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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-30-19 | Sky v. Sun -7.5 | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Tuesday Enforcer. Chicago and Connecticut open the second half with a crucial Eastern Conference game that could go a long way in the standings. The Sun have a two-game lead over the Sky so this is a big game for both sides and we will be favoring the home team. Connecticut closed the first half with four straight wins including three at home where it is 9-1 on the season, covering seven of those games. This is also a revenge game for the Sun which lost the first meeting by 18 points in Chicago. Going back, Connecticut is 71-47 ATS revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more. Chicago also closed the first half on a four-game winning streak but three of those wins came at home where it is 8-3 but the Sky come into tonight just 3-5 on the road. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team after 15 or more games. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (614) Connecticut Sun |
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07-23-19 | Fever +5 v. Mercury | Top | 77-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA FEVER for our WNBA Tuesday Enforcer. Indiana and Phoenix are playing their final game prior to the WNBA All-Star game and while Phoenix wants t keep rolling, Indiana needs some positive momentum going into the break. The Fever are mired in a season-worst five-game losing streak following a 78-70 loss at Chicago on Sunday. Indiana squandered a 13-point first-half lead while getting outscored 51-34 in the final two quarters. Despite the recent struggles, the Fever are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. Phoenix has won two straight games, both coming against Dallas to improve to 9-8 on the season and it now sits in a tie for fourth place in the Western Conference. The Mercury are getting outscored on the season by less than a point per game while Indiana is getting outscored by just 2.4 ppg so these teams are closer than what the records are and what the line is saying. Here, we play on road underdogs after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 50-19 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (651) Indiana Fever |
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07-17-19 | Storm v. Lynx -5 | Top | 90-79 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. Seattle rolls into Minnesota on a two-game winning streak to conclude a 3-3 homestand. This marks the first road game for the Storm since June 25th and this will be just the second road game in over a month. Seattle is 3-5 on the road and going back, the Storm are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win. Minnesota has won four of its last five games including a pair on the road as an underdog. Like Seattle, the Lynx are better at home than on the road as they are 6-3 on their home floor while going 7-1-1 ATS in those games which includes a run of five straight covers. While the Storm have been without MVP Breanna Stewart all season, they are also without second leading scorer Jewell Lloyd who has missed nearly seven games with an ankle injury. Minnesota is 7-1 ATS against teams averaging 73 or more ppg this season. Here, we play on favorites that are revenging a loss going up against an opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 83-44 ATS (65.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (628) Minnesota Lynx |
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07-14-19 | Sky v. Wings +1 | Top | 89-79 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. After a 0-5 start, Dallas has picked things up by going 5-5 over its last 10 games which is certainly nothing special but the venue has played a big role. The home team is 9-1 in those 10 most recent games with Dallas going 5-1 at home and the Wings remain the only team in the league without a win on the road. The Wings are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. We won with Chicago on Friday as it cruised past New York with a 16-point win to briefly put a halt to a 1-5 stretch. The Sky improved to 6-3 at home with the victory but they are just 2-5 on the road. This includes three straight losses and on the season, they are getting outscored by 8.3 ppg on the highway. Here, we play against road underdogs that are averaging 77 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 102-60 ATS (63 percent) since 1997. 10* (618) Dallas Wings |
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07-12-19 | Liberty v. Sky -3.5 | Top | 83-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO SKY for our WNBA Friday Enforcer. Chicago is a game under .500 and has already been above .500 earlier this season but is looking to get back to the break-even mark after a 73-72 loss to Minnesota on Wednesday, a game in which it had a chance to win at the buzzer but fell just short. The Sky have lost five of their last six games but three of those were on the road and the only other home loss came against Washington which is in first place in the Eastern Conference. The Liberty had successfully shaken off an 0-4 start and had a chance on Sunday at home to make it five straight wins but nothing went according to plan as they absorbed a 90-58 drubbing against Las Vegas. At 7-8, New York has already matched its win total from all of last season when it went 7-27. The Liberty actually have a better road record than home record but they are still getting outscored by 4.6 ppg on the highway. The Liberty are 0-6 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days rest while the Sky are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games going up against an opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (608) Chicago Sky |
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07-10-19 | Lynx v. Sky +1 | Top | 73-72 | Push | 0 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO SKY for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. Chicago snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Dallas on Sunday to move back to .500 on the season. Three of those losses came on the road while the other one came against Washington during the Mystics five-game winning streak. The Sky are 5-2 at home compared to 2-5 on the road yet they come into tonight home underdogs where they have won three of four already this season. The Sky are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Minnesota is 8-6 on the season following a pair of wins and going 4-1 over its last five games. The Lynx are coming off an upset win in Connecticut on Saturday but going back, they are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Additionally, Minnesota is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after a win by six points or less over the last two seasons. 10* (662) Chicago Sky |
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07-07-19 | Dream v. Mercury -5.5 | Top | 63-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Game of the Week. Phoenix lost for the first time in two weeks with an 80-76 home loss against the suddenly resurgent Liberty on Friday. The Mercury are still 5-6 on the season after a 2-5 start put them in the hole but the schedule was not easy with five of those first seven games coming on the road and the two home games coming against Western Conference contenders Los Angeles and Las Vegas. The good news is that Diana Taurasi could return for the first time this season but we are not banking on that and is she does, it is a bonus. Atlanta has gotten off to an atrocious start after having the best record in the Eastern Conference last season. The absence of forward Angel McCoughtry is clearly showing as the Dream are 3-9 on the season and while they are coming off their first road win of 2019, all that does is spell letdown. Atlanta is still getting outscored by 9.4 ppg on the road as the four road losses have been by an average of 14.5 ppg. The Dream are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Mercury are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after one or more consecutive unders, while getting outscored by their opponents by three or more ppg. This situation is 171-105 (62 percent) since 1997. 10* (650) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-05-19 | Mystics v. Aces -1 | Top | 51-36 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is play on the LAS VEGAS ACES for our WNBA Friday Star Attraction. The Aces have won four of their last five games heading into their rematch with the league-leading Mystics, who beat them by 23 points on their home floor on June 20. Las Vegas is coming off consecutive wins over Indiana and Chicago to make it four straight wins at home so it has the positive momentum heading into this revenge battle against Washington. It was an uneven start for the Aces who dealt with early season chemistry issues but they have come together since then. Washington has won and covered five straight games with four of those coming by at least 16 points. This includes a 102-59 victory over Connecticut last time out and the Mystics set a franchise record for margin of victory that was also the fourth-biggest in WNBA history. The Mystics continue to outpace the league offensively, averaging a WNBA-best 86.8 points while making a league-topping 8.9 three-pointers per game. This being said, this is a tough spot for Washington as it will catch a much more focused Aces team this time around. 10* (642) Las Vegas Aces |
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07-03-19 | Liberty +7.5 v. Storm | Top | 84-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. After finishing 7-27 last season, New York is only two wins shy of matching its win total from last year following a pair of victories against Dallas and Atlanta. Typically, this would be a spot to go against such a streak but the line is telling us otherwise. While Seattle is the reigning WNBA Champion, this is a totally different team at this point. The Storm continue to play without starters Sue Bird and 2018 WNBA MVP Breanna Stewart, who are both out long-term, while guard Jewell Loyd is out at least one more week with an ankle injury suffered two games back. Seattle went 26-8 last season and just the opposite of New York, it is two losses shy of the total from last season. Despite the Seattle situation, it is favored by a big amount which seems to be based on history and not the current scenario. The Liberty are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Storm are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (633) New York Liberty |
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06-30-19 | Sky v. Sparks -5.5 | Top | 69-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. Los Angeles will try to win back-to-back home games for the first time this season to close out the month of June. The Sparks are 2-2 at home as they have played a very unfavorable schedule to start the season as those four home games are tied with Phoenix for the fewest played. Forward Nneka Ogwumike is likely to be available after she was essentially rested on Thursday. Los Angeles has won and covered four straight meetings in this series. Chicago is coming off a loss in Seattle on Friday to snap a two-game road winning streak. While the defense has improved in its first season under coach and general manager James Wade, keeping control of the basketball continues to be an issue. The Sky's 15.8 turnover average ranks third in the WNBA and they've combined to commit 32 in losing their last two contests. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, playing a winning team. This situation is 54-25 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (626) Los Angeles Sparks |
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06-26-19 | Sun -8 v. Wings | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. Connecticut had its seven-game winning streak snapped Sunday in a 93-75 loss at Chicago. The Sun never recovered from an 11-0 burst by the Sky to start the second quarter, falling behind by 21 at halftime. Connecticut is a perfect 6-0 at home while going a much more average 3-2 on the road but coming off that loss puts it in good position, especially against a depleted Winds team. Dallas was thwarted in its bid for a third straight victory after an 0-5 start with Saturday's 86-68 defeat at Las Vegas. The Wings shot only 28.6 percent overall and 6 of 31 from beyond the arc. Injuries are the story as the they have been without Skylar Diggins-Smith and Moriah Jefferson for the entire season and now Glory Johnson and Tayler Hill are out with injuries. The Wings are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss and here, we play on road favorites up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots per game on the season against an opponent after a game where a team made 90 percent of their free throws or better. This situation is 56-26 ATS (68.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (607) Connecticut Sun |
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06-20-19 | Mystics v. Aces -4.5 | Top | 95-72 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS ACES for our WNBA Thursday Enforcer. Washington is coming off a 29-point win over Los Angeles on Tuesday to snap a two-game slide but it has a challenge tonight against a team that looks to have turned the corner. With the addition of star forward Liz Cambage prior to the season, Las Vegas went from a squad in rebuilding mode to a potential WNBA title contender. When the Aces dropped three of their first five, coach Bill Laimbeer continued to warn fans and media alike that he still has a young team learning how to win. They have now won two straight games and lead the league in several important categories as they are the best defensive team, allowing 89.4 points per 100 possessions amid the fastest offensive pace, 102.2 possessions per game. Las Vegas is also holding opponents to a league-low 38.1 percent shooting from the field while rebounding a league-high 76.5 percent of their misses. This is huge considering the Aces were among the worst defensive teams in the league last season, allowing 105 points per 100 possessions and 44.7 percent shooting en route to a 14-20 record. 10* (648) Las Vegas Aces |
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06-14-19 | Sparks v. Mercury -2.5 | Top | 85-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Friday Enforcer. Both Phoenix and Los Angeles have played heavy road schedules to open the season as through five games, they both have been on the road for four of those. The Mercury get the luxury of heading home tonight while the Sparks are playing their fourth straight road game before heading home for a pair of games. Los Angeles is 2-2 on the road, two losses coming against contenders in Connecticut and Las Vegas while the two wins came against New York, one of the worst teams in the league and shorthanded Minnesota. The Sparks are still down three key players and the matchup does not bode well for tonight. The Mercury have one of the top frontcourt tandems in the league in DeWanna Bonner and Britney Griner as they are averaging 24.2 and 16.4 ppg respectively and have combined to pull down 15.8 rpg. The Sparks are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win while the Mercury are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having lost two of their last three games, playing a winning team. This situation is 66-32 ATS (67.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (626) Phoenix Mercury |
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06-13-19 | Fever v. Wings +3 | Top | 76-72 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Thursday Enforcer. The Wings are 0-4 to start the season after making the playoffs a season ago and we are going contrarian with them here in a great spot in an overinflated line based on the fact they are winless. Dallas has struggled transitioning without both Skylar Diggins-Smith and the since-traded Liz Cambage, with close losses in its first two games followed by blowout defeats on the road. One of the Dallas losses was a 79-64 loss at Indiana on Friday in which the Wings never recovered from a 10-point deficit after one quarter so there is immediate revenge on the table tonight. Indiana opened the season 3-1 but it is coming off a pair of losses in its last two games. Two of those three wins came against New York which is arguably still the worst team in the WNBA so we cannot be sold on the 3-3 record for the Fever. They finished 6-28 last year, the lowest win total in franchise history and the Fever missed the playoffs for the second consecutive season after finishing 12th in league standings. The Fever are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss. 10* (620) Dallas Wings |
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06-11-19 | Mystics v. Sun -4 | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Mystics have the opportunity to avenge their only loss of the season tonight as they face Connecticut for the second time in less than three weeks. We do not see it happening however. Washington has won four straight games but three of those were at home and the lone road win was against New York which has lost 17 of 18 games going back to last season. The Mystics will once again be without Emma Meesseman, who is the third leading scorer on the team at 13.3 ppg, as she will be gone for upwards of a month as she plays with Belgium in the EuroBasket Championships. Connecticut meanwhile has won three straight games and its winning stretch has been much more impressive with road wins at Los Vegas and Atlanta and a home win over Los Angeles. The Sun have played the toughest schedule in the WNBA and is still an impressive 5-1. They have done it with defense as the Sun are second in the league in scoring defense, allowing 72.2 ppg, and are holding opponents to a league-low 25.7 percent shooting from beyond the arc. Connecticut is a perfect 3-0 at home while going 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games going back to last season. 10* (614) Connecticut Sun |
