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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-28-23 | Yankees v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
It's been a long time since the Yankees have been this far under .500 at this juncture of the season. Yet, here they sit at 62-67, 19 games back in the AL East. They have lost eight of their last 10 games and have the only negative run differential in the division at -20 runs. Detroit sits third in the AL Central, 7.5 games back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. They can pretty much forget the AL Wildcard as they are 14 games back in that race. The Yankees will start Luis Severino today with a 3-7 record and a 6.97 ERA. He's been horrible on the road, posting a 0-5 record in eight starts and a 9.08 ERA. Reese Olson will toe the rubber for the Tigers with his 2-5 record in 12 starts and a 6.11 ERA. He's allowed 10 runs over his last two starts (7 2/3 innings). With these two starters on the hill today I'll be on the OVER. |
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08-27-23 | Rockies v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
Interleague action has the Colorado Rockies playing on the East Coast at Baltimore. The Rockies have lost six games after dropping the first two of this series at the Orioles. The Orioles have taken both the first two games by the same score, 5-4. The Rockies have been a good over team, with a 8-1-1 O/U mark their last 10 games. The Rockies will start Ty Blach here today who is 1-1 in his six starts with a 3.25 ERA. The Orioles continue to lead the AL East by three games over the Rays. Baltimore has won four straight and seven of their last eight games. They are also 6-3-1 O/U in their last 10 games. Jack Flaherty makes his first start since Aug 15th. He is 8-8 in his 23 starts with a 4.73 ERA. He is coming off a bad start on the 15th where he allowed seven runs over three innings to the Padres. I like this one to go over today. Play OVER. |
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08-26-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
The Guardians are losing ground in the AL Central as the now trail the Twins by six games. The news is even worse in the Wildcard as they are 11.5-games back. As for the Jays, they are in the race for the Wildcard, just 2.5 games back despite losing three straight games. The Guardians will start Logan T. Allen who is 6-6 in his 19 starts with a 3.31 ERA. He's been very good of late, allowing five total runs over his last four starts (23 innings). The Jays will start Hyun-Jin Ryu who is 2-1 in his four games since coming off the DL. Ryu had a rough outing in his first start, allowing four runs over five innings. However, Ryu has gotten his form back since then, allowing no runs over his lat three starts (14 innings). Both starters are very good and I'll be on the UNDER here today. Play UNDER. |
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08-25-23 | Padres v. Brewers -110 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
The Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres begin their set here tonight. The Brewers are in 1st place in the AL Central, three games ahead of the Cubs. The Brewers have won five straight games and seven of their last 10. They will face a Padres team that had huge expectations entering the season but have fallen flat. The Padres are 18 games back of the Dodgers in the AL West and six games back in the NL Wildcard race. While they may have a shot at the Wildcard, they have six teams ahead of them in that race. Yu Darvish starts for the Padres with a 8-9 record in his 23 starts and a 4.35 ERA. He has allowed eight runs over his last two starts (12 innings). Brandon Woodruff will start for the Brewers with a 2-1 record in his five starts and a 2.89 ERA. Woodruff has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his five starts. I like the Brewers here tonight against a struggling Padres club. Play Milwaukee. |
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08-25-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Guardians have lost two straight games and six of their last 10 to drop six games back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. The Toronto Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East with a 70-58 record and have also lost two straight games as these teams begin their new set here on Friday. The Jays are just 1.5 games back in the AL Wildcard race and right now that looks their best avenue to make the postseason. The Guardians will start Tanner Bibee today who is 9-3 in hi 20 starts with a 3.01 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 4-1 in his last seven games with a 2.47 ERA. The Jays will start Chris Bassitt today who is 12-6 with a 3.92 ERA. He's also been good his last seven starts with a 4-1 record and 3.21 ERA. Two very good starters here today should keep this game lower scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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08-24-23 | Rangers v. Twins -117 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
A battle of AL first place teams as the Central leading Twins host the East leading Rangers. The Twins have lost two straight including last night in 10 innings at Milwaukee, 7-8. Their lead over 2nd place Cleveland is 4.5-games. The Rangers lead over the Astros has dropped to one-game after Texas is in the midst of a 6-game losing streak. The Rangers start Andrew Heaney here tonight who is 9-6 in his 24 starts with a 4.27 ERA. The Twins will counter with Pablo Lopez who is 9-6 in his 25 starts and a 3.51 ERA. Lopez has gone three straight starts without allowing a run (19 innings). As long as the Rangers are in this losing skid I will take the Twins and a very hot Lopez here tonight. Play Minnesota. |
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08-23-23 | Rockies v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Tampa Bay has won two straight games and seven of their last 10 games to close back within two games of first place Baltimore Orioles. The Rockies are in last in the NL West and have the second worst run differential in baseball with a -177 mark. The Rockies have lost two straight games and seven of their last 10. Colorado will start Austin Gomber who is 9-9 in his 25 starts with a 5.52 ERA. The Rays will counter with Aaron Civale who is 6-3 in his 16 starts and a 2.44 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 3-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.27 ERA. I'll lay the Run line here today with the Rays. |
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08-22-23 | Reds v. Angels OVER 9 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
This game scratched from Monday because of lingering effects of tropical storm Hillary. They get it underway here tonight. The Cincinnati Reds have lost two straight games and six of their last 10 as they play today in this Interleague game at the LA Angels. The Reds are four games back of the Brewers in the NL Central and now trail the Cubs by one game for 2nd place. The Reds are just one game back in the NL Wildcard race. However, there are six teams all within 1 game of those top two spots. The LA Angels were buyers instead of sellers at the trade deadline as they were within striking distance of a playoff spot. That has change though as they are now in 4th in the AL West, 11.5-games back of the Rangers and 8.5 games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Reds will start Graham Ashcraft today who is 6-8 in his 23 starts with a 4.89 ERA. One of those players the Angels picked up was today's starter Lucas Giolito who has not done well in his short stint with the Halos. Overall he's 7-9 in his 25 starts with a 4.44 ERA. Last seven games he's 1-4 with a 7.12 ERA. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-22-23 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -114 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
AL East battle here on Tuesday has the division leading Baltimore Orioles taking on the third place Toronto Blue Jays. The Jays are 8.5 games back of the O's and have won two straight games and five of their last 10. Baltimore has won three games in a row and seven of their last 10 games. Toronto is also just a half game back in the AL Wild Card race. The Jays will start Yusei Kikuchi today who is 9-4 in his 24 starts and a 3.44 ERA. Grayson Rodriguez will start for the O's with a 3-3 record and 5.44 ERA. That number goes down a bit of late to 4.62 over his last seven starts. What I like most though is that he's allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last five starts. I'm taking the O's at home here tonight. |
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08-21-23 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox look to keep their modest 3-game win streak going here today as they start a set at the Houston Astros. The Sox have also won seven of their last 10 starts and have a plus 36 run differential. While the Red Sox are 11-games back of the Orioles, they are just 3-games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Astros have lost three straight and missed a great opportunity to retake first place in the AL West. The Astros trail the Rangers by just 2.5-games but gained only a half game during the Rangers four-game losing streak. Good news is that Houston holds the 2nd AL Wildcard spot, a half game lead over Seattle. James Paxton starts for the Red Sox today with his 7-3 record in 16 starts and a 3.34 ERA. Those numbers are up of late with a 3-2 record in his last seven starts and a 4.21 ERA. The Astros will start Cristian Javier today who is 8-2 in his 23 starts and a 4.49 ERA. Like the Sox starter, his numbers get worse of late with a 1-1 record in his last seven starts and a 6.37 ERA. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-20-23 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 10 | Top | 3-7 | Push | 0 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Two teams that this time of the year are usually figuring in the playoff picture just playing out the rest of the season at this point. The Mets are 58-66 and 23 games back in the AL East. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are in last in the AL Central. The Mets will start Carlos Carrasco today who is 3-6 on the season with a 6.40 ERA. He's been even worse lf late, going 1-3 in his last seven starts with a 7.18 ERA. The Cardinals will start Dakota Hudson who is 3-0 in his four starts with a 4.15 ERA. Not a lot to see on Hudson, though the team has won all four of his starts. I'm taking the OVER in this one on Sunday. |
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08-19-23 | Pirates v. Twins -1.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
The Minnesota twins opened their series with the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday with a 5-1 win. The Twins now lead the AL Central by five games over the Cleveland Guardians. Minnesota also is the only team in the division with a positive differential of runs at +44. The Pirates have dropped two straight and seven of the last 10 games. They are 11 and 1/2 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. They will start Mitch Keller here today who is 9-8 on the season in his 25 starts with a 4.27 ERA. Keller has been even worse of late going 0-4 in his last seven starts with a 6.35 ERA. Sonny Gray will take the hill for the twins with 6-5 record in 24 starts. Gray has an excellent 2.97 ERA. He's also coming off an excellent start at Philadelphia allowing just two hits and no runs over six innings for the win. I'm taking the twins today on the run line |
