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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-01-18 | Central Florida +10 v. Auburn | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 143 h 2 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #267 Take UCF Golden Knights over Auburn Tigers (Peach Bowl, Monday, 1/1 12:30 pm ESPN) UCF has a remarkable season and I believe they will be able to score points to keep this game somewhat competitive. One must question the Tigers motivation for this game after not making the playoff by suffering their third loss of the season in the SEC Championship Game. UCF will need to sell out to stop the run against Auburn and make the Tigers beat them through the air. Auburn is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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12-30-17 | Washington v. Penn State -1.5 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 98 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #262 Take Penn State Nittany Lions over Washington Huskies (Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, 12/30 4 pm ESPN) COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR, MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME I felt all season long that Penn State was the best team in the Big 10. They blew the game against Ohio State and they got tripped up the following week at Michigan State in a game delayed by weather. Despite Washington returning a ton of players from last year’s team that made the playoff, they did not look very impressive this season. They lost two games in which there were favored and played a very weak nonconference schedule. Penn State played a much more difficult schedule and they have a major edge on offense especially in the trenches. Penn State won their last three games to close out the regular season by an average of 35 points per game and I believe they will win this game by double digits as well. Penn State is 9-2 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis -3.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #260 Take Memphis Tigers over Iowa State Cyclones (Liberty Bowl, Saturday, 12/30 12:30 pm ABC) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME Memphis has the advantage of playing this game in this home stadium and they should be able to take care of business against Iowa State. The Cyclones got a lot of praise midway through the season, but they finished just 7-5 losing three of their final four games. Memphis has a major edge on offense and they scored 15 touchdowns on plays for 40 or more yards. The Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss in their previous game. Memphis has a very experienced team that they want to make a statement against a team from the Power 5. |
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12-29-17 | USC +8.5 v. Ohio State | 7-24 | Loss | -115 | 79 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #255 Take Southern Cal Trojans over Ohio State Buckeyes (Cotton Bowl, Friday, 12/29 8:30 pm ESPN) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME What a match-up the Cotton Bowl got this year as the traditional Rose Bowl match-up moves west. Just do not know how motivated Ohio State will be for this game since they were not selected for the four-team playoff. USC has beaten Ohio State 7 straight times and Ohio State just is not an offensive machine like they have been in previous years under Urban Meyer. QB Sam Donald is 20-2 as a starting quarterback and USC has the edge at the quarterback position with a future NFL player behind center for them. Ohio State has ample opportunities to blow out Wisconsin yet could not do that. Ohio State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-29-17 | Kentucky +8 v. Northwestern | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 7 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #251 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Northwestern Wildcats (Music City Bowl, Friday, 12/29 4:30 pm ESPN) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME Just do not see a blowout in this battle of Wildcats. Northwestern is 9-3 but they benefitted from play in the Big 10 West and won three overtime games in a row. Kentucky has a strong defense and Northwestern does not have an explosive offense. I believe the long layoff will help Kentucky get back on track and may hurt the momentum Northwestern had to finish out the season. If Kentucky can stabilize this game early expect it to go down to the wire and thus we will collect with the underdog regardless who comes out on top. |
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12-28-17 | Michigan State +1 v. Washington State | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 56 h 33 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #277 Take Michigan State Spartans over Washington State Cougars (Holiday Bowl, Thursday, 12/28 9 pm FS1) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME The Spartans had a great bounce back season this year going 9-3 and 7-2 in Big 10 play. Michigan State has a strong defense to match-up well with Washington State’s passing attack as they are 14th in passing efficiency. Washington State put a lot into the Apple Cup and they got killed in that game to close out the regular season, 41-14. Washington State has not performed well in their last three bowl games, losing two of them and scoring just 32 combine points in their last two years. Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Washington State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the Big 10. |
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12-27-17 | Purdue v. Arizona -3 | 38-35 | Loss | -120 | 198 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #276 Take Arizona Wildcats over Purdue Boilermakers (Foster Farms Bowl, Wednesday, 12/27 8:30 pm FOX) Both teams are happy to be bowling are Arizona had a remarkable turnaround very few people saw coming. Arizona has a dynamic offense behind Khalil Tate, who can beat you will his arm and his legs. Purdue does not have many offenses like Arizona has in the Big 10 West and generally better offenses are the way to go in bowl games since there is a long layoff. Purdue is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. |
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12-27-17 | Southern Miss +16.5 v. Florida State | 13-42 | Loss | -110 | 191 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #235 Take Southern Miss Golden Eagles over Florida State Seminoles (Independence Bowl, Wednesday, 12/27 1:30 pm ESPN) Magnificent 7 Game. Florida State has not been able to reach the playoffs the last couple of years, but they last two years they still won games at a high rate. 2017 was a much different story, as they fell of a cliff and had to win their last game just to become bowl eligible. Just do not believe that they will be up for this game and they are playing a team that wants to win the Independence Bowl. Southern Miss won 8 games this season and they are solid on both sides of the football. FSU is going through a coaching change and their offense was terrible most of the season. Hard to believe FSU fans are excited about this game and Golden Eagle fans can drive to this game. Florida State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Southern Miss is 4-1 in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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12-26-17 | Kansas State v. UCLA +2.5 | 35-17 | Loss | -105 | 174 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #234 Take UCLA Bruins over Kansas State Wildcats (Cactus Bowl, Tuesday, 12/26 9 pm ESPN) You can pretty much pencil in Kansas State for seven wins every year that Bill Snyder coaches this team. They have not done well in the past few bowl games going 2-5 straight-up (2-5 ATS). I believe UCLA got a boast by hiring Chip Kelly as their new head coach. They also have Josh Rosen and the Wildcats had trouble slowing down many quarterbacks in the Big 12. Kansas State will play smart and not beat themselves I just do not believe they are explosive on either side of the football. If UCLA does not turnover the football they will win this game straight-up. Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against PAC 12 teams. |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida -2.5 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 93 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #222 Take USF Bulls over Texas Tech Red Raiders (Birmingham Bowl, Saturday, 12/23 12 pm ESPN) Been a fan of this USF team all season long and they had an impressive 9-2 record in the very offensive heavy American Athletic Conference. The Bulls should have little trouble moving the football up and down the field against Texas Tech, one of the worst defenses in the country. Texas Tech is very inexperienced, and they were fortunate to win six games to become bowl eligible. The last time Texas Tech made a bowl game they got pounded and expect a similar result today against a Group of 5 team ready to pound a team from a major conference. |
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12-16-17 | Middle Tennessee State v. Arkansas State -3.5 | 35-30 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #210 Take Arkansas State Red Wolves over Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (Camellia Bowl, Saturday, 12/16 8 pm ESPN) These teams are very familiar with one another and Arkansas State has won the last three meetings, all of them by blowouts (51-24, 45-19, 45-0). QB Justice Hanson put up monster numbers this season throwing for over 3,600 yards and 8.4 yards per attempt. There will be a lot of points in this game, but I just believe the Red Wolves will pull away late and win this game by double digits. MTSU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Arkansas State is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall. |
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12-16-17 | Oregon v. Boise State +8.5 | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 98 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #206 Take Boise State Broncos over Oregon Ducks (Las Vegas Bowl, Saturday, 12/16 3:30 pm ABC) This is just too many points to be giving against Boise State. The Broncos thrive as an underdog and have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 bowl games against Power 5 teams. Boise State is also 2-0 ATS this season as an underdog. Oregon has their quarterback back but lost their head coach who now is in charge at Florida State. Oregon just does not appear to be getting back to national dominance any time soon. Oregon is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Boise State is 4-1 ATS following a victory in their previous game. |
