Cappers Sports Picks

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

This is the 2nd meeting between these teams this season, and Im now betting both offensive coordinators their players have a better feel on attack each other defenses. In the recent past when these teams played in their 2nd game of the season all 3 games eclipsed the total with a combined average of 49.6 ppg scored.

NFL team like New England where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - a poor offensive team (14 to 18 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG) after 8+ games, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 41-14 OVER since 1983 with a combined average of 51.1 ppg scored.

Play on the over

The Lions offense is averaging 34  ppg on the season, and 38.5 ppg in the last month of play and virtually looks unstoppable entering this game at Indianapolis a team that ranks lower half of the league in ppg allowed at 19th. So Im betting the Lions, scoring more than 33 points and the Colts offense in chase mode in game that easily eclipses the offered total. Detroit games after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 8-0 OVER with a combined average of 60 points per game scored.Shane Steichen home games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games are 5-0 over with a combined average of 57.2 ppg scored.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

When these teams played earlier this season they took part in a higher scoring affair, that saw Chicago win as road dogs,  and now my projections estimate a lower combined score in the rematch. The Bulls played  a up temp high scoring affair that  they won last night, against Atlanta and will be on tired legs and in no condition to run and gun here vs the Grizzlies . Memphis has gone under in both  road games as chalk  revenging a SU loss vs an opponent .

Memphis games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite are 10-1 under with a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored. Memphis games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite are 12-1 UNDER with a combined average of 215.6.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a win by 10 points or more are 91-49 UNDER since the 1997 season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored.

Play under

Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 - with a poor rushing D - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 51-20 since the 2020 season with a combined average of 59.5 ppg scored.

Eight of UAB's last nine games against conference opponents at Protective Stadium have gone OVER the total .

These teams are  6-0 OVER  in all six h2h meetings in Birmingham since 2005.

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Houston ranks 3rd in defense ppg allowed in the NBA and is key behind their success and Im betting we see more hard core defending tonight . Meanwhile Portland ranks 18th in the NBA ppg allowed and 27th in offense.  Trail Blazers’ 109-99 road loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder snapped their three-game winning streak, but their ability to play tough D, is key to their successes and failures and tonight vs this kind of opponent that what Im betting we see. Portland in  games vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5 plus per game have gone under 6 straight times with a combined average of 213.8 ppg scored.

The under is 35-12  L/37  to close last season when one of the teams in a matchup was on a 4th Game in 10 plus Days schedule  and the opponent was playing on One Days Rest .

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Pistons rank 22nd in ppg offense this season and rank 9th in ppg allowed  and run at a fairly slow pace ranking 20th in the league. Meanwhile.  the Hornets rank 23rd in ppg scored on offense and 21st in pace, which matches up well in a contest that I have pegged to see a combined score hit in the 215 -216 range.  Motown has gone under 7 of 8 road games , and have gone under in all  four road games with a total of 220 to 229.5.  Detroit away or neutral games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%. or worse have gone under 5 straight times, with a combined average of 207 ppg scored. Detroit games in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. has seen a combined average of 211 ppg scored. Charlotte  has gone under in 5 of 7 home games this season and over their L/5 games have averaged just 107.6 ppg on offense.

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Pacers rank 25th in ppg allowed in the NBA and rank 13th in ppg scored. We all know the Indiana plays a one way offensive run and gun  game plan and nothing will change tonight here against Houston on the road . The Pacers have averaged 126 ppg in their two Western conference battles this season .  Meanwhile, the Rockets run at a very fast pace ranking 9th in the NBA and own the 15th ranked ppg and have averaged 117.2 ppg in their L/5 overall,  and have to be ready for a marathon ,which their young legs and scoring abilities are capable of achieving. With that sais everything points to a higher scoring affair here tonight the eclipses this offered total. The previous two most recent meetings in this series, have gone over this offered total.

Houston versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts and. versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots have gone over in all 4 home game opportunities this season.

Play on the over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Michigan MAC Trophy rivalry, will feature alot of points going on the board. 

The Broncos allow way to many  explosive plays on the ground. . CMU recent struggles Im betting get sorted out here in a big way. They up 34 points  on the board against a decent Eastern Michigan defense two weeks ago, and I now expect them to have big output here . Meanwhile,Western Michigan outgained Northern Illinois at home last week but despite of losing by a 42-28 count, and Im betting on even bigger output here.  Their quarter back Wolff  has been efficient this season  recording  19 passing touchdowns compared to five picks while completing 70% of his passes. (Two of those interceptions came last week)

Western Michigan games after playing their last game on the road are 11-1 L/12 OVER with a combined average of 66.1 ppg scored.Western Michigan games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.9 or more yards/play have gone over 6 straight times with a combined average of 69.8 ppg scored.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Kentucky home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season are 13-0 OVER L/13 opportunities with a combined average 179.7 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Connecticut games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 11-1 under L12 with a combined average of 139.3 ppg scored. Connecticut games after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 6-0 UNDER with a combined average of 136.1 ppg scored.Texas A&M-Commerce away or neutral games off a home win are 7-0 UNDER L/7 with a combined average of 111.6 ppg scored.

