Cappers Sports Picks

7* NFLX Game of the Year on Jets -1
The Key: I love the Jets tonight. This team, which made the AFC championship in the 2009 and 2010 seasons, is out to prove its still a force to be reckoned with following a mediocre 8-8 campaign. I'm confident it is. New York has ranked in the top 5 in total defense each of the past 3 seasons, and I love this year's unit. It has the potential to be better than any of the previous 3 units. Carolina won't be able to stretch the field the same way tonight without Steve Smith, who is expected to miss with a foot infection, and I don't see the Panthers running all over a New York "D" that is allowing just 2.29 yards per carry this preseason. The Panthers are just 15-32 ATS in their last 47 preseason games against the AFC, losing those by an average of 5.4 points. Take New York.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -159
The Key: The Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4, and they've lost the first 2 games of this series by 7 and 6 runs, respectively. The Marlins are also 0-4 in Buehrle's last 4 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Fish have lost 8 of his 12 road starts on the season so he clearly isn't winning pitching duels away from home. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the NL East and 5-0 in their last 5 Sunday games. LA has won 5 of its last 6 vs. Miami, and it should continue its dominance here.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Raiders +3
The Key: The Raiders are 2-0 SU and ATS in their last 2 preseason games versus Detroit. The Raiders are 0-2 this preseason but have outgained each of their first two opponents. That's a very good sign. The Lions should not be laying points on the road to a team that has been pretty solid the past two seasons. Playing against favorites that allowed 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game that are up against an opponent that gained 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in 2 straight games has produced a 30-12 ATS record in the preseason since 1993. Take the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -103
The Key: The Brewers won yesterday, but I'm not hesitating in fading them today. They are still only 17-38 in their last 55 road games, 4-13 in their last 17 games as an underdog and 0-7 in their last 7 Saturday games. Plus, I'm expecting Marcum to struggle as he makes his first start in over 2 months. The Brewers are 5-12 in Marcum's last 17 starts and 1-5 in his last 6 road starts. He'll likely be on a pitch count, which means the Pirates will get to see plenty of a bullpen that carries a high 4.76 ERA. Lastly, the Pirates are a perfect 5-0 in Karstens' starts vs. the National League Central this season, and he has a lights out 2.53 ERA in these games.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Vikings -3
The Key: San Diego has won its first 2 preseason games both SU and ATS, but I'm confident it goes down tonight. The Vikings are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 home preseason games versus the Chargers. This is a trend that dates back to 1996. This game means more to a Minnesota team that is trying to turn things around following a 3-13 season. Ponder has looked good, and I like the depth behind him with Webb and Rosenfels. The Chargers know what they have in Rivers. Plus injuries to Vincent Brown and Ryan Matthews will force the Chargers to tread cautiously the rest of the preseason. Take Minnesota.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cubs -155
The Key: Colorado has been playing better baseball lately, but it can't be trusted on the road with the southpaw Drew Pomeranz on the mound. The Rockies are 0-4 in Pomeranz's last 4 starts vs. the National League Central and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Plus, the Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. In addition, the Cubs are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record, 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite, 7-3 in Samardzija's 10 home starts this season and 20-8 in their last 28 home games against the Rockies. Take the Cubbies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Phillies -110
The Key: Plain and simple, Cole Hamels has absolutely owned the Reds. He have never lost to them, going 10-0 on the money line in 10 career starts with an ERA of only 1.26. Johnny Cueto hasn't enjoyed as much success against the Phillies. He's 2-4 on the money line in 6 career starts against them with an ERA of 5.08. Bet Philly.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Packers -3
The Key: Playing against home teams that have a winning record in the preseason when the line is +3 to -3 has produced a 42-17 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. This system has already produced a 4-1 ATS mark this preseason. Expect this extremely profitable system to hold up as the Packers improve to 5-2 in Week 3 of the preseason under coach Mike McCarthy and the Bengals fall to 2-8 in Week 3 of the preseason under Marvin Lewis. Lay the number.

7* NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -110
The Key: The Braves are 15-0 in Medlen's last 15 starts, 11-0 in his last 11 starts as a favorite, 7-0 in his last 7 road starts, 8-0 in his last 8 starts vs. the National League East, 7-0 in his last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 6-0 in his last 6 starts on 5 days' rest. Bet the Braves.

6* AL *CA$H COW* on Angels -122
The Key: Weaver was hit hard his last time out, but the chances of it happening again tonight are slim to none. Consider that the Angels are 8-0 in Weaver's last 8 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance and 7-0 in his last 7 road starts. Plus, the Angels are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Halos.

7* NL West Game of the Month on Dodgers -113
The Key: I'm fading the Giants with Lincecum on the mound. The Giants are 9-22 in Lincecum's last 31 starts and 4-11 in his last 15 road starts. They are 2-12 in his starts when the money line is +125 to -125 this season and 3-12 in his starts following a win this season. San Francisco is even 3-10 in Lincecum's last 13 starts vs. the National League West, 2-9 in his last 11 starts as an underdog, 1-6 in hi last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 in his last 5 starts vs. the Dodgers. Bet LA.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -160
The Key: The Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 overall, 0-4 in their last 4 road games and 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. They are even 0-8 in Duensing's last 8 starts when the total is set at 7.0-8.5, 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and 3-0 in McCarthy's last 3 home starts. McCarthy has an ERA of only 1.62 at home while Duensing has an ERA of 5.31 on the road. Bet Oakland.

