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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-09-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 47 | 3-29 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
8* OVER RedBlacks/Als (SUPER TOTAL) These teams played just last week in Canada's capital and the Als came out on top by a score of 32-15, the total staying "under" the number. Note though that the 4-11 RedBlacks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Montreal has won three of its last four SU/ATS. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight. Note though that the Als have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. It's a great situational play here, as all signs finally point to more of an offensive affair in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
10* Riders (WEST-CONF GOY) After three straight SU victories, we believe the Lions come in complacent here, and they leave the back door wide open for the hungry 6-8 Riders to sneak in through down the stretch. BC is off the satisfying 37-29 road win at Edmonton. Saskatchewan comes in on the other end of the spectrum, desperate to snap a three-game slide, most recently a 36-38 loss in Ottawa. Situationally we feel this one sets up well for us, with the public quick to jump on the Lions here. BC won this game here back on July 19th by a score of 19-9, but the Riders beat the Lions at home. This is the third and final game of the season series and we're expecting much more of a battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. For us to pull the trigger on a GAME OF YEAR, or GAME OF MONTH etc, it HAS to set up extremely well for whatever team we're on from a "situational" standpoint. And this one does for Saskatchewan; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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08-06-23 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan OVER 44 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Saskatchewan (NON-CONF TOW) We're expecting this non-conference game to be less intense defensively, and more wide-open and high-scoring than what this O/U line is suggesting. These teams are in dire need of a victory, as Ottawa is 3-4, and Saskatchewan is 3-4 as well. We like betting on motivated teams when we're betting an "over," no matter what the sport is. Saskatchewan is off three straight SU losses, which is significant to note, as the Riders have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more SU losses in a row. Ottawa had won two straight high-scoring OT games as an underdog before last week's low-scoring 16-12 upset loss to Hamilton. We expect the RedBlacks to regain their offensive form here though in what we anticipate will be a wide-open high-scoring "shootout." This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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07-29-23 | Saskatchewan +11 v. Toronto | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 46 m | Show |
10* RIDERS (GOW) After winning the Grey Cup and despite a QB change, the Toronto Argonauts have so far not skipped a beat, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS as well. The Riders are 3-3 SU and 2-3-1 ATS, but we're expecting the Riders to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and give the unbeaten Argos a run for their money here in this NEUTRAL site affair in Halifax. This is a weird game in a way for both sides, as it'll be held in Halifax at a neutral location, dubbed teh Touchdown Atlantic Game. This is the first time these teams have met this year, but it's a double-revenge scenario as well for the Riders after losing both games last year (30-24 and 31-21.) Also note that Saskatchewan is 2-1 on the road this year. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Saskatchewan! AAA Sports |
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07-28-23 | Hamilton +3.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 35 h 27 m | Show |
10* Hamilton (BLOOD-BATH) We like Hamilton to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and give Ottawa everything it can handle. The Ti-Cats are now 2-4, while the RedBlacks are 3-3. Hamilton managed a 21-13 win over RedBlacks in Week 5, and after back-to-back upset victories (both in OT!), everything points to a predictable letdown here for Ottawa. The Ti-Cats are the more desperate team in this fight and while clearly the outright victory isn't out of the question, the official call will be to grab the points with the TI-CATS in what we feel is a great overall situational play! AAA Sports |
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07-23-23 | Ottawa +5 v. Calgary | Top | 43-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* RedBlacks (BOB) We think these teams are evenly matched, and in a contest that we envision being decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. Ottawa plays with revenge here after falling 26-15 at home as 6.5-point dogs to the Stamps back in Week 2, and note that the RedBlacks are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Calgary came from behind to secure a 31-28 OT win over Winnipeg in Week 6, but note that the Stamps are still 0-2 SU/ATS at home this season; for all the reasons listed above, grab as many points as you can with Ottawa! AAA Sports |
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07-22-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | Top | 9-19 | Push | 0 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
10* Riders (WEST-CONF GOW) The Riders are looking to bounce back after a tight 33-31 loss to Calgary in Week 6. They had the game in hand, but let it slip away late. Overall Saskatchewan is 3-2, while BC is 4-1. The Lions though have been inactive since Week 5, enjoying their bye week, and the old "rest" leading to "rust" scenario is very real here in our opinion. We look for the visiting side to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting. No outright, but close; grab the points, the play is Saskatchewan! AAA Sports |
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07-21-23 | Toronto v. Hamilton +9.5 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* Ti-Cats (BLOOD-BATH) The Argonauts are 4-0 SU/ATS, but we're expecting an all out war here on Friday night, and because of that, we're grabbing the points. Toronto plays Saskatchewan at a neutral location next week, so this sets up as not only a "letdown" spot, but also a "look ahead" position. Letdown + look-ahead = trap game! Hamilton plays with the added incentive of revenge as well after falling 32-14 on the road in Toronto in Week 2 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Ti-Cats are coming off a quality win and cover in last week's 37-29 win over the Elks, and all signs point to another competitive battle here; grab the points, the play is Hamilton! AAA Sports |
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07-20-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Winnipeg -14.5 | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
10* Bombers (WEST-CONF GOW) The Elks are terrible. They're 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS. One week after earning their first ATS win in a 12-11 loss at Saskatchewan, Edmonton got back to its losing ways in last week's 37-29 loss to Hamilton. Winnipeg dominate the Elks in every metric, and the only way the Elks cover here is if this were a "trap" game for the home side, but that's just not the case. Winnipeg's two-game win streak came to an end in last week's 31-28 OT loss to the Redblacks as a ten-point favorite, and note that the Bombers are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite. With a timely bye week up next, Winnipeg keeps the goot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Winnipeg! AAA Sports |
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07-15-23 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa +10 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
10* Redblacks (ASSASSIN) Are the 4-1 Winnipeg Blue Bombers the better team? They are for sure. But the 1-3 Ottawa RedBlacks won't be going down without a fight here, and in what we anticipate to be a much more competitive battle than what this spread is suggesting, we're grabbing the points. Winnipeg returns home after this to face the lowly Elks, and after going up early, we can expect the visiting side to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Ottawa is 1-1 at home, scoring 41 points in front of the home town crowd collectively. I say the RedBlacks don't win this game outright, but they certainly keep it a "nail-biter" until the final moments; grab the points, the play is Ottawa! AAA Sports |
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07-14-23 | Toronto v. Montreal UNDER 48 | Top | 35-27 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Argos/Als (SPECIAL) After starting the season 2-0 SU/ATS, the Als have gone 0-2 SU/ATS. They're 6-1 their last seven in this series here at home though, and they play with revenge after falling 34-27 in the ECF last year, in which Toronto eventually went on to win the Grey Cup. The Als will be looking to control the tempo of this one throughout, as another way to slow down this Argos offense. Toronto had a bye last week, so will "rest" lead to "rust?!" Very possibly is the answer. Either way, we're expecting this one to be won in the trenches and where field position will prove to be critical. As such, all signs point to this being a defensive affair; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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07-13-23 | Hamilton v. Edmonton Elks +2.5 | Top | 37-29 | Loss | -101 | 35 h 19 m | Show |
10* Elks (GOW) These are two terrible teams. That said, Edmonton is 0-5 and Hamilton is 1-3 after holding on for its first win of the year at home (21-13 over Ottawa.) The Ti-Cats though are 0-2 SU/ATS on the road and we absolutely expect them to stumble here against this determined Elks side. Edmonton didn't look fantastic last week, but it looked a lot better in every respect, falling 12-11 at Saskatchewan as a 7-point dog. Now more determined than ever to earn their first win of the year, it's essentially "do or die" on the season right here, as on 0-6 hole would be devastating. While the outright win is obviously possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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07-09-23 | Montreal v. BC OVER 45.5 | Top | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
