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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-16-22 | Raptors +5 v. 76ers | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors had a fine season, finishing 48-34 and right behind Philly in the Atlantic division. The Raptors finished the regular season with a loss at the Knicks, 94-105. However, they did go 14-4 S/U and 12-6 ATS their last 18 games. Philly finished 51-31 and tied for first in the division with the Boston Celtics. While Philly won five of their last six games, they only covered two of those. The Raptors have covered the last four games in this series with the Sixers. I'll take the points and Raptors here in game one. |
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04-16-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 130-117 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
The Timberwolves and Grizzlies begin their best of seven series here today at Memphis. The T'Wolves split their last four games 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS. The Wolves are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a dog. They are also 3-8 ATS their last 11 rod games vs a team with a winning home record. Memphis finished the regular season with a loss to the Celtics, 110-139 in what was a meaningless game for the Grizzlies. Still, they would like to get back to the streak that saw them win seven straight games. Unlike Minnesota, Memphis has been hot vs the number. They are 17-4 ATS their last 21 games at home. They are 14-3 ATS their last 17 as a home favorite. They have also dominated the T'Wolves of late, covering the last 16 of 21 meetings. They are even better at Memphis, going 24-8 ATS their last 32 vs the T'Wolves. I'm taking Memphis here in game one. |
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04-16-22 | Diamondbacks v. Mets -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
The Mets continue to play well and their pitching staff continues to dominate. The Mets punished Arizona on Friday to the tune of a 10-3 win. Only one Mets starter has a ERA of 3.00 or higher and that's Max Scherzer who has a 3.27 ERA. Arizona is just 2-5 and lost five of their last six games. Zac Gallen makes his first start of the season for the D'backs. Gallen was 4-10 last year with a 4.30 ERA. Don't expect Gallen to make much difference here today against the Mighty Mets. I'll lay the Run Line like I did yesterday with the Mets. |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Win and move on, lose and you go home. That's the theme here tonight for these two teams. The Pelicans won their first play-in game last Wednesday, beating the San Antonio Spurs 113-103 as a 5.5-point favorite. The Pelicans are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games and 10-4 in their last 14 road games as a dog. The LA Clippers got some bad news today when star shooting guard Paul George tested positive for Covid and will have to miss this game. That's a huge loss since they are already playing without their Superstar forward Kawhi Leonard. The Clippers lost their opening Play-In Round game to the T'Wolves, 104-109. This line dropped to a pick'em with George out tonight. I'm taking the Pelicans as they move onto the seeded playoffs. |
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04-15-22 | Diamondbacks v. Mets -1.5 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Early game on the schedule today has the Arizona Diamondbacks taking on the Mets. Arizona has struggled to a 2-4 start to their season and that isn't good considering they play in arguably the best division in baseball, the NL West. The D'back won their opening game, then dropped four straight before winning on Wednesday against the Astros, 3-2. Zach Davies gets the call to the mound today for the D'backs. Davies pitched well in his opener and got a no decision for his effort. Davies went five innings, allowed four hits and two runs against the Padres which the D'backs eventually lost, 2-5. The NY Mets are off to a nice 5-2 start and have to be considered a favorite to win the division. The Mets are a great pitching team, in fact all five starters have a ERA of 3.27 or less this year. Today's starter, Chris Bassitt went six strong innings in his opening game against the Nationals. Bassitt allowed just three hits and no runs to go with eight KO's and one walk. I don't see the D'back light hitting team getting much today if not shut out entirely. The Mets shouls have little trouble with Arizona. I'll lay the Run-Line with New York today. |
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04-13-22 | Spurs +6 v. Pelicans | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Play-In tournament continues here today as the San Antonio Spurs take on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Spurs finished the regular season with a 34-48 record. They did lose their last three games though they covered two and pushed the other. In fact, this Spurs team has bee a very good team vs the number, going 5-0-1 ATS the last six games and 9-1-1 ATS their last 11 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have a lot of injury questions coming into today. However, two seem solved with center James Valancions and forward Brandon Ingram now both probable for today. Forward Zion Willamson does remain out though with a foot injury. The Pelicans finished the regular season with two losses both S/U and ATS. The Spurs have covered eight of the last nine in this series and all seven of the last seven meetings in New Orleans. I'll take the Spurs here in the Play-In game. |
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04-13-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Hawks | 103-132 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Play-In tourney game here today pits the Charlotte Hornets against the Atlanta Hawks. The Hornets surprised everyone this year with a 43-39 record and 3rd place SouthEast division finish. The Hornets finished the season strong, winning and covering their last three games. The Hornets do well with rest, evidenced by their 11-4-1 ATS record when they get two days of rest. They are also 10-4-1 ATS their last 15 games as a road dog and 15-5-1 their last 21 overall on the road. The Atlanta Hawks finished with an identical 43-39 record. The Hawks won and covered their last game of the regular season against the Rockets. The Hornets are 3-1-1 ATS the last five meetings between these teams. Atlanta will also be without forward John Collins who is out with a foot injury. I'm going to take the points here today with the Hornets. |
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04-12-22 | Clippers +3 v. Wolves | 104-109 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 2 m | Show | |
The NBA play-in tournament begins here on Tuesday with the LA Clippers taking on the Timberwolves from Minnesota. The winner gets the No 7 seed in the West Playoff bracket. The Clippers beat the Wolves in three of their four meetings this year. The Clippers continue to play without Kawhi Leonard who will remain out. As for the Wolves, their point guard D'Angelo Russell is questionable for this game with an illness. The Clipper finished strong down the stretch, winning their last five games and covering four of those. The Wolves struggled a bit their last few games, going 1-2 S/U and 0-4 vs the spread. In fact, they were just 2-7 ATS their last nine regular season games. The Clippers have pretty much owned this series, going 4-1 ATS the last five meetings and 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 meetings in Minnesota. I'll take the short points with the Clippers here on Tuesday. |
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04-09-22 | Pacers v. 76ers -14 | Top | 120-133 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
Early action on the NBA hard court today as the 76ers host the Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are just playing out these last two days before their vacation. However, the Philadelphia 76ers still have something to play for this weekend. The Sixers are in 4th in the East, just a half game behind the Celtics for third place. They are 1.5 games back of Milwaukee and 1.5 games ahead of Toronto. The Sixers had their three-game win streak snapped at Toronto on Thursday, 114-119 as a 3.5-point favorite. Philly will close out their season at home against Detroit tomorrow. Both these games should be wins for the Sixers, which will put some pressure on those teams in front of them. The Pacers won't win here today. They haven't won since March 20th, losing eight straight games. They have also covered just three of their last eight games. The Sixers can't let down now. I'll lay the points with Philly today. |
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04-06-22 | Suns v. Clippers -2.5 | Top | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
The Phoenix Suns have the best record in the NBA locked and put away. They really have nothing left to play for in these final days of the regular season. In fact, I won't be surprised to see key players doing a lot of sitting here tonight. The Suns snapped a two-game losing streak last game with a win over the Lakers, 121-110. Still, they haven't covered a game in four straight. The Clippers have already clinched a Playin berth as they currently sit 8th, four games ahead of the Pelicans. The Clippers have won two straight games and covered both after a stretch that saw them go 1-6 S/U and ATS. The Clippers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings in LA with the Suns and 19-9 ATS the last 28 overall meetings. I'll take the Clippers here tonight. |
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04-06-22 | Mavs v. Pistons +8.5 | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Interconference game here has the West's Dallas Mavericks taking on the East's Detroit Piston. The Pistons are done for the year after this week. They are already eliminated from the playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks are 4th in the West, just one game back of the Warriors and two games ahead of the Jazz. The Mavs have split their last two games, losing at Washington, 103-135 and then beating Milwaukee, 118-112. The Mavs are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. While the Pistons are out of the NBA playoffs, they still are playing hard, winning three straight games including their last over Indiana 121-117 as a 4.5-point road dog. The Pistons are now 5-0 ATS their last five and 17-3 ATS their last 20 games. I'm taking Detroit here as they are fighting to the end. |
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04-05-22 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Jazz | 115-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
West Conference matchup here has 2nd place Memphis taking on 6th place Utah. The Grizzlies have nowhere to go as they are 7-games back of Phoenix and 5.5-games ahead of Golden State. The Grizzlies are hot though and look to keep the momentum as the playoffs start soon. Memphis has won seven straight games and 10 of their last 11 games. They are also 7-2 ATS their last nine games. The Griz are also 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games as a underdog and 41-18 ATS their last 59 games overall. The Utah Jazz can go up or down in the standings since they are right in the middle of a three pack with Denver and Minnesota. The Jazz have not been hot, going 1-6 S/U and 0-7 ATS their last seven games. The Jazz are 15-33-3 ATS their last 51 games overall. They are also 5-16-1 ATS their last 22 games vs a team with a win percentage over 60%. These two usually play high scoring games and I expect we'll see plenty of action tonight too. I'll take the points with a very hot Memphis club. |
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04-05-22 | Hornets v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 115-144 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
