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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-18-16 | Colts +7 v. Broncos | 20-34 | Loss | -120 | 39 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Colts/Broncos AFC *CA$H COW* on Indianapolis +7 |
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09-18-16 | Bengals v. Steelers -3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 36 h 38 m | Show |
7* AFC North Game of the Month on Pittsburgh Steelers -3 |
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09-15-16 | Jets +1 v. Bills | Top | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
7* Jets/Bills AFC East *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +1 |
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09-12-16 | Rams -3 v. 49ers | Top | 0-28 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
7* Rams/49ers Monday Night *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -3 |
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09-11-16 | Dolphins +10.5 v. Seahawks | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
6* NFL Dog of the Week on Miami Dolphins +10.5 |
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09-11-16 | Browns v. Eagles -3.5 | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
6* NFL Blowout Game of the Week on Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 |
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09-11-16 | Bengals v. Jets +1 | Top | 23-22 | Push | 0 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
7* NFL Game of the Week on New York Jets +1 |
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09-08-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +3 | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
7* CAR/DEN NFL Thursday *HEAVY HITTER* on Denver Broncos +3 |
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02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +6 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
7* Broncos/Panthers Super Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Denver +6 |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals +3 v. Panthers | Top | 15-49 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
7* NFL Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Arizona Cardinals +3 |
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01-24-16 | Patriots v. Broncos +3 | 18-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Patriots/Broncos AFC Championship *CA$H COW* on Denver +3 |
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01-17-16 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Panthers | 24-31 | Loss | -106 | 81 h 37 m | Show | |
6* Seahawks/Panthers NFC *CA$H COW* on Seattle +2.5 |
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01-16-16 | Packers +7 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 64 h 47 m | Show |
7* Packers/Cardinals NFC Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Green Bay +7 |
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01-16-16 | Chiefs v. Patriots -5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 60 h 7 m | Show | |
6* Chiefs/Patriots AFC *CA$H COW* on New England -5 |
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01-10-16 | Packers +1 v. Redskins | Top | 35-18 | Win | 100 | 37 h 7 m | Show |
7* Packers/Redskins NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Green Bay +1 |
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01-10-16 | Seahawks -4 v. Vikings | 10-9 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Seahawks/Vikings NFC *CA$H COW* on Seattle -4 |
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01-09-16 | Chiefs -3 v. Texans | Top | 30-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
7* Chiefs/Texans Wild Card GAME OF THE YEAR on Kansas City -3 |
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01-03-16 | Bucs +10.5 v. Panthers | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
7* NFL DOG OF THE MONTH on Tampa Bay Bucs +10.5 |
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12-28-15 | Bengals v. Broncos -4 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
7* Bengals/Broncos MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Denver -4 |
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12-27-15 | Packers +5.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 8-38 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
7* Packers/Cardinals NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Green Bay +5.5 |
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12-27-15 | Bears v. Bucs -3 | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
6* NFL *BLOWOUT* Game of the Week on Tampa Bay Bucs -3 |
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12-27-15 | 49ers +9 v. Lions | 17-32 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
6* NFL Dog of the Week on San Francisco 49ers +9 |
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12-24-15 | Chargers +5.5 v. Raiders | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
7* Chargers/Raiders TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on San Diego +5 |
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12-21-15 | Lions v. Saints -2.5 | Top | 35-27 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
7* Lions/Saints MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on New Orleans -2.5 |
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12-20-15 | Cardinals -3.5 v. Eagles | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Cardinals/Eagles Sunday Night PARLAY on Arizona -3.5/UNDER 51.5 |
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12-19-15 | Jets -3 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-16 | Push | 0 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
7* Jets/Cowboys Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on New York -3 |
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12-17-15 | Bucs +3 v. Rams | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -119 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
