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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin v. LSU OVER 56.5 | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
Wisconsin vs. LSU 12:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Over 56.5 LSU will be without Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Jayden Daniels who opted out of this bowl game. However, they’ll have every other starter on both sides of the ball. The LSU defense has been terrible all season. However, their offense was the top scoring unit in all of College Football and even without Daniels will be able to move the ball consistently with 4* backup quarterback Garrett Nussmeir. Wisconsin has a pretty good quarterback of their own in Tanner Mordecai in addition to a powerful running game at his disposal. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State UNDER 50.5 | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Missouri vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Under 50.5 No analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-29-23 | Notre Dame v. Oregon State OVER 39.5 | 40-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Oregon State vs. Notre Dame 2:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Over 39.5 No analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-26-23 | Texas State v. Rice OVER 59 | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Texas State vs. Rice 5:30 PM ET Game# 237-238 Play On: Over 59.0 This is a Texas State team that’s #17 nationally in scoring offense at 36 points per game. The Bobcats have scored 30 points or more in 8 of 12 games but also allowed 31 points or greater on 8 occasions as well. As a matter of fact, over their final 3 regular season contests Texas State allowed 50.7 points and 438.7 yards per game. Rice has played 4-1 to the over throughout their previous 5 when the total was 55.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 62.8 points scored per game. The Owls have also allowed 30 points or more 7 times this season. The Owls also average 30 points scored per game this season. Rice began the season with J.T. Daniels, but he was forced to retire from football due to multiple concussions. We’ll most likely see redshirt freshmen A.J. Padgett under center who has thrown for 636 yards and 7 touchdowns versus 3 interceptions in limited playing time. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-23-23 | Arkansas State v. Northern Illinois OVER 54.5 | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois 12:00 PM ET Game# 223-224 Play On: Over 54.5 Northern Illinois has seen all 6 of their games played away from home go over the total. The last 4 of which averaged a combined 67.3 points scored per game. Arkansas State has amassed 422 yards or more of total offense in 7 of their last 10 games while also scoring 31 points or greater 6 times. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-25-23 | Jacksonville State v. Florida International OVER 49.5 | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State @ FIU 7:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Over 49.5 Neither defense has played well in each of their last 4 games. During their last 4 FIU is allowing 31.5 points and 455.0 yards per game. Conversely, Jacksonville State has given up 25.3 points and 439.8 yards per game throughout their previous 4. Each offense has shown improvement over each of their previous 3 contests that exceeds their season offensive numbers. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-24-23 | New Mexico State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 54 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
New Mexico State @ Louisiana Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Over 54.0 Since 2021, Louisiana Tech has played 12-2 to the over at home with a combined 66.4 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, they’ve played 3-0 to the over during their last 3 home this year and with a combined average of 70.7 points scored per game. New Mexico State has played an extremely soft schedule this year. However, the 1 qulaity team that faced was Liberty (7-0) and they allowed 33 points and 526 yards. The Aggies have a very good rushing attack that averages a tad over 200 yards per game and better than 6.0 yards per attempt. They’ll be facing a Louisina Tech defense which is allowing 199 yards rushing per game. During their last 3 contests, the Aggies are averaging 29.7 points scored per game, 445.3 yards gained per contest, and an impressive 7.0 yards per offensive play. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State UNDER 54.5 | 24-36 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 11 m | Show | |
UCLA @ Oregon State 8:00 PM ET Game# 189-190 Play On: Under 54.5 UCLA has allowed 17 points or fewer in all 5 games this season and forced an eye-popping 13 turnovers. Throughout their previous 4 games, the UCLA defense has allowed 295 yards or less on each occasion. The last 2 of which came versus nationally ranked Washington State and Utah. Oregon State has allowed 7.7 points and 234.0 yards per game in their 3 contests at home this season. Both offenses run the ball a tad more than they throw it, and each defense has been very good against the run. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech OVER 60 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech 8:00 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Over 60.0 Western Kentucky is only giving up a deceiving 29.2 points per game. I say only because they’re also surrendering 472.8 yards per game but have been bailed out by forcing a significantly high average of 2.8 turnovers per game. The Hilltoppers have been and continue to be a pass happy offense. Specifically speaking, they have passed the ball on 64.7% of their offensive plays over their first 5 contests. During their lone conference away game, they lost to Troy 27-24 but allowed a concerning 521 yards on defense but once again limited the damage by forcing 3 turnovers. Louisiana Tech is coming off a rather low scoring 24-10 road win at UTEP. However, since 2021 they’ve played 8-0 to the over at home after playing on the road in their previous contest and there was a substantial combined average of 71.7 points scored per game. Louisiana Tech is 2-1 at home this year and amassed 432 yards or total offense on each occasion. They also averaged 36.7 points scored per game during those 3 home contests. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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09-30-23 | South Carolina v. Tennessee OVER 59.5 | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
South Carolina @ Tennessee 7:30 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Over 59.5 The last 4 meetings between these schools have all gone over the total with a combined average of 71.4 points scored per game. I’m looking for a similar type of high scoring affair in this year’s matchup as well. Both teams’ offenses are balanced and very dynamic. Each defense is vulnerable. South Carolina allowed 519 yards including 487 through the air in last week’s 37-30 win over Mississippi State. The Gamecocks offense led by star quarterback Spencer Rattler is averaging 319 yards passing per game and an impressive 9.7 yards per aerial attempt. Tennessee averages 35.0 points scored and 463.8 yards per game thus far in 2023. Conversely, the Gamecocks defense allows 338 yards passing per game and an alarmingly high 8.7 yards per attempt. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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09-30-23 | Florida v. Kentucky UNDER 46 | 14-33 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
Florida @ Kentucky 12:00 ET Game# 139-140 Play On: Under 46.0 Kentucky has allowed a mere 15.0 points and 287.3 yards per game in their 3 contests versus FBS opponents this season. Kentucky’s offensive numbers can be a bit misleading considering they’ve played Ball State, Eastern Kentucky, Akron, and Vanderbilt. Kentucky has played 7-0 to the under since the start of last season when facing a team with a winning record and there was a combined average of just 36.4 points scored per game. Conversely, Florida has allowed 15.7 points and 256.0 yards per game in its 3 contests versus FBS teams. The Gators saw all 3 of those games stay under and with a combined average of 36.3 points scored per contest. Florida has seen their last 3 versus Kentucky all go under the total and with a combined 35.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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09-16-23 | Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss OVER 63 | 23-48 | Win | 100 | 47 h 13 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech @ Ole Miss 7:30 PM ET Game# 189-190 Play On: Over 63.0 This will be an extremely high scoring and entertaining game to watch. Both teams can put up huge offensive numbers against mediocre to below average defenses. Georgia Tech lost their season opener to Louisville 39-34 in a game there was a combined 964 yards of total offense and easily sailed over the total of 60.0. The Yellowjackets are coming off last Saturday’s 48-13 shellacking of South Carolina State in which they had 578 yards of total offense. Nonetheless, they also allowed their FCS opponent to rush for 198 yards which is extremely concerning when considering it will be facing a dynamic offense like Ole Miss this week. Ole Miss has amassed 798 passing yards and averaged 55.0 points scored per game in wins over Mercer and Tulane to start the season. The Rebels have a pair of high-quality quarterbacks in Jaxson Dart and former Oklahoma State starter Spencer Sanders. As Ralph Kramden would say in old Honeymooners episodes, “boom, zoom, and to the moon Alice”. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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09-16-23 | Western Kentucky v. Ohio State OVER 65 | 10-63 | Win | 100 | 44 h 44 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky @ Ohio State 4:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Over 65.0 Western Kentucky scored 41 and 52 points during its first 2 games and averaged 68 offensive plays per contest. The Hilltoppers continue to have a prolific passing game and high scoring offense just like the one we’ve been witnessing in recent seasons. Granted they’ll be stepping way up in class at Ohio State on Saturday, but we only need 2 to 3 scores from them to cash our ticket. They also allowed 529 yards rushing in those contests which included a game against Houston Baptist that plays at the FCS level. Ohio State hasn’t been overly impressive offensively in their first 2 games. Nevertheless, they’ll have a field day against a traditionally porous defense like Western Kentucky. Since 2020, Western Kentucky is allowing 34.7 points per game when facing non-conference FBS opponents and none of those teams were close to the caliber of what they’re about to face on Saturday. Furthermore, Ohio State has played 6-0 to the over since the start of last season after amassing 475 yards or more in their previous contest and there was a combined average of 75.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia OVER 63 | 7-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
TCU vs. Georgia 7:30 ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Over 63.0 (4*) TCU averages 41.1 points scored per game this season. The Horned Frogs have allowed 31 points or more in 6 of their last 12 games. That includes allowing 528 yards to Michigan during its 51-45 Semifinal win over Michigan. Conversely, Georgia has averaged 46.0 points scored and 533.0 yards of total offense in wins over LSU in the SEC Title Game and Ohio State in the Playoff Semifinal. The Bulldogs also allowed 71 points and 1016 yards in those last 2 wins. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan OVER 58 | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
TCU vs. Michigan 4:00 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Over 58.0 (5*) These offenses rank #6 and #7 nationally in scoring with both averaging a tad over 40 points per game. On the other side of the ball, despite their 12-1 record TCU is currently #74 nationally while allowing 384.6 yards per game. The Horned Frogs have allowed 31 points or more 5 times this season. TCU has also allowed their opponent to gain 396 yards or more in 7 of their 13 games. That includes giving up 476 to SMU, 501 to Baylor, and 540 to Kansas. Michigan allowed 326 yards or less in each of their fist 11 games of the season. Hence, their dominant season long defensive statistics. However, in their last 2 games versus Purdue and Ohio State they showed some vulnerabilities. They gave up 494 yards to Ohio State in their regular season finale and 426 to Purdue in the Big 10 Championship Game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-28-22 | Kansas v. Arkansas OVER 69 | 53-55 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Kansas vs. Arkansas 5:30 PM ET Game# 247-248 Play On: Over 69.0 (5*) It’s a simple equation, both defenses are suspect at best, and each offense is formidable and won’t be stopped. The starting quarterbacks Jaden Daniels of Kansas and K.J. Jefferson from Arkansas are very good dual threat College Football quarterbacks. Kansas has played 8-4 to the over this season with an average combined score of 68.0 points scored per game. That includes 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 when the total was 60.0 or greater and a combined average of 77.0 points scored per contest. The Jayhawks have allowed 42 points or more on 5 separate occasions this season and they also tallied 31 points or greater 7 times. Arkansas has played 4-1 to the over this season when there’s been a total of 60.0 or greater and 2-0 over when 66.5 or more. Kansas finished their regular season slate with a 47-27 loss to the Big 12 champs Kansas State. Since the start of last season, Kansas has played 7-0 to the over in games not played at home following a conference loss, and those contests averaged a combined 78.3 points scored per occurrence. Arkansas finished regular season action by going 1-3. Since the start of last season, the Razorbacks have played 6-0 to the over after losing 2 of its previous 3 games played. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-27-22 | Georgia Southern v. Buffalo OVER 66.5 | 21-23 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
Buffalo vs. Georgia Southern 12:00 PM ET Game# 237-238 Play On: Over 66.5 (5*) Georgia Southern has a dynamic passing attack that ranks #4 nationally while averaging 327.4 yards per game. Conversely, the Eagles are #129 in total defense allowing 497.7 yards per game. The only teams in the nation that were worse was Colorado and South Florida. Georgia Southern starting quarterback Kyle Vantrease has passed for 3901 yards and 25 touchdowns this season. Ironically enough, the 6th year senior played his previous 5 seasons at Buffalo where he never had more than 8 touchdown passings and failed to reach 1900 yards passing at any time. Buffalo has seen each of their last 4 games as an underdog go over the total with a combined average of 66.0 points scored per game. The Bulls allowed 35 points or more in 7 of 12 regular season games while playing a soft schedule. Buffalo allowed 30 points or more in 7 of 12 games. They’ve also scored 30 points or greater in 6 of its 12 regular season contests. College Football neutral site teams like Buffalo with a total of 63.5 to 70.0 that are facing a non-conference team, and both teams have between a +50 to -50 totals yards per game differential, resulted in those contests playing 28-8 (77.8%) to the over since 1992. Those contests had an average total of 66.3 and there were a combined 75.9 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-03-22 | Kansas State v. TCU OVER 61.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
Kansas State vs. TCU 12:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Over 61.5 (5*) Kansas State enters this Big 12 Conference Championship Game red-hot offensively. Throughout their previous 5 contests Kansas State averaged 40.2 points scored and 449.8 yards gained per game. Despite their 12-0 record, TCU has allowed an average of 385.6 yards per game this season. The Horned Frogs have also given up 24 points or greater in 8 of its last 10 games. Nonetheless, TCU has scored 34 points or more in 10 of its 12 games. When facing Kansas State earlier this season, TCU overcame a 28-10 deficit to win 38-28 and the game went under the total of 70.0. The sportsbooks have made a substantial adjustment to the total the 2nd time around, and as a result creates betting value on the over. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-12-22 | South Carolina v. Florida OVER 59 | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 15 m | Show | |
Florida @ South Carolina 4:00 PM ET Game# 199-200 Play On: Over 59.0 (5*) This game has the earmarks of a high scoring entertaining game. Florida has played 3-0 to the over in its previous 3 and with a combined average of 69.0 points scored per game. The Gators have also played 4-0 to the over this season if the total is 58.5 or greater when facing an FBS opponent. Those contests averaged a combined 64.3 points scored per game. The Gators defense has been awful for an extended stretch now after allowing 411 yards or more in 6 of its previous 7 games. The lone exception in that 7-game was versus Missouri and even then, they allowed 370 yards. South Carolina has played 11-1 to the over since 2020 in conference away game and there was a combined 63.1 points scored per contest. The Gamecock run defense has allowed 200 yards or more rushing in a game 4 times this season. That’s a huge concern for that unit since it will be facing a Florida team which average 210 yards rushing per game on a lofty 6.1 yards per attempt. South Carolina has seen both games versus Florida go over the total during the past 2 seasons. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-28-22 | East Carolina v. BYU OVER 63 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 26 m | Show | |
East Carolina @ BYU 8:00 PM ET Game# 111-112 Play On: Over 63.0 (5*) BYU has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 while allowing an average of 40.3 points and 562.3 yards per game. The Cougars went under the total in a loss at Liberty in their previous game. BYU has played 2-0 to the over this year following an under in its previous contest and there was a combined average of 74.0 points scored per game. BYU has scored 35 points or more in 4 of 8 games this season and shouldn’t have any issues moving the ball on a suspect East Carolina defense. The East Carolina offense has been humming while averaging 33.5 points and 481.3 yards per game. The Pirates went under the total in their previous game. However, they’ve gone 3-0 to the over this year immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 76.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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09-03-22 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State UNDER 59.5 | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 48 m | Show | |
