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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-05-17 | Raiders -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 57 h 54 m | Show |
This game features the 3-5 Oakland Raiders at the 4-3 Miami Dolphins. It's amazing that the Dolphins are 4-3 with how bad their QB'S have played and equally amazing that the talented Oakland Raiders are just 3-5. This is must win for the Raiders who can not afford another loss in the competitive AFC. Usually I stay away from square plays but sometimes the easy ones are just that easy and this is one that needs to be jumped on asap. Take the Raiders -3 for a 20* winner. |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -2 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
This game features the 6-2 Chiefs at the 4-3 Cowboys. Cowboys are in desperate need of wins and with Elliot bound to eventually serve a 6 game suspension this game here is must win. This is not the same Chiefs team that opened up the year winning 5 straight they have lost a'lot on defense. Love the Cowboys here minus the points as they know the Eagles most likely will win making this game a must win as falling 3 games behind would be terrible especially with no Elliot. Money is 50/50 but the sharps will be backing the Cowboys here today. 15* Dallas |
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11-05-17 | Redskins +8 v. Seahawks | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 52 h 52 m | Show | |
This game features the 3-4 Washington Redskins and the 5-2 Seattle Seahawks. The way the season started for Seattle with their beat up O-Line I was not expecting them to be where they are now having won 4 straight. But the facts are they still have no running game and are facing a team with their backs to the wall in the Redskins who have won the last 2 games at Seattle. Public is pounding the Seahawks so far as 68% are backing them but not me I love the Redskins to keep it close and maybe pull off the upset. Take the Skins plus the points. 15* Washington |
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11-05-17 | Bengals v. Jaguars -6 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
This game features the 3-4 Bengals at the 4-3 Jaguars. Bengals struggled to beat a bad Colts team last week and their other two wins are over the Browns and one good win over the Bills. This Jags team has a shut down defense and a great running back and even Bortles is playing better this season. Not sure why the line is so high I'd expect this line to be around -3.5 but this make me think the Jags should be an easy cover today. Take the Jags lay the points for a 15* winner. |
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11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants +4 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -115 | 63 h 36 m | Show |
This game features the 5-2 Rams at the 1-6 Giants. The Giants are a team that is loaded on defense and is getting Sterling Sheppard back and this is another case of a west coast team coming east and playing at 1pm I normally like to fade those teams. Giants and Rams are both off bye weeks but this is do or die for the Giants and the public is all over the road Rams at a rate of 76% I'm going very big with a 20* play on the Giants Sunday. |
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11-02-17 | Bills v. Jets +3.5 | Top | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This game features the 5-2 Buffalo Bills at the 3-5 New York Jets. I love taking the home team on a Thursday Night game just look at last weeks game the Ravens won 40-0 as obvious the Dolphins were not up for the game. Jets have to have this game to stay in the hunt for the playoffs. Both teams have excelled against the number at 5-1 ATS and 5-2 ATS. Jets play much better at home and are 4-0 ATS at home. Look for the Jets to keep this game withing 3 points take the points and the Jets for a big 20* winner. |
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10-30-17 | Broncos +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 19-29 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 34 m | Show |
This game features the 3-3 Broncos at the 5-2 Chiefs. The Broncos could not have looked worse last week and their all-star defense will be ready to play I think 7 or more points is just to much to give a very motivated Denver defense and Trevor Siemian. Knows he is on a short leash. Public all over the Chiefs I love the sharp Broncos to cover this game as it comes down to a FG on either side. 20* Broncos |
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10-29-17 | Steelers -3 v. Lions | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
This game features the 5-2 Steelers and the 3-3 Lions. Steelers are peaking right now off huge wins over the Bengals and Chiefs I worry a little about a let down but this team is just so much better on both sides of the ball. Detroit is riddled with injury's on offense missing 2 top wide receivers. Money is 50/50 on the game but I believe the sharps are backing Steelers here and so will we for a 15* winner. 15* Steelers |
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10-29-17 | Cowboys v. Redskins UNDER 47.5 | Top | 33-19 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This game features the 3-3 Dallas Cowboys and the 3-3 Washington Redskins. There are a'lot of factors favoring the weather this afternoon one being the all day rain and win forcing teams to run the ball more and quicken the game. Secondly both defenses are near the bottom of the league and will be motivated to improve their game today and lastly both teams can not afford a fourth loss as they are trailing the 6-1 Eagles who have a date with the worst team in the league today. Last 3 times these two teams have played the game has gone over look for a more traditional grind it out game. Take the Under for a 20* winner. |
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10-29-17 | 49ers v. Eagles -12.5 | Top | 10-33 | Win | 100 | 97 h 28 m | Show |
This game features the 0-7 Niners at the 6-1 Eagles. Niners are the worst team in football bar none this team is more worried about protesting then playing football. I love to fade west coast teams coming East and playing at one so not only do you have a team that is going no where but you have a team with jet lag. Normally I stay away from games like these as they lend themselves to being traps but I think the Eagles really lay the wood to them and easily cover the large spread. Take the Eagles minus the points for a 20* winner. |
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10-29-17 | Raiders v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 48 h 38 m | Show |
This game features the 3-4 Oakland Raiders and the 3-4 Raiders. Raiders got a huge win last time out that we we're dialed in on but this time around we will fade the Raiders I'm surprised what little respect the Bills are getting they have one of the best defenses in the league and I think that is what gets the job done Sunday. I have spoken to both my offshore and Vegas contacts all 4 tell me Buffalo is the best play Sunday I love them to and will take them minus the points. 20* Bills |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | Top | 0-40 | Win | 100 | 59 h 33 m | Show |
This game features the 4-2 Dolphins at the 3-4 Ravens. Ravens are playing with their backs to the wall and facing Matt Moore will be a big advantage. He did look good in relief but I think on this short week and the do or die attitude in Baltimore you will see that defense come out and dominate. Flacco has also been under pressure to step it up. They met last year and the Ravens won 38-6 now it won't be that much of a blowout I am looking for a easy cover by the Ravens. Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 versus the Dolphins and have won 6 of 7 SU. Take the Ravens minus the points for a 20* winner. |