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06-06-19 | Sparks v. Sun -6 | Top | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Thursday Enforcer. This is an early season revenge game for Connecticut which lost in Los Angeles last Friday. The Sun bounced back from that loss and split its two-game road swing with an 80-74 victory at Las Vegas on Sunday. They are 2-0 at home and going back, the Sun have won eight straight regular season home games. Los Angeles followed up its win over the Sun with a 78-73 victory at New York on Tuesday when Chelsea Gray scored eight of her career high 29 points in a game-changing 10-0 run that erased a five-point deficit. That was not an overly impressive win considering New York came into that game riding a 15-game losing streak dating back to last season. The Sparks are 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 70 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a win by six points or less. This situation is 96-52 ATS (64.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (642) Connecticut Sun |
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06-01-19 | Liberty +3.5 v. Fever | Top | 77-92 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Saturday Enforcer. New York is coming off a nightmare season as it finished with a franchise-low seven wins, the only single-digit win season in franchise history and it was a sudden fall. The Liberty finished first in the Eastern Conference for three straight years with 23, 21 and 22 wins and ended last season with a 13-game losing streak. New York lost its season opener at home against Indiana on a last second shot so it is out for some immediate revenge. While Indiana won that opening game, it lost on Tuesday against Connecticut by 11 points and it is expected to be another poor season. The Fever finished 6-28 last year, the lowest win total in franchise history. Indiana missed the playoffs for the second consecutive season after finishing 12th in league standings. While this is the first home game of the season, the Fever are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 home games. Here, we play on road underdogs after one or more consecutive losses, first five games of the season, after closing out last season with 12 or more losses in their last 15 games. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (623) New York Liberty |
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05-31-19 | Sun v. Sparks | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Friday Enforcer. We played on the Sparks in their season opener and lost against the up and coming Aces in Las Vegas and now Los Angeles heads back home for its home opener. The Sparks were 11-6 at home last season and going back to last season, they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. Connecticut is off to a 2-0 start following wins over Washington and Indiana but both of those were at home where the Sun are now 15-4 going back to last season. The Sun were the top scoring team in the league last season at 87.6 ppg and used a balanced offense to score those points. Chiney Ogwumike was their leading scorer at 14.4 ppg but she was shipped to Los Angeles for a 2020 draft pick so expect her to play with a chip on her shoulder tonight because of that as well as after she managed just two points on 1-of-10 shooting in the opener. Here, we play against road favorites or pickems that averaged 72 or more ppg last season, after a win by 10 points or more. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (622) Los Angeles Sparks |
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05-29-19 | Storm +3 v. Lynx | Top | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. With reigning MVP Breanna Stewart out for the season with an Achilles injury and Sue Bird sidelined indefinitely with a knee injury, the Storm rallied from 11 down in the first half to open defense of their WNBA title with an impressive 77-68 win over Phoenix on Saturday. Now Seattle hits the road for the start of a three-game roadtrip after going a very impressive 13-4 on the highway last regular season. Despite being shorthanded, the Storm are still a very well rounded team. Minnesota also got off to an impressive start with an 89-71 win over Chicago following a disappointing season a year ago where it went just 18-16. Napheesa Collier scored 27 points in her WNBA debut and Sylvia Fowles added 16 with 10 rebounds as the Lynx shot 44.1 percent, held a 46-29 advantage on the glass and attempted more than twice as many free throws (32 to 15) than the Sky. The play of rookie Collier was big but we cannot ignore the fact that Minnesota is without Maya Moore, Lindsay Whalen, Seimone Augustus and Rebekkah Brunson, four massive pieces to winning four titles and making six Finals appearances since 2011. 10* (615) Seattle Storm |
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05-26-19 | Sparks +1.5 v. Aces | Top | 70-83 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. Las Vegas enters the season an WNBA Championship contenders following a 14-20 season but it has definitely upgraded. The move that has many considering the Aces to be championship-caliber was the blockbuster deal made earlier this month to acquire center Liz Cambage from the Wings. While the future will be bright, she will not be in uniform tonight as she is nursing an Achilles injury. Los Angeles is expected to make a rebound as week following a disappointing 19-15 season by its standards. The Sparks will be without star Candace Parker, who is nursing a hamstring injury. But they have All-Star sisters Nneka and Chiney Ogwumike, along with guard Chelsea Gray, and will provide the Aces with a formidable test to start the season. The Sparks acquired Chiney Ogwumike in a trade with Connecticut in late April, adding another 2018 All-Star to the roster. While she has dealt with injury issues that caused her to miss the 2015 and 2017 seasons, she averaged 14.1 ppg and 7.5 rpg while shooting 60.3 percent for the Sun last year. 10* (611) Los Angeles Sparks |
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09-12-18 | Storm v. Mystics -3.5 | Top | 98-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON MYSTICS for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. The Mystics nearly pulled off the Game Two upset as they held a three-point lead going into the fourth quarter but Seattle opened the final period on a 12-4 run and Washington was never able to get its lead back. Now its back is against the proverbial wall as it is one loss away from being eliminated in its quest for a first ever WNBA Championship. One thing we noted going into Game Two on Sunday was the fact that the Mystics had nothing from downtown, going just 3-21 (14.3 percent) from long range so we definitely expected a better effort. Well, that did not happen as Washington was 0-16 from behind the arc but it was still able to cover. Now a combined 3-37 (8.1 percent) on threes, things can only get better we assume and if they do, Washington should be in good shape. The Mystics have won five of six playoff elimination games dating back to last season, a history that gives Washington confidence heading into tonight. The Mystics are 14-6 at home and while they have not played any postseason games at their normal home of Capital One Arena, they will be playing at EagleBank Arena, which seats 10,000 and it should provide for an intimate atmosphere as Washington looks to extend the series. Here, we play on favorites that are revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 36-10 ATS (78.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (618) Washington Mystics |
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09-09-18 | Mystics +5.5 v. Storm | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON MYSTICS for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. Seattle came through in a big way for us on Friday but are going the opposite way today with Washington having its back against the wall. Friday was ugly for the Mystics as they trailed by as many as 26 points as they had nothing from downtown, going just 3-21 (14.3 percent) from long range so we definitely expect a better effort on Sunday. Elena Delle Donne, playing with a large brace on her left knee after suffering a bone bruise in the last semifinal series, had 10 points and seven rebounds before sitting out the fourth quarter. Guard Kristi Toliver was limited to five points on 2-of-11 shooting, including 1-8 from three-point range. Seattle improved to 17-4 at home with the victory including eight straight wins and the early consensus is all over the Storm in Game Two. Despite 75 percent of the offshore bets placed on Seattle, this line has not moved which is an indication of the linesmakers knowing where sharp money would fall should it move. The Mystics are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss while the Storm are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Additionally, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are shooting 44 percent or better on the season, after a game where they made 15 percent of their three-point shots or worse. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (615) Washington Mystics |
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09-07-18 | Mystics v. Storm -4.5 | Top | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Friday Enforcer. The points look tempting here but this is not a good spot for Washington in the opener of the WNBA Finals. The Mystics overcame a 2-1 deficit against Atlanta in the semifinal round to win the final two games and it was somewhat surprising considering what they were handed. Elena Delle Donne went down with a knee in jury in Game Two and while she came back after missing Game Three, she clearly was not 100 percent. In the first two games of the series, she averaged 29.5 ppg and 13.5 rpg on 48.5 percent shooting but the last two games, she put up just 14.5 ppg and 10.5 rpg, while shooting just 39.2 percent. This is not good against the athletic and active frontcourt of Breanna Stewart and Natasha Howard. Seattle had to survive a Game Five as well as it defeated the Mercury after dropping the two games in Phoenix. From a logistics standpoint, the Storm remain home for the opener while Washington has a tough travel schedule, going from Atlanta on Tuesday to back home and now having to travel out west. The home team won all three meetings this season and Seattle has not forgotten the last matchup in Washington where the Mystics won by 23 points, the worst loss of the season for the Storm. Here, we play on favorites that are revenging a loss by 10 points or more going up against that opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (614) Seattle Storm |
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08-31-18 | Storm v. Mercury -2 | Top | 66-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Friday Enforcer. The Mercury are backed into a corner and need three straight wins to avoid being bumped from the playoffs. After losing Game One by four points, Phoenix, which was still down by 17 points with 6 minutes left, went on a 23-6 run to end regulation, tying it on a three-pointer by Diana Taurasi with 3.7 seconds left. The Mercury eventually lost in overtime and now they are back home tonight and Sunday should they stay alive tonight. The key to success for Phoenix is getting off to a better start as Seattle has dominated the first three quarters of the series thus far, outscoring the Mercury 146-118 in that span. A return home can cure that in a hurry. The Storm are proving why they are the best team in the WNBA but we can definitely see a letdown tonight after that overtime victory on Tuesday. There is no desperation at this point with a 2-0 series lead and knowing they have a guaranteed game remaining at home even after the weekend. Seattle has not covered consecutive games against winning teams since the start of the moth while the Mercury are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Additionally, we play on home favorites that are averaging 77 or more ppg going up against an opponent after two straight wins by six points or less. This situation is 28-9 ATS (75.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (604) Phoenix Mercury |
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08-28-18 | Mystics v. Dream +2 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA DREAM for our WNBA Tuesday Enforcer. Washington took Game One of this series making this a must win game for Atlanta as it needs to avoid going to Washington down 2-0 in this series. Typically, we avoid must win sides because the linesmakers tend to shade the line based on them knowing the public will be on that must win team but that is not the case here. Granted, the line did come down one point from Game One, but the Dream are still the underdog so that point shift is insignificant. Atlanta is now 13-5 at home and the one big difference in Game One was turnovers. The Dream, who forced more turnovers than any other team in the WNBA this season, lost the turnover battle with the Mystics, forcing just four and committing eight. Washington has now won 11 of its last 12 games including two in the playoffs and it hits the road against with its 11-7 record on the highway. The Mystics shot only 38.9 percent from the floor but did go 11-26 from long range which means they shot just 36.9 percent on two-pointers. Additionally, they were perfect from the free throw line, going 20-20. Despite the loss, Atlanta is still 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games against teams allowing 73 or more ppg while going 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games after allowing 80 or more points in its last game. 10* (318) Atlanta Dream |
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08-26-18 | Mercury v. Storm -6 | Top | 87-91 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Sunday Star Attraction. Phoenix made it through two single-elimination rounds to get to this point, defeating Dallas at home on Tuesday and then travelling to Connecticut on Thursday and upsetting the Sun. The Mercury have been a solid road team this season and that includes a win here but that was way back in May in the season opener for both teams. Since the adaptation of the single-elimination rounds, Phoenix is an incredible 13-0 in those one-and-done games. The Storm, after posting the best record in the regular season, earned a double-bye into the semis which gave them an opportunity to get home, get some rest and prepare as they awaited their opponent. Seattle will surely come out with some fire and going for some payback as Phoenix defeated Seattle in the 2007 semifinals enroute to the WNBA Championship, again in the 2011 semifinals, and last year in the first round of the playoffs. Seattle is 13-4 at home and on the season, the Storm are 7-0 ATS against teams that are outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg. Additionally, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (314) Seattle Storm |
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08-23-18 | Sparks v. Mystics -4.5 | Top | 64-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON MYSTICS for our WNBA Thursday Star Attraction. We played against Los Angeles on Tuesday and while Minnesota outshot the Sparks 46 percent to 43.5 percent and dominated the offensive glass, the Lynx were only 4-15 from long range and hit a mere six free throws. Los Angeles now has to head east on short notice and it brings in an unimpressive 8-9 road record including four straight losses on the highway. Washington will have a significant home advantage tonight. It will not be in its usual home, the cavernous, 18,000-capacity Capital One Arena as renovations will have the Mystics move to the Smith Center on the George Washington campus that seats just 5,000. Considering Washington averaged 6,136 fans this season, it will be a full house that is right on top of the players and that is a huge home edge. Washington is all too familiar with this type of situation as last season, Minnesota had to relocate from the huge Target Center to the much smaller Williams Arena during the playoffs and the smaller venue was a big advantage with the Lynx winning games against the Mystics by 10 and 20 points. Rest is a significant edge for Washington as it has been home since Sunday while this is the fourth game in seven days for Los Angeles and all have involved travel in the days in-between. The Sparks are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games when playing their fourth game in seven games and this is not a good situation for any team. 10* (310) Washington Mystics |