Notre Dame @ Ohio State 7:30 PM ET Game# 171-172 Play On: Under 59.5 (5*) Both Notre Dame and Ohio State bring back 8 returning starters on defense. Ohio State will look to replace a pair of starting wide receivers that were 1st round draft choices in the 2022 NFL draft. This will be only the 5th time that Notre Dame has been a double-digit underdog since 2016 and they average a paltry 14.2 points scored per game in those outings. Furthermore, the last 4 times Notre Dame found themselves in that exact situation, they played 4-0 to the under and there was a combined average of 40.5 points scored per game. Any college football game with a total of 56.5 to 63.0 where both defenses have 8 of more returning starters, and each team is from a “Power 5 Conference”, resulted in those contests playing 26-2 (92.9%) to the under since 2018. The average total in those 28 contests was 59.5 and there was a combined 48.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-01-22 | Baylor v. Ole Miss OVER 55.5 | 21-7 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 37 m | Show | |
Baylor vs. Ole Miss 8:45 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Over 55.5 (5*) This has all the earmarks of an entertaining and high scoring game. I make that statement despite Baylor having gone under in each of their last 4 and Ole Miss going under in 7 straight leading up to this 2022 Sugar Bowl matchup. Nonetheless, it’s important to note, those last 7 Ole Miss contests had an average total of 68.9. Ole Miss has averaged 35.9 points scored and 506.7 yards gained per game this season. The Rebels play at a frantic offensive pace which has seen them average 78 plays per game. This will be the lowest total of the season for Ole Miss with their previous low 58.0 versus Texas A&M. As a matter of fact, 11 of 12 Ole Miss games had a total of 64.5 or greater. Ole Miss has a potential 2022 #1 NFL draft choice in quarterback Matt Corral. All Corral has done this season is throw for 3339 yards and 20 touchdowns this season. Additionally, Corral also ran for an eye-catching 597 yards and 11 touchdowns. The Baylor defense has received much acclaim this season and rightfully so. But their offense has been no slouch while averaging 32.5 points scored and 430.2 yards gained per game. Furthermore, the Bears will be facing a suspect Ole Miss defense which has allowed 428.8 yards per game. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State v. Notre Dame OVER 44.5 | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State 1:00 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Over 44.5 (5*) Notre Dame’s defense was terrific during the final stretch of regular season action. However, 6 of their last 7 games were against teams that finished the season with a losing record. The Notre Dame offense has been consistently productive this season. The Fighting Irish have scored 27 points or more in 11 of 12 games this season. The only time they didn’t reach that 27-point barrier occurred in a 24-13 home loss to #4 Cincinnati which occurred way back on 10/2. Oklahoma State is coming off a 21-16 loss to Baylor in the Big 12 Conference Championship Game which snapped a 5-game win streak. That contest also stayed under the total of 45.0. Oklahoma State has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 after going under in their previous 3 games. Those 3 contests ha- an average total of 52.5 and there was a combined 69.3 points scored per game. Here’s a college football totals betting angle which is highly profitable and fits perfectly in this matchup. Any college football (Oklahoma State) that’s playing in January with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and they won 4 of its last 5 games, resulted in those teams playing 30-5 (85.7%) to the over since 1992. The average total in those 35 contests was 46.6 and there was a combined 56.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total. |
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12-04-21 | Kent State v. Northern Illinois OVER 74.5 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Kent State vs. Northern Illinois 12:00 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Over 74.5 (5*) There will be no weather conditions to factor in since this game will be played indoors at Ford Field in Detroit. These teams have made it to the MAC Championship game and by no means can it be attributed to their defensive prowess. Neither defense is anything close to championship caliber. Northern Illinois finished the regular season by playing 5-1 to the over in their last 6 and there was a combined average of 72.0 points scored per game. The Huskies are coming off a 42-21 loss to Western Michigan in their regular season finale in a game their defense surrendered 636 yards. It marked the 2nd time in 4 games that the Huskies defense allowed 600 plus yards and 3rd time in 5 contests opposing offenses cracked the 500-yard barrier. The Huskies finished 6-2 in conference play. One of those losses came at Kent State 52-47 in a game that combined for 1345 yards or total offense and both teams amassing 600 plus yards. Kent State is coming off a thrilling 48-47 win over Miami-Ohio in their regular season finale in a contest that had a combined 1191 yards of total offense. Since the start of last season, Kent State has played 8-0 to the over following a conference win and there was a cumulative 95.0 points scored per game. That isn’t a typo, it’s truly 95.0 points scored per outing. That last result also marked the 5th time in 7 games that Kent State went over the total, and there was a combined 79.7 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, 4 of those contests produced 84 points or more. This has all the earmarks of an an extremely high scoring and entertaining game. Don’t let the large number scare you away. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh OVER 72 | 23-30 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Pittsburgh 7:30 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Over 72.0 (5*) This game features 2 of the most potent offensive teams in the country. The starting quarterbacks Sam Howell of North Carolina and Kenny Pickett of Pittsburgh are top NFL prospects and for good reason. Both have put up gaudy numbers this season regardless of the competition. North Carolina ranks #111 out of 130 teams when it comes to scoring defense. As a matter of fact, during their previous 3 contests, North Carolina has allowed 47.0 points and 519.7 yards per game. They Tar Heels defense will have the unenviable task of facing the #1 scoring team in the nation in Pitt who averages 45.0 points per game. Conversely, North Carolina is #9 in yards gained and #11 in points scored per game. Both team's offenses like to go at a lightning quick pace with North Carolina averaging 71 plays and Pitt an enormous 79 snaps per game. Pittsburgh has gone over the total in their previous 2 games. Since Pat Narduzzi became head coach at Pitt, the Panthers have played 17-3 (85%) to the over after their previous 2 games each went over, and there was a combined average of 70.3 points scored per contest. Since Mac Brown began his 2nd tenure as head coach at North Carolina, his Tar Heels have played 6-0 to the over in road games versus opponents with a winning record. Those contests averaged a combined 74.5 points scored per game. Fasten your seat belts for a wildly entertaining and high scoring affair. Bet this contest over the total. |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College UNDER 48.5 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Boston College 7:30 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) Boston College enters this week on a 4-game losing streak. During that abysmal losing stretch, Boston College scored 14 points or fewer on each occasion. Boston College has also played 5-0 to the under this season when their total was 56.5 or less, and there was just a combined 36.0 points scored per game. Conversely, Virginia Tech has played 6-0 to the under this season when their total was 47.5 or greater. Those 6 contests had a combined 38.3 points scored per game. I look for this matchup to be an old-fashioned slugfest where the defenses are dominant. Bet on this game to go under the total. |
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09-11-21 | Missouri v. Kentucky OVER 56 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
Missouri @ Kentucky 7:30 PM ET Game# 373-374 Play On: Over 56.0 (5*) Both teams showed some offensive explosiveness in their season openers. Kentucky produced 554 yards of total offense in their 45-10 win over UL-Monroe. The Wildcats won by that lopsided margin despite being a -3 in the turnover department. They won’t have the luxury of playing against an inept offense like UL-Monroe that was only able to register 87 total yards for the entire game. The Missouri offense will be an exponentially tougher challenge for Kentucky’s defense. The Tigers recorded 468 yards of offense in last week’s 34-24 win over Central Michigan. The Tigers were well balanced offensive in gaining 211 yards on the ground and 257 through the air. However, on a negative note, Missouri’s defense allowed Central Michigan to rack up 474 yards of total offense including 301 via their passing game. That’s a concern against a Kentucky team that passed for 419 yards last week. Bet on this game to go over the total. |
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09-11-21 | North Texas v. SMU OVER 73 | 12-35 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
North Texas @ SMU 7:00 PM ET Game# 365-366 Play On: Over 73.0 (5*) This is a high number for a reason and that’s not going to deter me in any way, shape, or form from placing my wager. Both teams are coming off season opening wins over FCS opponents in which they combined to score 100 points and amass 1017 yards of total offense. Additionally, North Texas allowed their opponent Northwestern State to rack up 418 yards of total offense. Both teams playing at warp speed on offense evidenced by North Texas running 76 plays and SMU 73 in their season openers. These teams have met in each of the previous 4 seasons with final scores of 65-35, 49-27, 46-23, and 54-32. If you’re keeping score at home, that calculates to a combined 82.3 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total. |
