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|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-07-19||Alabama v. Clemson OVER 58.5||Top||16-44||Win||100||56 h 12 m||Show|
he Crimson Tide have evolved from the team that was content to run the ball and slug out a low-scoring win, as quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (3,671 passing yards, 41 TDs, four interceptions) leads a high-powered offense. Alabama’s best shot at attacking the Tigers is through the air as five receivers have made at least six touchdown receptions, with Jerry Jeudy (1,176 receiving yards, 13 TDs) leading the way. Alabama’s defense might be the most susceptible unit on the field, having given up 454 and 507 total yards, respectively, in its last two games, so getting stops in the red zone and forcing turnovers will be key against Clemson's explosive offense.
Both teams rank in the top five nationally in total offense, scoring offense and scoring defense, while Clemson is fifth Alabama 13th in total defense.
I’m on over the total.
|01-07-19||Alabama v. Clemson +6||Top||16-44||Win||100||56 h 11 m||Show|
Two stalwarts of the College Football Playoff era square off for a fourth consecutive year when No. 2 Clemson takes on top-ranked Alabama for the national title Monday in Santa Clara, California. After splitting a pair of championship-game matchups following the 2015 and 2016 seasons, the Crimson Tide dispatched the Tigers 24-6 in the semifinals last year, and both emerged as early favorites to reach the title game.
The first two meetings - Alabama’s 45-40 win in January 2016 and Clemson’s 35-31 triumph in January 2017 - were classics that went down to the wire, and both coaches expect a similar outcome between two evenly matched teams on Monday.
Swinney made the bold decision to go with Trevor Lawrence as his starting quarterback four games into the season, and the move has paid off as the freshman has piled up 2,933 passing yards with 27 touchdowns and four interceptions. Lawrence’s big arm gives the Tigers a downfield threat on every play, but running back Travis Etienne (1,572 yards, 22 TDs) is the workhorse on offense.
I love the points with Clemson.
|12-29-18||Oklahoma v. Alabama OVER 76.5||Top||34-45||Win||100||26 h 50 m||Show|
Top-seeded Alabama begins pursuit of a second straight College Football Playoff title and third in five seasons when it matches up with fourth-seeded Oklahoma in a semifinal game at the Orange Bowl in Miami. The Crimson Tide sailed through the regular season without a close call before notching a 35-28 victory over Georgia in the SEC championship game. The Sooners engaged in several shootouts during a one-loss campaign and are back in the CFP for the third time in the past four seasons.
Oklahoma junior Kyler Murray won the Heisman Trophy over Alabama sophomore Tua Tagovailoa and both quarterbacks put up superb statistics. Murray passed for 4,053 yards and 40 touchdowns against seven interceptions and also rushed for 892 yards and 11 scores, while Tagovailoa threw for 3,353 yards and 37 touchdowns and was only picked off four times.
While they are the top two scoring teams in the nation - Oklahoma at 49.5 points per game, Alabama at 47.9 - the Crimson Tide have a huge edge when it comes to defensive performance. Alabama ranks fourth in scoring defense (14.8) and held eight opponents to 17 or fewer points while the Sooners (32.4 per game) gave up 40 or more five times, including in four straight November games. Oklahoma's lone blemish is a 48-45 loss to Texas on Oct. 6 and the unit faces a huge challenge in slowing down an Alabama attack that rolled up 45 or more points on nine occasions.
I’m looking for an old fashion shootout, so back the over.
Over is 11-1 in Sooners last 12 games on grass and is 13-3 in Sooners last 16 games overall. Over is 20-5-2 in Crimson Tide last 27 neutral site games and is 11-4 in Crimson Tide last 15 bowl games.
|12-29-18||Notre Dame v. Clemson -12||Top||3-30||Win||100||22 h 49 m||Show|
Clemson will play in the College Football Playoff for the fourth consecutive season when the second-seeded Tigers face No. 3 Notre Dame in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic on Dec. 29 in Arlington, Texas. The Tigers are 3-2 in the College Football Playoff over the past three years, including a national title in 2016 and a 24-6 loss to Alabama in last year’s semifinal. The Fighting Irish are making their first appearance in the four-team playoff, which was instituted in 2014.
Clemson’s offense thrives on big plays, while Notre Dame’s defense has been one of the nation’s best at preventing them. The Tigers rank in the top five nationally in plays of 20, 30, 40, 50 and 60 yards, including 90 plays of 20 yards or more and 19 of 50 yards or more. The Fighting Irish rank in the top 10 defensively in all those categories and have given up only nine plays of 60 yards or more, the fewest in the nation.
Two of the country’s top running backs will be on display with Clemson’s Travis Etienne and Notre Dame’s Dexter Williams. Etienne (1,434 yards, 21 touchdowns) averages 8.31 yards per carry and has topped 150 yards in six games this season. Williams was suspended for the first four games of the season but has averaged 117.6 rushing yards in eight games since while scoring 12 of his 13 touchdowns on the ground.
The Fighting Irish survived the regular season unscathed, but had five games decided by eight points or fewer and played only three ranked teams in the latest Top 25.
The Tigers might be the most well-rounded team in the country, as they rank fifth nationally in total offense and scoring, second in scoring defense, and sixth in total defense. Etienne and freshman quarterback Trevor Lawrence (2,606 passing yards, 24 TDs, 4 INTs) have put up big numbers, and 10 players have caught a touchdown pass. Clemson’s defense has been a wrecking crew, racking up 121 tackles for loss and 46 sacks with end Clelin Ferrell (17 tackles for loss, 10 1/2 sacks) leading the way.
Clemson wins a blowout.
|12-29-18||Arkansas State v. Nevada -115||Top||13-16||Win||100||19 h 3 m||Show|
Arkansas State and Nevada, who briefly were conference-mates in the Big West Conference in the mid-90's, get together for the first time since 1999 when they meet in the NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl on Dec. 29 at Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Ariz. Nevada holds a 4-2 edge in the series.
Arkansas State brings a four-game winning streak into the contest and won five of its last six games with the lone loss to Louisiana 47-43, a defeat that cost the Red Wolves the West Division title and a spot in the Sun Belt Conference championship game. Nevada finished tied for second in the West Division of the Mountain West Conference and had a four-game winning streak snapped in stunning fashion in their regular-season finale by in-state rival UNLV, blowing a 23-0 first half lead in a 34-29 loss in the annual Battle for the Fremont Cannon. The Red Wolves also played UNLV this season, using a 39-yard fourth quarter touchdown run by Marcel Murray to pull out a 27-20 victory.
This is Nevada's second trip to the Arizona Bowl. The Wolf Pack won the inaugural game in 2015 when they were matched up against a fellow Mountain West school in Colorado State.
Quarterback Ty Gangi didn't garner any all-conference honors but ranks 11th nationally in total offense (298.2 yards per game) and completed 250-of-409 passes for 3,131 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Toa Taua leads the ground game with 816 yards and six touchdowns on 156 carries and was named the league's Freshman of the Year. Linebacker Malik Reed, who had 72 tackles including 15.5 for loss to go with eight sacks and four forced fumbles, and defensive end Korey Rush, who had 11.5 tackles for loss and six sacks, lead the defense and were both first team all-Mountain West picks.
I’m backing Nevada in this early bowl game.
|12-29-18||Florida +6 v. Michigan||Top||41-15||Win||100||18 h 48 m||Show|
Seventh-ranked Michigan and No. 10 Florida are set to renew hostilities when they meet in the Peach Bowl on Dec. 29 in Atlanta. The Wolverines harbored serious College Football Playoff hopes heading into their final regular season game against sixth-ranked Ohio State, but suffered a devastating 62-39 loss to the Buckeyes to fall out of the playoff picture and aim to overcome the disappointment by achieving 11 wins in a season for just the 10th time in program history. The Dan Mullen era in Gainesville began with a bang as the Gators raced out to a 6-1 record before dropping back-to-back contests against No. 5 Georgia (36-17) and Missouri (38-17), but won three straight games to close out the regular season and hope to put an exclamation point on a promising campaign by knocking off the Wolverines for the first time in program history.
Michigan looks to avoid a bad case of Florida fatigue as they get set to face the Gators for the third time since 2016. The Wolverines routed Florida 41-7 in the 2016 Citrus Bowl before taking down the Gators 33-17 in the 2017 season opener in Arlington, TX to improve to 4-0 all time in the series and hope a historic defeat to their bitter rivals doesn't carry over into the postseason, where they have dropped four of their last five bowl games, including a 26-19 setback to South Carolina in the 2018 Outback Bowl.
Mullen has restored Florida's swagger as he orchestrated victories over No. 11 Louisiana State and 18th-ranked Mississippi State to leave him in position to win 10 games in his first season in Gainesville - a feat which eluded Steve Spurrier and Urban Meyer. Mullen has resuscitated a moribund offense that was 109th in yards per game (335.9) last season as Florida has generated over 500 yards in three consecutive contests heading into the Peach Bowl and hopes to keep firing on all cylinders against Michigan.
Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
I’m looking for a very close game so take the Gators plus the points.
|12-22-18||Wake Forest +3.5 v. Memphis||Top||37-34||Win||100||20 h 31 m||Show|
Saturday, DEC 22
Memphis and Wake Forest will meet for the first time since 1967 when they face off in the Jared Birmingham Bowl on Dec. 22 in Birmingham, Ala. The Tigers finished first in the West Division of the American Athletic Conference but fell in the title game 56-41 to unbeaten UCF. The Demon Deacons were tied for fifth in the ACC Atlantic Division and became bowl-eligible with a 59-7 win over Duke in their regular-season finale.
Wake Forest will be without its top quarterback as freshman Sam Hartman has been declared out. Hartman, who injured his leg in early November against Syracuse, missed the final three regular-season games with sophomore Jamie Newman taking his place. Newman isn’t the downfield passing threat Hartman is but did a nice job and finished the season with 755 passing yards on 101 attempts and a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 8:3.
The Demon Deacons are in a bowl game for the third year in a row and it took their best performance of the season to get them there in the rout of the Blue Devils on Nov. 24.
Wake Forest just only 3-6 as dog this season but Coach Clawson was 10-2-1 in role entering this season. Deacs 4-1 SU, 4-0-1 vs. line last five bowls including wins past two seasons. Memphis no wins or covers last three years in bowls, only 2-4 vs. points away from home this season.
Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games. Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December and are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
I got Wake Forest to get the job done here in a close game coming down to the wire.
|12-20-18||Marshall -3.5 v. South Florida||Top||38-20||Win||100||9 h 50 m||Show|
South Florida hopes to soothe the sting of a five-game losing streak that ended the regular season when it takes on Marshall in the Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl on Dec. 21 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.
The Bulls, who face the Thundering Herd for the first time, started the season with seven consecutive victories and had visions of a major bowl game before injury issues and a leaky defense (39.6 points per game allowed in losses) led to five double-digit setbacks. Marshall won three straight games to seal its fifth bowl appearance in six years before ending the regular season with a 41-20 loss at Virginia Tech.
South Florida hopes to have a healthier offense after a four-week break following the 38-10 loss to No. 7 Central Florida on Nov. 23 and the Bulls, who averaged 35.6 points during their 7-0 start, will face a defense that allowed 22 points per game and tied for sixth in the nation with 39 sacks.
USF did not have No. 1 quarterback Blake Barnett in two of its last three games because of a shoulder injury and he may return, but the Bulls will have a new play caller after offensive coordinator Sterlin Gilbert was hired as McNeese State’s new coach after the regular season.
This is a home game for the Bulls, but while a home game in general is usually a good thing, some of these teams look forward to enjoying the bowl experience in a different place. So, motivation could actually be missing in this case. Not that home field did much for the Bulls anyway this season, where they went just 1-5 ATS.
USF needs to run the ball well to be successful and that seems like a tall order against a Marshall run defense that allows a miniscule 2.9 yards per carry on the season. If the Herd can get the Bulls in third and long scenarios it could be a long night for USF. Additionally, the Herd are 5-0 SU/ATS under head coach Doc Holliday in bowl games.
I like Marshall to win by 10 or more…
|12-15-18||Arizona State v. Fresno State -4||Top||20-31||Win||100||23 h 6 m||Show|
Arizona State running back Eno Benjamin should receive ample opportunities to break the single-season school rushing record when the Sun Devils meet Fresno State in the Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl on Dec. 15 at Sam Boyd Stadium. Benjamin is 42 yards short of breaking the 46-year-old Arizona State record (1,565) set by Woody Green, and the Sun Devils will be without No. 1 receiver N'Keal Harry, which should allow even more carries for Benjamin. Harry, who had 73 catches for 1,088 yards and nine touchdowns this season, has decided to skip the bowl game and begin preparing for the NFL Draft.
Fresno State should be plenty motivated in its first meeting against Arizona State since 1941. The Bulldogs earned this bowl bid with a dramatic 19-16 overtime win at Boise State on Dec. 1, putting themselves in position to win 12 games in a season for the first time in program history. Fresno State, which finished the regular season ranked No. 21 in the coaches' poll, will also be looking to win bowl games in back-to-back seasons for the first time since winning three in a row from 2002-04.
Fresno State quarterback Marcus McMaryion took his play to another level this season, completing nearly 70 percent of his passes, throwing 25 touchdowns and getting intercepted just three times - none in the past four games.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. MWC. Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games and are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Lay the points with the Bulldogs in Vegas.
|12-01-18||Georgia v. Alabama -13||Top||28-35||Loss||-115||52 h 37 m||Show|
Top-ranked Alabama will undoubtedly be part of the four-team College Football Playoff but fourth-ranked Georgia isn't a lock as the two squads prepare for Saturday's SEC championship game at Atlanta. The Bulldogs can clinch a CFP spot by beating the Crimson Tide but risk being bypassed for the playoff if they should lose the contest.
The two squads met in last season's national title game with Alabama prevailing 26-23 in overtime in what was the coming out party for Crimson Tide quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who came off the bench to throw three touchdown passes.
Alabama has been dominant all season but coach Nick Saban is very wary of Smart - his former defensive coordinator - and the Bulldogs.
Tagovailoa has thrown a school-record 36 touchdown passes against two interceptions and the sophomore fuels an offense averaging 49 points per game. Jerry Jeudy is enjoying a standout season with 56 receptions for 1,079 and 11 touchdowns while fellow sophomore receiver DeVonta Smith (27 receptions) will forever be remembered in Alabama lore for catching the game-winning 41-yard touchdown pass in the national championship game. The Crimson Tide give up an average of 13.8 points with sophomore nose guard Quinnen Williams recording a team-leading 16 tackles for loss and senior defensive end Isaiah Buggs notching a team-best 9.5 sacks.
Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Look for Alabama to pull away in the second half and get the cover.
|12-01-18||Memphis v. Central Florida -3||Top||41-56||Win||100||51 h 13 m||Show|
Seventh-ranked Central Florida attempts to finish the job after an emotional week and earn a second straight American Athletic Conference title when it hosts surging Memphis in the championship game Saturday. The Knights extended their national-best winning streak to 24 games with a resounding 38-10 victory at South Florida last Friday, but the triumph came at a cost as star quarterback McKenzie Milton was lost to a severe right knee injury.
UCF is eighth in the College Football Playoff rankings. Freshman quarterback Darriel Mack Jr. gets the job of trying to lead the Knights to another title. Memphis comes to Orlando, Fla. with one of the nation’s best running backs in junior Darrell Henderson, a four-game winning streak and the confidence of two near misses against UCF during the Knights' winning streak - but a 1-12 all-time record against the Knights.
