Cappers Sports Picks - The Experts

7* Rams/Seahawks NFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle +2.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Seattle Seahawks tonight as home underdogs to the Los Angeles Rams.  Russell Wilson thrives in prime time, and he and the Seahawks will be out for revenge after getting knocked out of the playoffs by the Rams last season.  The Rams have taken a big step back defensively this year in yielding 24.8 PPG and 396.8 YPG.  The Rams are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games after yielding 400 or more total yards in 2 straight games.  Bets against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a terrible defense that yields 360 YPG or more, after gaining 400 or more yards in 2 straight games are 26-5 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Seattle.

7* Cardinals/Dodgers MLB *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 7.5

The Key: We have the likely Cy Young winner up against the underrated veteran in what should be a pitcher's duel tonight.  Max Scherzer is 15-4 with a 2.46 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 30 starts this year, and 5-2 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in 14 home starts.  He has dominated the Cardinals at 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last 3 starts against them while firing 21 scoreless innings with 33 strikeouts.  Adam Wainwright is 17-7 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 32 starts this year.  He is 7-6 with a 3.01 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts against the Dodgers as well.  Scherzer is 13-2 UNDER in his last 15 starts against NL Central teams.  The UNDER is 39-19-1 in the last 59 matchups.  The UNDER is 7-2 in the last 9 matchups in Los Angeles.  Take the UNDER.

7* Yankees/Red Sox MLB *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 8

The Key: Temperatures will be in the 50's at game time in Boston tonight.  Winds will be blowing in from center.  And I think we get a classic pitcher's duel here between Nathan Eovaldi and Gerrit Cole.  Eovaldi is 6-4 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 19 home starts this year.  He is 4-4 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against the Yankees.  Gerrit Cole is 16-8 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 30 starts this year.  He is 10-4 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 16 road starts.  The UNDER is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 games overall.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 matchups in Boston.  The UNDER is 12-3-1 in the last 16 matchups overall.  Take the UNDER.

7* Raiders/Chargers AFC West *Total* Annihilator on OVER 51.5

The Key: The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-0 this year behind an offense that is hitting on all cylinders.  The Raiders are scoring 30 PPG and averaging 471 YPG this year.  They still have a pretty weak defense this season.  The Chargers are averaging 394.7 YPG as their offense is humming as well behind Justin Herbert.  They beat the Chiefs 30-24 last week in a shootout.  And their defense hasn't been great either.  These teams played in 2 shootouts last year with the Chargers winning 30-27 on the road and the Raiders winning 31-26 on the road.  The OVER is 7-1 in Raiders last 8 games overall.  Take the OVER.

7* NFC Game of the Month on Washington ML -113

The Key: The Washington Football Team is better than the Atlanta Falcons and that will show on the field Sunday.  I like getting a hungry Washington team here coming off a blowout loss to the Buffalo Bills.  The Atlanta Falcons will take a breather after picking up their first win of the season last week against the injury-ravaged New York Giants.  Ron Rivera has gone 26-9 ATS off a road loss as a head coach in his career.  Take Washington.

7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Year on Louisiana Tech +19

The Key: The LA Tech Bulldogs are close to being 4-0 despite a brutal schedule.  Their 2 losses are to Mississippi State and SMU by a combined 3 points.  And they had both of them on the ropes with late leads in the 4th quarter.  This couldn't be a worst situation for NC State.  They are feeling fat and happy off their win over Clemson last week.  They won't give the Bulldogs their full attention this week.  The Wolfpack are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games against good passing teams that average 8 YPA or more.  Take Louisiana Tech.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Iowa -3

The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes are 4-0 this season behind an elite defense that is one of the best in the country.  And defense clearly travels, so I like Iowa to cover this short 3-point spread on the road at Maryland tonight.  The Hawkeyes are giving up just 11.0 PPG and 271.5 YPG while forcing 9 turnovers in 4 games.  These teams have a common opponent in Kent State.  Iowa only gave up 264 yards to Kent State.  Maryland allowed 458 yards to the Golden Flashes.  While Iowa has already played two Top 25 teams in Indiana and Iowa State, Maryland has feasted on a weak schedule during its 4-0 start.  The Hawkeyes are more battle-tested and will get the job done here.  The Hawkeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as road favorites.  The Terrapins are 9-27 ATS in their last 36 games off a win.  Maryland is 7-20 ATS in its last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Iowa.

7* Jaguars/Bengals AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 45.5

The Key: The Jaguars and Bengals have 2 of the worst defenses in the NFL.  That has especially been the case for the Jaguars, who are yielding 30.3 PPG and 418 YPG this year.  Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence are going to want to put on a show in this battle of youngsters on the prime time stage.  I think they will do just that, and there should be some turnovers that lead to easy scores as well.  Take the OVER.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-154)

The Key: The Boston Red Sox have lost 4 in a row and are in jeopardy of missing the playoffs now.  Look for them to bounce back tonight with a blowout win over the Baltimore Orioles due to their edge on the rubber.  Nathan Eovaldi is 10-9 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 31 starts this year.  Eovaldi is 3-1 with a 1.84 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Orioles, yielding only 6 earned runs in 29 1/3 innings.  Zac Lowther is 1-2 with an 8.68 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 5 starts this year for the Orioles.  He is 0-1 with a 15.90 ERA and 2.83 WHIP in 2 starts against the Red Sox this year, yielding 10 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings.  Take Boston on the Run Line.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-155)

The Key: The Boston Red Sox have a big edge on the rubber tonight over the Baltimore Orioles that will have them winning this game by at least 2 runs.  Chris Sale is 5-0 with a 2.57 ERA in 7 starts this year and getting stronger by the start.  Bruce Zimmerman is 3-4 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 11 starts for the Orioles this year.  Boston is 6-0 in its last 6 matchups with Baltimore with all 6 wins coming by 2 runs or more.  Take Boston on the Run Line.

7* Eagles/Cowboys MNF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 51.5

The Key: The Dallas Cowboys are rotten defensively yet again this season.  They rank 27th in total defense giving up 419.5 YPG and 28th in giving up 6.7 YPP.  But the Cowboys are loaded on offense at 4th at 435 YPG while averaging 6.4 YPP.  The Eagles have faced 2 poor offenses which has helped their defensive numbers.  But injuries will catch up to them this week as they just lost one of their best defensive players in DE Brandon Graham to a season-ending injury last week against the 49ers.  The Cowboys have injuries of their own on defense missing DE Demarcus Lawrence and having several other defenders questionable, mostly along the defensive line.  I think we should see another shootout similar to last year's matchup in Dallas in which the Cowboys won 37-17 in one of the first games played by Hurts.  Dak Prescott didn't even play in that game and the Cowboys still had 513 total yards.  The Eagles had 477 total yards themselves but 3 turnovers was the reason for just 17 points.  With Dak back and showing he is elite, the Cowboys should hang another big number on the Eagles.  Philadelphia will be able to keep pace with Hurts and this improved offense.  The OVER is 32-15 in Eagles last 47 road games.  The OVER is 8-2 in Cowboys last 10 home games.  Take the OVER.

