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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-16-22 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto OVER 46 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on Toronto/Sask OVER the total. (10*) This game will be played at a University (Acadia) in a small town (Wolfville) in the province of Nova Scotia. It marks the first time since 2019 that a game has been played in Atlantic Canada. That most recent game also involved Toronto. (It finished with 50 combined points.) One of the previous "Touchdown Atlantic" games finished with a score of 53-36; these neutral site games can be high-scoring. In this case, I feel that the O/U number is generously low. The Riders scored 28 last game after scoring 41 in their previous game. The Argos offense has been improving; last time out they scored 22 against the defending Grey Cup champs. The last meeting had 46 points and the one before that had 57. In fact, seven of the past eight meetings produced a minimum of 46 combined points. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than some will be expecting. |
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07-15-22 | Calgary +4 v. Winnipeg | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. (8*) Both teams are undefeated. Both are off impressive blowout victories. However, the Stampeders have had more time between games; that extra preparation time should serve them well here. While the Stamps have failed to cover both their home games, they're 2-0 ATS on the road. Three of the past four meetings have been decided by two or less and five of the past six have been decided by four or less. Grab the points. |
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07-07-22 | Calgary -3.5 v. Edmonton Elks | 49-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. I'm not sold on the Elks. They eked out a cover in the first meeting; the Stampeders winning by seven. However, they're coming off b2b road games and traveling back from the Eastern Time Zone to play on a short week. The Stamps, on the other hand, haven't played since these teams met on June 26. The Elks scored an upset last week but they typically don't fare well off a victory. Homefield won't be enough to overcome Calgary's talent and scheduling advantage. Lay the small number. |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +5 | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Argos didn't show up last time out. They won their lone home game though and I expect a date with the champs to bring out their best this evening. The home team won and covered each of the 2021 meetings. The Bombers won 20-7 at Winnipeg. However, the Argos won 30-23, when the teams met here at Toronto. A closer look shows that Toronto had a dominant 459-236 edge in total yards. Though they've been winning, the Bombers haven't been overly impressive. They rank 7th of 9 in total yards and 5th of 9 in total yards against. I say the Argos bounce back and give them all that they can handle. |
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07-02-22 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan -193 | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SASKATCHEWAN. (moneyline) I successfully played on Montreal when these teams faced each other last week. However, the Als were playing at home for that one and they also had a big scheduling advantage. They were playing on a normal amount of rest while Sask. played with two day's less rest. Now, however, the game is being played in Regina and the teams have had an equal amount of rest. Additionally, the Riders will be fired up to get some immediate revenge, as they were blown out last week. While I do fully expect the Riders to also cover the spread, it should be noted that before last week, recent games between these teams had been close. That said, I'll opt to go with the money-line. Revenge-minded Riders bounce back with a victory. |
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07-01-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton -7 | Top | 29-25 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on HAMILTON. Both teams are off to 0-3 starts. The similarities stop there. Hamilton is a good team off to a slow start. Recall that the Ti-Cats were one play away from winning the Grey Cup last season. On the other hand, the Elks are just a bad team. In addition to being the vastly superior team, the Ti-Cats are playing at home AND they've got a scheduling advantage. They last played on 6/24 while Edmonton played on 6/25. The Elks really left it all on the field in that game, too - a tough loss against archrival Calgary. The Ti-Cats have dominated the h2h games in recent years. They've beaten Edmonton four straight times. Each of the past three victories came by a minimum of 16 points. Scores were 39-23, 36-16 and 42-12. Expect another blowout. |
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06-30-22 | BC v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. The Lions have been arguably the most impressive team thus far. While they deserve credit for their wins, they've still only played two games. Now, they're playing the second of b2b games and doing so on a short week. Their blowout wins have driven up the line, creating extra value with the home team. Keep in mind that Ottawa began the season with b2b games against the defending Grey Cup champs. The RedBlacks easily could have won one of those, if not both. Both losses were close. Then, they had last week off. So, they play with extra rest while BC plays on short rest. Grab the points with what will be a very motivated home underdog. |
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06-24-22 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg OVER 42 | Top | 12-26 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on Hamilton/Winnipeg OVER the total. This is quite a low total. I believe it'll prove to be too low. Hamilton has allowed 30 or more points in both games this season and in three straight, since last year. Speaking of last year, you may recall these teams meeting in the Grey Cup. The O/U line was 43.5 and they combined for 58. Three of the past four meetings have produced at least 45 combined points. While Hamilton has given up more points, Winnipeg is giving up a lot of yards. In two games, both against Ottawa, the Bombers are allowing an average of 433 ypg. That ranks 7th in the 9-team league. The Ti-Cats rank 6th. I say the big rematch proves higher-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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06-23-22 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal +3.5 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. While they're still winless, the Als have been very competitive in both games. They lost by three, at Calgary and by one at Toronto. Now, they're getting points at home. With all due respect to the Riders, I feel that's providing us with very fair value. Keep in mind that the Riders just played, at Edmonton, on 6/18. Montreal's game vs. Toronto was on 6/16. So, in addition to playing at home, the Als are working on a normal week. The Riders, playing the second of b2b road games, are on a very short week. They're also banged up on their offensive line as their starting center is out. Five straight meetings between these teams were decided by seven or less. Grab the points. |
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06-17-22 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa OVER 45 | Top | 19-12 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on Winnipeg/Ottawa OVER the total. These teams met a week ago, at Winnipeg. The final score was 19-17, in favor of the Bombers. That low-score has helped provide us with a lower O/U number for this week's rematch. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. A closer look at last week's boxscore reveals that Ottawa had no trouble moving the ball. In fact, the RedBlacks threw for 380 yards while adding another 61 on the ground. Result notwithstanding, those offensive numbers have to be encouraging for Ottawa fans. When you throw for nearly 400 yards, you typically will score more than 17. With the rematch being played on their home field, I expect the RedBlacks to surpass last week's point total. They're going to need to, as Winnipeg is also likely to score more. The Bombers have scored 33, 33, 40 and 29 their past four visits here. Those games averaged 57.75 points. Don't be surprised when this one also tops the 50 mark. |
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06-11-22 | Edmonton Elks v. BC -165 | 15-59 | Win | 100 | 87 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing BC on the money-line. I feel that this money-line could easily be higher. It's important not to over-react to preseason. Those games don't count for a reason. However, it's also important not to completely ignore what happens either. In this case, the Elks looked dreadful. They're off a 37-7 loss to Calgary in their preseason finale. They've got a number of question marks. On the other hand, BC enters the season off a momentum-building 20-18 win over Saskatchewan. QB Rourke won over the home crowd by going 13 of 19 (145 yards and 1 TD) in a half of work. Afterwards, he commented: "It's not going to be perfect, but I was happy with the mindset and the effort that the guys gave." The Lions hammered the Elks 43-10 the last time these teams met. I successfully backed the Lions in that one and I'm expecting a season-opening victory in this one. |
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06-11-22 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan UNDER 47.5 | Top | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 83 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on Hamilton/Saskatchewan UNDER the total. These teams met twice in 2021. The combined scores were 38 and 27, both games falling below the total. In fact, the last four meetings have all stayed below the number. Six of the past seven meetings have produced 46 or fewer combined points. The Riders check in as small favorites; the Ti-Cats have seen the UNDER go 5-1 the past six times that they were listed as road underdogs. Hamilton is off an 18-17 game in its preseason finale. Saskatchewan's preason finale had a score of 20-18. I feel this O/U number is generous and I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair. |
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06-09-22 | Montreal v. Calgary -3 | Top | 27-30 | Push | 0 | 38 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Stampeders are coming in hungry. An 8-6 season concluded with a (double-OT) loss in the Western Conf. semi-final. For most teams, that's not too bad. The Stamps aren't most teams though. They've finished above .500 for 13 straight seasons. Last year, Calgary got off to a 1-4 start. The Stamps did rally to win seven of their last nine. However, the slow start caused them to play that semi-final game on the road. They're determined to avoid a similar slow start this year. The Stamps just demolished Edmonton 37-7 to complete a 2-0 preseason. The previous week, they dismantled the Lions by a score of 41-6. They haven't had to leave the province of Alberta. They're fired up and so are their fans. The Als eked out a 1-point win vs Ottawa last Friday. The previous week, they lost at Hamilton. The Stamps offense is healthy and clicking and they're up against a Montreal defense which lost a lot to free agency. Expect the Calgary fans to go home happy. |
