Cappers Sports Picks

These teams have taken part in some physical grinding affairs of late when they have met and 5 of their L/6 meetings have resulted in the under cashing.Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Dallas HC Carlisle is 124-84 UNDER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents in all games he has coached  with a combined average of 192.7 ppg scored in those tilts. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - off a win against a division rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 83-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NICHOLLS ST) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 30-6 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors  with a combined average of 132.8 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER 

I am betting Denver behind a 28th ranked pace, will dictate this game in the trenches, which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 207.7 ppg. 

Play UNDER

Utah runs a pace that ranks 23rd in the NBA and now own the 8th best ppg defence and here tonight Im betting that we have value taking the under here vs a  Nets side that has gone under in 7 of their  last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 like the Jazz. 

Snyder is 30-15 UNDER L/45 versus poor ball handling teams - committing 16 or more  turnovers/game as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 196.1 ppg per game going on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 62-29 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 30-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

I have charted how the Heat have performed recently against sides like Oklahoma City that are having a hard time competing. These following trends give us an indication of a strong factor favoring the over.  MIAMI is 16-4 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-1 OVER versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.7 ppg scored. Also MIAMI is 20-6 OVER  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225 ppg going on the board.  MIAMI is 13-3 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Play OVER

Analysis to follow- thank you for your patience - All NBA wagers come with a full explanation of why and how I came to my conclusions. 

Alex Smart's moto  Alex's moto comes via the late Great Jimmy the Greek, "The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself".

Play on the OVER 

Analysis to follow- thank you for your patience - All NBA wagers come with a full explanation of why and how I came to my conclusions. 

Alex Smart's moto  Alex's moto comes via the late Great Jimmy the Greek, "The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself".

Play on the UNDER

Portland enters this game ranked 9th in offensive output and 23rd in defensive ppg against and 25th in defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Warriors rank 2nd in pace in the league, and 30th in ppg allowed. This current form for both teams sets up for a formula of big offensive numbers going on the board. 

PORTLAND is 14-2 OVER  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 239.5  ppg going on the board. 

Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 74-39 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

My projections have made this game total 224 thus giving us value with an over wager. 


UTAH is 8-0 OVER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 32-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

 Rhode Island plays a top tier brand of defence and has allowed just 62 ppg in 3 home games this season, and nothing will change today against St.Joes. Look for Rhode Island to grind this game down to a crawl and not allow their run and gun opponent to open up. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE. Play on the UNDER



RHODE ISLAND is 7-0 UNDER in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 130.5 ppg scored.RHODE ISLAND is 6-0 UNDER  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45%  or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 132.5 ppg scored.   RHODE ISLAND is 10-1 UNDER in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 133.4 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams against the total (ST JOSEPHS) - after allowing 80 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games. are 25-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

UNDER

My projections estimate that the Pacers will score 112+ points and will force the Knciks to chase . Note: INDIANA is 31-6 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight game are 27-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

Play OVER 

My projections make this total closer ot 229 thus giving us value with an under wager.


 HOUSTON is 16-3 UNDER  after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 33-17 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (HOUSTON) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 56-23 UNDER  L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 105-58 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on UNDER 

 The Creighton Bluejays  just took part in a  66-61 decision over Xavier a little over a week ago, and showed us their defense is not to be underestimated as they  held the Musketeers to 35.3 percent field-goal shooting and allowed just five offensive boards. Im betting they will need their D to stand tall, here today as Providence sdie that  wont bend defensively as is evident by allowing an average of just 67 ppg in 4 home games. With that said, Im betting on a tough physical fairly  low scoring  affair between two bitter rivals. 

CREIGHTON is 16-4 UNDER in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 142.5 ppg scored. PROVIDENCE is 14-5 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.2 ppg scored.


CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PROVIDENCE) - after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 24-3  UNDER L/23 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

 CBB Home teams against the total (PROVIDENCE) - after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 65-21 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more  PPG), after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 44-18 OVER L/24 seasons  for an 71% conversion rate. 

Play OVER

 The Pelicans enter this tilt vs Oklahoma city ranked  last in pace in the league and , 29th in offense and have seen their first 4 games of the season stay under the set total . Meanwhile,  OKC when at full strength like they are expected to be tonight are a solid defensive side that must be respected. Under is 7-1 in Pelicans last 8 games as a favorite.Under is 12-2 in Pelicans last 14 overall . Under is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Under is 50-23-1 in Thunder last 74 games as an underdog.