The Knights will lean more toward the ground attack with the 6-3, 230-pound Mack at the helm as he has run for 281 yards (7.0 per carry) and completed just 48.8 percent of his passes in a limited role. UCF’s rushing attack has gotten better each game and sophomore Greg McCrae (895 yards, eight TDs on the ground) took the leading role at the end of October while junior Adrian Killins Jr. (1,023 yards rushing and receiving) is always a threat. The Knights’ defense, led by sophomore defensive back Richie Grant (team highs of 98 tackles, five interceptions) and senior lineman Titus Davis (six sacks, 15.5 tackles for loss), must step up again versus the talented Tigers.
Tigers are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games on grass and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December. Knights are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Central Florida.
Central Florida gets the job done here to take the title.
|12-01-18||Texas +8 v. Oklahoma||Top||27-39||Loss||-105||49 h 43 m||Show|
Lincoln Riley's dynamic offense at Oklahoma has consistently been explosive enough this season to make up for one of the worst defenses in the country, but Texas knows all about the one time it wasn't. The fifth-ranked Sooners hope to avenge their only loss of the season and impress the College Football Playoff committee enough to move up from the No. 5 spot in the CFP rankings when they meet No. 9 Texas on Saturday in the Big 12 Championship Game at AT&T Stadium in Dallas.
Oklahoma, which leads FBS in scoring (50.3 points) and total offense (583.8 yards), finished the regular season on a six-game winning streak despite surrendering 47.3 points per game in its last four contests - and at least 40 points in each contest - by averaging 53.3. The Sooners have failed to score at least 48 points in only three games, the last of which came on Oct. 6 when Oklahoma needed less than six minutes in the fourth quarter to erase a 21-point deficit before the Longhorns got a game-winning 40-yard field goal from freshman Cameron Dicker as time expired for a 48-45 victory. Texas has been living on the edge for most of the season, playing all but one of its last eight opponents within one score and winning six of them. The Longhorns are making their sixth Big 12 Championship appearance and first since 2009, while the Sooners are seeking their fourth consecutive conference crown and a ninth championship win in 18 league title games.
The Longhorns, who are the only school in the Big 12 with a winning record against the Sooners (62-46-5), are 6-3 in one-possession games this season.
Take the points with Texas in a close game that comes down to the wire.
|11-30-18||Utah v. Washington -5||Top||3-10||Win||100||33 h 59 m||Show|
Sans decorated quarterbacks Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen and Luke Falk, the Pac-12 took on a more defensive tone in 2018. And that’s certainly reflected in Friday night’s conference championship game which pits No. 17 Utah against No. 11 Washington in Santa Clara, Calif.
Both teams boast top-20 FBS total and scoring defenses with the Huskies allowing 311.3 yards and 16.5 points and the Utes permitting 315.8 yards and 19.3 points per game.
Washington will be playing in its second Pac-12 title game in three years while Utah is making its first appearance since joining the conference in 2011.
Unlike Utah, the Huskies have the advantage of health and experience in the backfield with the senior duo of Jake Browning and tailback Myles Gaskin. Browning, despite averaging a career-low 224.3 aerial yards this season, is the school’s career passing yards leader and Pac-12’s all-time winningest quarterback, while Gaskin is averaging 107.6 yards on the ground and is the school’s all-time leader in rushing yards and touchdowns. Senior linebacker Ben Burr-Kirven is tied for the lead nationally with 155 tackles and paces a defense which ranks second in the conference against the run (121.8 yards allowed) and pass (189.4 yards).
With a 21-7 road win at Utah on Sept. 15, Washington has won five of the six meetings since Utah entered the Pac-12. In the September contest, Gaskin rushed for 143 yards and a TD on 30 carries while the Huskies’ defense forced three turnovers and had a trio of fourth-down stops.
Lay the points here with Washington to capture the PAC-12 Title.
|11-24-18||Notre Dame -11 v. USC||Top||24-17||Loss||-109||7 h 32 m||Show|
Notre Dame needs one more win for its first undefeated regular season since 2012 and a likely first-ever trip to the College Football Playoff. All that stands in its way is USC as the long-time rivals go head-to-head in primetime from L.A. on Saturday evening.
The third-ranked Fighting Irish passed their latest test in dominant fashion last Saturday, getting past then-No. 12 Syracuse with ease in a 36-3 win at Yankee Stadium. Ian Book threw for 292 yards and two touchdowns in his return to the lineup after missing one game with a rib injury, while Dexter Williams added 74 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries. USC has lost four of its last five after starting the season 4-2 and needs an upset win over the Irish to become bowl eligible. The Trojans’ latest setback came at the hands of crosstown-rival UCLA as the Bruins managed a 34-27 win at the Rose Bowl last weekend.
The offense did its job but it was Notre Dame’s defense that was the story of the game as it recorded three interceptions and six sacks against an Orange offense that was averaging 44.4 points per game coming in. I expect the same here vs. USC.
The Trojans allowed Bruins running back Joshua Kelley to run for 289 yards (third-most in UCLA history) and two touchdowns on 40 carries and the USC defense will have its hands full in trying to contain Williams.
The Fighting Irish have outgained seven of their last eight opponents by 100 yards or more.
|11-24-18||LSU v. Texas A&M -2.5||Top||72-74||Loss||-120||6 h 3 m||Show|
The biggest questions for LSU were about the effectiveness of the offense after it was held scoreless by Alabama and struggled in a win over Arkansas. The eighth-ranked Tigers finally opened things up last weekend, just in time to take on their final SEC challenge against host Texas A&M on Saturday.
The Aggies moved back into the top 25 in the College Football Playoff rankings at No. 22 after knocking off UAB 41-20 last week. The Aggies needed only 54 offensive plays to score 41 points against UAB and were led by running back Trayveon Williams, who churned out 167 yards on 20 carries while scoring a pair of touchdowns.
Aggies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. Favorite is 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
|11-23-18||Washington v. Washington State -2||Top||28-15||Loss||-110||8 h 4 m||Show|
There is more than Apple Cup bragging rights on the line when seventh-ranked Washington State hosts No. 16 Washington in Friday's Pac-12 showdown. The Cougars are ranked No. 8 in the College Football Playoff rankings and need two more victories, some help from opponents and some help from the selection panel to crack the final four.
The winner advances to play Utah in the Pac-12 title game, and Huskies coach Chris Petersen knows his defense faces a challenge in Washington State senior quarterback Gardner Minshew II, who leads the nation with 36 touchdown passes.
The Cougars have won seven consecutive games behind the stellar play of Minshew, the East Carolina transfer who has topped 300 yards a school-record 11 times while passing for 4,325, fourth-most in school history. Minshew fired a school-record seven touchdown passes in last weekend's 69-28 blistering of Arizona as 11 different players caught passes and six had scoring receptions. The defense allows an average of 22.6 points per game and features a force in senior linebacker Peyton Pelluer (team-high 76 tackles) and also is receiving strong play from sophomore linebacker Jahad Woods (68 tackles, four forced fumbles).
Huskies are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Cougars are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
|11-23-18||Oklahoma v. West Virginia +3||Top||59-56||Push||0||8 h 35 m||Show|
Less than one week after losing whatever chance it had to make the College Football Playoff, West Virginia can strike a similar blow to Oklahoma by beating the Sooners for the first time since becoming conference rivals in 2012. The 12th-ranked Mountaineers will attempt to end their recent struggles against No. 6 Oklahoma when the two meet in Morgantown, W. Va. on Friday in what likely amounts to a Big 12 Championship play-in game.
Oklahoma is coming off an uninspiring 55-40 home victory over the three-win Jayhawks, allowing 524 yards to an offense that had not gained more than 368 during conference play.
Heisman Trophy candidate Will Grier threw for 364 yards versus the Cowboys to post his school-record 18th career 300-yard passing game and boosted his career completion total to 484, passing Oliver Luck (1978-81) for fifth place in program history.
Look for W.V. to outscore Oklahoma.
|11-10-18||Colorado State v. Nevada -14||Top||10-49||Win||100||12 h 26 m||Show|
Colorado State continues its tough season when they visit MacKay Stadium in Reno, Nevada to take on the Wolf Pack.
The Nevada Wolf Pack are 3-2 at home this season, 3-2 against conference opponents. At home the Wolf Pack are averaging 33.4 scoring and holding teams to 26.0 points scored on defense.
The Colorado State Rams are 1-2 while on the road this season, 2-3 against conference opponents. On the road, the Rams are averaging 26.7 scoring, and holding teams to 44.7 points scored on defense.
Rams are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall and are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss.
Nevada’s offense will have solid success here and they get the win and late cover.
|11-10-18||Northwestern +11 v. Iowa||Top||14-10||Win||100||42 h 10 m||Show|
Northwestern looks to take a big step towards its first appearance in the Big Ten Championship game when it visits Iowa on Saturday. The Wildcats control their own destiny with a one-game lead over Wisconsin and Purdue, including the head-to-head tiebreaker over both teams, and hope to stay on course for their first Big Ten West Division title by extending their conference winning streak to five games.
Northwestern has won nine straight contests against West Division rivals and can clinch the title as early as Saturday if they beat the Hawkeyes while Purdue and Wisconsin both fall. Iowa suffered a 38-36 setback to Purdue in Week 10 to fall into fourth place in the West Division. The Hawkeyes were flying high after a 6-1 start but have been reduced to the role of spoiler after dropping two straight games by a combined eight points. They hope to get back on track by beating Northwestern for the first time since 2015.
Northwestern has won 12 of its last 13 Big Ten games dating back to last season and have won six straight conference road games.
Wildcats are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game and are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games. Hawkeyes are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Back Northwestern plus the points as my top game of the week!
|11-09-18||Fresno State -2.5 v. Boise State||Top||17-24||Loss||-110||26 h 44 m||Show|
Boise State’s blue turf has not been kind to No. 17 Fresno State, which is winless in its last nine games against the Broncos at Albertsons Stadium. The surging Bulldogs, who are 23rd in the College Football Playoff rankings, look to end the streak Friday in a critical Mountain West showdown against the Broncos, who have won four in a row following a loss to San Diego State.
Fresno State is riding a seven-game winning streak and boasts a stellar defense that has allowed an average of 7.2 points in five conference contests. Defensive backs Mike Bell and Tank Kelly have three interceptions apiece but figure to be tested by Boise State quarterback Brett Rypien, who needs 36 yards to become the Mountain West’s all-time passing yardage leader.
The game features a pair of senior signal-callers in Rypien and the Bulldogs’ Marcus McMaryion, who threw for 274 yards and two scores in last week’s 48-3 win over UNLV.
The Bulldogs closed last year’s regular season with a 28-17 home victory over Boise State before the Broncos answered with a 17-14 win in the Mountain West championship game in Boise.
Fresno State is 7-0 on the road under Tedford in Mountain West regular-season games.
Bulldogs are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 road games. Broncos are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
In a hard-fought battle Fresno State comes out on top.
|11-03-18||Missouri v. Florida -6||Top||38-17||Loss||-110||4 h 27 m||Show|
No. 14 Florida’s SEC East title hopes dissipated last week, but it will try to get back on track when it hosts Missouri on Saturday. The Tigers remain winless in SEC play, but three of their four losses were against teams in the top nine in the initial College Football Playoff rankings and two setbacks have come on the final play of the game.
Florida coach Dan Mullen was still at Mississippi State when the Gators were routed 45-16 at Missouri a year ago, but he knows his players haven’t forgotten.
The Gators also will be motivated to bounce back from last week’s 36-17 loss to Georgia, which effectively erased them from the SEC East title picture. The Tigers could have been in the running if not for a pair of last-second defeats, including last week’s 15-14 setback against Kentucky, which scored the winning touchdown on an untimed down after a controversial pass-interference call in the end zone.
The Gators are coming off their worst offensive output of the season after totaling just 275 total yards and 105 through the air - both season lows - against Georgia. It was a step back for both an offense that has improved greatly and quarterback Feleipe Franks, whose 1,511 passing yards already have surpassed last season’s total. The 429 total yards allowed against the Bulldogs marked the second-highest total of the year for the Gators, who have been especially tough versus the pass.
Florida is tied for eighth in the nation with 18 takeaways and has converted them into 50 points.
Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Look for the Gators to get inside the number and win by at least a touchdown.
|11-03-18||Georgia v. Kentucky +10||Top||34-17||Loss||-115||4 h 3 m||Show|
Fifth-ranked Georgia is used to playing showdown games in November with SEC and national title aspirations at stake, but No. 12 Kentucky finds itself in that unfamiliar spot when it hosts their matchup on Saturday. The Wildcats defeated Missouri 15-14 last week, scoring on the final play of the game, and are off to their best eight-game start since 1977 behind a defense that is allowing a nation-low average of 13 points.
Kentucky, which has improved its win total in each of Stoops' six seasons, were ninth in the College Football Playoff rankings that were released on Tuesday - three spots behind Georgia, which whipped Florida 36-17 last week. Quarterback Jake Fromm rebounded from a sub-par showing in a loss at LSU to throw three touchdown passes against the Gators and now faces a defense led by standout linebacker Josh Allen, who ranks in the top three nationally in tackles for loss (14.5) and sacks (10).
Kentucky Quarterback Terry Wilson completed 22-of-31 passes for 267 yards last week and wide receiver Lynn Bowden Jr. made 13 catches for 166 yards while also returning a punt 67 yards for a touchdown. Running back Benny Snell Jr. was held to 67 yards on 19 carries but leads the SEC and ranks 10th nationally in rushing yards per game (116.9). The defense gets plenty of attention, but the Wildcats are third in the conference in rushing offense (214 yards).
Kentucky is the only FBS team yet to allow more than 20 points in a game this season.
Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Back Kentucky as a home underdog.
|10-27-18||Texas -3 v. Oklahoma State||Top||35-38||Loss||-115||9 h 16 m||Show|
There is uncertainty over the status of sophomore quarterback Sam Ehlinger as No. 7 Texas prepares to visit Oklahoma State in Big 12 play on Saturday. Ehlinger suffered a sprained passing shoulder against Baylor on Oct. 13 and his availability won't be determined until late in the week. My sources tell me he will get the start.
Oklahoma State has dropped three of its past four games and coach Mike Gundy is perplexed over his team's inconsistent nature.
Texas Junior Shane Buechele will also be prepared to play just in case the right-handed Ehlinger's shoulder doesn't appear ready for the contest. Buechele was 20-of-34 passing for 184 yards, one touchdown and one interception in the narrow 23-17 victory over Baylor and has started 19 games during his college career.
Senior defensive end Charles Omenihu for Texas leads the team with six sacks and freshman safety Caden Sterns has a team-best four interceptions for a unit that has held four teams to 17 or fewer points.
Longhorns are 11-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games. Favorite is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oklahoma State.
Texas keeps it rolling with a win and cover.
|10-27-18||Georgia v. Florida +7||Top||36-17||Loss||-116||5 h 39 m||Show|
Florida and Georgia square off in this year's edition of the “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” on Saturday in Jacksonville, with both teams highly ranked in the national polls. Both are fresh off their bye week, but the 11th-ranked Gators posted their fifth victory in a row last time out, while the sixth-ranked Bulldogs suffered their first loss of the season at LSU.
Florida was in a classic letdown situation when it stepped on the field at Vanderbilt, having just knocked off then-No. 6 LSU. The Gators came out flat in the first half and trailed by as many as 18 points, but a 48-yard touchdown run by Jordan Scarlett to start the fourth quarter helped them match the largest road comeback in school history in the 37-27 win. Georgia, meanwhile, used its bye week to reflect on a 36-16 loss in which its usually prolific offense was held to just 322 total yards.
