Cappers Sports Picks - The Experts

Miami Hurricanes.

Sure, this is a lot of wood too lay. But this is also a big game for the Hurricanes in the conference as well as overall in the rankings. Both teams are undefeated in ACC play thus far this season. You know for several years; the Tigers had the better of this rivalry until their last meeting in October 2023 when the ‘Canes bested them in overtime 28-20 as nearly a touchdown underdog. This season, Miami enters this matchup ranked #4 in the nation with a perfect 4-0 straight up record, and going 3-1 against the number. As a matter of fact, they have been money against the spread, covering eight of their last nine overall outings going back to November of last season. Meanwhile, Clemson opened this season on the road at LSU and got humiliated 51-10. They have since redeemed themselves rattling of three consecutive SU victories and going 2-1 ATS during that span. But I will say last week’s road victory at Cal, maybe luck played a part. Having said that, Miami has Florida State on deck in two weeks. So, I doubt they’ll be in look ahead mode. Meanwhile, Clemson has a nobody on deck, also in two weeks. Looking at the statistics between these two teams, it is overwhelming the Hurricanes will dominate. They rank 1st in total yards, 4th in passing, 21st in rushing, 3rd in points scored, and 4th in the nation in defensive points allowed. Oh, by the way, they are also 1st the nation on the stop-unit side of the ball in rushing and are 41st against the pass. Let’s be honest, none of the Tigers numbers are impressive. They rank among the worst in passing, total yards, and in scoring. Throw into the mix they’ve committed seven turnovers offensively, and I think they’re in for a very ugly day here. Defensively their numbers aren’t great either. I just don’t see this offense with a young backup quarterback at the helm who doesn’t have too much experience under his belt, going up against this ferocious “D” looking to make a statement here, lighting the scoreboard up. Take the Miami Hurricanes. Thank you.

Texas Tech Red Raiders.

At first glance, you might think this is way too many points for the Red Raiders to lay on the road. But I’m here to tell you, I don’t think it’s enough points. Texas Tech is undefeated at 4-0 this season, but have only covered one of those four games. They do have a bye next week before they play Arizona State at home. I doubt very much they’ll take their foot of the gas against an inferior conference foe here. Especially one that embarrassed them the last time they met back in November 2024, 41-27. What can we say about Colorado? Sure, they opened their season with back-to-back wins over Georgia Tech and Weber State. But they came back down to earth in the last two outings getting shellac on the road at Northwestern and also on the road at Baylor. They have now failed to cover three straight this season and going back to last season seven of their last nine outings. They also are off next week before they play Utah at home in two weeks. It seems their offense can’t get any rhythm going turning the ball over seven times, ranking 115th in scoring, and possessing equally dismal passing and rushing units. Granted, Texas Tech has shown statistically their past defense to be overwhelmed a bit. But in their defense, two of their opponents in which they both took down, were pass-happy offenses in Oregon State at home on the road and Houston at home. They have been frustrating against the rush and have forced five turnovers already. Without a real ground game to speak of, I feel the Buffaloes offense is at a big disadvantage here. On the opposite line of scrimmage, the Red Raiders are once again scoring a ton of points, behind an equally well-balanced offense. Colorado hasn’t been able to stop the pass either, and facing this offense, is going prove to be fatal for them. Texas Tech needs to stay undefeated in Big 12 play as well as keep their #12 ranking nationally. Take the Red Raiders. Thank you.

Washington Huskies.

As you look at this game, my friends, you’ll see these two teams have combined to cover just one of their nine outings this season. The Huskies come into to this matchup knowing they have not just prevailed in the last three meetings with the Trojans, they have also covered them all too. They do have a big game next week against the Hawkeyes at home. But coming off last week‘s three-point loss at home against the Golden Gophers as a double-digit fav, will light a fire under their coach and this team. Meanwhile, USC might be caught in a look-ahead game here as next week they have to travel to Pennsylvania to face Penn State. Statistically speaking, both offenses are strong in the air while both offenses struggle on the ground. It’s true, the Trojans account for more points than the Huskies. But they’ve also committed more turnovers. In my opinion, this game will come down to defense. You cannot compare the Washington stop-unit, which has forced six turnovers, and is equally strong in the air, as well as on the ground to the USC defense, which only has three takeaways, ranks 99th in scoring, and a 106th against the pass. Not only do I feel the Washington Huskies will cover this game, I feel they could win this game outright. Take Washington. Thank you.

BYU Cougars.

I seriously can’t understand why this line is so low. The Cougars enter this matchup winning and covering all four of their games thus far this season, and going back to last season, winning and covering eight of their last 10 outings. It seems a season ago back in mid-November at home, BYU went out of their way to prove a point against TCU, crushing them 44-13. That victory ended a 16-year slide against the Horned Frogs. Speaking of TCU, they are just 2-2 both SU and ATS this season. Sure, they can destroy teams like Grambling and Arkansas State. But when asked to step up in class, they failed both times, dropping a season-opener at home against North Carolina and last week on the road at Central Florida. By the way, they were favorites in both of those games. too. In six days from this game, BYU has to take on Iowa State at home, while next week, TCU is off. The Horned Frogs offense has looked decent against lesser opponents, allowing their statistics to bloat. They can’t run the ball at all, and have committed seven turnovers. I will admit, their passing attack is pretty good. However, the Cougars secondary is pretty solid, and their front line is one of the best of the country. They are allowing just 15.7 PPG, snagged five takeaways already, rank in the top in the nation against the rush, and have shown they could stop some pretty good passing attacks. Yes, TCU also owns a solid defense. However, they’ve only forced two takeaways already. The BYU offense is solid averaging over 44.0 PPG, making very few mistakes, possessing a top-10 rushing attack, and a decent passing game. As I mentioned earlier, they have to face Iowa State in six days at home, followed by another home game against the Notre Dame. They must win the games they could win, and they must win them with authority. I say last year’s 31-point victory will be repeated. Take the BYU Cougars. Thank you.

New Mexico Lobos.

Yes, at first glance, this seems to be a lot of points. But looking closer, the Lobos do own a 3-1 straight up record, as they are 4-0 against the spread this season. By the way, in three of those four outings they were laying double-digits. Their only defeat this season came on the road at the Sooners in which they certainly covered the 21.5- point spread losing a heartbreaker 14-6. By the way, that same Oklahoma team faced Texas El Paso also at home back in the first week of September as the Miners got squashed, 51-0. Speaking of UTEP, they are just 1-3 both SU/ATS this season. Going back to last season they have only prevailed in one of their last nine outings, and coincidentally enough have only covered in one of those last nine contests, as well. They have a home game next week against Nevada then the week after also at home they have to face San Jose State. New Mexico is off next week before they travel to Hawaii to take on the Rainbow Warriors. This will be their first conference contest of this season and they don’t take Mountain West matchups lightly. Looking at their statistics, they are outscoring opponents by 27.5 PPG, have not turned the ball over offensively at all, and defensively have forced nine turnovers, which leads the nation. Granted, their offense leaves a lot to be desired in the air, but still possesses one of the top-ranked rushing attacks in college football. UTEP possesses some of the ugliest numbers I’ve ever seen, ranking between 110th and 136th in just about every major offensive category. They are being outscored by 17.7 PPG, with an offense that has committed four turnovers, and a defense that scares no one. This game will certainly get ugly. Take the New Mexico Lobos. Thank you.

Florida Gators.

Both Florida and Missouri own strong records. The Gators are 4-0 while the Tigers are 3-1. There are a few disparities here, my friends. The visiting team has covered three of their four outings while the home team has failed to cover three of their four contests. Yes, the last time these two teams met the Tigers prevailed at home 33-31 as more than a double-digit favorite. Both teams performances a week ago have played a part in my release here. Florida took down Mississippi at home as a small favorite, 52-28, while Missouri on the road could not cover a small spread at Mississippi State, 31-24. It’s not just this season the Tigers aren’t covering. Going back to last season they have failed to cover seven of their last 10 contests. Neither team has a strong opponent on deck as the Gators face the Gamecocks at home and the Tigers face the Aggies, also at home. The Florida offense owns some very impressive numbers ranking 5th in total yards, 35th in passing yards, 11th in rushing yards, and 2nd in points scored. The Missouri offense also possesses some good numbers, but not quite as impressive as their opponent here. Neither defense is particularly strong against the pass, thus far, while both are strong against the rush. I see a few more differences here. The Gators rushing attack is one of the best in the nation. They can and will control the clock, move the chains, and keep the Tigers defense on the field. Missouri just don’t have the same solid ground attack. They must rely on their passing game. And Florida will come in here prepared for that. Take the Gators. Thank you.

Virginia Cavaliers on the Moneyline.

Well folks, Virginia has taken three of the last four meetings with Florida State straight up and 3-0-1 against the spread. The Cavaliers enter this matchup looking pretty strong on both sides of the ball. Yes, a few weeks back at home as a double-digit favorite, they lost outright by double-digits to West Virginia. But these things happen at the beginning of a season. This is a team making very few mistakes and accounting for over 40.5 points per game offensively. They own a well-balanced attack both in the air and on the ground. Meanwhile, their stop-unit once again looks to be a true force, forcing six turnovers and only allowing 13.0 PPG. They rank among the best in the nation against the pass and are pretty impressive against the run, as well. Yes, Florida State looked good in their season opener, but did not cover, then dropped their next two games both at home and on the road against formidable foes, and last week beat Central Arkansas by 27-points laying 45.5-points. I am still not sold on this team my friends. They have Louisville on deck, then Miami and Clemson. I’m not saying they’re going to take this game lightly. But they are at home and might be in a slight look-ahead situation. They have committed six turnovers with an offense that ranks 56 in rushing and 67th in passing. Defensively they are allowing a lot of points, and aren’t really scaring any opponents. Against the rush they rank 80th and against the pass among the worst in college football at 135th. This may be Virginia’s first road game of the regular season. But I feel they will make a statement here. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

It’s no secret, Georgia has dominated this rivalry taking six in a row, and eight of the last nine meeting straight up, covering five of the last six matchups. They are currently ranked #2 in the nation and have a big game with Alabama on deck on the road. Some sports bettors would look to fade them a bit as they may take their foot off the gas come late in the fourth quarter. But I don’t think they’re gonna’ do that. Style points count and we’ve seen a few of top-ranked teams already take losses, or even drop in the rankings with unimpressive victories. The Bulldogs are gonna’ make a statement here, not just to the rest of the SEC, but to the entire nation. They come in here, both 4-0 straight up and against the spread laying as many as 49.5-points. While the Commodores are 3-1 straight up and 2-2 against the number, they opened their season with a lackluster victory over Austin Peay and then another lackluster victory at Delaware. They then did win and cover as under a field-goal favorite against NC State before last weeks, 21-15 defeat on the road at Auburn, covering the nearly double-digit point spread. This team has Mississippi on deck, and I do feel the fact that they have no running attack to speak of will hurt them here. They rank 106th on the ground and have already committed five turnovers. Their passing game isn’t that much more impressive ranking 72nd. You know folks, say what you want about Georgia, but their defense is once again one of the best in the country yielding a mere 13.3 points per game, ranking third against the rush and 39th against the pass. They’ve also forced quite a few turnovers. Offensively this team ranked #1 in college football in scoring averaging over 54.8 PPG, and are equally balanced in the air as well as on the ground. There is no way the Commodores can slow this offense down and certainly no way their offense will be able to move the chains here. I’m going against the grain and taking the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Liberty Flames.

It’s no secret Liberty suffered an ugly regular season last year. One of their bright spots, however, was defeating Delaware at home 59-30. After dropping their first game of this regular season on the road at James Madison, an opponent which has since proven to be a true force to be reckoned with, they have now rattled off three consecutive victories and have covered their last two outings. This includes a 34-17 road win and cover on September 24 at Coastal Carolina. Coincidentally enough, the Blue Hens took down the Chanticleers at home on September 19, 22-14. This is their only common opponent this season, and we can’t overlook a much different outcome between these two teams against that common opponent. Now some would say coming off an embarrassing 42-3 road loss on the road at Virginia would compel Delaware to bounce back this week. Yes, in that last meeting, the Blue Hens quarterback, Minicucci lit them up for 344 yards passing. But they were unable to run the ball. This season, Delaware, sincerely has no running game whatsoever to rely upon. This makes their offense one-dimensional. So even if that same quarterback comes in here with some confidence, I feel he is in for a long day. Taking a look at the Flames defense, they’re absolutely ferocious at stopping the pass ranking 13th in the nation. A place where they certainly can thrive themselves offensively is in the air against one of the laxest pass defenses in the nation. Both teams have committed a couple of miscues on offense. However, the Blue Hens stop unit (if you can call it that), has only grabbed one takeaway this season compared to four takeaways for the Flames frustrating open “D”. Take Liberty. Thank you.

