Cappers Sports Picks

6* MLB Bailout on Mariners -139
The Key: The Mariners have the edge on the mound with Iwakuma, who's been lights out at home where he's sporting a 1.46 ERA this season. The Mariners are 12-3 in Iwakuma's last 15 home starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Cubs are a miserable 41-87 in their last 128 road games. Wood has been solid, but his 3.48 road ERA pales in comparison to Iwakuma's home ERA. Plus, the Cubs are 0-4 in Wood's last 4 starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. I like the M's here.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -133
The Key: The Twins have been a dead fade on Friday. They are 0-10 in Friday games this season and have lost them by an average score of 6.6 to 2.8. Looking back, the Twins are just 19-44 in their last 63 Friday games. Their Friday struggles figure to continue as they go up against the red-hot James Shields. He's been at his best on the road where his ERA is 2.50, and the Royals are 5-0 in his last 5 starts. Minnesota's P.J. Walters doesn't inspire as much confidence with an ERA of 4.34 at home and a 7.43 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Twins are 0-4 in Walters' last 4 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series. Walters is also 0-2 with an ERA of 5.40 in 2 starts versus Kansas City. Shields' teams have won 5 of his last 6 starts versus the Twins. Take KC.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 +126
The Key: The Dodgers are in the midst of their longest win streak of the season. They are 5-0 in their last five games, winning these by an average of 2.4 runs. They are in great position to extend this run with Greinke on the hill. The Dodgers are 5-0 in his home starts, during which he's posted an ERA of 2.12. These wins have come by an average of 2.6 runs. Greinke's teams are a perfect 20-0 in his home starts versus losing clubs since the start of the 2011 season and have won these starts by an average score of 6.2 to 3.3. His clubs are also 14-0 in his starts as a home favorite of -175 to -250 during this span, winning these by an average score of 5.9 to 2.4. Take the Dodgers on the run line.

7* Interleague Game of the Year on Braves -128
The Key: Oddsmakers have made a mistake by giving us the Braves at such an affordable price with Minor on the mound against a club that can't hit lefties. The Braves are 8-1 in Minor's last nine starts, including 4-0 in his road starts during this span. The Braves are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts on 5 days' rest. The Royals are batting just .223 off southpaw starters and are 2-11 in their last 13 games versus a left-handed starter. The Royals are also 0-6 in their last 6 interleague home games and 0-5 in Mendoza's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Take Atlanta.

6* NL *CA$H COW* on Brewers -130
The Key: The Brewers are 9-0 in their last nine home games versus the Cubs, and Gallardo is dealing. The right-hander, who has an ERA of 0.00 over his last three starts, has dominated the Cubs. Gallardo has a 2.95 ERA in 14 starts against them. The Brewers are 8-2 in his last 10 starts versus the Cubs and 6-1 all-time in his home starts versus Chicago. Chicago's Feldman has really struggled against division opponents this season, going 0-4 with an ERA of 6.65. Take Milwaukee.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -130
The Key: The Brewers have the advantage on the mound with Kyle Lohse, who has given up just one earned run in each of his last three starts. It looks good for Lohse that Chicago is hitting only .241 as a team. That's because he's 11-0 on the money line since the beginning of last season versus NL teams with batting average of .245 or worse. His teams have won these 11 games by an average score of 4.5 to 1.8. Lohse is also 6-0 on the money line in his last six starts against the Cubs. Chicago's Edwin Jackson, meanwhile, is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Milwaukee. The Brewers have owned the Cubs, winning 24 of the last 31 meetings overall. The Brewers are also 8-0 in their last eight at home versus Chicago. Take Milwaukee.

6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Cardinals -153
The Key: The Cardinals have had a day to regroup after getting swept by Texas, and the day off figures to serve them well as they are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day. The Cards are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games and 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games versus a right-handed starter. They are also 21-8 in their last 29 meetings with Houston. The Astros are 0-7 in their last 7 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600 and 0-5 in Harrell's last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Harrell, who has a 5.43 home ERA, is 0-3 in his last 3 starts versus St. Louis. The Astros have been outscored 16-0 in these 3 losses. Lastly, the Cardinals are 4-0 in Westbrook's last 4 starts versus the Astros. These wins have come by an average of 5.0 runs. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -115
The Key: I like Tampa Bay to bring Toronto's winning streak to an end tonight. The Blue Jays are 25-51 in their last 76 versus the Rays, including 12-39 in their last 51 in Tampa Bay. In addition, the Jays are 24-50 in their last 74 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 5-13 in their last 18 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rays are 7-2 in Jeremy Hellickson's last 9 home starts. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts when up against an opponent that allowed 5 runs or more in its previous game. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record. I have a lot more confidence in Hellickson that I do in Esmil Rogers, who has more experience as a reliever. Take Tampa Bay.

7* National League Game of the Week on Reds -125
The Key: Motivated by losses in the first two games of this series, I expect the Reds to bounce back strong Sunday afternoon. The Reds have still won 12 of their last 16 in Arizona, are 36-17 in their last 53 following defeat and 33-15 in their last 48 games as a favorite. The Reds also have the edge on the mound with Mat Latos. They are 22-8 in his last 30 starts, 25-10 in his last 35 starts as a favorite, 8-3 in his last 11 road starts and 9-2 in his last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game. In other words, Latos has been a guy the Reds can count on when needing a "W". Take Cincinnati.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -137
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to the club with the worst record in the league, the defending World Series champs will be hungry and focused this afternoon. I also expect the Giants to get a strong outing from southpaw Barry Zito given Miami's struggles against lefty starters. The Marlins are batting .208 and scoring 2.2 runs per game off left-handed starters this season. They are 9-24 in their last 33 games versus a left-handed starter. The Giants are 21-7 in Zito's last 28 starts. They are 9-2 in his last 11 starts as a home favorite, 7-1 in his last 8 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 6-0 in his last 6 starts in the third game of a series. Zito is 5-1 (6-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.45 in 8 starts versus Miami. Take San Francisco.