7* Bucs/Rams TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay +3 |
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12-14-15 | Giants +1 v. Dolphins | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
7* Giants/Dolphins MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +1 |
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12-13-15 | Falcons +8 v. Panthers | Top | 0-38 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
7* Falcons/Panthers 2-0 Parlay Sweeper on Atlanta +8/Under 45 |
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12-13-15 | Chargers +11 v. Chiefs | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
7* Chargers/Chiefs 2-0 Parlay Sweeper on San Diego +11/UNDER 43.5 |
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12-10-15 | Vikings v. Cardinals -10 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
7* Vikings/Cardinals TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona -10 |
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12-07-15 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Redskins | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
7* Cowboys/Redskins MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas +3.5 |
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12-06-15 | Chiefs -3 v. Raiders | 34-20 | Win | 105 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
6* AFC West Game of the Week on Kansas City Chiefs -3 |
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12-06-15 | Jaguars v. Titans -2 | 39-42 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
6* AFC South Game of the Week on Tennessee Titans -2 |
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12-06-15 | Seahawks -1 v. Vikings | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
7* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH on Seattle Seahawks -1 |
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12-03-15 | Packers -3 v. Lions | Top | 27-23 | Win | 105 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
7* Packers/Lions NFC North *HEAVY HITTER* on Green Bay -3 |
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11-30-15 | Ravens v. Browns -3 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 37 m | Show |
7* Ravens/Browns MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -3 |
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11-29-15 | Patriots v. Broncos +3 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
7* Pats/Broncos Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on Denver +3 |
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11-29-15 | Bucs +3 v. Colts | 12-25 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NFL Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay Bucs +3 |
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11-29-15 | Bills v. Chiefs -4 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Bills/Chiefs AFC Annihilator on Kansas City -4 |
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11-26-15 | Panthers v. Cowboys +1.5 | Top | 33-14 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
7* Panthers/Cowboys Thanksgiving Day *FEAST* on Dallas +1.5 |
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11-22-15 | Bengals v. Cardinals -4.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -102 | 36 h 57 m | Show | |
6* Bengals/Cardinals Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on Arizona -4.5 |
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11-22-15 | Raiders v. Lions +1 | 13-18 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
6* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Week on Detroit Lions +1 |
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11-22-15 | Redskins +7.5 v. Panthers | Top | 16-44 | Loss | -113 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
7* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington Redskins +7.5 |
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11-19-15 | Titans v. Jaguars -3 | Top | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
7* Titans/Jaguars AFC South *HEAVY HITTER* on Jacksonville -3 |
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11-16-15 | Texans +11 v. Bengals | Top | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
7* Texans/Bengals MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +11 |
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11-15-15 | Lions +11 v. Packers | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
6* NFC Sunday Afternoon *CA$H COW* on Detroit Lions +11 |
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11-15-15 | Browns +6.5 v. Steelers | 9-30 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
6* AFC Sunday Afternoon *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Browns +6.5 |
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11-15-15 | Jaguars +5.5 v. Ravens | Top | 22-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
7* AFC GAME OF THE MONTH on Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5 |
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11-12-15 | Bills v. Jets -1.5 | Top | 22-17 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
7* Bills/Jets NFL Thursday *HEAVY HITTER* on New York -1.5 |
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11-08-15 | Raiders v. Steelers -4.5 | 35-38 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
6* AFC Game of the Week on Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 |
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11-08-15 | Dolphins +3 v. Bills | 17-33 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
6* Dolphins/Bills AFC East *CA$H COW* on Miami +3 |
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11-08-15 | Packers -2.5 v. Panthers | Top | 29-37 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
7* NFC GAME OF THE YEAR on Green Bay Packers -2.5 |
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11-05-15 | Browns +11.5 v. Bengals | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