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12-12-21 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +3 | Top | 33-25 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on HAMILTON. This is a rematch of the most recent (2019) Grey Cup. I won with Winnipeg in that one, stating the close nature of recent Grey Cups and the value of getting points and mentioning that the Bombers were peaking at the right time. (If interested, I've included that writeup below.) That seems like a long time ago. Much has changed. This time, the Ti-Cats are the team getting points. This time, I believe that Hamilton is the team peaking at the right time. The Cats have won their last three games (3-0 SU/ATS) by a combined score of 74-34. On the other hand, the Bombers are 0-4 ATS their last four games. They won their most recent game by three points and lost their last two outright. While the 2019 game was played at Calgary, the Cats have the advantage of playing this one in Hamilton. They're 5-0-1 ATS their last six home playoff games. I'll grab the points but I expect the TiCats to score the outright win. My 2019 Grey Cup writeup on Winnipeg > I have a pretty good memory of sporting events when I was a kid and actually recall the last time these teams met in a Grey Cup. That was 35 years ago, back in 1984. Yikes! Those were back in the days when all of Canada watched the Grey Cup. Many Canadians, ourselves included, only had a couple of channels. So they didn't have much choice. As I lived in Southern Ontario, I was definitely cheering for the Ti-Cats. Western teams were dominating in those days though; I even recall the Eskimos crushing the Cats in 1980 and Winnipeg won by a convincing 47-17 score. Both teams won a couple Grey Cups in the next 15 years after that 1984 beatdown but neither has won in this millennium. Both have lost their last couple of times here. Both will be hungry. Four of the past five Grey Cups have been decided by six or less. Another close one won't surprise which makes getting more than a field goal very attractive. While the Ticats had the edge in the reg. season, the Bombers are peaking at the right time. They're 8-1 ATS their last nine as underdogs. Grab the points. |
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11-19-21 | Edmonton Elks v. BC -6.5 | Top | 10-43 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on BC. Both teams have had highly disappointing seasons. This one sets up nicely for BC though. They've got a homegrown talent playing at QB, highly motivated to close the season with a win. A victory would see them avoid finishing last. They've got the home crowd behind them. Perhaps most importantly, they've got a big scheduling edge. While the Lions are well rested, the Elks are playing their third game in seven days. (This happened because the Elks had a make-up game from an earlier one ppd due to Covid.) It all catches up with the Elks tonight, as they fall to 1-6 ATS their last seven, when off a SU victory. |
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10-11-21 | Ottawa +9.5 v. Montreal | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. Thanksgiving Day games tend to have a flavor of their own in Canada; Ottawa has clearly struggled, this is a great spot for a potential upset. The revenge-minded Redblacks are catching Montreal at the right time. The Als are severely banged-up, including at some key positions. Included among the missing players for Montreal is running back William Stanback. That's a blow, as he's leading the entire league in rushing. Some running backs are certainly better than others and Stanback is a good one. That said, the offensive line plays an arguably even bigger role in the success of the rushing attack and therefore we often see backups come in and perform equally well, when given a chance to run the ball. In this case, however, Montreal's offensive line is also severely banged-up. Sean Jamieson (the Als' center) and Phillip Gagnon will both be out. The Ottawa offense has shown signs of life of late. The Redblacks upset Edmonton 34-24 two games ago. The Als have seen their last three games all decided by single-digits, the last two both by a field goal. Off an OT win, note that their 0-5 ATS their last five, when off a SU victory. The line has climbed from its opener and I'm grabbing the points. |
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10-09-21 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan -180 | 22-19 | Loss | -180 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing SASKATCHEWAN on the ML. These teams just faced each other at Calgary. Playing at home, the Stamps won that one. With today's rematch being played in Regina, I expect the Riders to have the advantage. While the Stamps are 2-3 on the road, the Riders are 4-1 here at home. Last time on the road, the Stamps lost at Hamilton. Last time at home, the Riders roughed up Toronto. Knowing that they'll face the Stamps at Calgary again next week - a rare stretch of three straight against the same team - the Riders know it's critical to hold serve here. Prior to last week's game, Rider QB had this to say: "They’re 2-and-5 at the time, so if they sweep the series and now they're looking at 5-5 and we're 5-5 as well, and they'e right back in the hunt. That's the danger of when you play a team three times, that there could be a big swing like that." Expect the Riders to bounce back with a "W." |
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10-01-21 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 52 | Top | 30-9 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on Winnipeg/BC to finish OVER the total. The last meeting between these teams, here at BC, had an O/U line of 51. It finished with 56. I believe that tonight's game will also prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting. Going back further finds that four of Winnipeg's past five visits here have finished above the number. The other three had scores of 87, 63 and 67. A look at this season's scores shows that Winnipeg has played higher-scoring games on the road. All four of the Bombers' home games have stayed below the total. Yet, two of three road games have gone 'over.' The opposite is true of the Lions. They've seen three of four away games fall below the number. Yet, two of three, here in Vancouver, have topped the total. The Bombers scored 37 themselves last game, a 37-22 win at Edmonton. BC gave up 31 last game, a 31-24 loss to Calgary. That game finished above the number. In the Lions' previous home game, they scored 45 points, a 45-13 thrashing of Ottawa. Expect another relatively high-scoring affair. |
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09-24-21 | Montreal v. Toronto -135 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing TORONTO on the moneyline. I've already successfully played against the Argos twice this month. I went against them in the first of their two games against Hamilton (the one they got blown out in) and then also played against them in their last game, a 30-16 loss at Saskatchewan. This one sets up differently though. The Argos were on the road for both of those double-digit losses. In each case, I saw a number of reasons to support their opponent. This evening, however, the Argos are playing at home. They match up better against the Als then tney did against each other the Riders or the TiCats. They're also working with an extra day's worth of rest than the Als; they last played 9/17 while Montreal played on 9/18. The home team has won nine of the past 10 meetings between these teams. Argos bounce back. |
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09-17-21 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -170 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing SASKATCHEWAN on the ML. These teams both just played b2b games against the same team. The Argos eked out a split with Hamilton. The Riders dropped both meetings against Winnipeg. That's going to have them extra hungry for this one. Playing at home, in front of their passionate fans, provides an added advantage. The Riders have won the past four meetings. Two were 25-point blowouts while another win came by eight points. The other was by a single point. Going back a bit further finds that the Riders have won seven of the past eight meetings, including each of the past three here in the prairies. Knowing that five of their next six games are on the road, the Riders know they need to take care of business here. Look for them to get it done. |
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09-06-21 | Toronto v. Hamilton -1 | 19-32 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on HAMILTON. The Argos may have the better record but I believe that the Ti-Cats will prove to be the better team. Hamilton has played a tough opening schedule. Their three games were all on the road. They're the only team in the league which has yet to play a home game. The three teams they faced are a combined 9-4. Now, they're finally home to face their archrival. Needless to say, they're going to be fired up. The Ti-Cats got back on track last time, winning big at Montreal. That provides some positive momentum for this one. They've dominated the Argos in recent seasons, including a perfect 6-0 SU mark the past six meetings. Only one of those games was even close. Expect them to continue their success in the series for at least another day. |
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09-05-21 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan -4.5 | Top | 23-8 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on SASKATCHEWAN. The Riders have had this one circled. The Bombers knocked them out of the playoffs (en route to winning the Grey Cup) the last time there was a season and now they finally get a chance to exact some revenge. Everything sets up perfectly for them to do so. The Riders are well-rested, having last played on Aug. 21. With a 3-0 record, they're the only team which has yet to taste defeat. Their passionate fans are loving every moment of it and this is the game they've been waiting for. Winnipeg is known for its defense and is indeed stingy. However, with just 47 points allowed, it's the Riders which have allowed fewer points than any other team. They've already recorded 14 sacks in three games. They've won their last two games by a combined score of 53-18. They're 6-1 ATS their last seven, following a bye. They're also 37-18 in the history of the Labor Day Classic. Expect them to improve on those stats, picking up the cover along the way. |
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09-03-21 | Montreal v. Ottawa +6.5 | 51-29 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. Needless to say, the Redblacks have struggled. That's not completely unexpected. That said, they've got some quality players and are better than they've shown. It starts with a proven winner at QB. Nichols was quoted saying this: "...We'lll be ready to play fast from the beginning. We have the talent to beat anyone, it's just a matter of us putting it together. We’ve had a great week of practice. We're looking forward to building on some of the good things we've done to make sure we take that next step and finish off more of these drives in the end zone." The Als are 1-2 themselves. Asking them to lay this many points, on the road, against what will be a desperate Ottawa team, is asking a lot. Ottawa is 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS the past 10 meetings. Seven of those 10 games, including five of the past six, were decided by 10 or less. Grab the points. |
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09-03-21 | Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 43 | Top | 51-29 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on Montreal/Ottawa OVER the total. Admittedly, Ottawa has struggled on offense. That's a big part of the reason we're working with such a low O/U number here. I beleive it'll prove to be too low. Allowing 414 total yards per game, 318 of those through the air, Ottawa is also bad defensively. That's the worst mark in the CFL. The Redblacks should be able to get healthy offensively tonight. The Alouettes are allowing the most ppg in the CFL, thus far. Ottawa QB Nichols, a proven winner in this league, said this of the Als: "They've got a good offense. They're a team that puts up points so you have to keep pace. It's our job to keep our defence fresh. You understand with conference games like this, it always seems to pick up urgency and pace of game play. We'lll be ready to play fast from the beginning. We have the talent to beat anyone, it's just a matter of us putting it together. We’ve had a great week of practice. We're looking forward to building on some of the good things we've done to make sure we take that next step and finish off more of these drives in the end zone." The key words to take from that quote are: "need to keep pace," "pick up pace of game play," "ready to play fast from beginning." All three 2019 meetings between these teams produced 55 or more points. The most recent meeting was a 42-32 shootout, here at Ottawa. We may not see that many again tonight, but we'll see enough to get over the low number. |
