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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-20-24 | Connecticut -3.5 v. Villanova | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #793: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Connecticut Huskies (-) @ Villanova Wildcats @ 8 ET - The Wildcats are just not on the level of prior teams in the Jay Wright years. Yes they are a solid team and they are at home here. However, that is what is keeping this line lower than it should be because the Huskies are a elite team and the Wildcats are not. Connecticut only has 2 losses this season and they were on the road but against Kansas, one of top teams in country and Seton Hall, the other strongest team in the Big East Conference along with UConn. That said, excellent value with this line in the 3.5 range as of 8 hours before tipoff. The Wildcats have only won 5 of 10 games and, of the 5 wins, two were against a very bad DePaul team and one was against a UCLA team struggling badly at the time. Though they did have a surprising win over Creighton their only other win of these 5 was against a Xavier team that has only been mediocre so far this season. That said, the Huskies wins have all been by at least 4 points and they have not lost to a team that is on the level of the Wildcats this entire season. Huskies win and Huskies cover! 10* CONNECTICUT (-)Â |
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01-20-24 | 76ers v. Hornets +11 | Top | 97-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets (+) vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - This line is in the 11 range as of 8 hours before tipoff. This is the 2nd of 4 meetings between these teams this season and the first game was in Charlotte and was a memorable one! The Hornets suffered their worst home loss in franchise history! 135 to 82 was the final score in that one. Now you have a motivated Hornets team at home and playing with some added confidence after winning their most recent game. Yes it was against the lowly Spurs but that was a much-needed win for Charlotte. Now they host a Sixers team off a big win at Orlando last night. Though Embiid will likely play some, with this being the 2nd game of a B2B and now facing a lesser foe, Philly may choose to rest him some as the game goes on. The Hornets will prove to be the more motivated team here and that will help them keep this game to single digits. The hosts remember all too well how the prior meeting played out this season. Embarrassing home court loss, worst of franchise history, means payback here. Hornets keep this one to single digits. 10* CHARLOTTE (+) |
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01-19-24 | 76ers -5 v. Magic | Top | 124-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Orlando Magic @ 7:10 ET - This line is around a -5 as of about 10 hours before tipoff. The Sixers recently beat the Magic at Orlando by 20 points so this is a revenge spot for the Magic. However, Orlando will again be without Wagner and he scored 24 of the 92 points the Magic had in the prior game with Philly. Yes, this is the front end of a B2B for the Sixers but tomorrow it is lowly Charlotte that they will be facing. In other words, I am sure this game has the full attention of Philadelphia and the absence of Wagner will be significant here for the Magic. They enter this game having lost 4 of 5 and the fact they are off a buzzer-beater loss versus a divisional foe will not help them in the confidence department here. The high-flying Sixers can take advantage. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-19-24 | Akron +1 v. Kent State | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Rotation #887 Friday: Akron Zips (pick'em) @ Kent State Golden Flashes @ 7 ET - The Zips played their most recent game without Nate Johnson but Ali Ali came back mid-December and Akron is 8-1 in the 9 games he has played in with the only loss coming by a single point. Ali Ali has been fantastic. Also, this is a great spot for Akron as this is a double revenge spot. Not only did the Zips lose in their late season visit to Kent State late last season, the Golden Flashes then knocked them out of the conference tourney soon after that as well! In other words, high motivation here and this is a big rivalry match-up and we get line value since this one is at Kent State. The fact is that Akron has been the much stronger team early this season and they enter this game winners of 5 straight and 9 of 10. The Golden Flashes enter this game off a win but had lost 5 of 6 games prior to that victory. Home court matters a lot in college basketball but it is not enough to get this Kent State team over the hump against a double revenge-minded rival that is in better current form. 10* AKRON Pick'em |
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01-18-24 | Washington +2.5 v. California | Top | 77-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #819: CBB Thursday Washington Huskies (+) @ California Golden Bears @ 9 ET - This line has swung from Huskies being roughly a 2 point favorite to now the Bears being roughly a 2.5 point favorite as of about 11 hours before tipoff. I like fading line moves like this plus there is a lot more to like about this play! For starters Cal is overvalued here. Lets not forget this Golden Bears team is coming off a 3-29 season. In a season with so many losses like that, there would be very few where payback would matter but the one that ended their season was a loss to Washington State in the Conference Tourney. The Bears have the Cougars on deck and certainly that one would be more of an attention-getter than this one! Also this is a Cal team that is now 30-80 the past 3 and 1/2 seasons! As for the Huskies, they are off their worst loss of the season. Washington just lost by double digits. Prior to this, the Huskies were 10-6 this season with all losses by a single-digit margin and by an average margin of just 4 points! Coming off the double digit loss and facing a team that has won only 27% of games last 3 and 1/2 seasons, I like our chances here! We get excellent line value because the Huskies are on the road. Yes, home court matters, but Cal has been losing everywhere in recent seasons including this one! The Bears did beat Colorado here but, other than that, their wins are nothing to write home about AND in that win over the Buffaloes they were down by as many as 20 points. The Huskies are well aware of that and will keep their pedal to the metal all game long in this one. Now getting as much as 2.5 points here as of gameday morning, love the value in this one. WASHINGTON (+) |
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01-18-24 | Wizards v. Knicks OVER 235 | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Thursday OVER the total in New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - The Knicks in a B2B and off another strong performance on defense. Given that this is a B2B and New York is a double digit favorite with good reason, you can expect a high-scoring run and gun affair in this one. The Knicks used up their defensive energy last night against Houston. Now they face a Wizards team that is having a horrible season and so you know the Knicks are going to be willing to just play a free-flowing game here after last night's stronger effort on the defense end. Washington has scored 120 ppg last 4 games. However, the Wizards also are 7-32 SU this season and have allowed nearly 130 ppg in their 32 losses! Don't be surprised when this game lands in the 130-120 type range which means we have a lot of wiggle room compared to the current total in the 235 range in this one as of 11 hours before tipoff! OVER the total in New York |
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01-17-24 | Northern Iowa -120 v. Belmont | Top | 83-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #723: CBB Wednesday: Northern Iowa Panthers (-) or Pick'em @ Belmont Bruins @ 9 ET - This line is currently in the -1.5 range at -110 but also there is some pick'em -120 out there to utilize and that would be the preferable option here. Belmont just joined the MVC last season. Not only did the Bruins beat the Panthers in both meetings last season, they also beat UNI by 20 at Northern Iowa this season! So that means this is a triple revenge spot for the Panthers in MVC action. Certainly UNI is not happy about giving up 90 POINTS in the home loss earlier this season. Trust me, the betting markets know this too and that is why this line has swung to UNI after Belmont was the small favorite. Note that even though Northern Iowa is on the road, they are the ones now laying the small number here. A big key for me here is that Ja'Kobi Gillespie is the 2nd leading scorer for the Bruins and he is still out. He also leads the team in assists and steals. His loss is a significant one and Belmont is coming off a loss by 30 points at Indiana State. The Panthers are only a .500 team this season and the Bruins have the better record plus are at home for this one. So why is UNI the favorite here? Exactly! The time is right for triple revenge in this one. 10* NORTHERN IOWA (-) |
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01-17-24 | Mavs +4 v. Lakers | Top | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (+) @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:40 ET - The Mavericks are in the +4 or +3.5 range in this one and I know many will be looking at the Lakers here in a double revenge spot but I look for the Mavs to complete the trifecta and make the series a 3-0 sweep for the regular season. The key here is the line value with the Mavericks getting solid points as a road dog to a team that has been struggling for quite some time now. The Lakers have lost 12 of 18 games. Also, in those 18 games, ONLY 3 have been victories by more than a 3 point margin. Yes, I am aware Doncic is a game time decision here but Hardaway Jr just had 41 with the extra minutes he is getting because Doncic is out. Couple that with the fact Irving is on fire, the Mavs have won 2 of 3 now even with Doncic out. Long-term this Dallas team is on an 8 of 13 run and one of those 5 losses was by just 5 points. They are the top team in the Southwest Division and the Lakers continue to be over-rated by the betting masses. Los Angeles is not a great team. Let's grab the underdog value here. 10* DALLAS (+) |
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01-16-24 | Nuggets v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Denver Nuggets @ 7:30 ET - This line has dropped a little from as high as a 4.5 overnight to now being down to as low as a 2.5 as of about 8.5 hours before tipoff. There are so many injury question marks entering this one but I feel the biggest key is that the only significant one for the Sixers is Embiid and yet he just came back from some time off. So, even though this is a B2B spot, Embiid is in good shape and even his coach is expecting him to play again tonight. Keep in mind, the 76ers win was an early game yesterday too at mid-day so that helps in the rest department plus it was a blowout win that was not nearly as close as the final score would lead you to believe. The Sixers were therefore able to rest guys and no one played more than 31 minutes. As for the Nuggets, they have a number of key players on their injury report including Jokic. Now certainly I do expect Jokic to play tonight but with other players likely missing and a number of guys (including Jokic) not 100% if they even do play, the Sixers are the play here at home. Philly's Embiid also would have some extra motivation here because Jokic got his ring with Denver last season and, of course, Embiid and Jokic are two of the best big men in the league! Extra motivation for a 76ers club that still wants to prove it can beat the best and rise the elite level. Lay the short number here. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-)Â |
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01-16-24 | Florida +10.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 66-85 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #623: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Florida Gators (+) @ Tennessee Volunteers @ 5 ET - The line on this is in the range of 10 points as of about 5 hours before tipoff for this early game on Tuesday. The Volunteers are a great team but the Gators are no slouches and I am going to challenge the Vols to win this thing by double digits. The fact is that Florida has 3 tight losses in the 5 defeats they have this season. In their only truly ugly loss this season (against Ole Miss), it was simply one of those nights when the Rebels were making everything. They just could not miss that night and, other than that, the Gators have been in every game this season. Florida had a big year under their first year coach last year and his 2nd year should end up being just as strong. This is a very talented team that scores well and rebounds well and they will not be intimated on the road. Yes, Barnes is a great veteran coach for the Volunteers and Tennessee does want revenge for last season's loss at Florida. However, this Gators team is solid and the Vols also have Alabama on deck and the Crimson Tide are one of the few remaining undefeated teams in conference games in SEC so far this season. Value on the big dog in this one as revenge is being over-priced here! 10* FLORIDA (+) |
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01-15-24 | La Salle v. St. Joe's OVER 149 | Top | 62-82 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #873: CBB Monday: 10* Top Play OVER the total in St Joe's vs LaSalle Explorers @ 4 ET - This total in the 149 range. The Hawks just a lost a game in which they led by 9 points with a little over 6 minutes to go but never scored a field goal again the rest of the way! That said, the emphasis will be on offensive production here and La Salle is a team they can dominate against in that regard. The Explorers have allowed an average of 77 ppg last 6 games against Div 1 competition. La Salle has averaged scoring 76 ppg this season but St Joseph's is favored by double digits for good reason. The Explorers should get well into the 80s in this one after what just happened in that tough defeat to Loyola Chicago. I mentioned above. They will push the tempo here and the Hawks have averaged scoring 83 points last 6 games! 10* OVER the total in St Joseph's |