6* MLB Bailout on Dodgers -147
The Key: I successfully played against the Dodgers last night, but I'm backing them here with ace Clayton Kershaw (5-4, 1.84 ERA) on the hill. He gives them a decisive advantage on the mound. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Kershaw's last 5 road starts, 42-19 in his last 61 starts as a favorite and 22-7 in his last 29 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. He has a 2.44 ERA in 19 starts versus San Diego, and the Dodgers are 3-0 in his last 3 road starts against the Padres. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-0 in their last 5 in the second game of a series. San Diego's Clayton Richard (2-5, 7.01 ERA) is having a miserable season. The Padres are 1-7 in his last 8 starts, including 0-4 in his last 4 starts on regular rest. Take L.A.

6* NL *CA$H COW* on Reds -113
The Key: The Reds were upset by Pittsburgh as a -200 favorite yesterday, but recent history says they'll bounce back strong here. In fact, they are 11-0 since the start of last season off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher. Johnny Cueto has owned the NL West, Arizona specifically. The Reds are 6-0 in Cueto's last 6 starts versus National League West foes. They are also 6-0 all-time in his starts versus Arizona, and he has posted a 1.66 ERA in these games. Arizona's Wade Miley has a 6.86 ERA at home and an extra day of rest doesn't figure to help as the Diamondbacks are 0-4 in his last 4 starts on 5 days' rest. The Reds are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona. Take Cincy.

7* AL Central Game of the Year on Royals -130
The Key: The Royals are showing terrific value at this price with Jeremy Guthrie getting the ball. They are 12-1 in his last 13 home starts, including 10-0 in his last 10 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Guthrie has owned the AL Central, going 6-0 with a 1.77 ERA against division opponents this season. The Royals are 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus the AL Central and 12-1 in his last 13. He's especially had his way with Chicago. The Royals are 6-0 all-time in Guthrie's starts against the White Sox, and he's held them to 1 earned run or less in all 6. Kansas City is also 5-0 in its last 5 games as a home favorite and 4-0 in its last 4 series openers. The White Sox are really struggling, and they are 0-4 in Hector Santiago's last 4 road starts. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -132
The Key: This is a tough spot for the Dodgers, who played a double header yesterday in New York, traveled across the country and play again tonight. The Padres, who are 6-0 in their last 6 home games, find themselves in excellent hands with Jason Marquis marching out to the mound. They are 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 starts and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts. He's allowed 3 earned runs or less in each of those 7 wins. The Padres are also 4-0 in their last 4 series openers and 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 series-opening starts. Take San Diego.

7* NBA Finals Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat -5.5
The Key: San Antonio won't be able to recover from blowing an NBA title in Game 6. The Spurs appeared to have it in the bag up five with 28 seconds left, but they let it slip through their fingertips. Besides an emotional letdown, I expect a physical letdown from the Spurs. Tim Duncan and Tony Parker both logged big minutes in Game 6. With short recovery time, it will be tough for them to be at the top of their games tonight. Miami should be able to respond better to the short turnaround and will be lifted by the home crowd. The Heat are 46-7 at home where they carry a 10.5-pt average margin of victory. Also, home teams are 41-12 in the last 53 Game 7's. Lay the points.

6* NBA Finals Game 7 "Total" Annihilator on Spurs/Heat Under 189
The Key: It's hard for teams to play loose in Game 7 of the NBA Finals knowing what's at stake. We've seen a recent trend of teams struggling at the offensive end as a result. Some of the struggles can also be attributed to teams playing at a higher level on defense. We've seen only 174, 155 and 162 total points scored in the last three NBA Finals Game 7's. Playing the Under on all teams in the NBA Finals when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points has produced a 50-18 mark since 1996. We've seen just 180.4 total points scored on average in this situation. Take the Under.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -113
The Key: The Nationals have gotten their backers over the hump on Humpday as they are 22-8 in their last 30 Wednesday games. They are 5-0 in Gio Gonzalez's last 5 Wednesday starts. The Phillies haven't had as much luck in the middle of the week as they are 4-9 in their last 13 Wednesday games. The Nats are also an impressive 22-9 in their last 31 games as a road favorite and 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts as a road favorite. Gonzalez is yet to make a start against Philly this season but went 3-1 with an ERA of 2.52 against it last year. Kyle Kendrick, who has a 5.11 ERA against Washington, gave up 5 runs in 5 innings against the Nats last month. The Phillies are just 2-6 in Kendrick's last 8 starts versus the Nationals. Take Washington.

6* MLB Afternoon Delight on Giants -149
The Key: The Giants get the call with Madison Bumgarner on the bump given the level of success he's had against San Diego. The Giants are 8-1 in his last 9 starts versus the Padres and 6-0 in his last 6 home starts against them. He's allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 4 home starts versus San Diego. Eric Stults has given up 10 earned runs in 11 innings spanning 2 starts this season versus the Giants, which should not come as a big surprise considering San Fran is batting .294 and scoring 5.0 runs per game off lefty starters this season. Take the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -140
The Key: The defending World Series champs have been a tremendous investment at home where they have won 35 of their last 52. They are an even more impressive 17-6 in their last 23 home games versus a team with a winning record. And, they have won 13 of their last 17 at home versus the Padres. In addition, the Giants are 9-0 this season when they check in with 5 of 6 losses in a 7-game stretch. The Giants are 55-27 in Matt Cain's last 82 home starts and 7-2 in his last 9 starts overall. San Francisco is 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in his last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cain is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Padres. Take the Giants.

7* NBA Finals Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat -7
The Key: Miami hasn't lost consecutive games in these playoffs. It is a perfect 6-0 in the postseason following a loss and has won these games by an average of 20.7 points. Each of these wins have come by at least 11 points. Looking back further, the Heat haven't lost consecutive games since early January. They are 12-0 in their last 12 games following a loss and have won these by an average of 19.5 points with the lowest winning margin being 10 points. The defending champs have answered the bell each time they've tasted defeat over the last five months, and I expect no different tonight on their home floor. Lay the points.

6* MLB Bailout on Giants -129
The Key: San Diego is coming off a perfect hometstand, but things won't go as perfectly on the road against the defending champs with Barry Zito on the bump. The Padres are 3-13 in their last 16 visits to San Francisco, including 0-3 this season. Also, the Giants are 21-6 in Zito's last 27 starts, including a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Zito is carrying a 1.94 ERA at home this season and he's won each of his last 2 home starts against the Padres while giving up only 1 run in 15 innings. Take San Fran.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +102
The Key: The D-backs are 13-0 in Pat Corbin's starts this season, and he has posted an ERA of just 2.28 in these games. Arizona has won these games by an average of 3.2 runs so there is value in taking it on the run line. Corbin has an ERA of 1.60 at home on the season, and the D-backs are 8-0 in his last 8 home starts dating back to last season. They've won these by an average of 2.6 runs. Corbin should have plenty of success against a Miami lineup that is batting just .217 against lefties. It's also important to note that the D-backs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 in Corbin's last 4 series-opening starts. Miami is 0-5 in the first game during each of its 5 road trips this season. Take Arizona on the run line.

