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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-10-24 | Suns -3.5 v. Clippers | 124-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
The Clippers clinched the Pacific Division, with their road win in Phoenix last night, and now with revenge on board and in desperation mode Im betting we now see the Suns play with ultimate urgency as they look to avoid the play in tournament. It also looks like Harden and Leonard will not play tonight for the Clippers giving an edge to the Suns. LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.2. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more, playing on back-to-back days are 32-2 L/28 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6 which easily qualities on this ATS offering. NBA Road favorites (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more are 30-8 L/28 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Suns to cover |
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04-09-24 | Kings v. Thunder -2 | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 36 h 45 m | Show | |
 The Thunder looked a little tired during their recent 5 game road trip, losing 3 of those games. However, now home andwith a couple of days of rest in their own beds, Im betting the Thunder, will be prepared to put forward a top tier effort vs a side they dominated the last time they visited here on Feb 11 th, by a 127-113 count.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-15 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -10.8 . Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-09-24 | Magic -1.5 v. Rockets | 106-118 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 25 m | Show | |
Houston has lost 5 straight games, while Orlando continues to be a force to be reckoned with as they have won 4 of their L/5 and have.been consistently competitive all season long. ORLANDO is 25-7 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 74 games (+13.80 Units / 8% ROI) HOUSTON is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in a t+5.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 34 h 8 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Very reasonable number for the UConn Huskies to cover as they are a side that can shut down the Boilermakers big man Edey. The Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to below their season offensive average. CONNECTICUT is 11-0 ATS when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +21.2 ppg.ÂCONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season with the average ppg clicking at +19. Play on UConn to cover |
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04-07-24 | Heat +2 v. Pacers | 115-117 | Push | 0 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
The Heat are currently playing a top tier brand of hoops and deserve respect here as underdogs, and according to my projections could easily be slight favs here vs the Pacers . The Heat are a half-game back of the Pacers for the sixth and final playoff spot in the East, and makes for what Im betting will be a hard contested game, that favors the more physical and defensive minded Heat. MIAMI is 17-7 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Carlisle is 46-69 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut -12 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 86 h 53 m | Show | |
Alabama has allowed scores of 82, 87, and 96 in three of the four NCAA games, and the books expect the Huskies to put up close to 85 plus projected points. Considering the Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to their below season ppg averages , a blowout is expected . Is this DD offering to much, I say no based on the above stated facts. Crimson Tide lack D, while the Huskies can be merciless on offense when allowed to be, and and no team in the nation can exploit the UConn D, making this a easy lay for me.  CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS in all neutral court lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.4 . CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20. Play on Uconn |
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04-06-24 | Cavs +4.5 v. Lakers | 97-116 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Saturday marks the conclusion of the two-game season series between the teams. The Lakers beat Cleveland 121-115 back on Nov. 25.Note:CLEVELAND is 14-5 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. It must be noted that the key LAL cogs James and Anthony are banged up and less than 100% and if they play will be on limited minutes. As far as seeding goes James has said hes not worried about seeding so its obvious he wont push himself here to over extend his body as the playoffs approach. Advantage to Cleveland getting points. CLEVELAND is 13-2 ATSÂ Â off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. LA LAKERS are 3-13 ATSÂ off a road win this season.Ham is 9-27 ATSÂ off a road win as the coach of LA LAKERS. Cleveland to cover |
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04-05-24 | Wolves v. Suns -4 | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are playing their fourth game in six days and are on tired legs entering this tilt at Phoenix.Phoenix's Big Three of Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal Im betting will be to much for the Wolves to compete with from a offensive standpoint., especially considering the Wolves are without the often injured Towns. These teams could meet in the play offs , and home court advantage will be key. NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games 7-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. ( Minn beat Toronto 133- 85 last time out- while, the Suns offense exploded for two plus 120 points out wins vs the Pelicans and Cavs. Suns are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Play on Suns to cover |
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04-05-24 | Knicks v. Bulls -1.5 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Julius Randle's season is over, as he will undergo surgery to repair a torn labrum, and this has to be disheartening to this Knicks team. Another key NYK asset Anunoby is currently out with elbow bursitis.Considering the Knicks are running a short rotation, and accumulating alot of minutes, exhaustion maybe starting to set in as is evident by having lost three straight games previous to beating up on another tired group in the Sacramento Kings. Im betting the Chicago takes advantage of out of gas Knicks group and grabs the victory. NBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bulls to win /cover |
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04-05-24 | Kings v. Celtics -10 | 100-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
When these teams met back on Dec 20th in Sacramento the Celtics ran over their hosts by a 144-119 count and very much looked like the superior side, and Im betting nothing changes tonight here in Boston, After manhandling a very good Oklahoma City side, last time out, winning by a 135-100 count its obvious to me the Celtics mean business down the stretch drive here entering the play offs and will prepared to send another message tonight. Boston is 5-0 ATS/SU L/5 in this series. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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04-04-24 | Nuggets v. Clippers +4 | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