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01-15-24 | Rockets v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Houston Rockets @ 1:10 ET - The Sixers should have Embiid back for this one but, either way, they are off a blowout win over the Kings without him. Philly is now 14-6 at home this season and Houston is only 4-13 on the road this season. This looks like a blowout that favors the host in a big way. The Rockets just lost by 32 at Boston and that was their 3rd loss in 4 games. Philly already won the first meeting by 4 points and that was at Houston and the Sixers did not have Embiid in that one. Again, he could be back for this one and Philly is at home and he did practice fully each of the last two days. Lay the points here for another blowout as the home/road variance is a big edge for the hosts in this one. Laying 7.5 points here (as of 3 hours before tipoff) is a value line in my opinion. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-14-24 | Suns v. Blazers OVER 232.5 | Top | 127-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns @ 9:10 ET - Portland is back home after losing 3 straight on the road. I expect them to score better now that they are on their home floor but this is a Trail Blazers team that is awful at the defensive end. The Blazers have allowed 123 ppg (not including OT points of course) in their last 8 games. Portland has averaged scoring 117.6 ppg last 10 home games. So the Trail Blazers will surprise many with some solid scoring at home here but their defense will continue its sub-par play and struggle to slow down this quality Suns team. Phoenix has won 6 of 9 games and averaged 116.8 scoring per game during this stretch. Against a bad Portland team they can easily get well in into the 120s here and that helps send this one flying over the total which is in the low 230s. 10* OVER the total in Portland |
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01-14-24 | Washington +1 v. UCLA | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Washington Huskies (Pick or +1 or -1) @ UCLA Bruins @ 7 ET - The Bruins are a mess right now and they are hoping to fix things but it won't come quickly and it won't come against a solid Huskies team like this one. UCLA has been trying to fix things for awhile but the issue is that Cronin can't get the confidence of this team back. They get down on offense because their shots won't fall and they don't create the looks they need to on the offensive end so then they fall behind. As they see the scoreboard constantly going against them. their defense and rebounding also starts to struggle as they just lose their confidence. This has been a recurring pattern for this Cronin team this season and I don't see it turning around immediately. They will have to face a weaker foe in the right situation to turn this around. This is not the right team nor the right situation. Huskies roll. 10* WASHINGTON |
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01-13-24 | San Jose State v. Air Force -118 | Top | 70-67 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #790: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Air Force Falcons Pick (-120) vs San Jose State Spartans @ 9:30 ET - This line was around a -3.5 on Air Force but has now dropped to as low as a pick'em as of about 6 hours before tipoff. This is a tremendous value. I know the Falcons are on a 5-game losing streak but Utah State and Nevada were two of those five defeats and those teams have a combined record of 30-3 this season. The other three losses were each by a margin of 5 or less points. In other words, Air Force was on the cusp of victory in each of those 3 defeats. San Jose State is having struggles of their own and the Spartans are on the road here so this simply an over-reaction in the marketplace and we'll hop on the other side of this line move and cash in on the additional value. Also, the Falcons have double revenge from losing both games to the Spartans last season. They will bounce back here. 10* AIR FORCE Pick'em |
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01-13-24 | Bulls -5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 122-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls (-) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 8:40 ET - Great set up here. The Spurs are off B2B wins and it has been over a year since they have won 3 straight! Indeed, you have to go back to December 2022 for the last time the Spurs won 3 games in a row! Adding to the value here is the fact that Wembanyama will be rested for San Antonio plus Chicago is off a loss. The Bulls, in other words, will be hungry here as they had won 3 straight before that loss and the defeat ruined their ring of honor night which also was ruined by the boos when long-time owner Jerry Krause, whose widow was in attendance, had his name announced. Unsurprisingly, the Bulls went on to get destroyed in the 2nd half after that. Also, this was even despite having a double digit edge at the half. So the Bulls will be ready here and the fact this game is on the road is even better for them after that debacle at home. It also keeps this line manageable. Considering that Wembanyama will not play because SA is in a B2B and considering this line is just 5.5 as of about 8 hours before tipoff, this is a great value! 10* CHICAGO (-) |
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01-12-24 | DePaul v. Villanova OVER 135.5 | Top | 69-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #887: CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 135.5 in Villanova Wildcats vs DePaul Blue Demons @ 8:30 ET - The Blue Demons have been getting hammered so far in Big East action but 3 of their 4 games have been against tough foes including this Villanova team. Though they lost 84-48 in the first meeting with the Wildcats this season, they actually had just as many shots from the field and also took two more three-pointers. The difference in that game was that DePaul was way off with their shooting in that game. The Blue Demons only made 30% from the field overall and only 4 of 24 from beyond the arc. Statistical odds give a strong factor that, of course, DePaul will shoot much better in this game. The problem is they can stop no none and Nova is coming off a loss too plus playing at home. So the Wildcats will be fired up for a strong performance at home and I expect the end result to be plenty of points scored in this one. 10* OVER 135.5 in Villanova |
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01-12-24 | Kings v. 76ers -113 | Top | 93-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Sacramento Kings @ 7 ET - The Sixers are a PERFECT 6-0 SU the last 6 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. It has been a couple years since they ever had a losing streak more than 3 games. I know they are still without Embiid but this is why we are getting line value here with Philly at home at basically a pick'em price in this one. Given the line value and the home court edge, I have no hesitation in backing the Sixers here! Philly has proven before they can win without Embiid and keep in mind their most recent game was at Atlanta and they took the Hawks to OT before ultimately falling just short. That said, no hesitation in now backing them at home as they look to resume the winning! The Kings are off B2B wins but they have only won 3 straight games ONCE in the past two months! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-11-24 | Suns -104 v. Lakers | Top | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns Pick'em -105/-110 or +1 @ LA Lakers @ 10 ET - This is a triple revenge spot for the Suns. They have lost all 3 to the Lakers this season. Los Angeles is off a 1-point win over the Raptors in which they were practically given the win on a silver platter by the refs. Toronto's head coach and, rightfully so, was about as angry as you will ever see a coach after a game. I honestly do not think the Lakers and LeBron "king of the flop" are going to be getting as many calls in the very next game after that complete embarrassment to the league in terms of officiating. Couple that with the fact you have the Suns entering this one off B2B losses and also having lost all 3 meetings with the Lakers this season and you have the perfect set up for an ultra strong effort from the road team in this one. Think about it...why else are the Lakers at home only a pick'em here when they have won all meetings this season? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you. Grab the road team in this one! 10* PHOENIX Pick'em -105/-110 or +1 |
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01-11-24 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Illinois | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #817: CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Michigan State Spartans (+) @ Illinois Illini @ 9 ET - This is one of those "someone knows something" lines. The Spartans are only 3.5 dogs here as of about 9 hours before game time. That would mean these teams are rated equally on a neutral floor but yet Illinois is a ranked team in the Top Ten and has only 3 losses this season while the Spartans already have 6 losses including 3 in the Big Ten! In what universe could this line be only 3.5 on the Illini given these facts? Exactly! That is why the play here, in my typical contrarian fashion, is absolutely on Michigan State. Keep in mind the Spartans lost the only meeting between these teams last season so this is also a revenge spot for them. The Illini are currently without Terrence Shannon Jr after off the court issue that continues under investigation. Though they only lost by 5 points at Purdue they were down big most of the game and, by as many as 21 points, and they never led the entire way in the 5-point loss. The Illini shot a higher 3 point percentage than usual and that helped the cause and it should have been a loss by double digits. The Spartans also off a loss in which they were done in by turnover margin and points off turnovers killed them. They will respond here. So well-coached under Izzo and they will clean things up here and they catch Illinois off a game in which they gave a lot of effort twice battling back from huge deficits in that game. Spartans have great shot at the upset here but we'll grab the points just in case. Illinois also won both meetings the year before last so this is a double revenge spot. 10* MICHIGAN STATE (+) |
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01-10-24 | Oklahoma +5.5 v. TCU | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #739 CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Oklahoma Sooners (+) @ TCU Horned Frogs @ 9 ET - Much is made of home court edge in College Basketball and certainly it is valid that there is a solid edge in College Hoops for the host. However, this Sooners team is loaded with plenty of upper classmen as well as not freshmen in its entire normal playing rotation. Oklahoma is being undervalued here as they are 13-1 SU this season. I realize they are playing their first true road game of this season but they are 3-1 in neutral site games and plus the players they have got plenty of road experience in the past too. This is not a big group of freshmen going on the road. That said, these teams split last season with each team winning at home including the Sooners knocking off the Horned Frogs in Norman, OK in the last regular season game. That makes this a revenge spot but TCU already has 3 losses this season and I feel strongly that they are over-valued here. We have seen this line go from an opener in the 3-point range to now as high as nearly a half-dozen points in the market place as of about 10 hours before tipoff. If you look at the Frogs schedule so far, they had a soft very early-season schedule. As it has toughened up they have struggled and lost 3 games in the more recent action. Also, they have a huge game on deck with Houston. Not only are the Cougars another Big 12 foe from the same state, they are currently undefeated and #2 in the entire country. This spot going to be a battle down to the wire the way I see it. Also, will there be a normal crowd for this game? The kids at TCU are still on a winter break before classes resume. How much will home court matter? Not enough the way I see it. This is also a well-coached Sooners team and I expect them to surprise here! 10* OKLAHOMA (+) |
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01-10-24 | 76ers +1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 132-139 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) @ Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - The Hawks are just 6-14 SU last 20 games. Trae Young is expected to play in this one but it is evident from his recent shooting numbers from distance that the right shoulder is bothering him. The 76ers will be without Joel Embiid but this is a "rally the troops" type of game off B2B losses and having proven many times before that they can be okay without Embiid when they have to. If the Sixers win this game straight-up then of course it is an ATS win as they are an underdog of 1.5 to 2 points here as of about 10 hours before tipoff for this one! Philly, including post-season, is a PERFECT 5-0 the last 5 times they entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. That includes a PERFECT 3-0 this season. I look for this situation to make it a perfect 4-0 here on the season and perfect 6-0 long-term. Before these B2B losses Philly was 23-10 this season. The Hawks started the season 8-7 but have gone 6-14 since. This line, even though Atlanta is at home, is still over-adjusted because of Embiid being out. That means value here with the road dog. Grab the points but we should not need them. 10* PHILADELPHIA (+)Â |
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01-09-24 | Grizzlies v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 120-103 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (-) vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 8:40 ET - The Mavericks are laying about 8.5 points here as of 10 hours before game time. This is a great value considering the Mavs are rolling and now the Grizzlies just lost Morant for the rest of the season. This is the final match-up between these divisional foes these season. Shockingly, the road team has taken all 3 so far but this one is an entirely different situation with the Mavericks on a power surge and also able to take advantage of a short-handed Memphis team. Dallas has won 3 straight games and Memphis is off B2B wins but is still 10 games below .500 on the season! They really have struggled when Morant has not been available and now that is the case again here and the Grizzlies are 6-3 with Morant this season and went 7-20 without him! Mavs roll huge at home. 10* DALLAS (-) |
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01-09-24 | Kansas State -120 v. West Virginia | Top | 81-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Big 12: Rotation #607: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Kansas State Wildcats (-) @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 7 ET - Line value here with this line as low as -1.5 plus there are some pick'em -120 options out there on the money line. This is as of about 7 hours before tipoff. This is a revenge game for the Wildcats as they lost to the Mountaineers in the regular season finale last year. At the time they had a chance at a higher seed in the Big 12 tourney. They went on to lose in their first game of the Big 12 tourney. Here is their first shot at redemption against the Mountaineers and the Cats enter this game 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against unranked foes this season. West Virginia is having a much tougher time so far this season in comparison with Kansas State. The Mountaineers enter this game on a 3-8 run. West Virginia has a reputation of being a tough place play but they already have surprising losses this season with a loss to Radford plus losing by 17 to Pittsburgh here. They also lost to St John's and Monmouth here. This will be payback for the Wildcats and I like them in particular after the line has dropped on this one from its opener. 10* KANSAS STATE (-) |
