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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs OVER 56 | 9-31 | Loss | -103 | 51 h 18 m | Show | |
101 Kansas City at Tampa Bay Super Bowls are tough to handicap with the two weeks between games and all the hoopla. But we will do our best to try to provide youth a winner. In our opinion the side outcome is a tossup. Kansas City has the better offense, Tampa Bay the better defense. The only concern we have with the Chiefs is the weak offensive line. Because of that and the Buccaneers strong defensive run stoppage, we think we have some value in the total. Kansas City has an elite quarterback and terrific receivers. Andy Reid is one of the top coaches in the league, and he’s been money in the bank with extra time to prepare. Therefore we can expect the Chiefs to virtually abandon the running attack. That means short quick throws from the pocket for Kansas City. It’s the best way to take advantage of this Buccaneers defense. In turn, look for Tampa Bay to try to match the Chiefs on the scoreboard by doing much of the same. Unlike a regular season game where you may let up on a team in case you play them later, the pressure will be constant from the team in the lead. We are well aware that 6 of the 7 Super Bowl games with totals in the 50’s have gone under. But that only gives us additional value here. PLAY OVER L Bell under rushing yards Mahomes pass attempts over Second half more points than first No missed pat |
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01-17-21 | Browns v. Chiefs OVER 57 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -104 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
305 Cleveland at Kansas City In order to compete with the Chiefs you need to match them on the scoreboard. This Cleveland team has the ability to do so. It’s the most explosive running attack in the NFL, and KC is weak against the run. The Chiefs should have a field day passing on this Browns defense. Sure Cleveland will get its two best secondary players back, but Kansas City has more than two major weapons in the passing game. The Browns are extremely weak covering tight ends, so Kelce should have a monster day. We expect this game to be high scoring with both teams finding plenty of success. PLAY OVER |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 18-32 | Loss | -101 | 77 h 45 m | Show |
302 Los Angeles at Green Bay This Rams defense is legit, holding 8 of 17 opponents this year to it’s three lowest yardage totals on the season. And it’s getting better as the year has gone on. In fact, 4 of the last 5 opponents have been held to bottom three seasonal outputs. The only team to have any yardage success, was the Jets in that shocking 17 point underdog upset. The Rams are starting a quarterback with a broken thumb on his throwing hand in a cold weather game. Not the ideal situation for a warm weather visitor. With offenses struggling we expect this to be a tightly fought low scoring affair. PLAY UNDER |
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12-13-20 | Packers v. Lions OVER 54.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
151 Green Bay at Detroit Expect a shootout here between these two divisional rivals. Packers have scored 30 points or more in 9 of 12 games, only once have they scored less than 22. Green Bay ranks 2nd in red zone efficiency, while the Lions rank 11th. The Packers are 25th in defensive red zone efficiency, while the Lions rank 30th. Detroit tied a season high of 34 points last week after the head coach firing, the 460 yards was clearly a season high. Keep in mind Detroit was highly thought of in season win circles, the coaching change could bring that excitement back for the future. With neither team defending the pass well, this game should easily surpass this total. PLAY OVER |
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11-29-20 | Browns v. Jaguars OVER 48.5 | Top | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
257 Cleveland at Jacksonville Browns stats have been heavily influenced by bad weather games this season. Now playing in Florida in a game not expected to be heat related, we can see both these offenses having success. Both teams have major holes defensively in this game. Jacksonville is extremely thin in the defensive backfield. Cleveland on the other hand will be playing without its best two defenders, likely ProBowl talent. The line has risen this week but we still find plenty of value. PLAY OVER |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks OVER 56.5 | 21-28 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
321 Arizona at Seattle When breaking down these two teams by yards per play, we see just how dominant these two offenses are. Arizona ranks 1st in rushing yards per play at 5.28, and 7th in passing yards per play at 7.42. Seattle is 5th in passing yards per play at 7.80, and 6th in yards per rush at 4.87. In the NFL if you have a dual threat offense you can have much more success than only being good throwing or running the football. Defensively Arizona ranks 22nd defending the run, while Seattle is 28th vs the pass. So both teams have weaknesses that can be exploited. 71 points were scored in the first matchup. While second matchups typically are lower scoring, we simply can’t see how either of these two squads get stops. PLAY OVER |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 43.5 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