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08-27-21 | Hamilton -130 v. Montreal | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 56 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on HAMILTON. This isn't the start that the Ti-Cats had in mind. There's still plenty of time to turn things around though and that starts on Friday night. Remember, the Cats were preseason favorites to hoist the Grey Cup. They're not short on talent. Evans will get the start at QB and that should provide a spark and some fresh energy. I like the fact that Hamilton comes off a bye. Off b2b losses, it came at a good time. The Cats are 5-1 SU/ATS their last six visits here, most recently earning a 38-26 win. In fact, they've scored 117 points their last three visits here. Expect them to continue their success here, en route to their first victory of 2021. |
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08-20-21 | Montreal v. Calgary +4.5 | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. Off to an 0-2 start and facing undefeated Montreal, the Stampeders opened as underdogs. When it was offiically confirmed that Mitchell, was hurt before the BC game but played, would be out for six games or so, the line climbed higher. That's providing plenty of value with what will be a desperate Calgary team. Off to an 0-2 start, many were writing off the other Alberta team. However, the Elks won outright as underdogs last night. Calgary, which has a great system in place, played much of 2019 without Mitchell. Coach Dickensen, a former star QB himself, had this to say of Mitchell's two backups: "...they've had enough time. There's no excusess ... Yeah, they're young, they're raw, but that doesn’t mean we can’t execute." Note that the Als are just 1-5 ATS their last six, when laying points. Lastly, note that the last three meetings were all decided by six or less. Grab the points. |
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08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks +4.5 v. BC | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 50 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. After b2b home losses, getting on the road should be just what the doctor ordered for the Elks. A visit to Vancouver is particularly appealing. Edmonton has won the past three meetings against the Lions by scores of 19-6, 33-6 and 39-23. That 33-6 beatdown was here, at Vancouver. Going back further finds Edmonton at 12-4 the past 16 meetings. The Elks are going to be desperate. The Lions have seen both their games decided by six or fewer points. Only a couple of weeks ago, fresh off a great training camp and full of optimism, new Edmonton head coach Jaime Elizondo had this to say: "We've got a great group of men in that locker room. We even cut some great men. It starts with you as a person. If you have a great group of men and they happen to be really good football players, which is a great combination to have, that’s the starting point for building this thing the right way." Needless to say things haven't started the way Elizondo envisioned. Don't write the Elks off yet though. They're going to be desperate in this one and I like their chances of picking up their first win. |
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08-14-21 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks -5 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. I lost with the Elks in their opening game but I'm coming right back with them again here. Knowing its a reduced regular season, the Elks know they can't afford to drop their first two games. Note that Edmonton hasn't started the season 0-2 for more than 10 years. Coach Jamie Elizondo noted: "The fact there are four less games obviously means that each game is magnified more ... There's no doubt we want to perform better on Saturday and we expect to." The fact that Montreal has yet to play works in Edmonton's favor. The Elks have already been able to work out some kinks while the Alouettes have not. I say Edmonton wins big. |
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08-12-21 | BC v. Calgary -6.5 | 15-9 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Lions managed a cover in their first game. However, they still lost and its likely going to be another tough season. The Stampeders also lost. However, they're expecting another big season. They know they can't afford to drop two straight at home to begin the year. The Stamps have won nine of the past 10 meetings, including each of the past three. The majority of those wins came by nine or more points. The Lions have a rookie QB scheduled to start. The Stamps are going to be angry. I see Calgary keeping the pedal to the metal the whole way and winning this one in blowout fashion. |
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08-07-21 | Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks -7 | Top | 16-12 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The first two days of the CFL season have belonged to the underdogs. Winnipeg won outright as a small home underdog. Then, BC covered against Saskatchewan, last night. Tonight's game at Edmonton should be different; I'm expecting a big win and cover for the favorite. Its a new era in Edmonton. The players and team will be anxious to start life as the "Elks" with a victory. For Edmonton coach Jamie Elizondo, the game is personal. He was with previously Ottawa's offensive coordinator. When he wanted to apply for the coaching job at Saskatchewan, Ottawa denied him the ability to do so, as he was under contract. A CFL source said this about Elizondo: "... he hasn't forgotten what Ottawa did. Blocking him from interviewing. In coaching, we call them 'F-you shots.' If he can, Jaime will take a couple. Late if Edmonton's winning ... " Stronger team, playing at home and loaded with motivation. Expect it to translate to a double-digit win for the Elks. |
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08-05-21 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg OVER 51.5 | 6-19 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Hamilton/Winnipeg OVER the total. These teams have had a run of 'unders' against each other, including the 2019 Grey Cup. While both defenses are missing some key players, both offenses have their starting QB back and ready to go. Remember, it was Dane Harris at QB for Hamilton in the Grey Cup and he was only 16 of 27 for 203 yards with 1 TD against two INTs. He'll be the backup now though as Winnipeg's main man (Masoli) is back. Yes, Winnipeg will be without Harris. His absence may well cause the Bombers to throw more though. They're going to need to score to keep up; Hamilton scored 33 the last time that the teams met in the regular season. The OVER is 4-2 the past six times that the Cats were favored in the regular season. The last two times that Winnipeg was an underdog in the reg. season, the scores were 57 and 70, both finishing above the total. I see this one also proving higher-scoring than most will be expecting. |
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08-05-21 | Hamilton -165 v. Winnipeg | 6-19 | Loss | -165 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing HAMILTON on the ML. It seems like quite a long time ago since these teams met in the Grey Cup. In case you missed it, the CFL didn't have a season last year. So, in fact, it was quite awhile ago. I took the points with Winnipeg in that 11/24/19 game. I didn't need them. The Bombers won outright, a 33-12 destruction. It should be noted that Winnipeg native Andrew Harris was named both the game's most outstanding player and top Canadian. He'd finish with two TD's and 134 rushing yards. I mention Harris as he's one of several players out for the Bombers in this one. Winnipeg will also be without WR Darvin Adams. He had 47 catches, 549 yards and five TDs in 2019. The defense will be without linebacker Kyrie Wilson. He had 63 tackles and three sacks in 2019. While the Ti-Cats aren't entirely healthy either, I believe they're going to prove to be the stronger team. Naturally, they'll want to spoil the party of the team which spoiled their championship dreams. They know this year's Grey Cup will be played in Hamilton and this is their chance to make an early statement that they're the team to beat. Ti-Cats get some payback. |
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11-24-19 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg +3.5 | Top | 12-33 | Win | 100 | 118 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. I have a pretty good memory of sporting events when I was a kid and actually recall the last time these teams met in a Grey Cup. That was 35 years ago, back in 1984. Yikes! Those were back in the days when all of Canada watched the Grey Cup. Many Canadians, ourselves included, only had a couple of channels. So they didn't have much choice. As I lived in Southern Ontario, I was definitely cheering for the Ti-Cats. Western teams were dominating in those days though; I even recall the Eskimos crushing the Cats in 1980 and Winnipeg won by a convincing 47-17 score. Both teams won a couple Grey Cups in the next 15 years after that 1984 beatdown but neither has won in this millennium. Both have lost their last couple of times here. Both will be hungry. Four of the past five Grey Cups have been decided by six or less. Another close one won't surprise which makes getting more than a field goal very attractive. While the Ticats had the edge in the reg. season, the Bombers are peaking at the right time. They're 8-1 ATS their last nine as underdogs. Grab the points. |
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10-25-19 | Calgary v. Winnipeg UNDER 48.5 | Top | 28-29 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/Winnipeg UNDER the total. These teams played a high-scoring game against each other, less than a week ago, at Calgary. With QB Nichols out for the Bombers and tonight's rematch being played at Winnipeg, I'm expecting a considerably lower-scoring affair. While the UNDER is 5-3 in Bomber home games, the Stamps have seen the UNDER go a perfect 3-0 their last three as a road favorite, 5-2 on the road overall. Prior to last week's game, the three previous meetings between these teams had all finished with 50 or fewer combined points. Look for this one to finish below that mark, the defenses rising to the occasion and stealing the spotlight. |
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10-11-19 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary -142 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing CALGARY on the money-line. Getting the Stamps here at this price, no spread involved, is a bargain. They already hammered the Riders, at Saskatchewan. While the Stamps are only 1-5 ATS as home favorites, they were 4-2 SU in the same games. Going back further finds them at 21-6 SU here the past couple of seasons, as compared to 13-14 ATS. Meanwhile, the Riders were 0-3 SU the past three times that they were road underdogs of seven or less. Expect Calgary to finish on top. |
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10-11-19 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 47.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 57 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/Saskatchewan OVER the total. When these teams met earlier, the O/U line was in the 50s. We're working with a lower O/U line tonight and I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Saskatchewan road games have been higher-scoring than Sask. home games. When on the road, the Riders have seen their games average 52.8 combined points. The opposite is true for the Stampeders as their games here at Calgary have been higher-scoring than their road games. Here at home, the Stamps have seen their games average 51 points. I expect both teams to have success moving the ball tonight and look for the combined score to finish above the low number. |
