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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-26-16 | CS Sacramento v. San Francisco -4 | Top | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
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11-24-16 | Oakland v. Nevada -5 | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
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11-20-16 | Iona v. Nevada -10.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. The Iona Gaels lost six players from last year's team that finished with a 22-11 record in second place in the MAAC. They were 0-4 on the road versus non-conference opponents last year, and they lost by 25 points at Valparaiso, and by 20 points at Oregon State. They have started this season in similar fashion, losing 99-78 at Florida State in their opener. It won't get any easier at Nevada, as this Wolfpack team looks like a true contender in the Mountain West. Nevada absolutely crushed Oregon State on Friday, winning by a score of 83-58. The Wolfpack are 2-0 at home so far, with both of those wins coming by double digits. They were 11-3 at home last season, and won the CBI Tournament. Nevada returns four of five starters, including D.J Fenner and Cameron Oliver who each averaged over 13 points per game last year. Oliver scored a team high 24 against Oregon State, and he should be primed for a big night versus Iona. Jesse Schule |
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11-18-16 | Coppin State v. Utah -26 | Top | 51-94 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Utah. The Utah Utes have played twice this season, winning both games by 40+ points. They are a huge favorite at home tonight against Coppin State, but I don't think 26 points is a big enough number all things considered. The Eagles are playing a rare third game in three nights, and fourth game in five nights. They are coming off back to back 30+ point losses at BYU and Coastal Carolina. Last night in Provo they shot just 25.9 percent from the field, and made just 50% of their free throws. They've given up an average of more than 80 points per game, and this Utah team is as good as anybody they have faced so far. The Utes are well rested, and this looks like it should be a complete mismatch. Utah ranks 3rd nationally averaging 56 rebounds per game, and they have held opponents to an average of 45 points during their 2-0 start. The home team should win this game by 30+ points. Jesse Schule |
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11-10-16 | Pelicans v. Bucks -4 | Top | 112-106 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Jesse Schule. |
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11-06-16 | Suns v. Lakers -145 | Top | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-16 | Kings v. Bucks -125 | Top | 91-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
10* |
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06-16-16 | Warriors +120 v. Cavs | Top | 101-115 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Golden State Moneyline. |
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06-10-16 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 206 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total. After both the first two games of this series failed to reach the total, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 3 in Cleveland. The pace of play in the first two games should have resulted in a higher score, but Cleveland just kept on missing shots. The Cavs shot 52.7 percent from the field in Game 3, and they were 12-of-25 from three point range. Still the total for Game 4 remains much lower than it was in the first two games, and I think after three straight lob-sided games, we might finally see a competitive contest here in Game 4. Surely the Splash Sisters have to be better, and they have plenty to prove after going a combined 4-of-16 from beyond the arc in Game 3. The over is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-08-16 | Warriors -108 v. Cavs | Top | 90-120 | Loss | -108 | 44 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. Jesse Schule |
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06-05-16 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 206.5 | Top | 77-110 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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06-02-16 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 210 | Top | 89-104 | Loss | -103 | 57 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go OVER the total. |
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05-30-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-28-16 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 221 | Top | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@OKC to go UNDER the total. Â Jesse Schule |
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05-27-16 | Cavs v. Raptors OVER 196.5 | Top | 113-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@TOR to go OVER the total. After three of the last four games in this series went under, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower total for Game 6 in Toronto. I think this was an over-correction, and this of all games looked like one that should see more scoring. Sure enough Game 4 went over (105-99). None of the three games in Clevleand were close, but I expect a better effort from a confident Raptors team here in Game 6. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to close out the series, but I think the better bet is on the total. The trends show that the over is 7-3 in the Cavs last 10 road games, and 12-6 in their last 18 Conference Finals games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 221 | Top | 111-120 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-25-16 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 198.5 | Top | 78-116 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go OVER the total. After the first three games of this series went under, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower total for Game 4 in Toronto. I think this was an over-correction, and this of all games looked like one that should see more scoring. Sure enough Game 4 went over (105-99). None of the first two games in Clevleand were close, but I expect a better effort from a confident Raptors team here in Game 5. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to bounce back after a pair of losses, but I think the better bet is on the total. The trends show that the over is 8-3 in Cavaliers last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 12-5 in their last 17 Conference Finals games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-25-16 | Raptors +11 v. Cavs | Top | 78-116 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Raptors. Niether of the first two games in Clevleand were close, but I expect a better effort from a confident Raptors team here in Game 5. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to bounce back after a pair of losses, but I think the better bet is on the Raptors getting a bunch of points at the half. Toronto opened up a big lead in the first half of Game 2, before a complete collapse in the final two minutes before the break. This team has a lot more poise and swagger heading into Game 5. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-24-16 | Warriors v. Thunder +1 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. Despite the fact that the Thunder lead this series 2-1, and a coming off a dominant win at home in Game 3, they remain the underdog. We've seen the Warriors deal with their fair share of adversity in this post-season, and they've made a habit of playing poorly in the first half on the road. They haven't led at the half in any of their road games so far in the playoffs. Jesse Schule |
