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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-09-17 | Edmonton -7.5 v. Montreal | 42-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm laying the points with the Eskimos on Monday afternoon. Something has to give with these two teams struggling at the same time. Edmonton has dropped six straight games after beginning the season 7-0. Montreal has dropped seven in a row both SU & ATS. But the Esks are a playoff caliber team, while the Als are playing out the string. Montreal has allowed an average of 38 ppg during the losing streak. And they're 0-4 ATS this season in revenge of a road loss. Edmonton is getting just what the doctor ordered in this one. The Esks are the top offenisve unit in the league in total yards per game and yards passing per game. Montreal is a disaster, ranked dead last in yards rushing allowed and second to last in points allowed per game. Making matters worse, the Als' offense ranks second to last or last in the league in total yards, passing yards, and points scored. We'll side with the chalk. I'm laying the points with Edmonton on Monday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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09-22-17 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg -7 | 9-29 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm laying the points with the Blue Bombers on Friday night. Â Ottawa has gone on a nice run after a slow start to the season, but the run is likely being derailed by injuries. Â The Red Blacks will be missing their top two QBs in all likelihood with Drew Tate and Trevor Harris both nursing injured shoulders. Â Enter former Arizona Cardinals QB Ryan Lindley. Â I don't believe he fits the CFL game well, completing just 7 of 14 passes when called upon last time out, but mostly because he's not much of a threat with his legs. Â Lindley is averaging just 1.5 yards per carry on 36 carries this season. Winnipeg is 8-3 on the season, including 4-1 SU at home and need a win to stay within earshot of division leading Calgary. Â The Bombers have scored at least 33 points in each of their last four home games, averaging nearly 40 ppg. Â We don't believe the battered Ottawa offense will be able to keep up. Â We're laying the points with Winnipeg on Friday night. Â Thanks & GL! Â Scott Spreitzer. |
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08-10-17 | Edmonton v. Ottawa -2 | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm backing Ottawa on Thursday, our KO release. Tough and close calls have led to a 1-5-1 start for the RedBlacks. This team is just a handful of plays from a terrific start to the season. In fact, they're 14 points away from a 7-0 mark. I believe they get "healthy" tonight against an Edmonton team that's a walking "mash" unit, especially up front on the offensive line. We had Ottawa last week and they blew the win in a 3-point loss to Winnipeg. Â But tonight I expect a strong start and finish. Â I'm backing Ottawa, our Thursday KO. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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08-04-17 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa -2.5 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 17 m | Show |
I'm laying the points with the Ottawa RedBlacks on Friday night. Â Ottawa got a much needed bye last week after coming up just short in a loss to Toronto the previous week. Â The RedBlacks are 1-3-1 SU on the season, but just 11 points from a 5-0 record. Â And when you consider they have a tie and a 4 point loss to Calgary, arguably the most talented team in the league and a 2 point loss to Edmonton, a definite contender in the West, you get a better picture at just how good this Ottawa team can be. Â Winnipeg owns the better record at 3-2 on the season, but the Blue Bombers don't exactly strike fear into opposing offenses, having allowed 40 or more points in three of five games and giving up an average of 35.8 ppg this season. Â The Bombers have allowed a whopping 5.35 yards per play on first down and a ridiculous 7.17 yards per play on second down in a league where you punt on third down. Â That's not good at all, obviously, and I believe it catches up to them on Friday. Â Winnipeg may have a tough time keeping up this week with their top offensive player banged-up. Â We'll lay the points with Ottawa as they look to extend their run to 8-1 ATS. Â The Ottawa RedBlacks are our CFL G.O.M.! Â Thanks & GL! Â Scott Spreitzer. |
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07-29-17 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -3 | Top | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 38 h 13 m | Show |
I'm laying the points with the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Saturday. We had Toronto last week and the Argos almost blew it in the fourth before eking our a 27-24 win over Ottawa. Toronto is probably a season away from truly contending. Â They are 3-2 in Marc Trestman's return to the CFL, but two of the wins came against Ottawa by a grand total of four points, while their other win came against winless and hapless Hamilton. Â Toronto's two games against the stronger West Division resulted in a 28-15 loss to BC and a 33-25 loss to Winnipeg. Â They're traveling and taking on a focused Saskatchewan team that can't afford too many more losses before picking up a couple wins. The Roughriders are 1-3, splitting their home games with two of the three losses coming by a total of four points. Â The defense has played well, holding their opponents to 3.32 yards per play on first down, an important handicapping tool in this three-down league. Â Toronto has had their problems with their first down offense the last couple of weeks, putting themselves in a hole, and we feel they're going to pay for it in this one. Â We also expect a now healthy Roughrider offense to have a major advantage over a badly banged-up Argo defense, playing on a short week. Â I'm laying the points with Saskatchewan, our KO release on Saturday. Â Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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07-24-17 | Ottawa v. Toronto -1.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 114 h 49 m | Show |
I'm laying the short points with the Toronto Argonauts on Monday night as they look to make it two wins over Ottawa in 16 days. Â The RedBlacks are in a tough scheduling spot playing their second game in five days and third game in 11 days. Â We had Ottawa on Wednesday and cashed the ticket. But I'm not too sure Ottawa would have won that game without help from Montreal. Â While the RedBlacks won, 24-19, Montreal suffered two turnovers inside the Ottawa 10-yard line and four turnovers, overall. Â The so-so Ottawa defense allowed the Als to gain an average of 8 yards per play on first down. Â This is really nothing new for this defense. Â They struggled against the Argos earlier this season, allowing 6.1 yards per play on first down, while the offense averaged just 2.7 yards per first down play. Â It's an important stat in this 3-down league. Toronto will play their first game since July 13, having plenty of rest and an opportunity to improve on their game. The Marc Trestman/Ricky Ray led offense will face an Ottawa defense that ranks second to last in the CFL in total yards allowed per game and yards passing allowed per game. Â They aren't much better against the run and rank third to last in ppg allowed. Â No team throws the ball for more yards per game than the Argos, while the Toronto defense is top-3 against the run, the pass, and in total yards allowed per contest. Â We'll back the Toronto Argonauts, our CFL Knockout on Monday. Â Thanks & GL! Â Scott Spreitzer. |
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07-19-17 | Montreal v. Ottawa -4.5 | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm laying the points with the Ottawa RedBlacks on Wednesday. Â We cashed with Ottawa plus the points last week. Â The Redblacks have been close to landing in the win column and are now in a situation where they can't afford many more losses. Â They also have a beatable opponent this week. Ottawa has already faced Calgary twice, playing to a 31-31 tie and losing by four in the second meeting. Â Two weeks ago they lost 26-25 to Toronto and last week, lost by two points at Edmonton. Ottawa is a grand total of 8 points from a 4-0 start. Montreal is off one of its biggest wins in quite some time, knocking off Calgary last week in front of the home folks. It was an emotional win and the Al's may have a tough time reaching the same intensity level against an angry & desperate team that's much better than their record would indicate. Â I'm laying the points with the Ottawa RedBlacks, our Wednesday KO. Â Thanks & GL! Â Scott Spreitzer. |
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07-14-17 | Ottawa +5.5 v. Edmonton | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 55 h 24 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with the Ottawa RedBlacks on Friday. Â Ottawa has been close thus far and are now in a situation where they can't afford any more losses. Â Ottawa has already faced Calgary twice, playing to a 31-31 tie and losing by four in the second meeting. Â Last week, they lost 26-25 to Toronto and are a grand total of 6 points from a 3-0 start. Â Edmonton is off a bye week, overvalued due to records, and have not been too hot as home chalk. Â We'll grab the value...taking the points with the Ottawa RedBlacks on Friday. Â Thanks & GL! Â Scott Spreitzer. |
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07-08-17 | Toronto +4.5 v. Ottawa | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 41 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm taking the points with the Toronto Argonauts on Saturday night. Â The Argos made the hire of the year, maybe of the last few years in bringing Marc Trestman back to the CFL sidelines as a head coach. Â The NFL game might not have been the right fit, but Trestman has flourished north of the border. His Argos are 1-1 this season and came within a couple of decisive plays of a 2-0 start before losing last weekend to the BC Lions. Â But I expect a bounce back here. Â Ottawa is finished in a 31-31 tie as a 6-point dog to Calgary in their lone game of the season. Â The Ottawa offense played well, but the defense couldn't hold the Stamps in check. Â The secondary watched Bo Levi Mitchell complete 50 of 79 passes against them the last two weeks, allowing 5 TD passes with no picks. The defense has allowed 5.24 yards per first down play and a whopping 7.49 yards per play on second down in the three down league. Â The Ottawa defense should provide "just what the doctor ordered" as Ricky Ray looks to get his offense back on track after a defensive battle last week against BC. Â Ottawa is on a 1-7 ATS slide as home chalk, while Trestman-coached CFL teams are on a 7-0 ATS run off a double digit loss as a favorite. Â We'll grab the points with the Toronto Argos, our first Canadian Crush of the new season. Â Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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07-06-17 | BC -3 v. Montreal | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm laying the points with the BC Lions on Thursday night. Â As mentioned last week, BC played about as poorly as this Grey Cup contender can, yet still almost won their week-1 contest with Edmonton. Â They won and covered for us last week, an outright underdog winner over Toronto, but the game was in the balance until the fourth quarter. Â HC Wally Buono wants to see 60 minutes of focused action from BC and we believe he'll get it tonight in Montreal. Â Look for QB Jonathan Jennings to use his legs even more this week, complimenting the Lions' passing game. Jennings ran the ball just six times a week ago, averaging over 4 yards per carry. Montreal looks ripe to get beat a few times on the ground by Jennings. Â We also expect the listless Al's offense to find the going tough. Â Montreal is averaging just 3.3 yards per play on first downs this season, a tough hole to dig out of in the 3-downs league. In comparison, BC averaged nearly 5 yards per first down play against Edmonton and 5.8 yards on first down last week against Toronto. Â The Lions enter on an 11-4 ATS run on the road, while the Alouettes are on a 1-6 ATS slide as a home underdog. Â We're backing the BC Lions minus the points, our Thursday KO. Â Thanks & GL! Â Scott Spreitzer. |
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06-30-17 | BC +3 v. Toronto | 28-15 | Win | 100 | 38 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm taking the points with the BC Lions on Friday night. Â BC played about as poorly as this Grey Cup contender can, yet still almost won their week-1 contest with Edmonton, another contender. The Lions' offensive line had their issues in pass blocking situations, but I expect a better prepared team this week. Â Toronto benefited from playing against a banged-up and weak Hamilton team in their opening week win. Â The Ti-Cats were decimated in the secondary going into the game and Toronto took full advantage. Â The Argos were also aggressive on the defensive side of the football and I expect another aggressive effort after seeing the problems BC had up front last week. I also expect the approach to backfire. Look for BC HC Wally Buono turn athletic QB Jonathan Jennings loose in this one, taking advantage of his ability with his feet, complimenting the Lions' passing game. Â Argos HC Marc Trestman is back in his element, roaming the CFL sidelines, but I expect his squad to be out-played by a better team looking to avoid an 0-2 start. CFL underdogs are now a perfect 5-0 ATS after another cover on Thursday and they're on a 16-4-1 ATS run over the first four weeks of the season since the start of the 2016 campaign. The dog has covered four of the last five meetings and Toronto enters on a 1-7 ATS slide going back to last year. I'm grabbing the points with the BC Lions, our Friday Shocker. Â Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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06-24-17 | Edmonton v. BC -3.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -120 | 67 h 11 m | Show |
I'm laying the points with the BC Lions on Saturday. Â There's not much wrong with the Eskimos offense, but the Lions are the better unit and because of the advantage BC has on the defensive side of the football, Edmonton will be hard-pressed to keep up and we don't believe they will. Â Jonathan Jennings leads a very talented Lions' attack and the signing of WR Chris Williams gives Jennings the deep threat to complete a fantastic receiving corps. Â And while the defense lost a couple of studs to the NFL, they still have a future NFL LB in Loucheiz Purifoy and few know how to get the most from a defense like BC HC Wally Buono. BC ranks 2nd in my CFL power ratings, trailing only Calgary. Look for a strong week-1 start. I'm laying the points with the BC Lions, our KO release. Â Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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11-27-16 | Ottawa v. Calgary OVER 54.5 | 33-39 | Win | 100 | 33 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Over in Sunday's Grey Cup battle between Calgary & Ottawa. Â The RedBlacks have made it to the 104th Grey Cup, despite a 9-9-1 record. They got here thanks to a 35-23 win over Edmonton last weekend. Â If they're to hang around in this one and possibly steal a win, the story line will be all about their receiving corps. Â Calgary will have to defend the CFL's best group of WRs on Sunday. Â The RedBlacks set a CFL record with four players topping 1,000 yards receiving on the season. Â They are the league's top