Cappers Sports Picks

Pacers +3.5 4.4* POD; MIA/IND U187/Pacers +8.5 3* teaser

4.4* NBA POD

Pacers +7 4.4* NBA POD

4.4* NBA POD

Thunder -1 5.5* MAX NBA POD

Pacers +2.5 4.4 * nba pod

4.4* nba pod

4.4* NBA POD

4.4* NBA POD

5** nba pod

4.4* NBA POD

4.5* NBA POD

5.5* MAX POD

Bulls +1 (4.4* NBA POD)
With or without Derek Rose the Bulls are still an outstanding road team and I think that shows up tonight. They are also used to playing without Rose and won some big games without him along the season. This is the biggest game of their season because it's the next game. I see a collective effort against a 76ers team that really peaked early in the season and are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bulls are 38-14-2 ATS in their last 54 following a SU loss and 20-9 in their last 29 as a road under dog.

under 4.4* POD

Nuggets +6 4.4* NBA POD
Nuggets were great on the road this season going 36-15 ATS in their last 51 overall and as dogs they were solid too going 30-12 ATS in their last 42 games as an underdog. I believe they just had an off night shooting the ball as they shot 35% from the field. They average 47% on the road on the season. Lakers are not that great on 1 days of rest this season going 14-24 ATS overall so I do expect them to struggle here defensively more than they did in game 1. Afterall they shot the ball great (50%) and Denver shot terribly 35%. I think the two even out a little bit as Denver shot 44.6, 44, 46.5 and 42.5% vs. the Lakers this season. Expect the Lakers to give up about 44% and I don't see them shooting better than they did in game #1.

4.4* nba pod

4.4* NBA POD

Nuggets -140 5* NBA POD
The Nuggets still hungry in the playoff hunt have a huge game tonight against the Clippers who just clinched their playoff berth first time in a while and I bet their was plenty of celebrating after beating the Thunder at home one of the best in the West. So to me this is a double let down spot. LA is celebrating beating a very good team, and making the playoffs. They also have to get on a plane right after the game and head to Phoenix to play on Thursday.. Doesn't help they are playing this game at altitude. I expect them to slow it down and sub a lot more than usual.

[b]Jazz -165 (5.5* NBA POD)[/b]
I like the Jazz in this spot at home facing the Mavericks playing their 4th game in 5 nights and the Jazz also have revenge as they do not want to get swept by the Mavericks this year. I think the Jazz get it done at home playing for their playoff lives.

4.4* NBA POD

Rockets -160 5.5* NBA POD Rockets are in the group of 5 along with the Suns to make the final three playoff spots. I'm going with the Rockets who will avoid their third loss in a row at home. I was not surprised with them losing to the Jazz at home it was a serious let down spot after going 4-0 on the road and beating the Lakers and BUlls. Now it's back to the basics and they are a better FT%, better on the perimeter and a better rebound team and they are home with revenge playing a team they have to beat that's in the playoff mix. This should be like a playoff environment and I think the Rockets win going away but I like the money lines down the stretch as we have gotten beat a few times by 1 point. This strategy worked out well at the end of last year.

[b]Hawks +3 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
Celtics are playing 5 games in 6 days and I believe after last night's big win @Miami this Celtics team is going to be resting players at some point. More so than anything I'm loving the Hawks because this is a major let down situation for the Celtics. Celtics also just beat Atlanta on their own court and I think the Hawks who are good enough should return the favor here tonight. Celtics are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games on 0 days rest and 5-11-1 ATS when their starting 5 combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

Kings +8 (4.4* NBA POD) Kings have lost by this number twice this year to the Clippers at home. Now they face at LA and I still like them. They were close in the game on Thursday but Demarcus Cousins had to battle fouls all game and only played 18 minutes. If he was in the game we would be writing a different story. One thing is obvious is if the Clippers weren't over looking the Kings before now they are as they look toward their next two road games at Memphis and the at the Thunder. Cousins vs. Griffin is a great match up and I think given the way Isaiah Thomas and Tyreke Cousins are playing in the back court the Kings are a very good match up. Cousins was not happy with Griffin or the officials on Thursday and was fined. I can see this match up turning into a rivalry over the coming years as it doesn't seem like Cousins or Griffin are friends. You better bet the Kings are motivated to avoid losing a third straight time this year and spoil the Clippers trying to move up in the playoff race.

4.4* nba pod

Kings +3 (4.4* NBA POD)
The Kings played awful defense last night and now they will have their hands full with the Kings a completely different offensive team than the last time they met. Demarcus Cousins and Tyreke Evans are becoming quite the duo and with Salmons hurt Isiah Thomas has been able to fill in nice with more playing time. The Clippers could have a bit of trouble scoring they scored 99 their last trip here, but the Kings scored 105 and the Clippers tend to struggle with heavy legs after playing the night before as they average the least amount with just 91.8 ppg on 0 days rest.

Also they did just play the Lakers their rival in what was a critical game for their playoff seeding. Once again it was the Lakers coming out on top. I see a potential hang over here and luckily they get to play the Kings on Saturday too if they lose this game. Kings have beaten some good teams at home this year.

Heat -140 *5* POD; Heat/Thunder U197.5 2.2*
The Heat lost just a week ago to the Thunder in Oklahoma 103-87 and this team has lost just 2 games at home and are averaging 102.5 ppg here. They are 9-2 ATS when they score over 100 points and tonight I think they'll look to do that against hte Thunder who are just 4-6 ATS when they allow over 100 points. I think we will have a close game throughout but in the end Miami's defense will step up and shut down the Thunder who just lost to the Grizzlies at home after a big win over Chicago who didn't have Derek Rose. So much hype on the Thunder and Heat but I think the home team prevails.

Kings +2.5 (4.4* NBA POD)
I love the Kings here they have serious revenge on their mind losing to the Suns earlier this year and the combo of Evans/Cousins is a real dynamic duo and getting better by the day. Since Evans has come back and been playing a new position he's averaging 56.8% over this last 9 games from the field. Their is a perception that the Suns need the win more so they will get it done, but I think they are simply over looking a talented team that I would have taken outright if Salmons was healthy and playing. The Kings have a winning record at home and the Suns are just average on the road and average overall. The Kings have beaten plenty of playoff teams including the Jazz (twice), Grizzlies, Celtics, Mavericks, Thunder, Pacers and Lakers.