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01-08-24 | Celtics v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 131-133 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers (+) vs Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - The Celtics are dealing with a number of injury concerns entering this one. Boston just hammered the Pacers at Indiana Saturday but look at a key stat from that game and that tells you all you need to know here. The Celtics made 16 of 41 threes while the Pacers made just 8 of 42 threes. bey is very unusual for this high-scoring Indiana team and yet the Celtics won that game by only 17 points. That means if you back out the 24 point edge from beyond the arc, the Pacers win the game OUTRIGHT by 7 points! Considering this plus immediate revenge plus a 2nd chance at home against Boston plus all the Celtics injuries, the home team underdog looks like a great option here. The Pacers will be better on the boards in this one too. It was an all-around embarrassing effort so this is a great opportunity for immediate revenge and they will make the most of it! Grab the points - currently 3.5 as of early game day morning. 10* INDIANA (+) |
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01-08-24 | Northeastern +3.5 v. Monmouth | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #861: CBB Monday 10* Top Play Northeastern Huskies (+) @ Monmouth Hawks @ 7 ET - The Huskies are just 5-9 this season and the Hawks are 8-6 this season plus hosting this game! That being said, how is it that Monmouth is just a 2.5 to 3.5 point favorite in this one even on their home floor? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you! This one has trap written all over it and I expect Northeastern to roll here just like they did in last year's victory by a 15-point margin. The Huskies have played a tougher schedule than the Hawks so far in my opinion and that is part of the reason this game is priced this way. Again, do not let this line fool you. Grab the underdog here! 10* NORTHEASTERN (+) |
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01-06-24 | Texas Tech +7 v. Texas | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #783: CBB Saturday Texas Tech (+) @ Texas @ 8 ET - This is a rivalry game. Last season the home team did win each game but both games were tight. With this one moving as high as a 7 as of 6 hours before tipoff, we have excellent value with the big dog here. UT is ranked and Texas Tech is not but the Red Raiders are off to a hot start this season with only 2 losses and one of those was in OT. They match up well with Texas and are fully capable of pushing Texas to the limit in this one. UT has played a weaker schedule recently and that could hurt them here. Keep in mind, they have not played as well against stronger teams this season. As a ranked team, all the pressuer ison the Horns here as well. Don't be surprised if they are pushed to the limit here and the Red Raiders take this one to the wire. Tech has some veteran leadership which helps in a tough Big 12 road game like this. The visitors will be ready. 10* Texas Tech (+) |
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01-06-24 | Jazz v. 76ers -11 | Top | 120-109 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Utah Jazz @ 7:40 ET - The Sixers have some injury question marks but those are minor and don't be surprised if most, if not all, of those guys play in this one. Also, the Sixers are not just off a home loss, it was the worst loss of the season and it came right here in Philly. The 76ers next game is on the road so don't be surprised if they go all out here in this chance to get right back on track. The Sixers bounce back after almost every loss and the Jazz just got hammered at Boston. Yes, Utah wants to bounce back but they are still on the road. and a lot of their recent wins were over poor teams with bad records. Tonight they face an angry beast on the road and this one gets ugly. This is the type of situation where the Sixers will keep the pedal to the metal all game long! This line has dropped to the 11 range as of about 6.5 hours before tipoff. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-05-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -6 | Top | 128-92 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - The Sixers are stronger at home than on the road and their 13 point win in most recent game does not even do it justice. Philly led by as many as 31 points in that game but then took their foot off the gas. Also, they were able to rest guys in that one and no one played more than 31 minutes. They will be rested and ready for this one and this line is currently in the -6 range but that suggests that the Sixers are only 3 points better than the Knicks on a neutral floor and I disagree with that. The Knicks are improving but they are not that close to the Sixers level. Also, New York is 9-11 on the road while Philly is 13-4 at home. Those are SU records of course but 9 of the Knicks last 11 losses have been by at least 9 points. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut -4 v. Butler | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Friday CBB 10* Top Play Connecticut Huskies (-) @ Butler Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - Last night this side was 6.5 and now it is in the 4 to 4.5 range as of 6.5 hours before tipoff. This is just too low. Connecticut is such a strong team and even against tough, ranked opponents, they have impressed this season. I know the Bulldogs are looking better this season than last season and they have long been known for a strong homecourt edge, however the Huskies are too tough. Note that UConn won both meetings last season, each in blowout fashion. Also, the Bulldogs have often struggled against tougher competition this season. So it is true that Butler is 10-4 this season and the Huskies are only slightly better at 12-2 in terms of SU records. However, look at the talent level of each team and the performance against high-quality foes and you will see that the Huskies have huge edges. With this number coming down, I have no hesitation in getting involved here. 10* CONNECTICUT (-)Â |
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01-04-24 | Bucks -9.5 v. Spurs | Top | 125-121 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks (-) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 7:30 ET - Yes, this line is a big one at 9.5 overnight but the Bucks absolutely should win this one by double digits. Milwaukee is in the 2nd game of a B2B but will still play very well here as they are off B2B losses so they will be fired up for this game against a lesser opponent. The Bucks have not lost 3 straight games all season. As for the Spurs, they are having a very rough season and many of their recent losses, even at home, have come by a big margin. San Antonio has lost 26 of 28 games and each of their last 3 home losses have come by at least a dozen points. The average margin of those 3 home losses was 27 points and another ugly one awaits here as Bucks are fired up to get back on track. 10* MILWAUKEE (-) |
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01-04-24 | NC-Wilmington v. Drexel -120 | Top | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #768: CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Drexel Dragons Pick'em -120 vs UNC-Wilmington Seahawks @ 7 ET - The Dragons were favored by about 3 but have dropped to nearly a pick'em in the -120 range in some spots (keep an eye on money lines) with this one. Drexel has been quietly surprising and people in the Philly area see it but many other don't. The fact is that the Dragons recent loss at Bryant was a wake-up call after B2B blowout wins. Drexel has won their other 3 recent games and dominated those by a an average score of 96 to 59! The Dragons face a traditionally tough customer in the form of the Seahawks here. However, in comparison with NC Wilmington this season, Drexel has been the better team defensively and they are strong on the boards. Couple all this with home court edge and the line move creating additional value and I just could not stay away from this one! Last season the Dragons season ended because of a CAA conference tourney loss to UNC Wilmington by just 5 points. They also lost the regular season meeting with Philly by just 1 point in double OT! In other words, the Dragons have revenge on their minds here and also I feel this Seahawks team is a step down from last year's UNC Wilmington team and this year's Dragons team is a step up from last season. The numbers will continue to bear that out as the season goes on and I am backing the home team with double revenge here! 10* DREXEL Pick'em -120 |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks OVER 247 | Top | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:40 ET - This total is as low as a 247 as of 8 hours before tipoff and I am fully expecting this one gets into the 250s at least. The Thunder are off the huge home win over Boston last night. I do not expect the defense of OKC to be at its best after such a big win like that. However, this Thunder team continues to pile up points and the Hawks are certainly known for giving up big numbers! Atlanta, well-rested here and at home, will look to run and gun here and drive Oklahoma City right out of the arena. However, OKC has the firepower to keep up. It sets this one up well to have a great pace with very little defense and plenty of stretches in which the teams are simply trading buckets. Note that the Hawks have allowed 124 ppg in their last 16 games. However, Atlanta is also averaging 122 ppg this season. The Thunder have fared well in B2B spots this season with a 3-0 record and averaging 129 ppg. However, OKC has allowed big points this season too...just like the Hawks. The pacing and situational aspects of this one set it up perfectly to get it into the 250s. These are two of the highest-scoring teams in the league plus the Thunder are hot plus the Hawks have revenge here for a loss at OKC earlier this season. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta |
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01-03-24 | St. Joe's -5.5 v. Rhode Island | Top | 74-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #671: CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play St Joseph's Hawks (-) @ Rhode Island Rams @ 7 ET - The Rams started the 2021-22 season with a 12-4 mark. Since then, Rhode Island is 18-41 SU! If you look at their games so far this season their wins have been against weaker foes and St Joe's certainly does not fall into that category! The Hawks are off a huge win by a 41-point margin and have won 7 of last 8 games which included a win over a ranked Villanova team! Also, they took a ranked Kentucky team to OT before losing. This St Joseph's team is very solid this season and this is an absolute bargain line against a still struggling Rams team. Not only is Rhode Island 18-41 SU, they also had lost 5 straight before a win over Northeastern in their most recent game. By the way, 8 of the Rams last 9 losses have been by double digits so the small number here - 5.5 range as of 7 hours before tipoff should not be an issue. 10* ST JOSEPH'S (-)Â |
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01-02-24 | Illinois-Chicago +4 v. Murray State | Top | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #627: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames (+) @ Murray State Racers @ 8 ET - Murray State is off a win but they had lost 9 of 10 before that. The Racers traditionally are strong but this does not look like one of their better teams. I like the fact that this line has gone from nearly a pick'em to now Murray State in the -4 range as of about 9 hours before tipoff. We are getting solid line value here because Illinois-Chicago is off B2B losses. The Flames have not 3 straight games all season long. I am looking for a big response here as this team has been ultra competitive this season. The Flames, before the 62-50 loss at Southern Illinois, had gone 7-4 SU last 11 games and the largest margin of defeat was 5 points and the other 3 losses were by 2 or less points. In other words, exceptional value here with the points and we'll grab them! 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO (+) |
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01-02-24 | Bulls v. 76ers -10.5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - This line is in the 10.5 range as of 8 hours before tipoff and is the final meeting between these teams this season and the Bulls have taken the first two games. This is a double revenge spot for a Philly team that will have Embiid back on the floor for this one as well. Chicago is 15-19 on the season and Philly is 22-10 and there is also strong home/road dichotomy factors here as the Sixers are 12-4 at home and the Bulls are 4-10 on the road. Of course these are all SU records but I see Philadelphia winning this game huge with Embiid back on the floor and the fact this is double revenge including a home loss two weeks ago as well. The Sixers just lost at Chicago on the 30th as well so they enter this game off a loss. Philly is 3-0 L3 times coming off a loss. Blowout alert! 10* PHILADLELPHIA (-) |
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01-01-24 | Heat +7.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-121 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Miami Heat (+) @ LA Clippers @ 10:40 ET - A lot of injury issues here on both teams. I am aware of the situation and I know Butler will miss this game for Miami. However, this is too much underdog line value (7.5 as of 9 and 1/2 hours before tipoff) for Miami. The Heat are coming off a loss and a perfect 5-0 SU the last 5 times they were off a loss. Of course a SU win for Miami is a guaranteed ATS win in this one as they are a sizable underdog in this one. We'll grab the points here but we may not even need them. Note that the Clippers are off B2B wins but Kawhi Leonard will not be 100% here even though he is expected to play. LA had lost B2B games before those two wins and the Heat have won 3 straight meetings. Also, the Clippers do not have a win by more than 7 points in any of the past 6 meetings. I am grabbing the points with a hungry Heat team coming off a loss. 10* MIAMI (+) |