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05-23-16 | Cavs v. Raptors OVER 196.5 | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go OVER the total. After the first three games of this series went under, the bookmakers have adjusted with a much lower total for Game 4 in Toronto. I think this is an over-correction, and this of all games looks like one that should see more scoring. None of the first three games were close, but I expect the Cavs to respond after an embarrassing loss in Game 3. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to bounce back after a double-digit loss (the Zig Zag Theory), but I think the better bet is on the Cavs to simply be more competitive, thus pushing the total over. The trends show that the over is 9-3-1 in Cavaliers last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-16 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 | Top | 105-133 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@OKC to go UNDER the total 1st half. Do you remember when the Thunder upset the Warriors in Game 1? Perhaps the Warriors convincing 118-91 win in Game 2 has made us forget about how well the Thunder have played. Oklahoma City returns home with the series tied 1-1, and they are an underdog in Game 3. We've seen the Warriors deal with their fair share of adversity in this post-season, and they've made a habit of playing poorly in the first half on the road. They trailed at the half in both of their games in Portland, and they failed to get to the locker room with a lead at the half in both road games in their first round series versus Houston . Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-19-16 | Raptors +13 v. Cavs | Top | 89-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Nobody gave the Raptors much of a chance at winning this series prior to Game 1, and after Cleveland mopped the flour with them in the opener, most are expecting a sweep. There's no denying that Toronto is out-gunned, and Cleveland is the more talented team, that should win the series. The fact is, Toronto finished the regular season with an almost identical record (1 game back), and won two of three in the season series. Jesse Schule |
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05-18-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 222 | Top | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. The Warriors got off to a great start in Game 1, but they struggled in the second half allowing Oklahoma City to come from behind to record the upset. Stephen Curry still isn't 100%, and he was just 1-of-1 from the field in the fourth quarter. The Warriors have a habit of slow starts to games, and I really think these teams will struggle to reach this enormous number in the first half of Game 2.
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05-17-16 | Raptors v. Cavs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 84-115 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-16-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 223.5 | Top | 108-102 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. |
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05-13-16 | Raptors v. Heat UNDER 190 | Top | 91-103 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIA to go UNDER the total.  |
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05-12-16 | Spurs -117 v. Thunder | Top | 99-113 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. Jesse Schule |
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05-11-16 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 188.5 | Top | 91-99 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@TOR to go UNDER the total. The Raptors blew a late lead in Game 4 in Miami, and they return home deadlocked at 2-2 in their series versus the Heat. Coming off such a tough loss, I expect Toronto to come out strong with a big first half in Game 5. Both teams have lost their starting center, but Toronto is in far better shape with Bizmack Biyombo scoring 13 points and pulling in 13 rebounds in 31 minutes in Game 4. The Raptors are also getting big minutes off the bench from Cory Joseph and Terrence Ross, who combined to score 28 points in the loss at Miami. With DeMar DeRozan battling a thumb injury, the pressure is on Kyle Lowry to carry the load. He scored 33 points on 11-of-19 shooting in Game 3, but he fouled out with just 10 points in Game 4. Expect a bounce back performance from the Raptors PG at home tonight. Four of five games in this series have gone to overtime, and still the total has gone under in each of the last three games. The Heat have gone under in eight of their last nine overall, and Toronto has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 12. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-10-16 | Thunder v. Spurs -6.5 | Top | 95-91 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. Jesse Schule |
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05-09-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | Top | 132-125 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers. Jesse Schule |
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05-09-16 | Raptors v. Heat UNDER 190 | Top | 87-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIA to go UNDER the total. |
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05-09-16 | Raptors +5.5 v. Heat | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. |
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05-07-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 56 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers 1/H. |
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05-06-16 | Spurs -117 v. Thunder | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 68 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. Jesse Schule |
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05-06-16 | Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 200 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total. |
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05-05-16 | Heat v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 92-96 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. |