10* Als/Lions OVER (NON-CONF TOY) Montreal is 2-1. BC is 3-1. Each team is the best in its repsective conference on the defensive side of the ball. These teams are similar in many respects, including that they each enter Week 5 off their first loss of the season. Montreal fell 17-3 at home to Winnipeg, while BC fell flat in Toronto by a score of 45-24. The Als though have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 after a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 3 or fewer points in. BC's defense may have finally been exposed last week, but its offense continues to fire on all cylinders. We're expecting a shootout; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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07-08-23 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44 | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Hamilton (EAST-CONF TOW) Winning can at times lead to complacency, and losing can breed motivation. The second part of that is true for both of these teams coming into Week 5, as Ottawa is 1-2 and Hamilton is 0-3. The Ti-Cats though have played some really good teams to open the season, and while they're 0-3, we're expecting a much more efficient offensive game here at home vs. this suspect Ottawa secondary (also note that the Ti-Cats have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.) This marks the first of three games between the teams. Off their first win of the season (26-7) over Edmonton last week, there's no reason not to think that the Redblacks also can't build off that performance; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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07-07-23 | Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 46.5 | Top | 11-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Stamps/Bombers (WEST-CONF TOW) We're expecting a shootout here. Calgary is 1-2 and Winnipeg is 3-1. The Stamps finally got their offense working in last week's 29-26 OT home loss to the Riders, and we're expecting that offensive momentum to get carried over here. Winnipeg saw its first two games go "over" the number, but the last two have gone well "under." But that's only because the Bombers were matched up against the league's two best defenses the last two weeks. Now back at home and facing this suspect Calgary secondary, we're anticipating a wide-open shootout here; a great situational play on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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07-07-23 | Calgary +7.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 11-24 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
10* Calgary (WEST-CONF GOW) Calgary is 1-2 and is the "hungrier" dog in this fight. It's coming out of its bye week as well, and we expect that to play a big role in the Stampeders, at the very least, earning a hard earned "cover" with the large amount of points they've been afforded. To say this is a "revenge" spot as well would be an understatement, as Winnipeg took all three meetings a year ago. Calgary's lone win this year has come on the road, and we're expecting another big effort here on Saturday night as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is the Stampeders! AAA Sports |
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07-03-23 | BC v. Toronto +3.5 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* Argos (BLOOD-BATH) The Lions are 3-0 and the Argos are 2-0. Each had some new faces on both sids of the ball coming into the season, but the new pieces have filled the void immediately, as chemistry for both sides is "firing on all cylinders." But off a 30-6 win at IG Field last week, we're finally expecting the road-weary Lions to show some "cracks in the armor" vs. the defending Grey Cup champions. THe Argos are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight vs. teams with winning records and while the outright win is clearly not out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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07-01-23 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +6 | Top | 17-3 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 2 m | Show |
10* Alouettes (NON-CONF GOY) Winnipeg is 2-1, but it's coming off a poor 30-6 beatdown loss as a six-point favorite at home to BC and we believe it'll stumble again here on the road. Montreal is no push over, it enters at 2-0 after destroying Hamilton 38-12 last weekend. In all, Montreal has allowed just 24 points over two games, its defense is second only to the Lions. We actually feel that this Montreal defense is very comparable to BC's and the Lions have given the Als the "blue-print" on how to counter this dynamic Bombers' offense. While the outright win is in fact possible in our estimation, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Montreal! AAA Sports |
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06-25-23 | Toronto v. Edmonton Elks +6.5 | Top | 43-31 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
10* Edmonton (BEST OF BEST) With a whopping 70% of the public money and wagers on Toronto, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way with the home side. Toronto was a home dog to Hamilton in its season opener last weekend, but the Argos cruised to the 32-14 outright win. However, now hitting the road to face this desperate Elks side, I believe the visitors will have their hands full in this one. CHad Kelly looked decent at home for the Argos, but we still ahve to see how he'll do on the road. Off a 22-0 loss at BC (which doesn't look nearly as terrible now after the Lions crushed Winnipeg 30-6 on the road here in Week 3), we're expecting the home side to come out fired up here and to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire; no outright upset, but grab the points because the play is the Elks! AAA Sports |
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06-24-23 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 45 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 31 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Riders/Stamps (WEST-CONF TOM) We like the way this one sets up to be more of a higher-scoring shootout. Both of these Western Conference opponents are 1-1, and we're definitely expecting more of a wide-open offensive affair, rather than a slower-paced defensive one. Last week the Riders lost 45-27 at home to Winnipeg, and now Saskatchewan has to deal with another difficult offense here on the road. Both of Calgary's games have gone "under" the number, but after scoring 26 points on the road at Ottawa last week, we're expecting this offense to at least match that output here in Week 3. Both teams' QB's had huge performances last week, and all signs point to even more progression here in Week 3; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-23-23 | Montreal v. Hamilton -140 | Top | 38-12 | Loss | -140 | 36 h 14 m | Show |
10* Hamilton moneyline (EAST-CONF GOW) The Ticats are 0-2 SU/ATS to open the season, but a little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered for the Hamilton Ti-Cats in Week 3. Montreal held on for a 19-12 win over Ottawa as a two-point favorite. Hamilton though just faced two of the best in the league, falling 42-31 at Winnipeg, which is the No. 1 projected, and then falling 32-14 last week at Toronto, the defending Grey Cup champ. Now back at home and with an extra game under its belt, we look for Hamilton to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to pull away for a comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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06-22-23 | BC +6.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 32 h 57 m | Show |
10* WEST-CONF GOW on the Lions. Vernon Adams Jr. has looked sharp under center for the Lions, as he so far has 600 passing yards, 46 rushing yards and four TD's. RB Taquan Mizzell is averaging 5.8 YPC. Zach Collaros has 647 passing yards for the Bombers, along with five TD's. These QB's are evenly matched, but BC's defense is probably slightly better in the early going. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is BC! AAA Sports |
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06-18-23 | Hamilton -133 v. Toronto | Top | 14-32 | Loss | -133 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* Hamilton (EAST-CONF GOM) The Argos are the defending Grey Cup Champs, yet they're the underdog at home here in their first game of the season?! With nearly 80% of the public money on the Argos, we're going the other way here and grabbing Hamilton. Yes, the Ti-Cats lost 42-31 at Winnipeg in Week 1, but the Blue Bombers are once again projected to be the best team in the league stat wise, and certainly offensively. The Argos have the fourth best shot at winning the Grey Cup in the early odds. But Toronto is a big step down in competition with the high turnover in the offseason. Look for the high-flying Ti-Cats to surprise the defending Champs on their own field; lay the price with confidence, the play is Hamilton on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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06-17-23 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 46 | Top | 0-22 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Elks/Lions (WEST-CONF TOY) Both teams come in off low-scoring Week 1 contests, but we're anticipating a much more wide-open contest here in BC this weekend. Edmonton fell 17-13 at home to Saskatchewan as a 2.5-point favorite. Including the two pre-season games, the Elks are 0-3. BC enters off a 25-15 road win at Calgary as a 2.5-point underdog. The total stayed well "under" the number of 50.5 in that one. Note though that BC has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five off an upset road win as an underdog. Talor Cornelius wasn't horrible in a losing cause for Edmonton last week, finishing with 202 yards passing, one TD and two picks. Eugene Lewis was unstoppable though with 148 receiving yards. Last year Edmonton allowed an average of 33.3 PPG, so the Week 1 result was in fact a huge improvement, but that said, that was at home. Now on the road, we're expecting a letdown. BC looked sharp in its 25-15 road win at Calgary. We should see Vernon Adams have an even stronger performance this week, as he finished 27 of 35 for 288 yards, two TD's and an INT. We're expecting a more wide-open affair here; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-16-23 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 45-27 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
10* Saskatchewan (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams enter 1-0 SU/ATS. Winnipeg held on for a 42-31 win over Hamilton at home as a 4.5-point favorite, while Saskatchewan looked impressive as well in a 17-13 defensive victory at Edmonton as a 2.5-point underdog. Ultimately we think that Winnipeg's offense will be a little less effective on the road, and especially facing this improved Riders defensive units. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be an understatement after the Blue Bombers swept the season series with Saskatchewan last year. But the Bombers looked poor down the stretch last week, as they actually had a 32-4 lead with five minutes into the third quarter only to hold on for the 42-31 win. We expect the home side to make a game of this one. We're stopping short in calling for the outright upset though; grab the points, the play is the Roughriders! AAA Sports |
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06-15-23 | Calgary v. Ottawa +5.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
10* Redblacks (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 0-1 to open the season. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Ottawa will have Nick Arbuckle under center, and Calgary has Jake Maier starting. Maier and the Stamps got squashed at home 25-15 by the BC Lions, who aren't expected to do much this season. Maier had 166 yards, 1 TD and I INT. Ka'Deem Carey had just 39 rushing yards. Ottawa fell 19-12 to Montreal. Arbuckle had three INT's and was 19 of 35 for 175 yards. Let's be honest, both teams looked shaky. But we're expecting Arbuckle to improve here, and Ottawa's defense looked pretty good overall. The outright upset?! Anything's possible, but we're not calling for that; grab the points, the play is indeed on Ottawa! AAA Sports |