Play UNDER 

These two sides just don't push for explosive offensive flow and have shown some conservative style here early this season, especially when attempting shots from downtown ranking bottom six in the league in beyond the arc attempts . Both sides are showing early signs of injury woes, and some key players are hobbled missing in action or less than 100%.

 INDIANA is 27-12 UNDER  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons.

On Tuesday night, the Bucks set an NBA record by sinking 29 3-pointers while crushing the Heat 144-97. Tonight in the rematch it will be difficult for the Bucks to exert the same energy while, the Heat will be primed to step up on defence and be more physical, which will translate Im betting into a lower scoring affair than yesterdays combined  score.   MILWAUKEE is 9-1 UNDER off a road blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg  going on the board. 

  NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more  differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 23-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. 

Play on UNDER

The two most recents meetings in this series have seen 235 and 246 combined points go on the board and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here in this matchup. Over is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 games as a road favorite. Over is 7-3 in Kings last 10 games as an underdog.

Play OVER 

My totals number projects at 221 thus giving us value on over wager. Orlando owns the 5th fastest pace early here this season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City ranks 13th in pace and will be forced into a high energy flow here against a superior side, that can run and push the speed of this game to higher levels. 

ORLANDO is 17-3 OVER  after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 13-1 OVER  after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. Over is 6-0-1 in Magic last 7 games as a road favorite.Over is 4-0-1 in Magic last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 4-0-1 in Magic last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 13-2-1 in Magic last 16 games as a favorite.Over is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 home games. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Play OVER

 The Bucks, now with two losses in their first three games, would love to get back on track against the Heat side that they have huge revenge against for play off ejection embarrasement. I just dont see the Bucks sitting back and trying to make this into a tight play off style game, and instead will be out looking to run and gun in angry fashion, which will turn this tilt into more wide open tilt than the linesmakers are expecting. MIAMI is 22-11 OVER in home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.  NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 227-114 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

Indiana is a defence first side and nothing will change tonight against top tier opponent Boston.  Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games as a home underdog. Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 games as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Celtics play more conservatively on the road behind a solid D, as is evident by the following trends going  9-3-1 UNDER  in  their  last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 
INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER  in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.1 ppg going on the baord. 

NBA  team (INDIANA) - a very good team (7  or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 54-19 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - a very good team (7 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (7  or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 33-11 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

Washington plays a one way type of game, that is based on all out run and gun basketball with  little or no consideration for strong defensive play. Its all about entertainment in the new NBA and this is the type of hoops the fan base wants to see. Tonight Im expecting offensive fireworks at both ends of the court and for two defenses Chicago and Washington allowing an average of more than 121 and 125  ppg respectively to be left vulnerable again. 

Over is 7-2 in Bulls last 9 games as a road underdog.Over is 7-2 in Bulls last 9 road games.

WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER  versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more  free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 245 ppg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 11-2 OVER  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 244 ppg. 

Play OVER 

Both these sides can really light up the scoreboard when in a groove which Im betting both teams are. The Lakers just scored 138 and 127 points respectively in their L/2 trips to the hardwood, while the run and gun Blazers scored 128 points last time out. My own projections estimate, that this line is closer to 229, making this total high on the value perspective for over wager.  Over is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 Monday games.Over is 12-3 in Trail Blazers last 15 games following a straight up win. Over is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 road games.Over is 10-4 in Trail Blazers last 14 games as a road underdog.Over is 10-4 in Trail Blazers last 14 games as a road underdog.

Play OVER

My projections make this total closer to the 214 mark, thus giviing us value with a under wager .

OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-8 UNDER  when the total is 218.5 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored. 

The Jazz are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12  as a road favorite when they lost 2+ straight matchups vs this opponent with none of the games eclipsing this total. 

Play UNDER

Pierce is 27-12 OVER  after playing 2 consecutive road games as the coach of ATLANTA with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. 

The Hawks are 10-0 OVER L/10  at home coming off a road game going over by more than 23 ppg on average. 

Play OVER 

These are two play off contenders with tough defenses. The new version of the Pacers after lousy trey numbers last season will try to get going behind the arc more this season, but the Celtics own a strong 3 point D, and nothing is going to come easy from long range for the Pacers tonight. Meanwhile,  the Celtics themselves Im betting struggle for flow vs a physically bigger Pacers side that is well balanced and mean on the inside. Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. 

 Under is 8-3-1 in Celtics last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 8-3-1 in Celtics last 12 road games.

Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 games as an underdog.

