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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-18-24 | Angels v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Angels/Rays (ASSASSIN) These two teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including the first two of this series which they've split, but all signs finally point to a bit of a "duel" here in our opinion, as each side will be leaning on these capable starters to go deep. Neither has looked great to open the season, but with a couple of awkward games under their belts, we're looking for each to settle down here. The Angels turn to Griffin Canning, who is 0-2 with a 9.88 ERA, while the home side counters with Ryan Pepiot, who is 1-2, with a 5.40 ERA. Canning is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA in four career games vs. the Rays, who has had one good start and two pedestrian ones. He's never faced the Angels. However, when taking into account the overall situational factors listed above, and also noting that Tampa has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for these two hungry starters to battle into the latter frames and then also look for this total to stay well "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-17-24 | Angels v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Angels/Rays (AL NON-DIV TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're now finally anticipating a much lower-scoring "duel" here on Wednesday. LA goes with Reid Detmers, who is 3-0 with a 1.04 ERA and 0.81 WHIP, while the home side counters with Zach Littell, who is 1-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. These teams have split the first two games of this series, with each game going well "over" the posted total, but with these two red hot hurlers squaring off and throwing deep into the latter frames against each other like we envision, the correct call as far as the total is concerned is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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04-16-24 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | Top | 11-12 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/D-Backs. These two teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but everything points to much more of a slug-fest here on Tuesday finally in our opinion. Chicago has seen the total go "under" in four straight after last night's 3-2 win here to open the series. Note that Arizona has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The D-Backs have now seen the total dip "under" in three straight, but note that Arizona has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Kyle Hendricks is 0-2 with a 12.08 ERA for Chicago, while Tommy Henry is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA for the D-Backs. Everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-15-24 | Reds v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Reds/Mariners (IL TOW) We're expecting some offensive fireworks here between the Reds and Mariners on Monday night. Cincinnati goes with Frankie Montas, while Seattle counters with George Kirby. We like each starter and aren't reading too much into either's early results. That said, the overall situation points to a slug-fest in our opinion. Seattle has now seen the total go "under" in six straight after its second straight loss to the Cubs last night. Despite that though, note that the Mariners have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Will be a nice night in the PNW and we're finally expecting these talented hitting line-ups to take center stage; the play is indeed on the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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04-14-24 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (DUEL) These teams have been involved in a few high-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to more of a "duel" here in our opinion on Sunday in the finale of this divisional three-game series from Houston. Texas is 8-6 and Houston is 4-11. The first two games of this series have gone "over" the number, but note that Houston has now seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. The Astros did finally break their four-game slide with yesterday's victory. Two starters that are sizzling hot to open the new season go head-to-head and we're expecting them to take center stage here for this one and duel deep into the latter frames. Nate Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 1.45 ERA for the Rangers, while Christian Javier is 1-0 with a 1.10 ERA for the Astros. Everything finally points to a "duel;" the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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04-14-24 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 8 | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Phillies (BLOWOUT) We had a play on the "over" in the Phillies' 4-3 win and while that pick came up short, we're now finally expecting a "slug-fest" here on Sunday. Philly has now seen the total go "under" in nine straight. But that fact has only helped in driving today's O/U line a little bit lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Pittsburgh's now seen the total go "under" in four straight. Mitch Keller is an unremarkable 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA for the Pirates. Philly will look to take advantage here and plate some runs for starter Zach Wheeler, who is 0-2 with a 1.89 ERA so far. Regardless, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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04-13-24 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Phillies. These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much higher-scoring shootout here finally between the Pirates and the Phillies on Saturday afternoon. The Pirates have seen the total go "under" in the first two games of this series, including in their 5-2 win here yesterday (Philadelphia won the opener by a score of 5-1.) The Phillies have now seen the total go "under" in nine straight. All of these "unders" has helped in pushing this O/ line a bit lower than it normally would/should be though in our opinion. Marco Gonzales is 0-0 with a 2.45 ERA for the Pirates. Gonzales has allowed just three runs over 11 innings of work, but regression seems imminent finally here in our opinion for the veteran. The Phillies counter with Spencer Turnbull, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. He's coming off a no-decision vs. the Cards. In our opinion though, each starter is poised to "get the hook early" here, and that'll lead to these bullpens exploding and this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-11-24 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Phillies. Both teams, especially the Phillies, have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here in the opener of this one. Pittsburgh is 9-3, while Philly is 6-6. The Pirates just had their three-game win streak snapped in the 5-3 home loss to Detroit two nights ago. They've been alternating overs with unders over their last eight games, and off the low-scoring loss just last night, we're absolutely expecting this pattern to continue. This is the start of four straight here in Philly. The PHililes have been alternating wins/losses over their last five games. Off a 4-3 win at ST. Louis yesterday, they'll be eager to break that pattern here at home in the opener of this one. Regardless, the Phillies have seen the total go "under" in seven straight now. But now we definitely feel the value has swung the other way as far as the total is concerned. This is an ACTION play, meaning whoever gets the start for either team, this play will be valid. Pittsburgh goes with Jared Jones (1-1, 3.86 ERA), while Philadelphia counters with Ranger Suarez (1-0, 4.09.) Can't fault either guy, as they've been decent so far, but the overall situation, combined with the trends definitely point to this one being a "slug-fest" finally in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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04-10-24 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER A's/Rangers (AL WEST TOY) We have two really good starters going head-to-head here and we believe they'll battle each other DEEP into the latter innings, alleviating the pressure off the bullpens. Ross Stripling is 0-2 with a 3.75 ERA for the Athletics. He's been great in his first two starts, last time out he gave up one run over seven innings, striking out three and walking none in an unfortunate loss to the Red Sox. The A's offense was shutout in that one for the second time in its previous three games. That offense will find it difficult again today facing Rangers' starter Cody Bradford, who is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.47 WHIP. With each of these starters taking "center stage" like we suspect in this one, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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04-09-24 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER White Sox/Guardians (AL CENTRAL TOY) These two teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating a bit of a "slug-fest" here on Tuesday. Chicago has lost five straight, and the last four have all gone "under." That includes yesterday's 4-0 series opening loss here. Note though that despite this being a new season, it's still significant to note that the ChiSox have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a shutout divisional road loss vs. an opponent. Chicago is just 1-9, but Cleveland is 8-2. It's now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Guardians have seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both starters are decent, with Mike Soroka (0-1, 4.91 ERA) going for the visitors, and Logan Allen (2-0, 2.31) going for the home side, but despite who gets the start here, the overall situation, combined with the above listed trends, finally point to this total fying "over" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-08-24 | Nationals v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Nationals/Giants (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head to open this series, we're anticipating a bit of a slug-fest and for this total to ultimately eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Nationals are just 3-6, while the Giants are only 4-6. The Nats are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. Trevor Williams is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA for the Nationals, while Blake Snell is making his season debut here. He's looked good in Spring, but the overall situation points to this total sneaking "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch. San Francisco went 2-1 in its series vs. the Padres here over the weekend and all three games went "under" the number, but that's significant for us to take note of as the Giants have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is indeed low in our opinion, so the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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03-29-24 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
