Cappers Sports Picks

This is a 10* play on the Super Bowl to go OVER the total.

While neither of the Conference Championship games saw a combined total of as many as 48 points, both those games were played outdoors in adverse weather conditions in the dead of winter. The Super Bowl will be played indoors, where we last saw the Saints and Vikings tally a combined 53 points in the divisional round of the playoffs. Rather than each team coming in a week removed from their previous game, both teams get a full two weeks to rest, practice and draw up a game plan. The Patriots game plan in their epic come from behind win over the Jags, was to force Blake Bortles to beat them. While they did a pretty good job of containing Leonard Fournette (76 yards on 24 carries), Bortles had one if his best games all year, throwing for 291 yards and a TD on 23-of-36 passing. The Eagles let Nick Foles air it out early and often in their win over the Vikings. Foles threw for 352 yards and three TDs on 26-of-33 passing. He had a lot of success with big plays, and it makes sense for Philly to have the same approach here against the Pats. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five head to head meetings. The Patriots have gone over the total in eight of their last 10 post season games.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Memphis Tigers ranked 2nd in the country in scoring during the regular season, averaging over 47 points per game. Skeptics might say they played a soft schedule, but I would point out that they scored over 100 combined points in their two games against Top 25 teams. They beat UCLA by a score of 48-45, and lost to UCF in overtime by a score of 62-55. Riley Ferguson threw for a combined 868 yards with 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. They will play Iowa State in the Liberty Bowl, and the Cyclones were surprisingly competitive in the BIG12 this season. Their fortunes took a turn for the better when they made a change at quarterback in Week 5 against Oklahoma. Senior Kyle Kempt led them to a 38-31 upset win over Oklahoma, and he finished the season with 1,473 yards, 13 TDs and just 3 INTs while playing in just six full games. While Memphis was impressive on offense, the Tigers ranked 103rd nationally in scoring defense, and they face a Power 5 team that can score with the best of them. We should expect a lot of big plays, a lot of broken tackles, and the points should pile up quick in the Liberty Bowl.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

Utah has one of the best offensive lines in the PAC12, and they are a team that really likes to lean on the run. They run the ball roughly 40 times per game, and Dana Holgorsen knows what to expect. "Their O-line is huge," Holgorsen said. "Evidently, they are focused on recruiting the bigger guys up front." The Mountaineers will start backup quarterback Chris Chugunov, who completed just over 50 percent of his passes in back to back losses since the injury to Will Grier. West Virginia ran the ball 50 times and attempted just 20 passes in their season finale versus Oklahoma. With both these teams looking to establish the run, we could seem them burn up a lot of clock in a low scoring game. In addition to the loss of their starting quarterback, the Mountaineers will also be without their leading rusher. Justin Crawford has decided to sit out the bowl game in preparation for the NFL Draft. The Mountaineers have failed to cover in four straight bowl games.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Chiefs have won back to back games after losing six of their previous seven. They held the Raiders and the Chargers to a combined 28 points in those wins, and the Kansas City defense draws a favorable matchup this week. The Dolphins 26th ranked offense has averaged less than 18 points per game this season. The Fish still have an outside chance of making the playoffs though, so we should expect them to play hard here at Arrowhead. Jay Cutler didn't perform well in the cold weather in Buffalo last week, throwing for 274 yards and three picks on 28-of-49 passing. The weatherman is calling for more sub-zero temperatures here in Kansas City. The Chiefs have gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 21-6 in Chiefs last 27 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The under is 43-19 in Chiefs last 62 home games.

Take UNDER.

GL.

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.

