Sunday. There's no need to overthink this. Give me the scorching hot Cowboys on extra rest. 4* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. |
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11-27-23 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 44 | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* M.N.F. TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Minnesota Vikings are 8-3 to the under on the season and the under is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The Chicago Bears had scored 13, 17 and 16 points in their past three games before putting up 26 points in a loss at Detroit last week. They looked a lot better with Justin Fields back under center, but this is still a bad Bears offense and the Vikes are allowing only 320.6 yards per game (12th). The Bears have more success running the ball than throwing, but stopping the run is the Vikes strength on D, so this is an unfavorable matchup for Chicago. As for the Vikings offense, Kirk Cousins is done for the year, and star wideout Justin Jefferson has been dealing with a hamstring injury. He's been reported as "unlikely to play", and I fully expect him to sit as their bye week is coming up. There's no reason for them to gamble and not let Jefferson heal up completely. The Vikings won 19-13 when these two teams clashed in Chicago back in October. I would not be surprised if we see a similar scoreline tonight. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 56 h 31 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* BILLS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Buffalo Bills can not be too pleased about their 6-5 record, but they're coming off a 32-6 win over the Jets and I think everyone would agree that they are a better team than their record would suggest. The Philadelphia Eagles are in a potential letdown spot after defeating the Chiefs at Arrowhead Monday night. They're riding a four-game winning streak which includes marquee wins over Miami, Dallas, and the aforementioned Kansas City, but it's really difficult to sustain that level of play extended amount of time, even for a top team. They're due to come out flat eventually, and I'll gladly take the points on the Bills in this game. The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game and 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. 5* PLAY ON BUFFALO BILLS. |
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11-26-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 43.5 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-2 to the under while the Las Vegas Raiders are 9-2 to the under. The Chiefs offense has not looked right lately, with only 9, 21, and 17 points scored through their last three games and they've been held to 21 points or fewer in four of their last five games. The Raiders have scored 16 and 13 points, against the Jets and the Dolphins respectively, in their last two games, and here they'll face a truly elite defense in the Chiefs. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-25-23 | Clemson -7.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 16-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* CLEMSON/SOUTH CAROLINA CFB GAME OF THE MONTH The Clemson Tigers have had a disappointing season but they've stepped up their game again in recent weeks, coming off convincing wins over Notre Dame, Georgia Tech, and North Carolina. The South Carolina Gamecocks are also riding a three-game winning streak, but I don't see how they can keep up with the Tigers the way they're playing right now. Gamecocks QB Spencer Rattler has been playing well, but this Clemson defense is a huge step up in competition compared to what he's faced lately. This is also a revenge game for Clemson after a 31-30 home loss to their rival in the last meeting on November 26, 2022. 5* PLAY ON CLEMSON TIGERS. |
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11-25-23 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia OVER 52.5 | Top | 55-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* ACC TOTAL OF THE YEAR The Virginia Tech Hokies are 7-4 to the over while the Virginia Cavaliers are 8-2-1 to the over. Virginia has allowed 27 points or more in each of its last five games while the Hokies have allowed 34+ points in two of their last three games. The Cavaliers rush defense is among the worst in the nation and Virginia Tech is averaging a solid 168.7 rushing yards per game. 5* PLAY ON OVER. |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions -7.5 | Top | 29-22 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* PACKERS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Green Bay Packers are coming off an upset win over the Chargers, but I think they'll lose big here in Detroit on Thanksgiving. The Packers are far from healthy, and they'll face a Lions team that is on a roll with seven wins while going 6-2 ATS in its last eight games, including a 34-20 win at Lambeau Field back in late September. The Lions did not cover in last week's 31-26 win over the Bears but note that the Lions are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. 5* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* EAGLES/CHIEFS M.N.F. TOTAL TOP PLAY I've said it before and I'll say it again; the Kansas City Chiefs' defense just might be one of the most underrated units in the NFL. That might seem like a weird statement about a team that just won the Super Bowl, but they rarely get the headlines despite ranking 4th in total defense while allowing only 15.9 points per game which ranks 2nd in the NFL. The Chiefs are 7-2 to the under on the season and since the beginning of last season, they are 9-4 to the under against teams with a win percentage of 50% or more. The Eagles' offense is flying high, but I think the Chiefs will dictate the tempo of this game and make it a low-scoring affair.  4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-19-23 | Seahawks v. Rams -127 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET I think the Los Angeles Rams are due for a strong outing here following their bye week and back-to-back road losses at Dallas and Pittsburgh. In their last game (on Nov 5), the Rams took a 20-3 loss at Lambeau Field, but they should be able to put more points on the board here as QB Matthew Stafford is expected to be back on the field after missing the last game due to injury. If Stafford can't go, the Rams now have a more than capable backup in Carson Wentz. The Seahawks are allowing 283.3 passing yards per game (22nd), so this looks like a favorable matchup for the Rams. The Seahawks are 3-1 SU in their last four games but 0-4-1 ATS in their last five. 5* PLAY ON THE RAMS. |