From a SRS perspective we are getting value with the home dog tonight LA Clippers. The defending NBA champs demand respect, but this line is a little bloated according both my projections and the SRS data. The Clippers rank7th in the NBA in SRS with a 3.38. rating while the Nuggets rank 4th with a 4.83. Taking into consideration home court advantage we have close a 2 point advantage on the line with the home side. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Note: The Clippers won the last meeting here at home 111-102 back on Dec 6th of this season. DENVER is 15-27 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. Injury notes: Jokic and Murray are less than 100% , and may or may not play and if they do should see limited/restricted minutes/ action. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 64-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-04-24 | Hawks +11.5 v. Mavs | 95-109 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks despite of losing their top scoring star Trey Young to injury have been playing inspired hoops of late, and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight vs the Mavericks. The Hawks have won 6 of their L/7 and deserve respect here in this current form as DD dogs. Note:Atlanta has played the Mavs tough in their 3 most recent meetings winning two of 3 with the loss coming earlier this season in a 148-143 home defeat. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 69-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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04-03-24 | Pacers -7 v. Nets | 111-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
Brooklyn just got clobbered by Indiana 133-111 when they met a couple days ago and Im betting on a rinse and repeat performance from the Pacers tonight. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 11-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. INDIANA is 8-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and hav covered their L/4 meetings on the road in BROOKLYN. Play on Indiana to cover |
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04-02-24 | Mavs v. Warriors | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Dallas enters this game having won 7 straight while their hosts the Golden State Warriors have won 4 straight. With home court advantage and revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to the Mavs Im recommending we back the experienced veteran laden Warriors. GOLDEN STATE is 31-13 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI) The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (-34.40 Units / -24% ROI) NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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04-01-24 | Hawks v. Bulls -2 | 113-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
***The Bulls are in ninth place vs the Hawks and are 10th in the Eastern Conference, and the two l will probably play in the opener of the play-in tournament. However, the No. 9 team will host the game, in which the loser is eliminated making this a important game for both sides. Home court is huge here according to my projections as neutral court is a essentially a pickem according to SRS numbers. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Atlanta had a 4 game win streak end on Saturday vs the Bucks, and in the past have not been a great bounce back team, especially after a home game as is evident by the following trends: Atlanta is   11-28 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season and  11-23 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. Also ATLANTA is just 3-11 ATS against Central division opponents this season and considering the Bulls current form that has seen them win 2 of their L/3 against top tier opponents Indiana and Minnesota, Im betting home side is in a viable enough groove to grab the victroy here as short home favs. Chicago is 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-31-24 | Cavs +5 v. Nuggets | 101-130 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
 The Nuggets look exhausted lately, as was obvious in recent losses to Minnesota and Phoenix and will probably rest Murray tonight in this tilt vs the Cavs as the play offs approach. There is definite value here taking the Cavaliers in this spot play situation. CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season. Play on |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee v. Purdue -3.5 | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue and Tennessee previously squared off in the early part of the season as part of the Maui Invitational. The Boilermakers managed to sneak away with a 71-67 victory and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat of that final here today. TENNESSEE is 9-20 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Purdue to PURDUE is 11-3 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8. Purdue to cover |
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03-30-24 | Celtics v. Pelicans +6.5 | 104-92 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Two straight ugly efforts against the Atlanta Hawks and now the Celtics  try to avoid their first three-game losing streak of 2023-24 when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Im betting even if the Bean-town crew get the W, that their tired legs now playing their their 5th straight road game wont easily get what they want and that they fail to cover vs a undervalued Pelicans side playing at home. Its obvious to me that the Celtics are having some regressionary algorithmic down time after a strong run that saw them win 9 straight games.  Pelicans are 7-0 ATS L7 vs .700 or better opposition.NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. Play on Pelicans to cover |
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03-29-24 | Duke +4.5 v. Houston | 54-51 | Win | 100 | 101 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Its interesting to note that Duke is 21-0 when forcing teams to hit fewer than 46% from the floor. Houston only hits 43.4% of its shots this season, and after their huge output last time out, scoring 100 points to beat Texas A&M while shooting 51.8% from the floor Im expecting on regression. I know that Houstons top tier D, will be formidable but Duke and can also play a strong brand of D .In a game I have pegged at close to a pickem Im betting we have great value with the Blue Devils. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season. Play on Duke to cover |
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03-29-24 | Clippers v. Magic +2 | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Magic have uncharacteristically lost two straight games at home (24-11 SU/ATS as hosts) , but Im betting on them having a bounce back effort today vs the visiting Clippers who are off a hard fought 108-107 win vs the Sixers last time out March 27th, in what was their 4th straight time failing to cover and are just 11-12 with a -2.6 net rating since early Feb.   With this also being the Clippers 3rd straight road game tired legs could make them vulnerable to the leagues best home team ATS with a +6.9 home net rating which ranks them seventh in the NBA. LA CLIPPERS are 6-16 ATS off a road win this season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season Orlando 10-1 ATS on Fridays vs non-conference opposition. Play on Orlando to cover |
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03-28-24 | Illinois +1.5 v. Iowa State | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa State owns a staunch D, but if they had one weakness its their 3 point defense. Illinois is a top tier downtown stopping group, and tonight Im betting that will be the difference maker between two teams that sink 35% plus of their treys. ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season. ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out vs Duquesne. |
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03-28-24 | Bucks v. Pelicans +2.5 | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
Saints were smashed by the Bucks earlier this season 141-117 and now have payback on their agenda. After playing a hard fought game the day before yesterday vs the Lakers in a OT loss the Bucks will be vulnerable to a letdown performance vs a very motivated and talented group.Note: Bucks are  0-5 ATS away in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opposition. NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. MILWAUKEE is 19-33 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on New Orleans |