The 3 refs in this game love the home dogs for whatever reason as their combined record for home teams that are dogs is 17-4 ATS. The Kings are also 17-7 ATS in their last 24 as a dog. They should have a considerable advantage on the boards and get more shots here tonight continue their trend of scoring a lot of points. Over their last 5 they are scoring 107pts in their last 5 games. The Kings are 17-7 ATS overall when they score 100+. The Suns allowing 98.7 ppg on the road this year and are 6-17 ATS when allowing 100+. I like the Kings here with the Suns possibly looking ahead to their road game tomorrow in Utah, a place that requires fresh legs and another playoff team.

Warriors +7 3.3* Play
We had the Grizz last night winning at the Thunder because of the situation the Thunder were in after a big win vs. Chicago and looking ahead to their next game. Same thing here today with the Grizzlies off a big win yesterday vs. the Thunder and now they play on 0 days rest with a game tomorrow at Dallas who they will likely be playing in the playoffs. I can see them getting just a bit too comfortable in this game and especially after Gasol and Allen played 40 minutes a piece yesterday. Memphis has won all 3 match ups like we had yesterday with Grizz/Thunder with the Thunder winning all 3 match ups. Memphis only won by 1, 1, and then dominated at Golden State winning by 18. I think the Warriors want a little revenge and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 as a dog 5-10.5 points. The Grizzlies trend is they play up to their competition and down to weak as they are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home vs. a road team with a losing record of <.400%.

Kansas to me matches up extremely well with Kentucky to the point that A.) they are the best 2 point shooting team Kentucky has faced all year long and they are also one of the few teams that can match up on defense as Kansas is #1 in 2 point defense while Kentucky is #2. Kansas will try to muddy this game and keep Kentucky out of transition. If they do for at least 1 half they should be in striking distance the entire game. I think they have the athletes to match up with Kentucky on the defensive end and they have great size in both the front and back court that should give Kentucky some fits in this game if it turns into a half court game which I think Kansas will be able to do for a good portion of this game making the under another intriguing possibility on Monday night. Robinson/Withey in the front court should be able to keep Kentucky out of the paint compared to their normal averages.

Grizzlies +7.5 (4.4* NBA POD) Classic hang over and look ahead spot as the Thunder just beat the Bulls at home and are playing on 0 days rest with a look ahead game at Chicago. Though the Grizzlies are a conference foe they have already beat them 3 times this year so I fear they may be over looking them despite competitive games as they won by 7, 5, and 3. Grizzlies out rebounded them in 2 of 3 and I think it is fair to say it will happen again the way they have been rebounding lately with the return of Randolph the Grizzlies match up extremely well with the Thunder and I wouldn't be surprised to see them take this game outright.

Pacers +4 4.4* NBA POD Pacers have a huge advantage in the back court with Martin/Lowry sidelined and the Pacers have depth their as well. I think that's a huge advantage which will enable their offense to continue to click. They've shot 47% and have averaged 102 points over the last 5 games and they shot 53.7% in their last game despite losing against the Spurs. I think they definitely score at least 90 here and when they do that they are 12-5 ATS on the road while Houston is just 6-7 ATS at home when they allow more than 90 pts. Houston also is probably looking ahead to their challenging road trip as they go to Chicago tomorrow and the Lakers after. Refs involved in this game have not been kind to home favorites .5-4.5 with a combined 12-17 ATS record.

Timberwolves -108 4.5* NBA POD
There is no hotter player in the NBA right now than Kevin Love who leads the league in March in ppg with 31.3. Love has been dominating with 37.3 ppg and 16.3 rebounds over his last 4. They go up against the Celtics who are now playing their 4th game in 6 days and they have the Spurs and Heat on deck. You can only imagine where their minds are.

Bostoon will look ahead where Minnesota is just 2.5 games out of a playoff spot. The Celtics too are satisfied winning three games in a row and may take a mental break here as they are 22-49-1 ATS in their last 72 following a win of 10+ points. The Twolves are 19-10 ATS when they hold their opponents under 100 points and the Celtics score over 100 in just 26% of their games this year. Boston has not been a good road team all year and the Wolves have played well at home. This is a huge game for them tonight and I think they'll win. They lost to Miami by 2 and the Thunder by 4 here arguably the leagues two best teams. They also beat some very good teams including the 76ers and the Spurs 2 times so don't sleep on this Wolves team and now they have a star who the refs will gladly help out with fouls.

[b]Thunder -1 (4.4* NBA POD)[/b]
Thunder are the first team to shoot over 50% in 4 games in a row this season and they are at their peak right now which I believe continues vs. the Lakers who have lost back to back vs. the Lakers. The success of the Thunder to me relates to Perkins who has kept Bynum under control just 9-24 in the two meetings. The Thunder have also scored over 100 points in the two games. When they score over 100 points they are 28-5 on the season and when the Lakers allow 100+ at home they are 0-3 ATS. Both teams are well rested on 1 days rest where the Thunder are 13-8 ATS this year while the Lakers are 7-10 ATS. The refs combined tonight seem to enjoy the road team because home dogs 0-4.5 points are 2-14 ATS combined this season.

Suns +2 (5.5* NBA POD) Spurs won their key game in their current streak of multiple games in few days when they beat the 76ers a key non-conference game to gauge their competitiveness against a playoff team from the East. That was a big win in their 3rd game in 3 days. Now the let down spot is here against the Suns desperate for a win to stay in the playoff race (currently 1.5 games back). This will be the Suns 4th game in 5 days and they travel on the road again on 0 days rest to play in Sacramento tomorrow which will be their 5th game in 6 days. Spurs are an older team bothered by injuries right now I just don't see them risking anything crazy and the Suns by the way have been playing excellent ball at home. Suns have now won 11 of 13 at home beating quality teams in the Lakers, Grizzlies, Jazz and Clippers during this stretch and are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home. They get a nice spot vs. the Spurs with revenge and they have owned the Spurs over the last 12 games they are 9-3 ATS vs. the Spurs and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 at home vs. the Spurs. The big win over Philly took a collective high energy effort and even though they have 1 day of rest this team shouldn't be 100% for this game tonight and the Suns just need this game more.

4.4* play

4**

[b]Pacers +3.5 (4.4* NBA POD)[/b]
Interesting spot for the Heat on 0 days rest where they are 4-9 ATS this season playing the Pacers who they have already beaten twice this year. Heat come off a very tough loss to the Thunder on the road now travel to Indiana and are likely looking ahead to their home game against the Mavericks who they lost in the NBA finals. I like how the Pacers looked against the BUcks and I think that carries over here.