275 Minnesota at Chicago It’s not been reported too much nationally, but the Vikings lead the league in passing yards per play, and overall yards per play offensively. As well as 5.46 ypp running the football which also leads the NFL. So we not only have the most proficient offense overall in yardage, but the team is equally good running and passing. Defensively the Vikings rank 30th overall in defensive yards permitted per game. The Bears have reassigned the play calling duties, and are going to play faster offensively. That should allow this offense to compete with the Minnesota scoring unit. This is an extremely low total considering league average right now is around 51 points. PLAY OVER |
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11-08-20 | Seahawks v. Bills OVER 54.5 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
451 Seattle at Buffalo Wanted to wait for the latest weather reports before confirming this selection. Looks like 64 degrees and very light winds in Buffalo today. Seattle games are averaging 62 points so far this season, with every game reaching 53 or more points. The team is averaging 5.0 yards per carry and dominating through the air. Wilson is completing 71.5% of his passes, and nobody in the league throws the long ball better. Unfortunately for the Seahawks, the defense has really struggled this season. The opposition is gaining 359 yards through the air on average. Josh Allen has shown the ability to go up and down the field against a defense of this caliber. Scoring 30 or more points against the Dolphins, Rams and Raiders. The past three weeks have been lower scoring because of the weekly game plans. When you throw out the games against the limited offenses of the Jets and Patriots, the Bills have struggled. Buffalo has permitted 410 yards to Miami, 478 to the Rams, 383 to Vegas, 466 to the Chiefs. Tennessee was held to 334 yards but that added up to 42 points for the Titans. We view this as an up and down game with both teams having great success offensively. PLAY OVER |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams OVER 51 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 41 m | Show |
477 Dallas at Los Angeles Rams Last year these two clubs finished in the top three in pace of play. Word out of LA is that this is also a very fast field, great for breakaway speed. These offenses are very talented and we have questions about both defenses, which are banged up at key positions. With the game on the key number of 51 and this being a nationally televised night game. This total has nowhere to go but up. PLAY OVER |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens UNDER 45.5 | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 50 m | Show |
474 New England at Pittsburgh It’s clear how Bill Belichick wants to win with this team. Dominate defensively and play conservatively with the offense. That’s one reason why the Patriots are +17 in turnover margin. While many will look at how the Patriots allow 4.6 yards per carry defensively, keep in mind New England is happy to allow the opposition to run the ball because of having early leads. Baltimore runs the ball well but Lamar Jackson only has a 94.1 quarterback rating. New England hasn’t shown the passing attack to stretch the field against these Ravens. We look for a conservative game plan with this being a low scoring affair. PLAY UNDER |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 51 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
307 Philadelphia at New Orleans The Eagles are a completely different offense under Foles, and the team has responded to his leadership for the second year in a row. The Saints can be beaten deep and Foles has the talent around him to exploit the Saints weakness. New Orleans on the other hand should have a field day against this banged up Philadelphia secondary. The way the Eagles play defense sets up great for this offense, just like it did in the earlier meeting. With this game being played indoors we look for a shootout. PLAY New Orleans |
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01-12-19 | Colts v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
301 Indianapolis at Kansas City With the snow having an effect on the game casual bettors are playing the under. But that plays right into the hands of the offense as the receivers have a bigger advantage knowing where they are going. Wind not snow is a reason to play an under, and we already expected to see plenty of scoring in this game. Indy plays zone defense and the Chiefs are excellent in picking apart the zone. Kansas City is terrible against the run, which will open up the Colts passing game. We look for a shootout here and the number is even better with the weather. PLAY OVER |
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12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens UNDER 46.5 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