Pitt Panthers.

While both teams enter this contest 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread, I really like to visiting team here. Yes, it is the Panthers first time traveling away from home. But I feel their defense, is much stronger. Throw into the mix the fact the Hokies have turned the ball over five times on offense, and I really feel the wrong team is favored here. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.

James Madison Dukes.

One of the most pleasant surprises already this early in the regular season has to be the James Madison Dukes, which are 3-0 both straight up and against the spread this season. You may recall a season ago they lit up all but one of their regular season opponents, then took down Troy in their Conference championship, and held in tight with Oregon in a first round Bowl matchup. They posted 34 points on the Ducks in that matchup. They enter this game this week with confidence knowing they have dominated Old Dominion taking four in a row straight up and three of those four against the spread, which includes last season’s 63-27 beat down at home. Speaking of the Monarchs, they have lost their last two games and have failed to cover all three of their outings this season. Their offense has coughed the ball up a whopping seven times while their defense has snagged just one take away. On both sides of the line of scrimmage they are outclassed here. Take Dukes. Thank you.

Penn State Nittany Lions.

Laying nearly double-digits in a conference matchup could sometimes be shaky. But I’m here to tell you, there’s no need to worry. Penn State has dominated Wisconsin taking six consecutive meetings going back 14 seasons, not just winning all six but also covering all six matchups, as well. While Wisconsin has won their last two games against WIU and EMU, their season opening 41-13 defeat on the road at the hands of Notre Dame sticks out to me. Yes, I know how highly touted the Fighting Irish are. But this team through all three of their contests thus far this season does not have the usual rushing attack that we normally see. And without having a significant ground game, they’re going be in real trouble in this matchup. Penn State is 3-0 straight up and could’ve covered the only game that they did not against Temple on the road a few weeks back. They let their foot off the gas there. This is a team that not just wins, but they also cover. They currently rank 13th in the nation, and need some style points. A lot of people are saying that they don’t have the toughest schedule. So, every win and every margin of victory certainly count for them. Their offense has been outstanding posting over 42.3 PPG while not turning the ball over at all. They’re equally good in the air as they are on the ground. But the praise doesn’t stop there my friends. They are absolutely ferocious on defense and will completely shut down the Badgers offense. I have this team winning by nearly 2 TD’s. Take the Nittany Lions. Thank you.

South Florida Bulls.

Yes, folks, I understand laying 17 1/2 points with a team whose offense hasn’t shown too much thus far could be scary. But one thing this offense does not do is make mistakes. They are well-balanced, and do know how to get in the end zone. They’ve only turned the ball over once so far this season. Very interesting story here is Brian Hartline. Bulls first year head coach was born in Canton, went to Glen Oak high school, played at Ohio State, and prior to leaving for Tampa, Ohio State was the only place he had coached before this year. He’s got a lot of fans in Ohio my friends. I believe he’ll get a lot of support in the stands in this game. Let’s talk about Bowling Green. They are 0-3 both straight up and against the number this season, which does include an ugly loss to FCS opponent, Tarleton State. Their defense has gotten smoked over the last two weeks, yielding a combined 111 points to Nebraska and Iowa State. Now don’t get me wrong, I’m not trying to put South Florida in the same class as the Cornhuskers or the Cyclones. But this team likes to beat up lesser opponents. This is an opportunity for them to do just that in their head coach’s home state where he is beloved. The Falcons are a trainwreck. They’re averaging a mere 9.0 PPG a game while yielding 43.7 PPG, and their offense which owns some of the ugliest numbers in the nation, has coughed up the ball six times already. This game is going to be one of the most lopsided this Saturday. Take South Florida. Thank you.

Mississippi Rebels.

Yes, most sharp bettors will be fading Mississippi this week after last week’s big underdog 10-point victory over LSU at home. I understand it, my friends. But this is the matchup that will define the Rebels this season. They face a Florida opponent they took down last year at home 34-24 as a 10.5-point favorite. Now this year with an even more stacked roster, they are getting more than a field goal in the Swamp? That just doesn’t make sense to me. Florida is a good team. They are definitely on the rise. They started the season off with three straight victories going 2-1 ATS. Last week they did win on the road in a shootout at Auburn, 44-39. Maybe they’re in for a letdown situation. This is the first true road game for ‘Ole Miss, but they are up to the task. Late in last year’s regular season they won and covered big games on the road at Oklahoma at the end of October and then at Mississippi State at the end of November. The Florida Gators secondary is in for a long night here going up against Trinidad Chambliss and the high-flying passing attack of the Mississippi Rebels. Take the points with ‘Ole Miss. Thank you.

 TCU Horned Frogs on the Moneyline.

No matter how you look at this game, you can’t but see TCU is a much stronger team. They stumbled out of the gate in a tough game against North Carolina at home. Over the last two outings, both wins and covers, they have outscored opponents by a combined 94-14. Granted those opponents were Gambling and Arkansas state, but they still played very well on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Central Florida destroyed Bethune-Cookman in their opener, then lost in an ugly way at Pitt. Weather could’ve played a part in that. Last week they were in a shootout with the Panthers of Georgia State in which they yielded 30 points to that offense. That’s just throws up a big red flag to me my friends. We all know UCF depends on their ground game. They don’t have too much of a passing attack at all ranking 120th in the air. They solely live and die with their ground game. They’re going up against a TCU run defense that is one of the stingiest and most ferocious in the nation allowing just 79.3 yards per game on the ground. The Horned Frogs are also more well-balanced on the offensive side of the ball which makes them tougher to defend. I have this game closer to a touchdown. Take TCU. Thank you.

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Iowa Hawkeyes.

Remember, one thing my friends, sports betting is not about who wins. Sports betting is about who covers. A season ago, Iowa was a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road. They enter this matchup with a perfect 3-0 record. Their defense has yielded just 13 total points, and their offense has looked well-balanced thus far. Speaking of their offense, they’ve only committed one turnover through their first three outings. Michigan has a good defense as well. But I think we can all agree. They got a little lucky in their first two outings. We don’t even want to rehash the Western Michigan one-point victory as more than a four-touchdown favorite that they should’ve lost outright. Then the following week they beat out a lackluster Oklahoma team at home. I feel when this offense goes up against an aggressive defense, they’re going to be in a world of hurt. And that’s just what they’re going to encounter here against a very gnarly, ferocious, angry stop-unit. Oh, and BTW, they have turned the ball over five times already. One thing more, my friends, Iowa has a wonderfully talented backfield that can and will control the clock here and keep the Michigan defense on the field and their offense off of it. I think this is way too many points. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

For a team like Oklahoma, who came out of the gate this season routing UTEP 51-0, you would think they would’ve looked impressive following that season opener. But the following week on the road at Michigan as a 5.5-point favorite, their offense stalled losing 17-10. Now by right you were supposed to come in with them last week at home against New Mexico, even though they were laying a little bit better than three touchdowns. Meanwhile, once again, they stalled offensively eking out a 14-6 victory. Are they due for a win here? I doubt it very much. This is a big game for Georgia, who by the way are 3-0 both straight up and against the spread this season. With the way, the Sooners offense is struggling and turning the ball over (six turnovers), I doubt very much they’re going to feel very good going up against the stout and nasty stop-unit of the Bulldogs. They are not going to be able to run the ball as they haven’t already. Now they’re going up against a top-five run defense. On the flipside, Oklahoma’s defense has looked good so far, yielding a combined 23 points. But they are facing a very well-balanced offense here that’s lighting up scoreboard for over 59.3 PPG. Oh, by the way, the Sooners have a bye week next week and then have to play Texas. Hmmm Meanwhile, I doubt very much. Georgia is going to be in a look ahead mode here as they have Vanderbilt on deck. This game will get ugly as the Bulldogs will want to flex their muscles, earn some style points, and stay the #2 team in the nation. Take Georgia. Thank you.

UCLA Bruins on the Moneyline.

Yes, folks, I am aware UCLA played its Big Ten opener at home late Saturday night, and now has to make the trip cross-country for a daytime start this week. But this is a team possessing an offense that’s looking extremely strong winning and covering all three of their outings thus far this season. Their offense is so well-balanced currently ranking first in total yards, first in rushing, second in points scored, and 25th in passing. They’ve only coughed the ball up twice so far this season. The downside is their defense is mediocre at best. They have snagged four takeaways already. These two teams met a season ago in California with the Bruins prevailing 20-17. Now Maryland has a very stout defense. However, they just got picked apart at home against Virginia Tech back on the 19th, 35-26, a game in which wasn’t as close as the final score. UCLA has the ground game to control the clock and the tempo and keep the Maryland defense on the field. Take the Bruins. Thank you.

California Golden Bears.

You know my friends, I understand a win is a win. But I think we can all agree going into that weather delay at North Carolina last week where the Tar Heels were controlling the Tigers from end to end, changed everything. UNC had the momentum and then once they had to sit in the locker room for a few hours, everything changed and went Clemson‘s way. I think we can all agree the quarterback situation for the Tigers is shaky. They’re going up against a defense that is good against the pass and the secondary that is looking outstanding at picking off quarterbacks. I feel this game is going to be won in the air and that certainly gives the Golden Bears a big edge. Throw into the mix a short week and a long travel going from the East Coast to the West Coast and a late start here, I feel will affect Clemson’s play. But that all gives California the edge. Take the Golden Bears, who by the way, played at home a week ago. One more item folks, Clemson has Miami on deck and will certainly be looking ahead. Take Cal. Thank you.

Liberty Flames on the Moneyline.

I’m not going to argue that either liberty or coastal Carolina are going to be world-beaters this season. But having won back-to-back games which includes a beatdown of Ball State in their last outing 51-15, gives Liberty some momentum coming into this matchup. Please remember the Flames head coach, Jamey Chadwell knows the Chanticleer‘s team all too well as he was their head coach and former offensive assistant for several seasons. Coastal Carolina doesn’t really do too well against FBS teams, and I’m putting more stock in their opponent here with their only loss coming to a very good 3-0 James Madison team back on September 5, a game in which they lost by only a touchdown. If you look back to last November, Coastal Carolina played JMU and got shredded 59-10. All signs point of Liberty. Thank you.

James Madison Dukes.

At first glance, you may think a team from the Sunbelt can’t compete with a Pac-12 opponent. Especially a team like San Diego State who finished last regular season with a 9-3 record. The Aztecs had their hands full a week ago on the road getting crushed by the Bruins, 28-10. Please take note UCLA’s current roster includes quite a few ex-JMU players and even one of their coaches. Speaking of James Madison, they have won and covered both of their outings this season, and going back to last season, they have been money riding an ATS cover streak of three straight and seven of their last 10 overall games. This is a team that impressed quite a bit last season. They then went on to win their Conference championship before going onto a first round Bowl matchup against the Oregon Ducks, a game in which they covered the spread, and very respectfully posted 34 points on their opponent. This game is going to shock a lot of people. Take the James Madison Dukes. Thank you.

Texas Longhorns.