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12-02-17 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +7 | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 101 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #328 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 8 pm FOX) People keep doubting the Badgers but all the do is win games and I just do not see this Ohio State team being able to run up and down the field on them. This is the best defense Wisconsin has ever had and QB J.T. Barrett is not the type of quarterback that can beat teams throwing the ball consistently down the field. Wisconsin looked much more impressive in games against Iowa and Michigan than did Ohio State (common opponents). This just has a different feeling that other Wisconsin appearances in the Big 10 Title Game. This Badger team is extremely confident on both sides of the football and this not as strong of Buckeye team as we have seen in the past. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 4 straight games. Expect a game that is very competitive that goes down to the wire, but Wisconsin pulls it out by a field goal to advance to the CFP. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia v. Auburn -2 | 28-7 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #322 Take Auburn Tigers over Georgia Bulldogs (Saturday 4 pm CBS) The SEC East teams have not won this game since 2008 and I do not believe this will be the year that will change. Auburn is riding high after beating Alabama last week. They got banged up in that game at the running back position, but I still believe they are the better team against Georgia. The Bulldogs struggle when they cannot run the football and that will be the key for the Tigers to have success. Auburn is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia Southern -2.5 v. Costal Carolina | 17-28 | Loss | -115 | 94 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #309 Take Georgia Southern Eagles over Costal Carolina Chanticleers (Saturday 1 pm ESPN 3) Apparently Georgia Southern is the best 2-9 team in the country. I watched their entire game last week against Louisiana and it was no fluke that they were the better team. Now they are on the road again facing a Chanticleer team that will likely be without QB Tyler Keane. The Eagles have played their best two games of the season the last two weeks and look for them to complete the trifecta on Saturday. Coastal Carolina is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Â |
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12-01-17 | Stanford v. USC -4 | 28-31 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #304 Take Southern Cal Trojans over Stanford Cardinal (Friday 8 pm ESPN) USC is the fresher team for this championship and sooner or later a team from the south will win this game. USC already beat Stanford by 18 points this season and they have a major edge in talent for this game. Stanford had a physical game with Notre Dame last week and if USC can stop their rushing attack and do not believe they will be able to move the ball and score points. Stanford is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. |
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11-25-17 | Georgia Southern v. UL-Lafayette -6 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 31 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #216 Take Louisiana Ragin Cajuns over George Southern Eagles (Saturday 5 pm ESPN 3) The Eagles are coming off their first victory of the season beating South Alabama 52-0 in one of the most surprising results of the entire 2017 college football season. Now they take on a desperate Ragin Cajuns squad needing to win this game to become bowl eligible. Louisiana was a seven-point underdog last year and won, 33-26 in Statesboro. Louisiana is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in November. Georgia Southern is 5-14 ATS (1 push) in their last 20 games overall. Expect a double-digit victory on Senior Day for the home team. |
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11-25-17 | Alabama -4 v. Auburn | 14-26 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 60 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #225 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Auburn Tigers (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) Would go bigger on Alabama if I believed this was a winner take all game. But the way things are going I feel they can lose this game and still make the College Football Playoffs. That being said, I still believe Alabama will win this game, something they have done 5 of the last 6 years (5-1 ATS). The difference in this game will be the Crimson Tide defense as they are allowing just 87 yards per game rushing. Alabama is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games. Expect Alabama to make a play late in the fourth quarter to win this game by 7-10 points. |
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11-25-17 | Indiana +3 v. Purdue | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 32 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #151 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Purdue Boilermakers (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2) This Battle of Indiana has everything on the line. Besides winning the Old Oaken Bucket, the winner becomes bowl eligible and the loser finishes out the season and 5-7. Indiana has been playing better of late and will enter this game having won two straight games (both by double digits). Purdue is also coming off an impressive victory at Iowa and because of that performance they have been installed as the favorite. Indiana has won four straight in this series and had a much more difficult conference schedule. Purdue is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games. |
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11-24-17 | Miami-FL v. Pittsburgh +14 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #132 Take Pittsburgh Panthers over Miami Hurricanes (Friday 12 pm ABC) The Hurricanes have not played a road game since October 28th and in that game, they struggled to defeat the worst team in the league. Miami is coming off a 44-28 victory against Virginia and is guaranteed a spot in the ACC Championship Game. That final is misleading as they trailed by 14 points in that game before turning it on in the fourth quarter. This is be the Panthers final game of the season and I believe Miami could still lose this game and win next week against Clemson to make the College Football Playoff. Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Expect Miami to win by 7-10 points as they are looking ahead to the Championship Game next week. |
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11-18-17 | San Jose State v. Colorado State -33 | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 44 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #390 Take Colorado State Rams over San Jose State Spartans (Saturday 3:30 pm CBSSN) The Spartans might be the worst team in FBS and the Rams should be able to name their score in this game. The Rams are in desperate need of a victory having lost three straight games including blowing a 14-point lead in the final two minutes last week against Boise State. The Spartans have lost 9 straight games and all their losses have been by double digits. Colorado State is angry, and they are going to take out their frustrations on San Jose State. The Spartans are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. Colorado State is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games played during the month of November. |
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11-18-17 | Hawaii v. Utah State -10.5 | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 97 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #350 Take Utah State Aggies over Hawaii Warriors (Saturday 3 pm) The Warriors started off well at 2-0 but have been in freefall the rest of the season losing 7 of their last 8 games. Their only win came against San Jose State, the worst team in FBS. Utah State has won three straight games against Hawaii and will enter this game fresh as they did not play last Saturday. Utah State needs to win one of their last two games to become bowl eligible and I expect them to win this game by double digits. Hawaii is 8-25 ATS (1 push) in their last 34 games overall. Utah State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-18-17 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -7.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 94 h 13 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #416 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan Wolverines (Saturday 12 pm FOX) The Badgers just continue to win games and will enter this game 10-0 and all their victories have come over today’s posted number. Wisconsin is not pretty on offense and they turn over the football way too much but their defense is outstanding. Michigan will struggle to move the football on them and sooner or later Wisconsin will pull away and win this game convincingly. Iowa had Wisconsin on the ropes last week yet they still lost by 24 points. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings with Michigan. Michigan is 5-10 ATS in their 15 road games as an underdog. |
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11-11-17 | Notre Dame -3 v. Miami-FL | 8-41 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #165 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Miami Hurricanes (Saturday 8 pm ABC) We will go against Miami again this week after losing with Virginia Tech last week. Notre Dame has much more to play for than did Virginia Tech and I see them controlling the line of scrimmage and going right at the Miami defense. The Hurricanes defense is very weak against the run allowing 170 yards rushing per game and three times teams have rushed for over 200 yards against them. That is the bread and butter for the 2017 Irish and they will cover their fourth straight road game this season. The Irish have played the better schedule thus far and sooner or later Miami will get exposed. That will occur Saturday night at Hard Rock Stadium. |
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11-11-17 | Alabama -14 v. Mississippi State | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #177 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Mississippi State Bulldogs (Saturday 7 pm ESPN) Mississippi State is 7-2 this season but both of their two losses have been blowouts. Alabama has won nine straight in this match-up (6-3 ATS). The Bulldogs were likely looking ahead to this game as they struggled to put away UMASS last week, one of the worst teams in the country. Mississippi State will struggle to put points on the board in this game against the Tide’s defense and I expect Alabama to pull away in the second half to win this game by 21-24 points. Alabama has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 road games. |
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11-11-17 | USC -13.5 v. Colorado | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #183 Take USC Trojans over Colorado Buffaloes (Saturday 1 pm FOX) USC has righted the ship after losing to Notre Dame is embarrassing fashion. They have won two straight games (Arizona & Arizona State) and both of those teams have already beaten Colorado this season. The Buffaloes appeared in control last week against ASU but fell apart in the fourth quarter and expect a carryover effect into this game in Boulder. Colorado will have a tough time becoming bowl eligible as they must win one of their final two games (@ Utah on 11/25). USC is 11-0 against Colorado with a 22-point margin of victory in those games. USC needs to win out to earn a New Year’s Six Bowl Bid (will not be the Rose Bowl) but I still believe they are the best team in the conference. |