As we come down to the finals games of the NBA regular season, Miami finds themselves sitting in 1st place in the East, 2-games against of the Boston Celtics and 2.5 games ahead of Milwaukee and Philly. While the Heat have clinched the SouthEast division, they would like to lock of that top spot in the East. Charlotte looks to hold one of the two Play-In berths in the East. The other currently held by Brooklyn. Charlotte is coming off a loss at Philly, 114-144, failing to cover the 5.5-point dog line. While Charlotte has been good at covering, they don't do well against very good teams. They are just 8-18-2 their last 28 games vs a team with a 60% or better winning mark. Miami had to endure a four-game losing streak in last March. However, they have rebounded and have won four straight both S/U and ATS. More good news tonight, star Jimmy Butler, who has been rested, is probable tonight. I like Miami here, they need to win to lock up that top East Spot. |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
The NCAA Men's Final comes down to two teams that are not strangers to the Big game, North Carolina and Kansas. North Carolina is 29-9 overall on the season and after losing in the ACC Tournament has won five straight in the NCAA's. They have covered all five also after they beat Duke in the Final Four, 81-77, as a 4.5-point dog. The Tarheels have the 18th ranked efficient offense according to the Kenpom rankings. They have averaged nearly 78 points per game and allowed 68 points. In the NCAA tournament they have averaged 82.2 ppg while allowing 68.2 ppg. They are 39th in defense. North Carolina is looking for its 7th National Title and first with HC Hubert Davis. The Kansas Jayhawks were the only No 1 seed team to make the Final Four this year. They have a 33-6 record and are coming off a blowout win over Villanova, 81-65. The Jayhawks won the Big 12 Tournament this year, just the first time in their last four years. Both of these teams peaked at just the right time and both are loaded with great coaches. The one area Kansas has trouble is foul shooting, where they are just 60% in the tournament. This could prove crucial down the stretch. In a close game like this, I'll take the points. Play North Carolina. |
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04-03-22 | Knicks v. Magic +5 | 118-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks have lost two straight games and dropped to 34-44 overall. Those losses have eliminated the Knicks from the playoffs as they sit 12th, six games back. The biggest loss though came a few days ago when they lost Julius Randle with a quad injury. Looks like Randle is done with the Knicks out of the playoffs. Orlando also wont' be going to the playoffs with their 20-58 record. And while they don't win often, they do better against the spread. They are 4-0 ATS their last four games as a dog. They are also 8-3 ATS their last 11 games with one day of rest. The Magic have also covered four of the last five in this series with the Knicks. Neither team going anywhere, but with Randle now out the Knicks shouldn't be laying these kind of points on the road. I'll take the points with the Magic and they might even win a rare game straight up here today. |
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04-03-22 | Wizards v. Celtics -12.5 | Top | 102-144 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Early game here on Sunday has the Washington Wizards taking on the Boston Celtics in a NBA Eastern conference clash. Washington was eliminated from the playoffs as they sit 11th, 5.5 games back of 10th place Brooklyn. The Celtics are 3rd in the East and can improve or fall back. They are a half game back of 2nd place Milwaukee and two back of 1st place Miami. The Wizards are just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games as a road dog. They are also 6-16 ATS their last 22 games on one day of rest. The Celtics snapped a two game losing streak with a win over Indiana, 128-123, though they failed to cover the 15-point favorite line. Still, the Celtics are 6-3 ATS their last nine games. The Celtics have also gone 12-4-1 ATS their last 17 games against the Pacers at Boston. I'll lay the big number here today with a Boston team that can still change their playoff position. |
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04-02-22 | Nets v. Hawks +2.5 | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here today has the 8th place Brooklyn Nets and Atlanta Hawks both tied in the standings. The Nets, Hornets and Hawks are all holding those last three playoff spots in the East and all three are two games back of Cleveland. All three will make the playoffs, but the question is in which position. That makes this game huge here today for both clubs. The Nets are coming off a loss to Milwaukee in OT, 119-120, as a 2-point favorite. The Nets are 2-3 S/U and 1-4 ATS their last five games. The Nets have not done well as favorites, evidenced by their 9-25 ATM mark their last 34 games in that role. The Atlanta Hawks have been hot, winning and covering their last four games. They are also 9-3 S/U their last 12 games. Atlanta is also 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games vs a team with a winning road record. The Hawks are also 14-6 ATS their last 20 home games. I'll take the home dog Hawks here today. |
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04-01-22 | Clippers +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 153-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The Basketball Classic Championship here tonight between Fresno State and Coastal Carolina. Fresno State lost three of their last four games to close out their season. They have hit the NIT running though, beating Eastern Washington, Youngstown State and then last game over Southern Utah, 67-48 as a 7-point favorite. Fresno not the best offensive team, as they rank just 148 in the Kenpom offensive efficiency rankings. They do better in defense though, ranking 32nd overall. The Dogs haven't done well covering against winning teams, evidenced by their 3-9 ATS mark their last 12 games. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have just 19 wins on the season. Though six of those have come in the last seven games. They lost in their conference championship game to Georgia Southern and have since won three straight in this tournament. The last coming over South Alabama, 69-68, as a 1-point dog. Carolina just out of the top 100 in both. Carolina is 6-1 ATS their last seven games. Have to figure Carolina with chance to win today, so I'll take the points with them. |
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04-01-22 | Fresno State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 30 m | Show | |
The Basketball Classic Championship here tonight between Fresno State and Coastal Carolina. Fresno State lost three of their last four games to close out their season. They have hit the NIT running though, beating Eastern Washington, Youngstown State and then last game over Southern Utah, 67-48 as a 7-point favorite. Fresno not the best offensive team, as they rank just 148 in the Kenpom offensive efficiency rankings. They do better in defense though, ranking 32nd overall. The Dogs haven't done well covering against winning teams, evidenced by their 3-9 ATS mark their last 12 games. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have just 19 wins on the season. Though six of those have come in the last seven games. They lost in their conference championship game to Georgia Southern and have since won three straight in this tournament. The last coming over South Alabama, 69-68, as a 1-point dog. Carolina just out of the top 100 in both. Carolina is 6-1 ATS their last seven games. Have to figure Carolina with chance to win today, so I'll take the points with them. |
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03-31-22 | Cavs v. Hawks -5.5 | 107-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
The NBA comes down to the wire as teams jockey for playoff position. The Cleveland Cavaliers are in 7th right now, two games ahead of the Nets and three games ahead of the Hawks. The Hawks are holding down that last playoff spot at number 10 and should make the playoffs as they lead 11th place New York by 5.5 games. The Hawks can greatly improve their lot though as they are just a half game back of 9th place Charlotte, one game back of 8th place Brooklyn and three games back of 7th place Cleveland. Cleveland comes in off a loss to Dallas, 112-120, as a 1.5-point dog. The Cavs are just 1-4 S/U their last five games and 0-6 ATS their last six. Atlanta has won three games in a row both S/U and ATS after their blowout win at Oklahoma City on Wednesday, 136-118. The Hawks can improve their playoff spot against a key leader here. I'll take Atlanta. |
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03-31-22 | Xavier +4.5 v. Texas A&M | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
NIT Championship here today from Madison Sq Garden in NY, NY. The Xavier Musketeers take on the Texas A&M Aggies. Xavier had a rough road to this final, having to beat Cleveland State, Florida, Vanderbilt and St Bonnies. The Muskateers have a very good offense, ranked 39th in the Kenpom adjusted efficiency rankings. The defense isn't bad either, ranked 79th. Xavier is now 35-14-2 ATS in their last 51 games on a neutral site as a dog. Texas A&M still smarting by being passed over for the NCAA now has 27 wins on the season. The Aggies have won four straight at the NIT over Alcorn State, Oregon, Wake Forest and Washington State. They covered three of those four. The A&M Defense is very good, ranked 27th in Kenpom. The offense, not quite as good, ranked 68th. One Achilles heal is that they are not a good offensive rebounding team, 340th in the nation. That doesn't translate into a lot of second chance points. Two very good teams here tonight but for me I like to take the points with a team I know can win outright too. Play Xavier. Â Â Â Â |
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03-30-22 | Grizzlies -4.5 v. Spurs | 112-111 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies have clinched a playoff spot as they sit in 2nd in the NBA West. While 1st place Phoenix is too far away (8.5 games ahead), they do have just a 5-game lead over 3rd place Golden State. However, it's looks like a solid 2nd place spot in the West for the Grizzlies. Memphis has been excellent of late, going 5-0 both S/U and ATS their last five games. They are also 12-3 S/U their last 15 games. The Grizzlies are also 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite. They have also played well on the road, going 22-9 ATS in their last 31 away games. The San Antonio Spurs are tied for the last playoff spot in the West with the Lakers. Both teams sit one game back of 9th place New Orleans. The Spurs have won their last four games, covering three of those. However, they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a dog and 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a home dog. The Grizzlies look too tough for the Spurs here on Wednesday. Play Memphis. |
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03-30-22 | Heat v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 106-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The Miami Heat have not only clinched their Division, but they have the best record in the NBA Eastern Conference, a half game ahead of Philly and one game back of today's opponent, Boston. The Heat snapped a four game losing streak with a win over Sacramento, 123-100, last game as a 13.5-point favorite. The Heat have not been good at covering spreads, going 1-7 ATS their last eight games. A win tonight by Boston and they will be tied with the Heat. The Celtics had their six game win streak snapped in their last game at Toronto, losing 112-115, but covering the 8.5-point dog line. They have now covered three straight and six of their last seven games. I'll lay the points here tonight with Boston. |
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03-30-22 | Wolves v. Raptors -2.5 | 102-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Minnesota T'wolves are in 7th place in the NBA Western Conference, a good six games ahead of 8th place LA Clippers. They are just two games back of 5th and 6th place Utah and Denver. The Wolves are coming off a loss at Boston, 112-134, as a 6-point dog. That makes them 1-3 S/U over their last four games. They are also just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a dog. Toronto is in 6th place in the East, one game ahead of Cleveland and just a half game back of Chicago. Toronto has won three straight games and nine of their last 11 games. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. The Raptors are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games vs a team with a winning record. The Raptors have covered five of the last six meetings in this series. I'll take Toronto here tonight. |