The South Florida Bulls will be the favorite against Texas Tech in the Birmingham Bowl. South Florida won their first seven games of the season, but then suffered losses to Houston and Central Florida finishing at 9-2 overall. In their season finale at Central Florida, they lost in a thriller by a score of 49-42. We could see another high scoring game here against Texas Tech, the Red Raiders can really put points on the board. Texas Tech lost by a score of 56-27 to LSU in the Texas Bowl in 2015. The over is 7-1 in the Red Raiders last eight bowl games. They have also gone over in 14 of their last 17 neutral site games, and the over is 19-9 in their last 28 non conference games. The Bulls have also been involved in more than their fair share of high scoring games, going over in seven of their last 10 non-conference games. Both these teams can put points on the board in a hurry, and neither team has shown any ability to play defense. Expect an entertaining game here in Alabama.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Oregon Ducks will face the Boise State Broncos in the Las Vegas Bowl this Saturday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring. The Ducks are in great shape with starting quarterback Justin Herbert, who was 6-1 in his seven starts this season. He threw for 1,750 yards with 13 TDs and 3 INTs in those games, completing 66.5% of his passes. All seven of those games saw more than 60 combined points. The Ducks should have little trouble lighting up the scoreboard against a Boise State team that gave up 45 points to Washington State, 52 points to Colorado State, and 42 points to Virginia. The Broncos are expected to be without their #1 running back Alex Mattison, which could result in a more pass heavy offensive approach. The Ducks lost their last bowl game in overtime by a score of 47-41 to TCU in the 2016 Alamo Bowl.  We should see a similar high scoring affair here in Sin City.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Panthers lost to New Orleans at home in Week 3, and Cam Newton was terrible in that game. He threw for just 167 yards and three INTs on 17-of-26 passing. He's coming into the rematch riding a four game winning streak, and during that span he's thrown for five TDs and just one INT. The Panthers have scored a combined 80 points the last two weeks, and history tells us we could see plenty of scoring here in the Super Dome on Sunday. Five of the last six meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and today's total is lower than it was in the Panthers last two visits to New Orleans. The Saints last home game was a 34-31 win over the Redskins, and they had to rally to score two TDs in the final three minutes to force overtime in that game. They went on to lose their next game at the Rams, and this Saints defense has now given up over 400 total yards in consecutive games. The over is 13-5-1 in the Saints last 19 home games.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Vikings are best known for their dominant defense, but they've scored 30+ points in three of their last four games. They will likely need to put points on the board to extend their winning streak here in Atlanta. The Falcons have won three straight, and they've averaged over 30 points per game during that span. Case Keenum was supposed to be filling in for Sam Bradford, but he's thrown for 280+ yards in four straight games. Only Tom Brady has more 280+ yard games than Case Keenum this season. He's completed over 70 percent of his passes in each of his last three games. Minnesota has gone over the total in five of their last seven road games, and playing in a dome against Atlanta, we should expect another high scoring game. The Falcons are normally a great bet to go over at home, as they've surpassed the total in 13 of their last 16 home games. The over is 21-8-1 in Falcons last 30 games overall.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Stanford Cardinal might be scoreboard watching on Saturday night, as the final score between Washington State and Washington is far more important than the result of their game against the Irish. Both Notre Dame and Stanford are coming off low scoring games, with Stanford beating Cal 17-14, and Notre Dame beating Army by a score of 24-17. The Cardinal have struggled to score since Bryce Love injured his ankle, and the last thing they want to do is give him a heavy workload here against Notre Dame. With a probable meeting against USC in the PAC12 Championship game looming large, it's likely that Love is used sparingly here this week. These teams have a history of playing close, low scoring games, with the under cashing in six of the last seven meetings. Stanford has been playing far better defense in recent weeks, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall. They were impressive in a home win over Washington, holding the Huskies to just 135 rushing yards. Notre Dame has been involved in some high scoring games this season, but the Irish have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 when playing on grass.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Sooners have scored an averaged of 46.4 points in their last five overall, and they should light up the scoreboard today at home against West Virginia. The Mountaineers haven't got much to play for here, and they will start a freshman at quarterback. Chris Chugunov didn't look too bad against Texas, throwing for 189 yards and a TD on 14-of-26 passing. Baker Mayfield will start this game on the bench, but he's not going to be watching for long. Oklahoma still needs to win this game to keep it's playoff hopes on track. The Mountaineers have struggled against elite quarterbacks this season, giving up 50 points in a home loss to Oklahoma State and Mason Rudolph, and Texas Tech quarterback Nick Shimonek threw for 323 yards and four TDs in a losing effort in Morgantown. The Red Raiders scored 28 points in the first half of that game, but West Virginia rallied to win 46-35. I expect a similar score here against the Sooners in Norman. Oklahoma has out-scored the Mountaineers 100-52 while winning the last two meetings between the two teams.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

How good is Mississippi State? Well if you look at their 8-3 record, you see three losses. Those losses came against three teams in the Top 10, who are all currently in the hunt for a playoff spot. They rank 20th nationally in scoring defense, holding opponents to under 20 points per game. The Bulldogs are a big favorite here in the Egg Bowl versus rivals Mississippi, and they are expected to win by three scores. The Rebels have scored plenty of points this season, but not on the road against ranked teams. They scored a total of 26 points in losses at Alabama and Auburn, and they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Only one of the Bulldogs games this season saw more than a combined 60 points, and that was a blowout win over LA-Tech. Rebels quarterback Jordan Ta'amu threw for just 189 yards on 19-of-34 passing in a home loss to Texas A&M last week. I don't expect him to be any more successful here at Starkville.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Washington Redskins scored 30 points at home against the Vikings last week, but it wasn't enough in a 38-30 loss. Kirk Cousins did his part, throwing for 327 yards and a TD on 26-of-45 passing. The Skins are likely to come out passing here at the Superdome, and I am expecting a high scoring game. The Saints are flying high on offense, coming into this game riding a seven game win streak, scoring over 30 points per game during that span. They scored 52 in a home win over the Lions a few weeks ago, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a similar score here. Washington is dealing with a bunch of injuries on defense, and they've allowed 30+ points in three of their last four games. These teams have gone over the total in four straight meetings dating back to 2008. The Redskins have gone over in 13 of their last 16 road games, while New Orleans have gone over in 13 of their last 18 home games.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