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11-04-17 | Colorado v. Arizona State -4 | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 103 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #352 Take Arizona State Sun Devils over Colorado Buffaloes (9 pm PAC-12 Network) Arizona State laid an egg last week against USC (we had the Trojans) but they should bounce back in a big way playing their second straight home game. Colorado is not USC and they are also nowhere near the team that they were in 2016. CU-Boulder is coming off a 16-point victory against California, but they have not done well against the top teams in the league. ASU is 21-11 ATS in their last 22 home conference games. The home team has also covered three of the last four in this series. I do not see the Buffaloes winning another game this season and ASU has beaten Colorado 7 of 8 times. They not only beat them in this game they also cover the spread. |
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11-04-17 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -1 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #334 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Northwestern Wildcats (Saturday 3:30 pm BTN) Nebraska is coming off an exciting win against Purdue last time out and look for them to carry that momentum into Saturday in Lincoln. This is a game Nebraska must win to qualify for a bowl game and Coach Reilly has a knack of doing just enough to get to six wins. Northwestern is coming off an overtime victory of their own against Michigan State, but I am just not sold on them being a top team in the Big 10. QB Tanner Lee has been playing outstanding football of late with just one interception in his last four games. Northwestern is coming off back-to-back overtime victories and I wonder how much they have left in the tank. This will be a close game but in the end, I feel Nebraska finds a way to get it done. |
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11-04-17 | Iowa State v. West Virginia -2.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 98 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #338 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over Iowa State Cyclones (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) Iowa State has been the talk of the Big 12 the last few weeks but I just do not see them going into Morgantown and leaving victorious. West Virginia has won the last three match-ups (3-0 ATS) and look for QB Grier to bounce back after throwing 4 interceptions in his last game against Oklahoma State. The Big 12 usually features a tough game every week and I believing Iowa State is playing a little over their heads now. West Virginia is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of November. |
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10-28-17 | USC -3 v. Arizona State | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 104 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #173 Take USC Trojans over Arizona State Sun Devils (Saturday 10:45 pm ESPN) These two teams are heading in opposite directions and the public has really turned on USC. But the talent edge is still big in the favor on USC and they have pounded the Sun Devils the last two years winning by scores of 42-12 & 41-20. USC is 14-3 in the last 17 match-ups against Arizona State. The Sun Devils are coming off back-to-back upset victories, but I believe they are playing over their heads now and will come back down from that high. USC still controls their own destiny in the South Division and sooner or later they will get back on track. That will happen Saturday night. USC is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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10-28-17 | Washington State v. Arizona OVER 64.5 | 37-58 | Win | 100 | 103 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #200 Take Over in Washington State Cougars @ Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 9:30 pm PAC-12 Network) Both teams have explosive offenses and this I feel that this posted total is too low. Arizona is becoming the surprise team in the conference as Rich Rod was fighting for his job but now has rattled off three straight victories. The Wildcats are scoring over 43 points per game and I expect this game to be played at the pace Arizona wants. Arizona has gone over the posted total in 16 of their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. |
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10-28-17 | Nebraska +6 v. Purdue | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 101 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #117 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Purdue Boilermakers (Saturday 7:30 pm BTN) Nebraska seems to play better on the road as they are away from their negative fan base. The Cornhuskers are coming off a much-needed bye after facing Wisconsin & Ohio State the previous two weeks. Purdue is coming off an embarrassing loss to Rutgers and that is the type of loss that can sabotage at team for the rest of the season. Nebraska is 16-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 23 road games. Purdue is 5-12 in their last 17 home games. Coach Mike Reilly has a knack for doing just enough to get into a bowl game and I just have a feeling Nebraska wins this game straight-up. |
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10-28-17 | Penn State v. Ohio State -6 | Top | 38-39 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #206 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 3:30 pm FOX) BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR. This is just a brutal scheduling situation for Penn State. They are coming off an emotional high by beating Michigan last week. This is a game their assistant coaches said they wanted to win big in the worst way. Now they must go on the road into a hostile environment against a team that must win out in order to make the College Football Playoff. Despite losing last year to Penn State, Ohio State has won 4 of the last 5 match-ups and Coach Urban Meyer is 24-10 ATS (1 push) with revenge for losing to a team in the last meeting. Since their loss to Oklahoma, Ohio State has won five straight games with their closest margin of victory 31 points. Some like to point out that all these opponents Ohio State has played have been terrible but who exactly has Penn State played this year? Michigan is way down and Penn State could have very easily lost at Iowa on September 23rd. The posted line tells me a great deal about this game, as it opened at 7 after Penn State looked dominating last Saturday. It seems to me that odds makers were begging people to put money on Penn State. We will not fall for that trap and take the better team playing at home. The Buckeyes have covered the spread in their last 4 games. |
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10-28-17 | Louisville -2.5 v. Wake Forest | 32-42 | Loss | -125 | 94 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #127 Take Louisville Cardinals over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Saturday 12:20 pm ACC Network) Louisville has been one of the most disappointing teams in the country this season but they do have Lamar Jackson as their quarterback. That alone should allow them to beat Wake Forest for a fifth straight time. This was a close battle until Louisville pulled away big time in the second half last year winning by 44-12. That is how we see this game going as well. Sooner or later Louisville will get hot on offense and I do not believe Wake Forest will be able to keep pace with them. The Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a winning home record. |
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10-21-17 | USC v. Notre Dame -3.5 | 14-49 | Win | 100 | 101 h 48 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #402 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over USC Trojans (7:30 pm NBC) Would have used this as an 8-unit play had the line come in under three but still believe it is a solid play. Notre Dame is a sleeping giant at the moment and they have a much better team that odds makers are giving them credit far. USC has a gauntlet of a schedule with no bye weeks until the end of the regular season and that has taken its toll on this team. QB Sam Donald has not played well this season and I still am not a big Clay Helton fan as a head coach. The Irish are coming off a bye week and they have covered the spread four straight week by an average of 14 points over the posted number. Notre Dame is getting the job done on both sides of the football giving up just 21 points per game. Both teams still have a shot at the playoffs and I expect Notre Dame to win by double digits. |
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10-21-17 | Michigan v. Penn State -9 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 101 h 46 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #356 Take Penn State Nittany Lions over Michigan Wolverines (Saturday 7:30 pm ABC) Penn State got embarrassed last year at Michigan but they have not lost a regular season game since then. They are loaded and Michigan is still searching for answers especially on the offensive side of the football. The Lions are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games as a favorite. Michigan still has a solid defense but this will be the best offense they have faced this season. I also believe that Coach Franklin will want to run up the score if given a chance in this game to make a statement. Michigan is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Penn State is 13-1 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 16 games overall. |
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10-21-17 | Idaho v. Missouri -15 | 21-68 | Win | 100 | 93 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #374 Take Missouri Tigers over Idaho Vandals (Saturday 12 pm SEC Network) Missouri has played much better the last two weeks with their offense finally getting it together and I believe they will outscore their way to a 20+ point victory in this game. Idaho led 20-0 last week against Appalachian State before giving up 23 unanswered points in a loss. Idaho is just 1-10 ATS vs Power 5 teams and Missouri tends to blowout Group of Five teams. Idaho is just coming for a check and I do not expect them to put up much of a fight. |
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10-20-17 | Air Force v. Nevada +6 | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 79 h 47 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #312 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Air Force Falcons (Friday 9:30 pm CBSSN) Nevada has put together back-to-back impressive performances in their last two weeks and I look for them to carry that over into their homecoming game on Friday night. Air Force is playing their third road game in the last four weeks and will struggle to defend the Air Raid offense of Nevada. The Pack have struggled to stop the triple option in the past but this is a new defensive scheme and I just do not see them getting run off the field at home. Air Force is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Nevada has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. This should be a field goal spread and getting this many points is too good to pass up. |
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10-14-17 | UCLA v. Arizona +1.5 | 30-47 | Win | 100 | 102 h 7 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #178 Take Arizona Wildcats over UCLA Bruins (Saturday 9 pm PAC-12 Network) Rich Rod deserves credit for turning around the Wildcats this season and likely saving his job. The same cannot be said for Jim Mora, as he has yet to elevate the Bruins to one of the top teams in the league. UCLA has owned this season of late but this is the final stretch over the last month of playing three road games. UCLA struggles to stop the run and that is what Arizona does best. UCLA is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. |