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03-27-24 | Suns v. Nuggets -7.5 | 104-97 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have revenge on board for a loss to the Suns 117-107 here at home the last time they played and now the defending champs will be out for redemption and to send a message that they are not to be disrespected. Note: Nuggets are on a 13-1 SU as hosts L/2 campaigns when seeking same-season double-digit revenge, and in 6 tries only failed to cover once when given the opportunity this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 124-76 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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03-27-24 | UNLV v. Seton Hall -4.5 | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UNLV is playing without starting forward Luis Rodriguez who has missed the first two NIT games. Rebs scoring star K Boone has still excelled without him, but Im betting that Boone finally meets his match here against a strong Big East D, that is playing at home. SETON HALL is 8-2 ATS ( in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.8 . CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SETON HALL) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference are 391-273 ATS L/27 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seton Hall |
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03-26-24 | Mavs v. Kings -1 | 132-96 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Both these teams played last night, but the Kings having rested in their own beds will be fresher. After two straight hard fought games in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City the Mavs will be feeling tired as this game progresses which gives us a edge with the home side. Note: Mavs are  1-7 as dogs in back to back situations. Kings are 4-0 ATS L4 vs Mavs. I know Dallas is on a nice run but it must be noted that Mavs HC Kidd is 27-50 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached since 1996 with average ppg diff clicking in at -3.1. NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 26-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
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03-26-24 | Warriors -1.5 v. Heat | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Play on Warriors to cover |
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03-26-24 | Georgia +8.5 v. Ohio State | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. GEORGIA is 10-1 ATS as a road underdog or pick this season. GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season. Play on Georgia to cover |
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03-25-24 | 76ers +8.5 v. Kings | 96-108 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
The Kings are off a 3 game road trip and in the last game of their trek they upset the Orlando Magic in a physical hard fought game, and now Im betting on a letdown spot here vs the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. It must be noted that despite of playing without Joel Embidd the Sixers have been mostly competitive and should not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight. Philadelphia ha won 10 straight games in this series and if they lose this tilt, it wont come without a valiant fight. SACRAMENTO is 10-21 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 1-11 ATS in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 3-15 ATS in home games off a road win over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 0-7 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. Brown is 0-9 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog as the coach of SACRAMENTO. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a close win by 3 points or less are 13-26 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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03-25-24 | Grizzlies +15 v. Nuggets | 103-128 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver has a recent reputation for taking the foot off the gas against teams like the Grizzlies, and could easily rest some stars tonight for long stretches of this game, giving us an edge taking DD points with the visitors. MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 24-13 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 0-9 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-25-24 | Celtics v. Hawks +10.5 | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
Boston is surging towards the play offs in top form, but there could be a problem here , as they are also not pacing themselves, and with this being their 9th road game in their L/11 trips to the hardwood, and their 3rd road game in their L/4 days ,could find themselves vulnerable due to exhaustion. BOSTON is 8-19 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 3-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hawks to cover |
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03-24-24 | Warriors +3.5 v. Wolves | 110-114 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
 The Warriors are primed for payback against a team they would love to send a message to before the play offs arrive . This Golden State team has lost both their tilts vs the Wolves at home this season and will be sky high for this tilt.  It must be noted that the Warriors – are  6-1-1 ATS when Minnesota is above .500 in a double revenge situation.  Golden State is also golden  5-0 ATS as a dog when in redemption mode for a same-season double revenge. situation  Minnesota when facing an opponent with same- season double revenge are 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS vs sides with a .400 or better record. GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off a upset loss as a favorite are 40-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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03-23-24 | Oregon +5 v. Creighton | 73-86 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Altman is 7-0 ATS (when seeded 9 through 12 in the NCAA tournament as the coach of OREGON. CBB favorite (CREIGHTON) - good defensive team (40-42.5%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 28-62 ATS L/5 season for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Oregon to cover |
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03-23-24 | Suns -9.5 v. Spurs | 131-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Spurs are on tired legs after playing last night in a lethargic loss to the Memphis Grizzlies and are now vulnerable to being beat up on by a redemption minded Suns side that has fallen asleep at the proverbial wheel in this last two meetings vs the Spurs this season. It must noted that the Suns are  3-0 ATS L/3 times in this series when coming into it with Double revenge and are 13-3 ATS vs any side that took them out in 2 consecutive same season tilts. It must also be noted that the Suns are a money making 23-3 ATS away in SU wins with same- season double revenge. SAN ANTONIO is 13-22 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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03-23-24 | Dayton +9.5 v. Arizona | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on Dayton to cover |
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03-22-24 | Grand Canyon v. St. Mary's -5 | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-22-24 | 76ers v. Lakers -7 | 94-101 | Push | 0 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The well rested Lakers have revenge on board for an ugly 128-94 defeat  in Philadelphia back in November and now Im betting on a big time redemption situation to unfold here in LA LA land tonight. Super stars like James and Davis don't take kindly to be embarrassed like that , with both expected to play tonight vs 76ers side that struggles on alot of nights without their injured  super star Joel Embid in the lineup. note: Series host is 5-0 ATS L/5. PHILADELPHIA is 6-14 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.8. Play on Lakers to cover |
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03-22-24 | TCU v. Utah State +4 | 72-88 | Win | 100 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-22-24 | Colorado v. Florida -1 | 102-100 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-22-24 | Yale v. Auburn -12.5 | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-22-24 | New Mexico v. Clemson +2.5 | 56-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB team (CLEMSON) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with 7 or more days rest are 39-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clemson to cover |