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09-04-21 | Penn State v. Wisconsin UNDER 50 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Wisconsin 12:00 Game# 165-166 Play On: Under 50.0 (5*) Both team’s strength will be on the defensive side of the ball. I am forecasting neither team have any degree of success running the ball. The Badgers finished last season averaging 10.0 points scored per game over their final 4 Big 10 Conference contests. The combined points in this game should be closer to 40 than 50. Bet on this contest to go under the total. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama OVER 74 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Ohio State vs. Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 499-500 Play On: Over 74.0 (5*) The total is this high for good reason. Alabama (12-0) has averaged 48.2 points score and 535.0 yards gained per game this season. The Crimson Tide has 2 totals this year of 74.0 or greater and both easily went over the number0. Those pair of contests resulted in wins of 63-48 versus Ole Miss and 52-46 against Florida. The Buckeyes (7-0) are 4-0-2 to the over this season when there’s been a total of 59.5 or greater. Ohio State has racked up an enormous 491 yards or more of total offense in each of their 7 games this season. Any college football team (Ohio State) with a total of 70.0 or greater that’s playing after game 7 of the season, and both defensive units in the contest are allowing 330 to 390 total yards per game, resulted in those games going 31-7 (81.6%) over the total since 1992. The average total in those 38 contests was 73.2 and there were a combined 85.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss v. Indiana OVER 65 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
Ole Miss vs. Indiana 12:30 PM ET Game# 493-494 Play On: Over 65.0 (5*) The good news for Ole Miss is they average 40 points scored per game. The bad news is they also allow 40 points per contest. Ole Miss has gone 3-0 to the over this season when there’s been a total of less than 70.0 and those contests averaged a combined 81.3 points scored per game. Conversely, Indiana has gone 4-1 to the over this season when there was a total of 53.0 or greater. To say that Ole Miss plays at a lightning quick pace is an understatement since they average 79 offensive plays per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama UNDER 66 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Alabama 4:00 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Under 66.0 (5*) Notre Dame has gone under the total in all 4 of their games this season when there’s been a total of 57.0 or greater. Those 4 contests had an average total of 62.3 and there was only a combined 38.8 points scored per game. Alabama has gone 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games this season that had a total of 64.0 or more. Notre Dame is averaging 218 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, the Alabama defense has yielded only 108 yards per game rushing on the season. This leads us to an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football team playing in a non-conference game that has a total of 63.0 or greater, and they average between 190 to 230 yards rushing per game, versus an opponent (Alabama) who surrenders between 100 to 140 rushing yards per contest, resulted in those games going 33-10 (76.7%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 43 games was 68.1 and there were a combined 60.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas OVER 64 | Top | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Texas @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 297-298 Play On: Over 64.0 (10*) This Texas team has seen all 4 of its games not played on their home field go over the total. Those 4 contests averaged a massive 97.8 points combined being scored par game. The Longhorns offense has averaged an enormous 41.3 points scored and 457.3 yards gained per game this season. Colorado is averaging a tad above 29 points scored per game. The Buffaloes defense has been good at times but has been torched on more than one occasion as well. Colorado has allowed 32 points or more in 3 of 5 games played during this COVID-19 shortened season. Texas is outgaining their opponents by an average of 47.6 yards per game this season. Conversely, Colorado has outgained their 5 opponents by an average of 44.2 yards per game. This sets up an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle displayed below. Any neutral field non-conference game with a total of 63.5 to 70.0 that involves teams that both have a +50 to -50 yards per game differential, resulted in those contests going 26-4 (86.7%) to the over since 1992. The average total in those 30 contests was 66.1 and there was a combined 79.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-04-20 | Bowling Green v. Toledo OVER 62 | 3-38 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Bowling Green 8:00 PM ET Game# 291-292 Play On: Over 62.0 (5*) Toledo had an abysmal defense a season ago evidenced by them being ranked 123rd nationally in that category. The Rockets offensive running game should be able to be extremely successful against a suspect at best Bowling Green defense. This has all the ear marks of a wildly entertaining and high scoring game. Toledo should be able to get out to a comfortable lead in the 2nd half thus making Bowling Green to rely on their passing game. I look for the Falcons to have success via their passing game when that situation arises mostly due to Toledo most likely reverting to a soft cover two shell. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-30-20 | Hawaii v. Wyoming OVER 59.5 | 7-31 | Loss | -105 | 48 h 44 m | Show | |
Hawaii @ Wyoming 9:45 PM ET Game# 141-142 Play On: Over 59.5 (5*) Hawaii is coming off a season opening 34-19 win at Fresno State last Saturday. During that victory they amassed a substantial 554 yards of total offense. Hawaii also surrendered 409 yards to the Fresno State offense but were bailed out by 4 forced turnovers. Wyoming lost their season opener 37-34 at Nevada. That game easily sailed over the total of 53.0. The Cowboys defense allowed Nevada to produce 496 yards of total offense which included 420 in the air. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-19-20 | SMU v. North Texas OVER 69 | Top | 65-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
SMU @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Over 69.0 (10*) The enormous total in this game is for good reason. It still is not enough to scare me away. North Texas had over 700 yards of offense and allowed more than 500 in a 7-31 win over Houston Baptist in their season opener. They now will face one of the more prolific passing attacks in college football during recent years when they take on SMU this Saturday. The SMU secondary is vulnerable against good passing attacks and North Texas has exactly that. This will be an extremely high scoring game in which they winning team will most likely have to score 50 points or more. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-05-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis OVER 74 | 24-37 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
Arkansas State @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET Game# 237-238 Play On: Over 74.0 (5*) This is an extremely high total and for good reason. Both teams have experienced and proven quarterbacks in Brady White of Memphis and Arkansas State’s Logan Bonner. As a matter of fact, Bonner went down with an injury early last year which was the season ending variety and his backup Layne Hatcher ended up with over 3,000 yards passing while filling in as a redshirt-freshmen. Arkansas State has 9 returning starters from an offense that averaged 33.9 points and 439.9 yards per game in 2019. Memphis di lose their top 3 receivers from last year but they were very deep at that position with underclassmen. The Tigers did receive a huge blow when Heisman hopeful running back Kenneth Gainwell opted out this week for COVID-19 concerns. Nevertheless, his absence won’t be felt nearly as much in this spot than it will be during conference action. The weakness of both teams is clearly on the defensive side of the ball. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU UNDER 67.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Clemson vs. LSU 8:00 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Under 67.5 (10*) Although these two teams have explosive offenses, I like this game to be a lower scoring affair relative to the current total. Clemson has allowed 23 points or fewer in each of their 14 games this season and that includes 14 points or less 11 times. LSU has allowed 37 points or more 4 times, but their defense has shown a marked improvement during their previous 4 contests while allowing 16.3 points and 270.3 yards per game. The offenses will be able to mover the ball, but both defenses will get enough stops to keep this game on the lower side of the number. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-04-20 | Tulane v. Southern Miss UNDER 57 | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
Tulane vs. Southern Miss 11:30 AM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Under 57.0 (5*) Southern Miss finished their regular season slate by going under the total in each of their last 5 games. There was a combined average of 41.4 points scored per game during those 5 contests. Conversely, Tulane went under in each of their last 3 regular season games. Those trio of contests went under the total by an average of 8.5 points per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-20 | Baylor v. Georgia UNDER 41.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
Baylor vs. Georgia 8:45 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Under 41.5 (5*) By modern day college football standards this is a very low total. However, there’s good reason for that. Georgia has allowed just 12.5 points and 274.3 yards per game on their way to an 11-2 record. They’ve gone under the total in 7 of their last 8 games. On the other side of the coin is a Baylor team which has given up only 19.3 points per game while going 11-2. I’m calling for a defensive battle and low scoring affair in this one. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-19 | Georgia State v. Wyoming UNDER 49 | 17-38 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Wyoming vs. Georgia State 4:30 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Under 49.0 (5*) Both teams rely heavily on their running games. Wyoming has run the ball on 69.8% of their offensive plays this season and Georgia State has done so 60.5% of the time. Wyoming has gone under the total in each of their final 6 regular season games and there was only a combined 33.5 points scored per contest. The Cowboys are allowing just 17.8 points per game this season. Conversely, Wyoming has scored 23 points or fewer in 10 of their last 12 games. The Cowboys are averaging just 9 pass completions and 128 yards passing per game. Georgia State isn’t a very good defensive team, but they should hold their own against a methodically boring Wyoming offense. Georgia State has put up very good offensive numbers this season but will find it difficult to move the ball with any consistency against a stout Wyoming defense. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-19 | Florida State v. Arizona State OVER 53 | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Arizona State vs. Florida State 2:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Over 53.0 (5*) Arizona State went 4-1 over the total in their final 5 regular season contests and there was a combined 59.4 points scored per game. Florida State went over in each of their last 3 regular season games and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per contest. This is an identical situation to the one I cashed in on Monday when the Virginia/Florida game went over the total. If it’s not broke, then don’t fix it. Any non-conference college football game with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that involves teams averaging 100 to 140 rushing yards per contests, resulted in those games going 41-6 (87.2%) since 2010. Furthermore, this college football totals betting angle is a perfect 11-0 over in 2019. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-19 | Virginia v. Florida OVER 55 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Virginia vs. Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Over 55.0 (10*) Both teams have productive passing attacks with Florida averaging 300 yards per game in the air and Virginia is at 263 per contest. Florida averages only 120 yards per game rushing while Virginia is just a tad better at 127 per contest. Virginia has gone over the total in each of their previous 5 contests with a combined 72.0 points being scored per game. Any non-conference college football games with a total of 49.5 to 56.0, and both teams are averaging 100 to 140 yards rushing per contest, resulted in those games going 40-6 (87%) over the total since 2010. There was an average total of 52.6 in those 46 contests and a combined 61.2 points were scored per game. Furthermore, this exact situation has occurred 10 times this season, and all those contests went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma v. LSU OVER 75.5 | 28-63 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
Oklahoma vs. LSU 4:00 PM ET Game# 241-242 Play On: Over 75.5 (5*) The total is this high for good reason and it won’t deter me from pulling the trigger on going over. Oklahoma is averaging 43.2 points and 554.1 yards per game this season. LSU averages 47.8 points and 554.3 yards per game. The LSU defense has allowed 500 or more yards on 3 occasions. Oklahoma has given up 31 points or more 4 times including 40 or greater twice. Oklahoma has averaged outgaining its opponents this season by a substantial average of 222.8 yards per game. LSU is outgaining their opponents this season by a large margin of 213.0 yards per game. LSU has amassed 481 yards or more of total offense in each of their previous 6 games. The previously mentioned statistics sets up an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football team (LSU) playing after game 7 of their season with a total of 70.0 or greater, and they gained 450 yards or more in each of its previous 3 games, and both teams are outgaining their opponents by an average of 100 or more yards per game, resulted in those contests going 36-10 (78.3%) over the total since 1992. The average total in those 46 contests was 75.5 and there were 81.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State OVER 67.5 | 51-41 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
Kent State vs. Utah State 7:30 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Over 67.5 (5*) This will be a very entertaining and high scoring game. Utah State has scored 34 points or more in 6 of their 12 game. The Aggies have also allowed 31 points or greater 6 times. Kent State has scored 30 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. The Golden Flashes defense has been porous all season and has allowed 470.7 yards per game. The total is this high for a reason. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-07-19 | Georgia v. LSU OVER 55.5 | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
Georgia vs. LSU 4:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Over 55.5 (10*) Georgia’s defense is elite as evidenced by the giving up just 10.4 points and 257.1 yards per game this season. However, they will be facing the best offense in the country on Saturday with all things being considered. LSU has scored 42 points or more in 10 of 12 games this season on their way to an unblemished 12-0 record and #1 ranking. The Tigers are averaging a robust 48.7 points and 560.4 yards per game. Conversely, the LSU defense has been vulnerable at time. The Tigers stop unit has allowed 37 points or more 4 times and permitted its opponents to amass 530 yards or more of total offense on 3 separate occasions. I like the combined score to reach 60 points or greater in this SEC Championship Game. Bet on this contest to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-29-19 | Kent State v. Eastern Michigan OVER 66.5 | 34-26 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 28 m | Show | |
Kent State @ Eastern Michigan 12:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Over 66.5 (5*) I like this contest to be a high scoring and wildly entertaining affair. Kent State has gone over the total in their last 3 contests with a combined average of 68.0 points scored per contest. Eastern Michigan has gone over during its previous 4 games. Eastern Michigan is coming off road wins of 45-17 at Northern Illinois and 42-14 at Akron in their previous 2 games played. Those victories improved their season record to 6-5. Any college football team with a total of 63.0 or greater that’s coming off road wins in each of their previous 2 games, and they own a winning record, resulted in those teams going 28-8 (77.8%) over the total since 2015. Those 36 games averaged a combined 74.3 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa UNDER 45 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Minnesota 4:00 PM ET Game# 335-336 Play On: Under 45.0 (5*) The Iowa Hawkeyes possess one the elite defensive units in college football. They’re allowing a paltry 11.7 points and 288.9 yards per game. Iowa has seen 5 of their 6 conference games go under the total and there was a combined average of 30.6 points scored per contest. Their Hawkeyes are averaging a mere 18.8 points scored and 335.7 yards of total offense in Big 10 action. Minnesota’s defense has improved game by game as this season has progressed. Throughout their previous 5 contests, the Gophers defense is allowing only 13.4 points per game. Minnesota is a run heavy offense. The Gophers have run the ball on 66.7% of their offensive snaps this season. They’ll find the sledding tough against an Iowa defense which has allowed 91 yards or less rushing in 6 of their previous 9 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-19 | Kent State v. Toledo OVER 62 | 33-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Kent State @ Toledo 7:00 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Over 62.0 (5*) Toledo is averaging 35.2 points scored and 491.2 yards of total offense per game at home this season. The Rockets defense has been poor in 4 MAC contests while allowing 32.6 points and 469.7 yards per game. That was especially apparent in their last 2 conference games in which they allowed 43.0 points and 517.0 yards per contest. You may be surprised to know that Kent State has averaged 35.5 points scored and 486.0 yards of total offense in their 4 conference games. However, their defense has been extremely shaky in 5 road contests where they’ve allowed 36.2 points and 495.2 yards per game. I like this one to be a very entertaining and high scoring affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-26-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 50.