Cappers Sports Picks

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on South Dakota +4.5
The Key: I'll gladly grab the points with the home team considering each of the last two meetings between these two have been decided by 2 points or less. Morehead State is 0-4 on the road this season while South Dakota is 3-2 at home. The Coyotes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 lined home games dating back to last season. Take the points as the Coyotes will have an excellent opportunity to win this one outright.

6* NBA Bailout on Bobcats +12
The Key: The Lakers can't be trusted laying big points as they are just 9-21 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Timberwolves +9
The Key: The Timberwolves aren't getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers tonight, and I'll gladly grab the points as they are 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Purdue -15.5
The Key: I'll gladly lay this big number with the Boilermakers as they are an impressive 16-5 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. They have won these contests by 21.2 points on average.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Sacramento Kings +6
The Key: The Kings are a strong underdog play tonight with the Suns coming off a game in which they allowed less than 85 points after a combined score of 215 or more in two straight games. This situation has been very profitable for the opposing team, going 85-50 (63%) since 1996.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on NY Jets +2
The Key:The Jets fall under a great situation tonight playing against favored home teams with terrible defenses. Trend has hit consistently at 66% since 1983 (51-26). Tennessee is also one of the worst home teams in the NFL this year, going just 2-4 both ATS and straight up. Their home defense also ranks among the worst in recent memory, allowing visiting teams to rack up 422 yards per game for 32 points per game so far this season.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Bradley -10
The Key: Bradley has played extremely well coming off of a win over the past several seasons, going 51-29 ATS in those situations. They are matched up well against a Georgia Southern team who is very poor offensively, averaging just 58 points per game in their road games this season. Bradley is favored by double-digits for good reason and has already covered the spread twice this season when favored by ten points or more.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on LA Clippers -6.5
The Key: This plays is as much against the Pistons as it is on the Clippers. NBA teams off of a poor home loss in which they scored less than 80 points have been terrible in their next game historically, going just 38-71 against the spread in similar situations. The Clippers also fall into a sweet spot having just won in blowout fashion where teams in similar situations have rolled to a 44-17 record (72.1%) since 1996.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Valparaiso -3.5
The Key: Valpo returns all five starters this season and has excelled defensively thus far, allowing just 57.6 points per game through their first ten games. This game also falls under a very successful situation for road favorites against poor teams that has hit 71.4% over the last five seasons (50-20).

6* *NBA Cash Cow* get in on part of an awesome 30-17 ATS trend backing the Hornets tonight!

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on 49ers +6
The Key: analysis coming...

6* NBA Ca$h Cow on Denver Nuggets -4.5

6* NCAABB *CA$H Cow!* There's no better bet this weekend than the absolute certainty that is Dave Price's magical winning prediction this [email protected]

7* NFL Game of the Month on Ravens +3
The Key: Baltimore dominates versus divisional oppnenets, going 14-3 against them since 1992.

6* NFC North *CA$H COW* on Bears +3
This game falls into a great situation where the bears are a solid 77-40 against the spread!

