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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-13-23 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary -3.5 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 674 Calgary Stampeders over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Friday, October 13 9:30 PM) The Stampeders and Roughriders meet for the proverbial "rubber match", having split the season so far. This matchup is about the defenses, as both offenses are almost identical in scoring. Saskatchewan gives up an average of 31.0 ppg, the worst in the CFL. Calgary surrenders 26.7 ppg, 4th-best. We think the Stampeders take the season series. Calgary is also 13-5 SU in its last 18 home games against Saskatchewan. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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10-09-23 | Ottawa +6.5 v. Montreal | 3-29 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 43 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #687 Ottawa +6 over Montreal (1p.m., Monday, October 9 CBSSN) The Holiday Weekend continues on Monday with this afternoon game in the CFL. These two teams played last week and turnovers were again the story. Ottawa moved the football up and down the field but were done in by turnovers. The RedBlacks can score points and thus should be able to cover this 6 point spread. Montreal is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday Holiday games. If Ottawa can hand onto the football they should be able to emerge victorious. |
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09-29-23 | Saskatchewan v. BC -10 | 26-33 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 674 BC -10 vs. Saskatchewan (Friday, September 29th 10:30 PM) The BC Lion have the 3rd-highest scoring offense at 27.6 ppg, while Saskatchewan has the 3rd-lowest at 21.6 ppg. The Roughriders have the worst scoring defense at 30.4 points per game, while BC comes in again at the 3rd best, 22.0. Our models have the Lions winning by 20 points, so having to only lay half of that is like an early Halloween treat. BC is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 home games. Take the home team and lay the points. |
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09-29-23 | Toronto +7.5 v. Winnipeg | 21-31 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take 671 Toronto +7.5 against Winnipeg (Friday, September 29th 8:00 PM) A true clash of the CFL Titans, these are the top 2 offenses AND defenses in the league. The Args average 33.8 ppg, with Winnipeg coming in at 32.0. They are flipped on defense, as the Blue Bombers are allowing 20.9 ppg and Toronto 21.4. The Args have been road warriors recently, going 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last 7 road games. Meanwhile, Winnipeg has struggled slightly, going 2-4 in its last 6 games. Anytime you get to take a team that's ranked 1st and 2nd in scoring offense and defense, with a TD, grab them. PICK: Toronto and the points. |
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09-22-23 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa +2 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 682 Ottawa Redblacks over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Friday, Sept. 22, 7:00 PM CBSSN) Even though the Redblacks are in the midst of a 7-game losing streak, we like for them to rebound and stop the bleeding here. They still have a better scoring offense (24 ppg vs. 21.2) AND a better scoring defense (27 ppg vs. 29.9) During this losing streak, the Roughriders beat Ottawa 26-24 in Saskatchewan. |
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09-04-23 | Toronto -7.5 v. Hamilton | 41-28 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 675 Toronto Argonauts -7.5 at Hamilton TigerCats (Monday, Sept. 4th, 3:30 p.m.) Toronto, with the league's highest-scoring offense at 34.1 ppg, takes on the league's 3rd-worst scoring D at 26.1 ppg. Toronto's scoring differential is +11.22, while Hamilton's is -6.10. The Args are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games, and 4-2 in the L/6 games at the TiCats. Take the favorite here. |
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08-25-23 | Calgary v. Toronto -9.5 | 31-39 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 684 Toronto Argonauts -10 vs Calgary Stampeders (Friday, Aug. 25th, 7:30 p.m.) This line has opened at 8.5 and is now up to 10 in most places (9.5 in some)...and for good reason. Toronto's offense is the most prolific in the CFL this season, putting up 33.5 PPG while the defense allows 21.9 PPG. Calgary meanwhile is only scoring 21.7 PPG while giving up 25.5 PPG. The Args are 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 tilts and a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS at home. Take the home team and lay the points. |
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08-13-23 | Ottawa v. Toronto -10 | 31-44 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take 688 Toronto Argonauts -10 vs. Ottawa Redblacks (Sunday, August 13th, 7:00 p.m.) We can thank Calgary for making this just a 10-point spread last week when they handed the Argonauts their first loss of the season. Toronto is 13-2 SU in their L15 home games against the Redblacks. In their last 8 meetings, the Args are 6-2 ATS against Ottawa. The Redblacks have gone 3-6 ATS in their L9. Lay the favorite and take Toronto to cover. |
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08-12-23 | Calgary v. BC -6 | 9-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 686 BC Lions -6.5 vs. Calgary Stampeders (Saturday, Aug. 12th 7:00 p.m.) A rematch of a Week 1 battle, won by BC 25-15. These 2 teams have headed in opposite directions since then, with BC's defense leading the league in scoring allowed and at the top for everything else. The first week should have been worse but 2 turnovers spared the Stampeders a thorough beatdown on their home field. That shouldn't happen again. Lay the favorite. |
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07-29-23 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto -10 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #684 Toronto Argonauts -10 over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Saturday, July 28th 4:00 p.m.) Toronto's offense is playing like an undefeated 5-0 team, leading in many of the offensive categories. The Arg's QB Chad Kelly is finally starting to live up to the hype, leading the league in completion percentage (71.7%) and QB Rating (116.5). Saskatchewan is back on it's 3rd QB again. The Argonauts are the only undefeated, both SU and ATS, in the league. Riding that train until it comes off the track. Take Toronto and LAY THE POINTS. |
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07-28-23 | Hamilton v. Ottawa | 16-12 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play.  Take 682 Ottawa Redblacks -1.5 over Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Friday, July 28th 7:30 p.m. CFL+) There has been a lot of wrong line movement this year in the CFL; this game is an example. The spread has dropped 2 points because Hamilton's QB Bo Levi Mitchell is returning after missing 4 games. The Redblacks are a defensive team and Ottawa has been swept up with "Crum-insanity" with backup QB Dustin Crum to straight come-from-behind wins. These 2 teams have gone in opposite directions from the 21-13 Hamilton win over Ottawa 3 weeks ago. Take OTTAWA as a short home favorite. |
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07-22-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | 9-19 | Push | 0 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take 675 Saskatchewan +10 vs BC (Saturday, July 22nd 7 p.m.) The Roughriders lost their starting QB last week and while backup Mason Fine was fine (pun intended) going 6-8 for 122 yards and 2 TDs. Now he'll have a full week of preparation to fully utilize his mobility (1 rush for 24 yards last week). The Roughriders have owned the Lions, going 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS against BC. They've done their part on the road as well, going 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five visits to British Columbia. Don't think they'll win this week but love getting points. |