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09-27-19 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg OVER 48 | Top | 33-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on Winnipeg/Hamilton OVER the total. I rang in the month by nailing the Bombers to go 'under' the total. To close the month, however, I'm going the other way, as I feel that this O/U line will prove to be too low. Note that the last couple of times that Hamilton has played here, the O/U lines have been 58 and 56.5. Since that low-scoring (18-17) game to start the month, Winnipeg has scored 35 and 37 points. Most recently, the Bombers were on the wrong side of an epic comeback, losing 38-37. They'll want to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way here. The Ticats, meanwhile, scored 30 at Edmonton last week, a 30-27 win. This one goes over the 50 mark, once again. |
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09-21-19 | BC v. Ottawa OVER 47.5 | Top | 40-7 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on BC/Ottawa OVER the total. I won with the Lions when these same two teams met last week. I'm expecting the rematch to be high-scoring. Ottawa couldnt score on the road but will be able to do so at home. Stopping the Lions will be another matter. The Red Blacks allowed 46 points against Toronto their last game here. Over their past three games, they've allowed 115 points. BC's last two trips here have produced 54 and 55 points. This one eclipses the 50 mark once again. |
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09-13-19 | Ottawa v. BC -5 | Top | 5-29 | Win | 100 | 80 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on BC. Initially, it might seem funny to see the Lions listed as favorites here. After all, they're having a pretty tough season. However, on closer inspection, they're favored for good reason and this is an excellent spot for them to break through with a big win. The Lions covered at Montreal last week (5 point loss) after losing by just three against Hamilton in their previous game. Ottawa, on the other hand, has lost its last three by a minimum of 14 points. Last time out, they lost 46-17 to lowly Toronto. In its previous game, Ottawa lost 40-18. The Lions have had one more day of preparation time. They know that the same two teams will meet at Ottawa last week. Armed with this knowledge, look for them to step up and take care of business at home, covering the small number along the way. |
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09-07-19 | Calgary v. Edmonton OVER 47 | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/Edmonton OVER the total. These teams played a low-scoring game, at Calgary last week. I expect this evening's rematch, at Edmonton, to prove considerably higher-scoring. Note that we're working with a lower number than last week, providing some extra line value. Prior to last week's game, the Stamps had seen their previous two finish above the total. They had combined scores of 74 and 50. Prior to last week's game, the Eskimos had also seen their previous two finish above the total. They had combined scores of 62 and 67. The last meeting here at Edmonton was almost exactly one year ago, to the day. That 9/8/18 game had an O/U line of 49.5 but produced 90 points. Look for this one to also prove higher-scoring than most will be expecting. |
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09-01-19 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan UNDER 48 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on Winnipeg/Sask UNDER the total. There are a pair of players in the running for the CFL's Most Outstanding Defensive Player award and I expect there to be a lot of intensity on the defensive side of the ball. Winnipeg's Willie Jefferson, a former Rider, and Saskatchewan's Charleston Hughes have indeed been among the league's best. Earlier this season, Hughes has already stated that he deserves the award. However, Jefferson had this to say: "Right now, if it came down to the Most Outstanding Defensive Player it would be either him or me. He has 10 sacks, I have eight. He doesn't have any picks, I have two picks. We've both got a lot of forced fumbles and he has more tackles than me, but at the end of the day it’s about who puts the most plays out there, who puts the most effort out there and what decision the CFL makes..." Of course, missing a bit part of their offense, the Bombers know that they have to bring it defensively. Look for the final score to prove lower than most will be expecting. |
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08-25-19 | Montreal v. Toronto +6 | Top | 28-22 | Push | 0 | 120 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. I really like how this one sets up for the Argos. The Als are off a miracle comeback road OT win against the defending Grey Cup Champs. In case you missed it, the Als scored twice in the final 50 seconds of regulation (then twice more in OT) to earn an unlikely 40-34 win. That should have them ripe for a letdown against the "lowly Argos," particularly as this will be the first time all season that they've played back-to-back road games. Note that the Als have only been favored once all season and they lost that one outright. They're 2-4 ATS when laying points the past 2+ seasons. The Argos have shown some life of late including a victory over Winnipeg to begin the month. They're 4-0 the last four times that they hosted the Als, winning outright by four, 14, 32 and 13. I'm grabbing the points. |
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08-08-19 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -7.5 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -109 | 59 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Stamps have continued to play well and win games, despite playing without their starting QB. Now they're up against an angry Winnipeg team which has been better on both sides of the ball than they have. Not only has Winnipeg scored (20) more points than Calgary, the Bombers have also allowed (23) less. The Bombers have lost b2b games but both those were on the road. Now, they're back home where they're a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS, outscoring visiting teams by more than 18 ppg. They beat Calgary by eight here last season and they're arguably a better team now. In addition to having homefield advantage, the Bombers also have a major scheduling advantage. They last played on 8/1 at Toronto; the Stamps last played their archrival (Edmonton) on 8/3, which has them working on an extra short week. Bombers bounce back with a statement blowout win. |
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08-01-19 | Winnipeg v. Toronto OVER 48.5 | Top | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on Toronto/Winnipeg OVER the total. When these teams met at Winnipeg, a few weeks ago, the O/U line was 51. They combined for 69 points, a 48-21 win for the Bombers. Today, we're working with an even lower O/U line, providing plenty of line value. I feel that it'll prove to be too low. Note that the OVER is 19-10-1 the past 30 times that Winnipeg played a road game with an O/U line in the 45 to 49.5 range. The Argos have seen the OVER go 8-5 their last 13 as home underdogs. During that span, the OVER is also 2-0 when they played a home game with an O/U line in the 45.5 to 49 range. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC +3 | Top | 45-18 | Loss | -107 | 103 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on BC. These teams just met at Saskatchewan last week. The Riders pulled away late for the win and cover. With this week's rematch being played at Vancouver, I expect the revenge-minded Lions to get some payback. Admittedly, BC hasn't been very good. That said, the same can pretty much be said for Saskatchewan. I don't feel that the Riders are ready to be laying points on the road. The Lions have won four of the past five against the Riders here, the lone loss came by a field goal. Going back further finds that the Lions have won 11 of their last 15 against the Riders here. The Riders were a bit fortunate last week, as they benefitted with a 100-yard kickoff return. Overall, the Lions had a 468-379 edge in total yards while also enjoying an edge of more than six minutes, in terms of time of possession. Despite coming up short, the Lions got a strong showing from QB Reilly. He finished 31 of 40 (346 yards) overall and completed 14 consecutive passes, at one point. Expect Reilly and co. to build on that effort Saturday. In a case where I expect an outright win, I'll happily grab the points. |
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07-20-19 | BC +6 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 25-38 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on BC. I waited patiently all week for this line to climb and my patience was finally rewarded. Sure, BC looked pretty bad last week. The Riders aren't exactly a dominant team though and the Lions will look much better. Indeed, Saskatchewan is only 1-3 (lone win came against Toronto, a team BC also beat) and is coming off a 37-10 loss to a Calgary team playing without its #1 QB. These teams will meet again at Vancouver next week. The Lions know they don't have much (any) homefield advantage though and that they better take care of business while away from home. Last season's first meeting between these teams was decided by just a field goal. Look for the Lions to give the Riders all they can handle, picking up AT LEAST the cover. |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa +10.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 1-31 | Loss | -125 | 62 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. While the Bombers have gotten off to a great start, I expect them to have their hands full this evening. The Redblacks won at Calgary in their lone road game. So, they're fully capable of competing at a difficult venue. Including that upset win, they're a lucrative 16-6 ATS their last 22, when getting points and 14-5 ATS their last 19 road games, overall. Off b2b losses, the first coming at the hands of these same Blue Bombers, Ottawa is going to be extremely hungry. Note that the Redblacks are 6-1 ATS (5-2 SU) their last seven, after having lost consecutive games. Grab the generous points. |
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07-18-19 | Toronto v. Calgary OVER 52.5 | Top | 16-26 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on Toronto/Calgary OVER the total. While the champs remain without Bo Levi Mitchell, his replacement (Arbuckle) has shown that he can absolutely get it done in this league. He'll have plenty of success against a Toronto team which has given up an average of more than 40 points per game. The Argos will also have success on offense as Calgary has given up 30 or more points in three of its four games. Calgary's two home games finished with 60 and 68 points. Toronto saw last week's road game at Winnipeg finish with 69. Last season's game here finished with 54. Look for the OVER to improve to 4-0 the past four times that the Argos played on a Thursday night. |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton -4 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on HAMILTON. Enough is enough! To say that the Stampeders have owned the Ti-Cats would be an understatement. The last time that Hamilton beat the Stamps was way back in 2011, in a game at Moncton, New Brunswick. Since that time, Calgary has won 15 straight in the series, including a win in the 2014 Grey Cup. Times have changed, however, and this is the perfect time for the Ti-Cats to finally have their revenge. The Stamps are banged-up and without their starting QB, Bo Levi Mitchell. (Mitchell was the Grey Cup MVP last year and he was also the CFL's Most Outstanding Player.) The Cats are 3-0 their last three at home. In this season's two games here, they're outscoring teams by an average score of 32 to 13.5. Time for some long-awaited PAYBACK! |