7* Monday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* on Eagles +1.5
The Key: Plays against home teams with a line of +3 to -3 that have a winning record in the preseason are an incredible 41-17 ATS the last 5 seasons. That's a 70.7% win rate. It's also worth mentioning that this system is 3-1 ATS already this season. Expect this system to continue to cash tickets as the Eagles will be playing their starters significant minutes tonight while the Patriots will be placing more of an emphasis on evaluating the depth charts. Because the Eagles play their Week 1 opponent - the Browns - next week, they will be using this game as their regular-season tune-up. Teams usually don't play their starters an entire half until the third week of the preseason, but it makes sense for the Eagles to do it here as they won't want to give anything away to Cleveland Friday. Bet Philadelphia.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Steelers -3.5
The Key: Plays on home teams in the preseason that are coming off a road loss and are matched up against a conference opponent are 29-10 ATS the last 10 seasons. These teams have been favored by an average of 3.4 points and have won by an average of 11.1 points. Lay the points.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Marlins -124
The Key: Josh Johnson has never lost to the Rockies. He's 2-0 (4-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.26 against them. It's also worth noting that Colorado's Drew Pomeranz is 0-7 this season when the money line is +125 to -125. The Rockies have lost by an average score of 6.1 to 2.9 in this situation. Bet Miami.

7* NFLX Underdog Game of the Year on Rams +1
The Key: The Rams lost last week on the road and the Chiefs won at home, but Kansas City should not be favored on the road this week. We're talking about a team that is just 5-25-1 ATS in its last 31 NFL preseason contests. Plus, the Rams 2-0 SU and ATS in their last 2 preseason games against the Chiefs and 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 home preseason games against the Chiefs. Last week's embarrassing loss cannot be sitting well with Jeff Fisher, who was 28-17 SU in the preseason since 2000 entering that game. Fisher is clearly a proponent of winning in the preseason, and I expect his troops to take care of business Saturday.

7* American League Game of the Month on White Sox -143
The Key: The White Sox went down yesterday, but they are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. They are also a reliable 37-18 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Chicago has had plenty of success against left-handed starters lately, and I expect that success to continue with KC bringing Bruce Chen (5.56 ERA) to the mound. The White Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter and 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Royals are 1-5 in Chen's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Jake Peavy, a former Cy Young with a 3.04 ERA, is the far better investment. Bet Chicago.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -165
The Key: After getting shut out Thursday, there's no one the Angels would rather hand the ball to than ace Jered Weaver. In fact, they are 8-0 in Weaver's last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. They are also a perfect 7-0 in Weaver's last 7 starts vs. the tough American League East. It's also worth mentioning that the Rays are just 1-10 in Shields' last 11 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200. Take LAA.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Vikings -2.5
The Key: As an NFL head coach, Chan Gailey is 0-8 ATS all-time in preseason road games. His teams haven't just lost these games, they've lost them by an average of 13.5 points. Buffalo is expected to focus on its running game tonight, and that plays to Minnesota's defensive strength. Its run defense finished 11th in the NFL last season while its pass defense ranked 26th. With Minnesota's starters expected to play into the second quarter. I expect them to set the tone early and for the backups to feed off the momentum. Lay the number.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Browns +3
The Key: The Browns are a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS in the preseason versus the Packers the last two years. They won 27-24 in Green Bay as a 3-point dog in 2010 and 27-17 at home as a 2.5-point favorite last year. The Browns clearly put a bigger emphasis on the preseason than Green Bay, which has to be careful because it has been dealt a bad hand in terms of injuries so far this season. Cleveland is expected to give its starters extended minutes tonight instead of waiting until Week 3 because next week's opponent - the Eagles - is its Week 1 foe. Bet the Browns.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -1.5 +111
The Key: I'm going to continue to ride the Braves with Kris Medlen on the mound. They are a perfect 14-0 in his last 14 starts and have won those by an average of 3.2 runs. They have won each of his last 7 starts by at least 2 runs. Bet the Braves on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -161
The Key: I'm sticking with the Braves today. They have won 25 of their last 35, and I love the chances with Maholm on the mound. He is 7-1 on the money line in his last 8 starts and has allowed 1 run or none in each of those 7 victories. Volquez has had a decent season, but he has been roughed up lately (13.50 ERA last 3 starts). Consider that plays against all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN DIEGO) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) - and provided their starting pitcher (Volquez) gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, are 74-19 the last 5 seasons. This system has produced an 18-6 record already this season. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -163
The Key: The Padres can't be trusted with Richard on the hill outside pitcher-friendly Petco. The Padres have lost 10 of his 13 road starts this season, and they are 0-6 in his last 6 road starts versus a team with a winning record. Plus, the Braves have never lost to Richard, who is 0-4 lifetime with an ERA of 7.36 in 4 career starts against them. Also, the Braves 7-0 Hudson

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -115
The Key: The Giants have the advantage at home tonight with Vogelsong on the hill. They are 9-0 in Vogelsong's last 9 starts as a favorite, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a home favorite, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 7-0 in his last 7 series-opening starts. The Nats have lost 9 of their last 12 in San Francisco and should fall again here as Vogelsong outduels Gonzalez.