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10-23-17 | Redskins v. Eagles -4 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This game features the 3-2 Redskins at the 5-1 Eagles. Eagles are red hot winners of 4 straight and are 2-0 at home and look to sweep out the Redskins after having already won at Washington earlier this season. Eagles are 7-2 78% in their last 9 games ATS. Before this win this season Washington had won 5 straight SU and the Eagles look forward to giving the Skins some payback. Also Redskins best corner back Josh Norman is out for this game as the Eagles secondary gets healthier. Take the Eagles and lay the points for a 20* winner. |
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10-22-17 | Falcons +3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 7-23 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
This game features the 3-2 Falcon at the 4-2 Patriots. Some games are just flat out personal and the Falcons I think have had this game circled all year so much so they let a bad Miami team beat them at home. This teams is looking for redemption. Patriots are not as good as last season and frankly I think Atlanta blows them out. Take the points and go big on Atlanta here 20* |
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10-22-17 | Broncos v. Chargers +1 | 0-21 | Win | 100 | 30 h 53 m | Show | |
This game features the 3-2 Denver at the 2-4 Chargers. Chargers have found some momentum since losing at home to the Eagles. Broncos were crushed by a 0-5 Giants team last week that came to play hard. Trevor Siemian came back down to earth and I think he will continue to struggle in this game also. Broncos are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and the Chargers are desperate to give their home fans some wins as they are 0-3 at home. 73% of the bets have gone down on the road Broncos love the sharp play of the Chargers at home. Take the Chargers for a 15* winner. |
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10-22-17 | Seahawks v. Giants +4 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
This game features the 3-2 Seahawks at the 1-5 Giants. Giants really showed me something winning in Denver last week and this Seattle team will travel a long way to play this game and this is not the same Seahawks team we have seen in previous years their O line is not good I think the desperate Giants get pressure and keep this game close. Take the Giants plus the points for a 20* winner. |
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10-22-17 | Bucs +3 v. Bills | 27-30 | Push | 0 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
This game features the 2-3 Tampa Bay at the 3-2 Buffalo. Tampa is lucky to be playing this game here this week and not later in the season when this would be a very cold game. Winston is gonna give it a go and he knows this is must win for the Bucs who have tremendous talent but just have not put it together. Public is all over the Bills pushing this line up to 3 I'll gladly take the points and the Buccaneers Sunday for a 15* winner. |
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10-22-17 | Titans v. Browns +6 | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
This game features the 3-3 Titans and the 0-6 Browns this is probably two season straight that I always seem to get suckered into taking the Browns but to me they look good every week not as a team but as a sharp play. I expect Kizer who's numbers have been bad to play more conservative and try to establish the run with Crowell. I think this game is very low scoring with the Browns keeping it within 3 throughout. Love the points here and the Browns for a 15* winner. |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs v. Raiders +3 | Top | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 57 h 10 m | Show |
This game features the 5-1 Chiefs at the 2-4 Raiders. It's do or die time for the Raiders off a bad loss to the bad Chargers. I think you will see a healthier David Carr and the recipe for beating the Chiefs is out and they are banged up in the secondary. We are getting a nice line here due to Raiders struggles this season but it is hard for the road team to win on Thursday Night football especially giving points. If you can get 3 jump on it but any points will do as the Raiders will win outrite but take points for safety. 20* Raiders |
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10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans -7 | Top | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This game features the 2-3 Colts at the 2-3 Titans. Titans are the best 2-3 team in the league and the Colts are bad not sure how they even got 2 wins oh that's right they beat the Niners and the Browns. Enough said. Public is all over the Colts and I am not sure why maybe they are hoping Mariota does not play or he is hampered and I believe he will have a monster game and the Titans will really use their running backs tonight. Colts have won 11 straight versus the Titans which I am sure they are well aware. Take the Titans minus the points for a nice 20* winner. |
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10-15-17 | Giants v. Broncos UNDER 39.5 | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
This game features the 0-5 Giants at the 3-1 Broncos. Denver is well rested off a bye week playing a team that is finished for this season they are down their top 3 receivers and have no running game and they are playing the best defense in Football pound for pound. Take the Under for a 15* winner. |
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10-15-17 | Packers v. Vikings +3 | Top | 10-23 | Win | 105 | 74 h 26 m | Show |
This game features the 4-1 Packers at the 3-2 Vikings. Pretty sure Case Keenum will start Sunday and that is good for the Vikes they looked pretty solid with him in their he's no Aaron Rodgers but the Vikings have one of the best defenses in the league and this is a must win game at home where the excel. I have spoken to both my Vegas and offshore contacts both love the Vikings as the best play Sunday and looking at public money I can see why as 75% are biting on the Packers. Packers have covered last 2 games and I think this line sets up the public for a nice burial Sunday. We will take the Vikings plus the points Sunday for a huge 20* winner. |
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10-15-17 | Browns +10 v. Texans | Top | 17-33 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
This game features the 0-5 Browns at the 2-3 Texans. I think the Texans are in trouble on defense with some big guys going down last week. They are off a tough loss at home and now host the worst team in the league the Browns. Browns will be a'lot better with Kevin Hogan. Hogan protects the ball much better and the Browns defense put them in multiple chances to win last week but could not do it. I got an email from my top contact in Vegas and he is all over this game and I can see why as only 42% are backing the road Browns but the books are trying to steer as much money on the Texans as possible. Won't work on us as we will take the Browns plus the points for our biggest 20* play Sunday. |
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10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers -3 | Top | 28-23 | Loss | -115 | 59 h 45 m | Show |
This game features the 4-1 Eagles at the 4-1 Panthers. Two of the hottest teams in Football but I just don't see the Eagles at the level of the Panthers. Panthers beat a great Patriots team on the road and also beat easily a very good Lions team on the road. Now they come home and face the Eagles on the short week which is always harder for the visitor. Public is all over the Eagles here and not sure why I don't think they have one really nice win under their belt and the one good team they played the Chiefs handled them easily. Play the Panthers minus the points for a big 20* winner. |
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10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
This game features the 2-2 Vikings at the 1-3 Bears. Ok so Bradford will be back tonight is he 100%? Highly unlikely and really he's not much of an upgrade at that spot truth is the Vikings have always struggled at Chicago. I think the Bears with their rookie start starting tonight will really limit the game plan and try and grind this game out with their two star running backs. Bears know the Vikings have to pass the game and I think you will see a very low scoring game. Last 3 out of 4 games this season have gone under. Last 3 played against the Vikings in Chicago have gone under I love the under tonight take it for a big 20* winner. |