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01-01-24 | Texas-Arlington v. Texas OVER 146.5 | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Texas Longhorns vs Texas-Arlington Mavericks @ 2 ET - UT Arlington is talented but off an ugly shooting game in which they totaled just 52 points. That sets this one up nice for an over. The Mavericks were averaging 75 ppg this season before the ugly game against North Texas. They will make up for that here but of course they are not going to stop the Longhorns. UT is favored by 18 points in this one for a reason of course. That said, with this total in the 147 range and, if the odds makers are right about the spread, that would put this one at about an 83-65 type game. Given that the Mavs were averaging 75 ppg before the most recent disappointing effort, you can see why we have good value here. Also, the Mavericks recently got Phillip Russell back on the floor and he was a big scorer for SE Missouri each of the last two seasons. Texas will be unstoppable here as they are a strong ranked team but the Mavs are going to hang around in this game for a while too. That sets this up well for plenty of points and the number is 146.5 or 147 as of about 2 hours before tipoff! 10* OVER the total in Texas |
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12-30-23 | USC v. Oregon State +9 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #704 CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Oregon State Beavers (+) vs USC Trojans @ 10 ET - This line is currently in the 8.5 to 9 range as of about 7 hours before tipoff and there is excellent value here with the underdog. The Beavers have not played as tough of a schedule but they are at home for this game and are coming off a loss but had an 8-3 record prior to that. Also, the Trojans have revenge here from a loss here last season. However, USC enters this game just 4-6 last 10 games and only 3 wins by more than 8 points in their last 10 games! Oregon State won 5 straight games before their tough loss to UCLA in most recent game by 7 points. The Beavers last lost by more than 7 points was back on Thanksgiving weekend! The Beavers have played the Trojans tough in each of the last 3 meetings with an outright win and each of the two losses by 3 or less points. Remember that Oregon State went from an ugly 3-win season to an 11-win season last year to now looking lite a 15-win type team this season. People still remember that Beavers team that went 14-49 the past two seasons combined but they truly are looking much better this season and Corvallis is not an easy place to play. We'll gladly grab the generous points being offered here. 10* OREGON STATE (+) |
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12-30-23 | Lakers v. Wolves OVER 225.5 | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:10 ET - This total currently in the 225.5 range. I am well aware there are some injury and illness question marks for each team entering this one but I expect most of those guys to play and I feel we have value here with this rather low total. Consider also that if some of the bigger guys are out that opens things up for more of a "small ball" style of game and I would not be surprised to see both teams go off big in this one. 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games have totaled at least 228 points. The Timberwolves are a fantastic 23-7 this season and scoring an average of 116 ppg last 10 games. The Lakers are just 3-6 last 9 games but have scored 120 ppg last 10 games! LA has allowed 121 ppg their last 9 games. As you can see, we have a lot of wiggle room given numbers like this as the Lakers and Wolves both currently trending toward higher-scoring games. Even if one or more of the big guys is out for this one, this total still gets there as it is just too low given all of the above. 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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12-29-23 | Arizona v. California OVER 156 | Top | 100-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in California Golden Bears vs Arizona Wildcats @ 10:30 ET - The Wildcats are angry off a double-OT loss prior to Christmas. Arizona is one of the top teams in the country and will respond in a huge way here. However, California is on their home floor and they have scored quite well this season so I would not be surprised to see a strong effort from the Golden Bears in this one. The problem for Cal is they are not strong on the defensive end and the Cats are going to run and gun in this one and leave no doubt after that disappointing double-OT loss. Of course that is why Arizona is favored by double digits on the road in this Pac-12 opener and I expect plenty of scoring and pace to this game. Cal averaging 76 ppg this season but Arizona is averaging 92.5 ppg on the year! Given the line on this game is in the 14 range, certainly 91 to 77 sounds about right and, though I expect much more, a total of 168 is double digits in front of this total which is in the 155.5 to 156.5 range as of about 10 hours before tipoff. Looks like a shootout is on the way here! 10* OVER the total in California |
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12-29-23 | 76ers -120 v. Rockets | Top | 131-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Pick -120 @ Houston Rockets @ 8:10 ET - We get line value here because the Sixers are again without Embiid but they did just beat a solid Magic team at Orlando by 20 points. Also, that win was no fluke. They had 17 more shots from the field so, in other words, Philly dominated play in that game and, again, it was sans Embiid. The Rockets have lost 3 of 4 home games and 5 of 7 overall. Houston is a solid respectable team but so is Orlando and we all saw what just happened there. The 76ers have a great clubhouse feel right now and they like to prove they can win without Embiid. They will do so again right here on Friday. 10* Top Play PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-26-23 | Jazz -3 v. Spurs | Top | 130-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz (-) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 8:10 ET - The Spurs might be without Wembanyama as he has a sprained ankle and is listed as questionable. I know the Jazz have not been good this season but were it not for the Pistons losing 26 games in a row I feel we would all be hearing much more about just how horrific this Spurs run has been. San Antonio started this season 3-2 but they have since gone 1-22 in an awful run of futility only overshadowed by the Pistons nightmare run. Also, 23 of San Antonio's 24 losses this season have been by at least 3 points so laying the number here (currently 3 as of about 11 hours before tipoff) is no problem either. The Jazz have won 5 of last 7 games so they have won more games the past two weeks than the Spurs have won all season long! Only 1 of Utah's last 11 wins have been by less than a 3 point margin. So excellent value here because of the Jazz being on the road for this one and we'll fade San Antonio again here. 10* UTAH (-) |
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12-25-23 | 76ers +3 v. Heat | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) @ Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - Embiid is out for the Sixers but now they are catching 3 points as of about 9 hours before tip off. Keep in mind, Butler might miss this game for the Heat. Either way, I like the value here of a deep Sixers team catching points because of the absence of Embiid. This is a rare chance to catch Philly as an underdog and, keep in mind, Miami is 0-3 SU the last 3 times they have entered a game on a winning streak of at least 2 games. Including post-season games, the Heat are just 19-19 SU last 38 games. Philly is 29-12 SU last 41 games. The Sixers are 8-1 SU last 9 games overall entering this one and offer exceptional line value here. I know they are without Embiid but the Sixers are so loaded with other talent and depth that they will get the Christmas Day upset here. We'll grab the points just in case but I do not expect to need them. 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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12-24-23 | Nevada -6 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack (-) vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 9 ET in Diamond Head Classic in Honolulu, Hawaii - Perfect set up here. The Yellow Jackets blew a huge 20 point 2nd half lead against Hawaii yesterday and barely hung on. That is the kind of game that takes a lot out of a team, especially when it is part of a tournament like this where teams are playing so many games in a short period of time. I look for yesterday's game to be the final good moment for Georgia Tech over in Hawaii as the fresher legs and overall stronger roster belongs to Nevada. The Wolf Pack are coming off a much more comfortable win yesterday as they maintained a big lead for much of the game and cruised to the win over TCU by double digits. The Pack are now 11-1 this season and all 11 wins have been by at least 6 points and that is the number on this game as of about 12 hours before tipoff. 9 of the other 10 Nevada wins have been by double digits. Georgia Tech's last 3 wins have been by an average margin of just 3 points and one of those victories was in OT! In other words, the Jackets have been winning too but not by big margins and there is a lot of value here with a 1-loss team facing a 3-loss team whose 3 losses have, by the way, been by a margin of 17 points on average. Lay the reasonable number here and look for the favorite to roll by double digits in this one. 10* NEVADA (-) |
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12-23-23 | Spurs v. Mavs -7.5 | Top | 119-144 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (-) vs San Antonio Spurs @ 8:40 ET - The Mavericks are off an ugly 122-96 loss at Houston. They were without so many guys but I expect some back here for this one and Doncic is on track to play! That will be a big boost to the Mavs and they will take advantage of facing a Spurs team that is having a disastrous season. San Antonio started the season 3-2 but has since gone 1-21. This is unreal and the Spurs and 7 of the last 8 losses have been by 8 or more points. The current line on this one is in the 7.5 range and SA likely to get hammered again as Dallas is angry off an embarrassing loss. The Mavericks had won 5 of 6 before tough recent slide but those 5 wins by an average margin of 14.6 points! They can roll this SA team that is an absolute disaster right now. The Mavs already won by 7 against the Spurs earlier this season and that game was at San Antonio and the Spurs were a different team then. They are really lacking in confidence and execution compared to the team we saw early this season. 10* DALLAS (-) |
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12-23-23 | St. John's v. Connecticut OVER 147.5 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Connecticut Huskies vs St John's Red Storm @ 8 ET - The Huskies are off a loss but had won 10 of 11 games prior to that. Connecticut will bounce back here and they averaged 88.5 ppg in their 10 victories. Of course UConn expected to win this game as they are a big favorite for a reason in this one. Look at the Huskies as 11 point favorites here and note they average 88 points in their victories. So, the law of averages says this game ends 88-77 and that means totaling 165 points which is way above the 147.5 total currently posted on this game. That said, you are looking at quite a bit of wiggle room on this one in terms of playing the over. Note that the Red Storm do struggle defensively but they do score well. They had one low-scoring game but in their other 10 games this season they scored an average of 83 points per game. I like the odds of this one being an over easy given all of the above. 10* OVER 147.5 in Connecticut |
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12-22-23 | Temple -3.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #883: Friday CBB 10* Top Play Temple Owls (-) vs Old Dominion Monarchs @ 7:30 ET - Temple will bounce back here in Hawaii - this line 3.5 as of about 6 and 1/2 hours before tipoff - as the Owls take advantage of a struggling Old Dominion team here. The Monarchs have lost 4 straight games and allowed an average of 90 ppg in those 4 defeats! Old Dominion only has two wins in regulation time this season and both were against outclassed foes. The Monarchs certainly do not outclass the Owls! So, in other words, look for their losing skid to continue here. The Owls are off their worst loss of the season to a tough Nevada team but, prior to that defeat, Temple was 6-4 on the season and the average loss was by just 6 points. The Owls have faced a tougher schedule than Old Dominion as well and the Monarchs are just 3-7 SU on the season. So when you factor all this in, this is a solid line value situation to back a short favorite off their worst loss the season. 10* TEMPLE (-) |
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12-22-23 | Raptors v. 76ers -8.5 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:10 ET - Current line on this is an 8.5 as of 7 hours before tipoff! There is only one team in the entire NBA that does not have a SU divisional win yet this season and it is the Raptors! Toronto is 0-7 SU in divisional action this season and their road losses in divisional games have come by an average margin of 14 points per defeat. The Sixers have won 7 of 8 and each of their last 6 wins have come by a double digit margin! In fact, the average margin has been 29 points! Philly should roll huge again here as this is their last home game until after New Year's so they will make the most of it. Toronto drops to 0-8 SU in divisional games this season and you can see why I am expecting the win to be by a double digit margin! 10* Top Play PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-21-23 | Boise State +2.5 v. Washington State | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Boise State Broncos (+) vs Washington State @ 11 PM ET at Spokane, WA @ 11 ET - This one is a neutral site game though the location certainly favors the Cougars over the Broncos as Pullman is closer to Spokane than Boise is but the point is this is not a true home game for Washington State. I love the contrarian aspect to this one as Washington State has revenge plus they are the Pac-12 foe facing a Mountain West team so they are the perceived stronger team and want payback for a loss to Boise State early last season. Consider all these aspects and then think about why this line would have opened up in the pick'em range? Exactly...and this line has now even moved up to Washington State as a 2.5 point favorite. Of course most are backing the Cougars given all of the above but the odds makers know that revenge is not always all it is cracked up to be plus the Broncos have played a tougher early season schedule. So when you fact all this in you can see the line value with the underdog in this match-up and I am backing the underdog in this one and we'll grab the bucket though we should not even need the points. 10* BOISE STATE (+)Â |