7* AFC Game of the Month on Los Angeles Chargers +6.5

The Key: The Kansas City Chiefs don't blow teams out, and the Los Angeles Chargers don't get blown out.  So this is a pretty easy choice for me.  The Chargers only lost 2 games all season last year by more than one score.  They they have lost by more than one score just twice in their last 18 games when you figure they won by 4 at Washington and lost by 3 at home to the Cowboys in their first 2 games this year.  The Chiefs have won just one of their last 13 games by more than one score.  That's a big reason they are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  Their leaky defense is the reason they can't blow out teams, and it has reared its ugly head again this year.  The Chiefs have yielded 469 YPG and 7.6 YPP in 2 games this year against the Browns and Ravens.  The Chargers averaged 447.5 YPG in 2 matchups with the Chiefs last year.  The Chargers are 34-15-4 ATS in their last 53 games as road dogs.  Take Los Angeles.

7* SEC Game of the Month on South Carolina +5.5

The Key: The South Carolina Gamecocks are underrated this season.  They are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS and just played Georgia last week in a cover.  Now they get to host Kentucky, which will be playing its first road game of the year.  The Wildcats weren't impressive in their 7-point home win over Missouri or their 5-point home win as a 31-point favorite against UT-Chattanooga last week.  They barely escaped with victory over that bad FCS team, and they shouldn't be road favorites here against the Gamecocks.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Take South Carolina.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNLV +30.5

The Key: The Fresno State Bulldogs are in the ultimate letdown spot tonight.  They just upset UCLA late Saturday night in a 40-37 win as 10.5-point dogs.  That was one of the most exciting, back-and-forth games of the season.  QB Jake Haener played through an injury and just kept coming in one of the most remarkable games you will ever see by a quarterback.  He had to basically be carried off the field and cannot be 100%.  Look for the Bulldogs to be cautious with him.  They just won't be able to get up for UNLV.  This is actually a step down in competition for UNLV after facing Arizona State and Iowa State the last 2 weeks.  The Rebels are expected to get back QB Doug Brumfield after he missed the last 2 games with injury.  He played well in the opener against Eastern Washington with 117 passing yards and 9.0 YPA as well as 27 rushing yards and a score.  The Rebels only lost that game 33-35 (OT) as 2.5-point dogs against one of the best teams in FCS.  Fresno State has only won one of its last 10 matchups with the Rebels by more than 29 points.  Take UNLV.

7* Marshall/App State NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 59

The Key: Marshall is a dead nuts OVER team this year.  They average 43.7 PPG and 603.7 YPG on offense and run 80 plays per game.  Appalachian State's offense will have no problem keeping up with them as they average 33.3 PPG and 446.3 YPG along with 68 plays per game.  Marshall just scored 80 combined points with East Carolina last game and gave up 553 yards to a mediocre Pirates offense.  The OVER is 21-5 in Thundering Herd last 26 non-conference games.  The OVER is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 September games.  Take the OVER.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+110)

The Key: The Boston Red Sox have won 6 straight games all by 2 runs or more.  They have scored at least 6 runs in all 6 wins.  It should be more of the same tonight against the New York Mets, who are 1-6 in their last 7 games overall and quickly getting eliminated from postseason contention.  Chris Sale is 4-0 with a 2.40 ERA in 6 starts this year.  Taijuan Walker is 3-6 with a 5.18 ERA in 13 road starts this year.  Walker is 0-1 with a 7.63 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Take Boston on the Run Line.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+104)

The Key: The Cincinnati Reds are 3 games out in the wild card and in need of wins during this stretch where they have the Pirates and Nationals at home in their next 2 series.  They got off to a good start with a 9-5 victory over the Pirates in Game 1.  It should be another blowout victory in their favor tonight due to their edge on the rubber.  Tyler Mahle is 12-5 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 30 starts this year.  Mahle is 4-0 with a 0.92 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Pirates, yielding just 3 earned runs in 29 1/3 innings.  Mitch Keller is 4-11 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 20 starts this year.  Keller has never beaten the Reds, going 0-3 with a 7.86 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them.  Take Cincinnati on the Run Line.

7* Lions/Packers MNF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 48

The Key: Both the Packers and Lions were gashed defensively in Week 1 and that should carry over to Week 2 as these are 2 of the worst defenses in the NFL.  The Packers gave up 38 points to the Saints and their mediocre offense without Drew Brees and Michael Thomas.  The Lions allowed 41 points and 8.0 YPP to the 49ers.  The Packers were shut down offensively by a good Saints defense and it was clear Aaron Rodgers wasn't in midseason form.  He'll be closer to it this week.  The Lions put up 33 points against the 49ers and can do their part offensively.  These teams have combined for 63 and 55 points in their last 2 matchups.  The Packers scored 73 points in 2 games against the Lions and will do the heavy lifting on this total.  Take the OVER.

7* NFL Game of the Week on Cincinnati Bengals +3

The Key: Joe Burrow was impressive in his season debut and didn't look hobbled at all.  He completed 20 of 27 passes for 261 yards and 2 touchdowns to lead the Bengals to a 27-24 (OT) win over the Vikings.  Joe Mixon had 127 yards on the ground as the Bengals did pretty much whatever they wanted to against a good Vikings defense.  Now the Bengals take a step down here against a weak Bears offense and defense.  That was evident in their 34-14 loss to the Rams to open the season.  The Bears averaged just 4.7 YPP on offense and gave up 7.7 YPP on defense in a game that was every bit the blowout that the final score showed.  The Bears are missing several key players in LB Trevathan, NT Goldman, RB Cohen and could be without T Peters.  Andy Dalton clearly is not the answer at QB and will struggle against his former team as well.  Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games as a home favorite.  Take Cincinnati.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Utah -8.5

The Key: Kyle Whittingham called out his team after losing the line of scrimmage to BYU in their upset loss last week.  Look for his players to respond here, and for the Utes to put it on the San Diego State Aztecs.  San Diego State will be without starting QB Jordan Brookshire after he was knocked out of the Arizona game last week.  The Aztecs have played a weak schedule of New Mexico State and Arizona thus far, so this is a big step up in competition.  San Diego State was actually outgained by New Mexico State in their opener.  That's a New Mexico State team that lost 30-3 to UTEP and 34-25 to New Mexico.  Whittingham is 22-7 ATS after a game where his team forced zero turnovers as the coach of Utah.  The Utes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against Mountain West teams.  Utah is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups with four of the wins coming by 16 points or more.  Take Utah.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Illinois +7

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Illinois tonight as 7-point dogs to Maryland.  We are getting this price because Illinois is coming off two bad losses in a row to UTSA and Virginia.  But keep in mind that Illinois upset Nebraska at home in their opener with a healthy Brandon Peters at quarterback.  Peters left that game and hasn't returned since.  But Peters is now back this week and will give the offense a spark.  I think Maryland is overrated off a 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS start that included a win against Howard.  The other win was gift-wrapped to them by West Virginia who lost the turnover battle 4-0 in a 30-24 win by the Terrapins.  The Fighting Illini will put up a much better fight than they have the last 2 weeks in this standalone home game in front of a good crowd and with Peters back under center.  Bets on home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 6.25 YPP or more last game that has 8 or more offensive starters including their QB returning in the first month of the season are 23-5 ATS since 1992.  Take Illinois.