INDIANA is 143-110 UNDER  at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1996 with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored. 

Stevens is 65-45 UNDER off a home loss as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average score of 205.7 ppg. 

Play UNDER

Sixers visit Cavaliers in battle of unbeatens. Defence is key to both sides and nothing will change today. Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 10-3 in 76ers last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 games as a road favorite. Under is 13-3 in Cavaliers last 16 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 games as a road favorite.

The Kings posted a dramatic 124-122 overtime win over the host Denver Nuggets on Wednesday, while Phoenix held off the Dallas Mavericks for a 106-102 home win on the same night. What stood out to me was the Suns top tier defensive play and Im betting on more of the same type of hoops in this spot , which favors this score to stay on the low side of the total. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 67-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

late steam- under 

Atlanta plays a one way brand of run and gun basketball, and nothing should change with the full throttle Young leading the way. Meanwhile, Memphis must not be underestimated in their abiility to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. ATLANTA is 37-25 OVER  when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Play OVER

Its still early on the season to use pace numbers, but I expect both teams will take part in a high octane type of affair rather than a defensive minded play off type game that they took part in during the recent bubble play off adventure both took part in. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after a combined score of 225 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more with a combined average of 105-60 OVER L/24 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more against opponent after scoring 115 points or more are 155-97 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Im betting people maybe surprised at how much improvement New Orleans will make defensively this season under Van Gundy. Meanwhile, Miami bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and tonight will be not differnet. 

Van Gundy is 187-141 UNDER  in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average score of 198.5 ppg scored. 

Spoelstra is 297-266 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of MIAMI with the average combiend score of this big sample size clicking in at 198 ppg. 

NBA team (MIAMI) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year are 53-24 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Im betting people maybe surprised at how much improvement New Orleans will make defensively this season under Van Gundy. Meanwhile, Miami bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and tonight will be not differnet. 

Van Gundy is 187-141 UNDER  in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average score of 198.5 ppg scored. 

Spoelstra is 297-266 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of MIAMI with the average combiend score of this big sample size clicking in at 198 ppg. 

NBA team (MIAMI) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year are 53-24 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

San Diego State under HC Brian Dutcher has a offensive system that is efficient, but the D, is something Im betting  will be to key the teams successes  this season. It must be noted that   Nathan Mensah played the first 13 games last season before health problems sidelined him .When the big man played the  Aztecs allowed just 56.3 points per game and when he left the ppg D, increased by more than 5 ppg. He's healthy again, and Im betting he dominates the rim and the lanes making life difficult on a slower paced defensive minded team at UCLA. At the end of last season, under Cronins tut-ledge the Bruins morphed into a defensive behemoth, and during their hot run,UCLA scored 70 points or less in five of the Bruins’ seven wins , as D was the key! 

Under is 5-1 in Aztecs last 6 home games.Under is 21-5 in Aztecs last 26 games as a home underdog.Under is 11-3 in Aztecs last 14 games as an underdog.Under is 6-2 in Aztecs last 8 overall.

Under is 4-0-1 in Bruins last 5 Wednesday games.

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

The Heat have never for one second stopped working hard, and are now getting more physical as the series progresses . Now with the noose tightening on the Lakers and the Heats confidence surging, Im betting on a absolute war here in game 6 with defense and hard core bone breaking action to take center stage. Look for almost every shot to be contested in a hardcore battle that results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. 

Play UNDER 

At their current paces this game projects off as being a tilt that reaches the 220 point plateau  which gives us an edge on this number to the OVER.  Im betting both sides score more than 108 ppg each. Note: LA LAKERS are 33-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. MIAMI is 46-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.4 ppg. When these teams played earlier this season they combined for 223 points. 

MIAMI is 21-12 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg. MIAMI is 20-9 OVER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226 ppg. M2IAMI is 18-8 OVER  after a combined score of 235 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.8 ppg. 

Play OVER 

Nothing in this series so far suggests that either teams offense will continue to average less than they have  so far. Anything is possible, but remember we are playing the odds based on the data at hand, which suggests from a projections stand point that both teams will score more than 106 points each in what the lines-makers expect to be a closely contested affair. Boston really pushed against the Heat in the 4th quarter last time, and Im betting knowing that the Heat will want to open up and push the pace to keep the Celtics from setting up in the half court. Advantage OVER. 

 MIAMI is 45-2 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the combined average score of 233.3 ppg scored. BOSTON is 34-8 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of  234.1 ppg. 