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10-14-17 | Northern Illinois -4 v. Buffalo | 14-13 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 36 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #127 Take Northern Illinois Huskies over Buffalo Bulls (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN 3) Just do not know how much the Bulls have left in the tank after a marathon 7 overtime loss against Western Michigan last Saturday. They have a coach that appears in over his head and NIU has owned this series going 9-0 in the last 9 meetings winning by an average margin of 29 points per game (7-2 ATS). The Huskies have played a brutal schedule thus far and should find it easier to move the football against the Bulls. Northern Illinois is 33-15 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 51 road games. |
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10-14-17 | Connecticut v. Temple -9.5 | 28-24 | Loss | -120 | 93 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #130 Take Temple Owls over Connecticut Huskies (Saturday 12 pm ESPNN) No play against UCONN is a bad play as they have been getting bombed on the road and today should be no different. The Owls played their best game of the season last week against East Carolina and they should win this game big as well. Temple is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. UCONN is 8-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 28 games as an away underdog. Connecticut struggles in pass defense and I just do not believe they will be able to keep pace in this game. |
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10-07-17 | Arizona v. Colorado -6 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #372 Take Colorado Buffaloes over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 8 pm PAC-12 Network) the Buffaloes have a two-game losing streak but this is a get well game for them in Boulder against a team that has a coach squarely on the hot seat. Colorado had to replace much of their talent from last year’s South Division Championship. The Wildcats have gone downhill in a big way since the Rich Rod tenure started with some early success. They do not have a quality win this season and turned over the football five times last week against Utah. CU-Boulder won this game by 25 points last year in Tucson and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a conference favorite. Arizona is 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games as a conference underdog. Colorado is well coached and this is a game they must get to keep confidence high for the entire 2017 season. They will get it by double digits. |
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10-07-17 | Missouri v. Kentucky -10 | Top | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #402 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Missouri Tigers (Saturday 7:30 pm SEC Network) Missouri is a terrible team and we will go against them for a second straight week (Won big with Auburn in their last game). The Tigers have been blown out three straight games and only Auburn is a ranked team that they faced. Getting blown out by Purdue and South Carolina is a head scratching moment for a coach that is in over his head. This will be Missouri’s first road game and they are TERRIBLE on both sides of the football. They have nothing to hang their head on as their offense has not been able to move the football after their first game against an FCS team. Kentucky did not look that impressive against Eastern Michigan but they did hold the Eagles to just 20 yards rushing. Kentucky has a very solid rush defense and if they can make the Tigers one dimensional that should be enough to win this game big. We said two weeks ago that playing Missouri is a get-well game for the Auburn offense and the same thing will be true on Saturday for Kentucky. Missouri is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Kentucky has covered the spread in 8 of their last 9 SEC games.  |
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10-07-17 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 97 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #388 Take TCU Horned Frogs over West Virginia Mountaineers (Saturday 12:30 pm FS1) These teams are just heading in opposite directions this season. West Virginia had a replace a ton of talent from 2016 and TCU has most of their talent back. TCU has a huge advantage on defense compared to West Virginia, as the Mountaineers struggle to stop the run. Both teams are coming off a bye and TCU is 10-2 ATS when coming off a bye during the regular season. This is a consensus play among most of the weekly newsletters that come out and it has all the keys to indicate a blowout by the home team. Revenge and a weak home record in 2016 will make sure TCU has the full attention of West Virginia. |
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09-30-17 | Nevada +10 v. Fresno State | 21-41 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 25 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #203 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State Bulldogs (Saturday 10 pm AT&T Sportsnet) Fresno State is not good enough to be laying this many points against anybody in FBS. This line is more about how bad Nevada has been playing but on paper these are two equal teams. Nevada has had quarterback issues but they are starting the quarterback that gives them the best chance to win games. The home team is 0-6 ATS in this match-up the last 6 meetings. The Bulldogs have allowed 41+ points twelve times since the start of the 2015 season. Nevada will hang around in this game as we will collect with a nice underdog. |
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09-30-17 | Iowa v. Michigan State -3.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #146 Take Michigan State Spartans over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 4 pm FOX) Both teams are coming off home losses but the stats in each of those game tell a different story as to how well each team played. Michigan State put up 496 yards of total offense last week against Notre Dame but were done in by three turnovers. Iowa lost the total yardage battle to Penn State, 579-273, yet was ahead until the last play of the game. Michigan State needs to clean up the turnovers and they should win this game by double digits. Iowa is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. If Michigan State protects the football they will win this game by double digits. |
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09-30-17 | Georgia v. Tennessee +8 | Top | 41-0 | Loss | -115 | 98 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #180 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Georgia Bulldogs (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) The SEC is a one team league and we have seen the other members go up and down and not be able to handle prosperity. Georgia is coming off a big win against Mississippi State and now must go on the road into hostile territory. The Volunteers have won two straight games against the Bulldogs despite trailing big in both of those games. Butch Jones is not a great coach but he has a habit of keeping the game close and he will accomplish this yet again on Saturday. The point spread has been over adjusted off Georgia’s game last week and we will take advantage of a favorable line. Georgia is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. Tennessee is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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09-29-17 | BYU v. Utah State +3.5 | 24-40 | Win | 100 | 78 h 18 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #110 Take Utah State Aggies over BYU Cougars (Friday, 8 pm CBSSN) The Cougars are coming off a bye week after getting destroyed by Wisconsin in Provo the previous week. The Aggies had a get-well game against San Jose State and that should give them confidence heading into this game. BYU is without QB Tanner Mangum and they do not deserve to be favored against anybody on the road. BYU has the 7th worst offense in the country and if Utah State does not beat themselves they will win this game straight-up. BYU is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Utah State is 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games played on Friday. |
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09-23-17 | Washington -10.5 v. Colorado | 37-10 | Win | 100 | 104 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #353 Take Washington Huskies over Colorado Buffaloes (Saturday 10 pm FS1) This is a rematch of the PAC-12 Championship Game last year and I expect a similar result to the 31 point victory by Washington last year. Washington has beaten Colorado five straight times (5-0 ATS) and their defense is much more preserved than the Buffaloes. The Huskies have rolled the last two weeks and they know they need to run the table to get back to the college football playoffs. The Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Huskies gave up a backdoor cover to the Bulldogs last week but they are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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09-23-17 | Auburn -19 v. Missouri | Top | 51-14 | Win | 100 | 101 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #373 Auburn Tigers over Missouri Tigers (Saturday 7:30 pm ESPN U) SEC GAME OF THE YEAR. Missou opens the 2017 season with 4 straight home games and after Saturday they will have recorded just 1 victory. Missouri has a terrible defense and this is clearly a get-well game for Auburn. Missouri has given up 66 points the last two weeks against two bad offensive teams in Purdue and South Carolina. They fired their defensive coordinator last week and still looked terrible. Auburn looked better than their total score indicated last week moving the ball up and down the field but were down in by 5 turnovers. If they protect the ball this week they will win big. Missouri is 3-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games played in September. |
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09-23-17 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -11.5 | 44-31 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #384 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over TCU Horned Frogs (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) The Pokes are on a tear and one must continue to ride them until they slow down. TCU is also 3-0 but they have not looked that impressive. Their 28-7 victory at a bad Arkansas team is very misleading. Oklahoma State has blown out TCU by 20 and 25 points the last two years. QB Mason Rudolph is one of the Heisman frontrunners and sooner or later he will pick apart this defense and get up by double digits and cruise from there. TCU will have some moments on offense as well but I just do not believe they will be able to keep pace in this game. TCU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 lined games. Oklahoma State is 5-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. |
