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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-28-24 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Mariners | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Im betting we have some runline value with this game based on my projections. Note:BELLO is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE in his career with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.636. SERVAIS is 55-58 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 as the manager of SEATTLE with a just a 0.2 rpg diff advantage. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on boston +1.5 runline |
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03-28-24 | Cardinals v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Dodgers took part in a high scoring affair last time out ( week ago) where 26 combined runs were scored and now Im betting on immediate regression. This Cards first game of the regular season, and facing a top tier pitcher in Glasnow projects to be average at best production event. Dodgers starter GLASNOW iin his last 18 appearances as a favorite of -175 to -250 . (Team's Record) has seen a combined score of 6.1 rpg scored. Cards expected starter MIKOLAS is 9-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after scoring 9 runs or more are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-01-23 | Rangers -102 v. Diamondbacks | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Texas Starter Eovaldi allowed five runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings in Game 1, which Texas won 6-5 in 11 innings. He fanned eight and walked one. In eight career regular-season appearances (five starts) against the Diamondbacks, Eovaldi is 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA. EOVALDI is 12-1 against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game in his carrer. (Team's Record) EOVALDI is 11-2 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Texas, owns a record 10-0 on the road in the postseason and matchup well here vs Dbacks starter Zac Gallen who owns a 6.75 ERA in his L/3 play off starts. ARIZONA is 4-18 against the money line in home games against AL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 57-28 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Advantage Texas |
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10-30-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Max Scherzer is still not 100% after returning from a shoulder injury. He pitched 4 innings in his return, allowing five earned runs in an 8-5 loss to the Astros. In his second trip to the hill there was no improvement as he only lasted 2.2 innings while giving uo four hits and two runs.Scherzer's 9.45 postseason ERA does not give me much hope for improvement vs a Texas team that has been explosive on the road in the play offs averaging 6.5 rpg in offense. Meanwhile, despite of Dbacks starter B. Pfaadt having a good post season, it still must be recognized that has a 5.23 regular season ERA overall t and a 5.29 ERA at home. Five of the 6 games between these sides went over this season and Im betting on this one eclipsing the total as well. Texas has allowed an average of 6.1 rpg in their L/7 play off games. SCHERZER is 8-1 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Play over |
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10-27-23 | Diamondbacks +155 v. Rangers | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
In a series like this Im betting pitching trumps offense , and entering this game the Dbacks pitching has been out standing during the post season as was the case against the explosive offense of the Phillies . Here against another top tier offense, Im betting the Dbacks once again have the edge. Aslo considering the struggles of the Rangers at home in the play offs it will not be a hard decision to take the underdog on a value moneyline offering in this spot play. ARIZONA is 9-3 against the money line in playoff games this season ARIZONA is 31-11 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season. TEXAS is 7-15 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. TEXAS is 9-24 against the money line in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are just 20-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | 11-4 | Loss | -122 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Houstons starter Javier (2-0, 1.69 ERA this postseason). The righty allowed two runs on three hits and one walk with three strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings in the Astros' 8-5 victory in Game 3. Javier had not allowed a run in his three previous postseason starts and improved to 4-0 with a 0.82 ERA as a starter in the postseason. Meanwhile, Scherzer the Rangers starter who had been sidelined with a muscle strain in his shoulder did not look good upon his return and is fade material here as I believe he is not 100%. Im betting the Rangers undefeated record on the road in the play offs comes to end tonight. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, teams such as the Texas Rangers trailing 3-games-2 but winning Game 6 on the road by 7+ runs had a Game 7 record of 2-4; the two victories were by the St. Louis Cardinals over the New York Yankees in the 1926 World Series, and by the Detroit Tigers over the St. Louis Cardinals in the 1968 World Series. MLBRoad teams (TEXAS) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), struggling hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 19-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win |
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10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Astros starter VALDEZ is 10-0 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. The Astros left-hander Framber Valdez (0-2, 11.57 ERA this postseason) and here against a desperate group of Rangers who can light things up when under pressure Im betting he continues his futility. Meanwhile, The Rangers will respond with right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (3-0, 2.29), who limited the Astros to three runs on five hits and one walk with nine strikeouts over six innings in Game 2. He did pitch well against them in that tilt, but this is a resilient Astros offense that adjusts well and must not be discounted in their abilities to put runs on the board in a tilt that Im betting will be a higher scoring event that eclipses this total. TEXAS is 11-1 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. BAKER is 23-9 OVER vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage of .440 or better in the second half of the season as the manager of HOUSTON with a combined 12.2 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - after being swept in a 3 game series by a division rival, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 38-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +116 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen (17-9, 3.47 ERA regular season; 2-1, 4.96 postseason) will go against the Phillies' Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 regular season; 2-0, 2.37) . The Dbacks have momentum entering game 5 of this series as they won yesterday 6-5 to tie this series. The energy surrounding the Dbacks right now is very positive and Im willing to ride that wave here on a value line. In the postseason, Gallen defeated the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers before losing at Philadelphia. He is 3-1 with a 2.22 in five career regular-season starts against the Phillies. Dbacks starter GALLEN is 11-1 against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record) GALLEN is 23-8 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)GALLEN is 23-8 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 19-11 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Wheeler. WHEELER is 8-12 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) PHILADELPHIA is 9-20 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. ARIZONA is 15-3 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season. MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 10-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Diamondbacks to win |
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10-20-23 | Astros +103 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 103 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Justin Verlander (13-8, 3.22) takes on Rangers' lefty Jordan Montgomery (10-11, 3.20). Houston offense, has been extremely productive Globe Life Field. The Astros are 8-1 when visiting Texas in 2023 and are averaging nine runs in the nine meetings. Houston has scored 69 runs in its past six games in Arlington and Im betting nothing changes here today.I know Texas left-hander Jordan Montgomery shut out the Astros in game 1 of this series, but the Astros offense has shown great resilience in the past, and have made adjustments on the run, and Im betting thats what they do here as they finally get to Montgomery. Note: The Astros are undefeated on the road in the playoffs and had the best road record in baseball this season and should roll here once again in a ball park that they thrive in. Play on Houston to win |
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10-19-23 | Astros +105 v. Rangers | 10-3 | Win | 105 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Astros starter URQUIDY is 13-3 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 5-0 in his career when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 0.761. and gets my support here again. The Astros have scored 59 runs in their last five road games against the Texas Rangers after yesterdays 8 run and output and Im betting more explosive is on the way. TEXAS is 9-22 against the money line in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons HOUSTON is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. HOUSTON is 16-3 against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 30-14 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 10-33 L/26 seasons for a go against for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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10-18-23 | Astros +120 v. Rangers | 8-5 | Win | 120 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Texas right-hander Max Scherzer (13-7, 3.77 ERA regular season), who is making his first start since Sept. 12 after sustaining a major muscle strain in his pitching shoulder. Im sure Scherzer velocity will be down and rust could easily see him beaten around by a Rangers offense that could at any time explode for a boatload full of runs. Meanwhile, Astros starter Javier hasn't allowed a run in three career postseason starts. The right-hander has allowed two hits in 16 1/3 innings in those starts, including a top tier six innings no-hitter against the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 4 of last year's World Series.Javier, will be making his second start of this postseason. He defeated the Minnesota Twins in Game 3 of the AL Division Series, when he allowed one hit in five scoreless innings. Javier, who is 5-1 with a 1.91 ERA in 15 postseason appearances and get my support here today. JAVIER is 10-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is 10-1 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) AVIER is 8-0 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 9-0 against the money line in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. HOUSTON is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season. HOUSTON is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 40-16 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -1.5 | 0-10 | Win | 136 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Arizona lost game 1 of this series by a 5-3 count and Im betting they will lose this game as well vs what my power rankings suggest is the superior side. Phillies have won 17 of their L/24 overall play off games, and have now won 3 straight post season games by 2 or more runs. I know Dbacks Kely is a quality hurler, but the Phillies sometimes explosive batting order can make the best of pitchers look ordinary as was the case in game one of this series vs Zac Gallen. Also it must be noted that the Phillies pitching staff is also in top form and have not allowed more than 3 runs and 6 of their L/7 tilts. With that said, Phillies starter Nola won Game 3 of the NLDS last Wednesday, when he allowed two runs over 5 2/3 innings in the Phillies' 10-2 victory. He is 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA in seven career postseason starts. Momementum resides in the City of Brotherly Love. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or more ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games and 49-30 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play on Philadelphia -1.5 runline |