Many naysayers out there would fade the Longhorns this week following their big come from behind one-point victory over the Buckeyes. Especially because next week they open up their SEC schedule against the Volunteers on the road. But this team has to stay sharp. I think we can agree we’ve seen a lot of ranked teams surprise us thus far in this short regular season. They have dominated their in-state rival winning and covering both matchups with them back in September 2022 and September 2024. Both times they were heavy favorites and both times they covered big numbers. Speaking of the Roadrunners, they are 2-0 thus far this season as they dominated UT Rio Grande Valley in their opener and just last week on the road, bested Texas State as a small underdog winning outright 31-26. Mind you, that same Bobcats opponent that gave them a tough time a week ago got absolutely humiliated by the Longhorns a few weeks back, 59-7. Texas San Antonio falls way short when facing Power Conference competition. We mentioned both losses to Texas a moment ago. But they were also downed by Tennessee and Texas A&M over the last several seasons. They were humiliated by the Volunteers failing to cover that game, and only covered against the Aggies because Texas A&M allowed them to score a meaningless touchdown with only 14 seconds remaining in regulation. This game will get out of hand as Texas will want to stay sharp prior to facing their next several opponents. Please remember even the Longhorns backups are top recruits while with all respect, a lot of the Roadrunners players, starters and backups are D-II transfers. Take Texas. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

You know, folks, we’ve seen some strange things happen to some top ranked teams already this season. Sitting solidly in the AP’s top-25 as the second-ranked team in college football, the Georgia Bulldogs can leave no room for error. They have won and covered both games already this season outscoring opponents by a combined 133-23. There is some question that they have no big-name talent on the team. But this is their first SEC game of 2026, and coincidentally enough their first road game of the season as well. They go up against a team they have dominated taking the last three meetings, going back a dozen years, covering all three as well. Let’s face it, the Arkansas Razorbacks are not a very good team. They did not cover their opening game of the campaign against North Alabama allowing them to post 14 points on the Razorbacks defense. They were then absolutely humiliated a week ago on the road at Utah 43-10. They have very little ground game to speak of and have already committed four turnovers. Well, this is a big number and Kirby Smart isn’t famous for covering big numbers. The Bulldogs have one more game this week before they must go up against some better competition: Sooners, Commodores, Crimson Tide, LSU Tigers, Gators, Rebels, Missouri Tigers, and Gamecocks, all in consecutive games. This is their final contest to fine tune their squad. And with an offense that is averaging over 66.5 points per game equally strong in the air as it is on the ground, and a defense yielding just 11.5 points per game already snagging two takeaways I feel this team is going to put a hurting on their opponent here. If you recall a season ago (when with Memphis), Arkansas head coach Ryan Silverfield made some comments about the Georgia team and will pay for it this season. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.

North Carolina Tar Heels.

Prior to this season starting, if I would’ve told you, I like North Carolina in this matchup, you would’ve thought I was crazy. But after just a few games in the rearview, the Tar Heels are looking like a serious play in this matchup. They have won both of their outings this season including a season opening road victory as a 7.5-point underdog at TCU, 15-10. Meanwhile, following their season opening embarrassing route at the hands of LSU on the road, 51-10, Clemson in their bounce back game as nearly a three-touchdown fav, eked out as 15-point victory, 22-7 against George’s Southern. That was supposed to be the game they bounce back and show they have the talent to compete in the ACC. Granted, last week’s starter, Vizzina made several miscues before Reynolds came in. Head coach Dabo Swinney said Reynolds will be taking the reins for this entire contest. But I still feel this team does not have enough to warrant being this much of a favorite, even if they are at home in this matchup. They’re running attack is less than stellar. And their defense has to prove they could win in big game situations. They must go up against this week’s top-ranked passing offense behind the arm of Edwards Jr and his well-balanced “O”. I just feel the way the Tigers have looked thus far, does not warrant them to be this much of a favorite at home against really anybody. Take the Tar Heels. Thank you.

North Texas Mean Green.

I sincerely feel the wrong team is favored in this matchup. The Mean Green have covered both outings this season thus far, and going back to last season, they are now 11-2 ATS their last 13 regular season contests. As a matter of fact, the last time these two teams met was a January Bowl game back in the 2024/2025 season in which North Texas lost a heartbreaker, 30-28 as better than a two-touchdown underdog. They certainly have looked sharper thus far this season playing competitively in their opening game back on September 5 on the road at Indiana, a lot closer than the 52-16 final score. Seven days later at home, they took down UNLV with authority, 44-6 as the game saw them as a small underdog. As far as Texas State goes, they are point spread poison. Going back to September of last season, they have now failed to cover 10 of their last 12 regular season outings. They were shellacked in their season opener on the road at Texas, 59-7. Then last week on their own field were bested by UTSA, 31-26 as a small favorite. Thus far, UNT has looked a little more well balanced, and certainly commit less turnovers. Their offense has committed just one miscue compared to TXST’s six turnovers committed, which includes three against UTSA. Not all their mistakes came against Texas. As I mentioned earlier, I feel the wrong team is favored here. Take the Mean Green. Thank you.

Miami Hurricanes.

The Miami Hurricanes are one of the best teams in the nation. There is some talk this week that they will once again be shorthanded in their defensive secondary. So maybe that’s why this number is staying under three touchdowns. This is a team playing another ACC game in which they want to establish their dominance. Please remember going back to last season they have now covered seven consecutive games which includes all four of their postseason games last year. While both squads have extremely talented quarterbacks, I believe we can all agree Wake Forest leaves a lot to be desired defensively. They’ve already allowed 26 points per game and are getting absolutely eaten up in the air on the defensive side of the ball. The Hurricanes also enter this matchup a little better rested having had a couple of extra days off prior to this matchup. Wake Forest is 0-4 ATS since 2023 as an underdog of 20.5 points or more. This line is floating around that number. Their quarterback, Gio Lopez is a talented gunslinger, with a bright future. But he is going up against one of the most gnarly and nasty defenses in the nation. Reports are the ‘Canes will be without some starters in their defensive backfield, as I mentioned earlier. But they will come in here prepared, my friends. They will also throw some schemes at Lopez that he has yet to see wearing his new uniform. FYI, Miami does not have a tough opponent up for at least a few weeks. A must stay sharp right now. They must also make a statement to the rest of the ACC. This may be a lot of points. But a win is a win. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you.

Utah Utes.

Late Bail Out.

Game 404.

7:15 PM PST/10:15 PM EST.

I know laying double-digits this early in the college football season is always a little risky. But I’m here to tell you there is no risk involved in this matchup. Yes, Arkansas won their first game of the season against North Alabama 31-14. They were laying 40.5 points, my friends. So that was their third consecutive no cover and their seventh over their last 10 contests. Going back to last week’s game, sure they won. But this is a team that committed three turnovers against an opponent from the FCS. They also committed eight penalties against a team that wasn’t very threatening. Yes, all this, and they more than doubled the time of possession against their opponent. But they’re running into a team that was 11-2 a season ago which it does include a 44-22, December 31 Bowl victory over Nebraska. The Utes killed Idaho last week. And I realize the Vandals are not the biggest threat in the world. But this team still posted 66 points and 633 yards of offense. Quarterback Dampler finished last season, one of the hottest quarterbacks in the nation. I also feel the first FBS game after the departure of Kyle Wittingham compels this team to light up the scoreboard. Take Utah. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

Ohio State/Texas winner.

Game 395.

4:30 PM PST 7:30 PM EST.

Being the No. 1 team in the nation and once again coming into a matchup with Texas this time an underdog cannot be sitting well with the Ohio State. Both teams won and covered their season openers against lesser opponents, despite laying big numbers. The Buckeyes ran the gauntlet during last year’s regular season winning every single outing and covering 10 of 12. In all sincerity they could’ve covered the two games they didn’t if they wanted to. The postseason came and they lost to Indiana in the Conference Championship by three points then got humiliated in the Bowl quarterfinal against Miami. Well, this season they will settle for nothing less than perfection. While I feel the Texas Longhorns are a very good team with a lot of talent and certainly will be a force to be reckoned with in the CFP. I don’t like Arch Manning in big game situations. And this Buckeyes defense is one of the nastiest and most ferocious defenses we can remember on any team in recent memory. Please remember the Buckeyes have bested the Longhorns, in three of the last four matchups straight up, covering all four meetings. This includes a January 2025 and an August 2025 matchups. Ohio State is rarely an underdog. But when they are, they have covered 16 of the last 21 games played in that role. I understand Texas has had only one home loss in the last several seasons. But they’ve also never faced Ohio State in Austin. If you’re thinking the Longhorns have revenge in their eyes, they probably do. But having revenge and getting vengeance are two separate things entirely. I just feel this is one of the toughest defenses in the country, and Manning is going to fall short here. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

Navy Midshipmen.

Las Vegas Strip Move play.

Game 387.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no doubt in my mind Navy won’t shred Florida Atlantic on the ground here. The Midshipmen once again are a strong running team as we have always known them to be. Maybe last year’s matchup only saw a 10-point victory for the Navy. But I feel the line is way short here. Not only will Navy move the chains on the ground and score points with their tremendous rushing attack. But they are also excellent against the run as well. So, they will control the clock, control the tempo, keep the FAU defense on the field, and tire them out. The Owls are atrocious. Let’s face it, since the second week of October a season ago they’ve managed to eke out just one victory. While they are pretty good against the spread, they are going to be outmanned and outclassed in this one. Take the Midshipmen. Thank you.

Clemson Tigers.

Touchdown play.

Game 386.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

OK folks, we all know Clemson was absolutely humiliated in their opening week drubbing at the hands of LSU, 51-10. I will admit yours truly had Clemson because I felt all the distractions with LSU was going to be too much for the players. And I’m not coming back in on the Tigers this week because I feel compelled to do so. I feel this is the game they must win and win big to earn some self-confidence, get some motivation, and earn a little respect as well. You know the final game of last season Clemson took a beatdown as a favorite at the hands of Penn State. That was a December 27 Bowl game. Coincidentally enough, they scored 10 points in that game, the same number of points they put up last week against LSU. It’s no secret. Many people feel the best quarterback on the Tigers roster is Reynolds. But he is a true freshman and was asked to sit behind the established senior, Vizzina. The senior play-caller just didn’t look in sync last week. Maybe it was because the LSU Tigers are such a darn good team. But he must come out here and make his presence known. Dabo Swinney made a statement both quarterbacks will be seeing time this week. I will admit, Clemson is 0-4 ATS their last four games played as a fav of 10 or more points. But I really feel they’re in” bounce back” mode here this week. They have a smart head coach, a talented roster, and are in dire need of blowing out this opponent. Take the Clemson Tigers. Thank you.

Oklahoma Sooners.

Oklahoma/Michigan winner.

Game 319.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

You know, folks, you can’t always judge a team by their last performance. But I think it’s safe to say Oklahoma, who happened to crush UTEP, 51-0, comes into this game with a lot of confidence knowing Michigan won a controversial outcome, eking out a 13-12 victory over Western Michigan. On both sides of the line of scrimmage, the Wolverines not only stepped on their own toes, but couldn’t get the job done when needing big plays. Quarterback, Bryce Underwood looked like he was first-game starter. Now, normally if a respected team has a poor outing in Week, I would look to back them the following week. However, the Sooners defense is once again expected to be one of the toughest in the nation. Not only that, but beating this opponent this week, earns this team a lot of respect. I mean, they are ranked 11th in the nation right now, and although Michigan looked horrible last week, they are still a big name team in which Oklahoma will up their stock by bashing. By the way, folks, last September Oklahoma took down Michigan at home with authority, 24-13. And I think the Wolverines team of last season was more equipped than the team of this current season. Take the Sooners. Thank you.

Oregon Ducks.

Crusher play.

Game 317.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Maybe falling from the second-ranked team in the nation all the way down to the sixth-ranked team, is going to be a wakeup call for the Oregon Ducks. Prior to the season starting, this team was touted to be one of the favorites to win the National Championship. But last week, they eked out a seven-point victory over Boise State of all opponents, a game in which they were trailing at the half, 17-14. I feel they must come out here, get a big victory, make a statement, and get themselves some self-confidence. What better team to face than the lackluster Oklahoma State Cowboys, my friends. This is a team winning just one game last season, and that was their season-opener. The following week, back on September 6 of last season, at Oregon, they were crushed 69-3. My friends, they got crushed almost every single game as they couldn’t get another victory for the rest of the season. I just feel, the Ducks must come out here and blow the Cowboys up to earn a little respect and strike a little fear in the rest of the nation. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons. (MONEYLINE)

Consensus play.

Game 323.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Yes, maybe Purdue plays in a little bit more competitive of a conference then does Wake Forest. But the Boilermakers are absolutely atrocious. Now I’m not gonna’ sit here and pretend to tell you the Demon Deacons are a powerhouse. But one thing for sure, they looked sharp in their season-opening 38-16 victory over Akron. Please remember, a season ago, this team took down such notables as Virginia Tech, Oregon State, SMU, Virginia, North Carolina, and Mississippi State in a January 2 Bowl game. Gio Lopez is reunited with his former offensive coordinator, and I feel will light up the scoreboard in the air against the very lax defense of Purdue here. Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

Missouri Tigers.

Friday Night Lights Winner.