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09-23-17 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M -2.5 | 43-50 | Win | 100 | 94 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #394 Take Texas A & M Aggies over Arkansas Razorbacks (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) Both of these coaches are squarely on the hot seat but I just believe Kevin Sumlin has more talent on his side. A & M has won five straight conference games against Arkansas despite not covering the spread in many of those game. Now the spread is low and if they beat them for a six straight time the odds are they will also cover the spread. QB Kellen Mond is getting more confident since being forced into action and I expect him to play his best game of the season today. The Razorbacks have allowed 28+ points in 10 of their last 12 games. A & M is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games played during September. Arkansas is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Â |
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09-16-17 | Colorado State v. Alabama -28.5 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #178 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Colorado State Rams (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 2) This is the second straight MWC team the Tide will face and I expect another 30 point victory for Alabama this week as well. The Rams looked awful against Colorado and I do not see things getting any better in this game against another Power 5 team (maybe the best team in the country). Colorado State is 2-5 in their road opener the last 7 years. The Tide are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games against team with a winning record. |
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09-16-17 | Oregon State +21 v. Washington State | 23-52 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #173 Take Oregon State Beavers over Washington State Cougars (Saturday 5:30 pm PAC-12 Network) I really believe that this line is inflated and at the start of the year this would have been a 11-13 point spread. We are now getting great value with a team that has disappointed through three games this season. The Beavers have won 12 of the last 17 games in this series. Washington State had to rally from 21 points down last week to beat Boise State and I just do not believe they will be able to jump on the Beavers early and put them away. The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. Mike Leach is never a good play as a favorite and Washington State seems to always play to the level of their competition. This is a conference game with a desperate team and I just do not see a bloodbath. Oregon State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 PAC-12 games. Washington State has failed to cover the spread in 4 straight home games. |
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09-16-17 | Wisconsin -13.5 v. BYU | Top | 40-6 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #153 Take Wisconsin Badgers over BYU Cougars (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) BYU has one of the worst offenses in the entire country. If Ty Detmer (offensive coordinator) were not a living legend at BYU he would have been replaced after the LSU game. I still believe there is a chance that may happen after this game. BYU has just produced two touchdowns the last two weeks and they came in garbage time against Utah last Saturday night. Wisconsin is coming off a lackluster performance in which they dominated the yardage (564-248) and time of possession but were did not cover the spread because of two turnovers. They will need to clean that up in this game. BYU will hold their own on defense but they will eventually wear down because of their lack of offensive efficiency. There seems to be a rift between the offense and the defense (including coaches) and this will be the best defense BYU has faced this season (Wisconsin beat LSU last year). Wisconsin has covered the spread in six straight road games. BYU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Badgers win this game by twenty points and we collect in the process as well. Â |
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09-09-17 | Utah -1 v. BYU | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 105 h 13 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #395 Take Utah Utes over BYU Cougars (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN 2) Utah has dominated the Holy War in recent years winning six straight and going 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Provo. BYU looked god awful against LSU especially on offense. They will be better in this game but I just do not believe Ty Detmer is a good offensive coordinator that can work to his quarterback’s strengths. The Cougars did not look that impressive against Portland State either two weeks ago. Utah is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 nonconference games. BYU is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
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09-09-17 | Toledo v. Nevada +10 | 37-24 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 50 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #370 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Toledo Rockets (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 3) The Wolf Pack did much better than expected against Northwestern last Saturday and could have won the game straight-up despite being a 24 point underdog. I believe they are again undervalued this week in the home debut of Coach Jay Norvell. The Rockets have not performed well when playing outside the eastern/central time zone going 1-7 straight-up in their last 8 games. Just not sold on the Rockets defense being able to hold up for 60 minutes. Both teams will put up points in this game by a do not see a double-digit deficit for the home team. Nevada held up well in the trenches last Saturday and they should be able to do that again on Saturday. Nevada has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. |
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09-09-17 | Marshall v. NC State -24 | 20-37 | Loss | -101 | 101 h 51 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #368 Take NC State Wolfpack over Marshall Thundering Herd (Saturday 6 pm ESPN 3) We used Marshall last week and were lucky to be successful. In that game Marshall had two kickoff returns for a touchdown to go along with a pick-6. NC State dominated the yards against South Carolina but wound up with the loss. Both teams will come back to reality in this game and the result will be a 30 point victory for the home team. Marshall is 1-16 straight-up in their last 17 road openers (4-13 ATS). If they cannot move the football against Miami Oh they will not be able to move the football against a middle of the pack ACC team. Marshall is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS in their previous game. NC State is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 nonconference games. |
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09-09-17 | TCU -3 v. Arkansas | Top | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 99 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #364 Take TCU Horned Frogs over Arkansas Razorbacks (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) It is not often a road team is favored in a true SEC home game but it is well warranted in this situation. TCU returns a ton of experience from last year and they also have revenge on their minds after blowing a late lead to Arkansas last year in Fort Worth. TCU is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road openers winning those 9 games by an average of 18 points per game. Coach Gary Patterson is too good of a coach to be down for long and I expect TCU to come close to recording 10+ wins this season. Arkansas is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 nonconference games. 61% of the early money is coming in on Arkansas yet the line keeps going up. That tells me the smart money is backing the road team. |
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09-03-17 | West Virginia v. Virginia Tech -4.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #210 Take Virginia Tech Hokies -4 over West Virginia Mountaineers (Sunday 7:30 pm ESPN) I do not believe West Virginia is a top 25 team this season. They must replace a ton of talent on both sides of the football including their quarterback from last year. The Mountaineers are just 3-9 against the Hokies and the are facing a team on the rise. It is important for Virginia Tech to get off to a good start as they have not performed well in neutral site games of late. That changes tonight and they will win this game by double digits. |
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09-02-17 | Florida State v. Alabama -7 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 100 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #206 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Florida State Seminoles (Saturday 8 pm ABC) The Crimson Tide just seem to dominate these games and I see this one as no different. Alabama is 5-0 straight-up and 4-1 ATS in their opening neutral site games the last five years. The Tide also have an experienced quarterback for a change and that should bode well in this game for them. FSU was down big earlier to a lesser Ole Miss team in 2016 and if that happens again I cannot see Alabama letting them back into the game. Florida State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Alabama has covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. Â |
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09-02-17 | Georgia Southern +34 v. Auburn | 7-41 | Push | 0 | 99 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #189 Take Georgia Southern Eagles over Auburn Tigers (Saturday 7:30 pm SECN) The Eagles struggled last year recording only five wins after back-to-back nine win seasons. Expect them to go back to a triple option run first style and that bodes well against a big underdog since it keeps the clock running. Auburn has a trip to Death Valley on deck and I do not expect them to give away much in this game. Auburn lost five games last year and Coach Malzahn is facing adversity for the first time in his tenure at Auburn. They will win this game but it will be much closer than this inflated spread. Auburn is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during September. |
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09-02-17 | Miami-OH v. Marshall -2 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #158 Take Marshall Thundering Herd over Miami (OH) Redhawks (Saturday 6:30 pm) These two teams may appear to be heading in opposite directions but Marshall has been a traditional power whereas Miami (OH) is not. The Redhawks have lost nine straight home openers and Marshall is too good of a program to be down for long. Throw out last year and the Herd have won 33 games the previous three seasons. Miami started the season 0-6 last year and lost to Marshall by double digits twice in the last four years. |
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09-02-17 | California v. North Carolina -11 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #178 Take North Carolina Tar Heels over Cal Golden Bears (Saturday 12:20 pm ACCN) Always like going against west coast teams playing a 12 pm eastern time start on the east coast. Cal has a new coach and I expect them to struggle on both sides of the football against North Carolina. The Tar Heels are 9-1 in their home openers over the last 10 years winning by an average margin of 35 points per game. The Bears got blown out in the last four losses in 2016 and they must replace all their skill position players from 2016. The Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games when they are an underdog. UNC has covered the spread in 4 straight nonconference games. |