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10-16-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 102 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Previous to yesterdays 2-0 loss to the Rangers Houston smashed out 30 home runs against Texas in the 13 reg season games they played against them this season including 25 in the last seven regular season matchups in this series. Im betting they bounce back here today and continue that trend against upstart Texas bullpen that ranked 24th this season in MLB. . Previous to yesterdays muted offensive effort from the Astros they crushed the ball in the post season and accumulated 10 home runs in the four-game series with Minnesota. HOUSTON is 33-18 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined 10 rpg scored. BAKER is 20-89OVER vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage of .440 or better in the second half of the season as the manager of HOUSTON. TEXAS is 11-2 OVER after shutting out their opponent this season with a combined average of 13 rpg scored. Astros starter VALDEZ is 9-0 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. BOCHY is 34-17 OVER (+16.4 Units) in road games after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games in all games with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. Play on the over MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TEXAS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, in October games are 48-21 OVER L/ 5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
Houston smashed out 30 home runs against the Rangers in the 13 games they played against this season including 25 in the last seven matchups in this series. Im betting they continue that trend today against Montgomery and the banged up and exhausted Rangers bullpen that ranked 24th this season in MLB. . The Astros' continue to pound the ball in the post season and have accumulated 10 home runs in the four-game series with Minnesota. HOUSTON is 33-17 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined 10.5 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 37-26 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg. BAKER is 20-8 OVER vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage of .440 or better in the second half of the season as the manager of HOUSTON. On the flips side, Texas ha averaged 5.3 rpg vs right handed pitchers like Verlander adn their offense has come to life recently scoring 18 runs in their L/2 games entering this tilt and must not be discounted in their ability to respond to the Astros today . TEXAS is 43-26 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. Play on the over |
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10-12-23 | Braves v. Phillies +131 | 1-3 | Win | 131 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Philadelphia starter SUAREZ is 7-0 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)SUAREZ is 24-8 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Strider the Braves starter is 0-2 record in two playoff starts against the Phillies, along with an ERA of 5.79. THOMSON is 18-7 against the money line in October games as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), in October games are 12-37 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phillies |
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10-11-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 10 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
I know these two starting pitchers LAs Lynn and Arizonas Pfaadt have some hefty ERAs, but both are still viable pitchers and have strong support from their respective bullpens. PFAADT is 12-3 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.9. rpg scored. Lynn is 6-1 lifetime against the Diamondbacks with a 2.96 ERA in 14 appearances (12 starts). LA DODGERS are 11-2 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse this season with a combined average of 8.6 rpg going on the board. ARIZONA is 14-5 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 22-9 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 rpg. Arizona is 2-7-1 UNDER L/10 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 121 games (+12.35 Units / 9% ROI) MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team (1.5 or more HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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10-10-23 | Orioles v. Rangers -133 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 1.35 ERA) will start Game 3 for the Rangers Rangers starter EOVALDI is 19-5 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) EOVALDI is 11-2 against the money line in playoff games since 1997. (Team's Record) Os Right-hander Dean Kremer (13-5, 4.12 ERA regular season) gets the ball for the Orioles. Im sure he has butterflies as he prepares for his biggest start of his life.Kremer, lost to Texas on May 27 when he gave up three runs and five hits over 6 1/3 innings. Overall, he's 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA in three career starts versus the Rangers and according to my power rankings does matchup well vs this explosive Rangers offense. TEXAS is 20-6 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season. TEXAS is 24-12 against the money line against AL East opponents this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings. are 8-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games. are 11-30 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks used a six-run first inning against Dodgers legend Clayton Kershaw in Game 1, scoring five of those runs before making their first out of the evening, to earn an 11-2 victory on Saturday and its now bounce back time for a now wide awake Dodgers team. Dbacks starter Gallen gave up five earned runs in a start seven times this season and two were against the Dodgers, including Aug. 28 at Los Angeles where he allowed career-worst four homers whike serving up six runs in a 7-4 loss. That came during a three-game sweep by the Dodgers when the D-backs were outscored 23-5. My power rankings suggest Gallen does not matchup well here vs a explosive Dodgers batting order. Dodgers starter Miller faced the D-backs twice this season and went 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 12 innings. LA DODGERS are 15-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Gallen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.3 which qualifies on this runline offering. LA DODGERS are 17-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.5 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. ARIZONA is 2-15 against the money line in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering in at -3.2 which qualifies on this run line offering. MLB. Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season are 35-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3. Play on LA Dodgers to win -1.5 |
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10-09-23 | Phillies v. Braves -147 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Left-hander Max Fried (8-1, 2.55 ERA regular season) will start for the Braves against Philadelphia right-hander Zack Wheeler (1-0, 1.35 this postseason). Fried started once against Philadelphia this season and allowed one run in five innings during a no-decision. Wheeler has pitched well against the Braves this season, but are an explosive offensive side that will eventually figure opposing pitchers out, and that is what Im betting on tonight. ATLANTA is 20-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Wheeler whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season. WHEELER is 7-11 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) FRIED is 24-9 ( against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 22-7 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 in his career (Team's Record) MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70) or less (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 91-31 L/5 seams for a 75% conversion rate! MLB- Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, in October games are 17-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-08-23 | Rangers v. Orioles -114 | 11-8 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Texas won the opener of the best-of-five series 3-2 over top-seeded Baltimore on Saturday for their third straight post season road win. But Im betting the run ends today. Rangers starter MONTGOMERY is 10-21 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 3-10 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 0-7 against the money line after giving up no earned runs last outing this season. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 37-18 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Note: Orioles starter Rodriguez since returning from the minors in July was 5-2 along with a very respectable 2.58 ERA in 13 starts . According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here vs Montgomery and company. BALTIMORE is 17-6 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games, in October games are 76-29 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are just 12-31 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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10-07-23 | Phillies +184 v. Braves | 3-0 | Win | 184 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Phillies starter SUAREZ is 6-0 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Suarez, has previously faced this Atlanta batting order in the postseason, having allowed one run on three hits in 3 1/3 innings of a no-decision in Game 1 of the 2022 NLDS. He posted a 2-0 record with a 1.23 ERA and a save in five appearances (three starts) during the postseason and I m backing him today. Note:Suarez allowed just one run on four hits and struck out seven over six innings in a no-decision against Atlanta on June 20. On the flipside I know Atlantas starter Strider was 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA in four starts this season against the Phillies , but all good and bad runs must come to an end. ATLANTA is 5-12 against the money line in home games when playing in the 1rst game of a playoff series since 1997. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 against the money line in road games when playing in the 1rst game of a playoff series since 1997.PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Philadelphia |