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 199-200 Play On: Under 50.5 (10*) Wisconsin was obviously caught looking ahead to their highly anticipated showdown with Ohio State during last week’s shocking 24-23 upset loss at Illinois as a 29.0-point favorite. Prior to that contest, the Badgers defense was held opponents to 15 points or fewer in each of its first 6 and included pitching 4 shutouts. The 315 yards they allowed in the loss to Illinois was the first time all season that a Badgers opponent eclipsed the 300-yard mark. Ohio State enters with a perfect 7-0 record. Additionally, during their last 6 outings the Buckeyes defense has allowed 5.9 points and not team has scored more than 10 against them throughout that stretch. Furthermore, Ohio State has held opponents to 285 yards or less of total offense in all their first 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis UNDER 54.5 | Top | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Navy @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 54.5 (10*) Memphis is off to a 3-0 start which has been spearheaded by a defense that’s allowed only 13.3 points and 226.3 yards per game. Navy has gone under the total in each of their first 2 games and their defense appears to be vastly improved from a season ago. Both teams are terrific in respect to time of possession. Memphis is averaging 21 first downs and 33:57 time of possession per game. Conversely, Navy averages 27 first downs and an eye popping 37:08 time of possession per contest. Each team is fully committed to running the ball. Navy has run the ball on 88.9% of their offensive plays thus far, and 63% of Memphis’ offensive plays have been rushing attempts. Defensively, Navy is allowing a mere 2.6 yards per rushing attempt while Memphis has held its opponents a more than respectable 3.1 yards per try. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-21-19 | Nebraska v. Illinois OVER 62 | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Illinois 8:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Over 62.0 (5*) Nebraska won last season’s meeting 54-28 in Lincoln and that game went over the massive total of 72.5. I expect more of the same on Saturday night in what will be the Big 10 opener for both teams. During their last 2 games Nebraska has averaged 37.5 points scored and 492 yards of total offense per game. Illinois is 2-1 and is averaging 34.7 point scored and 407 yards of total offense per game. Nebraska has allowed 21.0 points per game on their first 4 contests. Conversely, Illinois has given up 20.0 points per game in their first 3 games. This statistical data qualifies for a very successful college football totals betting angle which is illustrated below. Any college football game with a total of 56.5 to 63.0 that involves teams allowing 16 to 21 points per game, resulted in those contests going 30-6 (83.3%) over the total since 2010. The average total in those 36 contests was 59.2 and there were a combined 73.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas OVER 55.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 2 m | Show | |
LSU @ Texas 7:30 PM ET Game# 369-370 Play On: Over 55.5 (10*) Both starting quarterbacks are coming off impressive performances during their team’s season opener last Saturday. Joe Burrow of LSU was extremely sharp while completing 23 of 27 pass attempts for 278 yards and 5 touchdowns in a 55-3 win over Georgia Southern. Burrow exited the game early because of the Tigers huge lead. He gave way to backup Myles Brennan who threw for an additional 72 yards on 12 pass attempts. It’s quite apparent the Tigers switching to a fast tempo spread offense has paid early dividends. The LSU defense was dominant against a one-dimensional Georgia Southern offense that relies heavily on its triple option rushing attack that ran the ball on 39 of their 43 offensive plays from scrimmage. That won’t be the case when facing Texas on Saturday. Texas is coming off a 45-14 rout of Louisiana Tech. The Longhorns star quarterback Sam Ehlinger was 28-38 for 276 yards and 4 touchdowns. Like Burrows, he was pulled from the game early because of the lopsided score and airing on the side of caution to prevent possible injury. Texas also runs an up-tempo spread offense that ran 73 offensive plays in last week’s victory. On a negative note, the Longhorns defense allowed 340 yards passing to Louisiana Tech. The accelerated pace of this game will lead to much better than average offensive possessions for both teams. We should see somewhere between a combined 150 to 160 offensive plays run in this contest. Both quarterbacks are capable of amassing huge passing yards. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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08-30-19 | Tulsa v. Michigan State UNDER 48 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Tulsa @ Michigan State 7:00 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Under 48.0 (5*) Both teams return 8 starters on defense. Tulsa went a dismal 3-9 a season ago but they allowed fewer than 30 points 8 times. The Golden Hurricane has gone under in 10 of its last 13 as an underdog and 7 of their previous 9 away games. Tulsa average just 19.0 point scored per game in 6 road contests in 2018, and they’re about to face a defensive powerhouse on Friday. Michigan State’s offense was terrific a season ago and figures to be even better in 2019. Their offense returns 9 starters from a unit that was anemic last year. The Spartans have scored 19 points or fewer in 8 of their last 12 home games. Michigan State also finished 2018 by going under in 8 straight and those contests averaged only a combined 26.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 58 | Top | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Clemson vs. Alabama 8:00 PM RT Game# 151-152 Play On: Under 58.0 (10*) Both defenses are capable of dominating games. Clemson has allowed a mere 12.9 points per game which is tops in the country. Conversely, Alabama is giving up only 16.2 points per contest which ranks 5th nationally. Since the start of last season, Clemson has gone 8-1 under the total when facing opponents with a win percentage of .750 or better. Those 9 contests averaged a combined 43.9 points scored per game. Since taking over as head coach at Alabama, Nick Saban’s teams have gone 32-17 (65.3%) under the total against teams that average 200 or more rushing yards per game. By the way, Clemson is averaging 257 yards rushing per game this season. Relative to the current total of 57.5, I look for this game to be a lower scoring affair. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson UNDER 58 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Clemson 4:00 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Under 58.0 (5*) This game has all the signs of a low scoring affair in relation to the total. Notre Dame has allowed 27 points or less in each of their games this year on the way to a perfect 12-0 undefeated regular season record. Notre Dame has outscored their 2018 opponents by an average of 16.5 points per game. Conversely, Clemson has allowed 10 points or fewer in 8 of their 13 games this season. Clemson has gone 8-0 under the total during the past 2 seasons when facing a team which is outscoring their opponents by an average of 10.0 or more points per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-18 | Florida v. Michigan UNDER 51 | Top | 41-15 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Michigan vs. Florida 12:00 PM ET Game# 249-250 Play On: Under 51.0 (10*) Any neutral field team with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s playing after game 6 of their season and they’ve won 3 of its last 4 games, versus an opponent (Michigan) which has won 8 or more of their previous 10 games, resulted in those contests going 34-7 (82.9%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 41 contests was 52.9 and there were a combined 42.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-18 | Vanderbilt v. Baylor UNDER 55.5 | 38-45 | Loss | -107 | 34 h 5 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt vs. Baylor 9:00 PM ET Game# 239-240 Play On: Under 55.5 (5*) After being involved in many high scoring games during the first 2/3 of the regular season, Baylor has gone under the total in each of their last 4 contest, and there was a combined 48.0 points scored per outing. Conversely, Vanderbilt went under the total during 9 of its 12 regular season games, and that included 3-0 under (44.0 PPG) versus non-conference FBS teams. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 41 m | Show |