7* Browns/Bengals TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +11.5 |
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11-02-15 | Colts +7 v. Panthers | Top | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 41 h 53 m | Show |
7* Colts/Panthers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Indianapolis Colts +7 |
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11-01-15 | Seahawks v. Cowboys +5 | 13-12 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Seahawks/Cowboys NFC *CA$H COW* on Dallas +5 |
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11-01-15 | Chargers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 26-29 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
7* NFL *BLOWOUT* GAME OF THE MONTH on Baltimore Ravens -3.5 |
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11-01-15 | Lions +4 v. Chiefs | 10-45 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Lions/Chiefs Sunday *EARLY RISER* on Detroit +4 |
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10-29-15 | Dolphins +9 v. Patriots | Top | 7-36 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
7* Dolphins/Patriots AFC East *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +9 |
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10-26-15 | Baltimore Ravens +9 v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 76 h 28 m | Show |
7* Ravens/Cardinals MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore +9 |
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10-25-15 | Oakland Raiders +4 v. San Diego Chargers | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 48 h 3 m | Show | |
6* Raiders/Chargers AFC West *CA$H COW* on Oakland +4 |
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10-25-15 | Minnesota Vikings v. Detroit Lions +2 | 28-19 | Loss | -109 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
6* NFC Game of the Week on Detroit Lions +2 |
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10-25-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 58 m | Show | |
6* AFC Game of the Week on Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 |
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10-25-15 | NY Jets +8 v. New England Patriots | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show |
7* AFC East GAME OF THE YEAR on New York Jets +8 |
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10-25-15 | Buffalo Bills v. Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 41 h 28 m | Show | |
6* Bills/Jaguars Sunday Morning *EARLY RISER* on Jacksonville +4.5 |
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10-22-15 | Seattle Seahawks -6.5 v. San Francisco 49ers | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Seahawks/49ers NFC West *CA$H COW* on Seattle -6.5 |
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10-19-15 | NY Giants v. Philadelphia Eagles -4 | Top | 7-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
7* Giants/Eagles MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -4 |
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10-18-15 | San Diego Chargers +11 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
7* NFL DOG OF THE MONTH on San Diego Chargers +11 |
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10-18-15 | Carolina Panthers v. Seattle Seahawks -7 | 27-23 | Loss | -101 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NFC Game of the Week on Seattle Seahawks -7 |
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10-18-15 | Washington Redskins v. NY Jets -6.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
6* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Week on New York Jets -6.5 |
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10-15-15 | Atlanta Falcons -3.5 v. New Orleans Saints | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
7* Falcons/Saints TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta -3.5 |
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10-12-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers +4 v. San Diego Chargers | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
7* Steelers/Chargers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh +4 |
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10-11-15 | Chicago Bears +10 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 18-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NFL Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Chicago Bears +10 |
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10-11-15 | Jacksonville Jaguars +2 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NFL Sunday *UPSET SPECIAL* on Jacksonville Jaguars +2 |
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10-11-15 | St Louis Rams +9.5 v. Green Bay Packers | 10-24 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
6* Rams/Packers NFC *CA$H COW* on St. Louis +9.5 |
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10-11-15 | Washington Redskins +7.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 19-25 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
7* NFC Game of the Month on Washington Redskins +7.5 |
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10-08-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans -3.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
7* Colts/Texans TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -3.5 |
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10-05-15 | Detroit Lions v. Seattle Seahawks -9.5 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
7* Lions/Seahawks MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle -9.5 |
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10-04-15 | Green Bay Packers v. San Francisco 49ers +9 | 17-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
6* Packers/49ers NFC Late-Afternoon *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +9 |
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10-04-15 | St Louis Rams +7.5 v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