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10-07-23 | Twins +137 v. Astros | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 57 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 Justin Verlander (13-8) is the starter in game 1 of this series for the Houston Astros. The Minnesota Twins have yet to name a starting pitcher for this tilt. Houston, is rested but rusty after getting a bye in the first round as they smash and grabbed the AL West from the Rangers on the final day of the regular season. Before sweeping their last three tilts, the Astros were in a funk recording a sub par 13-14 record over their final 27 games any may.not be the perennial favorite vs the Twins. I know the the Astros are the defending World Series champions , so they get alot of respect, but here in game 1 they look vulnerable considering their late season form. It must also be noted that the Twins have a deep starting five -quality starters (Pablo Lopez, Sonny Gray, Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober, Kenta Maeda) that can definitely keep them in this series. Also from. a offensive perspective Minnesota had the league’s highest OPS over the month of September and are capable of keeping up with the Astros vaunted attack. We have to remember that Minny took 4 of 6 from the astros this season and are viable underdogs here in game 1. The Twins are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been listed as underdogs in their last 10 trips to the diamonds. This year, Minnesota has won four of 10 games when listed as at least +132 or worse on the moneyline. HOUSTON is 4-9 against the money line in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. HOUSTON is 13-22 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 52-27 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-04-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 143 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
The Phillies Im betting get the series sweep when they host the Miami Marlins in Game 2 of a wild-card series on Wednesday. Philadelphia took the opener of the best-of-three set 4-1 on Tuesday and my projections make them strong favs for a convincing victory tonight. My power rankings suggest Braxton Garrett, a f hurler who has never pitched in the playoffs and went 9-7 with a 3.66 ERA in 31 games (30 starts) this season does not matchup well here vs this explosive Phillies batting order. In yesterdays win every Philadelphia player in the starting lineup had at least one hit of the team's 11 total hits. Rinse and repeat here today. MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), in October games are 30-10 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline |
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10-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins -128 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Blue Jays right-hander Jose Berrios will take the mound in Game 2. He went 11-12 with a 3.65 ERA in 32 starts this season and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not match up favorably vs Minnesotas batting order. Meanwhile, Gray the Twins starter finished strong down the stretch, recording a stingy 1.54 ERA in his final seven starts of the regular season. He walked five and struck out 36 in 41 innings and gets my support here. TORONTO is 6-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-03-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins -105 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 40 m | Show | |
Minnesota has a record of 67-44, a 60.4% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season and once again according to my own projections have the edge in this tilt vs the Blue Jays. It must be noted despite of the talent the Jays have in their batting order they have for the most part failed to live up to expectations and are lucky to be in this position as their offense has a collective .256 batting average (just barely above the Mendoza line), and rank seventh in the league with 1422 total hits and 14th in MLB with 746 runs scored. It has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.416) and ranks 16th in home runs (188) in all of MLB. Torontos starter GAUSMAN is 15-22 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 1-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.500. MINNESOTA is 23-5 against the money line in home games after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out.
MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 8-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-03-23 | Rangers v. Rays -140 | 4-0 | Loss | -140 | 30 h 29 m | Show | |
The Rays have entered the game as favorites 130 times this season and won 86, or 66.2%, of those games and my projections estimate they deserve their fav status here today vs a Rangers side, that has been highly inconsistent since the all star break. Note: Glasnow the Rays right-hander starter today is off five scoreless innings while surrendering just two hits.In 21 games this season, he has put up an ERA of 3.60, with 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .209 against him and he once again looks to help his team find the W column in the opening game of this post season tilt. I know the Rangers can light up the scoreboard when in form, but it must be noted that the Rays are among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking fourth with 860 total runs this season. MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games, in October games are 75-28 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games, in October games are 11-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win |
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09-30-23 | Red Sox v. Orioles -125 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Orioles (100-60) had won five in a row before losing 3-0 on Friday, a night after they clinched the American League East title with a 2-0 victory over the Red Sox. They were obviously in a emotional letdown situation in that game , and will be primed to get the win here as they do not want to enter the play offs in a losing mode.QUOTE: "It was a big night for us (Thursday) night, and we just didn't play our best baseball (on Friday), and those things happen," Hyde said. "Hopefully, we'll rebound and play a better game." END QUOTE Baltimores starter GIBSON is 15-6 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) GIBSON is 22-11 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 29-9 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 16-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orioles to win |
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09-30-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays -114 | 7-5 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays can clinch a wild-card spot and win their three-game series versus the visiting Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday afternoon. Tampa Bay already has a wild card spot in the play offs and now just want to make sure their lineup is healthy entering the post season. Meanwhile, the Jays still need to guarantee their post season appearance with a victory and will be ready to play all out baseball to get there. The Blue Jays are scheduled to start left-hander Hyun Jin Ryu (3-3, 3.31 ERA) on Saturday. The Rays are scheduled to open with right-handed reliever Shawn Armstrong (1-0, 1.41 ERA). In 18 career relief outings against Toronto, he is 0-0 with an 8.31 ERA. The Blue Jays got to him for two runs on four hits in just one-third of an inning on Sept. 23 and according to my pitcher vs batting order match up well against him. This will be a bullpen game for the Rays, and players will be rested so the advantage goes to the more motivated side. Play on Toronto to win |
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09-29-23 | Guardians -105 v. Tigers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Cleveland starter QUANTRILL is 11-1 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) QUANTRILL is 18-8 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Quantrill threw six shutout innings at Detroit in a vwin on April 19. He is 3-2 with a 2.82 ERA in nine career outings against the Tigers, including six starts Meanwhile, Left-hander Joey Wentz (3-12, 6.45 ERA) will start the series opener for Detroit. He pitched well against the Guardians this season in two starts, but Im betting the Guardians will have him figured out in the third starts a charm scenario. This baseball group from Motown has been playing better of late, but that has not been a recipe for success this season as DETROIT is 4-13 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. DETROIT is 13-25 against the money line in home games in night games this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 57-18 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (AL), playing on Friday are 14-36 L/5 seasons for a for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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09-27-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies +1.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rockies when playing at home, area dangerous underdog opponent. Coors Field is a wild card environment, and that was evident when Colorado took game one of this series as close +200 underdogs. Im once again betting on the spoilers giving the Dodgers all they can handle today making the runline a viable investment option. MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 11-39 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. Play on Colorado +1.5 runline |
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09-26-23 | Astros +131 v. Mariners | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
Astros starter JAVIER is 11-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is 9-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) George Kirby the Mariners starter has slowed considerably of late, after a decent campaign, as is evident by a 5.16 ERA in his L/3 starts. With Houston averaging 5.8 rpg on the road this season, the Astros look like viable bets here today behind Javier going against Kirby. Both bullpens are viable, so the staring p[itching and offensive production considerations are what have me on the Astros. HOUSTON is 33-14 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. SEATTLE is 8-14 against the money line in September games this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 51-26 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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09-26-23 | Diamondbacks v. White Sox +1.5 | 15-4 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks will give the ball to right-hander Zach Davies (2-5, 6.81 ERA). Davies has not pitched more than four innings in any of his past three starts. His ERA was 7.11 on June 18, and it has not gone below 6.37 since then. He is fade material in his current form, and is being over rated here on this RL line offering. In two career starts against the White Sox, Davies is 0-1 with a 10.57 ERA. He gave up nine runs on 13 hits in 7 2/3 innings during those tilts. I know the White Sox Urena has not pitched much better, but it must be noted that the Dbacks are 0-6 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-11 ) against the money line vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (CHI WHITE SOX) - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or more over his last 10 starts are 63-17 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago White Sox on the +1.5 runline |
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09-26-23 | Cubs v. Braves -130 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The pitching matchup in the series opener features Atlanta right-hander Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.63) against Chicago lefty Justin Steele (16-5, 3.00). Steele has been beaten around in his last two outings, giving up six runs in each start. He lasted only three innings and allowed six runs on eight hits in his most recent start last Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates and is fade material here in his current form. ATLANTA is 24-8 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like Steele. CHICAGO CUBS are 3-10 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents this season MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 93-31 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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09-24-23 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 10.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