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03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State +2 | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 62 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. No.7 seed Washington State , won 10 of their last 12 games including a road win over Arizona to complete a season sweep and deserve respect here vs Drake. Note:The Cougars rank 27th in adjusted defensive efficiency, and they're holding opponents to just under 67 points per game this season. Drake needs their offense to flow to be successful, and Im betting that wont be the case today as the Bulldogs fail to roll offensively vs a tough physcial D.Overall, No. 7 seeds hold a 93-59 SU advantage over No. 10 seeds since the NCAA Tournament bracket expanded to 64 teams in 1985 for a   61.2% winning percentage for No. 7 seeds over the last four decades. Play on the Washington State Cougars to cover |
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03-21-24 | Knicks v. Nuggets -9.5 | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
The Nuggets enter this game ready for redemption for a 122-84 loss in New York in January and Im now betting q conclusive DD winning effort here tonight. Note: NBA Favorites (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog are 73-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Also Malone is 27-14 ATS in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite as the coach of DENVER with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8. Play on Denver to cover |
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03-21-24 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Texas | 44-56 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina | 87-73 | Win | 100 | 78 h 14 m | Show | |
S.Carolina has had a great season, and played much better than many of the pundits expected , and it breaks my heart to have to bet against them here today, but thats what Im recommending we do. HC Paris of the Gamecocks has really brought this group together, but against seasoned big game coach like Altman , Im betting pedigree will win out. Altman is 6-0 ATS when seeded 9 through 12 in the NCAA tournament as the coach of OREGON.Altman is 14-2 ATS in first round tournament games as the coach of OREGON.Altman is 6-0 ATS in the first round of the NCAA tournament as the coach of OREGON. Oregon to cover |
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03-21-24 | Morehead State +12 v. Illinois | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.Â
MOREHEAD ST is 11-2 ATSÂ versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Morehead State to cover |
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03-21-24 | Duquesne +9.5 v. BYU | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 52 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Duquesne's +166 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 70.8 points per game (261st in college basketball) while allowing 66.0 per outing (28th in college basketball). The Dukes are 6-1 in neutral-site games this season andDUQUESNE is 7-0 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons . .DUQUESNE is 9-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season.DUQUESNE is 11-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games this season. BYU is 4-15 ATS in road games in a post-season tournament game since 1997.BYU is 2-12 ATS in road games in first round tournament games since 1997. Play on Duquesne to cover |
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03-20-24 | Bucks v. Celtics -8.5 | 119-122 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played back in January the Celtics went into Milwaukee after playing the Minnesota Wolves the night before and were smashed in a DD beatdown (135-102). Now in revenge mode Im betting the Celtics to get even here plus some . Note: The Celtics are 3-0 ATS L/3 with revenge in this series from a 25 or more point loss. Also the Bucks have failed to cover 8 of their L/9 going against a side with revenge form a 30 or more point loss. BOSTON is 26-14 ATS (when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 9 ppg. NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. |
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03-20-24 | SMU +7.5 v. Indiana State | 92-101 | Loss | -120 | 34 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After a heart breaking loss to Drake to end their chances of a NCAA tourney appearance Im betting Indiana State will be in a huge letdown situation vs a SMU side that will playing loose no pressure basketball. INDIANA ST is 1-9 ATS in a post-season tournament game since 1997. Lanier is 9-1 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB team (SMU) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite are 76-34 ATS L/27 seasons, for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SMU to cover |
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03-19-24 | Kansas State +6 v. Iowa | 82-91 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kansas State men’s basketball coach Jerome Tang had a simple reason for why the Wildcats should given an NCAA Tournament bid: if you win nine games in the Big 12, you should play in the Big Dance.The NCAA Selection Committee did not agree. Now the Wildcats need to prove the selection committee wrong with a win hjere and as far as we are considered a cover. Tang is 32-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of KANSAS ST. KANSAS ST is 20-9 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. McCaffery is 20-31 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games as the coach of IOWA. IOWA is 2-10 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season. |
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03-19-24 | Mavs v. Spurs +8.5 | 113-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Dallas is off a upset win vs the Denver Nuggets on Sunday night and have back to back games against the Utah Jazz after tonights game vs the Spurs. The Mavs have already defeated the Spurs three times this season, with the last two coming by big DD margins. But because of how easily the Mavs handled the Spurs Im betting they will in some ways be overlooking tonights opponents which leave them vulnerable especially considering they could easily be in a letdown spot after the above mentioned victory vs the top tier Nuggets.DALLAS is 0-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season. DALLAS is 0-9 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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03-18-24 | Heat +2.5 v. 76ers | 91-98 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is in complete disarray and are now 10-22 without their super star Joel Embiid out the lineup this season, which includes dropping five of the last seven overall. Their offensive production has also fallen off a cliff as they have averaged just 93.4 ppg in their last 5 trips to the court. I know Miami is off a game last night, but are a well conditioned side. Note: Miami is 48-32 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.1. I know some key cogs will also be out of the Heats lineup , but the remaining depth is a very physical group that Im betting the light weight Sixers lineup will have problems dealing with. From a coach perspective Nurse is 1-10 in home games versus defenses - allowing shooting pct defense 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. PHILADELPHIA is also just 2-10 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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03-17-24 | Celtics -10.5 v. Wizards | 130-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Boston continues to gain momentum as the playoffs approach and have won 4 straight by DDS, while Washington is in tank mode as is evident by having lost their L/3 by DD deficits. Today Im expecting this trend to continue and for the Celtics to roll past the Wizards. Note: Boston: 9-1 ATS L/10 in 2/0 rest situation with the Washington Wizards are 0-7 ATS L/7 in 0/2 rest situation. WASHINGTON is 8-17 ATS as a home underdog this season with the average -11.8 ppg diff. Mazzulla is 21-6 ATS  versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.9. Play on Boston to cover |
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03-17-24 | Suns v. Bucks -3 | 129-140 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
Bucks have revenge on board for a 114-106 loss back in Feb on the road vs the these same Suns. With Giannis Antetokounmpo likely to play this TV game the Bucks are the right side.    LATE STEAM |