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11-19-23 | Cardinals v. Texans OVER 48 | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Arizona Cardinals picked up their second win of the season when they defeated Atlanta 25-23 last week. That was QB Kyler Murray's first game since suffering an ACL injury in December last year, and we should see a more effective Arizona offense now in the second half of the season. The Houston Texans are coming off a 30-27 win at Cincinnati and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud keeps impressing under center. I think this will be a shootout as I expect solid play from both quarterbacks while both teams rank in the bottom third for total defense. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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11-18-23 | Central Florida v. Texas Tech -2.5 | Top | 23-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* UCF/TEXAS TECH CFB GAME OF THE MONTH The UCF Knights (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) will visit the Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) Saturday. The Red Raiders are a short home favorite, and I like them to get the cover. UCF is in a potential flat spot following a 45-3 rout as a short underdog against Oklahoma State. Texas Tech is also coming off an upset, a last-minute field goal 16-13 win as a 3.5-point underdog at Kansas, but they had to stay sharp throughout the game. UCF has the superior offense, but Texas Tech has a capable offense as well and its defense looked really good against the Jayhawks. I'll back the better defense in this matchup. 5* PLAY ON TEXAS TECH. |
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11-16-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* BENGALS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a 30-27 loss to Houston, but that did not come as a surprise to me who predicted that they would have a letdown game following four straight wins SU and ATS. I expect the Bengals to come out fully focused again for this divisional matchup against Baltimore who also saw a four-game winning streak end last week, with a 33-31 loss to Cleveland. These are two very evenly matched teams in my opinion, and I would not be surprised to see this game come down to a last-drive field goal. Let's take the points on the underdog. 5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. |
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11-15-23 | Central Michigan +11 v. Ohio | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* WEDNESDAY NIGHT CFB PLAY OF THE DAY The Bobcats (7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS) are coming off a 20-10 win in Buffalo while CMU took a 38-28 loss on the road at Western Michigan in its last game. I like the Central Michigan Chippewas (5-5 SU, 3-7 ATS) to get the cover as an underdog in Ohio Wednesday night. While the Bobcats are superior on both sides of the ball, they're quite limited on offense if quarterback Kurtis Rourke is not on his game. CMU is 1-5 ATS in its last six games which makes them very unattractive in the eyes of the casual bettor, but that's where we as sharp bettors can find value. 4* PLAY ON CENTRAL MICHIGAN. |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* BRONCOS/BILLS MNF BEST BET The primetime games are an incredible 24-7 to the under for the season, and I think this total is set way to high to not take advantage of. Sure, the Broncos rank dead last in total defense with 405.9 yards and 28.2 points allowed per game for the season, but they're coming off their bye week, so they'll have fresh legs and they've kept three straight opponents under 20 points. The Bills have not looked quite right in recent weeks, averaging a mediocre 20.2 points per game through their last five games. 4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-12-23 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 39 | Top | 17-49 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the under, as I expect max effort from Dallas' defense after giving up 28 points in a loss in Philadelphia last week. The first meeting of the season ended with a 40-0 Cowboys win at MetLife Stadium, and that was with Daniel Jones under center for the Giants. Now they'll have rookie quarterback Tommy DeVito going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL ... The only risk of this losing is if the Cowboys decide to run up the score, but even so, they might need to score 38+ points themselves for us to lose. I would not be as tempted to back the Cowboys on the spread though, as they might feel comfortable just shutting down after going up by a couple of scores. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-11-23 | Oklahoma State v. Central Florida +2.5 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* CFB GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to fade the Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-2 SU, 8-3 ATS) following five straight wins straight up and against the spread. They won four of those games as underdogs, and it's so difficult to play at that level for multiple games in a row. In their last game, they upset Oklahoma 27-24 while the UCF Knights (4-5 SU, 3-6 ATS) snapped a five-game skid with a 28-26 win in Cincinnati last week. I'll take the points. 5* PLAY ON UCF KNIGHTS. |
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11-09-23 | Panthers v. Bears UNDER 38.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