7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Spurs Under 188
The Key: I'm confident both teams will bring the "D" in this all-important Game 5. San Antonio knows it's not going to beat the Heat if it allows them to shoot 52.9% like it did in Game 4. The Spurs will tighten the screws defensively. I also expect them to do a much better job of taking care of the rock. San Antonio had 18 turnovers in Game 4. Those turnovers led to a lot of easy opportunities for Miami. If the Spurs cut down on the giveaways, they can keep the Heat out of transition offense. The Spurs hit 8 3-pointers in Game 4, but Miami did a much better job of chasing shooters off the 3-point line. I expect it to do an even better job in Game 5. The Heat made just 4 3-point shots in Game 4 and took just 12. I believe it will look to attack the basket again in Game 5, which bodes well for us because the 3-point shot can spoil the under. There is also a great amount of history on our side. Plays on the under on all teams in the NBA Finals when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points are 50-16 since 1996. In addition, plays under on all #1 seeds in the NBA Finals (Miami in this case) when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points are 24-5 since 1996. The defensive intensity of both teams will be at its height in Game 5, and this one should come in under the total as a result. Take the Under.

6* NBA Finals Game 5 *CA$H COW* on Spurs +1.5
The Key: Just like the Miami Heat, the Spurs have been incredibly resilient in these playoffs. San Antonio has not lost consecutive games this postseason and is a perfect 3-0 following its previous 3 postseason defeats. It has won these games by an average of 21.3 points. This is a game the Spurs know they must get because it will be extremely difficult for them to win two straight in Miami. The Spurs are 22-9 ATS all-time under coach Popovich when tied in a playoff series. They are 16-4 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent. They are also a perfect 7-0 ATS this season following a defeat at home and have won these 7 by an average of 14.0 points. Take the Spurs.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -121
The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, the A's will leave it all on the field to avoid being swept. Despite the two losses, the A's are 21-7 in their last 28 overall and 41-18 in their last 59 home games. They are 5-1 in their last 6 Game 3s of a series while the Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 Game 3s of a series. Iwakuma has been terrific for Seattle, but this will be the 3rd time the A's have seen him this season and that gives them an advantage. The Mariners have yet to face Colon this season, and I believe they're in for a rude awakening. The A's are 5-0 in his last 5 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a home favorite and 8-0 in his last 8 starts versus a team with a losing record. The A's are 41-12 in their last 53 games versus a team with a losing record and should bounce back strong here.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -132
The Key: Washington has the clear edge on the mound with Zimmerman, who is 9-3 with an ERA of 2.00. Cleveland's Kazmir is just 3-4 with an ERA of 5.33. The Nationals are 22-7 in Zimmermann's last 29 starts, 18-4 in his last 22 starts after he gives up 2 earned runs or fewer in his last 2 outings, 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the AL Central and 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Indians, on the other hand, are 0-4 in Kazmir's last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Tribe is 3-8 in its last 11 overall and 3-12 in its last 15 games as an underdog. Also, the Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 Saturday games with ump Dan Iassogna behind home plate, and the road team is 4-0 in Iassogna's last 4 games behind home plate in Cleveland. Take Washington.

6* MLB *Afternoon Delight* on Red Sox -107
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to open this 4-game set, Boston will show up at the ballpark hungry and focused. The Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss and 4-0 in their last 4 Game 3s of a series. They are also 12-5 in their last 17 games as a road favorite. The Orioles shut Boston out Friday, but they are 0-4 in their last 4 games after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Red Sox also have the edge on the mound with Lackey, who is carrying a 3.14 ERA through 10 starts. He has a 3.35 ERA in 19 starts versus Baltimore and his teams are 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the O's. Looking back further, his teams are 10-4 in his last 14 starts against them. Garcia, meanwhile, has an ERA of 4.47 through 8 starts this season and a 4.58 ERA in 23 starts versus Boston. Take the Red Sox.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Month on A's -1.5 +108
The Key: First off, the Mariners are just 2-9 in their last 11 road games and 1-11 in their last 12 games as an underdog. Oakland is 12-1 as a favorite of -150 or more this season. Secondly, the Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a left-handed starter. They lost these contests by an average of 4.8 runs. They figure to have their hands full with Tom Milone, who has a 2.43 ERA at home. The A's are 3-0 in his 3 career home starts against the Mariners, winning those by 3.3 runs on average. The A's are also 4-0 in Milone's last 4 starts series-opening starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Oakland is 10-0 this season in home games versus AL teams with a batting average of .255 or worse. It has won these games by an average of 3.0 runs. The Athletics are also 9-0 in their last 9 series openers and 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a left-handed starter. They should have their way with Joe Saunders. The Mariners are 0-6 in Saunders' 6 road starts this season, and he has an ERA of 9.00 in these games. He's also 0-2 in his last 2 starts in Oakland. Take the A's on the run line.

7* NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat +2
The Key: The defending champs won't go down without a fight. We saw the way they bounced back in Game 2, and I expect them to bounce back strong again. Miami hasn't lost 2 in a row since early January. It's a perfect 11-0 in its last 11 games following defeat with each of these 11 victories coming by double digits. It's 5-0 following a loss in these playoffs, winning these 5 by an average of 21.6 points. I expect Tony Parker to play in Game 4, but there's a good chance he'll be bothered by his hamstring. Plus, the odds are against Danny Green and Gary Neal going off again. LeBron James is the best player in the world, but he's yet to play like it in this series. That changes in Game 4. Take the Heat.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -107
The Key: The Giants have the edge on the mound with Matt Cain, who has shown the ability to rise to the occasion time and time again. The Giants are 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. This tells me Cain takes it upon himself to deliver following a rough outing from the pitching staff. Also, the Giants are 4-0 in Cain's last 4 starts as a favorite and 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus the Pirates. He has a 1.46 ERA over his last 5 starts against Pittsburgh. I expect to see a little rust on the arm of Charlie Morton as he makes his first start in the bigs since undergoing Tommy John surgery last June. The Pirates are 16-40 in Morton's last 56 starts as an underdog, 1-5 in his last 6 starts as a home underdog and 1-4 in his last 5 starts versus the Giants. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -166
The Key: The Rockies are worth the price with the southpaw De La Rosa on the mound against the worst hitting team in baseball versus left-handed pitching. The Nationals have a .209 average and .309 slugging percentage against lefties this season. The Rockies are 7-0 in De La Rosa's last 7 starts and 11-0 in his last 11 home starts. De La Rosa's teams are also 14-0 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 to -175. The Rockies are 4-0 all-time in De La Rosa's starts versus the Nationals. Also, the Rockies are 7-0 in their last 7 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher, 4-0 in their last 4 Game 2s of a series and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Take Colorado.

6* Wednesday Night Baseball *CA$H COW* on Rangers -130
The Key: I expect the Rangers to bounce back tonight against an Indiana club that is 1-8 in its last 9 games, 21-48 in its last 69 road games, 3-14 in its last 17 games as an underdog and 0-5 in its last 5 games versus a right-handed starter. Ubaldo Jimenez has shown flashes this season, but the fact of the matter is he has a 5.03 ERA through 12 starts. The Indians are 4-12 in Jimenez's last 16 road starts. The Rangers are 19-9 at home on the season and an amazing 77-32 in their last 109 games following a loss. They've won 7 of their last 9 at home versus Cleveland and 27 of their last 36 overall against the Tribe. Texas rookie Nick Tepesch has a 3.92 ERA on the season, and it's worth noting that the Indians are 15-26 in games in which they've faced a rookie starter since the beginning of last season. Take Texas.

7* NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Spurs -2
The Key: The Heat have played 8 games since they last won consecutive contests. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Miami has lost its last two on the road by 7 and 14 points. Nothing will come easy in San Antonio where the Spurs are 6-1 in the playoffs and 41-7 on the season. They are also 12-2 in their last 14 home games versus the Heat. Look for the Spurs to bounce back strong in Game 3.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -157
The Key: The Tigers are 39-14 in their last 53 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200, and I expect them to extend this run behind a gem from Scherzer, who is 8-0 with a 3.24 ERA in 12 starts. He's 2-0 with an ERA of just 1.66 in 5 road starts. The Tigers are 5-0 in Scherzer's starts versus division opponents this season. They are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus the Royals and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. Kansas City's Wade Davis is 3-5 with a 5.66 ERA in 12 starts this season. Also, his teams have lost 3 of his 4 starts versus the Tigers. Take Detroit.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Rangers -166
The Key: The Rangers are 24-7 in their last 31 meetings with Cleveland. They are 13-3 in their last 16 home meetings with the Indians. Look for Texas to continue its dominance of the Tribe behind a strong performance from Holland. The Rangers are 6-1 in Holland's last 7 starts. He's carrying a 2.82 ERA on the season, a 2.34 ERA at home and a 1.37 ERA over his last 3 starts. He's also 3-0 (5-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.31 in 6 starts versus Cleveland. The Rangers are 17-4 in Holland's last 21 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Indians, who are 0-8 in their last 8 games, are 0-6 in their last 6 games versus a left-handed starter and 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. They are 0-4 in Kluber's last 4 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus a team with a winning record. Kluber has a 5.34 ERA on the road this season. Take Texas.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -122
The Key: The Halos have the upper hand with ace Jered Weaver on the mound. They are 40-13 in his last 53 starts and 24-6 in his last 30 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher. They are also 10-3 in his last 13 road starts and 17-5 in his last 22 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Angels are 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the Orioles, and they've won these starts by an average of 6.8 runs. Freddy Garcia has a good track record against the Angels but clearly isn't the same caliber as Weaver. The O's have lost 3 of his 4 home starts this season. Take L.A.

7* NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Heat -5.5
The Key: The Heat had won 4 straight against San Antonio before going down in Game 1, and I'm confident they will respond tonight. Miami is 14-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent. It was won by an average score of 102.0 to 89.1 in this situation. Also, the Heat haven't lost consecutive games since early January. They are a perfect 10-0 in their last 10 games following a loss and have won these games by an average of 19.9 points. Each of these wins came by at least 10 points. The Heat have responded in big ways all season following defeat, and I expect no different here. Lay the points.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Mariners -145
The Key: The Mariners have the edge on the mound with Felix Hernandez, whose 2.58 ERA is well over a run lower than David Phelps 4.15 ERA. Hernandez has had plenty of success against the Yankees too. As a result, the Mariners are 8-3 in his last 11 starts against the Yanks and 4-1 in his last 5 home starts against them. He's given up 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 3 and 8 of his last 11 starts against New York. The Mariners are 22-9 in their last 31 games as a home favorite. Take Seattle.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER on Braves -134
The Key: The Braves have the edge on the mound with Kris Medlen. They are 28-8 in Medlen's last 36 starts, 19-3 in his last 22 starts versus teams that have a losing record and 7-0 in his last 7 road starts versus losing clubs. Medlen is also 1-0 (2-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.26 in two starts against the Dodgers. He gave up no earned runs on 2 hits in 7 innings of a 3-1 win over the Dodgers last month. The Dodgers are 6-15 in their last 21 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 in the third game of a series. Bet the Braves.

6* MLB Bailout on Dodgers -109
The Key: The Dodgers are showing signs of life after promoting Yasiel Puig to the bigs. They blanked the Braves 5-0 Thursday, and I expect them to come through again tonight. Atlanta's Paul Maholm has struggled on the road where he's carrying a 5.35 ERA. He's given up at least 5 runs in 3 of his last 4 road starts. He's also just 3-7 all-time on the money line in starts versus the Dodgers, including 0-2 in road starts against them. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a left-handed starter. L.A. is in good hands with Hyun-Jin Ryu. The Dodgers are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. He has a 1.57 home ERA on the season. Take the Dodgers.