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03-16-24 | Wolves -7.5 v. Jazz | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
The Wolves are well rested with 3 days off coming into this game, while /Utah played last night and will be on tired legs. Note: The Wolves are 7-1 ATS L/8 on 3 days rest and 11-2 ATS away vs an unrested div opponent . Meanwhile Utah: 0-4-1 ATS L/5 vs an opponent with 3 days rest.UTAH is 3-12 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.8 . NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, second half of the season are 35-76 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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03-16-24 | Long Beach State +2.5 v. UC-Davis | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This Long Beach State side is an under rated 4 starter returning team .Long Beach St. 9-1-2 ATS L 8 years in this tournament and are  16-3 ATS when coming off back-to-back wins which they are and and are also 7-1 ATS the last eight tilts in this tourney.LONG BEACH ST is 9-0 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. (Beat Cal Irvine as pups last time out) Play on Long Beach St to cover |
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03-16-24 | New Mexico +2.5 v. San Diego State | 68-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SD State beat the Lobos at home, the last time they played in Feb by a 81-70 score, previous to that the Lobos won at home in January by a 88-70 count. So they conclusively both defended home court advantage. Here in a neutral court environment, Im leaning heavily on the No.2 Seed New Mexico to come out of this as Mountain West champs. Note: 11-3 SU in MWC title games. Pitino is 15-3 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of NEW MEXICO. NEW MEXICO is 7-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season. NEW MEXICO is 7-0 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season. SAN DIEGO ST is 1-7 ATS n road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.SAN DIEGO ST is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season. Play on New Mexico to cover |
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03-16-24 | Wisconsin +6.5 v. Purdue | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. When these teams played at Purdue back on March 10th the Boilermakers came away with a 78-70 win . It must be noted Gard is 20-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of WISCONSIN. WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.WISCONSIN is 17-5 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) over the last 3 seasons. #5 seed dogs like Wisconsin are 10-1 ATS 15 seasons in this event. I know  starting point guard Chucky Hepburn may not play or be less than 100% but this is a deep team at the guard position and deserve respect. PURDUE is 8-17 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Purdue is 1-12 ATS L/6 seasons in the Big 10 Tourney. Wisconsin to cover |
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03-15-24 | Suns -9 v. Hornets | 107-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
The Suns are pretty well at full strength, with all their key cogs in the lineup. Meanwhile, Charlotte a side that has been banged up for most of the season, and just 9-23 SU at home this year are fade material here according to my projections. In their only meeting this season, the Suns took out the Hornets by a 133-19 count, and won both contests vs Charlotte last season by DDs and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: CHARLOTTE is 6-14 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.7 ppg. The Suns played last night in a DD loss to the Celtics and will be out looking for redemption . Note: Pho: 7-1 away with no rest vs non-conference opposition. Meanwhile, Charlotte 1-9 ATS home in 1/0 rest situation. One of these teams (Suns) is picking up momentum as the post season nears closer, while the other side should continue their decent into tank mode . NBA opening line Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 67-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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03-15-24 | Wichita State +5.5 v. UABÂ | 60-72 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Wichita State won the lone regular season meeting with the Blazers just a couple weeks ago in Birmingham, 74-66. The Shockers are 5-0 all-time vs. UAB. Wichita State to cover |
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03-15-24 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Top seeds are 8-17 ATS in their L/25 opening games in the /big 10 Tournament. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
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03-14-24 | Penn State -1.5 v. Indiana | 59-61 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Indiana finished their season on a nice run winning 4 straight, but it must be noted that Woodson is 2-9 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of INDIANA. Penn State has won the L/4 meetings in this series SU with 3 of the victories coming by DDs. Rinse and repeat on board today. Penn State is 11-1-1 ATS L/5 seasons in the Big 10 Tourney.  PENN ST is 6-0 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. CBB  underdog (INDIANA) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or worse), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 37-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Penn State |
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03-14-24 | St. John's v. Seton Hall +4 | 91-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. No.4 seed Seton Hall matches up well here vs St.Johns according to my power rankings. No. 4 seeds in the Big East tourney are 15-3 ATS L/18 opportunities dating back to the 2003. campaign. SETON HALL is 6-0 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. ST JOHNS is 3-13 ATS L/16 in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 . Seton Hall is 5-1 SU/ATS in this series. |
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03-13-24 | CS Bakersfield +2.5 v. Cal-Riverside | 78-83 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CS-BAKERSFIELD is 9-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. CS-BAKERSFIELD is 6-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CS-BAKERSFIELD is 7-1 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game this season. Cal Riverside - #6 seeds are 2-11 ATS L13 seasons in this tournament. UC-RIVERSIDE is 0-6 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in a victory vs Santa Barbara as 4.5 point dogs. Play on Bakersfield to cover |
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03-13-24 | Cavs +7.5 v. Pelicans | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland is a little banged up but their key offensive star Donovan Mitchell is expected to come back into the lineup tonight according to multiple sources. Even if he cant play this Cleveland team must not be disrespected as underdogs . the Pelicans after a big DD win at Atlanta where they shot 57.3% from the field are in a key regressionary letdown situation and vulnerable as favs .Â
CLEVELAND is 22-10 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 25-8 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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03-13-24 | Kansas State +5 v. Texas | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Wildcats upset the Iowa State Cyclones in their L/game of the season Note: KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS  off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. The Wildcats also have revenge on board for a 62-56 loss ot Texas on the road last time out. Note:KANSAS ST is 11-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Texas enters this game off a big take no prisoners DD win vs Oklahoma in their last game of the season, and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot at the worst possible time. Note: TEXAS is 0-7 ATS  after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons.  TEXAS is 0-7 ATS after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 2 season.TEXAS is 2-9 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more this season. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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03-13-24 | UCF +6 v. BYU | 73-87 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The BYU Cougars have barely snuck away with a pair of victories over the Knights this season, winning by a combined seven points across the two matchups and Im betting on another very close affair here today. UCF is 7-1 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games this season. Play on UCF to cover |