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03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M -1.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
NIT Semifinals here tonight from Madison Square Garden in NY, NY has Washington State taking on Texas A&M for the right to go to the NIT Finals. Washington State has had a very good run, starting in the PAC-12 tournament where they beat Oregon State, Oregon and Cal before losing to UCLA, 65-75. They then have won three straight in the NIT, beating Santa Clara, SMU and BYU, covering all three games. The Cougars are decent offensive team, ranked 77th in the Kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency rankings. They are a better defensive team, ranking 26th. Offensively they are one of the worst 2-point shooting teams in the nation, ranking 313th with a 46.2%. Texas A&M has been equally impressive as Washington State in their recent run. They beat three very good SEC teams in their tournament against Florida, Auburn and Arkansas, before losing to Tennessee in the finals. They opened NIT with a win over Alorn State, then beat Oregon and lastly Wake Forest. They have covered nine of their last 11 games. They have also won 10 of their last 11 games. The Aggies also have a very good defense, ranked 32nd in the Kenpom rankings and a slightly better offense, ranked 72nd. A&M has been a very streaky team, losing eight in a row mid-season and then closing with a nice win streak. I like A&M here tonight. |
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03-29-22 | Bulls -3 v. Wizards | 107-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls look to rebound from their loss on Monday to the Knicks, 104-109, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Bulls are currently 5th in the East, tied with the Raptors. They are one game ahead of the Cavaliers and four games up on Brooklyn. They can improve their lot in the playoffs, but they are one 3.5-games back of Philly, Boston and Milwaukee. Washington has won two-straight games including a win last game over Golden State, 123-115. The Wizards are now 32-42 overall and 29-42-3 vs the spread. They are also 3-7 ATS their last 10 games as a home dog. The Wizards are 12th in the East and 5.5-games back of Atlanta for that final playoff spot. Even though the Bulls are slumping of late, they have covered eight of the last 11 meetings with Washington. I'll take the Bulls here tonight. |
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03-29-22 | St Bonaventure -1.5 v. Xavier | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
St Bonnys and Xavier meet here tonight in Madison Sq Garden for the right to advance to the NIT Finals. St Bonnies is 23-9 overall on the season after winning three straight in the NIT over Colorado, Oklahoma and last game over Virginia, 52-51, as a 2.5-point Dog. They covered all three games and are now 10-3 ATS their last 13 games. The Bonnies are a very well balanced team, ranking 73rd offense and 78th defense in the Kenpom efficiency rankings. The Xavier Musketeers are 21-13 overall on the season and have beaten Cleveland State, Florida and last game over Vandy, 75-73 in their three NIT Games. They are just 1-3 ATS their last four games. They are also 5-15 ATS their last 20 games. Have a hard time backing a poor covering team like Xavier. I'll lay the small line here tonight with St Bonnies. |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah +7.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 48-67 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
The Basketball Classic Semifinals tonight have Fresno State hosting Southern Utah. Winner moves on to the tournament finals. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are 23-11 overall after winning three straight in this tournament. They opened with a win over Kent State, 83-79, then beat UTEP, 82-69 and last game beat Portland, 77-66, covering all three games. In addition So Utah is 7-2 ATS their last nine games. So Utah has the nation's 87th most efficient offense according to Kenpom. They are 34th in 2-point FG%. This would account for why the team has scored 71 points or more in 10 of the last 12 games. Fresno State also has 23 wins on the season after winning both of their TBC tourney games. They beat Eastern Washington, 83-74, to open the tourney and then beat Youngstown State, 80-71, last game. They have failed to cover both games as a favorite. The Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games and 2-9 their last 11 games vs a team with a winning record. I'm taking the generous points here today with Southern Utah. |
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03-28-22 | Magic v. Cavs -8.5 | 101-107 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic have dropped two games in a row and now sit last in the SouthEast Division at 20-55 S/U and 33-41-1 ATS. They are coming off a loss to the Kings, 110-114 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Magic are now 1-5 ATS their last six games. Cleveland looks to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight. The Cavs have dropped to 41-33 overall after their most recent loss to Chicago, 94-98 as a 1.5-point home favorite. The Cavs are now 7th in the Eastern conference playoff picture, 4 games ahead of 10th place Atlanta and 5.5 back of first place Boston. Lots of movement possible for the Cavs so wins are important this time of year. I'll take Cleveland tonight. |
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03-27-22 | Wolves v. Celtics -5.5 | 112-134 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves having a much better season than many thought they might have had as they sit at 43-32. The NBA regular season is winding down and the Wolves find themselves in 7th in the West, comfortably within the top 10 of the playoff picture. They snapped a two-game losing streak last game with a win over Dallas, 116-95, as a 4-point home favorite. They haven't done too well as a dog of late, going 3-7 ATS in that role their last 10 games. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games as a dog. Meanwhile, the Celtics are cruising towards the playoffs, winning five games in a row and improving to 46-28. They have moved into a tie for 3rd in the East, just a half game back of both Philadelphia and Miami for he best record in the East. They are also 10-1 their last 11 games. The Celtics are 7-3 ATS their last 10 games as a favorite. I like Boston here today at home. Play Boston. |
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's +8.5 v. North Carolina | 49-69 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The Cinderella team of 2022 is the St Peter's Peacocks. They opened beating a very good Kentucky team, 85-79, and then upended 30+ win Murray State, 70-60, before beating Purdue in the Sweet 16, 67-64. While the Peacocks have just 22 wins on the season, they have now won 10 straight games both S/U and ATS. The Peacocks do crack the Kenpom defensive rankings, coming in at 25th overall in defensive efficiency. They are holding opponents to just 29.3% from 3-point (15th), 44.3% overall shooting (12th). The defense is so good they have held nine of their last 10 opponents to 65 points or fewer. Only first round win over Kentucky did the Cats score 79 points. North Carolina had better not look past St Peters here today as already having punched their ticket to the Final Four. Purdue made that mistake and they are all home today. North Carolina lost to Virginia Tech in the ACC Conference Tournament, 59-72. Since then they have beaten Marquette, 95-63, Baylor, 93-86 in OT, and last game over UCLA, 73-66. The Tar Heels have the 19th rated efficient offense, according to the Kenpom ratings. They also have the 42nd ranked defense. The key for me in this matchup is the very good St Peters defense holding North Carolina under 70 points. If they can do that, they will cover this game. Play St Peters. |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL +6 v. Kansas | 50-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
If not for being overshadowed by St Peters, Miami Florida would be the longshot team to make it to the Elite 8 with a chance to advance to the Final Four. Miami has beating USC, 68-66, Auburn, 79-61, and last game over Iowa State, 70-56 to advance to today's Elite 8 contest vs Kansas. Miami has covered four straight and six of their last seven games. They are also 19-6-1 ATS their last 26 games as a underdog. Miami has an excellent offense, ranked 18th overall in the country according to the Kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. They are also 22nd overall in the country in 2-point FG% (55.0%). They are a good but not great defense, ranked 114th overall in defensive efficiency. The Kansas Jayhawks continue in the NCAA where they left off in the Big 12, winning games. After running the table in their conference tourney, the Hawks have beaten Texas Southern, 83-56, Creighton, 79-72 and last game over Providence, 66-61. They have failed to cover their last two games. In fact, they are now 1-5 ATS in their last six NCAA tourney games. Kansas has the 6th ranked most efficient offense and 23rd ranked defense, making them a very well balanced team. Kansas is the last remaining No 1 seed in the tournament and the now favorite to win it all. Miami has outscored their last two opponents (Auburn and Iowa State) by 32 points. Miami as the defense to stay close to Kansas here today. I'll take the points with Miami to cover here today. |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Coach K's run toward his final season glory is still alive. Coach K retires after this year for Duke and they aren't ready to let him go just yet. After losing to Virginia Tech in the ACC, Duke has won three straight in the NCAA over Cal Fullerton, 78-61, Michigan State, 85-76, and Texas Tech last game, 78-73. They covered two of the three games. Arkansas pulled off the huge upset last round, beating top seeded Gonzaga, 74-68 as a 9.5-point dog. They held Gonzaga to just 23.8% from three-point line and 37.5% shooting overall. Arkansas has a outstanding defense, ranked 11th in the Kenpom efficiency listings. However, the height advantage definitely goes Duke's way in this game. The Blue Devils are the highest ranked offensive team left in the tournament after Purdue got ousted by St Peter's yesterday. It seems like Duke has been fortunate to advance at every level, however they are playing very well right now. I look at Duke as having all the offensive power in this game to go with their height advantage. Arkansas is the better defensive team, but I see Duke's firepower being too much here today. Play Duke. |
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03-26-22 | Pacers v. Raptors -10.5 | 91-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers are 25-49 overall on the season and 33-39-2 vs the number. The Pacers bring a two-game losing streak into today's contest both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a loss at Memphis, 103-133 as a 11.5-point road dog. The Pacers are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a dog. The Raptors are 41-32 overall on the season and 40-32-1 ATS. Toronto is coming off a win at home over Cleveland, 117-104, as a 5-point favorite. They have won seven of their last nine games both S/U and ATS. The Raptors are 29-14 ATS their last 43 meetings with the Pacers in Toronto. I'll lay the points here with Toronto. |
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03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Houston has now won six straight games after winning their own conference tournament and now winning round one and two of the NCAA tourney. They beat Illinois in round one, 68-53, as a 3.5-point favorite and then beat Arizona, 72-60 as a 1.5-point dog in round two. The Cougars defense has been the reason they are winning. They held Illinois to jut 34% from the field and then held Arizona to 33.3% from the field. At the same time they hit 46% vs Arizona and 42.4% vs Illinois. Meanwhile, Villanova has won eight games in a row and 13 of their last 14 games. The Wildcats beat Delaware in round one, 80-60, Ohio State in round two, 71-61 and then Michigan in the last round, 63-55. What I like most about Villanova is how deep their bench is. They have six players that will play a lot of minutes and their defense is excellent. I also look for Villanova to slow the pace in the game and spread the floor a lot. This is a veteran Villanova team that is no stranger to the Elite eight in the NCAA tournament. Play Villanova plus the points. |
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03-25-22 | Iowa State v. Miami-FL -2.5 | Top | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Iowa State is the worst offensive team left in the NCAA tournament. The Cyclones are lucky to get out of the 50's in most games these days. In addition their offense is just the 160th ranked efficient offense in the Kenpom rankings. This offense turns the ball over a lot (294th in the country), doesn't hit 3-pointers (265th in the country) and is a poor free thrown shooting team (290th in the country). Yet, here they are in the Sweet 16. They beat LSU, 59-54, holding the Tigers to just 54 points. Then last game they beat Wisconsin, holding the Badgers to just 49 points. Bottom line for this Cyclones team is that they won't outscore anyone. So here comes Miami, a team that has scored at least 71 points in 11 of their last 12 games. They beat USC in round one, 68-66 (their only game under 70) and then last game over Auburn, 79-61, as a 6.5-point dog. I think time has run out for this Iowa State team. I'm taking Miami here tonight. |
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03-25-22 | Knicks v. Heat -7.5 | 111-103 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
 The New York Knicks are 31-42 S/U and 34-39 after winning their last game at Charlotte, 121-106. That snapped a two game losing streak for the Knicks. The Knicks could be without a key cog in their team tonight, center Julius Randle is questionable with a quad injury. Randle average 20.3 ppg and 10 rebounds. The Miami Heat are having a fine season at 47-26 overall and 40-31-2 vs the spread. The Heat look to snap a two-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss to the Warriors, 104-118, as a 10-point favorite. The Heat usually bounce back after such a poor home performance the game before, evidenced by their 5-0 ATS mark the last five games after a double-digit home loss. The Heat have the edge in this series, going 8-2 ATS their last 10 meetings and 4-1 ATS the last five in Miami. I'll take the Heat here tonight. |
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03-25-22 | Providence +7.5 v. Kansas | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
The Providence Friars look to punch their ticket to the Elite 8, but it will take a upset win over Kansas today. Providence has beaten South Dakota State, 66-57, and then Richmond, 79-51, to get to the Sweet 16. They covered both those games and have covered five of their last seven games. Providence has the 31st ranked most efficient offense in the Kenpom rankings and 57th in defense. Kanas hit the 30 win mark with their NCAA tourney win over Creighton, 79-72. They did fail to cover that game as a 12.5-point favorite. The Big 12 Tourney Champion has won seven straight games. Kansas has the 6th ranked most efficient offense and the 28th ranked defense. Providence is now 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a dog. As good as Kansas is, they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA tourney games. I'm taking the points here with Providence today. |
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03-25-22 | Wizards v. Pistons -3.5 | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards dropped to 30-42 after losing two straight games. The Wizards are coming off a loss at Milwaukee, 102-114, as a 8.5-point dog. In addition, the Wizards have been horrible vs the number, going 2-7 ATS their last nine games. In addition, they are just 8-21-1 ATS their last 30 road games. Washington will be without star guard Bradley Beal, who remains out with a wrist injury. They could also miss forward Kyle Kuzma, who is nursing a knee injury. The Detroit Pistons are just 20-53 overall on the season. However, they have been decent vs the spread, going 40-33 overall. They have covered 14 of their last 16 games. They are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Detroit has been great at covering spreads and I don't see that changing tonight against a injured Washington team. Play Detroit. |
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03-24-22 | Houston +1.5 v. Arizona | Top | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
It's the Sweet 16 of the NCAA tournament and we get a great matchup here on Thursday as Houston takes on Arizona. Houston advanced here by beating UAB in round one, 82-68, and then Illinois in the 2nd round, 68-53. That makes five straight wins for the Cougars both SU and ATS since they rolled through their conference tourney also. Houston is now 11-1 their last 12 games S/U and 9-2 ATS their lasts 11 games. Houston has one of the best balanced teams in college basketball, ranked 10th both in offensive and defensive efficiency by Kenpom. They also hit the boards really well, 3rd in the nation in offensive rebounds 37.7% and 8th in blocked shots. Arizona Wildcats have beaten Wright State, 87-70, and TCU, 85-80 in the NCAA Tournament. However, they didn't cover either of those games. Arizona is slightly better on offense than Houston, 7th overall, but worse in defense, 17th overall. Should be a great game to watch, but for me I'm taking the Cougars plus the couple of points. Play Houston. |
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03-24-22 | Texas Tech v. Duke | 73-78 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
Coach K looks to continue his final year as the head coach of Duke with a semifinal win here on Thursday. The Blue Devils have beaten Cal Fullerton and Michigan State to get here today. The latter was their only cover in their last six games. Duke hasn't fared well lately in the NCAA tournament, covering just one of their last eight games. They face a Texas Tech team who beat Montana State in round one, 97-62 and then Notre Dame in round two, 59-53. Texas Tech has a very good offense, ranked 45th overall in the adjusted Kenpom efficiency. However, it's their defense that stands out, No 1 in the nation in the Kenpom defensive efficiency rankings. There is very little negative you can point out about this Tech team. The few problem areas are free throws (253rd) and 3-point FG (252nd). But its the defense that will win this game today for the Red Raiders. Take Texas Tech. |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
Michigan got by Colorado State in round one of the NCAA, 75-63, as a 1.5-point favorite. Then they played a near perfect game to defeat heavily favored Tennessee, 76-68, as a 7-point dog. The Wolverines weren't expected to get past Tennessee, but when you play such a exceptional game it's not hard to see why they are now in the Sweet 16. Michigan is really lucky to be in the NCAA Tournament as they have just 19 wins overall on the season. Many didn't think they deserved to even be here while other, arguably better teams were passed by. Villanova improved to 28-7 after running the Big East tourney for the Title and now rattling off two NCAA wins over Delaware and Ohio State. That makes seven straight wins for the WildCats. They are also 5-3 ATS their last eight games. The Wildcats are now 19-7 ATS in their last 26 NCAA tournament games. I believe the Michigan luck runs out here today. Play Villanova. |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas v. Gonzaga -9.5 | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
The Arkansas Razorbacks get the distinction of trying to take down top seeded Gonzaga here today. Arkansas lost to Texas A&M in the SEC tournament, but has beaten Vermont, 75-71, and New Mexico State, 53-48 in the NCAA Tournament. Arkansas has a very good defense, ranked 14th overall in the nation the Kenpom adjusted defensive rankings. On offense, they rank 53rd overall. Their one area of concern is 3-point shooting where they were just 30.5%, ranking them 314th in the nation. The Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a dog and 14-5-1 ATS their last 20 games overall. Gonzaga had troubles in its last game against Memphis. They couldn't shake Memphis as the game was within the spread almost the entire way. Gonzaga did win, 82-78, but couldn't cover the 10-point favorite line. My feeling here is that the Memphis game will serve as a wake up call for this Gonzaga team today. Gonzaga has the top ranked offensive efficiency team in the nation and is fist in 2-point shooting (61%) and 22nd in 3-point (37.4%). This offense has too much firepower for Arkansas and while Arkansas is a very good defensive team, they can't handle Gonzaga. Play Gonzaga. |
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03-23-22 | Rockets v. Mavs -10 | Top | 91-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Southwest Division battle here between a pair of Texas teams as the Dallas Mavs host the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are 18-54 S/U on the season and 28-43-1 ATS. The Rockets snapped a five-game losing streak with a win over Washington, 115-97, as a 4.5-point dog. The Rockets are just 13-31 ATS their last 44 games as a dog and 0-5 ATS their last five road games as a dog. The Dallas Mavericks are 44-28 S/U and 38-33-1 ATS. The Mavs snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Minnesota last game, 110-108. That makes Dallas 9-3 S/U their last 12 games. The Mavs are 7-3 ATS their last 10 home games. I'll take the home team here tonight and lay the points with Dallas. |
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03-23-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +5.5 | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks played at New York and came from behind in the 4th quarter to win, 117-111, covering the 3.5-point favorite line. That was just the 2nd cover for the Hawks in their last 10 games. The Detroit Pistons had last night off after losing to Portland the night before, 115-119 as a 10-point favorite. The Pistons had covered 13 or their previous 14 games prior to that spread loss. The Pistons have covered five of their last seven meetings with the Hawks. I look for Detroit to get the cover here tonight. |
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03-23-22 | Wake Forest +3.5 v. Texas A&M | 52-67 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
NIT Quarterfinal action here on Wednesday has Wake Forest playing at Texas A&M. After an early exit from their own tournament, Wake Forest opened NIT action with a win over Towson State, 74-64, and then beat VCU on Saturday, 80-74. They covered both those NIT Games and four of their last five games. Texas A&M is 25-12 after winning both their NIT games over Alcorn State, 74-62, and then last game over Oregon, 75-60. They are just 1-2 ATS their last three games. Both of these teams just missed out on at large bids to the NCAA tournament. The Demon Deacons defense is the backbone of this team, ranked No35 in the Kenpom efficiency ratings. Texas A&M went all the way to the SEC title game, losing to Tennessee, 50-65. This should be the best NIT matchup yet, with both teams having felt they should have gone to the NCAA tournament. The SEC has been horrible in tournament play while the ACC has been very good. I'll take the ACC rep here. Play Wake Forest. |
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03-22-22 | Middle Tennessee -1.5 v. Abilene Christian | Top | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Middle Tennessee State takes on Abilene Christian in this CBI Semifinals from Daytona Beach, FL. Winner heads to the CBI championship game against either Northern Colorado or UNC Wilmington. Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders beat Cal Baptist in the first round, 64-58, and then Boston U, 76-46 in the 2nd round, covering vs Boston and pushing vs Baptist. Mid Tenn State has been very good to bettors, going 22-6-2 ATS in their last 30 games. They are also 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 as a favorite. Abilene Christian Wildcats beat Troy in the opening round, 82-70 and then Ohio U yesterday, 91-86, covering both games. Both teams have good offenses, but I give the defensive nod to the Blue Raiders. The Raiders also have been so good against the spread. I am taking Middle Tennessee State in this one. |