5* MAX BET: MIKE'S PANTHERS/BEARS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH The Carolina Panthers are 5-3 to the under on the season and they were held to only 13 points and 275 yards of total offense in a loss to the Colts last week. That was against an Indianapolis team that has struggled on the defensive side of the ball all season long, and here they'll face a Bears defense that ranks 19th in total defense and has been great at stopping the run. As for Chicago's offense it has much like Carolina, struggled to move the ball for most of the season and the Bears have put up a total of only 30 points through their last two games. This is a low total, but I still like the under as I don't see either team being able to run up the score. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-05-23 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 38.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Los Angeles Rams are 5-3 to the under for the season, and starting QB Matthew Stafford is unlikely to play here due to an injured right thumb. Brett Rypien is the Rams backup QB, which is a huge step down in class and the Rams do not have much of a run game to lean on. As for the Packers, they've struggled to move the ball all season long averaging only 287.0 yards of total offense. Over their last three games, the Packers have scored 13, 17 and 10 points. This feels like a 20-17 win for either team. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-05-23 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -2.5 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 144 h 19 m | Show |
5* MAX BET: MIKE'S DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like a fantastic spot to back the Kansas City Chiefs to bounce back from a humbling 24-9 loss at Denver. They had won six consecutive games before that setback, and here they'll get the opportunity to showcase their talent to a whole new crowd at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, Germany. The Miami Dolphins are 6-2 straight up and against the spread, but they were completely outmatched the two times they faced quality opponents in Buffalo and Philadelphia. The Chiefs are the reigning champs, and still the team to beat IMO. Since the start of last season, the Chiefs are 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS off an ATS loss and 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS off a straight up loss. 5* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. |
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11-04-23 | California +25 v. Oregon | Top | 19-63 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CAL/OREGON CFB GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a good spot to fade the Oregon Ducks who are 7-1 straight up and against the spread. The betting market will adjust, and here they're in a potential letdown spot after routing the Utes in Utah 35-6 as a 6.5-point favorite last week. The California Golden Bears put up a season-high 49 points in a tight loss as a 10-point underdog to USC last week. They're only 3-5 SU and ATS, but I think they can have success with their run-game against the Ducks, which will also shorten the game and make taking the points even more attractive. 5* PLAY ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS. |
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10-29-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 78 h 17 m | Show |
5* GAME OF THE YEAR - MIKE'S BENGALS/NINERS NFL BEST BET The San Francisco 49ers have hit a bit of a slump, coming off back-to-back road losses at Cleveland and Minnesota. QB Brock Purdy is doubtful and missed practice on Wednesday while in the NFL's concussion protocol. There's a significant drop off to backup QB Sam Darnold, and here the Niners will face a Bengals team that is coming off its bye week and has played a lot better as Joe Burrows is getting close to full health. I have the Niners as the better team, but the spot favors Cincy, and we're spotted more than a field goal. 5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. |
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10-28-23 | Clemson v. NC State +10 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET NC State is 4-3 SU but only 1-5-1 ATS on the season, but I think we'll see max effort from the Wolfpack here as they're coming off their bye. The Wolfpack took a 24-3 beating at Duke in their last game, but at least they're coming into this game well-rested after a week off, unlike Clemson who will be on the road for a second straight week after a double-overtime loss at Miami-Florida last weekend. Much like the Wolfpack, the Tigers have struggled against the spread as they're heading into the weekend 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS. 5* PLAY ON NC STATE WOLFPACK. |
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10-28-23 | UMass v. Army OVER 50 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH The over/under is 7-1 in Massachusetts' eight games this season and 4-3 in Army's seven games. The Minutemen will have fresh legs coming off their bye week, and they'll be eager to get back on the scoreboard after getting shut out in a brutal 63-0 loss at Penn State two weeks ago. Believe it or not, but Army is in even worse shape after getting shut out in back-to-back games(!) against Troy and LSU. This looks like a good spot for Army's running game to get going again against a UMass defense that is allowing 223.4 rushing yards per game and 6.0 yards per carry. No one expects a lot of points, but I think we'll see floodgates open here following the score-draught. 5* PLAY ON OVER. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43.5 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NINERS/VIKINGS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY The Vikings are 5-1 to the under on the season and through their last three games, they've scored 21 points at Carolina, 20 points against KC and 19 points at Chicago. You really would have expected them to put up bigger numbers against teams like the Panthers and the Bears, and now they'll face one of the best defenses in the league. Defensively, the Vikes have been decent as well, and they're good at stopping the run, which should come in handy against a team like San Francisco. I like the Niners to jump out to an early lead and then start bleeding the clock to shorten the game. 4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 41 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S CHARGERS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the season, but this is a team that usually struggles to cover. Over the last three seasons, the Chiefs are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and the Chargers are 10-4 ATS as an underdog last three seasons. The Chargers are 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS on the season and that is one reason why the betting market is undervaluing the Chargers in this spot. 4* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. |