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06-11-23 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks -135 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* Edmonton MONEYLINE (ASSASSIN) We're going to suggest skipping playing the spread, and instead just lay the price for Edmonton to win this game "straight up." Saskatchewan missed the playoffs last year for hte first time since 2016. Trevor Harris is a new face under center for the visiting side. Edmonton fans can empathize though, as their team has just seven combined wins over the last two seasons. Taylor Cornelius showed flashes of competence last year under center for the Elks, and we expect him to be a difference-maker here on Opening night on home soil. Edmonton is at home and Cornelius is more acclimated with his offense than his counterpart. Lay the moneyline, the play is the Elks! AAA Sports |
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06-10-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 43.5 | Top | 12-19 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Montreal (ASSASSIN) Ottawa Redblacks missed the playoffs last year with a 4-14 record. Ottawa QB Jeremiah Masoli is out with a knee injury, so we'll see a combination here of Dustin Crum, Nick Arbuckle and Tyrie Adams. The Alouettes signed QB Cody Fajardo, who finished with 16 TDs and 13 INTs for the Roughriders last year. Look for Fajardo to be given the green light here today to open things up in this new offense. Expect this total to soar "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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06-08-23 | BC v. Calgary OVER 50.5 | Top | 25-15 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Lions/Stampeders (TOTAL BLOWOUT) These teams met in the West Division semi-final last year, so blood will be boiling on each side and we expect that to translate into offensive production on the field. Note that this O/U line opened at 46.5 and has since been bet up. We're following the money on this one and expecting this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. The Lions were 6-3 on the road last year, while the Stamps were 5-4 at home. Vernon Adams Jr. and Taquan Mizzell are an effective duo for the Lions. Jake Maier is now under center in Calgary, and he'll be leaning on 1,000-yard receiver Malik Henry and running back Ka’Deem Carey. But overall here in Week 1 and on Opening Night, we can expect a faster-paced, wide-open offensive affair; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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09-05-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 49.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
10* CFL Total Of The Year on Calgary/Edmonton Under This rivalry has gone over of late. The Elks currently can't score though. Edmonton has played consecutive low-scoring games. 43 and 42 points. Last time off. a loss, Calgary's game had 41 points. Last time off a loss against Winnipeg, Calgary's game had 20 point, a 17-3 final. Calgary clamps down on D again and this one stays Under! AAA Sports |
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07-22-22 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks +7 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -105 | 83 h 5 m | Show |
10* WEST-CONF. GAME OF YEAR on the Elks. Winnipeg is 6-0, but it needed an interception in the end zone last week in the final minute to preserve a tough 26-19 win over Calgary at home. Edmonton on the other hand came back from a 31-13 third-quarter deficit to beat Montreal by a score of 32-31. I say that the 6-0 Bombers are "gassed," and I believe they're going to get caught looking ahead to their difficult "rematch" with the Stamps in Calgary next weekend. The Elks are 0-2 SU/ATS at home, but they've gotten progressively better as the season has progressed, as they've now won 2 of their 3 outright, while covering in 3 of their last 4. Look for this progression to continue here; grab the points, the play is Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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07-21-22 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 48 | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here on Thursday night. Montreal is just 1-4, while Ottawa is 0-5. The Alouettes are 3-2 against the spread, while the Redblacks are 2-3 ATS. Montreal has seen the total go "over" the number in 3 straight, which is significant to note here as the Als have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Montreal will be especially eager to get back on the field after last week's collapse, falling 32-31 at home to Edmonton as a 8-point favorite. Ottawa is also coming off a tough loss, falling 25-23 at Hamilton. The Redblacks have been trading high-scoring games, with lower-scoring defensive ones over their last 4 games and I absolutely expect this strong pattern to continue here; the overall situation, combined with these strong trends and numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call in my opinion! AAA Sports |
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07-16-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 44.5 | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 7 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (SPECIAL) Hamilton last played two weeks ago when it inexplicably fell 29-25 at home to Edmonton. A date vs. the 0-4 Redblacks is just what the doctor ordered to try and get back on track. Ottawa lost starting QB Jeremiah Masoli to a serious knee injury last weekend. They fell 28-13 to Saskatchewan, and I don't see Caleb Evans making much of an impact this weekend in this difficult road venue. The home side will look to control the pace of this one, setting it up to be a lower-scoring affair; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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07-16-22 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto OVER 46 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Saskatchewan is 4-1 and Toronto is just 1-2. These teams play again next week in Saskatchewan. To say this is a "revenge" game for the home side would be a bit of an understatement, as the Argos have lost 8 of the last 9 in this series. The Roughriders have won the last 3 by an average margin of 18 points. Saskatchewan's offense is generating over 33 points per game and the "over" has hit in 3 of these teams last 4 in the series. Expect the exrta week off to help Toronto refocus here. All in all, look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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07-15-22 | Calgary +4 v. Winnipeg | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* STAMPEDERS (GOW) Two undefeated teams collide in Winnipeg on Friday night and in a contest that envision being decided by whichever of these talented clubs has it hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. It's going to be a tight competitive affair in my estimation. Winnipeg is off a 43-22 road destruction of the Lions, while Calgary annihilated the Elks by a score of 49-6. The Stampeders have won 6 of their last 7 on the road (6-1 ATS in those games.) The Bombers are 3-2 ATS this season and have won both home games, but they've managed to cover against the Stamps just 3 out of the last 11 in the series. Calgary's defense is firing on all cylinders, and so its offense. Running back Peyton Logan had 2 TD's last week for Calgary, while Bo Levi Mitchell had 279 yards passing and 2 TD's as well. The two-time defending Grey Cup Champs have a target on their back, and while they demolished the Lions last weekend, Calgary is an entirely different animal. Zach Collaros had 288 yards and 3 TD's last week for the Bombers, but I'm expecting the pivot to have his hands full today with this aggressive Stampeder pass rush. For all the reasons listed above, grab the point and the Stampeders! AAA Sports |
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07-07-22 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 52 | Top | 49-6 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) Calgary is 3-0 and it's coming out of its bye week. Previous to that it beat Edmonton 30-23 on June 25th. The Stamps have seen the total go OVER in all 3 games so far this season. The 1-3 Elks have seen their last 2 games go "over" the total, including their first win of the season in last weekend's 29-25 win at Hamilton on Canada Day. Both teams have been playing to high-scoring affairs, but the situation and trends point to more of a defensive affair here. Note that Calgary has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Additionally note that Edmonton has seen the total go "under" in 5 of its last 7 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it conceded 30 or more points in. Considering all of the above info, the correct call here is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +5.5 | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* TORONTO (BOB) I like betting on motivated teams. Toronto is 1-1, but it's had a week off to prepare for this one after a terrible 44-3 loss at BC in Week 3 action. Winnipeg is 3-0, but I say it comes in complacent here after a 26-12 home win over Hamilton last week. Home field has played a big part in this series though, as the home team has won 8 of the last 9. Winnipeg has lost 6 of its last 8 here, as it struggles with the travel across the country. The Argos have been fantastic at home as well, winning 9 of their last 11 at BMO Field, including their only home game this year. Zach Collaros was 21 of 32 for 302 yards and an interception last week for the Bombers, but he didn't have a TD pass. This Argos defense is now out to redeem itself and after the extra week off to prepare, I believe Collaros struggles again this week. Look for Toronto QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson to bounce back at home as well. While I do feel the outright win is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is the Argonauts! AAA Sports |
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07-02-22 | Montreal +4.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
10* ALS (GOW) This is the second straight game between the teams. Entering last weekend's matchup, the Al's were 0-2 and the Roughriders were 2-0. Montreal left that contest with a decisive 37-13 victory and I'm not reading too much into the "revenge" angle on Saturday. The Riders' offense struggled last weekend, and it didn't help anything that star receiver Shaq Evans left the first quarter with a broken ankle. Center Dan Clark was injured as well and the line gave up 8 sacks. QB's Cody Fajardo and Mason Fine were also picked off three times. The Als got some big plays at home, and while they lost a couple of tight ones on the road to open the season, I believe they have a legitimate shot at winning outright here again. Look for Montreal QB Trevor Harris to, at the very least, keep his team in this game late; grab the points, the play is Montreal! AAA Sports |