Game 315.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Well folks, not too much is expected from either Missouri or Kansas this season. But I think we could safely say, the Tigers have a better roster than Jayhawks. If history plays any part in the present day, Missouri, will once again repeat as a winner in this rivalry. They have taken four consecutive meetings over Kansas, and going back a bit further, six of the last seven matchups. The most recent, last September at home, the Tigers took down the Jayhawks with authority, 42-31. One thing for sure, my friends, the Tigers are certainly more well-balanced, and I believe they will actually exploit the very lax Kansas defense here. History will repeat itself. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

SMU/FSU: MONDAY NIGHT MONEYMAKER: Join me tonight as have a BIG WINNER in NCAAF to start off the week. As you know, there are 3 things we can depend on in life: DEATH, TAXES, & JOE D ON MONDAY NIGHT!

SMU Mustangs on the moneyline.

The ACC has been good to SMU since joining the conference. As many of you know, they came from the American Conference, and their first two seasons in the Atlantic Coast, they have proven to be a true force. They reached the top-10, made the ACC Conference title game, and the College Football Playoff in 2024. In 2025, they won nine outings. They enter this game the No. 19 team in the nation and are expected to compete for the Conference title, once again. This is their first game of the 2026/2027 campaign. They have a smart coach, and a very talented team with most of last year‘s contributors returning. Fifth-year quarterback, Kevin Jennings is a stud, my friends. His first two seasons for the Mustangs, he was riding the bench, but won the starting job back in 2024 when he led the team to the CFP. His numbers are monstrous, passing for over 7,709 yards with 559 rushing yards, and accounting for over 65 touchdowns (55 in the air 10 on the ground). A season ago, they took down some very solid competition. Granted, in the first month or so of last year‘s regular season they were overvalued quite a bit, and were not getting bettors paid ATS. But once the second week of October came that all changed as they covered five of their final seven regular season games, then went on to win and cover in a Bowl game against the Arizona Wildcats. They also have the confidence of knowing they took down Florida State September 2024, 42-16. The Seminoles have had the luxury of a game under the belt already this regular season. Nine days ago, at home, they faced one of the worst teams in college football in New Mexico State, as a 31.5-point favorite, and eked out a victory, 34-17. And all sincerity, this game was a lot closer than the final score. You know it was only a few years ago this team went 13-1. But over the last two seasons they fell way short, possessing an ugly 7-17 straight up record. Last season was an absolute mess once the third week of September arrived. They opened the season up winning and covering their first three outings, including a season-opening surprise victory over Alabama as nearly a two-touchdown underdog. But when the third week of the month arrives, things went downhill as they lost and failed to cover seven of their final nine contests. I mentioned a moment ago their season-opening game was a lot closer than the final score. They were favored by over 30-points and only led, 17-10 late in the third-quarter. They seem to have a solid ground game and a rising star in Samuel Singleton Jr., who can do it all, catch, run, and return. The problem I have is they allowed one of the worst teams in the nation that ranks 137th, to go 10-of -17 on third down conversions. The Aggie’s had problems on the ground but lit them up for over 272 yards in the air and almost equaled them in TOP. Now I feel this line should be a little higher. But I think many people out there might be questioning if Seminole’s head coach, Mike Norville might’ve held back a bit in their first outing to save some gas for this matchup. Coming in fresher, having been significantly more successful, knowing they took down the only previous meeting in recent memory, and having more seasoned starters led by a fifth-year senior quarterback who can light it up, tells me the Mustangs are the play. Take SMU. Thank you.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

This game is being played in Lambeau Field this evening. Does that give Wisconsin an edge? I don’t think so, my friends. They have some questionable new hires on their coaching staff, as well as a quarterback that comes from the Sunbelt a season ago. If you recall last season, the Badgers offense was absolutely atrocious. Only once over their final 10 games of the regular season did they post better than 14 points. They are supposed to be improved this season, but they are certainly untested. They also have not done well when playing outside of Madison, as they have not been victorious away from their home stadium since 2024. Old Dominion transfer quarterback Colton Joseph put up good numbers last year. He is a dual-threat quarterback. However, he is going up against arguably the best secondary in the nation. A season ago very few offenses were able to throw against the Irish, and they are expected to be even tougher this season. Notre Dame is one of the favorites to win a National Championship this season. They have the most returning production in the country in 2026. Second-year star quarterback CJ Carr is the real deal, my friends. While they have a ton of returning seasoned players, Wisconsin brought in 17 offensive transfers. It’s going to take a while for this team to mesh. And playing this opponent here, is going to be a very difficult test for them. Not only was the Notre Dame offense, explosive season ago, but their defense was downright gnarly. They went up against some great opposition, and held most of them in check. If you recall, they dropped their first two outings of the regular season last year, but then rattled off 10 consecutive victories. I know this is a lot of points to lay. But with the way certain big favorites either lost outright or eked out slim victories this week, I doubt very much the Fighting Irish will take their foot off the gas. They must make a big showing, and they will. Take Notre Dame. Thank you.

Mississippi Rebels.

Louisville enters this season ranked 24th while Mississippi comes in here in the top 10 ranked the No. 9 team in the nation. My friends, despite their rankings, I still don’t feel this line is anywhere near where it should be. Please remember this game is being played on a neutral site at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. Let’s start with the Cardinals my friends. This is a team that started last season strong against lesser opposition, and then faded down the stretch. Head coach, Jeff Brohm is a pretty sharp guy. They also have what they expect to be is a star quarterback at the helm. But this team is pointspread poison and playing on a neutral site against a top-10 opponent in their opener will prove to be fatal for them. We all know all the headlines over the last year surrounding Mississippi. Lane Kiffin left and I feel this will further motivate the Rebels and their very loyal fanbase to rally around the program. They have one of the best quarterbacks in the country in Trinidad Chambliss. Yes, despite being the head coach for three games a season ago, Pete Golding is making his debut leading a program through the off-season into a regular season. Yes, several of last years coaching staff has departed. In a game like this, especially on national TV, you have to go with a more seasoned and experienced quarterback. Taking the reins for the Cardinals is going to be Buckeye’s backup transfer quarterback, Lincoln Kienholz. Without question the Rebels player has a lot more experience, and so does a lot of his squad. If you recall last year, this team came out of the gate, won their first six games with authority, covering some big numbers going 4-2 ATS during that span. Their lowest scoring output last year was 24 points. At times, the Cardinals offense really sputtered when facing aggressive opposition. I feel with the way the Mississippi players and their fans rallied around the team last year and coming into this season is going to be a big factor. Take the Rebels. Thank you.

Clemson Tigers.

Last season these two teams met in the opener when they were both ranked in the top 10, as LSU defeated Clemson in South Carolina, 17-10. This season LSU comes in here ranked 11th while Clemson is unranked for the first time in 15 years. It’s no secret the LSU Tigers have been in the headlines a lot lately. Lane Kiffin is the head honcho coming from SEC-rival ‘Ole Miss. Reports are he has the highest-ranked transfer portal success this season. He brought in Arizona State quarterback, Sam, Leavitt, and a couple of new coaches. Going up against the defense-minded, Dabo Swinney is no small task, especially for a team that is distracted by all the headlines showing them in a negative light. But that’s a whole other issue, my friends. Despite recent struggles, Clemson still attracted a top-25 class of incoming talent. As I mentioned a moment ago, Clemson is known for their defense, and they are going up against an unproven run game. I know this team lost quite a few players to the NFL. But being unranked, coming in with a seasoned and experienced stout defense, and also knowing they are double-digit underdogs is going to further motivate this team. I think this game is going to be a very tight contest. Take the Clemson Tigers. Thank you.

Oregon Ducks.

I think we’ve seen that laying big numbers so far early on in this college football campaign, has burned a few favorites for sure. And laying this type of wood here can be scary. But if you recall, Boise State only stepped up in class a few times a season ago and got shellacked each time. They lost their season opener on the road at South Florida 34-7, got demolished in the first week of October on the road at Notre Dame 28-7, took an ugly home loss on November 1 at the hands of Fresno State, 30-7, and the last time they took the field on a December 13 Bowl game, they were annihilated by Washington 38-10. As I mentioned a moment ago, each time this team was asked to step up in class, they fell way short. They must face the No. 2 team in the country in the Oregon Ducks in Eugene. This is no small task, my friends. Now I do understand this is a lot of points. But I also understand coming in here the second-ranked team in the nation, compels the Ducks to put a blowout on the board early. They don’t have a very tough opponent for quite a while. Style points count as we know in college football. And coming out and drubbing their first opponent is going to give them just what they need to stay ranked where they are. If you recall, the last time these two teams met was back in the September 2024 where at home Oregon was a 17.5-point favorite, and eked out a 37-34 victory. I’m sure that game has been haunting this team for a while. It shouldn’t have been that close. I look for Heisman-candidate quarterback, Dante Moore to absolutely light up the scoreboard in the air here. Trust me when I tell you, they will not be surprised or caught off guard here. A few years ago, when they broncos lost their biggest contributor, Jeanty, it was certainly significant to last year‘s play. Oregon is 7-2 against the spread the last nine nonconference games, and as I mentioned earlier, I feel this will be a big showing for head coach Lanning, and the No. 2 Ducks. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Duke.

My friends, I feel Tulane will be a solid force in the AAC this season. This was a good team a season ago. But when they were asked to step up in class during the regular and postseason, they got crushed by Mississippi both times, in the regular season by 35 points, and in the bowl first round by 31 points. Now I’m not trying to sell Duke as good as a team as Mississippi, my friends. But the Blue Devils are a very good team. Their offense is explosive, and they have a defense that matches up well with today’s opponent. I mentioned revenge earlier. The Green Wave took last years meeting at home 34-27 as a slight fav. Prior to that Duke took the three previous meetings. They were upset they lost to an AAC team. Please remember they finished the season on a high-note, taking down North Carolina and Wake Forest in the last few games of the regular season, beat a very good Virginia team in the conference championship, and then took down Arizona State in their bowl game. This team is expected to be a stronger squad this season under the guidance of Manny Diaz. They brought in a San Jose State transfer who knows how to air the ball out at quarterback being that he played in the Mountain West, and they have an exceptional ball carrier in Nate Sheppard, who ran for over 1,132 yards last season. Take Duke. Thank you.

Pitt Panthers.

Sure, Miami Ohio is good in the MAC, but historically this team falls way short when facing superior conference foes. They’ve really never been able to put up points on better opposition. Panthers head coach Pat Narduzzi, is defense all the way. They are known to be very stout against the run are expected to come in here just as solid defensively a we have seen them in recent seasons. The problem they had was inconsistency at the quarterback position. It seems those days are over. Please remember this team has won six straight season openers going 5-1 against the spread, and some of those lines were pretty high. Speaking of quarterbacks, the Redhawks will be starting McComb after transferring from Kansas without taking a game snap and it will be a very tough day for this young man. He must line up against a ferocious “D” known for its pressure on the quarterback and tight coverage. I expect the home team here to come out with some fire, and show the ACC that they mean business this year. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

James Madison.

It’s no secret both teams are dealing with quarterback situations. But James Madison comes into this matchup knowing they dismantled Liberty last September, 31-13. This is a Flames team that was a disaster last season following a very successful season the year before. Not only were they horrible in the win/lost column, but they also covered just three games a season ago. Meanwhile, the Dukes are expected to take their conference again this season, as they were extremely strong last year. This team won all but one regular season game, then destroyed Troy in the conference championship, and looked very competitive against Oregon in the first round of the Bowls. They put up 34 points on a Ducks team that was one of the best in the country. I mentioned at the start of this breakdown and both teams have quarterback question marks. But JMU brought in solid play-callers from both Memphis and UCF, while they brought in Liberty’s running back. I look for this team to make a statement here. Take the Dukes. Thank you.

Indiana Hoosiers.