312 Tampa Bay at Baltimore The Buccaneers have moved the ball well all season but have turned the ball over more than anyone in the league. The positive news is that since the crab man has been reinserted into the lineup, the team has been more conservative. Baltimore doesn’t have a passing game with Jackson, and until the Ravens lose we won’t see Flacco in the starting role. This total is being based on how these teams played the majority of the season, not how they are playing now. We look for a more conservative game, with the defenses controlling play. PLAY UNDER |
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12-02-18 | Broncos v. Bengals OVER 44.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
365 Denver at Cincinnati The Broncos should move the ball well against one of the worst defenses in the league. This is a team playing with confidence after facing the Steelers and Chargers coming out of the bye. With Cincinnati, San Francisco, Cleveland and Oakland on deck, this is a team that isn’t out of the playoff hunt. Very short total here considering the Bengals are finally healthy at the receiver spot. Word out of Cincinnati is that the players are excited to get a good look at Driscoll behind center. The talk in camp is that the team doesn’t expect and offensive drop-off. This line expects the Bengals to really struggle offensively, we disagree. PLAY OVER |
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11-18-18 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 56 | Top | 7-48 | Loss | -108 | 48 h 38 m | Show |
459 Philadelphia at New Orleans Now that Carson Wentz is getting healthier by the week, we look for this Eagles offense to get on a roll. The past five games Philadelphia has produced 55, 50, 52, 50 and 60% offensive success rates. The Eagles defense has suffered injuries especially in the defensive backfield, so this game should be a shootout. New Orleans has scored at least 40 points in all but one game this season. The last three games the offense has produced 69, 54 and 55% offensive play success rates. Also in that same time frame the Saints have permitted 23 combined explosive plays. PLAY OVER |
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11-18-18 | Titans v. Colts OVER 50 | 10-38 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 4 m | Show | |
461 Tennessee at Indianapolis Now that Marcus Mariota is finally healthy this Titans offense is starting to find success. Offensive success rates of 51, 52 and 54% the past three games. In that time period the Titans have produced 28 total explosive plays. Indy has consistently been one of the more efficient offenses in the league. Over the past four games the Colts have averaged 35.5 points per game. Other than the game where it allowed just 5 points to the lowly Bills, this defense has permitted 26, 28, 42, 38 and 37 points. This one should fly over the posted total. PLAY OVER |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints OVER 56.5 | Top | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
469 Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans In scoring just 29 points last week against Green Bay the Rams produced just 44% successful offensive plays. The next lowest output on the season was the opener at Oakland at 52%. The Rams are averaging 55.8% successful offensive plays on the season, roughly 10% higher than league average. Last week Minnesota did,’y take advantage of this weal Saints defensive backfield, that won’t happen with this offense. New Orleans is averaging 55.4% offensive play success, but allowing 48.7% themselves. New Orleans has an offense that can match the Rams, and this game is being played in a dome. We expect both offenses to score at will and easily surpass this high total. PLAY OVER |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys OVER 52.5 | Top | 17-28 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
469 Kansas City at Dallas The Chiefs have scored 24 or more points in all but one game this season. This is a team that can attack in various ways and should find success against this Dallas defense. Dallas has scored 28 points or more now in five straight games. Elliott and company should have a field day running on this Chiefs defense which has struggled against the run all season. PLAY OVER |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs OVER 55.5 | 19-14 | Loss | -103 | 43 h 23 m | Show | |
303 New England at Tampa Bay The Patriots have been involved in 41 explosive plays in only four games. Offensively 21 produced and defensively 19 allowed. Against good defensive teams such as Kansas City, Houston and Carolina, Patriots games produced 69, 69 and 63 points. Tampa Bay is coming off three games against good defensive squads in Chicago, Minnesota and the NY Giants. The Bucs should have a field day against this Pats defense, just like the struggling Panthers did on Sunday. With the short week and this being a non-conference game it will be tough for the defenses to game plan.  PLAY OVER |
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10-01-17 | Rams v. Cowboys OVER 48.5 | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
255 LA Rams at Dallas The Rams offense has produced 46, 20 and 41 points this season. The offense is balanced and Goff looks to be much better than a year ago. We have concerns about the Dallas defense and its best player Lee is a game time decision. The Cowboys are at its best when running the football. and Elliott and company should have a field day against this weak LA rush defense. PLAY OVER |