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06-30-22 | BC v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* REDBLACKS (GOW) Two teams on opposite ends of the mental spectrum collide in Canada's capital on Friday night and in my opinion, this one favors the hungry underdog home side. BC has won in a pair of blowout victories, while Ottawa is still seeking its first win of the season. BC smashed Toronto by a score of 44-3 last weekend, as QB Nathan Rourke threw for 4 TD's. Right now BC ranks No. 1 on both ends of the field, but everything points to that streak coming to an end here. Ottawa is off a 19-12 loss to Winnipeg. Devonte Williams was a standout with 85 yards rushing and a TD. Jeremiah Masoli went 27/38 with 331 yards through the air and I think he'll improve here in friendly confines in this important Week 3 matchup. And it is definitely important for Ottawa here as it tries to avoid the 0-3 hole. This line has dropped with money coming in on the Redblacks all week, and while I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Ottawa! AAA Sports |
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06-25-22 | Edmonton Elks +8 v. Calgary | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* ELKS (GAME OF YEAR) The 0-2 Edmonton Elks will be hungry here to avoid and 0-3 hole. I believe Calgary takes the foot off the gas and allows the visiting side to, at the very least, keep this one comfortably close to cover with the large spread they've been afforded here. The Stamps are now 2-0 after last week's slime 33-30 OT come from behind win at Hamilton. Can anyone say "letdown spot" here though?! The Elks come in battle-tested after their 26-16 loss at home to Saskatchewan. Edmonton has now lost 11 of its last 12 dating to last season. It's interesting to note that the last time the Stamps hosted the Elks here last season, Edmonton pulled off the 32-20 upset as a 5.5-point dog. Edmonton QB Nick Arbuckle looked much better last week, finishing with 315 passing yards and I expect him to take another step forwrd this week as well. I think Bo Levi Mitchell and the home side do indeed come in a bit complacent here, leaving the back door wide open down the stretch; no outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points with the Elks! AAA Sports |
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06-24-22 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg OVER 42.5 | Top | 12-26 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOM) The 2-0 Winnipeg Blue Bombers will have to be careful to not "look past" the 0-2 Hamilton Tigercats at home this evening. Hamilton was blown out big time in Saskatchewan in Week 1, but it looked a lot better, albeit in defeat, in last week's 33-30 OT home opening loss to the Stampeders. We can expect the Ti-Cats though to carry over that chemistry and confidence into this one as they look to avoid an 0-3 start. Winnipeg has won the Grey Cup each of the last 2 years and is 2-0 after beating Ottawa over two straight weeks, including a 19-12 decision last weekend. This is in fact a rematch of the last 2 Grey Cups, in which Winnipeg has come out on top each time. Last year it was a dramatic 33-25 OT win in the title game. Hamilton though has allowed an East Division-high 63 points through 2 games this season. Expect a wide-open, faster-paced shootout and look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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06-18-22 | Calgary +1.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* STAMPEDERS (GOW) Calgary held on for a 30-27 home win over Montreal last weekend and I expect it to carry that momentum over into its first road game of the season. The Ti-Cats come in off a listless 30-13 road loss at Saskatchewan. Calgary lost 23-17 in the only meeting between the team's last year, but it's still won 16 of the last 18 in the series. Bo Levi Mitchell is going to settle down here for the Stamps after going for 194 yards and 1 TD and 1 INT. Running back Ka’Deem Carey led the league in rushing last year and he had 2 TD's. I expect him to have a big day against this suspect Hamilton defense. Hamilton TB Dane Evans looked inept last week and I believe he'll struggle against this aggressive and experienced Calgary defense. Grab the points, the play is the Stampeders! AAA Sports |
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06-11-22 | Edmonton Elks +4.5 v. BC | Top | 15-59 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
10* ELKS (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams were terrible last year. The Lions were 5-9 and the Elks were 3-11. They split 2 games here last year. The Lions posted the 43-10 win in the final one, but previous to that the Elks had won and covered in 4 straight in this series. Look for things to return to norm here. Nick Arbuckle takes over snaps for the Elks thi syear and he'll have something to prove after coming over from Toronto. Nathan Rourke is nothing to write home about for the Lions though, he had 3 TD's and 5 picks last year. I say BC is getting too much respect here on the "home field advantage." While I do think the outright is possible, let's grab the points and the Elks! AAA Sports |
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06-10-22 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 48 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Can Winnipeg make it 3 Grey Cups in a row? This is a case of First vs. Worst. The Bomber were 11-3 last year, while Ottawa has managed just 6 victories total over the L2 seasons. 4 of the L5 in this series here have gone "under" the number. The Redblacks added QB Jeremiah Masoli, but the question remains if he can return to his 2018 form which saw him throw for 28 TD's. The Bombers return most of their team from last year, but won't have star RB Andrew Harris or receiver Darvin Adams suiting up this season. These teams play again next week as well. While last night's opener was a high-scoring shootout, I believe Friday's will be a little less so; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-09-22 | Montreal v. Calgary -3.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* STAMPEDERS (ASSASSIN) The CFL is back with a full 18 game schedule. Calgary went 8-6 last year before bowing out in the WCF. The Alouettes went 7-7 and lost in the East semifinal. These teams met in Week 3 last year and Calgary won by a score of 28-22. I expect a similar outcome here. Vernon Adams Jr. is back under center for the Als. Trevor Harris is the backup. William Stanback led the CFL with 1,116 rushing yards. Last year though was the first time since 2007 that the Stamps failed to win in double digits. Bo Levi Mitchell is back under center and healthy though and I expect the home side to hit the ground running. Calgary steamrolled the Lions (41-6) and the Elks (37-7) in the preseason and I expect that momentum to get carried over here; lay the points, the play is the Stamps! AAA Sports |
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08-29-21 | Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 44 | Top | 16-18 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Week 4 of the CFL ends on Sunday with 2-1 Winnipeg hosting 1-2 Calgary. Both these franchises are accustomed to success. Winnipeg won the last Grey Cup (in 2019). But last week saw them lose a regular season game for the first time in over two years. It was a 30-23 loss to Toronto. The previous regular season loss was 37-33 to Calgary in Week 19 of ‘19. Run defense has been a problem for the Blue Bombers thus far. So far they’ve given up a league high 372 yards on the ground, not to mention three touchdowns. The Bombers’ defense will be facing a rookie QB in this one. But Jake Maier threw for over 300 yards in his debut last week as Calgary beat Montreal 28-22. The Stampeders defense remains susceptible to the big play, however. They have already allowed four pass plays of more than 30 yards. They are allowing 319 pass yards/contest and 8.5 yards/pass attempt. Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros leads all CFL pivots with six touchdown passes so far. Play on OVER AAA |
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08-27-21 | Hamilton v. Montreal UNDER 47 | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER This East Division matchup pits 0-2 Hamilton, the only winless team left in the CFL, against Montreal who is 1-1. The Ti-Cats are off a bye. Two weeks ago they got smashed 30-8 by Saskatchewan in a game where the line was pick ‘em. They week before they didn’t fare much better in a 19-6 loss at Winnipeg. There they were two-point favorites. This is the third week in a row playing on the road. It comes vs. an Als squad that had Week 1 off and has since split a pair of contests on the road. They won the first game 30-13 as five point underdogs over Edmonton. But then they fell 28-22 at Calgary as a five point favorite. This is the first time playing at home and they are 5-0 the last five games they’ve been off a loss. That goes back two years though, so you might as well throw it out. Hamilton trying to avoid its first 0-3 start in four years seems more significant as does their 7-4 overall win streak over the Als. They are 5-1 in their last six trips to Molson Stadium. However, the Ti-Cats have only scored 14 points in their two games this season. Dane Evans will start at quarterback Thursday behind an offensive line that has struggled. Starter Masoli got hurt against Saskatchewan. Montreal’s defense, flagged for 16 penalties a week ago, should play a “cleaner” game this week. Under is 8-2 in Hamilton’s previous 10 road games. It’s 35-17-1 in Montreal’s last 53 East Division games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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08-21-21 | Ottawa +10.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OTTAWA Ottawa is 1-0 and off a bye. The REDBLACKS were 16-12 winners in Week 1 as they downed Edmonton as a seven-point road underdog. They are getting even more points this week from a Saskatchewan team that has roared to a 2-0 start. The Roughriders have played twice at home and beaten British Columbia 33-29 and Hamilton 30-8. They have not opened a season 3-0 since 2013. While the team has won nine in a row in Regina, we don’t see them winning this one by double digits. In last week’s CFL play, the team off a bye (Montreal) won 30-13. You can’t draw too many conclusions about one game, but the bye definitely doesn’t hurt the REDBLACKS here. The Roughriders may lead the CFL in scoring but they are just sixth in total offense. That can’t be sustained. We expect Ottawa to hold them to a season-low in points and stay within the number. Play on OTTAWA AAA |
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08-13-21 | Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 47.5 | Top | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Toronto and Winnipeg each claimed victory in Week 1. The Argos were narrow 23-20 winners at Calgary, but that’s a win they’ll take as they were 6.5-point underdogs on the road. They outgained the Stampeders 410-353. After an impressive start to that game, the Argos needed to mount a comeback and they outscored the Stamps 11-3 in the fourth quarter. They did not find the end zone in the second or third quarters. Winnipeg’s win last week was less thrilling as they stymied Hamilton on their way to a 19-6 triumph. The Bombers defense allowed less than 300 total yards and shut the Ti-Cats out over the last three quarters. Scoring has been down league-wide thus far with the first five CFL games seeing less than 40 points/game scored. This one should follow the trend as the Argos will struggle to move the ball. The Over is 8-0 the last eight times these teams have played. That’s due to end, right? Play on UNDER AAA |