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07-21-23 | Toronto -9 v. Hamilton | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take 673 Toronto Argonauts -9 vs Hamilton TigerCats (Friday, July 21 7:30) The Args are 5-0 both SU and ATS in its last 5 games and also 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 away games. Hamilton is now starting its 3rd-string QB with an offensive line that is struggling. This line has already move two points from the opening and still has room to slide. Take Toronto and lay the points. |
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07-15-23 | Calgary +1 v. Saskatchewan | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 687 Calgary Stampeders vs Saskatchewan Rough Riders (7:00 p.m. Saturday, July 15th) If you believe in the revenge narrative, this is the game for you. 3 weeks ago the Rough Riders came into Calgary and escaped with a 29-26 win as a 1.5-road dog. Saskatchewan has a lofty 3-1 record, but besides the win above against the Stamps, they've struggled to get their 2 wins against winless Edmonton. This is how rare that win was 3 weeks ago: The Stamps (including that loss) are 15-6 SU against the Rough Riders. Furthermore, the Riders are 1-7 SU and ATS in their last 8 games. We're betting they'll tack on another L. Take Calgary and the points. |
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07-15-23 | Winnipeg -9.5 v. Ottawa | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take 685 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -9.5 Ottawa Redblacks (4 p.m. Saturday, July 15th) Ottawa is 0-5 SU in their last 5 matchups against Winnipeg, and that was with healthy QBs. The Redblacks just lost their 2nd QB for the season. Now they're asked to play a team that is 4-1 on the season. That's a tough spot for any team, let alone one that's 1-3. Take Winnipeg and lay the points. |
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07-14-23 | Toronto -6 v. Montreal | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 683 Toronto -6 vs Montreal (7:30 p.m. Friday, July 14th ) Dating back to last season, the Args are on a 5-0 ATS streak. They're averaging 40 PPG and have won every game this season by double digits. Meanwhile, Montreal's offense hasn't been very exciting, averaging 19.8 PPG and going over 20 points only once this year. Take Toronto -6. |
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07-08-23 | Ottawa v. Hamilton -1 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 676 Hamilton over Ottawa (7:00 p.m. Saturday, July 8th) Ottawa's Jeremiah Masoli practiced this week and will make his first start of the season. It's a good thing because backup QB Tyrie Adams is out for the season with a knee injury. Ti Cats are 5-0 SU in L5 against the Redblacks. Masoli is good but there is severe rust to scrape off and if he's somehow injured, things get very dark for Ottawa quickly. Take the slight home favorite Hamilton tonight. |
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07-03-23 | BC -3 v. Toronto | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take 685 BC -3 points vs. Toronto (7:00 p.m. Monday, July 3rd). BC has looked dominant this season so far, with QB Vernon Adams Jr. hitting at a 73% clip for 861 yards. The Args QB, Chad Kelly, has been slightly less impressive, 58.7% and only 502 passing yards. Last week BC held a Winnipeg team averaging 27.5 PPG to 6 points. I see a similar result here. Take British Columbia -3. |
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07-01-23 | Winnipeg -6 v. Montreal | 17-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take 683 Winnipeg -6 over Montreal (7:00 p.m. Saturday, July 1st). Blue Bombers QB Zach Collaros had a dismal game against BC, sacked seven times and threw one pick, while only passing for 191 yards and no TDs. Montreal was the beneficiary of two Matt Shiltz INTs that minimized the 345 yards he threw for against the Als secondary. Collaros isn't going to be so generous with turnovers as Winnipeg will atone for their most recent poor effort in a big way. Take Winnipeg in this game. |
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06-30-23 | Edmonton Elks +2 v. Ottawa | 7-26 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 681 Edmonton +2 points vs. Ottawa (7:00 p.m. Friday, June 30th) Somebody has to win tonight, right? The Red Blacks are switching QBs from Nick Arbuckle to Tyrie Adams. However, he looked just as inept last week. The Elks have been able to move the ball and I think they could get the outright win. Take Edmonton plus the points. |
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06-09-23 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg -5 | 31-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 674 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -5 vs Hamilton (Friday, June 9th 8:30 CFL+) While the Tiger-Cats are excited about their new QB Bo Levi Mitchell, Winnipeg knows exactly what they are working with. I think it'll take Hamilton a few games before they're completely comfortable. Winnipeg wins rather easily. |
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10-29-22 | Hamilton v. Ottawa +1.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #696 Ottawa over Hamilton (5p.m., Saturday, October 29 ESPN+) It end’s tonight! Ottawa will put to bed their long home losing streak against a team that will be resting starters. Hamilton has the No. 3 seed locked up and thus will be resting starting in this game. Ottawa has been close in home games and will finally get over the hump in this game. The line opened at +3 but it down to +1 at release time. |
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10-01-22 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks +3.5 | Top | 25-18 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #696 Edmonton Elks over Montreal Alouettes (4p.m., Saturday, October 1 ESPN+) Edmonton will notch their first home victory of 2022 on Saturday afternoon. The Elks are healthier than the Alouettes and are facing a team that must make a cross country trip. Edmonton is coming off a win over Saskatchewan and gets to play most of their remaining games at home. Kenny Lawler should return in this game giving the Elks another weapon to go against the inconsistent pass rush for Montreal. |
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09-23-22 | Hamilton v. Montreal -1.5 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #682 Montreal over Hamilton (7:30p.m., Friday, September 23 ESPN+) The rubber match between the Tiger-Cats and Alouettes takes place tonight at Memorial Stadium in Montreal, Quebec. Playoff implications are on the line as Hamilton trails Montreal by 2 points in the standing. The Alouettes are coming off a bye and the Tiger-Cats have not won a road game this season. Hamilton played their best game of the season last time out but I do not expect them to follow-up with another strong showing. Hamilton will struggle in this game unless they can create turnovers. Trevor Harris has put up big numbers against Hamilton this season throwing for 670 yards and has a 4 to 1 touchdown to interception ratio. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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08-19-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Ottawa -4.5 | 30-12 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #692 Ottawa -5 over Edmonton (7p.m., Friday, August 19 ESPN+) Ottawa is coming off a bye and expect them to bounce back in a big way on Friday night. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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08-12-22 | Toronto -1.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #683 Toronto over Hamilton (7:30p.m., Friday, August 12 ESPN+) This line continues to move toward the Argonauts, as they are now close to a field goal favorite. It is because of the injury situation with Hamilton, as QB Dane Evans is doubtful for this game. The Tigers-Cats also have a bunch of wide receivers out for this game and that will allow the Argonauts to beat them for a second straight week. Toronto is not the most reliable team, but they have been playing better of late, winning 3 of their last 4 games. That included a home and home consecutive week sweep of Saskatchewan (similar setup to this game). Toronto is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Argonauts are 3-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against the Tiger-Cats. Hamilton is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. This line has moved close to 5 points and we agree that the quarterback loss will be too much for Hamilton to overcome. |