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03-22-22 | Hawks v. Knicks +3.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks can get back to the .500 mark here today with a win as they sit at 35-36 overall on the season. The Hawks are also 28-42-1 ATS on the season. Atlanta is coming off a loss to New Orleans, 112-117, as a 5.5-point favorite. While the Hawks have gone 4-2 S/U their last six games, they are only 1-8 their last nine games vs the spread. The Hawks are also just 10-26 ATS their last 36 games on the road. The New York Knicks still have a ways to go if they want to get back to .500 as they sit at just 30-41 overall on the season. The Knicks are coming off a loss to the Jazz, 93-108, as a 3.5-point home dog. New York has been decent vs the number, covering seven of their last nine games. They are also 6-2 ATS their last eight home games. The Knicks are 5-2 ATS their last seven meetings with the Hawks in New York and 10-4-1 ATS the last 15 overall meetings. Take New York here today. |
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03-21-22 | Blazers v. Pistons -7.5 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
The Portland Trailblazers have dropped to 26-44 after losing four straight games. That includes last time out at Indiana, 98-129, as a 8-point dog. In fact, the Blazers are 1-10 S/U their last 11 games. Portland also has been hurting vs the number, going 3-8 ATS their last 11 games and 2-6 their last eight as a road dog. The Detroit Pistons are just 19-52 overall on the season but have a winning spread record at 39-32 ATS. The Pistons are coming off a loss at Cleveland, 109-113, but covered the 6-point dog spread. Even though the Pistons are 1-5 S/U their last six games they are 13-1 ATS their last 14 games! They are also 5-1 ATS their last six home games. The Pistons has covered four of the last five games in Detroit. Also to note here tonight, the Blazers will be without their best player in Guard Damian Lillard who is out with an abdominal injury. Take Detroit tonight. |
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03-20-22 | TCU v. Arizona -9.5 | 80-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The TCU Horned Frogs were next expected to be playing in the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament. They are 21-12 and they finished the regular season losing their last two games. They opened conference tourney play with a win over Texas, 65-60 before losing to Kansas 62-75. Then they opened NCAA play first round action with a win over Seton Hall, 69-42, as a 1.5-point dog. Now they have a much tougher task in Arizona. Arizona is 32-3 on the season and rolled right through the PAC-12 tourney to win the title over UCLA, 84-76 as a 2-point favorite. That makes seven straight wins for the Wildcats including their opening round of the NCAA win over Wright State, 87-70. That makes seven straight games that Arizona has scored at least 81 points. I don't expect this TCU team to be able to hold down Arizona's scoring today. I'll lay the points with Arizona. |
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03-20-22 | Miami-FL +7 v. Auburn | 79-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Miami Florida closed out the season winning six of their last eight games. Then won their opening conference tourney game over Boston College, 71-69 before losing Duke in the next round, 76-80. Still. They have covered four of their last five games and eight of their last 11 games. The Auburn Tigers rebounded from their opening SEC tourney loss to Texas A&M, 62-67, with a NCAA 1st round win over Jacksonville State, 80-61, as a 14.5-point favorite. The Tigers have not been good at covering spreads, going 2-5 ATS their last seven games. They are also 0-7 ATS their last seven games following a straight-up win. Miami might not win this game, but they have been very competitive and covering spreads. Play Miami. |
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03-20-22 | Iowa State v. Wisconsin -4 | 54-49 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
A Sweet 16 spot open to the winner of this game today as Iowa State takes on Wisconsin. No 11 Iowa State pulled a 1st round upset win over LSU on Friday, 59-54, as a 3.5-point dog. Third seeded Wisconsin just did get past a stubborn Colgate, 67-60, but failed to cover the 7.5 point spread. Iowa State has had a dramatic turnaround after winning two games last year and now heading to the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament. Iowa State has struggled on offense though, averaging only 66.2 ppg on the season. Wisconsin trailed much of their game to Colgate before rallying late for the win. Wisconsin finds ways to win and that's important in these games. I do not like this Iowa State offense as they have had some really bad games of late. I'll take Wisconsin here as they hold down this Iowa State team. |
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03-20-22 | Michigan State +7 v. Duke | 76-85 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
This 2nd Round NCAA matchup is one of legendary NCAA coachs in Tom Izzo of MSU and Mike Kryzewski of Duke. No 2 Duke had an easy win over CSU Fullerton on Friday, 78-61, as a 18.5-point favorite. Duke has now failed to cover their last five spreads while going 3-2 S/U. No 7 seed Michigan State just got by No 10 Davidson, 74-73. Michigan State has been very good this year hitting 3-point shots, 37.4% overall. Duke looking to push for that title in Coach K's final season before he retires, so some extra incentive here today for the Blue Devils. With two great coaches going here today I'll take the points with Michigan State. |
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03-20-22 | Grizzlies -11.5 v. Rockets | 122-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Early game today on the NBA slate has the Memphis Grizzlies traveling to Houston to take on the Rockets. Memphis has been one of the best teams in the NBA today, now 48-23 on the season S/U and 44-26 ATS. The Grizzlies are coming off a loss last game at Atlanta, 105-120, as a 5.5-point road favorite. That snapped a four game win streak for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies do well after a loss, going 8-1 ATS their last nine games. They also do well vs bad teams, going 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs a team with a losing record. The Grizzlies are also 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite. Meanwhile, the Rockets are one of the worst teams in the NBA at 17-53 S/U and 27-42-1 ATS. The Rockets have lost four games S/U and are 1-3 ATS their last four. They are 17-39 ATS their last 56 games as a home dog and 12-28 ATS their last 40 games overall. No doubt Memphis can name the score in this one. I am hoping they don't lose interest and just play well enough to win. I'll give that a shot and take Memphis. |
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03-20-22 | Dayton v. Vanderbilt -3.5 | 68-70 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
NIT 2nd Round action here on Sunday has Dayton taking on Vanderbilt. Still at home sites, so Vandy gets the home site advantage in this one. Dayton has won eight of their last nine games and beat Toledo in the opening round of the NIT, 74-55 as a 2-point dog. How the Dayton Flyers didn't make the NCAA I don't know and they will either run the board and prove how good they are or lose interest in a hurry. One injury that concerns them is Malachi Smith, who is questionable with an ankle injury. Vandy finished the season at 18-16 overall and in 11th place in the SEC. Vandy did play well down the stretch, winning four of their last five games and covering five straight and eight of their last nine. They won two games in the SEC tournament over Georgia and Alabama before bowing-out against Kentucky. I will be on Vandy here today with home court. Play Vanderbilt. |
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03-20-22 | Ohio State v. Villanova -4.5 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
NCAA Second round action here on Sunday has 7th seeded Ohio State taking on 2nd seeded Villanova. Ohio State came out of round one with a won over Loyola Chicago, 54-41 while Villanova downed Delaware, 80-60. Ohio State struggled of late, losing four of its last five games before winning in round one. They held the Ramblers to just 27% shooting from the floor. However, the Buckeyes hit just one of 13 three-point shots in the game. Villanova won for the sixth straight time after round one. They held Delaware to just 44% from the field and 15% from 3-point arc. This game seems taylor made for Villanova. Ohio State doesn't have the height to contend in the paint vs the Wildcats. They also don't possess the shooting to dent this Villanova defense. Ohio State will have to rely on its defense to keep them close, but I don't see that happening against a very good Villanova offense. Play Villanova. |
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03-20-22 | Houston v. Illinois +3.5 | 68-53 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 0 m | Show | |
NCAA 2nd ROund Action concludes today as Houston takes on Illinois for the right to move on. Houston beat UAB on Friday, 82-68, in the first round . That makes four wins in a row both S/U and ATS for the Cougars as they hit the 30-win mark for the year. Illinois beat Chattanooga, 54-53, after trailing most of the game to win at the end and advance. They didn't cover the 7.5-point favorite line though. The motto of this team is survive and advance and now they get to finally be a underdog today to the Cougars. I like Illinois because they have depth to the bench over Houston. Houston is predominantly a 3-point shooting team and you live and die by the 3's. I'm going to take the points here with Illinois. |
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03-19-22 | Memphis +10 v. Gonzaga | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
No 9 Memphis hopes to pull some inspiration from St Peters as it looks to upend a top seed here today in the form of Gonzaga. The Tigers got here with a win over Boise State, 64-53 last Thursday. Gonzaga struggled for bit but finally pulled away in its first round win over Georgia State, 93-72. Memphis looked dead in the water until it won 10 of its final 11 games down the stretch. They then added two more wins in the AAC Tourney before losing to champion Houston in the Title game. Gonzaga is the top offensive team in basketball this year with the best 2-point percentage. They face a Memphis team ranked 28th in defense. The Tigers have had an up and down season, but have proved they can beat any team on a given day. I'm going to take a shot with the points here on Saturday on Memphis. |
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03-19-22 | St. Peter's v. Murray State -8 | 70-60 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
15th seeded St Peters pulled the biggest upset of the NCAA Tournament thus far with their win over Kentucky in OT 85-79. Murray State beat San Francisco, 85-79 to set up this improbable contest here today in round 2. The Peacocks were a 18-point dog to Kentucky and improved to 20-11 overall and 14-6 in their conference. Murray State can punch their ticket the sweet 16 here today. The Racers improved to 31-2 and 18-0 in the OVC with their win over San Francisco. They also are a very high scoring team, averaging 79.7 ppg, good for 14th in the nation. They also posses the 25th ranked defense, holding teams to just63 ppg. This Racers team is very well balanced and while the Peacocks shocked Kentucky, don't expect Murray State to let that happen today. Play Murray State. |
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03-19-22 | Michigan v. Tennessee -5.5 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney 2nd Round action from Indianapolis, IN has 11th seeded Michigan taking on 3rd seeded Tennessee. Michigan trailed Colorado State by as many as 15-points in round one before rallying to win over the Rams, 75-63. Tennessee had it much easier, rolling to an easy win over Longwood, 88-56. It's still a shock that Michigan got an at large bid with 17 wins when teams like Drake were overlooked with 22 wins. Plus, Michigan got knocked out in the 1st Round of the Big 10 Conference tournament by Indiana, 69-74. Further bad news for the Wolverines is that they may be without guard Devante Jones who has a concussion. Tennessee just continues to win, now having won eight straight games including their SEC Tourney Championship win over Texas A&M, 65-50. They have covered four straight games and six of their last eight games. Michigan would have to play a perfect game here today to win against a much better Tennessee club. With Jones possibly out too that is going to be too many hills to climb for this Michigan team. I'll lay the points with the Vols. |