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08-18-23 | Pirates v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins are benefiting by arguably the worst division in baseball as they lead the AL Central by 4.5-games over the Guardians despite a 63-59 record. The Twins will take on NL Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates are in 4th in the NL Central with a 54-67 record. They lost yesterday and have dropped six of their last 10 games. The Pirates will start Andre Jackson who makes just his second start. In his first he went 3 2/3 innings vs the Reds and gave up five hits and three runs. The Twins will start Pablo Lopez who is 8-6 in his 24 starts with a 3.66 ERA. He's been very good of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.36 ERA. I'm taking the Twins here today and laying the Run Line. |
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08-17-23 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 10 | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Two teams not heading to the postseason meet here tonight as the St Louis Cardinals host the NY Mets. The Mets are 23.5-games back in the NL East while the Cardinals are in last in the NL Central, 11 games back. The Mets coming off a 2-1 series win over the Pirates and scored 19 runs in the three game set. Jose Quintana starts today with a 0-4 record and 3.03 ERA in his five starts. The Cardinals took two of three at home over the A's, scoring 13 runs in the first two games before getting shutout in game three, 0-8. Adam Wainwright will get the start today with a 3-7 record in his 15 starts and a very high 8.77 ERA. That number is horrible over his last seven starts, as he is 0-6 with a 14.87 ERA. I'm taking these two teams to score plenty of runs and go OVER the total. |
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08-16-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Red-hot LA Dodgers look to run away with the NL West as they now lead the Giants by nine games after a 9-1 run. They beat the Milwaukee Brewers in game one of this series last night, 6-2. The Brewers are 3.5-games in first place in the NL Central. Wade Miley starts today for the Brewers and he's been one of their best this year. Miley is 6-2 in his 15 starts with a 2.90 ERA. He's been better of late, going 3-0 in his last seven starts with a 2.00 ERA. He's also allowed just two total runs over his last three starts (16 innings). Clayton Kershaw makes his second start since coming off the DL. He pitched well in his return to the rotation, going five innings vs the Rockies and allowing just three hits and one run. That win made Kershaw 10-4 on the season with a 2.51 ERA. He's been great at home with a 4-1 record in seven starts and a 1.71 ERA. I like both these pitchers and I'll take the UNDER here tonight at Chavez Ravine. |
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08-16-23 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -140 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
The Toronto Blue Jays look to make it three wins in a row after their win over the Phillies on Tuesday, 2-1. The Jays are 7.5 games back of the Orioles in the AL East. However, they are just two-games back of the Astros in the race for that 2nd Wild Card spot in the AL. Philly has no chance at the NL East, as they trail the Braves by double digits. However, they are in 1st place in the NL Wildcard race, leading the Giants by one game and the Marlins by 2.5-games. Aaron Nola will start today for the Phils. Nola is 9-8 on the season with a 4.49 ERA. He's 5-5 on the road in 14 starts with a 5.15 ERA. The Jays will send Kevin Gausman to the hill. Gausman is 9-6 in his 23 starts with a 3.04 ERA. He's been very good at home with a 3-2 record in 11 starts and a 2.71 ERA. Two very good pitchers, but my nod goes to the Jays in this one. |
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08-15-23 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins took two of three games from the Phillies, outscoring them 11-1 in the last two games of that set after giving up 13 runs in game one. Today, they begin a series with the Detroit Tigers. The Twins have increased their lead to 4.5 games over the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central. The Tigers are in third in the division, 8-games back. The Tigers have no shot for the AL Wildcard as they are 12-games back with eight teams above them. The Tigers start Alex Faedo who is 2-4 in his eight starts with a 5.80 ERA. The Twins start Bailey Ober who is 6-6 in his 19 starts and a 3.40 ERA. I'll go ahead and lay the Run line here today with the Twins. |
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08-15-23 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -101 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays are 66-54 in the AL East but still 8.5-games back of the Baltimore Orioles. Their best shot to make the postseason looks to be the AL Wildcard. The Jays trail the Astros by just 2-games for that second spot. Meanwhile, the Phillies have no shot for the NL East crown as the Braves hold a 11.5-games lead. However, the Phillies are the top NL Wildcard team right now with a 2.5-game lead. The Phils will start Zack Wheeler today who is 9-5 in his 23 starts with a 3.68 ERA. He will take on Yusei Kikuchi who is 9-4 in his 23 starts and a 3.53 ERA. Kikuchi has allowed one or no runs in each of his last five starts (4 total runs over 29 innings). I like the way Kikuchi is pitching. I'll take the Blue Jays tonight. |
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08-14-23 | Mariners -140 v. Royals | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
The Seattle Mariners chasing the Texas Rangers in the AL West. The Mariners are 63-54 and 6.5-games back of first place. Their odds of getting a Wildcard are better as they are just 1.5-games back of one of the two playoff spots with just three teams ahead of them. The KC Royals are 38-81 and a lock for last in the AL Central. They have one of the worst run differentials in baseball with a -160 mark. Brady Singer has been the one bright spot for the Royals this year with a 8-8 mark in his 23 starts and a 5.05 ERA. Those numbers a bit better at home with a 5-4 mark and 4.12 ERA. The Mariners will start one of their best here today in Logan Gilbert. Gilbert is 10-5 in 23 starts with a 3.66 ERA. The M's have won Gilbert's last seven starts. During those seven games Gilbert is 5-0 with a 2.58 ERA. We get a decent price on Seattle here today because of Singer on the hill for the Royals. I'll take the Mariners as they need to beat teams like this to stay in the WildCard race. Play Seattle. |
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08-14-23 | Pirates v. Mets OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
 The Pittsburgh Pirates are 11.5 games back in the NL Central behind Milwaukee Brewers. The news is a bit better in the NL Wildcard race as they sit 8.5-games back. However, with seven teams to climb over that doesn't look good either. The Mets cleaned house before the trade deadline as they sit 22.5 games back of the Braves in the NL East. They have also lost seven of their last 10 games. Little bit of question who the Pirates start today, but for it doesn't matter. I'm taking the over no matter who starts. Quinn Priester looks to be the likely candidate. Priester is 2-1 in five starts with a 8.75 ERA. Carlos Carrasco will start for the Mets with a 3-6 record in his 17 starts and a 6.42 ERA. Either way, either starter, take the OVER. |
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08-13-23 | Padres -134 v. Diamondbacks | 4-5 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres have dropped to 14.5 games back in the NL West as they lave lost six of their last 10 games. Despite their losing record, they still have a plus 58 run differential, which is odd for a losing team. They play the third place Diamondbacks today. Arizona has been one of the worst teams in baseball since the All star break. A big drop for a team that led the division for most of the first half of the season. The Padres start Seth Lugo today who is 4-6 on the season with a 4.19 ERA. Lugo had a excellent run of starts before the Dodgers pounded him for eight runs over 3 1/3 innings his last outing. Before that Lugo had allowed two runs or fewer in six of his last eight starts. Brandon Pfaadt will go for the D'backs and he's still looking for his first win in 11 starts. Pfaadt is 0-6 with a 7.16 ERA. That number is worse at home where he's 0-4 in six starts with a 8.65 ERA. I'm taking the Padres here today. Play San Diego. |
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08-13-23 | Rangers v. Giants -132 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
 The Texas Rangers and San Francisco Giants wrap up their Interleague set here on Sunday. The Giants have lost the first two games of this series, 1-2 on Friday and 3-9 on Saturday. They turn to Logan Webb to salvage game three here today. Webb is 9-9 on the season with a 3.56 ERA. He's been better at home with a 5-4 record and 2.58 ERA. Webb has also allowed just three total runs over his last two starts (12 2/3 innings). The Rangers lead the AL West by 2.5-games over the Astros and have won nine of their last 10 games. Dane Dunning starts today with a 7-4 record in his 17 starts and a 3.59 ERA. He hasn't been as good of late, going 2-3 in his last seven starts with a 4.24 ERA. Looks to be a good game here on Sunday. I just don't see the Giants being swept at home. Take San Francisco. |
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08-12-23 | A's v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
A battle of last place teams here on Saturday has the AL West last place Oakland A's taking on the NL East last place Washington Nationals. The Nationals have a bullpen that has allowed a 5.01 ERA this year. That doesn't bode well for starter Jake Irvin. Irvin is 3-5 on the season with a 5.04 ERA. Irvin has gone into the 6th inning twice in his last six starts. The A's bullpen isn't any better with a 5.48 ERA and a road mark of 6.28. Luis Medina will start for the A's with a 2-7 record and 5.55 ERA. Two average to poor starters and neither backed up with a good pen. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-12-23 | Twins v. Phillies +108 | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Some Interleague action here on Saturday has the 1st place AL Central Minnesota Twins playing at the NL East 2nd place Philadelphia Phillies. The Twins are 3.5-games ahead of the Guardians. However, the Twins have lost four straight games and have a 27-34 away record. The Phillies are 65-52, but trail 1st place Atlanta by 9.5-games. The Phils have won three straight games and seven of their last 10 games. The Twins will start Pablo Lopez who is 7-6 in his 23 starts and a 3.81 ERA. Lopez has been one of the Twins more consistent starters this year, despite his almost .500 record. Taijuan Walker will toe the rubber for the Phillies with his 13-4 record and 4.05 ERA. He's been better at home this year with a 6-1 record (9-2 team record) in his 11 starts and a 3.06 ERA. I'm sticking with the Phillies here on Saturday. |
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08-11-23 | Rangers -105 v. Giants | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The first place Texas Rangers make the trip to the Bay area to take on the NL West 2nd place San Francisco Giants. The Rangers holding onto a slim 2.5 game lead over the Astros. The Rangers have the best run differential in baseball with a +175 mark. The Giants have lost two straight games and fallen to 6.5-games back of the red-hot Dodgers. The Giants have only a +24 run differential this season. Good news for the Giants, they hold the 2nd NL Wild card spot right now by 2.5-games over the Marlins. The Rangers will start Jon Gray today who is 7-5 in his 20 starts with a 3.72 ERA. The Giants will counter with Scott Alexander who is 0-2 in his five starts and a 10.37 ERA. Alexander looks like just an opener at this point as he goes little over one inning of work. I'll take the Rangers here today. |