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08-21-18 | Lynx +6.5 v. Sparks | Top | 68-75 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Tuesday Enforcer. This has a weird look to it as Minnesota and Los Angeles have been the two best teams in the WNBA over the last couple years as they have met in the WNBA Finals the last two seasons and now they are meeting in the first round in a play-in game where it is win or go home. Los Angeles got the home game as it finished a game better than Minnesota as these teams have been pretty equal then and now. However, this line is telling us something different as there is significant value on the Lynx. Over the 2016 and 2017 regular seasons and playoffs, the Lynx and Sparks met 16 times, with each winning eight games. This season, Los Angeles took three of four meetings but one of those was by just one point, so it was nearly a wash again. Los Angeles has regresses on both sides of the ball as it averaged 78.9 ppg compared to 83.5 ppg and 83.0 ppg over the last two seasons. Additionally, the Sparks allowed 77.0 ppg comparted to 75.2 ppg in 2017 and 75.9 ppg in 2016. Both teams average the same amount of points on offense and while the 77 ppg allowed by the Sparks leads the WNBA, Minnesota allows 78.3 ppg which is second best in the league. Minnesota does not want to go out like this, especially with Lindsay Whalen retiring after the season and getting her back home at some point. A win Tuesday would send the Lynx cross-country to either Washington or Connecticut for another single-elimination game Thursday. A win there and the Lynx would begin their best-of-five league semifinals on the road Sunday. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are allowing 44 percent shooting or worse on the season going up against an opponent after three straight games allowing 45 percent shooting or higher over their last three games. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (307) Minnesota Lynx |
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08-17-18 | Aces v. Wings -3.5 | Top | 102-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Supreme Annihilator. The final spot in the WNBA playoffs is on the line tonight between Las Vegas and Dallas which seasons have gone in opposite directions, but we feel the home team will come through in desperate measures. The rest of the season is simple. The Aces make the playoffs if they win their final two games while the Wings make the playoffs if they beat the Aces tonight as they would own the tiebreaker with a 3-0 season sweep. While this is a must win for Las Vegas to stay alive, it is also a must win for Dallas based on what has happened and what lies ahead. The Wings have lost nine consecutive games, fired coach Fred Williams on Sunday and will close the regular season at the top-seeded Seattle Storm on Sunday. The Aces have won their last two games, at home against the league's two worst teams New York and Indiana, after breaking a five-game losing streak. If there is any good news looking forward for Dallas it is the fact Seattle can clinch the No. 1 seed tonight with a win over New York which is a near lock, so the Storm will rest starters on Sunday. At the same time, the Aces play Atlanta on Sunday and the Dream likely would rest their starters as well having clinched the No. 2 seed. While it is a must win for both, Dallas does not want to have Sunday matter. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a loss by 15 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more. This situation is 46-20 ATS (69.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (310) Dallas Wings |
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08-15-18 | Liberty +11 v. Aces | Top | 72-85 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. As we near the end of the WNBA season, teams are vying for playoff spots and playoff seeds. Because of this and these must win spots, linesmakers have to overadjust lines because the public tends to go right after those teams in must win situations and we are seeing that tonight. Las Vegas is trying to chase down Dallas for the eighth and final playoff spot as it is percentage points behind, having one less victory but also having one less defeat, although the forfeit against Washington has not officially been added yet based on the standings. There are just two games left in the season after this one with one of those at Dallas on Friday and then the season finale against Atlanta, who could be resting their starters. This line is simply too high. New York is playing out the string of its extremely disappointing season as it has now lost nine straight games. However, all but one of those were against teams currently holding down a playoff spot but it has not been an easy stretch. New York has been a double-digit underdog three times this season and those were games at Washington, Connecticut and Los Angeles and Las Vegas does not fall into that group. Here, we play on road teams after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 55-22 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (303) New York Liberty |
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08-12-18 | Storm +1.5 v. Lynx | Top | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. With the recent surge of Atlanta, Seattle has seen its lead for the top spot in the WNBA drop to two games over the Dream with three games remaining. A win today likely locks up the No. 1 seed as the Storm close the season with winnable home games against New York and Dallas. They have been the best road team in the league this season as they are 12-4 and coming off a loss at Washington by 23 points which should certainly motivate them tonight to close out their road slate for the season. The Storm are 7-0 straight up and ATS this season in their road games after allowing 80 or more points in their previous game. All of those wins have come by at least 13 points and by an average of 17.7 ppg. Minnesota is normally fighting for the No. 1 seed at this point in the season but right now it is part of a group of five teams within a game and a half of third place. Clearly, this is a big game for the Lynx, but this is a team on the decline and the fact they have beaten only one playoff team since July 7th is telling. Here, we play against home teams (that have made 45 percent or more of their shots over their last two games going up against an opponent that has allowed 45 percent or higher shooting over its last three games This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) since 1997. 10* (607) Seattle Storm |
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08-11-18 | Wings +6.5 v. Dream | Top | 82-92 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
**Note 2:05 PM ET Start** This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Saturday Enforcer. Atlanta remains red hot as it has won 12 of its last 13 games but it will have to maintain momentum without one of its star players, All-Star forward Angel McCoughtry. She tore ligaments in her left knew on Tuesday and while the Dream won their game on Thursday in her first game out, it was one of those situations where players step up in their first gamed after a star player has been lost. Things could be tougher moving forward and they will be facing a desperate team today. Dallas looked to be a lock for a playoff spot, but it has lost six straight games and the final playoff spot is still up for grabs between the Wings, Aces and Sky. Dallas has a two-game lead over the Aces, but Las Vegas is playing the worst team in the league tonight so a loss here and that lead will likely be just one game. The schedule is brutal the rest of the way with only one home game left and the four road games against playoff qualifiers, so they need to step it up now. Dallas falls into a great contrarian situation where we play on road underdogs after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 50-17 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (305) Dallas Wings |
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08-10-18 | Fever v. Mercury -12 | Top | 74-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Friday Star Attraction. Phoenix remains in a funk as it has lost two straight games, six of its last seven and nine of its last 11. The Mercury are still in line for a playoff berth at 16-14 as they need to win one more game or have Las Vegas lose one more game and they could not ask for a better matchup tonight. They have dropped five straight games at home, so they are due for an explosion especially against a team they have dominated the first two meetings this season, both on the road, as they defeated Indiana by 18 and 19 points. Indiana has had a miserable season but to its credit, it has been playing better of late, winning three of its last six games. The Fever have struggled this season against good offenses as they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams averaging 73 or more ppg. As mentioned, this is a revenge game for Indiana and it has not responded well as it is 1-9 ATS it its last 10 games revenging a home loss by 10 points or more. Additionally, Phoenix falls into a solid situation where we play on home favorites in the second half of the season after having lost four of their last five games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550. This situation is 55-27 ATS (67.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (304) Phoenix Mercury |
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08-08-18 | Sun v. Wings +4 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Wednesday Star Attraction. The last time these two teams met, Dallas was tied for fourth place in the standings while Connecticut was hanging on to the eighth spot. Since then, they have been trending in opposite directions. After winning seven of their last eight games, the Wings have lost five straight games and have only a two-game lead for the eighth and final playoff spot in the WNBA standings over the Las Vegas Aces. Connecticut has won four straight games and sits in fifth place in the updated standings and the recent streaks are what is driving this number to where it is. The Wings have suffered some tough losses during this stretch as it fell to Chicago by one points, turned the ball over 21 times in an embarrassing loss at Indiana and last time out, they led Washington by six points with two minutes remaining before guard Kristi Toliver hit a pair of three-pointers to tie the game and then drained the game-winning, fadeaway baseline jumper. Skylar Diggins-Smith is expected to return tonight after missing two games with a facial injury. Here, we play on teams that are revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against that opponent off a home win scoring 85 or more points. This situation is 76-39 ATS (66.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (612) Dallas Wings |
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08-07-18 | Aces +9 v. Dream | Top | 100-109 | Push | 0 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS ACES for our WNBA Tuesday Star Attraction. The team with the second best record in the WNBA comes from an unlikely spot as Atlanta is now 18-10 following its superb run of 10-1 over its last 11 games. The Dream have beaten some pretty solid teams along the way they are becoming overpriced in this spot. They have been favored by 6.5 or more points three times during this recent 11-game run and while they covered all of those games, those were against Indiana, Chicago and New York, none of which are competing for a playoff spot and are a combined 40 games under .500. This is not the case for Las Vegas which has a better record than all of those teams yet is getting the same number as Chicago was and two points more than what New York got despite being seven games better than the Liberty. The Aces are still in the playoff hunt as they are currently in ninth place and trail eighth place Dallas by just a game and a half with six games left. Las Vegas has lost two straight games by 11 and 21 points which adds value and going back, it is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after two straight losses by 10 points or more. Additionally, we play on road underdogs coming off a road loss going up against an opponent off a road win where they scored 85 or more points. This situation is 47-21 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (601) Las Vegas Aces |
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08-05-18 | Dream v. Lynx -5 | Top | 86-66 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. Not many would have expected Atlanta to have a better record than Minnesota at this point in the season but that is the case as the Dream are 17-10 which is good for the second best record in the league. Conversely, Minnesota is now 15-12 following its second straight loss in Seattle on Friday and it is in jeopardy of missing the playoffs should its skid continues. The Lynx are in seventh place but are only 2.5 games ahead of ninth place Las Vegas with just seven games remaining. They possess the second best defense in the WNBA but that has not been on display of late as they have allowed 82 ppg over their last three games. Historically, this has proven to be a great spot for Minnesota as it is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after allowing 75 points or more in three straight games. Additionally, we play against road underdogs that are averaging 77 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 101-54 ATS (65.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (308) Minnesota Lynx |
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08-03-18 | Lynx +7 v. Storm | Top | 75-85 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Friday Star Attraction. We won last night playing against Minnesota, but we will be backing the Lynx tonight in a solid bounce back situation. They fell to 15-11 with the defeat, which is tied with Washington for fourth place in WNBA standings and those 11 losses are already two more than what they lost last season including the playoffs. This is a team that looks to be in transition as they are a very veteran team but still cannot be discounted given the right situation. As noted yesterday, Minnesota was on a 12-4 run prior to last night and the Thursday defeat can be blamed on a poor shooting night they it shot just 41 percent from the floor including going 1-10 from long range. Seattle meanwhile has won two straight games and owns the best record in the league at 20-7. The Storm are 10-4 at home but they are just 6-7-1 ATS and are now giving Minnesota the most points it has seen all season. Going back, Seattle is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games coming off a double-digit conference win while going 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points. Additionally, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are shooting 44 percent or better on the season, after a game where it made 15 percent or less of its three-point shots. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (609) Minnesota Lynx |
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08-02-18 | Lynx v. Sparks -3 | Top | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Thursday Star Attraction. Both Minnesota and Los Angeles have had down seasons by their standards as they have already surpassed their loss totals from last season. Minnesota got off to a 3-6 start but rebounded with seven straight wins only to take another step back with a 2-4 stretch. However, the Lynx have won three straight games to move into third place in the WNBA standings but two of those victories came against New York and Indiana which have a combined 10 wins. It has been an opposite type of season for Los Angeles as it started out 9-2 but has gone 6-9 over its last 15 games but things are looking up. The Sparks will have Nneka Ogwumike, the second leading scorer and rebounder, back in the lineup after not playing since July 15th as well as defensive specialist Alana Beard, who has been out since July 12th. Shockingly, Los Angeles has lost five straight games at home after dropping just one home game last year during the regular season. The Lynx are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win while the Sparks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss and here, we play on home favorites that are averaging 77 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after two straight wins by six points or less. This situation is 27-9 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (604) Los Angeles Sparks |
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08-01-18 | Liberty v. Sun -9 | Top | 77-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. With the Dallas loss last night, Connecticut is now tied with the Wings for seventh place in the WNBA. The Sun are just a game and a half ahead of surging Las Vegas for missing the playoffs altogether so there is a lot at stake for the final eight games. Five of those games come against teams that are still in the playoff picture but one of those is not tonight as New York, which came into the season with high expectations, has thrown in the towel for the season and will most likely finish with the second worst record in the league. The Liberty have lost four straight games and 12 of their last 15 with two of the wins coming against 10-17 Chicago and the other being an upset victory at Connecticut so revenge comes into play tonight which adds to the motivation and urgency. New York is 4-9 on the road and it has failed to cover six of its last eight games against teams with a winning record while going 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS win. Of their last seven losses, six have been by double-digits and have come by an average of 15.3 ppg so laying a number like this is not worrisome. New York did play well in its last road game at Minnesota but going back, it is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games following a road loss. 10* (308) Connecticut Sun |