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03-19-22 | Western Illinois +8 v. UTEP | 54-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
First round action here in The Basketball Classic has Western Illinois Lethernecks taking on the UTEP Miners at the Don Haskins Center. WIU comes in with a 16-15 overall record and 7-11 in the Summit League. They lost in the conference tournament Quarterfinals to Oral Roberts, 80-68. UTEP lost their conference quarterfinal matchup to Middle Tennessee State in OT, 59-66. WIU had their highest win total in almost 10 years, though they faded down the stretch after starting the season 10-2. WIU is the 24th scoring team in the country with 78.7 ppg this season. UTEP can at least hit the 20-win plateau here with a win today. The Miners offense isn't nearly as good as WIU, averaging just 68.8 ppg on the season. Getting over seven points here today with a very good scoring offense is good enough for me. Play Western Illinois. |
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03-19-22 | North Carolina v. Baylor -5.5 | 93-86 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Second Round NCAA Tourney action has an early matchup here on Saturday between 8th seeded North Carolina and top seeded Baylor Bears. NCU is off a blowout win over Marquette in round one, 95-63. Baylor also cruised to an easy victory in round one over Norfolk State, 85-49. Surprisingly this will be the first ever meeting between these storied teams on the basketball court. The defending national champion Bears improved to 27-6 with the win and were 14-4 in the Big 10. They hit 57.4% from the field in their win over Norfolk. Both these teams are very good offensive clubs. The difference though is that the NCU defense is not very good. Baylor is one of the better defensive teams in the nation. I will back the defending champs here as they have the more complete team. |
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03-19-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne +10 v. Drake | 65-87 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
CBI Tourney 1st Round action here on Saturday has IPFW taking on Drake in the early game. The Fort Wayne Mastodons are 20-10 on the season and 19-9 ATS. They will take on #1 seed Drake Bulldogs who are 22-9 overall and 9-19 ATS overall. Fort Wayne won their last nine regular season games before losing their tourney game to Northern Kentucky, 43-57, as a 2-point dog. Fort Wayne covered eight of their last 11 games. Have to wonder how motivated Drake will be here today, having to settle for a CBI bid when they just missed on on both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. The Bulldogs won five straight games before losing to Loyola Chicago in the conference tourney, 65-48 as a 5.5-point favorite. Drake is by far the better team here, but motivation does play a big part and Drake has no motivation to be in this tournament. I'll take the points with IPFW. |
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03-18-22 | TCU v. Seton Hall | 69-42 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
The TCU Horned Frogs got an at large bid into the NCAA tournament with a 20-12 finish and despite losing three of their last four games. The Frogs lost in the Big 12 Tournament to Kansas, 62-75, after beating Texas in round 1, 65-60. Seton Hall finished 21-10 and beat Georgetown in their opening conference tourney game before losing to Connecticut, 52-62. Still, Seton Hall finished out winning six of their last seven games and 10 of the last 11, which was good enough to get them in the tournament. Seton Hall will have a big advantage at height in this matchup. That will take away from the TCU offensive rebounding, which has been excellent. Seton Hall also has experience on their side, ranked 21st while TCU is 279th in experience. I like a team with experience and can control the boards, which is just what I expect out of Seton Hall tonight. Play Seton Hall. |
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03-18-22 | Davidson +1.5 v. Michigan State | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
No 10 Davidson takes on No 7 Michigan State here on Friday in the NCAA Tournament. Davidson hopes to break the one-and-done trend they have had in the NCAA tournament the last four appearances. Michigan State was 22-12 overall and started the season hot at 14-2. However, they slumped in Big 10 play, losing nine of their last 15 regular season conference games. They did turn it around in the Conference tourney, with a pair of wins before losing to Purdue in the semifinals. Davidson was 27-6 and had little issues in their conference. This is a slow paced Davidson team, so they play a very deliberate pace. That translates to top 50 nationally in 2-point shots, 3 point shots and free throws. They also rank 15th in the nation in offensive efficiency. This is a Wildcats team that does everything right on offense, including not turning the ball over. The defense isn't the best, but the MSU offense is very inconsistent. I'm going to take Davidson here today. |
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03-18-22 | Iowa State v. LSU -4 | 59-54 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
out of the Big 12 Conference Tourney in their first matchup to Texas Tech, 41-72. That loss followed losses to Baylor (68-75) and Oklahoma State (36-53). The most distressing is that this offense has really struggled of late and really all year as they ranked 277th nationally in scoring as well as 242nd in 3-point fg's. LSU got knocked out of the SEC Conference tourney in their second game by Arkansas, 67-79. That game after they beat Missouri to open the tournament, 76-68. Iowa State is 2-5 ATS in their last seven NCAA tournament games as a dog. This really looks to be a good matchup for LSU. LSU has the experience and with the Cyclones offensive woes I expect LSU to have little trouble advancing. Take LSU. |
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03-18-22 | Wizards v. Knicks -6 | 97-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Washington Wizards will continue playing without their star shooting guard Bradley Beal, who remains out with a wrist injury. With that being said, it's no wonder the Wizards have lost and failed to cover five straight games. They have also lost eight of their last 10 games. The Wizards are now 15-35-2 their last 52 games vs the spread. Meanwhile, the Knicks improved to 29-40 with their win over Portland last game, 128-98. The Knicks have now covered seven straight games. This all coming for the Knicks after a horrible stretch in February that saw them close the month losing nine of their last 10 games both S/U and ATS. I like the way the Knicks have played of late. Take New York. |
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03-18-22 | Chattanooga +8 v. Illinois | 53-54 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
 Number 13 Chattanooga takes on No 4 Illinois in the NCAA 1st Round here on Friday. The Chattanooga Mocs were 27-7 overall on the season. The Mocs did great in the Southern Conference, going 14-4 in the league and winning the conference tournament. Illinois lost three of their seven February games and needed to win their final three games to share the Conference title with Purdue and Wisconsin. Despite being the No 1 seed in the Big 10 Tournament, they Fighting Illini were upset by Indiana in the quarterfinals. I expect Chattanooga to keep close here today and with the line around 8-points, that should be more than enough for the Mocs to get the cover. Play Tenn Chatt. |
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03-18-22 | Virginia Tech +1.5 v. Texas | 73-81 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
NCAA first round action today has No 11 Virginia Tech taking on No 6 Texas. The VT Hokies were 23-12 and won the ACC Tournament in Brooklyn, beating Clemson in OT, Notre Dame, N.Carolina and Duke to win the title and auto bid. Texas finished 21-11 and comes into this game losing three in a row and four of the last six. Va Tech got hot down the stretch after starting the season just 10-10. Texas started hot at 12-2 and finished poorly. Don't expect a lot of points here as Va Tech is one of the slowest teams in the country. They also posses the nation's 3rd best 3-point shooting team. Texas is also a slow team but its the defense that is the best part of this Longhorns team. We have the hot Tech team against the slumping Texas team. Can Tech continue that here on Friday? I think they can and I will take the couple of points they are getting. Â Â Â |
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03-18-22 | Miami-FL +2 v. USC | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
The 10th seeded Miami Hurricanes take on the 7th seeded Trojan of USC in the NCAA 1st Round. Miami is coming off a 23-10 overall record and 14-6 ACC mark. USC was 26-7 overall and also 14-6 in conference play. The Canes narrowly lost to Duke in the ACC Semifinals, 76-80, covering the spread. USC made it all the way to the Elite Eight last year before being knocked out of the NCAA tournament. Miami was a surprise team this year and are a team to not be taken lightly. USC struggled down the stretch an was eliminated by double digits to UCLA in the PAC-12 Semis. Miami has the better offensive unit and while they aren't getting a lot of points, we are getting a few. Play Miami. |
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03-18-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Ohio State | Top | 41-54 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Early Friday action here in the NCAA 1st Round from PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA. The Loyola Chicago Ramblers take on Ohio State Buckeyes. The winner of this game likely has a date with Villanova in the next round. Loyola is no stranger to Cinderella runs in the NCAA tournament so don't expect them to shock anyone this year. This team has lots of experience with road and neutral games, playing 17 games on one or the other site. Loyola also comes into today's contest fully healthy. The Loyola defense is their backbone, ranked 29th nationally in scoring defense. They also rank 11th nationally in rebounding. Ohio State started the season red-hot, but down the stretch could only manage a 19-11 record and 4th place in the Big 10. The Buckeyes were just 5-6 away from home this year and 1-2 on a neutral court. I'm going to take Loyola here in what looks currently to be a pick'em game. |
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03-17-22 | San Francisco v. Murray State -1.5 | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament action on Thursday night has No 10 seeded San Francisco Dons taking on the No 7 Murray State Racers from Indianapolis, IN. These were two of the best mid-major teams in the country and it looks like the committee wanted to see which team was better in this head to head matchup. Murray State was 30-2 and had a huge win this year on the road over Memphis. One of their two losses coming to Auburn. The Racers sped through the Ohio Valley Conference undefeated at 18-0 including the tourney win. San Francisco was 24-9 at got the at large bid into the tourney. The Dons started the season strong at 10-0, but just 14-9 the rest of the way. They also lost all five meetings with WCC powerhouses Gonzaga and St Marys this year. San Francisco has a very good team, but I believe this Murray State team can go far in the tournament. Murray laying just two-points here looks like a bargain to me. Play Murray State. |
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03-17-22 | South Dakota State +2.5 v. Providence | 57-66 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