Game 288.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no question that both Miami and Indiana deserve to be in the National Title game. The Hurricanes have rattled off seven consecutive victories covering the last four with a few of those games winning outright as an underdog. This game is also being played in their home venue. They will look in the stands and see a lot of their loyal fans, for sure. Meanwhile, Indiana is a perfect 15-0 this season, and also enter this game covering four straight outings. There is no question that Mario Cristobal and Curt Cignetti are two of the best coaches in the nation. There is a lot of talk that one of Cignetti's assistants is now on the sidelines for Miami and would be a disadvantage for him. But to be quite honest my friends the head coach has gone up against some of the best head coaches in the history of college football, and he's beaten all of them. Without question the Indiana offense is certainly a little more well-balanced. They have a much stronger running attack, and Heisman winner, Fernando Mendoza at the helm. I do feel he's a little more stable than his counterpart, who is a very good quarterback, Carson Beck. There's also a big advantage in the fact the Hurricanes pass defense ranked 62nd in the nation. The Hoosiers defense can create turnovers, and will create turnovers. They rank second nationally against the rush, and are one of the most frustrating pass defenses in the nation ranking 23rd. Defensively, the Hoosiers have held 11 opponents to season lows in points and six to season lows in yardage. They are just so much more well-balanced and polished on both sides of the line scrimmage. I feel the Hurricanes are a very good team, but are outclassed in this matchup. You may not realize this but Indiana in their two Bowl/CFP games have outscored Alabama and Oregon by a combined 94-25. With a combination of a more solid quarterback, a more stable ground game, and the better defense, we're going to take the Hoosiers here. Take Indiana. Thank you.

Indiana Hoosiers.

PEACH BOWL WINNER.

Game 276.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no question both Oregon Indiana deserve to be here. The Ducks sport a 13-1 overall record and enter this game winning eight consecutive outings. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers are a perfect 14-0 and have crushed every opponent in their way this season. They already took down this opponent back in the second week of October on the road, 30-20. I know it's hard to beat a top-ranked opponent twice in one season, but I don't think that's going to be an issue here. While Oregon is certainly a flashier team, Indiana is a meat and potatoes team. They are disciplined, structured, and well-coached. In my opinion, there's a lot more pressure on the Ducks in this matchup. If Indiana was to drop a game, I feel it would've happened already. Talking about that first meeting in Eugene back in October, Indiana held Oregon to just 267 yards. The game was tied 20-20 in the fourth quarter and then the Hoosiers dominated the final 10 minutes with two scoring drives on offense, and two interceptions on defense. Both offenses can score points, but the Hoosiers commit significantly less turnovers. Defensively, they are two of the best in the country as well. Once again though Indiana forces more turnovers. Both teams will attempt to run the ball and pass off the run keeping defenses honest. This also is an advantage on both sides of the line of scrimmage for the Hoosiers. Their defense held every opponent they have faced this season. No one has even topped 24 points on them, and they faced some pretty good offensive units. Meanwhile, the Oregon stop-unit overall has been impressive, but has allowed Penn State to put up 24, Indiana to put up 30, USC to put up 27, and James Madison of all teams to put up 34. A bit stronger of a running game, a bit stronger defensively against the run, an overall better defense, less pressure put upon them, and in my opinion a sharper head coach, tells me the Hoosiers will win and cover this game. Take Indiana. Thank you.

Miami Hurricanes.

Fiesta Bowl Winner.

Game 273.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

As of posting this play, over the last few days some money has come in on Mississippi. I understand why. They are 13-1overall, and have covered nine of their 14 games this season. They enter this matchup riding a seven-game straight up win streak, covering five of the seven which includes three straight. Meanwhile, Miami is equally hot, winning six in a row SU, covering their last three, and four of their last five. In my opinion, the general public is betting the wrong side. I feel the Hurricanes are the team to play here. First of all, let's talk about SEC teams this postseason. They haven't fared too well. Let's also talk about several of the Rebels coaches are not going to be on the sidelines for this one as they left for bigger and better opportunities, and this may be a distraction for the team. I feel the ‘Canes coaching staff is a little more stable right now and certainly under the radar. I believe they're being undervalued. ‘Ole Miss is a very good team, no questioning that. But I will admit at times their defense has gotten blown up. Their offense which I will talk about in the moment has been the reason for their success. They gave up 23 to Kentucky, 35 to Arkansas, 43 to Georgia, 26 to Oklahoma, 24 to Florida, and 34 to Georgia again. Going back to the offense, they account for over 37.6 PPG, but have coughed the ball up 13 times. Defensively, their numbers are impressive overall, allowing just 20.4 PPG, but have only forced eight turnovers. This time of year, turnovers and mistakes are huge, my friends. Meanwhile, we look at Miami and we will see a defense that has not allowed a single opponent to put up more than 26-points this season. As a matter of fact, during their current six-game win streak, they have not yielded more than 17 points to any adversary. They can score points on any defense in the land, and I do feel their well-balanced offense is going to be an issue for their opponents stop-unit. Defensively, this is one of the best units anywhere in the country, ranking fourth, yielding just 13.1 PPG, monsters against the pass and the rush. Meanwhile, they have snagged 16 takeaways. Whoever controls the clock in this matchup and makes less mistakes, will come out victorious. And I feel both of those angles benefit the Hurricanes. Their defense is stouter against the run than their opponents, and will control the tempo in this matchup, and the time of possession. Mississippi lives and dies by their passing attack, and I feel will move to chains my friends, but not with the same success that they've had over recent opponents. Take Miami. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

Mississippi State comes in here with a 5-7 overall record, losing three in a row and seven of their last eight straight up, failing to cover their last three outings. Their defense has allowed 41, 31, 23, 45, 35, 41, 49, and 38 points in consecutive contests. They face a Wake Forest opponent comes in here angry following an ugly loss at their hands of Duke in their last outing. Prior to that, they won three in a row and six of the last seven SU, covering seven of their last nine overall contests. The Demon Deacons will be without a couple of key players. But their quarterback, Robbie Ashford will be on the field. He's a solid play-caller with quite a bit of experience. He is no stranger to lighting up the scoreboards even against some SEC opponents. Their opponent will be without their quarterback Blake Shapen. This team is pretty decent offensively. However, they have coughed up the ball 15 times and go up against one of the stingiest defenses in the nation. Wake Forest allows just 21.5 PPG equally good against the pass as they are against the Rush. Offensively, you can expect the Demon Deacons to move the ball with ease against one of the worst run defenses in the nation, and an overall defense that allows nearly 30 PPG (29.2 PPG). Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

Arizona.

Like many teams this time of year, Arizona as expected to be without a few opt outs and transfer. But quarterback, Noah Fifita will not be one of those players. He has stepped it up over the last few months of the season, leading this team to five consecutive wins and four ATS covers over those five games. SMU has one of the most explosive passing attacks in the nation. They cannot run the ball at all and have committed 16 turnovers. Defensively is where this game will be won and that edge certainly goes to the Wildcats. Their stop-unit is one of the best in the nation yielding just 18.9 PPG and have forced 19 turnovers, solid against the run, and fourth nationally against the pass. I feel they have a more well-balanced offense as well, can keep up the pace offensively with any team in the nation, and have a decent running attack to keep their opponents defense honest. They also make a lot less mistakes. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Navy.

The list of Cincinnati's opt-outs is one of the longest in college football. They lost their quarterback, and at least five starters on defense that are going into the transfer portal. This is bad enough. But their secondary is absolutely depleted. A large portion of their starting stop-unit will not be on the field for this matchup. I'm not going to debate they play a little stiffer competition than Navy does. But this team enters this matchup on a four-game slide both SU/ATS. Meanwhile, the Midshipmen enter today's game winning three in a row and covering two of their last three against some very formidable opponents like the Bulls, Tigers, and Black Knights. If you're into angles, playing a service academy in a Bowl game hasn't been easy for any opponent. Since 2021 Navy, Army, and Air Force have combined to earn seventh straight Bowl game wins. Navy is led by Blake Horvath who is coming in to his own as a quarterback, and leads the number one rushing attack in the nation. Please remember the Bearcats rank 97th against the rush. They will be dominated here as the Midshipmen offense will keep them on the field and their offense off of it. As we all know, all of the service academies can run the can also stop the run. That's no different here. Navy is extremely strong against the rush, and only allows 26.0 points per game. Take the Midshipmen. Thank you.

Texas State.

Rice has dropped and failed to cover their last two games as their defense has gotten plowed for a combined 108 points in those contests. They are just 5-7 SU/ATS this season with five of those seven defeats coming by a lot more than the pointspread here today. This is a team that has no passing game whatsoever, nor can they stop the pass. As a matter of fact, their defense ranks among the worst in college football forcing just three turnovers and allowing over 35.2 points per game. Offensively, they can run the ball well, but they account for just 21.6 PPG. They will be without their leader and starting quarterback Chase Jenkins. This will be a big blow for the team as he is also a dual-threat quarterback. While the Texas State defense is a little more well-balanced, they still allow a lot of points. But their offense is so explosive both in the air and on the ground, they rank 12th nationally posting over 36.1 PPG. I doubt very much their counterpart can keep up with them on the scoreboard. Take the Bobcats. Thank you.

Joe D got everyone paid again on Wednesday in BOWLS, bouncing back from his only “off” day this Bowl season. Today, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in college football with my SUGAR BOWL WINNER between MISSISSIPPI/GEORGIA.

MISSISSIPPI.

As of posting this play, most of the money this week is coming on Georgia. I understand why. I mean they possess a defense that allows just 15.9 points per game. But several teams have put up a lot of points on them. In overtime, Tennessee accounted for 41 points, in their only loss of the campaign, Alabama accounted for 24 points, and this very same Mississippi opponent put up 35 points against them. Their last few games of the regular season were against some less than stellar opponents as they were a 43-point fav over Charlotte, and a 16-point favorite over Georgia Tech. I feel their lopsided victory over Alabama in the conference championship was earned for sure, but put them an ideal situation for a letdown here. Let's face it, the Mississippi defense was almost as good yielding just 19.3 PPG. The big disparity in this matchup is on offense. Both teams rank about the same on the ground, while the Rebels account for almost a touchdown more per game, and they possess certainly one of the most explosive passing attacks in the nation. That's where this game will be won. Led by Trinidad Chambliss, the Ole Miss offense ranks sixth nationally in passing for over 312.4 yards per game in the air. They are very good against the pass, as well. This is a weakness for the Georgia offense as they were lackluster at best ranking 79th in passing. Let's face it, the Bulldogs defense is what got them their wins. However, defensively they're one flaw is against the pass where they rank 44th in the nation. I believe this is way too many points to give a team so well-balanced like the Rebels. The last four meetings in this rivalry were each won and covered by the home team. That angle is negated as this game is being played in New Orleans. Take Mississippi. Thank you.

TEXAS TECH.

I keep hearing strength of schedule, strength of schedule, strength of schedule. However, I don't feel in my opinion the Ducks played that much more of a stronger schedule than the Red Raiders. I'm not going to deny their talent on both sides of the line of scrimmage. I mean this is a team that averages 39.2 PPG while allowing 16.3 PPG. But at times this season they did allow certain opponents to light them up. Penn State, which let's face it isn't the most talented team forced them in to overtime and put up 24 points, USC put up 27 points, and most recently in the Bowl first round, they allowed James Madison to post 34 points on them. Meanwhile, Texas Tech has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 26 points, and that was in their only loss this season, a fluke loss by four points at the hands of Arizona State. Every other opponent this season has put up 20 points or less. They did face some solid offenses this year as well. This is a team that lights up scoreboards for 42.5 PPG, while yielding just 10.9 PPG. They have a smart coach, and a quarterback who has not lost a game he has started this season. They possess the number one run defense in college football. I believe the team that will run the ball successfully in this matchup will control the clock, and eventually win this game. I feel the wrong team is favored. Take Texas Tech. Thank you.

TEXAS.

Without question, Michigan and Texas are Bowl game powerhouses and college football royalty. But distractions this time of year can take its toll. The Wolverines fired their head coach, have an interim coach in charge of this game, and a big-name coach coming in next year. In my opinion this is a distraction. They're also going to be without several veteran starters on both offense and defense that are going to be very hard to replace in this short period of time. Yes, I also feel that getting shredded in their last outing at the hands of Ohio State is going to mentally take its toll on this Michigan team as well. Meanwhile, Texas has a heck of a defense, ever-improving Arch Manning at the helm who declared he is coming back next year, and momentum coming into this game. This is a game obviously both teams want, but the Longhorns have what it takes to not just win, but win with authority. Take Texas. Thank you.

20-7 NCAAF RUN inc. 8-3 POSTSEASON*Today, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in college football with my SUN BOWL WINNER between ASU/DUKE.

DUKE.