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10-22-23 | Browns v. Colts UNDER 41 | Top | 39-38 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Cleveland Browns have scored a total of only 22 points through their last two games. They managed to defeat the Niners 19-17 last week despite the absence of starting quarterback Deshaun Watson who is expected to get the start here, but is he really 100% fit? Whether we see Watson on the field or not, I expect the Colts' defense to bring the heat here after giving up 37 points to Jacksonville last week. As for Cleveland's defense, it ranks No.1 for several key metrics and should not have any issues to contain Colts backup quarterback Gardner Minshew. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-21-23 | Baylor v. Cincinnati -2.5 | Top | 32-29 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 0 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S BAYLOR/CINCINNATI CFB GAME OF THE MONTH The Cincinnati Bearcats will be looking to end an ugly 0-4 SU and ATS skid. They lost 30-10 as a 3.5-point home favorite against Iowa State last week, but I think they'll have more success here against a Baylor team that took a 39-14 loss to Texas Tech before heading into their bye week. Cincinnati is averaging only 26.7 points per game (81st), but it ranks 29th with 444.0 yards of total offense per game and 17th with 202.7 rushing yards per game, so it should only be a matter of time before they start putting more points on the board. The Bears have struggled to stop the run all season and I expect to see the Bearcats bounce back with a big outing here after struggling against Iowa State's defense. 5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BEARCATS. |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers UNDER 51 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY - COWBOYS/CHARGERS M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER The Chargers have one of the best QBs in the league in Justin Herbert, but they do not pose much of a threat on the ground and here they'll run into one of the best pass defenses in the league. I also expect the Dallas defense to come out extra motivated after giving up 42 points to the Niners last week. While the Chargers will come out fresh from their bye, I think Dallas will do its best to slow down the pace, and offensively, the Cowboys have mustered a total of only 26 points through its last two road games. On the season on the season, Monday and Thursday games are a combined 9-4 to the under and all games with a closing total of 50 or higher are 5-2 to the under. 4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-15-23 | Colts +4 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -109 | 57 h 41 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY - MIKE'S COLTS/JAGS GAME OF THE WEEK The Jacksonville Jaguars return home from two weeks across the pond and off an upset win over the Bills. The travel could become an issue for Jacksonville against a Colts team that has won three of its last four games outright. Gardner Minshew will quarterback Indianapolis, but I'm not sure he's that much of a downgrade from injured Anthony Richardson. Over the last three seasons, the Colts are 14-10 ATS as an underdog while the Jags are 3-7 ATS as favorites (0-4 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 7 points). 4* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. |
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10-14-23 | Florida Atlantic v. South Florida -2.5 | Top | 56-14 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY - FAU/USF CFB GAME OF THE WEEK The Florida Atlantic Owls are 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS on the season, 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS on the road. The USF Bulls are 3-3 SU and ATS, 2-1 SU and ATS at home. I like South Florida to bounce back from a disappointing 56-35 loss to the UAB Blazers. The Bulls can hold their own when on the ball, and while their defense has been an issue, here they'll face an FIU team that has scored 10, 14, 17 and 20 points through its last four games. FAU is coming off a 20-17 win over Tulsa. Over the last three seasons, FAU is 1-6 ATS off a win against a conference rivals. The Bulls are 9-4 ATS off a loss to a conference rival. 4* PLAY ON SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS. |
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10-14-23 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt OVER 55 | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY - MIKE'S GEORGIA/VANDERBILT TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Vanderbilt Commodores are 6-0-1 to the over on the season, and I expect to see another high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Saturday afternoon. The Bulldogs are as per usual boasting one of the best defenses in the nation, but Vandy QB Ken Seals has thrown for 539 yards, four touchdowns, and one INT while starting the Commodores' past two games instead of AJ Swann who could not stop turning the ball over, and despite Swann's struggles, the team ranks 37th on the season with 274.4 passing yards per game. As for the Bulldog's offense, they rank 8th for total offense and they have the 10th best scoring offense in the nation averaging 40.7 points per game. They just put up 51 points on Kentucky, and here they'll face a Vandy defense that ranks 12th in the SEC in pass-efficiency defense. 4* PLAY ON OVER. |
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10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 50 | Top | 8-19 | Win | 100 | 81 h 26 m | Show |
5* BEST BET - Mike's Broncos/Chiefs NFL Total of the Month The Broncos' defense is almost historically bad so this could get ugly in a hurry, but I still like the under as KC can go into time management mode and churn clock with long drives after jumping out to a big lead. The Broncos have looked decent when on the ball in recent weeks, but here they'll face a Chiefs defense that may not get a lot of headlines, but certainly can hold its own. Since the start of last season, Chiefs games with a total closing at 50 points or higher are 11-4 to the under. 5* play on UNDER. |