Remember when the Giants had one of the league's best defenses? Well they've looked like one of the worst the last few weeks, giving up a total of 82 points in losses to the Rams and San Francisco. There isn't a lot left for the Giants to play for, and the level of effort in recent games has been minimal. They host the Kansas City Chiefs, who are notoriously tough when coming off a bye week. The Chiefs should be primed for a one-sided victory here, running up the score and padding their stats. Kareem Hunt is second in the NFL in rushing yards, and Alex Smith has the league's highest quarterback rating. The Chiefs defense has not been a strength in recent weeks, and injuries to several key linebackers could hurt them here in this game. Kansas City has gone over in six of it's last eight road games, while the Giants have gone over in five of their last seven overall.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Wolfpack suffered their first loss in conference play at the hands of defending champions Clemson two weeks ago, and responded with a dominant 14-7 win at Boston College last week. Their defense has been impressive, holding opponents to just over 15 points per game in seven games versus unranked teams. Wake Forest has been involved in some high scoring games lately, going over the total against Notre Dame, Louisville and Syracuse. When playing teams with more of a pro style, they have seen lower scores. In fact they didn't see a combined 60 points in any of their first seven games this season. They failed to score 20 points in losses to Georgia Tech and Florida State, and the Wolfpack's defense is statistically better than both those teams. These two teams have gone over in each of the last three head to head meetings, but not one of those games saw a combined 60 points. This inflated total is higher than it was in any of the past 10 meetings between the two teams. My money is on the under.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Nittany Lions got off to a slow start in last week's 35-6 home win over Rutgers, and I am expecting another low scoring game here this week against Nebraska. These two teams haven't met since Nebraska won at Penn State by a score of 23-20 in 2013. The Huskers have won all three meetings since 2011, and two of those three games went under the total. The one game that went over the number still saw less than 55 combined points. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. All of those games were played in November, so weather may have been a factor. The weather is likely to play a role in this game, as heavy winds and rain are in the forecast. In fact, if you look at Penn State's last 10 games, only two of those combined for as many points as the total for this week's game. One of those games was the loss at Ohio State. This number appears to be a bit inflated.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys rank second nationally scoring over 45 points per game, but they have struggled on defense. They lost their last home game by a score of 62-52 to Oklahoma, and they have up 42 points in last week's come from behind win at Iowa State. The Wildcats aren't known as a particularly high scoring team, but they have shown that they can take advantage of weak defenses. Kansas State scored 30+ points in wins over Baylor, Kansas and Texas Tech. That likely won't be enough to hang with the Cowboys in Stillwater though. History tells us we should see plenty of scoring here, as these two teams have gone over in six straight meetings. Last year the Cowboys won by a score of 43-37. The Cowboys have gone over in nine of their last 10 games in November, and four of their last five overall. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between KSU and Oklahoma State, yet the total for this game is lower than it was in each of the Cowboy's last five home games.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Broncos defense used to be called the "no fly zone", but after giving up 51 points in a loss to the Eagles, that nick name is no longer appropriate. The Broncos host the Patriots this week, and with very little left to play for, I expect another half-hearted effort from the defense. The Patriots come in as winner of four straight, and they've played a lot better defense of late. This looks like it could be a tough game for New England to get up for, and the Pats have failed to cover in six of their last eight at Denver. History tells us to expect plenty of scoring when the Patriots are coming off a bye week, as the over is 6-1 in the last seven such situations. New England leads the NFL averaging 302 passing yards per game. As well as they've played defensively in recent weeks, they still rank below average allowing 22.4 points per game this season. I expect to see a high scoring game on Sunday night.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Steelers went into Detroit with the league's #1 ranked pass defense, but Mathew Stafford lit them up in the dome for 423 yards. Pittsburgh walked away with the win however, and they are now in a comfortable spot in the AFC North. They come out of their bye week to face the Colts in Indianapolis, and this could be a tricky spot for the visitors. The Colts are coming off a win over Houston on the road last week, and their offense has held it's own without Andrew Luck. Jacoby Brissett threw for 308 yards and two TDs on 20-of-30 passing against the Texans. The Steelers should have plenty of success running the ball against Indy. The Colts rank 26th in the league against the run, and they have allowed an NFL high 10 rushing TDs. The Steelers have won four straight against the Colts, and they've scored an average of 41 points in the last three head to head meetings between the two teams. These teams have gone over the total in four of the last five meetings, and the number for this game is far lower than it was the last three times these teams met.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