passing offense and they top the charts in total yards per game. Â This will be a test for the Stamps' pass defense. And speaking of pass defense, Ottawa's is not good, ranked second to last in the league in passing yards allowed per game. Â I doubt they'll be able to generate consistent pressure on Stamps' QB Bo Levi Mitchell, and that's good news for our play. Â BLM has picked defenses apart in a surgical manner when not facing much of a decent pass rush. The former Eastern Washington signal caller has topped 5,300 yards passing this season with 32 TDs and just 8 INTs. Â Special teams may help us out, also. Â We may get a short field situation or two with Ottawa's Tristan Jackson returning punts. Â Jackson is the most dangerous special teams player in the CFL and ran one back 77-yards for a TD in last week's East Final. Â I won't be surprised if the Stamps get up early and Ottawa has to air it out, again, helping our Over. Â Finally, this game is being played at BMO Field in Toronto, an outdoor venue. Â As of Saturday all looks well with the forecast calling for mild winds and partly cloudy skies. Â The RedBlacks enter on a 6-1 Over run and the Over is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings, including 1-0-1 in 2016's two tilts. We saw 71 combined points in the most recent matchup and I expect another high scoring game here. Â I'm playing the Over between the Calgary & Ottawa in Sunday's Grey Cup. Â Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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08-19-16 | Calgary v. BC -3 | 37-9 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm laying the points with the BC Lions on Friday night. The Stamps & Lions have split the season series thus far, but BC, winners of the first meeting opening week, should probably have won the second meeting, also. BC held a 15 point fourth quarter lead with less than four minutes to go in the most recent meeting (July 29) before a massive collapse ended in a 44-41 OT loss. The Lions couldn't overcome a minus-2 turnover ratio in the contest and failed to put the Stamps away, but they've bounced back with two straight wins. The Lions have scored 38 or more points in each of their last four games. QB Jonathan Jennings has completed 68% of his passes over the last four games (98 of 145), averaging 360 yards passing per game on 9.93 yards per attempt, with 10 TD passes and just 4 INTs. He has a fantastic group of receivers and the ground game has churned out 86.3 yards per game on 4.4 yards per carry in their last four outings. Jeremiah Johnson has gained 136 yards on 30 carries with 3 TDs in his last two games. The Lions have covered four straight games and CFL home teams with a line range that includes tonight's number are on a 47-17 ATS run if they're at home and playing in revenge, provided they allowed at least 38 points in the loss. With the way the Lions' offense is hitting on all cylinders, we're looking for the home team to gain a measure of revenge. I'm backing the BC Lions minus the points, my Canadian Crush. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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06-30-16 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -4 | Top | 30-17 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
I'm laying the points with Saskatchewan on Thursday night. The Riders are looking to avenge last year's season sweep at the hands of the Argos. But then again, Sask will be in plenty of revenge situations after a horrible 2015 campaign. They're healthy though to start this one and will face a Toronto team with a lot of unanswered questions off of last week's season opening loss. The Argos thought they improved up front on the offensive line, but they couldn't keep QB Ricky Ray out of trouble and lost in their first game at their new home stadium. Another game or two could help, but tonight, they're in for what I believe will be a long night. Toronto is also banged-up at WR and in the defensive secondary. Sask HC Chris Jones was outstanding in the same position in Edmonton and his teams enter on a 10-1 ATS run as home chalk of no more than seven points, outscoring the 11 opponents by an average of 35 to 15. Meanwhile, the Argos enter just 1-5 ATS in their last six games going back to last season. I'm laying the points with Saskatchewan, my Knockout release. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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11-29-15 | Ottawa +7 v. Edmonton | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with the Ottawa RedBlacks in Sunday's Grey Cup. Ottawa is led by QB Henry Burris, who led the league in passing at the young age of 40. Burris threw the football nearly 680 times this season, yet finished with a completion rate above 70%. He's blessed with more receiving weapons than any other team in the league and that's the main reason I like them here. Edmonton's style of defensive play doesn't account for four top-flight receivers. I also like Ottawa's chances on the defensive side of the football, where they'll face an Edmonton offense with a starting RB who just joined the team a few weeks ago. In fact, Akeem Shavers has 24 carries and three receptions on the season, including the playoffs. This not only