7* Giants/Washington TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington -3

The Key: Washington has the edge at the line of scrimmage in a big way on both sides of the football in this game.  That will help make up for having a backup QB in Taylor Heinicke, who actually played really well in replacing Ryan Fitzpatrick in the first half last week.  He completed 11 of his 15 passes for 120 yards with a score and didn't turn the ball over.  Washington will be able to rely in Gibson to run the ball after the Broncos rushed for 156 yards on the Giants last week.  The Giants only ran for 60 yards on 20 carries and Saquon Barkley is questionable.  Daniel Jones isn't very good and will be without his safety valve in TE Evan Engram.  This has Washington blowout written all over it.  Take Washington.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A's -131

The Key: The Oakland A's blew a 6-0 lead yesterday to cost us a winning ticket on them.  They will come back hungry today to make amends.  They have a big edge on the rubber tonight that should lead them to victory.  Sean Manaea sports a 3.79 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 28 starts this year, and a 3.64 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 13 road starts.  Manaea is 1-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the Royals.  Mike Minor sports a 5.05 ERA in 28 starts this year, and a 5.18 ERA in 14 home starts.  Minor is 3-4 with a 5.28 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against Oakland.  The Royals are 1-8 in Minor's last 9 home starts when working on 5 or 6 days' rest.  The A's are 77-27 in their last 104 games against AL Central opponents.  Take Oakland.

7* American League Game of the Month on Oakland A's -160

The Key: The Oakland A's are 2.5 games out in the wild card and in must-win mode the rest of the way.  They take on a Kansas City Royals team in this series that they should handle, at least in Game 1.  Frankie Montas has been one of the best starters in baseball in the second half.  Montas has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 13 consecutive starts.  He has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 22 of his last 24 starts as well.  Montas is 2-1 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Royals.  Jackson Kowar is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHP in 4 starts this year.  One of those starts came against the A's on June 12th when he yielded 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 1 1/3 innings of an 11-2 loss to Oakland.  The A's are 77-26 in their last 103 against L Central opponents.  The A's are 22-8 in the last 30 matchups.  Take Oakland.

7* Ravens/Raiders MNF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 50

The Key: The Las Vegas Raiders are an OVER team.  They scored 27.1 PPG last year and ranked 8th in total offense at 383.3 YPG.  They gave up 29.9 PPG last year and ranked 25th in total defense at 389.1 YPG.  It should be more of the same this year for the Raiders.  The Ravens averaged 29.3 PPG last year and should do what they want offensively here.  They will have to throw it more with their injuries at RB, which also helps the OVER.  And this game will be played in a dome inside Allegiant Stadium with a great atmosphere for a shootout with fans in attendance.  The OVER is 12-3-1 in Raiders last 16 games.  The OVER is 8-0-1 in Raiders last 9 games as a home dog.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last 5 matchups.  Take the OVER.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Week on Cincinnati Bengals +3

The Key: I don't like the outlook of the Minnesota Vikings this season.  They went 0-3 in the preseason and were outscored by 10.6 PPG.  Their defense was a problem last year in allowing 29.7 PPG and 393.3 YPG.  It will be better but not much.  The Bengals were good when Joe Burrow was running the show.  He had 5 300-yard passing games in his 10 starts.  Burrow is back healthy and the offense is loaded.  He is playing behind an offensive line that didn't allow a single sack in the preseason.  And the defense will be improved.  The Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall and shouldn't be favored on the road here.  Take Cincinnati.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Middle Tennessee +20

The Key: Middle Tennessee is primed to be one of the most improved teams in the country this year.  16th-year head coach Rick Stockstill brought back 19 starters and added in NC State transfer Bailey Hockman at quarterback.  The Blue Raiders won their opener 50-15 over Monmouth as an 8.5-point favorite.  That was a quality FCS team that came into the season ranked 13th in the country.  Hockman went 17-of-22 passing for 215 yards and three touchdowns in the win.  This is a letdown spot for Virginia Tech coming off a big upset win over North Carolina in the opener last week.  The Hokies took advantage of three UNC turnovers in a 17-10 win.  Their offense is a problem with just 296 total yards against a weak UNC defense.  And they are going to have a hard time covering this big number with their offense.  Hockman and company can keep up with them on the scoreboard.  And don't be surprised if the Hokies are flat off that upset win, and with a game against West Virginia on deck.  The Blue Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs.  The Hokies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win.  Take Middle Tennessee.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Kansas +26.5

The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks had one of the best hires of the offseason by bringing in Lance Leipold from Buffalo.  He took the Bulls to 2 MAC title games the past 3 seasons and previously went 109-6 at D-3 Wisconsin-Whitewater.  He is one of the best up and coming head coaches in the country.  Les Miles didn't leave the cupboard bare as he has 16 returning starters and Miles recruited as well as he could have to Kansas.  The Jayhawks went 0-9 last year, so the fact that they finally won a game even though it was against South Dakota in the opener is a big step in the right direction.  It will give these players some confidence moving forward.  Now they face an overrated Coastal Carolina team that nearly went undefeated last year.  Because of that, you are paying a tax to back Coastal Carolina.  Keep in mind Kansas was a 4.5-point home favorite against Coastal Carolina last year and is now a 26.5-point underdog this year, a 31-point adjustment.  Kansas lost that game 23-38, but they outgained Coastal 367 to 318 for the game.  But they were -3 in turnovers which was the difference.  I just think the price is right to back the Jayhawks here as they stay within 4 touchdowns of the Chanticleers.  Take Kansas.

7* Cowboys/Bucs NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay -8

The Key: Dak Prescott hasn't played since October after not playing in the preseason.  He won't be able to turn around and hand the ball off much because the Bucs ranked 1st in the NFL against the run last season.  He's going to have to chuck it around, and he's going to have to do so behind a patchwork offensive line that is missing a couple starters.  He's also going to be playing from behind because the Bucs will score at will against a Cowboys defense that gave up nearly 30 PPG last year.  The Bucs have great chemistry with amazingly all 22 starters returning from their Super Bowl team.  They will be clicking from the start this season, while it's going to take the Cowboys some time to gel.  Take Tampa Bay.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -135

The Key: The San Francisco Giants beat the Colorado Rockies 10-5 in Game 1 and 12-3 in Game 2 of this series.  It should be more of the same today with the edge the Giants have on the rubber.  Anthony DeSclafini is 11-6 with a 3.24 ERA in 26 starts this year, 5-4 with a 3.01 ERA in 15 road starts, and 0-1 with a 2.61 ERA in his last 3 outings.  DeSclafini is 4-0 with a 1.08 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Rockies, yielding just 3 earned runs in 25 innings.  Jon Gray is 2-7 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts against the Giants.  He is 1-4 with a 7.94 ERA in his last 6 starts against the Giants as well.  The Giants are 5-1 in the last 6 matchups.  Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-135)

The Key: The San Francisco Giants beat the Colorado Rockies 10-5 in Game 1 of this series Monday.  It should be a similar result today considering the edge the Giants have on the rubber over the Rockies.  Logan Webb is 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 20 starts this year, and 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Chi Chi Gonzalez is 2-5 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 17 starts this year, and 0-0 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Gonzalez has never beaten the Giants, going 0-2 with a 4.77 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them.  The Giants are 13-1 in Webb's last 14 starts.  Take San Francisco on the Run Line.

