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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-21-24 | Oakland v. Kentucky UNDER 162.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats and Oakland Golden Grizzlies to go Under the total. The Grizzlies defeated Wisconsin-Milwaukee, 83-76, in the Horizon League title game to reach the NCAA Tournament. But off that high-scoring win, we'll look for a lower-scoring game this evening. Indeed, Oakland is 39-16 Under away from home following a game where it scored > 75 points, if the o/u line was 146+ points. Additionally, the Wildcats also come into this game off a high-scoring affair, as they lost, 97-87, to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament. And NCAA post-season games have gone under 61.9% if the line was 150+ points, and each team scored > 80 in its previous game. Take Kentucky/Oakland Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Morehead State v. Illinois UNDER 148 | Top | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Illinois/Morehead State game. The Illini have played their last 7 non-conference tournament games UNDER the total, while the Eagles have gone 6-3 UNDER their last nine post-season games. We'll look for a low-scoring game here, as the UNDER falls into a 19-2 Totals system of mine. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-24 | UNLV v. Princeton UNDER 139.5 | Top | 84-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Princeton/UNLV game. The Tigers come into this game off back to back high-scoring affairs. They defeated Penn, 105-83, at the end of the regular season, and then fell to Brown, 90-81, in the Ivy League Tournament. We'll look for a lower scoring game tonight, as teams have gone under 58.9% in non-conference post-season tourneys following back to back games where they scored 75+ points, that also went over the total. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-24 | North Alabama v. Austin Peay UNDER 148.5 | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Austin Peay/North Alabama game. The Governors won their Tourney opener with a 101-98 victory against North Florida. Off that high-scoring win, we'll take the Under tonight. Indeed, teams off high-scoring wins in games that went Over the total, and totaled 195 (or more) points, have gone UNDER in their next game 67% of the time. Take Austin Peay and North Alabama UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-06-24 | Rutgers v. Maryland OVER 128 | Top | 56-53 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the game between Maryland + Rutgers. Each of the 5 meetings between these Big 10 Conference rivals has gone under the total over the previous 3 seasons. But the O/U lines for those games were all higher than the number for today's game. Both the Scarlet Knights and Terrapins come into this game off a string of Unders. Rutgers has gone under in 3 straight, while Maryland has gone under in 4 straight. But the Scarlet Knights have gone OVER 9-3-1 after going under in 3 straight, while Maryland has gone OVER 8-3 after going under in 4 straight. I like this game to sail OVER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-03-24 | Denver v. Oral Roberts UNDER 161.5 | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Denver Pioneers and Oral Roberts Golden Eagles Under the total. Denver has gone Over in 11 of its last 12, including an 89-86 loss at ORU on New Year's Eve. I'll look for this game to be MUCH LOWER scoring, and take it Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-03-24 | Columbia v. Dartmouth OVER 137.5 | Top | 72-56 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Dartmouth Big Green and Columbia Lions Over the total. Dartmouth has played 14 of its last 15 games under the total, including a 56-53 loss to Cornell last night (which went under the total of 151.5 by 42.5 points). That's led to this line being too low, and I believe the value is on the side of the OVER tonight. Take the Over. |
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02-03-24 | Western Illinois v. SE Missouri State OVER 131.5 | Top | 76-55 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
At 4:45 pm, our selection is on the SE Missouri St. RedHawks and W. Illinois Leathernecks Over the total. The RedHawks have played their last 7 games under the total, including a 68-61 defeat at Western Illinois earlier this season. These facts have led to what my numbers indicate is a depressed over/under line, and I think it's too low. We'll take the Over. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills OVER 46 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 134 h 11 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills OVER the total. Last week, the Chiefs held the high-octane Miami Dolphins' offense -- which was averaging 29 ppg -- to just 7 points. And that game went under the total of 43.5. But NFL teams that hold a Playoff opponent to 20+ points less than their scoring average (and went Under the total in that win), have proceeded to go 12-0 OVER the total in their next game. Moreover, after its 31-17 win against the Steelers, Buffalo's home playoff games have now gone 11-1 Over when the line was 48 or less points. Take the Chiefs and Bills Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions OVER 48 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 131 h 40 m | Show |
At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Detroit Lions and Tampa Bay Bucs to go OVER the total. This game will be played at Ford Field, which is an enclosed stadium. And enclosed stadia tend to be higher scoring as they're not exposed to the (sometimes) inclement weather, and have gone Over the total 59.5 percent since 1980. That's one reason I favor a high-scoring game. Another is that Detroit has gone 18-2 Over at home if it wasn't off a game which went Over the total (including 12-0 Over if the O/U line was 47+ points). Take the Lions and Bucs Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs OVER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers to go OVER the total. Last week, the Tampa Bay Bucs won, 9-0, at Carolina. Off that extremely low scoring game, we'll look for a bounce higher tonight. Indeed, NFL games have gone OVER the total 62-40-3 when the line was < 46 points, if a team's prior game totaled less than 14 points (including 4-1 Over in the Playoffs). Likewise, Tampa has gone Over the total 16 of 21 at home following a low-scoring game which totaled 28 points or less. Finally, the Eagles are 31-11 Over the total when the line was 44 < points, if the Eagles scored less than 24 points in their previous game. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-15-24 | Steelers v. Bills OVER 36.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 50 h 45 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers to go Over the total. The weather forecast for Buffalo, NY on Sunday is calling for winds in the 15 to 25 mph range. This has caused the O/U line to be adjusted downward. I think the move has been too severe, and that there's value on the over. Buffalo's home playoff games have also tended to be relatively high scoring, as the Over has cashed 10 straight when the O/U line was 44 points or less. Likewise, the Steelers are 15-1 Over their last 16 Playoff games (and 24-6 Over their last 30) when the O/U line was 44 points or less. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-07-24 | Bills v. Dolphins UNDER 50 | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 106 h 40 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Buffalo/Miami game. Buffalo has been installed as a road favorite. And it's 8-0 Under its last eight as a road favorite of less than 6 points, while Miami is 42-21 Under at home when playing with revenge. Take the Under. |
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01-07-24 | Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 35 | Top | 13-12 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 1 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers to go Over the total. The Chiefs are not incentivized to win, so they will turn to QB Blaine Gabbert to line up under center for this game, while Patrick Mahomes will be on the sidelines. The line has been adjusted, of course, to compensate for the players who won't be available, but I think there's significant value now on the Over, as it falls into a 24-4 Totals system of mine. Additionally, the Chargers have gone Over the total 14 of the last 17 years in their final game, while KC has gone 6-2 Over in their final road game. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-07-24 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 42 | Top | 17-48 | Win | 100 | 98 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Atlanta/New Orleans game. The Over falls into a 67-36 Totals system of mine, and I look for a relatively high scoring game on Sunday afternoon. Take the Over. |