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10-08-17 | Ravens v. Raiders -2.5 | 30-17 | Loss | -130 | 29 h 20 m | Show | |
This game features the 2-2 Ravens at the 2-2 Oakland. I'm pretty positive David Carr plays Sunday and with that gives us great value with Oakland. Both team have not looked good but the Raiders have tremendous talent on both sides of the ball. Raiders are 5-1 83% ATS in their last 6 road games I think they take this game easily and cover the small number. 15* Oakland |
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10-08-17 | Titans v. Dolphins -110 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
This game features the 2-2 Titans at the 1-2 Dolphins. Mariota will not start and the Dolphins are a desperate team. They have a solid defense and a offense that has weapons. No brainer here take the Dolphins for a 15* winner. |
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10-08-17 | Panthers +3 v. Lions | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 41 m | Show |
This game features the 3-1 Panthers at the 3-1 Detroit Lions. A'lot of people would stay off a team like the Panthers who had a huge win at New England who I backed big last week and will this week as well. I spoke to both my offshore and Vegas guys all 4 tell me the Panthers are the best play on the board Sunday and I agree. This team is still underrated even after their upset. Only 36% of the bets are in on the Panthers yet this line is crashing fast off the 3 it opened at. Carolina is a money making 8-3 73% ATS in their last 11 games after allowing over 30 points look for this defense to come motivated and get us a cover. 20* Panthers |
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10-08-17 | Bills v. Bengals -3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
This game features the 3-1 Bills at the 1-3 Bengals. Bills on second game of back to back road games and off a huge emotional win over the highly ranked Falcons. Bengals finally got a win last week and this is a must win game for them. Perfect trap game here for the public as they will be all over the road Bills but not us I love the sharp side and the Bengals to keep the winning going this week. Bengals will bring their A game and so will we as we put a big 20* play on the Bengals Sunday minus the spread. |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs UNDER 54.5 | Top | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This game features the 2-2 Patriots and the 2-1 Tampa Bay Bucs. New England's defense has been horrible and I am sure that was the focus all week at practice as typically this team plays sound defense maybe not the best but sound. I won't expect the Patriots offense to put their defense in bad spots like going for it on bad 4th downs. Tampa has a talented young defense and will be as high for this game as possible as they look to show the world just how good they are. Love the Under here as people will swarm to the over. 20* Under |
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10-02-17 | Redskins +7 v. Chiefs | 20-29 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
This game features the 2-1 Redskins at the 3-0 Chiefs. Redskins looked very good against the Raiders and now try and take out another AFC West team and I love there chances in this game Monday. Chiefs defense has a'lot of injury's and 7 is a big number to cover. Lot' of public money on the Chiefs at home but this line seems to be holding tight at 7. 67% are betting the home Chiefs we are gonna roll with the sharps and take the Washington Redskins plus the points Monday. 15* Redskins |
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10-01-17 | Raiders +3 v. Broncos | 10-16 | Loss | -101 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
This game features the 2-1 Oakland and the 2-1 Denver. I'm not buying that Denver offense with Trevor Siemian. They were exposed a little last week versus a mediocre Bills team and yes Raiders lost at Redskins and looked bad but I think they were looking to this game. I like getting points here as I think Oakland is the better team. Derek Carr always shows up on the road where he has 13 TD'S and just 3 INT'S in his last 7 road games. Public all over Denver for some reason can't figure it out as 65% are backing them we are going sharp and taking the Raiders plus the points Sunday. 15* Raiders |
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10-01-17 | Eagles v. Chargers | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -115 | 101 h 52 m | Show |
This game features the 2-1 Eagles and the 0-3 Chargers. This game is a perfect storm for us the Eagles are off a huge emotional win over division rival Giants on a last second 61 yard field goal the Chargers are 0-3 and as desperate as a team can get and they are at home with the eagles traveling east to west coast. This is a huge public trap game as 63% of the public has bet the Eagles and this line has held tight I love the Chargers at anything -3 or lower. Chargers are 4-0 ATS following a double digit loss at home. Love the Chargers here bet a big 20* play on them Sunday. |
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10-01-17 | Panthers +9.5 v. Patriots | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
This game features the 2-1 Carolina Panthers at the 2-1 New England Patriots. Last year the Patriots were a covering machine but this year I think the books are really padding their lines but still it's not affecting public money as almost 80% of the bets are going down on the Patriots. Love the sharp play with the Panthers here this line has not moved much. Carolina in it's history has covered 5 of the 6 games against the Pats. Both teams are 1-2 ATS this season but I think we are getting a ton of points with a solid team. Take the Panthers plus the points for a 15* winner. |
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10-01-17 | Lions v. Vikings -2 | 14-7 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
This game features the 2-1 Lions at the 2-1 Vikings. When these two teams meet it is almost always a close game. Lions lost in devastating fashion last week and now have to go on the road to play a Vikings team that is really looking good on both sides of the ball. Case Keenum looked good he has 3 touchdowns 0 interceptions and 536 yards passing filling in for Bradford. Keenum knows this is a chance to showcase hist talents and stay in the NFL. Vikings are great at home they are a money making machine going 24-7 77% ATS in their last 31 home games. Take the Vikings minus the points for a nice 15* winner. |
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09-28-17 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 49 m | Show |
This game features the 1-2 Bears and the 2-1 Packers. Bears are coming off a huge win over the Steelers but even in that game they only scored 23 but the good news is they held the potent Steelers offense to just 17 points. I am positive Packers will win this game they are just too good for the Bears. But I also think the Bears will try to run the ball a'lot with Howard and Cohen and grind down the Pack and limit the Packers attempts at scoring. 4 of the last 5 games the Packers have hosted the Bears they have gone under and going back further overall in this series the under is a money making 13-6 68%. Love the Under here back it for a 20* easy winner. |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals UNDER 47 | Top | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
This game features the 1-1 Dallas Cowboys at the 1-1 Arizona Cardinals. Both teams are struggling to score points and missing your best weapon like Arizona is is a real problem. Both team have very good defenses. The under is 6-0 ATS in Arizona's last 6 Monday Night games as that's when their prime time players really perform. I love this total and I rarely play them go under for a big 20* winner here. |