MIAMI in 18 games  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of those tilts clicking in at 223.7 ppg. 

Miami in 18 Atlantic division affairs this season have seen a combined average score of 219.8 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MIAMI) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 75-40 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Miami has not been held to less than 106 points in any of these games vs Boston, and my projections estimate a similar out put here tonight and for Boston in desperation mode to also keep up offensively in more aggressive fashion and let it all hang out as elimination is a real possibility down 3 games to 1.  It must be noted that MIAMI is 44-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the average combined score clicking in at 233.4 ppg.is 33-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 234.3 ppg scored. Note: The Celtics are averaging  114.6 points per 100 possessions this series, despite of their tentativeness at times.  Miami  has averaged 114.0 points per 100 possessions. 

MIAMI is 15-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 228 ppg going on the board. 

BOSTON is 8-0 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Nuggets  came back from being down 3-1 twice in a row and looked wobbly in game 1 , and Im not sure they will be 100% energized here in this spot, but a better more aggressive effort is my bet. With top tier offensive talent and a never say die attitude scoring will be up for Denver after going just 9 for 26 behind the arc in game 1. Meanwhile, The Lakers in game 1 of this series, looked hungry and focused behind Antonio Davis and his 37 point output, and now I will expect  his Future HOF cohort James to pick up the pace in game two after only scoring 15 points and for the Lakers to push the pace. This Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring play off game that eclipses this total. 

Over is 6-2-1 in Nuggets last 9 games following a ATS loss.Over is 9-3-1 in Nuggets last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Over is 11-4-1 in Nuggets last 16 games following a straight up loss.

Over is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 Conference Finals games.

Over is 21-7-2 in the last 30 meetings.

Play on the OVER 

Two second half collapses by the Celtics have put them in a precarious place in this series down 2-0. The Celtics now have to leave everything on the floor today, and push forward in a more aggressive fashion, which Im betting opens this game up a little more, which in turn will help lift this combined score over the number. The first two totals came in at 208 and 209.5, and I feel that thats where they should be today, this giving us value on an over wager. Note:These teams are averaging 231.25 combined points per 100 possessions with a drum banging pace of  91.72, with top tier efficiency.

BOSTON is 7-0 OVER  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average score of 239.6 ppg. 

MIAMI is 12-3 OVER after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 229.5 ppg. 

Play OVER

Miami really was lights-out efficient in game 1 of this series offensively and now Im betting on a regression and for both these teams to settle into a much slower paced game here in game 2 after the game 1 OT affair. 

Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 

NBA teams where the Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.

 NBA teams with a total of  200 to 209.5 (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more are 34-8 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

This is do or die for Houston and Im expecting them to leave everything on the floor today in aggressive fashion. Im betting the Rockets force the Lakers to open up and for this combined score to eclipse this total. 

LA LAKERS are 10-2 OVER  after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half this season with a combined average of 233 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LA LAKERS/HOUSTON ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 144-68 OVER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

This series is getting slower as it progresses as is evident by pace (number of possessions)  as game one registered in  at  97.7 game 2 at 95.3 and game 3 at 89.5. Houston is small ball team, with top tier talent , but  a limited bench and that effects their offensive efficiency in flow when facing    the Lakers big men who are really putting a physical beating on their opponents.  Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

LA LAKERS are 13-2 UNDER vs struggling  rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 216.5 ppg. 

HC D'Antoni is 36-17 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) as the coach of HOUSTON with the combined average score registering at 218.2 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

The Nuggets have hounded Kawhi Leonard non stop so far in this series and that has effected the Clippers offensive flow and Im expecting more of the same here today in a game I have projected to stay under the total. 

LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 UNDER  in non home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 217.1 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 UNDER  in non home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 season with the combined average score clicking in at 218 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 59-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

This series has been fairly slow paced , with 97 and 95 possessions in Games 1 and 2 . Alot of turnovers have created alot of fast breaks points  but that Im betting  will regress , and what will remain is a more conservative type of affair here in game 3. 

HOUSTON is 17-6 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better ) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. 

LA LAKERS are 14-6 UNDER against Southwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 221 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 51-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

My projections estimate that both these teams will score +108 points here today based on pace and shooting algorithms. . It must be noted that MILWAUKEE is 35-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 240 ppg going on the board, while MIAMI is 41-2 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 234 ppg scored. 

MIAMI in 37 games with  the total of 210 to 219.5 this season have seen a combined average of 219.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - in the second round of the playoffs are 112-64 OVER L/24 seasons for a long term 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER