Cappers Sports Picks - The Experts

7* 49ers/Cowboys NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco +3

7* Raiders/Bengals AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Cincinnati -5

7* Mavs/Grizzlies NBA *BAILOUT* on UNDER 215.5

7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Oklahoma City Thunder +7

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Indiana Pacers +2.5

7* NBA Total of the Week on Suns/Raptors UNDER 223.5

7* Georgia/Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia -2.5

7* NFC North Game of the Year on Chicago Bears +5.5

7* Chiefs/Broncos AFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 45

7* Hawks/Lakers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -3

7* Clippers/Suns TNT *BAILOUT* on OVER 220.5

7* Raptors/Bucks Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +7.5

7* LSU/Kansas State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas State -3.5

7* Browns/Steelers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh +3.5

7* NFC Game of the Month on Philadelphia Eagles -4.5

7* Utah/Ohio State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Utah +4.5

7* Bowl Game of the Year on Michigan +7.5

7* Purdue/Tennessee NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Tennessee -6

7* Maryland/Virginia Tech NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Maryland -3.5

7* West Virginia/Minnesota NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -5

7* Dolphins/Saints MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami -2.5

7* NFC Game of the Year on Chicago Bears +7

7* Ball State/Georgia State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia State -5.5

7* Miami Ohio/North Texas NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 54

7* Missouri/Army NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 56

7* Wyoming/Kent State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Wyoming -3.5

7* Vikings/Bears MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -5.5

7* Saints/Bucs SNF Game of the Year on New Orleans +11.5

7* Patriots/Colts AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Indianapolis -2

7* Coastal Carolina/NIU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on OVER 63

7* Chiefs/Chargers TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +3.5

7* NBA Total of the Month on Wizards/Kings OVER 225

7* Warriors/Knicks TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +5

7* Rams/Cardinals MNF *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 52

7* AFC West Game of the Year on Las Vegas Raiders +10.5

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Indiana Pacers -1.5

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs ML +105

7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Week on New Orleans Pelicans +2.5

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks -2.5

7* Patriots/Bills MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Buffalo -2.5

7* NFL Total of the Year on Bucs/Falcons OVER 50

7* Houston/Cincinnati AAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +10.5

7* Oregon/Utah NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 58

7* Cowboys/Saints TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -5

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Indiana Pacers PK

7* NBA Game of the Month on Detroit Pistons +9.5

7* Seahawks/Washington MNF *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 47

The Key: The Seahawks are playing great defense in yielding 23 points or fewer in 5 straight games.  But they cannot get anything going offensively, scoring 20 points or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games.  They have scored a combined 13 points in 2 games since Russell Wilson returned.  Washington has put together 4 straight dominant defensive performances.  They gave up 24 points and 304 yards to the Packers, 17 points and 273 yards to the Broncos, 19 points and 273 yards to the Bucs and 21 points and 297 yards to the Panthers.  Their offense has been held to 13 points or fewer in 3 of their last 5 contests.  The UNDER is 12-2 in Seahawks last 14 NFC games.  The UNDER is 9-0 in Seahawks last 9 games after yielding more than 250 passing yards in thier previous game.  The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 matchups.  Take the UNDER.

7* AFC West Game of the Year on Denver Broncos +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* NCAAF Rivalry Game of the Year on Florida State +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* NCAAF Situational Game of the Year on UTEP +13.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* Fresno State/San Jose State MWC *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 51.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Washington Wizards -4

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* Buffalo/Ball State MAC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 58.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* Giants/Bucs MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 49.5

The Key: This looks like an OVER game to me.  The Bucs are missing 3 starters in the secondary and now Vita Vea up front on the defensive line.  The Giants will put forth one of their best offensive efforts of the season.  Washington scored 29 points on the Bucs last week after the Saints put up 36 points on them with Trevor Siemian the game prior.  The Giants are getting healthier on offense coming off their bye week.  The Bucs have one fo the best offenses in the NFL and will get their points against this New York defense as well.  The Giants will be forced to try and keep up in a shootout.  Tampa Bay is 7-0 OVER in its last 7 games off 2 or more consecutive ATS losses.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last 6 matchups.  Take the OVER.