After yesterdays 13-12 slugfest Im betting on immediate offensive regression here in a game with huge post season implications for the Reds. CINCINNATI is 15-4 UNDER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 21-8 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 55-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play under |
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09-24-23 | Pirates +140 v. Reds | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh (74-81) rallied from a 9-0 deficit on Saturday, putting up 13 consecutive runs from the fourth into the eighth inning in a wild, 13-12 final and have momentum coming into this tilt in the spoilers role. Note: Reds starter Brandon Williamson (4-5, 4.56 ERA) will start Sunday . The rookie left-hander has not posted a win since striking out nine over 6 2/3 innings against Miami on Aug. 7 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. CINCINNATI is 0-8 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. is 1-8 against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season. MLB team (CINCINNATI) - after allowing 10 runs or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on Pirates to win |
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09-23-23 | Brewers -116 v. Marlins | 4-5 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Woodruff in limited action has been brilliant this season -- 5-1 with a 1.89 ERA. In his past five starts, Woodruff is 3-0 with a 1.06 ERA and in three career starts against the Marlins, he is 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA. Rinse and repeat here vs a Marlins side that is slumping as is evident by three losses in their past four games. They also have lost four of five matchups with the Brewers over the past two weeks and Im betting on them adding to those negative numbers today. MILWAUKEE is 22-15 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. MILWAUKEE is 38-18 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MIAMI is 16-37 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 53-109 L/26 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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09-22-23 | Mariners v. Rangers -109 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Rookie right-hander Bryce Miller (8-5, 3.88 ERA) will start the opener for Seattle.Miller is winless over his past five starts and has looked fatigued on occasion. Meanwhile, Right-hander Dane Dunning (10-6, 3.78) will go to the hill for Texas. He gave up six hits in five shutout innings during a no-decision against the Cleveland Guardians on Saturday and enters this tilt in good form. Dunning won vs the the Mariners on May 10 when he gave up two runs and six hits over six innings and gets my support here tonight. TEXAS is 19-6 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season.(Beat Boston 15-5 last time out) SEATTLE is 8-20 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 89-40 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 32-85 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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09-20-23 | Orioles -103 v. Astros | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Baltimore took out Houston yesterday by a 9-5 count and are viable options to do the same again today. The Astros dropped to 38-39 at home with four games left on the home schedule. Orioles starter BRADISH is 10-0 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BRADISH is 15-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) BRADISH is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Bradish is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA over two career starts against the Astros. The righty went eight scoreless innings against Houston on Aug. 26, 2022, then he garnered another 8 2/3 shutout frames vs. the Astros on Sept. 22, 2022. Bradish has allowed just four hits and two walks while striking out 16 in those outings. The flipside, Houstons starter Javier went 2-0 in five starts in August despite of garnering 6.17 ERA and .922 opponents' OPS with 16 walks and 16 strikeouts in 23 1/3 innings. In his current form he is fade material agains this type of sometimes explosive offense. HOUSTON is 3-8 against the money line in home games in September games this season. BALTIMORE is 12-2 against the money line in road games against AL West opponents this season.BALTIMORE is 9-4 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-19-23 | Rockies v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Colorado has allowed 22 runs in their L/2 games, and with their bullpen showing exhaustion Im betting they get pummeled again vs a Padres offense that come to life of late as is evident by average 7.6 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. Considering the Rockies bats have also looked alert in recent games averaging 7 rpg in their L/7 games Im betting we see a fairly high scoring affair. COLORADO is 7-0 OVER in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 13.1 rpg scored. COLORADO is 24-12 OVER after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scorecd.
Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (COLORADO) - allowing 5.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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09-19-23 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Los Angeles (68-82) without their injured star Shohei Ohtani are fade material in their current form. Halos starter SANDOVAL is 1-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 14-31 SU when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clicking in -2.3 .
TAMPA BAY is 18-3 SU vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with the 3.6 rpg diff .TAMPA BAY is 37-11 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which easily qualifies on this runline offering from the books. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 38-8 L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the a rpg diff of +3.1. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win -1.5 runline |
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09-18-23 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Milwaukees starter PERALTA is 16-2 OVER in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. (Peralta allowed one run on two hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 3-1 victory over the Miami Marlins last Tuesday) PERALTA is 1-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.80 and a WHIP of 1.580. Cards starter Wainwright (4-11, 7.95 ERA) picked up victory in his last out in the Cardinals' 5-2 victory over the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday. However, prior to that he went 0-10 with a 10.72 ERA.MILWAUKEE is 12-1 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse over the last 2 seasons like Wainwright with 12.5 rpg going on the board. Wainwright owns a bloated 7.95 ERA on the season, and looks to be worn out entering this game, giving credence to what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring game right out of the gate. Play over |
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09-17-23 | Padres v. A's +1.5 | 10-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
OAKLAND is 13-0 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse since 1997 like San Diegos starter Martinez who currently owns a 1.935 WHIP on the season overall. SAN DIEGO is 31-42 against the money line in road games this season. Oakland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games and Im betting they keep it close today or pull of the ML underdog upset. The safest high probability bet at the most viable price is to take the run-line. Play on the As to cover +1.5 on the runline |
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09-16-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -121 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
After yesterdays 3-0 loss to the Blue Jays the BoSox have now lost 8 of their L/10 games and are fade material in their current form. Yesterday the Jays snapped a 4 games losing streak and now have some momentum on their sides and with Bassit who owns a 2.55 ERA in his L/3 starts on the hill have an edge over Boston starter Sale and a bullpen that is sub par as is evident by a 4.34 ERA on the season. Note: Bassitt is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA vs the BoSox and his career. He beat the Red Sox on Aug. 6 after throwing seven innings of one-run ball. SALE is 17-24 against the money line in September games since 1997. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 12-40 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 3-17 against the money line in road games after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a same season 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a winning team are 6-29 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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09-15-23 | Reds +100 v. Mets | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Left-hander David Peterson (3-8, 5.34 ERA) is slated to start for the Mets against right-hander Hunter Greene (4-6, 4.43). Greene returned from the COVID-19 injured list on Sunday, and he earned the win after allowing just an unearned run on one hit over six innings in the Reds' 7-1 victory over the visiting St. Louis Cardinals and has momentum entering this tilt as gives the Reds the advantage here today. CINCINNATI is 11-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. NY METS are 4-11 against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CINCINNATI) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 56-18 L/5 seasons for a76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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09-15-23 | Yankees v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
In the opener, New York right-hander Gerrit Cole (13-4, 2.79 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh right-hander Johan Oviedo (8-14, 4.34). My projections estimate that the Yankees will score 5 plus runs and the Pirates 3 plus runs which gives us an edge on an over ticket cashing here today. PITTSBURGH is 11-3 OVER in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 16-4 OVER after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. BOONE is 20-8 OVER vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 9.3 rpg scorec. MLB road teams (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 44-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the over |
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09-13-23 | Padres v. Dodgers -126 | 6-1 | Loss | -126 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 10-18 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 14-25 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Snell has had a strong season, but the Dodgers can make the best of pitcher look average. Im betting that will be the situation today. Snell has lost 2 of 3 starts vs the dodgers this season. LA DODGERS are 26-9 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. LA DODGERS are 21-8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 70-38 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-12-23 | Padres v. Dodgers -150 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
After taking it on the chin yesterday by a 11-8 count Im betting the Dodgers come back with a big time bounce back effort today vs the Padres. LA DODGERS are 40-17 against the money line after a loss this season. LA DODGERS are 15-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more this season. LA DODGERS are 34-12 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Padres starter Wacha. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 88-30 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LAD to win |