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09-24-17 | Bengals +8 v. Packers | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This game features the 0-2 Bengals at the 1-1 Packers. Bengals are the best 0-2 team maybe in league history and their will be tremendous pressure on them to get the win today in Green Bay and I have no question that they will keep this game close. I should've jumped on this game sooner as the Bengals opened up getting 10 points and since has dropped to 7.5 and that is with just 32% of the bets going down on them so far. Big trap game for bettors here but not for us. My top Vegas guys emailed me and he has a big portion of his bankroll sitting on the Bengals and so will I. I believe the coaches job is on the line and a win here is almost a must take the Bengals plus the points for a huge 20* winner. |
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09-24-17 | Browns -1 v. Colts | 28-31 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 5 m | Show | |
Both teams come into this game 0-2 but for the Browns could be their only shot at a win this season. Thoughts of the season where the Colts didn't have Peyton Manning all season where they got the #1 pick and selected Andrew Luck. Make me wonder if he will play this season. In any even I love the way Deshone Kizer has played early on and I think finally in this game you will get to see Isaiah Crowell get to run the ball as they will not be down multiple scores for the greater percentage of the game. Only 42% are betting the Browns and this line is climbing take the Browns minus the points for a 15* winner. |
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09-24-17 | Bucs v. Vikings +3 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
This game features the 1-0 Tampa Bay and the 1-1 Minnesota. Look for the Vikings to come out fighting even harder now that they know Bradford will be back as their is no structural damage to his knee. Tampa came out with a'lot of emotion last week as they were well rested and ready. I love getting points with a better defense and a better team other then QB. Take the points and the Vikings for a 15* winner. |
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09-24-17 | Steelers v. Bears +7.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
This game features the 2-0 Steelers at the 0-2 Bears. I see this game a'lot like the Falcons and Bears. I think the Steelers take the Bears lightly lets not forget the Browns covered week one versus these Steelers. Steelers have a huge rival game next week at home versus the hated Ravens. Bears are 5-1 83% ATS in their last 6 home games. I spoke to both my offshore and Vegas guys both love the Bears here a'lot Sunday. Look at public numbers a whopping 77% are backing the Steelers on the road yet this line has held tight. Take the Bears at home for a monster 20* winner. |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | Top | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 77 h 3 m | Show |
This game features the 1-1 Rams at the 0-2 Niners. San Francisco gave it everything they had and almost pulled the upset at Seattle. The public is all over the road Rams at 72% yet this line is really moving the other way. Rams lost both games to the Niners last season and I think the 49ers take this one in prime time. Take the points for a 20* winner. |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants -3 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This game features the 1-0 Lions at the 0-1 Giants. Giants have won 4 of the last 5 SU versus the Lions and I don't think it is possible to look any worse on offense then they did week one. Giant's only got a field goal last week but with Beckham back or even if he does not play I love the Giants at home in this one. Public is all over the Lions due to how great they looked last week but not me as I think the Giants get it done at home tonight. 20* Big winner on the Giants minus the points. |
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09-17-17 | Packers v. Falcons -3 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
Huge game between the 1-0 Packers at the 1-0 Falcons. Packers got a huge win at home and now have to hit the road at a very hard place to win in Atlanta last season the Falcons won both games against Green Bay. Atlanta has covered 3 of the last 4 versus the Packers and are 7-1 78% ATS in their last 8 week 2 games. Love the Falcons to make a statement tonight a week after looking bad versus the Bears. Take the Falcons minus the points for a 15* winner. |
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09-17-17 | Vikings v. Steelers -5.5 | 9-26 | Win | 100 | 41 h 26 m | Show | |
This game features the 1-0 Vikings at the 1-0 Steelers. The Vikings have not won in Pittsburgh since 1995 and that's not changing this Sunday. Last Monday we backed Vikings big and cashed now they are on a short week with a Steelers team who looked rocky against the Browns look for them to put it all together this Sunday. Steelers are 5-2 71% ATS in their last 7 games in September. Public loves the Vikings in this one not me lay the points take the Steelers. 15* |
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09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars +3 | 37-16 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 25 m | Show | |
This game features the 0-1 Titans at the 1-0 Jags. Jaguars had a bad preseason but opened up sgtrong beating the Texans on the road and this week I love them at home even without Allen Robinson. Titans are just 13-35 27% ATS when facing off with a team in their own division. Jags win outrite but take any points given for a 15* winner. |
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09-17-17 | Patriots v. Saints +7 | Top | 36-20 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 23 m | Show |
This huge game has the 0-1 Patriots at the 0-1 Saints. Perfect set up for the Saints they are getting huge points at home as they take on a Patriots team that is over rated and off a blowout loss at home. I have spoken to both offshore and my Vegas contacts both say they are going very large on this game and I agree. Public is all over the road Patriots at 82% but I believe they will lose this game outrite. Saints are 7-2 78% ATS last 9 games facing off with the Patriots. We will follow the sharp money with a huge 20* play on the Saints plus the points Sunday. |
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09-14-17 | Texans +5.5 v. Bengals | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 57 h 50 m | Show | |
This game features the 0-1 Texans at the 0-1 Bengals. I think we have the two teams that looked the absolute worst weak one. Texans defense was put into a bad spot all day by their offense and the same can be said for the Bengals. I think you will see a huge game from the Texans defense who will be out for blood Thursday on a short week. I think this game comes down to a field goal and there is just so much public money here on the Bengals as we speak 73% are betting them. I hope the Texans start Watson but either way I think the game is close take the  points and the Texans here 15* |
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09-11-17 | Saints v. Vikings -3 | Top | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 35 h 6 m | Show |
This game features the New Orleans Saints at the Minnesota Vikings. Saints have covered 7 of the last 8 games against the Vikings and have won SU 4 straight since 2010 but this is not your average Vikings team they play a very tough brand of defense and the Saints always have problems on the road. Willie Snead will miss this game due to suspension which will hurt the Saints offense. Look for the Vikings to shut down Michael Thomas and make the Saints run the ball. This game will be won by defense where the Vikings are worlds ahead of New Orleans. Take the Vikings minus the points for a big 20* winner. |
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09-10-17 | Giants v. Cowboys -4 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show | |