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Grizzlies +2
The Key: The Grizzlies have played exceptionally well over the last two seasons against teams that score over 99 points per game, going 13-4 against the spread against those teams in that time frame. They are also one of the best teams in the NBA versus good free throw shootings teams, posting a 60-33 ATS record against them over the past three season combined. Because of their defense, this Memphis team is going to be a tough win all season. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Clippers -4
The Key: The Clippers play thier best against up-tempo teams, in fact, they are 16-6 against the spread versus teams averaging more than 83 shots per game over the last two seasons. They also play extremely well against poor foul-drawing teams like the Bucks (less than 24 free throw attempts per game), going 10-2 against the spread in that situation. This LA team is build on athleticism and the high tempo of this game should lead to an easy victory by the Clippers.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -5
The Key: Play against teams off of an overtime game (the Nets), on no rest against opponents on two days of rest. This very profitable situation has gone 29-17 over the last several years ATS and is one that is worth following in the right situations. In addition to playing in back-to-back nights off of an overtime game, the Nets are also playing their 4th game in 5 days, another great situation that has gone 24-11 in recent seasons in similar situations. Take the Bulls as the best NBA bet of the day.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -7
The Key: This Drake team has not played well against good offensive teams like Iowa State whose average scoring margin is better than +4. In fact, in similar situations over the last two sesaons the Bulldogs are just 5-13 ATS. They Cyclones have excelled on Saturday games under head coach Fred Hoiberg, posting an impressive 11-3 ATS record in their Saturday games over the last two seasons.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Toledo +10.5
The Key: Utah State's 10-2 record is a bit deceptive considering the teams that they've played this year. In fact, there is a lot not to like about the Aggies numbers coming into this game, and a lot of that has to do with their strength of schedule. Toledo has been impressive on offense this season, posting 32.9 points per game on 456 yards of total offense per game. Toledo has been superb in the underdog roll this season, going 5-0 in that situation throughout the regular season. This line has been adjusted far too high, likely due to Utah State's 10-1 ATS record in the regular season. Between this spread being inflated and the fact that Toledo comes in with a better strength of schedule, I'll gladly take the double-digits.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Elon +8.5
The Key: UMASS has been overrated all season and it shows with their 1-6 ATS record so far. Elon has been playing great defense and, situationally, they have been great off of good defensive performances. As for situations that fit this game, they are 13-2 ATS after allowing 55 points or less in a game and 9-1 ATS after holding any opponent to less than 33% shooting from the floor since 1997.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Boise State -5.5
The Key: The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games while the Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Boise State was crushed in its last game but is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games following a loss of more than 20 points. It will be further motivated by last season's poor showing against LSU. The Broncos defeated Creighton on the road and gave Michigan State all it wanted and more. LSU has played a soft schedule to this point and hasn't stepped off its home floor yet. It will struggled in its first road games against a motivated opponent.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Cavaliers +3
The Key: The Bucks have won 3 in a row but are on a 45-73 ATS slide after 3 or more consecutive wins. They are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a win and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Cavs played them to a 3-point game on the road in the first meeting, and I expect them to get the job done at home tonight.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +5.5
The Key: The Warriors are being overvalued following a string of 5 straight wins that included a win over the Heat. Orlando defeated the Warriors on the road earlier this month and will have at excellent shot at doing so against here. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the Warriors are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Bengals -4
The Key: The Bengals have cleaned up against poor teams in the second half of the season under coach Marvin Lewis, even on the road. In fact, they are 6-0 ATS in road games under their current coach when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season and have won these games by an average of 14.3 points. The Bengals are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus the Eagles. Cincy desperately needs this game to keep pace for the final AFC wild-card slot. That's all the motivation it should need to get the job done against a Philly squad that has lost 8 of 9. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers +6.5
The Key: I'll gladly grab the points with the Lakers as they head to New York off three straight losses looking to show the NBA that they ARE a contender. Kobe loves the big stage, and I fully expect him to deliver in this national TV affair. The Lakers have won or lost by less than 7 points in 17 of their last 18 games against the Knicks. I also believe coach D'Antoni will coach the heck out of this game against his former team and former assistant coach. Teams headed up by D'Antoni are 30-13 ATS lifetime in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses. D'Antoni knows the Knicks and their personnel well and should be able to devise a solid game plan. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Tennessee +1
The Key: The Vols have been money at home, going 14-3 ATS in all home lined games since the beginning of last season. They should especially be focused as they return home tonight following back-to-back poor performances on the road. Tennessee is on a 6-0 ATS run in home games off a road loss in which it was held to less than 60 points. It has won by an average of 8.3 points in these spots. The Volunteers are also on a 6-0 ATS run in home games after being held to 25 points or less in the 1st half last game. It has won by an average of 10.0 points in these spots. Bet the Vols.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +13.5
The Key: Plays on road underdogs, a cold team that has lost 8 or more of its last 10 games against a hot team that has won 8 or more of its last 10 games, are 58-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Hornets are a terrific 41-26 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons and 19-9 ATS in road games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent. Take the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Bobcats +8
The Key: The Clippers are being overvalued because they have won 7 in a row and are coming off a big win over the Bulls. They are on a 19-38 ATS slide after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games and a 37-60 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Clippers covered the number by a point last night but are still only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. LA has especially been overvalued on the road versus teams that have sub .500 records at home. In fact, it is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Bobcats played the Knicks to a 2-point game as an 8-point dog last Wednesday, and I like them to give the Clippers a game tonight.