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01-07-24 | Bucs v. Panthers OVER 37.5 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Carolina/Tampa Bay game. The Panthers and Buccaneers both played poorly on offense last week. Carolina was shutout, 26-0, by Jacksonville, while Tampa mustered just 13 points in a 10-point home loss to New Orleans. I expect a higher scoring game this week, as NFL games tend to go over the total more often than not when both teams scored less than 14 points in their previous game. And the Over also falls into a 109-58 Totals system of mine. Take Carolina/Tampa Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts UNDER 47.5 | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 62 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans Under the total. These two teams met earlier this season. The Over/Under for that game was just 40 points. And it went over the total, as the two teams combined to score 51. This O/U line is significantly higher than the first meeting. I think it's too high. The Indianapolis Colts have not played a game with an Over/Under line this high in any of their last 30 games. And the Texans have only played two games this season with an over/under line north of 47 points. Both of those were 48, and Houston went under the total in each game. The Texans are 10-6 Under this season, and are 46-35 Under when the line was greater than 47 points. And the Colts are 86-59 under at home vs. division rivals, including 26-15 Under if the season's first meeting went Over the total. Take the Under. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington UNDER 63.5 | Top | 31-37 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Washington/Texas game. This game falls into my two best College Football Totals systems, which are 124-54 and 84-30. Additionally, the Longhorns are surrendering just 17.54 ppg, and rank #11 in the country in defense. This is the highest total they've had this season (and, in my estimation, too high). Texas is 44-22 Under when the O/U line was greater than 58 points, while Washington is 26-18-3 Under with a line of 58+ points. And, in the post-season, teams with defenses that give up less than 19 ppg are on a 60.5% under run when the O/U line was 53+ points. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-31-23 | 49ers v. Commanders UNDER 49 | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 100 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Washington/San Francisco game. The Washington Commanders have been installed as a 2-touchdown home underdog. And they’ve gone under 67% as home dogs of more than 1 point when the O/U line was greater than 45. That bodes well for the Under in this game. As does the fact that home dogs of +7 or more points have gone 66-35 Under in the 2nd half of the season when the line was 47 or more points. Take the Under.
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys UNDER 53.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 84 h 35 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in the Detroit/Dallas game. The Lions come into this game off back to back Overs, as they blew out Denver, 42-17, and won at Minnesota, 30-24. But off those two high-scoring games, we'll take the Under on Saturday night, as Detroit has gone 62-42 Under off back to back Overs, including 8-0 UNDER when the O/U line was 52+ points. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-23 | Arizona v. Oklahoma UNDER 60 | Top | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Alamo Bowl game to go Under the total. This game will pit the Oklahoma Sooners vs. the Arizona Wildcats. Each of these teams ended the season with high-scoring victories. The Sooners put up 69 points in a 24-point win over TCU, while Arizona tallied 59 in a 36-point blowout of rival, Arizona St. Dating back to 2013, match-ups between teams that scored 54+ points in their previous game have gone under 61% of the time. Additionally, Arizona is 19-7 Under when the line has been 56+ points. And the Under falls into a 139-62 Totals system of mine. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-23 | Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 40 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
At 1 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders Over the total. We played on each of these teams to go over the total last week, and cashed both, as the Raiders put up 63 points in a 63-21 win over the Chargers, while the Chiefs tallied 27 in a 27-17 victory over New England. We'll come right back with the Over in this divisional matchup on Christmas Day as it falls into 67-35 and 109-57 Totals systems of mine. Additionally, six of the last seven meetings between these two rivals have gone OVER the total. And those seven games have averaged 57.28 points. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-24-23 | Commanders v. Jets UNDER 37.5 | Top | 28-30 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets and Washington Commanders Under the total. Both of these teams come into this game with sub-.400 records. The Jets are 5-9, while the Commanders are 4-10. Late in the season, when two awful teams match-up, the games tend to be low-scoring, and have gone under the total 57.7% since 1980. Additionally, the Jets were shutout, 30-0, at Miami last weekend. And NFL teams off shutout losses have gone 42-27 under their last 69. Take the under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams OVER 45.5 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New Orleans/Los Angeles game. This game is a technical play, as it falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 65% over the last 44 seasons, as well as a 59% system. Additionally, the Saints have held their last two opponents to 6 points each. And NFL teams that have given up less than 13 points in their two previous games have gone 148-121-7 OVER. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks UNDER 48 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 121 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks Under the total. The Eagles' defense has not played well the last three weeks, as it's given up 34, 42 and 33 points. Off those three dismal performance, we'll take the Eagles and Seahawks to go under the total, as NFL teams that gave up more than 30 points in each of their 3 previous games have gone Under the total 59.5% since 1980. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams UNDER 50.5 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 96 h 11 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders and Los Angeles Rams Under the total. The Commanders had last week off to rest, and regroup after 4 straight losses where they gave up more than 28 points. They lost 29-26 at Seattle. Then the New York Giants upset them, 31-19. On Thanksgiving, Dallas blew them out, 45-10, while Miami put up 45 in a 30-point win two weeks ago.  All four of those games went Over the total. I like the Under in this game, as teams off 3 straight Overs where they gave up more than 30 points in each of those three games, have then gone under the total 60% since 1980. Meanwhile, the Rams had a high-scoring game at Baltimore last Sunday. But Los Angeles is 14-3-1 Under following a game that went Over the total, including 11-0 Under if the O/U line was greater than 42 points. Take the Under. |