This game features the Giants at the Cowboys. What a great way to start Sunday Night Football then with a great rival game in the NFC East. Dallas will want to show the country just how good they are and with Elliot back and back for the future this team is very good on both sides of the ball. A'lot of questions around Beckham and his health and I think he will play but will be limited this week. Cowboys come in much higher on the power rating scale and they know how well the Giants have played them in the last 2 years. This is a statement game for Dallas look for them to blow them out at home. Public is all over the Giants yet this line is moving the other way telling us the sharps are backing the Cowboys and so will we for a Sunday Night winner. Cowboys 15* |
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09-10-17 | Cardinals v. Lions +2.5 | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show | |
This game features the Arizona Cardinals at the Detroit Lions. Really underrated Lions team here as there is no way they should be the dog at home. I love to bet against west coast teams traveling east playing at 1pm I know this is game one but there is still a time adjustment. Only 35% of the public is betting the Lions here and this line is holding tight at 2 I think the Books make out huge week 1 and make up for some of the College Football losses from week one. Cardinals have won 7 straight versus the Lions stretching back to 2006 look for the Lions to end that and win outright today I love them plus or minus points here for a 15* winner. |
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09-10-17 | Raiders v. Titans -1.5 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -120 | 71 h 35 m | Show |
This game features the Oakland Raiders at the Tennessee Titans. I think you will see an improved Titans team this year and that will all circle around Marcus Mariota who I think will have a huge season. Oakland might be without their best defensive player in Khalil Mack who is having knee issues and that is a big deal since the Titans really love to run the ball. Love the Titans minus the points for a 20* play this is my big play Sunday |
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09-07-17 | Chiefs +9 v. Patriots | Top | 42-27 | Win | 100 | 251 h 5 m | Show |
This game features the Chiefs at the Patriots in a really great game to start off the season. Patriots were a huge money maker last year and they are always the biggest square play on the board. Last season they were 16-3 84% ATS and I can guarantee you the books will cover their butts this season and pad the lines on Patriots games. I have been eyeing this game since the line has come out love the Chiefs at anything over a touchdown. Chiefs have the talent to win this game but either way it will be close to the end. Take the Points and the Chiefs for a big 20* winner. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 58.5 | 34-28 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
15* |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 80 h 51 m | Show |
This game for all the marbles features the Atlanta Falcons and the New England Patriots. I was wrong on my Steelers play in the Championship week but I feel like this one will be a easy cover. Frankly we don't need the points the Falcons are the best team but you would be hard pressed to find a guy on the streets to say the Patriots are gonna lose Sunday it's just assumed they will. I love getting points with such a non public team right now 67% are betting the Patriots and this line has held at 3 since it came out some sites are paying plus money for Pats bets. Last time I checked Vegas does not hand out money. I have reached out to both my Vegas and offshore guys all 4 are betting Falcons big and so will we. 20* Falcons plus points. |
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01-29-17 | AFC v. NFC UNDER 81 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-22-17 | Steelers +6 v. Patriots | Top | 17-36 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 27 m | Show |
This huge game has the Pittsburgh Steelers at the New England Patriots. Before the Playoffs started I locked in on the Steelers to win the Superbowl at 8-1 odds and Love them straight up here but getting points that's a no brainer for me. Steelers have won 9 straight games and are healthy and for me have more weapons on offense and are just as good if not better on defense. Steelers are 7-1-1 88% ATS last 9 games. Pats come in 1-6 ATS in there last 7 playoff games as they are always over rated by the books especially in the playoffs. Only 44% are backing the Steelers here and this line is holding tight at 5.5 or so. Take the points and the Steelers for a 20* winner and my biggest NFL playoff play in years. 20* Steelers |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons UNDER 61.5 | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons -4 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
This game has the Green Bay Packers at the Atlanta Falcons this game will have the Atlanta crowd rocking as it had been years since they were in the playoffs and now the Super Bowl bid is up for grabs. The Falcons are stronger in almost every position and only giving up less then a touchdown is a bargain. My top source in Vegas said the Falcons are the best on the board today and looking at numbers I agree.  Only 38% are betting the home Falcons yet this line is heading upwards. I want all clients on the Falcons minus the points for a 20* winner. |
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01-15-17 | Steelers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 58 h 17 m | Show |
If you don't know from my previous post my futures pick to win the Super Bowl is the Steelers I just think they are the best suited to go into New England and beat the Patriots. Big Ben comes into this game 6-1 85% ATS lifetime off a playoff win by more then 10 points which is what we have here. Yes the public is backing the Steelers here but I love them this year and think they are far and away the better team and will gladly take any plus points in this match-up* 20* Steelers. |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys UNDER 52.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
I had liked the Packers in this game up until yesterday and as you break down the numbers it's a clear Cowboy cover here. Plus my top contact in Vegas emailed me that he is on the Cowboys big time and if you dive in even deeper in the numbers you will see.  The public bets are all over the road Packers at 62% and even with that you will see this line go up and up so clearly the sharps have taken position on the Cowboys and so will we for a 20* winner. |
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01-14-17 | Texans +16 v. Patriots | Top | 16-34 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 32 m | Show |
This game features the Texans playing at the Patriots. We cashed on the Texans pretty easy last week as they beat the Raiders. Let's not Kid ourselves it's highly unlikely the Patriots lose this game but I don't see them coming close to covering. The Texans have the 2nd best pass defense in the NFL and that's what the Patriots do and now without Gronk I think you will see two teams that will struggle to score. This line is super high probably due to the fact that the Texans were beat by the 3rd string qb of the Patriots but I think that will motivate them and put that together with the amount of public bets on the Pats I see a public slaughter Saturday Night. 75%  of bets are in on the Patriots but we will hold our nose and bet the Texans big here for a 20* winner. |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks v. Falcons -5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 78 h 45 m | Show |
Big time playoff game as the 10-5-1 Seahawks take on the 11-5 Falcons. Over their history the Seahawks have never been much of a road team and that lends true this season too as they are 3-4-1 this year and Atlanta though just 5-3 at home has a huge advantage it's crowd will be electric as they have not seen a playoff win in years. Falcons lost to this Seahawks team by 2 points earlier this year but that sets us up for a great angle going forward. But NFL teams with a win percentage between .600 and .750 that are playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the year have cashed  a perfect 14-0 ATS if they lost by 3 points or less in that earlier game and the Falcons lost 26-24 earlier this year. Falcons are a public supported play but I love them this week for a huge 20* winner. Take the Falcons 20* |