6* NCAAB Bailout on Cal Poly SLO +6.5
The Key: I successfully played against Cal Poly following its big upset win over UCLA as it was crushed by St. Mary's. Now, I'm playing against Nevada following its big upset win over Washington as it comes in overvalued because of it. The Wolf Pack are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Big West. Cal Poly's style of play works in our favor as well considering Nevada is just 8-19 ATS in its last 27 home games versus slow-down teams that average 53 or less shots per game. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +5.5
The Key: The Pistons aren't getting the respect they deserve here considering they are 14-1 in their last 15 home games against the Nuggets and considering the Nuggets are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Detroit has been an outstanding home dog in recent seasons at 32-18 ATS in its last 50 games in the role. Also, the Nuggets are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Detroit. Take the points.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Patriots -4
The Key: I love the Pats at home tonight considering how good they have been late in the season. They are 20-0 in regular season games played in the second half of the season since 2010 and have won their last 12 December contests. Also, plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning record on the season that are coming off 2 straight road wins and are matched up against a winning team are 30-9 ATS since 1983, including a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Rockets +5.5
The Key: The Rockets have been solid at home where they have won 7 of their last 9 games. They are also 3-0 in their last 3 and 7-3 in their last 10 home games against the Spurs. Also, Houston is a perfect 8-0 ATS as a home underdog since the start of last season. It has won by an average of 6.3 points in these games.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Lions +7
The Key: With the playoffs out of the picture, this game becomes Detroit's Super Bowl. There's nothing the Lions want more than to win in Green Bay, where they have lost 20 in a row. 6 of Detroit's losses have come by 7 points or less. Also, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these 2 have been decided by 4 points or less. The Packers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record, and I expect this negative trend to continue as they are being overvalued against a team that is capable of knocking them off. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns -4
The Key: The Magic started off their road trip strong with a pair of wins but have since dropped their last two and I have them going down again here. The Suns got home at a good time yesterday as they played in LA in the afternoon, and they'll be very focused here knowing they have lost 4 straight to Orlando. 3 of those losses, including the last 2, were on the road so home court should make a big difference. The Suns have won 8 of their last 9 home games in the series, and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. It's also worth noting that the favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This trend hasn't lost since Dec. 2008. Lay the points.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Panthers +3.5
The Key: The Carolina Panthers gave up 30 points in a 2-point loss at Atlanta in the first meeting, but they are 28-11 ATS all-time when out to avenge a loss to a foe that they allowed to score 28 points or more. The Panthers have won by an average of 0.4 points in these spots. Carolina is also 9-1 ATS all-time in home games in the 2nd half of the schedule versus good offensive teams that rack up 375.0 ypg or more. It has won by an average of 3.7 points in these spots. The Panthers are a better team than their record indicates. They don't have anything left to play for other than pride, and that will be enough Sunday. The Falcons were fortunate to win the first meeting, and they won't be as fortunate this time around. Take the points.

6* NFL *CA$H COW* on Titans +6
The Key: The Titans took the Colts to OT in the first meeting, and I expect them to give Indy all it wants and more again Sunday. Plays on road teams that are looking to avenge a loss to an opponent that held them to 14 points or less are 160-101 ATS the last 10 seasons. The "play on" side has been valued as an underdog of 5.4 points on average but has lost by just 2.9 points on average. Also, the Colts are just 10-23 ATS in their last 33 home games in the 2nd half of their schedule versus teams that have a losing record. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bobcats +8.5
The Key: The aging Spurs are being overvalued on the road against a younger Charlotte squad that will fare better than them playing on consecutive nights. The Bobcats fell to Milwaukee both SU and ATS last night but are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Also, the home team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Spurs won by only 4 points the last time they visited the Bobcats. The time before that they lost. The time before that they won by just 2 points. Take the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Northeastern +4
The Key: The value clearly lies with Northeastern catching points at home. The Huskies lost their last game both SU and ATS, but they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a game in which they did not cover. La Salle has won 5 straight while Northeastern has lost 3 straight. Also, La Salle won last season's meeting at home by 17 points and they are only laying 4 here? You tell me which side the books want your money on. The Huskies return four starters, and they'll be hungry to avenge last year's loss. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Army +7
The Key: Army played Navy to a six-point game last season, and I fully expect it to give the Midshipmen a game again. It works in our favor that Army was blown out in its last game as we are getting a better line because of it. Also, the Black Knights have never lost under coach Ellerson after trailing in their last game by 17 points or more at the half. They are a perfect 6-0 ATS in these spots and have won them by an average score of 32.8 to 18.5. Navy has been overvalued against losing teams. In fact, it is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. Lastly, underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that have lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games that are up against an opponent that has won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 31-12 ATS the last 10 seasons. Army is clearly the right side.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +7.5
The Key: The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Hornets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. New Orleans is also 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets have won or lost by 7 points or fewer in 17 of their last 18 home meetings against the Grizzlies. Take the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Nets -6
The Key: After going down to the Heat and Thunder - last season's conference champs - in their last two games, the Nets will be primed and ready to run up the score on a lesser opponent tonight. Because Brooklyn lost to the Warriors on the road last month, it will be very hungry and focused here. The Warriors have struggled to a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 Friday games while the Nets are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Friday games. It is also worth mentioning that the Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Atlantic division while the Nets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. the NBA Pacific division. The Nets are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and have wins of 7 and 10 points against the Knicks and Clippers during this stretch. The Nets are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against the Warriors. Lay the points.