Thunder -120 *4.5* NBA POD;
I like the Thunder here as they seemed to have found their stroke scoring 149 points in OT last game out. The Heat travel and will play on the road against a team that can score points and that's not a good combination for them. The Thunder have scored 100+ points in 20 of 24 home games this year and when the Heat give up 100+ points on the road they are just 2-6 straight up and 1-7 ATS. I think the Thunder have circled this game and are ready to take it to the Heat. They are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 following an ATS loss and are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. the NBA Southeast.

UNC +2 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
I was waiting on the Kendall Marshall official notice on whether or not he's playing or not, but still was playing UNC. I was hoping if he didn't play this would get up to 3.5 points, but with it still unknown I'll stay on UNC here at +3. Kansas won't have the advantage on the baseline this game and I think that's the key because UNC is #1 in the nation in rebound % and Kansas has played 2 other teams inside the top 25 vs. Davidson and Kentucky and they lost both of those games. Whitney/Robinson vs. Zeller/Henson is intriguing and I'll take Zeller/Henson over the other two. Harrisson Barnes won't struggle like he did Friday night and UNC will come out with a nice win.

Syracuse +3.5 (4.4*POD) Syracuse +145 1*; Syracuse+8.5/Florida +4 teaser 2.2*
I love Syracuse here and I think we are getting tons of value with the public and possibly some sharps moving the line a full point or more at some books. This is the first time Syracuse is an under dog and I expect them to be under dogs the rest of the way and I'll back them. This team is incredibly deep and I'm starting to view the Fab Melo loss as not that big of a deal.

If it weren't for Wisconsin hitting 14 3's Syracuse's offense was clicking and they would have won going away. Now they play Ohio State a team that lost to Wisconsin on their own court. I look what this Syracuse team is doing without Melo it seems they have come together a bit and their rebounding, a weakness in the regular season really was impressive in their last game. Though they were even in rebound margin CJ Fair ripped down some huge rebounds that he'll have to do again today and I think he will. Ohio State is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 tournament games as a favorite .5 to 6.5. Syracuse is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 as a dog .5 to 3.5 and as mentioned this is the first time they are dogs this season. I have a hard time believing Melo is worth more than 3 points and I think we can figure this game would be pk or Syracuse favored by a couple if they never lost Melo.

Ohio +10.5 (4.4* POD)
To me I like Ohio in this spot as they are a defensively minded team that can shoot the three and has been red hot all tournament long from the perimeter. That is the recipe for upsets and they also catch a break with the Tar Heels losing their key player in Marshall. He's still listed as questionable with surgery on his right wrist "Not his ball handling hand." However, I don't think he's likely to play and if he does he won't nearly be the same. The Tarheels are an up tempo team that averages nearly 14 more FGA than Ohio is used to giving up. Without Marshall at 100% I see Ohio being able to stay in this game right through the buzzer. Ohio is only turning the ball over 9 times per game over their last 5 which should also lead this game to their style of play with minimal possessions this game is far too many points to be given a team that holds opponents under 50 FGA per game.

Kings -125 (5* NBA POD) Love the Kings here. First of all the Jazz are red hot beating the Thunder and the Lakers in back to back games and are due for a major let down here against the Kings playing their best ball in longer than I can remember. The Kings have real talent now with Evans returning and being unselfish letting Salmons start last night. Utah has a guy that matches up and is better than the Jazz big man Al Jefferson. Demarcus Cousins has dominated Jefferson and in 3 home games vs. the Jazz Cousins has averaged a double double 23+ points and 13+ rebounds. Jazz are 14-32 ATS in their last 46 following a win and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 in Sacramento. Kings are 13-9 at home while the Jazz are 6-16 on the road.

Syracuse -2.5 -120 buy 1/2 5* pod Florida +2 2.2* play
It

Wash St +7 4.4* POD
Marcus Capers leads a group of selfless players. The Senior nearly had a triple double a few games ago and has his team in position to have some revenge against the team that knocked them out of the PAC12 tournament after beating them twice during the regular season. Washington State won here before and I think they'll likely be in this game. Oregon State has faced two of the worst defenses in the nation over the last two games. Washington State has held this team to 69, 73, and 76 and that's just not enough for Oregon State to cover this spread because their defense just is not that good.

Washington State is 36th in FG% offense and won that battle in all three match ups this season. Overall they were +2 in rebounds, but have a slight disadvantage in rebounding. Oregon State though gave up 81 to TCU who was 185th in FG% offense and I'm sure Washington State should get over 70 points in this game. Which means a cover in my opinion as Washington State is 10-3 ATS this year when they score 70+ points. Oregon State is just 9-13-1 ATS when they score less than 85. I see this game being played in the 70's. If Washington State does not turn the ball over and they don't get killed on the boards this should be a very even game decided in the last 5 minutes.

Hornets -2 (4.4* NBA POD)
Hornets came off a rare win and look to follow that up after 3 days of rest against a team in a debacle. I think the Warriors are lost for the season. Their owner got booed at half time during a Hall of Fame inductee for Chris Mullin because of the trades he pulled off before the break and even players admit it was not helping the team this year and that they were frustrated. What that means to me is this team is just going to turn into a selfish bunch. The Hornets at home will look to play and continue their streak which is at 9-1 ATS in their last 10 on 3 days rest.

Mavericks -4.5 (2.2* play)
Mavericks have lost 4 straight to the Lakers during the regular season but they look to bounce back and continue their 4 game winning streak. Lucky for them Kobe is struggling big time to shoot the ball and they are playing their 3rd game in 4 days with the 3rd game on the road for the 10th time this year. They are 3-6 ATS in that situation. They are also 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games and 5-9 ATS this year on 0 days rest. Expect Dallas to really come out strong looking to proof a point.

Oregon+5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Only play today and I"m going with the red hot Oregon team that split the season series with Washington. Though they lost by 16 in their visit to Washington this year where they return yet again I believe they are a much different team. This is a team that's averaging 83.5 ppg over their last 10 games and they just scored 108 and 96 against two pretty good defensive teams. They have 3 guys that can put up 20+ on any night in Singler, Joseph and Sim and now they are getting production from the big boys in Aghaolu and Emory making them difficult to defend. Washington has also heated up but I don't view this as a 5 point spread. I think there is a lot of value to be had on Oregon in what should be a very close contest. For one I don't believe Washington can slow Oregon down and keep them under 70 points. Oregon just had an off day shooting in Washington 32.3% the last time but they were +10 in offensive rebounds. I think they enjoy that edge once again here but their shooting will continue to stay hot. Oregon is 15-4 ATS this year when they score 70+ and 17-3 overall. I think this game goes down to the wire and I won't be surprised to see Oregon win outright.