7* NFL Game of the Year on Miami Dolphins -3

The Key: The Miami Dolphins just beat the Baltimore Ravens 22-10 in a dominant effort last Thursday.  They outgained the Ravens by 46 yards and had Lamar Jackson flustered the whole game.  The Dolphins have one of the best secondaries in the NFL and were able to play man to man coverage and blitz the entire time.  It came a week after holding the Texans to 9 points and forcing 4 turnovers with another blitz-happy scheme.  And now they will definitely be blitz-happy again against the Jets this week and trust in their secondary to stop the immobile Joe Flacco.  Flacco is their 4th string QB this week and will be getting the start to try and avoid any QB controversy surrounding rookie Zach Wilson moving forward.  Mike White and Josh Johnson are both better than Flacco.  The Jets are essentially packing it in.  Their defense has yielded 43.4 PPG in their last 4 games and is the worst defense in the league.  Tua looked great in the 2nd half against Baltimore in place of an injured Jacoby Brissett and should be good to go again this week.  The Dolphins are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 matchups with the Jets, winning both matchups last year by 24 and 17 points.  Take Miami.

7* NCAAF Game of the Year on UCLA -3

The Key: The UCLA Bruins want to avenge their 43-38 loss to USC last year in which they had the game won but somehow lost it in the final seconds.  This is a different USC team.  The Trojans are just ready for their season to be over at 4-5 this year.  They have lost 3 of their last 4 games by 15 points or more, and their lone win was a 7-point victory over terrible Arizona.  The Bruins own bad teams, going 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record.  And the Trojans will be without starting QB Slovis and 1,000-yard receiver London.  Take UCLA.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Arizona/Washington State OVER 52

The Key: Two teams not used to being on the prime time stage will square off tonight when the Arizona Wildcats visit the Washington State Cougars.  I think we see offensive fireworks between these two teams tonight.  Washington State has seen 4 of its last 5 games combined for 55 or more points.  Arizona combined for 67 points with Utah and 75 points with USC in 2 of its last 3 games.  There was a low-scoring game with Cal in between, but the Bears were missing almost everyone on offense due to COVID.  Washington State is 6-0 OVER in Weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 years.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last 5 matchups with combined scores of 97, 95, 76, 87 and 96 points.  Take the OVER.

7* Patriots/Falcons TNF Game of the Year on Atlanta +7

The Key: The Atlanta Falcons just lost by 40 to the Dallas Cowboys.  The New England Patriots just beat the Browns by 38.  Now the price is right to back the Falcons Thursday night.  Atlanta was only a 4-point underdog in this game going into last week.  Now after those results, the Falcons are 7-point dogs.  This is the same Atlanta team that upset the Saints on the road the previous week.  They just came in fat and happy against the Cowboys, while the Cowboys were pissed off after getting upset by the Broncos the previous week.  It was a predictable result.  The Patriots cannot be going on the road and laying 7 points against almost anyone.  They just aren't that good this season, and it will show Thursday night.  Take Atlanta.

7* Central Michigan/Ball State MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan -1.5

The Key: The Central Michigan Chippewas have gone 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall with their lone loss coming by a single point.  They are still alive to win the MAC West due to this run.  They would need to win out and have Northern Illinois lose its final 2 games, which is very possible considering NIU is only a 1-point favorite at Buffalo tonight and has Western Michigan next week.  The Chippewas will show up tonight.  I question whether or not Ball State will show up.  The Cardinals were just eliminated from MAC West title contention after losing on a last-second field goal to NIU 29-30 last week.  The defending champs now have nothing to play for other than bowl eligibility, which they can accomplish next week at home against Buffalo.  I think they will suffer a hangover from that NIU loss last week and not show up this week.  The Chippewas are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as road favorites.  The Chippewas are 14-2-1 ATS in their last 17 Wednesday games.  The Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.  The road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 matchups.  Take Central Michigan.

