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Jesse Schule Football Totals Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
11-18-18	Eagles v. Saints OVER 56	Top	7-48	Loss	-103	16 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Eagles will need to score plenty of points if they want to hang with the Saints at the Superdome on Sunday. That's even more true given all the injuries in the secondary for Philly. Carson Wentz might have some success against a Saints defense that was lit up for 391 yards by Jared Goff in a 45-35 win in their last home game. The Saints have scored 40+ in three of their four home games this season. These two teams have gone over the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, and Philly won the last meeting by a score of 39-17. I expect the Eagles to score their share here in a shootout in the BIG EASY! Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-17-18	USC v. UCLA OVER 55	Top	27-34	Win	100	108 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Chip Kelly has had limited success in his first year at UCLA, but the Bruins have improved since Wilton Speight took over at quarterback. He threw for 335 yards and two TDs in a 31-28 loss at Arizona State last week, and I think he's going to put up big numbers against at home against USC. He's going to have to if the Bruins want to have any chance of winning this game, because their defense can't seem to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 111th in the country allowing opponents to average 215 rushing yards per game. When these teams met last year, the bookmakers set the total at 70.5, more than two TDs higher than the total for this game. History seems to favor the under, as each of the last four meetings between the two teams have fallen short of the total. That being said, three of the last six meetings saw more than 55 combined points. I think this game will be a shootout, with UCLA digging deep into their bag of tricks. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-15-18	Toledo v. Kent State UNDER 59.5		56-34	Loss	-110	18 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The last two meetings between Toledo and Kent State each fell short of 50 points, and the previous two meetings fell short of 60 points. The total for tonight's game is higher than it had been in any of those four meetings. The Under is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 games overall, and the Under is 4-1 in the Golden Flashes last 5 games overall. Kent State ranks 137th in the country in scoring, and they have given up a ton of points as well. The Golden Flashes have been far more competitive at home though, allowing just 21 points per game. A difficult schedule may have resulted in some skewed numbers for this Kent State team. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-14-18	Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois OVER 48		13-7	Loss	-114	9 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. I bet on the under in last week's game in Dekalb, and the Huskies beat Toledo 38-15, just barely falling short of the number. Tonight's total is much lower, meaning a similar score would result in an over. The Redhawks are coming off a 30-28 win over Ohio, and the previous week they scored 42 points in a loss at Buffalo. Gus Ragland has thrown for 512 yards, two TDs and 1 INT on 40-of-67 passing the last two weeks. That's pretty impressive considering the opposition. I think Ragland and the RedHawks will score enough points to push this total over what appears to be quite a low number. The last three head to head meetings between these teams all saw a total over 50. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-18	Lions v. Bears UNDER 45.5		22-34	Loss	-115	129 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Lions are ... "they are who we thought they were." They have a starting quarterback with a career record of 63-70 that they have grossly overpaid for, and they are 3-5 and in last place in the NFC North. After scoring just nine points in a loss at Minnesota last week, they will be hard pressed to do any better in Chicago this week. The Bears defense has allowed a total of 19 points in back to back wins over the Bills and the Jets. The weatherman is calling for a cold and wet day in the Windy City, and the conditions might hinder the passing game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in five of the last six meetings in Chicago. The Bears have gone under in six of their last seven against teams with a winning record. Matthew Stafford was sacked 10 times last week, and his life isn't going to get any easier here in Chicago. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-18	Toledo v. Northern Illinois UNDER 56		15-38	Win	100	9 h 46 m	Show
8*
11-06-18	Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 43		14-48	Win	100	18 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. This line has been bet down quite a bit since it opened, and despite possible weather concerns, I just don't think the Golden Flashes will be able to slow down this potent Bulls offense. The Bulls come in averaging 35 points per game, but they dropped 51 on Miami-Oh in their last home game. Buffalo has gone over in six straight against teams with a losing record, and that's a trend that I expect to continue tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-18	Alabama v. LSU OVER 53	Top	29-0	Loss	-115	97 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* GOY play on [email protected] to go Over the total. In previous meetings between Alabama and LSU, my go to move has been to take the under. That has been the right call in eight of the last nine head to head meetings, including last year's 24-10 win for Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Things have changed though, as this isn't the Alabama offense with Jalen Hurts, Jake Coker or A.J. McCarron. Since the arrival of Tua Tagovailoa, the Tide have been an offensive juggernaut. LSU has also improved on offense, coming in averaging over 30 points per game. Alabama leads the country averaging over 54 points per game, but they have only played one ranked team. That was a 45-23 win over Texas A&M. I expect them to drop at least 40 on the Tigers, and LSU is likely to get a few licks in as well. My prediction is a 42-24 win for the visitors. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-18	Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 56		20-38	Loss	-109	94 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Utes ran all over the UCLA Bruins in a 41-10 home win last week, but they face a much toughest test here at Arizona State. Herm Edwards already has a handful of impressive results against top tier teams this year. Arizona State upset Michigan State at home, won on the road at UCLA and covered in a 27-20 loss to the Huskies in Washington. Arizona State has won three of four home games, and have allowed opponents to average just 16 points per game at home this season. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and only one of the last nine head to head meetings have seen more than 55 combined points. Utah has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six when coming off a win, while the under is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five games in November. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-01-18	Temple v. Central Florida UNDER 59		40-52	Loss	-105	4 h 7 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Central Florida Knights own the longest winning streak in the country (20 games). They have proclaimed themselves to be national champions, but they narrowly avoided defeat in a 31-30 win at Memphis a few weeks ago. While they won that battle, they might lose the war if McKenzie Milton misses any more time. The star QB was injured in that game, and didn't play in a 37-10 win at ECU last week. Even if he does return to action tonight, he likely isn't going to push it by running the ball as he normally does. Temple is a strong opponent with a solid defense, and the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated. The last time Temple played at UCF, they lost 26-25. Three of the last four meetings between these teams saw less than 52 combined points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-29-18	Patriots v. Bills UNDER 45		25-6	Win	100	18 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Patriots are an enormous favorite in Buffalo on Monday night, and given that the Bills have failed to score 14 points in four straight games, I don't doubt that this game will be indeed a one-sided affair. The Pats will be thin at running back with leading rusher Sony Michel on the shelf, but the Bills have far bigger problems with a 35 year old backup quarterback likely to start. Derek Anderson was picked off three times in last week's 37-5 loss to the Colts. The Patriots have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, while the Bills have gone under in five straight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-18	Saints v. Vikings UNDER 54.5	Top	30-20	Win	100	5 h 24 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Vikings defense hasn't been as good this year as it was when they beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1 last year. They also won a thriller in the playoffs, winning on a walkoff TD by Stephan Diggs making it 29-24 (still less than 55 points). That game likely should have finished 24-23 if it wasn't for a miracle 61 yard play. New Orleans looks to be vastly improved on the defensive side of the ball this season, and I think this total appears grossly inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-25-18	Dolphins v. Texans UNDER 44.5	Top	23-42	Loss	-107	42 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Texans are rolling, coming into Thursday's home game against the Dolphins as winners of four straight. Their defense is playing great, holding their last three opponents to an average of 12 points. They face a banged up Miami offense, missing several key players including starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill. They have already ruled out Kenny Stills and Devante Parker for Thursday night. The Dolphins have failed to reach the total in four straight road games, and the under is 4-1 in the Texans last five home games. Houston has failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-22-18	Giants v. Falcons OVER 54	Top	20-23	Loss	-120	139 h 8 m	Show
10*
10-21-18	Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 56		10-45	Loss	-105	7 h 21 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over. The Chiefs defense ranks among the worst in the league when it comes to stopping the run. KC ranks 28th in the league versus the run, allowing over 127 yards per game. They also rank 27th in scoring defense, giving up over 28 points per game. Cinci has scored more than 24.5 points in four of six games so far, and with all their offensive weapons I can't see KC holding them under 27 points. The first half total of 27.5 seems just a little low, as I expect to see a minimum of 4 TDs before halftime. GL, Jesse Schule
10-20-18	Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 56	Top	30-31	Loss	-109	83 h 1 m	Show
This is an 10* play on [email protected] to go Under. Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, but I am focused on the total. Arizona has failed to reach the total in four straight, and six straight within conference. We could see both teams pound away with the run given that neither team has a lot of talent at quarterback at the moment. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-20-18	Oregon v. Washington State OVER 66	Top	20-34	Loss	-115	90 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Ducks are moving up in the rankings after an upset win over the Washington Huskies on Saturday. The Huskies were in position to win the game in the fourth quarter, but Peyton Henry missed a 37 yard (chip shot) field goal in the dying seconds. That allowed Oregon to come back and win in overtime. The Ducks are flying high as they head into Pullman for a date with the Cougars, but this game has all the signs of a classic let down spot for the visitors. Washington State is coming off a bye week, and they are still undefeated at home. One of their three home wins came against a very strong Utah team. The Ducks have lost three straight to Washington State, and their last game at Pullman was a 51-33 loss in 2016. The over is 11-4 in the last 15 meeting between these teams, and the Cougars have gone over in five straight against PAC12 teams. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