7* National League Game of the Month on Rockies -155
The Key: The Rockies get the call with De La Rosa on the mound. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts overall and 10-0 in his last 10 home starts. They are also 13-0 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 to -175 and have won these by an average score of 8.2 to 3.9. In addition, Colorado is 8-0 in De La Rosa's last 8 starts versus the Padres. San Diego's Volquez is 0-3 in his last 3 starts against the Rockies. Take Colorado.

7* NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Spurs +5
The Key: The Spurs should benefit from extra rest and preparation time in Game 1 as they go up against a Miami team that is coming off a grueling 7-game series. The Heat won Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals in impressive fashion but are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. Miami has struggled in Game 1s the last two rounds as well, losing to the Bulls and edging out the Pacers in OT by a single point. You might also recall that it lost Game 1 of the NBA Finals last season. Miami was hurt on the glass last round as it didn't have the bigs to match up with Indiana. The Spurs are bigger than Miami as well, and that bodes well for us here. Consider that San Antonio is 8-0 ATS in road games played in the second half of the season the last 3 seasons versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game. The Spurs have defeated these teams by an average score of 102.0 to 94.9. This is the last rodeo for this veteran Spurs squad, and they'll leave it all on the floor in an attempt to add to their legacy with another championship. Take the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -133
The Key: The Rockies have had San Diego's number. They are 6-0 against the Padres this season and 5-0 in their last 5 home games against San Diego dating back to last season. Colorado's Chacin has been dominant against the Padres. He's 3-0 in his last 3 starts against them, holding them to 2 earned runs or fewer in each. He's held them to 1 earned run in 4 of his last 5 starts. Take Colorado.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Royals -132
The Key: Jeremy Guthrie rebounded from a poor 3-start stretch with a solid performance his last time out to help the Royals earn a 4-2 win over St. Louis. I expect him to turn in another strong outing tonight given how dominant he's been against the AL Central. Guthrie is 4-0 with a 1.59 ERA versus division opponents this season. The Royals are 17-5 in his last 22 starts, 10-1 in his last 11 home starts and 8-0 in his last 8 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Guthrie is also 5-2 in his last 7 starts versus the Twins. Take Kansas City.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Angels -148
The Key: The Halos have the edge on the hill with Jason Vargas. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts. Vargas is also 2-0 all-time on the money line in 2 home starts versus the Cubs. The Cubs are 2-9 in Matt Garza's last 11 road starts and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. Garza is 0-4 lifetime on the money line versus the Angels with an ERA of 5.87 in these starts. Take Los Angeles.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -117
The Key: The Giants have been unstoppable at home with Barry Zito on the bump. They are 14-0 in his last 14 home starts. Plus, Zito's teams are 6-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Blue Jays. R.A. Dickey has been rocked in each of his last two starts, and the Jays are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -131
The Key: I'm fading San Diego's Clayton Richard here. The Padres are 0-5 in his last 5 starts, and he's given up at least 5 runs in each of his last 4. The Padres are also 0-4 in Richard's last 4 road starts, and he's been tagged for at least 5 runs in each of these. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus a left-handed starter and 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a team with a losing record. Ted Lilly has a terrific track record against the Padres. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Lilly's last 4 home starts versus the Pads, and he has held them to 2 runs or fewer in each of his last 7 starts against them. The Dodgers are 7-0 in Lilly's last 7 home starts versus a team with a losing record. Take L.A.

6* MLB *TOP DOG* on Brewers +110
The Key: I'll gladly get behind Kyle Lohse, who's more proven than A.J. Griffin. Plus, Lohse's home ERA is lower than Griffin's road ERA. Lohse's teams are 24-13 all-time as a home underdog of +125 or less. The Brewers are happy to invite all right-handers to Miller Park as they are 94-48 against righty starters at home since the start of the 2011 season. The Brew Crew is 7-3 in its last 10 interleague home games versus a right-handed starter and 5-2 in its last 7 interleague games as an underdog. Bet the Beermakers.

7* NBA Playoffs 3rd Round Game of the Year on Heat -7
The Key: Miami will be able to deal with the pressure of a Game 7 on this big of a stage better than Indiana. In Game 7 of last year's Eastern Conference Finals, the Heat covered an 8-point spread with a 101-88 home win over Boston. The Big Three showed up in that game as they combined for 73 points. I believe LeBron James will finally get some help from D-Wade and Bosh tonight. Those two are just too good to lay another egg. Taking favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a loss where they were held to less than 85 points and are off an upset loss of 10 points or more on the road has produced a 24-4 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting in this system have been favored by 6.9 points on average and have won by 12.8 on average. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Heat are also 13-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent. They have won by an average score of 102.2 to 89.8 in this spot. Lay the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -128
The Key: Pittsburgh's A.J. Burnett hasn't been a good investment in the underdog role. In fact, the Pirates are 3-8 in Burnett's last 11 starts as an underdog, including 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. We also can't ignore how much Pittsburgh has struggled in series openers. The Pirates are 16-35 in their last 51 series openers and 2-8 in Burnett's last 10 starts in the first game of a series. The Braves, on the other hand, are 14-4 in their last 18 Game 1's and 9-0 in Kris Medlen's last 9 series-opening starts. The Braves are 15-4 in Medlen's last 19 home starts and 22-6 in his last 28 starts as a favorite. It is also worth noting that Atlanta is 4-0 in its last 4 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Bet the Braves.

6* MLB Late Afternoon Annihilator on Rockies -132
The Key: De La Rosa doesn't have a good track record against the Dodgers, but I can't ignore how good he's been at home in recent years. He hasn't faced the Dodgers at Coors Field since 2009, and I expect L.A. to be in for a rude awakening. The Rockies are a ridiculous 28-4 in De La Rosa's last 32 home starts, including a perfect 9-0 in his last 9 dating back to the start of the 2011 season. The Rockies have won these 9 by an average score of 7.4 to 3.6. The Dodgers are 2-12 in their last 14 games as a road underdog, 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a left-handed starter and 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Colorado. Take the Rockies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Diamondbacks -140
The Key: The D-backs have the edge on the mound with southpaw Pat Corbin. The Rockies are 10-0 in his starts this season, during which he's posted an ERA of 1.71. He should have plenty of success against a Chicago lineup that has a terrible .264 on-base percentage against lefty starters. Chicago's Edwin Jackson has struggled, especially at home. The Cubs are 0-5 in his home starts this season, during which he's posted an ERA of 7.81. Take Arizona.

6* Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 *CA$H COW* on Heat -2.5
The Key: Indiana is a terrific basketball team, but it's missing one thing - LeBron James. James was the difference in Game 5, and he'll be the difference tonight. The Heat are 2-0 in closeout games in these playoffs and 5-0 in closeout games dating back to last year's playoffs. They won Game 6 at Indiana to win the series in last year's postseason, and I expect history to repeat itself. The Heat are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 18-8 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more this season. The Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and 25-40 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Lay the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -134
The Key: The Tigers have the edge on the mound with Verlander, who has dominated Baltimore throughout his career. He's 7-0 (10-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.85 in 11 career starts versus the Orioles. The Tigers are 6-0 all-time in his road starts versus Baltimore, winning these by an average of 3.5 runs. The Orioles have done well with Hammel on the hill, but his 6.37 home ERA throws up a big red flag. Take the Tigers.

6* MLB Early Annihilator on Twins -123
The Key: The Twins have the edge on the mound with Correia. They are 4-1 in his 5 home starts, during which he's posted a 2.50 ERA. Seattle's Harang has struggled on the road where he's 0-3 with a 10.67 ERA in 3 starts. The Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 games in the underdog role, and they're also 0-4 in their last 4 Game 2s of a series. Take the Twins early.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* of the Week on Phillies -125
The Key: It's been a rough start to the season for Hamels, but he's been better than his record indicates. I expect a gem out of him tonight against the struggling Brewers. The Brewers are 5-22 in their last 27 overall, including 0-6 in their last 6 games. Milwaukee has really struggled against southpaw starters this year. It is just 4-18 against them on the season, including 0-7 in its last 7 on the road against lefty starters. Hamels is 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the Brewers. Gallardo is typically never as good on the road, and the Brewers are 0-5 in his last 5 starts. The Brewers are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings and 11-30 in the last 41 meetings in Philadelphia. Take the Phillies.

7* NBA Playoffs "Total" Annihilator on Pacers/Heat Under 185.5
The Key: We saw 191 total points scored in Game 4, and these teams have combined for at least 190 points in each of the last 6 meetings. And yet oddsmakers have come up with a number of 185.5? The books are begging for the money to come in on the over, but we won't oblige them. The defensive intensity of this series will be at an all-time high tonight, and this one should find its way under the number as a result. Both teams have played to the over in their last 5 games. However, plays "under" on any team after 5 or more consecutive overs, provided it is a good team that outscores opponents by 3.0 points per game or more, are 156-96 since 1996. This system, which applies to both teams, is 10-5 this season. Also, plays "under" on all teams when total is between 180 and 189.5 points in a playoff series that is tied are 104-64 since 1996. We've seen an average posted total of 184.5 in these games but have seen just 181.3 total points scored on average. Take the Under.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants +101
The Key: The Athletics have taken the first 3 games of this home-and-home four-game series, but that won't keep me off the defending World Series champs here. After all, the Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 3 games of a series. Former Oakland ace Barry Zito has a 1.38 ERA at home this season, and the Giants are 13-0 in his last 13 home starts dating back to last season. The Giants are 6-0 in his last 6 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home underdog. Zito is also 2-0 in his last 2 home starts versus the A's. Oakland's A.J. Griffin has an ERA of 4.31 on the road this season, and the Athletics are 2-11 in the last 13 meetings in San Francisco. Take the Giants.

6* MLB Battle on the Bay Bailout on Giants -123
The Key: The reigning World Series champs lost both in Oakland, but I expect them to regroup at home where they have won 35 of their last 52. Also, keep in mind that they are 11-1 in their last 12 home games against the A's. I trust Lincecum more at home, where he's 2-2 with a 4.01 ERA, than I trust Milone on the road, where he's 1-3 with a 5.28 ERA. Plus, Lincecum has a good track record against the A's. The Giants are 6-2 in his last 8 starts against them, and he has limited them to 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of these starts. Also, the former two-time NL Cy Young winner is 5-0 on the money line in his last 5 starts when getting the ball on regular rest. Take the Giants.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -133
The Key: The Indians lost both games in Cincinnati, but I expect them to bounce back strong at home where they have won 13 of their last 17 overall. They are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games and 7-0 in their last 7 home games versus the Reds. Justin Masterson is having a sensational season, and he's been lights out at home lately. The Indians are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts, and he's given up no runs in his last 2 home starts spanning 16 innings. Masterson is also 2-0 in his last 2 starts versus the Reds, holding them to 1 earned run in 17 innings during this stretch. Cincy's Bronson Arroyo hasn't been as sharp on the road where he's 1-3. He's also had his share of struggles against the Tribe, going 0-3 with a 11.20 ERA in his last three 3 starts against them. Take the Indians on the money line.

7* Conference Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Pacers UNDER 185.5
The Key: Indiana knows it must play better defensively if it's going to win this series. After allowing the Heat to shoot 54.5% from the field in Game 3, expect the best defensive team in the NBA to tighten the screws tonight. The Pacers have allowed just 90.1 ppg at home on 41.4% shooting on the season. The Heat are on a 73-43 Unders run in road games versus teams that allow 91 points or less per game. It is also worth noting that Indiana is on a 56-24 Unders run when out for revenge for a home loss of 10 points or more to an opponent. Miami is on a 59-33 Unders run in games following a blowout win of 15 points or more. Bet the Under.

6* NBA Playoffs Game 4 *CA$H COW* on Pacers +3
The Key: I'll gladly take the Pacers catching points at home in this bounce back spot. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 13-5 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Despite the Game 3 defeat, the Pacers have still won 2 of 3 at home against the Heat this season with 2 of those wins coming by double digits. They may be down 1-2 in this series, but one of those defeats came by a single point in OT. Take the points.

6* MLB Top Dog on Phillies +116
The Key: The Phillies are showing value at this price considering the edge they have on the mound with Cliff Lee. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts, during which he has allowed a total of 4 runs in 31 innings. The Phillies are 5-0 in Lee's last 5 starts as an underdog. Boston's Ryan Dempster, on the other hand, has been struggling. He's given up 19 runs in his last 4 starts spanning 19 2-3 innings. The Red Sox are 0-3 in his last 3 home starts. Take the Phillies.

6* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Rays -1.5 -106
The Key: The Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 games and have lost these by an average of 2.5 runs. They are also 0-6 in their last 6 road games, losing these by an average of 2.7 runs. Miami is 0-3 in Kevin Slowey's last 3 starts. These losses came by an average of 5.3 runs, which isn't hard to believe considering Slowey posted an 8.52 ERA during this stretch. Jeremy Hellickson has struggled but enters with confidence following his best start of the season. Besides, the Rays have won 5 of his last 6 home starts dating back to last season. The Marlins are 9-24 in the last 33 meetings and 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay. Take the Rays on the run line.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -2.5
The Key: The Grizzlies are down 0-3, but this series has been much closer than that as they lost the last two games in OT. They aren't about to roll over here. That's not the personality of this team. Memphis is the first team in NBA history to fall behind 0-2 and win four straight by double digits. It pulled off that feat in the first round against the Clippers. Also, it hasn't been swept in the postseason since 2006. The Spurs caught a break with there being 3 days in between Game 2 and 3. They aren't as fortunate here with only 1 day in between games, and I expect them to feel the effects of the Game 3 overtime contest more than Memphis, which is younger and will be able to feed off the energy of the crowd. The Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. They are also 7-0 ATS this season when they check in with losses in 3 of their last 4 games. They have won by an average score of 92.0 to 82.6 in this situation. Lay the points.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on White Sox -116
The Key: The Cubs pulled out a win yesterday to end a 6-game skid but are 10-26 in their last 36 games following a win. They are 11-25 in their last 36 interleague road games and 3-8 in their last 11 meetings with the White Sox. Samardzija has pitched well but has suffered from a lack of run support. Plus, he's been hit hard in 3 of his last 5 road starts, and the Cubs are 0-5 in those starts. The White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite and 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games. They are in good hands with Quintana on the mound considering the Cubs just 4-10 against southpaw starters this season. Quintana is working off a game, and the White Sox are 12-1 in his last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Take the South Siders.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat pk
The Key: Miami hasn't lost consecutive games since early January. It is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games following a defeat, and I expect this trend to continue. It is also worth noting that the Heat are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 road games, and that Indiana is 3-11 ATS this season following a win by 6 points or less. The Pacers have actually lost by an average of 2.3 points in this situation. In addition, road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that check in off an upset loss at home, provided they are playing 3 or less games in 10 days, are 25-6 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting this situation are winning by 6.6 points on average. LeBron James failed down the stretch in Game 2, but I don't see it happening again. Plus, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh won't shoot a combined 42.8% from the field again. Both players shot over 50% during the regular season. I also expect the Heat to pick up the defensive intensity after allowing Indiana to shoot 50.0% in Game 2. Take Miami.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -121
The Key: The Brewers are showing value at home at this price given the dominance Gallardo has displayed against the Pirates. The right-hander is 10-2 (14-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.31 in 16 career starts versus Pittsburgh. Also, the Brewers are 9-0 all-time in Gallardo's home starts versus the Pirates. Wandy Rodriguez is 1-3 on the money line in his last 4 starts versus the Brewers. He's also 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 and 2-10 on the money line in his last 12 starts at Milwaukee. The Pirates are 8-45 in the last 53 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet the Brew Crew.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Grizzlies -5.5
The Key: This is basically a must-win game for Memphis given the history of teams facing 0-3 deficits, and I expect it to rise to the occasion. The Grizzlies erased a 13-point 4th-quarter deficit in Game 2 and nearly pulled it out in overtime despite shooting only 34.0% from the field. The comeback speaks volumes about what this team is capable of doing defensively, and I believe it will tighten the screws even more in Game 3. Down 0-2 to the Clippers in the first round, Memphis responded with a 94-82 home win in Game 3 and never lost again in the series. After losing Game 1 to the Thunder, it bounced back to win four straight. You can be rest assured that Memphis still believes it can win this series. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Also, the home team is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings with a 9.4-point average winning margin. Lay the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -123
The Key: I'm backing Barry Zito at home where he has been lights out. The Giants are 5-0 in Zito's home starts this season, during which he has posted an ERA of 0.55. Dating back to last season, the Giants are 12-0 in his last 12 home starts. Zito was rocked in Colorado in his most recent start, but he normally gets the best of the Rockies. The Giants are 4-1 in his last 5 starts versus Rockies. They are also 7-1 in his last 8 home starts versus the Rockies, including a perfect 3-0 in his last 3. The Rockies are only 6-20 in the last 26 meetings in San Francisco. Take the Giants.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Heat -7
The Key: Indiana did everything it wanted to do in Game 1, and it still wasn't enough. Not winning that game will come back to haunt the Pacers as I believe the Heat will take things up a notch tonight. Miami is going to shoot 27.8% from 3-point range again tonight. This is a team that averages 39.8% from long range at home on the season. The Heat aren't going to shoot 64.0% from the foul line either. They average 77.0% from the charity stripe at home. I also don't see Miami committing 20 turnovers again considering they average just 13.0 a game. The Heat are 42-5 at home on the season and have won these games by an average score of 105.7 to 94.9. The home team is 4-0 in the last meetings between these teams with these wins coming by an average of 9.5 points. Also, Miami is 7-1 in its last 8 home games versus the Pacers with the wins coming by an average of 14.0 points. Miami is 32-18 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season, and Indiana is 8-17 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Lay the points.