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08-11-22 | Montreal +9.5 v. Winnipeg | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #681 Montreal over Winnipeg (8:30p.m., Thursday, August 11 ESPN+) Sooner or later Winnipeg will lose a game and not cover That day will be tonight, as these two teams played last week, and the final score was not as indicative of how close the game was. Montreal had a quarterback injury in the second half last week but should be at full strength for this game. Montreal is 21-9 ATS in their last 30 road games. |
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07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -2 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #686 Calgary Stampeders -2over Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7p.m., Saturday, July 30 ESPN2) The Blue Bombers are not going undefeated this year and this is one of the games they will lose. Calgary did not play that well in the first meeting against Winnipeg but still had a chance late in the game to send it to overtime. QB Collaros is coming off his worst game of the season last time out and look for that to carryover into this game against a much better team. He played well against Calgary this season, but adjustments will be made. With Greg Ellingson questionable for this game expect the home team to come out on top. When good team play, I always like to side with the team that needs it more. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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07-24-22 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 697 Toronto -1 over Saskatchewan (7p.m., Sunday, July 24 ESPN+) Just too many questions with the Rough Riders in this game. They have covid issues and an injury to their starting quarterback and the line reflects the situation. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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07-09-22 | Winnipeg v. BC -3.5 | Top | 43-22 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 12 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #696 BC over Winnipeg (7p.m., Saturday, July 9 ESPNEWS) Winnipeg is playing on a short week and did not do much in the second half against a weak team in Toronto last Monday. BC has been unstoppable on offense and look for them to outscore Winnipeg in this game. They are averaging 520 yards per game and the Blue Bombers have not been as strong on defense as they have been in past years. I said it last week and I will say it again, you can beat Winnipeg if you do not turn over the football. The home crowd will be ready to take down the two-time defending champions on Saturday night and expect them to do so by double-digits. |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +4.5 | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #688 Toronto Argonauts +4.5 over Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7:30pm., Monday, July 4 ESPN+) Nobody is picking Toronto in this game, yet the line has come down 1 point in the hours leading to release time. In professional sports, we teams get embarrassed in the week prior they tend to bounce back in a big way the following week. Tonight, should be no different, as the Blue Bombers have not been scoring enough points thus far in 2022 to cover numbers over a field goal. Winnipeg is the two-time defending champion and they are 3-0 on the season. Yet the are only a 3.5 favorite in this game, someone must know something as the saying goes. Toronto has played Winnipeg at home and beat them last year by a score of 30-23. In 2019, Toronto was 0-6 but rallied to beat Winnipeg, 28-27. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will come out on top with whoever wins by a field goal or less. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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06-25-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary -8 | 23-30 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Calgary -7.5 over Edmonton (7p.m., Saturday, June 24 TSN) Edmonton played a little better last week, but they still lost by double-digits and that is how I see this game going as well. Calgary is explosive running and throwing the football and I just do not believe Edmonton can keep pace with them in this game. QB Levi threw for over 300 yards last week and expect another big performance this week. Edmonton is allowing over 185 yards per game and if Ka’Deem Carey returns he should have a field day. Lay the points with the better team. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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06-11-22 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -2 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Saskatchewan Roughriders -2.5 over Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7p.m., Saturday, June 10 TSN) We will take advantage of this low number, as this is a consensus picks from a variety of handicappers across the country. Hamilton has won just two times at Regina since 2011. Hamilton has some injury questions on their defense, and I look for Saskatchewan to move up and down the field on them. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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09-17-21 | Toronto +4 v. Saskatchewan | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. Take Toronto +4 over Saskatchewan (Friday at 9:45pm) As per your selection on the Argos, we don't quite yet know about the health of QB Fajardo for the Riders and so we are going to side with the Argos here for a few reasons. The first reason is that these two teams are evenly matched with both showing signs of life on both sides of the ball and then nonlife at others. The Argos will have momentum on their side after beating Hamilton last week while the Riders were thumped 33-9. Fajardo's availability for the Riders is a concern for them, but we think even if he plays, his mobility will be limited and the Argos defense should be able to contain the entire Riders offense. Too many points in this one and the Argos potentially win outright. |
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09-11-21 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks -1 | 32-16 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. Take Edmonton -1 over Calgary (Saturday at 7pm) No time for a lengthy write up as we are traveling today. Edmonton has the better offense and defense and at home, should be in line for back-to-back wins over the Stamps. We saw how effective the Elks were at moving the ball downfield in the first game vs Calgary on Monday and we expect more of the same here on their home soil. |
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08-21-21 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. Take Toronto +3.5 over Winnipeg (Saturday at 4pm) As per your selection on Toronto +3.5, we believe this is a great spot for the Boatmen to return home and grab a much-needed win. The Argos were just beat 20-7 by the Bombers last week in a low-scoring defensive battle. WE see the Argos offense, which is a bit underrated, breaking out in a big way today and putting up a boatload of points (pun intended). Winnipeg offense hasn't been anything to be enamored with and starting the season with two home games against teams that are still figuring things out will always help. Toronto keeps this game close. |
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08-14-21 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -3 | 8-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. Take Saskatchewan over Hamilton (Saturday at 10pm) As per your selection on Saskatchewan, we like them here to get to 2-0 after beating BC last week. They showed us what kind of offense they have in the first half, before the Lions flipped the switch and tried to make a comeback - once the game was done and dusted. Sask will be focused, and they know Hamilton will come out desperate to avoid 0-2, but the reality of the matter is that the Ti Cats offense is going to take a while to get into stride due to injuries and poor QB play. The Riders will have the best units on each side of the ball, and we see them riding away with this win by 10+ points. |