Norfolk St +14.5(4.4* POD);Norfolk +1025 1*; South Florida -2 3* play
Norfolk State surprised everyone with their shocking win over Missouri, a guard oriented team. They matched up with them athletically which was even more surprising to me. Once again they face a guard oriented offense that can shoot the three with Beal, Walker, Boynton and even Murphy. I think O'quinn and Young who are roughly the same size will cross each other out. The real advantage Florida has is Murphy at 6-10 he can shoot the three or take it to the rim, but 1 player isn't worth this kind of points. Boynton, Beal and Walker will all be out sized and will have a tough time shooting over Norfolk State which does not start a guy shorter than 6-5 and better yet they are all Sr's except for the 6-6 Williams. Florida relies on the three so much with 44.4% of their FGA coming from three that I think Norfolk has a real shot at the upset.

3.3* POD

Alabama -1 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
Alabama is really not getting enough credit here and I think they come out with a nice win.

Wvirginia +1.5 (4.4* POD) One of the more interesting games between two of the top 15 rebounding teams in the nation. West Virginia plays physical basketball in one of the most physical conferences. While Gonzaga plays in a finesse conference int he Big West they are pretty tough themselves. However, I like how West Virginia matches up particularly with Kilicki 6'9 260 vs. Robert Sacre 7'0 260. I think it will be challenging for Sacre to score points and get rebounds with a big body in the paint that he's not used to. On the flip side I give West Virginia the edge at guard with Sr. Truck Bryant over Freshman Kevin Pangos. Bryant is the key if he can get hot in this game West Virginia will cruise. West Virginia though will win the rebounding margin in my opinion over their last 5 they were +9.2 on the offensive glass while Gonzaga was -2.4. They've gotten it done in a tougher college and their two best players are Seniors in Kevin Jones and Bryant. West Virginia has a lot to prove after they blew a lead against Uconn in the Big East Tournament. This game will be 75 miles away from West Virginia's campus while Gonzaga has to fly 2200 miles.

W-ILL +11.5 (4.4* POD) W-ILL +555 1* PLAY
Western Illinois is flying under the radar. They were 2-6 against the top teams in the Summit but lost by a combined 8 points and 3 were in OT. They took South Dakota State to the wire in OT losing by 2 in the Championship and that game was in South Dakota. They've won more road games this year since 96-97 team and they step up in these situations.

Western Illinois is an overall solid team. ORegon State will get frustrated with their slow paced game. They are one of the slowest teams in the nation and that's not a bad thing they are just very patient and I think they'll find success on the perimeter like they have all year long. This team is also 11th in personal fouls meaning Oregon State is not getting to the line 25+ times in this one like they are accustomed to. Western Ill is also 22nd in turnovers per game and Oregon State once again relies on steals and turnovers to score points. Western Illinois will turn this into a half court game and it will be close throughout. Western Illinois is a bit more excited to be in a post season tournament to me and the fact that this team beat Oral Roberts and on the road took Michigan to the wire losing 55-59 proves they can beat an Oregon State team and the value is there. They are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. a winning team. They step it up when it matters. Sr. Guard and Summit defensive player of the year Ceola Clark will have a game to remember.

Bulls -123 (4.5* NBA POD)76ERS/BULLS ML Parlay +230 1* Bulls are 17-3 at home this year and have a 97-93 loss on the road to take revenge on. Heat have lost 3 in a row at home including last night in Orlando in OT. Bosh and Lebron logged over 40 minutes in the game and the Heat have not been that great this year on 0 days rest going 4-8 ATS this year. They are scoring the least amount on 0 days rest and now they have to play one of the better defensive teams in the Bulls who are only allowing 88.5 ppg on 1 days rest and are 16-10 ATS in those games. Chicago lost 5 in a row this is their opportunity to show they can compete with the Heat.

LSU +7.5 (4.4* POD); LSU +305 1* BONUS
I love LSU here today as they played right with Kentucky in the SEC tournament teams which not many teams can claim having a lead on this year. LSU comes from a significantly stronger conference and Trent Johnson their head coach knows Oregon considering he coached at Stanford.

LSU has to be thirlled to be going to a post tournament conference for hte first time since 2009. They have struggled on the road, but I think their motto of defense and rebounding will result in good results. These teams are more even than many think and Vegas agreed once upon a time as well. LSU and Oregon have two common opponents. Both teams played home against Virginia and were 2.5 point under dogs. LSU was closer at winning losing by only 5. They also both played at Vanderbilt. Both had 15 and 14 point losses, but LSU was 11 point dogs to Oregon being 13.5 point dog. Vanderbilt had a hot shooting day, go figure but still lost by 14. They were -12 in turnover margin. IN the two games combined it's evident LSU to me is the better team and should be right in this game. I like the fact that they own the better defense.

Talking about defense Oregon is 185th in 2 point defense and LSU will shoot 73% of their shots from inside the arch. On the flip side LSU is 93rd in 2point defense giving them a significant edge in this game. It won't be easy scoring against an SEC team that has a strength of schedule of 53 compared to 93 of Oregon. LSU is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games while Oregon is 0-5 ATS.

[b]Grizzlies -110 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
With or without Rudy Gay I like the Grizzlies over the Lakers tonight. After he was announced being out the line did not even change. The Grizzlies play good team ball this is a team that won without him in the playoffs last time around and tonight it will be a defensive battle for sure. Right now they are playing good defense and they should shut down Bynum who has been playing well of late 23.8 and 68.4% from the field over his last 4. The Grizzlies have held him to 8.5 points and 5.9 rebounds per game in his career (17 games). Grizzlies are sizzling right now at home winners of 8 of 9. Their only losses have been to the Thunder and Spurs twice to both. They are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 as a home favorite .5 to 4.5 and I expect them to get a nice team win here tonight.

Clippers -5.5 (4.4* NBA POD)
I don't normally like favorites at this mark but this is a big fade situation with the Celtics who are obviously aging coming off a hard fought battle and loss last night where they had revenge against the Lakers. Over the past 5 games the Celtic starters are getting 70% of the minutes. To put that in perspective the Clippers starters are getting 61% and the Celtics are on their 3rd game in 4 days likely suffering from jet lag this game won't tip until 10:30pm tonight in their time zone. Boston is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 on 0 days rest and 3-8 this year. The younger Clippers are 7-3 ATS in that situation this year.