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07-31-18 | Storm v. Mercury +3 | Top | 102-91 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Tuesday Enforcer. The All Star Break could not have come at a better time for Phoenix as it has lost three straight games and six of its last seven. The Mercury had the best record in the league at one point but now it is tied for the fourth best record and is just two and a half games from missing the playoffs altogether. The schedule sets up well for success as after this game comes their last two road games of the season and they finish with five consecutive home games. Phoenix welcomes back Diana Taurasi who served a one game suspension in its last game due to exceeding the league technical foul minimum. Seattle has won four of its last five games including going 3-1 on this current roadtrip, The Storm possess the best record in the league which is another reason they come in as road favorites, but they come into this game at a bad time. They have been a strong road team all season, but they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after a win by 20 points or more. Additionally, we play against road teams that are averaging 77 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 99-53 ATS (65.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (306) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-25-18 | Sky v. Mercury -5 | Top | 101-87 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. We had to wait this one out based on injury information from Phoenix as Brittney Griner has been listed as questionable since yesterday with back spasms but has now been upgraded to probable. The line has still come down since opening with a lot of that attributed to Diana Taurasi being out today because of a suspension due to a seventh technical foul. The Mercury are shorthanded, but with this being the final game before the All Star break, it is big for them. Phoenix lost its second straight and fifth over the last six games as they lost Minnesota at home on Saturday. The Mercury are now 15-10 on the season and sit in fourth place in the WNBA playoff standings, three games behind Seattle for the top spot. Chicago is also coming off a loss as it fell to Los Angeles on Sunday to fall to 8-17 on the season, well out of the playoff picture. While Phoenix may be shorthanded, it will not come into play as the Sky possess the worst defense in the WNBA, allowing a whopping 90.1 ppg. This is a revenge game for the Mercury as we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a same season loss, off a loss against a conference rival. This situation is 162-104 ATS (60.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (622) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-24-18 | Mystics v. Sun -4.5 | Top | 68-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Supreme Annihilator. The Eastern Conference in the WNBA has taken a reverse direction as Connecticut was in first place a couple weeks back but now finds itself in third place, 2.5 games behind Atlanta which now has the second best record in the league thanks to seven straight wins. The Sun are coming off an upset win at Dallas which halted a two-game slide and hopefully is the start of ending a miserable 5-11 run. Washington is also coming off a road win, but it was far from an upset as it defeated 7-17 New York, which snapped a two-game skid. That win also snapped a three-game road losing streak to push the Mystics a game over .500 on the highway. Washington has won two of the first three meetings, so Connecticut is not only playing with revenge but also playing to tie up the season series which is important for a playoff tiebreaker, especially when the teams are so close in the standings. The Mystics are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams that are outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg. Connecticut also falls into a spectacular league-wide revenge situation where we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a road loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600, playing a winning team after 15 or more games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (614) Connecticut Sun |
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07-19-18 | Aces v. Mercury -8 | Top | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Thursday Enforcer. Phoenix survived its toughest part of the schedule this season and it has a chance to make a run at the Storm for the best record in the league. The Mercury finally return to the Talking Stick Resort Arena for four straight games after having played eight of their last nine games on the road dating back to June 24. While they face some tough teams down the stretch, nine of their final 11 games are at home where have played only eight games compared to 15 on the highway. Las Vegas is coming off a 99-78 loss to the Sparks on the road Sunday and it was a tough loss as the Aces had a fourth quarter lead, but Los Angeles closed the game on a 21-3 run. Las Vegas had won four straight games prior to that, so while it was building confidence, that confidence came crashing down in a matter of minutes. The Aces are three games out of the final playoff spot and while there are plenty of games left, eight of their last 11 games are against teams with winning records so making a run will not be easy. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost three of their last four games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (314) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-17-18 | Dream v. Sun -8 | Top | 86-83 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Tuesday Terminator. Connecticut held down the top spot in the Eastern Conference for much of the season until a 3-9 swoon in mid-June sent the Sun going the wrong way. They have recovered to win their last two games which happened to come against two top teams from the Western Conference and they look to regain their spot in second place with a victory tonight. It is no coincidence that the rough stretch had a lot to do with the absence of Alyssa Thomas who missed 10 games with a shoulder injury but is back healthy now. The schedule has not been on their side either as only eight of 22 games have taken place at home. Atlanta is the team that has taken over second place in the Eastern Conference thanks to four straight wins including a pair of victories over first place Washington. Three of those wins came at home however and this has been a notoriously tough spot for the Dream which are 12-24 ATS in their last 36 road games against teams allowing 73 or more ppg. Additionally, this is the third meeting of the season and with Atlanta winning the first two games, Connecticut falls into a great situation where we play on favorites revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Connecticut Sun |
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07-15-18 | Sun v. Lynx -4 | Top | 83-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Sunday Terminator. Minnesota had a horrific start to the season based on its standards, but it was able to regroup and put together a seven-game winning streak. However, the Lynx have regressed by going 2-3 over their last five games with the three losses all coming against losing teams that are a combined 19-45. Connecticut snapped a three-game slide with a home win over Phoenix on Friday, but the road has been a challenge as the Sun are 2-9 ATS over their last 11 road games. They won the first meeting by 14 points but that is part of a great situation for Minnesota where we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that are revenging a road loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600, playing a winning team. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (622) Minnesota Lynx |
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07-14-18 | Wings v. Storm -5.5 | Top | 84-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Saturday Terminator. Dallas has been thorn for us the last couple games as the Wings have caught fire, winning five straight games to improve to 12-8 overall which has put them into fourth place in the WNBA playoff standings. They are coming off an upset win at Los Angeles as they took down the Sparks by 15 points and that was the second time they have beaten Los Angeles this season. Dallas has won only one other game the entire year as an underdog which came early in the season at Atlanta and it has gone 0-5 in its other five games when getting points. Seattle was also riding a five-game winning streak prior to facing Los Angeles on Tuesday where it lost to the Sparks by a bucket in overtime. It was an atypical game for Seattle as it blew a double-digit fourth quarter lead, went just 5-24 from long range and committed 21 turnovers. Despite that, the Storm still possess the best record in the WNBA at 15-6 and this has been a great spot play all season as they are a perfect 5-0 following a loss while going a perfect 8-0 when coming off a spreads loss. Seattle has the best home record in the league at 9-4 including an 8-0 run when scoring 80 or more points and that is significant as Dallas allows 84.2 ppg on the highway. Seattle falls into a solid contrarian situation as we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points playing a conference opponent after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) since 1997. 10* (612) Seattle Storm |
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07-13-18 | Fever +9.5 v. Dream | Top | 74-98 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA FEVER for our WNBA Game of the Week. Indiana has lost two straight games and eight of its last nine and on the season, it has just one victory. The Fever have been more competitive on the road than at home as they have been getting inflated numbers based on their straight up record and they have covered six of their nine road games on the season. Atlanta has won two straight games to move over .500 on the season and both of those wins were as underdogs. That sets up a perfect letdown spot here by facing the worst team in the WNBA and add to that, the Dream have a game on Sunday against Eastern Conference leading Washington. Going back, Atlanta is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing against a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse while going 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games coming off a conference win. Indiana falls into a solid contrarian situation as we play on underdogs after failing to cover four or five of their last six games against the spread, winning 25 percent or fewer of their games on the season. This situation is 34-12 ATS (73.9 percent) over the last five seasons with the average scoring differential being just 3.2 ppg. 10* (603) Indiana Fever |
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07-11-18 | Dream v. Mystics -8 | Top | 106-89 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
**Note: 11:30 AM ET Start** This is a play on the WASHINGTON MYSTICS for our WNBA Wednesday Terminator. Washington is back home following a 1-1 west coast swing and it still holds a two-game lead in the Eastern Conference over Connecticut. While going just 4-6 against the Western Conference, the Mystics have dominated within their own conference, going 8-1 against the east. They had a chance to pull off the upset against the Storm as Washington led 56-48 in the third quarter before the Storm went on a 27-10 run over the final seven minutes to pull away. The Mystics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Atlanta is coming off an upset win over Phoenix on Sunday and while it has performed well against the top teams in the league, this is a bad spot. The Dream are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games off a home win while going 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games after allowing 70 points or more in three straight games. They also fall into a negative situation where we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are averaging between 72 and 76 ppg going up against teams allowing 76 or more ppg, after scoring 70 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (324) Washington Mystics |
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07-10-18 | Mercury +2 v. Wings | Top | 72-101 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Tuesday Terminator. Phoenix is coming off a loss at Atlanta on Sunday and now sits a game behind Seattle in the Western Conference. The Mercury have the second best record in the league which come playoff time is huge considering the top two teams are rewarded with a double bye, so these winnable games are important going forward. Phoenix has the best road record in the WNBA at 9-3 and the Mercury have covered eight of their last 10 road games while going 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. Dallas has won three straight games following a road win at New York on Sunday and its 12-6 ATS record is the most profitable in the league. That is forcing the Wings to be the favorite here despite being three games behind Phoenix in the standings. Two of those ATS losses have come against the Mercury and this has been a horrible spot for Dallas which is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a home favorite. Additionally, the Wings fall into a negative league-wide situation where we play against favorites revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite going up against that opponent coming off a road loss. This situation is 37-11 ATS (77.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (315) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-08-18 | Wings v. Liberty +4 | Top | 97-87 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Sunday Terminator. It has been a disaster for the Liberty this season as they came in with high expectations in competing for the WNBA Championship and now finds themselves with the second worst record in the league. Off to their worst start since 2006, the Liberty would like to find some rhythm and secondary scoring. New York is 1-7 in its last eight games and is averaging 75.3 ppg over this stretch. During this skid, six of the losses have come by double digits and the Liberty have been held under 80 points six times. Dallas meanwhile has won two straight games and it is 9-8 on the season. The Wings have won six of their last 11 games and while a win over Los Angeles was solid, the other wins have come against Indiana twice, Las Vegas twice and Chicago, all of which are at least four games under .500. While New York is part of this group as far as records go, Dallas is overpriced on the road where it is only 3-5 on the season. The Wings are just 2-6 following a win and this is the first time they have hit the road since June 27th and the first time they have come east since June 19th. With an upcoming stretch of games with Phoenix, Los Angeles and Seattle on deck, looking past the Liberty is a distinct possibility. 10* (310) New York Liberty |
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07-07-18 | Mystics v. Sparks -7 | Top | 83-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Game of the Week. The Sparks have hit a bit of a wall as they have lost four of their last five games after an 11-3 start to the season. Three of those losses were on the road however and the lone home loss came against Connecticut by just one point after being held to only eight first quarter points. Los Angeles lost in Minnesota on Thursday as the Lynx were playing with double-revenge stemming from two earlier regular season losses and now it is time for the Sparks to get rolling once again. Washington is coming off a win over New York on Thursday which was its fifth win in its last six games with four of those coming at home. This is the first time the Mystics have had to travel since June 22nd and only the third time since June 3rd as they have only had to make trips to Connecticut and Chicago. Washington is 8-1 against the Eastern Conference but just 3-5 against teams from the Western Conference while failing to cover four straight games against the west. Los Angeles is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, winning those games by over 15 ppg and it is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games off a road loss, winning those by 13.3 ppg. Additionally, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost four or five of their last six games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 52-16 ATS (76.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (302) Los Angeles Sparks |