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07-11-19 | Edmonton v. BC UNDER 55 | Top | 33-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on BC/Edmonton UNDER the total. These teams were involved in a fairly high-scoring game back in Week 2, the Eskimos putting up a whopping 39 points. Playing at home and off a strong defensive effort, I expect the Lions to be much better defensively in this evening's rematch. Note that BC is off an 18-17 win last week. As BC defensive back Aaron Grymes noted: "They say there's no good coverage for a perfect throw and a perfect catch. And the Eskimos seem to have a lot of those. But if we can get them off their mark and mess their timing up, then the ball's in our court, it favours us. So we've got to make sure we do that." Like the Lions, the Eskimos are off a fairly low-scoring game; they lost 28-21 to Winnipeg. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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07-06-19 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan OVER 51 | Top | 37-10 | Loss | -107 | 101 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/Saskatchewan OVER the total. I'm 3-0 in Saskatchewan games so far this season. I successfully played against the Riders in their opening loss at Hamilton. Since then, I've backed them in their wins at Ottawa and vs. Toronto. In both those games, their offense looked good with QB Fajardo running the show. By halftime of last week's game Fajardo had already thrown for 293 passing yards and two TD's while also rushing for another. That game ended up having a lengthy lightning delay. The combination of the delay and the Argos' ineptitude on offense, seemed to slow the game down. Still, Fajardo finished with 430 passing yards. This week, instead of facing the punchless Argos, Fajardo and co. will be facing the defending Grey Cup champs, a team very capable of putting up a big number. Calgary put up 36 points last game. The last three meetings between these teams have produced 56, 67 and 53 points, all three finishing above the number. Expect more of the same here. |
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07-01-19 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -10 | Top | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 57 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on SASKATCHEWAN. I've always been a believer in not over-reacting to one game. That said, if a team looks really really good, or really really bad, I also don't just completely discount what I've witnessed. In case you missed it, the Argos were atrocious in their opener. Hosting Hamilton, the Argos were awful in all facets of the game and lost 64-14. There were too many problems to expect them all to get resolved over the course of one week. Don't expect the Riders to feel sorry for them. Saskatchewan has been involved in two close games, losing both. Those came on the road though, a 23-17 loss at Hamilton and a 44-41 setback at Ottawa. Playing their home opener and stepping down considerably in class, they're going to be fired up. Not only will the Riders have the advantage of playing at home, in front of a raucous Canada Day crowd, they've also had a couple of extra days of preparation time. Fajardo looked sharp last week and the defense looked good against the Ti-Cats. Look for the Riders, who are 2-0 SU/ATS the last two times they hosted the Argos, to put it all together, pulling away for a double-digit win. |
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06-28-19 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 59 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 101 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on Montreal/Hamilton UNDER the total. After Hamilton exploded for 64 points against the Argos last week, we're working with a generously high total for this week's game vs. Montreal. Consider that the most recent meeting had an O/U line of 48.5 and that this line is much higher than any recent O/U line between these teams. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. Even factoring in last week's result, the TiCats have still seen the UNDER go a profitable 21-7 their last 28 games in June. The Als have been even more profitable for 'under' bettors at this time of year, as the UNDER is 24-4 their last 28 in June. I expect Montreal to have trouble scoring in this one. While its easy to remember last week's high-scoring affair, keep in mind that Hamilton's first game was low-scoring, a 23-17 win over Saskatchewan. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg -3.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 78 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. While both teams are undefeated, I like the home team for a number of reasons. The Eskimos are 2-0 and are playing on a shorter than normal week. The Bombers are 1-0; they had last week off. That figures to benefit them here. Last week was an emotional victory for the Eskimos, as it came against their former QB. A letdown will not surprise. Keep in mind that the Eskimos went through numerous changes in the offseason, overhauling their team. It hasn't caught up with them yet but they also haven't played on the road yet. Now, they'll take on a talented Winnipeg team which is hungry to win its home opener. The Bombers are 3-0 SU/ATS their last three games here, winning by a combined score of 91-35. Expect another win and cover on Thursday. |
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06-22-19 | Hamilton v. Toronto UNDER 53 | Top | 64-14 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing Toronto/Hamilton UNDER the total. The Ti-Cats won with defense in Week 1. They limited Saskatchewan to just 17 points, winning 23-17. Not bad considering that same Saskatchewan team just put up 41 on Thursday. Note that the Hamilton defense will not be without Simoni Lawrence, as he's eligible to play while appealing his suspension. What wasn't so impressive was the Ti-Cat offense. QB Masoli was only average, looking shaky much of the game. Seven of their 23 points came on a punt-return TD. Now, Masoli will also be without one of his top weapons, as WR Luke Tasker was ruled out on Thursday. Head Coach Steinauer noted: "I don't expect anybody to replace Luke." The Argos may be a little rusty on offense themselves, playing their first game. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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06-20-19 | Saskatchewan +6 v. Ottawa | Top | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 76 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on SASKATCHEWAN. I successfully played against the Riders last week. However, I really like how this one sets up for them. Off their Week 1 loss, the Riders are going to be hungry to get back on track. In the Week 1 loss, the Riders lost their starting QB (Collaros) early in the game. Hamilton's Simoni Lawrence has since been handed a 2-game suspension. Whether its Fajardo or Harker behind center for this one, they'll have had a normal week's worth of preparation and will be ready to go. Thats more than can be said for Ottawa. The Redblacks are off a comeback revenge win over the defending champs, at Calgary. (You may recall that Calgary beat them in the Grey Cup.) That game at Calgary was on Saturday, making for a short week. Given that short week and what an emotional win Saturday's game was, I believe the Redblacks are ripe for a letdown. Grab the points but don't be surprised when the Riders score the outright upset. |
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06-15-19 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 51.5 | Top | 33-23 | Win | 100 | 121 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on Winnipeg/BC OVER the total. The Bombers are a team capable of putting up big points. In fact, they scored considerably more points than any team in the league last year. They'll face a BC team which allowed more points than any team in the West last season and which suffered some key offseason losses. BC's offense gets a big shot in the arm with Reilly now running the show. He's got two Grey Cup rings to his credit, along with a Grey Cup MVP award and a CFL's Most Outstanding Player Award. With three road games following this one, Reilly and co. know they really need this one. They're going to need to score a lot of points if they want it though. Seven of the last nine meetings between these teams have produced 53 or more points. Expect this one to also do so. |
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06-13-19 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton -2.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 70 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on HAMILTON. The Riders have had the edge in this series in recent years. Expect Hamilton to get some payback on Opening Night. While the Ti-Cats should be a team on the rise, don't be surprised if Saskatchewan takes a step back this season. The Ticats bring back QB Masoli along with his top receiving weapons. Thats a good thing. Masoli threw for more than 5200 yards, top in the East. His 28 passing TDs also led the East. The Riders lost both their coach and GM in the offseason. They tried to sign a new QB (Bo Levi Mitchell) but failed to do so. So, they're settling with who they already had, Zach Collaros. On the defensive side, losing defensive end Willie Jefferson is a blow. Ticats start the season with a victory, covering the small number along the way. |
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11-25-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary -4 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 125 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. After coming up short each of the past two seasons - against Ottawa (in OT) in 2016 and by three against Toronto last year, the Stamps are on a mission. They've been the class of the league for years (this is their 6th Grey Cup in last 11 years) and are absolutely determined not to come up empty again. Note that they were much bigger favorites in the Grey Cup, each of the past two seasons. I feel that they could easily be bigger favorites here, too. Jonathan Rose getting suspended by the league will make an already difficult task for Ottawa that much tougher. Rose, who had five INT's this season and who has been an all-star each of the past two seasons, was suspended by the league - though he has appealed the decision. Even if he manages to find a way to play, the distraction isn't going to help Ottawa. Either way, it won't matter. While its normally enemy territory, the fact that the game is being played in Edmonton figures to help the Stamps. Enough's enough. Stamps win big. |
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11-03-18 | Montreal +7.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 55 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* GAME OF MONTH). I played on the Als last week and they rewarded me with a 40-10 victory. While their season is over, I expect the Als to want this one more than their hosts. This is the Als' final game of the season and they really want to build off last week's big win and carry some positive momentum - and good feelings - into the offseason. While June Jones may say otherwise, the Ti-Cats, on the other hand, could care less about this game. Already very banged-up and guaranteed of facing BC in the playoffs next week, the Ti-Cats just want to avoid further injury. I'll gladly take all the generous points but I'm expecting an outright upset. |
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10-28-18 | Toronto v. Montreal OVER 49.5 | Top | 10-40 | Win | 100 | 144 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on Montreal/Toronto to finish OVER the total. As you may be aware, these teams just met at Toronto last week. Playing their home finale, the Argos won that one by four points, 26-22. While the offenses really started to click towards the end of the game, the final score fell just below the total with 48 combined points. I expect the offense which we saw in the fourth quarter of that game to carry over into Sunday. These two QBs have a history; you may recall that Toronto QB Franklin got the better of Manziel in a 2013 SEC showdown between Missouri and A&M. Both QBs are going to be doing their thing and with only pride to play for, I expect plenty of points. The Argos have allowed 38 and 42 points in their last two road games, both of which finished above the number. Going back a little further finds six of their last nine on the road have finished over the total. More of the same Sunday. |