Florida’s offense was nearly unstoppable against the Commodores with 576 total yards and a time of possession of 36 minutes, 14 seconds, but three turnovers - two by quarterback Feleipe Franks - led to 17 points for Vanderbilt. The defense didn’t have its best performance of the season in Nashville, but it might be the key to upsetting the Bulldogs as the Gators feature the NCAA’s sixth-ranked passing defense and a line that has registered 21 sacks - good for third in the SEC.
Georgia Sophomore quarterback Jake Fromm was particularly bad against the Tigers, completing just 16-of-34 passes for 209 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions, while the running game was held to just 113 yards - well below its prior season average of just under 245. Look for the Florida defense to hold the Bulldogs down again this week.
Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bulldogs are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a bye week.
I’ll back the underdog Gators at the Worlds Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.
|10-27-18||Iowa +5.5 v. Penn State||Top||24-30||Loss||-102||5 h 37 m||Show|
Iowa saw an upset bid against Penn State last year disappear on the final play of the game, a damaging blow that kicked off a 3-5 stretch. The 18th-ranked Hawkeyes seek a measure of revenge when they visit the 16th-ranked Nittany Lions on Saturday for a key Big Ten battle.
Trace McSorley's touchdown pass to Juwan Johnson with no time on the clock lifted Penn State to a dramatic 21-19 victory at Iowa in 2017, the Lions' fourth consecutive win in the series and one that has the Hawkeyes looking for a more complete effort this time around.
Iowa has won three in a row, including last week's 23-0 triumph over Maryland and a 42-16 victory at Indiana the previous Saturday. Penn State narrowly avoided a third straight loss by surviving 33-28 at the Hoosiers last week despite being outgained by 137 yards and recording 12 fewer first downs.
Stanley threw for just 86 yards last week, but his team barely needed anything from the junior's arm, as the defense held Maryland to only 115 total yards.
Iowa is 7-6 all time in State College. Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Take the points with Iowa in a lower scoring battle that will be close.
|10-20-18||Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -11||Top||7-14||Loss||-110||46 h 29 m||Show|
The season is only half over but the offensive line of No. 17 Kentucky, which returns Saturday in an SEC contest against visiting Vanderbilt after a week off, is already being recognized for its play. Bunchy Stallings and the rest of the unit have paved the way for one of the top rushing attacks in the nation for the Wildcats, who have won two straight over the Commodores.
The Commodores and senior quarterback Kyle Shurmur have lost two straight and four out of their last five games, including three defeats to ranked teams, and now face the first of three straight road games.
ABOUT VANDERBILT (3-4, 0-3 SEC): After being held in check by No. 6 Georgia and Florida, wide receiver Kalija Lipscomb will try to make his mark against Kentucky's smothering pass defense. The junior, who posted four straight games with at least nine catches prior to being held to six receptions for 80 yards in the last two games.
ABOUT KENTUCKY (5-1, 3-1): The run game, led by junior Benny Snell, Jr., ranks 26th nationally with 223.5 yards per game even after being limited to 70 yards and 2.3 yards per carry against Texas A&M on Oct. 6. Snell needs 713 yards to become Kentucky's all-time leading rusher.
The Commodores are 2-9 in their last 11 games against ranked teams with wins over No. 24 Tennessee in 2016 and No. 18 Kansas State in 2017. The Wildcats are 14-6 in their last 20 regular-season games, their best mark since producing the same record from 1984 to 1985.
Commodores are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games. Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
|10-20-18||Oregon +135 v. Washington State||Top||20-34||Loss||-100||46 h 28 m||Show|
The two highest-scoring teams in the Pac-12 will go head-to-head Saturday afternoon when No. 23 Washington State hosts No. 11 Oregon. The Cougars average 41.8 points per game and Oregon averages 43, while also earning the distinction of being one of three teams in the nation that has scored at least 30 points in every game this season.
Both teams are led by top quarterbacks who have been able to move the ball with ease this season. Washington State quarterback Gardner Minshew II threw for 430 yards and a career-high five touchdowns in a 56-37 win at Oregon State on Oct. 6, giving the graduate transfer from East Carolina 300 passing yards in every game this season - upping his nation-leading average to 403.7 yards per contest.
Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert has also thrown five touchdown passes in a game this year and owns at least one passing touchdown in 21 consecutive games - the second-longest active streak in the country. Herbert is supported by a more productive run game led by freshman running back CJ Verdell, who has three consecutive 100-yard efforts coming into this matchup.
ABOUT OREGON (5-1, 2-1 Pac-12): Dillon Mitchell missed the 33-10 loss to Washington State last season because of injury and didn't catch a pass against the Cougars as a freshman, but the junior wide receiver should be a difference maker in this contest. He has three consecutive 100-yard receiving performances coming into this game, and his 154.3 receiving yards per game in Pac-12 play is the highest average in any conference this season. The Ducks also have a dependable tight end in Jacob Breeland and two other skilled sophomore receivers in Johnny Johnson III and Jaylon Redd.
The Ducks are the least penalized team in the Pac-12 with 32.
Ducks are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
|10-13-18||Colorado +7 v. USC||Top||20-31||Loss||-120||13 h 47 m||Show|
No. 18 Colorado is commanding its share of national attention as one of 11 FBS unbeatens and the only one located west of the Mississippi River. The Buffaloes, though, are bracing for their first Pac-12 road test, which comes Saturday night at USC.
The spotlight has shone the brightest on CU sophomore receiver Laviska Shenault, who’s become the first wideout to garner two Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Week awards in the same season.
Shenault scored all four of the Buffaloes’ TDs, including two on the ground, a week ago in a hard-fought 28-21 win over visiting Arizona State while catching a career-high 13 passes for 127 yards. USC, meanwhile, has rebounded from a 1-2 start with narrow Pac-12 wins over Washington State (39-36) and Arizona (24-20) and is only a half-game behind Colorado in the South Division standings.
Shenault’s sensational start has overshadowed the strong play of several other Buffs, most notably junior quarterback Steven Montez, who ranks second in the conference in overall passing (284.0 yards), passing efficiency (174.24 rating) and total offense (309.0 yards). Montez has had a hand in 14 total TDs, including three rushing, while completing 75.2 percent of his passes and throwing only two interceptions in 153 attempts.
Buffaloes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in October.Trojans are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall.Buffaloes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Take the points in a game Colorado can win outright.
|10-13-18||Baylor v. Texas -14||Top||17-23||Loss||-105||6 h 44 m||Show|
The hype surrounding the Texas football program is bigger than it has been in years thanks to a dramatic win over rival Oklahoma last week and steady improvement under head coach Tom Herman. The 14th-ranked Longhorns will try to avoid a letdown and stay on pace for a Big 12 title when they host Baylor on Saturday.
Herman is trying to rebuild Texas into a national championship contender and has the team on a five-game winning streak following a season-opening loss to Maryland, and the 48-45 triumph over Oklahoma last week is just another step.
The Bears are trying to rebuild themselves into a contender as well and responded to a loss at the Sooners by holding off Kansas State 37-34 last week - providing a little momentum going into a two-game stretch at Texas and No. 6 West Virginia.
The Bears were ripped 66-33 at Oklahoma in Week 5, and bouncing back with the win over Kansas State the following week marked a step in the right direction but they still have a lot of work to do to restore the program.
The Longhorns' ascent has coincided with the rise of quarterback Sam Ehlinger, who put his name in the Heisman Trophy conversation with his five touchdowns - three rushing - in the win over Oklahoma.Ehlinger is enjoying a school-record streak of 163 consecutive pass attempts without an interception.
Bears are 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Longhorns are 8-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Longhorns earned a 38-7 win at the Bears last season in the first Big 12 meeting between Herman and Rhule. No let down here for Texas as they roll Baylor here at home.
|10-06-18||Notre Dame -6.5 v. Virginia Tech||Top||45-23||Win||100||10 h 50 m||Show|
After a perfect September that included wins over two ranked teams, life doesn’t get any easier for No. 7 Notre Dame as it visits No. 23 Virginia Tech on Saturday evening. The Hokies, who fell out of the rankings after their shocking loss to Old Dominion two weeks ago, got back into the Top 25 with a win at previously undefeated Duke last weekend.
Fighting Irish coach Brian Kelly continues to look smart for moving quarterback Ian Book into the starting lineup two weeks ago, as the junior threw for 278 yards and four touchdowns in the 38-17 win over Stanford last weekend.
For N.D. no one is happier to have Book at the helm than senior wide receiver Myles Boykin (20 catches for 311 yards) as the two hooked up 11 times for 144 yards and a touchdown against Stanford. The Irish also got a huge offensive boost from senior running back Dexter Williams, who ran for 161 yards and a touchdown in his first game of the season after missing the first four for disciplinary reasons.
This game could come down to which Virginia Tech defense shows up - the one that allowed 600 yards and seven touchdowns to Old Dominion two weeks ago or the one that limited Duke to 327 yards and 4-of-16 on third down conversions last week. I see the bad defense showing up vs. this stout N.D. offense.
Notre Dame piled up 550 yards of total offense against Stanford while limiting the Cardinal to 31 total yards in the second half.
Fighting Irish are 39-18-2 ATS in their last 59 games in October.
|10-06-18||Arizona State v. Colorado -2.5||Top||21-28||Win||100||5 h 29 m||Show|
Colorado is the only undefeated team remaining in the Pac-12 Conference and has climbed back into the national rankings at No. 22. But the Buffaloes’ schedule has been down-pillow soft so far – their four opponents (Colorado State, Nebraska, New Hampshire and UCLA) are a combined 1-16 – and now they will step up in class Saturday afternoon with 3-2 Arizona State visiting Boulder.
The No. 22 ranking is Colorado’s first since 2016 when they finished 10-4 and won the Pac-12 South Division title. The Buffaloes are atop the South again at 1-0 in the conference with USC (2-1), Arizona (1-1) and Arizona State (1-1) right behind, but head coach Mike MacIntyre stresses that the current rankings and standings matter little in the big picture.
Coach Herm Edwards’ Arizona State squad also was ranked three weeks ago after upending visiting Michigan State 16-13 on Sept. 8 but road losses against San Diego State (28-21) and Washington (27-20) followed before last Saturday’s rebound, 52-24 rout of Oregon State.
Against the visiting Beavers, the Sun Devils fed sophomore tailback Eno Benjamin who delivered a school-record 312 rushing yards and four total touchdowns to earn Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Week honors.
The Buffaloes’ attack ranks second in the Pac-12 in scoring (40.2 points) and has been powered by the triplets of quarterback Steven Montez, wide receiver Laviska Shenault and tailback Travon McMillian.
Montez has completed 75.8 percent of his passes and ranks second in the conference in passing efficiency (173.7) and third in total offense (300.0 yards) while the sophomore Shenault leads the FBS with 9.5 receptions and 145.3 receiving yards per contest while scoring six TDs, including a pair on rushes as he’s been employed in multiple ways in offensive formations. McMillian, meanwhile, is a Virginia Tech transfer who ranks fourth in Pac-12 rushing (98.0 yards) and has topped 100 yards in three of four games so far.
Sun Devils are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Buffaloes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
|10-06-18||LSU v. Florida +3||Top||19-27||Win||100||5 h 1 m||Show|
LSU is clicking on both sides of the ball but faces a tough task Saturday when it visits Florida in SEC action. The sixth-ranked Tigers are 5-0, but the Gators have won three straight including a pair of road wins to open conference play.
LSU has been held below 31 points only once and has not given up more than 21 points in any outing as the team is off to its best start in three years. The Gators should be up for the task of slowing down LSU after suffocating Mississippi State in last week's 13-6 win.
The Gators rank ninth nationally in points allowed (14.0) and have given up more than 10 points only twice this season. "This is going to be the best defense we faced so far this year," LSU coach Ed Orgeron said. "They're very aggressive. He won't give you the same look many times. Their movement is very precise." Feleipe Franks had thrown multiple TD passes in each of the first four games before failing to throw a touchdown - or any completion over 20 yards, for that matter - in the ugly win against Mississippi State.
After hovering around 50 percent completions in each of his previous three games, Franks completed a season-high 71 percent of his attempts last week.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
|10-06-18||Syracuse -3 v. Pittsburgh||Top||37-44||Loss||-110||2 h 52 m||Show|
Syracuse was 13 minutes away from upending No. 4 Clemson last week for a second consecutive season and entering the top-25 rankings for the first time since 2001 before the Tigers rallied for two touchdowns and a 27-23 victory. Orange coach Dino Babers said his team needs to take a page from the Clemson playbook and battle through adversity this Saturday when it visits a struggling Pittsburgh team.
Pitt was reminded last week how far it sits from the top-25 in coach Pat Narduzzi’s fourth season when it got clobbered 45-14 by No. 13 Central Florida after an earlier 51-6 loss to No. 11 Penn State.
Syracuse’s Dungey completed 26-of-41 passes for 250 yards and scored two rushing TDs against Clemson, and the senior has accounted for 15 TDs (nine passing, two interceptions) while compiling 1,378 yards of total offense this season. The Orange defense tallied four quarterback sacks against the Tigers and are averaging 4.7 over their last three contests.
For Pitt, Narduzzi is known for his tenacious defenses at Michigan State, has not been able to duplicate that in the Steel City (457.5 total yards per game in last four FBS contests), but he’s as equally frustrated by increased penalties, including 11 last week.
The Panthers also felt they had their quarterback issues resolved with Kenny Pickett, but the sophomore hasn’t thrown for 200 yards in any of his six career starts and 58 of his 163 yards passing last week came on a short pass at the line of scrimmage.
Syracuse K Andre Szmyt has converted multiple field goals in all five games this season, making 13-of-14 while drilling all 26 extra points. He ranks first in the ACC and third in the FBS in scoring (13 points per game) while leading FBS with 2.6 field goals per game.
Orange are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Panthers are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 home games and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
|10-06-18||Oklahoma v. Texas +7.5||Top||45-48||Win||100||1 h 28 m||Show|
Even though the Red River Showdown has not meant as much in terms of deciding the Big 12 champion lately as it did a few years ago, the rivalry between Texas and Oklahoma has not lacked in terms of producing thrilling games. Second-year coach Tom Herman appears to be working his magic with the 20th-ranked Longhorns this year, and they'll try to prove their resurgence is for real Saturday when they meet the fifth-ranked Sooners at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas.
After wallowing in mediocrity for the better part of the last decade, Texas has knocked off ranked teams in USC and TCU during a four-game winning streak on the strength of the conference's second-best scoring defense (19.8 points per game). The Longhorns are coming off a 19-14 victory at Kansas State last week despite committing 10 penalties for 104 yards - an area they'll need to clean up against the Big 12's highest-scoring offense (48.6). Oklahoma moved to 5-0 for the first time since 2013 last weekend, scoring at least 14 points in every quarter while routing Baylor 66-33. Despite the Sooners' recent run of dominance inside the conference, each of the archrivals' last four meetings has been decided by seven points or fewer.
Texas Sophomore Sam Ehlinger established a personal best by completing 80.6 percent of his passes at Kansas State and has thrown 128 consecutive passes without an interception, good for the third-longest streak in school history. Lil'Jordan Humphrey ranks seventh in the conference in receptions (26) and receiving yards (402), while fellow junior Collin Johnson is tied for eighth and ranks 11th in those respective categories (24, 350). Senior defensive end Charles Omenihu had five tackles - three for loss and two sacks - last weekend, while receiver/defensive back D'Shawn Jamison earned Big 12 Special Teams Player of the Week on Monday after becoming the first Longhorn true freshman with a punt return for a touchdown since Selvin Young in 2002.