7* MAC Total of the Month on Western Michigan/Eastern Michigan OVER 66

The Key: Two OVER teams square off tonight in Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan.  Western Michigan is 4-1 OVER in its last 5 games with combined scores of 65, 95, 72 and 95 points in the 4 OVERS.  Eastern Michigan is 3-1 OVER in its last 4 games overall with combined scores of 69, 79 and 101 points in the 3 OVERS.  Expect more of the same with a shootout between these two great offenses tonight and suspect defenses.  WMU has yielded 31 or more points in 5 straight games.  EMU has yielded 34 or more points in 3 of its last 4.  The OVER Is 17-4 in Broncos last 21 November games.  The OVER Is 8-2-1 in Eagles last 11 games off a loss.  These teams combined for 95 points last year in a 53-42 EMU victory.  Take the OVER.

7* Rams/49ers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco +3.5

The Key: Kyle Shanahan has had the Rams' number over the last couple seasons.  The 49ers are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  They won outright as underdogs the 3 times they were in this role.  I like the price we are getting on the 49ers after their upset loss to the Cardinals last week.  The Rams continue to get respect despite losing outright by 12 as 7-point favorites to the Titans last week.  This game should be lined much closer to a PK as these are closer to even teams than their records would suggest when you take a deeper look into the stats.  Take San Francisco.

7* NFC Game of the Year on Carolina Panthers +10

The Key: The Panthers will go with a run-heavy approach with deal-threat QB PJ Walker and RB Christian McCaffrey this week.  It will work against an Arizona defense that ranks 31st in allowing 4.8 YPC.  It will also help shorten the game and keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  I like Carolina's defense which ranks 2nd in the NFL in both YPG (293.1) and YPP (5.0) allowed.  It sounds like the Cardinals are likely to be without Kyler Murray again, and they will be without Chase Edmunds and De'Andre Hopkins as well as all 3 our doubtful or out.  WR Rondale Moore is in concussion protocol as well.  It's asking a lot of Colt McCoy to repeat the performance he had last week.  The Cardinals go from being 5.5-point dogs to the 49ers to 10-point favorites against the Panthers, which is too big of an adjustment.  Arizona is 1-16 ATS in its last 17 games as a favorite of 7.5 to 14 points.  The Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Take Carolina.

7* SEC Game of the Year on Tennessee +20.5

The Key: Tennessee has the best offense that Georgia has faced this year and should be able to put up enough points to stay within this number.  The Vols also have a better defense than they get credit for yielding only 5.3 YPP and 3.8 YPR.  Their fast tempo will be something that Georgia hasn't seen this season and may not be prepared for.  It is the type of style that can actually find some holes in this amazing Georgia defense.  QB Hendon Hooker has thrown 21 TD against only 2 INT this year with 69.4% completions.  He has also rushed for 457 yards and 4 TD while being one of the most underrated QB's in the nation.  Take Tennessee.

7* Wyoming/Boise State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 48.5

The Key: Wyoming and Boise State are two UNDER teams because they run the ball a lot and have good defenses.  Wyoming attempts 42 rushes per game while Boise State attempts 38.  Wyoming yields 21.3 PPG and Boise State 20.9 PPG.  The last 4 matchups between Wyoming and Boise State have seen 26, 37, 48 and 38 combined points.  Take the UNDER.