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10-09-23 | Packers v. Raiders UNDER 45.5 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Packers/Raiders M.N.F. Total BEST BET 'The 1-3 Las Vegas Raiders will be looking to end a three-game skid, and I like them to get the W here against a 2-2 Green Bay team that has had mixed results. Vegas expects to get starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo back from a concussion and running back Josh Jacobs should finally wake up here against a Packers defense that allows 155.2 rushing yards per game. Don't get me wrong; the Raiders are not a good team, but they match up fairly well against Green Bay and they get a chance to end a three-game slide in just their second home game of the season. I like the under even more though. Green Bay ranks 29th in total offense and 24th in yards per play. Vegas ranks 28th in total offense and 22nd in yards per play. Vegas has not scored more than 18 points in any games this season, but its defense ranks around average. The over/under is 1-3 in Vegas' games this season. 4* play on UNDER. |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs v. Vikings OVER 52.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
4* BIG BET - Mike's Chiefs/Vikings NFL Total of the Week The Minnesota Vikings are 3-1-1 to the under on the season as they average only 22.5 points per game (25th) despite averaging 370.8 yards per game (9th) and 6.4 yards per play (3rd). Untimely turnovers have cost them, but I think we'll see a locked-in Vikes offense here against a KC defense that might not be quite as good as the numbers would suggest. KC is allowing only 15.0 points per game, but its last three opponents have been Jacksonville, Chicago, and the NY Jets. As for the Chiefs offense, you never have to worry about them putting up points. I expect to see this one go over the total. 4* play on OVER. |
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10-08-23 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 104 h 34 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY - Mike's Ravens/Steelers NFL Game of the Week This looks like a great spot to back the Steelers to bounce back from a disappointing 30-6 loss as a 3-point favorite at Houston. The Steelers are not good as favorites, but Mike Tomlin knows how to get his squad fired up as underdogs, especially when it comes to divisional games. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Steelers are 6-3 ATS as underdogs against division opponents. The Ravens meanwhile are in a potential flat spot following a 28-3 rout of the Browns in Cleveland. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Ravens are 9-17 ATS as favorites and 1-4 ATS off a win against a divisional rival. 4* play on the Steelers. |
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10-07-23 | Washington State +3 v. UCLA | Top | 17-25 | Loss | -104 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
4* BIG BET - Mike's Washington State/UCLA CFB Game of the Week The Washington State Cougars are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS while UCLA is 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS. UCLA opened the season with three straight wins but took a 14-7 loss at Utah two weeks ago before heading into its bye week. Washington State is also coming off its bye after winning 38-35 win against then-No. 14 Oregon State on Sept. 23. Washington State quarterback Cameron Ward has been one of the best QBs in the nation, averaging 348.5 yards per game and coming into this week with 13 TDs against 0 INTs. Over the last three seasons, the Cougars are 8-3 ATS on the road and 14-5 ATS against conference opponents. 4* play on Washington State. |
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10-07-23 | Oklahoma v. Texas UNDER 61 | Top | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
5* BEST BET - Mike's Oklahoma/Texas Total of the Month The Texas Longhorns are 4-1 to the under on the season. They've allowed more than 14 points in only one game, and that was a in their 34-24 win at Alabama in Week 2. Oklahoma has held its opponents to 0, 11, 17, 6 and 20 points. The Sooners have the No. 3 scoring offense in the nation, but this will be their first game against a ranked opponent. Both teams are capable of putting up big numbers, but I think defense will rule this game. 5* play on UNDER. |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants -120 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -120 | 154 h 6 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Seahawks/Giants MNF TOP PLAY The Seahawks are coming off back-to-back wins against Detroit and Carolina, but I think they'll come up short here against a Giants team that is finally back home following a pair of road games. The Giants got shut out by Dallas in a 40-0 loss on primetime in their home opener of the season, which should make them even more amped up for this primetime home game. There is a chance that Giants RB Saquon Barkley will take the field for the first time of the season, which would be a huge boost for their offense. With or without Barkley though, I expect to see a focused Giants team getting the win. 4* TOP PLAY on the Giants. |
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10-01-23 | Ravens v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 28-3 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 56 m | Show |
5* NFL MAX BET - Mike's Ravens/Browns Game of the Month The Ravens took a 22-19 OT loss to the Colts last week, and they're heading to Cleveland with a banged-up squad. Here they'll face a Cleveland team boasting arguably the best defense in the league. The Browns have only allowed six points in their two home wins this season, and while I'm not completely sold on their QB Deshaun Watson, the team is very good at moving the ball on the ground (4th in rushing yards per game). 5* MAX BET on the Browns. |
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10-01-23 | Broncos v. Bears OVER 46.5 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