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08-11-23 | Cubs v. Blue Jays -144 | 6-2 | Loss | -144 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs are just 2.5 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. They are 3-games back of the NL Wild Card. They will take on the AL East Toronto Blue Jays. The Jays are seven back in the division and only 1.5 games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Cubs will start Javier Assad who has just two starts this season with a 5.40 ERA. Toronto starts Jose Berrios who is 9-7 in 23 starts with a 3.37 ERA. He's been slightly better at home with a 2.71 ERA in 10 starts. I'll take the Jays here tonight at home. |
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08-10-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
 Two last place teams face off here today as the last place AL East Red Sox host the last place AL Central Royals. Boston has won two of the three games in this series after Wednesday's 4-3 win. The Sox will start James Paxton who is 6-3 in his 14 starts with a 3.60 ERA. The Royals made a early Thursday pitching change to Austin Cox. Cox is 0-1 in his two starts with a 7.55 ERA. Cox has allowed seven runs in his 8 2/3 innings but has six walks against just six KO's. Cox hasn't made it out of the fifth inning in either start. That likely means the Royals will rely on their pen a lot here today and that has not been good. The pen has a 8.10 ERA over their last seven games and a 5.26 ERA on the season. The Boston bullpen isn't much better, especially lately where they have a 9.00 ERA over the last seven games. This one has all the appearances of an over play today. Play OVER. |
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08-10-23 | Braves -1.5 v. Pirates | 5-7 | Loss | -127 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
Reason: After suffering through a 3-game losing streak, the Atlanta Braves have won two of three vs the Pirates as they play this final game of the set early here on Thursday. The Braves took Wednesday's game, 6-5 and have scored 20 runs in the three games. However, they have also allowed the Bucs to score 18 runs. Bryce Elder starts for the Braves with a 8-3 record in his 22 starts and a 3.43 ERA. The Pirates will start Bailey Falter who is still looking for his first win of the season against six losses. Falter has a 5.40 ERA on the season. I'm taking the Braves and laying the run line here today. |
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08-09-23 | Dodgers -125 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
 The LA Dodgers have won seven of their last eight games after taking Tuesday's opener of this set with the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers gained a game on Arizona, San Diego and the Giants - all of whom lost on Tuesday. LA now leads by five games in the NL West. As for Arizona, this was a team that lead the division for most of the first half of the season. However, since the All Star game, they have the worst record in baseball with just five wins. LA starts Bobby Miller today who is 6-2 in his 12 starts with a 4.26 ERA. He's been excellent on the road with a 4-0 mark in six starts and a 2.61 ERA. The D'backs start Merrill Kelly who is 9-5 in 19 starts with a 3.38 ERA. Arizona has lost three of his last four starts despite good efforts by Kelly. The Diamondbacks just not playing good and the Dodgers look to do no wrong right now. Play LA. |
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08-09-23 | Cubs v. Mets OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs beat the Mets on Tuesday 3-2, snapping a three game over run. They are 59-55 and in 2nd in the NL Central, just 1.5-games back of the Brewers. They are also the only team in the division with a positive run differential (+67). The Mets are just playing out the season as they are 21-games back in the NL East and 7.5 games back in the Wild Card. They have eight teams ahead of them in the Wild Card. And, they cleaned the roster of high priced talent at the trade deadline. Kyle Hendricks starts today for the Cubs with a 4-6 record and 4.21 ERA. That number goes up of late with a 1-3 record in his last seven starts and a 5.44 ERA. He is coming off a game vs the Braves where he went just four innings and gave up eight hits and seven runs. The Mets start David Peterson who is 2-7 in his 12 starts with a 6.12 ERA. Peterson has pitched better of late, going 1-4 in his recent seven starts and a 5.12 ERA. However, neither pitcher all that good and I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-08-23 | Blue Jays -121 v. Guardians | 0-1 | Loss | -121 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
 The Blue Jays took game one of this set with the Guardians on Monday, 3-1. That makes the Jays winning streak at four games as they are seven games back of the Orioles in the AL East. The Blue Jays are one game bac of the Astros for the 2nd Wild Card spot in the AL. The Guardians have lost three straight and eight of their last 10 games. They only trail the Twins by 5.5-games so they aren't out of the race yet. They do trail in the AL Wildcard by 8.5-games with seven teams on top of them. So their best bet looks to catch the Wins right now. Yusei Kikuchi will start for the Jays with a 9-3 record in his 22 starts and a 3.67 ERA. Kikuchi has allowed just three total runs over his last four starts (23 innings). Tanner Bibee will start for the Guardians with a 7-2 record and 3.14 ERA. He's been very good in his last seven starts with a 4-0 record and 1.96 ERA. Both pitchers have been at their best of late, but Toronto so much better of the team. I'll take the visitor in this one. Play Toronto. |
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08-08-23 | Braves v. Pirates OVER 10 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
The Braves and Pirates play game two of this set here on Tuesday as the Bucs took Monday's game from the Braves, 7-6. The Braves have a huge cushion in the AL East as they lead by 10-games over the Phillies. The Braves also have the second best run differential in baseball at +162. The Bucs are fourth in the NL Central, nine games back of the Brewers. They are also 7.5-games back in the NL Wild Card race with a lot of teams in front of them. The Braves will start Yonny Chirinos today who is 2-2 in his six starts with a 6.67 ERA. The Bucs will counter with Mitch Keller who is 9-8 in his 23 starts and a 4.35 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-5 in his last seven starts and a 6.58 ERA. He's allowed 24 runs over his last four starts 21 2/3 innings. Don't expect either of pitchers to be around long. I'm taking the OVER. |
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08-07-23 | Marlins -130 v. Reds | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
Two teams in the thick of the Wild Card race matchup here on Monday. The Marlins are in 5th place, a half game back of both the Cubs and Reds. The Reds are in 3rd place, 3-games back of both the Phillies and Giants. There are seven teams all within three games of the top two wild card spots. The Marlins will start Eury Perez who is 5-3 in his 11 starts with a 2.36 ERA. Perez has allowed one run or no runs in six of his last seven starts. The Reds have lost six straight games as the Washington Nationals came to town and swept Cincinnati. They will turn to Brandon Williamson to snap the losing streak here today. Williamson is 3-2 in his 14 starts with a 4.85 ERA. He's coming off a poor start where he allowed five runs over 4 1/3 innings to the Cubs. I like the matchup here with Perez on the hill. Add to that the slump the Reds are in and I'll take the Marlins. |
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08-06-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 9 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Dodgers and Padres have split the first two games of this four game set from San Diego. The Dodgers used a big, late rally on Friday to win and the Padres returned the favor on Saturday. The Padres trailed 1-3 in the eighth inning before scoring seven runs to win the game, 8-3. That snapped a five-game winning streak by the Dodgers over the Padres. The Padres are now three-games back in the NL Wild Card race. The Dodgers will start newly acquired Lance Lynn. Lynn makes his second start for the Dodgers after beating Oakland in his LA debut, 7-3 for the win. The Padres will also show off their new arm in Rich Hill. Hill brings a 7-10 record over to the Padres with a 4.84 ERA. Both games have been high scoring with 15 runs on Friday and 11 runs on Saturday. The Dodgers have gone over in four straight games while the Padres have seen two of their last three go over. I don't think either of these pitchers will go much past five in this one. I'll take the OVER. |
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08-06-23 | Marlins v. Rangers -122 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers look to extend their winning streak to six games here today as they hold onto first place in the AL West by 2.5-games over the Astros. The Rangers Also have the 2nd best run differential in baseball with a +164 mark. The Miami Marlins are in third place in the NL East, 14 games back of the Braves. However, they are just a half game back in the NL Wild card race, now obviously their only path the playoffs. The Marlins will start Sandy Alcantara who is 4-9 this season in his 22 starts with a 4.27 ERA. Alcantara definitely down this year after that great season he had last year. Andrew Heaney will toe the rubber for the Rangers with a 8-6 record in 21 starts and a 4.36 ERA. Heany coming off a excellent start where he allowed just two hits and no runs over six innings to the White Sox. I'll take the Rangers here. They have this great run differential for a reason and it's their hitting that leads the way. Play Texas. |
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08-05-23 | Pirates v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -124 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
The Milwaukee Brewers lost to the Pirates in game one of this 3-game series, 4-8. Despite the loss, the Brewers hold onto a slim 1/2-game lead in the NL Central. The Reds are right behind them and the CUbs have moved to within 2.5-games. The Cubs are the only team in the division with a positive run differential (+71). The Pirates are in 4th in the division, 9-games back of the Brewers. The Bucs will start Bailey Falter today who is 0-6 in his seven starts with a 5.75 ERA. Falter has allowed nine runs over his last eight innings of work. The Brewers will start Corbin Burnes who is 9-6 in his 22 starts with a 3.44 ERA. He's been better of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.42 ERA. Burnes has not allowed more than two runs in any of his last six starts. I'm taking the Brewers here on Saturday and laying the Run Line. |
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08-05-23 | Rays -136 v. Tigers | 2-4 | Loss | -136 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Rays still sit in 2nd place in the AL East, 2-games back of the Orioles. The Rays won their game with the Tigers on Friday, 8-0. That makes them 6-4 over their last 10 games and a division leading +145 run differential. The Tigers are in 3rd place in the AL Central, eight games back of the Twins and on a 3-7 streak their last 10 games. The Rays will start Aaron Civale today who is 5-2 in his 13 starts with a 2.34 ERA. He's been very good on the road with a 2-1 record in his seven away starts and a 1.66 ERA. Civale has been a model of consistency, not allowing more than two runs in any of his last six games. The Tigers will start Tarik Skubal who is 1-1 in his five starts and a 4.57 ERA. He's allowed 11 runs over his last three starts. Big difference in quality of these two teams from the hitting to pitcher. I'm taking the Rays to keep the pressure on the Orioles. Play Tampa Bay. |