10-18-18	Stanford v. Arizona State UNDER 57.5		20-13	Win	100	20 h 28 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal will be a road favorite tonight at Arizonta State, but we should expect a competitive game between two PAC12 rivals. Previous meetings between the two teams have been pretty hard fought defensive battles, with the under cashing in five of the last six meetings. The Sun Devils are 3-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of less than 15 points in those games. Their 16-13 win over Michigan State was particularly impressive. Four of Stanford's last five visits to Arizona State have gone under the total, and the under is 44-20 in Cardinal last 64 games in October. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-13-18	Texas A&M v. South Carolina UNDER 53.5		26-23	Win	100	114 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Jake Bentley didn't play in last week's home win over Missouri, after suffering an injury in a 24-10 loss to Kentucky a week earlier. He only threw for 138 yards with a TD and 3 INTs on 13-of-28 passing in that game. He will face a stingy Aggies defense that held Kentucky to just 178 total yards last week. The 4-2 Aggies have losses against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the country. Texas A&M has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 conference games, and eight straight in the month of October. The Gamecocks have also trended toward low scoring games, going under in 16 of their last 22 SEC games, and 17 of their last 21 when coming off a win. Another defensive battle should be expected at Williams Brice Stadium. GL, Jesse Schule
10-06-18	Kentucky v. Texas A&M UNDER 51		14-20	Win	100	34 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-2, but their two losses came against #2 ranked Clemson and #1 ranked Alabama. They host the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats tonight, and both these teams have been very impressive defensively. The Wildcats are coming off a 24-10 win over South Carolina, and they have allowed a combined 33 points in wins over SEC opponents (Gamecocks, Gators, Bulldogs). Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, and the Aggies have gone under in five straight in October. Texas A&M is coming off a pedestrian performance in a 24-17 win over Arkansas. The Aggies offense could struggle here against a very good Wildcats defense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-04-18	Tulsa v. Houston UNDER 70.5		26-41	Win	100	7 h 29 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Houston Cougars rank 2nd nationally averaging over 50 points per game, and their high flying offense has them heavily favored against division rivals Tulsa tonight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings, and they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. Not one of those seven contests yielded as much as 70 combined points. Tulsa will rely on it's running game, looking to control the clock and keep the Cougars offense off the field. The Hurricane don't have the offensive weapons to engage in a shootout, their quarterback Luke Skipper has thrown more INTs (6) than TD passes (4). Tulsa has gone under in five straight road games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-01-18	Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 55		27-23	Win	100	11 h 26 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Kansas City Chiefs come into Denver as heavy favorites, but I am not ready to completely buy into all the hype. Sure Patrick Mahomes has been lighting it up, but this is a tough road game at Mile High in Denver. The rookie made his debut as a starter in the Chiefs final game of last season here in Denver. He threw for 284 yards and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in a 27-24 win. The Chiefs have won five straight against Denver, and the total has gone over in six straight. The total for tonight's game is almost 20 points higher than it was in last year's game. One reason for the high total is the fact that the Chiefs rank 30th in the NFL in scoring defense allowing 30.7 points per game this season. I'll fade what I consider to be an overvalued road favorite, and an inflated total. GL, Jesse Schule
09-30-18	Bengals v. Falcons OVER 51	Top	37-36	Win	100	135 h 11 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Bengals are coming off a 31-21 loss at Carolina, and that was the lowest score of any of their games this season. They have scored an average of 29.7 points per game, and Andy Dalton has passed for an average of 287 yards per game. This Cincinnati offense should be primed for a big day against an Atlanta team that has been hit hard by injuries to several key defenders. Drew Brees threw for 396 yards and three scores in a 43-37 come from behind win at Atlanta last week, and safety Ricardo Allen was carted off with a torn Achilles. The Bengals secondary is also banged up, with three corner backs listed as questionable. Both teams are expected to be without their top RB, which provides even more incentive to lean on the passing game. The Falcons have gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games, and the Bengals have gone over in four straight overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-30-18	Dolphins v. Patriots OVER 49		7-38	Loss	-105	4 h 9 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Patriots need a win here at home against division rivals Miami. The Fish are undefeated at 3-0, and quarterback Ryan Tannehill has the third best QBR in the league. The Patriots defense has been brutal so far, allowing a combined 57 points in back to back losses to Jacksonville and Detroit. You know your defense is bad when Blake Bortles lights you up for over 300 yards. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and the Pats have scored more than 30 points in three of the last four meetings. The Dolphins have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall, while the Pats have gone over in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-29-18	Oregon v. California OVER 58	Top	42-24	Win	100	121 h 44 m	Show
10*
09-27-18	Vikings v. Rams OVER 49		31-38	Win	100	41 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over. The Vikings didn't show up last Sunday, and the Buffalo Bills made them pay for it. They won't have to wait long for a chance at redemption, playing just five days later on the road at LA. The Chargers are Super Bowl favorites, but this looks like a tough spot for the home team. Injuries to several key defenders might open the door for Kirk Cousins to have a big game. History certainly favors the Vikings, as they have won five straight meetings versus the Rams. LA was the favorite in two of those five games. Previous meetings between these teams have been high scoring, especially in LA where six of the last seven have gone over the total. The Vikings were bailed out by a questionable roughing the passer penalty in Green Bay in Week 2, and given what we saw on Monday night, questionable penalties might continue to be an issue. I'll take the Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-24-18	Steelers v. Bucs OVER 54		30-27	Win	100	7 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Until the NFL does something about the roughing the passer penalties on traditionally textbook quarterback sacks, it's going to be hard to bet on too many unders. Big Ben is going to be tough to stop if you aren't even allowed to hit him when he's scrambling. He might be on the wrong side of 30, and a little overweight, but he's proven to be one of the more elusive quarterbacks in the NFL. The Bucs defense has allowed over 400 yards of total offense in each of their first two games, and I expect the Steelers to pile on the points here in Tampa. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-23-18	Broncos v. Ravens OVER 43		14-27	Loss	-109	96 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Both the Broncos and the Ravens are known for their defense, and because of that we see an extremely low total for this Sunday's game in Baltimore. The thing about this game that catches my eye, is how both these teams have leaned on their passing game. The Ravens ran 55 passing plays and just 22 running plays last week. In Week 1 they ran 38 passing plays and 34 running plays in a blowout win over Buffalo. Case Keenum has put up solid numbers in his firs two games in Denver, throwing for 551 yards and three TDs. History tells us we could see plenty of points here. The Ravens have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall, and the over is 4-1 in the last five head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-22-18	Georgia v. Missouri OVER 64.5		43-29	Win	100	9 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Georgia has picked up right where it left off last year, coming into today's game at Missouri ranked 2nd nationally and averaging 45 points per game. They beat the Tigers by a score of 53-28 at home last season, and I expect another shootout here in Missouri. The Tigers have won nine consecutive regular season games, scoring at least 40 points in all of those contests. They scored 28 points in Athens last year, and they should be able to at least match that number here at home. The defense is still a concern though, coming off a 40-37 win at Purdue. If they gave up 37 points to the Boilermakers, it wouldn't be any surprise to see Georgia hang 50 on them. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
09-21-18	Washington State v. USC OVER 50		36-39	Win	100	21 h 46 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over. The Trojans offense hasn't been able to score points in road losses at Stanford and Texas, but they return home for a pivotal PAC12 clash versus Washington State. This is a revenge game after Sam Darnold's Trojans lost at Pullman last year by a score of 30-27. Another close game should be expected here tonight, and I expect both teams to score their fair share of points. The total looks a little low, in fact it is significantly lower than it was in any of the last seven head to head meetings between these teams. Six of the last seven meetings have seen a total of 55 or higher, and the total for last year's game closed at 59. Washington State has been impressive on both sides of the ball, and they come in to tonight's game ranked second in the country in passing yards. That being said, they have yet to face a Power Five team. JT Daniels has made his fair share of mistakes, but the freshman has been able to move the ball. He's thrown for over 800 yards in three starts, threw for 322 yards on 30-of-48 passing in last week's loss to Texas. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
09-20-18	Jets v. Browns UNDER 41		17-21	Win	100	10 h 39 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Over 4.5 sacks. So far this season, the Browns have been getting after the quarterback. They sacked Big Ben four times in Week 1, and they sacked Drew Brees three times last week. We aren't going to compare Sam Darnold to a couple of savvy veterans who both have Super Bowl rings. This is a rookie starting on the road on a short week, and I think he's going to make mistakes, including holding on to the ball too long. The Browns are fortunate that they have Baker Mayfield as their backup quarterback, because Tyrod Taylor has taken a pounding so far. Taylor was sacked seven times against the Steelers and three times last week in New Orleans. Take Over 4.5. GL, Jesse Schule