7* NFC West Game of the Month on St. Louis Rams +7.5 |
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10-04-15 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 | 37-23 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
6* NFC South Game of the Week on Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 |
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10-01-15 | Baltimore Ravens -3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
 7* Ravens/Steelers TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore -3 |
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09-27-15 | San Francisco 49ers +7 v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 7-47 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
7* NFC West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Francisco 49ers +6.5 |
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09-27-15 | Philadelphia Eagles +2.5 v. NY Jets | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
6* NFL Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia Eagles +2.5 |
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09-24-15 | Washington Redskins v. NY Giants -3.5 | Top | 21-32 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
7* Redskins/Giants NFC East *HEAVY HITTER* on New York -3.5 |
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09-21-15 | NY Jets +7 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 57 h 48 m | Show |
7* Jets/Colts MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +7 |
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09-20-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 37 m | Show |
7* NFL *BLOWOUT* GAME OF THE MONTH on Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 |
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09-20-15 | Miami Dolphins v. Jacksonville Jaguars +6 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show | |
6* NFL DOG OF THE WEEK on Jacksonville Jaguars +6 |
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09-20-15 | Arizona Cardinals v. Chicago Bears +2.5 | 48-23 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
6* NFC GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Bears +2.5 |
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09-20-15 | Tennessee Titans v. Cleveland Browns +2 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
6* AFC GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Browns +2 |
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09-20-15 | St Louis Rams v. Washington Redskins +3.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
6* NFL Sunday *UPSET SPECIAL* on Washington Redskins +3.5 |
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09-14-15 | Minnesota Vikings -2 v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 3-20 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
7* Vikings/49ers Monday Night *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -2 |
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09-13-15 | NY Giants +6.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Cowboys/Giants NBC Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on New York +6.5 |
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09-13-15 | Miami Dolphins -3 v. Washington Redskins | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
7* NFL Sunday *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Dolphins -3 |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers +7 v. New England Patriots | Top | 21-28 | Push | 0 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
7* Steelers/Patriots Thursday Night *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh +7 |
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02-01-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. New England Patriots -1 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 269 h 12 m | Show |
7* Super Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Patriots +2 (I've been informed that the line I locked in at "+2" is not correlating to the number the line feed is showing "-1" - it must be some minor programming glitch. I want you to know I still like the Pats at -1 and even at -3 for that matter.) The Key: Seattle was the No. 1 defensive team in the NFL statistically during the regular season, but it was far from dominant at home against the Packers in the NFC Championship, and it's up against an entirely different animal here. Led by Tom Brady, New England is hitting on all cylinders offensively. After gashing Baltimore for 422 yards and 35 points, it put up 397 yards and 45 points against the Colts. The numbers are worth noting because the Patriots are an eye-opening 72-33-2 ATS in their last 107 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. New England has risen to the occasion time and time again with Bill Belichick on the sideline and Brady under center, even against the stiffest defenses. The Pats are 30-15 ATS versus teams that give up 17.0 ppg or less under Belichick. They are 16-5 ATS in games played in the second half of the season versus teams that give up 285.0 ypg or less under Belichick. They are 18-9 ATS in the second half of the season versus teams with a win percentage above 75% under Belichick. Besides the Brady/Belichick factor, the New England run defense is a big reason for this play. The Pats ranked No. 9 in the NFL against the run this season and have held foes to 85.1 rushing yards per game over their last 10 games. Seattle's run game needs to be effective for it to be at its best offensively, and I don't see it happening against New England's stingy run defense. When the rushing yards don't come easy, Russell Wilson will have to carry the load. He didn't perform well at all in the NFC Championship when he had the help of a running game, and I don't see him getting nearly as much help here. Brady and Belichick have lost their last two Super Bowl appearances, and that is a huge motivating factor. It's tough to repeat. It hasn't happened in a decade when the Patriots did it, and I believe they'll be the team to deny Seattle from getting it done. Take New England. |