4* BIG BET - Mike's Broncos/Bears NFL Total of the Week The Denver Broncos came into the season with a supposedly strong defense but question marks whether veteran QB Russell Wilson still got what it takes. Instead, Denver ranks dead last in total defense and yards allowed per play. while offensively, the Broncos rank 15th in total offense and 5th in yards per play. The Bears defense ranks 30th in total defense and yards allowed per play. I think this will be a high-scoring affair. 4* play on OVER. |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | Top | 25-11 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - Mike's 5* Eagles/Bucs NFL Game of the Month The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have proven to be a lot harder to defeat than most predicted. They've opened the season with wins over Minnesota and Chicago, and while tonight's opponent will be a much tougher test, I still like the Bucs to keep it within the number. The Eagles have defeated the Pats by five points and Minnesota by six points, but they have allowed 326 passing yards per game and 5.7 yards per play overall (29th). Bucs QB Baker Mayfield is playing with a lot of confidence and averages 7.2passing yards per attempt. 5* MAX BET on the Bucs. |
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09-24-23 | Patriots -2.5 v. Jets | Top | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 52 h 16 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Patriots/Jets NFL Game of the Week TOP PLAY The Patriots are in big need of a win following home losses in one-score affairs against Philadelphia and Miami, and I like the Pats here against a Jets team they've dominated in recent seasons. The Jets were supposed to be the better team this year, but that was with Aaron Rodgers under center, not Zach Wilson. Bill Belichick won't start the season 0-3, and if the Pats win they're more likely than not to cover the spread. We can also note that the Pats are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less over the last three seasons, while the Jets are 12-18 ATS as an underdog. 4* TOP PLAY on the Patriots. |
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09-23-23 | BYU v. Kansas -9.5 | Top | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show |
Mike's 4* BYU/Kansas CFB Game of the Week TOP PLAY This looks like a potential flat spot for BYU following their 38-31 upset win at Arkansas last week. Now they're on the road at Kansas who will be looking to bounce back from a lackluster 31-24 win as a four-touchdown favorite at Nevada. The Cougars left everything on the field in last week's comeback win, and I don't think they have the energy to keep it close through four quarters here. 4* TOP PLAY on Kansas. |
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09-21-23 | Giants v. 49ers -10.5 | Top | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 59 h 39 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Giants/Niners T.N.F. TOP PLAY The Giants got stomped by Dallas in Week 1, and they needed a 17-0 fourth quarter to scrape by a weak Arizona team in Week 2. Here they'll have to do without star RB Saquon Barkley who left the win against Arizona early with an ankle injury, and I just don't see how the Giants will be able to keep up with a Niners team that is superior on both sides of the ball. The Niners are 2-0 on the season after winning 30-7 at Pittsburgh in Week 1 and 30-23 at LA Rams in Week 2. Two dominant performances, and their Week 2 win could've/should've been bigger. I expect the 49ers to rout their opponent here in their home opener. Bet this TOP PLAY on the 49ers with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-17-23 | Bears v. Bucs UNDER 41.5 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 25 m | Show |
Mike's Bears/Bucs NFL Total BOOKIE BLA$TER The Bears took a 38-20 loss to Green Bay in Week 1 while Tampa Bay recorded a 20-17 upset win at Minnesota. I think the Bears' defense will do a lot better here against a Tampa Bay team that will struggle to move the ball this season, but I don't think points will come easy for Chicago either. Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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09-17-23 | Ravens +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 47 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Ravens/Bengals NFL Game of the Week TOP PLAY The Bengals were held to three points and 142 yards of total offense in their Week 1 matchup with Cleveland. QB Joe Burrow suffered a calf injury during training camp that made him miss one month of the preseason, and he looked completely off. Here he'll face a solid Baltimore team that is coming off a 25-9 win over the Texans. Since the start of the 2019 season, the Ravens are 13-3-1 ATS as underdogs. Bet this TOP PLAY on the RAVENS with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-16-23 | North Texas v. Louisiana Tech -4.5 | Top | 40-37 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
Mike's 4* North Texas/LA Tech CFB Game of the Week TOP PLAY North Texas is 0-2 SU and ATS on the season after first losing as an underdog to California followed by a 46-39 loss as an 11.5-point favorite at Florida International. The Bulldogs meanwhile have won two of their first three games and both of their home games. The Mean Green have allowed 290 rushing yards per game, and Louisiana Tech just put up 367 yards on the ground (9.7 yards per carry) in a 51-21 win over Northwestern State. The Bulldogs gave up 38 points in a loss at SMU, but they've played well defensively as favorites. Bet this TOP PLAY on Louisiana Tech with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-14-23 | Vikings +6 v. Eagles | Top | 28-34 | Push | 0 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Vikings/Eagles ATS TOP PLAY of the Day The Vikings do not have the defense to compete with Philly, but they have the weapons on the offensive side of the ball. Turnovers and penalties hurt them badly in Week 1 against the Bucs, but I think we'll see a much better Vikings offense in this one. The Vikings will also have a chip on their shoulder after losing to Tampa Bay as a big favorite, and divisional matchups are never a gimme. Additionally, the Eagles have been hit with injuries on defense. Bet this TOP PLAY on the Vikings with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-10-23 | Eagles v. Patriots UNDER 45 | Top | 25-20 | Push | 0 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Eagles/Patriots NFL Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY Teams coming off a loss in the Super Bowl tend to start the next season slow and with the Pats, you just know that Bill Belichick will have a great plan on the defensive side of the ball. The Eagles held opponents to an NFL-best 292.8 yards per game last season. The Pats ranked 26th in total offense and they're coming into this game with a banged up offensive line.  Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-09-23 | Ball State v. Georgia OVER 52.5 | Top | 3-45 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 40 m | Show |