With over 2700 passing yards, 20 TDs and 8 INTs, Josh Rosen is still one of the top quarterbacks in the country. The "Rosen" one was sidelined by a concussion against Utah last week, but he's expected back to face the Sun Devils at home. Arizona State's defense ranks 105th nationally against the pass, so Rosen and the UCLA offense could have a field day here at home. Unfortunately for the Bruins, their defense hasn't been able to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 121st nationally in total defense, allowing opponents to average almost 500 yards per game. The Bruins have gone over in seven of their last nine overall, and these two teams have gone over in five of the last seven head to head meetings. I expect another shootout here in LA, and the total looks a little to low given how poorly these two teams have played on defense.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Miami Hurricanes are 8-0, but there are still plenty of experts questioning if this team is truly a contender. We will find out this Saturday when they host Notre Dame, in what will be the biggest game of the week. The winner will have a clear path to the College Football Playoffs, while the loser will effectively be eliminated from playoff contention. With two great teams playing for such high stakes, we should see a great battle between two of the country's best defenses. The Canes held Virginia Tech to just 10 points, and 299 total yards in a 28-10 win last week. The Irish have played ranked teams just twice this season, and both of those games went under the total. They lost 20-19 at home to Georgia, and beat NC State 35-14 at home. Their win at Michigan State came before the Spartans were ranked in the Top 25. While that game went over the total (38-18), the combined points still fall short of the listed number for this game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in two of the last three head to head meetings, and none of those games saw a combined total higher than 57 points. The Hurricanes have gone under in five of their last six home games, while the Irish have failed to reach the total in 25 of their last 37 versus ACC teams.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Bulldogs have won four straight, but last week's 34-23 home win over Massachusetts was far from impressive. We've already seen the top teams in the SEC (Georgia and Auburn) run all over the Bulldogs, and I think Alabama is going to pile on the points here in Starkville. Last year the Bulldogs were crushed in a 51-3 loss at Alabama, and Jalen Hurts threw for 347 yards and four TDs in that game. Here at home I expect the Bulldogs to score a little more, but I don't think they'll have any more success slowing down the Alabama offense. Last week's win over LSU proved to be costly for Alabama, losing several key defensive players to injury. With the defense a little banged up, they might feel as though they need to score more points. The over is 6-2 in Alabama's last eight road games against teams with a winning record. This total looks a little too low.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Pittsburgh Panthers have been dominant on defense in back to back wins over Virginia and Duke. They have failed to reach the total in six straight overall, and the under is 3-1 in North Carolina's last four at Pittsburgh. The Tar Heels are 1-8 overall, and 0-6 within the conference. They are coming off an inspired performance in a home loss to Miami, coming up just short losing by a score of 24-19. Pittsburgh is doing the bulk of it's scoring with a heavy ground game, opting to run twice as often as they pass. In the win over the Cavs, they attempted just 18 passes while running the ball 40 times for 176 yards and two TDs. Sophomore quarterback Ben Dinucci has done an admirable job replacing starter Max Browne, but he's completed a pedestrian 54.9 percent of his passes with 4 TDs and 4 INTs in seven starts. Those numbers look great compared to Nate Elliot's 38 percent completion percentage, and 3 INTs with just one TD. It looks like the third stringer might be starting for the Tar Heels again tonight. North Carolina has failed to reach the total in five of their last six games played on a grass surface.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Bowling Green Falcons won big at Kent State last week, and they got off to a good start, out-scoring the Golden Flashes 17-0 in the first quarter. Backup quarterback Jarret Doege threw for just 174 yards and two TDs on 14-of-18 passing. Their leading rusher Josh Cleveland suffered an ankle injury, but freshman Andrew Clair had 111 yards and a TD on just eight carries. He's averaging eight yards per attempt, and has run for over 100 yards in four straight weeks. Buffalo has lost four straight, and their starting quarterback was lost for the season in a 71-68 loss to Western Michigan. Drew Anderson threw for 597 yards and seven TDs in that game, which was decided after seven overtime periods. The Bulls have scored an average of just 15.6 points per game, losing three straight since. It seems a bit odd that the total for this game is so high, given the Bulls offensive struggles. History tells us that points could be hard to come by, as these teams have gone under in each of the last five head to head meetings.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Ducks ended a three game losing streak with a home win over Utah, powered by a solid effort from running back Royce Freeman. He ran for 139 yards on 20 carries, and the Ducks totaled 347 yards rushing. They only attempted 13 passes, while running the ball a whopping 49 times. This one-dimensional offensive game plan won't likely be very successful on the road at Washington. The Huskies are ranked 2nd nationally in rushing yards allowed, right behind Alabama. They are holding opponents to just 2.2 yards per attempt (1st in the country), and have surrendered just three rushing TDs all year. The weather in Washington this time of year isn't all that pleasant, and while the snow storm might not start until Sunday, cold and wet weather is expected during tonight's game. Washington is coming off a high scoring win over UCLA, but had previously played four straight games with fewer than 50 combined points scored. I expect a low scoring affair here against the Ducks.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Crimson Tide are favored by three touchdowns in this Saturday's home game versus LSU, but with both teams coming off a bye week, we could still see a battle. LSU doesn't have the offense to keep up with Alabama, but they might be able to hang around in a defensive struggle that has been so common in previous meetings between the two teams. Last year the Tide won by a score of 10-0 in Baton Rouge, and they didn't score a TD until late in the second half. Six of the last seven meetings between these teams have gone under the total, and the Tigers failed to score 20 points in all seven of those games. The total for this year's game is higher than it was in each of the last three meetings. The Tigers have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 when coming off a bye.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Golden Flashes host Bowling Green in a Tuesday night MAC Conference game, and both these teams have had their struggles on offense this season. The Falcons come in averaging just over 20 points per game, ranking 116th nationally in scoring. It doesn't get much worse than that... or does it? Kent State is averaging just over 11 points per game this season. The Golden Flashes have failed to score 20 points in six straight games, and they've scored three points or less in four of their last six games. The good news is that their defense hasn't been too bad, as they've allowed just 41 points in two home games against MAC opponents, going 1-1 in those games. These two teams have played three times since 2013, and not one of those three games saw a combined 50 points scored. We should expect another low scoring game here tonight.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Chiefs got off to a great start, winning their first six games of the season. Their success came thanks to a high powered offense, averaging almost 30 points per game. Their downfall though has been a defense that really hasn't been able to stop anybody. They have lost back to back games, and last week against the Raiders they gave up over 500 yards of total offense. The Broncos offense has been horrible the last three weeks, scoring a combined 26 points. This could be a get right game for the Denver offense. Trevor Siemian threw for 235 yards with four TDs and one INT in a home win over the Cowboys in Week 2, but he's thrown for just two TDs and five INTs since. The last time he faced this Chiefs defense, he threw for 368 yards and three TDs on 20-of-34 passing in a 30-27 overtime loss at home. These teams have gone over in each of the last four head to head meetings, and each of the last five meetings has seen at least 42 combined points. Kansas City's offensive line gets a boost with the return of starting center Mitch Morse who has missed the last two games.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

Louisville was gifted a victory at Florida State last week. The Seminoles looked like they would score on a game winning drive in the final minutes, but freshman quarterback James Blackmon fumbled the ball. That allowed Louisville to drive down the field and score the game winning field goal. Louisville played far better defensively against the Seminoles, after giving up 45 points in a loss to Boston College a week earlier. When these teams played last year, Wake Forest led 12-10 in the fourth quarter, before the Cardinal scored 34 unanswered points. The Deacons get a chance to avenge that loss here at home, where their defense has held opponents to an average of just over 14 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, and the number in this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Wake Forest has gone under in 17 of it's last 22 games in the month of October.

Take UNDER.