Saturday will mark the first time since 2012 both schools enter this game inside the top 25.
Longhorns are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and are 7-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Sooners are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
|09-29-18||Ohio State v. Penn State +4||Top||27-26||Win||100||9 h 41 m||Show|
The winner of the Ohio State-Penn State game has gone on to win the Big Ten championship each of the last two years, and this Saturday's clash hosted by the Nittany Lions will again give one team a big leg up in that race. The fourth-ranked Buckeyes, who put forth a stirring rally to steal a 39-38 win over Penn State a year ago, have barely been challenged in a 4-0 start, including a 49-6 win over Tulane last week in head coach Urban Meyer's return from suspension.
Meyer's team dropped a 24-21 decision in its last visit to Happy Valley in 2016 and knows it will be tested by another "White Out" at Beaver Stadium.
No. 9 Penn State has rebounded from an early slugfest with Appalachian State to defeat its last three opponents by a combined 177-40 margin, although it trailed early in the second half at Illinois last week before erupting in the fourth quarter.
ABOUT OHIO STATE (4-0, 1-0 Big Ten): The big story this week in Columbus is the absence of star defensive end Nick Bosa, who will miss this contest and perhaps several more after undergoing core muscle surgery. However, fellow junior Robert Landers returns from an undisclosed injury to help bolster the defensive line and running back Mike Weber - who had 186 yards rushing and four total touchdowns in the season opener against Oregon State - will play after leaving the Tulane win with a sprained foot. Dwayne Haskins ranks second among FBS passers with both 16 touchdowns - against one interception - and a completion percentage of 75.7.
ABOUT PENN STATE (4-0, 1-0): McSorley has completed just 53.8 percent of his passes and has a pick in each of the last two games, but he is doing significant damage on the ground with 235 yards - on 5.7 per carry - and six scores through the first four games. Miles Sanders had 200 of the Nittany Lions' 387 rushing yards last week and he added three TDs after failing to reach the end zone in routs of Pittsburgh and Kent State.
|09-28-18||UCLA v. Colorado -8.5||Top||16-38||Win||100||49 h 52 m||Show|
Two programs who have had vastly different starts clash Friday night when winless UCLA visits unbeaten Colorado in Boulder. The game serves as the Pac-12 Conference opener for both teams.
The Buffaloes are 3-0 for the second straight season but are hoping this year brings a better finish as Colorado proceeded to drop seven of its nine Pac-12 games a season ago to finish last in the Pac-12 South. So far, the Buffaloes have beaten Colorado State (45-13), Nebraska (33-28) and FCS-foe New Hampshire (45-14), but that trio of teams is a combined 1-10 on the season.
It’s been the mirror-opposite for UCLA, whose first three foes – Cincinnati, No. 5 Oklahoma and Fresno State – are a combined 10-1 so far. Regardless, the Chip Kelly Era is off to a rough start, and the Bruins are hoping to avoid their first 0-4 record since 1971, when they finished 2-7-1.
Penalties (23 for 199 yards), pass protection (12 sacks allowed) and turnovers (five) have hampered the Bruins this season.
Bruins are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games in September. Buffaloes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
|09-01-18||Cincinnati +15 v. UCLA||Top||26-17||Win||100||8 h 59 m||Show|
Chip Kelly will make his debut as coach at UCLA when the Bruins host Cincinnati on Saturday afternoon at the Rose Bowl. Kelly led Oregon to three Pac-12 titles from 2009-12, and then spent four seasons in the NFL (2013-16) as coach of the Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers.
Kelly has yet to coach at game at UCLA and he's already dealing with serious internal distractions. UCLA announced Monday that running back Soso Jamabo, tight end Devin Asiasi, defensive back Mo Osling, center Boss Tagaloa, and defensive linemen Osa Odighizuwa and Moses Robinson-Carr have been suspended for the season opener for violating unspecified athletic department policies. Jamabo was the team's second-leading rusher last season (446 yards, six touchdowns), Tagaloa was in the hunt for the starting center spot and Odighizuwa was expected to play a key role on the defensive front. Cincinnati is looking for a fast start coming off back-to-back losing seasons for the first time since 1998-99, and the Bearcats have their leading passer, rusher and receiver back this season.
ABOUT CINCINNATI (2017: 4-8): Hayden Moore has been the primary starter at quarterback the past two seasons, and he played eight games for the Bearcats as a freshman in 2015, giving him considerable experience at the position. He didn't improve at the rate many expected last season, however, and could face early challenges from the four other Cincinnati quarterbacks, most notably redshirt freshman Desmond Ridder. Gerrid Doaks missed the final three games with an ankle injury last season, but still led the Bearcats in rushing as a freshman with 513 yards on 87 carries, and look for the offense to lean on senior wide receiver Kahlil Lewis, who caught a team-high 61 passes for 676 yards and seven touchdowns last season.
ABOUT UCLA (2017: 6-7): The quarterback position was still murky at UCLA to start the week, and it may take Kelly right up until game day to make a decision on a starter. Wilton Speight started 11 games for Michigan in 2016 and the first four for the Wolverines last season before a fractured vertebrae ended his year. He has moved on to UCLA as a graduate transfer this season and is competing against freshman Dorian Thompson-Robinson and redshirt sophomore Devon Modster for the starting nod.
|09-01-18||Northern Illinois +10 v. Iowa||Top||7-33||Loss||-107||5 h 36 m||Show|
Kirk Ferentz may not see himself as belonging in the same class as Iowa coaching legend Hayden Fry, but he finds himself on the brink of passing his predecessor in the only category that usually matters to coaches. The dean of FBS football coaches attempts to pass Fry for the most wins in school history Saturday when his Hawkeyes host Northern Illinois.
ABOUT NORTHERN ILLINOIS (2017: 8-5): Predicted to win the West Division of the Mid-American Conference, the Huskies return 17 starters overall, including all five starting offensive lineman and Marcus Childers, who finished with 21 total touchdowns (16 passing) while starting the final eight games of the season. The 2017 MAC Freshman of the Year will have his top two targets returning in Spencer Tears (44 catches) and D.J. Brown (42).
Junior defensive end Sutton Smith led the nation with 14 sacks and 29.5 tackles for loss in 2017, spearheading a Northern Illinois defense that posted league-best marks by allowing 22 points and 338.5 yards per game.
ABOUT IOWA (2017: 8-5): Sophomore Ivory Kelly-Martin is expected to get the first opportunity to replace last year's leading rusher Akrum Wadley and add some juice to a ground game that ranked 97th nationally with 139.2 yards per game in 2017.
The Hawkeyes will be shorthanded in the opener, however, as two offensive linemen (Alaric Jackson and Tristan Wirfs) and two defensive linemen (Cedrick Lattimore and Brady Reiff) will serve suspensions for violating team rules.
Huskies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. Big Ten. Hawkeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. MAC.
|08-30-18||Northwestern +1 v. Purdue||Top||31-27||Win||100||7 h 13 m||Show|
Northwestern looks to build off a successful 2017 season when it kicks off the new campaign on the road against Purdue on Thursday. The Wildcats are coming off a 10-win season, which culminated in a Music City Bowl victory, and their hopes of posting another double-digit win total rests squarely on the health of senior quarterback Clayton Thorson, who is a game-time decision for the opener after undergoing knee surgery in the offseason.
Northwestern owns the nation's current longest winning streak by a Power 5 team at eight games and aims to extend its run by beating Purdue for the fifth straight time.
ABOUT NORTHWESTERN (2017: 10-3): Thorson threw for 2,844 yards and 15 touchdowns before tearing his ACL in the bowl win against Kentucky and will be backed up by walk-on T.J. Green, who could make his first career start if Thorson is not medically cleared to play on Thursday. Jeremy Larkin averaged six yards a carry last season and will shoulder the load at running back as he replaces Justin Jackson, who was drafted by the San Diego Chargers after leaving Evansville as Northwestern's leading all-time rusher.
ABOUT PURDUE (2017: 7-6): Blough was the starter before suffering a season-ending ankle injury on Nov. 4 while Sindelar threw for 2,099 yards and 18 touchdowns despite playing the final three games with a torn ACL, and both players are expected to share snaps in the season opener. Defensive tackle Lorenzo Neal will be tasked with providing stability to a defense which returns just four starters.
The Wildcats are 10-2 in season openers under Fitzgerald and won six of the last seven meetings with Purdue. The Boilermakers are 7-27 in Big Ten play since the start of 2014.
|01-08-18||Alabama v. Georgia +5||Top||26-23||Win||100||58 h 39 m||Show|
Alabama is back in the national title game for the third straight year, after absolutely stuffing the team it lost to in last year’s final. The Crimson Tide (12-1 SU, 6-7 ATS) gave Clemson no room to operate offensively in Monday night’s Sugar Bowl, posting a 24-6 victory as a 3.5-point favorite.
Georgia came away victorious in a Rose Bowl game that featured a lot more offense – more than three times as much as in the Sugar Bowl. The Bulldogs (13-1 SU, 10-4 ATS) trailed Oklahoma 31-17 at the half, but rallied while turning the game into a huge offensive shootout that went to overtime tied at 45. Georgia then won 54-48 in double OT as a 2.5-point chalk.
The Dawgs won the SEC championship with a 28-7 Dec. 2 rout of Auburn, which beat Alabama in the regular-season finale Nov. 25 to keep the Tide out of the SEC final. Georgia and ‘Bama did not meet in the regular season. They’ll collide next Monday at 8 p.m. Eastern at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.
Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
In what will be a close tight game I’ll back the Bulldogs and the points.
|01-01-18||Alabama v. Clemson +3||Top||24-6||Loss||-100||33 h 4 m||Show|
Top-seeded Clemson and fourth-seeded Alabama are facing each other in the College Football Playoff for the third consecutive season when they square off in the semifinals at the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans on Jan. 1. The Crimson Tide defeated the Tigers in the national title game two seasons ago before departed Deshaun Watson led Clemson on a dramatic game-winning drive in last season's championship game.
Clemson's only blemish this season was a loss to Syracuse but the Tigers recovered well to leave no doubt that they were one of the nation's top four teams. It was a bit more complicated for the Crimson Tide as they lost to Auburn and didn't reach the SEC title game before landing the final spot over Ohio State.
The Crimson Tide's vaunted defense was torched by Watson (825 passing yards and seven touchdowns plus one rushing score) in the past two seasons and all eyes will be on Clemson junior quarterback Kelly Bryant who I feel will get the job done.
The Tigers have been nearly as good as the Crimson Tide on defense as they rank second in scoring defense (12.8) and sixth in total defense (277.9). First-team All-American defensive end Clelin Ferrell (the sophomore had a team-high 8.5 sacks among his 17 tackles for losses) is one of the headliners along with two second-team All-Americans -- junior defensive tackle Christian Wilkins (47 tackles, 4.5 sacks) and senior linebacker Dorian O'Daniel (team-best 99 tackles, two interceptions, two fumble recoveries).
Crimson Tide are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss and are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 bowl games and are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.
|01-01-18||Georgia v. Oklahoma +3||Top||54-48||Loss||-115||29 h 14 m||Show|
Oklahoma brings the nation’s fourth-best scoring offense into the Rose Bowl and the College Football Playoff semifinal on Jan. 1 against a Georgia team boasting the fourth-best defense in the country. Heisman Trophy winner Baker Mayfield threw 41 touchdown passes en route to 4,340 yards through the air to help the Sooners average 44.9 points per contest, but Georgia - led by linebacker and Butkus Award winner Roquan Smith - has held opponents to 158.3 yards passing per game while giving up just 13.2 points per contest. The winner could be who handles the other team’s strength the best: Georgia has not faced a passing attack the caliber of Oklahoma’s, but the Sooners’ offense has not lined up against a defense like the Bulldogs.
Both teams reached the semifinals directed by young head coaches who earned their stripes as outstanding coordinators. There was plenty of uncertainty around the Sooners when longtime coach Bob Stoops suddenly stepped down in early June, but 34-year-old offensive coordinator Lincoln Riley has thrived after being thrust into the head coaching role. At Georgia, Kirby Smart returned to his alma mater in 2016 after directing defenses on multiple national championship teams at Alabama.
The Sooners dodged a bullet with running back Rodney Anderson, who gained a team-best 960 yards this season, when no charges were filed following a rape accusation. Mayfield’s top targets are tight end Mark Andrews, the Mackey Award winner who has eight touchdown receptions, and receiver Marquise Brown, who is 19 yards shy of 1,000 for the season. The Sooners defense allowed 144.2 yards on the ground and gave up 20 or fewer points three times in their last four games.
Sooners are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. SEC.
|01-01-18||South Carolina +8 v. Michigan||Top||26-19||Win||100||24 h 5 m||Show|
Michigan looks for a positive end to what has been a difficult season when it faces South Carolina in the Outback Bowl on New Year's Day in Tampa, Fla. The Wolverines were forced to start three different quarterbacks over the course of the campaign as Wilton Speight missed eight games with a fractured vertebrae and Brandon Peters sat out the loss to Ohio State with a concussion en route to a four-loss regular season. Peters has been given the green light to return and will start against South Carolina as Michigan hopes to avenge a 33-28 setback to the Gamecocks in the 2013 Outback Bowl.
The Gamecocks overcame a slew of injuries and hope to cap off an encouraging season by winning nine games for the first time since 2013. Michigan defensive tackle Maurice Hurst, who was named a unanimous All-American after registering 13 1/2 tackles for loss and five sacks, will play his final collegiate game before preparing for the NFL draft as will South Carolina tight end Hayden Hurst after earning first team SEC honors with 41 receptions for 518 yards.
ake Bentley threw for 2,555 yards and 16 touchdowns to go along with six rushing scores while Bryan Edwards had a stellar sophomore season by hauling in a team-high 59 passes for 705 yards and four TDs. A.J. Turner, who led the team with 517 rushing yards suffered an ankle injury against Clemson but is expected to play in the Outback Bowl as is freshman wide receiver Shi Smith, who has recovered from a leg injury which caused him to miss the loss to the Tigers.
Wolverines are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Gamecocks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
|12-30-17||Washington v. Penn State -1.5||Top||28-35||Win||100||21 h 35 m||Show|
Penn State has enjoyed a wonderful history in the Fiesta Bowl and the ninth-ranked Nittany Lions will try to stay perfect in the event when they take on No. 12 Washington on Dec. 30 in Glendale, Ariz. Including a win over Miami in a national title game in 1987, Penn State is 6-0 in the Fiesta Bowl, which will be hosting the Huskies for the first time. Both squads had designs on a berth in the College Football Playoff - Washington for the second straight season - but both suffered two single-digit losses on the road, which was just enough to keep them on the outside looking in.
Both teams have dynamic junior running backs who could be playing their final games, as Washington's Myles Gaskin bids for space on the highlight reel with Penn State's dynamic Saquon Barkley.
Gaskin needs 18 rushing yards for his third straight 1,300-yard season and his 19 touchdowns on the ground ranks third nationally, while Barkley has claimed consecutive Big Ten MVP awards and also has three 1,000-year seasons to his credit. Barkley amassed 249 total yards and three TDs in last year's Rose Bowl loss to USC, but Gaskin was limited to 34 yards rushing on 10 carries in the CFP semifinal loss to Alabama.
Trace McSorley led the Big Ten in passing (3,228 yards) and added 431 yards and 11 TDs on the ground to pace the nation's seventh-ranked scoring attack (41.6 points).
Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Nittany Lions are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 games overall and are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
|12-30-17||Iowa State +4 v. Memphis||Top||21-20||Win||100||17 h 15 m||Show|
Memphis made it all the way to a second overtime in the most entertaining of all the conference championship games before falling 62-55 to UCF, the lone unbeaten team in FBS, and missing out on a chance to go to a New Year's Six bowl. The Tigers will instead stay close to home and play Iowa State in the Autozone Liberty Bowl on Dec. 30 in Memphis, Tenn. The Cyclones played giant killer this season with wins over Oklahoma and TCU but stumbled down the stretch with losses in three of their last four.
Iowa State managed to hang onto its head coach with Matt Campbell, who was named the Big 12 Coach of the Year, signing a six-year extension worth a reported $3.5 million annually. Campbell's Cyclones squad is known more for its defense than its offense and will challenge the high-scoring Tigers with a unit that limited eight of its last 10 opponents to 20 or fewer points. Iowa State finished the season 29th in FBS in scoring defense while surrendering an average of 21 points.
Cyclones are 10-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games as well as 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in December and are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
|12-23-17||Texas Tech v. South Florida -2.5||Top||34-38||Win||100||73 h 38 m||Show|
When Texas Tech and No. 24 South Florida meet in the Birmingham Bowl at Legion Field on Dec. 23, two of the top offensive teams in the nation figure to light up the scoreboard. Behind senior quarterback Nic Shimonek, Texas Tech ended the regular season ranked 17th in FBS in total offense (468.4 yards per game) and 26th in scoring offense, averaging 34.6 points. USF senior quarterback Quinton Flowers led the Bulls to an average of 508.6 yards per game, ninth nationally, and spearheaded the No. 16 scoring offense in the nation (38.3).
Flowers has the opportunity to end his collegiate career as one of the most prolific offensive players in American Athletic Conference and school history. Already the school record holder with 11,385 career yards of offense, Flowers needs just 47 more to become the conference all-time leader. Flowers also needs just 44 yards to break Marlon Mack's school record for career rushing yards, one more touchdown pass for sole possession of first with 68, just 312 yards passing to break Matt Grothe's single-season mark of 2,911 and with four scoring strikes would break his own single-season mark of 24 set last season.
Under first-year coach Charlie Strong, the Bulls can accomplish something never done in program history. With a victory in the Birmingham Bowl, USF can record consecutive seasons with 10 or more wins for the first time since the program was born in 1997.
Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
|12-22-17||Central Michigan +3.5 v. Wyoming||Top||14-37||Loss||-110||53 h 44 m||Show|
Will this be Wyoming quarterback Josh Allen's swan song? The rifled-armed 6-5, 233-pound junior had what many consider a disappointing season, completing just 141-of-251 passes (56.2 percent) for 1,658 yards with 13 touchdowns and six interceptions while also rushing for 207 yards and five scores on 84 carries. Although only an Honorable Mention All-Mountain West pick, Allen comes in at No. 6 on ESPN NFL draft guru Mel Kiper Jr.'s top 20 list for 2018 NFL Draft prospects.
Which team can avoid turnovers? Both clubs thrived on forcing opponents to turn over the ball, with Central Michigan leading the FBS by creating 31 turnovers while Wyoming was right behind with 30. The Cowboys also had a turnover margin of plus-16, which was second-best in the FBS, while the Chippawas finished at plus-eight.
The Chips, who had a 45-27 nonconference win at Kansas of the Big 12, bounced back from a 3-4 start to earn their fourth straight bowl appearance after finishing second to eventual champ Toledo in the MAC's West Division. Sophomore running back Jonathan Ward (988 yards, nine touchdowns, 5.9 yards per carry) and senior wide receiver Corey Willis (42 catches, 625 yards, nine TDs) both were All-MAC Second Team picks while senior quarterback Shane Morris finished second in the conference in passing, completing 226-of-407 attempts for 2,908 yards with 26 TDs and 13 interceptions. Senior linebacker Joe Ostman (12 sacks, 18.5 tackles for loss) and defensive backs Amari Coleman (10 passes defended, three interceptions) and Josh Cox (six interceptions) lead a defense that ranks second in the FBS with 19 interceptions.
If Allen doesn't play, it could be a long afternoon for the Cowboys, who ranked 10th in the Mountain West in scoring (22.3 points) and last in rushing (107.8 yards). Backup quarterback Nick Smith struggled, completing just 54.1 percent of his passes (40-of-74) for 471 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions in setbacks against Fresno State (13-7) and lowly San Jose State (20-17).
Chippewas are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
|12-21-17||Temple v. Florida International +7.5||Top||28-3||Loss||-130||33 h 39 m||Show|
Temple coach Geoff Collins will see a familiar uniform on the opposing sideline Dec. 21 in St. Petersburg, Fla. when the Owls take on Florida International in the Gasparilla Bowl. Collins was the defensive coordinator for the Golden Panthers in 2010, as FIU captured a conference title and went on to win the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl. In his first season with the Owls, Collins guided the team to a 3-1 finish down the stretch to secure a fourth straight bowl berth for the team's seniors, the winningest class in school history.
Neither Temple nor FIU is a particularly high-scoring team as the Owls rank 96th nationally in points while the Panthers are 75th. However, both teams closed with strong offensive performances as Temple scored a season-high 43 points in a regular season-ending win against Tulsa while FIU put up 104 points in its final two wins over Western Kentucky and Massachusetts. Frank Nutile gave the Owls a boost at quarterback over the final five weeks while counterpart Alex McGough was an improved player for the Panthers during the second half of the season.
Perhaps the key for Temple will be its ability to stop FIU inside the red zone. The Panthers led the nation in scoring percentage in the red zone with 39 scores in 40 trips while the Owls' red-zone defense was far from great, holding their opponent scoreless on just 13 percent of red-zone trips. In addition to McGough, FIU has three running backs who carried the ball at least 70 times this season and have combined for more than 1,600 yards and 15 touchdowns.
Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Golden Panthers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
|12-16-17||Oregon v. Boise State +7.5||Top||28-38||Win||100||26 h 28 m||Show|
The Las Vegas Bowl could come down to one man's performance as Boise State and Oregon face off in the annual Sin City spectacular on Dec. 16. Quarterback Justin Herbert will look to lead the Ducks to victory in their first Las Vegas Bowl appearance since 2006. Oregon averaged an absurd 52.1 points in the seven games Herbert played this year, and just 15 points in the five games he missed due to injury.
Oregon is garnering as much attention for who won't be at the game as it is for who will be. Head coach Willie Taggart, who turned the Ducks' fortunes around after doing the same in four years at South Florida, will forego his duties after accepting the lead job at Florida State. Co-offensive coordinator and offensive line coach Mario Cristobal will lead the Ducks in Las Vegas.
The Broncos had a more high-profile bowl appearance in mind heading down the stretch, but a 28-17 loss to Fresno State in their pre-championship meeting put the brakes on that. Boise State did well to bounce back with a 17-14 victory in the Mountain West title game, and will look for a similar result Dec. 16 after finishing in the top 40 nationally in both scoring offense (32.1) and scoring defense (22.5 allowed).
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Ducks are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win and are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
|12-16-17||North Texas v. Troy -7||Top||30-50||Win||100||24 h 53 m||Show|
Former Sun Belt Conference rivals Troy and North Texas will meet in the New Orleans Bowl at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on Dec. 16. Troy leads the series 8-2, including a 2005 win that snapped the Mean Green's 26-game conference win streak. Troy won a share of its sixth Sun Belt title this season while the Mean Green won four Sun Belt titles between 2001-2004.
Troy senior quarterback Brandon Silvers (2,985 passing yards, 13 touchdowns) and the Trojans have scored 38.7 points during a six-game win streak - 17.4 points more than their first six games. North Texas sophomore quarterback Mason Fine broke single-season school records with 3,749 yards and 28 touchdowns on the way to first-team All-Conference USA honors.
The Trojans finished the regular season leading the nation in red-zone defense, holding opponents to 23 scores (six rushing TDs, 10 passing TD and seven field goals) in 39 attempts. The Troy defense is ranked 11th in scoring defense (17.5 points) and has 101 tackles for loss - five away from setting a single-season school record. The Trojans could get a break if North Texas is without 1,000-yard rusher Jeffery Wilson, who missed the last two games with a broken bone in his foot.
Trojans are 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Lay the points with Troy.
|12-02-17||Fresno State +9.5 v. Boise State||Top||14-17||Win||100||53 h 23 m||Show|
The Boise State Broncos are ranked 62 on offense, averaging 403.8 yards per game. The Broncos are averaging 149.3 yards rushing and 254.4 yards passing so far this season.
The Fresno State Bulldogs are ranked 70 on offense, averaging 394.4 yards per game. The Bulldogs are averaging 159.7 yards rushing and 234.8 yards passing so far this season.
The Fresno State Bulldogs are 4-2 while on the road this season, 7-1 against conference opponents.
Bulldogs are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Bulldogs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games on fieldturf.
Broncos are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games.
|12-02-17||Georgia v. Auburn -2||Top||28-7||Loss||-108||50 h 32 m||Show|
Saturday’s SEC championship game in Atlanta serves as a de facto play-in for the College Football Playoff, matching one of the most consistent teams in the nation with the hottest team in the land. Georgia has spent all season at or near the top of the rankings, its only misstep through 12 games coming against an Auburn team that it will face again for the conference title, after the Tigers overcame two losses to knock off the top-ranked Bulldogs and No. 1 Alabama in a two-week span.
There certainly is plenty of focus on the fourth-ranked Tigers’ 40-17 dismantling of the Bulldogs in Auburn on Nov. 11, and Auburn’s key Saturday will be to frustrate Georgia’s vaunted rushing attack one again, after holding the No. 6 Bulldogs to 46 yards on the ground in the first meeting.
Georgia rebounded from the loss to dominate Kentucky and Georgia Tech, sparked by a defense that is fifth nationally with 13.8 points per game allowed but surrendered 488 yards to the Tigers in its lone defeat.
Quarterback Jarrett Stidham, who transferred from Baylor, is fourth nationally in completion percentage (68.5 percent) while passing for 2,682 yards and 16 touchdowns. The Tigers defense is ninth in the country in scoring defense (16.4 points per game) and 11th in total defense (303.3 yards per contest).
Bulldogs are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
|12-02-17||TCU v. Oklahoma -7||Top||17-41||Win||100||46 h 13 m||Show|
Oklahoma quarterback Baker Mayfield says winning a national championship, not the Heisman Trophy, is his main goal. The odds-on favorite for college football's most cherished award, who adorns this week's cover of Sports Illustrated, can take another big step toward accomplishing both feats on Saturday afternoon when the Sooners face TCU in the Big 12 Championship Game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
Heisman voters must turn in their ballots by 5 p.m. ET on Monday so this is Mayfield's last chance to hammer down the award after finishing third last season and fourth in 2015. Oklahoma also enters the contest No. 3 in this week's College Football Playoff rankings so a win over the Horned Frogs would also likely lock up one of the four spots in the CFP.
Mayfield threw for 333 yards and three touchdowns, and also rushed for 50 yards when the teams met on Nov. 11, a 38-20 victory by the host Sooners who raced out to a 38-14 halftime lead and coasted to an easy win.
Oklahoma has scored at least 30 points in 21 of its last 22 games and came up just a point short of that feat in the other, a 29-24 win over Texas on Oct. 14.
Horned Frogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
|12-02-17||North Texas v. Florida Atlantic -11||Top||17-41||Win||100||46 h 30 m||Show|
The Florida Atlantic Owls are ranked 16 on offense, averaging 480.0 yards per game. The Owls are averaging 283.2 yards rushing and 196.8 yards passing so far this season.
The North Texas Mean Green are ranked 20 on offense, averaging 469.7 yards per game. The Mean Green are averaging 184.1 yards rushing and 285.6 yards passing so far this season.
The Florida Atlantic Owls are 5-1 at home this season, 8-0 against conference opponents. At home the Owls are averaging 42.2 scoring, and holding teams to 23.7 points scored on defense.
The North Texas Mean Green are 3-3 while on the road this season. On the road, the Mean Green are averaging 29.0 scoring, and holding teams to 36.5 points scored on defense.
Mean Green are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Owls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
|12-01-17||Stanford +4 v. USC||Top||28-31||Win||100||29 h 29 m||Show|
Stanford will try to defeat USC in the Pac-12 championship game for the second time in three seasons when the No. 15 Cardinal meet the No. 9 Trojans at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., on Friday night. Stanford has won eight of its past nine following a 38-20 victory against No. 17 Notre Dame on Saturday, and USC has won four straight for the second time this season.
These teams met Sept. 9 in Los Angeles and the Trojans played one of their best games of the season, piling up 623 total yards in a 42-24 victory inside the Coliseum. Both are different teams now.
Stanford's go-to player continues to be running back Bryce Love, who had 160 rushing yards on 17 carries and scored a touchdown in the first meeting, one of 10 games with at least 100 yards rushing this season. USC will see a different quarterback as sophomore K.J. Costello replaced senior Keller Chryst four games ago and is coming off his best performance, throwing for 176 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions against the Fighting Irish.
The Trojans will have their hands full trying to block senior Harrison Phillips, who leads all FBS defensive tackles with 16.5 tackles for loss, including 6.5 sacks. The Cardinal also have a dependable secondary led by strong safety Justin Reid, the conference's co-leader in interceptions with five, including one against the Trojans earlier this season. Reid displayed his versatility against Notre Dame, totaling nine tackles (three solo), a sack and a pass breakup.
Stanford has won seven of the past 10 games against USC. Cardinal are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in December and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. Cardinal are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Southern California.
|11-25-17||Arizona v. Arizona State +2.5||Top||30-42||Win||100||48 h 13 m||Show|
The nation's oldest rivalry will have more meaning than usual when Arizona State hosts Arizona in a Pac-12 game on Saturday afternoon. Both teams enter their 91st meeting tied for second in the South Division behind USC, and second place would be the highest finish for either team since Arizona won the division in 2014.
The Wildcats have the most proficient offense in the Pac-12 and remain the only FBS team that averages at least seven yards per carry. Their run game is spearheaded by quarterback Khalil Tate, who has gained 1,325 yards on the ground, despite not becoming a full-time player until the fifth game. Both teams have struggled against the pass this season and sit at the bottom of the conference rankings, but Arizona State quarterback Manny Wilkins likely has good memories of his last game against Arizona, when he completed 43-of-58 passes for a career-high 372 yards and three touchdowns last season.
I look for Arizona State to get the home victory.
|11-25-17||Northwestern -16.5 v. Illinois||Top||42-7||Win||100||48 h 34 m||Show|
No. 23 Northwestern looks for its seventh straight win when it concludes the regular season on the road against Illinois in the battle for the Land of Lincoln Trophy on Saturday. The Wildcats are riding their longest winning streak since 1996 following a 39-0 rout of Minnesota, which vaulted Pat Fitzgerald's team into the Top 25 and kept it on track to win 10 games for the second time in three seasons.
Northwestern has scored 31 or more points in three of its last four games and hopes its offense continues to click as it searches for its third consecutive win in the rivalry with the Fighting Illini. Illinois is left to pick up the pieces after being held to 105 total yards in the 52-14 setback to eighth-ranked Ohio State.
The Fighting Illini have dropped nine consecutive games under second-year head coach Lovie Smith.
