Cappers Sports Picks

7* World Series *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -122
The Key: The Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 17-5 in Wilson's last 22 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Cardinals are 1-5 in Carpenter's last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take Texas.

7* World Series *HEAVY HITTER* (FOX) on Rangers -176
The Key: The Rangers are 13-0 in their last 13 games following a loss. We'll back the Rangers at home in this bounce back spot Sunday evening.

6* NFC Game of the Week on Packers -8.5
The Key: I like the the defending Super Bowl champs to win this game by 10 or more as they exploit the inexperience of rookie QB Christian Ponder. GB is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games versus teams with losing records. The Packers are defeating these foes by an average of 15.6 points.

7* 2011 AFC Game of the Year on Chargers -127
The Key: Off a bye, the Chargers are healthy, rested and prepared for the struggling Jets. The way to beat the Chargers is to keep their offense off the field by controlling the clock with a strong running attack. The Jets, who are worst in the NFL with 35.1 percent of their drives ending in three-and-outs, don't figure to have much success running the football today. They rank 31st in the league with only 80.8 yards per game on the ground. We'll take the Chargers on the money line.

6* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Week on Browns -3
The Key: The Seahawks are 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 road games and 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. Can't see them winning on the road today without starting QB Tarvaris Jackson. Bet the Browns.

6* SEC Game of the Week (ESPN2) on Tennessee +30.5
The Key: The Volunteers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or more. They are also are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Alabama.

7* NCAAF Underdog Game of the Month (Big 10 Network) on Northwestern +4
The Key: This is a highly motivated spot for the Wildcats, who are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. The Nittany Lions are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Also, the home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

6* ACC Game of the Week (ESPNU) on NC State +5.5
The Key: Letdown spot for Virginia after a big win over Georgia Tech. Plus, NC State has had a bye week to prepare. NC State is 6-0 ATS all-time under coach O'Brien following a bye week.

6* High Noon *HEAVY HITTER* (Big 10 Network) Indiana +24
The Key: This is a letdown spot for Iowa after a big revenge win over Northwestern. Plus, Indiana typically plays the Hawkeyes tough. The Hoosiers have won or lost by 18 points or less in 10 of the last 11 meetings in this series.

6* High Noon *HEAVY HITTER* (FX) on Missouri +7.5
The Key: The Tigers have won 10 in a row at home, and I like their chances in this one against an Oklahoma State team that ranks 99th in the nation with 426.7 yards allowed per game.

7* Friday Night Lights Game of the Month on Louisville -1.5
The Key: Louisville's defense held the Bearcats in check on the road last week, and it can certainly do a number on a less explosive Rutgers offense at home. The Scarlet Knights are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Lay the points with the home team.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Week (ESPN) on Arizona -4
The Key: Motivated by 5 straight defeats, expect the Wildcats to take out their frustrations on a UCLA team they are 4-0 SU and ATS against the last 4 seasons. In a battle of poor defenses, I'm not hesitating to take the better offensive team on its home field. Dating back to the beginning of the 2009 season, UCLA is 0-8 ATS when matched up against good offenses that average 5.9 or more yards per play. The Bruins have been crushed by these teams by an average of 18.1 points. Take Arizona.

7* 2011 MLB Playoffs Game of the Year (FOX) on Rangers -115
The Key: The Rangers haven't lost consecutive games since late August. They are a perfect 12-0 in their last 12 games following a loss, and I fully expect this trend to continue tonight. Also, Garcia's 1.336 WHIP is reason for concern for the Cards as Texas us 7-0 in its last 7 games versus a starter with a WHIP above 1.30. The Rangers have also won their last 7 in the second game of a series. We'll take the Rangers.

7* World Series *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -119
The Key: The Cardinals have won each of Carpenter's last 4 starts, and they are an unbeaten 10-0 since the beginning of last season in his home starts when valued between +100 and -150. They are winning these contests by an average score of 5.2 to 2.2. Take St. Louis.

7* Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year (ESPN2) on Florida International +3
The Key: The Arkansas State Red Wolves are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less. The Golden Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Already with a conference loss, FIU can't afford to drop this game. The Golden Panthers defeated Arkansas State 31-24 last year, and I like them to get the job done again tonight.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Jets -6.5
The Key: The Dolphins check into this contest at 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Miami is 0-4 on the season and 3 of those losses have come by 10 points or more. It won't get any sympathy from a Jets squad that will be very motivated following 3 straight defeats. The Jets will be further motivated by the fact that Miami won on the road in last season's meeting. Miami is one of the worst defensive teams in the league, ranking 30th with 414.5 yards allowed per game. A Miami offense that ranks 29th in scoring with 17.2 ppg should struggle as well with backup Matt Moore under center. Expect the Jets to show the inexperienced QB a lot of different looks to confuse him. That should result in him making a couple costly mistakes. The Dolphins are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 meetings with the Jets. The Jets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Jets.

6* Sunday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* (NBC) on Vikings +3
The Key: Chicago has had no answer for the run. It is 28th in the league with 135.6 rushing yards allowed per game. That doesn't bode well for them with Adrian Peterson coming to town. He leads the NFC with 498 rushing yards. Minnesota's running game will be the difference here.

7* NFL Underdog Game of the Week on Cowboys +7.5
The Key: The Cowboys are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in the underdog role. With a bye week to prepare and get healthy Dallas will keep this one close.

7* NFL Blowout Game of the Month on Giants -3
The Key: The Giants have struggled the last 2 weeks because they didn't commit to their running game. That will change today. New York is 11-0 ATS under Tom Coughlin after consecutive game with 99 rushing yards or less. The Giants are steamrolling opponents by an average score of 29.3 to 18.7 in this situation. Expect big things from New York's rushing attack in a blowout win.

5* Colts +7
The Key: Indy has played its last 3 opponents close, and I look for this trend to continue. The Bengals are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points.

6* Eagles -1
The Key: The Eagles are the more talented team. That was made obvious when they won 59-28 at Washington last season. If Philly can limit its turnovers, it ends its skid. Look for the Eagles to do just that against a Washington defense that hasn't forced more then 2 turnovers in any game. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

7* Big 12 Game of the Year on Texas Tech -3
The Key: The time to back the Red Raiders is now. They are an impressive 44-17-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a SU loss and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. They are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against the Wildcats. Look for K-State to come back down to earth Saturday.

7* Big Ten Game of the Month on Northwestern +6
The Key: Northwestern has had Iowa's number. The Wildcats have won each of the last 3 and 5 of the last 6 against the Hawkeyes. Iowa's defense ranks 80th in the nation against the pass with 235.4 yards allowed per game. The Hawks aren't getting any push up front and the corners always hang back. This is the perfect scenario for Persa to kill the Hawks with dinks and dunks. The underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The Wildcats are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

6* SEC Game of the Week on Ole Miss +27
The Key: Ole Miss always seems to play Bama tougher than what you'd expect. The Rebels have either won or lost by 21 points or less in each of the last 8 meetings in this series.

7* WAC Game of the Month (ESPN) on Hawaii -5
The Key: Hawaii is 14-5 ATS in all lined games since the beginning of last season. It's 8-1 ATS versus conference opponents during this span and 6-0 ATS versus teams with losing records. Take the Warriors.

7* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -115
The Key: The Cardinals are 11-4 in their last 15 home games and 8-3 in their last 11 games versus the Brewers. The Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games and 1-5 in their last 6 playoff road games. The Cardinals are 11-4 in Garcia's last 15 starts as a home favorite and 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take St. Louis.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Week on USC -3
The Key: USC has won 7 straight over Cal and all 7 of those wins have come by at least 6 points. With a bye week to prepare, I like USC in this one.

6* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -141
The Key: Look for Detroit to bounce back behind their ace. The Tigers are 7-0 in Verlander's last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 7-0 in their last 7 home games overall as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are also 17-5 in their last 22 home games against the Rangers.

7* NLCS Game of the Year on Cardinals -149
The Key: The Brewers are just 4-18 in Gallardo's last 22 starts as an underdog. They are 1-7 in his last 8 starts versus the Cardinals and 1-4 in his 5 career starts in St. Louis. The Cards have won 7 of their last 9 against the Brewers, and they're in good hands with Carpenter, who is 57-24 on the money line in his last 81 home starts. Take the Cards.

7* ALCS Game of the Year on Tigers -138
The Key: The Tigers are 17-5 in their last 22 home games against the Rangers. Also, they are 8-0 in Doug Fister's last 8 starts. In 5 home starts with the Tigers, he's 4-0 (5-0 on the money line) with a 0.98 ERA. Colby Lewis, meanwhile, is 0-1 (0-2 on the money line) with a 15.95 ERA in two starts against the Tigers this season. We'll take Detroit.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Lions -6
The Key: Detroit is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 home games when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. It's winning these games by an average of 14.1 points. Detroit is also 7-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins dating back to last season. It's winning these games by an average of 7.2 points. Chicago is 0-6 ATS after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game under coach Smith. It's losing by an average of 7.9 points in this situation. Lay the number.

6* MLB Playoffs CA$H COW on Cardinals +127
The Key: The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss and 5-0 in Jackson's last 5 starts. The Brewers are 0-5 in Marcum's last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Take St. Louis.

6* Sunday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* (NBC) on Falcons +6.5
The Key: The Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog, and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this matchup.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Year on Eagles -2.5
The Key: Buffalo may have the better record at this point, but that likely won't be the case by season's end. Philly is the more talented side, and it will be eager to end a 3-game skid. The Bills are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 home games in the underdog role.

6* Raiders +5.5
The Key: The Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss, and the Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win.

5* Steelers -3
The Key: The Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss.

5* Jaguars +1.5
The Key: The Bengals are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games when laying any amount of points.

6* Big Ten Game of the Week (ABC) on Ohio State +11.5
The Key: A Nebraska team that can't pass is getting too much respect against an Ohio State team that has been strong defensively. Expect the Buckeyes to keep this one close by forcing Nebraska to pass the football. The Huskers are only 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 home games as a favorite of 10.5 or more points.

5* Colorado +30
The Key: The public is all over the Cardinal. The books knew that would be the case are looking to cash in big. That's why they've spotted the Buffs a couple extra points. Expect Colorado to keep this one within 28 points behind an inspired performance.

5* Texas A&M -9
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back frustrating defeats, expect the high-octane Aggies to take their frustrations out on an inferior Texas Tech squad. The Aggies have wins of 22 and 18 against Tech the last 2 years.

5* Kansas +32
The Key: Off a bye week and looking ahead to Texas, expect the Cowboys to be a little lethargic against a team they defeated easily last season. It won't cost them the win, but it should cost them the cover.

6* Big 12 Game of the Week (ABC) on Missouri -3
The Key: The Tigers are an impressive 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite and have had K-State's number, winning the last 5 in the series.

7* SEC Game of the Year (CBS) on Florida +14.5
The Key: The books have overcompensated for John Brantley's absence with this line, and we'll take full advantage. The Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings at LSU, which is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or more points.

6* ACC Game of the Week on Boston College +21
The Key: The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. BC pulled off the upset over Clemson last year, and I like the Eagles to keep this one easily within the number.

7* Friday Night Lights (ESPN) on Boise State -20.5
The Key: The Bulldogs are 16-34-3 ATS in their last 53 home games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. The Broncos are 28-13-1 ATS in their last 42 games overall, 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or more points. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series and the favorite is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take Boise State.