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05-03-16 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 191 | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@TOR to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-02-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 98-97 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. "The Oklahoma City Thunder had little trouble getting past the Mavs in the first round, winning the series in five games. The final three games in that series all went over, and the Thunder averaged 122 points in those games. They can't expect to enjoy that same success in San Antonio, where they lost both meetings during the regular season. Three of the four games in the season series went under, and the Spurs won 102-98 in overtime in the last meeting. San Antonio is by far the best defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 92.9 points per game. They only allowed the Grizzlies to average 71 points in their two home games in the first round. The Thunder played well defensively in the first round, holding the Mavs to 93.8 points per game." |
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05-02-16 | Hawks v. Cavs UNDER 200.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-01-16 | Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 189.5 | Top | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@TOR to go UNDER the total. This series has seen more than it's fair share of low scoring games, with five of the six games going under the total. We saw just 184 points scored in Game 6, and I really don't think we can expect more than that tonight in Game 7. Toronto did a decent job defending Paul George, holding him to 21 points on 5-of-14 shooting in Game 6. Indiana scored just nine points in the fourth quarter in Toronto in Game 5, but the total did go over for the first time in the series. Despite a heavy trend of low scoring games in these playoffs, and five of six games going under in this series, we still saw a higher total in Game 6 than we saw in Game 5. DeMar DeRozan is averaging just 15.8 points per game on 32.8 percent shooting in this series, while Kyle Lowry has shot just 27 percent from the field in three home games against the Pacers. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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04-30-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 201.5 | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -107 | 67 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-29-16 | Heat v. Hornets -120 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets. Jesse Schule |
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04-29-16 | Raptors +2.5 v. Pacers | Top | 83-101 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Jesse Schule |
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04-29-16 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 195 | Top | 83-101 | Win | 100 | 58 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-28-16 | Hawks -120 v. Celtics | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 35 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks. Jesse Schule |
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04-27-16 | Blazers v. Clippers OVER 196.5 | Top | 108-98 | Win | 102 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@LAC to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-26-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 199 | Top | 83-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-25-16 | Heat v. Hornets -150 | Top | 85-89 | Win | 100 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets. Jesse Schule. |
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04-24-16 | Hawks +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 95-104 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks. Jesse Schule |
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04-24-16 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 217 | Top | 121-94 | Win | 100 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@HOU to go UNDER the total. |
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04-24-16 | Warriors v. Rockets +9.5 | Top | 121-94 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets. Jesse Schule |
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04-23-16 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 194.5 | Top | 83-100 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total. |
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04-22-16 | Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 181.5 | Top | 96-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@MEM to go OVER the total. |
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04-22-16 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 200.5 | Top | 103-111 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@BOS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-22-16 | Cavs v. Pistons UNDER 200.5 | Top | 101-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@DET to go UNDER the total. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Pistons made 15 three-pointers in Game 1, shooting a staggering 51.7 percent from beyond the arc. They shot better than 50% from the field, hanging around in a close game decided by just five points. I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here in Game 2, or for the rest of the series for that matter. The Cavs were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season, holding opponents to well below 100 points per game. The trend so far in these playoffs has been that points have been hard to come by. The under is 9-4 through the first 13 post-season games, and only one of five Game 2s has gone over. In fact, we've seen fewer points scored in Game 2 than in Game 1 in all five series that have played twice so far. The Pistons led by seven points early in the fourth quarter of Game 1, and that should be enough to convince the Cavs that they need to be a lot better defensively here in Game 2. The Pistons still think they can win this series: "We don't care who you put in front of us," Reggie Jackson said. "We fear nobody and experience is going to be our best teacher. We're going to learn on the fly. We think we have a chance." I expect a battle here in Game 2, with both teams grinding it out for every possession." The Pistons three-point shooting cooled off significantly in Game 2, hitting just 4-of-17 from beyond the arc. They were held to just 37 points in the second half, and I expect another defensive battle in the Motor City tonight. Jesse Schule |
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04-20-16 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 201 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-19-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 205.5 | Top | 72-89 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total. |
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04-17-16 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 203.5 | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-16-16 | Celtics v. Hawks -4.5 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks. Jesse Schule |