GL,

 Jesse Schule 

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Seminoles are coming off a terrible home loss to Louisville, putting them at 2-4 on the season. They had the ball late in the game, and appeared to be in position to run down the clock and kick the game winning field goal. Jimbo Fisher tried to get cute, calling a play that had failed to work on several occasions earlier in the game. The result was a fumble by quarterback James Blackman, leading to a Louisville field goal for the win. Since replacing the injured DeAndre Francios, he's thrown for 1047 yards with seven TDs and six INTs. Jimbo Fisher has been a little more conservative with the play calling on the road, and Blackman has attempted just 21 passes in each of his starts away from Tallahassee. The Seminoles won both of those games (26-19 at Wake Forest and 17-10 at Duke). The Eagles have scored 40+ points in back to back road wins at Virginia and Louisville, but their last two home games have each been low scoring. They beat Central Michigan 28-8 and lost 23-10 to Virginia Tech. Boston College has failed to score 20 points in each of it's last three games against Florida State, and two of those three games went under.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go under the total.

The USC Trojans face a daunting task on the road at Notre Dame this week. The winner of this game will emerge as a playoff contender, while the loser will be eliminated from contention. The Irish haven't allowed more than 20 points in any of their games this season, and that includes a 20-19 home loss to #3 ranked Georgia. Sam Darnold was the favorite to win the Heisman before the season started, but he's failed to live up to expectations. He's thrown 15 TD passes this season, but 13 of those came at home. On the road he's struggled, throwing for 387 yards with a pair of TDs and two INTs on 41-of-67 passing. Both of those games fell well short of the total, and the Trojans have gone under in four of their last five overall. The one game that did go over saw fewer than 60 total points (28-27 win over Utah last week). The Irish might find success pounding the rock against a soft USC defensive line, the Trojans have struggled to defend the run. The Irish have gone under in four straight in the month of October, and the under is 17-5-1 in their last 23 when coming off a bye week.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Florida State Seminoles are just 2-3 on the season, but those losses came to Alabama, Miami-Fl and N.C. State. All three of those games were close, and all three of those teams are currently ranked in the Top 25. The loss of their starting quarterback has certainly hurt the Seminoles, but they still have an elite defense and plenty of talent up and down the roster. Louisville hasn't been able to stop anybody on defense, and while they've scored their fair share of point, they were held to seven points in the first half at home versus Clemson, and the scored just 10 first half points in a loss at N.C. State. Both the Tigers and the Wolfpack were able to run up the score late in those games, but FSU is perhaps more likely to pound away with the run. Florida State has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the total for this game is almost 10 points higher than any of those previous games.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Memphis Tigers have scored plenty of points this season, and they are coming off a 30-27 upset win over #25 ranked Navy last week. This could set them up for a bit of a let down on the road at Houston. The Cougars aren't the playoff contender that they were this time last year, mostly because of their struggles offensively. They remain solid on defense though, allowing just 21 points per game. They have failed to reach the total in seven straight, and nine of their last 10 overall. That includes home games against offensive juggernauts Texas Tech and SMU. While these two teams have scored a ton of points in recent head to head meetings, the under is 4-0 in the last four at Houston. The Cougars have failed to reach the total in six straight home games.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

Wisconsin hasn't been tested, and the Badgers are a big favorite at home versus Purdue this weekend. The Boilermakers will face one of the nation's top defenses, as Wisconsin is allowing opponents to average less than 15 points per game. Purdue has averaged less than 10 points in it's last four games at Wisconsin dating back to 2009. The weather forecast calls for cold temperatures and rain in Madison Saturday afternoon. Purdue is quietly having a solid season so far, coming in with a 3-2 record and a defense that has allowed just over 20 points per game. The Badgers have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 games in the month of October, and a lot of that might have to do with the fall weather in Madison. I expect both teams to keep it conservative here, and we should see another low scoring game.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers aren't getting a lot of respect here at home versus Texas Tech. After all this is a team that they trounced by a score of 48-17 last year, and that game was at Lubbock. With the Red Raiders coming to Morgantown, I see no reason why the result will be any different. Sure Texas Tech has improved defensively, but they still lost 41-34 at home to Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Their offense doesn't appear to be quite as prolific as it was with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Nic Shimonek threw for 330 yards with 1 TD and an INT on 29-of-46 passing in the loss to the Cowboys. That was a home game, and now he's playing on the road against a far better defense in West Virginia. The Red Raiders lost 31-26 in their last game at Morgantown (back in 2015). Texas Tech might look like a sexy pick as a dog, but keep in mind that the Red Raiders have lost 16 straight versus Top 25 teams. The under is 12-2 in West Virginia's last 14 games in October.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total 1/H.

The Colorado Buffaloes went to the PAC12 Championship Game last seasons, but they are coming off back to back losses to UCLA and Washington. Unlike last year, they don't seem to have the offensive firepower to keep up with the top tier teams in the PAC12. They have averaged fewer than 20 points while losing two of three games in conference play. The same issue has plagued Arizona, as the Wildcats are coming off a 30-24 home loss to Utah. Their other loss came by a score of 19-16 at home versus Houston. Neither of these teams have been lighting it up with their passing game, and it's expected that this game will be a battle of ground and pound. With both teams focused on running the ball, the time will likely come off the clock before they can tally too many points. Colorado has gone under in seven of it's last eight overall, and 13 of it's last 16 in conference play.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Chiefs host the Redskins on Monday Night Football, and the bookmakers have set the total for this game right around the 50 point mark. I think that's a little optimistic considering that both these teams rank better than average defensively. The Chiefs rank 9th overall in the league allowing just 19 points per game. The Redskins are coming off a 27-10 home win over the Raiders, and they sacked Derek Carr four times in the victory. They also held Marshawn Lynch to just 18 yards on six carries. These two teams have gone over in four of the last six meetings, but the total in those games was never as high as 45. The Redskins have only scored a combined 16 points while losing their last two versus Kansas City, and both of those losses came at home. The Chiefs have a long history of dominant defensive play at home, and that's a big reason why they've gone under in 39 of their last 56 at Arrowhead. Captain Kirk is likely to be grounded here in Kansas City.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