6* NLDS CA$H COW on Brewers -150
The Key: The Diamondbacks are 15-40 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 1-5 in their last 6 road games overall and 0-4 in their last 4 playoff road games. The Brewers are 49-18 in their last 67 home games, 47-13 in their last 60 games as a home favorite and 20-6 in Gallardo's last 26 home starts. The Brewers have won each of his last 4 starts, and he's 6-0 in his career against the D-backs. Take Milwaukee.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Week (ESPN) on Oregon -24
The Key: The Ducks have had a bye week to prepare for this one and they'll be chomping at the bit to get on the field against a Cal team that gave them a major scare last season. The last time Cal visited in 2009, Oregon handed the Bears a 42-3 beatdown. I'm expecting a similarly dominant performance this evening. Plays on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OREGON) - excellent offensive team (>=6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, are 23-3 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system is winning by an average of 37.4 points. Also, this system is a perfect 11-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the number.

6* ALDS CA$H COW (TBS) on Yankees -159
The Key: The Yankees are 9-2 in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 6-0 in Nova's last 6 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. New York has also won 9 of its last 12 at home against the Tigers. We'll bet the Yankees.

7* NLDS Game of the Year on Brewers -101
The Key: I'm on the Brewers in this bounce back spot as they are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a defeat. Plus, Milwaukee has the edge on the hill. Saunders is 0-2 on the money line in 2 career starts versus Milwaukee with an ERA of 5.68. Wolf is 7-1 in his last 8 starts at Arizona and has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 7 of those starts. Plays on any team (MILWAUKEE) in the 4th game of a playoff series, after having won 3 of their last 4 games, are 40-16 since 1997. This system is a near-perfect 17-1 the last 5 seasons. Take the Brewers.

7* ALDS Game of the Year on Yankees +100
The Key: Great spot for the Yankees, who are 39-19 in their last 59 road games after 2 or more consecutive losses. They're winning by an average score of 5.1 to 3.5 in this spot. Take the Yanks.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Colts +11
The Key: A Colts team that just took the Steelers down to the wire isn't getting enough respect here. The Bucs are just 4-12 ATS in home games under coach Morris. The Colts are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Monday Night Football games and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more. Take the Colts and the points.

6* MLB Playoffs CA$H COW (TBS) on Rangers +124
The Key: The Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Plus, Price is 0-5 lifetime with a 5.48 ERA in 8 career starts versus Texas. Take the Rangers showing good value in the underdog role here.

6* MLB Playoffs CA$H COW on Brewers -158
The Key: The Brewers are 15-0 in Greinke's home starts this season.

7* NFL Underdog Game of the Week on Cardinals +2
The Key: The Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less.

6* Bengals +3
The Key: Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.

7* NFL Blowout Game of the Week on Eagles -9
The Key: The Eagles have won 5 straight over the 49ers by an average of 16.8 points.

6* Cowboys -1
The Key: The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.0 or less.

6* Under the Radar Blowout on Middle Tennessee State -22.5
The Key: Memphis is the worst team in the country, and it won't get any sympathy from a MTSU team it upset last year. MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. poor passing defenses allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or higher over the last 3 seasons. The Blue Raiders are winning by 26.3 on average in this situation. Lay the points.

6* Non-Conference Game of the Week on WVU -18
The Key: The Mountaineers will be chomping at the bit to take out their frustration over last week's loss to LSU on the lowly Falcons. The Falcons are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Arizona +13
The Key: The last 4 meetings between these teams have been decided by 7 points or fewer. Also, the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Really believe the Wildcats are of the same class as USC, which means they'll have an excellent opportunity to win this game.

6* SEC Game of the Week on Kentucky +30.5
The Key: Fading LSU when it is valued as a favorite of 10.5 points or more has produced 17 ATS winners the last 22 times the Tigers have been in this situation.

6* Big Ten Game of the Week (ESPN2) on Northwestern +8.5
The Key: Illinois is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10.0 points and will have a difficult time bringing this negative trend to an end with QB Persa set to return for the Wildcats.