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01-18-15 | Indianapolis Colts +7 v. New England Patriots | 7-45 | Loss | -115 | 77 h 59 m | Show | |
6* AFC Championship *CA$H COW* on Colts +7 The Key: The Colts are a different team on the defensive side of the football than they were when they were blown out by New England in November. Since getting embarrassed at Dallas, they've flipped the switch and have given up just 10, 10 and 13 points. Holding the Broncos to 13 points in Denver is no easy feat, and it tells me they're ready to give the Patriots a game. Indy is 6-0 ATS under Chuck Pagano after holding opponents to 17 points or fewer in each of its last two games and has won by an average score of 31.0 to 22.7 in this situation. The Pats have a huge public following and are typically overvalued as a result. That's especially been the case in the playoffs. New England is just 3-11 ATS in its last 14 postseason contests and is only 2-9 ATS as a #1 seed in the playoffs under Bill Belichick. It has won these games on average but only by an average of 4.1 points. It is also worth noting that New England is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 AFC championship games. Take the points. |
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01-18-15 | Green Bay Packers +7.5 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 100 h 23 m | Show |
7* NFL Playoffs Game of the Year on Packers +7.5 The Key: We are getting a great number here as books are expecting plenty of public money on the Seahawks with all the media attention Aaron Rodgers' calf injury is getting. There are several other factors contributing to this number like Seattle's 36-16 win over the Packers in the season opener and its 7-0 SU and ATS run, which included a double-digit win at home over Carolina last week. Green Bay's 4-4 road record has also played a part. But with a Super Bowl trip on the line, I'm not hesitating to get grab the points with Green Bay. While Rodgers may not be 100%, he was 24 of 35 for 316 yards and 3 TDs with no picks against the Cowboys. He has shown the ability to put the team on his back and win football games, even while less than 100%, and I trust him more than Russell Wilson in this big spot. Wilson is a clutch player, but he is mostly a game manager who depends on Seattle's strong running game to take the pressure off him. He got a huge lift from the running game in the first meeting, but the Packers have transformed their defense since then and have given up an average of only 92.9 rushing yards per game over their last nine games and have gone 8-1 during this stretch. Green Bay couldn't run the football worth a lick early in the season when they first faced Seattle, but it has averaged 134.2 rushing yards over its last 13 games. The Seahawks will have to respect the run this time around, and that will open up the field for Rodgers. Seattle is a terrific defensive team, but the Packers are on a 14-6 ATS run versus teams that give up just 12.9 to 18.9 ppg with Rodgers under center. The Packers are also on a 38-14 ATS run versus teams with passing defenses that allow 4.9-6.9 passing yards per attempt with Rodgers at the controls. We also can't ignore what Rodgers has done away from home in his career in the playoffs. He's 4-2 in road/neutral field games in the playoffs with one of the losses coming in OT. He's won six of his last nine postseason games overall and has won or lost by fewer than 7.5 points in eight of 10 career postseason games. Another factor that can't be ignored is Seattle's propensity for penalties. The Seahawks give up an average of 63.0 ypg on penalties, which is worth noting because the Packers are 22-6 ATS under McCarthy versus teams that give up an average of 60.0 penalty yards per game or more. Take the points. |
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01-11-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos -7 | Top | 24-13 | Loss | -100 | 73 h 7 m | Show |
7* NFL Divisional Playoffs Game of the Year on Broncos -7 The Key: Indianapolis played the Broncos to a seven-point game in Denver clear back in Week 1, but the final score was misleading as the Broncos led 31-10 in the fourth quarter and then called off the dogs. While some may look to play the revenge angle, history says that's not a good move. In fact, you want to fade teams seeking revenge for a loss if they are off two consecutive covers as a favorite. Doing so has produced a 27-8 ATS mark the last five seasons. It is also worth noting that Indy is just 5-10 ATS as a road underdog with Luck under center. In addition, the Colts are 0-6 ATS all-time with Luck at the controls in road games played in the second half of the season versus good teams with a win percentage of 60% to 75%. These six defeats have come by an average score of 41.7 to 16.8. Lay the points. |
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01-11-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. Green Bay Packers -5.5 | 21-26 | Loss | -105 | 70 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NFL *CA$H COW* on Packers -5.5 The Key: I like the Packers at home where they dominate the best of competition late in the season. Consider that Green Bay is 10-0 ATS in home games played in the second half of the season since 1992 versus teams with a win percentage greater than 75%. The Packers have won these games by an average score of 28.3 to 15.0. It is also worth noting that Green Bay is 7-0 ATS in home games played in the second half of the season since 1992 versus good offensive teams that average 27.0 ppg or more. It has defeated these opponents by an average score of 33.3 to 20.5. I like the Packers to handle the cold weather better and take care of business. |
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