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08-05-21 | Hamilton -2 v. Winnipeg | 6-19 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. Take Hamilton -3.5 over Winnipeg (Thursday at 8:30 pm) We are back baby!! The CFL gets underway tonight with a rematch of the 2019 Grey Cup between Hamilton and Winnipeg. Remember, there was no 2020 season so it's been 600+ days since we got to watch CFL action. As per your selection on Hamilton, this play is based on personnel more than revenge. Make no mistakes about it, Hamilton will want to avenge the Grey Cup loss and have spoken in lengths in the lead up to this game about using that as a motivation here. We see that contributing to a big win, but we see them being a deeper and more complete team than the Bombers despite getting in practices and no preseason contests. The Bombers are going to be without RB Andrew Harris who is essentially their entire offense. If he does suit up, he won't be 100% and he will be used sparingly. The Ti-Cats are bringing back the majority of their offense from 2019 and it was powerful and high-flying. Led by Brandon Banks and Jeremiah Masoli we expect the Cats to be too much for the Bombers D to handle and run away with an opening day win. |
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11-24-19 | Hamilton -3.5 v. Winnipeg | 12-33 | Loss | -109 | 55 h 18 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #895. Take Hamilton over Winnipeg (Sunday at 6:00 pm) As per your selection on Hamilton, we have no problem going against a Winnipeg team that cashed our ticket last week against Saskatchewan. Hamilton has shown us the entire season that they are the best team in the league and they have the best offense and defense to boot. Hamilton will be 100% ready for this game as they feel it's their time to shine and bring home the Grey Cup. As for Winnipeg, they've overcome a bunch of adversity this season, but the reality of the matter is that they are not a complete football team and they have glaring holes on the defensive side of the ball, particularly with the defensive backs. We expect Hamilton's explosive offense to set the tone early and hit a few big plays. The Bombers won't be able to keep up and the Tiger-Cats win this game by 10+ points. |
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10-18-19 | Saskatchewan -7 v. BC | 27-19 | Win | 100 | 32 h 7 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #683 Take Saskatchewan over BC (Friday at 10:00 pm) As per your selection on Saskatchewan, this game is rather quite simple. One team has plenty to play for including a division crown, a bye and a home playoff date in the Western Finals, while the other is eliminated from the postseason and is starting their third-string quarterback. Saskatchewan's defense has been extremely tough to score points against lately outside of the 30 they gave up to a good Calgary team last week. BC's best chance at winning their remaining games was last week but Mike Reilly went down with a broken wrist and so with that, the season is effectively done. We don't believe that Danny O'Brien is going to come in to replace Reilly and have some kind of all-world performance against a top defensive unit. Saskatchewan will win this game by 10+ and we believe they will ultimately go on to win the West Division. The last time these two teams hooked up, the Riders escaped with a 45-18 win and we expect more of the same here tonight. |
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10-05-19 | Calgary -2 v. Montreal | 17-21 | Loss | -116 | 52 h 30 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. #683. Take Calgary -2.5 over Montreal (Saturday at 4:00 pm) As per your selection on Calgary to get the win and cover away to Montreal, we like the fact that they are coming off their bye week and now get to face an Als team who has plenty of pressure on them to win just one game and get into the postseason. The Stamps have won four straight and their last loss came at the hands of this same Montreal team - a game in which they blew an 11-point lead with under a minute left in the game. The Stampeders are a great football team and we like the fact that they won easily coming off their first bye of the season and we expect them to be prepared and ready to go for this one as well. We like the fact that the Stamps are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and are 18-7-3 ATS in their last 28 games following a bye week. The Als may need just one win to clinch a playoff birth, but they are going to have to get it next week as the Stamps are the better and fresher team in this spot. |
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09-21-19 | Winnipeg -2 v. Montreal | Top | 37-38 | Loss | -105 | 48 h 44 m | Show |
10-Unit Play. #685. Take Winnipeg over Montreal (Saturday at 4:00 pm) As per your selection on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, we have to like the fact that they come into this game well-rested as they had their bye week. Not to mention, they get Andrew Harris back in the lineup and get to take on a Montreal team that gave up well over 100 yards on the ground last week to Saskatchewan. You could also argue the fact that this game means much more to Winnipeg than it does Montreal as the Bombers are clinging to a one-game lead for the top spot in the West while the Als are likely headed to the postseason (barring any crazy collapse) as a very low seed. It should be noted that the Bombers are en excellent play in September as they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 played in September, while they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 following a bye week and 13-3-1 ATS following an ATS win. The Als are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 September games and 11-23 ATS in their last 34 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings when hosting Winnipeg. Winnipeg is far and away the better team and as they are the fresher team, we believe their talent will win out in this spot and help them cruise to an easy win. |
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09-14-19 | Hamilton +7 v. Calgary | 18-19 | Win | 100 | 53 h 7 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #691. Take Hamilton over Calgary (Saturday at 4:00 pm) As per your selection on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, this is a great spot to back them going West as they are coming off a bye and have won four straight games. The Tiger-Cats are also averaging a whopping 30.9 points per game while giving up just under 20 per game. We've already seen the Tiger-Cats take care of business by beating the Stamps 30-23 back on July 13. While the Stamps have won two straight, they beat the mediocre Eskimos on both occasions which leaves much to be desired from a team that was pegged as the favorites to win the Grey Cup again this season. They may also have Bo Levi Mitchell back under center, but he showed plenty of rust last week despite throwing for 254 yards and two touchdowns. He also threw three INTS, one of which was returned for a touchdown. We don't believe Calgary will be able to slow down the Ti-Cats offense and with a higher scoring game on the cards, we like Hamilton to stay within the number as this is likely a last possession wins type of game. The Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. |
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09-07-19 | Saskatchewan +1.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 10-35 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 14 m | Show |
10-Unit Play. #685. Take Saskatchewan over Winnipeg (Saturday at 4:00 pm) As per your selection on the Saskatchewan Roughriders, we feel as if they are in a great position to sweep the home and home series with the Blue Bombers as Winnipeg is steal dealing with the loss of their QB and their starting running back in Andrew Harris. The Riders we feel have the positional advantages at all major positions including quarterback where we like Fajardo to continue to put up big numbers (300 yards passing and a touchdown last game) and outduel his counterpart Chris Streveler - who completed just 16 passes for 161 yards last week. The defenses were on full display last week as well and we see it being a similar game which means we side with the better defense and that's the Roughriders. This game has major implications on first overall in the West division, and we believe this is Saskatchewan's opportunity to take the division by the horns and run with it. Keep in mind, the Roughriders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss, in their last 5 road games and following a SU win. The Bombers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 following a SU loss. |