7* AFC West Game of the Year on Raiders +11.5
The Key: Plays on home underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season that have failed to cover the number in 2 of their last 3 games, provided they have won 25% or less of their games on the season and are matched up against a team with a winning record, are 22-6 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system lets us know the value clearly lies with Oakland. Plus, the Broncos are just 11-24 ATS in their last 35 games against teams that have won 25% of their games or fewer on the season. Denver has won by only 1.9 points in these games. Lastly, the underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. The Raiders haven't quit. That was evident when they played Cleveland tough last week. I have no doubt they'll be the more motivated team tonight as they look to end a 5-game skid and avenge an embarrassing loss to the Broncos in the season's first meeting.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Heat -7
The Key: Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won 4 of their last 5 games, provided they have played 8 or more games in 14 days, are 61-30 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 6 points on average but have lost by an average of 9 points. With the Knicks getting taken down to the wire last night, the Heat will be the much fresher side. Miami is on a 10-2 ATS run in games when it has had 1 day of rest. Also, the Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Miami and have lost these 4 contests by an average of 17.3 points. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +11.5
The Key: The Commodores are an impressive 15-6 ATS in road lined games over the last 3 seasons. Furthermore, they are 6-0 ATS in road games during this span after holding their opponents to 65 points or less in 2 straight games. The Musketeers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Off a big upset win at Purdue, Xavier won't give a Vandy squad it defeated by 12 points last season its full attention. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Jazz -8
The Key: The Magic are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings with the Jazz, and the 4 losses have come by 9 points or more. Look for a hungry Utah squad that has lost its last three to take out its frustrations all over the Magic tonight.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bobcats +8
The Key: I expect the Knicks to get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's showdown with the Miami Heat. Charlotte, meanwhile, wants this game badly. Not only is it looking to end a four-game slide, but it has been embarrassed the last two times it has faced New York. The Knicks have dropped 3 of their last 4 road games and their road struggles will continue tonight.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Florida State +6
The Key: Off an embarrassing home loss to Mercer and with an 18-point loss at Florida last season also stoking the fire, I expect the Seminoles to put forth their best effort of the season tonight. Under coach Hamilton, FSU is 21-8 ATS as a home underdog or pickem, including 12-4 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem. The Noles are also on a 17-8 ATS run in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Illinois State -8
The Key: Following back-to-back narrow defeats to worthy opponents (Northwestern and Louisville), I expect the Redbirds to bounce back strong at home against a Wyoming team that finds itself in a letdown spot following a big win over Colorado. The Redbirds are an outstanding 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Wyoming has been an ugly investment on the road, especially when coming off a win. It is on a 41-70 ATS slide in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins. It is also 5-15 ATS as a road underdog or pickem over the last 3 seasons. It has lost these 20 games by an average of 12.1 points. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nets +4.5
The Key: The Thunder are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Brooklyn team that is 7-1 at home. The Nets are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 home games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Also, plays against road favorites that have covered the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, if they have won 75% or more of their games and are playing a team that has a winning record, are 93-52 ATS since 1996. These teams have been favored by 3.5 points on average but have only won by an average of 0.4. Take the points.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Redskins +3
The Key: The Redskins are a better football team than they were when they lost to the Giants by 4 in New York Oct. 21, and they have had a great deal of success against the Giants recently. They have won 2 of the last 3 meetings with those wins coming by double digits. Plus, teams coached my Mike Shanahan are 13-4 ATS in home games when looking to avenge a same season loss to an opponent over the last 2 decades. His teams have won by an average of 10.1 points in these spots. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +4.5
The Key: The Hornets have been a strong play when catching this many points. In fact, they are 28-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets have won 10 straight at home against Milwaukee, and they are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings (3 SU wins, 1 loss by just 4 points). Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on USC -2
The Key: This is a huge revenge game for an experienced USC team that returns 4 starters. The Trojans have suffered three narrow defeats to the Huskers, who return only 1 starter, over the past 3 seasons, and I expect them to finally have their revenge tonight. The Cornhuskers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Lay the points.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Eagles +10.5
The Key: The Eagles are in the midst of a terrible stretch, but the Cowboys are not deserving of this much respect from oddsmakers. Taking road teams in the second half of the season that have lost 7 or more consecutive games has produced a 42-16 ATS mark since 1983. Also, Dallas is just 6-20 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons and 2-11 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

6* Late Afternoon *CA$H COW* on Broncos -7
The Key: This is a nightmare matchup for the Buccaneers, who rank last in the NFL is pass defense with 315.5 ypg allowed. Led by future Hall of Fame QB Peyton Manning, the Broncos rank 5th in passing with 287.5 ypg. I just don't see Manning and the Denver "O" being stopped in this one. Also, Denver is one of the top defensive teams in the NFL. It ranks 4th in total defense with 308.4 ypg allowed. The TB offense will have its work cut out for itself against this unit. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Wisconsin -7
The Key: After coming off an upset loss at home to Virginia and failing to cover the spread in 3 consecutive games, the value now lies with Wisconsin. The Badgers are on a 15-6 ATS run after failing to cover the number in 3 straight games or more. They are also on a 25-12 ATS run when coming off an upset loss. Cal has the better record, but it has benefited from a relatively soft schedule. Wisconsin is the better team, and it has challenged itself in the early going with games against Florida and Creighton. Lay the points.