7* Louisville/Ole Miss NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Ole Miss -9

The Key: There's a lot to like about Ole Miss this year coming off a 5-5 season in which they took Alabama to the wire and beat Indiana in their bowl game.  The Rebels have an elite offense that put up 39.2 PPG and 556 YPG last year.  They have 8 starters back on offense and QB Matt Corral.  They have 9 starters back on defense and will be improved there.  Louisville went 4-7 last year with its 4 wins all coming in the role of the favorite against overmatched teams like WKU, Syracuse, Florida State and Wake.  Only 13 starters return for the Cardinals and they lose all of their big playmakers on offense, which is going to make it hard for them to keep up with Ole Miss on the scoreboard in a shootout in this one.  The Rebels will get their points.  Take Ole Miss.

7* Notre Dame/FSU NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 55

The Key: Florida State and Notre Dame played last year with the Fighting Irish winning 42-26 for 68 combined points.  This rematch should sail OVER the number.  Florida State's defense is not very good after giving up 36 PPG last year and 7 starters back on D this year.  But the Seminoles will have their best offense in years in Mike Norvell's 2nd season.  He led the high-powered offenses at Memphis going 38-15 in his 4 years there including a New Year's 6 Bowl in 2019 before coming here.  McKenzie Milton comes over from UCF to give him his next great quarterback.  And he has 10 returning starters on offense to work with.  Notre Dame will be better than expected on offense this year despite all they lost.  They will also be weaker on defense this year, and that's even after giving up 31 or more points in 4 of their final 6 games.  Take the OVER.

7* Fresno/Oregon NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Fresno State +20.5

The Key: The Fresno State Bulldogs looked great in their 45-0 win over Connecticut.  The had 538 yards of offense and will be great on that side of the ball again this year.  They gave up just 107 yards on defense and will be improved there as well.  Oregon did give up 28.3 PPG and 406 YPG last year and won't be great defensively, especially with all the players they are missing in their secondary for the opener.  Anthony Brown is a downgrade at QB now that Tyler Shough left.  Oregon will be good this year, but they are now 3 touchdowns better than this tough Fresno State team from an underrated Mountain West Conference.  The Bulldogs are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Pac-12 games.  Take Fresno State.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Duke -6.5

The Key: The Duke Blue Devils are flying under the radar coming into the 2021 season.  That's because they went just 2-9 last season.  But they were much better than their record.  Amazingly, the Blue Devils finished -19 in turnover differential last year.  It can only get better this year with improved QB play as Chase Brice transferred and was a turnover machine.  One of Duke's win last year came against this same Charlotte team as they blew them out of the building, 53-19.  Now they are just being asked to cover a 6.5-point here and win by a TD or more to cover.  I certainly like the price.  Charlotte went 2-4 last year with its only wins coming against North Texas and UTEP.  Three losses came by 15 points or more.  The 49ers only have 5 starters back on defense and should get picked apart on that side of the field this season.  Take Duke.

7* Thursday NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on East Carolina +10

The Key: The East Carolina Pirates were much better than their 3-6 record last year.  They got robby against Tulsa by the refs the week after losing to Navy by 4.  But they played their best football of the season the last 2 games beating Temple by 25 and upsetting SMU outright by 14 as 12-point dogs.  That gives them a lot of momentum heading into 2021.  Now they have a whopping 20 starters back and a veteran QB in Holton Ahlers who will be starting for a 3rd straight year.  It is head coach Mike Houston's 3rd season here and it is his best team by far.  Appalachian State took a step back in Shawn Clark's first season last year with a 9-3 record.  The 9 wins were all against bad teams, and they lost to the best teams they faced in Louisiana, Coastal Carolina and Marshall.  The Mountaineers will be starting a new QB this year in Duke transfer Chase Brice.  I just think it's asking a lot of them to win this game by double-digits in their opener against what will be a much improved ECU team from the AAC.  It is also on a neutral field in Charlotte and not a true home game for App State, which is big because they've had such a huge home-field advantage through the years.  Take East Carolina.

7* MLB Total of the Week on Astros/Mariners OVER 8.5

The Key: Jake Odorizzi is the weak link in the Houston Astros' rotation.  He is 6-6 with a 4.69 ERA in 18 starts this year, and 4-3 with a 5.14 ERA in 10 road starts.  Odorizzi is 3-4 with a 4.37 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against the Mariners.  He has faced them 3 times in 2021 with the OVER going 2-0-1 with 9 or more combined runs in all 3 starts.  Logan Gilbert is 5-5 with a 5.44 ERA in 18 starts this year, and 1-3 with a 5.66 ERA in 10 home starts.  Gilbert has been rocked of late at 0-2 with a 13.50 ERA and 2.13 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  One of those came against the Astros on August 21st when he yielded 9 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 15-1 loss.  The OVER is 8-1 in Gilbert's 9 starts against division opponents this year.  Take the OVER.

7* National League Game of the Month on San Diego Padres -158

The Key: The San Diego Padres have a good opportunity to get things turned around in this series with the lowly Arizona Diamondbacks.  They started with a 7-5 victory in Game 1 and I expect them to win Game 2 as well due to their big edge on the rubber.  Blake Snell is 2-1 with a 2.12 ERA in his last 5 starts while yielding just 7 earned runs in 29 2/3 innings with 44 strikeouts.  Snell is 2-0 with a 0.79 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Diamondbacks with 3 of those coming this year.  Zach Gallen is 0-5 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 8 home starts this year.  Gallen is 0-1 with a 5.58 ERA in 2 starts against the Padres in 2021.  Gallen's teams are 1-10 in his last 11 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  Arizona is 29-76 in its last 105 games overall.  The Diamondbacks are 7-46 int their last 53 games against a starting pitcher that averages 5 strikeouts or more per start.  Take San Diego.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-110)

The Key: It's now or never for the Padres, who are trying to make the postseason.  They can't afford to lose this game or this series to the lowly Arizona Diamondbacks.  Chris Paddack makes his return from the IL looking to pick up where he left off.  He is 4-2 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 10 road starts this year.  Tyler Gilbert will be making his 4th start of the year for the Diamondbacks.  The Padres have already seen him once and should be prepared for him the 2nd time around.  Paddack sports a 3.38 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against the Diamondbacks.  Arizona is 29-75 in its last 104 games overall.  Take San Diego on the Run Line.

7* Browns/Falcons NBC *BAILOUT* on Cleveland -5

7* NFLX Game of the Year on Washington +3.5

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-105)

The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 14-40 in their last 54 games overall and a dumpster fire of a team right now.  The Chicago White Sox just went into Wrigley in early August and swept the Cubs, winning all 3 games by 2 runs or more and outscoring the Cubs 21-9 for the series.  It should be more of the same in this series.  Dallas Keuchel is 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Cubs.  Kuechel is 5-2 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 12 home starts this year with the White Sox going 9-3 in those starts.  The White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 Game 1's.  Take the White Sox on the Run Line.

7* Yankees/A's AL *BAILOUT* on Oakland +102

The Key: This is where the Yankees 11-game winning streak comes to an end.  The Oakland A's are hungry for a victory after losing 4 straight and have the edge on the rubber tonight.  James Kaprielian is 5-2 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 7 home starts this year for Oakland.  James Taillon is 3-3 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 11 road starts for the Yankees.  The A's are 21-7 in their last 28 home matchups with the Yankees.  Take Oakland.