6* NFLX *CA$H COW* on Raiders -1
The Key: When the total reached 35.5, I jumped on the Raiders as Dallas is just 15-37 ATS in its last 52 preseason games when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. The Cowboys are the walking wounded at the moment as they are expected to be without at least six projected starters (Miles Austin, Morris Claiborne, Jay Ratliff, Jason Hatcher, Anthony Spencer and center Phil Costa. Dez Bryant is a game-time decision. Because of all of these injuries, I don't expect the Dallas first-teams to see much action at all. Advantage Oakland.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -113
The Key: Washington rallied to win yesterday thanks to two Arizona errors and a wild pitch in the 5th, but I expect its luck to run out here. The Diamondbacks are 14-6 in their last 20 games vs. a left-handed starter and 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Nationals are 5-14 in Detwiler's last 19 starts as a road underdog and 1-11 in his last 12 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The total is high given Detwiler's 2.99 as it reflects Arizona's ability to hit lefties well (4.8 runs/game, 0.264 average against southpaw starters this season). The fact the D-backs are favored against one of the hottest teams in the league and the team with the best overall record tells us the odds makers are expecting them to win. I couldn't agree more with their assessment today. Take Arizona.

6* NFLX *CA$H COW* on Rams +1.5
The Key: Jeff Fisher vs. Chuck Pagano - advantage Fisher. Rams QB depth (Sam Bradford, Kellen Clemens, Austin Davis, Tom Brandstater) vs. Colts QB depth (Andrew Luck, Drew Stanton, Chandler Harnish) - advantage St. Louis. The Rams also have the better overall team depth, especially on defense. 60% of Indy's 90-man roster is new faces so this team has plenty of jelling to do. The Colts will have to jump on the Rams early when Luck is in the game to have a shot because St. Louis' QBs should far outshine Indy's in the second half. Take the Rams.

6* NFLX Bailout on Titans +3
The Key: The Titans are an impressive 17-6 ATS in their last 23 NFL exhibition games in the road underdog role. They went 3-1 in the preseason last year under first year head man Mike Munchak, and that success carried over to the regular season as they posted a 9-7 record after consecutive non-winning campaign. Munchak has placed an emphasis on winning in the preseason again, and it starts tonight. Take the points as the Titans have an excellent chance to win this one outright

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on D-backs -130
The Key: By installing the Nationals, who have the best record in baseball, as this large of an underdog, the books are clearly looking to trap the public. We're not falling for it and here's why. The D-backs are 9-3 in Miley's last 12 home starts, 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a home favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Also, keep in mind the Nationals are 3-7 in their last 10 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Braves -103
The Key: I expect the Braves, who are 23-8 in their last 31 overall, to stay hot against a New York club they have defeated 6 straight times. The Braves are 15-1 in Medlen's last 16 starts and 6-0 in his last 6 road starts. The Mets are 1-10 in their last 11 home games, 1-4 in Santana's last 5 starts and 4-9 in his last 13 starts vs. the Braves.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -1.5 +121
The Key: Pittsburgh is 10-0 in Burnett's home starts this season (2.6-run average winning margin in these games), 8-0 in his starts vs. poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season (3.6-run avg winning margin in these games), 10-0 in his starts versus NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game this season. (3.1-run avg margin or victory in these games) and 9-0 in his starts as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (3.0-run avg margin of victory in these games). Take the Bucs on the run line as they win by 2-plus behind another outstanding outing from Burnett.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on White Sox -115
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats and having had a day off to regroup, expect the White Sox to bring their "A" game tonight. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day and 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. I also like the fact that the White Sox are 4-1 in Floyd's last 5 starts as a favorite. Oakland's McCarthy hasn't made a start since June 19, and I'm expecting to see some rust. Take the South Siders.

7* NFLX Game of the Week on Jaguars -2
The Key: The Jags are favored for a reason against the defending Super Bowl champs. New York basically just needs to evaluate its depth and get to the preseason while the Jaguars have plenty to prove under a new head coach. The Giants really haven't put much stock in the preseason either as they are just 8-12 SU (7-10-3 ATS) the last 5 years. A win over the reigning champs, even in the preseason, would do a lot for the confidence of Jacksonville. I like its chances as its starters are expected to go deeper than New York's in this one.

7* National League Game of the Year on Reds -155
The Key: The Reds will be extremely motivated and focused after losing all 3 in Milwaukee. They are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400 and should have no promblem furthering this streak against the Cubs, who are 0-8 in their last 8 games. The Cubs are also 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. They have struggled against the righty they'll see tonight (Leake). Lastly, Chicago's scheduled starter (Volstad) is 0-12 on the money line in his last 12 starts. We'll take Cincinnati.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Patriots -3
The Key: The Patriots, who are an impressive 8-1-3 ATS in their last 12 preseason contests, have the edge tonight against a Saints team that will be taking the field on short rest. New England has had more time to prepare for the Saints, and that should show on the field tonight.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Angels -130
The Key: The Angels have won 5 of their last 7 in Oakland, and I like their chances here with Greinke on the mound. He's 9-4 with a 3.61 ERA on the season, and he'll be very focused following a rough outing his last time out. Greinke has also had some success against the A's with a 5-1 record and 3.09 ERA in 9 career starts. Greinke is 32-10 on the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take the Angels.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -140
The Key: The Reds are 3-0 in Latos' last 3 starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 1.77. They are also 7-0 in his last 7 starts against NL Central opponents. The Brewers are 0-3 in Wolf's last 3 starts, during which he has posted a 5.40 ERA. They are also 0-6 in his last 6 Wednesday starts and 0-8 in his last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. It should also be mentioned that Cincy is 6-0 in its last 6 games vs. a southpaw starter.