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10-28-18 | Toronto v. Montreal | Top | 10-40 | Win | 100 | 141 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* GAME OF WEEK). As you may be aware, these teams just met at Toronto last week. Playing their home finale, the Argos won that one by four points. With both teams playing out the string, motivation becomes key. The team that wants it more has an excellent chance at victory. Playing at home with revenge from last week and looking to get Manziel a win, I expect the Als to be the team which wants it more. While the "W's" haven't been there, Manziel has been making major strides. You may recall that Toronto QB Franklin got the better of Manziel in 2013 SEC showdown between Missouri and A&M. Its taken five years but Manziel finally gets some payback. |
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10-20-18 | Montreal v. Toronto -4 | 22-26 | Push | 0 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (8* ANNIHILATOR). These teams are playing for pride and to avoid the basement. That said, I believe that the Argos bring a little more to the table and that they're going to be a little 'hungrier.' The Argos know that they're winless on the road this season - they also know that they'll face these same Alouettes, at Montreal, where they're 0-3 SU/ATS their last three visits, next week. In other words, they better take care of business here. The Argos are 6-4 ATS their last 10 off a divisional loss. Note that Toronto is also 3-0 SU/ATS (33-19, 38-6, 30-13) its last three as a host in this series. Playing their home finale, expect a motivated effort from the Argos, en route to another home win and cover over the Als. |
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10-13-18 | Ottawa v. Edmonton -3.5 | Top | 16-34 | Win | 100 | 75 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Eskimos cost me last week, a game that they were covering the entire way, until the final couple of minutes. However, that won't prevent me from backing them again here. A look at eight meetings between these teams, here at Edmonton, reveals that the Eskimos were 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS. They were favored by an average of eight points in those games. This week's line is a lot lower and I believe thats providing excellent value. Eskimos bounce back. |
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10-08-18 | Edmonton +4 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 12-19 | Loss | -107 | 170 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. After getting embarrassed (30-3) in their last game, the Eskimos are going to be in an angry mood here. They've had an extra day of rest than the Riders, who squeaked past the Als, at Montreal, the next day. When these teams met in August, at Edmonton, the Eskimos were favored by seven points. (Edmonton won by 7.) While the venue has obviously changed, I don't think that's enough to warrant such a big difference in the line. The Eskimos have won three of their last five visits here outright. Both losses came by seven or less, one by just a field goal. I'm grabbing the points. |
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09-28-18 | Toronto v. Calgary -13 | 16-38 | Win | 100 | 80 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. (8* SPECIAL) The Argos have now dropped four straight, the last coming by a single point. On that type of skid and off that type of demoralizing loss, this is not the place to be coming to visit, on a short week. The Stamps are much better on both sides of the ball. They're off a bye and playing at home. The last meeting between these teams was at Toronto, in June. The Stamps won 41-7. The Stamps have also beaten the Argos four straight here at Calgary, the last two victories each coming by 16 or more. Expect another blowout. |
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09-21-18 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -10 | Top | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 100 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Als had a little spark but the Lions snuffed that out last week. Now, they turn to Manziel. However, he's in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Bombers are going to be in a foul mood and the Als are the perfect opponent to take it out on. Manziel may come with a big name but he's just 27 of 46 with FOUR interceptions in two CFL starts so far. Expect things to get worse for the former college star, before they get better. Bombers roll. |
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09-14-18 | BC -164 v. Montreal | 32-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BC (8*). Both these teams have some issues. However, BC has far fewer of them. The Lions, who have excellent against Eastern Conference opponents, are coming off an outstanding defensive effort which led to a momentum-building victory. Expect them to build off that performance, taking advantage of an inferior opponent en route to a rare road win. |
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09-02-18 | Winnipeg +3.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (10* GAME OF YEAR). While the Riders have certainly improved over the past several weeks, I still believe that the Bombers are the stronger of these two teams. They've won five of the last six meetings and hammered the Riders by a 48-28 score in the last meeting here. Yes, I did successfully go against Winnipeg last week. However, that was at Calgary, against the best team in the league. The final score was a little misleading too, as Winnipeg led much of the way, giving the Stamps all they can handle. I was impressed with the Bombers' play and felt somewhat fortunate to come away with the win. Off back-to-back losses, they're going to be extremely hungry here. In a game where I expect the underdog to win outright, I'll happily grab the points. |
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08-25-18 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -9 | Top | 26-39 | Win | 100 | 75 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Both these teams were upset in their last game. I expect the Stamps to be the team which bounces back with a big win. The Stamps, who remain the class of the league, have dominanted the Bombers over the years. Indeed, even with a loss here last November, they've won 17 of the last 19 meetings. Three of Calgary's last four victories against Winnipeg have come by double-digits. Overall, the Stamps have won five straight at home. The last four of those victories came by a minimum of nine points and by an average of 12.5. Expect another double-digit win on Saturday afternoon. |
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08-02-18 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton -7 | Top | 19-26 | Push | 0 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Eskimos have a lot going for them. In addition to being the superior team and playing at home, they come in with positive momentum and confidence. Their last game was a blowout win over Montreal. Saskatchewan, meanwhile, was humbled by Calgary. Making matters worse for the Riders, they'll be playing on a short week, the Eskimos playing with two more day's worth of rest than them. Expect a blowout. |
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07-28-18 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan OVER 47 | 34-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Calgary/Saskatchewan to finish OVER the total (8* SPECIAL). With all due respect to the Calgary defense, which has proven to be very strong, this O/U line is too low. Saskatchewan managed 31 points its last game. Calgary averages 34 ppg on the road. Seven meetings since the start of the 2015 season have ALL had O/U lines which were greater than 50. Expect the Stamps to exceed the 30 point mark and Sask. to do enough to provide the rest, the final combined score finishing above the low number. |
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07-28-18 | Ottawa v. Hamilton -6 | Top | 21-15 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on HAMILTON (10* ANNIHILATOR). After getting upset by the Riders here last week, the Ti-Cats are going to be in an angry mood. They've had an extra day to get ready for this one, compared to Ottawa, while also allowing their anger to build. Ottawa beat the 'Cats by one here (30-29) two meetings ago and then hammered them (37-18) here last August. (They proceeded to split a pair of games at Ottawa.) Enough's enough. Its payback time. Hamilton rolls. |
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07-19-18 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton -10.5 | Top | 31-20 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on HAMILTON (10* GAME OF MONTH). While I won with the Riders in the meeting two weeks ago, this is still a team with plenty of problems. Having been upset in that one and having also been swept by the Riders last season, the revenge-minded Ti-Cats are coming in with a score to settle. Playing on their homefield, where they've won their last two games by a combined score of 64-17, they're more than capable of blowing out a Rider team which lost its lone road game by a score of 40-17. Expect a double-digit victory for the home team. |
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07-13-18 | Toronto v. Edmonton OVER 53.5 | 15-16 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Toronto/Edmonton OVER the total (8* MAIN EVENT). These teams played a relatively low-scoring game at Toronto earlier. However, I'm expecting Friday's rematch, which has a lower O/U line, to be higher-scoring. While this season's earlier game fell below the number, all four meetings the past two seasons topped the total. Both of this season's Eskimo home games have finished above the total. Those games averaged greater than 60 points. Expect the Eskimos to top the 30-point mark, the Argos providing enough help to send the combined total points above the relatively low number, the OVER improving to 20-10 the past 30 times that Edmonton was listed as a favorite. |
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07-12-18 | Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 54.5 | Top | 27-3 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/Ottawa OVER the total (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). This O/U line is a little lower than it was when these teams met a couple of weeks ago, at Calgary. I feel thats providing us with excellent value. The RedBlacks were unable to effectively move the ball at Calgary but they'll be able to do so on their homefield. The Stamps, meanwhile, are capable of putting up points, regardless of value. Remarkably, the last two meetings here have both ended in ties, most recently a 31-31 final here last season. Overall, even factoring in the recent low-scoring game at Calgary, the last five meetings have averaged 65 points. Expect more of the same on Thursday, the OVER improving to 7-2 the past 2+ seasons, when the Stamps have played in the month of July. |
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07-07-18 | BC +6 v. Winnipeg | Top | 19-41 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on BC (10* GAME OF WEEK). Nine straight meetings between these teams have been decided by 10 or fewer points. The average margin of victory in those games was just 4.67 points. A closer look reveals that only one of those nine games resulted in a Winnipeg victory of greater than six points and that came way back in 2015. While the Bombers have historically struggled when laying points, the Lions have long thrived as road underdogs of this size. In fact, they're a profitable 38-20 ATS the past 58 times that they were listed as road underdogs in the 3.5 to 7 range. |