10* Jays/Rays UNDER (AL EAST TOM) For a number of different reasons we're expecting this one to fall "under" the posted number once it's all said and done. Toronto and Tampa went "over" the number in yesterday's Season Opener, but we're anticipating a much tighter "duel" here on Friday night. Chris Bassitt looked great in his final Spring tune-up for Toronto, striking out nine over 5.1 innings and giving up just one run vs. the Padres. Overall he posted a 14:1 K:BB over 14 Spring innings and there's no reason not to think he won't keep that momentum rolling here. Aaron Civale was 3-2 with a 2.59 ERA over the first half last year and we're anticipating another hot start this year. So look for these two starters to take center stage and for this total to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ALCS TOW) Game 1 went "under" the number, but since then the last five games have all flown "over" the number. Note that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row, while Houston has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four in the same position. We have two great experienced starters going for each side, with Max Scherzer getting the call for the Ranges, and the home side countering with Christian Javier; everything points to Game 7 staying "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ASSASSIN) This series has seen some high-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a "duel" here in this important Game 6. Texas won the first two games here, while Houston then responded with three straight wins in Texas. Now with their backs against the wall, Texas hands the ball to its best "in form" starter in Nate Eovaldi, who is so far 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in the playoffs. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez, who has uncharacteristically struggled so far in the postseason, going 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA and 2.57 WHIP. But we're expecting Valdez to return to form here at home. He has the experience and pedigree to match pace with his counterpart and while we have indeed seen some higher-scoring affairs to open this series, everything now sets up from a number of different angles to finally be a lower-scoring "duel" here in Houston on Sunday in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ALCS TOY) The last three games in this series have flown "over" the number, but note that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row, and Texas has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten in the same position (also in five of its last seven in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent.) Honestly it would not be very difficult to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game either, but these strong O/U trends do definitely tip the scales in favor of the men on the mound in this ALCS matchup. The Astros go with Justin Verlander (1-1, 1.42 ERA), while the home side counters with Jordan Montgomery (2-0, 2.08.) This number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/D-Backs (TOP TOTAL) The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but all signs point to much more of a "duel" here finally in our opinion now that the venue has shifted. The D-Backs essentially have their backs against the wall here being down 2-0. Ranger Suarez (1-0, 1.04 ERA, 0.58 WHIP) gets the call for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 3.86, 1.43.) It's interesting to note as well that Arizona has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The overall situation here finally points to a more of a defensive "duel" in the NLCS; the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ASSASSIN) Texas has the 2-0 series lead and is on the proverbial driver's seat in this series now back at home for three straight. One game went "over" and one game went "under." But now here in Game 3, we think this number is a bit TOO high, so we're going to recommend a play on the "under." And for us, it all comes down to the starting pitchers, who we're expecting will battle deep into this one. Max Scherzer (13-7, 3.77 ERA) makes his first start for Texas since Spetember 12th after injuring himself. He's thrown a bullpen session and has been given the green light. Overall Scherzer is 5-2 with a 3.84 ERA in ten career regular-season starts vs. Houston. He's also 7-7 with 3.58 ERA in 27 career playoff appearances. The Rangers bullpen has been elite throughout the playoffs as well. He'll be opposed by the red hot Cristian Javier (1-0, 0.00) who hasn't allowed a run in three career postseason starts. He's also 5-1 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Rangers. All signs point to a classic "duel" here in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (BLOWOUT) We're expecting a "duel" here in the opener of the ALCS, and you don't have to look any further than the starting pitchers to know why. These teams are very familiar with each other of course, but in the end we're expecting the men on the mound to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. Texas hands the ball to Jordan Montgomery (1-0, 3.27 ERA), while the home side counters with Justin Verlander (1-0, 0.00.) These two veterans are coming off solid regular seasons and have so far been great in the playoffs. All signs point to a classic "duel" as we stated off the top; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Twins (ASSASSIN) Here's a great "situational" play, as the first two games of this series went "over" the number, and now here with the shift in venue we're finally expecting more of a "duel." Houston hands the ball to Christian Javier (10-5, 4.56 ERA), who is 4-1 with a 2.20 ERA in 14 playoff games. In his World Series start last year he threw six shutout innings in a win over the Phillies. He'll be opposed by Sonny Gray (8-8, 2.79), who threw five scorless innings in a win over the Jays in the wildcard. Look for these two "studs" to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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09-28-23 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* Yanks/Jays OVER (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a higher-scoring slug-fest here finally in the finale of this AL East series. The Yanks are out of playoff contention, and they're looking to once again play spoiler here after taking the first two gams of this series, winning 2-0 and 6-0. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Jays have also seen the total go "over" in three of their last four in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. Luke Weaver (0-0, 6.75 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.74) counters for the home side. They're both in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today; this number is low, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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09-25-23 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Padres/Giants (NL WEST TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some runs to be plated here tonight in the opener of this crucial divisional series, as each side is desperately trying to keep its dwindling playoff hopes alive. In fact, these teams now enter tied for third in the NL West. Their both five games back of the Cubs with six games to go. It's now or never, do or die. These two starters, Blake Snell for San Diego and Logan Webb of San Francisc, have been terrific this year, but this is just a case of each being in the wrong place, at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Rays. Both teams have been involved in several high-scoring contests, including in the first two games of this series, with each team taking one game. However, the worm turns as far as the total is concerned here in this important divisional series finale in our opinion. Tampa has seen the total go "over" in five straight now, which is definitely significant to note as the Rays have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Toronto has seen the total go "over" in three straight. Yusei Kikhuchi (10-6, 3.74 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Taj Bradley (5-7, 5.36.) The overall sitaution points to a duel here; the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER D-Backs/Cubs. The first three games of this series have gone "under" the number, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here this afternoon. Arizona has won four straight and the first three of this series. All three games have gone "under" the number, but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. Brandon Pfaddt (1-8, 6.27 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, countered by Kyle Hendricks (5-7, 3.73) for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above stats/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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09-08-23 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pirates/Braves (ART OF WAR) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the opener of this series in ATL on Friday night. The Braves lost two of three to the Cards, and all three games went "over" the number. But note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two really good starters going head-to-head and all signs point to a "duel" as we eluded to above, with Mitch Keller (11-8, 3.93 ERA) going for the Pirates, and Bryce Elder (11-4, 3.42) countering for the home side. This number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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09-07-23 | Tigers v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Tigers/Yanks. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting finally a "slug-fest" here on Thursday night in the Bronx. NY has won 8 of its last 9 and both games to open this series. It's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. Eduardo Rodriguez (10-7, 3.11 ERA) gets the call for the Tigers, and he's definitely in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. Carlos Rodon (2-4, 5.70) has struggled for New York. Everything in our opinion points to this total flying well "over" the number! AAA Sports |