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07-06-18 | Storm v. Dream +5 | Top | 95-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA DREAM for our WNBA Friday Terminator. Seattle has won three straight games and sits a half-game behind Phoenix in the Western Conference. Only two and a half games separate first and fourth place in the conference, so it is a tight bunch and while we do feel Seattle is the better team in this matchup, the Storm are overpriced. Going back further, the Storm have won seven of their last nine games and the one loss prior to this streak came at home against Atlanta as 7.5-point favorites and now they are favored by just 2.5 points less on the road. Atlanta won its most recent game against Indiana on Sunday to move back to .500 on the season. The Dream currently hold down the eighth and final playoff spot in the WNBA and they have withstood a rough part of the schedule as eight of their last 10 games have come on the road. They have won three straight games at home and are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games as underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points and this season, they are 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, Seattle is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games coming off a road win while going 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after a win by 15 points or more. 10* (612) Atlanta Dream |
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07-05-18 | Sparks v. Lynx -3.5 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on he MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Thursday Terminator. We played against Minnesota in its last game which was targeted as a lookahead spot and it clearly turned into that as the Lynx lost at home against Indiana which came into that game with just one victory. They shot just 32.8 percent from the floor including 28.6 percent from long range and we can draw that up as an aberration for the reigning world champions that came into Tuesday having won seven straight games. Minnesota won the WNBA title last year in five games over Los Angeles, but the Sparks have had its number so far this season by winning the first two meetings which puts the Lynx into a strong double-revenge situation. The Sparks are also coming off a loss as they fell to Connecticut on Tuesday at home by a point where they are 8-2 but just 4-4 on the road and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Minnesota falls into a favorable situation where we play on favorites that are revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (604) Minnesota Lynx |
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07-03-18 | Fever +16 v. Lynx | Top | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA FEVER for our WNBA Tuesday Terminator. This is an ugly play with the worst team in the league going up against the best team in the WNBA that is finally starting to peak. Indiana has just one win on the season and is riding a six-game losing streak, but the situation is in its favor tonight, especially with a line this big. The Fever have covered four of six games this season when getting double-digits and they are 5-2 ATS on the road and even though they are in the midst of a losing streak, they have been competitive. Minnesota has reeled off seven consecutive victories since a 3-6 start to the season. The Lynx have covered five of these games but failed to cover the lone game as a double-digit favorite and they are 0-4 ATS on the season as favorites of more than seven points. There is also a lookahead spot here as Minnesota hosts Los Angeles on Thursday in what is a double-revenge spot. Indiana falls into a solid situation where we play on road underdogs of 10 or more points after four or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (313) Indiana Fever |
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07-01-18 | Aces v. Sparks -10.5 | Top | 71-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Sunday Terminator. Los Angeles is coming off a pair of losses on the road including a 16-point loss in Las Vegas on Friday. The Situation was not ideal as the Sparks were coming off a game in Seattle on Thursday night and the schedule played right into the Aces' hands as they wanted to push the ball against a tired team and that is exactly what they did. Los Angeles heads back home where it is 7-1 this season and it has not lost three straight games since September of 2016. The Sparks are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games coming off a road loss over the last three seasons. The Aces have been playing well after a 1-7 start and their win over the Sparks was by far their best of the season. While the spot was good for them on Friday, it goes the other way today as Las Vegas is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games coming off a conference win as an underdog of six or more points. Here, we play on favorites after a loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 160 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (306) Los Angeles Sparks |
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06-29-18 | Sky v. Liberty -4 | Top | 103-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Friday Terminator. We won with New York last night as it was able to stay within the inflated number, losing on a last second three-point shot by Washington. That was a disheartening loss but sitting at 4-10, the Liberty have to let that go and take care of business on their home floor with seven of their next 11 games taking place on the road. They are 3-5 at home with losses coming against defending WNBA Champion Minnesota, Connecticut which is 9-6 and two losses against Phoenix which is 11-5. Playing back-to-back has not been an issue in the past as New York is 8-2 in its last 10 games playing with no rest. Chicago is coming off a pair of home wins against Phoenix and Atlanta following a six-game losing skid. The Sky have been a decent team at home, but they have struggled to a 1-5 record on the road with the lone victory coming in their season opener against 1-14 Indiana. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games while going 15-27 ATS in their last 42 games after allowing 80 points or more in two straight games. New York has a positive situation on its side as we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win scoring 85 or more points. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (608) New York Liberty |
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06-28-18 | Liberty +8 v. Mystics | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Thursday Terminator. This is the ultimate contrarian play as we have two teams going in opposite directions, but the line is taking that into account as we are getting big value with New York. It has been a struggle for the Liberty on both sides of the ball as of late for a team that was once again expected to contend in the Eastern Conference. New York has lost three straight games, both straight up and against the number, and it has failed to hit the 70-point mark in their past two contests. Additionally, the Liberty have been victimized by the three-pointer, allowing 20 makes from deep at a 51 percent clip over the past two games. Washington meanwhile has won three straight games, covering all three as well, and it has taken over first place in the Eastern Conference over a struggling Connecticut team that has gone 2-5 over its last seven games. New York falls into two contrarian situations that tie into each other. First, we play on road underdogs after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. This situation is 32-11 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (601) New York Liberty |
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06-27-18 | Wings -1.5 v. Aces | Top | 97-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Wednesday Terminator. Dallas is coming off a loss last night in Los Angeles by just four points as it blew a big chance for a quality win, giving up a four-point lead heading into the fourth quarter. It was still an impressive performance and even with Skylar Diggins-Smith having an off night on Tuesday as she scored just 12 points on 4-18 shooting. The Wings have lost two straight games to fall a game under .500 but they head into tonight being a perfect 6-0 ATS after one or more consecutive losses this season. Las Vegas opened the season 1-7 but has been playing a lot better by winning four of its last seven games. The Aces have won just twice at home this season however and they have struggled within the conference by going 1-6 against Western Conference teams. While there may be concern about the back-to-back situation for Dallas, the short travel and matchup advantages negate that. The Wings dominated the offensive glass last night 13-5 and should do so again tonight. In the first meeting against Las Vegas, they had an 11-1 edge on the offensive boards and won that game by 10 points despite going 1-15 from long range. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after two straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 75 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 54-22 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (323) Dallas Wings |
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06-26-18 | Sun v. Mystics -2.5 | Top | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON MYSTICS for our WNBA Tuesday Terminator. Connecticut snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over 1-13 Indiana on Sunday, but it was easy as the Sun needed a big fourth quarter to pull away. This came after a 7-1 start to the season and the recent struggles have coincided with the absence of forward Alyssa Thomas who averages 12 ppg and leads the team with 9.9 rpg. Washington is coming off a home-and-home sweep over Chicago following a 1-5 stretch where injuries and illnesses were the stories. The Mystics are back to full strength, most notably Elena Delle Donne who has made a big difference in this series. The Sun routed the Mystics, who were without their leading scorer, 88-64 in Washington on June 3. Ten days later Delle Donne was back and scored a game-high 36 points in a 95-91 Mystics road win. This is the first game of a four-game homestand for Washington which can take advantage and take over first place in the Eastern Conference. Here, we play against road underdogs after having lost two of their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (314) Washington Mystics |
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06-22-18 | Mystics v. Sky +5 | Top | 93-77 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO SKY for our WNBA Friday Terminator. This is the second game of a home-and-home set between Washington and Chicago with the Mystics winning the first game by 28 points on Tuesday. It was the fifth straight win and cover by Washington in this series, four of those coming by at least 15 points, which could be playing a role in this line. What we do know is that the number is skewed based on the most recent game as the Mystics covered the 9.5-point spread with ease but are now seeing just a 3.5-point adjustment despite the venue change. They are 3-5 over their last eight games following a 4-0 start and have lost their last three games following a win and by an average of 9.0 ppg. Additionally, Washington is just 9-18 ATS in its last 27 games coming off a double-digit conference win. It has been a rough run for Chicago as it has lost five straight games after a 3-3 start to the season, but the schedule has been brutal with four of those games coming on the road and the lone home game coming against 9-2 Los Angeles. Speaking of that game, the Sky were getting 8.5 points from the Sparks and are getting only 2.5 points less here and there is no way that Washington is just 2.5 points worse than Los Angeles. Chicago has failed to cover a home game against teams with a winning record however, those games were against the respective conference leaders. 10* (616) Chicago Sky |
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06-19-18 | Wings v. Lynx -6.5 | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Tuesday Terminator. It has been a tough start to the season for the reigning WNBA Champions as Minnesota is off to a 4-6 start, but a turnaround is inevitable. The Lynx are coming off a win over New York on Saturday as they won by 14 points as seven-point favorites and are now looking to win consecutive games for the first time in nearly a month. The Lynx have not opened this badly since a 2-9 start in 2010, the first season in Minnesota for head coach Cheryl Reeve, Lindsay Whalen and Rebekkah Brunson, and the year before Maya Moore arrived. We won with Dallas in its last game as it was able to pull away and cover against Las Vegas to move back over .500 for the season. The Wings are just 2-3 on the road with one of those wins coming at 1-10 Indiana and this is a matchup they have struggled with as they have lost nine straight meetings against Minnesota. Dallas was able to cover the first meeting this season however, it was getting 13 points, so the line tonight has been cut in half. Minnesota falls into a great contrarian situation as we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost five or six of their last seven games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 33-7 ATS (82.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (606) Minnesota Lynx |
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06-17-18 | Sparks v. Sky +10.5 | Top | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO SKY for our WNBA Sunday Terminator. Los Angeles possesses the best record in the WNBA based on percentages, so it is naturally a big road favorite in the game today against what is considered one of the worst teams in the league. The Sparks are coming off a road win over Washington on Friday to make it three straight wins, but they are overpriced based on a recent matchup. This play sets up very similar to the Indiana play from last night based on the revenge factor and the enormous line vale based on venue change. Chicago was getting 13.5 points on the road and a venue shift should make it roughly a six-point swing and that is not the case here as we are seeing just a 3.5-point swing based on the opening line which is the same as Saturday with the Fever. The Sky are 3-6 on the season and are coming off three straight double-digit losses which all came on the road and they have been much better at home where they sit at 2-2. They have been off since Tuesday and going back, the Sky are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing on three or more days rest. Additionally, we play on underdogs that are getting outscored by their opponents by six or more ppg, after a combined score of 165 points or more. This situation is 46-15 ATS (75.4 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (316) Chicago Sky |
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06-16-18 | Dream v. Fever +5.5 | Top | 64-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA FEVER for our WNBA Saturday Terminator. This is the second game of a home-and-home set between Atlanta and Indiana with the Dream taking the first meeting by five points on Thursday. It has been an awful start to the season for Indiana as it is the lone remaining team without a victory, sitting at a dreadful 0-10. If there is any consolation, the Fever have actually been playing competitively of late as over the last five games, two losses were in overtime while the other three were by 6, 3 and 5 points. We have value win the winless home team as well as Indiana was getting nine points on the road and a venue shift should make it roughly a six-point swing and that is not the case here as we are seeing just a 3.5-point swing based on the opening line. Atlanta is 6-4 on the season thanks to a 4-1 run over its last five games but this is not an ideal spot. After the non-cover in the first meeting two days ago, the Dream are now 1-9 ATS against teams with a winning percentage of .250 or worse while going 4-15 ATS in their last 19 games as road favorites between 3.5 and 6 points. 10* (310) Indiana Fever |
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06-15-18 | Aces v. Wings -8.5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Friday Terminator. We had a play on Dallas on Tuesday and it was a brutal loss as the Wings were outscored by 11 points in the fourth quarter to end up losing by three points. That loss snapped a two-game winning streak and dropped the Wings back to .500 on the season and this is an important bounce back game. Dallas has a tough slate on tap as in its next four games, it has Los Angeles twice, Minnesota and Seattle to close out the month. After a 1-7 start to the season, Las Vegas has won two straight games including a 15-point win as a 10-point underdog at New York on Wednesday. Projected to be the worst team in the league, the Aces started that way, so we cannot take this recent two-game stretch too serious they have actually covered four straight games, so they have ben more than competitive of late, but this is a tough spot. This is their fourth game in six days, all of which have come on the road, and that makes it even more difficult. This is the final game of the current four-game roadtrip which could mean looking forward to heading back home. Dallas is 3-0 ATS this season following a loss and it falls into a great situation where we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two or more consecutive wins and possessing a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (306) Dallas Wings |