6* MLB Bailout on Angels -133
The Key: I'm a big believer in the Angels. This team is loaded with talent, and it's showing value at this price with C.J. Wilson on the rubber. The Angels are 6-0 in Wilson's last 6 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150, and he is 3-0 on the money line in his last 3 starts in Oakland. He has shut the A's down in those 3 starts, allowing them only 3 runs in 20 innings. The Angels have won 5 of their last 6 in Oakland. Bet LAA.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Reds -101
The Key: The Reds are a bargain at this price considering they have won 22 of their last 27 overall and 9 of their last 10 away from home. They are 22-7 in Johnny Cueto's last 29 starts and 6-1 in his last 7 starts versus the Brew Crew. They have won 6 of their last 8 against Milwaukee, and I expect them to avenge yesterday's loss.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER on Pirates -116
The Key: The Pirates are a steal at this price, especially with Karstens on the hill. They are 3-0 in his last 3 starts (allowed 1 run or none in 2 of those), 3-0 in his home starts (0.43 ERA in those) and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite (1 or no runs allowed in 3 of those). The Pirates have won 6 of their last 7 at home versus Arizona, and I like them here.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -145
The Key: Simply put, I'm riding the hot hand of Jered Weaver here. The Halos' ace is 11-0 on the money line in his last 11 starts with LA winning those by an average of 4.4 runs per game. Weaver hasn't given up more than 2 earned runs in any of his last 7 starts against the A's, and I expect nothing short of another dominant performance tonight.

6* ESPN Monday Night Baseball *CA$H COW* on Tigers -163
The Key: Verlander is a perfect 12-0 on the money line at home since the start of the 2010 season when pitching against good teams that carry a win percentage of 54-62%. The Tigers have won these games by an average score of 5.3 to 2.0. The Tigers are rolling at home (8 straight home wins), and I expect them to keep rolling behind their ace.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona Cardinals +3
The Key: The Saints are being overvalued here. We're talking about a team that has been through a whole heck-of-a-lot this offseason in terms of the bounty scandal. This is a franchise that still has plenty to figure out on the field in terms of personnel and learning systems. With Drew Brees and the first-team offense slated for light work, we'll see mostly journeyman Luke McCown and 2011 practice-squad member Sean Canfield. For the Cards, John Skelton and Kevin Kolb, who are in the midst of a QB battle, are expected to get plenty of snaps. I'll get behind two capable starters against a pair of backups any day. Take the points.

6* ESPN Sunday Night Baseball *CASH COW* on Cardinals -157
The Key: The Brewers are 0-4 in Estrada's last 4 road starts while the Cardinals are 4-0 in Lohse's last 4 home starts. The Brewers are also 0-6 in Estrada's last 6 starts as an underdog and 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Cards are the better team with the better pitcher on the mound and they're at home. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -1.5 -104
The Key: The Astros are 0-10 in Bud Norris' last 10 starts. They have lost these by an average of 2.8 runs. The Braves, on the other hand, are 12-0 in Kris Medlen's last 12 starts. They have won these by 3.1 runs on average. With this in mind, and the fact that Atlanta has won 9 of its last 11 while Houston has lost 29 of its last 33, I love our chances of covering the run line with the Braves.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 -120
The Key: Chris Volstad's clubs are 0-11 in his last 11 starts and have lost these games by an average of 3.6 runs. I don't see anyway he outduels Kershaw here. The LA ace has shut down Chicago each of the last two times he's faced the Cubs. Take LA on the run line.

6* Red Sox -1.5 +104
The Key: The Red Sox get the call on the run line because of how solid Buchholz has been. The Sox have won 7 of his last 8 starts, and he has held opponents to 2 runs or fewer in 6 of those. Those 7 wins have come by an average of 3.1 runs.

6* Nationals -1.5 +132
The Key: I like the Nats on the run line here because of the way Zimmerman is dealing. He has given up 3 earned runs or less in 11 straight starts and has allowed 1 earned run or none in his last 7 starts. That's consistency we can count on. Washington has won his last 4 starts, taking three of those by at least 3 runs. Buehrle has been a solid pitcher for a lot of years, but he clearly already pitched his best baseball.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -148
The Key: I love the Giants with Vogelsong on the hill. San Francisco is 6-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 series-opening starts, 8-0 in his last 8 starts as a favorite, 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his 5 career starts vs. the Rockies. The Giants are also 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. The struggling Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Bet San Francisco on the money line.

6* MLB Run Line Play of the Day on Braves -1.5 -125
The Key: The Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus Houston, winning those contests by an average of 4.0 runs. Plus, Hudson is 5-0 on the money line in his last 5 starts with the Braves winning those by an average of 2.6 runs. Hudson is also 4-0 in his last 4 starts against Houston with the Braves winning those by an average of 5.5 runs. Houston scheduled starter Galarraga, meanwhile, is 0-6 on the money line in his last 6 starts with his teams losing them by an average of 2.2 runs. Grab Atlanta on the run line.