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08-04-23 | Rockies v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
The Rockies travel to St Louis to being this set with the Cardinals. The Rockies have lost two straight games and are in last place in the NL West. They also have the worst run differential (-160) in the National league. The St Louis Cardinals are also in last place in the NL Central. They will send Adam Wainwright to the hill today. Wainwright is 3-5 with a 7.18 ERA in 13 starts. He's 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 8.42 ERA. The Rockies will star Chris Flexen who is 0-5 this year with a 10.71 ERA. Two bad pitchers on two last place teams. That's a recipe for a lot of runs here on Friday. Play the OVER. |
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08-04-23 | Astros -139 v. Yankees | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
 The Astros came up just short in their game with the Yankees on Thursday, losing 3-4. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak for Houston. The Astros trail first place Texas by 1.5-games. The Yankees won their second straight games but still trail first place Baltimore by 10-games. The Astros will start Hunter Brown today. Brown is 7-7 in his 20 starts with a 4.12 ERA. Brown has put good back-to-back starts together, allowing four total runs over 12 innings. The Yankees will counter with Luis Severino who is 2-5 in his his 12 starts with a lofty 7.49 ERA. Those numbers are up over the last seven starts with a 2-4 record and 8.26 ERA. Severino has allowed seven or more runs in three of his last five starts. I'll take the Astros to rebound here on Friday. Play Houston. |
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08-03-23 | Astros v. Yankees -106 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
The Astros and Yankees begin a four game set here tonight from Yankee Stadium. Both teams coming off wins on Wednesday. The Yankees took the last game vs the Rays, 7-2. The Astros coming off a sweep of the Guardians, holding Cleveland to a total of five runs over the set. Houston has also closed to within just a half game of the 1st place Texas Rangers in the AL West. The Yankees still in last place in the AL East, 10-back of the Orioles. Houston starts Cristian Javier tonight who is 7-2 in his 20 starts with a 4.33 ERA. He's struggled a bit of late, going 0-1 in his last seven starts with a 7.02 ERA. The Yankees will turn to Clarke Schmidt tonight who is 7-5 in his last 21 starts with a 4.41 ERA. Schmidt has been very good of late, going 5-0 in his last seven starts with a 3.89 ERA. I'll take the Yankees and Schmidt tonight. |
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08-03-23 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
NL West clash here has the 3rd place Arizona Diamondbacks taking on the 2nd place SF Giants. The Giants have taken the first two games in this series with excellent pitching. The Giants have won six of their last 10 while the D'backs have lost seven of their last 10. Arizona starts Brandon Pfaadt today who is 0-4 in his eight starts with a 8.19 ERA. The Giants start Scott Alexander who is 0-1 in his three starts with a 5.39 ERA. While the first two games have been of a pitching duel, I look for tonight's to have plenty of runs. Take the OVER. |
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08-02-23 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -120 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
The Orioles have won three straight games after their win over the Jays on Monday, 13-3. They maintained their 1.5 lead over the Rays who have also won three straight games. The Blue Jays look to snap a three-game losing streak today as they are 7.5-games back of the O's. The Jays are also two-games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Orioles will start Grayson Rodriguez here today who is 2-2 in his 13 starts with a 6.21 ERA. He hasn't been any better of late, going 1-2 in his last seven starts with a 6.82 ERA. The Jays will counter with Yusei Kikuchi who is 8-3 in his 21 starts and a 3.79 ERA. He has been better of late, going 2-1 in his last seven starts and a 2.82 ERA. I look for the Blue Jays to snap their small losing streak here today. Play Toronto. |
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08-02-23 | Brewers -126 v. Nationals | 2-3 | Loss | -126 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Early action here on Wednesday has NL Central 2nd place Milwaukee Brewers taking on the NL East last place Washington Nationals. The Brewers took Tuesday's game, 6-4 and kept them just a half game back of the Reds in the division. Wede Miley will start for the Brewers with a 6-2 record in his 13 starts and a 3.06 ERA. Miley has allowed just six total runs over his last five starts (26 innings). Mackenzie Gore will toe the rubber for the Nationals. Gore is 6-8 in his 21 starts with a 4.42 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 3-3 in his last seven starts with a 6.03 ERA. I'll take the Brewers as they need to beat these bottom dwellers if they hope to win the division. Play Milwaukee. |
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08-01-23 | Diamondbacks -113 v. Giants | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
NL West division game here as the 2nd place San Francisco Giants take on the 3rd place Arizona Diamondbacks. The D'backs trail the Giants by just one game and the 1st place Dodgers by 3.5 games. That makes this a very important series for both teams. The Giants made some trades this week, acquiring OF AJ Pollock and IF Mark Mathias from the Mariners. They also picked up RHP Marques Johnson from the Boston Red Sox. The Diamondbacks have been more quiet, picking up RP Paul Sewald from the Mariners and IF Jace Peterson from the A's. Zac Gallen starts for the D'backs. Gallen is 11-5 in his 22 starts with a 3.36 ERA. He hasn't been as good on the road with a 2-4 record in his 11 starts and a 4.97 ERA. Alex Cobb will start for the Giants with a 6-3 record in his 19 starts and a 2.97 ERA. He's been very good at home with a 6-2 record in his eight starts and a 1.09 ERA. I'll take the Giants here tonight. |
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08-01-23 | Rays -110 v. Yankees | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
AL East clash here as the NY Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays held first place in the division for all the first half of the season. However, they have fallen 1.5-games back of the Orioles. The Rays have the best run differential by far with a +139. The Jays are the next closest at +51. The Yankees have lost two straight games and are 10-games back of the Orioles. The Rays hold the top AL Wildcard right now with the Yankees 3.5-games back of both the Jays and Astros for that 2nd spot. Zach Eflin will start today for the Rays. Eflin is 11-6 in his 20 starts with a 3.64 ERA. The Yankees will start Carlos Rodon who is 1-3 in his four starts with a 5.76 ERA. I'm taking the Rays here as they look to climb back into that top spot in the division. Play Tampa Bay. |
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07-31-23 | Angels v. Braves -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves have cruise control set as they are 11.5 games ahead of 2nd place Miami in the NL East race. The Braves have won three straight games and six of their last 10 games. They also have a run differential of +151, which is best in baseball. The Angels have been a major player in the trade deadline as many thought they would unload, instead they have been buyers. The Angels are just five games back of the Rangers in the AL West. They are also four games back in the AL Wildcard race. So thoughts in LA are that they will make a push to get one of those playoff spots. The Angels start Griffin Canning today who is 6-4 in his 16 starts with a 4.46 ERA. The Braves counter with Charlie Morton who is 10-8 in his 20 starts and a 3.57 ERA. I like the Braves in this one and by a decent margin. I'll lay the Run Line today with Atlanta. |
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07-31-23 | Brewers -1.5 v. Nationals | 3-5 | Loss | -123 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers three game skid has dropped them into 2nd place in the NL Central, a half game back of the Reds. The Brewers are 57-49 and are tied for the 2nd Wild Card spot with the Marlins. It's a very crowded NL Wild Card race so the Brewers might be better just trying to win their division as this point. The Nationals are in last place in the NL East, 24.5-games back of the Braves. They lost on Sunday and have a -94 run differential. The Brewers start Corbin Burnes today who is 9-6 in his 21 starts with a 3.46 ERA. Burnes has been very good on the road, posting a 5-3 record in his 11 away starts with a 3.00 ERA. In addition, Burnes has allowed just two runs over his last three starts and no more than two runs in any of his last five starts. Jake Irvin will start for the Nats with a 3-5 record in 15 starts and a 5.08 ERA. He's allowed 11 runs over his last three starts (14 2/3 innings). I like the Brewers with Burnes here today. I'll lay the Run Line with Milwaukee. |
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07-30-23 | Cubs +119 v. Cardinals | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs go for the sweep here today against their bitter rivals, the St Louis Cardinals. The Cubs took Thursday's game, 10-3, Friday's game, 3-2, and Saturday's games, 5-1. The Cubs also have a eight game winning streak going. They also are the only team in the NL Central with a positive run differential (+60). The Cardinals have lost three straight and seven of their last 10. They are in last place in the NL Central with a 46-58 record. The Cubs have closed to within 3.5 games of the 1st place Brewers and are three-games back in the Wild Card race. Kyle Hendricks starts today with a 4-4 record in his 12 starts and a 3.58 ERA. Steven Matz will go for the birds with a 1-6 record in his 14 starts and a 4.69 ERA. Not really sure the reasoning behind a 1-6 pitcher and a team in a losing streak being the favorite here today. Oh well, I'm taking the red-hot Cubs. Play Chicago. |
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07-30-23 | Phillies -140 v. Pirates | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -140 | 2 h 1 m | Show |
The Phillies lost to the Pirates on Saturday and that drops them to 11 games back of the Atlanta Braves in the NL East. However, the Phils do hold the 2nd Wild Card spot with Cincinnati and a half game ahead of Miami and Arizona. The Pirates are done, despite leading the division for most of April and May. They are now 10.5 games back of the Brewers in the NL Central and 10 games back in the Wild Card race. Cristopher Sanchez starts today for the Phillies with a 0-3 record in eight starts and a decent 2.98 ERA. He has not allowed more than three runs in any of his starts this year. Rich Hill gets the nod for the Pirates. Hill is 7-10 in his 21 stars with a 4.89 ERA. He's just 1-4 with a 5.89 ERA in his last seven starts. I'm taking the Phillies here today. |
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07-29-23 | Cubs -102 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
The rivalry continues here tonight between these two NL clubs as the Cardinals host the Cubs. The Cubs have taken the first two games of this four-game set with wins on Thursday, 10-3, and then again on Friday, 3-2. The Cubs are only 4.5 games back in the NL Central after winning seven straight games and nine of their last 10 games. The Cardinals are now 11.5 games back in the division after losing two straight and six of their last 10. The Cardinals might be dropping big players here before the trade deadline since they look dead in the playoff picture. The Cubs start Jameson Taillon today who is 4-6 in his 17 starts with a 5.85 ERA. Taillon has been pretty good of late, allowing four total runs over his last three starts (19 2/3 innings). Adam Wainwright starts for the Cubs with a 3-4 record in his 12 starts and a lofty 7.31 ERA. Wainwright has allowed six runs or more in three of his last four starts. I like the Cubs today as they are red-hot and have the better pitcher on the mound. Play St Louis. |