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12-21-23 | Lakers v. Wolves -8 | Top | 111-118 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves (-) vs LA Lakers @ 9:10 ET - This line is up around an 8 but it is with good reason. James is out for the Lakers and Davis is questionable for LA. Both these teams are off losses yesterday but Minnesota is the much healthier team plus overall the stronger team plus they have the home court edge in this one. Also, the Timberwolves are a PERFECT 5-0 SU this season when off a loss. Additionally, when off a loss in which they allowed 127 points or less, the Wolves are not only 4-0 SU but every single win was by at least a 16 point margin and that means they are a perfect 4-0 ATS this season in this situation. Look for this one to make it 5-0 ATS on the season as this will be a home blowout against a short-handed Lakers team. 10* MINNESOTA (-) |
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12-20-23 | Villanova +9 v. Creighton | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #685: Wednesday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats (+) @ Creighton Bluejays @ 9 ET - The Wildcats are only 7-4 SU this season but they have wins over some teams and plus 3 of their 4 losses this season have been by 4 or less points. I feel we have excellent line value here with this one in the 9 to 9.5 point range and I will not hesitate to step in with a solid play on the Wildcats in this one. Villanova also has revenge here as they were knocked out of the Big East tourney by the Bluejays last season. The Wildcats lost their regular season game at Creighton last season as well but that defeat was by just 5 points. There is a lot of value here on Nova because this is still a talented team and they just beat UCLA without Justin Moore. Everyone is stepping up with Moore out of the lineup and that will happen again tonight. Also, the Wildcats have a tendency to play poorly against weaker foes and then be at their best against stronger foes. In other words, you will see their best again tonight. They also have a rest edge with 10 days off since their most recent game. Even though the Bluejays are at home for this one, there could be a lot of students home for the holidays already so they may not have an exactly raucous crowd for this one either. All factors considered (including the fact that Moore is out for this one) has led to a big value with the big underdog here. 10* VILLANOVA (+)Â |
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12-20-23 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (+) vs LA Clippers @ 8:40 ET - The Mavs are getting about 2.5 points here and of course it looks easy to lay the 2 or 2.5 with the Clippers here as they have won 8 straight games! Of course we all know what usually happens when something looks too easy, right? Indeed! So the point is this is the perfect time to go contrarian and back the Mavericks as a home dog in this one. First off, note that 6 of the 8 wins in the Clips win streak were home games! Also, one of the only two road wins was against a Jazz team that now stands just 10-17 on the season. The Clippers are still just 5-7 on the road this season and now they face their toughest road test since a 120-114 loss at Golden State. Also, 2 of the other road wins LA has this season were against a Western Conference league-worst Spurs team! So, the point is the Clippers are facing a much bigger challenge here but we get line value because of the current LA hot streak! Let's take advantage as the Mavericks are off a loss and they have gone 7-2 this season when coming off a loss! 10* DALLAS (+)Â |
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12-19-23 | Suns v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Portland Trail Blazers (+) vs Phoenix Suns @ 10:10 ET - Big revenge game for the Suns is on deck against the Kings. That said, I like the value here of the big home dog Blazers who are playing this game with revenge and have been playing better of late but are off a tight home loss in which they covered ATS versus the Warriors. The Trail Blazers are still fighting hard for a win to snap their losing streak and they are on the cusp and should battle all the way through again here in this one. The points are a huge value in this one given the revenge situation for the home dog and the lookahead situation for the road favorite in this one! 10* PORTLAND (+) |
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12-19-23 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. California Baptist | Top | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (+) @ California Baptist Lancers @ 10 ET - The Hilltoppers have won 5 straight games and I like the fact they are averaging 8 steals per game. This WKU team plays opportunistic defense and their confidence is surging with each win. The Toppers can hang tough in this game and they are facing a California Baptist team that has just one win in last 3 games and that win was by just a single point. The Lancers come from a weaker conference and the Toppers are undervalued here the way I see it. An outright upset would not surprise me in the least but certainly there is value in the points here even though the Hilltoppers are on the road for this one. Keep in mind Cal Baptist off tight 1-point win over UC Riverside which is, of course, a city rival of theirs in Riverside so the set up here is even better than most realize. Love this spot for at least a road dog cover in this one. 10* WESTERN KENTUCKY (+) |
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12-18-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -11 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - This line in the 11 range as of about 9 hours before tipoff. I know this is a big number and normally I do not like to lay such big numbers but this 76ers team, including their bench play, is absolutely on a tear right now. The Sixers have been getting great play from their bench and this has allowed them to sustain blowout margins in recent games and they are at home here and the Bulls have struggled overall this season. Chicago is a little better than their 10-17 record in my opinion but they are dealing with injury issues and the Bulls also are on the road and walking into a buzzsaw here. The 76ers have won 6 straight games and the average margin has been 27 points! Yes they are dominating teams! Each of last 4 wins by at least a margin of 18 points! The Sixers should roll big again here as on deck is a Western Conference foe and that game is not until Wednesday. So Philly is fully focused here. Also, though they won most recent game with Bulls, they lost the game immediately before that in a "home and home" B2B spot last season and that was in Philly. Chicago beat the Sixers in double OT in that one and the Sixers will get their home court revenge here the way I see it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-18-23 | Oakland +16.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #873 CBB Monday 10* Top Play Oakland Golden Grizzlies (+) @ Michigan State Spartans @ 7 ET - This line in the 16.5 point range as of about 5 hours before tipoff. Spartans off that huge win over the highly-ranked Baylor Bears and it was a blowout win. However, Michigan State shot lights out in that game including a ridiculous 8 of 12 from three point land. That said, we absolutely have some value here with this solid Oakland team catching huge points in a classic little brother versus big brother match-up. Of course the Spartans are the much stronger team but the Golden Grizzlies are loaded with Michigan guys who want this game of course. Last season they did lose by double digits in this match-up but the Spartans were heavily outshot by Oakland in that game and the Golden Grizzlies were done in by poor shooting. That said, there is value here with a big dog that has proven they can compete with stronger teams. The Golden Grizzlies have competed just fine with solid programs like Xavier and also other Big Ten teams like Ohio State and Illinois. This one will likely be decided by single digits and we take advantage of the strange shooting percentages that the Spartans just had in their win over Baylor plus the crazy shooting dynamics of last season's meeting between these teams. 10* OAKLAND (+) |
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12-17-23 | Nevada -120 v. Hawaii | Top | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #749 CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack (-) @ Hawaii Warriors @ 10 ET - The Wolf Pack are as low as a -1 or a -120 on the money line as of about 7 and 1/2 hours before tipoff for this one Sunday. Nevada is the stronger team but this game is at Hawaii and the Warriors have a strong record due to playing a weaker schedule so far this season. This has resulted in line value here. The stronger team that has a tougher schedule is basically available at a pick'em price and I will not hesitate to get involved here. The last time these teams met it was a double digit win for Nevada 6 years ago. Things have changed since then of course and yet this is reflective of the fact that there is a talent gap between these two teams. Hawaii is not too far behind but the Wolf Pack are still the overall better team and I am going to take advantage of the line value being offered in this one as it has dropped from the visitors being a 3 point favorite in this one down to nearly a pick'em. 10* NEVADA (-) |
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12-17-23 | Warriors v. Blazers +5.5 | Top | 118-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Portland Trail Blazers (+) vs Golden State Warriors @ 9:10 ET - I know the Trail Blazers have a bad record but this is a great spot for them. They are at home off a home loss and they catch Golden State traveling off a hard-fought home win over the Nets last night. Yes, Portland has an ugly record and is on a losing streak but they are catching 5.5 points here and they are hosting a Warriors team that has lost 7 straight road games. I know the Blazers are off B2B ugly losses but this followed an 8-game stretch in which only 1 game was a loss by more than 6 points! They will be in this one all the way and, considering the Warriors 0-7 SU run in road games, an outright win is not of the question either! This line is round a 5.5 as of 7 hours before tip-off so we'll grab the generous points in this one! 10* PORTLAND (+) |
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12-16-23 | Mavs v. Blazers OVER 233.5 | Top | 131-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks @ 9:10 ET - This total in the 233.5 range as of 9 hours before tipoff. Both teams rested and the Mavs off a loss and Blazers off 5 straight losses. In other words, these teams will be pushing hard for the win here plus Portland has revenge for losing the most recent meeting with the Mavericks. Dallas has allowed 117 ppg last 4 games but scored 124 ppg last 5 games. The Trail Blazers last 3 games have all totaled at least 236 points and this one should too. 10* OVER the total in Portland |
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12-16-23 | St. Joe's v. Iona OVER 142.5 | Top | 83-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #680: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Iona Gaels vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 7 ET - This one in the 142.5 range and St Joe's had one ugly game this season but really has scored very, very well in their other games. They have been consistent with their other games featuring only 1 loss and that was at Kentucky and was a game the Hawks nearly won in regulation before losing in OT. St Joe's has averaged 77.4 ppg in those 9 games! Iona has not been scoring quite as well but the Gaels are generally known for high-scoring games and 7 of first 8 this season totaled at least 140 points. Now off B2B low-scoring games, Iona will join in on a fast-paced non-conference match-up as the Hawks are loaded with scorers and will push the pace here. 10* OVER the total in Iona |
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12-15-23 | Connecticut -4 v. Gonzaga | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Friday: 10* Top Play Connecticut Huskies (-) @ Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 10 PM ET - The Huskies are the stronger team and have an experience edge and they are so strong in the paint. Connecticut also has enough outside shooting prowess to stretch teams out and that open things up inside the paint as well. Note the Bulldogs lost their only game against a ranked team this season while Connecticut has played 3 ranked foes already and gone 2-1. I feel strongly that the Huskies are better prepared for this intense match-up and that is also why you are seeing them favored by about 4 points here (as of mid-day Friday) even though they are on the road and playing in a tough venue. Lay the points with the road team in this one. 10* CONNECTICUT (-) |
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12-15-23 | Pistons v. 76ers OVER 234.5 | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 234.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - Another very high-scoring match-up likely between these teams Friday. They just met Wednesday and, not only did the game total 240, every single quarter saw at least 56 points scored. I love that type of consistency when you have an over. Now, the match-up shifts from Detroit to Philadelphia and should only help the over even more as Philly scores so well on their home floor. In terms of defensive intensity, the Pistons have proven all season they do not have much of that at all. As for the 76ers, it is hard to be intense on the defensive end when you know you are facing a team that has lost over 20 games in a row and you are nearly a 20 point favorite! From a statistical standpoint, the Sixers have averaged 129 points per game in their 10 home games against teams NOT named Boston! Certainly the Pistons are at the opposite end of the spectrum in comparison with the Celtics. Hence, my expectation that Philly is going to score in the 130s here and that means the Pistons (based on the spread) should score in the 110s in this one. That means we are looking at 240s here, if not 250s. 10* OVER 234.5 in Philadelphia |