Justin Jackson racked up 166 yards on the ground in the win against Minnesota to become the sixth player in Big Ten history to reach 5,000 rushing yards. Linebacker Nate Hall was named the Big Ten Defensive Player of the Week after recording seven tackles, 2.5 sacks, an interception and a fumble recovery against the Golden Gophers.
Illinois has been held to 17 points or fewer in seven of its last eight contests. NW Wins this one big.
|11-25-17||Alabama v. Auburn +5||Top||14-26||Win||100||47 h 3 m||Show|
The SEC West title is at stake on Saturday when top-ranked Alabama visits sixth-ranked Auburn in the Iron Bowl and the contest also carries College Football Playoff implications. The Tigers fall out of CFP consideration with a loss while the Crimson Tide would all but clinch a spot in the four-team playoff with their 12th consecutive victory.
Auburn has averaged 44 points while recording four consecutive victories after it looked like it was falling out of contention and coach Gus Malzahn is glad his team has this opportunity.
Sophomore quarterback Jalen Hurts has thrown 14 touchdown passes against one interception and has accounted for 22 total touchdowns while leading an offense that ranks seventh nationally at 41.4 points per game. Junior wideout Calvin Ridley has 52 receptions for 858 yards and he ranks third in school history with 2,672 receiving yards.
Junior running back Kerryon Johnson has been superb with 1,172 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns but the Tigers will need a strong performance from sophomore quarterback Jarrett Stidham (2,445 yards, 16 touchdowns, four interceptions) against Alabama's stingy defense. I see him playing well here at home.
Auburn is tied for eighth nationally in scoring defense (16.6) and ranks 10th in total defense (302.3) while receiving solid campaigns from junior pass rusher Jeff Holland (team-best nine sacks) and junior middle linebacker Deshaun Davis (team-leading 58 tackles).
Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Tigers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
|11-25-17||Indiana v. Purdue -2.5||Top||24-31||Win||100||44 h 40 m||Show|
The Indiana-Purdue rivalry is always a big game in the state of Indiana, but this season's game means even more as the two teams will battle to finish .500 and be bowl eligible when they play Saturday afternoon. Both teams come into the contest 5-6, with the Boilermakers having won two of three and the Hoosiers are on a two-game winning streak, including a 41-0 rout of Rutgers last weekend.
The Hoosiers will be tested by the Purdue defense, which ranks 18th in the country in scoring, allowing 18.9 points a contest. Quarterback Elijah Sindelar leads the Boilermakers' attack, passing for 1,544 yards and 12 touchdowns this season.
First-year coach Jeff Brohm is known for his offensive acumen, but this season, the Boilermakers are defined by their defense, which has held 10 straight opponents to 28 points or fewer. Purdue has allowed an average of 74 rushing yards over the last four games, and was boosted by the return of linebacker T.J. McCollum from an ankle injury. McCollum has 14 tackles and two sacks over the last two contests and will be a big key if the Boilermakers are going to advance to a bowl game.
Back the Boilermakers here at home.
|11-25-17||Ohio State -11.5 v. Michigan||Top||31-20||Loss||-110||44 h 35 m||Show|
Eighth-ranked Ohio State looks to stay in the hunt for a College Football Playoff spot when it travels to Ann Arbor to face Michigan in one of the greatest rivalries in sports. The Buckeyes trounced Illinois 52-14 to clinch a berth in the Big Ten Championship game against No. 4 Wisconsin on Dec. 2 and hope to continue their mastery of Michigan by downing their arch rivals for the 13th time in the last 14 meetings.
The Wolverines are left to lick their wounds after losing quarterback Brandon Peters in the third quarter of the 24-10 setback to the Badgers. Peters was carted off with a head injury and is currently in the concussion protocol, and the Wolverines may be forced to turn to John O'Korn, who has thrown one touchdown compared to five interceptions in 2017.
The Wolverines are left to lick their wounds after losing quarterback Brandon Peters in the third quarter of the 24-10 setback to the Badgers. Peters was carted off with a head injury and is currently in the concussion protocol, and the Wolverines may be forced to turn to John O'Korn, who has thrown one touchdown compared to five interceptions in 2017.
Ohio State has won six of the last seven meetings in Ann Arbor. Take Ohio State and lay the number.
|11-24-17||Iowa -3.5 v. Nebraska||Top||56-14||Win||100||24 h 41 m||Show|
Iowa found itself ranked as high as 20th in the College Football Playoff rankings coming off an unlikely thrashing of Ohio State earlier this month, but the offense that was so proficient against the Buckeyes has returned to its early-season form. The Hawkeyes may catch a bit of a break in that regard in their final regular-season contest, however, when they travel to Nebraska on Friday to face the worst defense in the Big Ten as the teams battle for the Heroes Trophy.
Nebraska surrendered league-worst marks of 34.6 points and 429.9 yards under first-year defensive coordinator Bob Diaco. During the 1-5 slide that may very well mark the beginning of the end for third-year coach Mike Riley, Nebraska is coughing up an average of 43.2 points and 510 yards - numbers made worse after giving up 609 yards in last weekend's 56-44 defeat at No. 11 Penn State.
Iowa is 9-2 in trophy games since the start of the 2015 season and has won three of the last four meetings in this rivalry, including both games in Lincoln.
Take Iowa on the road.
|11-24-17||Missouri -9 v. Arkansas||Top||48-45||Loss||-106||22 h 11 m||Show|
Two teams headed in opposite directions square off Friday, when red-hot Missouri visits Arkansas in a Southeastern Conference clash. Missouri has won five straight games – all by at least 28 points – while Arkansas has dropped two straight and five of its last six.
The Tigers have dubbed their comeback from a 1-5 start the “Keep It Rollin’ Baby Tour,” and they have kept it rolling in impressive fashion. Missouri is coming off a 45-17 win at Vanderbilt, which marked its closest contest during the winning streak and made the Tigers bowl-eligible for the first time since 2014. The Razorbacks’ only wins since the start of October were a pair of one-point victories over Ole Miss and Coastal Carolina, although they gave No. 16 Mississippi State a scare last week before losing a 28-21 decision. The game could be the last at Arkansas for coach Bret Bielema, who has posted an underwhelming 29-33 record in five seasons with the school.
Although quarterback Drew Lock leads the nation with 38 touchdown passes – two shy of the SEC single-season record, it has been a resurgent running game that has re-ignited the Tigers’ offense. Missouri has topped 175 rushing yards in five straight games, with senior Ish Witter (822 yards, four touchdowns) and freshman Larry Rountree III (577, six) leading the way. The defense has undergone a dramatic turnaround as well, holding five straight opponents under 400 total yards after doing so only once in the first six games.
Missouri in a blowout here.
|11-24-17||Northern Illinois -3 v. Central Michigan||Top||24-31||Loss||-115||20 h 42 m||Show|
The Central Michigan Chippewas are ranked 75 on offense, averaging 392.5 yards per game. The Chippewas are averaging 144.3 yards rushing and 248.3 yards passing so far this season.
The Northern Illinois Huskies are ranked 70 on offense, averaging 399.3 yards per game. The Huskies are averaging 194.8 yards rushing and 204.5 yards passing so far this season.
The Central Michigan Chippewas are 2-2 at home this season, 5-2 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.
At home the Chippewas are averaging 24.0 scoring, and holding teams to 29.5 points scored on defense.
The Northern Illinois Huskies are 3-2 while on the road this season, 6-1 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.
On the road, the Huskies are averaging 25.6 scoring, and holding teams to 21.6 points scored on defense.
|11-18-17||Missouri -7.5 v. Vanderbilt||Top||45-17||Win||100||32 h 7 m||Show|
Two teams fighting to gain bowl eligibility square off Saturday, when Vanderbilt hosts Missouri for a Southeastern Conference clash. The Tigers are looking for their fifth straight victory, while the Commodores hope to break through for their first win in SEC play.
Missouri’s season appeared to be in shambles when it lost five straight to fall to 1-5, but Barry Odom’s team has rallied for four consecutive blowout wins – including lopsided home victories over Florida and Tennessee over the last two weeks – and needs just one more triumph to be eligible for a bowl.
The odds are longer for the Commodores, who have dropped six of seven since a 3-0 start and need to close out the regular season with wins over Missouri and at Tennessee to become bowl-eligible. The Tigers beat the Commodores 26-17 last season for the first of their two SEC wins.
Missouri is trying to become the 13th team in FBS history and the second ever in the SEC to become bowl-eligible after starting 1-5. Missouri has scored 45 or more points in four straight games for the first time in program history.
Tigers are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Commodores are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
|11-18-17||NC State v. Wake Forest -1.5||Top||24-30||Win||100||32 h 40 m||Show|
Wake Forest hopes to parlay a record-setting offensive performance into its third win in four games when it hosts No. 22 North Carolina State on Saturday. The Demon Deacons racked up a school-record 734 yards of offense, erasing a 14-point halftime deficit and routing Syracuse 64-43 last Saturday, becoming bowl-eligible for the second straight season after not reaching one since 2011.
Demon Deacons senior quarterback John Wolford is also playing at a high level, accounting for a school record-tying six touchdowns last week to give him a school-record 69 for his career, eclipsing the old mark of 65 set by Riley Skinner in 2009. The Wolfpack edged Boston College 17-14 last week after back-to-back losses to No. 9 Notre Dame 35-14 and No. 3 Clemson 38-31.
Demon Deacons are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games and are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Wolfpack are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Wake Forest and Home team is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
|11-18-17||Arizona State -7 v. Oregon State||Top||40-24||Win||100||27 h 9 m||Show|
Arizona State needs to win one of its two remaining games to become bowl eligible. The first – and clearly best – shot for the Sun Devils will be Saturday afternoon when they visit 1-9 Oregon State.
Last Saturday night in Los Angeles, Arizona State fell short in a 44-37 shootout versus UCLA to fall to .500 and now needs to beat either the Beavers or rival Arizona (7-3) the following Saturday to become postseason eligible for the sixth time in the last seven seasons. A win also would at least clinch a .500 regular-season record for the seventh time in the last eight years for the Sun Devils – a stretch that would be the program’s longest since an eight-in-nine-year run from 1985-93. Oregon State, meanwhile, wrapped up its fourth straight losing season more than a month ago and now is trying to avoid a second winless Pac-12 campaign in the last three years.
The Sun Devils had won three of four entering the UCLA game but fell short against the Bruins despite racking up advantages in total (584-573) and rushing yards (294-192).
Sun Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Beavers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
|11-18-17||Iowa State -9 v. Baylor||Top||23-13||Win||100||27 h 38 m||Show|
Iowa State controlled its own destiny for a spot in the Big 12 championship game before dropping tight games the last two weeks and cannot afford to surrender anymore ground. The Cyclones will try to avoid a third consecutive setback when they visit Baylor on Saturday.
Iowa State is going through the week of practice without a firm handle on the quarterback situation after starter Kyle Kempt went down with an injury to his throwing shoulder last week and freshman Zeb Noland came on strong in relief. Kempt is considered day-to-day by the Cyclones staff and was back at practice on Sunday, though he was not making any throws. Whoever gets under center for Iowa State on Saturday should not have too many problems against a Bears secondary surrendering an average of 269.9 yards passing - 113th out of 129 FBS teams. Baylor's lone win this season was a 38-9 romp over winless Kansas on Nov. 4, but it followed that up by dropping a 38-24 decision to Texas Tech last week to mark the sixth time in as many Big 12 losses that it surrendered at least 33 points.
Cyclones are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
|11-18-17||Minnesota v. Northwestern -7||Top||0-39||Win||100||24 h 59 m||Show|
Northwestern will try to match its longest winning streak in 21 years when the Wildcats host Minnesota in a Big Ten game on Saturday. Northwestern has won six in a row in the same season for the first time since a seven-game winning streak in 1996, the only year the Wildcats repeated as Big Ten champions.
Northwestern and Minnesota each feature quarterbacks who can do damage on the ground and through the air. Minnesota quarterback Demry Croft ran for 183 yards and three touchdowns in a 54-21 victory Saturday against Nebraska, the most points scored for the Golden Gophers since a 63-26 win against Indiana in 2006. Northwestern quarterback Clayton Thorson has eight rushing touchdowns this season and 18 in his career, tying him for third among quarterbacks in school history. When he needs to throw, Thorson has a dependable receiver in Bennett Skowronek, who caught seven passes for 117 yards and a touchdown in a 23-13 win against Purdue on Saturday.
The Wildcats have the second-best run defense in the Big Ten at 109.6 rushing yards allowed per game, and they're led by one of the top middle linebackers in the nation in Paddy Fisher, who comes in second in the conference at 9.5 tackles a game.
Golden Gophers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Wildcats are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
|11-11-17||TCU v. Oklahoma -6.5||Top||20-38||Win||100||51 h 21 m||Show|
There will be plenty on the line on Saturday night when TCU visits Oklahoma. The teams enter the contest tied for first place in the Big 12 Conference, and the winner will remain in strong contention for one of the four coveted College Football Playoff spots.
Oklahoma came in at No. 5 and TCU was sixth in this week's CFP rankings. Another quality win this weekend could be just enough to move the winner into the top four next week. Perhaps even more important is that the victor will also have the inside track for one of the two spots in the Big 12 Championship Game on Dec. 2 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Tex., a contest that likely will ultimately decide if the Big 12 can garner one of the four CFP spots.
Mayfield, considered by some to be the frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy, leads the nation in completion percentage (71.7), pass efficiency rating (201.6) and is second in total offense (378.6 yards) and passing yards per game (358.4) after throwing for a school-record 598 yards and five touchdowns in last week's 62-52 win at Oklahoma State.
Running back Rodney Anderson recorded his third straight 100-yard rushing game with 111 yards and a touchdown while sophomore wide receiver Marquise Brown hauled in a career-high nine passes for 265 yards and two touchdowns. Senior DE/LB Ogbonnia Okoronkwo tops the Big 12 in sacks (8.0) and is second in tackles for loss (14.0) and leads a Sooners defense.
Horned Frogs are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games on grass and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Sooners are 9-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
|11-11-17||Tennessee v. Missouri -12.5||Top||17-50||Win||100||51 h 30 m||Show|
Three weeks ago, it was Missouri that appeared to be in disarray, but perspective is everything. Suddenly, the Tigers’ situation seems far more suitable than the parade of struggling programs coming to town that includes Tennessee, which visits for an SEC East matchup on Saturday.
After sitting at 1-5 following a five-game losing streak, Missouri has reeled off three straight blowout wins – including a 45-16 rout of Florida last week – and has a favorable remaining schedule in order to run the table. The Tigers’ once-punchless offense is back in sync and has put up 165 points during the three consecutive wins.
The Volunteers have no such luxury, although they did snap a four-game skid with a 24-10 win over Southern Miss last week.
Missouri’s defense has made 29 tackles for loss during its three-game winning streak after posting 27 in its previous five games.
Volunteers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in November and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
|11-11-17||Alabama -14 v. Mississippi State||Top||31-24||Loss||-105||50 h 9 m||Show|
Top-ranked Alabama will be without two of its defensive stalwarts when it looks to remain unbeaten in Saturday's SEC visit to No. 18 Mississippi State. Senior middle linebacker Shaun Dion Hamilton was lost for the season with a broken right kneecap in last Saturday's victory over LSU while sophomore linebacker Mack Wilson will miss four-to-six weeks due to a foot injury.
Alabama leads the nation in scoring defense (9.8 points per game) and ranks second in total defense (243.8 yards per game). The Crimson Tide continue to be ranked second in the College Football Playoff poll behind Georgia and can't afford a slip-up against a Mississippi State squad brimming with self-belief after four consecutive victories.