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07-29-23 | Twins -1.5 v. Royals | 7-10 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins look to snap a 3-game losing streak here today at Kansas City. The Twins lost the opening game of this set with the Royals on Friday, 5-8. That has them in 1st place in the AL Central, still one game ahead of 2nd place Cleveland. The Guardians also lost on Friday. The Royals are in last in the Central with a 30-75 record and have lost seven of their last 10 games. The Twins will start Bailey Ober today who is 6-4 in his 16 starts with a 2.76 ERA. He's been very good on the road with a 4-1 record in six starts and a 2.41 ERA. Jordan Lyles will start for the Royals with his 1-12 record in 19 starts and 6.02 ERA. Lyles had a couple of very good starts before getting hit up for nine hits and five runs in his five innings at the Yankees in his last start. I'll take the Twins today and lay the Run Line. |
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07-28-23 | Yankees -119 v. Orioles | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
AL East clash here on Friday has the top team in the Division, Baltimore, taking on last place NY Yankees. However, this is the best division in baseball as every team is at least 6-games over .500 and every team has a plus run differential. The Yankees are 8-games back of the O's. The Yankees will send their Ace, Gerrit Cole to the hill. Cole is 9-2 in his 21 starts with a 2.78 ERA. He's been just as good on the road with a 3-1 away record and 2.59 ERA. Cole has allowed two runs or fewer in seven of his last nine starts. The O's will send Grayson Rodriguez to the hill. Rodriguez is 2-2 in his 12 starts with a 6.91 ERA. That number is worse at home with a 1-2 record and 9.11 in six starts. Come on down, the price is right on the Yankees today. Play New York. |
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07-26-23 | Orioles +107 v. Phillies | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
Interleague action between two close city rivals as the Phillies host the Orioles in the final game of their set. The O's took game one on Monday, 3-2 with the Phils taking game two on Tuesday, 4-3. The rubber game here today. The O's remain in first place in the AL East after overtaking the Rays. They lead by 1.5-games over Tampa Bay. Still the best division in baseball is the AL East with all five teams having winning records and plus run differentials. The Phillies likely eyeing a Wild Card at this point. They are in 2nd in the NL East, but 11.5-games back of the Braves. The Phils are tied for the 2nd wild card spot in the NL with three other teams. Baltimore starts Kyle Bradish here today with a 6-5 record and 3.05 ERA. Bradish has been very good of late, going 4-3 in his last seven starts with a 1.62 ERA. He hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of his last seven starts and has allowed just two runs total over his last three starts. Ranger Suarez starts for the Phils with a 2-5 record and 4.07 ERA. He's allowed 16 runs over his last four starts (22 innings). I like the O's to stay hot especially with Bradish on the hill. Take Baltimore. |
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07-25-23 | Pirates v. Padres -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates not all that long ago where in 1st place in the NL Central. Now, they sit in last place, 11.5-games back of the 1st place Brewers. They have also lost seven of their last 10 games. They did open this three game series with a win vs the Padres on Monday, 8-4. The Padres have been a big disappointment this year and now sit in 4th in the NL West, 10-games back of the Dodgers. Today's starter, Blake Snell, is in the mix for a player that could be traded before the looming MLB trade deadline. While Snell's season has been underwhelming, like the Padres, he's been very good of late. Snell is just 6-8 on the season with a 2.67 ERA. However, he's 4-2 in his last seven starts with a 0.69 ERA. Rich Hill will start for the Pirates with a 7-9 record in his 20 starts and a 4.92 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 6.03 ERA. I'll take San Diego here today and I'll lay the Run Line. |
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07-25-23 | Royals v. Guardians -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 102 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals don't have the worst record in baseball, but that's only because the Oakland A's are in the league. The Royals are 29-73 and 25-games back of the Twins in the AL Central. They also have a -167 run differential. The Guardians are 2nd in the AL Central, four games back of the Twins. The Guardians look to snap a two game losing streak here tonight. Zack Greinke will start today for the Royals with a 1-10 record in his 19 starts and a 5.40 ERA. That number is worse on the road where he is 0-6 in nine starts and a 7.42 ERA. Aaron Civale will toe the rubber for the Guardians with a 3-2 record in 11 starts and a 2.71 ERA. Civale has not allowed more than two runs in any of his last four starts. Big edge here today in pitching and the team to the Guardians. I'll take Cleveland and lay the Run Line. |
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07-24-23 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
 NL Central clash here today has the top two teams in the division playing for first place. The Milwaukee Brewers are in 1st place, but only by a half game over the Reds. The Reds have won five straight games to pull within a half game. Still, both teams have run differentials in the negative values. The Reds will start Graham Ashcraft here today. Ashcraft is 5-7 in his 18 starts with a 5.76 ERA. The Brewers start Colin Rea with a 5-4 record in his 16 starts and a 4.57 ERA. Both teams can hit the ball and neither pitcher is all that good. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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07-23-23 | White Sox v. Twins -142 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
d their lead in the AL Central to 2-games over 2nd place Cleveland. The Twins are the only team in the division with a winning record at 52-48. The White Sox are 4th in the division with a 41-59 record and 11-games back of the Twins. They have lost two straight games and lost seven of their last 10 games. They also have a -75 run differential. Lucas Giolito will start today for the Sox with a 6-6 record in his 20 starts and a 3.96 ERA. His numbers are worse on the road where he is 3-4 in 10 starts with a 5.74 ERA. Bailey Ober will toe the rubber for the Twins with a 6-4 record and 2.74 ERA. Ober has not allowed more than three runs in any of his last six starts. I'll take the Twins here at home on Sunday. |
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07-22-23 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
The Orioles and Rays are tied for 1st place in the AL East as they play this weekend set. The Rays won on Friday 3-0 to pull back into a tie in the division. Grayson Rodriguez will start for the Orioles with a 2-2 record in his 11 starts and a 7.33 ERA. He's allowed 22 runs over his last four starts (16 2/3 innings). The Rays will counter with their best here on Sunday in Shane McClanahan who is 11-1 in his 18 starts with a 2.56 ERA. He's been very good at home with a 5-0 record and 1.89 ERA. I'm taking the Rays here on Sunday and laying the Run Line. |
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07-22-23 | Dodgers v. Rangers +113 | 16-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers and LA Dodgers opened their three game set on Friday with the Dodgers taking the first game, 11-5. The Rangers have still won seven of their last 10 games and remain three games ahead of the Astros for the lead in the AL West. They also have the best run differential in baseball at +160 runs. The Dodgers increased their lead in the NL West over both 2nd place Arizona and third place San Francisco. The Dodgers start Bobby Miller today who is 5-1 in his nine starts with a 4.25 ERA. The Rangers will counter with Dane Dunning who is 6-2 in his 13 starts and a 3.20 ERA. The Dodgers have been installed as the small favorite here today. For me, I'll take the best run differential team in baseball, at home with a good pitcher on the hill. Play Texas. |
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07-20-23 | Padres -112 v. Blue Jays | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
The Padres have won two straight games and six of their last 10 games, but still are 9.5-games out in the NL West behind the Dodgers. They are also 6.5-games back in the NL Wild Card race. The Blue Jays have lost two straight games, but still are just 5.5-games back of the Rays in the AL East. They also hold onto the 2nd spot in the AL Wild Card race. Snell has a 0.66 ERA in his last seven starts and is 4-1. Snell could be the best pitcher in baseball right now as he's allowed just two runs total over his last six starts and just FOUR runs over his last 10 starts. The Jays will counter with Chris Bassitt today. Bassitt has had a fine season thus far with a 9-5 record in his 20 starts and a 4.12 ERA. I expect Snell to have the Padres ahead before he leaves this game and if the bullpen can hold we have a "W." Play Padres. |
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07-19-23 | Padres v. Blue Jays -111 | 2-0 | Loss | -111 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays look to rebound after their throttling they took from the Padres on Tuesday, 1-9. Toronto is 53-42 but in third place in the AL East, 5.5-games back of the Rays. However, the Blue Jays do hold the 2nd spot in the AL Wildcard race by one game. The Padres are still 10.5-games back of the LA Dodgers in the NL West. We could see some big moves leaving the Padres before the trade deadline. The Padres start Yu Darvish today who is 6-6 in his 16 games with a 4.65 ERA. The Jays will counter with Jose Berrios who is 8-6 in his 19 starts and a 3.41 ERA. He's been better at home with a 4-2 record and 2.83 ERA. He's also allowed just one run over his last two starts (12 1/3 innings). I'm going to take the Jays to rebound here on Wednesday. Play Toronto. |
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07-19-23 | Guardians -128 v. Pirates | 5-7 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Cleveland had little issues with the Pirates in game two of their series on Tuesday, winning 10-1. That makes the Guardians having won both games of this set by a combined 21-1 score. Will things change here in the final game of the series? The Guardians are just one game back of the Twins now in the AL Central. Today they will start Aaron Civale who is 3-2 in his 10 starts with a 2.65 ERA. Those numbers are even better on the road where he has a 1.69 ERA In his five away starts. It wasn't that long ago the Pirates where in first place in the NL Central. Now, they are in last, 11-games back of the Brewers and having lost nine of their last 10 games. Rich Hill will start today for the Bucs with a 7-9 record in his 19 starts and a 4.85 ERA. I'm sticking with the Guardians here in the final game of this set. Play Cleveland. |
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07-18-23 | Rays v. Rangers -129 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