7* White Sox/Blue Jays AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -117

The Key: Few starters have been as impressive as Toronto's Robbie Ray this season.  Ray is 9-5 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 24 starts with 178 strikeouts in 145 1/3 innings.  Ray has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 13 of his last 14 starts.  He has yielded 4 runs or fewer in 24 consecutive starts as well.  Lucas Giolito sports a 3.77 ERA in 25 starts this year and the White Sox have gone 12-13 (-9.8 units) in his starts.  The White Sox are 0-9 in their last 9 AL road games against a starting pitcher with a 3.40 ERA or better.  Chicago is 14-37 in its last 51 games as a road underdog.  Take Toronto.

7* Mariners/A's AL West *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle +132

The Key: The Seattle Mariners are 9-3 in their last 12 games overall and fighting to make the postseason.  They take on a struggling Oakland A's team that is just 2-7 in their last 9 games overall.  The Mariners have the edge on the rubber today and should not be underdogs because of it.  Chris Flexen is 10-5 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 23 starts this year.  Cole Irvin is 9-11 with a 3.57 ERA in 24 starts for the A's.  But Irvin has not fared well against the Mariners, going 0-2 with an 8.30 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them, both of which have come in 2021.  The Mariners are 7-1 in Flexen's 8 road starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 this season, and 14-2 in all 16 of his starts with a total of 8.5 to 10.  This price is too good to pass up today.  Take Seattle.

7* Jaguars/Saints NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Jacksonville +4

7* MLB Total of the Week on Mariners/Astros OVER 8.5

The Key: The Mariners and Astros combined for 15 runs in Game 1 and 16 runs in Game 2.  The OVER is now 5-0 in the last 5 matchups in this series with 14 combined runs or more in all 5 games.  I'm shocked they have set this total this low at 8.5 runs.  Framber Valdez has been solid this season but he is hittable with a 1.32 WHIP in 15 starts and a 1.45 WHIP in 8 home starts.  Tyler Anderson sports a 4.90 ERA in his 12 road starts this year.  Anderson is 0-1 with a 7.56 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Astros.  Houston can cover this OVER on its own just like it has done the past 2 days.  In fact the Astros have scored 8 or more runs in each of their last 5 matchups with the Mariners.  Take the OVER.

7* NFLX Game of the Week on Indianapolis Colts +2

7* Bengals/Washington NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Cincinnati +5.5

7* Patriots/Eagles NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on New England Money Line -115

7* Red Sox/Yankees ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston +107

The Key: The Boston Red Sox will be hungry for a win Wednesday after dropping both games of the double-header yesterday to the Yankees that had them actually falling behind in the wild card standings to New York by percentage points.  But the Red Sox have the edge on the rubber tonight over the Yankees and shouldn't be underdogs.  Nick Pivetta has done his best work on the road this year, going 5-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 11 starts on the highway.  He is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA in his last 2 starts coming in.  Andrew Heaney is 7-8 with a 5.78 ERA in 21 starts this year between his time with the Angels and Yankees.  He has really struggled as a Yankee, going 1-1 with a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 outings while yielding 15 earned runs and 8 HR's in 15 innings.  Heaney sports a 5.92 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against the Red Sox.  Take Boston.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-130)

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have a big edge on the rubber tonight over the Washington Nationals.  Alek Manoah is 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA in 11 starts this year.  Erick Fedde is 4-8 with a 5.12 ERA in 19 starts for the Nationals.  Washington is really struggling right now in going 1-12 in their last 13 games overall.  The Nationals are 0-7 in their last 7 home games.  Take Toronto on the Run Line.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-110)

The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 2-17 in their last 19 games since trading away Bryant, Rizzo, Baez and Kimbrel.  They are 10-35 in their last 45 games overall.  They have lost 11 straight coming in with 9 losses by 2 runs or more.  This is a pretty easy choice tonight with the Cincinnati Reds having the edge on the rubber over the Cubs.  Wade Miley is 9-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 21 starts this year, including 6-2 with a 2.56 ERA in 10 home starts.  He should get plenty of run support considering the Reds have scored 32 runs in their last 5 games and should get after Justin Steele.  Miley's teams are 16-1 in his last 17 home starts against an NL team with a .315 OBP or worse in the 2nd half of the season.  His teams are winning by 3.0 RPG on average in this situation.  Take Cincinnati on the Run Line.

7* American League Game of the Month on Toronto Blue Jays -108

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays will be hungry to avoid the sweep and to not drop a 4th straight game overall Sunday. I like the price we are getting with them considering the edge they have on the rubber. Steven Matz is the better starter in this matchup with Logan Gilbert. The Blue Jays are still 12-5 in their last 17 games overall. It's time for some revenge Sunday. Take Toronto.

7* NLFX Game of the Week on San Francisco 49ers ML -140

7* Bills/Lions NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Buffalo +1.5

7* Steelers/Eagles NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh +1

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-102)

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals have won 3 of their last 4 games all by 2 runs or more.  They are making a late run at the playoffs and need to sweep the Pittsburgh Pirates in this series.  The Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 games overall with 5 losses by 2 runs or more.  The Cardinals have a big edge on the rubber tonight with Adam Wainwright, who is 10-6 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 22 starts this year.  Wainwright is 5-0 with a 2.19 ERA in his last 6 starts against the Pirates, yielding 9 earned runs in 37 innings and one earned run or fewer in 5 of those 6 starts.  The Cardinals have won each of his last 5 starts against the Pirates by 2 runs or more.  William Crowe is 3-6 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 16 starts for the Pirates this year.  Crowe is 1-1 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the Cardinals.  The Cardinals are 15-2 in their 17 trips to Pittsburgh over the last 3 seasons.  Take St. Louis on the Run Line.

7* MLB Tuesday Night *BAILOUT* on Toronto Blue Jays -152 (Game 2)

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have a big edge on the rubber in Game 2 of this double-header tonight with the Los Angeles Angels.  Ross Stripling has been dominant of late, going 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Jose Suarez is 2-3 with a 5.16 ERA in 5 starts this year, and 0-2 with an 8.53 ERA in 2 home starts.  Suarez yielded 5 earned runs and 3 HR's in 5 innings of a 5-7 loss to the Blue Jays in his only lifetime start against them.  The Blue Jays are 10-2 in their last 12 games and have outscored the opposition 71-33.  Take Toronto in Game 2.

7* MLB Total of the Week on Twins/Astros OVER 8

The Key: The Twins and Astros have 2 of the better lineups in baseball which should lead to cashing this OVER todayt.  The Astros rank 1st in runs and 1st in average this season in all of baseball.  The Twins have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 11 games overall.  Kenta Maeda has battled through injury this season and hasn't been right.  He is 4-4 with a 4.75 ERA in 18 starts, including 3-2 with a 5.95 ERA in 12 road starts.  Lance McCullers has yielded 4 earned runs in 2 of his last 3 starts coming in.  McCullers is 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Twins.  The OVER is 6-1-1 in Twins last 8 games against a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 21-7-2 in Twins last 30 games as road dogs.  The OVER is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games off a win.  Take the OVER.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-130)

The Key: The Chicago Cubs pretty much packed it in when they traded away Baez, Rizzo, Bryant and Kimbrel prior to the trade deadline.  They are now 2-8 in their last 10 games to fall to 10-26 in their last 36 games overall.  The White Sox have a big edge on the rubber today with Carlos Rodon over Adbert Alzolay.  Rodon is 8-5 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 18 starts this year.  Alzolay is 4-11 with a 4.85 ERA in 19 starts.  Take the White Sox on the Run Line.