4* Ball State/Georgia CFB Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY Ball State took a 44-14 loss at Kentucky in Week 1, and it won't get any easier here at two-time defending national champion Georgia who opened the season with a 48-7 win over UT Martin. This early in the season, we have no reason to believe that Georgia will do anything but keep the foot on the gas to set the tone for what should be another successful season. Bet this TOP PLAY on the OVER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-03-23 | LSU v. Florida State UNDER 56.5 | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 42 m | Show |
4* LSU/FSU CFB Total TOP PLAY Game of the Week Florida State won 24-23 when these two teams battled it out last season. The total was set at 51 for that game, and for this contest, we're seeing an even bigger number. Sure, both teams have dangerous offenses led by elite quarterbacks, but don't underestimate the defenses. Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-02-23 | South Alabama +6.5 v. Tulane | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
4* South Alabama/Tulane CFB Top Play of the Day Last year, South Alabama went 10-3 SU and 7-6 ATS while Tulane went 12-2 SU and ATS. The Jaguars had one of the best offenses in the country last season. They bring back a lot of experience and come into the season as favorites to win the Sun Belt conference. Tulane has seen more turnover and I think South Alabama will keep this close. Bet this TOP PLAY on South Alabama with 4% of your bankroll. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles OVER 51 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
10* CHIEFS/EAGLES SUPER BOWL TOTAL MAX BET The over in the Super Bowl is a public bet pretty much every year, but the public is not always wrong. While the Chiefs defense turned up the heat late in the season, they're still allowing 21.7 ppg and they allowed 20 points in both the divisional round and the conference championship game. The Eagles have been dominant on both sides of the ball all season and they've scored 38 and 31 points in their two playoff games. I see a 28-27. 30-28 win for either team. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs +105 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 105 | 84 h 44 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* AFC PLAYOFFS BEST BET The move from the opening line to this number suggests that the market is concerned about the health of Patrick Mahomes (high ankle sprain), but I am not worried. He'll play, and he'll be efficient, as always. We won with Cincinnati last week, and while they looked terrific in their dismantling of the Bills, this number is also an overreaction due to that performance. Don't get me wrong, the Bengals are a very talented team ... just not quite as good as KC. 10* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 45.5 | Top | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
NINERS/EAGLES 10* TOTAL TOP PLAY The Niners and the Eagles are top two for total defense this season, with both sides allowing only just over 300 yards per game. San Fracncisco's third-string quarterback Brock Purdy has been putting up strong numbers, but now he'll face an Eagles team that held Daniel Jones to 135 passing yards in the divisional round. The Niners should have decent success running the football, but that will also take time off the clock. Under is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 playoff road games. Under is 15-5-1 in Eagles last 21 playoff games. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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01-22-23 | Bengals +6 v. Bills | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* BENGALS/BILLS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY Buffalo might be the best team in the AFC, but this is a lot of points to give to a team as talented as the Bengals. Buffalo QB Josh Allen has been inconsistent lately. Sure, he has thrown 12 touchdown passes over the last four games, but also five interceptions in the last three. For the season, the Bills rank 31st in the NFL with 1.8 giveaways per game while Cincy ranks 8th with 1.5 takeaways per game. Bengals are 12-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bills are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs UNDER 53 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* JAGS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The line total has gone up a couple of points since the opener, but I like the under here. Sure, Jacksonville's wild Wild Card win over the Chergers was a shootout, but do you expect Trevor Lawrence to throw four picks and four touchdown passes again? Jacksonville's defense has played a lot better doown the stretch than it did at the beginning of the season and KS's defense is somewhat underrated, with the offense stealing all the headlines. Under is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Kansas City won 27-17 when the two teams clashed back in November. I would not be surprised to see a similar scoreline today. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers -115 v. Jaguars | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -115 | 84 h 10 m | Show |
10* CHARGERS/JAGUARS NFL WILD CARD ROUND BEST BET I really like the Chargers here in Jacksonville Saturday night. The Jags have struggled against the pass all season long (28th) and here they'll face a Chargers team that averages 269.6 passing yards per game (3rd). The Chargers had won four on the bounce before losing at Denver in the regular season finale, after knowing they had already secured a wild-card spot. Jacksonville surged down the stretch as well after opening the season 2-6, but I have the Chargers as the much better team. Chargers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 10* PLAY ON LA CHARGERS. |