8*

8*

Jesse Schule

8*

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Saints defense has been lit up in back to back weeks by Sam Bradford and a 40 year old Tom Brady. Surely Cam Newton will do the same? Not necessarily, as Carolina's offense isn't designed to be quite as pass heavy. Newton will also be without his most dangerous receiver (Greg Olsen). Cam has put up pedestrian numbers so far, throwing for just 399 yards, two TDs and an INT against two below average teams (San Francisco and Buffalo). The Panthers don't need to light up the scoreboard when their defense holds opponents to a combined six points in the first two weeks. The Panthers have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and three of their last four home games against the Saints. Going back even further, we can see that 11 of the last 14 times these teams have played in Charlotte, the total has gone under.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule 

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Wolfpack out-gained South Carolina 504-246 total yards in Week 1, but found a way to lose that game. They have been solid defending the run, allowing just 2.8 yards per carry and 1 TD in three games. Florida State will want to lean on it's running game here, as they will be starting a true freshman at quarterback. James Blackman will take over for the injured DeAndre Fancois. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. The Seminoles beat the Wolfpack last year by a score of 24-20 at Raleigh, and they won by a score of 34-17 at home in 2015. The Wolfpack have gone under in five straight against ACC teams, while FSU has failed to reach the total in seven of it's last 10 overall.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are one of the highest scoring teams in the country. They come into Houston ranked #1 in passing, averaging just shy of 400 yards per game. Houston though owns one of the top defenses in the country, allowing opponents to average less than 10 points per game so far. Texas Tech has a history of struggling against the tougher teams, and I don't think they can pile on the points here in Houston. The Cougars held the Wildcats to just 16 points in Arizona two weeks ago, and they have a history of shutting down high powered offenses. Last year they faced two ranked teams, and won both of those games. They held #3 ranked Oklahoma to just 23 points, and #5 ranked Louisville scored just 10 points in a loss at Houston. The Cougars have gone under in four straight at home, and seven of their last eight overall.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Giants have big problems on offense, and this is something that has carried over from last season. They ranked 29th in the NFL in rushing last season, and it doesn't look like anything has changed over the off-season. The offensive line hasn't been able to give Eli Manning any time to drop back and pass, and he's starting to show his age. He was sacked three times and threw and INT in Week 1, losing 19-3 to Dallas. The good news for Giants fans is that they still have one of the league's top pass defenses, and they hope to have Odell Beckham back for Monday night's game against the Lions. These teams have a history of playing close, low scoring games, and that is exactly what I am expecting tonight. The Lions have gone under in 20 of their last 27 road games, while the Giants have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8* analysis before game time

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Gamecocks have upset the apple cart so far this season, winning as an underdog against N.C. State and Missouri. Their defense has been impressive, holding Missouri to just 13 points last week. This will be a revenge game of sorts for South Carolina, hosting the Kentucky Wildcats who have defeated them in three straight seasons. Last year's game was a defensive battle, with Kentucky winning by a score of 17-10. In 2015 the Gamecocks lost at home by a score of 26-22 to Kentucky. To say that the Gamecocks have a history of playing low scoring games within their conference, would be an understatement of epic proportions. The under is 10-1 in South Carolina's last 11 games versus SEC teams.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Tigers have allowed just 10 points in their first two games of the season, including an impressive 27-0 win over BYU. They will play at Mississippi State this week, and the Bulldogs gave them a scare last year. LSU won, but didn't cover in a 23-20 home victory over Mississippi State in 2016. That game wasn't nearly as close as the score would indicate however, as the Bulldogs scored two TDs in the final five minutes. I expect to see a typically defensive battle here between two SEC rivals. The under is 15-5-1 in LSU's last 21 games versus SEC teams.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Saints high flying offense comes into Minnesota in Week 1, and the bookmakers are expecting Drew Brees and company to pile on the points. The Vikings were the 3rd best defense in the league last season, and they only twice did they see more than 48 points scored in 16 games last season. The Vikings went under 48 total points in all 10 of their first 10 games of last season.

The Saints have struggled on defense since the "Bounty Gate" scandal. This is an area they have focused on in the off-season, and I expect to see significant improvements. They face a Vikings offense that ranked near the bottom of the league in scoring last year, and dead last in rushing.

I expect both teams to come out and establish the run, and that should lead to time winding off the clock. Drew Brees threw for 300 or more yards in 10 of 16 games last year. Six of those 300+ yard games were at home in the dome. He lost his #1 WR Brandin Cooks this off-season, but gained a superstar running back in Adrian Peterson.

This being a revenge spot for Peterson against his former team, expect him to get a healthy number of touches. The Vikings defense was far better against the pass than it was against the run last year, so don't expect Brees to be dropping back to pass on every down.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. 

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Bulldogs lost starting quarterback Jacob Eason early in their season opener versus Appalachian State. Freshman Jake Fromm stepped up and threw for 143 yards and a TD on 10-of-15 passing. Georgia was 8-5 overall last season, and three of their five losses came in games decided by three points or less. They will be getting a generous amount of points here on the road against unranked Notre Dame this week. The Irish only won four games last year, but they beat Temple by a whopping 33 points in their season opener. They did the bulk of their damage with the ground game, running for 422 yards and five TDs on 44 carries. Georgia's defense isn't going to allow the Irish to put up those kind of gaudy numbers, and I expect this to be a gritty defensive battle. The total for this game is lower than it has been in any of Georgia's last 10 games. Only two of those 10 contests saw more than 55 points scored. The Bulldogs have gone under in 13 of their last 16 versus teams with a winning record.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total (1/H).