A pair of AL first place teams meet again here on Tuesday as the AL East leading Tampa Bay Rays take on the AL West leading Texas Rangers. Texas took game one on Monday 3-2. The Rangers have a 3.5-game lead over the Astros. In addition, they have a +160 run differential. To put that into perspective, the Astros have the 2nd best number in the division with a +51. The Tampa Bay Rays have lost seven of the last 10 games and have the Baltimore Orioles breathing down their backs. Taj Bradley starts for the Rays with a 5-5 record in his 13 starts and a 5.28 ERA. Bradley has allowed 15 earned runs over his last three starts (12 1/3 innings). Nathan Eovaldi will toe the rubber for the Rangers. Eovaldi is 10-3 in his 18 starts with a very nice 2.83 ERA. I like the Rangers to keep winning here on Tuesday. Play Texas. |
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07-18-23 | Dodgers v. Orioles -124 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -124 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
The first place LA Dodgers continue their IL East coast swing here today vs the 2nd place AL East Baltimore Orioles. The Dodgers took game one of his set on Monday with a 6-4 win. Michael Grove will start for the Dodgers with a 0-2 record in his eight starts and a lofty 7.20 ERA. That number goes up in his three road starts to 11.92! Tyler Wells will start for the O's with a 7-4 record in his 17 starts and a 3.34 ERA. That number goes down more at home with a 2.57 ERA. Grove might be a good prospect, but I like the O's and Wells here on Tuesday. Play Baltimore. |
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07-17-23 | Tigers -124 v. Royals | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The Detroit Tigers are just 41-51 but by virtue of playing in the worst division in baseball, trail the Twins by just six runs. This is their best option since they trail in the Wildcard by 10-games with many teams to jump over. The Royals are last in the division with a 27-67 record and have lost eight of their last 10 games. The Royals also have the 2nd worst run differential in baseball with a -158 mark. The Tigers start Matt Manning today who is 3-1 in his five starts with a 3.72 ERA. The Royals will counter with Jordan Lyles who is 1-11 in his 17 starts with a 6.24 ERA. Lyles and the Royals are not good and even though the Tigers aren't great either, I'll take them here today with Manning on the hill. Play Detroit. |
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07-17-23 | Dodgers v. Orioles OVER 9 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The Dodgers dropped their third game vs the Mets on Sunday in extra innings, 1-2, snapping their six-game winning streak. The streak did put the Dodgers back into first place with a 1.5-game lead over the Giants and 2-games over Arizona. The Orioles are still chasing Tampa Bay in the AL East, now just one-game back of the Rays. The O's are the top AL Wild Card team too, holding a nice six-game cushion. LA will start Emmet Sheehan today who is 2-0 in his four starts with a 4.35 ERA. That number goes up in his one road start to 5.40 ERA. The O's start Grayson Rodriguez today who is 2-2 in his 10 starts with a 7.35 ERA. That number is 9.56 ERA in his five home starts. I look for plenty of runs to be scored here today. Play the OVER. |
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07-16-23 | Marlins v. Orioles -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
The Miami Marlins look to be a longshot to catch the Braves in the AL East as they are now 9.5-games back. However, the Marlins do have the top spot in the NL Wild Card race by 1-game. The Orioles have closed the gap with 1st place Tampa Bay to just 2-games thanks in big part to a 7-game winning streak. The Marlins will start Steven Okert here today. Okert will make his first start of the season. Okert moves from the pen after a 2.43 ERA and 46 K's this season. Wheather or not his role is that of an opener today remains to be seen, but is likely. The Orioles will start Kyle Bradish who is 5-4 in his 16 starts with a 3.32 ERA. He's been a bit better at home in his seven starts with a 2.81 ERA. Bradish has also not allowed more than two runs in any of his last five starts. I'll lay the Run line here today with the hot Orioles. |
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07-15-23 | Red Sox +104 v. Cubs | Top | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
Interleague action here on Saturday has the Boston Red Sox visiting Wrigley field to take on the Cubbies. These two teams opened the 2nd half of the season on Friday with Boston taking the game, 8-3. Bost has now won six games in a row and nine of their last 10 games to move into a last place AL East tie with the Yankees, both teams at 49-43. The Cubs are in 3rd in the NL Central with a 42-48 record, seven games back of the Brewers. The Cubs have lost six of their last 10 games. James Paxton will start for the Red Sox with a 5-1 record in his 10 starts and a nice 2.73 ERA. Paxton is 4-0 in his last seven starts with a 1.93 ERA. The Cubs will start Marcus Stroman who is 9-6 in his 19 starts with a 2.96 ERA. Stroman struggled into the break, giving up 15 runs over his last three starts (14 innings). I'm going to take the Sox here today with a very good Paxton on the hill. |
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07-15-23 | Padres -129 v. Phillies | 4-6 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
First game of a doubleheader here on Saturday morning has the San Diego Padres taking on the Philadelphia Phillies. The Padres opened the 2nd half of the season with a win over the Phillies on Friday, 8-3. The Padres are 8.5 games back of the Dodgers in the NL West despite winning three straight games and seven of their last 10 games. The Phillies are 13 games back of the Braves in the NL East after losing their third straight game. As for the NL Wildcard race, the Phillies are 1.5 games back and the Padres are six games back. The Padres will start Blake Snell today who is 6-7 in his 18 starts with a 2.85 ERA. Snell has been very good of late, going 5-1 with a 0.64 ERA over his last seven starts. The Phillies start Ranger Suarez who is 2-4 in his 11 starts with a 3.77 ERA. That number goes up at home where he is 0-2 in his five starts with a 5.92 ERA. I like the way the Padres are playing and Snell has been as good as anyone of late. Play San Diego. |
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07-14-23 | Guardians +123 v. Rangers | 4-12 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
A pair of 1st place teams meetup here to start the 2nd half of the season. The Cleveland Guardians are in 1st in the AL Central, a half game ahead of the Twins. The Texas Rangers are in 1st in the AL West, 2-games ahead of the Astros. The Rangers finished the 1st half of the season by losing two straight and seven of their last 10. Aaron Civale will start for the Guardians today with a 3-2 record in his nine-starts and a 2.56 ERA. He's been even better in his four road starts with a 1.25 ERA. In addition, he's allowed just one run over his last two starts (both wins) over 13 innings. Jon Gray will toe the rubber for the Rangers. Gray is 6-5 in 16 starts with a 3.29 ERA. At home Gray is 2-3 with a 4.27 ERA. Gray has also allowed eight runs over his last two starts (12 innings). I like Cleveland here today with Civale on the hill. |
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07-14-23 | Padres v. Phillies +101 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
The 2nd half of the MLB season starts today and two teams that both have ground to make up are the Padres and Phillies. The San Diego Padres won their last two games of the 1st half of the season. They are 5.5-games back of the Dodgers and Diamondbacks in the NL West. The Phillies are in 3rd in the NL East, 12-games back of the Braves. The Phillies do have a plus run differential though of +9. Yu Darvish starts today for the Padres with a 5-6 record in his 15 starts and a 4.87 ERA. That number goes up on the road to 6.16 ERA. Cristopher Sanchez will start for the Phils with a 0-2 record in his five starts and a 2.84 ERA. Sanchez has pitched well of late, allowing just two earned runs over his last two starts (12 innings) and five runs over his last four starts (21 innings). I'll take Sanchez at home today over the Padres. |
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07-11-23 | National League v. American League UNDER 7.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
This series has been a under series for a long time now. The Oddsmaker has dropped this number to 7.5 under knowing just that. So there isn't a lot of value left in the number since you don't find many games under at least a 7 any more. Last year the AL won 3-2, going UNDER. In 2021 the AL won 5-2 with the UNDER or some pushes. No game was played in the 2020 Covid year. In fact, only the 2018 game (14 runs) and the 2014 (8 runs) and 2015 game (9 runs) have really been higher scoring games. Five of the last six games would have gone under this posted total tonight. For me, not a lot of value in any of the lines, but for fun we'll take the UNDER tonight. Play UNDER. |
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07-07-23 | Mets +116 v. Padres | 7-5 | Win | 116 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
Baring any kind of miracle 2nd half turn around, the NY Mets likely won't be going to the playoffs this year as they are in 4th place in the NL East, 18-games back of the Braves. They sit a more manageable 7-games back in the NL Wildcard standing. However, they have a lot of teams in front of them to get there. The Padres are a big disappointment this year as they are 6.5-games back in the NL Wild card race and nine games back of the Diamondbacks in the NL West. The Mets will start Justin Verlander whose season has mirrored the Mets. Verlander is just 3-4 in his 11 starts with a 3.66 ERA. He's been better at home with a 2-2 record in six starts and a 2.19 ERA. The Padres will start Yu Darvish who is 5-6 in his 14 starts and sports a 4.84 ERA. Darvish has allowed 14 runs over his last three starts (15 1/3 innings). The Mets manhandled the Diamondbacks on Thursday and I look for another win here on Friday at San Diego. Play the Mets. |
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07-07-23 | Reds +109 v. Brewers | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers battle it out in the NL Central for first place. The Reds hold a two-game lead over the Brewers and have a five-game winning streak as they begin this big series. The Brewers are coming off a win on Thursday and have won six of their last 10. Strangely, both teams have negative run differentials though. Andrew Abbott looks to keep his record perfect as he's 4-0 in his six starts with a nifty 1.21 ERA. That number is even better on the road at 0.51 in his three away starts and good for a 3-0 record. Corbin Burnes will toe the rubber for the Brewers with a 6-5 record and 4.00 ERA. Burns settle down last start after allowing 11 runs over a two game stretch (10 2/3 innings) to deliver a find one hit performance vs the Pirates to get the win. Until Abbott shows he more human, I'll stick with him here today at the small dog price. Play Cincinnati. |
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07-06-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | 6-10 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox have split the first two games of this series with the Rangers taking game one and the Sox taking game two yesterday, 4-2. Both gams have gone under. The Rangers lead in the AL West has dropped to 2-games over the surging Houston Astros. The Red Sox have climbed over the .500 mark in the AL East at 44-43. Every team in the AL East has a winning record and plus run differential. The Rangers will start Nathan Eovaldi today who is 10-3 in his 17 starts with a 2.64 ERA. He's coming off a very nice start over Houston where he allowed no runs over seven innings for the win. Kutter Crawford will toe the rubber for the Red Sox with his 3-3 record in eight starrts and 5.30 ERA. If you throw out the seven runs in his first start, he hasn't allowed more then four runs in any start. Moreover, he's allowed two runs or fewer in five of those eight starts. I'm going to take UNDER here today with two above average pitchers. Play UNDER. |