7* UNC/Pitt ACC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 71.5

The Key: Two of the best offenses in the ACC go at it tonight when North Carolina travels to face Pitt.  The Panthers score 45 PPG and average 541.1 YPG behind an NFL quarterback in Kenny Pickett who has 29 TD and only 3 INT this year.  North Carolina averages 38.9 PPG and 488.8 YPG behind an NFL quarterback in Sam Howell who can beat you with his arms and his legs.  He did just that last week in a 58-55 win over Wake Forest.  And it should be a shootout again tonight against this Pitt squad.  UNC's last 3 games have all seen 78 or more combined points.  6 of Pitt's last 8 games have seen 72 or more combined points.  UNC is 7-0 OVER In its last 7 road games against good passing teams that complete 58% or better. Take the OVER.

7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Chicago Bulls -3.5

The Key: Both the Bulls and Mavericks are 7-3 this season and that's why this line is only -3.5 in favor of the Bulls due to home-court advantage.  But it should be higher when you consider the Bulls are outscoring teams by 7.0 PPG, while the Mavericks are getting outscored by 2.3 PPG this year.  Take Chicago.

7* Tuesday MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Akron/Western Michigan OVER 62

The Key: Western Michigan will gets its points against Akron's defense and can pretty much name its number.  The Zips should get their points as well being an improved offense under QB Zach Gibson, who has 72% completions, 8 TD and 0 INT in basically 3 starts this year.  The Zips scored 35 points against Bowling Green, 21 against Miami and 25 against Ball State in his 3 starts.  He threw for 291 against a good Miami defense and 331 against Ball State.  The OVER is 5-1 in Zips last 6 road games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 home games against a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 Tuesday games.  Take the OVER.

7* Bears/Steelers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh -6.5

The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 3 in a row behind one of the best defenses in the NFL that has held their last 3 opponents to an average of just 16.3 PPG.  I don't see the Chicago Bears topping that number Monday, which will allow Big Ben and the offense to make just enough plays to cover this 6.5-point spread and win by a TD or more.  The Bears have the worst offense in the NFL, ranking last at 4.4 YPP this year.  They have been even worse with Justin Fields at QB.  They average just 264 YPG in their last 6 games with him as their starter.  Chicago's defense is a huge concern too with all the injuries.  They gave up 38 points to the Bucs followed by 33 points, 467 yards and 8.6 YPPG last week to the 49ers in their last 2 games.  Pittsburgh will get to 24, and that will be enough to win by 7 or more.  The Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games off a loss.  Chicago is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games against a team with a winning record.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* Chargers/Eagles NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -1

The Key: The Chargers had 3 straight impressive wins over the Chiefs, Raiders and Browns before being flat the last 2 weeks against the Ravens and Patriots.  All 5 of those teams are better than the Eagles, whose 3 wins this year have come against the Lions, Panthers and Falcons.  The Chargers will make easy work of the Eagles this week and get back on track.  Los Angeles is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 road games against NFC teams.  Philadelphia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after covering the spread in its previous game.  Take Los Angeles.

7* ACC Game of the Year on North Carolina -2.5

The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels have played a much tougher schedule than the Wake Forest Demon Deacons this season and they have had tough luck in close games, while the Demon Deacons have won all their close games.  That's the difference in UNC being 4-4 while Wake is 8-0.  But the Tar Heels will hand the Demon Deacons their first loss of the year this week.  The Tar Heels are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games against a team with a winning record.  The home team has covered 6 of the last 7 matchups in this series.  Take North Carolina.

7* VT/BC NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Boston College +3

The Key: This is Boston College's Red Bandana game that stems back to 9/11 and the heroes.  Look up the story it's pretty good.  The Eagles have been great in this game year after year as it adds to their motivation.  And they won't have any problem being motivated with rival Virginia Tech coming to town for a National TV Friday night game.  I expect them to win this game on the field, but I'll take the 3 points.  The Hokies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games off 2 straight games where they committed zero turnovers.  The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in 3 straight games.  The Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.  Virginia Tech is 8-25 ATS in its last 33 games as a road favorite.  The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.  Take Boston College.