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09-02-17 | Wyoming +11.5 v. Iowa | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #155 Take Wyoming Cowboys over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 12 pm BTN) Iowa just does not get out of the gate fast against inferior teams. Kirk Ferentz has been at Iowa forever and this does not appear to be one of his better squads. The Cowboys have the best player on the field in quarterback Josh Allen, a legitimate NFL prospect playing the MWC. Wyoming is 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games as an away underdog. The Pokes played Nebraska better than they score would indicate last year and Iowa has covered opening week just once in the last five years (against FCS team). Wyoming will move the football and I think they have a chance to win this game straight-up. Wyoming is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Iowa is 3-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 home games. |
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08-26-17 | Hawaii +2 v. UMass | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 99 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #293 Take Hawaii Warriors over UMASS Minutemen (Saturday 7 pm) These teams met in the regular season finale last year on the island and now meet a week early to open the 2017 football season. Massachusetts just appears to be a lost soul now without a conference and may be on the verge of failing out of FBS football. They won just 2 of their 12 games last year and I do not expect things to get any better for Coach Mark Whipple this season. Hawaii is going the other way under second year coach Nick Rolovich who I am a big fan of. That got three weeks of extra practices last year by beating UMASS and becoming bowl eligible and I expect them to put up a lot of points in this game. UMASS is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. I feel Hawaii needs to win this game to become bowl eligible and they get it in a close hard-fought battle. |
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08-26-17 | Oregon State v. Colorado State -3.5 | 27-58 | Win | 100 | 95 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #292 Take Colorado State Rams over Oregon State Beavers (Saturday 2:30 pm CBSSN) Gary Anderson is not a top-level coach and has struggled at Oregon State after so-so results in two years at Wisconsin. He is likely coaching for his job this season in Corvallis and I just do not see many wins for him on the schedule this year. The Rams have been bowl eligible each of the first two years under Mike Bobo and have the extra motivation of opening a brand-new stadium in this game. CSU hopes this stadium can get them into a bigger conference and winning games against Power 5 teams will certainly help their cause. Colorado State is 14-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 19 nonconference. |
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01-09-17 | Clemson +7 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 151 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #151 Take Clemson Tigers over Alabama Crimson Tide (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) This is just too many points considering Clemson has the much better offense and a couple of playmakers on defense. The spread is solely based on Nick Saban and the respect everyone has for him. He is great but as we saw last week with Urban Meyer, the head coach alone cannot will his team to a victory. Alabama has yet to see an explosive offense like Clemson that can beat you on the ground or through the air. The SEC was way down this year in terms of talent on offense and Deshaun Watson will pick them apart like he did last year. He has not played very many clean games in 2016 but I believe this will be a breakout performance that will propel him up the draft board. Throw in the fact that Clemson has revenge and I really believe Clemson wins this game straight-up. Clemson has covered the spread in six straight bowl games. Clemson is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. |
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01-02-17 | Auburn v. Oklahoma -3 | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 151 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #282 Take Oklahoma Sooners over Auburn Tigers (Sugar Bowl, Monday, 1/2 8:30 pm ESPN) Bob Stoops loves to beat up on the SEC in meaningless bowl games and he will get another chance to accomplish this on Monday night. Auburn was not the same team down the stretch losing two of their last three games and now they must face a team that ran the table in the Big 12. Baker Mayfield just has too many weapons on offense for Auburn to keep up. This was not a typical Auburn offense as the Tigers relied more on their defense to win game. OU wins their 10th straight game as we collect in the process as well. Auburn will have their moments but just cannot match Oklahoma score for score. |
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01-02-17 | Western Michigan v. Wisconsin -7.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 143 h 56 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #278 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Western Michigan Broncos (Cotton Bowl, Monday, 1/2 1 pm ESPN) Wisconsin has too much beef for this mid-major to stay within double digits in the Cotton Bowl. Wisconsin will be the best defense Western Michigan has seen all season long as they are No. 8 in the country in total defense. Some feel that Wisconsin and their fans are not excited about being in the Cotton Bowl but that is not the case. Wisconsin always travels well and they will have a good crowd in the stands come Monday. The Broncos are just average at stopping the run and expect Wisconsin to exert their strength in this area. |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson +3.5 | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 101 h 7 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #274 Take Clemson Tigers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, 12/31 7 pm ESPN) The wrong team is favored in this game and expect Clemson to win straight-up. The Tigers have won both meetings with the Buckeyes including the 2014 Orange Bowl as an underdog like they are here. Ohio State just does not see teams as explosive as Clemson is from the Big 10. DeShaun Watson is due for a breakout game and like last year he will get it in the semi-finals of the College Football Playoff. Both teams are young but Clemson has the experience from last year to propel them onto the Championship game. |
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12-30-16 | Nebraska v. Tennessee -4 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 73 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #264 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Music City Bowl, 12/30 3:30 pm ESPN) The Vols return to Nashville looking to make amends to their loss last game out against Vanderbilt. Nebraska started off hot but as usual they folded down the stretch and there is no guarantee that QB Tommy Armstrong will play in this game. Nebraska lost three of their last five games including a blowout loss to Iowa to close out the regular season. Tennessee was one of the most underachieving teams this season but they still have talent and they blew out a Big 10 team last year in a bowl game. Tennessee has a huge edge in special teams and that will allow them to win this game by 10-13 points. |
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12-30-16 | TCU v. Georgia | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 70 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #258 Take Georgia Bulldogs over TCU Horned Frogs (Liberty Bowl, Friday, 12/30 12 pm ESPN) Not impressed with TCU at all this season. They had quarterback issues down the stretch and did not record a quality victory this season. Georgia has won all three match-ups with TCU and they are building under first year head coach Kirby Smart. TCU has been blown out in their last two losses and lost three games as a favorite over their last five games. SEC is better than the Big 12 and playing in Memphis will allow the Dawgs to pack the stands. |
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12-28-16 | Kansas State v. Texas A&M -2 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 195 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #250 Take Texas A&M Aggies over Kansas State Wildcats (Texas Bowl, Wednesday, 12/28 9 pm ESPN) BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR. The Aggies are starting to get healthy with Myles Garrett and Trevor Knight expected to suit up for this game. They just have too many weapons on offense for Kansas State to keep pace with. Everybody loves Bill Snyder but the game has passed him by as the Wildcats still feature a run heavy offense that can be contained by a disciplined defense. Kansas State has not been very competitive in their last two bowl games (both losses) and they will complete the trifecta this Wednesday. We went against them two years ago with our Bowl Game of the Year and UCLA dominated that game even though the final score did not indicate that (UCLA won and covered the spread). Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last six bowl games. A&M once again did not finish out the season well but the time off has done them good and they should be ready to finish out the season on a high note. Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. A&M is 4-1 in their last 5 neutral site games. Both trends hold true on Wednesday and we lay the small change with the more athletic team. |
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12-28-16 | West Virginia +2.5 v. Miami (Fla) | 14-31 | Loss | -100 | 192 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #245 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over Miami (FL) Hurricanes (Russell Athletic Bowl, Wednesday, 12/28, 5:30 pm ESPN) I just believe West Virginia has been undervalued all season long by the odds makers and they will take down Miami in Orlando tonight. Miami struggled to beat top teams in the ACC losing four straight games at one point before beating up on bad teams to close out the regular season. West Virginia has the much better defense and I just believe this senior laden Hurricane team is ready to move on from college football and this mediocre bowl game. Miami is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. 60% of the money is on the underdog and for good reason as West Virginia wins their second straight bowl game. |
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12-27-16 | Wake Forest +11.5 v. Temple | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 166 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #237 Take Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Temple Owls (Military Bowl, Tuesday, 12/27 3:30 pm ESPN) I just believe Wake Forest is determined to come out and make a statement after all the press they have been receiving up to this game. Temple has already accomplished a great deal this year by winning the American Athletic Conference but they have a new coach and they cannot cover 13 straight games can they? I just feel we are getting value with double digits from a team that plays in a better conference. Both teams have solid defenses and I just do not see Temple running up the score in this game. Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. |