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07-05-18 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan +7.5 | Top | 13-18 | Win | 100 | 34 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on SASKATCHEWAN (8* MAIN EVENT). Last week, I stated that the Riders shouldnt be laying double-digits. They lost outright. This week, however, they're getting more than a touchdown at the betting window. Thats a huge swing and I believe that the value has now shifted their way. The Riders are 3-0 the last three meetings with Hamilton and they were home underdogs for two of those. With the Ticats just 3-7 ATS the last 10 times that they were favored in the -3.5 to -9.5 range and just 0-2 ATS the past two seasons, when off two or more consec. victories, I'm grabbing the generous points. |
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06-30-18 | Montreal +10.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with MONTREAL (10* GAME OF MONTH). I'm well aware that the Als were horrible last year and that they've struggled out of the gate again this year. However, Saskatchewan is a team which they can compete against; they've beaten the Riders three of the last four meetings. This time, they catch a Rider team which will be without its starting QB, as Zach Collaros is down with injury. Brandon Bridge did perform decently in his lone start last season. However, arguably a bigger concern is the Rider offensive line protecting him. We have to go back a number of years but the Riders are just 1-5 ATS their last six as home favorites in the -10.5 to -14 range. Given the QB situation, I don't feel they should be laying double-digits. Expect the Als to give them all they can handle. |
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06-28-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary OVER 56 | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -107 | 71 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on Ottawa/Calgary to finish OVER the total. Nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams, including seven straight, have finished above the total. The last four meetings have seen combined scores of 82, 62, 72 and 71. Expect the defending Western Champs to put up a big number, their guests providing enough help to again send the final combined score above the total. |
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06-23-18 | Calgary v. Toronto OVER 51 | Top | 41-7 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/Toronto OVER the total (10* GAME OF WEEK). With both teams finishing below the number in Week 1, we're getting a relatively low number to work with for Saturday's Grey Cup rematch, one which has come down from its opener. I believe it'll prove to be too low. Consider that this number is far lower than it was when these teams played in the snow last November. Both offenses remain extremely capable. The Stamps moved the ball well last week and are very difficult to stop. They're going to be on a revenge mission here. Meanwhile, the Argos are going to want to prove their victory wasn't a fluke and they're going to be determined to protect/defend their homefield. Look for both teams to put up a fairly big number, the final combined score proving higher than many will be expecting. |
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06-16-18 | Hamilton v. Calgary -7.5 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Ti-Cats are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. After last year's loss in the Grey Cup, the Stamps are going to be in an angry mood. They've still got loads of talent, more than enough to take out their frustrations on the visiting Cats. With an O/U line in the mid 50s, note that Calgary is a perfect 14-0 SU the past 2+ seasons, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 52 or greater. The Stamps went a lucrative 11-3 ATS in those games. That includes an 11-2 ATS mark when the line fell in the 52 to 56.5 range. That includes a 60-1 destruction of Hamilton the last time the teams met here. This one isn't likely to get that ugly again but the Stamps will eventually pull away for another double-digit win. |
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06-14-18 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg +7.5 | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 58 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Its been quite some time since a rookie QB started Week 1 of the CFL season, after coming straight from college. In fact, it hasn't happened since Anthony Calvillo's rookie season, some 24 years ago. (Calvillo would go on to break basically every major CFL passing record: most TD's, most passing yards, most completions etc.) With the Bombers set to start a rookie, the line has climbed from its opener and not many are giving them much of a chance. That doesn't mean that Chris Steveler can't be successful on Thursday night though. Steveler, a finalist for the Walter Payton award, threw for over 6000 yards in college. The 23-year old has excellent speed and he was 10 of 10 in his preseason debut. While the Eskimos are obviously going to present a tough test, Steveler is surrounded with plenty of weapons and is backed by a Winnipeg team which was strong last season. The Bombers beat the Eskimos in both regular season meetings last year before falling by seven points in the playoffs. With revenge on their minds, expect them to give their guests all they can handle again on opening night. |
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11-26-17 | Calgary v. Toronto OVER 53 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the over Stamps/Argos. Calgary is gunning for its eighth Grey Cup in franchise history. And with QB Bo Levi Mitchell under center, it’s no wonder why the Stamps are the big fav in this one. Mitchell finished with 4,700 yards, 23 TD’s and 11 picks this year. RB Jerome Messsam leads the way on the ground for Calgary with 1,016 yards and nine TD’s. Toronto is seeking its 17th Grey Cup. The Argos come in with a ton of momentum, having won six of their last eight. QB Ricky Ray completed 71 percent of his passes this year for 5,546 yards, 28 TD’s and 11 picks. Ray comes in on top form, having two or more TD passes in fve of his last ten games. With these two QB studs going head-to-head on the CFL’s biggest stage, I look for this one to go over the total as it comes down the stretch. |
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10-21-17 | Edmonton v. BC -1.5 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on BC (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Lions have been elminated from postseason contention. That doesn't mean that they're going to pack it in though. In fact, playing with "double-revenge" against the hated Eskimos, the pressure now officially off, I expect their very best effort. BC's Jeremiah Johnson noted: "New team, new week. We have to pull our pants up, tighten up our ties a little more and let it loose. I know we have more than enough guys on this team to finish this thing off 3-0. We're professionals. Any competitor doesn't want to go out with a bad taste in their mouth, whether it's for a playoff spot or different." While the Lions remain a profitable 7-3 ATS off two or more consecutive losses, the Eskimos are just 9-15 ATS off two or more consecutive wins. Going back further finds them at a money-burning 38-63 ATS in that situation, over the years. Look for the Lions to show some pride and for them to bounce back with a big effort. |
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10-13-17 | Calgary v. Hamilton +10 | Top | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on HAMILTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Ti-Cats have had this game circled, ever since Calgary beat them by an embarrassing 60-1 margin earlier in the season. That was rock-bottom for Hamilton, the loss dropped them to 0-5. It was the first time the Ti-Cats had started 0-5 since 2007 (when they finished 3-15) and it marked the biggest margin of victory in Calgary's franchise history. The 'Cats are playing much better these days though. They're off a dominating 30-12 victory at Winnipeg, winning as a double-digit underdog. They've now won four of their last six games - note that both the losses came by single-digits. Admittedly, the Stamps are still a very strong team, one which comes in on a roll. That said, they're 0-3 ATS the last three times that they were listed as road favorites in the -7.5 to -10 range and I expect them to find a very determined Hamilton team waiting for them. Expect AT LEAST a cover from the revenge-minded home underdog. |
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10-09-17 | Edmonton -7.5 v. Montreal | Top | 42-24 | Win | 100 | 52 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* GOM). The Eskimos badly need a win and the Als are the perfect opponent for them to get one against. Not only is Montreal really struggling right now, to put it lightly, but the Eskimos have dominated this rivalry for years. True, the Als did play the Eskimos close earlier, Edmonton winning by only four. However, that was before the Als completely fell apart. Two weeks after the 4-point loss at Edmonton, the Als actually won at Calgary. However, they're no longer the same team. Last week, the Stamps came here to Montreal and beat the Als by a score of 59-11. That dropped Montreal to 0-7 SU/ATS its last seven games. Six of those seven losses came by 14 or more points. Facing a much better Montreal team, the Eskimos won by 20 (40-20) the last time they played here. Prior to the earlier non-cover at Edmonton, the Eskimos had been 6-0 SU/ATS their preivous six in the series. Expect them to continue that dominance, another double-digit victory for the visitors. |
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08-24-17 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +1 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams met on a Thursday one month ago, at Winnipeg. You may recall that one, as it was one of the wildest games of the season. Even if you don't remember it, the Als certainly haven't forgotten. Thats because Winnipeg stunned them on the final play to win 41-40. Playing at home, the Als should get some payback this evening. Montreal is 3-1 here, limiting visiting teams to a mere 17.7 ppg. While the Bombers have had success on the road, they do allow 31.7 ppg away from Winnipeg. It should also be noted that they're an ugly 2-10 SU/ATS the last 12 times that they were listed as road favorites of three or fewer points. While the Bombers come in as the hotter team, look for home field and "revenge" to ultimately prove the difference. *GOW |
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08-03-17 | Calgary v. Toronto +5 | 41-24 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO 8* MAIN EVENT. I successfully played against the Argos last week. However, I believe they're offering excellent value here. Calgary is obviously a strong team. The Stamps could easily be a little complacent here though, after last weekend's 60-1 destruction of Hamilton. Meanwhile, after dropping their game at Saskatchewan, the Argos should be hungry. Certainly, last week's result have helped to provide some added line value with the home underdog. Though the Stamps have had an extra day, both teams are on a short week. I expect that to favor the home team. While an upset won't surprise, I'm grabbing the generous points. |
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07-29-17 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -2.5 | Top | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 92 h 25 m | Show |