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09-27-19 | Hamilton +5.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HAMILTON We still have several weeks left in the CFL regular season, but three teams have already clinched playoff spots and these are two of them. Winnipeg is tied with Calgary a top the Western Division with matching 9-4 records. Hamilton is 10-3 and is running away from the rest of the East. The last time these division leaders met was Week 7. The Blue Bombers entered that game undefeated (5-0), but the Ti-Cats dealt them their first defeat, 23-15 as a 1-pt home dog. Hamilton won that game despite losing QB Jeremiah Masoli in the first quarter. Simple math reveals that Winnipeg has gone just 4-4 its last eight games, but three of the losses have come by a total of four points. The Ti-Cats are the only team to beat them by more than a two-point margin all year. One of those Winnipeg losses came last week, 38-37 at Montreal, as they blew a 24-point lead. Interestingly, Hamilton's three losses this year have been by a total of 13 points. So we have every reason to expect a close one here, which makes taking the points logical. Both teams have had to turn to backup quarterbacks this year with the starters injured, so it's impressive that they are still leading their respective divisions. But Dane Evans (Hamilton) seems to have played better than Chris Streveler (Winnipeg). Streveler is a much different type QB than Matt Nichols. The Bombers are undefeated at home, but the Ti-Cats have the best inter-division record in the league. Gotta take the points in this one. Play on HAMILTON AAA |
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09-02-19 | Edmonton +3.5 v. Calgary | Top | 9-25 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on EDMONTON Edmonton has revenge on the mind as they lost the first "Battle of Alberta" of 2019. It took place four weeks ago as they came to Calgary actually slightly favored and lost 24-18. The Eskimos defense, as per usual, did its job in allowing just 227 yards. No defense is allowing less yards/game in the league this year. But the difference in that prior meeting was a 103-yard kickoff return by Calgary's Terry Williams. The Edmonton offense was also held scoreless for the first half. We don't expect that to happen again and look for the Eskimos to shore the special teams up as well. The big story coming into this game is the return of QB Bo Levi Mitchell for the Stampeders. Calgary has lost two in a row going into last week's bye and the time off made Mitchell returning here a logical landing point. But will he be the same Bo Levi Mitchell that we're accustomed to seeing? Don't think so. Not against this defense. Edmonton lost last week despite holding a substantial edge in yards, so don't look for them to roll out the welcome mat for Mitchell. The Eskimos have covered 4 of the last 5 times that they've been off an ATS loss. As for the Stampeders, they are 0-4 ATS the last four times they've been off a straight up loss. Bottom line is that recent history shows Edmonton is more likely to bounce back and don't expect Mitchell to come in and dominate in his return. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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08-25-19 | Montreal v. Toronto OVER 54.5 | Top | 28-22 | Loss | -110 | 112 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the Over There's no denying that Toronto is the worst team in the league this year. They've scored only 129 points in eight games, by far the fewest. Only British Columbia, who they lost to and has played one more game, has allowed more points. Last week's defensive effort was very poor as they gave up 41 points and over 500 yards in a loss to Edmonton. This all has to make this week's opponent, Montreal, quite happy as the Als are searching for a second straight win after hanging 40 on Calgary last week. That performance was just was the doctor ordered after the Alouettes had dropped consecutive games for the first time since an 0-2 start. One area of concern that remains is that they are giving up 31.5 points/game on the road. This will be the first time the teams have met in 2019 (excluding preseason). With Montreal off a huge game offensively and Toronto's defense in flux, we know the visitors will put up plenty of points this week. The Argos should also score enough to help this one go Over the total. Play OVER Montreal-Toronto AAA |
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08-24-19 | Hamilton v. BC +3.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BRITISH COLUMBIA British Columbia is having a rough year. The Lions are 1-8 and in last place in the Western Division. Their only win was 18-17 over Toronto, thanks to a rouge. The Argos were winless at the time and sport the same 1-8 record as the Lions. While things won't get any easier for B.C. (hosting East-leading Hamilton) this week, we believe they're up for the challenge. Just two weeks ago, they only lost by one point to the Ti-Cats and that was in Ontario. B.C. outgained Hamilton in the contest, 437-355 and even led 34-19 at the start of the 4th quarter. But it was not to be as the Ti-Cats mounted a tremendous comeback. That was Hamilton's first game without QB Masoli and the offense didn't look too good last week in a 21-7 win at Ottawa. It didn't help British Columbia that they were -3 in turnovers in that last game vs. Hamilton. Look for them to play a cleaner game at home with the revenge angle still fresh in their minds. Hamilton is just 1-4 ATS its last five visits to British Columbia. Grab the points! Play on BRITISH COLUMBIA AAA |
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08-09-19 | Ottawa +9.5 v. Edmonton | Top | 12-16 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* Play on OTTAWA The Redblacks got a much needed win last week by going into Montreal and coming out ahead 28-27 as 6.5 point underdogs. That snapped a four-game losing streak. We believe that it's critical to point out that three of those four losses came at the hands of Winnipeg or Calgary, arguably the two best teams in the league right now. All three Ottawa wins this seasons have come by four points or less, but they're underdogs again this week and that's a role that has suited them quite well. The Redblacks are 3-1 ATS as dogs this season and won two of the games outright. Here they'll be catching Edmonton one week removed from losing to provincial rival Calgary in a hard fought game. Could this be a "letdown" spot for the Eskimos? We're willing to bank that it will be. Three of Edmonton's four wins this year have come against Toronto and B.C., who are a combined 2-12 straight up and the other was in Week 1 against a Montreal team that was the worst in the league last year. Grab the points in this one. Play on OTTAWA AAA |
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08-03-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary OVER 46.5 | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER The first of three meetings this year between rivals Edmonton and Calgary goes down Saturday with both teams at 4-2. Whomever wins this game will be tied with Winnipeg for first place in the Western Division as all of a sudden the Blue Bombers have dropped two in a row. While we have no opinion on the side of this game, we do think the total is too low. While these are two of the better defensive teams in the league and each side has seen its last four games go Under, you normally don't see totals this low in the CFL. At least not this year where scoring continues to rise. Edmonton has scored 32 or more points in half of their games and only twice have they been held to below 26 points. Even though they won last week in Ottawa, Calgary didn't score a touchdown in a 17-16 win. But don't be fooled by that as they moved the ball at will, racking up a season-high 474 total yards. Both teams faced weak offenses last week and will be challenged more here. Look for this game to go Over the total. Play OVER Edmonton-Calgary AAA |
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08-01-19 | Hamilton +3 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -113 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on HAMILTON Hamilton picked up a huge win last week, beating Winnipeg 23-15. That was a 10* winner for us on the Ti-Cats and the first straight up loss of the year for the Blue Bombers. But it came with a cost as QB Masoli was injured and now out. Backup Dane Evans may not have looked all that great in relief last week, but he was facing an undefeated team with little prep. The Ti-Cats defense was able to slow down the Bombers, which is no small feat, and thus can carry the team moving forward. Evans should also play better with a week of prep. The Roughriders are coming off back to back wins over a bad British Columbia team and are playing on only five days rest here. Given how good Hamilton has looked this year, we think they absolutely should still be looked as the favorite going into this one, even on the road. The last time Saskatchewan played on a short week like this was Week 4 vs. Calgary and they lost 37-10, at home. The QB situation has "over-influenced" this line in our opinion as the Ti-Cats are 5-1 and have the best point differential in the league so far. Grab the points! Play on HAMILTON AAA |
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08-01-19 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +14.5 | Top | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO Being the league's only winless team, 0-6 Toronto had to make a move. They did just that by bringing back QB Zach Collaros in a trade that was announced Wednesday afternoon. Collaros began his career with the Argonauts before stints with both Hamilton and Saskatchewan. Unfortunately, his time spent in Regina was limited to less than a game as Collaros got injured in the Roughriders' Week 1 game against Hamilton and he's been on the injured list ever since. That allowed for the emergence of Cody Fajardo for the Riders and thus Collaros became expendable. The Argos will take anything at this point, but most of all a win. They are getting two touchdowns at home this week against Winnipeg, who just lost for the first time this year, last week to the Ti-Cats. Kind of a letdown spot for the Bombers, who are dealing with injuries. We definitely wouldn't want to lay the points in this one and in fact will take 'em as the Double Blue were "only" as 16-point dog when they visited Manitoba less than two weeks ago. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 52.5 | Top | 45-18 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER These Western Division rivals just met last week with Saskatchewan beating British Columbia 30-23. The rematch, set to take place in BC, won't be as high scoring. The Rough Riders got to 30 points in spite of pretty pedestrian yardage. This time they won't have the luxury of coming off a bye. The week before the bye saw them get held to 10 points and 234 yards. As for the Lions, they've topped 25 points in a game only one time this season. In two home games, they've scored a TOTAL of only 29 points. They had just 179 total yards in an ugly home loss to Edmonton two weeks ago. In spite of last week, the Under is still 41-19-1 the previous 61 meetings between these long time foes. It's also 7-3-1 in the Lions last 11 home games. Last week's total was bet down several points. This week's has not been (yet) ... Play UNDER Saskatchewan-British Columbia AAA |