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06-13-18 | Mystics +10 v. Sun | Top | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON MYSTICS for our WNBA Wednesday Terminator. Connecticut is off to a solid 7-1 start to the season, but it has benefitted from a fairly easy schedule as of those eight games, only three have come against winning teams and one of those is responsible for the lone defeat. The Sun have won two straight games following that loss to Atlanta and they embark on a five-game roadtrip starting Friday on the west coast. The Sun are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win. Washington has lost three straight games and four of its last five after a 4-0 start to the season. The Mystics have recently dealt with injuries as Natasha Cloud missed three games with kidney stones while Elena Delle Donne missed four games because of an illness related to her Lyme Disease. Both have returned to action and even better is the fact there have been five days to rest since their last game. The Mystics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games while going 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after three or more consecutive losses which also puts them into a successful league-wide situation. We play on road teams after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 47-18 ATS (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (609) Washington Mystics |
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06-12-18 | Mercury v. Wings +1 | Top | 75-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our Tuesday WNBA Terminator. Dallas heads back home in a great scheduling spot as it looks for some revenge from a loss in Phoenix in the season opener. The Wings defeated Indiana on the road on Friday to move to 4-3 overall and this marks only the third home game of the season. They are 2-0 in their first two games in Dallas which includes an impressive win against Seattle. The last game was a big one even though it was against one of the worst teams in the WNBA as it was a fight to get this victory because Indiana led for a large majority of the game except for the final minute of the fourth quarter. Phoenix has been a busy team this month as this is its sixth game in 12 days and it has been impressive in winning each of the first five games in June. The Mercury are a solid 4-1 on the road but this is not an ideal spot with fatigue setting in and the lookahead possibility as after Dallas, they are off until hosting league-leading Connecticut on Saturday followed by a game Sunday at Las Vegas. The Mercury are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against team with a winning straight up record while the Wings are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (604) Dallas Wings |
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06-08-18 | Dream v. Aces +5.5 | Top | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
**3:00 PM ET Start** This is a play on the LAS VEGAS ACES for our WNBA Terminator. Las Vegas picked up its first franchise win a week ago as it defeated Washington at home. That was just the second home game for the Aces and the first one was a solid effort against Seattle where they lost by seven points against an excellent Storm team. They are coming off a loss against Chicago on the road and while they are just 1-5 to start the season and not much is expected, it is hard to ignore the fact they have played the toughest schedule in the league thus far. Atlanta meanwhile is coming off a home upset over Connecticut to even its record at 3-3. That was its fourth straight home game, so this is the first time it has traveled since May 23rd. The .500 record is respectable, but the Dream have been unable to capitalize on their victories as they are 2-0 straight up and against the number following a win and going back, they are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. This line will prove to be too much for Atlanta to cover. 10* (306) Las Vegas Aces |
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06-07-18 | Sun v. Liberty +7 | Top | 88-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY fir our WNBA Terminator. Both Connecticut and New York are coming off losses on Tuesday, so both will be on the rebound trail tonight. The Liberty should have the edge as they remain home after dropping their game against Phoenix that was decided late. New York did not get the typical home calls as it was outshot 19-5 at the free throw line, while getting outscored by 14 points from the charity stripe. The Liberty dominated the glass 39-21 and they will need a big effort on the boards against one of the best rebounding teams in the league. Connecticut lost at Atlanta on Tuesday as a significant favorite and it is favored by nearly the same amount against a team that is much better than the Dream. The Sun rolled in their first five games but three of those came against three of the worst teams in the WNBA while the other road win came against Washington which at the time was decimated with injuries and ailments. Fatigue is an issue as well as this is the fourth straight road game for Connecticut and it is the fourth in seven days with a possible lookahead to get back home where it squares off against Minnesota on Saturday. 10* (606) New York Liberty |
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06-03-18 | Lynx +4.5 v. Sparks | Top | 69-77 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Sunday Terminator. It has been a rough start to the season for Minnesota as it is 2-4 through its first six games and to put that into perspective, it took the Lynx 25 games last season to lose their fourth game. They have failed to cover any of these six games as the championship hangover looks to be in full effect. Playing Los Angeles for a second time after losing the first meeting should have them focused here. The Sparks are coming off a win over Phoenix in their last game which was a full week ago and that is a disadvantage with so much time off. They were fortunate to catch the Mercury in a bad shooting night from long range but count on that here from Minnesota. The Lynx are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 75 or more points in three straight games and Minnesota falls into a simple yet highly profitable WNBA situation as we play on road underdogs after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. This situation is 43-15 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (315) Minnesota Lynx |
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05-31-18 | Aces +12 v. Storm | Top | 74-101 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS ACES for our WNBA Thursday Terminator. Not much has changed since this franchise moved from San Antonio to Las Vegas as the Stars were 8-26 last season and now the Aces are off to a 0-3 start. They were scorched in their first game of the season at Connecticut but have played well over the last tow as they lost by just five in Washington and then lost in their first ever home game by seven points against Seattle. After losing its season opener against Phoenix, the Storm have won four straight games and are showing why they are a team on the rise. They have failed to cover all three home games and are now being asked to cover the biggest pointspread they have been favored by since August of 2012. Going back to last season, while the Aces have been losing, they have been more than competitive on the road, going 12-6 ATS over their last 18 road games. They also fall into a great contrarian situation where we play on road underdogs after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 42-14 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (611) Las Vegas Aces |
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05-26-18 | Wings v. Dream -3.5 | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA DREAM for our WNBA Saturday Terminator. Atlanta is a team that is a sneaky under the radar unit that can make some noise this season. The Dream went just 12-22 last season despite an 8-7 start as the defense fell apart at the end of the season but there is good reason to think a playoff run is imminent. Atlanta is off to a 1-1 start and possesses one of the best unknown rosters in the WNBA. There were four teams that had three players make the 2017 All-Star teams - Minnesota (who went on to the championship), Los Angeles (runner-up), Connecticut (playoff team, 21 wins) and Atlanta. And this does not include six-time All-WNBA selection Angel McCoughtry who sat out last season. Additionally, the Dream signed Renee Montgomery and Jessica Breland. Dallas is off to a 1-2 start, the lone win coming at home and the two losses coming on the road. as they remain on the road, this is a tough spot for the Wings tonight. This is the home opener for Atlanta after splitting the first two games on the road. The Dream were the only ono-playoff team from last season to post a winning record at home as the highway was their downfall where they went 3-14. On top of the home opener, they will be out to seek some same season revenge after losing their season opener in Dallas by 23 points. 10* (320) Atlanta Dream |
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05-25-18 | Lynx v. Liberty +4.5 | Top | 78-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Friday Terminator. We lost with the Liberty in their season opener as they lost as road favorites in Chicago but now in their second game, they come in as home underdogs. Granted, the class of opposition is on opposite ends of the league, but it is a dynamic we can take advantage of, especially with a team like New York that has the talent to compete for a championship. We mentioned on Sunday that the Liberty will be a highly motivated bunch this season but came out flat against the Sky. In each of the past two years with the new playoff format, the Liberty have finished as the No. 3 seed behind Minnesota and Los Angeles, giving New York an opening round bye. However, the Liberty have lost in the single-elimination second round both years. Making the early exit from last season even tougher is the fact they closed the regular season with 10 consecutive victories. Minnesota opened with a loss against revenge-minded Los Angeles but bounced back three nights later with a win over Dallas. The Lynx hit the road for the first time this season and while they have been a solid road team over the years, they are not nearly as strong as they are at home. This core group is just 26-25 ATS as road favorites over the last three years with most of those games coming against teams not nearly as good as New York is. 10* (316) New York Liberty |
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05-24-18 | Sparks v. Sun +2.5 | Top | 94-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Thursday Terminator. Expectations are high in Connecticut and the Sun came out strong in their season opener. Last season was a strong finish as they went 20-8 following a 1-5 start to finish with 21 wins and a playoff berth for the first time since 2012. Connecticut lost to Phoenix in the postseason but knew it had a good thing going and came out focused on Sunday as it rolled over Las Vegas by 36 points. What made last season even more special was that the Sun lost Chiney Ogwumike for the season with a torn Achilles but is back and the All-Star forward is ready to go. Los Angeles opened its season with an upset win at Minnesota which was a revenge victory after losing the WNBA Finals last season and the Lynx were clearly in a letdown during the ceremony night. The Sparks followed that up with a win at Indiana, arguably the worst team in the league, by 17 points but it will be challenged tonight. They will again be without Candice Parker who is nursing a back injury and her absence will be felt in this matchup. Connecticut falls into a great contrarian situation where we play against road favorites that averaged 75 or more ppg last season, after a win by 10 points or more. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (314) Connecticut Sun |
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05-20-18 | Mercury v. Storm -3.5 | 87-82 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Seattle exceeded expectations last season as in a rebuilding year, it snuck into the playoffs only to get bounced in the first round for a second straight season. Last year, that loss came against Phoenix so there will be some added motivation tonight for some early season payback. This is the first game for new Seattle head coach Dan Hughes, but he is far from a rookie as he is the most experienced coach in WNBA history (524 games) and the third-winningest with 237 victories. The Storm have one of the greatest points guard in WNBA history in Sue Bird, but it is their youth that has everyone excited highlighted by Jewell Loyd and Breanna Stewart who won the WNBA Rookie if the Year award in 2015 and 2016 respectively. Seattle won just five road games last season, but its 10 home wins were tied for sixth most in the league. We won with Phoenix on Friday as it took car of business at home against Dallas, pulling away in the second half. The Mercury were 24-27 from the charity stripe against the Wings which ended up being the difference and we cannot ignore the fact that they only shot 40.6 percent from the floor and that was against one of the worst defenses in the league. As mentioned, we expect the Mercury to have a solid season with its core group back plus a number of newcomers that adds a lot of depth. Playing their first road game against a hungry Seattle team will not be easy and we expect the Storm to get their revenge. 9* (612) Seattle Storm |
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05-20-18 | Liberty -4 v. Sky | Top | 76-80 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. The Sky came through for us yesterday as they won in Indiana by 18 points. They had a big edge at the free throw line which was a big difference as was the fact the Fever once again showed how bad of an offense they have going back to last season. Things will get a lot tougher tonight and we will be fading Chicago despite this being its home opener and in a brand new home as well as they are now actually playing in Chicago at Wintrust Arena as opposed to playing their games in Rosemont. New York opens its season on the road and gets a good draw with Change having played on Saturday. In each of the past two years with the new playoff format, the Liberty have finished as the No. 3 seed behind Minnesota and Los Angeles, giving New York an opening round bye. However, the Liberty have lost in the single-elimination second round both years. Making the early exit from last season even tougher is the fact they closed the regular season with 10 consecutive victories. This is a team that will be playing with a chip on its shoulder all season long under the leadership of new head coach Katie Smith who the players will respond very well to. New York took care of its top priority in the offseason by re-signing franchise star Tina Charles (2012 MVP, 8-time All-WNBA), while also resigning Kia Vaughn, Bria Hartley, Lindsay Allen and Rebecca Allen so the core group is back to take that next step. 10* (609) New York Liberty |
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05-19-18 | Sky v. Indiana Fever | Top | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO SKY for our WNBA Saturday Terminator. Chicago struggled out of the gate last season as it went 3-12 in its first 15 games as the trade of Elena Delle Donne was felt right away. But instead of completely folding, the Sky got some newfound chemistry and closed the season 9-11 and while they missed the playoffs, it was not by much and they can carry that momentum into this season. Stefanie Dolson had a strong season and was named an All-Star, while the veteran backcourt of Allie Quigley and Courtney Vandersloot continued to blossom. Getting rid of turnover issues is the most important thing for the Sky to accomplish if they want to make a postseason run. Indiana was a disaster last season as it finished with the second worst record in the WNBA. The Fever lost Tamika Catchings to retirement and no one was able to fill the void. Candice Dupree had a very good season and they do bring back most contributors but a key one will be missing today as Shenise Johnson is out. The biggest obstacle is figuring out how Kelsey Mitchell, Victoria Vivians, both rookies, and Dupree can develop chemistry and that may take a while. Last season, the Fever were second to last in offensive rating and last in defensive rating, so the record fit the style of play. 10* (303) Chicago Sky |
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05-18-18 | Wings v. Mercury -4.5 | Top | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Friday Enforcer. Phoenix has arguably been the biggest underachieving team in the league over the last two years during the regular season but there is plenty of optimism in 2018. Diana Taurasi is healthy and rested after ending her overseas season early, DeWanna Bonner is back after missing all of last season and Phoenix signed two veterans that will help immediately. And then there is Brittney Griner who is coming off her best season ever, winning her first scoring title (and leading the league in blocks for the fifth consecutive year. The trio led the charge during the 2014 season when the Mercury won a WNBA-record 29 regular season games on their way to winning the third championship in franchise history. Additionally, they added Briann January and Sancho Lyttle. Dallas has the potential to improve as well mainly because of the signing of Australian center Liz Cambage and bringing her back to the franchise that originally drafted her No. 2 overall back in 2011. While she will help around the rim, this is still a weak team defensively as last season, the Wings had the second worst defensive rating in the league. Though this team has many draft lottery picks from recent years, Dallas had the worst, or second-worst, defensive team rating every season since 2010. Phoenix has lost its season opener the last two seasons which has set a tone and it will out to ovoid that going into 2018. 10* (302) Phoenix Mercury |