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Year on Braves -1.5 +120
The Key: Atlanta is 11-2 against teams with a losing record in the second half of the season this season, defeating them by an average score of 5.0 to 2.0. It is 7-1 in its last 8 overall with 5 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more. It is also 8-2 in its last 10 games versus Miami with those 8 wins coming by an average of 5.5 runs. The Marlins are 1-7 in their last 8 road games with 6 of those losses coming by at least 6 runs. Bet the Braves on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -121
The Key: I'll grab the A's in this bounce back spot as they are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss, 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game and 7-0 in their last 7 Wednesday games. They also have the advantage on the mound with Parker (3.37 ERA). They are 3-0 his last 3 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts in the third game of a series and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the American League East. Tampa's Cobb (4.93 ERA), meanwhile, is 0-3 in his last 3 starts. Also, the Rays are 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. the American League West. Bet Oakland.

6* MLB Bailout on Dodgers -113
The Key: I like the Dodgers in this battle of quality lefty starters because of how sharp Capuano has been at home and because of how well LA has hit southpaws lately. The Dodgers have won 7 of Cap's 10 home starts this season, during which he has posted an ERA of 1.64. The Dodgers are also 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter, winning those games by an average of 3.7 runs. Bet LA.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on White Sox -135
The Key: This is a good situation for Liriano to make his first start for his new team in a park he's very familiar with. It's been a tough season for the southpaw (5.34 ERA), but he's been sharper than Blackburn (7.99 ERA). The White Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 games as a favorite while the Twins are 19-40 in their last 59 games as a home underdog. The White Sox are also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Minnesota. Bet Chicago.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -122
The Key: As much as this is a play on Verlander, it's a play against Beckett. The Red Sox are 0-4 in Beckett's last 4 home starts, losing those by an average of 3.0 runs. He has given up a total of 11 runs in his last 2 home starts. Also, the Red Sox are 0-3 in his last 3 starts vs. Detroit, losing those by an average of 5.7 runs. Bet Detroit.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -140
The Key: The Rangers get the nod tonight as the numbers are heavily in their favor. The Angels are 0-5 in Santana

6* Sunday Night Baseball *CA$H COW* on Yankees -1.5 +116
The Key: I like the Yankees on the run line tonight as I fully expect a gem from Kuroda. The Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter and have lost those by an average of 5.8 runs. The Yankees are 6-0 in Kuroda's last 6 starts and have won those by an average of 3.7 runs. Boston won yesterday but has dropped 8 of its last 10 following a victory. Take the Yanks on the run line.

7* MLB Underdog Game of the Week on Giants +107
The Key: The Giants are showing tremendous value at home in the underdog role with Vogelsong on the bump. The Giants are 8-0 in Vogelsong's last 8 home starts, 8-0 in his last 8 starts vs. the National League West, 8-0 in his last 8 starts after giving up 1 or fewer earned runs in his last and 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 0-4 in Kershaw's last 4 road starts and 0-2 in starts versus the Giants this season. Lastly, the Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -122
The Key: The Nationals, who are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite, have the edge on the rubber with Zimmerman (2.31 ERA). The Nationals are 6-0 in Zimmermann

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -130
The Key: The White Sox will have their hands full with Darvish, who they haven't seen. The right-hander averages 10.24 strikeouts per nine innings (third in the majors). The Rangers are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. (7-1 in 8 home starts this season). Also, plays on home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TEXAS) - a team with a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start and scores 4.7 to 5.2 runs/game against an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or lower are 48-8 the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 4-0 this season. Lastly, the White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games, 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog, 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Texas.

7* National League Game of the Month on Brewers -122
The Key: Washington has held its foes to just 2 runs in each game during its 5-game winning streak, but it is 0-8 after giving up 3 runs or less in 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Also, the Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 games at Milwaukee (6-21 in their last 27 there) and 0-6 in Edwin Jackson's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. In addition to this 20-0 angle, we find that Milwaukee is 11-1 in Yovani Gallardo's last 12 home starts versus teams with a winning record. Expect the Beermakers to continue their home dominance over the Nats behind Gallardo.

7* MLB Day Game of the Year on Angels -1.5 -107
The Key: The Royals won yesterday, but they are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win, losing these games by an average of 3.0 runs. The Angels are 9-0 in Weaver's last 9 starts, winning these games by an average of 4.3 runs. They are also 8-0 in his home starts this season, winning these by an average of 4.8 runs. Lastly, the Halos are 5-0 in Weaver's last 5 starts versus the Royals, winning these by an average of 2.0 runs. Take the Angels on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -162
The Key: The Angels are worth the price Tuesday night as they are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite, 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter (Angels have won 12 of their last 13 overall vs. lefty starters) and 4-0 in Richards' last 4 home starts (each of those 4 wins have come by at least 2 runs). The Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games and 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. They are also 0-2 in Smith's last 2 starts. Take LA.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -152
The Key: After losing the first 3 games of this series, I fully expect Cleveland to salvage a game tonight with Masterson on the mound. The right-hander is a perfect 3-0 versus Baltimore since the beginning of last season. Each of those wins came by at least 4 runs. Plus, he only gave up a total of 6 earned runs in 20 innings while striking out 18 and walking just 2 in those outings. The Indians are 5-2 in Masterson's last 7 starts and 32-14 in their last 46 home games versus the O's. Take the Tribe.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -1.5 -105
The Key: We missed with the Yankees Saturday as they endured a 3rd straight 1-run defeat. I'm not hesitating to come back with them here with ace CC Sabathia on the hill. The Yanks are 4-0 in his last 4 starts, winning those by an average of 3.0 runs. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 road starts, winning those by an average of 3.8 runs. It is also worth noting that he is 7-2 on the money line in his last 7 starts versus the A's. Oakland's Bartolo Colon is 1-6 with an ERA of 5.08 in 9 home starts this season. His teams are 0-3 in his last 3 starts against the Yankees, losing those by an average of 7.0 runs. Take New York on the run line.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Yankees -122
The Key: After enduring a pair of tough 1-run losses in the first 2 games of the series, I expect the Yankees to bounce back strong tonight. They are 4-0 all-time in Hughes' starts versus the A's, and he delivered a gem in his only start in Oakland, giving up just 1 run on 1 hit while striking out 10 and walking 2 in 7 1-3 innings of a 3-1 victory. The Yankees are an awesome 44-15 in their last 59 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. They are also 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Oakland. Take the Yanks!