NCAA Tourney action begins it's drive to the Finals here with this early game on Thursday between South Dakota State and Providence. No 13 seeded South Dakota State Jackrabbits were 30-4 overall and one of the best scoring teams in college basketball. In fact, they had the 12th most efficient offense in all the country this year. They are ranked 1st in the country in 3 point FG% (44.2%). The Providence Friars will have their hands full with this offense. The Friars finished the season at 25-5 overall. The question for the friars is how will they respond after being blowout out by Creighton in the Big East Tournament. In fact, Providence lost two of their last three games. I expect a close game here on Thursday, but I like the Jackrabbits in an upset win. |
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03-16-22 | Notre Dame v. Rutgers +1.5 | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 35 m | Show | |
Another First Four playoff game with the winner advancing to the NCAA tournament has Notre Dame taking on Rutgers. Notre Dame went out of their conference tournament in the first game, losing to Virginia Tech, 80-87 as a pick'em game. Still, the Irish 22 wins go them to this spot with a chance. The Irish are a small favorite here tonight, something they haven't done well at lately. They are just 2-8 ATS their last 10 times they have been a favorite in the NCAA Tournament. Rutgers finished 18-13 after losing their Big 10 opening round game to Iowa, 74-84. The Scarlet Knights are 8-2-1 ATS their last 11 games as the dog. Notre Dame can't be happy having to play this First Four game while Rutgers is happy for the chance. I'm taking Rutgers here tonight. |
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03-16-22 | Nicholls State +15 v. SMU | 58-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
 NIT action here tonight has Nicholls State taking on SMU. Nicholls State Colonels was the Southland Regular Season champion with a 21-11 record and 11-3 conference record. However, they did lose in the semifinals of the conference tournament to Texas A&M CC, 64-71. SMU had to settle for a NIT bid after just missing out on the NCAA tournament with a 23-8 record and losing in their conference semifinals to Memphis. Nicholls State was the 20th highest score team in the nation with 79.1 ppg average. Yet here today they are getting 14 1/2 or 15 points. If the get their average that would mean SMU has to get 95 or more point. I don't see that happening against this very good Nicholls State team. Play Nicholls State. |
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03-16-22 | Mavs -2.5 v. Nets | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Very strange situation for the Nets as they can't play with Kyrie Irving when at home because he's ineligible due to Covid restrictions. Then he's allowed to play when on the road. So here we are, the Nets at home with no Irving. Dallas is 42-26 overall on the season. The Mavs have won two straight games and and six of their last seven games. They have also covered 12 of their last 16 games. The Nets have not been good at home without Irving. How bad? They are just 6-25-1 at home vs the spread this year. They also have a losing S/U record at 14-18. However, on the road they are 22-15 S/U and 21-14-2 ATS. I'm taking the Mavs here against a Irving-less Nets. |
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03-16-22 | Mississippi State v. Virginia -2.5 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
The Virginia Cavaliers host the Mississippi State Bulldogs in this NIT First Round game. Two big conference teams here as the SEC meets the ACC. No 3 seeded Mississippi State takes on 6th seeded Virginia. Mississippi State Bulldogs finished just 18-15 overall on the season and 10th in the SEC with a 1-9 record. The Bulldogs will also be without a key cog in Rocket Watts (elbow) as the Dogs have struggled without him in the lineup. We are used to seeing Virginia in the NCAA tournament, so some steps backward this year as they hit the NIT's. One big advantage I see here tonight is that the Cavs are 100% healthy. A deep bench will undoubtedly go a long way in this game. Virginia is the lower seed here, but they get the home game and are the favorite. Mississippi State doesn't win on the road and are 1-6 in their last seven games. Motivation will be key here tonight as I don't see Mississippi State having any in this matchup. Take Virginia. |
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03-15-22 | Indiana v. Wyoming +4.5 | Top | 66-58 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
NCAA First four action here on Tuesday has Indiana taking on Wyoming with the winner advancing on to their tournament bracket. Indiana didn't win the Big 10 Tournament, but they came close, just losing to Iowa in game they led most of the way, 77-80. They did cover all three of their Big 10 tourney games - all as an underdog. Now today, here they are the favorite against Wyoming. The Cowboys lost in the Mountain West Semifinals to Boise State, 61-68. However, their 25 wins got them this First Four play-in game. The Hoosiers are playing their third game in five days, something they haven't excelled at, evidenced by their 1-7 ATS in their last eight games. Wyoming has done very well in the role of a dog, going 11-4 ATS their last 15. They are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games. I'll take the points tonight with the Cowboys. |
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03-15-22 | Nets -9.5 v. Magic | 150-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets improved to 35-33 thanks to a 3-game win streak. This included their last game at home against New York, 110-107, as a 5.5-point favorite. The Nets are now 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight road games. The Orlando Magic playing out the rest of the regular season as they sit at 18-51 and no hopes of a postseason this year. The Magic have won two of their last three games, but lost last time out to Philly, 114-116. The Magic have been a decent covering team despite their losing overall record. However, in this series the Nets have the upper hand. Brooklyn has covered nine of the last 12 meetings with Orlando. I'll lay the points on the road today with the Nets. |
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03-14-22 | Bulls -3.5 v. Kings | Top | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
The Chicago Bulls improved to 41-26 thanks to winning two games in a row. They are coming off a win at home over Cleveland, 101-91, as a 5.5-point favorite. The Bulls are 7-3 ATS their last 10 games vs a team with a losing S/U record. They are also 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite. The Sacramento Kings have lost four straight games. They are also 2-9 S/U their last 11 games. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with the Kings. I'll lay the number here tonight with Chicago. |
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03-13-22 | Pacers v. Hawks -12 | 128-131 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
 The Indiana Pacers are 23-45 as they play at Atlanta here today. The Pacers snapped a 3-games losing streak with a win at San Antonio last game, 119-108, as a 1.5-point dog. The Pacers are just 5-10-1 ATS their last 16 games. They are also 3-8 ATS their last 11 games as a dog. The Atlanta Hawks are 32-34 after beating the Clippers last game, 112-106. The Hawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. I'll lay the points here today with Atlanta. |
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03-13-22 | Iowa +2.5 v. Purdue | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
The Big 10 always closes out play on this Selection Sunday and they do so again as Iowa takes on Purdue for the Tourney Championship and automatic NCAA bid. Both of these teams will make the NCAA tournament, regardless of the outcome of today's contest. Still, bragging rights are on the line. Iowa trailed most of yesterday's contest to Indiana before pulling out the late win, 80-77, but failing to cover the 5.5-point favorite line. They beat Rutgers the night before 84-74 and Northwestern in the opening game, 112-76. The way this Iowa team scores, it's no wonder they are the top ranked efficient offense in the Big 10. Purdue is 27-6 after beating Penn State in their opening tourney game, 69-61, and then beating Michigan State yesterday, 75-70, as a 6.5-point favorite. They have failed to cover a spread in nine straight games (with done push). Purdue has the 2nd most efficient offense right behind Iowa. However, they are 9th in defense, which won't help them much here today against this high powered Iowa offense. Iowa getting 2.5-points here today. I like Iowa to win outright, but I'll take the points. |
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03-13-22 | Memphis +3.5 v. Houston | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
American Athletic Conference Championship here today has Memphis (19-9) taking on Houston (26-5) for the Title and automatic NCAA bid. That last one more important for Memphis. Houston will be going to the NCAA tournament no matter what, but a loss by Memphis and I really doubt they get in with 19 wins when so many teams have 20 or more wins. That makes this game even bigger for Memphis. Memphis got here today with a win on Friday over Central Florida, 85-69 and then a win yesterday over SMU, 70-63, covering both games. Memphis has covered five of their last six and 10 of the last 12 games. That includes a cover a pair of covers against Houston on March 6, 75-61 and Feb 12, 69-59. They not only covered both but beat Houston straight up in both games. So we know they have the confidence to beat them again here today. Houston lost only five games all year and two of those to Memphis. They beat Cincinnati in round one of their tourney play, 69-56, and then Tulane yesterday, 86-66. For me, Memphis knows they can beat this team and needs to win to assure a NCAA bid. I'll take the points with Memphis today. |
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03-13-22 | Texas A&M +6.5 v. Tennessee | 50-65 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
SEC Championship game not exactly what many figured to see here today with a 23-11 Texas A&M taking on a 23-7 Tennessee. A&M had to win all three of their tourney games as a dog. They beat Florida in game one, 83-80, then Auburn in game two, 67-62 and then Arkansas yesterday, 83-64, as a 6-point dog. That means the Aggies have now covered seven straight games and got hot just when they needed to get hot. Tennessee also pulled out the upset win yesterday, taking down Kentucky 69-62 as a 2.5-point dog. They have covered four of their last six games. A&M getting 6.5-points here today looks like a gift to me. The Aggies just keep covering games and winning as a dog. I'll take those points. Play Texas A&M. |
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03-13-22 | Richmond v. Davidson -3.5 | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 10 m | Show | |
Atlantic 10 Championship has Richmond taking on Davidson. Richmond is playing their fourth game in four nights here today after beating Rhode Island, 64-59, VCU, 75-64 and Dayton, 68-64. This Richmond team has to be tired playing here today. Davidson has played two games in two days, beating Fordham, 74-56 and then beating St Louis yesterday, 84-69. Davidson has now covered six of their last seven games. I'm taking Davidson here today with the Wildcats being less tired of the two teams. Play Davidson. |
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03-12-22 | Raptors v. Nuggets -5.5 | 127-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
It's East vs West here tonight as the Toronto Raptors visit the Mile High City to face the Denver Nuggets. The Raptors are in 7th place in the East as they hope to stave off the teams behind them for a playoff spot. The Raptors have won and covered their last two games after a three game losing streak was snapped. Plus, the Raptors are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games. The Nuggets are 40-27 S/U and 29-36-2 ATS on the season. They had their four-game win streak snapped last game against Golden State, 102-113, as a 2-point dog. Denver has done well vs the Raptors, cover the last six games in Denver and going 22-7 the last 29 overall meetings. Always tough to come in for one game at this altitude. I'll take Denver and lay the points. |
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03-12-22 | Virginia Tech +6 v. Duke | Top | 82-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