7* Friday Night Lights (ESPN) on Utah State +8
The Key: After 10 consecutive losses to BYU, Utah State broke through with a 31-16 victory in last season's meeting. I'll take the points with the Aggies tonight as they have an excellent chance to make it 2 in a row over their in-state rivals. Utah State is 9-2 ATS all-time as a road underdog under coach Andersen. We'll take the points.

7* Big East *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Pitt +3
The Key: Teams under the watch of coach Graham are a tremendous 7-0 ATS all-time when listed as an underdog of 7.0 points or less at home. These teams are winning by an average score of 35.9 to 27.4. Off back-to-back tough-to-swallow losses, expect Pitt to explode on a USF squad it's defeated 3 straight times.

6* C-USA CA$H COW on UTEP +17
The Key: Fading Houston in this spot has never lost. The Cougars are 0-9 ATS all-time under coach Sumlin when playing on the road following 2 or more consecutive straight up wins. The Cougars are losing by an average score of 41.6 to 34.2 in this situation.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -1.5 -123
The Key: Expect a gem from Lester in this must-win spot and for Boston's bats to do the rest. Boston has won Lester's last 13 starts against the Orioles, and those wins have come by an average of 4.7 runs. Take the Red Sox on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -172
The Key: We missed with the Cards last night as they lost in extras, but I won't hesitate to come right back with them here in this must-win spot against the worst club in the bigs. The Cardinals are 39-16 in their last 55 road games as a favorite of -151 to -200 while the Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 home games as an underdog of +151 to +200. The Astros are 25-61 in their last 86 overall as an underdog of +151 to +200.

7* MNF Game of the Month on Cowboys -3
The Key: The Cowboys have won 4 of the last 5 in this series. Dating back to 1992, they have won 25 of 38 against Washington, including 16 of 19 at home. It's also worth noting that the Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday Night games. The Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record. We'll confidently lay the points with Dallas.

6* MLB CA$H COW on Cardinals -133
The Key: Just 1 game back in the NL wild card race, the Cards can almost taste the postseason. Expect them to rise to the occasion against the MLB-worst Astros. The Cards have won 14 of their last 18 games, and they are 4-0 in Garcia's last 4 starts. The Cardinals are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in this series and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. Take St. Louis.

6* NFC championship rematch on Bears +4.5
The Key: The value is clearly with the Bears catching more than a field goal at home in this revenge spot. They are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after being held to less than 15 points in their previous game. Expect Chicago to bounce back strong against a Green Bay team it defeated at home in last year's regular season.

6* Ravens -5
The Key: The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

6* Dolphins +3
The Key: The Dolphins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog and 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 3.0 points or less.

7* NFL Underdog Game of the Month on Vikings +3.5
The Key: Detroit is 0-8 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992, losing these games by an average of 13.5 points. Plus, Minne has won 13 straight at home in this series. Take the Vikes and the points.

6* Pac-12 Power Play (ESPN2) on Arizona +16.5
The Key: The Wildcats are on a 6-0 ATS run at home when catching 10.5 points or more.

6* Pac-12 Power Play (ESPN) on Arizona State -2.5
The Key: Look for the Trojans to struggle in their first road game of the year against an ASU squad that will be hungry to avenge last year's 1-point loss at USC. The Sun Devils are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.

6* Big 12 Game of the Week (ABC) on Texas A&M -4
The Key: Oklahoma State is just 7-25 ATS in its last 32 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 points. Expect the Aggies to avenge last year's heartbreaking defeat in Stillwater.

7* NCAAF Blowout Game of the Month (ABC) on Notre Dame -7
The Key: Even with Notre Dame coming to town, it will be tough for Pitt to recover from last week's crushing loss at Iowa in which it blew a 21-point lead. The Irish are playing with momentum for the first time this season following last week's blowout win over Michigan State. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NOTRE DAME) off a home win by 17 points or more, with a losing record, are 35-11 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average of 14.4 points.