Clippers have been playing poorly but we have seen them step it up in a big way against good teams ( example - Spurs where they won 120-108 recently). The Celtics after a loss at home to the their rival Lakers lost in their next road game by 12 to Toronto that really started a domino effect with a 1-7 record over their last 8 road games losing by margins of 32, 15, 16, 15, 9, and 12 to some good teams and some bad teams mixed in. The Clippers are a very good team and should have multiple chances at extra shots. Boston is allowing their opponents 6.1 more opportunities per game while the Clippers are +5 in their last 3 and 9th in the league. Part of that is rebounding where the Celtics just are not that good as they are getting out rebounded by 15/game in their last 5 games while the Clippers are +6.2 and a very strong rebounding team. I also expect the Clippers to be focused at the FT line where they struggled on Sunday which should mean a cover here.

Vanderbilt +8 (4.4* NCAAB POD); Vanderbilt +280 2* bonus
We were on Vanderbilt twice in the regular season and came out 1-1 ATS when they faced the #1 team in Kentucky. A third meeting and I'm still on Vanderbilt here. I believe they are the more experienced team for one and in both of those games they had chances to win. Whether it was over coming a slow start down 13 at home to be leading by 4, 55-51 with 8 minutes to play or if it was when they led by 1 at half at Kentucky and were down 65-66 with 3 minutes to play. Either way Vanderbilt has been one of the few teams that have kept right with Kentucky.

Vanderbilt is a better version of Florida. Ezili is a bit better and more physical than Florida's Patric Young. Ezili not 100% healthy in the first match up was 5-10 for 15 points in the second. He'll have to be dominant in the paint to give Vanderbilt balance and the ability to shoot the three. Vanderbilt is actually ranked higher in 3PT% but they are more balanced than Florida. They have three shooters that are well over 40% from three in Jenkins, Taylor, and Tinsley. All experienced veterans who want to leave their mark at Vanderbilt who is playing in it's first SEC Championship since 1951. Kentucky on the other hand an arrogant bunch full of freshmen and sophmores and a coach that has already made it clear that this tournament means nothing that it is about the NCAA Tournament. Playing their 3rd game in 3 days is going to be a challenge for Kentucky that does not go as deep as Vanderbilt off it's bench. All 5 starters played 30 minutes+. Out of a possible 200 minutes of playing time the Kentucky starters played 180 of them Friday and 179 yesterday. Vanderbilt went 14 deep against Georgia without a starter playing more than 30 minutes and 10 deep yesterday in their win vs. Ole Miss. They will without a doubt be a lot fresher than Kentucky and have the motivation to revenge 2 losses during the regular season.

Raptors +135 4* NBA POD The Pistons have beaten the Lakers and Hawks back to back at home and now they'll be favored for just the 6th time all year vs. the Raptors. It is the Raptors but the Raptors are a better team and have been just as hot ATS going 16-5-1 in their last 22. Pistons are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games as favorites .5-4.5 and I"ll bet they lost a lot of those outright. I'm betting they will tonight too after winning two tough home games back to back and they're on their 3rd game in 4 nights while the Raptors did get an extra day of rest in this one and have been playing great defense of late. I think the Pistons confidence will be flying just a bit too high and the Raptors will be able to sneak in a victory.

Florida +9 (4.4* NCAAB POD); FL +375 1*); Wisconsin +165 2* bonus play
Three times a charm. That's the theme of this play of the day. It's no secret how you beat Kentucky. Shoot effectively from three point range. Florida is ranked 21st in the country in 3 point shooting but shot just 24.4% in the two losses to Kentucky this year. Florida takes their share of 3 pointers ranked #3 in the nation in attempts. Don't be surprised to see them take more than their average of 24.3 here today. Boynton and Walker the two guard leaders really have to step up in this match up and hit open shots. Florida has other three point shooters so if they move the ball and get open looks I have a feeling they could get up big on Kentucky.

I'm really not sure where Kentucky's motivation is in this tournament with their coach saying, "Their should be no conference tournaments." I think Kentucky has really disrespected the conference and the fans and their arrogance this team has taken on I think is really going to hurt them at some point. Florida already feels disrespected in the last match up and unfortunately they could not do anything about it , but like I said third time is a charm. They have the make up that could upset Kentucky. Patric Young has been a vocal leader and was a combined 15-25 from the field going up against Freshmen sensation Anthony Davis. He seems to have a better idea than anyone on how to score in an effective way. I expect a better shooting day from this team and I don't expect Kentucky to light it up like they did in the two regular season match ups. This one should go down to the wire.

Kings +1.5 (4.4* NBA POD) I think the Kings get a win here tonight. The Mavericks could be without some of their big men and that will be huge as Demarco Cousins is really starting to dominate as a double double machine. The Kings will continue to improve with all the talent they have. This is a team that already beat the Thunder and the Pacers at home this year. The Mavericks came to Sacramento and won by 2 points the last two times both last year so the Kings were never that far off. This is not an easy trip for Dallas they play once again tomorrow night at Golden State. This is their 4th game in 5 nights and injuries don't help that kind of situation going up against a young team which has plenty of gas in the tank.

St. Joes -1.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
Saint Joes was coming off a huge win at home over the A10

MAGIC +6.5 (4.4* POD) U183.5 2.2* BONUS; Magic +240 0.5* bonus I like the under for two reasons. Both teams are on tired legs, and won't be able to push it like they want to specifically the Bulls who are playing their 5th game in 7 days and the Magic their 5th in 8 days. The Magic are more rested and on 1 day rest compared to the Bulls who just snuck by the Bucks 106-104. These are two top 10 defenses and I think it's going to be a sloppy defensive game. I think it's huge for the Magic these next few games in terms of whether or not they can beat the elite teams and convince Dwight Howard to stay and that starts tonight. They get a break the Bulls are without CJ Watson and Rip Hamilton who are two key members of that team. Magic have been a good road team and are due for a win in the series, losers of 4 straight. The Bulls are not used to a team that plays the way the Magic do as the Magic average 28 three point shots per game on the road and the Bulls are only giving up 14 attempts at home. The Magic can win if they get hot and knock some shots down and I think they'll have some good looks with the Bulls short on quality bench players and playing their 5th game in 7 nights. Magic are 28-10-1 ATS in their last 39 following a SU loss of 10+ and the Dog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Georgetown -2.5 (5.5* MAX POD)
Georgetown has lost 3 in a row now to Cinci and the last one came at home under extraordinary circumstances in the fact that the Hoyas came off an emotional lost 1 day prior to West Virginia.