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10-01-17 | Bengals v. Browns OVER 41 | 31-7 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
263 Cincinnati at Cleveland The Bengals changed its OC before last week and had its best offensive game this season. With Cleveland missing at least three keys on defense this week we look for the Bengals to score at will. The Browns on the other hand are third in the league in offensive explosive plays, and this Cincinnati defense isn’t anything special. PLAY OVER |
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09-24-17 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 46.5 | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 0 m | Show | |
474 New Orleans at Carolina The Saints have combined to score 29 points against the Vikings and Patriots. It’s become clear that in order to keep the poor New Orleans defense off the field Sean Payton will need to run the football. Cam Newton is clearly not back healthy from his offseason surgery. The last thing Ron Rivera wants to do is put his franchise QB at risk by throwing the football. The Panthers have scored just 32 combined points against Buffalo and San Francisco. The Carolina defense on the other hand has permitted just 6 total points on the season. PLAY UNDER |
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09-24-17 | Falcons v. Lions OVER 50.5 | Top | 30-26 | Win | 100 | 39 h 53 m | Show |
477 Atlanta at Detroit Easy call here for the over. Atlanta averaged 33.8 points per game a year ago and have put up 57 combined points in its first two games. Detroit put up 35 and 24 against two pretty good stop units in the Cards and Giants. This will actually be the first decent offense the Lions have faced as both Arizona and New York have major offensive problems right now. PLAY OVER |
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09-10-17 | Seahawks v. Packers UNDER 52 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
474 Seattle at Green Bay With the total expected to be a shootout we will side with the under in this battle of elite NFC squads. When looking at key positional matchups the defenses have a solid advantage in this contest. And with the current line we are able to grab that key number of 51. The week one NFL lines have been out for some time, so most have been pounded into place. This is one that still provides solid betting value. PLAY UNDER |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons OVER 60 | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
311 Green Bay at Atlanta Not impressed with either defense here, and with Atlanta having the fourth best first half offense in the history of the NFL, we expect the Packers to throw the ball a lot. Atlanta gets off to great starts and we expect the same here today at home. The Packers don’t have much of a running game and Rodgers has taken control of the offense with great success as of late. The line is high for a reason and the game is being played in a dome. Look for a shootout as these two easily surpass this high total. PLAY OVER |
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01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs OVER 44.5 | 18-16 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
305 Pittsburgh at Kansas City While the Pittsburgh defense has gotten better as the season has gone on, keep in mind the weak offensive teams the Steelers faced on its schedule. Just in division Cincinnati, Cleveland and Baltimore struggled putting points on the board. Kansas City doesn’t throw the ball long but the receivers are able to turn short passes into large gains. The Chiefs have been among the leaders in explosive plays out of the passing game. With the total dropping on this contest we feel it’s time to jump on the over as we see both teams having success. Pittsburgh in the running game and the Chiefs through the air. PLAY OVER |
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10-02-16 | Browns v. Redskins OVER 46 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 94 h 24 m | Show | |
253 Cleveland at Washington Nothing wrong with this Browns offense regardless of who is behind center. Against pretty good defenses in Philadelphia, Baltimore and Miami the Browns have produced 5.8, 6.6 and 5.8 yards per play. The problem has been a Browns defense which has yielded 29, 25 and 30 points the first three weeks. Like Cleveland the Washington offense remains fine with 7.0, 6.6 and 5.9 ypp in the first three games. The problems are a sieve of a defense permitting 38, 27 and 27 points. Right now this Cleveland offense is under the radar based on past history and the turnover at quarterback. We use that to our advantage in this likely high scoring affair. PLAY OVER |
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09-11-16 | Lions v. Colts OVER 50 | 39-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