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08-25-19 | Montreal v. Toronto +6 | Top | 28-22 | Push | 0 | 66 h 13 m | Show |
10-Unit Play. #688. Take Toronto over Montreal (Sunday at 6:30 pm) As per your selection on the Toronto Argonauts, we are going to back them here in this spot as we were impressed with their offense last week vs a good Edmonton defense. They were coming off a bye and put up 26 on the leagues No.1 defense, so we believe they have corrected the issues and will be able to score points against this Montreal defense. Defensively, we are expecting the Argos to play a much better game than they did last time out and going against a Montreal offense that has been known to sputter at times, the Argos should be in a prime position for a bounce-back game. On the flip side, Montreal is coming off a massive come from behind victory away to Calgary. In that game, they scored a last-second touchdown, hit the 2pt conversion then recovered an onside kick and tied it with a FG with 2 seconds remaining. That's a lot of effort to exert in a game that they shouldn't have even been in. This game also marks Montreal's second straight road game, and flying west across the country is one thing, now they have to fly further east to Moncton for this neutral-site game. The Als are just 4-10 ATS vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Week 11 games. This is going to be a stinker of a game, but we believe the Argos will keep this close and possibly pull off the upset. |
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08-15-19 | BC v. Winnipeg -9.5 | Top | 16-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
10-Unit Play. #681. Take Winnipeg over BC (Thursday at 8:30 pm) Huge spot for us tonight as we look to extend the perfect season to 11-0! As per your selection on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, look we had no problem going against them last week as they got the win but failed to cover the number. This week is a whole different ball game as they will put up a boatload of points against a piss poor BC defense. You know the Bombers offense is hungry to put up points as they were essentially shut out, as they scored two punt returns and four field goals. Nichols will have big day against a BC defense that ranks dead last in points allowed per game with 35.5. On the flip side, BC's Super Bowl was essentially last week and while many thought they were going to pull off the big upset over Hamilton, they faltered down the stretch and choked the game aways. That's a huge demoralizing loss for this team and now they have to play their third road game in five weeks and their second road game in 5 days. That's just too quick of a turn around to forget the sting of the Hamilton defeat. This is going to be a mailed-in effort and the finger point is going to start in BC (if it hasn't already). Winnipeg is going to win big and we are going to be on it. The Bombers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 following a SU win. They've also gone 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings vs BC including 4-1-1 ATS at home. The Lions are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs the West and 1-4 ATS in their last five vs a team with a winning record. |
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08-08-19 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -7 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
10-Unit Play. #681. Take Calgary over Winnipeg (Thursday at 8:30 pm) As per your selection on the Calgary Stampeders, we have three words for you. Too. Many. Points. This game is a matchup between the leagues best and with Calgary getting more than a touchdown we are inclined to believe they can keep this one close for the duration of the game. Look, Winnipeg is struggling lately, dropping b2b games against Hamilton and Toronto, the last was by way of a blown 20-point lead. There are leaks in that team and we aren't going to be caught betting them when they fall flat on their face. Calgary is finally starting to resemble the dominant team we expected them to be from the previous few seasons, despite having to start Arbuckle at QB over the injured Levi-Mitchell. Arbuckle will get the start tonight, but we expect him to continue to do what he does best and that is move the ball downfield and limit the turnovers. The running game for Calgary will play a huge roll in this game, as will their defense who is among the top units (specifically cornerbacks) in the league. Calgary is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs the West. Winnipeg is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings while hosting the Stamps and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 August games. This spread is way too high and we believe Calgary has a chance to win outright. Grab the points and let's extend the run to 10-0! |
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08-01-19 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -3 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
10-Unit Play. #692. Take Saskatchewan over Hamilton (Thursday at 9:30 pm) Huge spot for us tonight as we look to extend the perfect season to 9-0! As per your selection on Saskatchewan Rough Riders minus the points, we had no problem backing the Tiger-Cats last week against the leagues best team and they rewarded us by winning outright. However, without their signal-caller and top receiver, the Tiger-Cats are in a very tough spot in this matchup and we believe the Roughriders are going to exact some revenge in a big way here tonight. Sask just completed a two-game sweep against the lowly Lions, but in those meetings, the offense showed up when called upon and so did the defense. The Tiger-Cats won't be as potent on offense without their top two guys, so we believe the Riders defense - a very good unit at that, can shut the door and limit the production. We love the fact that Saskatchewan has won 17 of the last 19 home games vs Hamilton, and has covered the spread in six of the last 7 at home. This is a great spot to jump on Saskatchewan and we will be bringing home another win with our first GOTY selection. |
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07-26-19 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +2.5 | Top | 15-23 | Win | 100 | 32 h 6 m | Show |
10-Unit Play. #686. Take Hamilton over Winnipeg (Friday at 7:00 pm) Hugely important play for us tonight in this spot! Let's keep the momentum and undefeated season going in style. As per your selection on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats plus the points, we believe Hamilton should be slight favorites in this game, so we are going to grab the points as an extra cushion. Look, Hamilton is the CFL's best offensive team as they've posted an average of 37.4 points per game. You have a QB-WR duo of Masoli and Banks who are up near the top of the list in terms of offensive production, with Banks leading the CFL in receiving yards with 506 on 36 catches. Hamilton has defended their home field well this season and as they come off a bye last week, we expect them to come out hungry and ready to fight for every inch as we see this as a statement game for them against the team plenty of people are calling the best overall team in the league. Hamilton has posted a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 home games, and they are an insane 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games. Winnipeg comes into this game on the heels of dismantling of Ottawa at home by a 31-1 score. Ottawa is barely a team, so don't let the score or the performance fool you into thinking anything other than a complete mismatch. Winnipeg does have its fair share of struggles and we don't envision a scenario where Matt Nichols completes another franchise-high 19-passes in a row and 86.2 percent completions. That won't happen on the road against a good Tiger-Cats defense. This is a statement game for Hamilton and we will gladly take the points as we believe this line should be close to a PK if not a Hamilton favorite. |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton -3.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