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -143
The Key: Ace southpaw Johna Santana is 5-0 lifetime in 5 starts versus the Dodgers with an ERA of 0.50. His teams have won those starts by an average of 4.4 runs. It is also worth mentioning that the Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog and 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Plus, they are 1-4 in Harang's last 5 starts, and Harang is 1-5 on the money line in his last 6 starts versus the Mets. The Dodgers have lost 6 of their last 8 to the Mets and 5 of their last 6 in New York. Bet the Mets.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -148
The Key: Expect Houston's road struggles to continue with Harrell on the hill. The Astros are 0-3 in his last 3 road starts, 0-5 in his last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, 0-4 in his last 4 starts as an underdog and 0-4 in his last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Padres, meanwhile, are 4-0 in Volquez's last 4 starts. And, he is 3-0 lifetime in home starts versus Houston. Pound the Padres.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -130
The Key: This is a great spot for the Royals to get back in the win column. The Mariners are 0-4 in Millwood's last 4 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts. The Royals, meanwhile, are 4-0 in Chen's last 4 starts as a favorite. Chen is also 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus Seattle. The Royals have won those 3 by an average of 3.7 runs while Chen has limited the Mariners to just 3 total earned runs in 21 2-3 innings during this stretch. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -160
The Key: Cincy's Cueto is 3-0 (4-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.80 in 4 lifetime starts versus the D-backs, and I expect this never lost trend to be extended at home tonight. After all, the Reds are 10-1 in Cueto's last 11 home starts. Cueto gives Cincy a major advantage on the mound as Arizona scheduled starter Trevor Bauer is carrying a 5.40 ERA through his first three major league starts. I'll bet the Reds as I feel this is the biggest pitching mismatch on the board for the price.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Twins -122
The Key: The Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 series openers and 0-4 in Tillman's last 4 series-opening starts. They are also 0-7 in Tillman's last 7 Monday starts, 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a road underdog and 0-2 in his starts versus Minnesota. The Twins are in much better hands with Diamond, who is 5-1 on the money line in 6 home starts with an ERA of 2.01. There's a reason the Twins are favored here versus a team with 10 more wins, and that reason is Diamond. Take the Twins.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia Phillies -122
The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies have a big edge on the mound in this one with Cole Hamels over Drew Pomeranz. Hamels is 10-4 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.102 WHIP in 17 starts this season. Pomeranz has only made seven starts, going 1-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.359 WHIP, and he was absolutely terrible last year. His ERA is much lower right now than it will be at the end of the season. Hamels is 16-3 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. The Phillies are 55-23 in Hamels' last 78 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Phillies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia Phillies -123
The Key: Simply put, the Phillies have a colossal edge on the mound in this one. Vance Worley sports a 3.00 ERA in seven road starts this year, while Jeremy Guthrie has posted a 9.53 ERA in five home starts. The Phillies are 23-9 in their last 32 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Philly is 39-18 in their last 57 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Phillies are 5-1 in Worley's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Rockies are 1-5 in Guthrie's last 6 starts as an underdog. Colorado is 36-76 in their last 112 games as an underdog. The Rockies are 0-4 in Guthrie's last 4 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Bet the Phillies.

6* 23-4 MLB *CA$H COW* on Cardinals +111
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are showing great value as an underdog in Game 1 of this series with the Cincinnati Reds. Adam Wainwright has returned to form, especially on the road where he's 3-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.246 WHIP in seven starts. Mat Latos is 1-3 with an 11.37 ERA and 2.105 WHIP in four career starts against the Cardinals. Wainwright is 23-4 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. Bet the Redbirds.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -154
The Key: You'd be hard-pressed to find a starter who is pitching better than Johnny Cueto right now. So far, Cueto is 9-5 on the season, but based on his underlying stats, he should be even better. He's carrying a 2.35 ERA and 1.13 WHIP, has walked just 25 batters in 114 2/3 innings pitched and has given up only five home runs in 17 starts this season. The Reds won in San Diego last night and, behind their most effective starter this season, they easily pick up another victory.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Pirates -116
The Key: The Pirates and young phenom James McDonald just need to keep on doing whatever it is they are doing. The Pirates are one of the surprise teams in the league, and the two biggest reasons are their incredible play at home (27-13) and an up-and-coming star pitcher in James McDonald. The youngster is already 8-3 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. At this price the Pirates are an absolute bargain against a Giants team that is just 19-22 on the road this year. Bet the Bucs.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -133
The Key: Under manager Roenicke, the Brewers are a perfect 16-0 in the second half of the schedule versus NL teams that allow 4.8 runs or more per game. They have defeated these foes by an average of 3.2 runs. Also, Gallardo has had Houston's number. The Milwaukee ace is 7-0 in his last 7 starts against the Astros with those 7 wins coming by an average of 5.7 runs. The Astros are 0-9 in their last 9 vs. the National League Central, 6-18 in Happ's last 24 starts vs. the National League Central and 0-8 in his last 8 Friday starts. Take Milwaukee.