475 Detroit at Indianapolis Jim Bob Cooter. Not only do we love saying his name the Lions offense took off once he was able to take control after the bye week last season. The Lions averaged 26.1 ppg with Cooter and company calling the plays. With the loss of Calvin Johnson this offense is being dismissed. We feel there will be more value by spreading the ball around. The offensive line looks better but the defense still has concerns. Indy struggled in the preseason and everyone is worried about an offense that looks to be declining. We don’t buy it as the preseason has very little in common with the regular season. While the team did drop from 28.6 ppg to 20.8 keep in mind Luck only played in seven games. With both teams being domed squads and this being a non-conference affair, we look for a shootout. PLAY OVER |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals v. Panthers OVER 47 | 15-49 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show | |
314 Arizona at Carolina |
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01-03-16 | Vikings v. Packers UNDER 45.5 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
326 Minnesota at Green BayThis game sets up as a low scoring divisional battle, with the winner clinching the division and the loser gaining the wild card. Therefore we expect both squads to play conservatively on offense as turnovers could play a major factor. Green Bay is sure to stack the box and limit the success of Peterson. But the Vikings haven’t shown the ability to throw the ball effectively. And they continue to hand the ball off in poor running situations.Green Bay will be hampered by a banged up offensive line which will put Rodgers in jeopardy. We expect Green Bay to feature the run which will keep pressure off the quarterback. Both these teams know each other very well, so its unlikely we see a margin on either side.PLAY UNDER |
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01-03-16 | Eagles v. Giants OVER 51 | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
323 Philadelphia at NY Giants With the Eagles firing its coach and the future wide open, we expect to see an exciting brand of football on Sunday. Teams that are out of the playoff hunt have the tendency to play free and easy on offense. A time to pad the stats for the offseason. While its tough to get fired up defensively just playing out the string. The Giants have their own decisions to make regarding the coaching staff. So they too could create some offensive fireworks. Both teams have the talent to put up points, and the defenses haven’t exactly been trustworthy.PLAY OVER |
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12-20-15 | Cardinals v. Eagles OVER 51 | Top | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
317 Arizona at Philadelphia The Cardinals love to throw the ball deep and have a nice advantage here against a weak Eagles secondary. The Cards are a good offensive fit against this underperforming defense which has been on the field for more time per game than any other in the league.Bradford has been the only Philly signal caller with any success this season. He’s especially good against the blitz, something the Cardinals do more than just about anyone. Therefore we can see both sides moving the ball well here and putting up plenty of points. PLAY OVER |
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12-13-15 | Steelers v. Bengals OVER 50 | 33-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
105 Pittsburgh at Cincinnati We look for this one to be a shootout. It’s an extremely important game for the Steelers who lost to the Bengals in the earlier meeting this season. While Cincinnati is fighting it out with Denver and New England for playoff positioning, the Steelers need this game to increase wildcard chances. If you break down the games that Big Ben started and finished as opposed to games he didn’t its been night and day as far as the offense is concerned. In games he plays all the way through, the Steelers are twice as efficient offensively. While we can’t guarantee he won’t be hurt again this week, we expect his success to continue.Cincinnati has been terrific all season especially offensively. Andy Dalton could very well be the best QB in the league this season. A lot of that has to do with his excellent receiving corps, and lengthy time in the pocket. No lead is safe here as touchdowns will be plentiful.PLAY OVER |
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12-13-15 | 49ers v. Browns OVER 41 | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
111 San Francisco at ClevelandThe 49ers have played Arizona and traveled to Seattle and Chicago the past three weeks, three quality defensive teams. In those games Blane Gabbert is 65 for 102 for 778 yards with a 3 to 1 TD to INT Ratio. The 49ers are last in the league in scoring and yardage, but have improved under Gabbert and its gone unnoticed by the public.The Browns have permitted 37, 33, 30, 31 and 34 points in the last five games. The last four games have come against divisional rivals who know how to defend them. Non-Conference games are higher scoring that conference tilts, especially divisional games. Bad teams with nothing to play for play free and easy at the end of the season. We saw it last week with Jacksonville and Tennessee. We see it this week with the Niners and Browns.PLAY OVER |
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12-06-15 | 49ers v. Bears OVER 43 | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
351 San Francisco at ChicagoThe 49er offense is much better under Blane Gabbert as he has moved the ball well against defenses much better than the one he faces here. The team should find the running lanes a little easier than the ones the team faced against the Seahawks and Cardinals the last two weeks. Chicago in kind will find some spots against a 49er defense that has really struggled on the road. Very surprised to see a total this low involving the Bears who don’t have a dominant defense.PLAY OVER |