7* NFL Game of the Week on Lions -4.5
The Key: The Colts can't be trusted on the road where they have been crushed by Chicago, the New York Jets and New England and were fortunate to beat Tennessee in OT. The ball has not bounced Detroit's way this season, but I believe it is primed for a breakout performance. The Lions are the better team on both sides of the football, and the statistics back it up. Playing on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that have outgained their opponents by 40-100 yards per game and are matched up against a team with a +/- 40 ypg differential, if the "play on" side totaled 400 yards of offense or more last game, has produced a 33-10 ATS mark the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 13.6 points. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on St. Mary's -13.5
The Key: The Mustangs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games, and I expect a major letdown from them tonight following a huge come-from-behind upset win over UCLA. That win guarantees the Gaels will not be overlooking Cal Poly. Plus, Saint Mary's will be lacking no motivation after losing its last two games. Lay the number.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Wisconsin +3
The Key: Wisconsin blew a 17-point lead and lost by 3 at Nebraska in the regular-season meeting, but I expect the Badgers to have their revenge on a neutral field. The Huskers have struggled when playing away from home. They are 1-4 ATS outside Lincoln this season. It is important to note that Wisconsin played Nebraska tough in the first meeting despite rushing for only 56 yards. You can bet the Badgers won't held down like that again. They average 212.7 rushing yards per game and the Huskers have given up an average of 248.2 rushing yards per game in their five contests outside Lincoln. Nebraska is just 10-22 ATS in its last 32 game played away from home versus good rushing teams that average 200 yards or more per game on the ground. The Huskers have lost these games by an average score of 31.0 to 29.2. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +8.5
The Key: I expect a strong showing from New Orleans tonight following a disappointing performance versus Utah in its last home game. That 12-point loss bodes well for us here as the Hornets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a defeat of more than 10 points. It is also worth mentioning that the Hornets are on an awesome 46-24 ATS run as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They have only lost by an average of 1.3 points in these games. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bulls -6.5
The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Bulls, who were knocked out of the playoffs by the 76ers last season. It works in Chicago's favor that Philly played a tough one last night. The 76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games when playing without a of rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. Lay the points.

6* SEC Championship *CA$H COW* on Georgia +8
The Key: Georgia fits into a strong system or mine that has been very profitable in recent seasons. Plays on any dominant team that outgains its opponents by 125 yards or more per game, provided it has averaged 6.25 yards or more per play in 4 consecutive games, are 63-37 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system basically says not to go against good teams that are running hot. The Dawgs will be playing this one in their home state, and they will be motivated by last season's loss in the SEC title game. Georgia is the more explosive offensive team, and it has a shutdown defense (just look at what it did to Florida). Take the points.