7* Jets/Colts AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +10.5

The Key: The New York Jets come into Thursday with confidence with Mike White under center.  They just had 34 points and 511 yards against a good Cincinnati defense last week behind 405 passing yards and three touchdowns from White.  The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a disappointing OT loss to the Titans and are on a short week.  They may bounce back with a win, but asking them to win by 11 points or more tonight is asking a lot.  Carson Wentz continues to make bonehead plays week after week.  And he'll be without TY Hilton, plus the defense will now be without DT Tyquon Lewis.  Indianapolis is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a home favorite.  Take New York.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +1

The Key: The situation really favors the San Antonio Spurs tonight.  They will be seeking to avenge their 99-104 road loss at Dallas a week ago.  They had Tuesday off while the Mavericks played the Heat last night and will not only be playing for a 2nd consecutive day, but also their 5th game in 7 days.  They will be without Kleber and could be without Porzingis while the Spurs are fully healthy.  Take San Antonio.

7* Tuesday MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio/Miami (Ohio) UNDER 53

The Key: Two poor offensive teams go at it tonight in MACtion when Miami (Ohio) visits Ohio.  Both teams are averaging just 21.1 PPG and I think this total is too high.  8 of the last 11 matchups between these teams have resulted in 47 or fewer combined points.  The Redhawks are 8-1 UNDER in their last 9 MAC road games.  The UNDER is 9-1 in Redhawks last 10 games off a conference win.  The UNDER is 9-0 in Redhawks last 9 games off an ATS win.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Bobcats last 5 games overall.  Take the UNDER.

7* Giants/Chiefs MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas City -9.5

The Key: The price is right to back the Kansas City Chiefs Monday Night.  They were 13-point favorites when this line opened and are now single-digit favorites.  They got crushed by the Titans last week, while the Giants crushed the Panthers.  Those recent results from last week are playing too much of a factor into this line this week.  Consider the Chiefs' 2 best performances this year came against NFC East teams when they went on the road to beat both the Eagles by 12 and Washington by 18.  They will also beat the banged-up Giants by double-digits this week.   New York is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after yielding 15 points or fewer last game.  Take Kansas City.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Houston Texans +14.5

The Key: Tyrod Taylor makes his return to the Texans looking to pick up where he left off in the first 2 games this year and provide this offense the same spark that he had before.  Taylor accounted for 471 yards and 4 touchdowns without a turnover in 6 quarters against the Jaguars and Browns to open the season.  He has been a covering machine as a starting QB in this league.  The Rams won't be hungry enough to put away the Texans by more than 2 touchdowns.  And it's an early start time for a West Coast team here, which is always a tough situation.  Take Houston.

7* Big 12 Game of the Year on Kansas +30.5

The Key: Oklahoma State hasn't won a game by more than 11 points this season.  They may win this game by more than 11, but it's not going to be by 31-plus.  Kansas nearly upset Oklahoma last week and is getting better under their first-year head coach.  They will keep battling and keep this game competitive for 4 quarters.  The Cowboys are in a hangover situation after suffering their 1st loss of the season last week against Iowa State.  Take Kansas.

7* Navy/Tulsa NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 46.5

The Key: Tulsa has had the last 2 weeks off to prepare to face Navy's triple-option.  It is one of the weakest offenses in recent memory for Navy, and the Golden Hurricane should shut it down.  The Midshipmen average just 17.9. PPG and 280.3 YPG this year.  They do have a good defense and shorten games with their offense.  They give up 356 YPG on defense.  Tulsa has an above average defense and is good at stopping the run, giving up 3.8 YPC this year.  Take the UNDER.

7* Packers/Cardinals NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Green Bay +6.5

The Key: The Green Bay Packers have won and covered 6 straight since that ugly opening loss to the Saints.  They are missing some players tonight, but so are the Cardinals, most notably JJ Watt.  As long as the Packers have Aaron Rodgers under center they have a chance.  And it's worth noting the Packers are 6-0 in 6 games without Devante Adams over the last 3 years and scoring over 32 PPG.  Take Green Bay.