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12-14-23 | Cavs +9.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers (+) @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - This line currently in the 9.5 to 9 range as of mid-day Thursday. Boston is the only team that has an undefeated home record this season but this sure looks like too many points! Cleveland is 2-0 the last 2 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of at least two games. The Cavaliers are 12-8 SU last 20 games but, only 3 of their last 20 games have been losses by a double digit margin! Boston is 8-3 SU last 11 games but only 3 of the 11 games were Celtics wins by a double digit margin. The Cavs did lost this same match-up when these teams met Tuesday but Boston outscored them by 20 points at the free throw point line. In other words, the Cavaliers actually won the game by 13 points if not including free throws and I feel we have excellent line value here in this revenge spot for the Cavs. Grab the points in this one. 10* CLEVELAND (+) |
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12-13-23 | Creighton v. UNLV OVER 151.5 | Top | 64-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #639 - CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 151.5 in UNLV Rebels vs Creighton Bluejays @ 9 ET - The Bluejays are huge road favorites here and I feel the big numbers is justified. However, I also feel that the Rebels will score well at home and so you are looking at a match-up that should get well into the 150s. Creighton, other than one game in which they were surprisingly held to just 48 points, has scored extremely well all season. They scored 79 points or more in each of the other 8 games (all wins) and actually averaged 84 ppg in those 8 victories. The Rebels have scored more than 70 points in all but one of their games this season. Of course if they get to at least 70 points here (and on their home floor against an offensive-minded team they should do just that) then notice the line on the Jays is about a -13 and so you are already into the low 150s and that is just looking at the minimum type result here the way I see it and based on all of the above. That is why the reality is you have a game that should get into at least the 160 range. Neither team has played any OT games yet either so the ppg stats are certainly not over-inflated either. Look for a wild one in another non-conference match-up involving teams that have consistently put up solid offensive numbers early this season. 10* OVER 151.5 in UNLV |
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12-13-23 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 233 | Top | 129-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Total in 233 range as of early gameday morning. The 76ers are off a beatdown of the Wizards and are proving they are ready to battle even though they are now in a stretch in which they face a number of weak foes consecutively. That includes facing a Pistons team that has lost 20 straight games! Detroit has allowed 124 ppg this season. The Sixers have averaged 131 ppg in their last 8 wins. With this pointspread around an 11, that would put this game at about 131-120 and certainly that sounds about right and that pushes this game into the 250 range for total points. The Sixers had one dominating win defensively in their last 6 games as that was when they beat the Lakers and held them to 94 points but in their other 6 games since Thanksgiving they have allowed 119 points. The 76ers have shown they are willing to play run and gun type games. Given all of the above I expect 250ish here but at least the 240s and that is why I feel we have excellent value with this total in the 233 range as of early game day morning. Pistons off a high-scoring loss against the Pacers and I expect a similar result here as they do tend to score a little better when at home. 10* OVER the total in Detroit |
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12-12-23 | Warriors v. Suns -115 | Top | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns Pick -115 vs Golden State Warriors @ 10:10 ET - The Suns will be without Kevin Durant here but look for others to pick up their game in his absence. Phoenix is so strong at home. The Warriors are not good on the road and have been struggling overall. Golden State have lost 10 of 14 games. Phoenix has lost 4 of 5 but were 11-6 this season prior to this. Also, the Suns are 3-0 the last 3 times they have been at home and entered a game off B2B losses. That is their situation here and I am taking advantage of the line value with Durant being out for this one. Look for Booker to have a huge game! 10* Phoenix Pick -115 |
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12-12-23 | Oral Roberts v. Texas Tech OVER 143 | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 143 in Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles @ 9 ET - The Red Raiders have scored well this season with one exception. If you take that one outlier out of the equation, Texas Tech has scored at least 69 points in all the other 7 games. Not including OT points, the Red Raiders averaged 76 points points in those 7 games. Now look at Oral Roberts and they have averaged 76 points per game this season as well. I feel the Golden Eagles are going to hang tough in this game as they have played some tough teams this season and already and held their own. Yet Texas Tech is a large favorite here for a reason and basically if we get Oral Roberts to 65 and the odds makers are right about the -13 here than we are already in the 143 range but I expect Oral Roberts to get into the 70s here and hence the solid value with this total. 10* OVER 143 in Texas Tech |
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12-11-23 | Wizards +12 v. 76ers | Top | 101-146 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards (+) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - These teams just met in Washington and the Sixers only won by 5 points and that was with Joel Embiid scoring 50 in that contest. I realize that the Wizards shot very well in that game, including from 3-point land. But now the Sixers are heavier favorites here - 11.5 to 12 points as of early gameday morning - and this is with Embiid questionable. Embiid did practice fully Sunday but why is he still on the report then? The fact is there is a chance that, facing a 3-18 team, the Sixers might try to give him rest here. Even if they do not rest him fully, there is a chance they will limit his minutes. Either way, the Sixers are likely in for at least a dogfight in which the Wizards keep this one to a single digit margin again. Washington has scorers and has some confidence given the way the last game played out. The Wizards off ugly loss at Brooklyn but this followed a 7-game stretch in which Washington had only 2 losses by more than 5 points! As for the 76ers, they only have 2 wins by more than 11 points in their last 15 games. I feel this is a nice value here as this is a game where Philly knows they have bigger fish to fry and I could see them being a bit flat or disinterested in this one. Even if they do manage to get up by 15 points or so the Wizards could easily backdoor the cover in the final stages too. Just too many points. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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12-10-23 | Michigan State -3 v. Nebraska | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #859: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Michigan State Spartans (-) @ Nebraska Cornhuskers @ 6:30 ET - The Huskers are 7-2 this season plus at home and plus playing with revenge from last season. Yes they are a 3-point dog to a Spartans team that is just 4-4 this season. Big mistake, right? Actually, not at all! The Huskers have played a weaker schedule than the Spartans. Also, Nebraska lost their Big Ten opener to Minnesota despite the Golden Gophers losing their leading scorer to injury early in the game. Yes the Spartans also off a loss to open up Big Ten action but they faced a tough Badgers team and mainly lost that game because Wisconsin was much better from 3-point land than Michigan State. So here we are getting solid line value in this spot as there has been an over-reaction the Spartans mediocre record so far this season. We step in and take advantage of a quality team laying a small number in a bounce back spot. We get the small number because they are on the road and because of a forced adjustment on the line by the marketplace. 10* MICHIGAN STATE (-) |
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12-09-23 | Pacers +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 109-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers (+) vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:30 ET in Las Vegas, NV - There is some extra value baked into this line because the Lakers just absolutely destroyed the Pelicans on the scoreboard. However, LA shot 55% overall plus made 17 of 35 threes. New Orleans had a dreadful shooting game and was outscored by 30 from 3-point land as the Lakers made 10 more threes in the game. Keep in mind, the Lakers entered that game against NO in Vegas having gone just 4-7 in road games this season. The Pacers entered their game, a win over the Bucks, having gone 4-3 on the road this season and 2 of the 3 losses were at Boston and Philly. Of course the Celtics and 76ers are two of the best teams in the league. The point is that Indiana is arguably a better road team than the Lakers yet they are catching sizable points here against an over-rated LA team that is now over-valued after the hot-shooting win over the Pelicans. The Pacers are a very cohesive group. I like the team chemistry this roster has and I feel they will pull together to win this thing. Even if they fall short I look for it to be by one possession. This game could go right down to the wire but I am expecting the outright upset. We'll grab the 4.5 points. 10* INDIANA (+) |
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12-09-23 | UCLA v. Villanova OVER 127 | Top | 56-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #711: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 127 in Villanova Wildcats vs UCLA Bruins @ 7 ET - Justin Moore is out for Villanova but sometimes when a solid veteran guard like that is out for a team it can result in more scoring. That's because perhaps the defensive rotations are thrown off a bit. Perhaps the guy coming in is willing to jack up a lot of shots. In this case, Jordan Longino played a lot of minutes against Kansas State because Moore got hurt after playing only 8 minutes in that game. Longino was 5 of 17 from the field including 3 of 9 from three point land. You can see the style he played in that one. I am looking for Nova, now off 3 straight losses, to be very aggressive at home in this one. They may have a more aggressive attacking style in this situation and I feel this low total is offering us exceptional value. The Wildcats are averaging 74 ppg this season. The Bruins are averaging 71 ppg this season. UCLA has scored at least 65 points in every game this season and that includes facing Marquette and Gonzaga and none of the Bruins games have gone to OT this season! Villanova has had two duds on the offensive end in which they scored 57 and 55 points but even eliminating the OT points against Kansas State they reached the 63 mark. Considering the importance of this game I look for a big effort at home but this Wildcats defense is not what it was under Jay Wright. The Wildcats are just not the same level of team but they are quality and they have scorers and the shots are going to start to fall. Take advantage of a total that is too low in the 127 range here in this one. 10* OVER 127 in Villanova |
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12-08-23 | Hawks v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:10 ET - This line in the 7 or 7.5 range and this is a bargain in my opinion. Looks like Trae Young could miss due to illness or at least would not be 100% here. That is bad news for a Hawks team that already lost to the Sixers by double digits earlier this season and that game was in Atlanta! Also, Philadelphia won their most recent home game by 44 points over the Lakers and the 76ers are getting healthy again with Oubre having come back as well. The Sixers are off a road game at Washington and have another game versus the Wizards at home up next. That said, the Hawks are certainly getting the full focus and attention of the Sixers right now. When Philly is focused they can blow teams out. They know they let that game at DC be much closer against the Wiz then it should have been and they will respond huge here with a strong home game. The Sixers have 7 home wins this season and all were by double digit margin except the Celtics. The Hawks are definitely not at the level of the C's. In other words, another blowout home win is imminent here! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-)Â |
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12-08-23 | Illinois-Chicago v. Jacksonville State OVER 130.5 | Top | 55-49 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #887: CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 130.5 in Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 7 ET - As I mentioned in my write-ups earlier this season on UIC, the Flames have been developing well in recent years. They are well-coached and now the coach has been able to assemble the type of roster he wants here. It has been a process for sure but this Flames team looks stronger this season than they have been in a long time. Now Illinois-Chicago is coming off B2B losses in which they did not score well and this is the perfect spot for an over. I am sure that UIC is going to push the pace here as their 5-game winning streak saw them average 83 ppg while their 2-game losing streak has seen them allow just 63 ppg but also score only 60 ppg. That is not working for the Flames. They will resume with an up-tempo attack here plus I expect better shooting against a Gamecocks team that has played a rather weak schedule. I do like the fact that Jacksonville State is at home in this one and they had scored 71 ppg in a 3-game winning streak prior to losing their most recent game. So both teams off losses, both teams had been hot recently and scoring well, and now we have a rather low total to work with here. I look for a solid over here as both teams should get into the upper 60s here if not into the 70s! 10* OVER 130.5 in Jacksonville State |
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12-07-23 | Pelicans +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 89-133 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans (+) vs Los Angeles Lakers in Las Vegas, NV @ 9 ET - The Lakers are such a popular team they tend to get some extra attention in the betting markets and that can put lines out of whack a bit. Lets not forget that this is a neutral site game and they are 4-7 SU away from home this season. Davis should play here but is managing some injuries. James is questionable but I am sure he will play but the point is that neither are likely to be 100% here. Couple that with the fact that the Pelicans have won 8 of 12 games plus they are the healthier team entering this match-up and they have revenge from losing 3 of 4 with LeBron and the Lakers last season. This line is now up to a 2.5 and I like the value with the underdog in this one given all of the above. 10* NEW ORLEANS (+) |