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01-08-17 | Giants v. Packers -5.5 | Top | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
This big game for us features the 11-5 Giants at the 10-6 Packers. Packers have won 6 straight games going into this one with Aaron Rodgers playing some of his best football of his career. My top adviser in Vegas got back on track yesterday with a huge win with the Seahawks and now he says he's all in on the Packers today and looking into the info I can see why. Giants played their last two regular season games on the road which triggered a great angle for us to use today. Since 1984 teams that ended the season on the road in the last 2 games have gone 3-14 SU and are just 4-17 ATS. Public is 50/50 on this game with a slight edge in bets to the Giants yet this line has gone from 4 to 5.5. Take the Packers here minus the points for a big 20* selection. 20* Packers |
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01-08-17 | Dolphins v. Steelers -12 | Top | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
Possible the two hottest teams in the NFL square off as the 10-6 Dolphins take on the 11-5 Steelers. Big difference here as the Steelers had a virtual bye week and the Dolphins are down to back up QB Matt Moore. Steelers are playing with revenge from a earlier season loss to the Dolphins where they were favored by 7 points so this Steelers teams will not take them lightly. Since 1980 NFL favorites of -8 or more points playing with revenge like the Steelers are have gone a money making 15-0 ATS if their opponent's offensive scoring average was less than 23.7 ppg. We see the cash is 50/50 on this game but this line is really moving the opposite way. We will take the Steelers for a big 20* selection. I have spoken to both my offshore and Vegas contacts all 4 love Pittsburgh big. |
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01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks -8 | Top | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This game features the 9-7 Lions at the 10-5-1 Seahawks. I was very happy to get a email from my top Vegas source telling me he's going very big on the Seahawks today and looking into it I can see why. Lions limped there way into the playoffs losing there last 3 games it's usually a wild card team that surprises people in the playoffs year to year but it won't be the Lions. 57% of the public are betting the road Lions only because of the way Seattle has looked this season but make no mistake about it that crowd will be loud and the Seahawks will cash easy today. 20* Seahawks minus the points |
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01-07-17 | Raiders v. Texans -3.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 104 h 38 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-01-17 | Packers v. Lions +3.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This Sunday Night we have the 9-6 Packers at the 9-6 Lions. Was happy that my top Vegas contact has a play on today games and he said he is all over the Lions today and looking at some stats I can see why. Not sure why the Lions are dogs at home it really seems off to me but gives us tremendous value. This crowd will be going nuts tonight as they have not seen a division title since 1993 and that is what is on the line tonight in prime time. 76% of the public are betting the road Packers and yet this line seems to be moving the other way. We will follow the sharps and take the Lions big here for a 20* winner. 20* Lions |
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01-01-17 | Bills v. Jets +3.5 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-01-17 | Browns +5.5 v. Steelers | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-01-17 | Jaguars +5 v. Colts | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
This game has the 3-12 Jags at the 7-8 Colts. I think the Jags finally figured it out last week as they beat the Titans bad 38-17 but the Jaguars have been on the other end of some bad luck this year losing a'lot of close games and speaking of Luck I have my doughts on how much he actually plays today if at all. Take the Jags I think the Colts coaching staff is gone after this game and I think the players have given up and have their bags packed. Take the Jags plus the points for a 15* winner. |
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01-01-17 | Cowboys v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
This game features the 13-2 Cowboys and the 6-9 Eagles. This game means everything to the Eagles and nothing to the Cowboys who will be resting the bulk of their team by halftime.  Dating back to 1990 NFL teams with a win percentage of .750 or better have been a money burning 7-22-1 24% ATS on the road in their final regular season game. 62% of the public are betting on the Cowboys yet this line just goes up and up giving them more points and lining up the public for the slaughter. Take the Eagles minus the points for a 20* winner. |
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12-26-16 | Lions v. Cowboys -6 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This game in prime time features the 9-5 Lions at the 12-2 Cowboys. Cowboys will be looking will be looking to lock things up tonight with a win over the Lions. Public is jumping all over the Lions but this line is set up high for a reason to keep people off the Cowboys and on the Lions. Dallas comes in off a big win over Tampa and the Lions dropped a big one to the Giants and this set off a 100% ATS winning angle for us. Winning teams like the Cowboys who are priced from -3 to -12 points are 17-0 ATS at home on Monday Night Football against non division teams if the team lost its previous game by 7+ points. Take the Cowboys minus the points for a big 20* winner. 20* Cowboys |
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12-25-16 | Broncos +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 10-33 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Huge game into my office today as both my offshore and Vegas contacts agree on the Broncos tonight as an absolute huge play tonight 3 out of 4 telling me this is their biggest play this year. Broncos come in licking their wounds from the Patriots beating them at home now it's do or die time for the Broncos and their defense will be in full force tonight. Broncos come in 14-3 82% ATS in their last 17 road division games. Just 31% of the bets have been placed on the road Broncos so far and this line is moving the other way telling us indeed the sharps are big on the Broncos and so are we. 20* Broncos |
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12-24-16 | Dolphins v. Bills -4.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-24-16 | Chargers v. Browns +4.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This game features the 5-9 Chargers at the 0-14 Browns. I think this Saturday the Browns will win their first game of the season all the elements are in play for Cleveland. You have a west coast team playing at 1pm and on a short week. Chargers will be without star Melvin Gordon and I believe they will have major problems winning this game not to mention cover. 76% of the bets have come in on the road Chargers yet this line has dipped from 6 to 4 I talked to 2 offshore and 2 Vegas contacts all 4 tell me Browns big Saturday. Take the Browns for a 20* winner. Â |
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12-24-16 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 51 | Top | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
This big game for us has the 6-8 Panthers and the 9-5 Atlanta Falcons. The Panthers are playing much better defense last two weeks only giving up 15 and 16 points. The Falcons defense also has been very top notch only giving up 13 and 14 points. 63% of the public are betting on the over here yet this line seems to be dropping lower and lower. Prior to the last game where these two teams played a game that went over we had seen 6 straight unders by these two teams when they play. The Falcons have gone over 4 straight games  teams off 4+ 'overs' have gone 'under' in 18 straight games vs. division rivals if they were not favored by 7 or more points which is the case here today as the Falcons come in as 3 point favorites. I think the Public goes down big in this one so we will take the Under for a 20* winner. |