The Crimson Tide rank ninth in scoring offense (40.9) and have won by more than 30 points on five occasions.
Sophomore quarterback Jalen Hurts has been intercepted just once in 175 attempts and his 616 rushing yards rank second on the squad behind junior Damien Harris (730).
Alabama has won nine consecutive meetings and rolled up 615 offensive yards in last season's 51-3 victory.
Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
|11-11-17||Purdue v. Northwestern -4.5||Top||13-23||Win||100||50 h 5 m||Show|
Northwestern has won four straight games, including three in a row in overtime, to take over sole possession of second place in the Big Ten West heading into its game Saturday against visiting Purdue. The Wildcats are the first team in FBS history to win three consecutive overtime games, making them bowl-eligible for a third straight year.
Purdue ended a three-game losing streak with a 29-10 victory against Illinois on Saturday, but lost quarterback David Blough for the season with a dislocated ankle. Blough led the Big Ten last season with 3,352 passing yards and 25 TDs, lost the starting job this season and then regained it in the third week before a shoulder injury limited him again.
Northwestern’s RB Jackson has surpassed 100 yards rushing in his three previous games against the Boilermakers, totaling 147 yards and two touchdowns as a freshman, 116 yards and a touchdown as a sophomore and 127 yards and two touchdowns last season. Jackson is coming off a season-high 31 carries for 154 yards and a touchdown in 31-24 victory against Nebraska last week.
Boilermakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
|11-11-17||Arkansas State -10 v. South Alabama||Top||19-24||Loss||-110||48 h 55 m||Show|
The South Alabama Jaguars are ranked 108 on offense, averaging 347.1 yards per game. The Jaguars are averaging 124.3 yards rushing and 222.8 yards passing so far this season.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves are ranked 21 on offense, averaging 466.9 yards per game. The Red Wolves are averaging 142.9 yards rushing and 324.0 yards passing so far this season.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 2-2 while on the road this season, 4-0 against conference opponents. On the road, the Red Wolves are averaging 34.2 scoring.
Red Wolves are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on fieldturf and are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. Jaguars are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games in November. Red Wolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
|11-11-17||Georgia v. Auburn +3||Top||17-40||Win||100||47 h 37 m||Show|
The “Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry” takes on an added level of national importance Saturday when No. 2 Georgia visits No. 10 Auburn in a SEC matchup that will have wide-ranging College Football Playoff implications. The Bulldogs, who are atop the playoff rankings this week and clinched a berth in the SEC title game with last week’s 24-10 victory over South Carolina, clearly have the most to lose, but the play of freshman quarterback Jake Fromm continues to impress.
The Tigers have losses to No. 4 Clemson and No. 25 LSU, but with victories against Georgia and top-ranked Alabama – both at home – still could reach the SEC championship game.
The Tigers have set a school record by scoring 40 points or more in its five conference victories, and on the season is one of five FBS teams averaging more than 220 yards rushing and 200 yards passing. Quarterback Jarrett Stidham, a transfer from Baylor who did not play last season, leads the SEC in completion percentage (66.8 percent). Auburn is third in the SEC and ninth nationally in points allowed per game (16.9).
Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Tigers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
|11-11-17||Florida v. South Carolina -5.5||Top||20-28||Win||100||43 h 17 m||Show|
While the top spot in the SEC East is already accounted for, South Carolina still has some bowl jockeying to do as it hosts conference rival Florida on Saturday afternoon. The Gamecocks were worthy opponents in last week's 24-10 loss to No. 1 Georgia and have two winnable games ahead before wrapping up their regular-season schedule against powerhouse Clemson.
Will Muschamp's crew couldn't do much on offense against the vaunted Bulldogs - not many teams have - but the South Carolina defense was impressive in its own right, limiting Georgia to its second-lowest point total of the season. The Bulldogs needed 53 carries to amass 242 yards on the ground, and relied on a pair of TD passes from Jake Fromm to remain unbeaten on the season.
Gators have dropped four straight and have surrendered a whopping 88 points in back-to-back losses to Georgia and Missouri.
Gators are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Gamecocks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
|11-11-17||Oklahoma State v. Iowa State +7||Top||49-42||Push||0||43 h 7 m||Show|
No. 21 Iowa State had a chance to control its own destiny in the race for a spot in the Big 12 championship game but suffered a disappointing loss at West Virginia last week. The Cyclones will try to bounce back by securing their third win over a top-15 opponent when they host No. 15 Oklahoma State on Saturday.
Iowa State, which knocked off Oklahoma and TCU during a four-game winning streak to put itself in first place in the Big 12, could not muster the same effort at West Virginia last week in a 20-16 setback but quickly turned the page.
The Cowboys are coming off their own setback after a wild Bedlam showdown against rival Oklahoma saw them fall 62-52.
The Cyclones are going to need to generate more offense to keep up with the Cowboys and they failed to reach 20 points in either of their last two contests. Senior Kyle Kempt, who took over at quarterback after a loss to Texas in the Big 12 opener and guided the team to wins over Oklahoma and TCU, is completing 66.9 percent of his passes with 10 TDs.
Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Cyclones are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games. Home team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
|11-10-17||Washington -6 v. Stanford||Top||22-30||Loss||-110||30 h 19 m||Show|
Eighth-ranked Washington knows it must win out to have a chance at reaching the four-team College Football Playoff as it enters Friday's Pac-12 road contest at Stanford. The Huskies are ranked ninth in the CFP rankings and lead the Pac-12 North Division by a half-game over Washington State and Stanford.
Washington features the nation's top-ranked defense (240.9 yards per game) and stands sixth in rushing defense (91.1) as it attempts to slow down Cardinal star Bryce Love. The junior has rushed for 1,456 yards -- second nationally behind San Diego State's Rashaad Penny (1,602) -- and has recorded 11 runs of 50 or more yards this season.
Stanford's special teams unit will have their collective eyes on Huskies senior punt returner Dante Pettis, who has four return touchdowns this season and an NCAA-record nine during his career.
Washington posted a 44-6 victory over Stanford last season for only its third win in the past 12 meetings. Huskies are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games. Cardinal are 2-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
|11-04-17||Colorado v. Arizona State -3.5||Top||30-41||Win||100||11 h 24 m||Show|
Looking for its third win over a top-25 opponent in five games, Arizona State hit a sizable speed-bump last week in falling to visiting USC 48-17. Now the Sun Devils will try to regroup when they host Colorado on Saturday night to cap their annual Salute to Service week.
Arizona State entered the USC game with three wins in its previous four outings, beating Oregon (37-35), defending Pac-12-champion Washington (13-7) and Utah (30-10), but was gashed by the Trojans for 607 total yards, including 341 on the ground.
Colorado, meanwhile, entered last weekend having dropped four of its previous five but rebounded with one of its best all-around games of the season in thrashing visiting California 44-28 and now is seeking to maintain the momentum with only three regular-season contests remaining.
Arizona State has won seven of eight all-time against Colorado.
|11-04-17||Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -115||Top||62-52||Loss||-115||6 h 23 m||Show|
For the first time in 13 years, the bitter Bedlam rivalry between in-state rivals Oklahoma and Oklahoma State isn't the Big 12 season-ender for the two schools. But Saturday afternoon's contest in Stillwater, which will be the site of ESPN's College GameDay broadcast, has probably as much riding on it as any in recent history.
Both teams enter as part of a four-way tie for first place in the Big 12 and are also in the running for a spot in the four-team College Football Playoff, which had the Sooners rated No. 5 in its first weekly poll released on Tuesday while the Cowboys, who still have a road date next week at No. 15 Iowa State, come in at No. 11.
Then there's quarterbacks Baker Mayfield of Oklahoma and Mason Rudolph of Oklahoma State, both of whom rank at or near the top of most key NCAA passing stats and could take a big step forward in the Heisman Trophy race with impressive games while also improving their NFL Draft stock. The loser not only will not have state bragging rights but will also be hard-pressed to rebound and earn one of the two coveted spots in this year's Big 12 Championship Game on Dec. 2 in Arlington, Tex.
This should be one hell of a game and I’ll back the home team with the better offense.
|11-04-17||Northwestern -2 v. Nebraska||Top||31-24||Win||100||6 h 56 m||Show|
Nebraska and Northwestern were on the winning side of the handful of pulse-pounding finishes the Big Ten delivered last weekend, and their recent meetings in Lincoln have not lacked for drama either. A budding rivalry resumes Saturday when the Cornhuskers host the Wildcats for sole possession of second place in the West Division.
Trailing by 12 points in the fourth quarter last Saturday, junior quarterback Tanner Lee threw for two fourth-quarter touchdowns, the last of which came with 14 seconds remaining, and passed for a career-high 431 yards - 192 in the final period - to send Nebraska to a 25-24 win over Purdue. Northwestern was forced into overtime for a second straight week before junior linebacker Nate Hall intercepted a pass at the front of the end zone in the third extra session to upend then-No. 18 Michigan State 39-31. Home-field advantage has meant very little in six games between the Cornhuskers and Wildcats since Nebraska joined the Big Ten in 2011, as the road team has won all but one. All three meetings in Lincoln have been decided by three points or fewer, and the Cornhuskers' only win over the Wildcats over that period came on a Hail Mary with no time left en route to a 27-24 victory in 2013.
The Cornhuskers' 40 rushing yards last weekend was their lowest total since netting 31 against USC on Sept. 15, 2007. Take NW.
|11-04-17||Iowa State +3.5 v. West Virginia||Top||16-20||Loss||-117||6 h 55 m||Show|
With a bowl game assured for the first time since 2012 and preseason expectations of a ninth-place Big 12 finish already well exceeded, Iowa State will try and move on to even bigger and better things when it travels to West Virginia on Saturday. The surprising Cyclones enter the weekend in a four-way tie for first place and are ranked 15th in this week's inaugural College Football Playoff poll.
The thought of Iowa State being ranked ahead of schools like USC, Stanford and Michigan State in the CFP rankings would have been laughable back in August coming off a 3-9 campaign that featured only wins over lowly San Jose State, Kansas and Texas Tech. But the Cyclones have been the feel-good story of college football so far in 2017 in their second season under Matt Campbell, defeating a pair of top-five ranked opponents in Oklahoma (38-31) on Oct. 7 and previously unbeaten TCU (14-7) last week. The Cyclones are 4-1 in league play for the first time in school history and their 6-2 start is their best since 2012.
Iowa State is one of two teams in the nation, joining SMU, yet to lose a fumble this season. Look for Iowa St. to get the road win.
|11-04-17||Penn State -9.5 v. Michigan State||Top||24-27||Loss||-108||2 h 28 m||Show|
No. 7 Penn State will try to rebound from a painful loss and keep its hopes alive in both the Big Ten and College Football Playoff races when it visits Michigan State on Saturday. A late collapse led to the Nittany Lions' 39-38 setback at Ohio State last Saturday, dropping James Franklin's squad to the seventh spot in the initial CFP rankings released this week.
The Spartans also suffered a difficult defeat, falling in three overtimes at Northwestern, and they enter Saturday's tilt tied with Penn State in the Big Ten East Division, a game behind the first-place Buckeyes.
The Nittany Lions had the top scoring defense in the country prior to allowing 529 yards, and it has permitted its last two opponents to convert on a total of 8-of-8 red zone trips.
McSorley threw for 376 yards and four TDs in last year's 45-12 win over the Spartans as Penn State knotted the all-time series at 15-15-1.
I like Penn St to bounce back this week.
|11-04-17||Wisconsin -11.5 v. Indiana||Top||45-17||Win||100||2 h 24 m||Show|
While the teams at the top of the Big Ten East beat up on each other, Wisconsin is cruising atop the West Division and does not have a ranked team on its schedule the rest of the way. The Badgers, who were slotted at No. 9 in the first College Football Playoff rankings released on Tuesday, will try to stay undefeated Saturday when they visit an Indiana squad that has yet to earn a conference win.
Wisconsin holds a two-game lead over Northwestern and Nebraska in the West and already beat both of those teams, giving it the inside track to the Big Ten Championship Game. The Badgers have home games against Iowa and Michigan before finishing up the regular season at Minnesota and they continue to impress on the defensive end, where their average points allowed of 12.9 is good for fifth in FBS. The Hoosiers are not quite as sharp on defense and are coming off a 42-39 loss at Maryland that marked the third time in five Big Ten games that they allowed more than 40 points.
Wisconsin took the last nine meetings by an average of 36.8 points and I see another easy cover for them here.
|11-04-17||Kansas State +3.5 v. Texas Tech||Top||42-35||Win||100||2 h 23 m||Show|
Teams that generate offense in much different ways tangle Saturday when the potent running game of Kansas State visits the high-octane passing attack of Texas Tech in a Big 12 matchup. The Wildcats have rushed for 470 yards and six touchdowns over the last two weeks against Oklahoma and Kansas, while the Red Raiders rank sixth in FBS in passing offense (348.1 yards per game) and 10th in total offense (504.4).
Kansas State is coming off a 30-20 victory at Kansas sparked by 128 yards rushing and two touchdowns by sophomore Alex Barnes and a 99-yard kick return for a score by D.J. Reed. The Wildcats are second in the Big 12 in rushing at 199.5 yards per game, second in yards per carry (5.1) and third in rushing touchdowns (18). Texas Tech quarterback Nic Shimonek completed his first eight passes for 149 yards as the Red Raiders scored 20 points in the first quarter last week against No. 9 Oklahoma. The Red Raiders struggled to generate offense thereafter and lost 49-27 to the Sooners while surrendering 617 yards in dropping their third straight game after starting the season 4-1.
Texas Tech leads the all-time series 9-8 but the Wildcats have won five of the last six meetings. I’ll back the better team in Kansas St.
|10-28-17||Nebraska v. Purdue -4.5||Top||25-24||Loss||-105||23 h 17 m||Show|
Nebraska was wrapping up an unlikely ascension into the Top 10 when it faced Purdue last season - an occurrence that may have as well happened a lifetime ago for embattled coach Mike Riley. The Cornhuskers hope to recover from consecutive routs against two of the Big Ten's elite programs Saturday when they come off a bye week to face Purdue.
After a 6-7 campaign in his first year at the helm in 2015, Nebraska won its first seven games in 2016 - a stretch that reached a head following a 27-14 home win against Purdue - and rose to No. 6 in the coaches' poll before consecutive losses to Wisconsin and Ohio State. A 3-2 start in his third year at the helm quickly dissolved whatever goodwill last season established before the Badgers and Buckeyes made Riley's seat that much hotter by outscoring the Cornhuskers 94-31 in Lincoln to begin October. The Boilermakers, who upset Nebraska 55-45 two years ago in West Lafayette, gave Wisconsin all it could handle two weeks ago in a 17-9 setback in Madison before they were stunned 14-12 at Rutgers last weekend.
Cornhuskers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Boilermakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
|10-28-17||Vanderbilt v. South Carolina -6.5||Top||27-34||Win||100||20 h 53 m||Show|
South Carolina looks to keep alive its slim hopes of an SEC East title when it hosts Vanderbilt on Saturday. The Gamecocks have won eight straight meetings and 22 of 26 all-time, but they had to rally from a 10-point halftime deficit for a 13-10 victory in last season's opener.
Both teams are coming off bye weeks, but they’re headed in opposite directions. With a win, South Carolina would become bowl-eligible for the 13th time in 14 seasons, and it technically still is in the SEC East title race, although it needs to win at Georgia next week and get some help in the form of someone handing the Bulldogs a second conference loss. The Commodores went into SEC play riding high after a 14-7 win over Kansas State, but they’ve lost their first four conference games by an average margin of 31.5 points. Vanderbilt hasn’t beaten South Carolina since 2008.