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07-06-23 | Cardinals v. Marlins -115 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Miami rallied late last night to take another game from the Cardinals, 10-9. That makes three straight with the final game of this set here today and the fish looking for a sweep. Miami has scored 30 runs over the three games while holding the Cards to 15 runs. Miami will start Eury Perez today who looks to rebound from a horid outing last time where he allowed seven hits and six runs over just a third of an inning pitched. That terrible outing was so out of character, because he had just come off a stretch where he allowed one earned run over six starts (33 innings). Even with those seven runs allowed in less than an inning, Perez has a 5-2 record and 2.47 ERA. That number is even better at home where he has a 3-0 record and 1.01 ERA. St Louis starts Jack Flaherty today who is 5-5 in his 16 starts with a 4.61 ERA. The Cardinals terrible season continues as they likely will be dumping talent as the trade deadline looms. I'm going to take Perez to rebound here today and the Marlins to sweep the series. Play Miami. |
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07-05-23 | Pirates v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
The Pirates and Dodgers have split the first two games of this series from LA with the Dodgers taking game one and the Pirates game two on Tuesday, 9-7. The Dodgers are back in 2nd place in the NL West, 2.5-games back of the Diamondbacks. Despite going just 5-5, the Dodgers have gained some ground thanks to a 4-6 run by the Diamondbacks. The Pirates have passed the Cubs in the NL Central as they moved into third place, 6.5-games back of the Reds. Osvaldo Bido will get his fifth start of the season here on Wednesday. Bido is 0-1 with a 4.74 ERA. The Dodgers will counter with Bobby Miller who is 4-1 in his seven starts and a 4.23 ERA. That number goes up a bit at home to 5.81. Neither pitcher all that great with the ERA and for me that's an OVER play here on Wednesday. |
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07-05-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
 The 1st Place Texas Rangers are 51-35 and have 4-6 over their last 10 games. They won yesterday over the Red Sox, 6-2. The Rangers have the best run differential in baseball at +159 runs. The Red Sox are 43-43 and in last in the AL East. They have lost six of their last 10 and like every other team in the AL East, they have a positive run differential. The Rangers will start Jon Gray tonight with his 6-4 record in 15 starts and a 3.21 ERA. His road numbers are even better at 4-1 in seven starts with a 1.99 ERA. Brayan Bello will start today for the Sox. Bello is 5-5 with a 3.08 ERA. He's been excellent of late, allowing just three total runs over his last three starts (20 2/3 innings). I like both these pitchers tonight and will go with the UNDER. |
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07-04-23 | Cardinals v. Marlins -1.5 | 2-15 | Win | 122 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Reason: St Louis still floundering in last place in the NL Central division with a 35-48 record and 10.5-games back of the Milwaukee Brewers after losing to the Marlins on Monday, 4-5. Miami having a very nice season as they are 49-37. However, that's only good for second in the NL East and 9-games back of the Braves. However, the silver lining is that the Marlins are the top Wild Card team at the moment with a 1.5-game cushion. The Cardinals will start Adam Wainwright here today with his 3-3 record and 7.45 ERA. Things haven't been good for Wainwright of late either, allowing 13 runs over his last two starts (4 2/3 innings). The Marlins will start Jesus Luzardo today who is 6-5 in his 17 starts and a 3.53 ERA. That ERA improves at home to 2.65 in his nine starts. I like the Marlins again here on Tuesday, but today I'll lay the Run Line with them. |
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07-03-23 | Cardinals v. Marlins -126 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
St Louis still floundering in last place in the NL Central division with a 35-48 record and 9.5-games back of the Milwaukee Brewers. The Cardinals won on Sunday and have gone 5-5 their last 10 games. Miami having a very nice season as they are 48-37. However, that's only good for second in the NL East and 9-games back of the Braves. However, the silver lining is that the Marlins are the top Wild Card team at the moment with a 1.5-game lead. St Louis will start Miles Mikolas who is 4-5 in his 17 starts and a 4.44 ERA. Mikolas has allowed 18 runs over his last four starts (24 2/3 innings). Miami starts Braxton Garrett who is 4-2 in his 15 starts with a 3.43 ERA. Garrett has been very good over his last four starts with just three runs allowed over 23 2/3 innings. I like the Marlins today, especially with Garrett on the mound. Play Miami. |
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07-03-23 | Cubs v. Brewers +100 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs are watching their season slowly run away as they have lost two straight and six of their last 10. The Cubs now sit in 4th place in the NL Central with a 38-44 record. Milwaukee is tied for first place in the division after winning two straight and seven of their last 10 games. Drew Smyly will start for the Cubs with a 7-5 record in his 16 starts and a 4.17 ERA. Smyly is coming off his worst start of the season where he allowed nine hits and seven runs over just 3 2/3 innings vs the Phillies. Julio Teheran will go for the Brewers with his 2-3 record after seven starts and a 2.85 ERA. That number goes down at home where he is 1-1 in four starts and a 1.57 ERA. Teheran also coming off his worst start of the season. Both pitchers looking to rebound here today, but I look for that to be Teheran and the Brewers. |
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07-02-23 | Padres v. Reds -140 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
The Padres snapped their losing skid with their win over the Reds on Saturday. Still, that was only their third win in their last 12 games. San Diego still hasn't announced their starter for today's contest. Yu Darvish looks to be a candidate with his 5-6 record and 4.84 ERA. The loss by the Reds yesterday, couple with a Brewers win, have the two teams both with 44-39 records and tied for first in the NL Central. The Reds will start Andrew Abbott today who is 4-0 in his five starts with a 1.21 ERA. Abbott has allowed no runs in three starts, one run and three runs. I'll take the Reds today against any San Diego starter. |
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07-01-23 | Guardians v. Cubs -133 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -133 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
Interleague action here on Saturday has the Cleveland Guardians taking on the Cubs from Wrigley Stadium in Chicago. The Cubs took the first game on Friday in easy fashion, 10-1. The Guardians have now lost two straight games and have dropped to one-game back of the Twins in the AL Central. In fact, the AL Central is the only division in baseball where no team has a .500 or better record. While the Cubs are in fourth place in the NL Central, they are also the only team in the division with a positive run differential (+32). The Guardians will start Tanner Bibee who is 4-2 in his 11 starts with a 3.79 ERA. Those numbers aren't as good on the road where he is 1-1 in five away starts with a 5.68 ERA. Marcus Stroman will toe the rubber for the Cubbies. Stroman is 9-5 in his 17 starts with a nifty 2.47 ERA. He's 5-3 at Wrigley with a 2.25 ERA. I like the Cubs once again here on Saturday. Play Chicago. |
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07-01-23 | Brewers v. Pirates +123 | 11-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
 Key NL Central clash here today between 2nd place Milwaukee and third place Pittsburgh. The Pirates slide seems to have corrected itself as they have won four straight games. The Brewers are 43-39 and one game back of the Reds. The Pirates are 4.5 games back of the Reds. Corbin Burnes starts for the Brewers with his 5-5 record after 16 starts and a 4.10 ERA. Burnes has been hit pretty hard lately, giving up 11 runs over his last 10 2/3 innings. Johan Oviedo will toe the rubber for the Pirates. Oviedo is 3-8 in his 16 starts with a 4.06 ERA. However, unlike Burnes, he's allowed just three runs over his last two starts (13 innings). The Pirates as Oviedo seem to be playing much better so I'll take them here today. |
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07-01-23 | Marlins +156 v. Braves | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
 The two best teams in the NL East face off here on Saturday as the 1st place Braves host the 2nd place Marlins. The Braves sit comfortably in first place at 54-27 and 7-games ahead of the Marlins. The Marlins are 48-35 and hold the top spot in the NL Wild Card standings, 1.5-games ahead of the Dodgers. Eury Perez gets the start for the Marlins today. Perez has been very good this year at 5-1 and a great ERA of just 1.34. He's been even better in his last seven starts, going 4-1 with a 0.96 ERA. Perez has not allowed a run over his last three starts and four of his last five starts. Charlie Morton gets the ball for the Braves. Morton is 7-6 in his 15 starts with a 3.81 ERA. Ok, the Braves are the top dog in the division. But is there a better pitcher right now in baseball than Perez? I'll take a nice shot here today with Perez and the fish. Play Miami. |
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06-30-23 | Giants -118 v. Mets | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
The San Francisco Giants continue to hold onto 2nd place in the NL West, 2.5-games back of the Diamondbacks. The Giants have won seven of their last 10 games, though they did drop yesterday's game to Toronto, 1-2. Now they begin a set against the reeling NY Mets. The Mets have dropped to four place in the NL East, 17-games back of the Braves. The Mets horrific first half say them drop another game on Thursday as a big favorite to the Brewers. They have lost four of their last five and are 18-24 their last 42 games. Alex Cobb will start today for the Giants with a 5-2 record and a 3.09 ERA. He will be opposed by the Mets Carlos Carrasco. Carrasco is 2-3 in his 10 starts with a 6.19 ERA. That number has gone up at home with a 8.19 ERA. The Mets are finding ways to lose these days and the Giants continue to challenge in the NL West. Take San Francisco. |
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06-30-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Reason: The Boston Red Sox have dropped four straight and six of their last 10 to fall below the .500 mark at 40-41. They are the only team in the AL East to fall below .500. Though all five teams still have positive run differentials. The Blue Jays are just one spot ahead of the Sox at 44-37 and 10 back of the Rays. They are coming off a win over the Giants on Thursday, 2-1. The Sox will James Paxton who is 3-1 in his eight starts with a 3.19 ERA. Jose Berrios will start for the Blue Jays with a 8-5 record in his 16 starts and a 3.60 ERA. That number goes down at home where he is 4-1 in six starts and a 2.48 ERA. Both pitchers are solid here today and I'll be on the UNDER in this one. |
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06-29-23 | Marlins v. Red Sox -102 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