10* GAME OF WEEK Saskatchewan Roughriders. Toronto is 3-2, having traded wins and losses so far to open the 2017 campaign, most recently beating Ottawa 27-24. Argos’ veteran QB Ricky Ray has nearly 1,900 yards, six TD’s and three INT’s so far this year. WR SJ Green is another standout with 31 receptions for 518 yards and a TD, but the ground game has so far been a weak point on the offensive side. At 1-3, the Roughriders will clearly be looking for a better performance at home after falling 27-10 to Calgary last time out. Saskatchewan QB Kevin Glenn has been solid this year as well, so far with seven TD’s and four INT’s. WR Naaman Roosevelt has 29 catches for 342 yards and a TD on the year. This has been a spot in which Toronto has struggled in significantly for bettors though, already 0-2 ATS this season off a win against a division rival, it’s also just 1-7 ATS in its last eight in the same position. Conversely, Saskatchewan has already done well in this spot by going 2-0 ATS this year in non-conference games. I like the “hungrier” home side to pull away down the stretch. Play on the Roughriders. |
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07-21-17 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 56 | Top | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
10* TOTAL OF MONTH on over Blue Bombers/Lions. This is a pivotal, albeit early Western Conference matchup. The Blue Bombers are 2-1 and the Lions are 3-1. Winnipeg is led by QB Matt Nichols, who has 826 yards, five TD’s and three INT’s on the year. One other player on the Bombers’ offense to keep your eyes on is WR Westron Dressler, who has 19 catches for 309 yards and two TD’s. It’s yet to be seen who will be under center for BC, as Jon Jennings was injured in last week’s victory at Hamilton. Backup Travis Lulay was admirable in relief and now has 436 yards, three TD’s and two INT’s. WR Nic Moore has 18 receptions for 340 yards and one TD (RB Jeremiah Johnson has 265 yards and four TD’s already this year.) The over is 6-0 in Winnipeg’s last six against clubs with winning records, while the over is 5-1 in BC’s last six at home overall. With each team pushing the pace from start to finish, look for this one to fly over the number as it comes down the stretch. |
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07-20-17 | Edmonton v. Hamilton +3.5 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 75 h 32 m | Show |
10* GAME OF WEEK Hamilton. I had a big play on Hamilton last week and it jumped out to a decent start, but then fell apart to BC’s high-octane offense down the stretch. It’s essentially “do-or-die” for the Ti-Cats this week though, as despite a long 18-game season, an 0-4 hole out of the gate would likely be just too much for the team to climb out of. Hamilton is desperate at 0-3, while Edmonton comes to town contented at 3-0. Eskimos QB Mike Reilly has posted four TD’s in his last three games. The ground game for the visitors averages just 99.3 YPG though. The Eskimos get the job done on the defensive side of the ball, allowing just 22.3 PPG thus far. That means that the pressure is on Ti-Cats QB Zach Collaros to step up with his best performance of the 2017 campaign (so far he has 792 yards, two TD’s and two INT’s.) Hamilton has struggled defensively, but note that the Ti-Cats have excelled in this spot for bettors over the years by going 6-3 ATS in their last nine after two or more consecutive SU losses and 5-3 ATS in their last eight as an underdog of three to nine points (conversely, the Eskimos are just 9-11 ATS in their last 20 as a favorite of three to nine points.) All signs point to a letdown for Edmonton. Grab the points. |
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07-08-17 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -1 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 125 h 19 m | Show |
10* GAME OF WEEK on Saskatchewan Roughriders. Both teams are winless and each will be as equally as hungry for a victory today. However, I think the 0-2 Roughriders will finally find a way to punch one into the win column after back-to-back heart-breaking losses to open the season. QB Kevin Glenn has completed 72 percent of his passes over the first two games for 675 yards, five TD’s and three INT’s. You’ll also want to keep your eyes on the WR combo of Caleb Holley and Nic Demski, who have caught 398 receiving yards and two TD’s. The Roughriders’ have been putting points on the board, but it’s been on the defensive side where the team has lacked, allowing 30 PPG (Sam Williams leads Saskatchewan with 12 tackles so far.) The Ti-Cats had a bye after falling to the Argos in Toronto in Week 1. Unfortunately, a date on the road is not what the doctor ordered for Hamilton to get back on track as it’s lost six of its last seven away from friendly confines. QB Zach Collaros had 242 yards, zero TD’s and an INT in the loss to Toronto. Defensively the Ti-Cats allowed 32 points and 545 yards, which doesn’t bode well in facing Glenn and his dynamic receiving unit. Hamilton plays its next two games at home, so the possibility of it getting caught looking ahead becomes a factor here. But more than anything, I think the Roughriders leave everything they have on the field to earn their first victory of the year. Play on Saskatchewan. |
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06-30-17 | Montreal v. Edmonton UNDER 51.5 | Top | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 100 h 26 m | Show |
10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK under Alouettes/Eskimos. Montreal has split its last six road games. The Alouettes opened up the year with a 17-16 win at home and in my opinion, all signs point to another lower-scoring defensive battle here. QB Darian Durant was efficient against his former team in the Week 1 victory, finishing with 233 yards, two TD’s and zero INT’s. The Al’s ground game posted 99 yards, while Tyrell Sutten led the way with six tackles defensively. Edmonton comes in off a wild 30-27 win over BC in its opener. The Eskimos have to be feeling confident here as they’ve won four of their last five home games. QB Mike Reilly also had a big Week 1, finishing with 315 yards, two TD’s and no INT’s. RB John White went for 104 yards and a TD last week. Adam Konar led the team defensively with seven tackles, while Odell Willis and two sacks. I believe we’ll see a bit of a letdown from each side offensively this week at they get ready to battle in this non-conference matchup. This number is just a little high, play the under. |
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06-29-17 | Ottawa v. Calgary -7 | Top | 39-43 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 49 m | Show |
10* GAME OF MONTH Calgary Stampeders. Calgary finished 15-2-1 last year and lost to Ottawa in the Grey Cup. These teams played to a 31-31 tie in Week 1, but I think the scales will now finally tip in favor of the high-powered Stampeders, who I expect to dominate from start to finish in front of the home town crowd. Ottawa QB Trevor Harris had 300 yards, three TD’s and an INT last week. The Redblacks finished with 116 yards on the ground last week as well. But as mentioned off the top, the Stamps have to be feeling pretty good in this spot as they haven’t lost a home game since October of 2015. QB Bo Levi Mitchell was the “cream of the crop” last year and he finished with 376 yards, two TD’s and no INT’s last week. Marquay McDaniel and DaVaris Daniels combined for 204 receiving yards. Ottawa has struggled in this spot for bettors, just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a road dog in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Calgary is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a home fav in the 7.5 to ten points range. Home field advantage can’t be overlooked this week. Neither can the “revenge” angle. All signs point to Calgary finally getting some revenge from last year’s Grey Cup debacle. Lay the points. |
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06-25-17 | Hamilton v. Toronto +3.5 | Top | 15-32 | Win | 100 | 56 h 3 m | Show |
10* GAME OF WEEK Toronto Argonauts. Hamiton’s hopes once again ride on the arm of QB Zach Collaros who was good (2,900 yards, 18 TD’s) last year, but note great (the TiCats finishd 7-11). Collaros’s favorite target was Luke Tasker, who caught 76 passes for 852 yards. RB CJ Gable rounds out a decent offense. There’s really only one way the Toronto Argonauts can go this year and that’s up. The Argos gave up a league high 568 points last season, prompting the team to focus heavily on revamping its secondary and defensive line. QB Ricky Ray is back under center and he’ll clearly be looking to improve upon his 2,400 yards that he posted in 2016. Ray though has both the track record and pedigree to return to form (he started 2016 injured and was never really able to get a handle on the season after that). Ray will be leaning heavily on talented back Brandon Whitaker, who also dealt with injury issues in 2016. Ray has plenty of raw talent at receiver as well with ex-NFL veterans DeVier Pose and Armanti Edwards. Toronto finally moves into its new home (BMO Field) and I think it’ll be able to ride the wave of emotion to a victory today (or at the very least, a comfortable cover). In a contest which I foresee being decided in the final moments, I’m grabbing the points. |
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06-22-17 | Saskatchewan +7 v. Montreal | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
10* MAIN EVENT on Saskatchewan Roughriders. There’s not much to do in Saskatchewan, Canada. The Roughriders are one of the main draws in the City and after going just 5-13 last year, the team will be looking to start things off on the “right foot” in 2017. Sask. has three capbable QB’s which will be competing for the starting job to open the season in Kevin Glenn, Brandon Bridge and Marquise Williams. Whoever wins the job, they’re surrounded by dangerous offensive weapons, including 1,000-yard receiver Naaman Roosevelt and dynamic RB Greg Morris. Montreal fans can empathize with the Roughriders, as their once league-leading team has fallen on hard times of late, finishing just 7-11 last season. Montreal has Darian Durant at QB, last year he threw for more than 3,800 yards for Saskatchewan. The Als also have plenty of offensive weapons, including Nik Lewis, Brandon Rutley and Sam Giguere. Both teams went through some changes on the defensive end, so I’m calling this area a “wash.” I think these offenses are even as well, as each side will have to go through some growing pains to open the campaign. Note though that the Roughriders are 10-7 ATS their last 17 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, while Montreal is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a fav of 3.5 to 9.5 points. I think this one is going to be decided in the final moments. Grab the points. |
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09-24-16 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan +5 | Top | 18-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on SASKATCHEWAN. This will be the final year that games are played at Mosaic Stadium at Taylor Field, as it will be replaced by a new Mosaic Stadium next year. With the Ti-Cats coming to town, fans will recall the most-important home-field victory in Saskatchewan history, when the Riders hammered Hamilton here to win the Grey Cup, a few years ago. While those fond memories remain strong in Regina, recent memories haven't been nearly as sweet. This year's team has struggled, particularly on the road, where the Riders are 0-6. The worst of those losses came back in August, at Hamilton. In that 8/20 game, the Ti-Cats destroyed the Riders by a 53-7 margin. I don't believe that result sat too well with the Riders' players and coaches. Despite their commanding lead, the Ti-Cats were throwing the ball right up until the end, throwing for the final TD with just over a minute to go. The Riders haven't forgotten and they've been waiting to get some payback here at home, where they play much better. Note that they're 16-5 SU and 15-6 ATS their last 21 home meetings with the Ti-Cats. Hamilton isn't as good on the road, going 3-4 SU/ATS and outscoring teams by a 29.1 to 29 margin. The Riders are 3-1 ATS as home underdogs in the 3.5 to 7 range. I look for them to improve on those stats tonight with an excellent shot at the outright upset. |
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