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10-04-17 | LA Sparks +4.5 v. Minnesota Lynx | Top | 76-85 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
The WNBA season has come down to what everyone expected and that is a Game Five in the Finals between Minnesota and Los Angeles in an identical situation as we had last season. Not only is the series the same, we have seen the exact same scenario play out with the Lynx losing Game One at home, winning Game Two, losing Game Three in Los Angeles only to rebound with a Game Four win to set up a winner take all situation for Game Five. Surprisingly, the majority of games in this series have seen one team jump ahead by double-digits so it has not been as close of a series as expected but for this one, we should see a close game throughout. Even with the up and down first four games, in their 12 meetings dating to Game One of the WNBA Finals last year, the Sparks and Lynx each have scored 908 points with four games decided by two points or less. This final game could be decided by the backcourts and Los Angeles has that edge as the Sparks won Game Three because guards Odyssey Sims and Chelsea Gray outscored the Minnesota starting backcourt by a combined 30-0. As long as the backcourt can keep that edge, it silences Lynx power forward Rebekkah Brunson as in the Lynx two wins, she has averaged 15.0 ppg and 8.0 rpg but in their two losses, she has just 4.0 ppg and 2.5 rpg. We like the bounce angle here as the Sparks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss while the Lynx are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS win. 10* (671) Los Angeles Sparks |
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09-29-17 | Minnesota Lynx +3.5 v. LA Sparks | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
While it is not surprising to see close finishes in the first two games of this series, it is surprising of what took place during both games and the number of comebacks needed. In Game One, Los Angeles ran off to a 28-2 lead in the first 7.5 minutes, only to have the Lynx take two one-point leads in the final minute before the Sparks pulled out the win. In Game Two, the Lynx led by 20 early in the third quarter but they had to make two big defensive stops at the end to preserve the victory. Now the series shifts to Los Angeles and the value is on the road team despite the Sparks dominance at home the last two years. Since the start of the 2016 season, Los Angeles is 33-5 on its home floor. The Sparks have owned every team here except for Minnesota as they are just 2-3 against the Lynx while going 31-2 against every other team. They have lost just once at home this season, a two-point setback against Chicago, but it is interesting what they are laying tonight. In those five meetings against the Lynx, they have never been favored this much so there seems to be a bit of overreaction here based on the solid play in Minnesota coupled with the 18-1 home record this season. Additionally, Los Angeles has covered four straight meetings so the public is backing the Sparks big again tonight so we go contrarian and take the value in what should be another very tight game with Minnesota proving it can win here. 10* (667) Minnesota Lynx |
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09-26-17 | LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx -5.5 | Top | 68-70 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
The Sparks and the Lynx were the two best teams once again and swept their semifinal series to meet in the WNBA Finals for a second straight season. Los Angeles struck first in Game One on Sunday as it started with a 28-2 run and ended on a Chelsea Gray game-winning jumper with two seconds left. It was not the start Minnesota was expecting on its home floor and on Monday, Lynx head coach Cheryl Reeve questioned the readiness of the team, its effort and its edge to start the game. It is safe to say Minnesota could have had a comfortable win had it not started the game going down by 26 points but now it must come into Tuesday with a sense of urgency as the Lynx cannot afford to go to Los Angeles down 0-2. Minnesota is hosting the Finals at Williams Arena, home of the Gophers, with Target Center and Xcel Energy both unavailable so it is possible the surroundings affect its awful start. We saw something very similar last season as the Lynx lost Game One at home by a bucket and then came back in Game Two and defeated the Sparks by 19 points. As a matter of fact, Minnesota has lost Game One in the WNBA Finals three times in five trips and has won Game Two following all of those losses, going 2-0-1 ATS in the process. The Lynx are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss while winning 12 of its last 13 games outright following a loss. 10* (666) Minnesota Lynx |
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09-14-17 | Washington Mystics +10.5 v. Minnesota Lynx | Top | 83-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
We played against Minnesota in Game One of this best-of-five series with the thought that the rust factor would come more to the forefront than the rest factor. Instead, the Lynx shot lights out as they hit 59.4 percent from the floor including 70.6 percent (12-17) from long range. At one point, Minnesota made 13 straight field goals and nine straight threes, both WNBA playoff records. The key for the Mystics is to play some defense and/or home that the Minnesota offense geos cold as since 2011, the Lynx are 23-0 in playoff games when they score at least 80 points, 12-13 when they don't. It is a pretty simple formula for Washington. For our purposes however, we are concerned about the spread and because of the 20-point defeat, Washington is getting the same number as it was getting in Game One which is surprising as it goes against the linemakers adjusting for the playoff bounce angle. Typically, they would set the number lower knowing that the bounce angle players will take the losing team which takes some of the value out that number. But the number remains the same as they are likely anticipating more action on the Lynx after their dominating performance. Washington feels that it was too passive on defense so we will see a more aggressive effort and at the same time, playing looser overall and get back into the form they displayed in the first two rounds of the playoffs. 10* (689) Washington Mystics |
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09-12-17 | Washington Mystics +9.5 v. Minnesota Lynx | Top | 81-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Washington heads to Minnesota for the first game of this best-of-five series and it comes in playing with some solid momentum. The Mystics are coming off a pair of impressive wins in the first two postseason games against Dallas at home and New York on the road and that is a big edge heading into the series opener. Minnesota has not played since September 3 so while the rest can be considered good, the rust factor cannot be downplayed especially when laying close to double-digits. That last game for the Lynx resulted in a 14-point win over Washington but that was a meaningless game as the Mystics did not push their starters to big minutes since the game meant nothing. Minnesota swept the season series 3-0 but Washington as not at full strength in the first two games so none of the three games gives a true indication of how the Mystics match up with the Lynx. The Mystics start three players who are 6 feet 4 or taller and two of those forwards, Elena Delle Donne and Emma Meesseman, are perfectly comfortable taking defenders out to the perimeter and knocking down the outside shot. Lindsay Whalen's health and conditioning is a concern for Minnesota. While she has been back at practice since last Wednesday, she has not played in a game since breaking a bone in her left hand on August 3. 10* (685) Washington Mystics |
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09-06-17 | Seattle Storm +4.5 v. Phoenix Mercury | Top | 69-79 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
The single elimination playoffs begin on Wednesday and the second game has Seattle travelling to Phoenix to take on the Mercury. It was an up and down season for both teams which finished the regular season just three games apart from each other. Seattle locked down the No. 8 seed last Friday when both Chicago and Atlanta lost and while this was not the seeding they were hoping for coming into the season, the Storm can use the Phoenix success from a year ago when it was the No. 8 seed and won two road games to get to the Semifinals before losing to Minnesota. While Seattle struggled on the road this season, they are not at a usual disadvantage here. The Mercury will not have a typical home-court advantage on Wednesday as they will be playing at Arizona State University's Wells Fargo Arena, not their own home court, Talking Stick Resort Arena. According to the team, the move is happening to make room for Marvel Universe Live! setup. The Storm won just two road games against playoff teams but one of those came in Phoenix and while they lost both home games against the Mercury, both were very close and we can expect another close game with these two teams that match up well together, giving each the opportunity to advance. 10* (679) Seattle Storm |
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09-03-17 | New York Liberty -2.5 v. Dallas Wings | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
This is the final day of the WNBA regular season and all eight postseason spots have been filled as Atlanta, Chicago, Indiana and San Antonio are all officially eliminated. The only remaining things are seedings as No. 1 through No. 6 are still up for grabs. New York has already gained a second round home game no matter what happens today and it still has a chance at the No. 3 seed if it wins or if it loses and Connecticut loses as well. The Liberty and Sun split their season series so should they finish tied, the Liberty win the second tiebreaker as they have a better record than the Sun against teams with a winning percentage of .500 or better. While it does not seem important since it already has a home playoff game locked down, New York will be after the No. 3 seed to avoid Minnesota in the best-of-five Semifinals. Dallas cannot move up or down as it has the No. 7 seed sewn up and will either travel to Washington or Phoenix but which team it plays in out of its hands as it comes down to the other two teams and their results today. New York is going for more than just the No. 3 seed however as it will be very motivated to win. The Liberty have won nine straight games and do want to keep the momentum going into the playoffs while a victory will match the franchise record for consecutive victories set back in 2010. 10* (667) New York Liberty |
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09-01-17 | Connecticut Sun v. Phoenix Mercury -1 | Top | 66-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
The final weekend of the WNBA regular season has a ton of scenarios for playoff implications and while there is just one playoff spot up for grabs, seedings are not yet determined. Phoenix is in the bottom half of the playoff standings currently sitting in the No. 6 spot which is the lowest it can be to guarantee a home playoff game in the first round. The Mercury can fall to No. 7 if they lose here and lose on Sunday and while the latter is unlikely because they play Atlanta, a chance should not be taken. The Mercury are the No. 5 seed if they finish tied or ahead of the Mystics which would mean they would also be tied with the Wings but they own the head-to- over Dallas. Connecticut locked up a first round bye with its win over Washington on Tuesday and there is not a bunch to play for now as there is no scenario where Connecticut can fall further than fourth or rise higher that the third seed. The Mercury have extra incentive as they will be out to avenge a 94-66 loss at Connecticut on August 20 and they get their revenge tonight. 10* (662) Phoenix Mercury |
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08-29-17 | Connecticut Sun v. Washington Mystics -1 | Top | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Connecticut and Washington square off in a rescheduled game from July 28 that was postponed due to a leaky rook at the Verizon Center. The Mystics were in the mix for a possible top three seed in the upcoming WNBA Playoffs but they have dropped four of their last five games making this game essential. Washington is 2.5 games behind New York for the No. 4 seed which comes with a bye into the second round. They will need to win out and get help but the Mystics are still mathematically alive for that spot. Connecticut has been on a great roll to get into the top spot in the Eastern Conference and the current No. 3 seed. The Sun cannot get into the top two spots but feasibly could fall into the No. 5 spot so this is a big game as well. The schedule has been very much in their favor a they have played at home in nine of their last 10 games and while the lone road game resulted in a win, it came against 12-20 Atlanta. Going back, Connecticut has not won a road game against a team with a winning record since June 23 and have just two wins on the season against winning teams on the highway. Washington has been great this season in this range as it is 11-3 ATS when favored by seven or fewer points. 10* (630) Washington Mystics |
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08-27-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. LA Sparks -2.5 | Top | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Los Angeles has a great opportunity to pull within a half-game of Minnesota in the Western Conference with just a handful of games remaining in the regular season. The Sparks have won four straight games and this is the first of three straight home games to conclude the season. They have split the first two games with Minnesota and a win here gives them the head-to-head tiebreaker which could go a long way in deciding home court advantage late in the playoffs. Los Angeles has lost just once at home this season. Minnesota has been playing very inconsistent as it has gone just 4-4 over its last eight games and three of those wins have come against San Antonio, Indiana and Atlanta which are the three worst teams in the WNBA. This is obviously still a very solid team but the loss of Lindsay Whalen has proven to be very big as there has not been much consistency on offense especially. The Lynx could put the Western Conference away with a win here but the situation and venue calls for Los Angeles to make the final week a very interesting one. 10* (628) Los Angeles Sparks |
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08-25-17 | Washington Mystics +4.5 v. New York Liberty | Top | 66-74 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
Washington and New York square off on Friday in a game that will have playoff implications with the regular season winding down. The Mystics and Liberty are separated by a half-game and it is the latter that is playing at a high level right now. New York has won six straight games to move ahead of Washington in the Eastern Conference and that streak includes impressive wins over Minnesota, Los Angeles and Connecticut. The Liberty are two games behind the Sun for first place so getting there is still a possibility but unlikely. Washington has been playing inconsistent of late as it has gone 3-3 over its last six games which enabled it to be passed by the Liberty but the Mystics were short-handed over this stretch. Elena Delle Donne missed all six of those games and Washington has felt her absence throughout the season as it is 4-5 in the nine games she has missed while going 13-7 in the 20 games she has been on the floor. One of those losses came against New York by 30 points and that is a game the Mystics have not forgotten. Delle Donne will be back tonight. Washington did win the first meeting so the winner here will determine the head-to-head tiebreaker. The difference between the fourth and fifth seed is the fourth seed earns a bye into the second round. This game will have the feel of a playoff matchup and the underdog has the value in such a situation. 10* (615) Washington Mystics |
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08-23-17 | Seattle Storm -1.5 v. Atlanta Dream | Top | 83-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
Seattle and Atlanta are both still in contention for the WNBA playoffs but they are not in the same situation. The Storm made a coaching change less than two weeks ago and it has done wonders. They parted ways with coach Jenny Boucek and promoted assistant Gary Kloppenburg to interim coach and since then, they have won all four of their games with both the offense and the defense picking up their games. Seattle is sitting in the seventh spot and can clinch a playoff should it win here and at home on Sunday against Phoenix which is its final home game of the season. Things are not looking good for Atlanta which was in fine shape a month ago but has since lost nine straight games to fall 10 games under .500 on the season. The Dream are in tenth place in the playoff standings and they sit four games out of the final spot with only four games left. A loss here and a won by Dallas tonight against Connecticut will officially eliminate them from playoff contention and at this point, it is a foregone conclusion. The offense has lagged and the defense has been atrocious as they have allowed at least 81 points in seven of the nine losses including 90 or more points four times. Atlanta is just 2-7 ATS as an underdog of fewer than five points and while this is a must win game, there is just as much importance on the other side. 10* (605) Seattle Storm |