6* Friday Night Lights (ESPN) on BYU pk
The Key: The Cougars are 9-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) under Coach Mendenhall. They're defeating these teams by an average of 7.7 points. Also, UCF's coach O'Leary is 0-7 ATS in road games against teams who commit 2.75 or more turnovers/game on the season since 1992. His teams are losing by an average of 14.3 points in these contests. Take BYU.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on NC State +8
The Key: The Wolfpack are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games as an underdog and 27-10-1 ATS in their last 38 games as a road underdog. NC ST is also 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. It's only losing these contests by an average of 2.9 points. We'll take the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -127
The Key: We'll fade the Yanks this evening as they are susceptible to a letdown following a big division-clinching victory. The Rays, meanwhile, have every reason to win every game down the stretch as they try to win the AL wild card. The Rays are 22-8 in their last 30 games as a favorite, 7-3 in their last 10 games as a road favorite and 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take Tampa.

7* AL Blowout Game of the Month on Red Sox -1.5 -140
The Key: Every game is a must win for the Red Sox with Tampa Bay hot on their tail. Expect Beckett to shut down the O's tonight and for the Boston offense to do the rest. Beckett is 6-1 (11-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.30 at home. Baltimore's Hunter is carrying an ERA of 5.54 on the road and has an 8.30 ERA against Boston. He's also very susceptible to the long ball. That bodes well for us as Bean Town is 23-6 since the beginning of last season vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 1 or more HR's/start. The Red Sox are winning in this situation by an average score of 6.4 to 3.9. Bet Boston on the run line.

7* National League Game of the Month on Cardinals -172
The Key: Pelfrey has been a green light fade on the road where he's 4-8 (6-11 on the money line) with an ERA of 5.28. The Mets are only 2-13 this season in his starts against teams with a winning record. The Mets are also 0-7 in Pelfrey's last 7 starts when he's working on 5 days' rest. The Cards have won 10 of 12 overall and 4 of Jackson's last 5 starts. We'll pound St. Louis.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Rams/Giants UNDER 45.5
The Key: Rams will have trouble getting anything done offensively tonight because of key injuries. Not having running back Steven Jackson in the backfield will especially hurt. While the offense struggles, the defense should be good enough to make the Giants work for their points. Steve Spagnuolo, who coached the Giants' defense when they won the Super Bowl in 2007, knows all of Eli Manning's tendencies extremely well. St. Louis is 10-2 UNDER in its last 12 road games against NFC foes. We've seen just 32.6 points scored on average in this situation. Pound the under.

6* MLB CA$H COW on Brewers -141
The Key: The Brewers are 4-0 in Narveson's last 4 road starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 8-0 in his last 8 starts vs. the National League Central and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the Cubs. The Cubs are 0-8 in Coleman's last 8 starts, 0-7 in his last 7 starts as an underdog, 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League Central and 0-4 in his last 4 home starts. The Brewers are also 6-0 in their last 6 against the Cubs.

6* Sunday Night Football CA$H COW (NBC) on Falcons +3
The Key: The Falcons will be ready to go at home tonight after laying an egg on the road last week. I'll gladly take them catching a field goal here considering they have won 20 of their last 24 regular season home games. Take the points.

6* AFC Game of the Week on Chargers +7
The Key: The Chargers are far too deadly a dog to pass them up at this price. They are 22-6-3 ATS in their last 31 games as an underdog and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series. Take the points.

7* NFC Game of the Month on Cowboys -3
The Key: The 49ers are a miserable 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of a field goal or less. Lay the number.