6* Bailout on Angels -142
The Key: The Angels, who are 4-0 in their last 4 series openers, have the edge on the mound with Richards, who is 3-0 on the money line in 3 home starts this season (1.66 ERA in those starts). The O's, who have dropped 5 of their last 6 versus the Halos, are 0-8 in Arrieta's last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. the American League West. Bet the Halos.

6* Bailout on Reds -135
The Key: The Reds are 6-0 in Latos' last 6 starts as a favorite, 6-0 in hi last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Padres are 0-4 in Volquez's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Also, the Padres are 0-11 in home games off an upset win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 3.2 runs in these games. Bet the Reds.

7* MLB Pre All-Star Break Game of the Year on Rangers -130
The Key: The Rangers just don't get swept. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. They also have the advantage with Harrison on the hill. The Rangers are 8-0 in Harrison's last 8 starts, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. the American League Central. Also, Harrison is 13-0 on the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the schedule over the last 2 seasons, 10-0 on the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the schedule over the last 2 seasons, 13-0 on the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the schedule over the last 2 seasons and 7-0 on the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Take Texas!

7* NL *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +110
The Key: The Padres are 0-3 in Marquis' last 3 starts (and 1-8 in his last 9), losing those 3 starts by an average of 4.33 runs. The D-backs are 2-0 in Kennedy's last 2 starts, winning those by 5 and 6 runs respectively. The Snakes are also 6-0 in Kennedy's last 6 starts versus the Padres, winning those by an average of 3.33 runs. Take Arizona on the run line.

7* AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -116
The Key: The Twins are 0-4 in Duensing's last 4 starts (and 1-9 in his last 10), losing those by an average of 4.25 runs. The Tigers are 6-0 in Verlander's last 6 starts versus the Twins, winning those by an average of 4.33 runs. Take the Tigers on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on White Sox -118
The Key: analysis coming...

7* NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -159
The Key: Since the Brewers brought in Greinke, they are 14-0 in his home starts against teams with a losing record, 22-0 in his starts as a home favorite of -110 or higher and 15-0 in his home night starts. Also, Greinke is 3-0 on the money line in his career versus the Marlins. He is having a fantastic season, and I fully expect him to shut down a Miami club that the Brewers have defeated 10 times in the last 11 meetings.

6* AL *CA$H COW* on Angels -140
The Key: The Angels are 5-0 in Weaver's last 5 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite. He seems to elevate his game when matched up against an opponent that is coming off a productive game at the plate. He also seems to be sharper after a contest where the Angels pitching staff gave up a hefty amount of runs. Consider that the Angels are 9-0 in Weaver's last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game and 8-0 in his last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take LA.

7* AL Game of the Week on Rangers -1.5 -110
The Key: The Rangers are a perfect 7-0 in Darvish's 7 home starts, winning those by an average of 4.3 runs. They have won each of those 7 by 2 runs or more, which makes them a very strong choice on the run line against a club they have defeated 11 times in the last 13 meetings in Arlington. Lay the 1.5 runs.

6* MLB *CASH COW* on Angels -148
The Key: The Halos haven't lost 3 in a row since May 19-21. After consecutive defeats, look for them to bounce back behind ace C.J. Wilson. The Angels are 7-0 in Wilson's last 7 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 road starts and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite. Also, the Halos will welcome the southpaw Laffey to the mound as they are batting .276 against lefty starters and are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -124
The Key: Santana is 4-0 with an ERA of 0.65 in 4 career starts versus the Dodgers. The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the National League West and 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 0-6 in Eovaldi's last 6 starts, 0-5 in hi last 5 starts as an underdog and 0-4 in his last 4 starts in game 3 of a series. The Dodgers are also 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog, 0-8 in their last 8 after being held to 2 runs or less in their previous game, 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss and 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Mets.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Angels -112
The Key: The Halos are 6-0 in their last 6 games following defeat, 5-0 in their last 5 game 3's of a series, 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts. The Blue Jays are 0-4 in Alvarez's last 4 home starts and 0-5 in his last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. We'll take the hotter team with the better starter on the mound.