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09-06-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to a "duel" here in our opinion. The Astros have won both of these games to open this series, and both have flown well "over" the number, including in their 14-1 win last night. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. We have two former teammates going head-to-head here, with Justin Verlander (4-1, 2.79 ERA) getting the call for Houston, and Max Scherzer (3-1, 2.64) countering for Texas. Look for these ex-teammates to battle deep, and for this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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09-05-23 | Blue Jays v. A's UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/A's (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally predicting more of a "duel" here finally on Tuesday night. The Jays came from behind, and then had to hold on for the 6-5 win last night. Toronto has now seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. Note though that despite yesterday's high-scoring outcome, Toronto has still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Chris Bassitt (13-7, 3.81 ERA) has been a consistent bright spot for Toronto all year. Ken Waldichuk (2-7, 5.92 ERA) less so for the A's, but the overall situation and the numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call for sure here today as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/Reds (NL CENTRAL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here. Chicago just went 2-1 vs. Milwaukee at home as it keeps its playoff hopes alive. All three games went "under" the number, but note that the Cubs have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Cincinnati hasn't thrown in the white towel yet on its season either. The Reds lost two of three at San Francisco, but did win the finale 4-1. All three games also went "under" the number. That's four straight "unders" for the Reds, but note that despite their low-scoring victory last time out, they've still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Chicago goes with still unproven Jordan Wicks (1-0, 1.80 ERA) who looks primed for a dose of reality in our opinion after a decent debut vs. the Pirates last time out. He'll be opposed by Graham Ashcraft (7-8, 4.73) who is 1-4 with a 10.38 ERA in five career starts vs. Chicago. We're expecting these guys to "get the hook" early; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-31-23 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Nationals (NL EAST TOY) Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting some offensive fireworks here in the Nation's capital in the opener of this series. Miami has lost five of its last six. It lost both games to Tampa Bay over the weekend, including falling 3-0 yesterday. Note though that the Fish have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off a shutout home loss. These teams played just last week and the Nats took two of three, so the Marlins won't be taking anything for granted here obviously. Washington has lost three of four, includuing a 7-0 loss at Toronto last night. Note though that the Nats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a shutout road loss. Neither starter has been terrible, and neither has been great. Braxton Garrett (7-5, 3.96 ERA) gets the call for Miami, while Washington counters with Joan Adon (2-0, 5.25.) The situation and trends/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* D-Backs/Dodgers UINDER (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end this evening. Arizona has seen the total go "over" in both games to open this series, both have been losses. That's significant to note however, as the D-Backs have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Dodgers have now seen the total "over" the number in six straight. All of these "overs" have pushed the O/U line in this finale a little bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Brandon Pfaadt (1-6, 5.91 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 2.00) counters for the home side. The overall situation combined with the above listed trends finally points to a bit of a duel here on Wednesday; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Red Sox (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to some really high-scoring games of late, including in the Astros 13-5 series-opening victory here yesterday. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Astros have in fact seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston though has now seen the total go "over" in 12 straight games. That fact though has for sure only helped in driving tonight's total a bit higher than it normally would/should be. Two really good starters here in JP France (9-5, 3.51 ERA) and Brayan Bellow (10-7, 3.56) for the home side. The overall situation and the numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call finally! AAA Sports |
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08-28-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* Brewers/Cubs UNDER. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a "duel" here in the opener of this important series. Milwaukee has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. But note that the Brewers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Cubs have won seven of their last nine and they've seen the total fly "over the number in six of their last seven. Milwaukee goes with Wade Miley (6-3, 3.18 ERA), while the home side counters with Jameson Taillon (7-8, 5.60.) The overall situation, combined with the above-listed O/U ATS stat makes the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-27-23 | Royals v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Royals/Mariners (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Seattle continues to surge, after taking two of three from the White Sox, it's also taken the first two games of this series vs. the Royals, winning 7-5 and 15-2. Note though that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Alec Marsh (0-6, 5.56 ERA) gets the call for the Royals, while Luis Castillo (10-7, 3.15) counters for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above listed ATS O/U trends does indeed make the UNDER the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one. AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | A's v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER A's/White Sox. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Chicago has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 8-5 and 12-4, but note that the White Sox have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Two decent starters here in JP Sears (2-10, 4.61 ERA) for the A's and Touki Toussaint (0-1, 4.91) for the home side. The overall situation points to this finally being more of a "duel," the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-25-23 | Astros v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Tigers. Both teams enter this series have been playing to higher-scoring "overs" of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The visitors hand the ball to Framber Valdez (9-9, 3.55 ERA), while the home side counters with Matt Manning (5-4, 4.31.) Despite having played to several high-scoring affairs entering this one, all signs finally point to more of a "duel" here between these super competent starters; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Orioles UNDER 9 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Orioles (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Toronto has gone 3-1 in its last four, including going 2-1 in this series. The first two games both flew "over" the posted total, while yesterday's game went "under" in the Orioles 7-0 victory. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 following a shutout road loss. We have two really competent veteran starters going head-to-head, and we're expecting a classic "duel" into the latter frames, with Jose Berrios (9-8, 3.39 ERA) getting the nod for the Jays, and Kyle Gibson (12-7, 4.97) countering for the Orioles. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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08-23-23 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Astros (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have now seen the total go "over" in five straight after losing the first two games of this series. Note though that Boston has seen the total "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in four straight as well. Two hungry starters collide, and we're expecting a "duel," with Chris Sale getting the nod for the Red Sox, and Jose Urquidy countering for the home side. This number is a little high in our estimation now, so the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-22-23 | Dodgers v. Guardians OVER 9 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Dodgers/Guardians (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. LA just went 2-1 at home to Miami this weekend, and the final two games both went "under" the number. Cleveland enters the series having played to six straight "unders." Despite that though, note that the Guardians have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in arow. Cleveland is desperate to snap a horrible stretch, having lost four of its last five. LA goes with Bobby Miller (7-2, 3.70 ERA) who we feel is just in the wrong place at the wrong time, as we expect the home side to finally plate some runs tonight. Miller though will still be feeling confident here going up against confirmed "gas can" Noah Syndergaard (1-2, 5.06.) Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-20-23 | Phillies v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/Nationals. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here on Sunday. Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after last night's 12-3 win here. Note though that the Phillies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight overs in a row. Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in interestingly three of its last four after a loss of 8 or more runs as well. Zach Wheeler (9-5, 3.63 ERA) of the Phillies faces off against Trevor Williams (5-7, 5.20) of the Nationals in the starting pitching matchup, and we're expecting these guys to battle into the latter frames; when you add it all up, the "under" is indeed the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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08-19-23 | Giants v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Giants/Braves (NL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a more explosive "slug-fest" here finally on Saturday, despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head. San Fran has now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's 4-0 setback here. Note though that the Giants have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. The Braves have now won four straight, while also seeing the total go "under" in three straight (but note that ATL has seen the total go "over" the number in six of its last eight after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.) The Giants hand the ball to Logan Webb (9-9, 3.26 ERA), while the home side counters with Yonny Chirinos, who is 1-1 with a ballooned 9.33 ERA for his new team. Expect these guys to get "the hook" early and then look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-17-23 | Red Sox v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Nats (ULTIMATE TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. Boston has now seen the total go "under" in seven straight after yesterday's 6-2 loss. Note though that the Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Chris Sale is 5-2 with a 4.52 ERA for Boston, while Patrick Corbin is 7-11 with a 4.85 ERA for the Nationals. Two veterans who have each seen better days collide here and this is just a case of each being in the wrong place at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-17-23 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* Mariners/Royals UNDER (ASSASSIN) The first three games of this series have all flown well "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive "duel" here in the finale (note that Seattle has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Seattle hands the ball to George Kirby (10-8, 3.11 ERA), while the home side counters with Angel Zerpa (1-1, 7.71.) This pick is based mainly upon the form of Kirby, who is 2-0 with a 1.97 ERA and a 38:3 K/W over his last five starts. Zerpa hasn't made a start since July 26th last year, so he's a bit of an unknown, but note that he's 1-2 with a 1.29 ERA in three previous career starts. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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08-11-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
10* Padres/D-Backs OVER (ASSASSIN) This is a great situational play. These division foes' wildcard hopes continue to dwindle by each passing day. San Diego enters having lost five of its last six and four in a row, while Arizona comes into this series having dropped eight in a row. Arizona's fall from grace over the second half has been spectacular to say the least. Either way, these are two overhyped teams for sure. They've each played to several lower-scoring games. Arizona has played to three straight "unders," but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Blake Snell is 8-8 with a 2.61 ERA for the Padres, but Ryne Nelson is just 6-6 with a 5.16 ERA for the D-Backs. Snell is just in the wrong place, at the wrong time today, as all signs point to this total flying well "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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08-10-23 | Blue Jays v. Guardians OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Jays/Guardians. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally expecting those trends to end this afternoon in what sets up to be an explosive offensive affair. The Jays are now 35-27 on the road after their 1-0 win here yeterday. They are 2-1 in this 4-game series, all three games have gone "under" the number, but note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The bottom line though more than anything is we don't trust either starting pitcher lasting very long, with the Jays going with the erratic Alek Manoah (3-8, 5.72 ERA), and the home side countering with Noah Syndergaard (1-4, 7.16.) All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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08-09-23 | Astros v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Orioles (AL TOM) The Astros came from behind to knock off the Orioles by a score of 7-6 last night, and while that total flew well "over" the number, we're expecting more of a "duel" here on Wednesday night. The visitors go with Christian Javier (7-2, 4.39 ERA), while the home side counters with Jack Flaherty (1-0, 1.50.) The Orioles have in fact seen the total go under the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Look for these savvy vets to "steal the show," and grab the "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-09-23 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Reds (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on Wednesday afternoon. The Marlins have seen the total go "under" in three straight after last night's 3-2 victory, and note that Miami has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Reds have now lost seven of their last eight after yesterday's setback, and they've seen the total go "under" in six straight. Two confirmed "gas cans" go head-to-head" here though, with Cueto (0-3, 5.32 ERA) going for the Fish, and Ashcraft (6-7, 5.18) countering for the home side. Ashcraft is actually way worse at home this year as well; look for this total to fly well OVER the number before it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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08-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 9.5 | Top | 13-7 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
10* UNDER Dodgers/Padres. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair here on Monday in the fourth game of this series. LA has now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight after last night's 8-2 victory, while SD has seen the total go "over" in the first three games of this series (which is in fact significant to note, as the Padres have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row at home. We have two really decent starters going head to head, with Tony Gonsolin (6-4, 4.11 ERA) getting the nod for the Dodgers and Seth Lugo (4-5, 3.54) countering for the Friars. All signs point to a classic "duel," finally in the finale; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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07-31-23 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rays/Yanks. We have an important divisional matchup here, but it's one that's going to be dominated by the men on the mound in our opinion. Tampa Bay is 64-44 overall, but just 27-25 on the road. New York is only 55-50 overall, but it's 32-24 at home. Tampa went 2-1 at Houston over the weekend, with the last two games flying "over" the number. New York lost two of three to Baltimore here at home over the weekend, and the final two also eclipsed the posted number as far as the total is concerned. But everything points to a "duel" here with the Rays' Tyler Glasnow (4-3, 3.36 ERA) facing off against the Yanks' Domingo German (5-7, 4.77.) This should have a "playoff-like" atmosphere about it, and everything points to runs being at a premium in the opener; the play is indeed on the under! AAA Sports |
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07-30-23 | Mariners v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER Mariners/Diamondbacks. The first two games of this series have gone "under" the number, but all signs point to a more high-scoring affair here on Sunday in our opinion. This is just a case of both Luis Castillo (6-7, 3.02 ERA) of the Mariners and Merril Kelly (9-4, 3.12) f the D-Backs being in the "wrong place," at the "wrong time!" The overall situaation points to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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07-27-23 | Angels v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Angels/Tigers. These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here after the Angels 7-6 win in yesterday's series opener. More than anything though, we really like these starting pitchers and we're predicting a classic "duel" early here in Detroit. The visitors go with ace Shohei Ohtani (8-5, 3.71 ERA, 1.12 WHIP), while the home side counters with the under-rated Michael Lorenzen (5-6, 3.49, 1.09 WHIP.) Expect these two to battle deep and for this total to stay "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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07-26-23 | Blue Jays v. Dodgers UNDER 10 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Dodgers. The first two games of this series have flown well "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a bit of a "duel" here in the finale. The Jays won the opener by a score of 6-3, before the Dodgers bounced back in yesterday's come-from-behind 8-7 victory. These teams are a couple of the heaviest hitting clubs in the league, but they also have some of the best starting pitching and bullpens. This is a great starting pitching matchup, and after the first two games have plated a lot of runs, we're anticipating a classic "duel" here on Wednesday in LA, as Toronto goes with Yusei Kikuchi (7-3, 3.92 ERA, 1.27 WHIP), while the Dodgers go with Tony Gonsolin (5-3, 3.94, 1.08.) Look for these two competent starters to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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07-26-23 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 8-7 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Mariners/Twins (DUEL) Seattle rallied for a 9-7 win last night, after falling 4-3 in the series opener. These two teams are in the playoff hunt, and we're expecting the finale to be more like the first game, as we have two really good starting pitchers squaring off, and all signs point to a classic "duel," as Seattle hands the ball to Bryce Miller (6-3, 3.50 ERA), 0.97 WHIP), while Minnesota counters with Joe Ryan (9-6, 3.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP.) Finally, note that the Twins have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four as well in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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07-20-23 | Twins v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Twins/Mariners (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we anticipate those trends ending here this evening. Minnesota has now seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight, including in the first three of this series here in Seattle (Twins are 2-1 so far.) Note though that the Twins have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. And note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Two really good starting pitchers sqaure off here as well, and everything points to a classic "duel," as Minnesota hands the ball to Pablo Lopez (5-5, 4.24 ERA), and the home side counters with George Kirby (8-8, 3.43); the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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07-16-23 | Red Sox v. Cubs UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Cubs (ASSASSIN) Chicago has now seen the total go "over" in four straight ater yesterday's 10-4 win. The Red Sox won the opener by a score of 8-3 and Boston has now seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four. But everything points to more of a defensive duel here on Sunday between two really good starting pitchers. The Red Sox turn to Kutter Crawford (3-4, 4.11 ERA, 1.16 WHIP), while the home side counters with the red hot Justin Steele (9-2, 2.56 ERA, 1.06 WHIP.) We've seen a lot of offense from each team of late, but that fact has only helped in driving this Sunday total a little too high now in our opinion. And so that's the play, the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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07-03-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9 | 12-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