Arizona State vs. Fresno State 3:30 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Under 53.5 (10*) Fresno State has seen each of their previous 5 games stay under the total and there was a combined average of 41.6 points scored per contest. They’ve also seen each of their 7 games played away from Bulldog Stadium this season result in going under the total. A huge part of those low scoring affairs can be attributed to their outstanding defensive unit was has allowed a mere 13.7 points and 325 yards per game this season on the way to winning a Mountain West Conference Championship. Fresno State has gone 10-1 during its last 11 while Arizona State won 3 of their last 4 games. Any college football neutral site team (Fresno) State with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s won 8 or more of its previous 10 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Arizona State) that won 3 of their last 4 games, resulted in those contests going 33-7 (82.5%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 40 contests was 52.8 and there was only a combined 42.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-17-18 | Georgia Southern v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 54 | 41-17 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina 5:00 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Under 54.0 (5*) Coastal Carolina is coming off a 44-16 loss to Arkansas State in their previous game and they allowed a hefty 8.7 yards per play. Coastal is averaging 6.0 yards per offensive play this season. Conversely, Georgia Southern is surrendering 5.7 yards per play this year. Any college football team (Coastal Carolina) with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that averages 5.6 to 6.2 yards per offensive play, and they allowed 7.25 or more yards per play during its previous game, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) that gives up 5.6 to 6.2 yards per play, resulted in those games going 27-2 (93.1%) under the total since 2009. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-01-18 | Washington State v. Wyoming UNDER 47 | 41-19 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 6 m | Show | |
Washington State @ Wyoming 3:30 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Under 47.0 (5*) Wyoming has the advantage of having played a game already while this will be the season opener for Washington State. The Cowboys were impressive in a 29-7 win at New Mexico State last Saturday and easily covered as a closing 6.0-point road favorite. The experienced Cowboys defense which allowed just 17 points per game in 2017 pickup up just where they left off by turning in a dominating performance in that season opening win. Wyoming held New Mexico State to a mere 135 yards of total offense. Speaking of experience, the Cowboys return 17 starters from a team that went 8-5 last season. Although Wyoming’s offense put up more than respectable numbers last week, they’ll face a sterner test from a defense that plays in a “Power 5 Conference”. I also look for the usually explosive Washington State offense to regress a bit due to lack of experience and will especially be the case early in their 2018 campaign. Any home team playing in their first 2 games of the season with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and they return 17 or more starters from a season ago, versus a non-conference opponent (Washington State), resulted in those contests going 25-5 (83.3%) under the total since 1992. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-18 | LSU v. Notre Dame UNDER 52 | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. LSU 1:00 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Under 52.0 (5*) LSU has gone 5-1 under the total this season when playing a neutral site or away game. Those contests averaged just a combined 40.3 points scored per game. LSU finished their regular season schedule with a 45-21 win over Texas A&M. During the past 2 seasons, LSU is 7-0 under the total following a game in which they scored 37 or more, and those contests averaged a combined 38.0 points scored per game. Both these defenses have been solid this season with LSU allowing 18.7 points per game, and Notre Dame giving up 21.8 points per contest. LSU closed the regular season by winning 3 of its last 4 games. Notre Dame has gone 8-2 during its final 10 regular season contests. Any team (LSU) playing on a neutral field with a total of 49.5 to 56.0, and they’ve won 3 of their last 4 games, versus an opponent (Notre Dame) which has won 8 or more of their previous 10 games, resulted in those contests going 32-10 (76.2%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 42 games was 52.9 and there was 43.7 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-18 | South Carolina v. Michigan OVER 42 | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
South Carolina vs. Michigan 12:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Over 42.0 (5*) The Michigan Wolverines have gone 5-1 over the total this season when there’s been a total of 42.5 to 49.0. Those 6 contests average a combined 49.5 points scored per game. In their lone neutral site game, South Carolina defeated NC State 35-28, and that contest easily went over the total of 49.5. The present number of 42.5 will be a 2nd lowest total for South Carolina. The Gamecocks saw a closing total of 41.5 against Florida in a game that saw South Carolina come out on top 28-20. The Gamecocks enter this Outback Bowl having won 5 of their final 7 regular season games. Any college football team (South Carolina) that’s playing in January, with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and they won 4 or 5 of their previous 6 games, resulted in those contests going 28-5 (84.8%) over the total since 1992. There was a combined average of 56.8 points scored per game during those 33 contests. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-17 | Southern Miss v. Florida State UNDER 49 | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
Southern Miss vs. Florida State 1:30 PM ET Game# 235-236 Play On: Under 49.0 (5*) Southern Miss averaged outgaining their first 12 opponents of the season by a decisive 116.4 yards per game. Conversely, Florida State has outgained their opponents by a narrow 6.6 yards per game. Any non-conference team with a total of 42.5-49.0 that’s playing after Game 6 of the season, and they’re outgaining their opponents by an average of 100 yards or more per game, versus an opponent which possesses a +50 to -50 yard per game differential, resulted in those contests going 25-4 (86.2%) under the total since 1992. There was a combined average of 38.0 points scored per game during those 29 contests. |
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12-31-16 | Washington v. Alabama OVER 52.5 | 7-24 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
Washington vs. Alabama 3:00 PM ET AM ET Play On: Over 52.5 (5*) Washington has gone 5-1 over the total in away and neutral site games. There was a combined 69.2 points scored per game scored in those 6 contests. Conversely, Alabama is also 5-1 over the total in way and neutral site games. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 61.2 points scored per game. Washington allowed just 82 yards rushing during their PAC-12 Championship Game win over Colorado. Alabama gained 6.2 yards per play, and allowed 0 rushing yards during their 54-16 blowout of Florida in the SEC Championship Game. Any team (Washington) with a total of 49.5 to 56.0, coming off a game in which they allowed 100 yards or less rushing, versus an opponent (Alabama) who gained 6 yards or more per play and allowed 2 yards or less per rushing play in their previous game, resulted in those games going 38-14 (73.1%) over the total since 1992. Those 52 games averaged a combined 58.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-16 | Wake Forest v. Temple UNDER 41 | 34-26 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 20 m | Show | |
Wake Forest vs. Temple 3:30 PM ET Play On: Under 41.0 Temple’s defense has been outstanding this season, and particularly so during their previous 5 games. The Owls allowed 13 points or less in each of those contests, and shutout their opponents on 2 separate occasions. All 5 of those contests stay under the total, and did so by a combined 70.5 points. Wake Forest enters this bowl game having gone 5-1 under the total in its previous 6 contests. The Demon Deacons scored 14 points or less on 5 of those 6 occasions. The Wake Forest defense plays with a bend but don’t break style. Although they’ve allowed 370.1 yards per game this season, the Demon Deacons allowed just 21.8 points per game. Wake Forest has also forced their opponents into 25 drive killing turnovers during regular season action. This total is so low for good reason. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-16 | Ohio v. Troy UNDER 49.5 | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Ohio vs. Troy 8:00 PM ET Play On: Under 49.5 (5*) After being involved in an offensive shootout in their season opener against Texas State, Ohio has gone under the total in 12 consecutive games. The Bobcats offensive production during their last 3 games has left much to be desired. During that stretch, they’ve scored just 17.3 points and collected only 302.3 yards of total offense per game. Troy has seen 7 of its last 9 games go under the total. The Trojans had been an explosive offense team through the first ¾ of the season. However, during its previous 3 contests they’ve averaged an uninspiring 22.3 points scored and 332.3 yards of total offense per game. Play on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-17-16 | Houston v. San Diego State UNDER 54.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 93 h 7 m | Show |
Houston vs. San Diego State 3:30 PM ET Play On: Under 54.5 (10*) Houston has held opponents to a mere 325.0 yards per game this season. At the time of this writing, Houston is a 3.5-point favorite in this contest. The Cougars are 10-1 under the total during the past 3 seasons when they’re a favorite of 3.5 to 10.0. Conversely, San Diego State has limited its opponents to only 320.8 yards of total offense per contest in 2016. Any non-conference game being played on a neutral field that has a total of 49.5 to 56.0, and both teams are allowing just 280 to 330 yards per game on the season, resulted in those games gong 36-8 (81.8%) under the total since 1992, and that includes 20-2 (91%) under since 2007. There was an average of 42.5 points scored per game in those 44 contests played since 1992. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-02-16 | Army v. Temple UNDER 46.5 | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