6* Early *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma -6
The Key: Oklahoma is 5-0 away from home where it has double-digit wins against Texas Tech and Iowa State - teams TCU lost to at home. The Sooners still have a shot at an outright conference title and a BCS bowl if they win and Kansas State loses. The K-State game isn't unit Saturday evening so I expect the Sooners to do their part and then sit back and see if Texas can help them out. The Horned Frogs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Lay the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on UCLA +9
The Key: Stanford held down UCLA's solid running game when these two faced off last week, and I believe it is being overvalued here as a result. The Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being held to less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after being held to less than 20 points in their previous game, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. The Bruins are even 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games versus teams that have a winning record. UCLA didn't show all of its cards last week knowing this is the one that really matters. Take the points as I expect the Bruins to give the Cardinal a game.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +4.5
The Key: This is a huge game for the Magic, who are out for revenge for two losses to the Nets this month and who are trying to close out their season-high 5-game homestand with a winning record. It actually bodes well for us that the Magic are coming off a double-digit defeat since they are 8-0 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average of 3.5 points in these spots. Also, teams coached by Avery Johnson are just 9-32 ATS all-time following a road win of 10 points or more. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Northern Illinois -7
The Key: Plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that enter off 2 straight wins against conference rivals and are up against an opponent that checks in off a double digit road win are 40-12 ATS the last 10 seasons, 22-3 ATS the last 5 seasons and 3-0 ATS this season. These teams have been underdogs of 6.6 points on average over the last 10 years and have lost by an average of 15.2 points. In addition, NIU is 5-0 SU and ATS in its last 5 against Kent State. It crushed the Golden Flashes by 30 last season, and I like it to post another double-digit win this evening. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB Bailout on Montana State -2
The Key: Montana State has had this one circled since the season tipped off. That's because it was handed an embarrassing 59-36 defeat at Pepperdine last December. That loss will be the driving force behind a win and cover tonight. The Bobcats enter off a loss but are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a defeat. The Waves are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, and it is significant that they enter off an upset win because they are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following an upset win at home. They have lost by an average of 8.3 points in this scenario. Lay the deuce.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Saints +3.5
The Key: We saw in the season's first meeting, and in plenty of other meetings in recent seasons, that the Atlanta defense isn't good enough to slow down the Saints, who are 8-0 ATS in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 seasons versus teams like Atlanta that allow 5.65 yards or more per play. The Saints are also 8-0 ATS in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 seasons versus teams that allow a pass completion percentage of 61% or higher. The Saints have won 4 in a row and 11 of 13 versus the Falcons. Plus, they really need this game to stay in the wild card race. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Louisville +3
The Key: The Cardinals have been an awesome road dog lately. In fact, they are 6-0 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons and have won these games by an average of 3.0 points. The Cards have lost their last two, but they are 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. They have won by an average of 7.1 points in these seven games. Both teams are good defensively, but Louisville is the far superior offensive team. Take the points as it wins a third straight over Rutgers and earns a share of the Big East title.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UCLA -14.5
The Key: This is a highly motivated spot for UCLA after it blew a big lead and lost to Cal Poly in its last game. The Bruins are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games. They are also 54-41 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points under coach Howland. They have won these games by an average of 17.4 points. UCLA is one of the most talented teams in the country, and it will be very focused after the way it was embarrassed last time out.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Magic +7.5
The Key: The Magic has been solid at home where they are 4-3 this season and should be lacking no confidence after taking Boston to OT as a 5.5-point dog last game. Also, Orlando has won 3 of its last 4 home games against the Spurs with the defeat coming by just 2 points in OT. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. This is also a look ahead spot for San Antonio as it takes on the Heat tomorrow night. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Youngstown State -4
The Key: Kent State can't be trusted on the road tonight. The Golden Flashes are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 12-22 ATS in all lined games since the beginning of last season. The Penguins, who went 10-4 at home last season, are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Also, the Golden Flashes are just 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois +6.5
The Key: This is Illinois-Chicago's first true road game of the season, and history says the Flames will flame out. NIU has struggled to score the ball in a couple of its games and only averages 57.0 points on the season. However, Illinois-Chicago is on a 0-7 ATS slide in road games versus horrible offensive teams that score 57.0 points or less per game. The Flames have lost by an average score of 69.6 to 62.0 in these 7 instances. The Huskies were held to 46 points in their last game but are Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +2.5
The Key: The Suns can't be trusted on the road where they are 1-5 this season. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They are also 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Cavs. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -3.5
The Key: The home team has been the play in this series lately. It has won the last 2 and 4 of the last 5. The last 2 wins by the home team have come by 19 and 20 points, respectively. Also, the Jazz have been exceptional at home for years. They are off to a 5-0 start at home this season and are 4-1 ATS in those games. 4 of these wins have come by 9 points or more. Bet Utah.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on N. Colorado +15
The Key: This is a double-revenge spot for Northern Colorado, who has gone down to Colorado State each of the past two seasons. 4 starters return from last year's team which lost 92-78 at home to the Rams, and I expect these guys to be out for some serious revenge tonight. The Bears are an awesome 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 10 or more points. Take the points.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Panthers -3
The Key: Plays against Monday Night Football underdogs or pickems that check in having lost 5 of 6 of their last 7 games are 42-15 ATS since 1983. This system is 7-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Eagles have given up. They have lost each of their last 4 games by double digits and will be lacking some serious offensive punch with Vick and McCoy sitting this one out. Plus, the offensive line has been horrible. The Panthers are continuing to fight. 6 of their losses have come by 6 points or less, and they'll be chomping at the bit to take it to the Eagles here. Lay the field goal.

7* Sunday Night Football Game of the Year on Giants -2.5
The Key: Extremely hungry following two straight losses, and extremely prepared following a bye week, I expect the Giants to take care of business at home against a team they defeated 37-20 in last season's playoffs. The G-Men have won 3 of their last 4 at home and should be able to take advantage of Green Bay's 21st-ranked pass defense here. Eli Manning, who connected on 21 of 33 throws for 330 yards with 3 TDs and 1 INT the last time these two met, leads the NFL's 9th-ranked passing attack. I also like the New York pass rush to have success in this one. It sacked Aaron Rodgers 4 times in the last meeting. The Green Bay pass rush has been good this season, but the New York offensive line has allowed Manning to be sacked only 12 times - the lowest total among QBs who have started the majority of the games. New York is on a fantastic 9-2-1 ATS run versus opponents that have a winning record. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers -4
The Key: The Suns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a win. They are on a 0-7 ATS slide versus teams that have a winning record and a 0-5 ATS slide after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The 76ers are 3-0 SU and ATS in the last 3 meetings with each of these wins coming by double digits. Also, the favorite is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Lay the points.