7* Cavs/Blazers NBA *BAILOUT* on Cleveland +8

The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers have pulled 2 straight upsets over the Hawks as 8-point dogs and the Nuggets as 9.5-point dogs.  Now they are catching 8 points against the banged up Los Angeles Clippers tongight.  The Clippers are missing Leonard, Morris and Ibaka and shouldn't be this big of favorites.  Take Cleveland.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Rockets +10.5

The Key: The Houston Rockets have some nice young talent in Christian Wood, Kevin Porter Jr., Jae'Sean Tate and Jalen Green.  These four lead them in scoring alongside Eric Gordon.  I like the Rockets to be an underrated team most of the season this year because they have the talent to compete with anyone.  And I like them to stay within single-digits of the Dallas Mavericks, who have looked rough early under Jason Kidd.  They lost their opener by 26 to the Hawks.  Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games off a loss.  Dallas is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 home games.  Take Houston.

7* Saints/Seahawks MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 41

The Key: The New Orleans Saints and Seattle Seahawks will combine to go OVER the number tonight.  The Saints are scoring 25.4 PPG and the Seahawks 23.3 PPG.  They should have no problem both getting to 20 in this game.  The Seahawks yield 24.8 PPG.  The Saints have a good defense, but I don't think Geno Smith is as big of a downgrade over Russell Wilson that everyone makes him out to be.  Take the OVER.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Houston Texans +18

The Key: We have the perceived best team in the NFL in the 6-0 Arizona Cardinals against the perceived worst team in the NFL in the 1-5 Houston Texans here.  That fact has this number artificially inflated.  The Cardinals are primed for a letdown.  They just beat the Rams, 49ers and Browns and have the Packers on deck Thursday, so this is a sandwich spot.  This is more of a bet against the Cardinals due to the spot than it is a bet on the Texans.  But it's worth noting the Texans did outgain the Patriots by 8 yards 2 weeks ago and were only outgained by 35 yards by the Colts last week.  Take Houston.

7* Oregon/UCLA Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* on UCLA -1

The Key: The Oregon Ducks have been getting too much love since winning at Ohio State.  They have lost to Stanford, nearly lost to Cal and played terribly against Arizona in their last 3 games while going 0-3 ATS.  UCLA is the more legit of these 2 teams and is a field goal away from being 6-1 this year.  They want to avenge their 35-38 road loss at Oregon last year and I expect them to.  The Ducks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off a win.  Take UCLA.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Colorado State -2.5

The Key: Colorado State is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall.  The only loss came by 10 points at Iowa when they had the Hawkeyes on the ropes as 24-point dogs.  They won by 16 at Toledo as 14.5-point dogs.  They won by 18 over San Jose State as 3.5-point favorites.  They won by 29 at New Mexico as 13-point favorites.  Utah State is 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games overall with its only win coming by 4 points against a very bad UNLV team.  They also lost by 14 to BYU and by 24 to Boise State, both at home.  The Aggies are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as home underdogs.  Take Colorado State.

7* Sun Belt Game of the Month on Arkansas State +18

The Key: Game report coming soon.

7* Astros/Red Sox MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 9.5

The Key: Framber Valdez is 0-1 with a 7.50 ERA in his last 3 outings for the Astros.  Chris Sale is 0-0 with a 12.00 ERA in his last 3 outings for the Red Sox.  Two struggling starters go at it again in what has been a very high scoring series and that should continue today.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last 6 matchups.  The OVER is 7-0 in Astros last 7 playoff games.  The OVER is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 games overall.  The OVER is 9-0 in Red Sox last 9 against AL West teams.  The OVER is 12-1-1 in Red Sox last 14 ALCS games.  Take the OVER.