Uconn -1.5 -120 buy 1/2 (4.5* NCAAB POD)
I've lost money on West Virginia before and even when they needed a win the most and were handed gifts like 3 starters suspended for a first half from Marquette they still could not put it together. Now West Virginia has talent and they will give Uconn a run for their money specifically because of two things. Offensive rebounds and FT's. Uconn has been awful from the line and West Virginia is one of the better offensive rebounding teams.

However, I think Uconn can over come both. They seem like they are about to get on a run much like last year. This team has plenty of talent compared to last year and many think they have more with Drummond at Center. The experience is there with Lamb Oriaki, Roscoe Smith and Napier from last years team and actually the return of Jim Calhoun has done wonders. Don't think it's a big deal he inserted Napier as the starter and you see other players getting key playing time. Uconn unlike years past can shoot the ball from the perimeter and yesterday shot 8-13 for 61.5%. West Virginia is not having the best year defensively despite their last game against South Florida. This team has allowed 45.9% in their last 5 and 48.2% on the road this year. Their offense is not good enough to over come that. First and foremost they go up against Uconn the Big East's #1 2point FG% defense. They lack an inside scoring presense in my opinion and will have to get points from the perimeter. There is a reason why this team took 7 more attempts from 3 than they usually do when these two met earlier in the year. West Virginia however has shot 30.7% from three. This falls into Uconn's hands in my opinion and is simply just a bad match up for West Virginia.

As far as FT's go Uconn is only letting opponents get there 15 times per game so I don't think it plays a critical role. I think Boatright makes some key three's in the second half. He's shooting 42.4% from the perimeter and is somewhat of an unknown by most. Drummond will avoid getting to the foul line and Uconn will move on.

Pistons +6 4.4* Nba pod

North Texas -2.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
Despite revenge I do not think Western Kentucky can win this game. Their offense or defense is not good enough despite shooting 56% last night from the field in their upset of Denver. Denver was 200th in the nation in FG% defense and North Texas is 74th and when these teams met the first time Western Kentucky shot just 34.6%. While they'll likely shoot better I don't think they can over come all the other advantages the Mean Green have in this game.

Western Kentucky is just not a good shooting team to begin with 39.3% on the road and 39.5% overall. Both teams shoot more than 65% two pointers and do not rely on the three ball. North Texas is 83rd in 2 point defense while Western Kentucky is 116th. Pretty close but the difference is on offense and North Texas is ranked 217th to Western Kentucky's 302nd 2point offense. They are also much more capable shooting the three and even defending it as Western Kentucky is 306th in 3point % defense. What I like the best in this match up is North Texas is 69th in rebound % to Western Kentucky's 189th and Western Kentucky is shooting just 41.1% from 2 point range on the road. Meaning they will shoot worse than that for the game. If North Texas can win the rebound margin once again and get to the FT line more which I believe they will they should win this game by 10. I also like the fact that my formulas agree with North Texas.

S.UTAH +12 (4.4* NCAAB POD) SUTAH +6 1h 2.2* play; VCU -2.5 (2.2* BONUS); I like Southern Utah here after just knocking off perenial Summit winners Oakland in a shocker they have all the confidence in the world. S.Dakota is technically home in this one, but Southern Utah has the ability to score when needed their biggest downfall in this match up is the ability to get to the FT line. They were -18 and -19 during the two regular season games but still only lost by 10 and 7 points. Having double revenge and almost no pressure on them I see them playing this game a lot closer. Both games were close at half time 3 points and 1 point differences so we'll be playing the 1st half as well for a 2.2* bonus.

4.4* NCAAB POD

Raptors -1 (4.4* NBA POD) This will be the 4th road game in 5 nights for the Warriors and they are a long way from home in Toronto tonight to play the Raptors. They have had crazy success vs. the Raptors in the past offensively but the Raptors are allowing 11.3 points fewer than last year and the Warriors are in a skid averging just 82ppg and 38.4% shooting since the All Star break over three games. The Raptors have been extremely competitive at home this season and this is a spot where they can get a win as the Warriors just are not that good on the road to begin with.

Tulane -3 (3.3* play) I like Tulane here as East Carolina just came off a big home emotional win in OT over Marshall by 1 point. Now they go on the road to play Tulane for the first time and East Carolina has been just awful on the road and it's because of their defense allowing 47.1% on the road. Tulane on the other hand is allowing 40.7% and East Carolina has an offense that often struggles. Now Tulane will also have the advantage as far as getting to the FT line and 2nd chance opportunities as they are +8 FTA and +2.6 rebound margin at home compared to East Carolina's -1.6 and -6.2 rebound margin. Tulane also can pressure defense and after their recent game they'll want to make up for it plenty. They force 15.2 TO/game and are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 following a SU loss of 20+. Butler -1 (3.3* play) We were on this play large last time and isn't it ironic that these two meet again. Valpo won both regular season battles but it won't matter in the end when Butler takes this game. Butler has played two times since scoring over 70 in both and getting their confidence back while Valpo hasn't played as they had a bye in the tournament and are hosting this game once again. Butler still has Sr leadership in Guard Nored and a couple of players from last years roster. I think the way they lost here last time will allow them to come in and play a bit less tense. They got off to a terrible start and that won't happen again. As I said in the first match up it's a bad match up for Valpo because Butler has the best defense once again in the Horizon and are a real threat and Vegas certainly agrees making them favorites on the road against the conferences #1 seed.

Missouri St -2 5.5* NCAAB POD
Evansville beat Missouri State twice in the regular season and what I like about this match up is that it is fresh in the minds of Missouri State who ended the year on a 4 game losing streak, but they did play the top tier teams in the MVC.

Rockets -3 (4.4* NBA POD)
Rockets have come out of the All Star break slumping as I thought they would, but now they return home off poor performances on the road that have their value low, but they are still an awesome home team (15-4). They beat Memphis, 76ers and even the Thunder at home before the break. Despite getting Ty Lawson back the Nuggets still have some guys out that are key players and starters in Nene, Fernandez, and Gallinari.

I think the Rockets match up well vs. the Nuggets especially since they are the worst defensive team on the road. They allow the most threes in the league. Rockets off their first back to back performances of 90 points or less, but traveling to Toronto and then Utah after a break is not easy to do. They come back home to face the Nuggets who are average on the road at 9-9. The Rockets are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 following a ATS loss and are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 as a favorite.

Idaho +3 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
Idaho has an extra day of rest before they had to travel to Hawaii where they will get their third shot at revenge this season they are 2-0 on revenge games beating both Nevada (road win) and New Mexico State at home.