ACC Championship game pits 22-12 Virginia Tech against Duke. Tech won it's first tourney game against Notre Dame, 87-80, covering the pick'em game. Then last night they got the win over North Carolina, 72-59, blowing out the Tar Heels as a 3-point dog. Tech playing their third game in five days here but they have done well in this position, covering nine of the last 11 times. Duke is 28-5 after beating Syracuse in game one, 88-79 and then disposing of Miami Florida last night, 80-76. However, they have failed to cover their last three spreads. They are also 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs a team with a winning record over 60%. I like the 6-points in this game with a Tech team that can win outright. |
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03-12-22 | Creighton +7 v. Villanova | 48-54 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Big East Championship has Creighton taking on Villanova today from Madison Square Garden in NY, NY. Creighton opened their tournament with a win over Marquette, 74-63, and then won last night over favored Providence, 85-58, as a 3-point dog. The Blue Jays have covered three of their last four games and are 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 games. Villanova is 25-7 and beat St Louis to open Big East tourney action, 66-65. They then beat U Conn last night, 63-60, as a 2-5-point favorite. Both games closer than the Wildcats would have like. Now they have to lay 7-points to a very good Creighton team. The dog has covered seven of the last nine games in this series. I'm sticking with the dog again here today. Play Creighton. |
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03-12-22 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Kansas | 65-74 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Big 12 Championship game here between Texas Tech and Kanas. Likely the loser of this one goes to the NCAA anyway. Texas Tech is 25-8 overall and has tourney wins over Iowa State, 72-41 and then beat Oklahoma last night, 56-55, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Red Raiders now playing their third game in three nights. Kansas is 27-6 overall and has tourney wins over West Virginia, 87-63, and then last night over TCU, 75-62, as a 8-point favorite. The Hawks are 6-2 ATS their last eight games as the favorite. Line just about 2-points on Kansas here. But I'm taking Texas Tech team in a small upset win. |
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03-12-22 | Monmouth v. St. Peter's -2.5 | 54-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Metro Atlantic Final here today from Atlantic City, NJ has Monmouth taking on St Peters. Monmouth is 21-12 after beating Niagara in their opening round game, 61-58, and then Rider last night, 72-68, covering both games. That snapped a four-game streak where the Hawks had not covered a spread. St Peters Peacocks are 18-11 after winning their opening round game last night over Quinnipiac, 64-52. St Peters has now won six straight games both S/U and ATS. In addition, they are 16-4-1 ATS their last 21 games overall and 10-2 ATS their last 12 games on a neutral site. I like the Peacocks here today. Play St Peters. |
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03-12-22 | Indiana +5.5 v. Iowa | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 29 m | Show | |
Early action in the Big 10 Conference SemiFinals here today as Indiana takes on Iowa for the right to advance to the finals tomorrow. Indiana (20-12) has won its opening two games of the tourney on Thursday over Michigan, 74-69, as a 3-point dog and then yesterday over Illinois, 65-63, as a 5.5-point dog. The Hoosiers have pulled two straight upset wins. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on a neutral court. Iowa (24-9) beat Northwestern to open conference tourney play, 112-76. Then they beat Rutgers last night, 84-74, covering both games. Indiana will need to slow the pace in this one to stay close. The dog has covered five of the last seven in the series and that's who I'm on today. Play Indiana. |
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03-11-22 | Colorado +10 v. Arizona | 72-82 | Push | 0 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
PAC 12 Semifinal action has Colorado taking on Arizona. Colorado Buffaloes are 21-10 overall on the season and opened PAC 12 conference tourney play with a win over Oregon, 80-68, as a 1.5-point favorite. That win was their third in a row and eighth in their last nine games. They are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games. They split the season series with Arizona, winning on their home court on Feb 26, 79-63, as a 9.5 point dog. They lost at Arizona back on Jan 13th, 55-76, as a 15-point dog. Arizona is 29-3 overall and coming off their first round win over Stanford, 84-80, but failing to cover the 15.5-point line. They are just 2-3 ATS over their last five games. They are also 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games as a favorite. I'll take the points here tonight with Colorado. |
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03-11-22 | Knicks v. Grizzlies -9.5 | 114-118 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
The Ny Knicks have improved to 28-38 following a trio of wins, including last game out at Dallas, 107-77, as a 9-point dog. The Knicks have covered their last four road games. However, they are just 4-9 ATS the last 13 times against a team with a winning record. Memphis is having a fine season at 45-22 overall and 43-23-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over New Orleans, 132-111, as a 6.5-point favorite. That makes them 10-4 S/U and 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 games. The Grizzlies are also 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games as favorite. They are also 35-16 ATS their last 51 games overall. Grizzlies have been very good and should not have any issues with this Knicks team on Friday. Play Memphis. |
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03-11-22 | Ohio v. Kent State +1.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
MAC Semifinals here today with the right to play in the Championship game tomorrow has Ohio U taking on Kent State. Ohio opened MAC play with a win over Ball State, 77-67, covering the 8-point favorite line. That win snapped a three-game losing streak both S/U and ATS. Kent State Golden Flashes improved to 22-9 with their opening round win over Miami Ohio, 85-75, covering the 6.5-point favorite line. The Flashes bring one of the longest win streaks into today's contest, now up to 13-games. They are also 10-2 ATS their last 12 games. Hard to go against Kent as they continue to dazzle with their winning both S/U and ATS. Plus we get a point or two here tonight. Take Kent State. |
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03-11-22 | Miami-FL +9 v. Duke | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
ACC Semifinals tonight have Miami Florida taking on Duke. Miami opened their conference tourney play with a narrow win over Boston College, 71-69, as a 8-point favorite. The Canes extended their win streak to three games, though they failed to cover the spread. Miami does very well as a dog, evidenced by their 21-8-1 ATS mark their last 30 games in that role. Duke is 27-5 overall on the season and opened ACC tourney play with a win over Syracuse, 88-79, though they failed to cover the 15-point spread. The Blue Devils are now 4-6 ATS their last 10 games. Miami plays too good as dog to be betting 8-points here today. Play Miami Florida. |
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03-11-22 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -3 | 69-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Big 10 Semifinal has Michigan State taking on Wisconsin this afternoon. Michigan State is 21-11 overall on the season and opened Big 10 Tourney play with a win over Maryland, 76-72, as a 2-point favorite. The Spartans have not been good at covering spreads, going just 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games. The Spartans are just 1-4 their last five games as a dog. Wisconsin is 24-6 overall and got the bye in the quarterfinals. That means they will have the extra rest going into tonight's contest while Michigan State had to play yesterday. The Badgers are 4-1-1 their last six games on a neutral court. I like the rest factor here with the Badgers and I will lay the three points. |
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03-11-22 | LSU v. Arkansas -3 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
SEC action here on Friday has LSU taking on Arkansas. LSU is 22-10 overall and opened tournament action with a win over Missouri, 76-68, as a 11.5-point favorite. LSU hasn't done well on neutral courts, going 5-13-2 ATS their last 20 times as a dog at these sites. The Arkansas Razorbacks are 24-7 S/U and had a bye in the 1st round of the tournament. They finished regular season with a loss at Tennessee, 74-78, as a 5.5-point dog. Arkansas has been great to bettors, going 13-2-1 ATS their last 16 games. They beat LSU both times this year, back on Jan 15 at LSU, 65-58 as a 6.5-point dog. Then they beat them at Arkansas on March 2, 77-76, as a 5.5-point favorite. Arkansas laying around 3 to 4 points here today. I'll take the Razorbacks. |
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03-10-22 | Iowa State +8 v. Texas Tech | 41-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
 Big 12 Conference Quarterfinals here today has Iowa State taking on Texas Tech in the final game of the day from T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO. Iowa State rebounded from their worst performance of the Year on March 2, scoring just 26 points at home to Oklahoma State with a good showing vs Baylor last game, 68-75. Even though they have lost two games, they are still 4-2 S/U and ATS their last six games. The Cyclones are now 12-5-1 ATS their last 18 games as a dog. Texas Tech Red Raiders had a fine season at 23-8 overall. They are coming off a loss at Oklahoma State, 51-52, as a 3-point favorite. That makes three straight cover losses for the Raiders. The Raiders haven't done well on a neutral court, going 1-7 ATS their last eight games as a favorite. Getting seven or eight here today with Iowa State is plenty for me. Play Iowa State. |
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03-10-22 | Utah State v. Colorado State -3.5 | 51-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Utah State Aggies come into tonight's Mountain West Conference tourney contest with a 18-14 record. They won their last two games, though those came against the bottom teams in the conference in Air Force and San Jose State. They lost to Colorado State on Feb 26 on their home court, 55-66, as a 2.5-point favorite. Colorado State was 24-4 to finish the regular season. They have won their last three games and eight of their last nine games. They were also 5-3 ATS their last eight games. Colorado State has the top efficient offense in the Mountain West. They are 2nd in 2-point FG% (54.9%) and 1st in free throws (77.5%). Colorado State is one of the teams to watch in this tournament. I'll lay the price with them here tonight. |
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03-10-22 | Vanderbilt +5.5 v. Alabama | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
SEC late tourney action tonight has the conference last game of the Day as Vandy takes on Alabama from Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. Vandy opened their conference play yesterday with a win over Georgia, 86-51, as a 8.5-point favorite. They have won three of their last nine games. The Commodores historically are not good on a neutral court, evidenced by their 3-13 mark their last 16 as a dog. Alabama finished the regular season with a 19-12 mark and got a bye in the first round of the tournament. They should be well rested here today while Vandy is playing their second game in two nights. The Tide finished losing their last two games to Texas A&M and then at LSU, 77-80, though the covered vs LSU as a 3.5 point dog. The Tide really haven't played well for a while. They are just 5-17-1 ATS their last 23 games and 8-20 their last 28 games as a favorite. I'll take the points here tonight with Vandy. |
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