6* NFL *CA$H COW* on Dolphins +3
The Key: Seattle is 6-16 ATS in its last 24 games following a bye week, 0-7 ATS in its last 7 road games after covering the spread in 6 or 7 of its last 8 games and 1-16 ATS in its last 17 games following a home blowout win of 21 points or more. Also, Pete Carroll's NFL teams are just 3-12 ATS all-time as a road favorite. The Dolphins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the points.

6* AFC Game of the Week on Chiefs +11.5
The Key: Denver is 0-9 ATS in its last 9 games in the 2nd half of the season vs. terrible teams that are outscored by 10+ points per game on the season. It has lost these games by an average of 7.8 points. The Broncos are also 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games in the second half of the season versus teams that commit 2.5 or more turnovers per game. They have lost these games by an average of 11.5 points. Lastly, the Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. They have won these by an average of 5.7 points. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers -1
The Key: The Lakers will be hungry to tonight as they check in off back-to-back defeats. Losing the season's first meeting with Dallas back on Oct. 30 will add more fuel to the fire. Prior to that loss, the Lakers had won 4 straight in the series. They are a much better team than they were the first time these two met this season, and I fully expect them to have their revenge here. The Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Also, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take LA.

7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Marshall -7
The Key Recent history suggests Marshall will be ready to go following an upset loss to Hofstra its last time out. The Thundering Herd are a perfect 6-0 ATS off an upset loss over the last 3 seasons. Plus, Nevada has struggled to defend the 3-point line as it ranks 281st in the country in 3-point percentage defense, allowing its opponents to shoot 37.1% from beyond the arc. Because it doesn't defend the 3-point shot well, it has struggled against volume 3-point shooting teams like Marshall. Nevada is on a 0-6 ATS slide in road games versus teams that attempt 21 or more 3 point shots per game. Lay the number.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Wake Forest +11.5
The Key: Off back-to-back ugly losses at NC State and Notre Dame, Wake will show up at home on senior day with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Demon Deacons have been awesome in bounce back spots. They are an impressive 9-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons and have won by an average score of 23.5 to 23.3 in these games. Vandy has won 5 in a row with a 41-18 victory over Tennessee in its last game and is being overvalued because of it. The Commodores are just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games following a win by 17 or more points and 6-18 ATS in their last 24 following a home win by 17 points or more. They have lost by an average score of 27.4 to 13.0 in the latter situation. Vandy came to Wake as a one-point dog last season and buried the Demon Deacs 41-7. You can bet they haven't forgotten about that beatdown. Prior to that loss, Wake had won 3 in a row in the series by double digits. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and I believe we have a live dog here.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Duke +6.5
The Key: Duke has lost its last 3 but 2 of those losses came to Florida State and Clemson - 2 of the top teams in the country. I expect Duke to bounce back strong at home where it is 5-1 SU and ATS this season. Dating back to last year, the Blue Devils are one an awesome 8-1 ATS run at home games. Miami has dropped 4 of its last 6, including both of the games played away from home during this stretch. It won't get anything easy on the road here against a Duke team that will be hungry to end an 8-game losing streak in the series. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh -1.5
The Key: Oddsmakers are begging for the money to roll in on 9-1 Rutgers by making 4-6 Pitt the favorite. I'm not falling for the trap as Pitt, which is better than its record indicates, is at home, where it is 3-1 in its last 4, and has had an extra week to prepare. Pitts has been able to make penalty-prone teams like Rutgers pay in recent years. The Panthers are 8-0 ATS the last three seasons versus teams that average 60.0 penalty yards or more per game. Pitt has won these contests by an average of 13.8 points. The Panthers are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record. Look for Pitt to take care of business on senior day to keep its bowl hopes alive.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Idaho State +6.5
The Key: Idaho State is showing some nice value catching a good amount of points against a Wright State squad that is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games overall. The Raiders are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the Bengals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Take the points as this game goes right down to the wire.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +4.5
The Key: Oklahoma City is getting too much respect on the road this evening as it goes up against a solid Boston squad that will be hungry following back-to-back disappointing performances. Three of OKC's road contests have been close with two of them being decided by only 2 points so I'm loving Boston catching more than that here. The Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus Eastern Conference opponents. They are constantly overvalued against East teams with the exception of Miami. Take the points.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington State +14
The Key: The Cougars have lost 8 in a row and are being undervalued at home because of it. They are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games as a double-digit dog, and I expect them to keep this one much closer than the oddsmakers think. Washington State has been very competitive at home this season where it hasn't lost by more than 14 points. It played UCLA to a 12-point game Nov. 10 in its last home game so it is more than capable of keeping this one within the number. The Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record,3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The Cougars are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The Huskies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Underdog is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Ohio +9.5
The Key: Ohio, which started the season 7-0, will be very hungry here as it looks to bounce back from consecutive disappointing performances. The Bobcats have been a rock solid bet against good competition, going 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games versus a team with a winning record. Giving up 52 points in their last game actually works in our favor as it has caused them to be undervalued here. It also motivates them to tighten the screws. The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. They are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Friday games. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Ohio has either won or lost to the Golden Flashes by 9 points or less in 6 of the last 7 meetings. Take the points.