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12-21-16 | BYU v. Wyoming +9 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 154 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #218 Take Wyoming Cowboys over BYU Cougars (Poinsettia Bowl, Wednesday, 12/21, 9 pm ESPN) This is just too much love by the oddsmakers for BYU considering they are playing their second-string quarterback against a team that is thrilled to be bowling. Wyoming can score points, averaging over 40 points per game in their last 9 games to finish out the regular season. BYU has been great against the spread this year, but they have seldom been this big of a favorite. BYU has 8 wins on the season, but only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record. Wyoming is 6-1 this season as an underdog. Whichever team stops the run will win this game, and I expect the Cowboys to take care of business and win this game straight up. Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-17-16 | Southern Miss v. UL-Lafayette OVER 58 | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #212 Take Over in Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (New Orleans Bowl, Saturday, 12/17 9 pm ESPN) We will side with the over as these local teams are set to do battle in New Orleans in the fifth and final bowl game on Saturday. Both teams should be able to move the football up and down the field, and thus we will side with the over. The combined yardage of both defenses is an average of 700, and I see both teams reaching the 30s in scoring. Southern Miss has gone over the posted total in 14 of their last 17 games after allowing less than 275 yards in their previous game. Louisiana has gone over the posted total in 21 of their last 20 games (1 push) after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. |
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12-10-16 | Army +6.5 v. Navy | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 49 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #103 Take Army Black Knights over Navy Midshipmen (Saturday 3 pm CBS) It is now or never for Army with regards to ending this long losing streak against Navy. The Midshipmen got embarrassed last week against Temple and suffered injuries on the offensive side of the football. Both teams are already bowl eligible but Army is feeling much better about themselves since they won their last game and nobody expected them to get to six wins this season (2 wins in 2015). Army was a 22-point underdog last year and lost by just 4 points and by 7 points in 2014. They will keep this game close again and I feel they will be able to make some plays through the air against this suspect Navy secondary. Army has covered the spread in this game 5 of the last 6 years. This line opened as a double digit spread but has been coming down all week and all the wise guys are putting their money on the underdog and we will do the same. |
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12-03-16 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -1.5 | 38-31 | Loss | -108 | 100 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #334 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 8 pm FOX) This game has lost some luster since neither Ohio State or Michigan made it to Indianapolis. Both teams struggled in the first half last week against inferior opponents but I just feel the defense of Wisconsin will be the difference in this game. Wisconsin has quarterback issues going into this game but those two are very similar and I expect production regardless if it is Bart Houston or Alex Hornibrook. The favorite has won this game three of the last five years. The Badgers defense is allowing over 100 yards less per game than their opponents are averaging. Penn State in their last 7 neutral site games. Wisconsin is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-03-16 | Kansas State v. TCU -4.5 | 30-6 | Loss | -102 | 91 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #310 Take TCU Horned Frogs over Kansas State Wildcats (Saturday 12 pm FS1) Kansas State is coming off a lackluster performance against Kansas last week in which the Jayhawks moved the football on them and shutdown their running attack at times. Expect TCU to load up the box to make Kansas State beat them through the air. TCU has struggled at home this season and Coach Patterson knows he needs to right the ship on senior day. Kansas State is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. TCU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with a winning road record. Just was not that impressed with Kansas State last week and believe they will struggle to keep up with TCU on Saturday. |
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11-26-16 | Wyoming v. New Mexico +3 | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 102 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #222 Take New Mexico Lobos over Wyoming Cowboys (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN U) I feel there will be a great power in this game allowing New Mexico to win straight-up. The MWC really wants Boise State to face San Diego State in the MWC Championship Game next Saturday but for that to come to fruition, the Cowboys must lose this game. Wyoming is coming off a shocking victory last week against San Diego State but I do not believe that will be able to focus in this game after such a high. New Mexico has dominated this series going 11-5 straight-up and 11-5 against the spread in the last 16 meetings. This is the same Wyoming team that lost to UNLV two weeks ago, on the road and with all the pressure on their shoulders I feel they will fall apart in the second half. |
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11-26-16 | Kansas v. Kansas State -26.5 | 19-34 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #164 Take Kansas State Wildcats over Kansas Jayhawks (Saturday 12 pm FS1) Kansas won their Super Bowl last week beating Texas for the first time since the 1930s. Do not expect an encore in this game, as the Wildcats have not lost to Kansas since Bill Snyder came out of retirement. In fact Kansas State has won the last seven meetings by an average of 37 points per game. The Jayhawks benefited from six takeaways to beat Texas but I just do not believe the Wildcats will be that generous. Kansas is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Kansas State is 44-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 66 Big 12 games. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan v. Ohio State -6.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -102 | 91 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #216 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Michigan Wolverines (Saturday 12 pm ABC) This is a defacto quarterfinal game for Ohio State, as if they win this week they will make the college football playoff. I just feel Ohio State is hitting their stride down the stretch and Michigan is hanging on for dear life now. Michigan has quarterback issues heading into this game and when you examine their body of work it is just not all that impressive. They had eight home games this season and just four road games. They pounded Penn State and most of the bottom feeder teams but they have yet to see a team an explosive as Ohio State is. The Buckeyes challenged themselves in the nonconference portion of the season and just had one collapse against Penn State with a breakdown of special teams. Ohio State has beaten Michigan eleven of the last twelve games and they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games featuring single digit spreads. Michigan had Ohio State at the Big House last year and laid an egg and I just do not see them keeping this game in single digits in Columbus. |
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11-25-16 | Boise State -8.5 v. Air Force | 20-27 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #129 Take Boise State Broncos over Air Force Falcons (Friday 3:30 pm CBSSN) Boise State has just been a different animal on the road this season and this is a must win for them to reach a New Year’s Six Bowl Game. Boise State has four road wins this season and all of them have come by double digits. They have struggled with the Air Force option in past years but I believe they have the front seven that can contain the Falcons this season. The Force has played a weak schedule thus season with only one victory against a fringe top 25 team in Navy. Their 8-3 record is inflated by cream puffs and that will not bode well for this game. Air Force is 0-6 in their last six conference games. |
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11-19-16 | Oklahoma -2.5 v. West Virginia | 56-28 | Win | 100 | 103 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #341 Take Oklahoma Sooners over West Virginia Mountaineers (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Two teams with slim hopes for a playoff berth are set to do battle in Morgantown under the lights. Oklahoma has yet to lose a game in the Big 12 and I expect them to run the table and finish a perfect 9-0 in league play. I just do not believe West Virginia has the tools on offense to attack this Sooner defense. Oklahoma will have their hands with this West Virginia defense but sooner or later they will figure it out and put points on the board. The Sooners just have too many weapons on offense to be held in check for sixty minutes. Oklahoma is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Big 12 games. West Virginia is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning road record. |
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11-19-16 | Ole Miss v. Vanderbilt +9.5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 32 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #366 Take Vanderbilt Commodores +10 over Ole Miss Rebels (Saturday 8 pm SEC Network) This is just too many points to be giving on the road with a team playing their back-up quarterback. Vanderbilt has owned this series with regards to the spread going 12-4 (1 push) in their last 17 meetings with Ole Miss. The Commodores have also covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 times they have been a double-digit underdog. Look for the newcomer to struggle a little on the road and keep the deficit in single digits. Vanderbilt needs to win their final two games to earn a bowl invite and they make a run at that today. |
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11-19-16 | Arizona State +27 v. Washington | 18-44 | Win | 100 | 102 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #371 Arizona State Sun Devils over Washington Huskies (Saturday 4:30 pm FOX) The Sun Devils still need one more victory to become bowl eligible and it will likely not come on Saturday but I feel they can stay within this huge number. Arizona State has lost five times this season but all of them have come under today’s posted number. Washington and their fans are still shell shocked after what happened last week and I just do not see them being able to regroup and take out their frustrations in a big way on Saturday. This is the classic sandwich game for Washington coming off their loss to USC and must travel to Pullman for the Apple Cup next week. |