7* NL Non-Division Game of the Year on Giants -149
The Key: The Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 road games, and I expect them to drop a fifth straight away from home versus a Giants club that is 4-0 in its last 4 overall. The low total suggests odds makers are expecting a gem from Cain. Consider that the Giants are 8-0 in their last 8 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower and 6-0 in Cain's last 6 starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The Giants are also 7-0 in Cain's last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus NL Central foes and 8-0 in his last 8 starts on regular rest (4 days). Cincy's Leake is not in the same category as Cain. Leake pitched well against San Francisco last season, but this year's lineup is much improved. The Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and I expect their success against righty starters (.265 average) to continue.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -129
The Key: The Dodgers couldn't be happier to be home following a tough road trip. They are an incredible 40-14 in their last 54 games as a home favorite and have had plenty of success against the NL East, going 7-0 in their last 7 versus NL East foes. They are in great hands with Capuano and are 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Expect the Mets, who are just 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. left-handed starters, to have a tough time against Cap tonight. Take L.A.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Marlins -130
The Key: Books are begging for action on the streaking Cardinals with this line, but we won't take the bait. St. Louis has won 5 in a row but is just 2-12 after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. It is also 3-7 in its last 10 games as an underdog. The Marlins have struggled, but they clearly have the more capable starter on the mound tonight. Sanchez should be very focused here following a rough outing, which is supported by the fact the Marlins are 4-1 in his last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance. The Marlins are also 5-2 in his last 7 starts in the third game of a series. Take Miami.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -132
The Key: The Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus the D-backs, and I expect their home dominance to continue with Hudson on the hill. Tim Hudson has owned the snakes with a 1.36 career ERA against them in 8 starts. The Braves are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the Diamondbacks, and he is 3-0 on the money line in 3 career home starts versus them. Arizona's Daniel Hudson is struggling, entering this contest with an 11.37 ERA over his last 3 starts. We'll bet the Braves.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -140
The Key: The Mets are coming off a pair of one-run losses to the Yankees, but recent history suggests they'll bounce back with Santana on the mound. The Mets are 7-0 the last 7 times Santana has gotten the ball following 2 or more consecutive losses. They have won by an average score of 3.4 to 1.4 in this situation. Santana has had plenty of success versus the Cubs, going 3-0 with an ERA of 1.61 in 3 career starts against them. Also, the Cubs are 3-16 against lefty starters this season, losing to them by an average score of 5.5 to 3.2. Bet the Mets.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -113
The Key: Cleveland is hitting a major league-worst .216 against left-handers and is just 1-8 in its last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. This gives the big edge to Happ and the Astros today. Plus, the Indians are 16-35 in their last 51 interleague road games, 4-10 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter and 3-9 in their last 12 in the 3rd game of a series. The Astros are 36-15 in their last 51 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 9-1 in their last 10 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -1.5 -130
The Key: With yesterday's 4-1 loss, Colorado fell to 0-10 versus AL West foes this season. It has lost those 10 games by an average of 4.0 runs. The Rockies are also 0-7 on the season versus AL teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better. They have lost these games by an average of 4.6 runs. Lastly, Colorado is 0-9 versus AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game this season, losing to these teams by an average of 4.0 runs. Expect Colorado's struggles to continue against a red-hot Texas club that has won 7 straight (6 of those wins have come by 2 runs or more).

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -145
The Key: The fact that Arizona scheduled starter Joe Saunders has a solid WHIP of 1.383 spells disaster for the Cubs as they are 0-9 in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 2.9 runs in this situation. In addition, the Cubs are 9-25 in their last 34 overall, 17-40 in their last 57 road games, 5-22 in their last 27 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog and 0-4 in Samardzijas last 4 starts as an underdog. The D-backs have won 7 of their last 8 at home and should earn a solid win tonight.

7* NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder +3.5
The Key: The Thunder could just as easily be up 3-1 in this series. They blew an excellent opportunity to even the series Tuesday night but have no reason to hand their head. Because of the format, which will have Games 6 and 7 in Oklahoma City, the Thunder have to feel like they still have a chance to win this series. The Thunder have lost 3 games in a row just 1 other time this season and rebounded to win by 16 points following the skid. The Thunder are 15-5 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games under coach Brooks while the Heat are 5-15 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games under coach Spoelstra. The Thunder are also 40-18 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses and 20-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses under Brooks. Down 3-1, OKC isn't expected to win this series. That means it can play loose tonight. All the pressure is on Miami. We'll take the points as the Thunder extend the series.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Red Sox -136
The Key: Here we have two teams heading in opposite directions and I'll gladly take the one on the upswing at a decent price. The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 overall while the Marlins are 2-12 in their last 14 overall. The Marlins have lost the first 2 games of this series and are 6-20 in their last 26 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. They are 0-4 in their last 4 in the 3rd game of a series, 0-4 in their last 4 meetings with the Red Sox and 1-5 in their last 6 meetings in Boston. Zambrano has really struggled with an ERA of 9.00 over his last 3 starts. Matsuzaka, meanwhile, appears to be rounding into form. The Red Sox are 35-16 in Matsuzaka's last 51 starts as a home favorite. Bet Boston.

7* 61-0 Interleague Game of the Year on Pirates -121
The Key: The numbers weight heavily in Pittsburgh's favor, so heavily that I believe this is the strongest play of the entire interleague season. Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague road games versus a team with a winning record. They are 0-5 in Liriano's last 5 road starts, 0-6 in his last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game, 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog and 0-7 in his last 7 starts in the 2nd game of a series. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games, 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite, 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are also 4-0 in Bedard's last 4 home starts and Bedard is 4-0 on the money line in his last 4 starts versus the Twins. Take the Pirates.