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08-22-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. Minnesota Lynx -7.5 | Top | 69-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
Minnesota went through one of the biggest letdowns you will see as it was coming off a historic 59-point win over Indiana which included an insane 37-0 run and then lost in New York two days later. The Liberty are a very good team so the loss was not all that surprising but going from one extreme to the other is a surprise and this has been a very trying month for the Lynx. Unlike some recent Lynx losses, the problems with the offense was a result of the New York defensive scheme. The Liberty are playing as well as any team in the WNBA right now, beating each of the three teams above them in the league standings (Lynx, Sparks, Sun) this past week. Now presents the opportunity of a bounce back against a team Minnesota has dominated. Phoenix is also coming off a loss as it went to Connecticut and got shelled by 28 points to continue what has been a very uneven stretch. The Mercury are just 4-8 over their last 12 games and sit just one games over .500 which puts them in sixth place in the WNBA playoff standings with Seattle and Dallas just a game and a half back. Despite the recent struggles for Minnesota, it still has a serious home floor advantage with the lone loss coming against the Sparks during this recent stretch. Minnesota has won 12 straight meetings against Phoenix dating back to August of 2015 and going back, the Lynx are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. 10* (602) Minnesota Lynx |
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08-20-17 | Seattle Storm v. Chicago Sky -2 | Top | 103-66 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
We played against Seattle on Friday and won with San Antonio but the Storm did win their third straight game with interim head coach Gary Kloppenburg after firing coach Jenny Boucek last week. They are right in the playoff mix as they are currently in the No. 8 spot but it is not a safe lead as they are ahead of Chicago by just a game and a half and head into Sunday with a lot on the line. The fact they are underdogs here may surprise a few but they come in with a 3-10 road record, winning just two of seven games as road underdogs. Additionally, they are just 1-4 ATS this season when getting fewer than five points. Anyone who bet on Chicago Friday had one of the worst beats ever as the Sky were getting seven points at home against Los Angeles and were covering the entire game until double-overtime when they were outscored 16-7 to lose the game and cover. After a horrible 3-12 start to the season, Chicago has gotten itself back into the playoff picture with an 8-5 run over its last 13 games which includes a 4-3 record at home. The three losses all came against winning teams with all coming down to the wire so the Sky have held their own here. This is a must win with only five games left, three of which are on the road against teams a combined 56-27. Chicago has covered four straight games against losing teams while Seattle is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games against the Eastern Conference. 10* (676) Chicago Sky |
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08-19-17 | Atlanta Dream v. Dallas Wings -4.5 | Top | 86-90 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This would typically be a good contrarian spot to back Atlanta considering it has lost eight straight games both straight up and against the number. However, the line is not indicative of that and the Dream right now look to be both mentally and physically shot. A losing streak like this is hard to recover from considering five of the losses have not been close and they are now three games out of the final playoff spot with a team in ahead of them in ninth place. The road has been a disaster as Atlanta is 3-11 including 2-9 as a road underdog. Dallas is tied with Seattle for the No. 7 and No. 8 spots in the playoff standings so each game is important at this point. The Wings have lost two straight games to get into this position, the last coming on the road at red hot Connecticut and the one prior to that came at home against Phoenix by a point in overtime. Dallas had won five straight home going into that game with the Mercury and it is now 9-6 on the home floor on the season. The Wings have won five of seven games as home favorites and while mentioned each game is important, with the next two games at Connecticut and Washington, this one becomes even more vital and a win would likely knock Atlanta out of the playoff picture giving the wings one less team to worry about. 10* (668) Dallas Wings |
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08-18-17 | San Antonio Stars +9.5 v. Seattle Storm | Top | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Seattle remains in the playoff picture in the WNBA following a pair of impressive wins but finds itself in a big letdown spot tonight. The Storm won in Phoenix last Saturday and then upset Minnesota at home on Wednesday but caught a Lynx team that was without Lindsay Whalen and Minnesota has gone 1-3 in the four games she has missed. Seattle has won both game with interim head coach Gary Kloppenburg after firing coach Jenny Boucek last week. Seattle is now 9-6 at home which is decent but far from dominating especially now laying a number this big. San Antonio has won four of its last five games as it looks to build some momentum heading toward the end of the season. The Stars have struggled on the road with a 1-12 record but they have gone 8-4-1 ATS in those games so they have not played as bad as the straight up record shows. Despite being 15 games under .500, San Antonio has been outscored by just over 6 ppg and the value is on its side again. The Storm may be without point guard Sue Bird who is nursing a knee injury and even if she goes, she is not close to 100 percent. The Stars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Storm are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (665) San Antonio Stars |
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08-15-17 | Connecticut Sun v. Atlanta Dream +4.5 | Top | 96-75 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
It has been a very tough stretch for Atlanta as it went to San Antonio and lost to the Stars to fall to 3-11 on the road and saw its losing streak reach seven games. The Dream are pushing themselves out of the playoff picture as they are now a game and a half outside of the eighth and final playoff spot in the WNBA. They return home to face another tough test in Connecticut and this is the sixth straight home game against teams with winning records. While they have lost seven straight games outright, they have also lost those games against the number and that is putting the vast majority of the public on the road favorite. Connecticut is in first place in the Eastern Conference with a 17-9 record, a game better than Washington and its recent schedule has been very favorable. The Sun have played five straight home games, all resulting in wins, but only one of those came against a team with a winning record. Granted, Atlanta is not a winning team but Connecticut is just 7-6 on the road and while the spread record is better, this is an overadjusted line. The Sun have been favored by four points or more on the road just three times and while they are 2-1 ATS, both of those wins came against 7-22 San Antonio while the other game resulted in an outright loss in Dallas. 10* (652) Atlanta Dream |
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08-12-17 | Seattle Storm v. Phoenix Mercury -4 | Top | 98-89 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
Phoenix is back home following a 1-2 roadtrip that concluded with a one-point win at Dallas in overtime to move back to two games over .500. The Mercury are tied with New York for fifth place in the WNBA standing while trailing fourth place Washington by just a game and a half and that is a coveted spot to go after as avoiding the first-round single elimination game is ideal. Phoenix is 7-6 at home which is nothing special but half of those losses came against Minnesota and Los Angeles where they failed to cover any of those games. The Mercury have won seven of 10 as home favorites. After missing eight games, Brittney Griner is expected to make her return from a knee injury and it is good time for a playoff push. Phoenix went 3-5 without Griner after going 11-7 prior to her injury back on July 14. Seattle has been the biggest underachieving team in the league this season as following a 5-1 run last season to make it to the playoffs, expectations were high. The Storm opened this season 4-1 but it has been all downhill since as they are 6-15 over their last 21 games. They have dropped five straight road games and their 2-10 road record is second worst in the league behind last place San Antonio. Despite this, they are getting a short price tonight and they have gone 2-6 ATS when getting seven or fewer points while winning just one of eight games as a road underdog. 10* (622) Phoenix Mercury |
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08-11-17 | New York Liberty v. Atlanta Dream -2 | Top | 83-77 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Atlanta has lost five straight games but the schedule has not been in its favor at all. While three of the games have come as home, two of those came against 21-3 Minnesota while the other was against 15-10 Washington. To difficult things even more, one of the two road games was also against Minnesota so now as the ream push for the playoffs, the slate eases up somewhat. The game tonight is no easy challenge but the fact that Atlanta is favored is telling. New York snapped a two-game slide with a win over Indiana on Tuesday at home and now the Liberty hit the road again where they are 5-8 this season. Their most recent roadtrip saw them go 2-3 but one of those wins was also against the Fever which check in at an Eastern Conference worse 9-18. This is a huge game for the Dream to not only stop the losing skid but to also get back into the playoff picture as they are currently sitting in ninth place, a half-game out of the final playoff spot. This is the third and final meeting of the season with each team winning the first two games on their home floor. Atlanta has won four of six home games as a favorite while New York has won just once in seven tries as a road underdog. 10* (612) Atlanta Dream |
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08-10-17 | San Antonio Stars +7 v. Chicago Sky | Top | 74-94 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
We lost playing against Chicago last game as Atlanta had a 10-point lead going into the final quarter but got outscored by 15 points and the Sky won a rare game on their home floor. They are now just 3-9 at home even though three of those wins have come over their last five games but now they are in a spot that they have not been in much and when they have, they have failed miserably. Chicago has been a favorite only twice all season and it lost both games outright and not only are the Sky favored again but they are favored by the most they have been favored by all season. San Antonio has won three straight games with all of those coming at home and it is catching a big number here due to its road struggles. The Stars are 1-11 away from home but they have been competitive in a lot of those games as the 8-3-1 ATS record indicates. While the word success cannot be thrown around too often with the Stars, they have had their most success against the weaker Eastern Conference as they are 5-9 straight up and 9-5 ATS against their opposing conference while posting just one victory against Western Conference teams which happened to come in their last game against Seattle, snapping an 11-game losing streak. They were picked to be the worst team in the league and they have not disappointed but after starting the season 0-14, going 6-7 over their last 13 games is respectable and there is no quit in this team and will gladly jump on this number. 10* (609) San Antonio Stars |
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08-08-17 | Seattle Storm +7 v. Connecticut Sun | Top | 71-84 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Connecticut is playing some of the best basketball in the league as it has won nine of 11 and 14 of its last 18 games to sit a half-game ahead of Washington in the Eastern Conference. They will have to likely continue the run without their leader however as point guard Jasmine Thomas hurt her ankle last game. She 14.7 ppg, 2.3 rpg, and 4.8 apg in 29.1 minutes of play. She posted a career high 29 points against Seattle earlier in the season on June 29. It also impacts Connecticut's defense as she is its best defensive guard (she was a 2016 WNBA All-Defensive Second Team). She left after 13 minutes in the last game against Phoenix while scoring 15 points but the defense was hurt even more as the Sun allowed 92 points in the narrow one-point win. Seattle is tied with Atlanta for the eighth and final playoff spot as it has lost three straight games and five of six heading into its fourth game of this five-game roadtrip. Seattle is a great example of how narrow the talent gap has been in the league this season. It has averaged 82 ppg, sixth in the league while it has given up 83 ppg and that -1 ppg differential is the lowest of all teams in the league with a losing record. This is a dangerous team on offense led by Brianna Stewart who has scored 20 or more points the last 12 games, tying the Diana Taurasi single-season record. Stewart (20.6 ppg) and Jewel Loyd (17.4 ppg) are the second and ninth-leading scorers in the league, and the Storm rank near the top in shooting categories. This is a great contrarian play as this line is inflated due to the fact Seattle has failed to cover its last nine games against the Eastern Conference. 10* (603) Seattle Storm |
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08-06-17 | LA Sparks v. Dallas Wings +7.5 | Top | 79-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
We won with Dallas on Friday as it snapped a two-game slide as well as a four-game ATS losing streak with an easy winner over Seattle. That win pushed the Wings ahead of Seattle in the WNBA playoff standings and following the losses last night by the Storm and Dream, Dallas is a game and a half ahead of both of those teams for seventh place overall. The Wings have a challenge on Sunday but they have been playing exceptional at home where they have won four straight games and are 6-1 over their last seven. Los Angeles has won four straight contests and six of its last seven games and while this is one of the top teams in the league, the recent schedule has been a big factor in its success. Six of the last seven games have been at home where the Sparks have lost only once this season and the only road game over this span was at 6-21 San Antonio. Los Angeles is just 6-5 on the road and while they are 2-1 ATS when favored by more than seven points, the two wins came against non-playoff teams so they are again overpriced in this spot. The home team has won all three meetings this season with the most recent game taking place a week ago in Los Angeles that saw the Sparks win by 21 points so we have the recent revenge angle in play this afternoon. Dallas has already shown it can defeat the Sparks on their home floor so we can take that and ride the Wings again to stay within the big number. 10* (672) Dallas Wings |
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08-05-17 | Atlanta Dream -1.5 v. Chicago Sky | Top | 86-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
A very common situation in the NBA is playing with no rest as teams do it between 15 and 20 times per season. In the WNBA, it is a very rare occurrence because the schedule is shorter yet much more spread out. So far this season, there have been seven situations where teams have played with no rest and they have gone 2-5 both straight up and against the number. Over the last two seasons, teams are 8-14 straight up and against the number and teams not named Los Angeles and Minnesota have won just three of 17 games over the last two years playing with no rest (they are a combined 5-0). Chicago falls into this spot tonight as the Sky played at Indiana last night and came away with a win as an underdog so the situation to go against them here is now twofold. Chicago has played much better on the road than at home as it is now 7-7 on the highway but just 2-9 at home and they are not in a good spot. Atlanta is tied with Seattle for the eighth and final playoff spot in the WNBA following its 15-point loss at Minnesota on Thursday. The Dream have lost six straight road games but five of those have come against teams currently in the playoff standings while eight of nine overall road losses have come against such teams. The Dream are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss while Chicago has failed to cover 10 of its last 12 home games. 10* (665) Atlanta Dream |
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