8* OVER Astros/Rangers (SLUG-FEST) These teams have been playing to some lower-scoring games of late, but we're definitely expecting that to change quick fast and hurry this afternoon. The total has gone "under" in the first three games of this four game series. So far Houston is 2-1. Note though that the Rangers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. These starters have been great, but regression is imminent in our opinion. The visitors go with Christian Javier, who is 7-1 with a 3.72 ERA, while the home side counters with Martin Perez, who is 7-3 with a 4.28 ERA. This is just a case of these guys being in the wrong place at the wrong time tonight. Everything points to an explosive finish to this four-game series; the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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07-02-23 | Diamondbacks v. Angels OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER D-Backs/Angels (ASSASSIN) Two really good starters going head-to-head here, but we're still predicting this one to become a classic "slug-fest." Arizona has seen the total go UNDER in four straight now after taking the first two games of this three-game series. That includes yesterday's 3-1 victory. Note though that LA has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses vs. an opponent. As mentioned, nothing but respect here for both starters, as Zac Gallen is 10-2 with a 3.02 ERA for Arizaon, while Reid Detmers is 1-5 with a 3.77 ERA for the Angels. This is just a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." This number is low, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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07-01-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Jays (ASSASSIN) Although both teams have been playing to lower-scoring affairs of late, we look for this Saturday afternoon total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Toronto has seen the total go "under" in four straight now after yesterday's 5-0 series opening loss here. Note though that the Jays have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a shutout home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Boston has seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Kutter Crawford is 2-4 with a 4.01 ERA for the Red Sox, while Yusei Kikuchi is 7-2 with a 3.75 ERA for the Jays. Decent starters, but this is just a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time," because the overall situation, combined with the above listed trends all point to this one being an offensive slug-fest; the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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06-29-23 | Brewers v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
10* OVER Brewers/Mets (ASSASSIN) The Brewers have played to three straight "unders" after yesterday's 5-2 win. This is the fourth game of a four-game series between the clubs and the Brewers are 2-1 so far. Note that the Mets though have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Mets have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row as well. Two decent starters, but this is just a case of Adrian Houser (2-2, 4.02 ERA) and Max Scherzer (7-2, 3.95) being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." The overall situation points to this total sailing "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-27-23 | White Sox v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER White Sox/Angels (TOTAL BOB) Both sides have been playing to some lower-scoring affairs of late, but all signs point to this total finally eclipsing the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Angels are just 2-4 in their last six, but they managed the 2-1 win here last night in the opener of this series. They've seen the total go "under" in two straight. Chicago is just 2-3 in its last five after yesterday's setback. The White Sox have seen the total go "under" in two straight. LA hands the ball to ace Shoehei Ohtani, who is 6-3 with a 3.13 ERA, while the visitors counter with Michael Kopech, who is 3-6 with a 4.06 ERA. This is a case of these guys being in the wrong place at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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06-25-23 | Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 9 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER D-Backs/Giants (ASSASSIN) The first two games of this series flew "over" the number, but we're anticipating a much lower-scoring affair here on Saturday afternoon finally. Ryne Nelson is 3-4 with a 5.31 ERA for Arizona, but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. Anthony DeSclfani is 4-6 with a 4.38 ERA for the Giants and we're expecting these battle-tested starters to duel deep into the latter frames; as a result, the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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06-23-23 | Royals v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 3-11 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Royals/Rays. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end here tonight. Tampa comes in off the 6-5 loss last night as a -304 favorite. Note that the Rays have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. That's now four straight "overs" that TB has played to as well. KC has seen the total go "over" in three of its last four. We have two battle-tested veterans going head-to-head in this starting pitching matchup and we're expecting each to battle deep. Despite his 1-7 record, Royals' starter Zach Greinke owns a more respectable 4.61 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. He'll be opposed by Zach Eflin, who is 8-3 with a 3.26 ERA and l.00 WHIP for the Rays. All signs point to runs being at a premium in this one; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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06-22-23 | Mariners v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Mariners/Yanks (AL NON-DIV TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Seattle's lost three straight, and it's seen the total go "under" in six straight. Note though that the M's have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. New York snapped a four-game slide with two straight wins to open this series, but the Yanks have now seen the total go "under" in four straight. We're not fans of either starting pitcher today. The Mariners turn to Bryan Woo (0-1, 7.30 ERA) out of necessity, while the home side counters with the pedestrian Domingo German (4-4, 4.30.) The overall situation, combined with the above O/U stats makes the "over" the correct call finally in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-21-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers UNDER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
10* UNDER D-Backs/Brewers (ASSASSIN) Considering the quality of these starting pitchers and the red hot form in which both have started off this season, we're going with the "under" in this one. Arizona goes with Zac Gallen and he's 8-2 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.13 WHIP (so far he has a massive 100 to 19 strikeout to walk ratio.) And then for the Brewers you have the rejuvenated Julio Teheran, who is 2-2 with a 1.78 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Milwaukee is struggling for wins right now and the play of Teheran has obviously been a huge bonus for the Brewers. Milwaukee's strength this year so far is its pitching with a collective 4.10 ERA (that's ranked 14th.) The Brewers only average 4.03 runs per game this year (which is 26h.) Arizona averages 5.18 runs per game (which ranks fifth), but I still think it'll have a difficult time plating too many runs here on Wednesday vs. the red hot Julio Terhan. It's going to be a classic 'PITCHERS DUEL' on Wednesday night between these two super competent and in form starters; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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06-21-23 | Orioles v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Orioles/Rays (SUPER TOTAL) This is a really interesting series, as both teams are among the best in the American League and they're both from the same division. They say that divisional matchups are always the most important and that they almost always mean more to the home side. But we're going to steer clear of the side on this one and instead focus on the total. looking at these starting pitchers and we definitely think that runs are going to be at a premium in this game on Wednesday night. Baltimore goes with Tyler Wells who is 6-2 with a 3.20 ERA (he has an 82 to 16 strikeout to walk ratio), while the home side goes with Taj Bradley, who is 4-3 with a 4.19 ERA (and 63 to 15 strikeout to walk ratio.) Recent form always plays a big part in our handicapping and these two guys come in on top form. Expect them each to battle deep, and because of that, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-20-23 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Padres/Giants (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end here this evening. San Fran has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in six straight. Despite yesterday's 7-4 extra-innings win, note that the Giants have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. SD has seen it go "over" in two straight now, but note that it's seen the total go "under" in three of its last four in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. We have two battle-tested starters going head-to-head here and we're expecting a classic "duel" tonight: Seth Lugo is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA for the Padres, while Anthony DeSclafani is 4-6 with a 4.31 ERA for the Giants. The situation, combined with the above O/U ATS stats makes the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-18-23 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Giants/Dodgers. Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to finally end here. San Fran has won six straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in four straight. Note though that the Dodgers have seen the the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. The Dodgers fell 15-0 yesterday, which is also signficant to note here, as LA has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last nine in trying to avenge a loss of ten or more runs vs. an opponent. Logan Webb is 5-6 with a 3.15 ERA for the Giants, while Tony Gonsolin is 4-1 with a 1.93 ERA for the Dodgers. Expect them to battle deep and for this total to ultimately stay well "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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06-14-23 | Marlins v. Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Marlins/Mariners (TOTAL BOB) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in the Mariners 9-3 win last night. Seattle has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is significant to note as the M's have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Miami has also seen the total go "over" in three straight, which is also important for us to take note, as the Fish have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two red hot starters going head to head, and that's another reason this total is so low, but still not low enough in our estimation. Eury Perez is 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA for the Marlins, while Luis Castillo is 4-4 with a 2.70 ERA for the M's; all signs finally point to a lower-scoring "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-13-23 | Rockies v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* OVER Rockies/Red Sox (IL TOW) Everything points to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight now after yesterday's 4-3 win here. Note though that Colorado has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Chase Anderson is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Rockies. Difficult spot for Anderson obviously and the sample size is just too small. Karl Crawford is 1-3 with a 3.68 ERA for the Red Sox. This is just a case of each of these guys being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" though, as the overall situation, comibned with the above relevant O/U ATS stats all do indeed point to this one flying "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-11-23 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
10* Red Sox/Yanks OVER (AL EAST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Boston has seen the total go "under" in both games here in the Bronx, including yesterday's 3-1 loss. It's interesting to note though that the BoSox have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or no runs in. New York has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant to note here as well, as the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both starting pithers have been "pedestrian" at best this year, and pedestrian won't get the job done tonight in our opinion. Brian Bello is 3-4 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.43 WHIP for the Red Sox, while Clarke Schmidt is 2-6 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.46 WHIP for the Yanks. Look for these guys to make an early exit and ultimately expect this total to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-10-23 | Mets v. Pirates UNDER 9 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mets/Pirates (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been struggling, and each has been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late. These facts though have only helped in contributing to this total here on Saturday in being a bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. The Mets have now lost seven straight, and they've seen the total go "over" the number in their last three, including in yesterday's 14-7 series opening loss here. Note though that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Pittsburgh has also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is also significant to note here as the Pirates have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two really decent starters who we expect to battle deep; the Mets turn to Kodai Senga, who is 5-3 with a 3.75 ERA, while the home side counters with Johan Oviedo, who is 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA. The overall situation combined with the above listed ATS trends does indeed make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-09-23 | Twins v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Twins/Jays (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lwer-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to come to an explosive end here in the opener of this one North of the border. Minnesota has lost five straight, and it's seen the total go "under" in six straight. Note though that the Twins have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last ten after playing to five or more straight losses in a row. The Jays enter the weekend after playing four staright at home here to Houston, going 3-1 in the process, winning the last three in the series, with all three of those contests going "under" the number. Note though that TO has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both pitchers have been decent, with Sonny Gray at 4-1 with 2.15 ERA for the Twins, while Yusei Kikuchi is 6-2 with a 4.40 ERA for the Jays. This, though, is just a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time," as the overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats do indeed make the "over" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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06-08-23 | White Sox v. Yankees OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
8* OVER White Sox/Yanks (TOTAL BLOWOUT) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, including in the White Sox 3-2 upset victory here in yesterday's series opener, but we're expecting much more of a "slug-fest" here on Thursday afternoon in the Bronx. Note that New York has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The White Sox have now won four straight, and they've seen the total go "under" in all four of those contests as well. That fact though has only helped in driving today's number a little lower than it normally would/should be though in our opinion. Neither starter has been anything to write home about this year. Lance Lynn is 4-6 with a 6.55 ERA for the White Sox, while Luis Severino is 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA for the Yanks. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-07-23 | Orioles v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER Orioles/Brewers (BEST OF BEST) These teams have been playing to lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting that to end this evening. We had a play on Milwaukee last night in the Brewers 4-3 extra-innings victory. Milwaukee is now back in 1st in the NL Central at 33-28. Milwaukee has now won four of its last five. It's seen the total go "under" in six of its last seven, including in three straight. That's important to take note of for us though, as the Brewers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four, including in the most recent loss. The Brewers get the job done most nights with the seventh ranked offense that averages 4.92 RPG. The overall ERA is middle of the road though at 4.16, ranked 15th. The overall situation, combined with the strong O/U ATS stat listed above, makes the OVER the correct call here in this one on Wednesday night! AAA Sports |
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06-06-23 | Twins v. Rays OVER 8 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* OVER Twins/Rays (AL TOM) Both teams come into this series having played to several lower-scoring games, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Minnesota went 2-2 at home against Cleveland this weekend, losing the final two. The final three games in the series went "under" the number, which is important to note here as the Twins have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Tampa took three of four in Boston over the weekend. The final three games went "under" the number. And that's also significant to take note of, as the Rays have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Louie Varland is 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA for Minnesota, while Zach Eflin is 7-1 with a 3.30 ERA for the Rays. We have a difficult time finding too many negative things to say about either starter, so we won't bother. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trends though will see this one fly "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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06-05-23 | Cubs v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/Padres (NL TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head here in the finale of this four-game series, we think they're at the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" tonight, as we expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Chicago has now seen the total go "under" in six straight games after last night's 7-1 win here. Note though that Chicago has still seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. SD has now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's loss. Note though that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Because this play is on the "over," it's going to be an ACTION play, meaning it doesn't matter who gets the start here. Kyle Hendricks is scheduled for the Cubs and he's 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA. The home side counters with Blake Snell, who is 1-6 with a 4.50 ERA. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trends does indeed make the "over" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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06-04-23 | Yankees v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Yanks/Dodgers. These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. The Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after last night's 6-3 victory. Some would have "pushed" on that total last night, but it did close at 8.5, so so far both games here in LA have gone "over" in this series. We're expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the finale. Note that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Domingo German is battle-tested for the Yanks, now 3-3 with a 3.98 ERA and tiny 0.98 WHIP. He'll be opposed by Bobby Miller, who is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and even more impressive 0.91 WHIP. Look for these two "studs" to battle deep and for this total to ultimately stay "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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06-03-23 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 9.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Cards/Pirates (PITCHERS DUEL) Both teams have been playing to higher-scoring affairs recently, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. Pittsburgh has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five games. That includes in yesterday's series-opening 7-5 victory here over the Cards. Note though that St. Louis has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Two decent starters going head-to-head here, and we're expecting a "duel:" Jordan Montgomery is 2-6 with a 4.48 ERA for the Cards, while Luis Ortiz 1-2 with a 4.35 ERA for Pittsburgh. Note that despite just a 1-2 record vs. Pittsburgh lifetime, Montgomery does own the sharp 2.95 ERA in that span. The overall situation points to this total staying below this super high number; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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06-02-23 | Guardians v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Guardians/Twins (AL CENTRAL DIV. TOY) Both teams have been playing to higher-scroing games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Cleveland has now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after falling 7-6 in last night's series opener here. That's significant to note though as Cleveland has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straigth "overs" in a row. Minnesota has seen the total go "over" in three of its last four. The bottom line here though is we really like these starting pitchers and we ultimatley believe they'll be throwing deep into this one: Cleveland goes with Aaaron Civale, who is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA, while Minnesota counters with Bailey Ober, who is 3-2 with a 2.68 ERA. The overall situation combined with the above listed ATS O/U stat does indeed make the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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05-31-23 | Yankees v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Yanks/Mariners (BLOOD-BATH) The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive "duel" here in the finale. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Clarke Scmidt is 2-5 with a 5.58 ERA for the Yanks, while George Kirby is 5-4 with a 3.43 ERA for Seattle. We're expecting these starters to battle deep, and as a result, we look for this total to stay "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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05-29-23 | Guardians v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER Guardians/Orioles (ULTRA TOTAL) These AL foes need wins. Cleveland more so. The Guardians are 23-29, including just 11-14 on the road. They took two off three at home from St. Louis over the weekend. Cleveland though has seen the total go "under" in seven straight games. Baltimore is 34-19 overall and 16-10 at home. The Orioles lost two of three at home to Texas over the weekend, but bounced back in yesterday's 3-2 victory. Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four. Tyler Wells is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA for the Orioles, but is coming off one of the worst starts of his career, getting shelled for five runs over five innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Yanks. Logan Allen is 1-2 with a 3.31 ERA for the Guardians. He took a loss in his last outing as well, allowing four runs off seven hits vs. the White Sox on Tuesday. We expect these starters to get chased early and we then look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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05-28-23 | Padres v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 105 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Padres/Yankees (IL TOW) We have two really good starters going head-to-head here, but we feel that this is a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." The total has gone "under" the number in the first two games of this series, but we're expecting more of a "slug-fest" finally here in the finale. The Yanks have now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is important to note here as over thes short-term New York has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Yu Darvish is 3-3 with a 3.67 ERA this year for the Padres, while Gerrit Cole is 5-0 with a 2.53 ERA for the Yanks. Each has actually had tremendous success against his opponent today in the past, but as the old saying goes, that was then and this is now. The overall situation points to this one eclipsing the posted number as it comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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05-26-23 | Astros v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER Astros/A's (ASSASSIN) Both of these AL sides have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Houston had won eight straight, before dropping the final two at Milwaukee, losing 6-0 and 4-0. Note though that the Astros have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a road shutout loss. The A's have lost eight straight, and they've seen the total go "under" in all eight of those setbacks. That fact though has only helped in driving this series Opening total a little lower than it normally would be in our opinion. Hunter Brown has been decent for the Astros, going 4-1 with a 3.20 ERA. His counterpart though James Kapriellian has been a complete "gas can" this year, going 0-4 with a ballooned 8.68 ERA for the A's; the overall situation, combined with the above strong/relevant O/U trends does indeed make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-25-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Rays (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trents to end this afternoon. Toronto has seen the total go "over" in five straight after yesterday's 7-3 beatdown loss. Note though that the Jays have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Tampa Bay has also now played to five straight "overs," which is also significant for us to take note of, as the Rays have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We call these starters a "wash," and we expect them to battle deep into this one. Alek Manoah is 1-4 with a 5.15 ERA for the Jays, while Zach Eflin is 6-1 with a 3.45 ERA for the Rays; the overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U trends make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-23-23 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Angels (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, including in the Angels 2-1 series opening win last night. LA has now seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, which is significant to note, as the Angels have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Boston enters hungry for a win here after seeing the total go "under" in four straight. Simply put, we have no faith in these starting pitchers: Byan Bello is 3-1 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.58 WHIP for the Red Sox, while Griffin Canning is 2-2 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.58 WHIP for the Angels. Look for these starters to get chased early and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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05-22-23 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Angels. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Boston has seen the total go "under" in three straight after winning two of three in San Diego over the weekend. Note though that Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Angels won two of three vs. the Twins at home over the weekend, and the final two games also went "under" the number. Tanner Houck is an unimpressive 3-3 with a 5.48 ERA for the Red Sox. Jamie Barria is 1-1 with a 1.96 ERA for the home side. Houck has been a "gas can" thus far. The sample size is still too small for Barria, who we believe is in the wrong place, at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-18-23 | Rays v. Mets UNDER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rays/Mets (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here this afternoon. The Mets have now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight after yesterday's 8-7 victory, while the Rays have now seen the total go "over" the posted number in six straight games. Note though that Tampa has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Taj Bradley is 3-0 with a 3.52 ERA for the Rays, while Tyler Megill is 4-2 with a 4.02 ERA for the Mets. Look for these two capable starters to battle deep and expect this total to stay "under" the number before it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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05-16-23 | Royals v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER Royals/Padres (ASSASSIN) We had a play on the "over" yesterday, and that unfortunately came up short in the Padres 4-0 victory. The Friars have now seen the total go "under" the number in 12 straight games. That fact though has only helped in driving today's O/U line lower than it normally would be though in our opinion. Note as well that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a shutout road loss vs. an opponent. Brady Singer is just 2-4 with a ballooned 7.71 ERA for the Royals. He'll be opposed by Seth Lugo, who is 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA for the Padres. The overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U ATS stat finally make the "over" the correct call here in this Padres game! AAA Sports |
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05-15-23 | Royals v. Padres OVER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Royals/Padres (IL TOY) The Padres have played to 11 straight "unders", but we're expecting that trend to finally end here in the opener of this IL series. KC has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four. The Royals are coming off a three-game sweep at Milwaukee, but note that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses in a row. San Diego comes in desperate as well after five straight losses, but note that SD has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after five or more straight losses in a row. Brad Keller is 3-3 with a 4.31 ERA for the Royals, while Michael Wacha is 3-1 with a 4.82 ERA. Both have benefitted from run support in the early going, as their ERA's are pedestrian at best. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats all add up to make the "over" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-14-23 | Pirates v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Orioles (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Pittsburgh has gone just 1-11 in its last 12 games. It's coming off the 2-0 loss yesterday. Note though that Pittsburgh has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout road loss vs. an opponent (and also in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent.) Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in six straight after taking the first two in this series. That fact though has only helped in driving today's total a point or so lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Mitch Kller is 4-1 with a 2.72 ERA and has been a lone bright spot for the Bucs during their slide back into mediocrity over the last couple of weeks. But we expect regression here finally. The home side counters with Kyle Gibson, who is 4-2 despite a pedestrian 4.40 ERA. The overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U stats make the "over" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-13-23 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 8-9 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Rays/Yanks (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. New York has now seen the total go "over" the number in five staright after yesterday's 6-5 win. Note though that the Yanks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Rays won the first game by a score of 8-2, but they've seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Shane McClanahan is 7-0 with a 1.76 ERA for the Rays, while Nestor Cortes Jr. is 3-2 with a 4.74 ERA for the Yanks. Look for these two quality starters to battle deep, as all signs point to this total staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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05-10-23 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Rangers/Mariners (BLOOD-BATH) These two starters have been great to open the season, and the first two games of this series have gone "under" the number. But those facts have only helped in driving this particular total now a couple runs lower than it normally would be in our opinion. As previously stated, these starters have been great, but perhaps a little TOO great. Dane Dunning is an unrealistic 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA for the Rangers, while Luis Castillo is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA for the Mariners. However, note that Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in a near-perfect five of its last six in trying to avenge a road shutout loss vs. an opponent; his number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Dodgers/Padres (NL WEST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. LA has seen the total go "under" in the first two games of this series, falling 5-2 in the opener, before yesterday's 2-1 bounce back. SD has now seen the total go "under" in four straight. The Padres though have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to one or fewer runs in. Julio Urias is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA for the Dodgers, while Joe Musgrove is 1-0 with a 10.80 ERA. Two decent starting pitchers here, both of who are in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. The overall situation, coupled with the strong O/U trend listed above make the "over" the correct call and it represents our NL WEST TOTAL OF THE YEAR! AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Phillies (TOP TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in six straight. Boston has also won eight straight games. Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" in five straight and the Phillies enter having lost six in a row. Note though that Philly has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Tanner Houck is 3-1 with a 5.34 ERA for Boston, while Taijuan Walker is 2-2 with a 6.91 ERA for the Phillies. Neither will be lacking motivation today. Look for these teams to play to a lower-scoring outcome here today; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Red Sox/Phillies (TOP TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have won six straight and they've seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six, including four straight. Note though that Boston has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Phillies have lost four straight and they'll be eager to stop the slide obviously. They've also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight. We have plenty of experience on the hill here as Boston hands the ball to Chris Sale, who is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA, while the Phillies counter with Zach Wheeler, who is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA. Wheeler is coming off a gem, going six scoreless and striking out seven in a win over Houston. Sale also turned the corner with his last performance, allowing one run over seven innings in a win over Cleveland. Look for these two to battle deep and as such, look for this total to indeed stay "under" the number! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Mets v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mets/Tigers (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon with two solid starting pitchers going head-to-head in Detroit. The Mets have lost four of their last five, including the first two in this series, as they dropped both games of yesterday's double-header. Both games went "over" the number. Note that the Mets have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Detroit is 3-2 in its last five, and it's seen the total go "over" in four of those contests. Justin Verlander makes his season debut for the Mets after sitting out the first month with a minor injury. He tossed five innings of no-run ball in Double A on Friday as a tune-up. He's ready to go. He'll be opposed by Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 2-2 with a 2.21 ERA. Look for these starter to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | Phillies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Dodgers (NL TOW) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Phillies come to town having their four-game win streak come to an end last night in a 4-3 setback at Houston. The Phillies are starting to play a lot better, despite having some key sluggers out still. They've seen the total go "under" in four straight though. LA has seen the total go "under" in two straight. The Dodgers lost two of three to the Pirates, before then bouncing back with a three-game home sweep of the Cardinals over the weekend. LA has seen the total go "under" in two straight. Tony Gonsolin is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Dodgers. He sprained his ankle in spring training. He worked his first 3 1/3 innings, holding the Pirates scoreless last week. Clearly a much tougher task here today though. Taijuan Walker is a big dog here on the road, he's 2-1 with a 4.97 ERA so far for the Phillies. Overall he's 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA in 11 career starts vs. LA. Regardless, we don't trust either starter to go deep. Everything finally points to a higher-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Astros (INTERLEAGUE TOW) Both teams have played to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Philly has seen teh total go "under" in three straight. The Phillies have now won four in a row. Note though that Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "under" in four straight after the back-to-back losses to open this series. However, note that Houston has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses vs. an opponent. Bailey Falter is 0-4 with a 4.50 ERA for the Phillies, while Jose Urquidy is 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA for the Astros. Pretty pedestrian numbers so far. All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Cardinals v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cards/Dodgers (NL TOY) We're expecting a lower-scoring "duel" here in the second game of this three-game series. Last night the Dodgers won the opener by a score of 7-3. LA has now seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight. Despite still having several key injuries, LA is starting to resemble the team that won 111 games last year finally. That said, note that the Dodgers have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two experienced starters going head-to-head here, and all signs point to a classic "duel" as we eluded to off the top, as the Cardinals' Jordan Montgomery is 2-3 with a 3.81 ERA, while the DOdgers' Clayton Kershaw is 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA. Everything points to this total now staying well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Dodgers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
10* UNDER Dodgers/Pirates (EARLY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end here this afternoon. The Dodgers have seen the total go "over" in five straight after yesterday's 8-1 loss. Note though that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Previous to this series with the Dodgers, the surging Pirates, who have now won eight of their last nine, had seen the total go "under" in four straight. Julio Urias is 3-2 with a 3.33 ERA for LA, while Mitch Keller is 2-0 with a 3.64 ERA for Pittsburgh. Look for these competent starters to battle deep and expect this total to stay "under" the posted number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Marlins v. Guardians OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
10* Marlins/Guardians OVER (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this eveing. Miami has seen the total go "under" in nine straight games, while Cleveland has seen the total go "under" in six straight. Cleveland has lost the first two games of this contest by scores of 6-1 and 3-2. Note though that the Guardians have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The fact that these teams have played to so many "unders" of late has also helped in driving this particular total here today a couple points lower than it normally would/should be; because of that, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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