South Carolina’s defense took center stage in a 15-9 win at Tennessee two weeks ago, racking up a season-high seven sacks while surrendering only 253 total yards. The Gamecocks have been especially tough in the red zone, allowing only 12 touchdowns on 26 trips inside the 20 – tied for second in the SEC.
South Carolina has held all seven opponents below their season scoring average – Vanderbilt averages 22.4 points. Commodores are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Gamecocks are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
|10-28-17||NC State +7.5 v. Notre Dame||Top||14-35||Loss||-130||20 h 35 m||Show|
Notre Dame wasn't forecast as a national title contender but the No. 10 Fighting Irish are suddenly knocking on that door as they enter Saturday's home contest against No. 15 North Carolina State. Notre Dame was unranked to start the season after going 4-8 last year but is now part of the College Football Playoff discussion after five straight victories by 20 or more points.
North Carolina State is thriving as well with six consecutive victories and it features one of the nation's top defensive players in senior end Bradley Chubb, who ranks second nationally with 14 tackles for loss.
Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Fighting Irish are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
|10-28-17||TCU -6 v. Iowa State||Top||7-14||Loss||-118||20 h 34 m||Show|
|10-28-17||Georgia -13.5 v. Florida||Top||42-7||Win||100||19 h 29 m||Show|
The Georgia Bulldogs have been here before, building a special season with aspirations of a SEC title and maybe more on the horizon until traveling to Jacksonville, Fla., where the Florida Gators lay waste to those plans by winning another installment of the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. Here comes Georgia again on Saturday, ranked third in the nation, but the Gators remain confident despite a two-game losing streak.
Florida spent last week’s bye working to improve an offense that scored just 33 points in narrow losses to LSU and Texas A&M, and ranks 95th in the country in scoring offense at 23.7 points per game. The Bulldogs also were off last week and feature the nation’s 10th-best rushing offense (282.9 yards per game) and fourth-best defense (12.6 points per game).
The Bulldogs’ dynamic duo of Nick Chubb and Sony Michel have combined for 1,180 yards rushing and 14 rushing touchdowns, fueling an offense that has averaged 42.5 points in four conference games. Freshman quarterback Jake Fromm has established himself as the No. 1 quarterback, passing for 326 yards and two touchdowns in a 53-28 rout of Missouri two weeks ago. The Georgia defense is giving up just 82.1 rushing yards per game and may have defensive tackle Trenton Thompson back from a knee injury this week.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Gators are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
|10-28-17||Louisville v. Wake Forest +3||Top||32-42||Win||100||16 h 16 m||Show|
Louisville coach Bobby Petrino has made a name for himself over the years by guiding some of the more explosive passing games in college football, so he was among the many surprised last weekend when his team leaned on the running game to get a much-needed win. The Cardinals attempt to climb back to .500 in ACC action Saturday when they visit Wake Forest.
The Demon Deacons welcomed back a pair of their key offensive performers in quarterback John Wolford and running back Cade Carney last weekend, but their return was not enough in a 38-24 setback at Georgia Tech. Wake Forest has lost three straight after winning its first four games and dropped six of its last seven in conference play, beginning with last season's 44-12 loss at Louisville.
Wolford, who missed the team's 28-14 loss on Oct. 7 at Clemson with a left shoulder injury, threw for 252 yards versus Georgia Tech - becoming one of only three quarterbacks in school history to pass for at least 1,000 yards in four seasons - and totaled three touchdowns.
Cardinals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October and are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. Demon Deacons are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
|10-28-17||Oklahoma State -7 v. West Virginia||Top||50-39||Win||100||16 h 58 m||Show|
After yielding 23 unanswered fourth quarter points at winless Baylor and barely holding on for a 38-36 victory, 22nd-ranked West Virginia's defense now takes on the nation's No. 1 offense as 12th-ranked Oklahoma State visits Morgantown on Saturday afternoon. The two schools, along with Oklahoma and Iowa State, are tied for second at 3-1 in the Big 12 behind unbeaten TCU (7-0, 4-0), and a loss will likely eliminate the loser from earning one of the two spots in the Big 12 title game.
Oklahoma State comes into the contest averaging 584.6 yards per game which ranks No. 1 in the nation while West Virginia is fifth (539.4).
The Cowboys come in off a 13-10 overtime scare at Texas, the first time this season they were held under 41 points in a game. Quarterback Mason Rudolph, who already owns 30 school records, leads the nation in passing yards (2,650) and passing yards per game (378.6), completing 161-of-242 attempts (66.5 percent) for 19 touchdowns and four interceptions.
The defense, which held Texas to just 42 yards rushing, is led by linebackers Justin Phillips and Chad Whitener while safety Ramon Richards had the game-clinching interception in overtime at Texas to go along with six tackles.
Cowboys are 28-11-1 ATS in their last 40 games in October. Mountaineers are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
|10-21-17||USC v. Notre Dame -3.5||Top||14-49||Win||100||52 h 42 m||Show|
One of the highest-profile rivalries in college football will continue with its 91st edition Saturday when No. 16 Notre Dame hosts No. 10 USC. The Trojans won eight in a row in the series from 2002 to 2009, but haven't won two straight against the Fighting Irish since, something they can accomplish this year.
USC has been tied or trailed at the start of the fourth quarter in four of six games this season. The Trojans overcame a seven-point deficit in the final quarter last week against then-No. 23 Utah before holding on for a 28-27 victory when a two-point try by the Utes failed in the final seconds. Notre Dame hasn't faced that challenge in its victories, winning those five games by an average of 28 points, but the Fighting Irish came up short in its only meeting against a ranked opponent this season, losing 20-19 to then-No. 15 Georgia on Sept. 9. Notre Dame quarterback Brandon Wimbush sat out his team's last game against North Carolina two weeks ago because of a right foot injury, but coach Brian Kelly said earlier this week that Wimbush is 100 percent.
Notre Dame ranks ninth in the nation in turnover margin with 14 takeaways against eight turnovers. Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. Fighting Irish are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week. Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
|10-21-17||Michigan v. Penn State -9.5||Top||13-42||Win||100||52 h 35 m||Show|
No. 2 Penn State begins the most difficult portion of its schedule Saturday night when it hosts a Michigan team looking to prove it belongs among the Big Ten elites. The 15th-ranked Wolverines are enduring a sluggish stretch that includes a home loss to Michigan State and an overtime win against East Division doormat Indiana, and they hope to hang around against a dominant Nittany Lions crew that's coming off a bye week.
Penn State is coming off back-to-back routs of Indiana and Northwestern, but faces a daunting three-week run that also includes visits to No. 6 Ohio State and No. 19 Michigan State. The Nittany Lions have won 14 straight regular-season games since a 49-10 loss at Ann Arbor a year ago.
The Wolverines rank 11th in the Big Ten in passing offense and senior John O'Korn has struggled since taking over the starting job from the injured Wilton Speight.
Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Nittany Lions are 10-0-2 ATS in their last 12 games on grass. Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
|10-21-17||Wake Forest +5.5 v. Georgia Tech||Top||24-38||Loss||-110||52 h 34 m||Show|
Georgia Tech is two one-point losses away from being undefeated on the season, but the Yellow Jackets enter Saturday’s home contest with Wake Forest with no time to wonder what could have been. The Yellow Jackets face a Wake Forest team that threw a scare into Clemson before having its bye last week, and Georgia Tech’s remaining schedule features matchups with the No. 8-ranked Tigers, No. 14 Virginia Tech, Virginia and No. 3 Georgia.
The Demon Deacons started the season 4-0 before suffering a pair of losses to Clemson and Florida State, and begin a pivotal stretch in which Wake Forest plays three of its next four games on the road.
Wolford has completed 63.2 percent of his passes this season with eight touchdowns and only one interception, while rushing for four touchdowns and 6.3 yards per carry. Redshirt freshman receiver Greg Dortch ranks second in the ACC and 19th nationally with 136 all-purpose yards per game, finishing with 156 yards against the Tigers. Wake Forest’s defense is surrendering only 16.7 points per game, third the conference and 12th in the country.
Demon Deacons are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games. Yellow Jackets are 9-21-2 ATS in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
|10-21-17||LSU v. Ole Miss +7.5||Top||40-24||Loss||-130||51 h 17 m||Show|
No. 25 LSU could be accused of playing to the level of its competition, given its two straight wins over ranked opponents following a stunning home loss to Troy. What that translates to on Saturday might depend on which Ole Miss team shows up to host the Tigers.
The Rebels had lost three straight before last week’s 57-35 home win over Vanderbilt, but the offense that has flourished versus weaker opponents has struggled against tougher competition.
The Rebels lead the SEC in passing (357.2 yards per game) by a wide margin and rank ninth nationally with quarterback Shea Patterson spreading the ball around to a talented receiving corps. That group includes the SEC’s leading receiver A.J. Brown, who averages 113 yards per game and has topped 100 four times.
The home team has won each of the last five meetings in the series. Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Rebels are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Underdog is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
|10-21-17||Indiana v. Michigan State -6.5||Top||9-17||Win||100||48 h 33 m||Show|
No. 19 Michigan State returns home Saturday looking to build on a pair of big road wins when it faces an Indiana squad still looking for its first victory in Big Ten play. The Spartans have won three straight, including triumphs at Michigan and Minnesota the last two weeks, while the Hoosiers are coming off a tough overtime loss to the Wolverines and face their fourth straight nationally ranked conference foe.
Michigan State's running game got a big boost last week with the re-emergence of junior LJ Scott, who recorded career highs in carries (25) and rushing yards (194) after sitting out the previous game with an undisclosed injury. The Spartans also are powered by one of the top defenses in the country, ranking in the nation’s top 10 in total defense (fifth, 263.8 yards per game) and rushing defense (eighth, 93.3).
Even though Indiana has played very good pass defense the last two weeks, quarterback Brian Lewerke likely will be happy to see the Hoosiers because it will mean playing in Lewerke has a plethora of receivers from which to choose and is itching to throw the ball more, and the Spartans' coaches likely will try to open it up to keep Indiana from stacking the line against the run some better weather.
Spartans coach Mark Dantonio is 7-1 against Indiana, including 4-0 at home, although the loss was suffered last year in overtime.
Hoosiers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Hoosiers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Michigan State.
|10-21-17||Louisville v. Florida State -7||Top||31-28||Loss||-100||44 h 0 m||Show|
Louisville announced its presence as a national championship contender in 2016 by annihilating then-No. 2 Florida State, but both teams find themselves struggling just to stay relevant in the Atlantic Division of the Atlantic Coast Conference just over 13 months later. A pair of recent powers hovering around the .500 mark hope to improve their recent fortunes Saturday when the Cardinals visit the Seminoles.
Eventual Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson accounted for five touchdowns as Louisville throttled Florida State 63-20 last September - a victory that marked the third of four straight games in which the Cardinals scored at least 59 points. While the offense has more than held up its end of the bargain this season despite not maintaining the same pace as last season's team, the defense has not after giving up at least 520 total yards for the third time in 2017 in last weekend's 45-42 home loss to Boston College. The Seminoles avoided their first 1-4 start to a season since 1975 with a 17-10 triumph at Duke.
The Seminoles rank 121st in the country in scoring offense (18.2 points) and 110th in total offense (346.6 yards), but a new offensive line tweak seemed to spark them against Duke as left tackle Derrick Kelly moved to left guard while freshman Josh Ball took over at Kelly's old spot. Florida State allowed a season-low two sacks while its 84th-ranked rushing attack (144.8) churned out a season-high 228 yards on the ground, including 115 from freshman Cam Akers.
Cardinals are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in October. Seminoles are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
|10-21-17||Iowa v. Northwestern +2||Top||10-17||Win||100||44 h 57 m||Show|
Northwestern looks to build on its first Big Ten win when it hosts Iowa on Saturday. The Wildcats kicked off conference play with losses to No. 5 Wisconsin (33-24) and second-ranked Penn State (31-7) before rebounding with a 37-21 road victory against Maryland, and they hope to notch back-to-back wins for the first time this season by knocking off the Hawkeyes for the second time in as many years.
The Hawkeyes hope to have ironed out a few wrinkles on offense during their bye week after beginning Big Ten play 1-2 for the first time since 2013.
Senior running back Justin Jackson racked up a season-high 171 yards and two touchdowns in the win against Maryland to break the Wildcats' all-time rushing record previously held by Damien Anderson (4,485). Jackson needs 38 more yards to move past Anthony Davis (4,676) into eighth place on the Big Ten's career rushing list. Charlie Kuhbander was named the Big Ten's Special Teams Player of the Week after becoming the first freshman in Northwestern history to kick three field goals in a single game.
Hawkeyes are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
|10-14-17||Michigan State -4 v. Minnesota||Top||30-27||Loss||-110||53 h 19 m||Show|
Michigan State – 4
No. 22 Michigan State is ranked for the first time this season and will look to keep its momentum moving forward when it visits Minnesota for a Big Ten matchup on Saturday. The Spartans are coming off an upset at then-No. 7 Michigan, while the Golden Gophers return home after a second straight last-minute loss at Purdue.
Coach Mark Dantonio has his team back in the title hunt in the Big Ten thanks to a defense that has allowed 14 or fewer points in four of its five contests while ranking second in the country in pass efficiency defense and fourth in total defense (258.6 yards per game). Offensively, sophomore quarterback Brian Lewerke has been outstanding, leading the team in passing (1,057 yards, nine touchdowns) and rushing (309, three) and ranking third in the conference in total offense (273.2 yards per game).
Minnesota has been tied or in the lead in the last five minutes of its two conference losses, so coach P.J. Fleck isn’t panicking and will stay with Conor Rhoda (786 yards, five TDs) at quarterback. Injuries have hurt the Golden Gophers in recent weeks, and Fleck will have to replace four sidelined starters – three on defense – for this week’s game.
Michigan State had a turnover margin of minus-6 through the first three games of the season but is plus-7 over its last two contests without a single turnover by the offense.
Spartans are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Golden Gophers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
|10-14-17||Utah +13 v. USC||Top||27-28||Win||100||53 h 53 m||Show|
Utah + 13
Five of the six teams in the Pac-12 South Division have one loss and two will meet up Saturday when No. 13 USC hosts No. 23 Utah at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Stanford moved to No. 25 in the coaches' poll after handing the Utes their first loss of the season last weekend, while the Trojans bounced back from their only defeat two weeks ago against No. 9 Washington State by defeating Oregon State on Saturday.
Troy Williams led Utah to nine wins last season, including a 31-27 victory against visiting USC, but the Los Angeles-area native lost the starting quarterback job this season to sophomore Tyler Huntley, who hasn't played since suffering a shoulder injury against Arizona on Sept. 22. Williams was back in the starting lineup last weekend against Stanford, but was intercepted twice late in the game to spoil the comeback, and coach Kyle Whittingham wasn't ready to commit to a starter against the Trojans earlier this week.
USC has also been dinged by injuries, particularly at wide receiver and the offensive line, but starters are beginning to filter back and the Trojans still have their best two offensive weapons in quarterback Sam Darnold and running back Ronald Jones II. Darnold, who made his first career start against the Utes last season, has been steady but not as spectacular as many envisioned heading into this season.
The Utes have a difference maker on defense in linebacker Sunia Tauteoli, who recorded 11 tackles in last week's loss to Stanford, including 3 1/2 for losses. He's not only big, fast and athletic, but the 26-year-old is more mature physically and mentally than most of his opponents.
Utes are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
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