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11-29-15 | Patriots v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
274 New England at Denver |
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11-29-15 | Steelers v. Seahawks OVER 45.5 | 30-39 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
271 Pittsburgh at Seattle |
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11-29-15 | Giants v. Redskins OVER 47 | 14-20 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
259 NY Giants at Washington |
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12-14-14 | Miami Dolphins v. New England Patriots UNDER 48 | 13-41 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 52 m | Show | |
316 Miami at New England |
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09-04-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 46 | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
461 Green Bay at Seattle |
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01-19-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 38.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 55 h 0 m | Show | |
303 San Francisco at Seattle
The first two times these clubs met the scoring was very low at 32 and 36 points. But those games were played in the regular season when teams with a lead tend to sit on that lead by running the football and taking time off the clock. We don |
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01-04-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 46 | 44-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
101 Kansas City at Indianapolis
These two teams played just a few weeks ago and the Colts won 23-7 in Kansas City. But Kansas City didn |
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12-29-13 | Detroit Lions v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 51 | 13-14 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
319 Detroit at Minnesota
Both teams will be missing their best offensive weapon here as the Lions will be without Megatron and the Vikings will be missing Adrian Peterson. So why then are we playing this game over? This is a game being played inside in December with two quality scoring units. It |
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12-09-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears OVER 47.5 | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
159 Dallas at Chicago
A lot of money came in on the unders yesterday based on the cold weather forecasts along with snow flurries. While the weather obviously played a major part in Philadelphia with the snow accumulation, overall it wasn |
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12-08-13 | Detroit Lions v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 54.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 69 h 7 m | Show | |
144 Detroit at Philadelphia
The Eagles offensive strength this season has been the running game, but that |
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12-01-13 | Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 49 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
427 Denver at Kansas City
If you watched the first match-up it was clear that the Broncos were putting in an extra blocker to keep the pressure off Manning who was playing with an injured ankle. They relied on the running game to go along with the short passing attack. But now that Manning has had more time to rest and RB Marino is slightly banged up we expect the offense to open up a bit this week. The Chiefs haven |
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11-28-13 | Oakland Raiders v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 46.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
305 Oakland at Dallas
This line has risen a bit from the opener but we expect it to rise even further once the game day bettors get involved. Oakland struggled for the most part offensively early in the season but because of injuries the Raiders had to make a quarterback change. Since that time McGloin and company have been pretty consistent moving the football. Point totals of 28, 20, 20 and 21 the last four games and that was against better defensive teams than what they will face on Thursday. When looking at yards per play for the entire season 3 of the 4 categories offensively and defensively between these two clubs far exceed the league average. If you break down the Oakland offense the last three weeks they too exceed league average. So even though the sample size is lower in this instance the QB change has increased offensive performance, therefore we feel those short term numbers are more predictive. Oakland has had trouble keeping the quarterback upright most of the season, allowing an 11% sack rate. But the last three games have seen a huge drop off to 3% sacks, as the blocking has really improved with a pocket passer. Dallas can move the ball on anyone and the defense is playing without key components. Even when healthy the Cowboy stop unit had many questions. On a short week of preparation we give the edge to the offenses who don |
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