The Spartans won their season opener at home by a score of 35-10 versus Bowling Green. That victory might have been even more impressive than it looks. They gave up just three points in the first half, and held the Eagles to a total of 212 total yards. Bowling Green quarterback James Morgan completed just 10-of-31 passes for 145 yards and an INT.

Michigan State hosts rivals Western Michigan in Week 2, and the Broncos are coming off an impressive game against USC. That game was tied heading into the 4th quarter, but not because Western Michigan had any success throwing the ball. Sophomore quarterback Jon Wassink threw for just 67 yards and an INT on 11-of-22 passing.

The Broncos have gone under in four straight against BIG10 teams, while the Spartans have gone under in five of their last six non-conference games. The last time the Broncos played at East Lansing, they lost by a score of 26-13. I expect a similar result this week.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane open the season as a double-digit dog on the road in Stillwater, and the bookmakers set a sky high total in the 70s for this game. Tulsa was an offensive juggernaut last year, but most of the offensive talent from that squad has moved on. In two games against ranked teams last season, Tulsa failed to impress. Neither of those games saw a total as high as we see here in this game, and against Ohio State they managed just three points. The Cowboys come into this season with high expectations, and their offense should be in good shape with Heisman hopeful Mason Rudolph at quarterback. If you include their bowl game, Oklahoma State played four non-conference games last season. Only one of those saw 70 points scored, and that was a 45-38 win over Pittsburgh. I expect Tulsa to really struggle on offense against an experienced Oklahoma State defense. While the Cowboys should get their fair share of points, it's likely that there could be a few hiccups before they start firing on all cylinders. This is evidenced by the fact that they've failed to reach the total in four of their last five games in August.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schuile

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

When the Falcons played the Packers in the NFC Championship game, we saw the highest total in the history of the NFL Playoffs. We saw a lot less scoring than expected in the first half of that game, but both teams exploded to score 41 combined points in the second half. Here is what I said prior to that game: "In order for both teams to score 30+ points, everything has to go right offensively. There's plenty that can go wrong. An injury to a key offensive player (heaven forbid one of the quarterbacks). We could see several drives cut short by turnovers (fumbles or INTs). Or one or both teams could be heavily penalized. Offensive holding penalties, offensive pass interference, unsportsmanlike conduct etc." The Patriots defense ranks 1st in the NFL in points allowed, so we shouldn't expect Atlanta to score at will the way they did against the Packers. While I expect a high scoring game, this number is so inflated, I believe there's a good chance that these teams come up just a little short of the total.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Panthers are in dead last in the NFC South, and they come into Seattle with one of the league's worst defenses. They are particularly vulnerable against the pass, ranking 27th in the NFL, allowing opponents to average 275 yards per game. Russell Wilson really struggled in Tampa last week, but he had had thrown for over 900 yards with six TDs and no INTs in his previous three games. He threw for 348 yards and three TDs in a win over the Patriots at New England just two weeks ago. These two teams played twice last year, and both those games went over the total. Wilson threw for 366 yards and three TDs on 31-of-48 passing in a 31-24 loss at Carolina in the playoffs. The Panthers have gone over in four of their last five road games, and five straight at Seattle. I think the Seahawks will be forced to throw the ball here in order to take advantage of the Panthers poor secondary, which should result in another high scoring game between these two teams.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.
The Cowboys have won 10 in a row, but that streak can't last forever. Dallas will lose, it's just a matter of when. There will be plenty of situational handicappers picking Minnesota to record the upset here at home, but I just don't think the Vikes match up well versus Dallas. The Cowboys weakness is that they are vulnerable against the pass, but the Vikings rank 25th in the league in passing. Their running game is even worse, ranking dead last in the NFL rushing. They won't have any choice but to pass, and that could result short possessions, taking little time off the clock and handing the ball right back to the mighty Cowboy's offense. As good as the Vikings defense is, the Vikes have given up 20+ points in five of their last six games. During that span they've only held one team under 100 rushing yards, and that was Detroit. They'll have their hands full tonight against the best offensive line in football, and I can't see them stopping Dallas from piling up the yards and scoring plenty of points. The Cowboys have scored at least 27 points in seven straight games, and not even the Baltimore Ravens #1 ranked defense was able to stop them. I am expecting a shootout in Minny.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Spartans are a lot better than their 3-8 record, and they proved that by nearly upsetting the Buckeyes at home last week. Four of their eight losses have come by four points or less, and they've played far better defensively in recent weeks. Running back L.J. Scott has carried the offense, running for 282 yards and two TDs on 39 carries the last two weeks. We could see both teams lean on the run this week when they play at Penn State. The weather forecast is calling for wind and freezing cold temperatures, similar to last week's game versus the Buckeyes. The Stakes couldn't be any higher for the Nittany Lions, who can clinch a spot in the BIG10 Championship game with a win, and a Michigan loss to Ohio State. Penn State's defense has surrendered just 14 points in it's last two home games, and they've held the Spartans to less than 20 points in three of the last five head to head meetings. Previous meetings have gone over the total at a rate of 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings between these two teams, but the number in this game is far higher than it was in any of the last seven meetings. I expect a close, low scoring game in bad weather this weekend.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Buckeyes just narrowly escaped with a 17-16 win on the road at East Lansing last week, and they will face another tough test at home versus Michigan in Week 13. There's a lot on the line here, as the loser is likely going to be eliminated from the playoffs. Michigan bounced back from a 14-13 loss at Iowa to beat Indiana by a score of 20-10 last week. The Wolverines offense is still sputtering though, and backup quarterback John O'korn three for just 59 yards on 7-of-16 passing in his first start since Wilton Speight went down with a broken collar bone. J.T. Barrett didn't have a great day either, throwing for just 86 yards and a TD on 10-of-22 passing. Both coaches will say that the weather was to blame for last week's poor performance on offense, but in a high stakes game in Columbus in late November, defense should reign supreme. These two teams rank 1st and 3rd respectively in total defense, and the weather man is calling for another cold and windy day in Ohio.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Tigers are coming off an ugly 16-10 home loss to Florida, and they come into College Station asked to cover a big spread as a road favorite. That's going to be challenging without leading rusher Leonard Fournette, and I expect the Aggies to keep this game close. Texas A&M has lost two of four since Trevor Knight went down with a season ending injury, but those losses came in games decided by a combined total of eight points. Backup quarterback Jake Hunenak has thrown for 811 yards with six TDs and just two INTs on 59.8 percent passing so far, but he has his work cut out for him against this tough LSU secondary. The Tigers have won four straight in this series dating back to 2012, and all four of those games went under the total. Their two wins at College Station each came by less than seven points. LSU has played three games away from home, losing two of those three and scoring less than 20 points in each of those losses. Last week's home loss to Florida was particularly deflating, getting stuffed on the goal line twice at the end of the game. LSU has gone under in nine of it's last 10 games in the month of November.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The Cowboys have now won nine straight, and they've been unstoppable on offense during that span. They rank 3rd in the league in scoring, averaging over 28 points per game. They've scored at least 27 points in six straight games, and that trend should continue here at home against the Redskins #22 ranked defense. They'll likely need to score plenty to beat the Redskins, who are one of the leagues highest scoring teams. Kirk Cousins ranks 3rd in the league in passing, and he should be primed to put up big numbers against an injury depleted Dallas secondary. Jordan Reed is a matchup nightmare, and the Washington TE caught five passes for 70 yards in a 27-23 home loss to Dallas earlier in the year. Cousins has been playing far better since that game, and he's got plenty of weapons with DeSean Jackson back and healthy, Jamison Crowder and Pierre Garcon. These two teams have gone over the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and Washington has gone over in eight of it's last 10 overall.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The 8-1 Mountaineers aren't getting much respect from bookmakers this week, listed as a home underdog to the 8-2 Oklahoma Sooners. Everybody loves Oklahoma's offense, and we've seen quarterback Baker Mayfield put up some impressive numbers. He threw for 545 yards and seven TDs against Texas Tech, and he had big games against Texas, Iowa State, TCU and Baylor. None of those teams can play defense like West Virginia. The Mountaineers have shut down a few high powered offenses already this year, holding the likes of TCU, Texas Tech and Texas under 21 points. West Virginia might want to focus on running the ball here at home, especially after Skyler Howard was picked off three times last week against Texas. The weather forecast in Morgantown is calling for a 90% chance of rain, as well as high winds. The Sooners have failed to reach the total in five straight, while West Virginia has gone under in five of it's last six overall. This total appears to be a little inflated, especially given the bad weather.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.