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12-07-23 | Iowa v. Iowa State OVER 153 | Top | 65-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Iowa State Cyclones vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 7:30 ET - This is a rivalry game and a revenge match-up for Iowa State as they got hammered at Iowa last season due to poor shooting while the Hawkeyes shot lights out in that one. Look for a strong push from the Cyclones here as they look to get payback for that one. This should lead to a very high-scoring game as Iowa is scoring very well this season but also giving up huge points. Iowa has allowed 80 ppg last 6 games but also is scoring an average of 88 ppg on the year! Iowa State is scoring 83 ppg this season. I realize the Cyclones have a solid number in terms of points allowed but as their schedule has toughened up, they have now allowed 78 ppg last 3 games. This one should fly over the total and I like the drop here as it gone from nearly 160 to the low 150s as of about 6 hours before tipoff! 10* OVER the total in Iowa State |
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12-06-23 | San Francisco v. Vanderbilt OVER 138 | Top | 73-60 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #709: CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Vanderbilt Commodores vs San Francisco Dons @ 8 ET - This total has dropped a little from its opener and is in the 138 range as of early gameday morning. Vanderbilt is off a 78-59 win but against a much weaker foe and, keep in mind, this followed 6 straight Commodores games topping more than 140 points! San Francisco is off a 72-61 loss but this followed averaging 80 ppg in their first 7 games. Even if you eliminate that first huge win of the season when the faced a completely overmatched foe, the Dons had scored at least 70 points in 4 of last 5 games prior to the low-scoring loss at Arizona State. Based on all of the above and what we have seen from these teams so far this season, I just can not see this one ending with anything less than 70 points for each team! The Dons have shot well overall this season and I know the Commodores will get their shooting percentages back up soon and they can build off scoring 78 points in their most recent game even though it was against a weaker foe. Take advantage of the line value here as neither club is particularly strong on defense either. 10* OVER the total in Vanderbilt |
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12-06-23 | 76ers -9.5 v. Wizards | Top | 131-126 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Normally I do not like to lay 9.5 or 10+ points in NBA games but this Sixers team is finally going to have everyone back and healthy on the floor for this one and they are off B2B losses and they are facing a 3-16 team. Not only that, this 3-16 Wizards team might be without Shamet and Poole. The latter is of particular importance but even Shamet gets some decent minutes. Poole is one of the top scorers. If either or both guys play they are unlikely to be 100% for this one. The Wizards have lost 11 of 12 games. The Sixers are strong when off B2B losses and are 9-2 SU the last 11 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. This team just not have long losing streaks and they are a much better and more cohesive club this season than last season. Of course a SU win is not the only key here as we also have a big spread to cover. The key with that is the Sixers have had 4 of last 5 wins come by 10+ points and the Wizards most recent loss was by 5 points. However, Washington has lost 6 straight road games and 5 of the 6 have been by more than a dozen points! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-)Â |
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12-05-23 | Knicks v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 122-146 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks (-) vs New York Knicks @ 7:30 ET - The Bucks line is down to 4.5 in this one. After the line move especially there is value on Milwaukee in this one. The Bucks are 9-1 at home this season. 8 of their last 9 wins have been by 6 or more points. Of the Knicks last 6 losses, 5 have been by 5 or more points. Home court is a key factor here as the Bucks are 41-10 since the start of last season. The Knicks are solid on the road but certainly not at 80%+ like Milwaukee is at home. The Bucks have won 7 in a row over New York in their regular season meetings and I am grabbing the extra value here after the line move. The Bucks are without Connaughton and they are certainly better with him on the floor but are these teams really equal on a neutral floor (which is what this line is practically saying) when Bucks don't have him? I say no and I know the hosts want this tourney game and will have a strong crowd behind them. 10* MILWAUKEE (-) |
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12-05-23 | Villanova v. Kansas State OVER 142.5 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #613: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Kansas State Wildcats vs Villanova Wildcats @ 7 ET - Villanova has too many good shooters to continue struggling from outside. Their outside shots, particularly threes, will start to fall with much more regularity. Don't be surprised if that starts here as Kansas State, not including OT points, has allowed 70 ppg this season. Here they face a very talented Nova team that has underachieved so far. In other words, Kansas State very likely to give up more than their season average in this one. Villanova had been scoring decently this season before that ugly low-scoring loss to Drexel. Villanova's block and steal numbers are not good this season and this shows the level of defensive play has dropped. Kansas State has not been great on the defensive end either but, not including OT points, is averaging scoring in the upper 70s this season. I am looking for both clubs, per the above, to get into the 70s here and that means excellent value with this one in the 142.5 range as about 5 and 1/2 hours before tipoff. 10* OVER the total in Kansas State |
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12-04-23 | Cal Poly v. Oregon State OVER 132 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 132 in Oregon State Beavers vs Cal Poly Mustangs @ 10 ET - This total dropped from mid-130s and is offering excellent line value. Cal Poly average games are in the 145 range so far and Oregon State games are in the low 140s so far this season. Look for this one to get past the low 130s as the Beavers are off a 71-59 win but this was preceded by allowing an average of 83 ppg last 3 games! The Mustangs have allowed 67 points or more last 4 games and that trend certainly will continue here as they face a Pac-12 foe in this one. They are a 14 point dog for a reason. Of course, if Cal Poly just gets to 60 and odds makers are right about this line, it gets to the mid-130s. I like our chances! The Mustangs averaging nearly 70 per game this season. 10* OVER 132 in Oregon State |
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12-03-23 | Minnesota v. Ohio State OVER 140.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #847: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 140.5 in Ohio State Buckeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 6:30 ET - This total has come down some from its opener and I am grabbing the value on the other side of the line move. The Buckeyes are 6-1 this season and the Golden Gophers are 5-2 this season and neither team has been involved in any OT games. Now look at their point totals and note that they each have averaged in the 145 point range. Now consider that Minny has won 2 of 3 and scored at least 86 points in each win and the Buckeyes last 3 wins in their 5 game winning streak have seen them total at least 86 points in each game. Granted this is a Big Ten opener for each team and defensive intensity might pick up some but both teams are playing well in the offensive end and playing with a lot of confidence. The point is that we have some healthy wiggle room with this total when you consider that each team is averaging 80 ppg this season. Don't be surprised if each team gets into the 70s here. 10* OVER 140.5 in Ohio State |
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12-02-23 | Nuggets v. Kings -4.5 | Top | 117-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Sacramento -4.5 vs Denver Nuggets @ 10:10 ET - Tough spot for Nuggets off the big win over Phoenix last night. B2B spot for Denver and, this is the 3rd time they have entered a game on a 4-game winning streak. Both times thus far they lost the 5th game each time. This is a solid Kings team they face here and Sacramento is angry off a loss. The Kings just lost to the Clippers but Sacramento was off a big win over the Warriors. Remember that Golden State had won each of the first two meetings this season plus knocked Sacramento out of the playoffs last season. Not only that, the Kings had to rally and practically won that game in miracle fashion. So it was a definite flat spot. They bounce back here and take advantage of catching the defending champs in a tough scheduling spot. 10* SACRAMENTO -4.5 |
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12-02-23 | St. Joe's v. Temple OVER 147.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #715: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Temple Owls vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 7:30 ET - The type of games each of these teams if off of entering this Big 5 match-up make it the perfect spot for an over. The Owls off a triple-OT win over fellow Philly foe LaSalle. St Joe's off the huge upset win over Villanova in their Big 5 match-up. That sets this one up well for plenty of points. Keep in mind it was not the triple-OT that forced Temple's game over. It did have a good pace in regulation. As for St Joe's, they have been scoring well and that is even with recent games against Villanova and Kentucky. This one projects to get into the 150s the way these teams have been going and of course both of them comfortable playing here in Philly. Look of another exciting high-scoring battle between two teams not afraid to play at a brisk pace. 10* OVER 147.5 in Temple |
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12-01-23 | St. Mary's v. Boise State OVER 129.5 | Top | 60-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boise State Broncos vs St Mary's Gaels @ 10:30 ET - This total in the 129.5 range. The Broncos and Gaels average around 70 points per game this season but I can see why this total is lower than that. The fact is that each have been involved in some low-scoring grinders this season but I like the value here on this lower total in this game played in Idaho Falls. The fact is that St Mary's has faced some tough defensive-minded competition. The Broncos are just not on the same level as those teams St Mary's struggled to score against and I expect things to open up here. Boise State definitely has the edge here in terms of this game being played in their home state and they were scoring an average of 72 points per game their first 5 games prior to a low-scoring loss to Butler. Look for them to bounce back in the offensive end after scoring just 56 against the Bulldogs. The Gaels are also off a loss and will bounce back and they have their confidence back in the offensive end after averaging 80 points last two games! More of the same here! 10* OVER the total in Boise State |
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12-01-23 | 76ers +7 v. Celtics | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - This line is as high as 7 as of about 7 hours before tipoff. Embiid missed the morning shootaround so now speculation is rampant that he will miss tonight's game. Don't be surprised when Embiid plays tonight. I just do not see him missing this contest as the Sixers seek revenge here. They probably wanted to let him rest as much as possible this morning rather than force him for the shootaround. Either way this is a lot of points in a rivalry game and I like Philly here. Before the loss to the Pelicans, in which it was a surprise that Embiid did not play, the Sixers were 5-2 SU on the road this season and one of those losses was by just 1 point. We have great line value here with this line possibly now even going higher. You are going to see a huge effort here in this revenge spot from the Sixers no matter who is on the floor. 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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11-30-23 | Clippers v. Warriors -5 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors -5 vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 10:10 ET - Last night the Clippers caught the Kings off a dramatic huge-deficit come from behind victory the night before. LA took advantage and got the win at Sacramento but the situation was a good one for the Clips and a horrible one for the Kings plus LA hit 14 of 28 three-points in the game! They will not do that again tonight. Now it is the Clippers that are in a B2B situation and they are facing the very team (Warriors) that had blown a massive lead in a gut-wrenching loss at Sacramento! That said, Golden State is rested and ready and angry and this is a very reasonable line to lay here. I would not be surprised to see Leonard and Harden be less effective in the 2nd game of a B2B plus Powell got hurt last night and will not play here. Yes I am aware of the Chris Paul injury for the Warriors but the rest of the team in good shape entering this one and now Draymond Green is back from his suspension too. The Warriors are ready to go tonight and I am expecting them to have one of their best games of the season thus far in this one. They led by as many as 24 points in that loss at Sacramento and did lead by 17 at the half. GSW can not wait to get back on the floor. 10* GOLDEN STATE -5 |
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11-30-23 | Illinois State v. Illinois-Chicago -5.5 | Top | 69-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #752: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames (-) vs Illinois State Redbirds @ 8 ET - As I mentioned in Sunday's write-up on UIC - an underdog cover as they lost by just one point - the Flames have been developing well in recent years. They are well-coached and now the coach has been able to assemble the type of roster he wants here. It has been a process for sure but this Flames team looks stronger this season than they have been in a long time. Now Illinois-Chicago is 5-2 on the season and with Illinois State, this is not the right kind of team roster to take advantage of the Flames guard-heavy style. This is an MVC opener for these teams and the Flames will fare well in this match-up. I like laying a very reasonable number of points in this one with a team that is undefeated at home and hosting a team that has lost 3 in a row in games played away from home. Note that UIC is hitting 48% from the field this season and the Redbirds are hitting just 39% from the field. Also, the Flames are averaging much higher blocked shots numbers. This is no surprise as, in this match-up too, UIC has some height and length edges in guard play as well. Illinois-Chicago lost the most recent meeting between these teams in a game played at Illinois State and that was in OT last season. This will be payback at home and they bounce back from a 1-point loss. Keep in mind the Flames only other loss this season was to Cincinnati! Lay it! Illinois-Chicago (+) |