7* Mets/Phillies ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on New York -104

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Mets over the Philadelphia Phillies tonight on ESPN.  The Mets have the edge on the rubber with Marcus Stroman.  He sports a 2.80 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 22 starts this year, and a 2.56 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Stroman sports a 2.68 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against the Phillies.  Stroman has a 1.35 ERA in 4 starts against the Phillies in 2021 alone, yielding only 3 earned runs in 20 innings.  Kyle Gibson is 1-3 with a 6.38 ERA in his last 4 starts, yielding 17 earned runs in 24 innings.  Gibson is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 2.25 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Mets.  The Mets are 16-7 in their last 23 games against a team with a winning record.  The Mets are 7-3 in the last 10 matchups.  Take New York.

7* Cowboys/Steelers NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh -2

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-106)

The Key: The San Francisco Giants have a big edge on the rubber tonight over the Arizona Diamondbacks and should continue their dominance in this series.  Kevin Gausman sports a 2.35 ERA in 21 starts this year and a 1.55 ERA in 12 road starts.  Gausman is 4-0 with a 1.44 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Diamondbacks as well.  Zac Gallen is 1-5 with a 4.60 ERA in 12 starts this year.  Gallen is 0-3 with a 10.24 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Giants.  Arizona is 2-37 against a starting pitcher that strikes out 5 or more batters per start this year.  It is losing by 4.0 RPG on average in this situation.  Take San Francisco on the Run Line.

7* Interleague Game of the Week on Cincinnati Reds -118

The Key: The Cincinnati Reds are in playoff contention after going 5-1 in their last 6 games to improve to 56-50 on the season.  I like the price we are getting on them against the Minnesota Twins, who are 44-62 this season and playing for nothing but pride the rest the way.  Tyler Mahle has been solid for the Reds in going 8-3 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 21 starts this year with 133 strikeouts in 111 2/3 innings.  Kenta Maeda has struggled at 4-4 with a 4.50 ERA in 17 starts, including 3-2 with a 5.67 ERA in 11 road starts.  Mahle is 1-0 with a 3.55 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Twins.  Minnesota has a ton of injuries up and down their lineup and just traded away some of their best hitters.  The Reds are 14-4 in their last 18 games as home favorites.  Take Cincinnati.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-138)

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have won 4 straight games and outscored their opponents 28-6.  Robbie Ray is 9-5 with a 3.04 ERA this year and is a much better starter than Eli Morgan.  Ray has yielded 4 earned runs or fewer in 21 consecutive starts, including 3 runs or less in 18 of those.  Morgan is 1-3 with a 7.47 ERA in 7 starts this year.  One of those starts came against the Blue Jays on May 28th when he yielded 6 earned runs and 10 base runners in 2 2/3 innings of an 11-2 defeat.  Take Toronto on the Run Line.

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Philadelphia Phillies -134

The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies will be hungry for a win to avoid the sweep to the awful Pittsburgh Pirates, who have taken the first 2 games of this series. The Phillies have a big edge on the rubber today that will lead them to victory. Kyle Gibson is 6-3 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 19 starts this year. Mitch Keller is 3-7 with a 7.04 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 12 starts. He is 2-5 with an 8.48 ERA and 2.13 WHIP in 8 home starts. Keller yielded 8 earned runs in 4 innings of a 3-12 loss in his lone lifetime start against the Phillies. Take Philadelphia.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Houston Astros +100

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Houston Astros tonight as underdogs to the San Francisco Giants.  The Astros have won 6 of their last 7 games and have scored at least 8 runs in each of their last 4 games. They will get to Alex Wood today. Zack Greinke should continue his success on the road where he is 5-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 9 starts away from home in 2021. Greinke is 14-3 with a 2.18 ERA in 21 lifetime starts against San Francisco. Take Houston.

7* AL West Game of the Month on Oakland A's -111

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Oakland A's tonight against the Los Angeles Angels. The Angels are banged up right now without Trout, Rendon and Walsh and were just shut out 4-0 by the A's yesterday. It won't get any easier for them against Oakland ace Chris Bassitt, who is 10-3 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 21 starts this year. Bassitt tossed a complete game shutout in a 5-0 win over the Angels in his last start against them on May 27th. He is 2-0 while yielding just 2 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings in 2 starts against the Angels in 2021. Bassitt is 20-5 as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 years. Take Oakland.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -133

The Key: The New York Yankees have a big edge on the rubber over the Tampa Bay Rays today.  Gerrit Cole is 10-5 with a 2.74 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 20 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Cole sports a 3.16 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts against the Rays as well.  Luis Patino is still in search of his first win for the Ryas.  He is 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 5 starts this year, including 0-1 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Cole is 33-11 (+16.9 units) as a road favorite of -125 to -175 lifetime.  Take New York.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-115)

The Key: Lucas Giolito has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 12 starts.  He has dominated the Royals at 8-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts against them.  Lefty Kris Bubic is 2-3 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 9 starts this year.  The White Sox have gone 34-9 against left-handed starters over the last 2 years.  They should jump on Bubic early and often and Giolito will shut them down to preserve a dominant victory here tonight.  The White Sox have won 11 of their last 12 matchups in Kansas City.  Take Chicago on the Run Line.

7* MLB Total of the Week on Dodgers/Giants UNDER 8.5

The Key: Look for a pitcher's duel tonight between Julio Urias and Logan Webb.  Urias is 12-3 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 20 starts this year.  Webb is 4-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 12 starts.  Urias is 3-0 with a 2.61 ERA in his last 5 starts.  He sports a 2.78 ERA in 12 starts and 6 relief appearances lifetime against the Giants.  Webb is 3-0 with a 1.55 ERA in his last 6 outings.  He won't have to deal with Mookie Betts, who was placed on the injured list Sunday.  Take the UNDER.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -117

The Key: The Chicago White Sox have a big edge on the rubber tonight.  Dallas Keuchel sports a 4.16 ERA in 18 starts this year.  He has had the Royals' number at 7-1 with a 2.49 ERA in 12 lifetime starts against them.  Lefty Mike Minor is 7-8 with a 5.45 ERA in his 20 starts this year.  Minor is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA lifetime against the White Sox.  Chicago feasts on left-handed pitching, going 34-8 against southpaw starters over the last 2 years.  The White Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 matchups in Kansas City.  Take Chicago.