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09-11-23 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 9.5 | 11-8 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
Padres Pedro Avila goes to the hill. The righty is 1-2 with a 2.19 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. Avila is 0-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Dodgers and matches up well here. Avila just pitched 6.2 scoreless innings against the PadresThe Padres pitching staff is 4th in ERA (3.86), 16th in WHIP (1.29) and 4th in quality starts (66). On the flip side, G.Stone despite of not pitching well goes against, a Padres offense that is highly inconsistent, as is evident , by a offense that is ranked in 17th in runs per game (4.55), 22nd in batting average (.242). Everything points to a lower scoring affair. SAN DIEGO is 7-0 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season with a combined average of 6.7 rpg. SAN DIEGO is 33-17 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season with a combined average of 8.1 rpg going on the board. SAN DIEGO is 12-2 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. ROBERTS is 48-30 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of LA DODGERS with a combined average of 8.4 rpg. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 43-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Play on the under |
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09-11-23 | Braves v. Phillies +130 | 10-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is currently four games up in the first NL Wild Card spot and will be playing hard against a team that already has their post season destiny in hand. Advantage Phillies. Atlantas starter MORTON is 17-32 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MORTON is 5-8 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.92 and a WHIP of 1.575. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 49-104 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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09-10-23 | Orioles -102 v. Red Sox | 3-7 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Baltimore has won 7 straight games and has big time momentum going into this tilt. I know The Red Sox are desperate and Bello their starter is a consistent go to pitcher, but considering how explosive the Os batting order is right now very few pitchers in this league could handle them in their current form. BALTIMORE is 9-0 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive overs this season. BOSTON is 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 4-12 against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more 2 straight games since 1997. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-09-23 | Orioles +130 v. Red Sox | 13-12 | Win | 130 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The Os smashed the Bosox 11-2 yesterday and have momentum entering this tilt after 6 straight wins. Baltimores starter FLAHERTY is 18-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Y is 10-1 against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Boston sends lefty Chris Sale (6-3, 4.46). Sale's velocity has been down since he returned from a stress reaction in his left shoulder blade , and against this type of offense could easily have problems. BOSTON is 6-16 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 10-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-08-23 | Padres v. Astros -123 | 11-2 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 3-14 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)SNELL is 8-15 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 17-0 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) like the Fathers starter Snell over the last 3 seasons. Snell has pitched well overall this season, but the Astros have a recent history of taking advantage of hurlers with sub par control. the Padres southpaw has recorded the most walks (89) and wild pitches (12) in the majors this season. SAN DIEGO is 4-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-21 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB team (HOUSTON) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 47-11 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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09-07-23 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 10.5 | 5-8 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
FRIED is 4-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.35 and a WHIP of 0.857 and Im projecting another top tier effort from a quality pitcher in good form as is evident by a current 2.52 ERA on the season.The Braves pitching has imploded in their L/2 games, and they will be primed to right that ship today. Meanwhile, Cards starter Wainwright has gone 10-4 with a 3.42 ERA against the Braves in 21 games (16 starts) since the 2003 season and despite of some inconsistencies during this campaign is still capable of slowing . down the Braves explosive offense. ST LOUIS is 51-36 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.4 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team ( 5.0 or more runs/game) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or worse) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (ST LOUIS) - after 3 straight games where they committed no errors, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 1.900 or more over his last 10 starts are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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09-06-23 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks (71-68) after a loss yesterday are in what you might call as deseration mode even. they are currently one game behind the Cincinnati Reds in the battle for the National League's third wild-card spot. The Miami Marlins are a half-game ahead of Arizona. They need to win and will be very motivated. Rockies starter Flexen owns a ugly 1-6 record along with a bloated 7,83 ERA on the season and is fade material here according to my power rankings. Flexen is 1-2 with a 5.94 ERA in seven starts since joining the Rockies. Flexen is 1-1 with a 5.48 ERA in four career starts against Arizona. Advantage Arizona on the runline. Arizonas starter Davies limited the Baltimore Orioles to one run and four hits over six innings in a 4-2 win on Friday and has momentum entering this tilt. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 56-9 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Arizona to win -1.5 runline |
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09-05-23 | Dodgers -149 v. Marlins | 3-6 | Loss | -149 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Kershaw (12-4, 2.48 ERA) had a six-week absence earlier this season with a wore shoulder and since his return, and recently he has recorded a stingy 2.12 ERA over his last 17 innings and looks to have shaken off the shoulder issues. Meanwhile his pitching opponent from the Marlins Luzardo has pitched better of late had a a three-start malfunction at the beginning of August when he went 0-3 with an 11.68 ERA. He can be a viable pitcher but here against this explosive Dodgers offense Im betting he relapses again. LA DODGERS are 83-37 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-31 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 3-15 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - team with a good SLG (.430 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 39-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers |
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09-05-23 | Twins v. Guardians +100 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Twins starter GRAY is 1-7 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest Guardians rookie right-hander Tanner Bibee (10-3, 3.03), matches up well here vs Gray and the Twins offense. Advantage Cleveland on a value line. CLEVELAND is 23-9 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 2-8 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) this season.
MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - team with a sub par SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%. are 29-9 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) are 36-13 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland |
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09-04-23 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Rockies have lost 11 of their last 14 games and look completely asleep at the proverbial wheel. The Rockies have lost each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record. Meanwhile, Diamondbacks are battling with the Marlins, Giants, and Reds for the last wild card spot and need wins badly and Im betting will play like it here today. Merrill Kelly gets the ball, and he is 10-6 with a 3.31 ERA and 147 strikeouts this season and gives the Dbacks the edge on the hill. KELLY is 10-1 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.4. COLORADO is 3-34 against the money line as an underdog of +200 or more this season with a average rpg diff of +3.6 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or more hitters each of his last 2 outings are 76-13 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average rpg diff of +2.5 going on the board. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 45-4 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average run per game diff clicking in at +2.1 which qualifies on this runline offering. Play on Dbacks -1.5 to cover on the runline |
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09-04-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -122 | 7-3 | Loss | -122 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Bostons starter BELLO is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.857 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well here vs the Rays. TAMPA BAY is 21-5 against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a same season 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a winning team are 5-29 L/26 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 10 games are 96-25 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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09-03-23 | Twins +124 v. Rangers | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Twins are playing much better ball than the Rangers recently winning 4 of their L/6 overall including the first two games of this series . The Rangers have been particularly inconsistent at home where they are 0-6 L/6 (-9.70 Units / -100% ROI). Advantage once again resides with the Twins as road dogs here in game 3 of this series. Twins starter MAEDA is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 1.149 and his team has won all 3 career starts vs the Rangers. Texas starter Gray is 3-11 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 51-25 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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09-02-23 | Tigers v. White Sox -105 | 10-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Clevinger (6-6, 3.32 ERA) grabbed a victory vs Oakland Athletics on Sunday behind seven innings of one-run ball with two walks and a season-high 10 strikeouts. He has been dominant against Detroit in his career, going 8-2 with a 1.63 ERA in 14 appearances, including 13 starts and Im betting his gives his team an edge here today. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse ) (AL), starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 33-16 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago White Sox |