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04-13-16 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 88-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@BOS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-13-16 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 201.5 | Top | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@MIL to go UNDER the totaL. The Indiana Pacers have nothing to prove in their final game of the season, as they already know where they will play in the first round of the playoffs. We should expect the Pacers to rest their starters here in Milwaukee, but don't expect the Bucks to treat this like a meaningless game. After a frustrating season, finishing at home on a positive note would be big for the Bucks. They have a solid 23-17 home record, and should be more than capable of beating the Indiana bench players. Even at full strength, the Pacers aren't a great road team with a record of 18-22 outside Indiana. They've failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games, and they have gone under in six straight when playing on back to back nights. The Bucks have gone under in seven of their last nine in Milwaukee. |
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04-12-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 205 | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-09-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 207 | Top | 107-118 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. |
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04-08-16 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 194.5 | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@DAL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-07-16 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 206 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOW) play on CHI@MIA to go UNDER the total. Last week's big bet in the NBA was on the under in a game between the Bulls and the Pistons, and that Bulls lost that game at home by a score of 94-90. They now sit 2.5 games back of the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, and whatever slim hopes they have will end tonight if they lose in Miami. The Heat are in a battle for one of the top four spots, trailing Boston by just half a game. Miami is coming off a 107-89 home win over the Pistons, putting on another defensive clinic. The Heat rank 4th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, surrendering just 98.3 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in six of the last eight. Nine of those 10 games saw a total below 200, and tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-07-16 | Suns v. Rockets -11.5 | Top | 124-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets. Jesse Schule |
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04-06-16 | Rockets v. Mavs UNDER 208.5 | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@DAL to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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04-06-16 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 208.5 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@ORL. Jesse Schule |
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04-05-16 | Pistons v. Heat UNDER 204 | Top | 89-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@MIA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-04-16 | Villanova v. North Carolina UNDER 151.5 | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 45 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VILL@UNC to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-02-16 | Pistons v. Bulls UNDER 205.5 | Top | 94-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOY) play on DET@CHI to go UNDER the total. |
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04-02-16 | Villanova -130 v. Oklahoma | Top | 95-51 | Win | 100 | 150 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOM) play on the Villanova Wildcats. Jesse Schule |
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04-01-16 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 194.5 | Top | 85-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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03-31-16 | Celtics v. Blazers -144 | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trail Blazers. The Celtics are coming off a blowout loss at the Staples Center, losing to the Clippers by a whopping 24 points. They will face the Blazers in Portland tonight, in their first game of a back to back. This is a terrible spot for Boston, as they will undoubtedly be looking ahead to tomorrow's game against the NBA's #1 team at Golden State. As difficult as it is for opposing teams at Oracle Arena, playing in Portland is no picnic. Boston hasn't had much success on the road lately, going 1-6 ATS in it's last seven road games. The Celtics are also a woeful 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games versus teams with a winning home record. The Blazers are 24-12 in Portland this season, and that comes after a slow start. Boston has struggled offensively without Jay Crowder, averaging just 100.7 points per game while going 4-5 since his injury. The Blazers have won five straight at home, scoring an average of 112 points in those victories. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-16 | Bulls v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | Top | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@HOU to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-30-16 | Heat v. Lakers UNDER 207 | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@LAL to go UNDER the total. After a string of uncharacteristically high scoring games, the Miami Heat got back to business on Friday, defeating the Orlando Magic by a score of 108-97. They followed that up with another under in a home win over Brooklyn three days later. I cashed in with the winning total in both those games, and I still think bookmakers are offering an inflated total in tonight's game at LA. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in four of the last five meetings, and nine of the last 11. Most of those games saw a total below 200, and only once did we see a number as high as we see tonight. They've failed to reach the total in four straight meetings at the Staples Center, and the Lakers failed to score 100 points in all of those games. The Heat only broke the century mark once during that span, and that was a 101-95 win on Christmas Day 2013. Miami's defense is ranked 4th in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just over 98 points per game. The Lakers offense is ranked 29th, and they scored just 70 points on 30.6 percent shooting in a home loss to the Wizards on Monday. Rumors of a divided locker room have surfaced, and a rookie PG DeAngelo Russell is at the center of the controversy. The 19 year old appears to be responsible for secretly recording a private conversation with a teammate, and the embarrassing contents of that conversation have since become public. This is a complete disaster for the Lakers, and a situation that isn't going to go away any time soon. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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03-29-16 | Rockets v. Cavs UNDER 214 | Top | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-29-16 | BYU v. Valparaiso -105 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 89 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Valparaiso Crusaders. Jesse Schule |