7* White Sox/Brewers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Chicago +135

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Chicago White Sox tonight as big underdogs to the Milwaukee Brewers.  They have dropped 3 straight games and will be hungry to avoid the sweep in this series.  They have only dropped 4 in a row once previously all season.  Lance Lynn is too good to be lacking this kind of respect from oddsmakers.  Lynn is 9-3 with a 1.94 ERA in 17 starts this year.  He is also 9-2 with a 2.23 ERA in 16 lifetime starts against Milwaukee.  Take Chicago.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-126)

The Key: The Washington Nationals have a big edge on the rubber tonight that should have them winning this game against the Baltimore Orioles by 2 runs or more.  Max Scherzer is 7-4 with a 2.83 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 18 starts this year with 142 strikeouts in 105 innings for the Nationals.  Matt Harvey is 4-10 with a 7.13 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 19 starts this year for the Orioles, including 1-6 with a 7.89 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in 9 home starts.  Scherzer is 7-3 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts against the Orioles.  Harvey is 0-2 with a 9.22 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Nationals, yielding 14 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.  Take Washington on the Run Line.

7* AL Central Game of the Year on Detroit Tigers +114

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 7 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League.  They should not be underdogs to the Kansas City Royals, who are just 10-29 in their last 39 games overall.  The Tigers have a big edge on the rubber tonight over the Royals, too.  Wily Peralta is 3-0 with a 0.38 ERA in his last 4 starts, yielding only one earned run in 24 innings.  Kris Bubic is 0-3 with an 11.12 ERA in his last 4 starts for the Royals, yielding 21 earned runs and 11 HR's in 17 innings.  Bubic sports a 5.58 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against Detroit.  The Tigers are 7-2 in the last 9 matchups.  Take Detroit.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Detroit Tigers -133

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 6 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League.  They should not be nearly even money here against the Texas Rangers, who are 0-8 in their last 8 games and have scored a total of 6 runs in their last 7 losses.  The Rangers are now 13-36 in road games this year.  We'll go against Mike Foltynewicz, who has gone 2-9 with a 5.91 ERA in 19 starts for Texas this year.  He is 1-5 with an 8.10 ERA in 8 road starts and 0-2 with a 10.20 ERA in his last 3 outings.  The Rangers are 16-55 in their last 71 road games.  The Tigers are 8-0 in their last 8 home games.  Take Detroit.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit Tigers -116

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 5 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League.  They should not be nearly even money here against the Texas Rangers, who are 0-7 in their last 7 games and have scored a total of 4 runs in their last 6 losses.  The Rangers are now 13-35 in road games this year.  We'll go against Jordan Lyles, who is 5-6 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 18 starts for Texas this year.  The Rangers are 16-54 in their last 70 road games.  The Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.  Take Detroit.

7* Suns/Bucks Game 6 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 222.5

The Key: The 3 matchups in Phoenix have gone OVER the total and the 2 matchups in Milwaukee have gone UNDER the total with 220 and 212 combined points.  Oddsmakers closed with a 219.5-point total in Game 5 and it sailed over the number with 242 combined points.  But it was an aberration with the Suns shooting 55.2% overall and 68.4% from 3 while the Bucks shot 57.5% overall and 50% from 3.  Now they have set this total 3 points higher at 222.5, so I like the price we are getting with the UNDER knowing neither team is going to come close to matching their impressive shooting numbers in Game 5.  It was the slowest-paced game of the series and this one should slow down even more in an elimination game.  Take the UNDER.

7* AL Game of the Month on Detroit Tigers -102

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 3 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League.  They should not be even money here against the Texas Rangers, who are 0-5 in their last 5 games and have scored a total of 3 runs in their last 4 losses.  The Rangers are now 13-33 in road games this year.  Casey Mize has been Detroit's best starter at 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 17 starts this year.  Kyle Gibson is 10-10 with a 5.53 ERA in 23 lifetime starts against the Tigers.  He has yielded 18 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings in his last 4 starts against Detroit for a 7.48 ERA.  The Rangers are 16-52 in their last 68 road games.  The Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.  Take Detroit.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -124

The Key: The White Sox have a big edge on the rubber today over the Astros.  Carlos Rodon is 7-3 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 15 starts this year.  Rodon owns the Astros at 1-0 with a 1.83 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against them.  Lefty Framber Valdez has faltered with a 7.00 ERA in his last 2 starts.  The White Sox are 33-8 against left-handed starters over the last 2 years and should get after him today.  Chicago is 48-19 in its last 67 home games.  Take Chicago.

7* Bucks/Suns Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix -3.5

The Key: Home-court advantage has clearly been huge in this series. The home team is 4-0 with 3 wins by double-digits. Game 4 was close as the Suns were covering the entire way before the Bucks closed strong for a 109-103 victory. Now it's the Suns back at home in Game 5 here where they will be much more comfortable and should get a bounce back game from Chris Paul. The Suns scored 118 points and shot 46.6% in Game 1 and scored 118 points and shot 48.9% in Game 2 including 50% from 3-point range. They have been so good at home in these playoffs and this is a short number for them to be laying when you consider they were 5-point favorites in Game 1 and 4.5-point favorites in Game 2. They are now 35-11 at home this year. The Suns are also 36-16 ATS in their last 52 home games. The Bucks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs. The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as home favorite. Phoenix is 46-19-1 ATS in its last 66 games against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 trips to Phoenix. The Suns are 18-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this year. Take Phoenix.

7* Astros/White Sox AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +115

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Chicago White Sox as home underdogs to the Houston Astros tonight. They will be hungry to avenge their 4-game sweep at the hands of the Astros in Houston in June. Chicago starter Dylan Cease has done his best work at home this year. Cease is 4-0 with a 1.81 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 8 home starts and the White Sox have gone 7-1 in those starts. Chicago is 47-18 in its last 65 home games. Take Chicago.

7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Suns/Bucks UNDER 220.5

The Key: I think we see the lowest scoring game of the series between the Suns and Bucks tonight. They combined for 223 points in Game 1, 226 in Game 2 and 220 in Game 3. The pace will slow down as this series goes on because both teams get better at defending the other the more familiar they become with one another. There will be fewer and fewer fast break opportunities and more half court sets. And it's unlikely that both teams shoot as well as they did in Game 3 and that game still only produced 220 combined points. Take the UNDER.

7* NBA Finals Game of the Year on Milwaukee Bucks -4

The Key: It's now or never for the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 3 at home after falling down 2-0 in this series.  I don't see the Suns shooting as well on the road as they did at home, especially in Game 2 when they cashed in a ridiculous 20 of 40 3-pointers.  The Bucks should get much better performances from their role players after Giannis is really the only one that showed up offensively in Game 2 with over 40 points.  The Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record.  Take Milwaukee.

7* Blue Jays/Rays AL East *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +111

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Toronto Blue Jays today.  They will be hungry to bounce back from a Game 1 loss to the Rays.  I like their chances with Ross Stripling taking the ball for Toronto.  Stripling is 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA in his last 7 starts while yielding 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of those.  Ryan Yarbrough is 3-3 with a 4.42 ERA in 12 starts this year and 1-2 with a 4.77 ERA in 5 home starts.  Stripling just faced the Rays on July 3rd and limited them to one earned run in 5 2/3 innings in 6-3 Toronto victory.  Take Toronto.