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03-12-24 | St. Louis -2 v. Rhode Island | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Saint Louis defeated the Rams a little more than a week ago on March 2, 94-91 at the Ryan Center and matchup very well according to my power rankings vs Rhode Island. The Billikens have won the L/5 meetings in this series. Previous to finding the win column last time out, the Rams had lost 7 straight games. RHODE ISLAND is 4-13 ATS (versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.  Miller is 9-18 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of RHODE ISLAND Ford is 15-4 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games as the coach of SAINT LOUIS. Play on Saint Louis to cover |
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03-11-24 | Suns v. Cavs +6 | 117-111 | Push | 0 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
Cleveland played last night, but are a well conditioned team. and more than capable of putting forward a energetic performance. The Suns have recently not been able to take advantage of these situations as they are just 1-9 away vs unrested non-conference opposition. Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road and is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games and far from being viable road favs. I know Booker is expected back in the lineup for the Suns and the Cavs are dealing with injuries but the line is still a little bloated according to my projections. PHOENIX is 2-10 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. PHOENIX is 16-30 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. CLEVELAND is 21-10 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 67-31 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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03-10-24 | Wolves +1.5 v. Lakers | 109-120 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
The aging Lakers after playing 5 of their L/6 games against very strong opponents maybe feeling a little exhausted here as they go against another top tier opponent the Minnesota Wolves. The Lakers have played the Clippers, Nuggets, Thunder , Kings and Bucks recently and Im betting that kind of action will finally catchup to them in this spot play. MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Wolves are 4-0 ATS L/4 visits to LA to. play the Lakers and 7-3 SU L/10 meetings overall. Minny is 4-1 ATS away in 1/1 rest situation. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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03-10-24 | 76ers +7.5 v. Knicks | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The 76ers have revenge on board for a 110-96 defeat at home to their hosts tonight the NY Knicks a few weeks ago and now will be primed for redemption here this week , against a Philly side that  4-0 ATS of 3 points or more in same- season revenge for a DD loss, The Knicks meanwhile have not faired well hat home of late when hosting these types of revenge minded sides going 0-6 ATS L/6 opportunities this season . Also Philadelphia in this series with same-season revenge from a loss of 14 or more points, are 6-0 ATS in the visitors role. PHILADELPHIA is also 8-0 ATS revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite over the last 3 seasons which is the case here today.  The 76ers are 6-0 ATS away in 1/1 rest situation. NYK are 0-7 ATS in 1/1 rest situation. NEW YORK is 0-7 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. NYK is 3-11 ATS L/14 overall. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - off a home win, in March games are 33-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cash |
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03-10-24 | SMU v. UABÂ -1 | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UAB led by as many as 12 points in the second half in their first meetings this season, but could not hold off the Mustangs' late rally, falling 72-69. Im betting here on senior day they put it all together and take down the visiting Mustangs. I expect the Blazers superior rebounding to be the difference maker . Note:. UAB is 62nd nationally, grabbing 38.0 rebounds per game. The Blazers excel on the offensive glass, grabbing 12.9 offensive boards per game, which ranks 25th in the nation. UAB in Last Home Game is 5-0 SUATS the last five games. .Blazers are also 13-2 ATS l as either a dog or a favorite of fewer than 4 points this season and are  12-2-1 ATS vs above .500 opposition this season. Play on UAB to cover |
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03-09-24 | Connecticut v. Providence +10 | 74-60 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Providence is 10-1 SUATS as a home dog since 2021 and  is 11-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons . PROVIDENCE is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. PROVIDENCE is 9-1 ATS  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or leew turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Providence to cover |
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03-09-24 | Nets -6.5 v. Hornets | 99-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has been highly inconsistent this season, and have hada propensity to overlook opponents. That was obvious last time out vs Detroit, in a loss as favorites. Today I do however, expect the Nets to be ready for some face saving redemption against a Charlotte side they lost a 129-128 decision to back in late November . Note:Â NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a upset loss as a favorite are 34-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.BROOKLYN is 22-10 ATSÂ against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons and get the nod to cash here today. Play on the Nets to cover |
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03-09-24 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Liberty | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Western Kentucky to cover |
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03-09-24 | St. Louis +12 v. St Bonaventure | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Saint Louis defeated the Bonnies 78-55 on Jan. 7 at Chaifetz Arena.ST BONAVENTURE is 15-32 ATS L/47 as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. Ford is 22-11 ATS in March games as the coach of SAINT LOUIS. Play on St.Louis to cover |
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03-08-24 | Loyola Marymount -5.5 v. Portland | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-08-24 | Bucks v. Lakers | 122-123 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
The Bucks are gaining momentum under new head coach Doc Rivers, but had their six-game win streak came to an abrupt end on Wednesday in a ugly 125-90 beat down at the hands of the Golden State Warriors. Now in redemption mode Im betting on a huge bounce back performance vs the Lakers this Friday night. LA LAKERS are 1-9 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 18-8 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home underdogs (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games are 21-47 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. The Bucks have won their L/2 visits to LA to play the Lakers and the visitor is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-07-24 | Arizona v. UCLA +9 | 88-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona squeezed past UCLA as hosts earlier this season, and now the Bruins have revenge on board . It must be noted that the Wildcats are just  1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS the L/5 meetings in the series when UCLA has same-season revenge. Also the Bruins need wins in a bad way for post seasons considerations and Im betting they play with a desperation in this viable underdog spot play situation. Cronin is 8-0 ATS as a home underdog or pick as the coach of UCLA. Cronin is 9-1 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of UCLA. CBB favorite (ARIZONA) - an explosive offensive team (78 or more PPG) against a sub standard offensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 175 points or more are just 54-102 L/27 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. CBB home team (UCLA) - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, in March games are 110-63 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. UCLA are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 at home in this series. Play on UCLA to cover |