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03-28-16 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 193 | Top | 75-123 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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03-28-16 | Spurs v. Grizzlies +7.5 | Top | 101-87 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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03-28-16 | Nets v. Heat UNDER 211.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BKN@MIA to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-26-16 | Villanova v. Kansas -145 | Top | 64-59 | Loss | -145 | 34 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. I have a ton of respect for the Villanova Wildcats, who have played as well as anyone in the tournament so far. The fact is, I know the Wildcats have weaknesses, and the same is a lot more difficult to say about Kansas. As well as Villanova played in their blowout win over Miami, they did allow the Hurricanes to shoot 52.3 percent from the field, and 58.8 percent from three-point range. They got away with a less than stellar defensive effort because they barely missed a shot themselves, and they dominated Miami on the boards. They won't get away with that here against Kansas, a team that is perhaps the biggest, most athletic in the country. The Jayhawks aren't just winning, they are covering the spread as well, going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 overall. Kansas is cruising, coming off 17 straight wins, 11 of those in games decided by at least 10 points. Kansas is 9-1 ATS in it's last 10 neutral site game, and has won 10 of 11 at neutral sites this season. The Jayhawks are 19-6 ATS in their last 25 non-conference games. Take KAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-16 | Indiana v. North Carolina -5.5 | Top | 86-101 | Win | 100 | 117 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on North Carolina. Jesse Schule |
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03-25-16 | Magic v. Heat UNDER 211 | Top | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ORL@MIA to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-25-16 | Iowa State v. Virginia -5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 140 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Virginia Cavs (GOW). Jesse Schule |
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03-24-16 | Duke +3.5 v. Oregon | Top | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. Jesse Schule |
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03-24-16 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma -130 | Top | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 77 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. Jesse Schule |
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03-23-16 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 209.5 | Top | 122-101 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@WAS to go UNDER the total. |
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03-21-16 | Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 206 | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@DET to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-20-16 | Wisconsin v. Xavier -4 | Top | 66-63 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Xavier Musketeers. Jesse Schule |
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03-20-16 | Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 192 | Top | 94-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@MIL to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are back on track, coming into tonight's game versus the Bucks in Milwaukee as winners of four of their last five. They've played stellar defense, allowing an average of 87.6 points per game during that span. The Jazz own the league's 2nd ranked defense, allowing an average of 96.7 points per game. They face a Milwaukee team that averages under 100 points per game, ranking 23rd in the NBA in scoring. The Bucks are much better defensively than they are on offense, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Utah's leading scorer Gordon Hayward has missed two of the last three games with plantar fasciitis. He played 37 minutes against the Bulls last night, scoring just nine points on 4-of-13 shooting. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and the Bucks lost 84-81 at Salt Lake City in the most recent meeting. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-16 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 217 | Top | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
his is a 10* play on GS@SA to go UNDER the total. The Spurs are the NBA's best defensive team, holding opponents to an average of just 92.5 points per game. They are still undefeated at home, and they host the League's top team in a marquee matchup on Saturday night. This is a revenge spot for the Spurs, who lost 120-90 at Golden State earlier this year. Note that even that high scoreline wasn't enough to reach the total for tonight's game. In fact, not one of the last 10 meetings between the two teams has seen enough points to reach this inflated number The Warriors are gunning for a record, but this might be one game that they are willing to concede. If things get out of hand early, I think it would be wise for Steve Kerr to rest his starters here in the second game of a back-to-back. If the roles were reversed, you can bet that's would Greg Popovich would do. The under is s 9-3 in Spurs last 12 overall, and four of the Warriors last five visits to San Antonio have failed to reach the total. The Warriors have failed to reach the total in five straight versus teams with a winning record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-16 | Yale v. Duke -6 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. The Yale Bulldogs played about as well as they can possibly play in their opening round win over Baylor, but I think they'll be in way over their heads against Duke on Saturday. We saw Duke handle a bit of adversity overcoming a halftime deficit to beat UNC Wilmington by eight points in their first game, and the Blue Devils are a short favorite here versus Yale. These teams played early in the season, and Duke won that game 80-61. This Blue Devils team has the highest winning percentage in NCAA Tournament history. They have covered the spread in five straight versus the Ivy League, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tourney games. After a slow start against the Seahawks, Marshall Plumlee opted to discard his protective mask, playing with a broken nose fully exposed. He took over down low, scoring 23 points on 9-of-10 shooting. Grayson Allen didn't have a great night shooting, but he scored the majority of his 23 points at the free throw line, going 15-of-17. In the end, Duke just had too much firepower for the Seahawks, and I expect it to be the same story here against Yale. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-16 | VCU -4 v. Oregon State | Top | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 96 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the VCU Rams. |