Play under

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

  Vermont games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days are 11-0 L/11 UNDER with a combined average of 130.9 ppg scored. Vermont games as a home favorite or pick are 13-2 UNDER with a combined average of 129.6 ppg scored.

Play under

 Dallas starting QB Cooper Rush  was 13 for 23 with 45 yards in a 34-6 loss to Philadelphia last week and Im betting he struggles again vs top-10 team when it comes to EPA per play allowed (-0.059), including  the eighth-best Dropback EPA per play allowed (-0.028) in the NFL. On the flipside, the Texans are just 20th in the league in EPA per play (-0.036) this year, and QB  C.J. Stroud looks like hes mired in a sophomore jinx. 

 that said, Im expecting the Texans to hit the gorund running in this tilt behind Joe Mixen, vs a Dallas defense that is last in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (0.078) and been stepped over consistently vs opposing ground attacks. The combination of Dallas inability to score with consistency and the Texans offensive struggles and highly probable ground concentrated game plan Im betting we see large swaths of this game with very little points scored which gives credence to under selection cashing. 

key teams numbers: The Texans have allowed their opponent to run 10.0% of plays in the red zone this season -- 2nd-best in NFL; the Cowboys have run 11.0% offensive plays in the red zone this season -- T-2nd-worst in NFL.

The Texans have allowed 13.0 PPG in the red zone this season -- 9th-best in NFL; the Cowboys have run 11.0% offensive plays in the red zone this season -- T-2nd-worst in NFL.

Home underdogs on MNF  dating to September 2021 (23 game sample size) have seen the  Under click in at  18-4-1  with a combined average of 37.3 PPG scored .

Play under

Pacers paid last night should not be in good shape to play much D, which is not an issue anyway., because D is not something they excel at. The Raptors are off playing a OT las time out .

Each of the Raptors’ last 10 games after coming off overtime has gone OVER the total points line.Each of the Pacers’ last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back has gone OVER the total points line.

The Pacers rank 25th in the NBA in points allowed in the league and rank 14th in ppg scored, while Toronto ranks 27th in ppg allowed while ranking 17th in scoring behind the 13rth ranked pace.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, first half of the season are 37-10 OVER with a combined average of 2451 ppg going on the board.

Over the total is 5-0-1 in the IND-TOR series since 2023

Play over

The Chargers own the No.1 defense in the NFL and a average offense. The Bengals can put points up on the board in bunches, but they could be fatigued here on a short week of rest and also start slowly after taking part in a 35-34 slugfest that they lost in heart breaking fashion.  

Sunday Night Football unders are 8-2 so far during this NFL campaign. Since the beginning of 2022, they're 35-13 (73%) to the under, going under the total by 4.5 points per game.

NFL road teams after playing  a Thursday road game  like the (Bengals) have gone under in 42 of 54 games  since 2016. 

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

SF 49ers are on 13-1 Over the total run as a home favorite of -3 to -7 points and their QB Brock Purdy is on 8-2 Over the total run vs. divisional opponents. Add to that HC Kyle Shanahan is 41-26 Over the total when his team is on normal rest (7 days) since the 2017 campaign. 

These teams have a history of playing closely contested affairs with the Steelers having the upper had having won 7 of the L/8 meetings SU with the only Steelers loss coming by a 16-14 count, with none of those games 8 games seeing more than 33 points scored. Rinse and repeat.  NFL Road teams like the Ravens against the total - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game are 22-4 UNDER since 2020 with a combined average of 43.1 ppg scored.

Play under

NY Jets QB  Aaron Rodgers is 12-1 Under the total vs. teams with a better record since 2014.

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

These two teams have gone  6-0  over in all six   meetings in Chapel Hill since 2003, and the L/4 games have seen North Carolina put 55, 59, 50, 49 on the board, and according to my projections against a lower tier D, another huge output is projected with Wake Forests capable offense doing damage against a Swiss cheese Tar Heels D that has allowed 35 ppg at home this season. N.Carolina has averaged 36..7 ppg in their L/3 overall.

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

LSU shit the bed last week in an ugly performance vs Alabama in a DD home loss. Their offense struggled, and Im now betting they come out like gang busters as they look for redemption. With that said Im betting LSU will be very aggressive from a offensive perspective in this tilt vs a Florida side that has allowed an average of  34.2 ppg in their L/3 overall and 31.2 ppg vs SEC opposition this season.. After being smashed by Texas last week in a 49-17 loss you can bet the Gators will also be primed to bounce back. Billy Napier games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival has gone 8-0 OVER L/8 with a combined average of 64.5 ppg scored with his team averaging 32.4 ppg.

LSU HC Brian Kelly games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses have gone over 8 of the L/9 times with a combined average of 76.5 ppg scored. with LSU putting an average of 48 plus ppg on the board during that span.

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

This line opened at 48, which is a key number. But Im betting the number we get here is still very viable as my projections estimate a score in lower 40s. Im expecting an old fashioned grinding affair with the combined score staying on the low side of the number.  These teams average   95th in plays per game between overall between them.  Bret Bielema games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread are 14-3 to the under with a combined average of 41.1 ppg scored.Michigan State away or neutral games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better are 9-1 UNDER L/10 with a combined average of 41.7 ppg scored.Michigan State away or neutral games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better are 7-0 UNDER since the 2022 campaign with a combined average of 41.3 ppg scored.

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

New Orleans, is banged up in a big way but the replacements on the floor tonight, are still capable and are natural scorers . Brandon Boston, Trey Murphy, and Jaylen Nowell  have had some big  scoring outputs  throughout their careers and will be primed to compete here tonight on home court. The visiting Nuggets despite of being explosive offensively ranking 5th in the league with 120.9 ppg on average also offer dismal individual defensive ratings as was evident  during their  recent home stand where they were 97.2, 115.5, 111.9, 118.4, and 121.2, ranking them  1st, 24th, 13th, 28th, and 30th respectively. So its not like the fill ins here for the Pelicans wont get much traction from a offensive perspective. What Im betting on here is for Denver to continue to generate of offense, behind Murray and even Jokic does not play tonight becasue of some personal issues will score in bunches according to my projections.  The Nuggets have gone over in 6 straight games in November games and have  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game have gone over 6 straight times. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have gone over in 5 of their L/6 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots.New Orleans home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 9-0 OVER l/9 with a combined average of 240.1 ppg scored. New Orleans games in home game have gone over 5 straight times with the combined score clicking in at 232.8 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

The Mavericks won their first meeting with the Jazz this season, a 110-102 decision on Oct. 28 in Dallas and Im betting they use the same type of strong defensive ball to deal with the Jazz again on the high altitudes of Salt Lake City this time around which will result in a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. Dallas ranks 10th in defense ppg and 18th in pace in the NBA.  the Jazz rank 29th in offense ppg in the league.  These teams have gone under  in the last four overall meetings and five out of six meetings at Utah. None of the combined totals of the four most recent meeting has eclipsed this offering. Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a losing record are 23-3 UNDER since the 1997 season with a combined average of 226 ppg scored.

Play on the under

The Commanders have proved they can score this season behind duel threat  QB Daniels , but their D, remains their Achilles heal , as they their  EPA per play allowed registers at  (0.050), and their Dropback EPA per play (0.100). With that said, a up-trending Philadelphia offense that has seen their QB Jalen Hurts put 9 touchdowns on the board in his L/6 games, and has registered a 115 passer rating over that span and has only thrown one interception Im betting has a big night. The ability of Hurts to shred the Commanders secondary will open up the field for RB Barkley who Im betting runs rough shot here tonight. My projections estimate a combined score in the low 50s here today.  Philadelphia home games in the second half of the season dating back to least season have gone over 6 straight times with a combined average of 59.6 ppg scored.Philadelphia home games after 3 or more consecutive wins have gone over 7 straight times dating back to the 2022 campaign with a combined average of 55.2 ppg scored. Philadelphia home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season have gone over 5 straight times with a combined average of 61.4 ppg scored. Washington games in road games have gone over 5 straight times with a combined average of 57.2 ppg.Washington away or neutral games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game have gone over 6 straight times with a combined average of 56.5 ppg scored.

Play over

The L/5 meetings in this series dating back to last season have been very high scoring affairs with the average combined score clicking in at 245.8 ppg with every game eclipsing this Totals offer. Both sides are showing enough offensive cohesiveness to give an over cover here.  Rinse and repeat. 

Play over

Eight of the last nine meetings in this series  have seen a combined nine or more goals go on the board. Concerning Pittsburgh,Tristan Jarry will get the start tonight as he gets called up from the minors. In his three games this season before going to the AHL he recorded a  1-1 record along  with a 5.47 GAA and an.836 save percentage. After getting shut out last time out, the Red Wings Im betting will be alot more aggressive and produce a decent amount of production here, with the Pens keeping pace .Mike Sullivan in home games against poor offensive teams - scoring 2.55 goals or less a game have score an average of 4.2 gpg and a combined average of 6.5 gpg. 

Play on over

Kent State according to my projections will not eclipse DDs here today . The Flashes were shutout last week, thanks to an abysmal performance from QB Ruel Tomlinson who got his first start. He was 8-of-18 for 62 yards and threw a pick, along with five sacks . He is expected to start again tonight vs Miami O and projects to struggle again. The Flash have been shutout 3 times this season, and scored 6 or less points four times. UNDER the total is 9-1 in the last 10 in this  series. Miami O HC Chuck Martin games versus poor offensive teams - averaging 310 yards/game is 7-0 UNDER as coach of Redhawks with a combined average of 27.2 ppg scored.Miami (OH) games when playing against a team with a losing record are 7-0 UNDER L/7 with a combined average of 37.7 ppg scored.

Play under

Last time out Portland put just 89 points on the board in a ugly DD loss to a  Grizzlies  side that played without injured guards Ja Morant  and Desmond Bane. Quote:"It was just (expletive) embarrassing," Portland coach Chauncey Billups said. "We were soft as hell the whole game. Nobody really fought. It was just embarrassing for everybody. That's just not who we are. It really isn't. No excuse for that." END QOTE: Im expecting a more aggressive outing from the Blazers here at home especially on offense. Meanwhile, Minnesota also had problems scoring in game against Miami last time out losing. a 95-94 decision, thanks to alot of poor shooting. The Wolves will Im betting also be more aggressive offensively and come at the Blazers with everything they have and the home side will fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own as they look to avoid a 2nd straight beatdown. Note: Portland ranks 7th in the NBA and pace and is ranked 28th in defensive rating on the league. Minnesota games after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games have gone over 16 of the L/19 with a combined average of 226.6 ppg.Minnesota away or neutral games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). are 9-1 OVER L/10 with a combined average of. 229.4 ppg scored. Portland home games vs. division opponent have gone over in 15 of the L/17 overall with a combined average of 238.7 ppg.

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 220 - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 55-24 OVER dating back to the 2021 season.

Play over

Every game between these teams last year eclipsed this total ( 4 games). Rinse and repeat on board again this evening in the high altitudes of Utah. The Jazz rank 6th in the league in opace and 26th in ppg allowed. There scoring is also set to increase as they get healthier. Meanwhile, The suns rank top half of the league in offensive ppg production and bottom half of the league in ppg allowed. 

Play over

Panthers explosive offense will be key here to this tilt eclipsing the total. The Panthers have gone over in 11 of 15 games so far this season.  LATE STEAM -Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Looking at Central Michigan defense had me looking at reasons to bet this game over the offered total  of around 51-52 points.  The chips has allowed over six yards per play in conference games to this point  and the my projections estimate the  Rockets are going to able to move the chains and produce adequate offensive production that will help us get over this number. The Chippewas defense allows 31 points per game with a lot of points being scored on explosiveness. Central Michigan’s defense ranks 128th in Explosiveness allowed which is obviously a crap ranking. On D, the Chips  rank 73rd in Rush Success Rate allowed as opposed to 94th in Pass Success Rate allowed.  The Rockets Quarterback Tucker Gleason leads a consistent offense that averages 29 points per game. . Toledo also rank 60th in Rush Success Rate and 30th in Pass Success Rate. I know Toledo has done decently from a defensive perspective, but the CMU dual-threat QB duo and above average  running game that ranks in the top 40 in yards per carry should help bolster their offense production and see the combined score  get us over the number. Toledo has gone over in all 4 home games this season, while Central Michigan 3 of 4 road games and 4 of 5 MAC confrontations.  Central Michigan away or neutral games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games have gone over 5 straight times with a combined average of 61.8 ppg scored. HC Jim McElwain games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) have gone over 10 of 12 games have gone over 59.9 ppg.

Play on OVER

These teams have a recent history of playing lower scoring affairs with the L/4 meetings resulting in an average combined score of 32 ppg. Currently Miami ranks dead last in the NFL in scoring and here on the road Im betting will once again struggle to points on the board. As for the Rams they rank 18th in the NFL in scoring and that inconsistency according to my matchup projections will continue this Monday night. I know the Fins have looked better offensively in their L/2 games after not scoring more than 15 points in 5 straight trips to the gridiron, but they will have probelms scoring in this road venue. Just like Miami has increased their offensive output in their L/2 so has the Rams D also picked up its stopping efficiency ranking  third in the league in EPA per play allowed (-0.095), and  have very strong stopping the run. NFL Road teams against the total - in a game involving two sub par defensive teams (23-27 PPG) in the 2nd half of the season, after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 25-5 UNDER with a combined average of 39 ppg scored. team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - off a road loss, when playing on Monday night are 39-10 UNDER since the 2015 season with a combined average of 43.2 ppg.

Miami games off a loss against a division rival have gone under 6 straight times with a combined average of 35 ppg scored.

LA Rams games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season are 8-1 under L/9 with a combined average of 37.2 ppg scored.

Play under

 Golden State is fully healthy tonight and are off beating the Cleveland Cavaliers by a score of 136-117 last time out and now rank 4th in the NBA in offensive ppg.  Im betting they come right at the Thunder tonight and fearless fashion, and the Thunder fire back in a big way in a score I have pegged to eclipse this total. The Thunder just beat the Houston Rockets by a score of 126-107 and continue to run their attack at a high pace ranking third in the league in that category. 

Oklahoma City home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game have gone over 9 straight times with a combined 251 ppg scored. Oklahoma City home games against Pacific division opponents have gone over 14 of the L/16 times with a combined average of 242.8 ppg scored.

These teams have gone over the Total in the L/8 meetings in this series.

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The last 8 meetings between these two teams have seen a combined average of 50 ppg scored. My projections once again estimate a combined score in this range and  gives credence to an over wager cashing for us today. NFC South same- division tilts  like this have  gone  7-0 OVER so far this season and that trend should continue today. The combined average of the above mentioned games were 57.8 ppg. New Orleans is in complete free fall and will now in desperation mode become more liberal in the attack schemes and just open up . It must be noted NFL teams on Sunday's  off 4 or more consecutive  SU and ATS losses have gone over 6 straight times. 

Play on the OVER 

Houston ranked No.1 in the country in  points per possession last season and has been in the top six  in each of the last four seasons . Here in a neutral court environment Im betting they grind away on Auburn in an attempt to slow this game down  and take away from their offensive play which will aid in this contest staying on the low side of the Totals offering. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

 LSU owns  one of the nation’s premier offensive lines, a unit that has allowed just 4 sacks in 8 games, only 24 tackles for loss all year and Im betting  they will give their QB Garrett Nussmeier  all the protection he needs to go airborne consistently today which to me is a not brainer considering the Tigers are one of SECs worst rush offenses at 3.34 ypr. On the flip-side Alabama will also have to unload in back for fashion behind  QB Jalen Milroe who has the ability to  torch LSU with enough explosive plays to put a boatlaod full of point on the board. 

Alabama games after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 5-0 over dating back to last season with a combined average of 62 ppg scored.

LSU games against conference opponents have gone over 10 of the L/12 overall with a combined average of 69.7 ppg scored. LSU games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 11-2 OVER dating back to last season with a combined average of 72.5 ppg scored. LSU games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. are 8-0 OVER L/8 opportunities with a combined average of 79.3 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

These teams offense numbers do not impress. However, Im betting on a fairly high scoring game here today. Utah  with Lauri Markkanen back from his back injury, the Jazz should start to show positive offensive regression and already move the ball at a high pace ranking 6th in the NBA. The Jazz conversion rate along with their fast paced offense will adhere to higher scoring production.  Also the the Spurs will according to my projections easily eclipse their average offensive output vs a Jazz side that ranks 26th in the NBA in defense ppg. NBA  Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 89-44 over since the 1997 season with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 231.4 ppg.Utah away or neutral games after a game committing 10+ more turnovers than opponents have gone over 6 straight times with a combined average of 248.3 ppg scored.Utah games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) have gone over 8 of the L/9 times with a combined average of 246.6 ppg scored.these teams have gone over the total in their L/3 meetings here in San Antonio.

Play over

CS Sac crawls through games  and last season  ranked 350th in possessions per game and their modus operandi wont change here this season or tonight in a tough road environment at Fresno State. Sacramento State returns nine players from last season's team. However, the team lost its top four, and five of the top six scorers from a year ago, the Bulldogs newVance Walberg has no returning starters and  put together a group that has is still getting acclimated to playing with each other. Add to that I cant really see any outstanding offensive standouts in the group. Alot of factors point to being a lower scoring affair. I know Sacramento put 106 points on the board vs  lower level Cal Maritime last time out, but now I am expecting a big reversion in points and a combined score that stays on the low side the total. 

Play on the under

The last time these teams faced each other a high scoring shootout took place, but now on a short week of rest and  each D feeling more comfortable  with facing  each sides offensive schemes Im betting a contrarian bet that favors the under. I know both defenses have looked porous at times but the Bengals for example have played much better as this season has progressed as was evident last week when they held  the Raiders to just 3.7 yards per play .On the flips side, QB Burrows of the Bengals, will be without key target Tee Higgins this week.Since he faced the Ravens back in week 5 Burrows has only surpassed the 250 ypg plateau once, without Higgins who played that game against the Ravens. Im on the other side, of this very public line movement, and recommend an under wager. 

NF Home favs with a line of 52 or more points have gone under 15 of the L/17 games  last 4 years! Longer term there have been 30 TNF games since 2012 with a total of 50 plus points totals offerings,  with the Under converting at a 73% rate going  22-8  UNDER .

Cincinnati 6-3-1 Under the total since 2014 in TNF prime time affairs. Cincinnati versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 lr more yards/play have seen a combined average of 46.3 ppg scored spanning a 6 game sample size dating back to last season. \

Play under

n Baltimore games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season are 8-1 UNDER since the 2022 season with a combined average of 29 ppg scored. John Harbaugh home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games have gone under 19 of 25 times with a combined average of 38.9 ppg scored.

NFL team against the total (Baltimore)- after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 50-20 UNDER wince 1983 for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

 Overall  Coastal Carolinas D,  has been atrocious, and recently they allowed 516 yards to Louisiana and followed that up by allowing 511 yards to Troy.  Coastal Carolina is allowing 428 yards and 33 ppg while giving up 6.1 yards per play on defense.  Chanticleers pass defense is not exhibiting much stopping power and  has allowed a 17/4 TD/INT ratio and a completion percentage over 60%  and are allowing more than six yards per play . Thats something  App States  QB Joey Aguilar can take advantage of.He recorded  a 33/10 TD/INT ratio last season and gained more than 3,700 yards. This season,  thanks to his excessive  aggressiveness has  recording 18 TDS and 10 interceptions which are not as prolific as last years action  ,but today he should do fine.  Meanwhile, the Mountaineers  defense has also been bad, as is evident by  giving up  6.9 yards per play.  App State have victories in their L/2 tilts  vs Georgia State and Old Dominion despite allowing 884 total yards  Coastal Carolina stake no prisoners  big-play offense have recorded 26 plays of 30+ yards  and 14 plays of 40+ yards ranked top 15 in all of College Football and will have a open alley to put a boatload full of points on the board. Im betting we have a real shoot out here and a combined score that gets eclipsed. Coastal Carolina home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread are 6-0 OVER with a combined average of 68.5 ppg scored.

OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Wisconsin in their usual modus operandi will run a slow and grinding game play. Wisconsin has consistently  ranked 271st or slower in total possessions per game the last 17 seasons. Ya their is a decent offensive core available for Wisconsin but Montana State a team that is picked to win the Big Sky conference will defend with consistency.  Meanwhile, the Badgers big bodies will give a team that had problems with 2nd chance opportunities last year to get much offensive headway. Montana State is also a team that can make life miserable for their non conference opposition, so discount their prowess.MSU is positioned to be one of the most experienced teams in the country, with six seniors and graduate students in the projected rotation, plus six juniors. 

Play under

My early season head to head power rankings projections estimate a combined score in the high 130s which gives us a significant edge to the under on this totals offering.Vermonts hoops program , ranks 278th in low possessions per game each of the last eight seasons and slowed down UAB in their first game of the season allowing just 62 points . Auburn is off a season where they were  10th in points allowed on a per-possession basis last season. Im expecting a grinding affair, here with the points failing to be eclipsed.

Play under

Evansville has  had to replace last season’s top five scorers and that was a team that could hardly be looked at as offensively gifted as they averaged just 70.9 ppg and just 67.2 ppg on the road. Here against a North Texas hoops program,  that allowed 61.1 ppg in non conference action and has consistently  ranked in the top 74 nationally in points allowed on a per-possession basis in each of the past four seasons you have a situation where points and offensive cohesiveness will be an issue. Im betting on North Texas dictating this tempo in slow grueling fashion and combined score that fails to eclipse the totals offering. 

Play under

Alabama averaged more than 90 ppg last season, is what was a all out run and gun attack that seemed to never stop. The defense was non existent, last season ranking 269th in points allowed on a per-possession basis and despite of some off season upgrades should still have issues defending in this type of  take no prisoners offensive scheme. Meanwhile,  UNC Asheville was 38th in 3-point shooting percentage last season and can also light the scoreboard up. Rinse and repeat in game that I have pegged to hit in the mid 160s. 

Play over

The Bulls rank 1st in pace in the NBA and their D is ranked  22nd in ppg allowed. Meanwhile, Utah ranks 6th in pace and their D is ranked 23rd. 

Chicagos offense has been average so far this season , but capable ranking 17th overall, and even though the Jazz are ranked 30th thus far, this is a favorable matchup for them and they should easily eclipse their season averages in what will be a faster paced affair that projections estimate will hit in the low to  mid 230s.

Utah away or neutreal games after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 6-0 to the over with a combined average of 238.3 ppg going on the score board dting back to 2023. Utah away or neutral games after 4 or more consecutive losses are 6-0 with a combined average of 241, ppg scored.

the L/2 meetings in this series last season easily eclipsed this total.

  The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Play over 

The Colts and Vikings are off losses last time out and and will be primed to get back into the winners circle this week in this dome game. 

Some interesting stuff went down when the Colts benched QB Anthony Richardson in favor of veteran Joe Flacco after Richardson “took himself out”  of their last game -for a play in the fourth quarter because he was tired. When know Flacco can ball when given the opportunity and thats what Im betting on this week from the veteran. You have to remember Richardson has not done all that well this year so this is not a down grade situation. When Flacco played in Weeks 4 through 6, Indianapolis had a Dropback EPA per play of 0.290 and things will really get rolling this week in the aerial attack for the Colts. That Flacco data was the fifth-best mark in the league in that three-week span. The Colts Flacco, owns a 102.2 passer rating this season compared with a 57.2 passer rating for Richardson. Flacco has thrown for 716 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception this season.

Flacco has averaged 7 more ppg in his starts for the Colts  than Richardson. With the pass attack upgraded that should unleash the running game behind Johnathon Taylor to also get untracked. Meanwhile, despite of having. a quality D, the Vikings are ranked  just 19th in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play allowed (0.079) since Week 4. Im also betting on Vikings Sam Darnold to start to roll agin after cooling down recently after a fast start. Sam Darnold will make his eighth start of the season. He has recorded a 107.2 passer rating while throwing for 1,610 yards with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions. line here is  that- these are two proficient offenses  with two inconsistent  defenses  playing in what will be a face paced affair in a dome game which Im betting leads to a higher scoring affair. 

Minnesota   home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread have gone over 7 straight times with a combined average of 54.7 ppg scored. Kevin OConnell in home games off a road loss has seen a combined average of 51 ppg go on the board L/5 opportunities.Kevin OConnell games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play in the second half of the season are 5-0 OVER with a combined average of 56.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play over

Without star forward Paolo Banchero the Mavs are going to have problems being cohesive.  The Magics offensive efficiency and points per 100 possessions sinks  precipitously  without Banchero in the lineup. Im betting the Magic will plan on  slowing this game down, and play tough D, because of the considerable offensive deficiencies they must now cope with . On the flip-side, the Mavs play a concise type of hoops behind Doncic and use the pick and roll as key mode of shot decision making, which will take time off the clock. Dallas current ranks 7th in ppg allowed and 22nd in league ppg offensive production behind the 25th ranked pace. Orlando ranks 10th in ppg defense, and 19th in ppg offense, and 13th in pace.

The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 84 games (+21.00 Units / 23% ROI)The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 87 games (-29.95 Units / -30% ROI)

Dallas games when the total is 210 to 219.5 are 14-1 under with a combined average of 201.8 ppg scored dating back to last season and are  7-0 L/7 UNDER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5.

NBA Favorites like the Mavs- off a upset loss as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games have seen a combined score of 204.5 ppg games (spanning a 150 game samples size dating back to the 1997 season.

Play under 

Detroit ranks 29th in ppg offense this season, and rank 13th in ppg defense behind a 27th ranked pace. Motowns opus operandi is based on a conservative approach to each and every game and possession, which generally leads to lower scoring games, as alot of clock time gets eaten up. 

This is an afternoon tilt so both teams may have problems getting untacked which one again leads to a slower pace out of the gate and less cohesive action. 

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 46 games (-17.00 Units / -34% ROI)

Home favorites like Brooklyn - off a home win, bad team from last season (25% to 40%) playing a team that had a losing record last year, in 1st 7 games of the season have seen a combined average of 198 ppg go on the board dating back to the 1997 season with a sample size of 40 games.

Play under
 

Ravens own the best offense in all of football  averaging 452 ypg and  have gone over in  7 of 8 tilts averaging a combined 56.4 pp), and the worst D in the entire NFL at this point in the season. Meanwhile, the Broncos are starting to juice up their offense behind QB Bo Nix and have registered an average of 27.8 ppg in offense over their L/4 games with all of them eclipsing the total. Everything points to this totals offering being eclipsed. 

Play over

Its obvious that this young Spurs side is going to play a more conservative defensive game plan as has been the case so far this season.On the flip-side the  Wolves are still getting acclimated to a newer lineup and are off playing last night. These obvious circumstances and data analogs have the books setting a lower total on this game. With that said, Im betting its just a bit to low, and we have an edge with a over wager cashing here today. Yes, the Wolves played last night, but that will now have them on tired legs and less likely to be physical giving the offensively challenged Spurs more room to become cohesive offensively.   The Wolves score 119 points last night, against a decent Denver D, and Im estimating a 110+ output tonight, with the Spurs eclipsing the 105 point plateau. So according to my projections and over wager is play.Minnesota games when playing on back-to-back days are 11-2 OVER L/13 opportunities with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored.

Play over

UNDER the total has converted in 11 straight in the Air Force-Army rivalry. Im betting on another grinding affair that stays under this totals offering. 

Last season New Orleans were  (37-50-1) UNDER , while Golden State was  (41-42) to the UNDER . Im betting on more offensive futility in this spot.  The Pelicans scored just 105 and 103 in their last two games against Swiss cheese Trail Blazers D, and Im betting the sledding will get tougher against a more competent Golden State D.With the  Warriors without  Curry because of an ankle sprain, Im betting the cohesiveness of their offense will be tested vs a  tall /athletic Pelicans  perimeter D. Key situational Trend: New Orleans  is on a 13-1 Under  run when playing on the back end of an A2A/ B2B scheduling scenario. Willie Green road games after 2 or more consecutive overs have gone under 18 of the 22 times.

Play under

The Avalanche now on a 5 game win streak to continue their winning way vs a  Blackhawks side that they  have had a great deal of success vs in the recent past .  Colorado has won four of the last five in this series vs Chicago with 4 of the games resulting in shutouts . The Blackhawks have lost six straight visits to  Colorado, and were shut out in 4 of those tilts. Considering how badly the  Blackhawks  offense has struggled this season , putting goals on the board here should be difficult according to my projections.  Note: The Blackhawks have scored two goals or less in six of their seven losses this season.

The Dodgers starter  Walker Buehler  has pitched admirably in the post season and is  off four scoreless innings. However, in the regular season and postseason  he owns a overall bloated  5.44 ERA, and a  6.40 road  ERA while allowing a whopping  2.5 home runs per nine innings in road games . Im betting the Yanks star studded offense will do some damage here. Meanwhile, NYY starter  Schmidt in  eight home starts this season, has allowed 1.3 home runs per nine innings with a 4.50 ERA . He goes against a explosive  Dodgers offense that leads play off participants  rpg  in  post season  scoring. both bullpens have been decent in the play offs, but we are now in colder part of season in this particular venue (pitchers  will be taking longer to warmup with LA warm weather arms much more susceptible to being blown up , and with late season exhaustion setting in the offenses Im betting have the edge. 

NY Yankees home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent are 16-3 OVER with a combined average of 11 rpg scored.

LA Dodgers games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season have gone over 15 of their L/19 opportunites with a combined average of 10.6 rpg.

DAVE ROBERTS road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season are 13-2 OVER as manager of the Dodgers with a combined average of 12.4 rpg scored.