09-20-18	Tulsa v. Temple UNDER 55		17-31	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER. The Temple Owls made some changes last week, focusing on stopping the run ahead of their game at Maryland. They executed the game plan perfectly, winning outright as a double digit dog by a score of 35-14. The Terrapins only gained a total of 195 yards, and turned the ball over twice. Temple will look to ride that momentum here at home against a Tulsa team that likes to run the ball. Golden Hurricanes quarterback Luke Skipper hasn't thrown for 200 yards in any of his three starts this season, and he's thrown 3 INTs to go along with his 4 TD passes. Tulsa has trended under at a rate of 7-2 in their last nine overall, and Temple has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. The under is 6-1 in the Owls last seven games in the month of September, and that's a trend that I expect to hold true tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-17-18	Seahawks v. Bears UNDER 43.5		17-24	Win	100	9 h 60 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under. The Bears appear to have improved a lot since last year. They gave the Packers a scare at Lambeau in Week 1, and the addition of Khalil Mack is bad news for opposing quarterbacks. Mack made an impact right away, returning an INT for a TD against the Packers. The new look Seattle defense was lit up in a Week 1 loss at Denver, allowing Case Keenum to throw for 339 yards and three TDs. Russel Wilson did all he could to keep the game close, but the running game was non existant. Seattle only carried the ball 16 times for 64 yards. The Bears are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have also seen the under trend at 6-1 in their last seven overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	USC v. Texas UNDER 48		14-37	Loss	-105	81 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Trojans scored just three points on the road at Stanford last week, but their defense looked solid holding the Cardinal under 20 points. Freshman quarterback JT Daniels threw for 215 yards and two INTs on 16-of-34 passing in the loss. It won't get any easier this week, playing on the road at Texas. These two teams have quite the history, and the last head to head meeting was an epic double OT win for USC. Sam Ehlinger threw for 298 yards with two TDs and two INTs. Ehlinger was picked off twice in a loss to Maryland in Week 1, completing just 53 percent of his passes. Texas has long trended toward the under, failing to reach the total in 42 of their last 60 overall, and 38 of their last 56 home games. The last meeting was tied 17-17 at the end of regulation, and I expect a similar pace to this game. Barring overtime, the under looks like the best bet. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	Florida State v. Syracuse OVER 68		7-30	Loss	-107	73 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Willie Taggart era is off to a brutal start, as Florida State narrowly avoided falling to 0-2 on the season by losing to Samford at home last week. The Seminoles had trailed the whole game, and rallied to score twice in the final four minutes to come from behind and win 36-26. Deandre Francois threw for 320 yards and three TDs on 31-of-46 passing last week. He should be primed to have a big game against a Syracuse defense that allowed 42 points in their Week 1 win over Western Michigan. Both these coaches want to play fast, and that should result in a shootout here on Saturday. The total looks quite high, and trends show a lean toward the under. Keep in mind that those trends aren't reflecting a coaching matchup of Dino Babers vs Willie Taggart. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-10-18	Rams v. Raiders OVER 49		33-13	Loss	-110	705 h 55 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Rams were the highest scoring team in the league last year, but they ranked in the bottom half of the league defensively. They play on the road in Oakland in Week 1, and I think this game has shootout written all over it. The Raiders are looking to bounce back from a brutal 2017 season, and Derek Carr should be better this year. He threw for almost 4,000 yards with 28 TDs and just six INTs in 2016. The last time these teams met, the Rams opened up a can of whupass, winning 52-0. That sets up a nice revenge spot here for the Raiders. The Rams have gone over in seven of their last eight road games, and the over is 5-1 in their last six overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Washington v. Auburn UNDER 48.5		16-21	Win	100	24 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. If you happened to catch my longshot pick for the Heisman Trophy, you probably already know I am big on the Huskies. Here are some of the things I said about Washington: "Two years ago Jake Browning led all Power 5 quarterbacks with 43 TD passes. He’s coming into his senior year surrounded by the most talented group in the Chris Peterson era. The Huskies are ranked 6th overall, the favorites to win the PAC12." Auburn is ranked 9th overall, and yet the Tigers will be a favorite at a neutral site game in Atlanta in Week 1. The knee jerk reaction is to think that because Auburn beat Alabama last season, and went on to play Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, that they are the better team here. Once you get past the SEC bias, you see that Washington actually ranked first nationally against the run in 2017, allowing just 2.6 yards per attempt. These teams match up pretty close in every category, except for the quarterback position. Jarrett Stidham struggled against top defenses last season. He threw for just 79 yards in a loss to Clemson, 145 yards in a loss to Georgia, and 165 yards in a loss to LSU. The Tigers have gone under in 14 of their last 17 non-conference games, and I expect another defensive battle here in Week 1 versus Washington. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Northern Illinois v. Iowa UNDER 48		7-33	Win	100	23 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Hawkeyes won three straight non-conference games at the beginning of last season, and both games at home fell well short of the total. In five home games versus unranked opponents last season they failed to reach the total in four of those contests. They allowed an average of just 13 points in those games. Iowa has 24 players returning on a defense that allowed fewer than 20 points per game in 2017. These teams have failed to combine for 40 points in four of the last five head to head meetings, and Northern Illinois is going to struggle offensively here at Kinnick Stadium. The under is 5-2 in Hawkeyes last 7 non-conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
08-30-18	New Mexico State v. Minnesota UNDER 47		10-48	Loss	-110	14 h 29 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under. It was no surprise to see the Aggies struggle on offense against Wyoming in their home opener. They lost their starting quarterback, leading rusher and leading receiver from last season. They were literally going backwards in the 1st half, and finished the game with just 135 total yards. When you consider their failures on offense, their defense held it's own conceding just 29 points to a Wyoming offense that held the ball for the majority of the game. They forced the Cowboys to punt seven times, and limited them to 137 yards on 13-of-22 passing. We should see a similar story here in Minnesota, with the Gophers pounding away with their running game. Minnesota ranked 122nd in the country in passing last season, averaging just 126 yards per game. They will have an inexperienced starter here in 2018, and I think it's likely they don't ask him to do too much here in a game that they should have little trouble winning. Minnesota ranked 11th nationally against the pass last season, and they should make life very difficult for this struggling Aggies offense. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-18	Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48	Top	41-33	Win	100	302 h 33 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Super Bowl to go OVER the total. While neither of the Conference Championship games saw a combined total of as many as 48 points, both those games were played outdoors in adverse weather conditions in the dead of winter. The Super Bowl will be played indoors, where we last saw the Saints and Vikings tally a combined 53 points in the divisional round of the playoffs. Rather than each team coming in a week removed from their previous game, both teams get a full two weeks to rest, practice and draw up a game plan. The Patriots game plan in their epic come from behind win over the Jags, was to force Blake Bortles to beat them. While they did a pretty good job of containing Leonard Fournette (76 yards on 24 carries), Bortles had one if his best games all year, throwing for 291 yards and a TD on 23-of-36 passing. The Eagles let Nick Foles air it out early and often in their win over the Vikings. Foles threw for 352 yards and three TDs on 26-of-33 passing. He had a lot of success with big plays, and it makes sense for Philly to have the same approach here against the Pats. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five head to head meetings. The Patriots have gone over the total in eight of their last 10 post season games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-30-17	Iowa State v. Memphis OVER 66	Top	21-20	Loss	-110	602 h 60 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Memphis Tigers ranked 2nd in the country in scoring during the regular season, averaging over 47 points per game. Skeptics might say they played a soft schedule, but I would point out that they scored over 100 combined points in their two games against Top 25 teams. They beat UCLA by a score of 48-45, and lost to UCF in overtime by a score of 62-55. Riley Ferguson threw for a combined 868 yards with 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. They will play Iowa State in the Liberty Bowl, and the Cyclones were surprisingly competitive in the BIG12 this season. Their fortunes took a turn for the better when they made a change at quarterback in Week 5 against Oklahoma. Senior Kyle Kempt led them to a 38-31 upset win over Oklahoma, and he finished the season with 1,473 yards, 13 TDs and just 3 INTs while playing in just six full games. While Memphis was impressive on offense, the Tigers ranked 103rd nationally in scoring defense, and they face a Power 5 team that can score with the best of them. We should expect a lot of big plays, a lot of broken tackles, and the points should pile up quick in the Liberty Bowl. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Utah v. West Virginia UNDER 56.5		30-14	Win	100	10 h 38 m	Show
This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Utah has one of the best offensive lines in the PAC12, and they are a team that really likes to lean on the run. They run the ball roughly 40 times per game, and Dana Holgorsen knows what to expect. "Their O-line is huge," Holgorsen said. "Evidently, they are focused on recruiting the bigger guys up front." The Mountaineers will start backup quarterback Chris Chugunov, who completed just over 50 percent of his passes in back to back losses since the injury to Will Grier. West Virginia ran the ball 50 times and attempted just 20 passes in their season finale versus Oklahoma. With both these teams looking to establish the run, we could seem them burn up a lot of clock in a low scoring game. In addition to the loss of their starting quarterback, the Mountaineers will also be without their leading rusher. Justin Crawford has decided to sit out the bowl game in preparation for the NFL Draft. The Mountaineers have failed to cover in four straight bowl games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-24-17	Bills v. Patriots UNDER 47		16-37	Loss	-115	15 h 55 m	Show
This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Patriots are coming off a massive win in Pittsburgh, but Tom Brady didn't exactly light it up in the victory. Brady threw for 298 yards with a TD and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in Pittsburgh. He's looked a little off the last few weeks, throwing just two TD passes and four INTs in his last three starts. One of those was a 23-3 win over the Bills in Buffalo, and he threw for just 258 yards and an INT on 21-30 passing in that game. The Pats ran the ball for 191 yards and a pair of TDs, and we could see Bill Belichick lean on the run here in a cold weather game at Foxboro this week. The Bills come in as winners of three of their last four, and they allowed an average of just 11 points in those three wins. The Bills beat New England by a score of 16-0 in Foxboro last year, and the under is 3-0 in Buffalo's last three visits to New England. The under is 9-2 in the Bills last 11 games on fieldtur, while New England has failed to reach the total in five straight games in the month of December. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-24-17	Dolphins v. Chiefs UNDER 43.5		13-29	Win	100	15 h 31 m	Show
This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Chiefs have won back to back games after losing six of their previous seven. They held the Raiders and the Chargers to a combined 28 points in those wins, and the Kansas City defense draws a favorable matchup this week. The Dolphins 26th ranked offense has averaged less than 18 points per game this season. The Fish still have an outside chance of making the playoffs though, so we should expect them to play hard here at Arrowhead. Jay Cutler didn't perform well in the cold weather in Buffalo last week, throwing for 274 yards and three picks on 28-of-49 passing. The weatherman is calling for more sub-zero temperatures here in Kansas City. The Chiefs have gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 21-6 in Chiefs last 27 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The under is 43-19 in Chiefs last 62 home games. Take UNDER. GL. Jesse Schule
12-23-17	Texas Tech v. South Florida OVER 65.5		34-38	Win	100	12 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The South Florida Bulls will be the favorite against Texas Tech in the Birmingham Bowl. South Florida won their first seven games of the season, but then suffered losses to Houston and Central Florida finishing at 9-2 overall. In their season finale at Central Florida, they lost in a thriller by a score of 49-42. We could see another high scoring game here against Texas Tech, the Red Raiders can really put points on the board. Texas Tech lost by a score of 56-27 to LSU in the Texas Bowl in 2015. The over is 7-1 in the Red Raiders last eight bowl games. They have also gone over in 14 of their last 17 neutral site games, and the over is 19-9 in their last 28 non conference games. The Bulls have also been involved in more than their fair share of high scoring games, going over in seven of their last 10 non-conference games. Both these teams can put points on the board in a hurry, and neither team has shown any ability to play defense. Expect an entertaining game here in Alabama. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-17	Central Michigan v. Wyoming OVER 45	Top	14-37	Win	100	12 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The most intriguing story for this year's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl will be the showcase of one of the country's top ranked quarterbacks. Josh Allen is expected to be a first round pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, and this game will give him a chance to improve his draft stock. Allen missed the last two games of the regular season, and Wyoming lost those two games scoring a combined 24 points. The Cowboys were a different teams when Allen was healthy, winning six of seven games against Group of Five teams. He threw for 13 TDs and four INTs in those games. Central Michigan finished the season riding a five game win streak, and starting quarterback Shane Morris lit up the scoreboard during that span. Morris threw 1,141 yards with 14 TDs and just two INTs. All five of those games saw 55 or more combined points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in five of their last six against teams from the MAC, and their last game against Central Michigan was a 32-20 loss. I expect to see both teams score 20+ points her in this bowl game, and with an extraordinarily low total, the value lies with a play on the over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-16-17	Oregon v. Boise State OVER 59.5	Top	28-38	Win	100	75 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Oregon Ducks will face the Boise State Broncos in the Las Vegas Bowl this Saturday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring. The Ducks are in great shape with starting quarterback Justin Herbert, who was 6-1 in his seven starts this season. He threw for 1,750 yards with 13 TDs and 3 INTs in those games, completing 66.5% of his passes. All seven of those games saw more than 60 combined points. The Ducks should have little trouble lighting up the scoreboard against a Boise State team that gave up 45 points to Washington State, 52 points to Colorado State, and 42 points to Virginia. The Broncos are expected to be without their #1 running back Alex Mattison, which could result in a more pass heavy offensive approach. The Ducks lost their last bowl game in overtime by a score of 47-41 to TCU in the 2016 Alamo Bowl. We should see a similar high scoring affair here in Sin City. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-09-17	Army v. Navy OVER 45	Top	14-13	Loss	-110	9 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. Last year's Army vs Navy game saw the Black Knights end a 14-game losing streak in the annual event. This season I expect another long standing trend to come to an end. These two teams have failed to reach the total in 10 straight meetings, and that has bookmakers coming with an ultra low number here this year. The total of 45 is lower than it has been in any of Navy's games this season, and only three of 11 of Navy's games saw less than 45 combined points. Army also hasn't seen a total lower than this so far in 2017, and they have seen at least 45 combined points in seven of their 11 games. Their last game was a 52-49 loss to North Texas, and they ran for a whopping 534 yards and seven TDs in that contest. The Midshipmen are coming off a pair of losses to Houston and Notre Dame. Their last win came against SMU, and they ran for 559 yards and six TDs in the victory. While Navy is the favorite once again this year, this game is expected to be closer than it has in recent years. Both these teams should put some points on the board, and a competitive game could easily lead to enough points to push this number over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-17	Saints v. Falcons UNDER 53.5		17-20	Win	100	33 h 11 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. I bet on the over in New Orleans home win over Carolina on Sunday, winning that bet with the final score of 31-21. I also bet the over in the Falcons loss to Minnesota, but lost that bet as Atlanta lost 14-9. Neither of those games saw enough combined points to reach tonight's total, and I believe that both teams may come in looking to run the ball on a short week. The Saints duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara have combined to run for over 1500 yards and 16 TDs. Kamara is also a serious threat in the passing game, ranking second on the team with 59 receptions for 614 yards and four TDs. The Falcons have two of the league's best backs in Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. While history tells us that these two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, both teams are far better defensively than they have been in previous seasons. Atlanta ranks 6th in the NFL in pass defense, allowing just 208 yards per game. The Saints rank 11th, allowing just 217 yards per game. That's a huge improvement for a New Orleans team that had ranked dead last in pass defense the last few years, and got off to a terrible start again this year. Last week they held Cam Newton to 183 yards and two TDs on 17-of-27 passing. The under is 6-2 in the Saints last eight at Atlanta. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-17	Panthers v. Saints OVER 47.5		21-31	Win	100	149 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Panthers lost to New Orleans at home in Week 3, and Cam Newton was terrible in that game. He threw for just 167 yards and three INTs on 17-of-26 passing. He's coming into the rematch riding a four game winning streak, and during that span he's thrown for five TDs and just one INT. The Panthers have scored a combined 80 points the last two weeks, and history tells us we could see plenty of scoring here in the Super Dome on Sunday. Five of the last six meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and today's total is lower than it was in the Panthers last two visits to New Orleans. The Saints last home game was a 34-31 win over the Redskins, and they had to rally to score two TDs in the final three minutes to force overtime in that game. They went on to lose their next game at the Rams, and this Saints defense has now given up over 400 total yards in consecutive games. The over is 13-5-1 in the Saints last 19 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-17	Vikings v. Falcons OVER 47		14-9	Loss	-110	149 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Vikings are best known for their dominant defense, but they've scored 30+ points in three of their last four games. They will likely need to put points on the board to extend their winning streak here in Atlanta. The Falcons have won three straight, and they've averaged over 30 points per game during that span. Case Keenum was supposed to be filling in for Sam Bradford, but he's thrown for 280+ yards in four straight games. Only Tom Brady has more 280+ yard games than Case Keenum this season. He's completed over 70 percent of his passes in each of his last three games. Minnesota has gone over the total in five of their last seven road games, and playing in a dome against Atlanta, we should expect another high scoring game. The Falcons are normally a great bet to go over at home, as they've surpassed the total in 13 of their last 16 home games. The over is 21-8-1 in Falcons last 30 games overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-26-17	Broncos v. Raiders OVER 43		14-21	Loss	-110	138 h 22 m	Show
8*
11-26-17	Bills v. Chiefs OVER 46.5		16-10	Loss	-110	13 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Buffalo Bills have given up 135 points in three straight losses, and they appear to have given up on this season. They decided to bench starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor in last week's game against LA, and rookie Nathan Peterman threw five INTs in just the first quarter. Taylor came in and threw for 158 yards and a TD and ran for 38 yards and another score, but the Bills lost by a score of 54-24. The Chiefs have lost four of their last five, and rookie RB Kareem Hunt hasn't run for 100 yards since Week 5 at Houston. He should be due for a breakout performance against a Buffalo defense that has allowed an NFL high 16 rushing TDs this season. The Chiefs defense has been questionable all season long, even during their 5-0 start. Kansas City ranks 26th in the NFL in total defense, and injuries to several starting linebackers isn't going to help much. The Bills have gone over the total in five straight overall, and six of their last seven when coming off a loss. I expect both teams to put points on the board here in Kansas City this week. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Notre Dame v. Stanford UNDER 56	Top	20-38	Loss	-110	117 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Stanford Cardinal might be scoreboard watching on Saturday night, as the final score between Washington State and Washington is far more important than the result of their game against the Irish. Both Notre Dame and Stanford are coming off low scoring games, with Stanford beating Cal 17-14, and Notre Dame beating Army by a score of 24-17. The Cardinal have struggled to score since Bryce Love injured his ankle, and the last thing they want to do is give him a heavy workload here against Notre Dame. With a probable meeting against USC in the PAC12 Championship game looming large, it's likely that Love is used sparingly here this week. These teams have a history of playing close, low scoring games, with the under cashing in six of the last seven meetings. Stanford has been playing far better defense in recent weeks, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall. They were impressive in a home win over Washington, holding the Huskies to just 135 rushing yards. Notre Dame has been involved in some high scoring games this season, but the Irish have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 when playing on grass. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	West Virginia v. Oklahoma OVER 67		31-59	Win	100	10 h 11 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Sooners have scored an averaged of 46.4 points in their last five overall, and they should light up the scoreboard today at home against West Virginia. The Mountaineers haven't got much to play for here, and they will start a freshman at quarterback. Chris Chugunov didn't look too bad against Texas, throwing for 189 yards and a TD on 14-of-26 passing. Baker Mayfield will start this game on the bench, but he's not going to be watching for long. Oklahoma still needs to win this game to keep it's playoff hopes on track. The Mountaineers have struggled against elite quarterbacks this season, giving up 50 points in a home loss to Oklahoma State and Mason Rudolph, and Texas Tech quarterback Nick Shimonek threw for 323 yards and four TDs in a losing effort in Morgantown. The Red Raiders scored 28 points in the first half of that game, but West Virginia rallied to win 46-35. I expect a similar score here against the Sooners in Norman. Oklahoma has out-scored the Mountaineers 100-52 while winning the last two meetings between the two teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Alabama v. Auburn OVER 47.5		14-26	Loss	-110	105 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Alabama Crimson Tide are still undefeated, but they appear to be about as vulnerable as they have ever been. Two weeks ago against Mississippi State they needed to rally late in a game that they were losing in the fourth quarter. They have been hit hard by injuries to several key defensive players. Not only did they lose a pair of linebackers in the win over LSU a few weeks ago, but they had already lost two star linebackers in Week 1 against Florida State. Minkah Fitzpatrick is hoping to play with a sore hamstring, but he's nowhere near 100 percent. They face an Auburn team that has scored 40+ points in all four games during a four game win streak. That includes a 40-17 home win over #1 ranked Georgia. They gained 488 total yards on the Bulldogs defense, and I like their chances of doing the same thing here against Alabama. The Crimson Tide have been extremely fortunate so far, padding their stats against weak opponents. Their most impressive win was at home to LSU, in a game where they were out-gained 306-299 in total yards. I expect both teams to score their fair share of points in the Iron Bowl. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 50.5		31-20	Loss	-110	96 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Buckeyes are a big favorite on the road at Michigan, but this has never been an easy game for Ohio State. We've already seen a few double-digit dogs win outright here in rivalry week (Mississippi and Pittsburgh), and I wouldn't be surprised if this game is a lot closer than some people expect. Last year the Buckeyes won at home in overtime by a score of 30-27. I had the under in that game, and while there were only 34 points scored in regulation, it went over for the fourth consecutive time in this series. This Michigan team doesn't have the same offensive firepower it had a year ago, and the Wolverines were held to just 234 total yards while scoring 10 points in a loss to Wisconsin last week. Backup quarterback John O'Korn threw for just 19 yards on 2-of-8 passing, and he comes into this weeks game completing just over 50 percent of his passes this season with one TD and five INTs in seven appearances (four starts). The Wolverines have only played one game all year that has seen more than 50 combined points scored. The total for today's game is far higher than it was in each of the last two head to head meetings between these teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-17	Missouri v. Arkansas OVER 70		48-45	Win	100	13 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. I bet on Missouri last week in their blowout win over Vanderbilt, and here is what I said before that game: "The Tigers have struggled against the top teams in the SEC, but playing the bottom tier teams has been a cakewalk so far. Missouri is coming off four straight wins, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. They dropped 50 on Tennessee at home last week, and they beat Florida by a whopping 29 points at home a week earlier." They led 35-0 at the half last week, and held on to win 45-17. The Tigers might face a much tougher test here at Arkansas, as the home team has covered in five straight meetings between the two teams. The Razorbacks have gone over in four of their last five home games, and I like their chances of scoring their fair share of points here in their final game of the season. Starting quarterback Austin Allen missed four games due to injury, but he's been solid when healthy. He's thrown for seven TDs and just three INTs in five home starts. As well as Missouri has been playing lately, I still think their defense is vulnerable. Arkansas should be able to score enough points to keep this game interesting. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-23-17	Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 62.5		31-28	Win	100	69 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. How good is Mississippi State? Well if you look at their 8-3 record, you see three losses. Those losses came against three teams in the Top 10, who are all currently in the hunt for a playoff spot. They rank 20th nationally in scoring defense, holding opponents to under 20 points per game. The Bulldogs are a big favorite here in the Egg Bowl versus rivals Mississippi, and they are expected to win by three scores. The Rebels have scored plenty of points this season, but not on the road against ranked teams. They scored a total of 26 points in losses at Alabama and Auburn, and they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Only one of the Bulldogs games this season saw more than a combined 60 points, and that was a blowout win over LA-Tech. Rebels quarterback Jordan Ta'amu threw for just 189 yards on 19-of-34 passing in a home loss to Texas A&M last week. I don't expect him to be any more successful here at Starkville. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-20-17	Falcons v. Seahawks OVER 45	Top	34-31	Win	100	42 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Seahawks have held five of their last six opponents to less than 20 points, but the loss of Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor is likely to hurt their defense. They host the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night Football, and Atlanta is coming off a 27-7 home win over Dallas. Matt Ryan has had an off year, but he has a history of putting up big numbers against the Seahawks. He faced Seattle twice last year, throwing for over 300 yards in both games, including a 26-24 loss at Seattle. The Falcons knocked Seattle out of the playoffs with a 36-20 home win in the first round. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, as six of the last seven head to head meetings have gone over the total. The total for this game is actually lower than it was in each of the last four meetings. The Falcons leading rusher is expected to miss the game due to a concussion, and Seattle has struggled to run the ball all season long. We should expect to see both teams air it out early and often. Russell Wilson ranks 3rd in the NFL in passing yards, and he's thrown for 749 yards and six TDs in his last two home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-19-17	Redskins v. Saints OVER 51.5		31-34	Win	100	11 h 36 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Washington Redskins scored 30 points at home against the Vikings last week, but it wasn't enough in a 38-30 loss. Kirk Cousins did his part, throwing for 327 yards and a TD on 26-of-45 passing. The Skins are likely to come out passing here at the Superdome, and I am expecting a high scoring game. The Saints are flying high on offense, coming into this game riding a seven game win streak, scoring over 30 points per game during that span. They scored 52 in a home win over the Lions a few weeks ago, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a similar score here. Washington is dealing with a bunch of injuries on defense, and they've allowed 30+ points in three of their last four games. These teams have gone over the total in four straight meetings dating back to 2008. The Redskins have gone over in 13 of their last 16 road games, while New Orleans have gone over in 13 of their last 18 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-19-17	Chiefs v. Giants OVER 45		9-12	Loss	-110	11 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. Remember when the Giants had one of the league's best defenses? Well they've looked like one of the worst the last few weeks, giving up a total of 82 points in losses to the Rams and San Francisco. There isn't a lot left for the Giants to play for, and the level of effort in recent games has been minimal. They host the Kansas City Chiefs, who are notoriously tough when coming off a bye week. The Chiefs should be primed for a one-sided victory here, running up the score and padding their stats. Kareem Hunt is second in the NFL in rushing yards, and Alex Smith has the league's highest quarterback rating. The Chiefs defense has not been a strength in recent weeks, and injuries to several key linebackers could hurt them here in this game. Kansas City has gone over in six of it's last eight road games, while the Giants have gone over in five of their last seven overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	NC State v. Wake Forest UNDER 63.5		24-30	Win	100	102 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack suffered their first loss in conference play at the hands of defending champions Clemson two weeks ago, and responded with a dominant 14-7 win at Boston College last week. Their defense has been impressive, holding opponents to just over 15 points per game in seven games versus unranked teams. Wake Forest has been involved in some high scoring games lately, going over the total against Notre Dame, Louisville and Syracuse. When playing teams with more of a pro style, they have seen lower scores. In fact they didn't see a combined 60 points in any of their first seven games this season. They failed to score 20 points in losses to Georgia Tech and Florida State, and the Wolfpack's defense is statistically better than both those teams. These two teams have gone over in each of the last three head to head meetings, but not one of those games saw a combined 60 points. This inflated total is higher than it was in any of the past 10 meetings between the two teams. My money is on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Arizona University v. Oregon OVER 74	Top	28-48	Win	100	85 h 0 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Ducks have been hit hard by injuries this season, especially at quarterback. Starter Justin Herbert was lost for the season, and his backup Taylor Alie has missed the last three games. The senior is hoping to be cleared in time to play here in the Ducks home game against Arizona. Third string quarterback Braxton Burmeister got the start in Oregon's last home game, and he was only asked to attempt a dozen passes. He was 9-of-12 for 47 yards and a TD, leading the Ducks to a 41-20 win over Utah. Royce Freeman and Tony Brooks-James each ran for over 100 yards in the win. The Ducks should be able to put points on the board against this 114th ranked Arizona defense. The Wildcats have played three road games versus PAC12 teams, and they have allowed more than 40 points in all three of those games. They have also scored more than their fair share of points, winning five of their last six and scoring an average of 48.8 points in those wins. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games, Oregon has gone over in 51 of it's last 69 home games. The Wildcats have gone over in 26 of their last 36 overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 57		44-56	Loss	-135	88 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Nittany Lions got off to a slow start in last week's 35-6 home win over Rutgers, and I am expecting another low scoring game here this week against Nebraska. These two teams haven't met since Nebraska won at Penn State by a score of 23-20 in 2013. The Huskers have won all three meetings since 2011, and two of those three games went under the total. The one game that went over the number still saw less than 55 combined points. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. All of those games were played in November, so weather may have been a factor. The weather is likely to play a role in this game, as heavy winds and rain are in the forecast. In fact, if you look at Penn State's last 10 games, only two of those combined for as many points as the total for this week's game. One of those games was the loss at Ohio State. This number appears to be a bit inflated. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Kansas State v. Oklahoma State OVER 65		45-40	Win	100	88 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Oklahoma State Cowboys rank second nationally scoring over 45 points per game, but they have struggled on defense. They lost their last home game by a score of 62-52 to Oklahoma, and they have up 42 points in last week's come from behind win at Iowa State. The Wildcats aren't known as a particularly high scoring team, but they have shown that they can take advantage of weak defenses. Kansas State scored 30+ points in wins over Baylor, Kansas and Texas Tech. That likely won't be enough to hang with the Cowboys in Stillwater though. History tells us we should see plenty of scoring here, as these two teams have gone over in six straight meetings. Last year the Cowboys won by a score of 43-37. The Cowboys have gone over in nine of their last 10 games in November, and four of their last five overall. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between KSU and Oklahoma State, yet the total for this game is lower than it was in each of the Cowboy's last five home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-12-17	Patriots v. Broncos OVER 46	Top	41-16	Win	100	83 h 49 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Broncos defense used to be called the "no fly zone", but after giving up 51 points in a loss to the Eagles, that nick name is no longer appropriate. The Broncos host the Patriots this week, and with very little left to play for, I expect another half-hearted effort from the defense. The Patriots come in as winner of four straight, and they've played a lot better defense of late. This looks like it could be a tough game for New England to get up for, and the Pats have failed to cover in six of their last eight at Denver. History tells us to expect plenty of scoring when the Patriots are coming off a bye week, as the over is 6-1 in the last seven such situations. New England leads the NFL averaging 302 passing yards per game. As well as they've played defensively in recent weeks, they still rank below average allowing 22.4 points per game this season. I expect to see a high scoring game on Sunday night. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-12-17	Steelers v. Colts OVER 43.5		20-17	Loss	-115	75 h 38 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Steelers went into Detroit with the league's #1 ranked pass defense, but Mathew Stafford lit them up in the dome for 423 yards. Pittsburgh walked away with the win however, and they are now in a comfortable spot in the AFC North. They come out of their bye week to face the Colts in Indianapolis, and this could be a tricky spot for the visitors. The Colts are coming off a win over Houston on the road last week, and their offense has held it's own without Andrew Luck. Jacoby Brissett threw for 308 yards and two TDs on 20-of-30 passing against the Texans. The Steelers should have plenty of success running the ball against Indy. The Colts rank 26th in the league against the run, and they have allowed an NFL high 10 rushing TDs. The Steelers have won four straight against the Colts, and they've scored an average of 41 points in the last three head to head meetings between the two teams. These teams have gone over the total in four of the last five meetings, and the number for this game is far lower than it was the last three times these teams met. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Arizona State v. UCLA OVER 67		37-44	Win	100	21 h 6 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. With over 2700 passing yards, 20 TDs and 8 INTs, Josh Rosen is still one of the top quarterbacks in the country. The "Rosen" one was sidelined by a concussion against Utah last week, but he's expected back to face the Sun Devils at home. Arizona State's defense ranks 105th nationally against the pass, so Rosen and the UCLA offense could have a field day here at home. Unfortunately for the Bruins, their defense hasn't been able to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 121st nationally in total defense, allowing opponents to average almost 500 yards per game. The Bruins have gone over in seven of their last nine overall, and these two teams have gone over in five of the last seven head to head meetings. I expect another shootout here in LA, and the total looks a little to low given how poorly these two teams have played on defense. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Notre Dame v. Miami-FL UNDER 57.5	Top	8-41	Win	100	107 h 37 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Miami Hurricanes are 8-0, but there are still plenty of experts questioning if this team is truly a contender. We will find out this Saturday when they host Notre Dame, in what will be the biggest game of the week. The winner will have a clear path to the College Football Playoffs, while the loser will effectively be eliminated from playoff contention. With two great teams playing for such high stakes, we should see a great battle between two of the country's best defenses. The Canes held Virginia Tech to just 10 points, and 299 total yards in a 28-10 win last week. The Irish have played ranked teams just twice this season, and both of those games went under the total. They lost 20-19 at home to Georgia, and beat NC State 35-14 at home. Their win at Michigan State came before the Spartans were ranked in the Top 25. While that game went over the total (38-18), the combined points still fall short of the listed number for this game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in two of the last three head to head meetings, and none of those games saw a combined total higher than 57 points. The Hurricanes have gone under in five of their last six home games, while the Irish have failed to reach the total in 25 of their last 37 versus ACC teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Alabama v. Mississippi State OVER 51		31-24	Win	100	102 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Bulldogs have won four straight, but last week's 34-23 home win over Massachusetts was far from impressive. We've already seen the top teams in the SEC (Georgia and Auburn) run all over the Bulldogs, and I think Alabama is going to pile on the points here in Starkville. Last year the Bulldogs were crushed in a 51-3 loss at Alabama, and Jalen Hurts threw for 347 yards and four TDs in that game. Here at home I expect the Bulldogs to score a little more, but I don't think they'll have any more success slowing down the Alabama offense. Last week's win over LSU proved to be costly for Alabama, losing several key defensive players to injury. With the defense a little banged up, they might feel as though they need to score more points. The over is 6-2 in Alabama's last eight road games against teams with a winning record. This total looks a little too low. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-09-17	North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 49		34-31	Loss	-104	13 h 35 m	Show
This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Pittsburgh Panthers have been dominant on defense in back to back wins over Virginia and Duke. They have failed to reach the total in six straight overall, and the under is 3-1 in North Carolina's last four at Pittsburgh. The Tar Heels are 1-8 overall, and 0-6 within the conference. They are coming off an inspired performance in a home loss to Miami, coming up just short losing by a score of 24-19. Pittsburgh is doing the bulk of it's scoring with a heavy ground game, opting to run twice as often as they pass. In the win over the Cavs, they attempted just 18 passes while running the ball 40 times for 176 yards and two TDs. Sophomore quarterback Ben Dinucci has done an admirable job replacing starter Max Browne, but he's completed a pedestrian 54.9 percent of his passes with 4 TDs and 4 INTs in seven starts. Those numbers look great compared to Nate Elliot's 38 percent completion percentage, and 3 INTs with just one TD. It looks like the third stringer might be starting for the Tar Heels again tonight. North Carolina has failed to reach the total in five of their last six games played on a grass surface. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-17	Bowling Green v. Buffalo UNDER 60.5		28-38	Loss	-110	13 h 49 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Bowling Green Falcons won big at Kent State last week, and they got off to a good start, out-scoring the Golden Flashes 17-0 in the first quarter. Backup quarterback Jarret Doege threw for just 174 yards and two TDs on 14-of-18 passing. Their leading rusher Josh Cleveland suffered an ankle injury, but freshman Andrew Clair had 111 yards and a TD on just eight carries. He's averaging eight yards per attempt, and has run for over 100 yards in four straight weeks. Buffalo has lost four straight, and their starting quarterback was lost for the season in a 71-68 loss to Western Michigan. Drew Anderson threw for 597 yards and seven TDs in that game, which was decided after seven overtime periods. The Bulls have scored an average of just 15.6 points per game, losing three straight since. It seems a bit odd that the total for this game is so high, given the Bulls offensive struggles. History tells us that points could be hard to come by, as these teams have gone under in each of the last five head to head meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-05-17	Chiefs v. Cowboys OVER 48.5		17-28	Loss	-110	127 h 4 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Kansas City Chiefs are ranked 29th in the NFL against the pass, and they have allowed an NFL worst 19 passing TDs. The Cowboys are also struggling on the defensive side of the ball, and we could see a high scoring battle here in Dallas on Sunday. The Cowboys defense has given up less than 20 points in each of it's last two games, but I think that's a bit of fool's gold. The beat the 49ers by a score of 40-10 in San Francisco, but if it wasn't for a few costly turnovers, the Niners would have put more points on the board. Last week's 33-19 win at Washington was aided by weather. They face a Chiefs team today that ranks 3rd in the NFL in scoring, and has totaled 60 points in their last two games. The Cowboys have gone over in four of their last five home games, while the Chiefs have gone over in six of their last seven overall. The Chiefs lost their last visit to Dallas by a score of 31-26, and another high scoring game is expected this Sunday. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Oregon v. Washington UNDER 51.5		3-38	Win	100	114 h 3 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Ducks ended a three game losing streak with a home win over Utah, powered by a solid effort from running back Royce Freeman. He ran for 139 yards on 20 carries, and the Ducks totaled 347 yards rushing. They only attempted 13 passes, while running the ball a whopping 49 times. This one-dimensional offensive game plan won't likely be very successful on the road at Washington. The Huskies are ranked 2nd nationally in rushing yards allowed, right behind Alabama. They are holding opponents to just 2.2 yards per attempt (1st in the country), and have surrendered just three rushing TDs all year. The weather in Washington this time of year isn't all that pleasant, and while the snow storm might not start until Sunday, cold and wet weather is expected during tonight's game. Washington is coming off a high scoring win over UCLA, but had previously played four straight games with fewer than 50 combined points scored. I expect a low scoring affair here against the Ducks. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	LSU v. Alabama UNDER 51.5		10-24	Win	100	127 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Crimson Tide are favored by three touchdowns in this Saturday's home game versus LSU, but with both teams coming off a bye week, we could still see a battle. LSU doesn't have the offense to keep up with Alabama, but they might be able to hang around in a defensive struggle that has been so common in previous meetings between the two teams. Last year the Tide won by a score of 10-0 in Baton Rouge, and they didn't score a TD until late in the second half. Six of the last seven meetings between these teams have gone under the total, and the Tigers failed to score 20 points in all seven of those games. The total for this year's game is higher than it was in each of the last three meetings. The Tigers have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 when coming off a bye. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 74		62-52	Win	100	123 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. We know the Sooners rivalry with the Cowboys is commonly known as "Bedlam". Recent games between these two teams have certainly lived up to that moniker. The Cowboys are coming off a 50-39 road win over West Virginia, but I wasn't impressed with their defense in that game. The Mountaineers turned the ball over five times, and Will Grier threw four INTs. Despite those five turnovers, the Cowboys still gave up 39 points. The Sooners have also looked vulnerable on defense, and they gave up 35 points on the road at Kansas State two weeks ago. Both these teams are averaging over 40 points per game, but I expect the winner of this game to score 50+ points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in 14 of their last 20 conference games, and the over is 3-1-1 in their last five games against the Sooners. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Clemson v. NC State UNDER 51		38-31	Loss	-110	108 h 42 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Clemson is still the team to beat in the ACC, but the Tigers offense has dropped off a lot since last season. Kelly Bryant has played well at times, but he's thrown for just 1582 yards with six TDs and four INTs, and he hasn't scored a rushing TD since winning 34-7 over Boston College on September 23. He was knocked out of the game against Wake Forest on October 7th, and since then Dabo Swinney seems to be reluctant to have him put his body on the line. NC State is still undefeated in conference play, and whoever wins this game will be the favorite to win the division. These two teams have gone under the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and the Wolfpack has failed to reach the total in five straight overall. Last year the Tigers beat the Wolfpack by a score of 24-17 at home, and I expect a similar score here at NCState this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-31-17	Bowling Green v. Kent State UNDER 50.5		44-16	Loss	-110	19 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Golden Flashes host Bowling Green in a Tuesday night MAC Conference game, and both these teams have had their struggles on offense this season. The Falcons come in averaging just over 20 points per game, ranking 116th nationally in scoring. It doesn't get much worse than that... or does it? Kent State is averaging just over 11 points per game this season. The Golden Flashes have failed to score 20 points in six straight games, and they've scored three points or less in four of their last six games. The good news is that their defense hasn't been too bad, as they've allowed just 41 points in two home games against MAC opponents, going 1-1 in those games. These two teams have played three times since 2013, and not one of those three games saw a combined 50 points scored. We should expect another low scoring game here tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-30-17	Broncos v. Chiefs OVER 39		19-29	Win	100	13 h 29 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Chiefs got off to a great start, winning their first six games of the season. Their success came thanks to a high powered offense, averaging almost 30 points per game. Their downfall though has been a defense that really hasn't been able to stop anybody. They have lost back to back games, and last week against the Raiders they gave up over 500 yards of total offense. The Broncos offense has been horrible the last three weeks, scoring a combined 26 points. This could be a get right game for the Denver offense. Trevor Siemian threw for 235 yards with four TDs and one INT in a home win over the Cowboys in Week 2, but he's thrown for just two TDs and five INTs since. The last time he faced this Chiefs defense, he threw for 368 yards and three TDs on 20-of-34 passing in a 30-27 overtime loss at home. These teams have gone over in each of the last four head to head meetings, and each of the last five meetings has seen at least 42 combined points. Kansas City's offensive line gets a boost with the return of starting center Mitch Morse who has missed the last two games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-29-17	Cowboys v. Redskins OVER 48.5	Top	33-19	Win	100	53 h 38 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Cowboys come into this NFC East rivalry game with a 3-3 record, but those wins came against the Giants, Cardinals and winless 49ERS. They are coming off a 40-10 win at San Francisco, which on the surface of things seems like a positive result for their defense. The score doesn't tell the whole story though, as San Francisco had been moving the ball with ease, only to see promising drives end in turnovers. Rookie quarterback CJ Beathard threw for 235 yards on 22-of-38 passing, with no TDs or INTs. Kirk Cousins should be primed for a big game against this suspect Cowboys pass defense. Cousins threw for 303 yards and three TDs in a loss to the Eagles on Monday Night. Last year he threw for a season high 449 yards and three TDs in a 31-26 loss at Dallas, and he threw for 364 yards in a 27-23 home loss to the Cowboys. We saw at least 50 combined points in both those games, and I expect to see another high scoring game here in Washington. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-17	NC State v. Notre Dame UNDER 60.5		14-35	Win	100	110 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. After a blowout win over USC last Saturday, the Irish are now a huge favorite at home versus NC State. This is an obvious let down spot for Notre Dame, and this isn't a great matchup. The Irish are a one-dimensional team that leans heavily on the run, and the Wolfpack have one of the most experienced, and most dominant defensive lines in the country. They come in well rested off a bye week, riding a six game win streak. Their resume includes wins at Florida State, at home to Louisville and Syracuse. These teams played last season, and the Irish were completely shut down in a 10-3 loss. The Wolfpack held Notre Dame to just 113 total yards, and 59 rushing yards on 38 attempts. In this strength versus strength matchup, we should expect points to be hard to come by. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-17	Louisville v. Wake Forest UNDER 62		32-42	Loss	-110	107 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Louisville was gifted a victory at Florida State last week. The Seminoles looked like they would score on a game winning drive in the final minutes, but freshman quarterback James Blackmon fumbled the ball. That allowed Louisville to drive down the field and score the game winning field goal. Louisville played far better defensively against the Seminoles, after giving up 45 points in a loss to Boston College a week earlier. When these teams played last year, Wake Forest led 12-10 in the fourth quarter, before the Cardinal scored 34 unanswered points. The Deacons get a chance to avenge that loss here at home, where their defense has held opponents to an average of just over 14 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, and the number in this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Wake Forest has gone under in 17 of it's last 22 games in the month of October. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-27-17	Florida State v. Boston College UNDER 47		3-35	Win	100	9 h 15 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Seminoles are coming off a terrible home loss to Louisville, putting them at 2-4 on the season. They had the ball late in the game, and appeared to be in position to run down the clock and kick the game winning field goal. Jimbo Fisher tried to get cute, calling a play that had failed to work on several occasions earlier in the game. The result was a fumble by quarterback James Blackman, leading to a Louisville field goal for the win. Since replacing the injured DeAndre Francios, he's thrown for 1047 yards with seven TDs and six INTs. Jimbo Fisher has been a little more conservative with the play calling on the road, and Blackman has attempted just 21 passes in each of his starts away from Tallahassee. The Seminoles won both of those games (26-19 at Wake Forest and 17-10 at Duke). The Eagles have scored 40+ points in back to back road wins at Virginia and Louisville, but their last two home games have each been low scoring. They beat Central Michigan 28-8 and lost 23-10 to Virginia Tech. Boston College has failed to score 20 points in each of it's last three games against Florida State, and two of those three games went under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-26-17	South Alabama v. Georgia State UNDER 49		13-21	Win	100	34 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The South Alabama Jaguars will play at Georgia State Thursday, in a battle between Sun Belt Conference rivals. Georgia State is coming off a 34-10 home loss to Troy, and I think we can expect another low scoring game here against the Jaguars. These teams haven't gone over the total in any of the last four head to head meetings, and last year the Jags won by a score of 13-10. The Jaguars are coming off a high scoring win over ULM, but they had failed to reach the total in five straight prior to that. Georgia State has gone under in five of it's last seven overall. Playing on a short week, we should see both teams have a conservative approach, looking to establish their run game. Georgia State has gone under in 12 of it's last 16 conference games, 10 of it's last 13 home games, and 20 of it's last 27 games overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-22-17	Saints v. Packers UNDER 48		26-17	Win	100	133 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Packers rank 26th in the NFL in rushing offense, averaging just 88 yards per game on the ground. Any success they have had this season has come from the arm of Aaron Rodgers, who will be sidelined for the remainder of the season with a broken collarbone. Brett Hundley came in to throw for 157 yards with a TD and three INTs in last week's 23-10 loss at Minnesota. They tried to run the ball, but with little success, totaling 72 yards on 24 carries. The Saints come in as winners of three straight, and two of those three wins came on the road. New Orleans has been solid defensively during that span, shutting out the Dolphin in London, and holding the Panthers to 13 points in Carolina. The Packers have a whole host of injuries aside from Aaron Rodgers, with several key players in the secondary ailing, and an offensive line that has been banged up all season. It's going to be asking a lot of Brett Hundley to keep this game close. I expect the Saints to grind out a win here in a low scoring game at Lambeau. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-22-17	Cardinals v. Rams OVER 45		0-33	Loss	-110	7 h 60 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The NFL's highest scoring offense will be on display in London this weekend, when the high flying Rams take on Arizona at Wembley. The Cardinals put on quite a show offensively in a 38-33 home win over Tampa last week. While scoring 38 points was impressive, giving up 33 to Tampa's offense led by backup quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick raises some eyebrows. Arizona ranks 25th in the league against the pass, and only Cleveland has allowed more passing TDs than the Cardinals. Jared Goff has had a pretty good start to the season, throwing for almost 1500 yards with eight TDs and just three INTs. He has struggled against elite defenses the last two weeks, but he should be primed for a big game here in London. Both these teams have well balanced offenses, and we should see plenty of scoring. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Fresno State v. San Diego State UNDER 51.5		27-3	Win	100	19 h 22 m	Show