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09-01-23 | Braves -117 v. Dodgers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
ATLANTA is 16-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Dodgers starter Urias. Note:Urias (11-7, 4.41 ERA) was the NL ERA champion a season ago, but he has been unable to back in top form and he also has suffered injury issues missing six weeks in the first half with a hamstring injury. He has been inconsistent since returning, registering four starts in which he allowed one run or none, three in which he gave up two or three runs, and three in which he allowed five plus runs. Braves starter FRIED is 16-6 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) FRIED is 35-12 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team (1.5 or more HR's/game) vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 6-34 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 55-18 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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09-01-23 | Tigers -128 v. White Sox | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Chicago will send right-hander Touki Toussaint (2-6, 4.85 ERA). He been beaten up pretty hard but did have a good start last time out vs the lowly As, which still does not get me past some of his recent ugly performances. Meanwhile, Motown will send south paw Eduardo Rodriguez (9-7, 3.21)to the hill to face the White Sox. He is coming off a home loss to Houston on Saturday, when he allowed four runs and five hits in 4 2/3 innings with a season-high four walks and one strikeout.. In nine career starts versus Chicago covering 52 1/3 innings, he is 3-0 with a 3.61 ERA and gets my support here.RODRIGUEZ is 10-1against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 17-31 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons like Rodriguez. CHI WHITE SOX are 13-31 ) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games this season. (Just finished a 3 game set at Baltimore)
Play on Detroit Tigers to win |
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08-31-23 | Braves v. Dodgers +125 | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
Both these teams are red hot and both sides have starting pitchers who are in a top tier groove entering this tilt as Atlanta send Strider to the hill and the Dodgers send the veteran Lynn. . However is must be noted that the LA DODGERS are 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Strider and have an edge here playing at home. ATLANTA is 13-21 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 12-1 against the money line in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. LA DODGERS are 50-16 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 55 games at home (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI) MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 112-44 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-30-23 | Rangers v. Mets +1.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The first two games in this series have been won by 1 run deficits and Im betting on another close tilt . SHOWALTER is 20-5 against the money line in home games after 2 straight one run losses in all games he has managed since 1997 with the average rpg diff clicking in at +0.6 which qualifies on this runline offering. Rangers starter DUNNING is 2-10 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 5-17 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 2-17 against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 4-17 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (TEXAS) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games are 11-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on the NY Mets to win +1.5 runline |
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08-30-23 | Padres v. Cardinals -106 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Padres starter Hill is 0-3 along with a bloated 9.53 ERA in his L/3 starts and is once again fade material according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. HILL is 14-25 against the money line in August games in his career (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 39-51 against the money line against right-handed starters this season like Cards starter Mikolas and have averaged just 4.3 rpg in offensive production vs orthodox pitching. SAN DIEGO is 9-18 against the money line against NL Central opponents this season.SAN DIEGO is 16-30 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. ST LOUIS is 8-1 at home against SAN DIEGO over the last few seasons after last nights win. Note:The Cardinals have won 16 of their last 17 day games against NL West opponents following a home win. Play on St.Louis to win |
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08-30-23 | Angels v. Phillies -163 | 10-8 | Loss | -163 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
Phillies have won 5 straight and have an edge again today vs a very inconsistent Halos. PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season like LAA starter Detrmers. ETMERS is 6-15 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record) Angels have struggled vs lefties like Phillies Sanchez during the last month as is evident by a 56 wRC+ with a 6.8% walk rate and a 27.1% strikeout rate. LA ANGELS are 3-15 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 against the money line in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 15 games, playing on Wednesday are 8-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phillies to win |
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08-29-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-9 | Win | 107 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
KELLY has never beaten the Dodgers in his career going 0-10 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.614 . Nothing changes tonight as the Dodgers with future HOF pitcher on the hill Kershaw have the edge. Kershaw is 5-1 along with a stingy 1.72 ERA at home this season. LA DODGERS are 22-4 SU in August games this season with a rpg diff of +2.6. Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 13-84 L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on this run line offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 4-45 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAD to win -1.5 runline |
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08-28-23 | Guardians +147 v. Twins | 6-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Guardians trail the first-place Twins in the AL Central by six games with 31 to play and need wins badly and will be very motivated to compete here tonight in the opener of this series. “These are going to be playoffs games,” said Laureano. “We go to Minneapolis now and then we play them again at home. This is the playoffs.” A sense of desperation will have me backing Cleveland to bring home the cash in game 1 of this series. Twins stater MAEDA is 6-16 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in his career. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 9-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 31-15 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 66% ROI) MLB team (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 9 or more innings are 15-41 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 50-24 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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08-27-23 | Braves -108 v. Giants | 5-8 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Braves are playing top tier baseball entering this game as is evident by garnering wins in 9 of their L/11 including yesterdays 7-3 win vs the Giants. I know Atlanta starter Shuster may not inspire bettors, but the Braves are a team with a winning mind set , and almost always have the edge, especially against inconsistent sides like SF who are mired in a slump that has seen them lost 7 of their L/9 overall. ATLANTA is 33-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.ATLANTA is 39-15 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 2-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.KAPLER is 18-26 against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO MLB team (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 41-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-27-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Mariners | 2-3 | Win | 122 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
After smashing out a 15-2 win yesterday vs the Royals Im now betting on major regression here from Seattle. Note: SERVAIS is 4-16 SU after a win by 10 runs or more as the manager of SEATTLE. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 6-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 8-16 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 7-33 L/26 seasons for. a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC to +1.5 runline |
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08-27-23 | Yankees v. Rays -116 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Carlos Rodon (1-4, 6.27 ERA), who will make his eighth appearance in 2023 following a forearm injury in spring training, back spasms and, most recently, a left hamstring ailment. He is far 100% and fade material in his current for. the mighty Yankees have fallen and I cant see them getting up very easily . Against the Rays, the southpaw is 0-2 with a 5.01 ERA in five career starts. NYY starter RODON is 3-8 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODON is 17-21 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TAMPA BAY is 40-9 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. (Rodon qualifies) NY YANKEES are 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 17-31against the money line in the second half of the season this season.NY YANKEES are 7-24 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays. |
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08-27-23 | Dodgers v. Red Sox +106 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Boston right-hander Tanner Houck (3-7, 5.08 ERA) had been on the 15-day injured list with a facial fracture since June 18. Despite of the lackluster numbers, he has registered wins in three of his first four starts . Houck has worked at least five innings in 11 of his 14 outings and deserves respect here in his current form. The Red Sox evened the series with an 8-5 Saturday win yesterday and Im betting they turn the trick here again. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 8-41 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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08-26-23 | Nationals v. Marlins -185 | 3-2 | Loss | -185 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Marlins will start Eury Perez (5-4, 2.91 ERA) in a battle of rookie right-handers. Washington will reply with Jake Irvin (3-5, 4.47). Irvin has struggled on the road garnering a 5.18 ERA while averaging less than 5 innings per start. Meanwhile, Perez has flourished at home , registering a stingy 1.96 ERA, in 7 starts going 3-1 in the process. PEREZ is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.800. I know the Nats have played better ball than the Marlins of late, but my power rankings suggest they matchup well here in game 2 of this seires. WASHINGTON is 31-82 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 which qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 72-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.6. Play on the Marlins split line -1.5 run line and to win on the moneyline |
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08-25-23 | Braves v. Giants +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
SFs starter and ace of the staff WEBB is 16-7 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)Webb has never lost to the Braves in his career, going 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA in five starts and Im betting he keeps them in this tilt as well. On the flipside, I know Strider has pitched well for the Braves and did well against the Giants last time he faced them, but now SF has the edge on what to expect from the righty and will make the necessary adjustments. ATLANTA is 11-20 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (ATLANTA) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 7-30 L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Giants on the runline +1.5 |
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08-25-23 | Royals +166 v. Mariners | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
After a 10 game road trip that saw the Mariners garner a 7 game win streak at one point before losing the finale of their road adventure. Im now betting on. a huge emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here in the Mariners first game home . After that lengthy trip and than having their win streak abruptly end a hang over is my prediction here tonight vs the KC Royals . SEATTLE is 12-19 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Royals starter SINGER is 8-2 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SINGER is 18-7 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) |
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08-25-23 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -144 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Arizona has come to life here in the dog days of summer, and have won 4 straight and 7 of their L/8 and deserve respect here as favs. Arizona starter Pfaadt After posting a 9.82 ERA in his first six starts and winding up in the minors has now garnered a 3.50 ERA in six outings since returning for his third major league stint, and must not be under rated in his ability to hold off the Reds offense . LOVULLO is 81-62 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the manager of ARIZONA. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-38 L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win |
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08-24-23 | Reds +147 v. Diamondbacks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Cincinnati holds a half-game lead over Arizona and the San Francisco Giants for the league's third wild-card berth and are in my opinion better than both of these sides. I know Kelly the Dbacks starter is a solid pitcher, but my pitcher vs batting order suggest that the Reds matchup well against him. Meanwhile, Reds starter WILLIAMSON is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. CINCINNATI is 31-18 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CINCINNATI is 31-16 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 12-6 against the money line when playing with a day off this season. CINCINNATI is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 3-0 against ARIZONA this season. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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08-24-23 | Dodgers -128 v. Guardians | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 1.80 ERA) of the Dodgers goes head to head with Gavin Williams (1-4, 3.02) of the Guardians in a battle of rookie right-handers during the regularly scheduled contest. Williams, is 0-3 in his last seven trips to the hill after being smashed around last time out. In his current form he looks to be in trouble vs an explosive Dodgers batting order that has revenge on board for losing the first game of this series 8-3 as favs. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - after 3 straight games where they had 7 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 48-19 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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08-23-23 | Marlins +114 v. Padres | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
After a slow start to his season Alcantara is now back in his Cy Young Award form of 2022, when he went 14-9 with a 2.28 ERA and a 0.980 WHIP in 32 starts. The righty in his last five starts owns a 3-1 record along with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.842 WHIP during that span and gives his Marlins a good chance of a underdog win on the road today. Alcantara is 2-1 against San Diego in four career starts with a 2.16 ERA, a 1.160 WHIP and a .196 opponents' batting average. SAN DIEGO is 37-48 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-16 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MELVIN is 48-57 against the money line in day games as the manager of SAN DIEGO. Meanwhile, Padres starter LUGO is 2-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)LUGO is 6-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Play on Miami to win |
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08-23-23 | Mariners v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Seattles starter KIRBY is 11-2 OVER in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 10-2 OVER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season with q combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 19-5 OVER in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. Seattle has gone over in 8 of their L/9 games overall, and have recently exploded offensively scoring 37 runs in their L/4 games overall and have averaged 7.3 rpg in their L/7 games overall. Im betting their hot bats are key to us seeing this totals offering eclipsed. Kopech the White Sox starter owns a bloated 9.88 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 OVER in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 31-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 51-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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08-22-23 | Reds +130 v. Angels | 4-3 | Win | 130 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Halos stater GIOLITO is 8-20 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 9-16 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giolito has labored in his first four starts with the Angels, going 1-3 with an 8.14 ERA and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Ashcraft has been in top form since the all star break and deserves respect here in the underdog role for the Reds. In three starts this month, he has logged 22 innings, including eight on Aug. 4 in a no-decision against the visiting Washington Nationals. Ashcraft went seven innings in the other two and overall has garnered a very stable 2.86 ERA. . CINCINNATI is 8-1 against the money line against AL West opponents this season CINCINNATI is 13-5 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 10-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 12-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this seaso MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA ANGELS) - with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings, in August games are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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08-22-23 | Cardinals +125 v. Pirates | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Right-handers Adam Wainwright (3-8, 8.42 ERA) of St. Louis and Johan Oviedo (6-13, 4.55) of Pittsburgh are scheduled to start. Both hurlers may not inspire bettors, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest Wainwright has the edge in the starting role. Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 61-30 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record . (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 25-8 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.179. OVIEDO is 7-22 (against the money line after a win in his career. (Team's Record) which is what he achieved last time out. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, off a loss to a division rival as a favorite are 67-125 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the Cards to win |
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08-22-23 | Rockies v. Rays -1.5 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
COLORADO is 39-104 SU in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons like the TBs Littell, with the average rpg diff coming-in at -1.9. Littell owns a 2.55 ERA with 11 strikeouts and one walk in 17 2/3 innings during this month, and in the process has posted a solid 0.793 WHIP and deserves respect here vs a Colorado side that struggles on the road especially against righties as is evident by the above trend and the lowly 3.7 rpg production in away tilts. TAMPA BAY is 37-9 SU in home games vs. a starting pitcher like Blach whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons with the average margin rpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on this this runline offering. Rockies starter Blach owns a ugly 9.00 ERA in two career starts against the Rays. Rinse and repeat on board . COLORADO is 2-24 against the money line as a road underdog of +200 or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.8. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (COLORADO) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 14-47 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5 runline |
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08-21-23 | Marlins v. Padres -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 104 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Miamis starter WEATHERS is 0-7 SU vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3. WEATHERS is 1-10 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a rpg diff clicking in at -2.9. Weathers owns a 10.69 ERA in his L/3 starts and is fade material in his current form. Padres starter WACHA is 16-1 SU vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at +4. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 4-47 L/26 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at a whopping -4 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Padres -1.5 runline |
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08-21-23 | Mariners v. White Sox +175 | 14-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The White Sox after a come behind win yesterday that saw then score 7 runs in 8th has the Pale Hose entering this tilt with momentum. It must be noted that the visiting Mariners despite of being hot, have had a tendency to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel on occasion as is evident by going 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season like the south siders starter Toussaint. Meanwhile, Seattles starter CASTILLO is 5-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 4-10 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 3-11 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 30-15 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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08-21-23 | Giants +1.5 v. Phillies | 4-10 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Right-hander Aaron Nola (10-8, 4.58 ERA) hasn't pitched past 5 1/3 innings in any of his last four starts and is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA during that span, and Im betting things don't get much better for him and his Phillies today.SAN FRANCISCO is 12-3 against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons and the last time they visited the City of Brotherly love came away with a 3 game sweep. SF also beat the Atlanta Braves yesterday and now have momentum entering this tilt. Play on the Giants to win +1.5 runline |
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08-20-23 | Phillies v. Nationals +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 122 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Nationals have won three games of their L/4 and six of their past eight tilts going into a Sundays matchup against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies and deserve respect here as underdogs.