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07-26-19 | Winnipeg -2 v. Hamilton | Top | 15-23 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HAMILTON This is an early season showdown between the top team in the West (Winnipeg) and top team from the East (Hamilton). The line has "jumped the fence," meaning Winnipeg is now favored after opening as the slight dog. With the Blue Bombers unbeaten it's understandable that bettors would want to side with them, but this is a road game and the Ti-Cats have been really good in their own right to start the year. They're 4-1 with an explosive offense that has scored no fewer than 29 points each of the last four games. Furthermore, they are coming off a bye here! Thus, it's pretty shocking to see them now getting points. Winnipeg has not started a season 6-0 since 1960 and since the turn of this century, only seven CFL teams have done it. Hamilton has won all three of its home games, doing so by an average of almost 21 points per game. This isn't your average dog. Play on HAMILTON AAA |
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07-25-19 | Calgary v. Ottawa +6 | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OTTAWA This is obviously a very big revenge spot for Calgary. Not only were they upset by the Redblacks in last year's Grey Cup, they also lost to them 32-28 in Week 1 of this season. But this number is inflated. Ottawa is 0-4 ATS since that Week 1 upset, which required a fourth quarter comeback. The last two weeks have been grim with a 17-point loss to Montreal and a 30-point loss to Winnipeg. But Calgary is also just 1-4 ATS this year, the lone cover coming as an underdog. Both teams are dealing with injuries at the QB position. The Stampeders actually struggled to get by winless Toronto last week, so Ottawa definitely has hope here. They were nine-point underdogs when they pulled the upset in Week 1. Getting this many at home seems like a steal by comparison. Play on OTTAWA AAA |
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07-20-19 | Edmonton v. Montreal +6 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MONTREAL Montreal is going for its first three-game win streak since the end of the 2016 season here. The oddsmakers don't like their chances, installing them as underdogs at home vs. Edmonton. That's certainly understandable given what the expectations were for the Als coming into the season. But in their only home game so far, the Als pulled what is probably the biggest upset of this CFL season to date, handing Hamilton its only loss and doing so as 12.5-point underdogs. We took them in that game and then they followed with a second straight 36-point effort, this time beating Ottawa. We like them plus the points again here as Edmonton is highly unlikely to play as well as they did last week vs. B.C. That was a spirited game when they faced former QB Mike Reilly and emotions were running high. Two of the Eskimos three wins this have been at BC's expense. The other was an opening week win over the Als, 32-25. Montreal covered the eight-point spot in that game and is now getting a similar number at home. An easy call here. Play on MONTREAL AAA |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg OVER 51.5 | Top | 1-31 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OVER Scoring is up this year in the CFL to about 55.3 points/game. That's a 9% increase from last season. But don't tell this to Ottawa as their last two games have resulted in only 33 points scored - total - and now they're saddled with a backup QB (Jonathon Jennings). But if you recall, the last time we played an Over with the Redblacks, things turned into a real "shootout" as they beat Saskatchewan 44-41. They actually went Over the total themselves. That isn't going to happen here, but once again they figure to give up a lot as they face the unbeaten Blue Bombers, who are 4-0 and averaging 34.5 points/game. Winnipeg scored a season-high 48 points last week vs. Toronto as QB Matt Nichols continues to play well. He's thrown for 10 touchdowns already. One key with Jennings is that while this is his first time starting for Ottawa, it's not his first "rodeo" in the CFL. He's actually gone 5-1 against Nichols as a starter, throwing for more yards and touchdowns in those head to head battles. Play OVER Ottawa-Winnipeg AAA |
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07-18-19 | Toronto +12.5 v. Calgary | Top | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on TORONTO Toronto is the only team in the CFL yet to taste victory this season as they're 0-4 and really reeling. Three of their four losses have been by 25 points or more and the one that wasn't was a heart-breaking one-point defeat to B.C. on a rare walkoff rouge. Calgary figures to be in an ornery mood this evening as they are off a 30-23 loss to Hamilton last week. Three of the Stampeders four games so far have been decided by a TD or less. So while we understand why the line is as large as it is, we wouldn't want to lay it. Calgary has failed to cover four of the last five times it has been off a SU loss. Remember that starting QB Bo Levi Mitchell is still on the injured list. Argos quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson threw for 388 yards last week vs Winnipeg last week, in addition to three touchdowns. The underdog will not go down quietly in this one as they are desperate for a win. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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07-13-19 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 51 | Top | 36-19 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Montreal-Ottawa Montreal stunned the CFL community last week with a 36-29 upset of Hamilton. The Als were 12.5-point home underdogs in the contest and somehow beat an undefeated team that had looked unstoppable its previous two games. One of those two games was a 41-10 win over the Als. That was in Hamilton and the Als are back on the road this week to face Ottawa, who suffered their first loss of the season last week as well. It was not an impressive showing from the Redblacks as they managed just 14 points at home against the unbeaten Blue Bombers. This game figures to be another low-scoring affair as we just can't see Montreal duplicating its surprising offensive success from last week. After all, they scored just 35 points the first two games combined. William Stanback had a huge game rushing the ball last week, but the Redblacks' front seven should be up to the challenge. We're not sold on either QB in this matchup either. The Under has hit in the last nine meetings between these East Division rivals. Play UNDER Montreal-Ottawa AAA |
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07-12-19 | Toronto +15 v. Winnipeg | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TORONTO The Argos are the only winless team in the CFL, but at least they were able to play a competitive game last week. We said that would be the case and took the points with them at home against B.C. The result was a wire to wire cover with the Argos losing by just a single point, 18-17 as 7.5-point pups. That was a far cry from what happened the first two weeks as they lost 64-14 to Hamilton and 32-7 to Saskatchewan. It'll be another hard game this week as they head to Manitoba to play the Bombers. Winnipeg is the only unbeaten team in the league, but the oddsmakers are being more than generous here. The Bombers have not won by more than 15 this year and have not been favored by more than five points in any game. It's unlikely they'll win big here considering QB Matt Nichols isn't 100 percent (will start though) and neither is top defensive player Adam Bighill (status is questionable). The Argos are still hungry for that first win and thus won't be throwing in the towel here. We'll grab the big number. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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07-06-19 | BC v. Toronto +8 | Top | 18-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 52 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on TORONTO The Argos are 0-2 and haven't looked good in either game, losing 64-14 to Hamilton and 32-7 to Saskatchewan. But they're getting a more than generous number tonight at home against a B.C. team that also comes in winless on the year. The Lions are 0-3, so laying more than a score on the road with them doesn't sound like the best idea right now. This will be their third road game in as many weeks and we worry about the team's psyche after blowing a double digit lead last week to a backup QB in Calgary. The Lions have given up an average of 36 points through three games so don't be surprised if Toronto gets on track on offense here. While it's due to injury, we think the change at the QB position will prove fruitful for the Argos as Opening Day starter James Franklin simply was not getting the job done. It'll be only the 8th career start for McLeod Bethel-Thompson, but that's more experience than Franklin had. Bethel-Thompson led two come from behind wins in limited action last season. British Columbia will be without its top receiver tonight as Bryan Burnham (280 yards) is hurt. Look for the Argos to grab the cash tonight at BMO Field. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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07-05-19 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa -3.5 | Top | 29-14 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on OTTAWA We are guaranteed at least one unbeaten team left in the CFL after Week 4 as both Winnipeg and Ottawa are 2-0 heading into this cross-division showdown. The Bombers have beaten both British Columbia (33-23 in Week 1) and Edmonton (28-21 in last week's home opener). This will be the first time they're playing without a bye. Ottawa happens to be coming off a bye here after downing Calgary and Saskatchewan by a combined seven points. A win here would give them an impressive 3-0 mark against the West, which would be very impressive considering it's perceived to be the league's stronger division. The Redblacks have put up 76 points in two games. That 38.0 point per game average is #1 in the league and a full 7.5 PPG more than #3 Winnipeg. QB Davis looked much better in his second start with three touchdowns and zero interceptions. Plus, he connected on 6 of 9 deep throws for 176 yards. Ottawa didn't cover last week, but they are 13-6 ATS following an ATS loss and should prove to be too tough at home this week. We'll lay the short number. Play on OTTAWA AAA |
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07-04-19 | Hamilton v. Montreal +12.5 | Top | 29-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MONTREAL "Hamilton is humming" they say and it's tough to disagree at this point as the Ti-Cats have started the year 3-0 and have outscored those three opponents 128-41. They're 3-0 ATS in those games as well. After an underwhelming performance in Week 1 where they scored only 23 points, the Taibbis have put up 105 points in just the last two games, beating Toronto 64-14 and Montreal 41-10. The Als are again the opponents this week and after they lost by 31 last week, this may seem like a "tough sell." But this is way too high of a number for Hamilton to lay on the road. They were only -3.5 in Toronto and last week's number was very similar, only that was at home. There's value to be had here, even though Montreal is 0-2. Hamilton is 0-6-1 ATS their last 7 July games. Play on MONTREAL AAA |