7* Astros/Red Sox ALCS *Total* Annihilator on OVER 10

The Key: Two struggling starters go at it tonight between Zack Greinke and Nick Pivetta.  Greinke is 0-2 with a 12.46 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Pivetta sports a 5.40 ERA in 15 home starts this year and a 4.61 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Greinke is 2-5 with a 5.28 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against the Red Sox.  Pivetta is 0-2 with a 5.25 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Astros.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last 5 matchups.  The OVER is 6-0 in Astros last 6 playoff games.  The OVER is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games overall.  The OVER is 8-0 in Red Sox last 8 against AL West teams.  The OVER is 11-1-1 in Red Sox last 13 ALCS games.  Take the OVER.

7* Bills/Titans NFL Total of the Week on OVER 53.5

The Key: The Bills and Titans have 2 of the better offenses in the NFL again this season.  The Bills are averaging 34.4 PPG while the Titans are putting up 26.4 PPG.  They combine to average nearly 61 PPG.  So I think the price is right to back the OVER in this game Monday night.  The Bills can name their score against a Titans defense that gives up 26.0 PPG and 6.5 YPP.  The Bills do have a good defense, but they have benefited from forcing 15 turnovers the last 4 weeks.  And they have faced an easy schedule of opposing offenses with 4 of their games coming against the Steelers, Dolphins, Texans and Washington.  The Titans hung 42 points on them last year in a 42-16 victory.  The Titans aren't holding the Bills to 16 points again.  Buffalo is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games off 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.  Tennessee is 8-0 OVER against good passing teams that average 235 PYPG or more over the last 2 years.  The OVER is 25-9-1 in Titans last 35 games overall.  Take the OVER.

7* AFC South Game of the Year on Houston Texans +10

The Key: This is a tough situation for the Indianapolis Colts.  They are coming off an overtime loss to the Ravens on Monday Night Football in which they put everything on the line and probably deserved to win.  But they came up short after blowing a 19-point lead.  Now they are on a short week and in a hangover spot.  They face a Texans team coming off one of their best games of the season in a 25-22 loss to the Patriots.  They missed a FG and an extra point and probably should have won that game.  Davis Mills threw for 312 yards and 3 touchdowns and is improving.  He should be good enough to hang with the Colts.  This has been an extremely closely-contested rivalry through the years.  14 of the last 15 matchups were decided by 9 points or fewer.  Take Houston.

7* MAC Game of the Month on Ball State -1

The Key: After a rough start to the season, the Ball State Cardinals are back to looking like the team that won the MAC last season.  They are coming off a 12-point win over Army as a 10.5-point dog and a 25-point win at Western Michigan as a 12.5-point dog.  Now they basically are a pick 'em against Eastern Michigan, a team that isn't nearly on those other two teams' levels.  Eastern Michigan is 4-2 but the wins have come against 4 of the worst teams in the nation.  They are in over their head here against the defending champs.  Ball State is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 against a team with a winning record.  The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games off an upset win as a dog.  Take Ball State.

7* California/Oregon NCAAF Friday Night Lights on California +14

The Key: The Oregon Ducks just had their dreams of making the college football playoff crushed with a 24-31 loss to Stanford last game.  The game prior was a misleading 41-19 win over an 0-5 Arizona team.  They were outgained by 42 yards by the Wildcats but were +5 in turnovers.  This Oregon team continues to get too much respect for its upset win at Ohio State.  Oregon just lost leading rusher C.J. Verdell and his 397 yards and 5 TD to a season-ending injury, too.  California always seems to play Oregon tough.  The Bears are 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS in the last 2 matchups the last 2 seasons.  They won outright 21-17 as 9-point home dogs last year.  The only lost 7-17 as 21.5-point road dogs in 2019.  They have the defense to keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  They need their offense to play like it did at Washington 2 games back when they had 457 yards against a very good Huskies defense in an OT loss.  The Golden Bears are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs.  The Ducks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites.  Take California.