WASHINGTON is 25-19 SU vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like Wheeler. WASHINGTON is 11-8 against the money line as a home underdog of +150 to +200 this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at - 0.2 in those 19 games, which qualifies on this ATS run-line offering. Nats starter WILLIAMS is 16-5 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WILLIAMS is 22-13 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WILLIAMS is 17-6 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 39-19 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (PHILADELPHIA) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a below avg starting pitcher (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, in August games are 12-26 L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors which qualifies on this run line offering. Play on the Washington Nationals on the +1.5 runline |
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08-20-23 | White Sox v. Rockies +1.5 | 10-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
I know Colorados starter Flexen has been in sub par form this season, but he is still a viable hurler with great trending data behind him. C FLEXEN is 14-4 SU vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 17-4 SU vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 9-0 SU vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 15-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 20-8 SU line in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) With the White Sox struggling all season long. against righties like Flexen Im betting the home side edge here on this generous runline offering. BLACK is 41-22 SU in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better as the manager of COLORADO with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.7. WHITE SOX are 2-9 SU in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 8-23 SU line after 4 or more consecutive road games this season. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +215 to -130) (COLORADO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 63-28 L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win +1.5 runline |
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08-19-23 | Giants v. Braves -114 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Giants starter Logan Webb is a quality pitcher but the Braves can make the best of hurlers look mortal. ATLANTA is 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season.Webb is just 4-5 on the road this season, and Atlanta is not an easy venue for any pitcher as is evident by Atlantas 6 rpg average offensive production in front of their own fans. ATLANTA is 27-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. ATLANTA is 30-8 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 84-19 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-19-23 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Reds | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Toronto lost the first game of this series by a 1-0 count and now Im projecting a big rebound. Torontos starting pitcher today BASSITT is 15-0 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming in at 5 rpg. TORONTO is 11-2 SU after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season with the average margin of victory clicking in at +2.3. SCHNEIDER is 38-19 SU in road games in the second half of the season as the manager of TORONTO with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (CINCINNATI) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 7-32 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blue Jays to win -1.5 runline |
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08-19-23 | Blue Jays v. Reds UNDER 10 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays will send Chris Bassitt (11-6, 3.95 ERA) to make his team-leading 26th start of the year. The right-hander has faced Cincinnati twice in his career, giving up four runs (three earned) over 15 2/3 innings. The Reds will counter with rookie left-hander Brandon Williamson (4-2, 4.33), who will make his 17th start of the season. Williamson is coming off back-to-back strong starts, allowing one run in each outing and is capable of slowing down the Jays offense . Torontos starter BASSITT is 12-3 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. BELL is 27-13 UNDER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of CINCINNATI with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. TORONTO is 16-4 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. TORONTO is 24-9 UNDER after allowing 1 run or less this season which was the case yesterday in a 1-0 loss. The-average combined score of those 33 games clicks in a 6.8 rpg . TORONTO is 23-8 UNDER (+14.5 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 13-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.CINCINNATI is 9-0 UNDER in home games in August games this season. LAST 10 GAMES: Reds:own a 239 batting average, 3.20 ERA. Blue Jays own a .217 batting average, 2.69 ERA. These telling numbers point to what Im betting will see this hefty Totals offering not eclipsed. Play under |
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08-19-23 | Royals +170 v. Cubs | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
KC won the opener of this series 4-3 yesterday and have a strong opportunity of cashing again according to my projections with Brady singer on the hill/ The righty has garnered a stingy 2.05 ERA in his L/3 starts along with a even stingier 0.591 WHIP. allowing 1 hits spanning 22 innings of top quality work. He has gone an average of just under 8 innings per start and must be respected here on this value based dog offering. Royals starter SINGER is 16-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SINGER is 8-1 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile Justin Steele the Cubs starter has struggle of late allowing 23 hits in just 16 plus innings in his 3 most recent starts while garnering a hefty 5.51 ERA and is fade material in his current form. KANSAS CITY is 7-1 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 1-14 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 1-11 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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08-18-23 | Marlins v. Dodgers -141 | 11-3 | Loss | -141 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Miami's ALCANTARA is a fine pitcher who is currently in good form but the Dodgers are a explosive offensive team that can make the best of pitchers look mortal. The Dodgers have now won 11 straight and must be respected on this money-line offering. ALCANTARA is 8-22 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) .LA DODGERS are 15-4 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like AlCANTARA. ALCANTARA is 1-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 9.39 and a WHIP of 2.000. MIAMI is 4-22 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 3-19 against the money line vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 31-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 13-1 against the money line after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games this season. LA DODGERS are 29-4 Units) against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 52-14 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 37-11 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors, MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 39-107 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAD to win |
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08-18-23 | Brewers v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 9-8 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Woodruff (2-1, 1.99 ERA) came off the 60-day IL on Aug. 6 and limited the Pittsburgh Pirates to two runs and four hits in five innings, striking out nine without a walk. He now looks healthy and ready to resume what has been a consistent pitching career at the MLB level as is evident by making the all star team in 2019 and 2021. Quote:"He's in a really good place after two starts," Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell. "I'm looking forward to handing him the ball the rest of the year." END QUOTE. WOODRUFF is 13-3 UNDER in an inter-league games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored.WOODRUFF is 21-9 UNDER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. Note: Texas will send left-hander Heaney to the hill after he was lifted in the second inning of his Saturday outing against the San Francisco Giants after saying he was not feeling well. He is said to be 100% now, and my pitcher vs power rankings suggest he matches up well vs a Brewers side that has struggled against southpaw pitching this season averaging just 3.2 rpg on a ugly .216 BA. Heaney owns a stingy 0.69 ERA in his L/3 starts. Note: The two times he faced the Brewers he struck out 20 and walked two over 10 2/3 innings .Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. Play under |
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08-17-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers -141 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Burnes has pitched well for the most part recently but last time out against the Chicago White Sox, he looked a little fatigued when he gave up five runs on eight hits over 5 2/3 innings in a game Milwaukee won 7-6 in 10 innings. Here against a explosive Dodgers offense that has buoyed this team to a 14-1 record in August the Brewers righty could be in trouble. Note: Burnes is just 2-2 with an 8.50 ERA over six career outings (four starts) vs the Dodgers.LA DODGERS are 38-14 ( against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better like Burnes over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Dodgers newest pitching acquisition has posted a 3-0 record with a 2.00 ERA in three starts with his new club. and deserves respect here in the favorites role. LA DODGERS are 30-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 37-105 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors, MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 84-28 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-17-23 | Mariners -1.5 v. Royals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
George Kirby the Mariners starter enters this game in top form having garnered a 0.86 ERA along with a 0.571 WHIP in his L/3 trips to the hill. Here against a very inconsistent Royals offense Im betting he dominates again in a conclusive victory. Mariners starter KIRBY is 16-5 ( against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7. SEATTLE is 31-16against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering in at +2.2. KANSAS CITY is 6-25 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 6-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win -1.5 on the Run-line |
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08-16-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter KERSHAW is 41-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career with the average rpg diff coming in at +2.1. (Team's Record) He gives LAD a strong opportunity to extend their current red hot win streak of 9 games that has seen the Dodgers 7 of those 9 victories by +2 or more runs! Milwaukee is averaging just 3.2 rpg vs LHP this season via a nasty looking .219 BA and are fade material here vs future HOF pitcher Kershaw. LA DODGERS are 30-11 SU vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like Miley with the average rpg diff clicking at +2.8. LA DODGERS are 34-7 SU in August games over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff recorded at +3.4. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 72-11 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors withe the average run per game diff clicking in at +3 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Dodgers -1.5 runline |
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08-16-23 | Orioles +151 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
Baltimore's starter KREMER is 7-0 (against the money line in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 12-3 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 8-1 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 17-3 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. KREMER is 11-2 ( against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 14-27 ( against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 34-45 against the money line against right-handed starters like Kremer this season averaging just 4.3 rpg in production via a ugly .228 BA. BALTIMORE is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. San Diego has lost 7 of their L/8 overall., and despite of having the talented Blake Snell on the hill are in trouble here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings.SNELL is 15-20 ( against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-23 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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08-16-23 | Rays v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Rays starter Civale is winless in two starts since arriving from Cleveland. He is 0-1 with a 4.82 ERA as a Ray, having allowed 16 hits in 9 1/3 innings and Im betting he gets tagged again. Meanwhile, The Giants have gone the bullpen route in in the first two games in this series s and are expected to the same here Wednesday, as there are alot of tired arms in the ,lineup, and that wont be a positive situation, against a Rays team that can be very explosive offensively. The Rays have averaged 5.2 rpg on the season, and 5.3 rpg via a .287 BA during a recent 7 game span. TAMPA BAY is 49-37 OVER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with a combined average 9.2 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 38-18 L/56 OVER in road games against NL West opponents with the average combined score of 10 rpg going on the board. KAPLER is 17-6 OVER vs. excellent speed teams - averaging 1 or more SB's/game as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 33-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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08-15-23 | White Sox +1.5 v. Cubs | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Hendricks' in has last three starts is 0-2 along with a bloated 6.19 ERA. In 12 career starts against the White Sox, Hendricks is 2-6 with a 4.77 ERA and is fade material here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. White Sox right-hander Touki Toussaint pitched a scoreless inning of relief against the Cubs on July 26 and has a 2.45 ERA against them lifetime in three relief appearances and Im betting he will keep his team in this game for as long as he is on the hill. CHI WHITE SOX is 5-0 against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons at Wrigley. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-12 SU in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 0-9 SU in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 2-13 SU in home games against AL Central opponents over the last 3 season.CHICAGO CUBS are 3-11 SU in home games after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to win +1.5 runline |
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