7* AL Total of the Month on Yankees/Astros OVER 9

The Key: This total is too low for two of the best lineups in the American League.  The Astros are the best offensive team in baseball hitting .272 and scoring 5.5 RPG.  The Yankees have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games overall and are starting to hit up to their talent level.  Nestor Cortes faced the Astros last year and yielded 7 earned runs in 1/3 of an inning in a 1-11 loss.  Jake Odorizzi is 0-2 with an 11.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Yankees yielding 11 earned runs and 3 HR's in 9 innings.  Odorizzi is 0-2 with a 6.76 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 4 home starts this year.  The OVER is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 games as road underdogs.  The OVER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 matchups.  The OVER is 14-6-1 in Astros last 21 games against a left-handed starter.  Take the OVER.

7* Bucks/Suns Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +5.5

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks got Giannis back for Game 1 of this series and are back to basically full strength now for these finals.  In no world should the Bucks be 5.5-point dogs to the Suns in Game 2 with their backs against the wall after losing Game 1.  Giannis showed he was still his same old self with 20 points and 17 rebounds, but the Bucks couldn't overcome a huge game from Chris Paul.  Jrue Holiday is one of the best perimeter defenders in the NBA and will accept the challenge of trying to limit Paul, who can't possibly be as effective as he was the past couple games.  This has been a resilient Bucks team this season and that will show up here in Game 2 with the series basically on the line Thursday.  Take Milwaukee.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-127)

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays will be hungry for a win today after falling to the lowly Orioles yesterday.  The Blue Jays have a huge edge on the rubber tonight as well.  Ryu is 7-5 with a 3.65 ERA in 16 starts and 4-3 with a 3.35 ERA in 9 road starts.  He is 3-0 with a 3.69 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the Orioles.  Matt Harvey is 0-7 with a 10.85 ERA in his last 10 starts this year.  Harvey sports a 5.73 ERA in his 2 starts against the Blue Jays in 2021 while yielding 7 earned runs in 11 innings.  The Blue Jays have gone 11-1 in their last 12 road games against a starting pitcher with a 5.90 ERA or higher in AL games.  Take Toronto on the Run Line.

7* Bucks/Suns Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +6

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks showed what they could do without Giannis by beating the Atlanta Hawks in Games 5 and 6.  They won by 11 in Game 5 and again by 11 on the road in Game 6.  They got big games from both Middleton and Holiday in each victory, and these two are better than they get credit for.  There is still enough talent surrounding them to keep this series with Phoenix competitive until Giannis returns.  We'll see that in Game 1 tonight as the Bucks are catching too many points against the Suns.  Take Milwaukee.

7* NL Game of the Week on Chicago Cubs -125

The Key: The Chicago Cubs are hungry to end their 9-game losing streak which has seem them lose 5 times by exactly one run.  All 9 losses came on the road but they are back home here with a winnable game against the Philadelphia Phillies.  The Cubs are 26-13 at home this year while the Phillies are 15-26 on the road.  They should tee off on Matt Moore, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in his 4 starts this year for Philadelphia.  Zach Davies is 3-2 with a 4.15 ERA in 8 home starts this year for the Cubs.  Chicago is 9-1 at home against left-handed starters this season.  The Phillies are 17-35 in their last 52 road games.  The Cubs are 22-8 in their last 30 home games.  Take Chicago.

7* MLB Total of the Week on Red Sox/A's UNDER 9

The Key: I'll back the UNDER today between the Red Sox and A's considering how good both of these starting pitchers have been this season.  James Kaprielian is 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 9 starts this year for the A's and 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 3 home starts.  Nick Pivetta is 6-3 with a 4.43 ERA in 16 starts for the Red Sox and 3-2 with a 3.40 ERA in 7 road starts.  Kaprielian held the Red Sox to one run in 5 innings of a 4-1 victory at Boston on May 12th.  Take the UNDER.

7* Bucks/Hawks Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +2

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are underdogs for the first time in this series in Game 6 tonight.  They have been 8-point favorites or higher 3 times in their first 5 games, so I certainly like the price we are getting on them as dogs tonight.  Middleton, Holiday, Lopez and Portis all had 22 or more points in Game 5 and combined for 106 points in a 123-112 victory over the Hawks in Game 5.  I like their chances of closing out this series in Game 6, especially with Trae Young still questionable for the Hawks.  Take Milwaukee.

7* AL Game of the Week on Houston Astros -1.5 (-120)

The Key: The Cleveland Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 games overall and their struggles will continue against the Houston Astros tonight. The Astros have a big edge on the rubber with Lance McCullers over Sam Hentges. McCullers is 5-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 12 starts this year. Hentges is 0-2 with a 7.77 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 6 starts. He already has 18 walks and 19 earned runs yielded in 22 innings this year. Take Houston on the Run Line.

7* Hawks/Bucks Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -2

The Key: The books and the betting public have moved this line too much for the injury to Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Bucks have won plenty of games without him this year and will have the advantage of playing at home in front of their fans without him tonight. And the Hawks could still be missing Trae Young and Clint Capela isn't 100% either. The Bucks will rally for one game here without their star. Consider that they favored by 8 and 8.5 points in their first 2 home games in this series. They were also favored by 5 and 8.5 points in their 2 road games in this series. Now they are only 2-point favorites at home in Game 5, so you can tell just how much the books have moved the line for the Giannis injury. The Bucks are 39-24 ATS in their last 63 games off an upset loss as a favorite. The Hawks are 23-43 ATS in their last 66 playoff road games. Take Milwaukee.

7* Suns/Clippers Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix +1

The Key: Paul George, Reggie Jackson and Marcus Morris combined to make 32 of their 50 field goal attempts in Game 5 to stave off elimination for at least one more game. They have to shoulder so much of the load for this team without Kawhi. But I don't think they'll be able to repeat that performance. And I like the price we are getting on the Suns as underdogs in Game 6 after they were 7.5-point favorites in Game 5. This is an 8.5-point adjustment for home court and it's too much. Take Phoenix.

7* Bucks/Hawks Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +7

The Key: The Atlanta Hawks are getting 2.5 more points than they were in Game 3. They were 4.5-point dogs in Game 3 and now 7-point dogs in Game 4. The price is right to back the Hawks in this situation. Atlanta is 51-23 ATS in its last 74 games after losing its last game by 10 points or more. The Hawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games. Take Atlanta.

7* Clippers/Suns Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +5.5

The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers have been a resilient bunch in these playoffs. They've come back from 0-2 down in each of their first 2 series to win. And they were down 0-2 in this series before winning Game 3 and only losing Game 4 by 4 points. I like the price with them in Game 5 tonight considering they have just one loss to the Suns by more than 4 points in this series. They won't go down without a fight. And there's a lot of pressure on the Suns trying to make their first NBA Finals since 1993 with a win. The Clippers are 13-2 ATS on the road with a total of 210 to 219.5 this year. Los Angeles is 45-22 ATS in its last 67 games off a loss. The Clippers are 16-7 ATS in the last 23 matchups. Take Los Angeles.

7* AL East Game of the Year on New York Yankees -146

The Key: No game report on vacation.

7* Suns/Clippers Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix ML -107

The Key: Devin Booker and Chris Paul went a combined 10 for 40 (25%) in the Game 3 loss.  That's not going to happen again and I expect the Suns to regain control of this series with a Game 4 victory tonight.  Phoenix is 7-0 ATS when avenging a loss as a road favorite this season.  The Suns are 8-1 ATS when avenging a road loss by 10 points or more this season.  Take Phoenix.