On paper, this looks like a pretty good matchup. However, Arizona State will be without their best quarterback and their top running back. This is a big blow to the team. Their backup quarterback, Jeff Sims has only seven touchdown passes with a whopping five interceptions this season. Now that isn't the biggest blow for this team in my opinion. Being without 1,141-yard ball-carrier, Raleek Brown is huge. The Sun Devils offense heavily relies upon their ground game. Just between us, they also turned them all over 17 times this season behind an offense that scores a very pedestrian 24.7 points per game. Meanwhile, Duke brings in most of their roster from their ACC Championship team. Their a passing attack is salivating here because their opponents defense ranks 73rd against the pass. They account for over 34.0 points per game and on defense, are pretty stout against the rush. They've also forced 13 turnovers. I'll take the Blue Devils. Thank you.

Vanderbilt.

My friends, I am fully aware the Iowa Hawkeyes have a solid defense, and their four losses have come by 3, 5, 2, and 5 points. But those losses were all against well-balanced offenses. Guess what? Vanderbilt has an extremely well-balanced offense. This is a team that has only suffered two defeats this season, an early-October 16 point loss on the road at Alabama, and a 3 point heartbreaking loss in the first week of November, on the road of Texas. Other than that, this team has shown not only they can score offensively, but they're pretty frustrating defensively as well. The Hawkeyes offense accounts for 28.9 PPG while the Vanderbilt offense posts over 39.4 PPG. The Commodores are very well-balanced ranking 14th in the air and 35th on the ground, while the Hawkeyes heavily rely, or should I say solely rely on their ground game. They have no passing attack whatsoever. Now defensively, their numbers are extremely impressive yielding just 15.2 PPG. But as I mentioned a bit ago, their four defeats have come against opponents whose offenses are extremely well-balanced. I mentioned Iowa has no passing attack whatsoever, because they rank 131st in the nation in passing. This is a perfect fit for Vandy who is not great at all against the pass, but ranks 15th against the rush. The Commodores quarterback just might be the best in the nation and will show off his prowess here. Take Vanderbilt. Thank you.

USC.

As we all have come to understand during this time of year, both USC and TCU will be without some key cogs in their wheels. The Trojans are expected to be without two of their top receivers while the Horned Frogs will be without their best quarterback. The difference in this matchup in my opinion is the fact that USC is so deep at their wide receiver position it's not going to matter. They also have a very experienced quarterback at the helm, and rank eighth in the nation in passing. This team, I believe will absolutely exploit and pick apart the 106th ranked pass defense of TCU. They also have a pretty decent ground attack to keep their opponent honest. They don't commit nearly as many turnovers as their opponent does either. Having said all that, the Horn Frogs will be without their best quarterback, and will have a backup in Ken Seals leading their offense. While he has been around for a bit, he has thrown a total of six passes this season. Last season he threw a total of 13 passes. That was following his transfer from Vanderbilt after three seasons with them so he does have experience, but enough here that he should be comfortable within this offense today. The Trojans also possess a considerably better defense, both in the air and on the ground, they are equally solid. Take USC. Thank you.

Tennessee.

In my opinion this is one of the more interesting matchups this Bowl season. Both Tennessee and Illinois come in here with identical 8-4 records. It is true the Fighting Illini have covered seven games this season while the Volunteers have just five ATS covers. But I think we can all agree the Illinois defense isn't what it was just a year ago. Every time they stepped up in class, it seemed they fell very short. Their defense is mediocre at best. And let's face it, when you play in a competitive conference like they play in, and you only force six turnovers on your stop-unit side of the ball, it's going to be an issue. I believe that along with the fact that they just can't run the ball, ranking 99th in rushing this season, is going to hurt them in this matchup. Tennessee enters this game off a tough loss against Vanderbilt. However, this team is taken down some very good opponents, and let's face it, their four defeats have all come against ranked opponents; Georgia, Alabama, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt. They are expected to be with that one of their top receivers, but this team does not lack for talent. And let's face it, in the air they are one of the best in the nation ranking sixth in passing averaging over 307.2 YPG. They can also run the ball with great efficiency keeping defenses honest, and average in the top-10 in scoring accounting for 40.8 PPG. Their defense does leave a bit to be desired, but I just don't feel their opponents offense has what it takes to keep pace on the scoreboard. Take the Volunteers. Thank you.

Louisiana Tech.

Coastal Carolina somehow made it to a Bowl game. This is a team that has a 6-6 SU, covering just five of their 12 outings this season, entering this Bowl matchup losing and failing to cover three straight. As a matter of fact, during their three-game slide, their defense has gotten plowed for a combined 155 points. Their offense has stalled badly accounting for a total of 17 points over their last two outings. This is a team that gets outscored by over 11.1 points per game and have committed 20 turnovers. They rank 133rd in total yards allowed, 113th in passing yards allowed, 130th in rushing yards allowed, and 126 in points allowed. They face one of the best running attacks in football averaging just under 200 yards per game on the ground (196.6 YPG). This is the team that averages over 27.7 points per game and doesn't make too many mistakes. They have a very well-balanced defense, and have been a nightmare to offenses ranking third in the nation forcing 20 turnovers. Louisiana Tech closed this season winning and covering their last two games against some very good opponents in Liberty and Missouri State. Reports are they will be without several defensive starters, but I don't think that's going to matter too much here. Please understand the Chanticleers only defeated one Bowl team this season in Appalachian State which was 5-7. They face a Bulldog's opponent, which six of their seven wins this season came by 10 or more points. Trey Kukuk settled in quite nicely at the quarterback position, and I expect him to light up the scoreboard here. Take Louisiana Tech. Thank you.

Fresno State Bulldogs.

ARIZONA BOWL WINNER.

Game 234.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, there aren't many teams that could rebound following a beating like Miami took at the hands of Western Michigan back on December 6. Maybe it didn't show it in the 23-13 loss, but their offense had just 73 yards rushing and 199 yards passing. As a matter of fact, I don't see their “O” doing too much more here. This is a team that lost they're starting quarterback Dequan Finn in early-November, and tried a freshman in Tommy Gotkowski and a veteran in Henry Hesson but just couldn't get in sync with either. Things go from bad to worse for the offense as they lost their best receiver to the transfer portal in Kam Perry. This is a team that's dropped three of their last five straight up and against the spread coming into this matchup. Meanwhile, Fresno State comes in here winning and covering three of their last four outings. First year head coach, Matt Entz has this team believing they can win. They can run the ball with success in this matchup, and defensively they are very stout, snagging 19 takeaways, and allowing just 20.1 PPG. There are monsters against the pass, and just about as good against the run. Over their last five outings they have allowed an average of 15.0 PPG, and that was even with two losses. By the way, the Bulldogs are changing conferences moving from the MWC to the Pac-12 next year and want to finish on a high-note. Take Fresno State. Thank you.

BYU.

POP-TARTS BOWL WINNER.

Game 232.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

In my opinion, this might be one of the best games for us this entire college football postseason. Georgia Tech is a good team. I'll give them that. However, they have lost two in a row and three of the last four straight up covering only one of those last four outings. Their defense has gotten plowed yielding 48 points to NC State, 34 points to Boston College of all teams, and 42 points to Pitt before allowing just 16 points in their last game to Georgia. I believe their stop-unit is tired, is overworked, and is outclassed here in this matchup. You know the Yellow Jackets haven't played a ranked opponent all season long (I don’t count Clemson, who were #12 when they played and dropped considerably). They have a defense that is very beatable, and I believe is in real trouble here, as they rank 80th against the pass and 94th against the run. By the way, they've only forced three turnovers this season as well. They must go up against a BYU team that comes in here angry as they feel they were snubbed for the CFP. The Cougars misfortunate this season was having to play the Red Raiders twice. The last outing on December 6, was the most points they yielded and the least points that they scored all season long. I believe they'll come in here looking to redeem themselves and prove a point. This is a team that is extremely well-balanced, led by a very smart quarterback that leads an offense that averages over 31.9 PPG. That would be enough here, but their defense is just as solid. They allow just 19.0 PPG, and have snagged 16 takeaways as well. They're one of the stingiest stop-units in the nation against the run, a place where their opponent heavily relies upon to move the chains. I feel this is one of the biggest mismatches you will see if this college football postseason. The Cougars are looking to redeem themselves, prove a point to the pollsters, are good in Bowl games, and our lead by sharp coach and a ton of seasoned veterans. Take BYU. Thank you.

UConn.

Fenway Bowl WINNER.

Game 229.

11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST.

With all respect to the Black Knights, we know their game plan. Army will come into this Bowl matchup, with their fifth-ranked rushing attack and pound the ball up the middle on the ground. This is what they do. This is a good team, my friends. But I think we all saw what happened in the legendary Army/Navy matchup when they lost 17-16. Meanwhile, Connecticut enters this contest one of the hottest teams in college football, winning four in a row and eight of their last nine straight up, covering six of their last eight outings. This is a team that is no stranger to stepping up in class, or even facing and containing run-oriented offenses. They did lose to Rice, 37-34, which is a team that heavily favors the rush. But they did then take down another military opponent in Air Force who also runs the ball a lot, 26-16. This is a team themselves that has taken down, and even competed against some strong opponents. Let's not forget this team finished the regular season taking down UAB, Duke, Air Force, and FAU. Thet possess a very well-balanced offense that makes very few mistakes. As a matter of fact, the ranked sixth in passing, 69th in rushing, 12th in points scored, and top the nation only committing two turnovers. Yes, I am aware that their run defense leaves a lot to be desired. But they're so well-balanced offensively, that I feel this will be a very competitive matchup. By the way, they're also better defensively at creating turnovers as they have snagged 11 takeaways compared to Army’s eight takeaways on the stop side of the ball. I think this is way too many points. FYI, the Black Knights have not covered as a double-digit favorite this season. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

JOE D IS ON FIRE! 4-0 L4 NCAAF, 6-1 NCAAF POSTSEASON, 17-5 NCAAF OVERALL RUN. This Wednesday, we get an early Christmas gift as we continue to SHRED THE BOOKS in college football with my HAWAII BOWL WINNER between CAL/HAWAII.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors.

Hawaii Bowl.

Game 218.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Playing at home during this time of year is huge for any college football team. This goes even more for Hawaii as they are 6-1 this season when playing host. They enter this matchup winning seven of their last 10 both straight up and against the spread, and have played some very good football. Don't read too much of the fact that Cal head coach Justin Wilcox was fired and replaced by former Hawaii head coach, Nick Rolovich for this matchup. The Golden Bears defense isn't so golden as in consecutive weeks they've allowed 42, 31, 26, 31, and 35-points. Meanwhile, this season their offense has been less than mediocre averaging just 24.8-points per game, while committing 15 turnovers. The Hawaii passing game is one of the best in the nation ranking 11th in college football. While I will tell you the Cal pass defense is good, it's just not structured to slow down how Hawaii's passing game succeeds. The Rainbow Warriors live by short passes and then because of this, they keep defenses honest even though they don't run the ball very well they still try. I just don't see the Golden Bears defense, which as I mentioned earlier has gotten plowed and has only forced eight takeaways this season, is going to slow down let alone stop them. While the California offense is pretty good in the air, the Hawaii pass defense has really stepped up this season. They only allow 23.5 PPG and have held some very good offenses in check. Take the Rainbow Warriors. Thank you.

Utah State Aggies.

Idaho Potato Bowl.

Game 210.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

While Washington State which has dropped six of their last 10 straight up, has covered seven of their last 10 outings, they've undergone some changes recently. Their head coach is gone, and although their defensive coordinator will be gone as well, he's acting as interim coach in this matchup. Meanwhile, Utah State enters this game covering four in a row, and 10 of 12 this season. These two teams did meet November 2024 as the Cougars hosted the Aggies, and took them down to 49-28. This won’t happen again here. Utah State will be exiting the Mountain West Conference and joining Washington State in the Pac-12 this upcoming season. The Aggies certainly have a more explosive offense accounting for 8.3 points per game more than does the Cougars, and certainly turn the ball over less. WSU coughed up the ball 18 times this season. Speaking of the Cougars, they cannot run the ball at all and they only rank 86th in passing. Compare that to the very well-balanced offense of Utah State which are just as good in the air they are on the ground, and I think it's gonna’ be a long day for the Cougars. Defensively, the Aggies leave a lot to be desired, but being that they have such a good ground game on offense, I feel they're gonna’ run the ball quite a bit, control the clock keep their opponents defense on the field, and more importantly their offense off it. Another thing my friends, Washington stage defense has only forced five turnovers while the Utah State “D” has forced 10 turnovers. Offensively, the Aggies have too much, not to mention the distraction the Cougars have with the whole coaching situation. Take Utah State. Thank you.