10-Unit Play. #688. Take Hamilton -4 over Calgary (Saturday at 7:00 pm). As per your selection on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, we believe that last week's loss to Montreal was a not only a letdown spot for the Ti-Cats, but it will serve as a wake-up call for the team to let them know they haven't won anything yet. They come into this game with an extra two days of preparation and rest and they now have the film on what to expect from Stamps quarterback Nick Arbuckle. Hamilton - outside of the 36 points allowed last week had given up just 24 points total in their first two games. They do have a good defensive unit and we believe they are going to stand up and take this challenge head-on and succeed. Offensively, Hamilton is still among the top offenses in the league and they are led by QB Masoli who leads the CFL in passing with 94 completions in 134 attempts for 1,325 yards in four games. He's also thrown seven touchdowns. This is a great spot for the TiCats to bounce back in front of their home fans in a prime time CFL spot. The Stamps on the other hand, sure they beat up on a Saskatchewan team who was on a super short week and isn't really all that good. They may have chalked up 379 yards of offense, but that was buoyed by three interceptions by their defense (extra possessions). We don't expect them to win the turnover margin by that much in this spot. The TiCats have been a good bet in Week 5 as they are 3-0-1 ATS and they are also 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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07-11-19 | Edmonton -3 v. BC | 33-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #681. Take Edmonton over BC (Thursday at 10:00 pm). As per your selection on Edmonton, we love the fact that they come off a bye week and now get to face a team that is playing on a short week, with cross country travel to boot. Edmonton already dominated this team on June 21 and we see no reason why they can't do the same here tonight. BC struggled hard to put away Toronto - needing a last-second FG-Miss Single to win the game 18-17. They showed no signs of life on offense and Mike Reilly is really starting to look old and slow. They had no trouble on defense holding the Argos to 17 points but the Argos offensive is pathetic (which is why we had the Under in that game). The Eskimos come into this game fresh and with Trevor Harris calling the shots, the offense looks unstoppable. Harris has thrown for six touchdowns and 1,086 yards in just three games this season and we love for that hot run to continue against a very overrated BC Lions team. The Lions are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs the West and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They Eskis have covered the number in 5 of the last 7 meetings. |
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06-21-19 | BC v. Edmonton -4 | 23-39 | Win | 100 | 34 h 55 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. #692. Take Edmonton over BC (Friday at 9:00 pm). As per your selection on the Edmonton Eskimos, you gotta love what Trevor Harris did last week for the team to open up his account with Edmonton and replace a legend in Mike Reilly. Harris was able to connect for three touchdown passes with no interceptions and rack up 447-yards through the air. For an encore, Harris gets to go up against a porous BC Lions defense who was just torched last week both through the air by Matt Nichols (184 yards and three scores) and on the ground by Andrew Harris (16 carries 148 yards rushing). Harris has the ability to put up more big numbers as we believe CJ Gable can continue to run the ball well after gaining 154 yards on 20 carries last week vs Montreal. We believe Edmonton can keep the BC defense off balance and have a big day to push their record to 2-0. BC, on the other hand, got a solid day from their new acquisition as QB Reilly connected on 22 passes for 425 yards and one touchdown. He was also picked off twice last week. The Lions did not have a ground game to speak of last week and if that continues, it should spell doom for a BC offense that will need to score points to make up for their shortcomings on the defensive side of things. Yes, this is the return of Reilly to Edmonton, but we don't believe he has the weapons around him to make it a ?revenge? game and get the win. Edmonton has gone 4-2 ATS in their last six home games vs BC and we look for that to continue in a positive way this week. |
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11-25-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary -4 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 10 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #668. Take Calgary -4 over Ottawa (Sunday, November 25, 6:00 p.m.) The Calgary Stampeders were the odds-on favorite to win the Grey Cup this year and they are going to do just that this coming weekend. Look, the Stampeders were the best team in the league for all 20 weeks and now they get to play in their third Grey Cup in a row, and they will be eager, desperate, hungry, and any other adjective you can think of to reverse their fortunes and not lose a third in a row. We like their ability on offense with Bo Levi Mitchell leading the way and Don Jackson running the ball. The Stamps finished the regular season averaging 29 points per game which was second best to just Winnipeg. The Stamps make their hay on the defensive side of the ball and that will be evident in this game and it will be the difference in this game against an Ottawa team that, sure beat Hamilton and put up 46, but has been inconsistent week after week. The QB play for the Redblacks has been spotty and Trevor Harris has caught some flack at times from fans and coaches alike in his performances. We don't believe he has enough in him to overcome this Calgary defense. The Stampeders are also playing this game with revenge as they lost their first of two Grey Cup appearances to the heavily underdog Redblacks 39-33 in 2016. They were nine and a half point favorites in that game, and that game still stings around the club. This outcome will be much different and we expect Calgary to win and win going away. |
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11-18-18 | Hamilton +3.5 v. Ottawa | 27-46 | Loss | -103 | 49 h 24 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #663. Take Hamilton +3.5 vs Ottawa (Sunday November 18 @ 1:00p.m.) It's the meeting we've all been waiting for in the Eastern Conference. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs the Ottawa Redblacks. Hamilton is in this position thanks to a dominating 48-8 win over BC. Now they get a chance to redeem themselves and extract a little payback on the Redblacks, a team who the Ti-Cats have lost to three times during the regular season. Maybe the Redblacks just have the Ti-Cats number. But we are not willing to believe that for one second. Every game and every situation is different and the Tiger-Cats are a different team than what they were a month ago. Look, the TiCats are led by their QB Masoli and he is a nominee for Most Outstanding Player. He threw three touchdown passes in the game against BC - a team that has a much better defense than Ottawa, so it's very likely he replicates that performance. On the other hand, Ottawa is led by Trevor Harris, but he hasn't always been consistent this year. In a one-game scenario, Harris has just as much a chance to bust, then boom and we believe the Tiger-Cats defense - who stepped up in a big way last week - will continue to play at a Grey Cup winning level. The TiCats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Redblacks are just 1-5 ATS vs at team with a losing record. |