hurts the running game against the league's best run defense, but it also hurts in pass blocking with familiarity being an issue. It's because of these issues on both sides of the line of scrimmage that I'm taking the points. The icing on the cake: Ottawa is on a 10-3 ATS run against teams that allow a completion rate of 61% or higher. They're also 10-3 ATS as an underdog this season. I'm grabbing the points with Ottawa on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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10-30-15 | BC v. Toronto OVER 53.5 | Top | 27-25 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing the Over between the Lions & Argos on Friday night. A lot of 2015 firsts taking place tonight, despite the fact we're in week-19. Toronto will finally be back at home for the final two weeks of the season, so weather won't be an issue in this one. Another first, veteran signal caller Ricky Ray makes the start tonight in place of Trevor Harris, who has been struggling of late. Ray understands the offense and should have little trouble carving up a BC Lions' defense that normally brings very little pressure. While Toronto has wrapped-up a playoff spot, BC is still looking for a postseason berth. The Lions have been all about offense, putting 40 points on the board against Hamilton last week. QB Jonathan Jennings has played well, throwing three more TD passes in last week's 27-point win. And teams have been able to pass on the Argos' defense all season long. Toronto is allowing 289.6 yards passing per game, ranked second to last in the CFL. BC enters on a 6-0 Over run and the teams have combined to score 57 and 63 points in their last two meetings. I'm playing the Over between the Lions & Argos on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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10-02-15 | Calgary Stampeders v. Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with Hamilton on Friday night. Hamilton will look to exact some revenge after a week-one 24-23 loss in Calgary. The Tiger-Cats defense forced Calgary QB Bo Levi Mitchell into making a few mistakes and that's been a staple of Hamilton's defense all season. The Ti-Cats have scored 147 points off of turnovers. There is anxiety among Hamilton fans with QB Zach Collaros going down to injury in their previous contest. Rookie Jeff Mathews came into the game in relief and threw three interceptions. Mathews, a Cornell graduate, will make his first CFL start. He had a bye week last weekend to help him prepare as a starter, rather than a little used reserve. But interestingly enough, while at Cornell, Mathews quarterbacked a Big Red offense coached by his current Hamilton HC and OC. All three were at Cornell at the same time. Hamilton, one of the two highest scoring offenses in the CFL, is running virtually the same offense Mathews ran in college. Hamilton will face a Stamps' defense missing two of its best players and Calgary is also banged-up in the offensive trenches. We should note the Stamps are usually overvalued, which explains their 4-10 ATS slide, overall, and their 1-5 ATS slide on the road. Meanwhile, the Tiger-Cats are on a 6-0 ATS run off a non-cover. They're 8-1 ATS against teams with a winning record and have covered 16 of their last 21, overall. I'm grabbing the points with Hamilton, my CFL Knockout. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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09-18-15 | BC Lions v. Calgary Stampeders -11.5 | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
I'm laying the points with Calgary on Friday night. Both teams are off a loss, but the Stamps are a Grey Cup contender, while BC may miss the playoffs, currently sitting with a 4-6 record. The Lions have been messy on the offensive side of the football, averaging just 19.2 ppg in their last six outings. Calgary enters on a 13-3 ATS run (second half of the season) against teams averaging no more than 23 ppg. The Stamps outscored those 16 weak offenses by an average of 32-16. And while Calgary owns the CFL's second highest scoring offense and gets star RB Jon Cornish back for the first time in weeks, the Lions allow a league high 392 yards per game, including the CFL's worst run defense. Then there's the Calgary defense that's tied for the most sacks in the league against the anemic attack they'll face tonight. The Stamps enter on a 20-7 ATS run off a SU loss, while the Lions are on a 1-7 ATS slide against teams with a winning record. I'm laying the points with Calgary, my KO release on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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09-07-15 | Edmonton Eskimos +4.5 v. Calgary Stampeders | 7-16 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm taking the points with the Eskimos on Monday. Calgary comes into this one with a 7-2 mark and a four-game winning streak in-hand. But CFL teams on a winning streak of at least four games have covered just eight of their last 37, provided they own a winning record, overall. Calgary is also just 1-3 ATS at home this season and we released them at this site in the lone game they covered. Four of their seven wins were by three or fewer points and they're on a 2-8 ATS slide in their last 10 games. Edmonton owns the secondary to slow down the Stamps aerial attack. In fact, the Esks rank #1 in the CFL in run defense, pass defense, overall defense, and in points allowed per game. They also have a dynamic young QB in rookie James Franklin who passed and ran through Toronto last time out like a hot knife through butter. Franklin definitely adds another dimension to the Eskimos' offense. Edmonton enters on a 6-2 ATS run and I expect another cover in this one. One final note: both teams have been off for awhile and Calgary has not fared well in this spot, covering just two of their last 12 when playing with at least eight days off between games. I'm grabbing the points with Edmonton, my CFL Monday Hammer. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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09-06-15 | Winnipeg Bombers v. Saskatchewan Roughriders -4 | Top | 19-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
I'm laying the points with the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Sunday. While they're winless on the season, the Riders could pull within three games of a playoff spot with a win on Sunday. And the team is absolutely fired-up. Sask canned their HC and GM following last week's latest loss and newly promoted HC Bob Dyce says it's time to infuse a little more of a ground game, which has been the case over the years when the Riders have been at their best. Dyce has been on the staff in some fashion for six years, so he has seen this organization at its very best. The offense still leads the CFL at 412 yards per game, and adding more of RB Anthony Allen to the mix, combined with Jerome Messam is going to help this squad become even more effective. After all, it's not about the yardage...it's about the win column. Winnipeg is down to its third string QB with Brian Brohm getting the start. Drew Willy is still out, while backup Robert Marve recently landed on the IL. Brohm has not thrown a TD in his CFL career, but has thrown five INTs. The Bombers enter on a 0-6 ATS September slide and they're 3-14 ATS in their last 17 against teams that complete at least 64% of their passes. Sask fits the bill. I'm laying the points with the Riders, my CFL GOM. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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08-28-15 | Toronto Argonauts v. Edmonton Eskimos -5.5 | Top | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
I'm laying the points with the Eskimos on Friday night. This number has moved, but not enough in my opinion. Edmonton is a much different team than the one that lost in Toronto in week-1. That contest was tied to start the second half, but the Argos outscored the Esks, 16-1 over the final two quarters. Edmonton lost their starting QB (Mike Reilly) in the second half and their current starting QB, James Franklin, wasn't even the backup back then. Franklin is the man behind center now and has a much better receiving corps than the Esks had then, also. In fact, Edmonton's receiving corps is deep and loaded with talent. Rookie Derel Walker, who didn't factor at all in week-1, has come into his own with Franklin, and has 24 receptions the last two games. The Esks are also coming off a horrible outing against Hamilton, losing 49-20. The final score, however, doesn't tell the entire story. Edmonton committed 8 turnovers in the contest, yet still gained 464 total yards. Toss aside last week's result and Edmonton has allowed just 14 ppg to the rest of their opponents, owning the best defense in the league. The CFL's best secondary will face a Toronto team that has been eking out wins. The Argos have won just one game by more than seven points all season and could have easily lost in three of their six wins (6-2 SU). Toronto is a handful of plays away from a 3-5 SU record. The Argos enter this one on a 5-17 ATS slide against defenses that hold opponents to no more than six yards per play...Edmonton fits the bill. Toronto is 1-8 ATS on the road following a home game. And finally, the Esks are on a 10-1 ATS run as home chalk this season and last combined, outscoring the 11 opponents by an average of 33-11. I'm laying the points with Edmonton, my CFL Knockout. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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08-27-15 | Montreal Alouettes v. Hamilton Tiger-Cats UNDER 52.5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Als & Ti-Cats on Thursday night. The top defensive team in points allowed per game (18.5) takes on a high powered offense at Tim Hortons Field. Montreal has been as stingy as it gets through the first eight games of the season, going Under seven times. In fact, they have played under tonight's total in all eight games this season, combining with their opponents to average just 39.1 ppg. Montreal held Hamilton in check in a 17-13 win earlier this season and have controlled the tempo, so to speak, in all games this summer. Part of the plan is to control the clock with a strong running game and Montreal ate up over 250 yards on the ground in last week's win. While they did fire HC Tom Higgins, I expect the same type of game plan with GM Jim Popp taking over the reigns. Hamilton is riding a five-game winning streak, and while there have been a ton