6* Non-Conference Game of the Week on Chiefs +9
The Key: KC is an impressive 21-6 ATS in its last 27 road games after a loss by 10 or more. It's winning by an average score of 22.5 to 21.7 in this situation. Take the points.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week (NBC) on Notre Dame -4.5
The Key: Notre Dame would be 2-0 if it weren't for 10 turnovers in their first 2 games. Instead, the Irish are 0-2, and I expect their disappointing start to fuel them Saturday. Don't expect a Michigan State squad which has opened with a pair of patsies to be ready for the level of talent and intensity it will see in this one. Sparty is 3-9 ATS in its 12 in the underdog role and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 on the road when catching 3.5 to 10.0 points. Lay the number.

6* Afternoon CA$H COW (ABC/ESPN) on Nebraska -17
The Key: This is a game Nebraska has had circled since losing to the Huskies in the Holiday Bowl last season. Expect Nebraska to have its revenge here. The Huskies are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or more. Lay the points.

5* Georgia Tech -14.5
The Key: This is a big revenge spot for Georgia Tech which was stunned at Kansas last year. Plays against any team (KANSAS) after allowing 37 points or more last game against an opponent after 2 straight wins by 28 or more points, are a perfect 10-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.

6* Early CA$H COW (ABC) on Clemson -3
The Key: After back-to-back thrilling home wins, look for Auburn, which lost nearly all of its starters from last year's BCS championship team, to get smacked in its first road game against a hungry Clemson squad. Clemson has not forgotten last year's overtime loss to Cam Newton and company. That defeat is all the motivation the Tigers need here.

6* Early CA$H COW (ESPN2) on Iowa -3
The Key: Under coach Ferentz, Iowa is an incredible 25-10 ATS off a road loss. It's winning by an average of 4.9 points in this situation. We'll lay the field goal with the Hawkeyes.

6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on Toledo +21
The Key: Toledo gained a lot of confidence last week by giving Ohio State all it wanted and more. Plus, it will be lacking no motivation against a Boise State team that won last year's meeting by 43 at Boise. Toledo is 44-26 ATS in its last 70 home lined games and 12-3 ATS in its last 15 home games in the first month of the season. We'll take the points.

7* Friday Night Lights (ESPN2) on Connecticut -4
The Key: This is huge letdown spot for Iowa State following such an emotional upset win over in-state rival Iowa. The Cyclones are only 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. Lay the points.

6* MLB CA$H COW on Red Sox -138
The Key: The Rays are 33-70 in the last 103 meetings in Boston and 1-8 in Shields' last 9 road starts vs. the Red Sox. The Red Sox are 6-2 in Beckett's last 8 home starts vs. the Rays. Take Bean Town.

6* MLB Underdog of the Week on A's +107
The Key: The Tigers are due for a major letdown following Wednesday's improbable comeback victory. The A's are in good hands with McCarthy. They are 8-3 in his last 11 starts and 5-1 in his last 6 home starts. Scherzer has struggled on the road all season (5.09 ERA) and the Tigers are 0-4 in his last 4 starts when he pitches on 4 days' rest. Take the A's.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Mississippi State +4.5
The Key: The last time these two met in Starkville, Mississippi State played the Tigers to a 4-point game. Despite 5 turnovers, the Bulldogs had a chance to win in the final minutes but LSU came up with a goal line stand. That loss gives the Bulldogs a whole bunch of confidence and motivation tonight. The Tigers are so often overvalued, especially in SEC play where they are 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 conference games. Look for the Bulldogs to pull off the upset tonight.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -139
The Key: The Rays have been getting it done with Davis on the mound. They've won 7 of his last 8 and 11 of his last 14 starts. Also, the Rays are an impressive 13-3 this season when Davis gets the ball against a club with a losing record. We'll back the Rays.

7* 2011 American League Game of the Year on Red Sox -138
The Key: Back home following a 7-game trip with Tampa Bay breathing down its neck, expect Boston to bring its 5-game losing streak to an end tonight. The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Boston. The Red Sox are 37-14 in Wakefield's last 51 starts as a home favorite. We'll pound Bean Town.