The defending Super Bowl champs are tied with Oakland in the AFC West with both teams at 6-2 after eight games. The Raiders host Denver on Sunday night, and the total looks a little low considering how potent Oakland's offense has been. Derek Carr is having an MVP caliber season, throwing for 2,321 yards with 17 TDs and just three INTs so far. He threw for a whopping 513 yards and four TDs on 40-of-59 passing in a win over Tampa last week. Surely he will have a tougher time against Denver's defense, but I like his chances of putting enough points on the board to push this total over. While Oakland is a team that has a pass happy offense, the Broncos normally try to establish the run. They were a little more pass happy last week, with Trevor Siemian attempting 38 passes in comparison to just 25 running plays. Injuries in the secondary, and a depleted backfield for Denver should also contribute to a potential higher scoring game. The Raiders have been trending over at home, reaching the total in nine of their last 12 in Oakland.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

The Cardinals offense led the league in total yards last season, but Arizona has struggled to score in 2016. Carson Palmer threw for 342 yards on 29-of-49 passing in a 6-6 tie versus Seattle last week. He's been picked off five times, and has thrown just two TD passes in his last four starts. He's facing a Panthers secondary that has really struggled since Josh Norman left for Washington. Carolina couldn't stop Drew Brees in a 41-38 loss at New Orleans two weeks ago. Brees lit them up for 465 yards and four TDs. I would expect this defense to be better here at home coming off a bye week, and they did hold the Bucs to just 17 points in their last home game. Arizona has played very well defensively this season, ranking 5th in the NFL allowing just over 15 points per game. These two teams have gone over the total in three of four meetings since 2011, but the total for this Sunday's game is higher than it was in any of those previous contests. The Cardinals have gone under in 11 of their last 15 overall, and four straight on the road.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.

Stanford has lost three of it's last four games, and has scored an average of just 11 points per game during that span. Ryan Burns is really struggling at quarterback for the Cardinal, and he's thrown five INTs and just one TD pass in his last three starts. Christian McCaffrey has been banged up, failing to run for 100 yards in each of his last three starts. He wasn't able to play in Stanford's 17-10 win at Notre Dame. The good news for the Cardinal is their defense has played well, holding Colorado to 10 points last week, and Notre Dame to 10 point the week earlier. Arizona has lost four straight, and it's offense only managed 14 points in a home loss to USC last week. Stanford's defense should make life difficult for the Wildcats, and I think we'll see another low scoring game here in Arizona. The Cardinal have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule