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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-26-18 | Bengals +1.5 v. Bills | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
This game features the Bengals and the Bills. Bills were very un impressive in their win over the Browns last week and now they come in this week down their starter A.J. McCarron who is being held out with injury laying all the starting duties on Nathan Peterman and his backup Josh Allen. Bengals have won bot preseason games and are using them to set the tone for the regular season. I love Bengals backups Jeff Driskel and Matt Barkley both competing big time. Hopefully Andy Dalton plays the first half if not I am still not worried Bengals are much better lay the points for a 20* winner. 20* Bengals |
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08-25-18 | Saints v. Chargers -2.5 | Top | 36-7 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This game features the New Orleans Saints and the LA Chargers. LA Chargers showed up big time last week and beat the Seahawks pretty easily. Chargers QB and super competitor Phillip Rivers will get extended work Saturday. I expect Gino Smith to get the a ton of time also and he has looked pretty good. How much playing time will Brees get well that's still up in the air but looking at this line I'd say not to much. Saints do not have much talent at backup and we know the Saints history on grass rather then turf. Saints are getting 73% of the money and this line is holding at 2.5. I have talked to both my offshore and Vegas guys all 4 say the Chargers are the best on the board Saturday. Love the Chargers laying the points for a 20* winner. |
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08-25-18 | Ravens v. Dolphins +105 | 27-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
This game features the 3-0 Ravens at the 0-2 Dolphins. If there ever was a preseason game that was a game a team had to have it's this one for the Dolphins who are winless in the preseason so far. Dolphins starters are expected to play a series or two into the 3rd quarter and I think that will give us the advantage we need here as the Dolphins will just be hungrier in this one. 92% of the money so far has gone down on the road Ravens I think the public is off on this one as we back the Dolphins here for a 15* winner. |
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08-25-18 | Chiefs -3 v. Bears | 20-27 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
This game features the Kansas City Chiefs and the Chicago Bears. The Bears like some teams this week are really taking an unusual take on week 3 normally your starters play theirs will not as they say most starters will not play including Mitchell Trubisky. The Chiefs are planning on letting Pat Mahomes loose look for him to play the first half Saturday then you have a back up battle in Chad Henne and Matt McGloin. I love the Chiefs even though they are a super square move Saturday. 15* Chiefs minus the points |
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08-24-18 | Packers v. Raiders -6 | Top | 6-13 | Win | 101 | 35 h 7 m | Show |
This game features the Green Bay Packers and the Oakland Raiders. Packers will not play the 3rd week preseason game like most teams do and that is play there starters for the bulk of the game in reality most starters will be held out Friday or only see one or two drives. Raiders did not look good last week and are at home and surely want to give there fans a win. Most of the Raiders players unlike the Packers will play until halftime. Packers are a heavily bet team this week. EJ Manuel and Conner Cook should be playing all out in the second half. Love the Raiders big take them for a 20* winner minus the points. |
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08-24-18 | Lions v. Bucs -3 | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
This game features the 0-2 Lions and the 2-0 Tampa Bay Bucs. On the outside you would think the Lions are the play but I really think they are struggling to get head coach Matt Patricia's new scheme that was evident last week as a weak Giants team took them to task. Tampa Bay has looked good especially Jameis Winston who will play tonight and also Ryan Fitzpatrick who will start the season unless he is beaten out by Ryan Griffin who has looked sharp so all 3 Quarterbacks for Tampa have motivation tonight at home. I will gladly lay 3 points with the Bucs for a 15* winner. |
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08-23-18 | Eagles v. Browns OVER 41 | 0-5 | Loss | -119 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
This game features the 0-2 Eagles at the 1-1 Browns. Both teams come in hungry for wins but I think they're are multiple angles tonight showing the over is the best bet. Eagles have given up 68 points in there first two weeks and I don't see that getting much better as they are banged up all over the place including running back which I think will extend this game. Browns defense does fight but is young and vulnerable look for both teams to light it up as this number goes over. 15* Over 41 |
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08-20-18 | Ravens v. Colts +1.5 | Top | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This game has the Baltimore Ravens at the Indianapolis Colts. This game I believe is all about Andrew Luck after 19 months of rehab on his shoulder the world will be watching as he get to play to half time. Once considered one of the best quarterbacks in the league most have forgotten how good he once was and I think when you throw him and Jacoby Brissett as teams are offering 2nd round picks for him so the better Luck looks and the better Brissett looks the better the Colts will be both players have very high motivation. I like the Raven backups too but far to many people are betting the Ravens especially for a preseason game this line opened at a PK it's only gone to +1 maybe +1.5 in some spots and we are seeing 86% of the bets go down on the road team here. Love the sharp side and the Colts here for a 20* winner |
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08-18-18 | Bucs +3 v. Titans | Top | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This game features the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Tennessee Titans. Tampa Bay will have issues when the season starts without Winston but you can expect to see him for a quarter this week and with Ryan Fitzpatrick and Ryan Griffin who was 20-26 for 179 and 1 touchdown and really seems to be taking advantage of this opportunity in Tampa and I see that going down tonight as well. Lot's of early action on the home Titans not sure why. Only around 10% of money tracked has gone on them yet this line is holding tight at 3. Titans Mariota has not looked great in a year and a half and I don't think you will see to much of him so that leaves Blain Gabbert and Luke Falk a 6th round rookie. Love the Bucs today for a 20* big winner. |
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08-18-18 | Bengals +3.5 v. Cowboys | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
This game features the Cincinnati Bengals and the Dallas Cowboys. I really think the Cowboys are thin on defense and that the preseason means more to the Bengals who really have a ton of young across the board talent that will want to show it self in this game. As per usual the books are getting a ton of Dallas action really not seeing this line move off of 3 but I do suspect you might see a +3.5 closer to game time. I'm fine with the 3 as I really see the Bengals pulling the upset here. Once Dak sits down there is not much at QB behind him and Matt Barkley and Jake Driskel are fighting it out right now for back up position. Take the Bengals plus the points for a 15* winner I think this is a 3 point game either way. |
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08-17-18 | Bills v. Browns -3 | Top | 19-17 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This game features the 0-1 Buffalo Bills and the 1-0 Cleveland Browns. Cleveland might have won last week but they still have another mission and that is to give their home crowd the feeling of a win. On like other years this team has 3 solid QB's as far as preseason betting you have Tyrod Taylor who should play 1 quarter and I think you see Baker Mayfield for a quarter and Drew Stanton. Browns are facing a Bills team where they are not that strong at quarter back. Expect Josh Allen to get some real playing time this week and he wasn't that great week 1. Both Nathan Peterman and A.j. McCarron had minor injuries this week but injury's all the same. Love the Browns as a team on the whole tonight as we lay the points and take Cleveland for a 20* winner. |
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08-16-18 | Jets v. Redskins -1 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 58 h 7 m | Show | |
This game features the NY Jets at the Washington Redskins. I think both teams will get good QB play Thursday most times you get a team with a all-star QB then you have two trash backups but not here. Redskins lost last week and I think they really want to get a win for their home crowd. Jets won last week so the urgency really will not be there love this line I am all over it. 15* play on the Redskins minus the spread. |
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08-16-18 | Eagles v. Patriots UNDER 43 | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This game features the Philadelphia Eagles and the New England Patriots. Both teams come in with a very deep defense and that's where I am focused on in this game. Eagles defense gave up 31 at home last week so you can be sure this was a big focal point at practice and you will be seeing more of the first teams defense on both sides of the ball. What you wont be seeing is any Nick Foles or Carson Wentz which really hampers the Eagles offense as I believe both Nate Sudfeld, Joe Callahan are pretty bad quarterbacks and a reason the Eagles brought in Christian Hackenberg but it would be foolish to think he would be able to play in this game as I expect to see him week 3. Tom Brady has a sore back so I don't think you will see him more then a drive. Then it's Brian Hoyer and Danny Etling there 7th round draft pick from LSU. Love the under here to cash easy although their is heavy money and bets backing the over. Take the under for a large 20* winner. |
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08-11-18 | Vikings -103 v. Broncos | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
This game features the Minnesota Vikings at the Denver Broncos. If this was the regular season it would have a ton of storylines as the starter for Denver Case Keenum was not resigned by the Vikings but scooped up after a stellar year so I am sure he wants to get back at Denver. Then on the Vikings side they went out and got former Broncos starting QB Trevor Siemian and unlike Keenum should get a good taste of playing time tonight. The Vikings are a very deep team across the board and I feel like we are getting a great line here even on the road in Denver normally a tough place to get a win. Take the Vikings to cover the spread for a 15* winner. |
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08-10-18 | Falcons v. Jets -2.5 | Top | 0-17 | Win | 100 | 106 h 15 m | Show |
This game features the Atlanta Falcons and the New York Jets. A'lot of times in the preseason teams like the Jets are much more motivated to win games like these especially at home for their fans. But when you look at who the qb's will be in total the Jets have a big advantage. How much will we really see Matt Ryan and any of the top running back or wide receiver talent probably not much at all but in stark contrast the Jets really don't have a stone cold lock at starting QB and really have 3 quality starters. Bridgewater comes in fighting for his career. Josh Mccown the favorite but not a lock to start at QB and rookie phenom Sam Darnold I think we will see all 3 on Friday as they fight for their spot. On the other side Matt Ryan will probably see one drive then your on to guys like Kurt Benkert,Garrett Grayson, and leading the crew Matt Schaub who has seen better days. Love the Jets at home minus the points for a 20* winner. |
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08-09-18 | Cowboys v. 49ers -3.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 17 m | Show | |
This game features the Dallas Cowboys and the San Francisco 49ers. Early big money on the road Cowboys and I really must say this line is really meant to scare off Niners money. I think Niners come out more fired up then ever with a legit shot at the playoffs with young Jimmy Garoppolo at the helm. Niners have a slight edge at back up QB which will prove to be huge here. Dallas pretty much has a'lot of starters set where as a ton of Niners guys are fighting for starting spots. Take the Niners minus the points for a 15* winner. |
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08-02-18 | Bears v. Ravens -2.5 | 16-17 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 11 m | Show | |
This game features the Chicago Bears and the Baltimore Ravens. I love the preseason last year we cleaned up big time and will do so again. A ton has to do with QB talent and the Ravens have a ton of it coming into this season atleast preseason NFL talent meaning you will see guys like Robert Griffin get a a'lot of action and top rookie Lamar Jackson get a'lot of snaps. It is said Lamar is way ahead in terms of development. We both know the starting QB won't play in this one so you have to grade the backups. Bears have Tyler Bray as a backup with their main backup being Chase Daniel so I see a huge advantage right there for Baltimore and also looking in at early betting the sooner the better to get in on the Ravens as I see this line going to -3. Take the Ravens minus the points for a 15* winner. Remember I went 71-47 60% in the regular season last year and hit 69% in preseason NFL 9-4. |
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08-26-17 | Packers v. Broncos -3 | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This game features the 2-0 Packers at the 2-0 Broncos. This game really means a'lot to the quarterbacks for Denver Siemian wants to show his coach he made the right choice naming him the starter and Paxton Lynch is sure to go all out to show what he has. I don't expect Rodgers to play more then 2 series in this game and the Broncos defense will be tough throughout love the Broncos here minus the points for a 15* winner. |
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08-25-17 | Chiefs +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 13-26 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
This game features the Chiefs at the Seahawks. Both teams have had their backup QB'S look good Pat Mahomes has looked very good and should see a good chunk of action tonight. Alex Smith should get the first quarter. Pete Carroll has confirmed that you won't see Thomas Rawls or C.J. Prosise or Tyler Lockett. I believe you will see as much Russell Wilson as you did guys like Cam Newton so expect like 2 drives. Cheifs are off a 30-12 win on the road and I expect that to keep up tonight. I spoke with two of my Vegas guys both say Chiefs are the play of the day even over any MLB game. The public as usual is pretty have on the Seahawks as 63% are backing the home team but we have seen this line stick at 3 and make guys betting the Hawks lay no juice and to be that opens eyes on how much they want Seahawks money here. Take the Chiefs and the points for a 20* winner. |
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08-24-17 | Panthers v. Jaguars +1.5 | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
This game features the 1-1 Panthers and the 1-1 Jags. This game is fairly simple in my eyes there is a major quarterback battle going on for the Jags so IMO you will see the starters play a'lot longer then the starters for the Panthers. I would be shocked to see Cam Newton play more then a series or two which gives us a huge advantage with the Jags a team that is talented in it's own right. Derek Anderson struggled against the Titans and we have a mass amount of bets going down on the road Panthers right now sitting at 66%. I think you will see a'lot of Blake Bortles who must show his best stuff to remain as starter and back up Chad Henne give it all he's worth. Love the Jags to win outrite but I'll take the plus points if given. Play the Jags for a 20* winner. |
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08-21-17 | Giants v. Browns +1.5 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
This game features the 0-1 Giants at the 1-0 Browns. This lined opened with the Browns being favored but the public through heavy betting of the Giants have moved this game and will do so even more by kickoff. So far 67% of the public bets have gone on the Giants. I have spoken to two of my offshore guys both are going rather large on the Browns for several reason. #1 winning right now at any cost means a'lot to the Browns especially in front of their home fans which have not seen that much over the past few years. Browns won 20-14 versus the Saints last week while the Giants Lost at home to the Steelers by the way gave us a tough rare loss yesterday. Another reason I love the Browns tonight is how much competition there is at every position especially QB where Brock Osweiler will start this guy basically has his last chance here as a starter so he will be giving it all he has tonight and I believe will be given extended time Monday to showcase himself to open up a trade for the Browns so they can start Kizer their rookie who also will get a'lot of playing time and won the game for us late last week in a great win. Cody Kessler will also play Monday. I don't believe Eli gets more then a series and then it's Josh Johnson who looked horrible last week and Geno Smith who did look better all in all it comes down to Quarter back quality and determination to win these meaningless game and I think the Browns win on both. Play the Browns for a 15* winner. |
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08-20-17 | Falcons -3 v. Steelers | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
This game features the 0-1 Falcons at the 1-0 Steelers. Boy are the Falcons a super square play this week but it just seems like the right call. The Steelers are 1-0 and have to start Joshua Dobbs at QB a rookie 4th round pick and I think he will play most of the game and give some time to Bart Houston an undrafted rookie from Wisconsin. Falcons I don't think will play Matt Ryan long but have to backups that have played in the NFL in Matt Schaub and Matt Simms. So a huge advantage at QB add to that the Falcons lost week 1 to the Dolphins they will want to get in the win column. Take the Falcons minus the points for a 15* winner. |
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08-19-17 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Bengals | 30-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
This game features the 0-1 Chiefs at the 1-0 Bengals. At first glance I liked the Bengals at home in this one but as you dig deeper into the game the Chiefs look like the easy winner. I hate going with this type of public line move but this is the pre season where it's more about QB play then anything else. Chiefs are playing Alex Smith the entire first quarter then 3rd string Tyler Bray 2nd quarter then talented Pat Mahomes who looked very good in first game will get the 3rd quarter. I think both Alex Smith and Pat Mahomes wana show off in this one as Alex Smith even though it's not said is fighting for his job as starter. Bengals I don't think Andy Dalton plays more then a series. While I think A.j. McCarron is a very good backup how much will they play him as they are trying to trade him? That leaves Jeff Driskel a QB the Niners cut this preseason. That's enough for me I'll back the public side and jump on the Chiefs minus the points here for a 15* winner. |
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08-18-17 | Vikings v. Seahawks -3.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This game features the 1-0 Viking at the 1-0 Seahawks. I was very impressed with the Seahawks last week and especially Trevone Boykin who look fantastic in a 48-17 beat down of the Chargers. We are backing the public side of the Seahawks. I look at both sides QB's and it's hard to argue with Seattle even their 3rd Quarterback Austin Davis has had NFL action. I don't expect Sam Bradford to see more then a drive then it's up to Case Keenum and Taylor Heinicke which is where we win it. Seahawks will want to put a show on at home and should be able to get this cover rather easy. Lay the points take the Seahawks for a 15* winner. |
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08-17-17 | Bills v. Eagles UNDER 39.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 54 h 53 m | Show | |
This game features the 0-1 Bills at the 0-1 Eagles. Both teams will be hungry for a win but the Eagles will be the most motivated IMO after their terrible showing against the Packers which gave us our first preseason loss. Wentz won't see more action then he did last week and Nick Foles is also ruled out. That leaves Matt McGloin to play the bulk of the game and we saw what the Eagles offense did with him last week. Bill only put up 10 points at home versus Vikings. Bills backups are Nathan Peterman a rookie from Pitt and T.J. Yates a 30 year old stiff. I see the Eagles defense and Bills defense dominating this game and leading to an easy Under. 15* Under |
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08-13-17 | Seahawks v. Chargers -1.5 | Top | 48-17 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
This game features the Seahawks at the Chargers. Chargers play their first game in L.A. and I expect them to be the more motivated team easy here. The public will be betting the Seahawks and looking at the number it sits around 60% on the road Seahawks. I think these games come down to QB play and I think Kellen Clemons as the back up QB we are safer then having to go with Austin Davis or Trevone Boykin. Love the Chargers to win and cover this game for a 20* winner. |
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08-12-17 | Titans v. Jets +3 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
This game features the Tennessee Titans at the New York Jets. I went to 3-1 on preseason picks as my play on the Niners won outrite last night I think you will see the Jets do the same tonight win outrite. Jets have a open 3 way battle for Quarterback none real great but having all 3 in is far better then the backups on the Titans. Home games in the preseason is far more important to the home team and here we are picking up points. 76% Of the public backing the road Titans and this line has only moved a half point. Take the Points and the Jets for a 15* winner. |
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08-11-17 | 49ers +4 v. Chiefs | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Here we have the San Francisco 49ERS at the Kansas City Chiefs. Chiefs are a team I really like and I'm look at them hard this season but preseason is all about who wants it more and how long the more talented guys will be on the field. This is Kyle Shanahan's first game as head coach and I am sure his team will be hell bent on getting him a win. Niners will want to get last season's bad taste behind them asap. Take the points and the Niners for a 15* play but I think they will win this one outrite. |
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08-10-17 | Eagles +2 v. Packers | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 11 m | Show | |
We started the preseason with a win and we head into week 2 with a nice advantage play with the Eagles. Aaron Rodgers is unlikely to play Thursday Night and look at their backup QB'S. Brent Hundley looks t get the start and he has very limited NFL snaps. Then it's rookie Taysom Hill and Joe Callahan who saw no action in his rookie year. Eagles have Carson Wentz will probably get a drive but more importantly is their back-up veteran Nick Foles should get snaps along with Matt Mcgloin who saw time with the Raiders last season all in all we will get more talented players from the Eagles on the field Thursday and that is where these games get won. Take the Eagles to cover the spread 15* |
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08-10-17 | Saints v. Browns -3 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
This game features the Saints at the Brown. Browns have everything to prove after another horrid season and I feel like they will be the more motivated roster out there. We have seen this line go from a PK to -3 Browns despite the public biting on the road Saints. I don't think we will see any of Drew Brees tonight and other then Chase Daniels they are super weak in back up QB's. Browns have a open competition for the starting job and I think you will see a'lot of Brock Osweiler who has a'lot to prove and top pick Deshone Kizer. Cody Kessler who has started NFL games will also see action. So with all 3 of those guys fighting to start I think we will have a easy play on the Browns tonight minus the points for a 15* winner. |
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