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11-29-23 | 76ers v. Pelicans | Top | 114-124 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Pick'em @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - As of very early game day morning this line is showing some movement toward the Pelicans and the Sixers have gone from being a small favorite to right around a pick'em. The 76ers might even end up being the dog here but we are getting in on this now at the pick'em price. Yes, the 76ers have a revenge game on deck at Boston and are 1-1 this season when they have the Celtics on deck. However, the win was by 18 points while the loss was a game in which they were in the 2nd leg of a B2B with a Pacers team they had just beaten. This is a different situation. Philly going on the road off a blowout win over the Lakers and they know they do not want to make the same mistake they made against the Pacers. In other words, the fact this is a road game might even help the Sixers in the focus department and they know they can not overlook these Pelicans. New Orleans is at home and that is why this game is priced this way but they have lost B2B games and another reason for the pricing is that CJ McCollum could be back tonight. But if you are the Pelicans, wouldn't you rather wait and bring him back Friday against a bad Spurs team? Also, if he does play here, he would likely not be 100% plus he would be on a minutes restriction. The Sixers are 5-1 last 6 road games and a PERFECT 5-0 L5 road games when Embiid plays. He is playing tonight and the lone road game he missed was a loss he sat out of due to a b2b situation and playing with a sore hip. So this is a non-B2B and it is a road games streak I expect Philly to take to a PERFECT 6-0 RUN! 10* PHILADELPHIA pick'em |
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11-29-23 | La Salle v. Temple OVER 142.5 | Top | 99-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #657 CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Temple Owls vs La Salle Explorers @ 7 ET - This is part of the Philly Big 5 tourney and I love the fact that this total has gone from the upper 140s to the low 140s. The current number is in the 143 range as of early game day morning. The Explorers and Owls both play at a decent pace. Both shoot a lot of threes. Both are comfortable, of course, playing here in Philly. La Salle is the road team here but it is no big deal as Fran Dunphy just got his 600th career win and the Explorers coach was the head coach here at Temple for many years too. I like the fact that LaSalle has seen 4 different leading scorers in its last 5 games. It shows you they do not have to rely on just one guy. The Explorers have averaged 75 ppg in the 5 wins in their 5-1 start to the season and they even scored 66 in their loss to DUKE! La Salle should score very well here but I am on crazy about their defensive capabilities. Though the Owls rely more heavily on their top scorer Hysier Miller. They have other solid scoring options too and will make their way through this defense without a problem, especially with confidence in their own arena! The Owls have been held below 73 points just once this season and are allowing 70 ppg but averaging 75. This one should get into the 150s given all of the above and so I do feel we have solid line value in a game that should be back and forth and reach at least the 150 mark. These guys push hard in this Philly Big 5 games and I expect exciting game here! 10* OVER the total in Temple |
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11-28-23 | NC State +2 v. Ole Miss | Top | 52-72 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #629 CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play NC State Wolfpack (+) @ Ole Miss Rebels @ 9 ET - The Wolfpack are a 2 or 2.5 dog in this one as of about 11 hours before tipoff. This line actually opened with NC State as a small favorite in some spots. I love fading line moves like this. First off, Ole Miss is undefeated. Secondly, the Rebels are at home. Thirdly, the line is moving toward the undefeated home team on their home floor. I will grab the dog often in spots like this and particularly when are 1-loss team is coming off that very first loss of the season. The Wolfpack are a solid team loaded with upperclassmen. This is part of the ACC/SEC annual battle and I like the fact the Rebels last 3 wins have all come by slim margins - an average margin of victory of just 1.7 points - and now they face the toughest test yet! This will be the toughest team they have faced and the Wolfpack not in a good mood coming off that loss. Give me the motivated ACC dog that won nearly TWICE as many games as Ole Miss last season! 10* NC State (+) |
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11-28-23 | Raptors +1.5 v. Nets | Top | 103-115 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Toronto Raptors (+) @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7:40 ET - First off this line looks funny with Brooklyn only a 1.5 point favorite as of about 10 hours before tipoff. Why are the Nets such a small home favorite here? Glad you asked! The fact is Brooklyn is dealing with some injury concerns entering this one and that will impact both their effectiveness and team depth in this one. Also, they are off B2B wins here and not going to be as hungry as a Toronto team that is off a loss and has gone 5-0 the last 5 times this season in which they are off a defeat in which they scored 107 points or less. Look for this hungry Raptors to make it 6 in a row in this situation. Do not let the line fool you here! 10* TORONTO +1.5 |
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11-27-23 | Utah v. St. Mary's OVER 133.5 | Top | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
Rotation #867: CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 133.5 in St Mary's Gaels vs Utah Utes @ 11 PM ET - The Gaels are off an 89-55 win and will carry momentum after scoring big on their home floor. The Utes continue to score big early this season but have not been great on the defensive end so I am expecting plenty of scoring here. Utah is off a game in which they scored 82 points but lost as they gave up 91 to St John's. However, they also faced a tough Houston team, known for defense, and they managed to score 66 points in that loss. They are averaging 82 points per game this season but have allowed 71 per game. All their games have totaled at least 135 points and the Gaels have scored well in 2 of their 3 home games and enter this one with confidence after a hot shooting effort. That carries over into this one plus the Utes continue their high-scoring style. 10* OVER 133.5 in St Mary's |
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11-27-23 | Lakers v. 76ers -5.5 | Top | 94-138 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 7:10 ET - This line is around a 5.5 or 6 and that is saying the Sixers might only be about a bucket better than the Lakers on a neutral floor. I am just not buying that argument. The Lakers have won 3 straight road games but they lost 5 straight road games prior to that. Also, the Sixers have surprisingly lost each of their last 3 home games so you know they have this one circled on their calendar. This is particularly true because Philly has a couple road games on deck. Also, their most recent win was only by 4 points but this followed the first 9 of 10 Philly wins coming by a margin of at least 7 points and I feel certain this one will too! Lakers have some banged up players and I expect Davis and James to play but neither is likely to be 100% here. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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11-26-23 | Bulls +4.5 v. Nets | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls (+) @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7:40 ET - The Bulls are hungry for a win. They have revenge here against the Nets from a loss earlier this season too. Also, Chicago is catching Brooklyn in the 2nd night of a B2B and off a revenge win over the own. The Nets had revenge against Miami and they got it. Don't be surprised if, based on scheduling dynamics and situational advantage, the Bulls are the more aggressive and fresh team here. I know Caruso and LaVine are each listed as questionable for this one but I expect them to play. Either way, I like the underdog Bulls here in this one and will grab the points, currently around a 4 or 4.5 as of mid-day Sunday. 10* CHICAGO (+)Â |
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11-26-23 | Illinois-Chicago +3.5 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #751: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames (+) vs UNC Greensboro Spartans @ 7 ET -As I mentioned in yesterday's write-up on UIC, the Flames were off a blowout win Friday so they were able to rest guys and only 2 guys exceeded 27 minutes and neither one of those topped the 31 minute mark. UIC is well-coached and now the coach has been able to assemble the type of roster he wants here. It has been process for sure but this Flames team looks stronger this season than they have been in a long time. Now Illinois-Chicago is 5-1 on the season and that was a solid George Washington team they beat yesterday. Now they face UNC Greensboro. The Spartans are 4-1 on the season and have looked strong but they have hit a very high percentage of 3's recently and now face tough tourney situation in that it is a B2B2B and the hot shooting fades. Couple that with the fact they've been giving up too many offensive boards and this is not the right kind of team to take advantage of the Flames guard-heavy style. The Flames will fare well in this match-up and I like having the sizable points in this one. Also UIC has some height and length edges in guard play as well. Grab the points! Illinois-Chicago (+) |
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11-25-23 | Illinois-Chicago -118 v. George Washington | Top | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #655: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames Pick -115 vs George Washington Revolutionaries @ 7 ET - GW is off a double-OT game and that will be tough on them here in this tourney being played in the Bahamas. Also, while they had 4 guys top the 40 minute mark and 1 total 34 minutes, the Flames are off a blowout win so they were able to rest guys and only 2 guys exceeded 27 minutes and neither one of those topped the 31 minute mark. UIC is well-coached and now the coach has been able to assemble the type of roster he wants here. It has been process for sure but this Flames team looks stronger this season than they have been in a long time. There is a reason the 4-1 team is a small favorite over the 5-0 undefeated George Washington team. Don't let the line fool you. Lay it! Illinois-Chicago -115 |
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11-25-23 | 76ers -115 v. Thunder | Top | 127-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -115 @ Oklahoma City Thunder @ 5:10 ET - The Sixers off B2B losses including a bad one at Minnesota in which Embiid missed because it was a back to back and he needed to rest his hip. However, he is expected back here and we get nice value because the Sixers are on the road and facing a tough team. I do respect this Thunder team and they are playing solid basketball. However, the Sixers rarely get on losing streaks and I expect them to put a stop to this one here. Last season and into this season they have been very strong when entering a game off B2B losses or 3 losses in a row (rare) and they have not lost 4 straight last season or this season. I like the Sixers team chemistry this season and they will respond here tonight. The road team won both meetings between these teams last season and that included the Thunder winning the most recent game which was at Philly. So the Sixers can also get some payback in this one tonight. The Thunder are tied with Minnesota at the top of the NW Division and they have the Wolves on deck so this is also a lookahead spot for OKC. The Thunder are 6-1 on the road this season but 5-3 at home. Sixers bounce back here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -115 |
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11-24-23 | Pistons +7.5 v. Pacers | Top | 113-136 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons (+) @ Indiana Pacers @ 8:10 ET - As of about 8 hours before tipoff this line is in the 7.5 range and the Pacers are hurting with some injuries including top scorer Haliburton. Even if he plays, he is dealing with right wrist pain. That will not help in the scoring department. That said, the Pacers have to score a ton to win games because this team just not play defense. There is a reason this line is coming down even though we are talking about a Detroit team (2-13) that has the worst record in the league. Pacers allowing 126.4 ppg and this is the worst mark in the league. If you look at Indiana's last 6 games, none were Pacers wins by more than 6 points and they have gone just 3-3 in those games. There is a reason some action is coming in on a team that has lost 12 straight games, 5 of the last 7 defeats have been by a single digit margin. Look for another very tight game here as the Pistons are very hungry for a win and will take advantage of shoddy defensive play of the Pacers. 10* DETROIT (+) |
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11-24-23 | Seton Hall +1.5 v. Iowa | Top | 72-85 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall (+) vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 6 ET - Iowa might rate as a slightly better overall team and Seton Hall is only +1 or +1.5 as of about 5 hours before tipoff. However, the better defense belongs to the Pirates. Iowa certainly has some key seniors too but the overall rotation for Seton Hall is loaded with seniors. They are coming off their first loss off the season. Conversely the Hawkeyes have lost 2 of 3 games now. They are a very good team and score well but they are not good on the defensive end. That said, the defensive edges for the Pirates and the fact this is a veteran-laden team early in the season coming off their first loss has me siding with the small dog here. 10* SETON HALL (+) |
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