6* NCAAF Thanksgiving *CA$H COW* on TCU +7
The Key: TCU is supported by a rock solid system Thursday. Plays against home favorites that have won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a top-level team that has won 80% or more of its games playing a team that has won 51% to 60% of its games, are 29-9 ATS the last 10 seasons. Also, TCU has had a bye week to gear up for this one. It has been money off the bye at 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games following an off week. The Horned Frogs lost their last game but have been awesome in bounce back spots at 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a defeat. It is also important that TCU has a winning record on the road because the Longhorns are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games versus a team with a winning road record. This is a lot of chalk for Texas to be laying considering how poor it has been defensively and how solid TCU has been on defense. TCU ranks 16th in the nation in total defense while the Longhorns rank 86th. Take the points.

7* NFL Thanksgiving *HEAVY HITTER* on Cowboys -3
The Key: The Cowboys get the call on Thanksgiving day against a Washington team they have owned. The Boys have won 6 of the last 7 matchups, including each of the last 3, and they have long dominated the Redskins at home where they are 17-3 in the last 20. Dallas is better equipped to play on such a short week because it is far superior defensively. It has the 7th best stop unit in the NFL in terms of yards allowed per game while Washington ranks 26th in total defense. Plus, the Boys have fared well on Thursday going 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. They are 28-15-1 on Thanksgiving Thursday, and I expect them to continue their Turkey Day dominance here.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings +5.5
The Key: The Lakers have lost their last two in Sacramento by 9 and 17 points and will have a difficult time avenging those losses considering how fatigued they are. They played last night and this will be their third game in four days. They are just 20-35 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons and have only won by an average of 2.5 points in these games. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on BYU -17
The Key: After suffering back-to-back losses to quality programs, the Cougars will be ready to run up the score on an inferior opponent tonight. They are a rock solid 50-38 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points under coach Rose and have won these games by an average of 19.0 points. Lay the number.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cornell +11.5
The Key: The Big Red went down hard at Wisconsin (73-40) last game, but that won't keep me off them here. That's because they are a perfect 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Courtney following a loss of 15 points or more. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS all-time under Courtney following a road loss of 10 points or more and have won these contests by an average of 6.6 points. Also, ASU has been a dead fade when laying points. It is just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games as a favorite and has lost these games by an average of 3.1 points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Raptors +5.5
The Key: This is a big revenge game for the Raptors, who lost by 93-83 at home to the 76ers Nov. 10. Toronto is on an awesome 18-8 ATS run when out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent. It's also worth mentioning that Philly is just 68-104 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996. The Raptors are 18-5-2 ATS in the last 25 meetings in Philadelphia, and the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Akron +19.5
The Key: I like Akron catching big points because it has the passing attack to really hurt Toledo. The Rockets rank 120th in the country against the pass with 297.9 ypg allowed. The Zips, meanwhile, rank 14th in passing offense with 317.1 ypg. It is also worth mentioning that Akron has a solid 62.2 percent pass completion rate because Toledo is just 13-27 ATS in its last 40 games against teams that complete 62.0 percent or more of their passes. The Zips are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, and the Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Take the points.

7* Monday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* on Bears +7
The Key: I realize the line has shifted with breaking news that Alex Smith will be out in addition to Jay Cutler, but I still like the Bears as a 7* Top Play. Both defenses are good, but the Bears have the better defense because of their ability to force turnovers. They are tops in the league with 30 takeaways and 19 interceptions. This defense poses problems for the inexperienced Colin Kaepernick. Jason Campbell has a big edge in terms of experience, which I believe plays in Chicago's favor. The Bears are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday night games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Chicago's defense gives it an excellent opportunity to win this one outright.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +7.5
The Key: I know Memphis has been rolling and Denver has lost 3 in a row, but the Nuggets clearly aren't getting the respect they deserve here. Denver is 53-35 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons, 42-25 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and 30-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on North Carolina Greensboro +6
The Key: VA Tech can't be trusted laying points on the road. It is on a 9-21 ATS slide as a road favorite or pickem and a 5-15 ATS skid as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pickem. NC Greensboro is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 home games, 5-2 ATS in its last 7 vs. the ACC and 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games vs. a team with a winning percentage greater than .600.