‘Ole Miss.

I know this is a lot of points, my friends. But why would anyone think, even for a split-second, that this outcome will be any different than the September 20, Mississippi 45-10 victory over Tulane? It isn't going to be any different. We all know the Rebels offense is one of the most-explosive in college football, scoring 37.3 PPG, ranking third in total yards, fifth in passing yards, and 34th in rushing yards. Now with all respect to the Green Wave, which have respectable numbers, they just don't compare. Please also understand the Mississippi offense makes considerably less mistakes than does the Tulane’s “O”. That would be enough for me here. But as I mentioned a moment ago, Trinidad Chambliss leads one of the most-explosive passing attacks in the nation, and they lineup across from a pass defense ranking 122nd. I just don't see this meeting not having the same outcome as the first meeting. That would be enough, but the Rebels defense is also one of the toughest in the nation, allowing a mere 20.1 PPG. Granted, the Green Wave stop-unit doesn't allow too many more points. But they haven't faced the same level of competition, either. Shutting down teams like Tulsa, East Carolina, Temple, and Charlotte, isn't like facing a team like Mississippi, or even the squads they have taken down like LSU, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Florida, etc. This game will get out of hand. Take Mississippi.

Miami.

At first glance, I had a big lean on Texas A&M here, especially following their first defeat of the campaign. But as I did my due diligence, I quickly switched to backing Miami. The Aggies, prior to losing to the Longhorns, their SEC schedule was against opponents that are a combined 11-40. They haven't faced too many strong teams in conference play. As a matter of fact, outside of Texas which they lost by 10-points, they weren't very impressive. You could have the best record in the world, but it all depends on who you beat. Looking at their games played, the Texas A&M defense several times this season gave up significant points to some less than stellar opposition. The same can't be said for the Hurricane’s stop-unit. Miami's defense ranks sixth in the nation allowing only 13.8 PPG, and have forced 12 turnovers. While the Texas A&M "D" yields 21.9 PPG, they've only snagged just three takeaways. Offensively, they’ve coughed the ball up 16 times compared to Miami's 11 turnovers. The A&M offense relies strongly upon their ground game, but runs into the seventh-ranked rush defense in the nation. I do feel the difference in this matchup will also be at the quarterback position. With all respect to Marcel Reed, he just isn't Carson Beck.

Alabama.

Alabama dropped the first meeting with Oklahoma back in mid-November because of turnovers and a lack of a sufficient ground game. They also didn't show up in the conference championship at the beginning of this month against Georgia. They were without several key cogs in their offensive wheel that are expected to be back here this week. These are two of the best defenses in football, but the Crimson Tide are certainly better against the pass which will significantly affect the Sooner offense. They also turn the ball over less on offense, and create more turnovers on defense. Beating Alabama once in a season its tough. Beating them twice, is impossible.

WMU.

While Kennesaw State enters this matchup winning and covering three in a row, Western Michigan has won five in a row and nine of their last 10 straight up, covering eight of those 10 games. The Broncos only loss since mid-September was to Miami-Ohio, which they avenged in the conference championship back on December 6. This is a team that has not allowed a single opponent to put up more than 21 points in any of the victories since the third week of September. With an explosive running game, they usually control the tempo and the pace of their contests. They do not average as many points as the Broncos. But they also don't make as many mistakes, as K State's offense has coughed up the ball 15 times. Defensively, WMU possesses one of the stingiest stop-units in the nation yielding just 18.2 PPG, equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. The same cannot be said for their opponent, which ranks 82nd against the pass and 102nd against the rush. I think they're in a lot of trouble in this game, as they won’t be able to slow down the 25th-ranked rushing attack in the nation. I just don't see it happening. Controlling the clock, and wearing down opponents’ defenses are huge during the regular season, and even bigger in a Bowl game.

South Florida.

This game being played in Tampa, Florida, and I definitely give an edge to South Florida who will have the luxury of not having to travel too far, and significantly more fans in the stands. Both teams are seeking a 10-win season and both teams will be without their starting quarterbacks. The Monarchs will be without their top-producer, quarterback Colton Joseph. They will have a QB at the helm with significantly less experience in Quinn Henicle. Meanwhile, for the Bulls. Byrum Brown will not be participating on the field. However, rumors are he will be actually acting as an assistant coach on the sidelines in this matchup. They do have a fifth-year senior in Gaston Moore at the helm. It does give them an edge at the quarterback position. If you’re asking yourself why Brown is serving you as an assistant is because offensive coordinator Joel Gordon and most of his staff have left for Auburn. Their defensive line coach, Kevin Patrick will serve as interim head coach. Now Old Dominion did open up their season with a 13-point loss at the hands of now No. 1 team in the country Indiana, and a few weeks later took down Virginia Tech. But they did take beatings at the hands of Marshall and James Madison. South Florida opened their season up with consecutive victories over Boise State in Florida before being destroyed by Miami. They've also covered quite a few this season going 9-3 against the spread. Both teams can run the ball with efficiency, both teams can score points. However, the Bulls rank No. 2 in the nation in scoring. They did lose a little luster at the quarterback position even though I still give them an edge with a more experienced replacement under center. But the Monarchs defense is pretty darn good. However, the Bulls defense is certainly a little tighter against the rush. There's a lot of factors to take in in this game, but being that it is being played in Florida, and they have a more experienced quarterback doing the play-calling, I give an edge to South Florida.

Jacksonville State.

The second-best team in the Sunbelt will face the second-best team in the Conference USA as two Alabama representatives face one another in Montgomery. Very simply, I just don't see why the Trojans are favored here (as of post). Maybe it's because the Gamecocks ran for 210 yards on 40 carries in a losing effort at the hands of a very weak run defense against the Owls of Kennesaw State not long ago. But this is a very well-disciplined team with a very smart coaching staff. I doubt you're gonna’ see that happen again. Jacksonville State possesses the nation’s sixth-ranked rushing attack accounting for over 258.0 yards per game on the ground. I doubt very much their opponent which does rank 107th against the run, is going to be able to slow down let alone contain the potent ground game. The Gamecocks will take a page out of their last games playbook and make sure they control the clock here once again but take it one further and light up the scoreboard. I will admit Troy played a solid game against a very tough James Madison opponent in their last outing before a late meltdown. They are a good team against the spread, covering nine of 13 this season, but this team is very susceptible to the run. They are expected to be without a couple of key cogs in their offensive wheel. Most likely Tucker Kilcrease is supposed to take the helm for an injured Goose Crowder (check status), but to go on further their top ball-carrier, Tae Meadows is in the transfer portal and is expected not to participate here. Please remember Jacksonville State hung in tight as a three-touchdown underdog losing by only seven-points in their season opener on the road at Central Florida, and then took down a very talented Liberty opponent at home, as a touchdown underdog. This team knows how to step up in big situations. While they did fall short against Kennesaw State in the conference championship, a team that they did beat only three weeks before at home. As far as Troy goes, they hung in tight against an overvalued Clemson opponent in the second week of the season while they took a beating against Memphis just a week later. Without some of their starters on the field and the fact that they fall short little bit in big games situations, tells me Jacksonville State will take this game. Take the Gamecocks. Thank you.

Army.

These two teams know each other very well, and let's face it, their numbers offensively are very similar, almost mirroring one another. Yes, Navy accounts for significantly more points per game, but the Army defense is much better both against the run, and against the pass. Not only that, but they have forced more turnovers defensively, and committed less turnovers offensively. Last season saw the Midshipmen prevail in this matchup, but I feel that perhaps the Black Knights were a bit hungover from playing in the conference championship just prior. Army took the two previous meetings before that, and six of the last eight overall meetings. I think this is way too many points. Take the Black Knights. Thank you.

Virginia.

There is no question this is one of the biggest mismatches you will see this weekend in college football conference championship weekend. Duke is just 7-5 straight up covering only five of their 12 outings this season, while Virginia is 10-2 on the campaign, covering eight of their 12 contests. Yes, this game is being played in Charlotte, North Carolina, but I think if it was anywhere else, this line would be even higher. The Cavaliers took down the Blue Devils just three weeks ago in Durham, North Carolina by 17-points, and are only about a field goal favorite here. Virginia was dominant in all aspects of that matchup, throwing for over 316 yards, and rushing for over 224 yards. They did commit quite a few penalties, but also dominated the time of possession by nearly 12 more minutes. Duke could not run the ball at all and let's face it, their passing game sputtered badly. Without a real rushing attack, the Blue Devil still account for 37.7 points per game. However, the Cavaliers are more well-balanced offensively, and average just behind them at 36.2 points per game. It is the defense, the defense, the defense that will make the difference here. Virginia's defense ranks 25th nationally, yielding just 21.8 PPG, and forcing 12 turnovers. They are equally good against the pass as they are the rush. Duke’s stop-unit, ranks 56th against the rush and 132nd against the pass, getting steamrolled for over 32.1 points per game. By the way, just to add insult injury, the Cavaliers offense, is very good on the ground, averaging over 200 yards per game (205.8 YPG). They will be able to shut down their opponent’s offense, while they control the clock with their own ground game, opening up their very explosive passing attack. I don't see this outcome being any different from the earlier one.

Ohio State.

My friends, throw logic out the window on this one. I know that just about everybody out there as of posting this play likes Indiana. I know that a lot of handicappers out there are coming up with Indiana as well. Once again, the masses are wrong. Yes, on paper the Hoosiers have blown up in higher-fashion some of the same opponents the Buckeyes took down this season. They also average 8.0-points per game more on offense, are a little better at running the ball. But this game isn't played on paper my friends. And let's face it, Indiana has not had to face a defense like they're going up against here this week. Please remember they allowed Penn State to almost beat them a few weeks back. Then they had some throwaway games against Wisconsin and Purdue. They have not faced a defense like they're going to face her again, I had to repeat that. Ohio State's offense is just as explosive, averaging 40.4-points per game and only committed eight turnovers. That is huge. They are better in the air for sure. All that said, yes, this game is being played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana, but it doesn't matter where this is played. The Buckeyes have dominated the Hoosiers taking 10 consecutive meetings straight up, covering three of the last four most recent matchups. As a matter of fact, over the last four years they've won by 47, 42, 20, and 23-points. Ohio State will come out and prove a point that they are the best team in the country. No. 1 in points allowed (8.5 PPG), No. 1 in total yards, No. 1 in passing yards, and No. 4 in rushing yards. Indiana is in trouble here.

Alabama.

Guys, I know most of the money is coming in on Georgia as of posting this play. But I'm here to tell you, the general public once again has it wrong. Yes, the Bulldogs are on an eight-game straight up win streak covering five of those eight outings. And yes, despite Alabama's offense averaging a little more than one more point per game, I would say the Georgia offense is a little more well-balanced. So, on paper, the Bulldogs look like the play. But I think we can all agree, college football isn’t played on paper, it is played on the gridiron, and Alabama rules the gridiron, especially in this matchup. The Crimson Tide have taken three in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings against their conference rival. This does include a 24-21 road win and cover this season back at the end of September. Not only do they beat this team, they cover against them too, covering three straight, and five of the last six matchups. In that first matchup, the Bulldogs could not stop the Crimson Tide quarterback, Ty Simpson and the passing attack. The quarterback threw for 280 yards passing, and two touchdowns. Statistically, the Georgia defense has tightened up against the past since then. But I don't think it's because they’ve gotten better, I think it's because their schedule permitted them to on paper, improve. Obviously beating a team twice in one season especially a team of this level is difficult. But going back to this matchup, I am not in love with the Bulldogs offense. They only put up 24 points on the Gators, and 16 points on the Yellow Jackets in their last outing. Defensively, they're one of the worst in the country at sacking the quarterback, and they also rank 50th against the pass. By the way, they've only snagged eight turnovers as well. Their defense succeeds because they are very good against the rush. But what good is that when you're facing an offense that does not rely upon rushing the ball. The ‘Bama offense ranks 101st, averaging 137.6 yards per game on the ground. They only run to keep defenses honest, and allow their passing game to open up. That's where you're gonna’ see a big difference. The 17th-ranked passing attack of the Crimson Tide going up against the 50th-ranked pass defense of the Bulldogs. By the way, let's not forget Alabama's defense has been stellar this season, not allowing a single opponent since their first week of the season to put up better than 24-points on them. They allow just 18.0 PPG, have forced 10 turnovers, are ninth against the pass and 37th against the rush. They have been extremely stingy against the run, and that's how Georgia offense moves the chains. One last thing, guys don't be fooled by the fact the Crimson Tide have two losses this season. Don't let that influence you. They enter this matchup with confidence knowing they've dominated this rivalry.