Play on the over

The Wizards enter this game ranked 29th in defensive rating and 30th defensive points per game allowed while running at fast pace ranking 6th in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks rank 27th in ppg allowed , 9th in pace and 7th in offensive ppg, and 9th in offensive rating and projected for those numbers to advance here tonight vs a porous D, that runs and guns with wreck-less abandon. 

Washington games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) have gone 9-0 L/9 OVER with a combined average of 252.1 ppg scored.Brian Keefe road games after allowing 130 points or more have gone 6-0 OVER L/6 with a combined average of 244.3 ppg scored. Washington HC Brian Keefe road games after 1 or more consecutive losses are 12-1 OVER L/13 with a combined average of 248.3 ppg scored.

The OVER is 3-1 in Washington/Atlanta matchups at Atlanta since the 2023 season.

Play over

The Avalanche scored four or more goals in their last six victories versus the Senators. Nine of the last 10 and 17 of the last 20 meetings have gone over the offered  total and 14 of those games have had a combined seven goals go on the scoreboard. Im projecting at least 7 goals going on the board today. 

Play over

Dak Prescott and company have had problems, moving the ball and their problems will continue today according to my projections against this SF D. Meanwhile, Im betting on the Cowboys playing a conservative game as mistakes can not be tolerated in a almost certain must win situation for the Boyz. 

NFL team against the total  (49ers)- off a home loss by 10 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 23-4 UNDER since the 2020 season for a combined average of 38.1 ppg scored.

Mike McCarthy away or neutral games after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game have gone under in 13 of L/14 with a combined average of 39 ppg.

Play on the UNDER

 Buffalo according to my projections will score 30 plus points here today according to the line offerings from the various books( lines-makers). Seattle offense exploded last week putting 34 points on Atlanta on the road.  The Seahawks  have not scored less than 20 points in a single game this season, and project to hit into the low 20s here.  both QBs have been explosive this season, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat of past incarnations of this series here today. All 10 games in the series since 1995 went Over the total. 

Buffalo has gone over in 10 of the L/11 vs NFC West. 

Play over

These two teams recently do not exhibit alot of offensive qualities , but Im betting on a break out here this week to some extent that helps us eclipse this total. The last six games of the series have gone Over the total with a combined average of 60.8 ppg scored.

NFL Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points - outrushed by their opponents by 1 or more yards/carry on the season, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games are 26-5 over with a combined average of 47.1 ppg scored.

Play over

Houston 14-1 to the Under in the last 15 rematch games vs. the Colts.

NYY starter Rodon entering this tilt  having allowed two earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts dating back to the regular season and projects to have another top tier outing. Meanwhile,  Dodgers starter Yamamoto looks in his last two postseason starts, allowed a total of two runs in  9 1/3 innings for victories.

The Yankees bullpen garnered a  2.56 ERA in the playoffs. The Dodgers bullpen recorded  a 3.16 postseason ERA.

Yesterday game was low scoring, with most of the runs coming in extra innings. More under valued action is on board tonight despite of the offensive talent on the field. 

Play under

 Boise State has won the Stats battles and all 6 of their games  by an average of +142 net yards per game), Their opus operandi has been via a top tier run game that is averaging  +7.9 net yards Per Rush behind Heisman Trophy candidate  Ashton Jeanty.Jeanty has 1,248 yards on 126 carries for 9.9 yards per pop and 17 rushing touchdowns and can make the best of defenses look average at best.  

Broncos have the second-best offense in the nation in yards per play.  and going against UNLV side that  gave up 44 points to Syracuse at home  I expect mucho points to go on the board.  On the flip-side, UNLV ranks 21st in yards per play and project to have a big output night vs a Boise State side, that gave up   82 points in the first two games of the season versus Georgia Southern and Oregon .

With that said, Im betting on a high scoring affair that eclipses this total.

Boise State games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game have gone over 6 straight times dating back to the 2022 season with a combined average of 66.8 ppg scored

UNLV games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or better yards/play havre gone over 9 straight times with a combined average of 73.7 ppg.

Play over

Washington should be able to do some offensive damage here tonight with talented  Kuzma being the floor general . However, Boston behind the east most talented team should dictate the pace and scoring in this game, and really being the hammer down at least for 3 and half quarters before probably resting their stars in what Im betting will be a very high scoring affair. 

In double-digit spread NBA non-divisional conference tilts the , Over has cashed at a  224-153  60% rate  over the last four seasons.

The OVER is 3-0 in Boston/Washington matchups at Washington since the 2023 season. The L/4 meetings in this series have all eclipsed this offered total.  Over the total is 6-0 in the last six meetings between Boston and Washington. 

Play over

The Rangers and Panthers’ last 19 regular season meetings have had a combined six goals or more scored and my projections estimate at least 6 goals going on the board tonight. Note: PAUL MAURICE in away or neutral games after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games has seen a combined average of 6.4 gpg scored. (spanning a 13 game sample size)The Blueshirts have scored four or more in all six games this season, rince and repeat if your considering a over bet on a team total to go along with this game total. 

Play over