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07-01-19 | Toronto +11 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 7-32 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the ARGOS The Argos lost their opening game 64-14, so oddsmakers set the line high for this first away matchup, which takes place at Saskatchewan Moday. It's actually comes down some though, showing that most CFL bettors feel the 50-point loss to Hamilton was more "blip" than "trend." We're inclined to agree. While it's never good to lose by that many points, especially after getting a Week 1 bye, we expect Toronto to play a lot better this week. The Roughriders have also yet to taste victory this season, losing their first two games by a combined nine points. So they'll take a win any way they can get it and we don't see this turning into a blowout. Recall that the Riders are without their starting QB Zach Collaros. A repeat of last week's 41 point effort seems unlikely today as WR Emmanuel Arceneaux is still not ready to return from an ACL injury. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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06-20-19 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa OVER 44 | Top | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 55 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the OVER Saskatchewan and Ottawa experienced very different starts to their respective seasons. The Rough Riders lost 23-17 out in Hamilton while Ottawa pulled a nice upset of Calgary in a Grey Cup rematch. The Redblacks were nine-point underdogs in their 32-23 win over the Stampeders, a very impressive way to begin 2019. It was a bit of a wild game as there were seven total turnovers. Four were interceptions from Dominique Davis, the first time starter at QB for Ottawa. But Davis also scored the go-ahead TD with just over a minute left for the win. We think the Redblacks will again find plenty of ways to score this week against a Saskatchewan team that is hurting - literally. QB Zach Collaros was just placed on the six-week injury list, a big blow to start the season. But no matter who ends up starting this week - either Cody Fajardo or Isaac Harker - will likely perform better than in Week 1 when they were each called into surprise duty (Fajardo also left wiith an injury). The Over is 6-2 the last 8 times these teams have played. With the number dropping so much (Riders QB situation), there's now plenty of value in playing this game that way. Play OVER Saskatchewan-Ottawa AAA |
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06-15-19 | Winnipeg v. BC UNDER 51.5 | Top | 33-23 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 18 m | Show |
analysis soon |
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06-15-19 | Winnipeg v. BC -1 | Top | 33-23 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BRITISH COLUMBIA British Columbia is hosting Winnipeg in the final matchup of CFL Week 1, an all Western Division battle. B.C. is looking to improve upon last season's .500 record while Winnipeg feels like it can win the division after going 10-8 and winning its first round playoff game. But the Lions are a strong home team (went 7-2 here last season) and should take this season opener. The home team captured both meetings in 2018. B.C. definitely improved in the offseason. We like the coaching change and nabbing QB Mike Reilly away from Edmonton was the biggest free agent move in the division. Reilly is now the highest paid player in the entire CFL, making $725K annually. The Blue Bombers seem a little overhyped to us as we don't see the ground game being quite as effective as it was last year. Again, B.C. is a much better team at home. Play on BRITISH COLUMBIA AAA |
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06-14-19 | Montreal v. Edmonton -10 | Top | 25-32 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on EDMONTON Edmonton kicks off the 2019 season with a home game against Montreal. Last season was not a good one for the visitors as it included a failed experiment with Johnny Football (imagine that!) and a 5-13 record. The Eskimos may have finished last in the Western Division with a 9-9 record, but that was a better record than all but one team in the Eastern Division. The fact that they were the only Western team not to make the Grey Cup Playoffs will have them motivated in this season opener. We look for the Eskimos to roll here as Montreal is just 1-4 ATS its last five season openers. The Alouettes also have so many question marks with the league having to take over ownership of the team and a new head coach just named six days ago. Edmonton has no such issues and far more stability. They beat Montreal by 16 and 19 points in the two games played last season. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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06-13-19 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton OVER 48 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER SAS-HAM It's time to kick off the CFL season with a cross-division matchup between Saskatchewan and Hamilton. The Ti-Cats (Hamilton) went just 8-10 last season, but fortunately for them they're in the East Division and that record was good enough to make the playoffs. The Roughriders were a solid 12-6, good for second in the West, but they didn't make it as far in the playoffs as Hamilton. The Ti-Cats made it one step further, winning their first playoff game while Saskatchewan was "one and done." For this first game of 2019, we like things to be a little higher scoring than expected. Both teams have first year head coaches. Roughriders QB Zach Collaros is returning to Hamilton to face his former team, so look for an inspired performance there. The Over has hit in 15 of Saskatchewan's last 22 season openers. Hamilton closed last season by going Over in five of its last six games. Play OVER Saskatchewan-Hamilton AAA |
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08-11-18 | Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 50.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Als/Redblacks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense. The UNDER has hit five straight times in this series, but we’re banking on that trend ending here. The Als got smoked 50-11 against the Ti-Cats last week, as rookie QB Johnny Manziel struggled. It wasn’t entirely his fault though and with a week between to prepare and re-focus, we’re expecting a much better effort from the former College star this time around. Ottawa could clearly care less about Montreal’s problems and it’ll be out to bounce back after last week’s 42-41 setback to Toronto. Note that Montreal has seen the total go OVER the total in seven of its last 11 off a loss against a division rival, while Ottawa has seen the total go OVER in three of four already this year when playing the role of favorite. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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07-28-18 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 34-22 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Saskatchewan Roughriders. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: as note that Calgary is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Saskatchewan is 5-3 ATS in its last eight as a home dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range. We’re expecting a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on the ROUGHRIDERS. AAA Sports |
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07-28-18 | Ottawa v. Hamilton -5.5 | 21-15 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Hamilton Tigercats. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: as note that Ottawa is already 0-2 ATS as an underdog this year, while Hamilton is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 following two more straight up losses. Lay the points, play on the TI-CATS. AAA Sports |
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07-28-18 | Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 56 | 21-15 | Win | 100 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Redblacks and Ti-Cats. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: as note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 17 against division foes, while Hamilton has seen the total go UNDER in its last two as a home favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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07-19-18 | Saskatchewan +11.5 v. Hamilton | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 59 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Saskatchewan is 2-2, but it’s yet to win the road. The Roughriders were dealt a blow with an injury to starting QB Zach Collaros, as Brandon Bridges has so far struggled in his place. The Roughriders though have been stout defensively this season, allowing only 23.8 PPG. Hamilton has looked decent offensively this year, as QB Jeremiah Masoli has 1,378 yards, four TD’s and our INT’s. The Tigercats have looked pretty good on the defensive side as well, allowing 21 PPG. The Ti-Cats have the advantage offensively, but Saskatchewan matches up well on special teams and on the defensive side. The Tigercats are likely going to win this one, but there’s no way they should be a double-digit favorite at this point of the season. Grab the points, play on the ROUGHRIDERS. AAA Sports |
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06-28-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary UNDER 57 | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between Ottawa/Calgary. This can still be a higher-scoring affair and fall UNDER this sky-high number, and that’s exactly what we expect to see happen. Not surprisingly, this is the highest total on the CFL board in Week 3. While the total has gone OVER in six of their last seven in the series, we are finally expecting more of a defensive battle (both match ups, in Weeks 1 and 2 went well above the number.) Ottawa looked impressive on both sides of the ball in its season opener at home to Saskatchewan, pulling away for the convincing 40-17 victory. The Stamps are 2-0 to open the season, but could be caught a little complacent here after going to Toronto in a rematch of last year’s Grey Cup upset and coming away with the big 41-7 blowout victory. Both teams have league-leading QB’s leading the way offensively, but the overall situation lends itself to more of a defensive affair in our opinion. Further note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 20 when playing with six or less days of rest, while Calgary has seen the total go UNDER in 14 of its last 25 after two or more consecutive SU victories. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-22-18 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +3 | Top | 56-10 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE OF THE MONTH on the Montreal Alouettes. The Als play with the “double revenge” factor on Friday night after Winnipeg swept the season series last year. Both games were close tough, as the Blue Bombers won 41-40 in the first one, followed by a 34-31 OT victory in the second. Winnipeg would stumble in a 33-30 setback to Edmonton, as backup QB Chris Streveler was 15 of 28 for 178 yards and three TD’s. Montreal fell 22-10 at BC in Week 1. The Als though looked decent by posting 19 first downs and 337 yards of offense. 14 penalties for 125 yards was the difference for Montreal though. Both teams have more questions than answers right now, but we think that home field advantage will be significant in the final score tonight. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on MONTREAL. AAA Sports |