Texas Tech.

My friends, I'm not gonna’ tell you that many times I feel in a revenge situation from a recent blowout embarrassing loss, I would automatically look to come on the loser of that first game in the second matchup. But that's not the case here. Texas Tech dominated BYU back on November 8 at home, 29-7. Now guys, the Cougars are a very good team. Obviously sporting an 11-1 straight up record and covering nine of their 12 outings, proves that statement. But the Red Raiders are a great team. In that first matchup, Texas Tech quarterback, Behren Morton was under pressure for a lot of the game. And yet he's still threw for over 219 yards, one touchdown, while the running game accumulated 149 yards. As a matter of fact, the quarterback was -47 yards personally in rushing in the game because of sacks. It was the Texas Tech defense that made the difference. I feel Morton will have a much better performance in this outing, while the nation’s third-ranked stop-unit takes care of the rest. Yes, the Red Raiders defense allows just 12.3 points per game, ranking number one in the nation against the rush and 29th against the pass. No matter how you cut it, the Cougars offense is in trouble here. On the flipside, I look for Morton and the eighth-ranked aerial assault in the nation to go out of their way, prove a point, and light up the scoreboard in the air. Remember, this is a this is a very well-balanced offense that not only averages over 322.5 yards in the air per game, they also average over 211.2 yards per game on the ground. I don't see why this matchup will be any different than the earlier matchup.

Boise State.

As a Las Vegas resident of 36 years, I know the Mountain West Conference very well. While I try to support my local teams as much as possible, my loyalty is to my bankroll and to you. My friends, Superman had kryptonite and UNLV has Boise State. The Rebels cannot beat the Broncos, who have taken 10 consecutive meetings in this rivalry, covering seven of those 10, which does include six consecutive ATS covers. This season, these two conference rivals met on October 18 here in Vegas, as BSU prevailed 56-31. Both teams come in here on winning streaks, but Boise State had an extra day to rest, heal, and prepare. This is also a home game for the Broncos, and you know how loyal their fans are. Quarterback, Madsen (nearly 2,000 YP, nearly a 60% CR, 15/7) is returning from injury, but reports are he is 100%. There is also the storyline the Broncos are leaving the mountain west for the Pac 12 next year. They want to leave on a high note. This is also going to be a cold game, which does not benefit UNLV. There is no question the Broncos defense is tougher. Yes, I will admit the Rebels offense scores a bit more, but Boise State has frustrated better offenses than this. They continue their domination in this rivalry.

Jacksonville State.

Sports fans, in all sincerity, the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Yes, Kennesaw State sports a better overall record at 9-3, and a better ATS mark as well, at 7-4-1, but they've lost and failed to cover the last three meetings with Jacksonville State, which does include a November 15 game, 35-26. The Gamecocks are a heck of a team, going 8-4 SU, and covering six of their 12 outings this season. One of the biggest differences in this matchup is the home record of Jacksonville State, as they are 5-0 when hosting this season. This game is being played in Jacksonville, Alabama and will be filled with Gamecock fans. With all respect to the Owls, they are just 3-3 on the road in 2025. Playing away from home has been an issue for the team. The K State defense leaves a lot to be desired, while their offense turned the ball over 14 times this season. The Jax State offense possesses the nation’s third-ranked rushing attack. They also possess a pretty decent defense that has snagged 12 takeaways. They will control the clock and the tempo of this game offensively, and win this game outright. But I will take the points the odds makers are giving us.

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Alabama.

Alabama controls their own destiny in reaching the SEC championship game. A victory here will send them to Atlanta for that title game. Yes, Auburn is looking for their sixth victory on the season to become bowl eligible. But let's face it, outside of a slim victory over Arkansas, and a routing of Mercer, this team has dropped every other game going back to mid-September. They are just 1-6 in conference play this season, and no matter what, they still must face a defense that has been stellar this season yielding just 17.8 PPG. I look for the Crimson Tide and they're explosive aerial assault to absolutely pick apart the 75th-ranked Tigers pass defense. One thing for sure, ‘Bama knows how to win in big game situations.

Texas Tech.

Texas Tech will come in here well-rested having come off a bye week, and with a victory here today, they will earn their first ever spot in the conference championship game, and basically clinch a spot in the CFP. The Red Raiders are 10-1 SU this season covering nine of those 11 games. As a matter of fact, during their current four-game win Streak, the average margin of victory has been by 32.0 PPG. They currently rank fifth overall in the polls, and there are some tough matchups today with some of the teams that are ranked in the top-five. Anything could happen, my friends. But this game is an early game, and they need to win with authority. West Virginia is a train wreck at 4-7 SU this season ranking 110th in scoring, and getting steamrolled for nearly 30 points per game (29.2 PPG). They just won't be able to keep pace on the scoreboard in this matchup. Texas Tech averages over 42.6 PPG and will absolutely pick apart the very lax defense of their opponent here. On the opposite side of the line of scrimmage, the Red Raiders are holding teams to suggest 12.3 PPG. They will completely shut down the Mountaineers offense.

Georgia Tech.

It's true, the Bulldogs have dominated the Yellow Jackets taking seven consecutive meetings straight up, but Georgia Tech has covered three straight. They also enter this matchup playing some good football. With all respect to Georgia, I feel they're overvalued here. Yes, I know the Georgia Tech defense leaves a lot to be desired. But they have a one of the most explosive running attacks in the nation, and will give their opponent a heavy dose of their ground game. Believe it or not, they average more points than their arrival does. They know the game plan, they'll stick to it, and they will cover.

SD State.

San Diego State took nine consecutive meetings over New Mexico, before last season’s home loss, 21-16. The Aztec control their own destiny at the top of the Mountain West standings, and if they win here this week, they will host next week's championship game. The Lobos have played good football recently, riding a five-game win streak. You're gonna’ see a lot of running in this game by both teams, but both defenses are very difficult to run against. Big difference in this matchup, is mistakes and defense. San Diego state is only turned the ball over 10 times while New Mexico has coughed the ball up a whopping 21 times, and I just don't see the Lobos keeping pace on the scoreboard against one of the stingiest and nastiest defenses in college football.

Air Force.

A season ago, on their own field, the Falcons took a heartbreaking 21-13 loss to the Rams. This followed a seven-game domination by Air Force the previous seven matchup. I feel they will come in here motivated looking for some revenge. Now both teams have been eliminated from any postseason opportunities. But we all know Colorado State is a trainwreck making the news again this week. I look for the Falcons and the nation’s fifth-ranked rushing attack to control the clock here, and absolutely decimate the Rams 126th ranked run defense.

Mississippi.

Mississippi has an outside shot at reaching the SEC championship game, but a few things must happen that is beyond their control, along with them winning here today. That is certainly something they can control. The visitor in this storied matchup is 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 meetings. I don't have any concerns worrying about ‘Ole Miss lighting up the scoreboard against their old rival, Mississippi State. I mentioned the Rebels have a chance at the conference title, but without question, a big dominating victory here today would ensure them a spot in the CFP. Their opponent has it getting plowed in recent games, yielding 41, 31, 23, 45, 35, 41, 49 points in consecutive outings. The well-balanced Mississippi offense, will move the chains with ease on the ground, allowing them to open up their passing game, and light up to scoreboard.

Arizona State.

This is an ideal situation for Arizona State, which is running very very hot. The Sun Devils have won their last two games and enter today's matchup to face one of the worst teams in the Big 12, the Buffaloes. Colorado has dropped three in a row both SU/ATS, as they have lost by an average margin of 29.3 PPG during their current slide. ASU has Arizona on deck to finish out their regular season, and can certainly up their stock with a big win here. On both sides of the ball, they outclass their opponent here today.

BYU.

Sitting at 6-1 in Big 12 play, the Cougars have a chance at the conference title, or at least a share of it. After this week, they have the Knights of Central Florida on deck and they can certainly win out. But it all starts with a victory here. They took the most recent matchup with the Bearcats, two seasons ago 35-27, to give them victories in all three matchups against today's opponent over the last decade. Oh, by the way, they also covered all three of those as well. Speaking of which, Cincinnati has now lost and failed to cover their last two games, in which their explosive offense has been quieted significantly. Their defense has been exploited, and this matchup just does not look good for them. They're going up against one of the best defenses in the nation, an and I doubt very much they're going to be able to slow down let alone stop the BYU well-balanced “O”.

Tennessee.

Tennessee took last season's meeting in overtime, 23-17. As a matter fact, they've taken two of the last three matchups straight up. Yes, Florida has covered four in a row in this rivalry, but this isn't the same Gators team we are used to seeing. And let's be honest, playing at The Swamp isn't as big of an advantage as it used to be. Florida comes in here riding a three-game straight up losing streak, and overall, sporting just three victories on the campaign. With a big victory here, the Volunteers can certainly up their stock, and with the Commodores up next, this team can finish the season with nine victories. There's no way Florida can keep pace on the scoreboard with the second-ranked scoring offense in the nation.

California.

Sports friends, this game is off by quite a few points. I don't care that Stanford's only bright spot of 2025 is the fact that they've won three of their four home games, they enter today's matchup on a three-game slide. The Golden Bears are very golden, taking four consecutive meetings in this series over there California rival. This is a team that got their first win following a couple of tough losses in their last outing, on the road 29-26 over the Louisville Cardinals. I don't see them in a letdown situation. I see them riding that momentum into another big road victory.

Nebraska.

I know there's a lot of excitement surrounding Penn State over recent weeks as they played a tight game against Indiana, and then got their first victory in over two months last week against Michigan State. However, this team still doesn’t have the talent or the depth to lay this type of wood, especially at this point in the season. Nebraska comes off a big victory on the road at UCLA a few weeks back, and had a week off to rest and prepare for this matchup. Going back a while, they have dominated this rivalry, winning and covering four of the last five meetings. I doubt very much the Nittany Lions and their lackluster passing attack is going to have any luck against the third-ranked pass defense in the nation. So, they're going to have to move the chains on the ground. It's going to be a slow tempo game here, and it's just way too many points to give a very hungry, very talented, under the radar Cornhusker's opponent.

Boise State.

Coming off back-to-back losses for the first time and as far back as I can remember, Boise State must come out here today and win big. They are 6-4 overall, which does include a 4-2 record in conference play. They must win out their last two regular season games, and they must win out with authority. Following this game against Colorado State, they play Utah State. So, in all sincerity, they can win out, and they can win out with authority. The Rams are one of the worst teams in the nation in just about every category on both sides of the ball averaging, just 18.0 points per game and giving up nearly 30 points per game (27.9 PPG). They are riding a four-game straight up losing streak in which they've only covered one of those games, and go into Boise to face a team that dominates visitors on their own field. The Broncos are 4-1 straight up at home in 2025, and in the four victories in their own stadium, they have won by an average of 26.2 PPG.

Connecticut.

The Huskies are playing great football winning three in a row and seven of their last eight straight up, and covering six of their last seven. They have way too much on both sides of the ball for the lowly Owls, which they took down last season, 48-14. No reason why this season's matchup would be any different.

Minnesota.

Northwestern is struggling at the wrong time, losing three straight outings. They face in Minnesota team that plays them very tough. Last year's matchup saw this game decided by three-points in overtime. Prior to that the Golden Gophers took three consecutive meetings in this rivalry. With Wisconsin up next for the visitor, they can certainly finish their regular season off winning out, and ending up with an 8-4 a record. On the other hand, Northwestern has Illinois on deck, and might be caught in a look ahead situation here. At the very least time I find this game to be a very competitive matchup. Certainly, a lot closer than the pointspread.

Army.

The Black Knights are looking for their sixth victory to become bowl eligible, and with UTSA and Navy remaining on their regular season schedule, they need a victory right now. The fourth-ranked rushing attack of the Black Knights will absolutely destroy the 100th ranked run defense of the “not so” golden, Golden Hurricanes. That would be enough for me here, but the Army defense which has contributed to their four victories over the last five games, holding those four opponents to an average of 12.5 points per game will absolutely shut down the very poor offense of Tulsa.