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12-17-23 | Falcons v. Panthers OVER 34.5 | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -112 | 100 h 37 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Carolina/Atlanta game. The first meeting between these NFC South division rivals was low-scoring, with just 34 point scored (Atlanta won, 24-10). Since 1980, subsequent meetings between division rivals have gone Over the total 55% if the prior meeting totaled less than 36 points. Take the Falcons and Panthers Over the total. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Chiefs v. Patriots OVER 37 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 6 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New England/Kansas City game. After scoring just 13 points over its three previous games, the New England offense broke out (for it, anyway) in a big way last Thursday. It scored 21 first-half points, and coasted to a 21-18 victory in a game which went "over' by halftime. We played on the Over in that Patriots/Steelers game, and will come right back with the Over in this Patriots/Chiefs game, as the number is still too low, by my math. The Chiefs are also 24-10 Over their last 34 as road favorites of more than 6 points. Take the Over. |
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12-17-23 | Giants v. Saints OVER 38 | Top | 6-24 | Loss | -109 | 93 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New York Giants/New Orleans Saints game. The Giants had their 2nd best offensive performance of the season, in terms of yards gained, this past Monday. New York rolled up 367 yards of offense, and tallied 24 points in an upset win of Green Bay. That game easily went over the posted total of 37.5, and that was the 3rd time in its last four games that New York went Over the total (after playing 7 unders in a row prior to that). New Orleans has had a similar arc. After starting the season with 6 straight unders, it has now played Overs in four of its last seven. We'll ride the current momentum, and look for another high-scoring game here. Take the Giants and Saints Over the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-14-23 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 34 | Top | 21-63 | Win | 100 | 35 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders/Los Angeles Chargers game.  The Chargers lost quarterback Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, so Easton Stick will get the start on Thursday night. Prior to last week's games, the Over/Under line on this game was projected to be 42.5, but the number has been significantly adjusted after the results of the Chargers' 24-7 loss to Denver, and the Raiders' 3-0 loss to the Vikings. I think the adjustment has been too severe. We will take the Over, as NFL games have gone Over the total 59% of the time, if each team's previous game went under, and each scored less than 10 points in its prior game. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 52 | Top | 13-33 | Win | 100 | 86 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas/Philadelphia game. The Eagles were destroyed by the San Francisco 49ers last week, 42-19. We'll take the Philadelphia/Dallas game under the total, as the Eagles have gone 64-27 Under following a game which totaled 58 or more points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Broncos v. Chargers OVER 44 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -108 | 82 h 12 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Denver/Los Angeles game. The Chargers went into Foxborough last Sunday and shut out the New England Patriots, 6-0. That was the 3rd straight Under played by the Chargers, and those three games totaled 79 points combined. I like the Over in this game, as teams off 3 straight unders, in 3 games that combined for 79 or less points, have proceeded to go over the total 65.2% of the time. Take the Broncos and Chargers Over the total. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 79 h 44 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions Under the total. These two teams played a couple of weeks ago, and the Lions won, 31-26. That game was played at Detroit's Ford Field, which is a covered stadium, so the teams were not impacted by weather. This Sunday, the weather outlook calls for 10 to 15 mile per hour winds, and 35 degree weather, which will contribute to a much lower-scoring game than the first meeting. The Bears have gone 28-12 Under at home in the final 5 games of the season (when Chicago weather is at its worst), when the O/U line ranged from 39 to 48. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 30 | Top | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots Over the total. The Over/Under in this game has been installed around 30 points, which is the lowest over/under number this season. Historically, NFL games with over/under lines less than 31 have gone Over the total, as they've gone Over 82 percent since 1982. Usually, when the Over/Under lines get down this low, it's due to weather. Here, it's because of the Patriots' horrible offense. New England has scored just 13 points over its three previous games. But teams that have scored a combined 25 or less points over their previous 3 games, all of which have gone Under the total, have then proceeded to go over the total 76 of 128 games, or 59.3%. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints UNDER 47.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New Orleans/Detroit game. The Lions were upset last week at home as a 9-point favorite vs. Green Bay. We'll take the Under in their game at New Orleans, as road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off an upset loss as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, have gone 9-1 under their last 10 (and 52-29-1 under their last 82). Take the Saints/Lions Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-23 | Chargers v. Patriots OVER 39 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Chargers to go OVER the total. The Chargers come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and will need to reel off six straight wins, if they're to have any hope of making the playoffs. Los Angeles is 39-17 Over the total on the road off back to back losses, and I look for a relatively high scoring game today. Take the Over. |
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11-26-23 | Ravens v. Chargers UNDER 48 | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 97 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers Under the total. The Ravens have gone 16-7 Under their last 23 as a road favorite, while the Chargers have gone 16-7 Under as a home dog vs. AFC foes. Additionally, this season, games involving home underdogs of less than 7 (or PK) have gone 39-16 Under. I expect a relatively low scoring game. Take the Ravens + Chargers Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans UNDER 48.5 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 105 h 44 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Jacksonville/Houston game. The Jaguars were upset by Houston, 37-20, in the first meeting, and that game went over the total. I like taking regular season rematches of games with O/U lines of 47+ under the total if the favored team was upset in the first meeting, and that prior meeting went also went Over the total. The rematches then have gone Under the total 61.1 percent since 1980. Take the Under. |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions UNDER 47 | Top | 29-22 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 19 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers under the total. These two teams met earlier this season in Green Bay, and Detroit won that game, 34-20. The Over/Under for that game was 45.5. This Thanksgiving Day game has a higher number, and it is the highest over/under line for the Packers this season. I look for a relatively low scoring game, as Green Bay has gone 13-5 under in games with O/U lines greater than 46 points. Additionally, the under falls into 551-449, 383-287 and 94-49 Totals system of mine. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills OVER 39 | Top | 6-32 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 11 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Buffalo/New York game. These two teams met in Week 1, on Monday Night, and the Jets escaped with a 22-16 victory in overtime. That game went under the total of 44.5. We have a much lower number here, and I like the Over, as rematches of AFC East division games that went under the total in the first meeting have gone over the total more often than not in the 2nd meeting. And the Bills are also 36-26 Over in games with O/U lines less than 42 points. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-18-23 | SMU v. Memphis UNDER 65 | Top | 38-34 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the SMU/Memphis game. Both of these teams have been scoring points in bunches over their last four games. Memphis has averaged 48.25, while SMU has averaged 50.75. And this offensive prowess has led to an inflated line based on my numbers. The last 3 meetings between these teams have similarly had very high over/under lines, and have all gone under the total (by an average of 13.5 ppg), and I expect another relatively low scoring game on Saturday. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-12-23 | Packers v. Steelers OVER 37.5 | Top | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 128 h 6 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Pittsburgh/Green Bay game. Both of these teams come into this game at Acrisure Stadium off a string of low-scoring games. Pittsburgh has played its last 6 under, while Green Bay has gone under the total in 4 straight. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here. But consider that teams off 6 or more Unders have actually gone OVER the total 106-84 since 1980. We'll take the Packers and Steelers Over the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-11-23 | USC v. Oregon UNDER 77 | Top | 27-36 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the USC/Oregon game. The Oregon Ducks tend to go UNDER in games with big O/U lines, as they're 17-6 Under in games with lines of 72 (or more) points, including 6-0 Under their last six. Take the Trojans and Ducks Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-10-23 | North Texas v. SMU UNDER 67.5 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 36 h 5 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Under in the SMU/North Texas game. Mustangs QB Preston Stone is in the concussion protocol, and may miss Friday's game. Regardless of whether he plays, we'll look for a low-scoring game, as it falls into 2 of my better totals systems, with records of 140-70 and 135-61. Additionally, the last 2 meetings between these two Dallas Metroplex rivals have gone Under the total (by an average of 19 points). Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-23 | Giants v. Raiders OVER 37 | Top | 6-30 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 47 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders game. The New York Giants are averaging a league-low 11.8 ppg, and their last 6 games have gone Under the total. But in none of those 6 games were both Saquon Barkley and Daniel Jones on the field. Barkley missed Game 3, 4 and 5, while Jones was sidelined for Games 6, 7, and 8. I expect a much better offensive performance for the Giants now that both will be in the backfield on Sunday. And the Over also falls into 43-24 and 93-69 Totals systems of mine. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers UNDER 44.5 | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 132 h 57 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Under in the Carolina/Indianapolis game. The Colts' defense has been a sieve over the past three weeks, as they gave up 37 to Jacksonville, 38 to Cleveland, and 38 last week to New Orleans. After those three high-scoring games -- all of which went Over the total -- I'll take the Under in this game vs. Carolina. Since 1980, NFL games have gone Under the total 60% of the time, if a team gave up more than 30 points in each of its last three games, and all 3 went Over the total. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Ravens v. Cardinals OVER 44.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals and Baltimore Ravens Over the total. The Cardinals have not been scoring on the road this season, but they have been scoring in bunches at home. On the road, Arizona has averaged 12.7 ppg, and three of its four road games have gone under the total. But it's been a different story in front of its home faithful, as Arizona has averaged 25.3 ppg, and all three went over the total. The Cardinals have gone over in 17 of their last 26 home games. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 45 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs to go Over the total. The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game off 3 straight unders, while the Broncos have played their last 2 under the total. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here, especially with Denver scoring just 8 points in the season's first meeting. But I'll take the Over, as the Chiefs are 25-13 Over the total following 3 or more unders. And NFL games have gone Over the total 56% the past 20 seasons if a team scored 8 or less points in the season's prior meeting. Take the Over. |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers UNDER 43.5 | Top | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans and Carolina Panthers Under the total. First-year Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans is starting to mold the Texans in his image. The Texans have given up just 13.3 ppg their last three games, and all three went under the total. And, dating back to his stint as defensive coordinator of the 49ers, 20 of his last 33 games have gone Under. The Under is also 3-0-1 in the last four meetings between these clubs, including a 24-9 win by Carolina two seasons ago. Take the Under. |
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10-29-23 | San Jose State v. Hawaii UNDER 59.5 | Top | 35-0 | Win | 100 | 48 h 3 m | Show |
At 12 Midnite, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbows and San Jose State Spartans Under the total. The last three meetings between these two foes have sailed UNDER the total. The three games have averaged 43.3 ppg, and have gone Under the total by an average of 17 ppg. I'll look for another low-scoring game on the Island, as nine of the last 12 Hawaii home games vs. Mountain West foes have gone Under. And the Under also falls into two totals systems of mine that are 89-59 and 48-25. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Wyoming v. Boise State UNDER 49 | Top | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 41 h 25 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Boise State/Wyoming game UNDER the total. These two teams generally play low-scoring contests, as the last four (and seven of the last eight) have gone UNDER the total. Indeed, the last four meetings have averaged 34 points, and have gone under by an average of 13 ppg. I look for another low-scoring game on Saturday evening. Take the Under. |
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10-24-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies 'over' the total. The D-Backs upset the Phillies at Citizens Bank Ballpark to force a seventh game of this NLCS tonight. The big home run hitting bats of the Phils were silenced for the most part by Merrill Kelly in a relatively easy 5-1 victory for Arizona. It's only the second time in this post-season that the Phillies have not scored at least three runs (12 games). Tonight should be a different story as Philadelphia's bats will almost certainly come alive against rookie RH Brandon Pfaadt. Notwithstanding his stellar effort in Arizona's Game 3 win, the 25-year-old from Louisville, KY was just 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 19 games (18 starts) for Arizona in the regular season. Don't be surprised to see the Phils hitters swinging early and often against Pfaadt to try to gain the advantage in this must-win game. This will be Pfaadt's first-ever start at Citizens Bank, a place that's known to be particularly unkind to rookies visiting for the first time. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros 'under' the total. The Rangers and Astros go to a winner-take-all seventh game in this Lone Star State championship series. For the Astros, it will be business as usual if they win as they've been to four World Series in the past six years but for the Rangers it will be territory that's been uncharted since 2011. It's going to be a rematch of the Game 3 starters which means RHPs Cristian Javier and Max Scherzer. Both are looking for redemption tonight -- Javier for his less-than-stellar regular season and Scherzer for his awful performance in that Game 3 when he was chased after only four innings. Expect a much better outing from the three-time Cy Young tonight as the 39-year-old has thrived throughout his career in pressure-cooker situations such as this one. Javier, on the other hand, just needs to keep doing what he has been in the post-season for his team to have a chance. In two playoff starts covering 10 2/3 innings, Javier is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA with 12 strikeouts. Take Game 7 Under the total As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-21-23 | Utah v. USC UNDER 52.5 | Top | 34-32 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the USC/Utah game. Something's gotta give tonight, as USC is scoring 47.1 ppg, while Utah is giving up just 12.1. Utah has played five of its six games Under the total this season. And I'll look for another low-scoring Utes game, as NCAA football games have gone under 60.3% in match-ups between a great defense which gave up 15.5 (or less) points and a great offense (which scored 47+ points). Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Army v. LSU UNDER 60 | Top | 0-62 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on Army and LSU to go Under the total. The Black Knights are a rush-heavy team that has gone UNDER the total 64-47-1 their last 112 games. This season, they've averaged 16.1 passing plays, and 47.8 rushing plays. So, 74.7% of their plays have been on the ground, and that chews up the clock. Army has gone 20-2 UNDER the total when installed as an underdog of +9 (or more) points (and 11-0 UNDER when getting more than 14). Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-20-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers 'over' the total. The Astros got their bats out in Game 4 on Thursday night and they plated 10 runs to even this series which plays its final game in Arlington tonight (Game 5). Game 1 in Houston featured the same two starters as tonight (RH Justin Verlander vs. LH Jordan Montgomery) and that was a 2-0 Rangers victory, but that's not the way these games normally go. In fact in seven of the last 11 meetings between these two, one or both of the clubs have scored double-digit runs. So don't expect a repeat of Game 1 as both of these teams know the importance of jumping out to an early lead and whoever wins this game will be just one victory away from the World Series. Yes, LH Jordan Montgomery has been very good in this post-season but it's unlikely he would go more than six innings tonight and the Rangers used a ton of pitchers in Game 4 so their bullpen is stretched very thin right now. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings of these two. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints OVER 39 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 39 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Jacksonville Jaguars Over the total. The Saints have played all 6 games in the 30s this season, and this Over/Under has been priced accordingly. But the Jaguars have played four of their six games at 45+ points, with three topping 50 points, including last week's 37-20 victory vs. Indianapolis. Jacksonville's gone OVER 13 of 18 games when the O/U line was 43 points or less. And I look for a relatively high scoring game on Thursday. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers 'under' the total. If there's one pitcher in these MLB Playoffs who wants to atone for a less than ideal, let-down of a regular season, it's the Astros Cristian Javier. The veteran RH had a breakout campaign in 2022, winning 11 of 25 starts with a 2.54 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Big things were expected from the 26-year-old entering 2023, but instead of building on those numbers, Javier struggled through much of the season, posting a 4.56 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 31 starts. Fortunately his teammates picked him up and Houston won its third straight AL West title (sixth of the last seven years) and now Javier looks to redeem himself in a big way. He's already shown how great he can be in his only ALDS start, tossing five shutout innings vs. the Twins, allowing just one hit while striking out nine and walking none. With 3-time Cy Young winner Max Scherzer on the other side tonight, runs could be very scarce at Globe Life Field. The under was 4-1-1 in Javier's last six regular season starts. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies 'under' the total. It didn't take long for the Phillies to show that they mean business in their second straight NLCS. Kyle Schwarber hit the first pitch he saw over the right field wall and Bryce Harper homered two batters later to set the tone in Game 1. The Phillies' hitters ambushed Zac Gallen's fastball last night and held on for a 5-3 win to take a 1-0 series lead on the D-Backs. Philadelphia's big bats will see a different type of pitcher tonight in the D-Backs Merrill Kelly. Gallen throws his fastball 50% of the time and the Phillies jumped all over it in Game 1. The 35-year-old Kelly throws a lot more off-speed pitches and that may cause problems for the free-swinging Philadelphia lineup. But the D-Backs hitters could have the same problems against Philly RH Aaron Nola, who has been stellar this post-season with a 2-0 record and 1.42 ERA. Kelly hasn't been getting love from his hitters lately as the D-Backs have plated more than three runs in just five of his last 14 starts. And the D-Backs are 19-12 Under behind Kelly this season, and 72-50 Under in his career starts.  Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-15-23 | Patriots v. Raiders OVER 41.5 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -107 | 82 h 14 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders Over the total. The Patriots were shut out, 34-0, last week by the Saints. And New England has scored just 18 points over its three previous games -- each of which went under the total. But off this string of low-scoring games, we'll look for a higher scoring game, here, as NFL games have gone Over the total 62.1% over the last 36 seasons, if a team scored 25 points or less over its three previous games, and each went under the total. Even better: the Patriots have gone Over 64% after not scoring 10 or more points in their previous game. Take the Over. |
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10-15-23 | Saints v. Texans OVER 42.5 | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Houston Texans Over the total. The Saints shut out the New England Patriots last week, 34-0. And that game went under the total. But off that shutout win, I'll look for a higher scoring game at Houston, as NFL teams off shutout wins have gone over the total 59% in games with O/U lines > 42. Additionally, the Texans are 26-12 Over at home following back to back Unders. This will be a high scoring game. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Boise State v. Colorado State UNDER 61.5 | Top | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Boise State/Colorado State game. The Broncos come into this road game off 4 straight Overs. I look for a lower-scoring game on Saturday night, as Mountain West conference teams off 4+ Overs have proceeded to go Under the total 61.1 percent of the time. Even better: the Rams have gone Under the total 12-1 at home when the game had a point spread of 6 or more points. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Missouri v. Kentucky UNDER 50.5 | Top | 38-21 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Kentucky/Missouri game. The Wildcats return home after getting shellacked, 51-13, at Georgia last week. We had a huge play on the Bulldogs, so that result was not unexpected. But I expect the Wildcats to play much better on Saturday night at home, and especially on the defensive side of the ball. Going into that Georgia game, Kentucky was allowing just 15.2 ppg. The Wildcats have gone Under in 31 of their last 45 SEC Conference games, including 13-2 Under when the O/U line was between 48 and 56 points. Take the Under. |
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10-14-23 | Auburn v. LSU UNDER 61 | Top | 18-48 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Under in the LSU/Auburn game. The LSU Tigers have scored an average of 44.8 ppg this season. And all 6 games have gone Over the total. I expect a much lower-scoring game on Saturday, as Auburn owns the best defense the Tigers will have faced yet this season. Auburn is giving up just 322.8 yards per game, 5.19 yards per play, and 18.20 ppg. Indeed, the Tigers have held their five opponents to an average of 15.33 points below their scoring average. And they've gone 58-38 Under their last 96. Finally, this Auburn/LSU series has gone 17-6 under, including each of the five meetings over the previous five years. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 55.5 | Top | 37-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Under in the Vanderbilt/Georgia game. The Bulldogs have shut out the Commodores each of the past two seasons. Not surprisingly, both of those games went Under the total. And this series has seen 10 of the last 15 meetings go Under. I expect another low-scoring game on Saturday afternoon, as Georgia is 40-31 Under vs. SEC foes, while the Commodores are 48-30 Under in SEC Conference games (and 18-4 Under their last 22 when getting 20+ points). Take the Under. |