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11-11-18 | BC v. Hamilton -1 | 8-48 | Win | 100 | 71 h 13 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #660. Take Hamilton -1 vs BC (Sunday November 11 @ 1:00p.m.) It's been a wild CFL Season, but we've finally reached the postseason and it's time to turn it around. Look, this game is essentially going to be how effective can the Hamilton offense be against a good BC defense. My answer? Pretty damn effective. Look, the Tiger-Cats led the East Division in points per game, averaging around 28.5 points. They are now playing a playoff game at home, with a healthy QB. A QB who finished second to last year's MOP in yards, at 5,209 and third in touchdown tosses with 28. Masoli will have plenty of weapons at his disposal and he should be able to pick apart a BC defense that has been playing poorly over the last month or so. And don't even get me started on the BC offense. That unit, led by Travis Lulay is brutal. Lulay completed just 11 of 16 passes in the season finale, for 11 and two INT's. That's exactly the kind of production you look to fade, especially on the road in the playoffs. The Ti-Cats have been a good home bet in the postseason, going 3-1-1 while the Lions have been brutal on the Road, going 0-5-1 ATS in postseason play. We expect the Ti-Cats to come out and dominate this game from start to finish and move on to the next round. |
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10-28-18 | Toronto +3 v. Montreal | 10-40 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 2 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #665. Take Toronto +2.5 vs Montreal (Sunday, October 28 @ 1:00p.m.) So if the CFL gives you three-points for home-field advantage, technically the Argos would be favored by a half-point and they would be considered the better team. Despite how bad the Argos season has been, they are definitely the better team in this game and will prove it once again, by beating the Montreal Alouettes outright on their home field to complete a home-and-home sweep. The Argos season went off the rails when Ricky Ray went down with an injury in Game 2 of the season. The backups, Franklin and Thompson have done their best to fill in, but they knew it was going to be an uphill battle just to stay around .500. The Als, on the other hand, thought this year was going to be different and that the team was ready to get back to relevances and the acquisition of Johnny Manziel would spark the offense. All that went sideways and the Als find themselves in the basement of the East division with no real hope for the future. The Als will once again fall to Toronto and we'll be here to collect the winnings. Toronto is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an SU win, while the Als are 2-9 ATS vs a team with a losing record. The Argos are the better team. Take them. |
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10-19-18 | Hamilton -1.5 v. Ottawa | 31-35 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #651. Take Hamilton PK vs Ottawa (Friday, October 19 @ 7:00pm) It's been a rather inconsistent season for the Ottawa Red Blacks. One week they look like Grey Cup champions and then the next they look like one of the worst teams in the leagues. The RedBlacks are making the postseason and this matchup will go along way in determining which team will have home-field advantage in the playoffs. Hamilton has won two straight and they have done so by scoring a lot of points 74 combined and giving up a lot less just 30 during that span. They have an offense that is healthy and one that has a more consistent QB in Masoli. The RedBlacks have lost two straight games and their defense has gone missing. They've given up 74 points in that span and against a Hamilton team that has an extra day to of rest and preparation time, we believe the Tiger-Cats are the play in this spot. The Tiger-Cats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October while the RedBlacks are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games |
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10-13-18 | Ottawa +3.5 v. Edmonton | Top | 16-34 | Loss | -107 | 54 h 2 m | Show |
8-Unit Play. #665. Take Ottawa +3.5 vs Edmonton (Saturday, October 13 @ 5:00p.m.) This is my CFL Game of the Year. 1-0 this season with 8-Unit selections. It's time to stick a fork in the Edmonton Eskimos. What started out as a promising campaign, is going to end in disappointment and a missed playoffs. Look, the Eskimos can't score points on offense right now. Their last three point totals are 12, 3 and 15 to these very Ottawa RedBlacks. However, the difference between that game on Sept 22 and this coming game, is the Eskimos were on the up and had momentum. Now, they look defeated and the oddsmakers are telling you that on a neutral field, Edmonton is barely the favorite. The RedBlacks may have already clinched a playoff spot, but Hamilton is hot on their tails for the top spot. The RedBlacks got off to a sluggish start against Winnipeg last time out (bad spot), but rallied late to force OT. Trevor Harris is continuing to play well, tossing three touchdowns and 349 yards against a good Winnipeg defense. Not to mention, the running game got going with William Powell rushing for 95 yards on 14 carries. Look, I've watched every snap of Edmonton's loss to Saskatchewan and there is just no spark within the team. It's going to be a sour ending for Eskimos fans, but we will cash this ticket here on the RedBlacks. The RedBlacks are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 road games, while the Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 against Ottawa. |
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10-05-18 | Winnipeg +1.5 v. Ottawa | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #651. Take Winnipeg +1.5 vs Ottawa (Friday, October 3 @ 7:30p.m.) Look, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers are in win-now mode. They've won and covered in two straight games, and have given up just 17 points combined. The defense is a big reason they Bombers have climbed into a postseason position and with just four games left every game matters for them moving forward. Matt Nichols looked sharped for the Bombers, tossing 16/20 and 170 yards last week, but it was the ground attack who did the bulk of the damage. Andrew Harris rushed for 73 yards and a score. Defensively, the Bombers turned Edmonton over 7 times, including three picks. Against Ottawa, the defense will need to continue to play at a high level and should get the opportunity to be a difference maker against a RedBlack team that has been fighting the injury bug. Heading into this matchup, and despite coming off a bye week, QB Trevor Harris is still listed as questionable, so if he is unable to play mistake-free football, the Bombers certainly have a chance in this spot. Ottawa has covered just 4 times in their last 12 games against Winnipeg, so we look for Winnipeg to stay aggressive and get their win streak to three games. |
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09-22-18 | Edmonton -2.5 v. Ottawa | 15-28 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 9 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. Take #653. Edmonton -3 vs Ottawa (Saturday @ 4:00pm. Est). In a league with just nine teams, it's easy to zig when you should zag and zag when you should zig. The Ottawa Redblacks are one of those teams that are hard to get a good read on, but in this spot, against this opponent, we feel the time is right to go against them. Look, Ottawa won last week at Saskatchewan. The offense put up 30 and the defense held the Riders into just 25 points. However, the Riders offense is not as prolific as the Edmonton offense is, so we expect Ottawa to be a step slow in their first game back after a two-game west coast road trip. Not to mention, Ottawa is on a bye next week, so with a comfortable lead in the division, it's not all that uncommon for teams to go through the motions in a spot similar to this. The Edmonton Eskimos come to town after putting up 48 on the vaunted Calgary defense. Mike Reilly connected on 30/44 passing for three touchdowns and also added 43 yards on the ground. A similar result will have the Eskimos leaving the Nations Capital with a win and will move them one step closer to Calgary who has a bye. The Eskimos are 7-0 vs a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Road games while the RedBlacks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. |