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12-22-16 | Giants v. Eagles +2 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Big game for the 10-4 Giants as they take on the 5-9 Eagles. Eagles have been fighting hard the last two weeks and last week went for 2 and came up short beating the Ravens. Giants have won 2 straight but are pretty much locked into the number 1 wild card spot. The Eagles are 13-4 76% ATS the last 17 meetings against the Giants and they are 7-0 100% ATS off a spread win which they covered easy versus the Ravens. I have spoken to 2 of my offshore and 2 of my Vegas guys all 4 contacts are big on the Eagles tonight. The public is all over the road Giants as 81% of the bets have come in on them I see a public slaughter tonight take the Eagles plus the points for a big 20* win. 20* Eagles |
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12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins -6.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Prime time game tonight between the 5-8 Panthers and the 7-5-1 Redskins. Carolina is all but eliminated and tonight will do that for them as the Redskins are a far better team this year top to bottom. Washington comes in holding on to the last playoff spot but only if they win and they are finally at home off a long 3 game trip and they are going to be facing these Panthers then a bad Bears team and finish off with the Giants in what could be a battle for the playoffs. Washington is also playing with revenge in mind from last seasons big loss to Carolina 44-16. Washington has won it's last 4 games at home also covering all 4 games. A great trend is to play on any Monday Night Football home team if it's off back to back games on the road and is playing a team with a worse record then them and if our team is playing with revenge the trend goes to 13-1 ATS. Big amount of public money comes to rest on the road Panthers as 57% of the bets are coming in on them I love the sharp money and the home Skins. Take the Redskins for a 20* winner. |
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12-18-16 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This game in prime time features the 8-5 Tampa Bay Bucs and the 11-2 Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys are probably the 2nd most overrated team but luckily for us they are playing they most overrated team tonight in Tampa. Yes Tampa is young and getting better but they are not a playoff caliber team. Tampa has won 5 straight games and are 5-1 on the road and yet the books are giving them zero respect and that's for multiple reasons. First off the Cowboys will be playing at home and mad as a disturbed hornets nest after taking their first loss of the season. Tampa has covered 5 straight games and Vegas has adjusted the line in this even in some places this line is creeping to 7.5 this despite 68% of the action bets going on the Bucs. Teams at home off an upset loss on the road have covered 73% over the past 37 years against a winning team off 3 or more ATS covers this number grows to 13-1 ATS if our home team is playing with revenge which the Cowboys lost last season to Tampa 10-6. Take the Cowboys minus the points for a big 20* winner. |
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12-18-16 | Packers v. Bears +4.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-18-16 | Eagles +5.5 v. Ravens | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-18-16 | Steelers v. Bengals +3.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
This game has two hated rivals playing as the 8-5 Steelers visit the 5-7-1 Bengals who look to avenge an earlier season loss to the Steelers at Pittsburgh 24-16. 3 points almost always decides these two teams and if the Bengals can get some help from the Eagles today and they pull off the upset win they are not out of the Division here. 78% are backing the Steelers here on the road that's no surprise but if anything this line is moving down to 3 points across the board as this game screams trap to me. I will go with the sharps here with a 15* play on the Bengals. 15* Bengals |
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12-18-16 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Texans | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 0 m | Show |
There are a few teams that have let us down this season betting wise the Cleveland Browns and the Jacksonville Jaguars but as a handicapper you can not ignore the value today with the Jags. I reached out to two of my Vegas and two of my offshore guys all 4 say the same team as their best bet and that is the Jaguars. Road dogs on a 7 or more game loss streak are a money making losing streak have actually been terrific wagers over the past 27 years, as they've cashed 54-25 68% winners. Only 21% of the public betting on the road Jags here but I love them plus the points for a 20* winner. |
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12-17-16 | Dolphins v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Big game in prime time for us tonight as the 8-5 Dolphins take on the 4-9 Jets. My top Vegas adviser sent me the Jets and he is going very big on them tonight. Yes he's not covered his last 2 but make me like this game all the more. speaking of Moore Matt Moore starts at QB for the Dolphins and his rust will show tonight in prime time he has not started a game for 5 years, yes that's right 5 years. This Dolphins team is off an emotional upset over the Cardinals at home last week. This team has won 7 of it's last 8 but I think that all comes to a end tonight. Home dogs or a pick-em off upset wins on the road and then matched up against a team also off a win. Home dogs in that situation are 147-105 58% ATS since 1980. The public well they are all over the road Dolphins here as 68% are betting them. We will follow my top guy and the rest of the sharps and back the Jets plus the points big tonight. Jets 20* |
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12-15-16 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 39 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
Tonight's prime time game has the 4-9 Rams at the 8-4-1 Seahawks. Both teams gave up a ton of points last week as the Rams gave up 42 and Seattle 38 points. I think you will see a huge effort by both defenses. First off rookie QB Goff has never faced a defense like Seattle they are at home and off a terrible game I think the Seahawks defense might score enough to beat the Rams tonight. Seahawks have had issues on their offense and off last weeks game the Rams normally signature defense should be back this week. Take the Under for a massive 20* winner. |
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12-12-16 | Ravens +6.5 v. Patriots | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This game features the 7-5 Ravens at the 10-2 Patriots. Sure the Patriots are 7-1 all time against these Ravens in the regular season but if you look at this game from other angles you will see the Ravens have the advantage as they excel in prime time Monday Night football over the year ATS where as the Pats struggle. Ravens are 10-2 83% ATS on Monday Night Football. My top Vegas sources emailed me and said he is going huge tonight on the Ravens for many reason. If you look at public money it's almost 50/50 but this line is really showing the sharps are backing the Ravens tonight as this line has gone from a key number of 7 to 6 in some spots. Let's take the Ravens plus the points for a big 20* winner. |
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12-11-16 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
This prime time game features the 11-1 Cowboys at the 8-4 Giants. This is a must win game for the Giants as a loss here would clinch the division for the Cowboys. Cowboys have won 11 straight but a'lot were close and very lucky wins. I love getting a home team with points in a must win game. 65% of the public are taking the road Cowboys we will go sharp and play the Giants plus the points for a 15* winner. |
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12-11-16 | Saints +2 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
This big game for us has the 5-7 Saints at the 7-5 Buccaneers. Tampa is one of the hottest teams in Football having won 4 straight games but I am not all in on them like some Football experts are in my view the Saints are better on both sides of the ball. Tampa is just 2-4 SU this year at home which is very poor. Tampa has covered 4 straight games but  We will take the Saints today as division dogs of 6 points or less and off a upset loss as a big favorite of over 6 points have covered the spread 76% over the last 37 years when playing a team off a upset win as Tampa Bay had last week. I've spoken to 2 of my Vegas contacts and 2 of my offshore guys all 4 love the Saints today and so do I. Looking at the public they are pounding Tampa with 62% of the bets. We will go sharp with a play on the Saints for 20* |
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12-11-16 | Bears +8.5 v. Lions | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-11-16 | Steelers v. Bills +3 | 27-20 | Loss | -130 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
This game features the 7-5 Steelers at the 6-6 Bills. Buffalo got knocked out in Oakland last week but are back at home and are in a must win game against the Steelers. No one is really giving the Bills a chance in this one as 74% have put bets down on the road Steelers. You gotta love the Bills as a motivated home dog getting 3 points in most spots. Bills are a super 28-5 85% ATS at home off a straight-up and against-the-spread loss if the team they are playing is off a win and is not in their division. I love the Bills take them plus the points here for a big 15* winner. |
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12-11-16 | Bengals v. Browns +5.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
Here it is my biggest Game of the year in the NFL and really out of any GOY play in any sport this is my most confident. This game features the 4-7-1 Bengals and the 0-12 Browns. The Bengals are off a big blowout of the Eagles but that does not change the fact that this team is dead in the water and they are facing a Browns team that is determined to get their first win and they have Robert Griffin back who is a big improvement on what they had at QB and I feel he will we pushing it the rest of the season to prove he is a starter we are getting a'lot of points here. We will have 15-20 mph win and snow I just believe the Browns have the better offense and determination Sunday. We have a awesome trend favoring us teams that are 0-5 or worse teams in the NFL are 10-0-1- ATS in division games when playing with a week of rest since 1980. Add in the Public is all over the road Bengals and I mean all over as 73% are backing them. Take the Browns plus the points for a huge 20* winner |
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12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
Huge match-up in prime time as the 10-2 Raiders take on the 9-3 Chiefs. No real public and sharp side tonight as the money is breaking down 50/50 but if the Chiefs want to win the division they have to get a win tonight as the Raiders even though they lost the first run in with the Chiefs they hold a 1 game lead and have won 6 straight and aside from the Cowboys are the hottest team in the NFL. Looking at both sides I think the sharpest play out there is on the Under look this line opened at 47.5 the total is now down to 45.5 in most spots and this with around 56% betting the over, and division games like this are hard fought and tight and I believe the game goes under rather easily. Raiders have averaged around 32 points a game so the public seeing the scoring will naturally go on the over. We will follow the sharps with a play on the under tonight. 20* Under |
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12-05-16 | Colts -2 v. Jets | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
This big game has the 5-6 Colts at the 3-8 Jets. Andrew Luck is 0-2 career versus the Jets and typically this team gives him a hard time but Luck is rested and back from a injury that held him out Thanksgiving day and the Colts team is also on extended rest. Andrew Luck 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS following a Colts’ loss. The Colts can not afford another loss especially to a team that is as beatable as the Jets are. Normally I hate taking publicly bet sides but this is one I have to be on. Take the Colts for a 15* winner. |
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12-04-16 | Panthers v. Seahawks -7.5 | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
This game is a big rematch of a playoff game the Seahawks lost at home last year so to say they will be out for revenge int he National T.V. spotlight is a understatement. Panthers come in 4-7 and really out of it in terms of playoffs so how much effort will we see here tonight from them? Panthers are a money burning 1-8 12% ATS with a losing record off an away game versus non-division foe with revenge off an away game. Sounds complicated but it turns out to mean easy cash in our pocket. Take the Seahawks minus the points for a 15* winner. |
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12-04-16 | Bills +3 v. Raiders | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
For the first time since 1999 the Bills will enter December with a winning record But they face off with a Raider team that has won 5 straight games and sits in first place in the AFC West. Bills are really playing better on Defense and this is a must win for them in the fight for the playoffs. Rex Ryan is a money making 5-0-1 100% ATS in his NFL career in games off a win but no cover. Only 39% of the public is betting the Bills here yet we are seeing little to no line moves. I reached out to both Vegas and offshore guys and this is there gem today. Take the Bills plus the points. 20* Bills |
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12-04-16 | Lions v. Saints -7 | 28-13 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-04-16 | Broncos v. Jaguars +3.5 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
This game has the 7-4 Broncos at the 2-9 Jaguars. Even at 2-9 I really think the Jags are the best team with a terrible record they have taken some close losses this season and I think we have a huge advantage in Blake Bortles over Rookie Paxton Lynch. Let's also not forget the Broncos have no run game either so I think the pressure is all on their defense. Jaguars coach has his job on the line this team will be ready to play. 6 losses in a row will stop Sunday. The public is all over the road Broncos here at a rate of 76%. I think the Jags will win big Sunday but take the points. 20* Jacksonville |
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12-04-16 | Chiefs v. Falcons -5.5 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
This big game has the 8-3 Chiefs at the 7-4 Falcons. Both teams need this game but I think the Falcons are the much better team in this spot. Cheifs are coming off an emotional win in overtime on the road in Denver and the games following wins like that are usually tough on teams. Atlanta is coming off a game where they put up 38 points on the Arizona Defense so they know how to score on any offense. My top source in Vegas tells me hes all in on the Falcons and this is his biggest play in the NFL this year and in 2016 in general. Looking into the game we have a'lot in our favor first off teams off upset wins over the defending Super Bowl champs have gone a money torching 0-17 ATS on the road against teams off a SU/ATS win if that teams win/loss percentage is from .400 to .700. Then you look at the public bets and only 45% are backing the Falcons at home yet this line has jumped from -3.5 to -5.5 a good indicator of where Vegas sharps are going. Â Take the Falcons minus the points. 20* Atlanta |
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