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03-07-24 | Heat +5 v. Mavs | 108-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
 The Heat enter this game in top form having won Two straight and 7 of their L/8 and are 18-13 SU on the road this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at plus 1.1. Meanwhile, the Mavs have lost 5 of their L/6 and they are not playing at optimal levels. Kidd is 10-22 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of DALLAS. Advantage Miami. Note: I know Tyler Herro is out for the Heat, but  Duncan Robinson in his absence has played admirably as he takes advantage of his extra minutes. MIAMI is 33-19 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 2-10 ATS in home games in non-conference games this season. DALLAS is 8-20 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 7-20 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 19-32 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 1-9 ATS in home games after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out vs Indiana. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 255 points or more are 7-26 ATS L/5 seasons L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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03-06-24 | Kings +3.5 v. Lakers | 130-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
The Lakers are off a huge win vs the Oklahoma City Thunder last time out and will now be in a letdown spot vs visiting Sacramento and vulnerable in this spot.  LA LAKERS are 13-26 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Kings are off a upset loss to the Bulls last time out, but prior to that had defeated the Minnesota Wolves so they were in the same type of situation the Lakers find themselves in today. Its not always easy to come out and play at a top level after exerting alot of energy in your last game against a top tier team. Im now betting a big rebound from the Kings and a regressionary performance from the Lakers giving us value with the underdog to cover. SACRAMENTO is 32-18 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 12-3 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 19-8 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.4 in those 27 tilts. Sacramento has covered 4 of their L/5 visits to LA to play the Lakers. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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03-06-24 | Magic -7.5 v. Wizards | 119-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
The Magic played last night in a complete game DD victory vs Charlotte , but did not exert alot of effort to dispose of their opponents, and will have enough left in the tank vs a tanking Washington side that has lost 15 straight games and 5 of their L/7 by DD deficits. The Magic have defeated the Wizards 5 straight times with 4 of the wins coming by 8 ore more points. Rinse and repeat projected situation in play here tonight with the road fav.  ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Magic to cover |
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03-06-24 | Houston v. UCF +8.5 | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB home team (UCF) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 55 points or less are 39-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.  Play on UCF to cover |
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03-05-24 | Kansas State v. Kansas -11 | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KState upset the Jayhawks earlier this season, and now Kansas has revenge on board. Kansas is 5-0 SU/ATS in this series when out looking for revenge from a same-season loss, with the average win margin of victory coming by 15 PPG. Play on Kansas to cover |
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03-05-24 | Celtics v. Cavs +8 | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Boston enters this game on fire with a 11 game win streak, but tonight Im betting they will have their hands full with this young under rated Cleveland Cavs group, even without their top scorer Donavan Mitchell on the floor. I know Boston has already beaten the Cavs twice this season, but it must be noted Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in this series with same season double revenge on board. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 26-55 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Cleveland is 3-1 SU L/4 at home in this series. Play on the Cavaliers to cover |
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03-04-24 | Thunder v. Lakers -1 | 104-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
The Lakers have played the Thunder tough lately winning the last two meetings this season, and will be primed for a big time effort here at home after blowing their last chance to take down a . Western Conference power Denver. Meanwhile, the Thunder enter off a 118-110 road victory against the Phoenix Suns on Sunday and are on tired legs and vulnerable here in this spot play situation. LA LAKERS are 17-6 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA team (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 52-26 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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03-04-24 | Bulls +6.5 v. Kings | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
The Two sides the visiting Bulls and their hosts the Kings will be trying to avoid play-in status in the upcoming NBA playoffs. Knowing the importance of this tilt for both teams, Im expecting a hard fought closely contested tilt with the points proving to be golden in my humble betting opinion. CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS  off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.( Lost to Milwaukee last time out by DDs on the road) SACRAMENTO is 7-21 ATS in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 1-16 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games as the coach of SACRAMENTO.  NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 19-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-04-24 | Clippers +5.5 v. Bucks | 106-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Clippers played last night in Minnesota and came out of the game with a one point win in a grinding low scoring affair . I know the Bucks are well rested, but from a matchup perspective Clippers matchup well vs a talented but slower Bucks group, with their super star   Antetokounmpo playing at less than 100% or not at all Im betting will not be able to run and gun their way from a top tier Clippers side, that LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 8-18 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 25-35 ATS in all games this season. LA CLIPPERS is 2-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons in Wisconsin. Lue is 29-15 ATS in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season as the coach of LA CLIPPERS. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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03-04-24 | New Orleans +14.5 v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi | 60-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (TEXAS A&M CC) - good defensive team (40-42.5%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 4-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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03-03-24 | Thunder v. Suns +7 | 118-110 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Phoenix will be playing back to back games in this tilt vs well rested Oklahoma City, but this is a very well conditioned Suns group that deserves respect in this spot play according to my projections . The Suns Im betting will be very motivated to perform in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Thunder here at home earlier this season. Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City. Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 21-4 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors which obviously qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Suns to cover |