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09-14-18 | BC v. Montreal +3.5 | 32-14 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 7 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. Take #660. Montreal vs BC (Friday @ 7:30p.m. est). The bye week couldn't have come at a worse time for Montreal as they were enjoying two consecutive wins against Toronto and Ottawa. However, the bye week will give them a chance to prepare for a BC defense that is among the best in the league and one that just held the high flying RedBlacks offense to just 14 points. Montreal may have found a diamond in the rough in the shape of QB Antonio Pipken. Pipken has completed 64.3 percent of his 84 passing attempts for 762 yards over his last three starts. The offense is completing more 2nd down conversions and is ultimately helping the defense stay off the field and rested up for when it's their turn to make their mark on the game. The defense should be able to leave a lasting impression on this game, considering that the Lions are going to trot out Travis Lulay once again, who left last week's game with ?concussion-like symptoms?. All seems to be fine for Lulay, but I'm not buying it. I'm also not buying the offense, who just lost their best wide receiver in Emmanuel Arceneaux who suffered a torn ACL. The Als will also be eager to extract a little revenge on the lions as they lost the season opener by a 22-10 score. The Als have covered their last 4 games and are 6-2 ATS following their bye week. The Lions are 0-5 ATS vs a team with a losing record and just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. |
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09-08-18 | Hamilton -5 v. Toronto | 36-25 | Win | 100 | 50 h 0 m | Show | |
8-Unit Play. Take #653. Hamilton -5 vs Toronto (Saturday @ 1:00p.m. est). It's already been a long and painful season for the Toronto Argonauts and losing 42-28 to their rival Hamilton in last week's Labour Day Classic is par for the course. The offense was once again anemic, posting just 221 total yards of offense compared to Hamiltons 543 yards. Quarterback, McLeod Bethel-Thompson played extremely poorly, completing just 14/29 passes for 163 and an INT. That was more so an indication of how Hamilton's defense is starting to come around. They haven't given up more than 30 points in five-straight, winning four of those games. Another week of practice will do the Argos no help especially at home, where they have been a terrible bet over the last few years. The Ti-Cats have seemed to figure things out offensively, as they've over 500 yards in back-to-back games. QB Jeremiah Masoli is finally playing like the No.1 QB the Tiger-Cats want him to be and the results have followed. Against an Argos team that is completely lacking confidence, I see no reason to believe the Tiger-Cats can't replicate their performance from last week and get the job done in this spot. Hamilton has covered in 10 of the last 13 meetings and is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games overall. |
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09-02-18 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan -3 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 74 h 11 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. Take #644. Saskatchewan vs Winnipeg (Sunday @ 3:00p.m. est). This is a critical matchup for both teams as Winnipeg sits a game back of Saskatchewan for 3rd place in the West Division. The Riders are also just one game back of Edmonton for second, so both teams know a win could turn their season around. The Riders come into this game in excellent form, winners of two in a row including a 40-27 win over the first place Calgary Stampeders. A big reason for the two wins has been the play of Zach Collaros. Collaros has thrown for 485 yards and a TD, so he should be able to pick apart a Blue Bombers defense that has given up 813 yards and five touchdowns over their last two games to opposing QB's. Offensively for Winnipeg, Matt Nichols has struggled and the run game is doing him no favors. Against a defense as stout as the Riders - who are tied for first in sacks with 23 - Winnipeg might find life on the road tough in this rivalry game. The Riders are in form right now and at home in front of their home crowd. With Winnipeg playing their second straight road game, I'll side with the team that's covered the spread in 6 of their last 9 games. Take Saskatchewan. |
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08-25-18 | Winnipeg +9.5 v. Calgary | 26-39 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. Take #365. Winnipeg vs Calgary (Saturday @ 3:30pm. Est). The Calgary Stampeder saw their perfect record go up in flames last week at the hands of the Saskatchewan Roughriders. In that game, they looked sluggish and for the first time all year vulnerable on the defensive side of the football. They allowed the Riders to move the ball at will, so that's a worrying sign for them as they come into this game against the highest scoring team in the league. The bombers are averaging 32.1 points per game but are coming off a game in which they were thoroughly outclassed. We expect them to be better in every aspect this week, against one of the premier teams in the league. We also expect the Bombers to do a great job of rushing the passer and making Bo-Levi Mitchell uncomfortable under center. The Stamps gave up five sacks last week, and turned the ball over five times. Not too often will a team that played as poorly as the Stamps did, come back and blow out a solid team and cover a near double-digit point spread. The Bombers are 13-4 in ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog while the Stamps are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs the West Division. |
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08-23-18 | Edmonton +3.5 v. Hamilton | 24-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. Take #361. Edmonton vs Hamilton (Thursday @ 7:30p.m. est). The Edmonton Eskimos come into tonight's game against the Tiger Cats with revenge on their mind. It was the Ti cats who gave the Eskimos their first lost way back in mid-June. Since then, the Eskimos have show the CFL that they are for real this season, winning four of the past 5 games including last week's 40-24 victory over Montreal. The Eskimos have seem to found a bit of a running attack in the form of Shaq Cooper. Cooper ran for 102 yards on 17 carries and found the end zone once. If he can put up similar numbers, which we expect him to do against a very poor TiCats run defense, the Eskimos will have no trouble avenging their loss. The run game will keep the defense honest and Reilly will do his thing, as he leads the league in total passing yards with 3,046, including 424 last week. The TiCats on the other hand are brutal. They went into last week's bye with just 1 win in their last five games and have yet to find a solution for the offensive woes. In a game where we expect Edmonton to control the play, the TiCats should not be favoured here, or against anyone for that matter. The Eskimos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 following a SU win while the TiCats are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. |
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08-18-18 | BC v. Toronto +3 | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. Take #374. Toronto +3 vs BC (Saturday@ 4:00p.m. est). If there was ever a terrible time for a bye week, it was last week for the Toronto Argonauts. After storming back and scoring 22-fourth quarter points on route to a dramatic 42-41 comeback win against Ottawa, the Argos seem to have a little momentum on their side and last week's bye only helps them get healthier and sharper as a team. They now take on the BC Lions a team who is also coming off a second half comeback of their own. The problem with the Lions is that they are inconsistent at best on both sides of the ball. The Argos will once again start McLeod Bethel-Thompson who performed well in his season debut throwing for 302 yards and 4 touchdowns. He also rushed for 54 yards on 6 attempts. Another positive for the double blue is the performance of SJ Green who finished with 134 yards and 2 TD's. Against a Lions defense that has given up over 20 points in three straight games, this is another solid opportunity for the Argonauts to break out offensively and get back in the hunt for a postseason spot. The Argos are 3-0 SU after a bye week under Marc Trestman and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after a SU win. |
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