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06-14-18 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 50 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Esks/Blue Bombers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is primarily based on common sense. Edmonton lost both regular season games to Winnipeg last year, but then got its revenge in the West Semi Finals in a high-scoring affair. But with Blue Bomber’ starting QB Matt Nichols lost for at least six weeks after going down with injury in practice two weeks ago, we believe that Winnipeg will be forced to run while on offense early and often. Edmonton’s QB Mike Reilly has been one of the most prolific in the league the last two years, but the Bombers’ defense is stout. When you add it all up, this total is indeed a little high. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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07-29-17 | Hamilton +13 v. Calgary | Top | 1-60 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Hamilton Tigercats. We’re not suggesting that you should “sprinkle a little” on the money line, as the 0-4 Hamllton Tigercats are sizeable underdogs on the road this week. We do however think this is a few too many points to be giving up as we look for Hamilton to at the very least, sneak in through the back door with the large spread it’s being afforded. Hamilton: It’s been a rough start to open the year for the Ti-Cats, as QB Zach Collaros has 1,041 yards, three TD’s and four INT’s. Production is down on both sides of the line though, as Hamilton has allowed 35.2 PPG thus far. Calgary: The Stamps are 3-1-1 and haven’t lost a home game since October of 2015. QB Bo Levi Mitchell has 1,635 yards, nine TD’s and three INT’s. Calgary allows just 24 PPG. The bottom line: After crushing the Roughriders 27-10 at home last week and with two tough road games on the horizon at Toronto and BC respectively, we think that Calgary gets caught “looking past” the lowly Ti-Cats today. While the playoffs are quickly becoming a fantasy, another loss here will almost assuredly be too much for Hamilton to climb out of. The TIGERCATS lays everything on the line this weekend, grab the points. AAA Sports |
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07-24-17 | Ottawa v. Toronto UNDER 55 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER between the Ottawa Redblacks and the Toronto Argonauts. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in both games already this year against the division, while Toronto has seen the total go UNDER in both games against the division as well. The bottom line: At 2-2, Toronto currently leads the East. Ottawa is 1-3, looking up at Montreal as well. The Argos have been surprisingly good on defense this year and we’re expecting that unit to once again make a major impact on this rare Monday night contest. All signs point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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07-13-17 | Toronto v. Winnipeg OVER 52 | Top | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 77 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between the Toronto Argonauts and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Toronto is 2-1, but has seen the total go UNDER the number in all three games so far. We think that changes in Week 4. QB Ricky Ray has been phenomenal to this point, throwing for 1,200 yards, four TD’s to just one INT. Ray’s main weapn has been SJ Green, who has 19 passes for 367 yards and a TD. You’ll also want to keep your eyes on Toronto newcomer DeVier Posey, who has 19 receptions for 280 yards and two TD’s. The Blue Bombers opened the year with a 43-40 win over Saskatchewan, only to then fall 29-10 to Calgary. Winnipeg is led by QB Matt Nichols, who has five TD passes and three INT’s so far. Nichols favorite target is Weston Dressler, who so far has 12 catches for 200 yards. Andrew Harris is rated as one of the league’s top backs, but so far has just 89 carries on 23 yards. Note though that Toronto has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERs, while Winnipeg has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five after scoring ten points or less in its previous contest. When these teams last played in 2016, Winnipeg came away with the 46-29 victory. All signs point to another high-scoring affair, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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07-08-17 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -125 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 125 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on Saskatchewan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense. This is a “situational” pick for us. Both teams are winless. Saskatchewan though will be absolutely risking life and limb this week so as to try and secure a victory. The Roughriders lost 17-16 in Week 1 at Montreal, before then succumbing 43-40 to visiting Winnipeg in Week 2. Meanwhile, Hamilton hasn’t played since it’s 32-15 Week 1 collapse in Toronto and with back-to-back games against Western Conference foes at home up next, we believe the Ti-Cats get caught “looking ahead” to that much more favorable part of their schedule. The CFL season is 18 games, so there is always time to “get back on track” at points over the course of the campaign, but an 0-3 hole would clearly be a big one to climb out of for Saskatchewan, which still has aspirations for a dominant year. In our opinion, it’s essentially “do or die” for the Roughriders this week, which is why this pick has been stamped with “GAME OF YEAR” status. Play on SASKATCHEWAN. AAA Sports |
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07-01-17 | Winnipeg -1 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 43-40 | Win | 100 | 124 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The Blue Bombers had a bye in Week 1 and open up their 2017 campaign on the road in Saskatchewan. Winnipeg was 11-7 in 2016 and hands the ball to Matt Nichols under center this season. Last year he had 3,666 yards, 18 TD’s to just nine INT’s in his limited time as QB. One other player on the offense that you’ll want to keep your eyes on for the visitors is WR Weston Dressler, who caught 80 passes for over 1,000 yards last season. Bombers’ RB Andrew Harris had 974 yards and four major scores in 2016. The Roughriders look poised for a letdown here in our opinion after a tough Week 1 loss to the Alouettes. QB Kevin Glenn was solid though with 298 years, while Nik Demski was a standout with seven catches for 87 yards. Star Naaman Roosevelt though was held to only 59 yards receiving. Note that Winnipeg is 12-8 ATS in its last 20 against division opponents, while Saskatchewan is just 7-12 ATS against the division. Ultimately we feel that the Blue Bombers’ extra week off to game-plan for their opener will be the difference. Play on WINNIPEG. AAA Sports |
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06-24-17 | Edmonton v. BC UNDER 60 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the Edmonton Eskimos and the BC Lions. We think this number is just a little high. Edmonton finished 10-8 last year. QB Mike Reilly threw for over 5,500 yards and 28 TD’s. Reilly’s favorite target was Adarius Bowman, who caught 120 passes for 1,761 yards and nine major scores. RB John White was also a standout for the Eskimos. The Lions finished 12-6 with QB Jon Jennings throwing for 5,200 yards. WR Chris Williams has come over from Ottawa and is expected to be a standout this year. RB Jeremiah Johnson rounds out a strong offensive unit. Note though that Edmonton has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 as an underdog, while BC has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four games played in the month of June. These are two explosive offenses, but we’re expecting each to come out a little “flat footed” in the season opener and we look for this total to sneak UNDER this sky-high number once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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06-23-17 | Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 55.5 | Top | 31-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* SCORPION on the OVER between the Calgary Stampeders and the Ottawa RedBlacks. Calgary returns most of its offensive talent which saw it go 15-2-1 last year, ending up with a loss in the Grey Cup. Despite the setback, the Stamps are still favored to win the Grey Cup in 2017. Bo Levi Mitchell remains the No. 1 QB in the league, last year he threw for over 5,300 yards and 32 TD’s. Mitchell has plenty of weapons to utilize, including Marquay McDaiel, DaVaris Daniels and Jerome Messam. The defense will also be a strong point for Calgary, keep your eyes on top sacker Charleston Hughes and INT leader Jamar Wall. Ottawa finished the regular season at 8-9-1, but wound up upsetting Calgary in the Grey Cup. Trevor Harris has been named the No. 1 QB this year, he threw for 3,300 yards and 16 TD’s last season, splitting time with Henry Burris. Brad Sinopoli and Greg Ellingson combined for more than 2,200 receiving yards last season. Ottawa went through some changes on the defensive side of the ball though, so regression is expected to open 2017. We think these teams open up the playbook and we look for this one to go OVER the number once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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06-22-17 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal UNDER 50.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between the Roughriders and the Alouettes. Darian Durant threw for over 3,800 yards with the Roughriders last year. Durant comes to Montreal with plenty of weapons surrounding him, but we think it’ll take some time for the QB to “gel” with his new teammates. The Alouettes defense remains pretty much the same though, a bonus for the team coming into this season. Saskatchewan has three QB’s that will be competing for the No. 1 job, so each player is expected to see some time tonight. This doesn’t bode well for Saskatchewan’s offense either in our opinion, as rhythm will disrupted. The Roughriders defense though will be playing with a chip on its shoulder as it tries to get the better of Durant. It’s a perfect storm of situational factors that all point to a lower-scoring affair to open the 2017 campaign. But also note, the Roughriders have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last ten road games when the total in the contest is set between 49.5 and 52 points, while Montreal has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 17 in front of the home town crowd. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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