Jazz -2.5 (4.4* NBA POD) Jazz losers of 4 straight and the Rockets winners of 4 straight. Both on 0 days rest and I give the home team a huge advantage. The Rockets have been out rebounded in 7 straight games and its bound to happen again tonight in Utah with Al Jefferson and Josh Howard to grab enough rebounds and second chance opportunities to give them the win. They got revenge here just 11 days after they allowed Houston to shoot over 50%. Houston came out last night in Toronto and really struggled. I see that carrying over and the Jazz will buckle down considering they know they have lost to this team a lot of late. Houston is over achieving right now and their road trip they are starting will prove it.

Dayton +2 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
Still a live for a top 4 seed in the A-10 conference which will get them a bye with the rest of the teams.

Youngstown State -2.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
This will be the third time these two meet this season with the season series split on home and away.

South Florida -2 (5.5* NCAAB POD)
South Florida is not getting any respect in my opinion because of their SOS out of conference play, but very quietly they are among the best in the Big East and we can see them make a statement Sunday and in their remaining 2 games of the season as they close against three quality teams. At home vs. Cinci is their most winnable game in my opinion and I think they match up well with Cinci who is also 10-5 in conference play but a closer look and we see who the better team is.

These stats are just their conference numbers and for what it's worth South Florida is that much better at home. Don't think these stats matter? USF just was on the road at Syracuse and held a double digit lead and they also held the Orange to just 56 points. They have hte Big East #2 scoring defense and they are #4 in FG% defense while Cinci is 9th in FG% defense in Big East play. The bigger surprises is the offense which is ranked 3rd in FG% offense because they don't take a lot of three pointers. This is a very balanced and unselfish team. They are also #2 in FT% at .738 while Cinci is dead last at .648 and they are also last in FG% offense. South Florida will have to defend the perimeter, but they should have no issues with that either.

Lastly emotionally Cinci has a feeling of accomplishment beating Louisville at home their last time out. Everyone is giving them high fives and sending them to the NCAA tournament. South Florida is the team that feels disrespected. We already know the character issues that Cinci has so I think this is hard spot for them especially since they may be looking ahead to their home battle with Marquette who they desperately want revenge on from their earlier loss. Cinci is just 5-27 ATS in their last 32 Sundays while South Florida is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. I think South Florida takes this game by double digits.

Connecticut +5 (5.5* NCAAB POD)
Syracuse recently beat Uconn 85-67 at home, but the game was much closer as it was 63-61 with about 6 minutes remaining before Syracuse closed out the game on a 22-6 run. Syracuse uncharacteristically shot 62.5% from three and 59.3% overall. That will not happen again. The Huskies allow just 35% from the field in home games this season and this game will be at Gampbel Pavilion on campus where they rarely play big games like this. Syracuse has never won. Normally Uconn plays off campus at a bigger arena in Hartford. However, it's more of an advantage and more excitement when this team plays on campus. I expect them to be pumped up in this game and defense will be the key to their success.

Uconn is actually 4th in the nation in 2 point defense which is the key since a huge % of Syracuses points come from inside the arch. They are even better at home allowing 37.3% from inside the arch which is actually #1 even better than Louisville who are ranked #3 overall in 2point defense. I bring up Louisville because Syracuse went on the road to Louisville and they won by 1 point 52-51 and the only reason they won was because Louisville went 12 from 21 from the FT line. Uconn much like Louisville will have a rebound advantage because of the style Syracuse plays. Uconn is a better rebounding team statistically overall and on their own court with a +8.2 rebound margin.

Lastly in that game Jeremy Lamb shot just 2-10 from three point range. I expect him to have a better game as he built a ton of momentum on the road vs. Nova with his career high. The entire team has momentum right now and this is the exact type of match up Syracuse does not want to see. Between Andre Drummond who is a top 5 pick when he decides to go to the NBA and the other bigs including Alex Oriakhi and Tyler Olander, and Roscoe Smith, Uconn has just as much length as Syracuse.

Butler +1 (3.3* Early Prime Time)
Butler lost very early in the season in OT at home to Valpo.

Magic -3.5 4.4* pod

Duke -1.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
They are just a better team and this line shows it.

Dayton +3 4.4* POD & Dayton +150 1* play
Both Dayton and Duquesne are tied in the Atlantic for 8th place which is key considering the top 8 get a home court game in the conference tournament. It

Seton Hall +2.5 (3.3* Play)
Seton Hall really needs a win to have a key win to help their NCAA tournament chances.

Uconn Huskies -2 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
The Huskies have been inconsistent all year long and now they are fighting for their tournament lifes.

Iowa +4 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Iowa +162 (1* play) Iowa actually out played Indiana on the road last time out shooting 63% from the field to Indiana's 55%, but -10 FTA, -17 rebounds, and - 4 TO's won't get the job done. Those are 3 areas Iowa has significant advantages at home. Indiana does not play good defense we have seen it all year and Iowa put up 89 points on them last time in their loss. I expect them to come back and win this game at home. Indiana 3-12 ATS in their last 15 as a favorite .5 to 6.5 while Iowa is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.

4* NBA POD

Minnesota +4 (4.4* POD); Minnesota +160 (1* bonus)
For one I like that Minnesota has an extra day of rest and preparation for their biggest game of the year. If they want to go to the tournament they can't lose this game. They dominated Northwestern the first time particularly because they held them to 32% shooting. Why? Well Northwestern really only has 2 scoring options in John Shurna and Drew Crawford who shot a combined 10 for 31 in the first match up. Minnesota has a very good defense and are holding opponents to 40.4% in their last 5 games while Northwestern just 49.4% in their last 5.

I think this will be a game that Minnesota concentrates on getting out to an early lead. That's one thing that has plagued them this year they outplayed Ohio State for most of the game last time out but got off to a 20-0 defecit. Northwestern has been outscored in the 1st and 2nd half in conference play and are 300th in the nation in rebound % while Minnesota is 84th. I think Minnesota has proven they can win on the road and if they can avoid the slow start should go on to win this game. Overall I think Northwestern will struggle to score points against Minnesota's defense at times and they won't get enough second chance opportunities to win the game.

Sixers -3 *4.4* NBA POD 20,28,31,14,25,17 and 11 those are the margin of victories for the 76ers coming off a loss. They are 7-1 straight up and ATS their only loss was against the Clippers. They play the Mavericks tonight on a short number and I love their chances to pull off the defeat. The Sixers come off a road trip and are 5-0 SU and ATS in their first home game after a road game with winning margins of 23, 31, 12, 20 and 5. The Mavericks are just 2-5 in their first game of a road trip after being at home this year and even have a loss @Cleveland in that spot. They had to New York on Sunday after this game and I know Philly will want revenge for their loss at home against the Mavericks last March.