7* Georgia Southern/South Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on UNDER 51

The Key: Two teams that love to run the football and are both good against the run square off in this Sun Belt showdown Thursday night.  The clock will be moving constantly to help aid in cashing this UNDER.  Georgia Southern averages 47 rushing attempts per game and only 23 passing.  South Alabama averages 40 rushing attempts per game and only 30 passing.  Georgia Southern is holding opponents to 150 RYPG, while South Alabama is holding foes to 121 RYPG.  The UNDER is 2-0 in the 2 matchups between these teams the last 2 years with 41 and 37 combined points scored.  The UNDER is 18-7-1 in Jaguars last 26 games overall.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 home games.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Jaguars last 9 games on grass.  We've seen 51 or fewer combined points in 7 of the 11 games played between these teams this year.  Take the UNDER.

7* MLB Division Series Game of the Year on Chicago White Sox -110

The Key: It's now or never for the Chicago White Sox.  They won Game 3 12-6 to stay alive, and I like their chances of winning Game 4 again today.  The White Sox are 54-28 at home this year.  Chicago is 64-28 in its last 92 games as a home favorite.  Carlos Rodon is the better starter in this matchup.  He is 13-5 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 24 starts this year.  Rodon is 2-0 with a 1.55 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against Houston.  Take Chicago.

7* Colts/Ravens MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore -7

The Key: The Baltimore Ravens always feast on bad teams like the 1-3 Indianapolis Colts.  The Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing record.  They face a Colts team that lost by 12 to the Seahawks and by 9 to the Titans.  Their only win came against the Miami Dolphins with backup QB Jacoby Brissett last week.  I think that win has them getting too much respect from the books here.  The Ravens beat the Broncos 23-7 last week and their offense humming right now, while their defense is as healthy as it has been all season and was a force against the Broncos last week.  Take Baltimore.

7* Jets/Falcons NFL London *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +3.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Jets in this neutral site game in London.  This line should be closer to a PK as there's not much difference between these 2 teams.  Zach Wilson had his best game yet last week in a 27-24 upset of Tennessee.  They have played a tough schedule and now it lightens up a little here against Atlanta.  The Falcons are 1-3 with their only win coming 17-14 over the Giants.  They lost by 26 to the Eagles, by 23 to the Bucs and by 4 to Washington.  Matt Ryan is broken, and their defense is the worse unit here yielding 32.0 PPG and 383.3 YPG.  The Jets only give up 23.5 PPG and 353.8 YPG and have been respectable on that side.  Wilson is only going to get better with each start, and should have his best game yet against this Falcons defense.  Atlanta is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 against teams that force 0.75 turnovers per game or fewer.  Take New York.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah +3

The Key: The Utah Utes are coming off their bye week and have had time to put the distractions and the poor start behind them.  Look for them to put their best foot forward against USC Saturday.  Utah is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off a conference win.  The Utes are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games as road dogs.  Utah is 46-22-2 ATS in its last 70 games as a dog.  The Utes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 October games.  Take Utah.

7* Stanford/Arizona State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Stanford +13.5

The Key: The Arizona State Sun Devils are starting to get too much love after 2 straight blowout wins over Colorado and UCLA.  They are being asked to win this game by at least 14 points and it's too much.  Stanford has been underrated all season.  They have upset wins over both USC and Oregon, which were expected to be the 2 best teams in the Pac-12 coming into the year.  So they have proven what they are capable of.  And they are more than capable of going on the road and hanging with Arizona State and possibly pulling the upset.  The Cardinal are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record.  The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as home favorites.  Take Stanford.

7* Rams/Seahawks NFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle +2.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Seattle Seahawks tonight as home underdogs to the Los Angeles Rams.  Russell Wilson thrives in prime time, and he and the Seahawks will be out for revenge after getting knocked out of the playoffs by the Rams last season.  The Rams have taken a big step back defensively this year in yielding 24.8 PPG and 396.8 YPG.  The Rams are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games after yielding 400 or more total yards in 2 straight games.  Bets against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a terrible defense that yields 360 YPG or more, after gaining 400 or more yards in 2 straight games are 26-5 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Seattle.