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03-03-24 | Stanford +13.5 v. Colorado | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two teams currently playing at the opposite ends of the performance spectrum, has the lines-makers over compensating , which gives us value with the underdog. Stanford is 12-16 this season (7-10 Pac-12) with conference wins over then-No. 4 Arizona, Arizona State, Utah, UCLA, USC, Washington and Oregon State and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here in Colorado today. Michael Jones and Angel both rank in the top-25 nationally in effective field goal percentage and the top-20 in true shooting percentage and wehn in top form can power this team past the best of sides. Stanford shoots 37.8 percent from three this season, second-best in the Pac-12 and ranking 17th in the country and because of this become strong back door cover opportunists. COLORADO is 7-16 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Boyle is 9-22 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more as the coach of COLORADO.  STANFORD is 14-5 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Haase is 14-4 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game after 15+games in all games he has coached since 1997. Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (STANFORD) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 93-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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03-03-24 | 76ers +8.5 v. Mavs | 120-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Two teams that rate as being at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, have the home side being over valued here according to my projections. We know key cog Joel Embiid for Philly is out, but the Sixers have still shown they can compete as was evident when they went in to Cleveland last week and pulled off the SU victory as underdogs. Meanwhile, Dallas has shown a propensity to play lackluster basketball at times this season, and are currently struggling as they enter this tilt having lost 3 of their l/4. The Mavs has also performed poorly at home vs non conference opposition from the all important ATS view point as they are just 3-22 ATS . ( My take is they are constantly being over rated by the linesmakers in the role of hosts and the Mavs as a team are not performing at optimal levels for whatever reason.) With that said, Ill grab the points here with the under valued underdog vs the over hyped fav) Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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03-03-24 | Seton Hall +15.5 v. Connecticut | 61-91 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-02-24 | Michigan State +10.5 v. Purdue | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two of the Big Ten's best coaches, Matt Painter and Tom Izzo, go head to head tonight. A win for the Spartans against Purdue would go a long way for the Spartans to secure a spot in March and Im betting they play this game like its their last . MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Izzo is 39-13 ATS (+24.7 Units) after a close loss by 3 points or less as the coach of MICHIGAN ST something that happened last time out. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.PURDUE is 12-23 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Michigan State to cover |
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03-02-24 | Hawks v. Nets -1 | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Atlanta is a very inconsistent side, despite of their decent talent. They dont regularly take care of business vs lesser teams, and dont back bounce well off losses especially on the road. Note: Atlanta just got blasted by this same Brooklyn side, by a 124-97 count, a couple of days ago and despite of looking redemption just have not shown that zest for bounce bakc revenge performances. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more this season. ATLANTA is 2-14 ATS when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 7-16 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. BROOKLYN is 11-3 ATS as a home favorite this season. BROOKLYN is 21-10 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Brooklyn to cover |
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03-02-24 | Fordham v. St. Joe's -8.5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. St.Joes to cover |
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03-01-24 | Wizards +14 v. Clippers | 115-140 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
The Wizards have lost 13 straight after last nights OT loss to the Lakers. Only 3 of the losses during this ugly run have come by more than this point spread offering. Meanwhile, the Clippers have cooled off since the all star break, and have lost 6 of their L/9 overall while failing to cover 7 of those games. I know the Wizards played last night, but they are still in LA and have had sufficient time to rest up today in preparation for this tilt vs the Clippers. Nothing has come easily for the Clippers lately, and Im betting that will hold true vs a side that has nothing to loose and operating without pressure. The Wizards are 9-0 ATS L/9 playing back to back games. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% OR BETTER ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% OR BETTER ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (-5.5 OR LESS reb/game) are 15-45 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-01-24 | Rider v. Niagara -2 | 71-61 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Niagara to cover |
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02-29-24 | Heat +5.5 v. Nuggets | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
Denver beat up on Sacramento last night by DDs in a revenge situation and Im betting are now on tired legs, which will see them be in a letdown situation here both mentally and physically. Meanwhile, the visiting Heat are currently playing a top tier brand of basketball as they have won 5 straight and 7 of their L/8 overall and deserve respect as under dogs in spot play situation. Note:Denver with no rest is  0-7 ATS L/7 when coming off a game in which they were playing with revenge . Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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02-28-24 | Missouri +13 v. Florida | 74-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Because of its injuries, the MU's depth and bench has been the biggest reason for its winless SEC season. Golden is 10-22 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts in all games he has coached since 1997.Mizzou ranks ninth nationally by making 78.9 percent of its attempts from the charity stripe. CBB  Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MISSOURI) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals are 146-90 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.( Missouri Lost 79-67 in their first meeting this season) Missouri to cover |
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02-27-24 | Boise State v. Air Force +9.5 | 79-48 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Boise State clobbered Air Force when they played earlier this season, and now with revenge on board at home Im betting on some military pride to be on display as the Fly /boys look for redemption. AIR FORCE is 20-8 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Rice is 0-6 ATS in road games off an road win scoring 85 or more points as the coach of BOISE ST which was the case last time out in a big win vs Wyoming last time out. Now looking for classic case of regression and letdown scenario. Air Force to cover |
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