Army @ Temple 7:00 PM ET Play On: Under 46.5 (5*) Both of these team’s strength will be their defenses. Despite Army’s 2-10 record a season ago, the Cadets return 8 defensive starters from a unit that ranked #47 nationally last year. Temple lost three NFL caliber players from last season #20 nationally ranked defense. However, they still return 6 players on that side of the ball, and the rest of that unit attained valuable playing experience in 2015. Temple finished last year with two losses against Houston in the AAC title game, and Toledo during a bowl contest. Army finished last season with 5 straight losses. This sets up a terrific college football betting angle. Any team (Army) playing in its season opener with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and finished last year by on a losing streak of 2 or more games, versus an opponent playing in one of their first two games of the year, and that opponent also ended last season on a losing streak of 2 or more games, resulted in those games going 32-6 (84.2%) under the total since 1992. As a matter of fact, this exact betting angle is 16-0 under the total. Play under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-15 | Michigan State v. Alabama UNDER 46.5 | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
The Michigan State defense which underachieved for most of the season finally awakened during the last four games. During that time frame, the Spartans allowed 12.5 and 276.8 yards per game. They also forced a whopping 12 turnovers in those four contests. They’ll have their hands full against Alabama’s power running attack led by 2015 Hesiman Trophy winner Derrick Henry. However, they’ve allowed opponents just 113 yards rushing per game this season, and will be more than up to the task. There’s no question in my mind, out of all four of the teams vying for a national championship, Alabama’s defensive is superior to the other three stop units. They’re allowing only 14.4 points and 258.1 yards per game this season. Alabama has held eleven of their thirteen opponents to 17 points or less. Both teams are solid offensively, but neither is what I would consider to be explosive. Alabama averages a mediocre 5.8 yards per offensive play and Michigan State is at just 5.4. Both teams are among the best in terms of offensive time of possession. Michigan State averages 33:16 per game, and Alabama is a shade better at 33:53. That suggests to me that each club is more methodical than quick strike with their offensive approaches. I look for this to be a low scoring game dominated by the defenses. Play on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-15 | Houston v. Florida State UNDER 55.5 | Top | 38-24 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
Houston vs. Florida State 12:00 PM ET Play On: Under 55.5 (10*) Houston’s defense has given up their share of yards (381.3 PG) this season. However, they’ve overcompensated for that flaw by forcing an enormous 30 turnovers by opposing teams. It’s been more of a “bend but not break” mentality on that side of the ball, and has resulted in allowing a respectable 20.5 points per game. Florida State has fielded one of the best defensive units in the country this season. They rank 5th nationally in scoring defense (15.8 PPG) and 15th in total defense (327.7 YPG). The Seminoles have allowed 24 points or less in all twelve of their regular season games this season. They’ve also gone 8-3 under the total in its previous eleven contests. As a matter of fact, Florida State has gone under the total in all five of their contests that weren’t played in Tallahassee, and there was a combined average of only 31.4 points scored per game. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-15 | Wisconsin v. USC UNDER 50.5 | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
Wisconsin leads the country in scoring defense, allowing a paltry 13.1 points per game. They’re also 10th in 3rd down defensive efficiency by permitting opponents to convert just 30.6% of those specific situations. Now the bad news, they’re 80th in total offense, 78th in scoring, and are far from dynamic on that side of the ball. USC has vastly underachieved defensively this season. With extra time to prepare, I look for USC’s defense to more than hold their own against an average at best Wisconsin offense. The Trojans are 8th in the country with 37 sacks this season. Play on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-15 | Texas Tech v. LSU OVER 74 | 27-56 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Texas Tech has gone 9-3 over the total this season, and their games have averaged a combined 89.2 points scored per contest. The Red Raiders offense has been prolific, averaging 46.6 points and 596.1 yards per game. However, their defense is one of the worst in the country. They’re allowing an average of 42.6 points and 543.0 yards per game. LSU isn’t anywhere near a dynamic of offense as their upcoming bowl opponent, but they’re still formidable. They’ll also be afforded more offensive possessions than it’s accustomed to, considering Texas Tech opponents run an average of 81 offensive plays per game, and the Tigers have averaged just 66 per contest this season. Play on this game to go over the total for a 5* selection. |
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12-28-15 | Pittsburgh v. Navy UNDER 53.5 | 28-44 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Both of these teams have dominated time of possession this season. Pittsburgh averages 32:52 and Navy 32:11. The Panthers average a mediocre 5.6 yards per offensive play and Navy is a tad better at 6.3. Pittsburgh has gone a stellar 5-1 on the road this season, and allowed just 18.0 points and 294.8 yards per game in those outings. Navy was a perfect 6-0 at home in 2015, and allowed an average of only 14.5 points per game. The Midshipmen turned the ball over just 7 times all season, and went without a turnover in seven of twelve games. Navy also forced an outstanding 24 turnovers by their opponents this season. Relative to the current total, this has the makings of a low scoring game. Play on under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-15 | Indiana v. Duke OVER 71.5 | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show | |
Indiana may have finished just 6-6 during the regular season, but boy were they an entertaining team to watch. They’ve averaged 36.2 points per game, and also allowed 37.1 points per contest. In addition, Indiana has gone 10-2 over the total this season. After going 0-6 to start their 2015 Big Ten campaign, they won each of its final two contests by scores of 47-28 at Maryland, and 54-36 against Purdue. The Hoosiers have scored 41 points or more on five separate occasions this year, and also allowed 47 points or more four times. Indiana has gone over the total in each of their last six games, and there was a combined average of 83.5 points scored per contest. Duke went over the total in five of their previous six contests, and those games averaged a combined 66.8 points scored. Play on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-15 | Connecticut v. Marshall UNDER 44.5 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Connecticut has gone 10-2 under the total this season, and that includes 5-0 during its last five contests. The Huskies have allowed 17 points or less in seven of their twelve games in 2015, and also scored 20 points or less nine times. Marshall finished the regular season by going 4-1 under the total in their last five games. The Thundering Herd allowed 17 points or less on separate occasions this season. I like this game to be a low scoring defensive struggle. Play on under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-15 | Boise State v. Northern Illinois OVER 56 | 55-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
The Boise State defense really faded in their final four games. They allowed 29.5 points and 495.3 yards per contest during that stretch. On a positive note, their offense averaged 37.7 points and 488.6 yards per game during regular season action. The Northern Illinois defense struggled during their last five games. They allowed an average of 27.2 points and 454.0 yards per contest during that period. Contrarily, their offense has averaged an impressive 33.0 points and 426.7 yards per game this season. This has the ear marks of a highly entertaining contest with plenty of points to be scored. Play on over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-22-15 | Toledo v. Temple UNDER 49 | Top | 32-17 | Push | 0 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Toledo owns a pair of wins “Power Five Conference” teams. In their season opener they shocked Arkansas 16-12 as a massive 23.0 point road underdog, and then the following week defeated Iowa State 30-23 at home. They also easily defeated eventual MAC champion Bowling Green University 44-28 as an 8.0 point road underdog. This is a Rockets team that won’t be in awe of the situation or environment. Although Toledo gets a lot of recognition for a potent offensive attack, their defense isn’t too shabby as well. The Rockets are allowing just 21.1 points per game, and they’ve gone 8-3 under the total in 2015. Temple has a stellar 10-3 record heading into this bowl contest. The Owls will be facing a Toledo team that averages 35.3 points per game. During the past two seasons, Temple has gone a perfect 7-0 under the total versus opponents that average 31.0 or more points per outing. Those contests averaged only a combined 34.4 points scored per game. Temple has gone 8-5 under the total this season, and they’re allowing just 19.2 points per game. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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