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10-12-23 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -117 | 18 h 26 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies 'over' the total. The Braves' Spencer Strider will be starting Game 4 of the NLDS tonight with the Phillies handing the ball to Ranger Suarez. I like the Over, as both of these clubs feature plenty of free-swingers and power hitters capable of clearing the wall in any of the 30 MLB venues, but it's even more likely to happen here in Philadelphia. Indeed, only three other parks in baseball—Coors Field, Great American Ballpark, and American Family Field (Miller Park)—have been as friendly to power hitters as the bandbox known as Citizens Bank Ballpark. And we saw that yesterday when 12 runs were scored in Philly's 10-2 victory. In Strider's last six regular season starts, a total of 70 runs were scored, with less than eight plated in only one of those. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-08-23 | Jets v. Broncos UNDER 41 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -110 | 151 h 19 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and New York Jets Under the total. The Jets have been installed as a small road underdog in this game. And New York has gone under the total 9 of its last 10 games that have been competitively-priced with point spreads of 4 or less. Meanwhile, Denver is 42-22-1 Under the total its last 65 as favorites, including 8-1 Under its last 9 when favored at home by 3 or less points. Take the Under. |
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10-08-23 | Texans v. Falcons OVER 41 | Top | 19-21 | Loss | -107 | 148 h 55 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the game between Houston and Atlanta. The Falcons only scored 7 in their game in London, England last Sunday. I look for a higher-scoring game back in the States, as teams have gone Over the total 60% following an international game. Additionally, the Falcons have gone 26-6 Over the total after scoring less than 10 points, if the O/U line was between 36.5 and 44.5 points. Take the Over. |
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10-08-23 | Saints v. Patriots OVER 38.5 | Top | 34-0 | Loss | -115 | 148 h 54 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and New Orleans Saints Over the total. Both the Patriots and Saints come into this game off blowout losses. New Orleans was upset at home by Tampa Bay, 26-9, while New England was blown out by the Cowboys, 38-3. With both teams scoring less than 10 points last week, and averaging less than 16 points on the season, the knee jerk reaction might be to look for a low-scoring game here. But I'll run the other way and take the OVER, as NFL games have gone Over the total 57% of the time if both teams failed to score 10 or more points in their previous game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-07-23 | LSU v. Missouri UNDER 65 | Top | 49-39 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 8 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the LSU/Missouri game. Last week, Missouri triumphed at Vanderbilt, 38-21, while LSU was upset at Ole Miss, 55-49. Missouri has been installed as a home underdog vs. LSU in this early kickoff on Saturday. I look for a relatively low scoring game, as Missouri has gone Under the total 37-16-1 here, at home, if they weren't getting 14+ points. Moreover, Mizzou is 15-1 UNDER the total at home after failing to score 40 points while winning its previous game. And the Under also falls into totals systems of mine with records of 104-59 and 140-86. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-01-23 | Bucs v. Saints OVER 40.5 | Top | 26-9 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 0 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New Orleans/Tampa Bay game. The New Orleans Saints (along with the New York Jets) have played the lowest-scoring games in the NFL this season, as they’ve averaged just 34.33 ppg. Not surprisingly, all three have gone Under the total. But off this string of low-scoring games, I’ll look for a relatively high scoring game on Sunday, as the Over falls into Totals systems of mine that have cashed 66% and 68% since 1980. The Saints are also 46-27 Over at home off back-to-back Unders (including 17-8 Over off 3+ Unders). Take Tampa/New Orleans Over the total. |
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10-01-23 | Broncos v. Bears UNDER 46 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -105 | 88 h 60 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Denver Broncos/Chicago Bears game. Last Sunday, these two teams gave up an ungodly amount of points. Chicago allowed the Chiefs to score 41, while Denver gave up 70 to Miami. But off those two ugly defensive performances, I’ll look for a much better defensive effort given by both teams here. And NFL games with Over/Under lines of 46 or more, have gone Under the total 63% the last 38 years, if both of the teams gave up 35 or more points in their previous game. Take the Under |
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09-30-23 | Washington v. Arizona UNDER 67.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 62 h 17 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Arizona/Washington game. Washington comes into this game off 4 straight offensive performances in which it tallied more than 40 points. But I expect the sledding to be more difficult for Washington on Saturday night in Tucson, as Arizona's giving up just 16 ppg, and all four of its games have gone Under the total (by an average of 15 ppg). The Wildcats have also gone Under 11-5 as a Pac-12 home underdog, while Washington's gone Under 12-6 as a Pac-12 road favorite. This will be a relatively low scoring game. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-30-23 | Texas State v. Southern Miss UNDER 62.5 | Top | 50-36 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 18 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Texas State/Southern Miss game. Last season, the Golden Eagles defeated the Bobcats, 20-14, and the game sailed under the total. I expect another relatively low scoring game in Hattiesburg on Saturday afternoon, as Southern Miss will be looking to bounce back off its upset loss last week, where it gave up 44 to Arkansas State. The Golden Eagles are 11-2 under off an upset loss as a road favorite. And they're also 12-1-1 under the total after allowing 44+ points, including 8-0 under their last eight. Take the UNDER. |
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09-30-23 | Missouri v. Vanderbilt UNDER 56.5 | Top | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 12 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt/Missouri game UNDER the total. The Tigers have gone 51-29-1 UNDER in their last 81 conference games, including 8-1-1 UNDER their last 10. Likewise, Vanderbilt has gone UNDER 48-28 its last 76 conference games. And eight of the last nine meetings between these rivals has gone UNDER the total. Additionally, the UNDER falls into totals systems of mine that have records of 103-56, 140-87, and 65-38. Take the Commodores and Tigers Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-30-23 | USC v. Colorado UNDER 74 | Top | 48-41 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 18 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Under in the Colorado/USC game. After scoring 45, 36 and 43 points to open its 2023 season, Colorado hit a brick wall on offense last week, and scored just 6. And its touchdown came with just 2:51 left in the game. The Buffs did give up 35 first-half points, but just 7 in the 2nd half as Oregon relaxed its offense. I expect more of the same from Colorado in this game vs. USC, as USC should break out to a healthy lead, and then take its foot off the gas in the 2nd half. Take the UNDER. |