The Miami Marlins have won four straight games and seven of their last 10 games. They are in 2nd place in the NL East, 6.5-points back of the Atlanta Braves. The Boston Red Sox play in the best division in baseball. They are 40-41 and in last place in the division but still have a positive run differential. Miami will start Jesus Luzardo today who is 6-5 in his 16 starts with a 3.77 ERA. That number goes up on the road to 5.45 ERA. The Sox will counter with Brayan Bello who is 5-4 in his 12 starts and a 3.27 ERA. Bellow has allowed just two runs over his last two starts (13 2/3 innings). Moreover he's allowed more than two runs just one time in his last 10 starts. I like the way Bello has pitched of late and will take the Red Sox here at this good price. Play Boston. |
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06-28-23 | Reds v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds took Tuesday's contest from the Baltimore Orioles even with a slight rain delay, 3-1. The Reds continue to hold onto 1st place in the NL Central with a 42-38 record and 1/2 game lead over the Brewers. The Reds are the only 1st place team in baseball with a negative run differential as their sits at -20 runs. The AL East 2nd place Orioles have a +30 run differential as they chase first place Tampa Bay. Good news is they sit atop the Wild Card standings in the AL with a 5.5-game lead over the Yankees and Angels. The Reds will start Luke Weaver here today. Weaver is 1-2 in his 12 starts with a lofty 6.86 ERA. Moreover, he's allowed 10 runs over his last 8 1/3 innings. The O's will counter with Kyle Gibson who is 8-5 in his 16 starts and a 4.30 ERA. Gibson has allowed eight runs over his last nine innings. I look for a lot of runs scored in this matchup. I'll be on the OVER. |
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06-27-23 | Astros -104 v. Cardinals | 2-4 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
 St Louis makes the long trip back from London, England after their set with the Cubs. This could be an issue with time changes and long trips. They will face the Astros who will start Framber Valdez who is 7-5 in his 15 starts with a nifty 2.27 ERA. Valdez has allowed over two runs just twice in his last nine starts. Jordan Montgomery makes the start for the Cardinals today. He hasn't been very good with a 4-7 record in his 15 starts and a 3.69 ERA. That number goes up a bit at home to 4.62 ERA. I'm taking the Astros here today not only because they are the better team with the better starter, but also because of the Cardinals long trips in recent days. Play Houston. |
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06-27-23 | Brewers +133 v. Mets | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
The Milwaukee Brewers took game one of this series with the Mets on Monday, 2-1. The Brewers are just holding onto first place in the NL Central with a half game lead over the Reds. The Brewers have won two straight games and seven of their last 10 games. The Mets slide continues as they have lost two straight and seven of their last 10 games to drop to 4th in the NL East. They are 35-43, 16 games back of the Braves. The Brewers will start Julio Teheran today who is 2-2 in his six starts with a nifty 1.53 ERA. Teheran has yet to allow more than two runs in any of his six starts this season. The Mets will start David Peterson. Peterson has struggle in his eight starts, going 1-6 with a 8.08 ERA. He's allowed 21 runs over his last 18 1/3 innings. I like Teheran a lot here today and yet he's a dog to a struggling team and terrible pitcher. Play the Brewers. |
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06-27-23 | Reds +129 v. Orioles | 3-1 | Win | 129 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Reds and Baltimore Orioles play game two of their IL set here on Tuesday. The O's took game one on Monday, 10-3. After a huge run that saw the Reds take over 1st place in the NL Central, they have lost three straight games to drop back into 2nd place, a half game back of the Brewers. The Orioles continue to chase Tampa Bay in the AL East, baseball's toughest division. The O's have a solid hold right now on a Wild Card spot though at 48-29. In fact, that record would be good for first place in every division in baseball except the AL East and NL East. The Reds will start Andrew Abbott here on Tuesday. Abbott is 3-0 in his four starts with a very nice 1.14 ERA. Moreover, in his two road starts he's 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA over 11 2/3 innings. Tyler Wells will counter for the O's here today. Wells is 6-3 in his 14 starts with a 3.42 ERA. Both pitchers have had excellent success and both teams are very good. I'll take a shot though with the dog in this game. Play Cincinnati. |
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06-25-23 | Twins -118 v. Tigers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins have lost six of their last 10 games but still hold onto 1st place in the AL Central with a 39-39 record. They are also the only team in the division with a .500 or better record and a positive run differential (+31 runs). The Tigers are 3rd in the division with a 33-42 record, 4.5-games back of the Twins. They have won six of their last 10 games. Bailer Ober will start today for the Twins with a 4-4 record in his 11 starts and a 2.83 ERA. That number goes down more on the road where he is 2-1 in three starts with a 1.96 ERA. The Tigers will send Michael Lorenzen to the mound today. Lorenzen is 2-5 in his 12 starts with a 4.00 ERA. I like the Twins here today with the better starter on the hill. Play Minnesota. |
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06-25-23 | Cubs -140 v. Cardinals | 5-7 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
 Early start from London, England as the Chicago Cubs and St Louis Cardinals meet for the second game in this series. The Cubs took game one on Saturday, 9-1. The Cardinals are in last place in the NL Central with a 31-45 record and 9.5-games back of the Reds. The Cubs are in 3rd place with a 37-38 record and 3-games back of the Reds. The Cubs start their best pitcher this season in Marcus Stroman who is 9-4 in his 16 starts with a nifty 2.28 ERA. In addition, he has not allowed more than two runs in any of his last seven starts. The Cardinals will counter with Matthew Liberatore who is 1-2 in his five starts and a 5.63 ERA. His is 0-2 on the road with a 9.00 ERA. I like the Cubs again here on Sunday to take this game from their rivals. Play Chicago. |
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06-24-23 | Brewers v. Guardians -114 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
IL Action here today has the Milwaukee Brewers travelling to Cleveland to face the Guardians. The Brewers are in 2nd place in the NL Central, 1.5 games back of the Reds. Cleveland is also in 2nd place in the AL Central, two games back of the Twins. The Brewers will start Freddy Peralta who is 5-6 in his 14 starts with a 4.60 ERA. That number goes up on the road where he's 1-3 in five starts and a 6.04 ERA. Tanner Bibee will toe the rubber for the Guardians. Bibee is 3-2 in his 10 starts with a 4.05 ERA. That number is better at home where he is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA. I'll be taking the Guardians at home here today. |
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06-24-23 | Red Sox -108 v. White Sox | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
The Boston Red Sox play in the toughest division in baseball. It's the only division where all five teams have winning records and all five teams have positive run differentials. The Red Sox might be in last place, 12 games back of the Rays, but they have won seven of their last 10 games and have a 40-37 record. Not bad for a last place team. The White Sox play in one of the worst divisions Only division leading Minnesota has a winning record and that's barely at 39-38. The Twins are the only team that has a positive run differential also. The White Sox are in 4th place with a 32-45 record, seven games back of 1st place. The Sox start Lance Lynn with a 4-8 record and 6.51 ERA. James Paxton will go for the Red Sox with a 3-1 record in seven starts and a 3.28 ERA. Everything for me lines up on the visitors in this one. Play Boston. |
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06-24-23 | Diamondbacks -108 v. Giants | 6-7 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
The top two teams in the NL West meet here today as the first place D'backs take on the 2nd place Giants from San Francisco. The Giants have been surging in the NL West, winnings of nine of their last 10. They over took the Dodgers for 2nd and now trail Arizona by just 2.5-games. The Giants will start an opener here today with Ryan Walker. Don't expect Walker to go much past the first inning. In his previous two starts he's gone one inning and 1 2/3 innings. Arizona will start one of their best in Merrill Kelly. Kelly is 9-3 in his 15 starts with a 3.10 ERA. He's been even better on the road with a 6-0 record in seven starts and a 1.98 ERA. I'll take the D'backs here in game one of this key NL West series. |
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06-23-23 | Astros +130 v. Dodgers | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros try to close the gap in the AL West as they sit in 2nd place in the division, 5.5-games back of the Rangers. The Astros have won two straight games as they begin this set at the Dodgers. The Dodgers just swept intracity rival, LA Angels. That coming after they themselves were swept at home by the Giants. The Dodgers have thus dropped to third in the NL West, 4-games back of the Diamondbacks. The Astros will start J.P. France today. France is 2-2 in his eight starts with a 3.42 ERA. Emmet Sheenan became the third rookie to make his major league debut for the Dodgers this season. He went six no-hit innings in his MLB Debut last Friday vs the Giants. Sheehan should make at least one more start here tonight before maybe going back to the minors. The way the Dodgers bullpen has performed, you just can't trust them. I'll take Houston here tonight. |
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06-23-23 | Brewers v. Guardians UNDER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers held 1st place for most of the season in the NL Central. However, a 11-game win streak by the Reds now has them 1.5 games back of Cincinnati. The Brewers hope to get back to their winning ways with Wade Miley taking the hill today. Miley is 4-2 in his nine starts with a 3.28 ERA. Miley has allowed just one run over his last two starts. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Guardians have closed to just one-game of the Twins in the AL Central. The Guardians have won four straight games. Shane Bieber will toe the rubber today for the Guardians. Bieber is 5-4 in his 15 starts with a 3.50 ERA. He had his one-run streak of 12 2/3 innings busted last start after allowing five runs over 7 1/3 innings. Despite the poor outing, I still like this game UNDER today. I expect both pitchers to put up good numbers. Take UNDER. |
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06-23-23 | Mets v. Phillies -114 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
NL East battle here on Friday has the Mets and Phillies meeting in Philadelphia. The Phillies are in third place in the division with a 38-36 record while the Mets are in 4th with a 34-40 record. Both teams come into today's series opener losers of two straight games. The Mets will start Kodai Senga who is 6-4 with a 3.53 ERA in his 13 starts. That number goes up on the road as his ERA jumps up to 4.78. Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Phils with a 7-3 record in his 15 starts and a 4.31 ERA. He's much better at home with a 3-0 record in six starts and a 2.25 ERA. In addition, Walker has allowed just one total run over his last three starts (20 innings) with 21 KO's and 5 walks. I like Walker a lot here on Friday. Play Philadelphia. |
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