8*
10-21-17	USC v. Notre Dame UNDER 60	Top	14-49	Loss	-115	126 h 41 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go under the total. The USC Trojans face a daunting task on the road at Notre Dame this week. The winner of this game will emerge as a playoff contender, while the loser will be eliminated from contention. The Irish haven't allowed more than 20 points in any of their games this season, and that includes a 20-19 home loss to #3 ranked Georgia. Sam Darnold was the favorite to win the Heisman before the season started, but he's failed to live up to expectations. He's thrown 15 TD passes this season, but 13 of those came at home. On the road he's struggled, throwing for 387 yards with a pair of TDs and two INTs on 41-of-67 passing. Both of those games fell well short of the total, and the Trojans have gone under in four of their last five overall. The one game that did go over saw fewer than 60 total points (28-27 win over Utah last week). The Irish might find success pounding the rock against a soft USC defensive line, the Trojans have struggled to defend the run. The Irish have gone under in four straight in the month of October, and the under is 17-5-1 in their last 23 when coming off a bye week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Iowa v. Northwestern UNDER 48.5		10-17	Win	100	119 h 36 m	Show
8*
10-21-17	Louisville v. Florida State UNDER 59		31-28	Push	0	10 h 0 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Florida State Seminoles are just 2-3 on the season, but those losses came to Alabama, Miami-Fl and N.C. State. All three of those games were close, and all three of those teams are currently ranked in the Top 25. The loss of their starting quarterback has certainly hurt the Seminoles, but they still have an elite defense and plenty of talent up and down the roster. Louisville hasn't been able to stop anybody on defense, and while they've scored their fair share of point, they were held to seven points in the first half at home versus Clemson, and the scored just 10 first half points in a loss at N.C. State. Both the Tigers and the Wolfpack were able to run up the score late in those games, but FSU is perhaps more likely to pound away with the run. Florida State has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the total for this game is almost 10 points higher than any of those previous games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-19-17	Memphis v. Houston UNDER 59		42-38	Loss	-105	18 h 46 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Memphis Tigers have scored plenty of points this season, and they are coming off a 30-27 upset win over #25 ranked Navy last week. This could set them up for a bit of a let down on the road at Houston. The Cougars aren't the playoff contender that they were this time last year, mostly because of their struggles offensively. They remain solid on defense though, allowing just 21 points per game. They have failed to reach the total in seven straight, and nine of their last 10 overall. That includes home games against offensive juggernauts Texas Tech and SMU. While these two teams have scored a ton of points in recent head to head meetings, the under is 4-0 in the last four at Houston. The Cougars have failed to reach the total in six straight home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-15-17	Rams v. Jaguars OVER 42		27-17	Win	100	16 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. This game will feature two of the league's best running backs, and two defenses that really struggle against the run. The Jaguars are allowing an NFL worst 5.4 yards per carry, while the Rams have allowed a league high seven rushing TDs. LA ranks second in the NFL in scoring, averaging over 30 points per game. They haven't had as much success defensively, especially on the road. In two road games, LA has given up a total of 69 points. They beat the Cowboys despite surrendering 440 total yards. This will be just the second home game for the Jaguars, and they gave up 37 points in a Week 2 home loss to Tennessee in their home opener. These teams have gone over in three straight head to head meetings. The over is 6-1 in the Rams last seven overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-14-17	Purdue v. Wisconsin UNDER 51.5		9-17	Win	100	108 h 9 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Wisconsin hasn't been tested, and the Badgers are a big favorite at home versus Purdue this weekend. The Boilermakers will face one of the nation's top defenses, as Wisconsin is allowing opponents to average less than 15 points per game. Purdue has averaged less than 10 points in it's last four games at Wisconsin dating back to 2009. The weather forecast calls for cold temperatures and rain in Madison Saturday afternoon. Purdue is quietly having a solid season so far, coming in with a 3-2 record and a defense that has allowed just over 20 points per game. The Badgers have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 games in the month of October, and a lot of that might have to do with the fall weather in Madison. I expect both teams to keep it conservative here, and we should see another low scoring game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-14-17	Texas Tech v. West Virginia UNDER 80		35-46	Loss	-110	83 h 44 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers aren't getting a lot of respect here at home versus Texas Tech. After all this is a team that they trounced by a score of 48-17 last year, and that game was at Lubbock. With the Red Raiders coming to Morgantown, I see no reason why the result will be any different. Sure Texas Tech has improved defensively, but they still lost 41-34 at home to Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Their offense doesn't appear to be quite as prolific as it was with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Nic Shimonek threw for 330 yards with 1 TD and an INT on 29-of-46 passing in the loss to the Cowboys. That was a home game, and now he's playing on the road against a far better defense in West Virginia. The Red Raiders lost 31-26 in their last game at Morgantown (back in 2015). Texas Tech might look like a sexy pick as a dog, but keep in mind that the Red Raiders have lost 16 straight versus Top 25 teams. The under is 12-2 in West Virginia's last 14 games in October. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-14-17	NC State v. Pittsburgh UNDER 54		35-17	Win	100	6 h 58 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Pittsburgh's Homecoming game against the Wolfpack looks tough. The Panthers lost starting quarterback Max Browne for the season, and backup Ben Dincucci hasn't looked great at all. The sophomore has completed just 55 percent of his passes for 422 yards with two TDs and two INTs. He's going up against one of the top defensive lines in the country, and adding insult to injury, their leading rusher is also suspended indefinitely. This looks like it could be a defensive battle, as the Wolfpack have gone under in eight straight against ACC teams, and Pittsburgh has failed to reach the total in six of it's last seven overall. The Panthers have lost to Syracuse, Georgia Tech and Penn State, but none of those games saw enough combined points to reach the total listed for this week's game against the Wolfpack. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-11-17	South Alabama v. Troy UNDER 50		19-8	Win	100	14 h 51 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Troy Trojans are coming off a shocking 24-21 upset win over LSU. They will have to try to avoid a let down here at home against a tough conference rival Wednesday. These teams have played some close games over the years, and four of their last five head to head meetings have failed to reach a combined 50 points. Both teams favor the ground game over an air attack, and we should see a gritty, low scoring battle in Alabama. Troy has a great defense, ranking 24th nationally allowing just 18.6 points per game. The under is 15-5-1 in the Trojans last 21 games overall. Even more telling is the fact that they have only gone over in one of their last 12 versus conference rivals. The Jaguars are trending in the same direction, coming off four straight games that failed to reach the total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-07-17	Arizona v. Colorado UNDER 59		45-42	Loss	-110	21 h 35 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total 1/H. The Colorado Buffaloes went to the PAC12 Championship Game last seasons, but they are coming off back to back losses to UCLA and Washington. Unlike last year, they don't seem to have the offensive firepower to keep up with the top tier teams in the PAC12. They have averaged fewer than 20 points while losing two of three games in conference play. The same issue has plagued Arizona, as the Wildcats are coming off a 30-24 home loss to Utah. Their other loss came by a score of 19-16 at home versus Houston. Neither of these teams have been lighting it up with their passing game, and it's expected that this game will be a battle of ground and pound. With both teams focused on running the ball, the time will likely come off the clock before they can tally too many points. Colorado has gone under in seven of it's last eight overall, and 13 of it's last 16 in conference play. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-05-17	Louisville v. NC State UNDER 67		25-39	Win	100	38 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack were crushed in a 54-14 loss at Louisville last year, and they will have a chance to avenge that loss here at home on Thursday night. Louisville averaged over 60 points per game in their first four games of last season, but their offense hasn't been nearly as explosive so far this year. They have failed to score 30 points in their last three games at Raleigh. Two of those three games went under the total, and not one of those games saw more than a combined 55 points. The total for tonight's game has been bet up several points since opening at 63, and I think that's a pretty high number when you consider that NC. State is vastly improved on defense. The Wolfpack have gone under in seven straight versus conference rivals, and the under is 16-1-1 in their last 18 games on a Thursday. Last week NC State ran the ball for 256 yards and three TDs, and they should find plenty of room to run here in this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-02-17	Redskins v. Chiefs UNDER 49.5		20-29	Win	100	153 h 6 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Chiefs host the Redskins on Monday Night Football, and the bookmakers have set the total for this game right around the 50 point mark. I think that's a little optimistic considering that both these teams rank better than average defensively. The Chiefs rank 9th overall in the league allowing just 19 points per game. The Redskins are coming off a 27-10 home win over the Raiders, and they sacked Derek Carr four times in the victory. They also held Marshawn Lynch to just 18 yards on six carries. These two teams have gone over in four of the last six meetings, but the total in those games was never as high as 45. The Redskins have only scored a combined 16 points while losing their last two versus Kansas City, and both of those losses came at home. The Chiefs have a long history of dominant defensive play at home, and that's a big reason why they've gone under in 39 of their last 56 at Arrowhead. Captain Kirk is likely to be grounded here in Kansas City. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule

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