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11-19-16 | Washington State v. Colorado -4.5 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 98 h 7 m | Show |
4 Unit Play. #374 Take Colorado Buffaloes over Washington State Cougars (Saturday 3:30 pm FOX) These are two of the surprise teams in the country and very similar styles on offense. They both like to score points as quickly as possible. Both teams control their own destiny to make the conference championship game but I have not been impressed with the Cougars road play of late. They struggled to beat Oregon State and Arizona State and will face a much better team today in Boulder. Colorado is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Colorado is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. |
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11-12-16 | Colorado -15 v. Arizona | 49-24 | Win | 100 | 104 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #213 Take Colorado Buffaloes over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 10 pm FS1) We went against Arizona last week and had the easiest win on the docket and we will continue to fade them. The Rich Rod Magic is done at least for this year, as they have lost six straight games and will not be bowling. Only their fluke overtime loss to Washington starting this losing streak was the only game that was under double digits. CU-Boulder has had a remarkable turnaround and they control their own destiny to reach the conference championship game. Arizona is 1-8 ATS this year and this line should be in the twenties. |
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11-12-16 | Boise State -17 v. Hawaii | 52-16 | Win | 100 | 101 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #193 Take Boise State Broncos over Hawaii Warriors (Saturday 7 pm CBSSN) The Broncos are one of the most disappointing teams this season as they have struggled to play well on the blue turf. But they seem to play much better on the road blowing out three of their opponents (ULL, Oregon State, and New Mexico). All three of those teams are better than what they will have today in Hawaii. Boise State is a perfect 4-0 ATS against Hawaii and 32-14 when favored on the road. The Warriors have lost three of their last four games including a 55-0 pounding last week at San Diego State. This team is running out of gas but they still have a chance to get six wins as their next two games after this are winnable. Hawaii is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on the island. |
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11-12-16 | West Virginia +2 v. Texas | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 94 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #197 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over Texas Longhorns (Saturday 12 pm FS1) Charlie Strong is done at Texas and I do not see them going on a late season run to get to seven wins. His idea to tear down the program after Mack Brown left was a complete failure and it is just time to move out from this disaster. West Virginia still has a to make the college football playoff if they win out and they continue to fly under the radar despite being one of the two best teams in the conference. They are one of the few teams in the league that play defense and they also have the much better quarterback in Skyler Howard. The West Virginia – Oklahoma meeting stays significant as the visitor gets it done in Austin on Saturday. |
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11-05-16 | Iowa +7 v. Penn State | Top | 14-41 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #405 Take Iowa Hawkeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 7:30 pm BTN) BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR. Penn State is getting a lot of publicity for beating Ohio State but they are overvalued now. These are two similar teams and should be around a field goal spread and thus we will gladly grab this many points with a team that plays well on the road. Iowa has won nine straight road games including three conference games this season. This is not expected to be a whiteout for the home team and I just do not believe Penn State is good enough to be laying this many points against top teams in the league. Penn State was an underdog to Maryland and Pittsburgh this season and now they are a touchdown favorite against a better team than those two. Iowa is 15-3 ATS in their last 18 road games. If they can stabilize this game early, it should go down to the wire. Penn State is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Iowa is a better team as an underdog and their senior quarterback will make enough plays to keep this game close and pull out the straight-up victory. |
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11-05-16 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +7 | 21-7 | Loss | -119 | 49 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #414 Take Northwestern Wildcats over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 12 pm ABC) The Badgers are the worst offensive team in the top 10 of the rankings. They have yet to score over 23 points in four straight games, and their defense alone cannot win this game. Northwestern is getting better each and every week, and they will enter having won three of their last four games with just a four-point loss to Ohio State as their only setback. This series has been dominated by the home team winning 8 of the last 9 games (7-1-1 ATS). Wisconsin has had to go through a gauntlet of a schedule, and I feel it has taken its toll on their offense (rotating quarterbacks). This game will go down to the wire and we will collect with whoever pulls it out. |
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11-05-16 | Vanderbilt v. Auburn -25.5 | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -106 | 95 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #366 Take Auburn Tigers over Vanderbilt Commodores (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) We will continue to ride Auburn as they are playing like one of the best teams in the country at the moment. The Tigers have won five straight games and only one game was below double digits. Auburn has an outstanding rushing attack with a three-headed monster. Vanderbilt has played a very weak SEC schedule thus far and it does not get much tougher either as this is their toughest game on the schedule. They need to win two of their last four games to go bowling and I do not see that happening. Vanderbilt has a good defense but they have yet to play an explosive offense like Auburn. The Tigers have covered the spread in five straight games. The Commodores are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win in their previous game. |
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10-30-16 | New Mexico v. Hawaii OVER 63.5 | Top | 28-21 | Loss | -111 | 33 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #206 Take Over in New Mexico Lobos @ Hawaii Warriors (Saturday 11:59 pm the MWC) A chance to go bowling will be on the line in Honolulu when a pair of four win teams are set to do battle in on the island. The Lobos have been an over machine this season and they should have no problem moving up and down the field against the Warriors. Despite an inexplicable loss to UNLV two weeks ago, Hawaii has been having a good season and they have scored at least 34 points in four straight games. New Mexico has gone over the posted total in 9 straight games. Hawaii has gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 7 home games. |
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10-29-16 | Auburn -4 v. Ole Miss | 40-29 | Win | 100 | 102 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #179 Take Auburn Tigers over Ole Miss Rebels (Saturday 7:15 pm SEC Network) We need to keep riding Auburn now, as they have won four straight games including back-to-back blowouts the last two week against SEC teams (Arkansas & Mississippi State). People still think Ole Miss is good but their 3-4 record says otherwise. They have lost two straight SEC games to teams Auburn has already beaten this season. Ole Miss is having trouble stopping the run and Auburn is running for over 300 yards per game. Lay the points with the better team, as the SEC West has taken its toll on the Rebels. Auburn is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. |
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10-29-16 | Army v. Wake Forest -6 | 21-13 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #132 Take Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Army Black Knights (Saturday 3:30 pm ACC Network) The Black Knights continue to be overvalued by the odds makers having dropped their last three games against FBS teams. Surprisingly these teams have played the last four years with Wake Forest winning all four of them (3-1 ATS). Army was a huge favorite last week and got destroyed by North Texas in embarrassing fashion. Wake Forest has a rock-solid defense and they shut down the Army rushing attack last year giving up just 123 in West Point. Wake Forest has a weak offense but they should be able to move the football against the undersized and slow Army defense. Army is 8-23 (1 push) in their last 32 road games. Wake Forest is coming off a bye and that bodes well since they have covered the spread in 8 of their last 11 games following a week off. |
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10-29-16 | Duke +7 v. Georgia Tech | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 95 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #175 Take Duke Blue Devils over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Saturday 12 pm ACC Network) We will gladly take the points in this game since Duke has beaten Georgia Tech two straight years. Duke has already faced a triple option in Army this season and they seem to always defend the option well. Georgia Tech will likely make a coaching change at the end of the season as it is becoming apparent that the Triple Option cannot be successful anymore in a Power 5 Conference. The Yellow Jackets just have a fluke win against Boston College in Ireland to open the season as their only conference win. This is not a typical Georgia Tech team as they lack quality at the running back position and QB Justin Thomas has not been throwing the football great this season. Duke is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Georgia Tech is 4-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games. |
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10-22-16 | Oregon State v. Washington -36.5 | 17-41 | Loss | -115 | 101 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #378 Take Washington Huskies over Oregon State Beavers (Saturday 6:30 pm PAC-12 Network) This is a ton of points to be giving in a conference game but I do not believe Oregon State will be able to field a competitive team for this game. The Beavers lost their top two quarterbacks in consecutive plays last week against Utah and I believe Coach Anderson just wants to take a beating but get through this game relatively healthy. Washington has not been great by any means over the last 10 years but they have still pounded Oregon State the last four years going 4-0 ATS/Straight-up winning the last three by an average of 37 points per game. Now they are loaded on both sides of the football and they can name their score in this game. The line has skyrocketed but I still not believe it is higher enough. |
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