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01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia -12.5 | Top | 7-65 | Win | 100 | 117 h 40 m | Show |
10* TCU/GEORGIA NATTY CHAMPIONSHIP MAX BET TCU has had a magical season, but the Cinderella story ends here. While they managed to beat Michigan in the semi-finals, they gave up 45 points in the process and I don't see how they can keep up with this Georgia team that is superior at just about everything, and also has experience on its side. Sure, Georgia gave up 41 points to Ohio State, but that was a one-off game for a defense that is one of the best in the nation. Georgia will score 40+, and I doubt TCU will get more than 20. This will no doubt be a lopsided affair. Bulldogs by 20+. 10* PLAY ON GEORGIA BULLDOGS. |
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01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers OVER 49 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* LIONS/PACKERS MAX BET The Lions are 10-6 to the over on the season and over is 13-6 in Lions last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. The Packers are coming off a 41-17 win over Minnesota, and their offense has been heating up at exactly the right time. Over is 10-1 in Packers last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 14-3 in Packers last 17 games in January. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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01-08-23 | Rams +6 v. Seahawks | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - RAMS/SEAHAWKS MAX BET The Rams are banged up but still battling. They have lost eight of their last 10 games straight up, but they are 4-2 ATS in their last six and I think we'll get an honest effort from them here against a Seattle team that needs a win to maintain their hopes earning a wild-card spot. Seattle is not fully healthy either, and its top three running backs all missed practice time this week. Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Seahawks are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up win. 10* PLAY ON LA RAMS. |
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01-01-23 | Browns v. Commanders -2.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 130 h 35 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BIG BET ALERT Deshaun Watson's return from suspension has not had nearly the positive impact that the Browns would've hoped for. They've been held to 10, 13, and 10 points over their last three games and here they'll face a Washington team that ranks fourth in the NFL for total defense. Washington gave up 37 points at the Niners last week, but they were only marginally outgained. The Browns are eliminated from the playoffs while the Commanders must win to keep their playoff hopes alive. I don't care whether Taylor Heinicke or Carson Wentz quarterbacks the Commanders, their defense, and their running game should get them the win and cover. 10* PLAY ON WASHINGTON COMMANDERS. |
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12-26-22 | New Mexico State v. Bowling Green UNDER 48.5 | Top | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* QUICK LANE BOWL TOTAL TOP PLAY Bowling Green was held to 14 points and 279 yards of total offense in a loss at Ohio in its last game. Falcons QB Matt McDonald McDonald was intercepted three times and New Mexico State ranks 14th in the nation against the pass. New Mexico State's offense has been hot, but QB Diegoa Pavia suiffered a hamstring injury against Valpo last time out. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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12-25-22 | Bucs v. Cardinals UNDER 40.5 | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
NFC TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* BUCS/CARDINALS BEST BET I expect the Bucs defense to step up in a big way after giving up 30+ points in back-to-back weeks. Arizona is already eliminated from postseason contention and will be starting third-string quarterback Trace McSorley. As fort the Bucs offense, they've not looked right all season and under is 8-1 in Buccaneers last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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12-24-22 | Giants +4 v. Vikings | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - GIANTS/VIKES BEST BET Last week, Minnesota came back from a 33-0 deficit to beat the Colts and win yet another one-score game. The Giants are coming off a 20-12 win at Washington and are coming into this game holding the No. 6 spot in the NFC. The Vikes have clinched a playoff spot, and while they might find a way to win this one outright, I like the Giants to cover. Giants are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Vikings are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC. 10* PLAY ON NEW YORK GIANTS. |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars +4 | Top | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 53 h 6 m | Show |
10* COWBOYS/JAGS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a potential flat spot for the Cowboys following four straight wins and with the Eagles on deck next week. The Jags are only 5-8 on the season but can still win the division. so they'll show up. The Cowboys are relying on their running game to move the ball rather than their passing game but the Jags run defense is decent and I think they'll keep this close. 10* PLAY ON JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS. |
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12-17-22 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* NON CONFERENCE BEST BET ATS The Vikings are 10-3 on the season, but they've been fairly lucky being on the right side in several one-score games and here they'll face Colts team that will be looking to pick up the pieces following a 54-19 loss at Dallas two weeks ago. They kept it close until getting outscored 33-0 in the final period, and they've had extra time to prepare for this one. Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Vikings are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. 10* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. |
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