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03-17-16 | Suns v. Jazz UNDER 198 | Top | 69-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHX@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are back on track, coming into tonight's home game versus Phoenix off three consecutive wins. They've played stellar defense, allowing an average of 92 points per game during that span. The Jazz own the league's 2nd ranked defense, allowing an average of 97 points per game. The Suns aren't exactly a prolific scoring team, ranking 22nd in the NBA in scoring. Three of the last four meetings between these two teams have failed to reach the total, and the under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. The Jazz may need to be even better defensively tonight, missing their leading scorer Gordon Hayward. The under is 27-13-1 in Jazz last 41 home games versus teams with a losing road record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schue |
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03-17-16 | Yale v. Baylor -5.5 | Top | 79-75 | Loss | -106 | 51 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears. We've seen Harvard come out of the Ivy League and shake things up when playing teams from the bigger conferences in the NCAA Tournament. I don't expect this Yale team to compete at that level though, not against a high scoring Baylor team that has been battling it out with the Big Boys of the Big12. Keep in mind that three of the nation's Top 10 teams come from this conference (#1 Kansas, #7 Oklahoma and #8 West Virginia). The Bears last game was a 70-66 loss to #1 ranked Kansas in the Big12 tournament. They had previously beat Texas by double-digits, and I think it's not asking to much of Baylor to beat the Ivy League champs just as easily. Yale doesn't match up well against Baylor's size, with senior forward Justin Sears their tallest starter at 6"8. The Bulldogs have held their own, out-rebounding Ivy League teams by a a double digit margin. It's likely to be a different story against a Baylor team that ranks 15th nationally in rebound margin. Baylor went out early last year, but I don't think they'll let this game get away. They should be able to dominate against an overrated Yale team that faced just one ranked team this season, losing to Duke by 19 points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-16 | Cavs v. Jazz OVER 194.5 | Top | 85-94 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@UTAH to go OVER the total. I bet on last night's Jazz game to go over in Sacramento, and here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "Because the Jazz are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, we often see the bookmakers adjust with a lower number, even in games against teams like Sacramento that tend to play a lot of high scoring games. I don't think they have paid enough attention to Utah's home/away splits though, as clearly their road record of 10-22 would indicate that their defense isn't that strong away from Salt Lake City." The Jazz return home to play their second game of a back to back against the surging Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs have won six of their last seven overall, scoring an average of 114 points in those victories. They've won five of their last six versus the Jazz, and they've scored an average of 108 points in those five wins. These two teams have gone over the total in eight of the last 10 overall meetings, and eight of the last 10 at Salt Lake City. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-16 | Kentucky -3.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 82-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. Texas A&M crushed LSU in the SEC Semi Final yesterday, winning by a whopping 33 points. The Tigers set a new mark for futility, as their 38 total points was the fewest scored by a Power 5 team this season. While it was an impressive performance by Texas A&M, beating up on an a vulnerable LSU team is perhaps not the best way to warmup for a clash with the Wildcats. Kentucky started slow this season, but they come into this game playing as well as anyone. The Wildcats have won five of their last six, with those wins come by an average margin of over 17 points. They shot out the lights against Georgia yesterday, battling back after trailing 49-44 at halftime. They shot 50 percent from the field, and 26-of-30 from the free throw line in the win. The Aggies shot just 56.3 percent from the foul line in their win over LSU. This looks like the type of game that could be decided at the free throw line, and that should favor the Wildcats. Kentucky comes in red hot, shooting better than 50 percent from the field over it's last five games, and better than 45 percent from beyond the arc. I think the Aggies are going to struggle as they step up in class after their easy win yesterday. They've failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 coming off a win of more than 20 points. Take UK. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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03-11-16 | California v. Utah -125 | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes. Jesse Schule |
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03-11-16 | Kansas -5 v. Baylor | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas crushed BIG12 rivals Kansas State on Thursday, and they are the team to beat, ranked #1 in the country. They take on the inconsistent Baylor Bears tonight, and I think the price to back the Jayhawks is more than reasonable. Kansas comes in as winners of 12 straight, and they covered the spread in 10 of those 12 games. They swept the season series with Baylor, and they've won and covered in seven straight against the Bears since 2013. The Bears finished the season as losers of three of their last four games before beating Texas yesterday. They lost 66-60 at home to Kansas during the regular season, and they shot just 36.1 percent from the field in that game. Kansas has plenty of experience playing neutral site games this season, winning five of six. They scored an average of 80.4 points on 48.6 percent shooting in those games. Opponents have averaged just 63 points on 36.7 percent shooting in the Jayhawks last five games. Take KAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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