of points put on the scoreboard the last few weeks, the fact is, the Cats and their opponents have finished under tonight's total in five of eight games this season. We should note that CFL home teams are on a 52-21 Under run if the total of the current game is 52 or higher, provided they're off two straight Overs and average at least 29 ppg on the season. And finally, Hamilton has turned to defense in revenge situations this year and last. They're on a 12-0 Under run revenging a loss, combining with the opposition to average less than 40 ppg. I'm playing the Under between the Alouettes & Tiger-Cats on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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08-22-15 | CALGARY v. SASKATCHEWAN OVER 51 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Over between the Stamps & Roughriders on Saturday. Saskatchewan is 0-7 on the season, but have lost several games late, games they could have and maybe should have won. The Riders own the CFL's top ranked offense in rushing yards, passing yards, and total yards per game. Their problem has been a leaky defense that's second to last in total yards allowed per game, equally bad against the run and the pass. The Riders have scored 26 or more points four times this season, while allowing an average of 32 ppg, giving up 30 points in six of seven games this season. The offense now depends on Brett Smith behind center and he played well last time out in a 30-26 loss to Toronto. Smith completed 23 of 35 passes for 298 yards and 2 TDs. Sask enters on a 25-12 Over run at home against teams that connect on at least 64% of their passes. Calgary does that and more. Not only do they top that accuracy mark, but the Stamps have gained over 75% of their yardage through the air in 2015. We had Calgary last week and they provided us with a 48-3 win. The Stamps enter this one on a 15-4 Over run on the road after a win by at least 24 points, combining with the 19 opponents for an average of more than 64 ppg. I believe we're in for more of the same. I'm playing the Over between the Stamps & Riders, my Total release on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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08-20-15 | MONTREAL v. B.C. LIONS UNDER 49 | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Als & Lions on Thursday night. Montreal's off three straight 3-point losses, including last week's 15-12 defeat to Edmonton. The Alouettes have struggled on offense, averaging just 18.5 ppg in their last four contests, and the passing game, or lack thereof has been the biggest issue. Montreal ranks 7th in the 9-team league through the air. The Als have been able to count on their defense, which allows the second fewest yards in the CFL, while showing the ability to pressure opposing QBs on a regular basis. BC lost one of their top defenders to injury last week against Hamilton, but LB Adam Bighill is just fine and he leads the league in tackles thus far. The Lions will look to get it done on defense this week after suffering a 52-22 loss to Hamilton. Of course, the defense doesn't get all the blame, as the offense committed four turnovers. BC has taken care of defensive business, though, in this situation. In fact, the Lions are on an 8-1 Under run following a game where they and their opponents combined for at least 63 points. Meanwhile, the Als are on a 12-3 Under run the first half of this season and last. Montreal's also on a 9-1 Under run against teams with a losing record with a combined average of just 38 ppg. I'm playing the Under between the Alouettes & Lions on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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08-15-15 | OTTAWA v. CALGARY -8.5 | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm laying the points with the Calgary Stampeders on Saturday night. A chance at revenge for the defending Grey Cup Champs after Calgary lost 29-26 in OT at Ottawa just a few weeks ago. I believe they'll accomplish that goal in spread covering fashion. The Stamps are off a bye week and HC John Hufnagel has never lost off a bye as HC of Calgary. In fact, the Stamps are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven after having a week off. Hufnagel stated this week that his team is healthy, outside of RB Jon Cornish, and I'm not worried about that with Matt Walters & Tory Harrison able to pick up any slack. QB Bo Levi Mitchell has been taking care of the football in the passing game, throwing 106 consecutive passes without an INT. The Stamps are 19-4 SU in games Mitchell has started, including 11-2 at home. Ottawa has been the surprise team in 2015, and like Calgary, they're 4-2 on the season. But the Redblacks have enjoyed a favorable schedule. In fact, this marks just their second road game in six weeks. We played against them in their last roadie, and cashed an easy one when Edmonton whipped Ottawa, 46-17. The Redblacks are on a 2-11 ATS slide on the road against teams that connect on at least 61% of their passes. Combined with Calgary's 5-1-1 ATS mark already mentioned, we have a 16-2 ATS mark. I'm backing the Calgary Stampeders, my CFL Knockout. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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