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09-23-23 | Buffalo v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 58.5 | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Buffalo/Louisiana game. The Rajin' Cajuns have tended to go over the total away from home, but under the total at home. To wit: Louisiana is 9-3 OVER their last 12 games away, but it's gone UNDER the total in 15 of 18 home games, including 7-0 UNDER when the O/U line was greater than 57 points. I look for another low-scoring game here, as the UNDER falls into a 103-55 Totals system of mine. Take the UNDER. |
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09-23-23 | New Mexico v. UMass UNDER 49.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 103 h 27 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UMass/New Mexico game UNDER the total. We played on the UNDER in Massachusetts' game vs. Eastern Michigan last Saturday and easily got the $$$ when the two teams only combined for 36 points, and went way under the total of 50. We'll look for another low-scoring game here, as the Lobos have gone UNDER 11 straight road games following a home game. And the UNDER also falls into a 140-86 Totals system of mine. Take the UNDER. |
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09-16-23 | Hawaii v. Oregon UNDER 68.5 | Top | 10-55 | Win | 100 | 40 h 45 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii/Oregon game Under the total. Both of these teams come into this Saturday night game off Unders: the Ducks outlasted the Texas Tech Red Raiders, 38-30, and the game went under by a half-point, while Hawaii defeated Albany, 31-20, and that game went under by 5.5 points. The Rainbows have historically been an Over team at home, but have gone Under more often than not on the road. We'll take the UNDER, as it falls into an 81-29 Totals system of mine |
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09-16-23 | UMass v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 50.5 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts/Eastern Michigan game UNDER the total. The Minutemen have gone Over the total in three straight games to start the season, as their first three games totaled 71, 73 and 69 points. Meanwhile, Eastern Michigan has played each of its games Under the total, including a 25-6 loss at Minnesota last week, which went Under by 16.5 points. I look for UMass to play a relatively low-scoring game vs. the Eagles on Saturday afternoon, as teams off 3+ Overs have gone 561-497 Under the total, including 139-106 UNDER if their opponent was off back to back Unders. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-16-23 | Iowa State v. Ohio OVER 42 | Top | 7-10 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 46 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the OVER in the Ohio/Iowa State game. These two teams' games have averaged 33.8 ppg this season, and all five of those games went under the total. That has led to this O/U line being depressed, and my math says the value is clearly on the Over. MAC Conference home teams have gone OVER the total 58.1% in non-conference games, and we'll look for a relatively high-scoring game on Saturday. |
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09-09-23 | Stanford v. USC UNDER 69 | Top | 10-56 | Win | 100 | 108 h 49 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the USC/Stanford game. Caleb Williams & Co. exploded for 66 points in last week's thrashing of Nevada. And that game went way over the total of 63.5. Dating back to last season, the Trojans have now gone over the total in 10 straight games, including their previous three which totaled 80, 84 and 91 points. And the last three meetings between these two Pac-12 rivals have also gone over the total. So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here, on Saturday night. But I'm going to run the other way, and play on the UNDER, as the oddsmakers have set this number too high. Additionally, the UNDER falls into totals systems of mine with records of 81-29, 44-11 and 55-20. And, finally, the Trojans are 12-5 UNDER when the O/U line is greater than 67 points. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-07-23 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 10.5 | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:20 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Atlanta Braves/St Louis Cardinals game. The Cardinals exploded for 11 runs against Spencer Strider and the Braves last night, and handed Atlanta its second straight blowout loss, as the Cards also won, 10-6, on Tuesday. Unfortunately for St Louis, it will be facing southpaw Max Fried this evening. And all Fried has done in his career vs. the Redbirds is go 4-0 with a 0.35 ERA and 0.85 WHIP, as he's given up just 1 run in 25 2/3 innings. Adam Wainwright will get the start for St Louis, and has been stellar in his career vs the Braves, with a 3.36 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Admittedly, the 42-year-old hurler is on the decline, but he had the best start of his season in his last outing when he allowed 1 run over 6 innings vs. the Padres. The Cards are 58-45 UNDER vs. lefties. And the Braves have gone UNDER 69% after allowing 10 runs in back to back games. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox 'under' the total. It seems to be all-or-nothing for the Astros right now. In their last three games, the 'Stros have scored 13, 17, and nine runs and not surprisingly they won all three of those games rather easily. But in the three games before that, Houston only managed to score a total of seven runs while losing all three of those contests. We're banking on a return to that type of offensive output tonight as the 'Stros send out RHP J.P. France while the Sox counter with RHP Brayan Bello at Fenway Park. For Bello's part, the 24-year-old has allowed just a single run in three of his last four starts lowering his season ERA to 3.56 in 22 starts covering 126 1/3 innings. France blew up in his last start, but before that, the 28-year-old had been very efficient, posting a 5-1 record with a 1.69 ERA in his six games -- five starts -- between July 20 and August 18. The under is 9-5 in Bello's last 14 starts going back to June 5. Take the 'under'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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08-25-23 | Chargers v. 49ers UNDER 38 | Top | 23-12 | Win | 100 | 42 h 41 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Chargers/San Francisco 49ers game. The 49ers have played 14 of 24 home preseason games UNDER the total. And they've also gone UNDER 6-2 in Week 3 of the preseason, while the Chargers have gone UNDER 7-2-1 in Week 3. These two teams have matched up twice in the past two years (one regular season, one preseason), and each game went under the total (by an average of 8.25 ppg). I look for another low-scoring game between these clubs, as the UNDER falls into 66.6% and 72.7% preseason totals systems of mine. |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets UNDER 208.5 | Top | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 67 h 23 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 5 between Denver and Miami. This series has generally been a low-scoring series. Game 1 went UNDER the total by 21.5 points; Game 3 went UNDER the total by 9.5 points; and Game 4 went UNDER the total by 8.5 points. The only game which went OVER the total was Game 2, and that barely went Over by just 2.5 points. I'll look for yet another low-scoring game on this Monday, as the Heat's offense has been struggling mightily since its opening three wins in the Boston series (in which it averaged 120.6 ppg). Over its last eight games, the Heat have averaged just 99.3 ppg, and seven of those eight games have sailed UNDER the total. Denver's also played seven of its last 10 UNDER. Take the Under in Game 5. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 203.5 | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 44 h 10 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 7 between Boston and Miami. We played on the Under in each of Games 5 and Game 6, and got the $$$ in both. And we'll come right back with the Under in this Game 7, on Memorial Day. As I mentioned in those previous write-ups, the Celtics have gone under 17-5 in elimination games, including the last 10 straight. And #2-seeded teams are 21-3 under in their last 24 elimination games, including 12 straight. Miami, meanwhile, will be playing its first elimination game in the Playoffs this season. And it's 16-9 under in elimination games. We'll ride with the under once again. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 211.5 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 44 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 6 between Boston and Miami. We played on the UNDER in Games 4 + 5, and will come right back with the UNDER here, in Game 6. After dropping the first three games (all of which went OVER the total), Boston has now staved off elimination twice -- keyed by its 3-point defense -- and each of those two games went under the total. So, after getting torched by the Heat in Game 3 (128 points, including 19-of-35 from 3-point territory), Boston has now held Miami's offense to under 100 in each of the past two games (99, 97), as Miami's converted just 17 of 55 from long distance the past two games. The Celtics are now 23-10 UNDER their last 33 elimination games, including 9-0 UNDER their last 9. We'll look for that streak to hit 10 straight on Saturday. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 215.5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on Game 5 between Boston and Miami to go UNDER the total. We played on the Under in Game 4, and narrowly won when the teams combined for 215 points, which was 1.5 points less than the total. We'll come right back with the UNDER in this game, as it falls into a 113-54 totals system of mine. Even better: #2-seeded teams have gone UNDER 19 of their last 22 elimination games, including 10-0 UNDER their last 10. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 216.5 | Top | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat to go UNDER the total. The Celtics gave up 128 to Miami in Game 3, and were blown out by 26 points. Off that defensive debacle, I expect a lower scoring game tonight. The UNDER has gone 55-34 in the last 89 post-season games when it involved a team which gave up 115+ points in its previous game. And Boston is 13-6 UNDER off an upset playoff defeat. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 214 | Top | 102-128 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 38 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between Boston and Miami. The 2nd game of this Eastern Conference Finals barely went over the total of 215 (by one point), as Miami won, 111-105, as a 10-point road underdog. We'll look for Sunday's game to go under the total, as Boston has gone UNDER 67% since 1991 as a road favorite off back to back losses, when the line was greater than 195 points. Moreover, it is 10-2 UNDER off an upset home playoff defeat. And it's 21-8 UNDER in the Playoffs when the O/U line is 183+ points, if Boston is off back to back defeats. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 203 | Top | 88-112 | Win | 100 | 64 h 43 m | Show |
On Sunday, at 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston Celtics/Philadelphia 76ers Game 7. These two Atlantic Division rivals played an exceptionally low scoring Game 6, won by Boston, 95-86. We played on the under in that game, and easily won, as it went UNDER the total of 210.5 by 29.5 points. Understandably, the number for this Game 7 has been set lower by the oddsmakers, but it's still too high. Philadelphia has gone 31-17 UNDER away from home vs. division rivals, while Boston has gone 19-10 Under at home vs. division rivals when the O/U line was less than 213. We'll once again take the UNDER in this rivalry playoff game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 227 | Top | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 40 h 23 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Denver/Phoenix game. The Suns were blown out, 118-102, on Tuesday. And that Game 5 went Under the total by 7.5 points. We'll look for another low-scoring game in Phoenix, on Thursday, as Playoff games with O/U lines > 226 have gone UNDER 57.2%. Moreover, the Suns have gone 12-7-1 UNDER following a 15-point (or worse) blowout defeat. And they've also gone 12-6 UNDER in the Playoffs following a straight-up loss. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 38 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston/Philadelphia game. The Celtics were a big favorite in this series vs. Philly. But unless they win the next two games, they'll be sent packing by James Harden & Co. Boston surrendered 116 & 115 in the last two games. I look for the Celts to play a much better defensive game tonight, and for this to go under the total. Indeed, Boston has gone under 7-1 following a loss in the Playoffs, if it was facing elimination. And it's 6-1 UNDER off back to back Playoff losses. Take the Under. |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 106-121 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 46 m | Show |
At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 5 between Golden State and Los Angeles. The Warriors mustered just 101 points in defeat on Monday night. That was the 2nd straight Under in this series, and we'll look for another relatively low-scoring game on Wednesday, as Golden State has now gone under 33-9 in the Playoffs following a loss in which it scored less than 110 points. And the Under also falls into 141-85 and 201-114 Totals systems of mine. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 228 | Top | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors. The Warriors blew out LA in Game 2, 127-100, and leveled the series at 1 game apiece. After giving up 127 points, we'll look for a much better defensive effort by the Lakers today, and for this game to go UNDER the total. Indeed, teams off playoff losses in which they gave up 120+ points have gone 21-8 UNDER in their next game when the O/U line was 218+ points. And the Lakers are 22-8 UNDER off a double-digit road playoff loss when the O/U line was 193+ points (and 7-0 UNDER when the O/U line was 208+ points). Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 217 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers to go UNDER the total. Boston has played its last five games over the total. But we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Wednesday, as Boston has gone UNDER 19-10 in the Playoffs off a home loss. Meanwhile, Philly is 93-53 UNDER the total when playing a foe off 5+ overs. And the Sixers have also gone UNDER in 15 of their last 21 playoff games, including 6-0 UNDER when the O/U line has been 216+ points. Take the UNDER. As always, good luck, Al McMordie. |
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04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 229.5 | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the game between Sacramento and Golden State. Game 6 went comfortably under the total, as only 217 points were scored in Sacramento's 118-99 triumph. We'll look for another low-scoring game at Golden 1 Center, as the Warriors have gone UNDER in 9 of their last 12 games when facing elimination, including 5-0 UNDER when not favored by more than 2 points. And Golden State has also gone UNDER 31-9-1 in their last 41 Playoff games after a loss in which they failed to score 110 points. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Memphis Grizzlies/Los Angeles Lakers game. Three of the last four games in this series have gone UNDER the total. And the only game which did not -- Game 4 -- only went Over because of an Overtime session (the game was tied at 104 at the end of regulation). Thus, the last four games produced 196, 212, 208, and 215 in regulation (an average of 207.75). We'll look for yet another relatively low-scoring game tonight. This Grizzlies/Lakers series has now seen 18 of the last 23 go Under the total, including 12-1 Under when the O/U line was less than 224. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | Top | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 38 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat Under the total. The Bucks have their proverbial backs against the wall in this Game 5, as they will be eliminated with a loss. We'll look for this game to go Under the total, as Milwaukee has gone UNDER in 11 straight home games when facing elimination in the Playoffs. Additionally, NBA Playoff series have gone Under 60% since 1990 if the road team won the Series' previous two games, and scored more than 116 in each of those two wins. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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