[b]Northern Iowa +6 (4.4* NCAAB POD) NIOWA +225 (1.5* BONUS)[/b]
I think it

West Virginia +3 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
West Virginia has lost 5 of 6 right now and they face an equally desperate team in Pitt that likely has to win out to have a chance for the tournament.

Thunder -145 (4.5* NBA POD) Been missing my last few picks by a point or too and I think this game is close enough to the point where it will be the Thunder by right around 3 if they don't cover the spread. To me I'd rather pay the 45cents and get myself a win than lose by 1/2 point or 1 point again which has seem to be a trend of late for me. The Thunder are one of the better road teams this year and they are also 7-2 on 0 days rest. The Rockets are off 0 days rest as well and a 6 game road trip so this is a difficult spot for them facing one of their conference best..5.

N. Iowa +1 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Northern Iowa was a 14.5 point favorite at home and lost to Evansville, and now they are under dogs on the road. There is not way that's worth a 15.5 point swing. Both teams are fighting for a top 6 seed in the MVC tournament because they will get a bye. I like Northern Iowa down the stretch here and in their home loss they allowed Evansville to shoot 48% from the field and 26 attempts from the FT line which led to 24 points. I expect Northern Iowa to not allow free points in this game it's not their character. On the other hand Northern Iowa can only play better. They shot 40% from the field and an awful 13-23 from the FT line and turned the ball over 18 times. They only turn the ball over about 10 times per game to begin with. The game was decided by the FT line and Evansville ability to get there as well as their ability to force turnovers. Those are two things Northern Iowa can and will easily clean up. Evansville is not a very good team they allow 48.7% from the field in conference play and 47.7% when they are home so expect Northern Iowa to be able to score points in this one especially on revenge which will result in them buttoning up their defense. There is a reason they are 55-27 ATS in their last 82 as road dogs and 25-11 ATS in their last 36 overall as a dog. Evansville upset Creighton and then lost their last game vs. a team that didn't have their second leading scorer. This is a team that's about to fall fast.

Wisc-Milwaukee pk (3.3*BONUS)
Milwaukee already got revenge recently vs. Butler a team Cleveland State lost to at home on Sunday.

Pacers +3 (5.5* NBA POD)
Love the Pacers in this spot with fresh legs.

Louisville +3 (4.4* NCAAB POD) I like Louisville's ability in this game they are the hot team and they play extremely well at home on the defensive end. They have a pair of guys that will work for rebounds in the front court against Syracuse's size in Dieng 9.2 rbg and Behanan 8.8, but 12.5 during their winning streak. I think Louisville will out rebound Syracuse tonight and that will provide the spark they need especially in transition offense. Both teams like to create steals and score in transition. When this becomes a half court game both teams are pretty much even as both play exceptional defense. Louisville can institute the press which can create issues as it did for West Virginia on Saturday in their come back win. Louisville has dominated the Orange of late and Syracuse is due for a tough loss on the road and this one would be it.

Kansas St +4 (3.3* bonus) Kansas State was in a similar situation exactly a year ago on revenge vs. Kansas and they came out and absolutely dominated Kansas. They will be up for this game tonight in front of a sell out crowd and I believe they come up with their best effort of the season. They were out rebounded by 24 and shot 31% at Kansas and still managed to lose by just 18. AT home they are out rebounding opponents by 7.5 and Kansas is just +1 on the road. Kansas has lost on the road in similar situations at Iowa State and Missouri and I see no reason why they won't lose this game especially since it's like Kansas State's Super Bowl.

Vandy +5 (5.5* NCAAB POD)
I love Vanderbilt in this situation because they match up with Kentucky better than any other team in the SEC. Unlike Florida this team has size down low to go along with the perimeter play that should challenge a Kentucky defense that struggles at times defending the 3. Austin Davis has to match up against a Sr in Festus Ezeli who is bigger and slightly taller. That should be an interesting match up here. If Kentucky continues to play solid defense they can win this game, but 43% of Vanderbilts shots are from 3 and they are shooting 42.1% in conference play and they too play great defense in conference play 37.5%. Kentucky's offense relies on freshmen and outside of Lamb this team is extremely streaky from 3 point range. It's going to be hard for Calipari to make adjustments at Vanderbilt considering the layout of the court and I think that could be a huge advantage for Vanderbilt because Kentucky is such a young team.

Kentucky starts 3 freshmen 2 sophomore's and they really lack proven depth. While Vanderbilt starts 4 seniors and 1 junior and pound for pound they match up extremely well as I mentioned before. Vanderbilt has been in this spot before and have come out on top more often than not hosting a #1 seed of late. They beat Kentucky 5 of the last 6 at home and again I think they'll be right in this game. After all Kentucky has played in just 6 road games and are 5-1. Their only challenge came from Indiana in a 72-73 loss. Their other 5 games are vs. teams with RPI's of 137, 135, 117, 79, and 177. Vanderbilt is a real opponent at 27th and their home court advantage should be crazy tonight. It will be interesting to see how a young team plays in this big game.

Clippers +4 (4.4* NBA POD) I see the Mavericks getting back up for this game especially off their Cavs loss and their coach ripping into them. They should be motivated and I don't like this 76ers team as favorites at all never mind by 4 points. This line is a bit inflated now since people are now "not buying into" what the Clippers had been doing since they lost to the Cavs, but the Cavs have been playing some good basketball. 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games as a favorite .5 to 4.5. They may even lose the game tonight.

Iona -2 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
This one is for the MAAC title likely although Loyolla will still get a visit from Fairfield who is still in this thing.

Portland State -1 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
Portland State is 5-6 in the Big Sky while Idaho State is 6-5 despite beating Idaho State the first time around.

Lakers +3.5 (4.4* NBA POD) The Lakers in danger of losing a third straight game. I think this team is too good for that especially going up against the Celtics. They should be fresh despite being on this road stretch they are actually on 2 days rest for just the 5th time all season and the 3rd time on the road where they are 1-1, but then again they did face the almighty Heat one of those road games where they were on 2 days rest. Here tonight I think the Celtics recent magic ends. Celtics have won 5 in a row, but who have they beaten? Maybe Memphis at home is impressive, but then again Memphis had them on the ropes the entire game before one run put them to bed. Here I like the Lakers to show their fresh legs and finally get a road win they have been searching for.