7* NL Central Game of the Month on Brewers -104
The Key: The Brewers are 44-7 in their last 51 at home versus the Pirates, and I expect them to continue their home dominance against their NL Central rivals tonight. Milwaukee's Marco Estrada has owned Pittsburgh, as evidenced by the fact he has a 2.47 ERA in 7 starts against the Bucs. The Brewers are 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 starts versus Pirates, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as an underdog, 6-0 in his last 6 series-opening starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts on 5 days' rest. A.J. Burnett hasn't had much luck against the Brew Crew, as evidenced by his 4.87 ERA in 10 starts against them. The Pirates are 0-4 in Burnett's last 4 starts versus the Brewers and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record. Bet the Beermakers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -130
The Key: I'm fading Joe Blanton here. The right-hander has a 6.62 ERA on the season and an 8.04 ERA over his last three starts. The Angels are 0-4 this season in his road starts, 0-7 in his night starts and 0-4 in his series-opening starts. He is also 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Kansas City. He was tagged for 7 earned runs in 4 2-3 innings of an 11-4 loss to the Royals May 13. Former Angel Ervin Santana has an ERA of 2.77, and that number is down to 1.84 at home. His knowledge of the L.A. hitters should play to his benefit. The Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take Kansas City.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Heat -7.5
The Key: Miami came out flat in Game 1 of its last series and lost that game to Chicago. It also found itself in a 2-1 hole in last year's playoff series with Indiana. Both of these things assure us the Heat will be very focused heading into Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The home team went 3-0 during the regular season with each of these wins coming by at least 10 points. Miami won its lone regular season home game against the Pacers by 14 points. It is 6-1 in its last 7 home games against the Pacers with the 6 wins coming by an average of 16.2 points. Indiana has struggled on the road all season. It is just 2-6 in its last 8 road games with all of the losses coming by double digits. The Pacers are 7-17 ATS this season in road games when playing against a team with a winning record. They are 8-19 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons while Miami is 32-17 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Heat are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Lay the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -126
The Key: The Red Sox have the edge on the mound with Buchholz, who is 6-0 with a 1.78 ERA in 9 starts, including 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in 3 road starts. The Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. They are also 26-5 in Buchholz's last 31 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. It is also significant that Buchholz has a WHIP of just 1.035 given the White Sox are 6-18 in their last 24 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The White Sox are 0-3 in Santiago's last 3 starts. Bet Bean Town.

6* MLB Afternoon Annihilator on Rockies -128
The Key: The Rockies are in great hands with Jorge De La Rosa on the mound. They are an awesome 27-4 in his last 31 home starts. It is also worth noting that they have never lost to the Diamondbacks at Coors Field with De La Rosa on the bump. They are 8-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Diamondbacks. De La Rosa has a 2.41 ERA in 14 career starts versus Arizona while Cahill has a 4.87 ERA in 7 starts versus the Rockies. Cahill has lost his last 2 starts in Colorado and 3 of his last 4 overall against the Rockies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -140
The Key: The Cards have the edge on the mound with Wainwright, who's 5-3 with a 2.51 ERA. Compare that to San Diego's Volquez, who's 3-4 with a 5.55 ERA. Wainwright has also been lights out against the Padres, going 3-2 with a 0.97 ERA in 5 career starts. Volquez is 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA in 9 starts against St. Louis. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright's last 4 road starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite. The Padres are 3-7 in Volquez's last 10 starts, and he's 1-4 on the money line in his last 5 versus the Cards. Take St. Louis.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies +5.5
The Key: Memphis is incredibly resilient. It has lost consecutive games just once in these playoffs, and it lost by only 2 points in that second loss. Those 2 defeats came in its first two playoff games. The Grizzlies are 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS since. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. 3 of 4 regular-season meetings between these teams were decided by 4 points or fewer, and I expect another close game here as the Grizzlies, who are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, tighten the screws defensively. The Grizzlies are 13-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent. They are also 17-5 ATS under coach Hollins when out for revenge for a blowout loss of 20 points or more to an opponent. Take the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -135
The Key: The Giants are happy to be home after losing the last three of a four-game series in Colorado. They are 20-7 in their last 27 home games and 12-3 in their last 15 home games versus a team with a winning record. Ryan Vogelsong has struggled, but I expect his best outing of the season tonight. The Nationals are hitting just .224 on the road, and he knows he needs a quality start if he wants to remain in the rotation. The Giants are 14-5 in Vogelsong's last 19 home starts and 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a winning record. Washington's Zach Duke hasn't started since July 10, 2011 and he's been hit hard in two appearances this season. He gave up three runs in three innings of an 8-1 loss to Atlanta on April 30 and allowed four runs in two-thirds of inning as Washington fell 8-2 to the Chicago Cubs on May 11. Duke's clubs are 9-32 all-time in his starts as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Take the Giants.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Spurs -4.5
The Key: The Grizzlies are 0-2 in Game 1s in these playoffs, losing them by an average of 11.5 points, while the Spurs are 2-0 in Game 1s, winning them by an average of 7.0 points. The biggest reason why the Spurs have jumped out to 1-0 series leads is because they've played their Game 1s at home where they are 39-7 on the season. The Grizzlies have played both of theirs on the road. Home court has certainly mattered when these two do battle as the home team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with an average winning margin of 8.0 points. The Spurs are 6-0 in their last 6 home games versus the Grizzlies and have won these by an average of 10.2 points. Lay the points.

6* MLB Early Annihilator on Orioles +101
The Key: The Orioles have lost the first two games of this series and will be extremely hungry and focused as a result. They are 5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Baltimore is in good hands with Chris Tillman, who has a 1.71 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Orioles are 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts versus a team with a winning record. It is also worth noting that they are 6-1 in Tillman's last 7 starts as an underdog. Moore is off to a strong start for Tampa Bay and has a win in Baltimore this season. However, he had lost his previous two starts in Baltimore, and the Rays are just 3-7 in his last 10 starts as a road favorite. Take the Orioles.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Knicks/Pacers Over 178.5
The Key: Plays on the over on all teams that check in off a road loss of 10 points or more and are playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 82-38 since 1996 when the total 179.5 points or less. This system is a perfect 5-0 the last 3 seasons. The over is also 11-2 in the Pacers' last 13 games following a loss and 6-2 in their last 8 home games. We saw 160 total points in Game 5, but Indiana was 19 of 33 from the free throw line and made just 6 3-point shots. It has made at least 8 3's in each of the first 4 games of the series. While I expect Indiana to shoot better at home, I also expect the Knicks to continue the offensive improvement they showed in Game 5. They know they need to push the ball to be successful. The pace should be faster tonight than it was in the previous two games in Indiana. Take the Over.

6* MLB Early Blowout on Indians -155
The Key: The Indians have won 15 of their last 19 and find themselves in good hands with Zach McAllister stepping to the mound. The Tribe is 3-0 in his last 3 starts, and he's posted a 1.74 ERA during this span. The Mariners have struggled against righty starters this season and are 4-10 in their last 14 road games against them. The Indians, on the other hand, are 5-1 in their last 6 games versus a left-handed starter and should be able to get to Joe Saunders. The southpaw is 0-4 with an ERA of 12.53 on the road this season. These 4 losses came by an average of 6.5 runs. Saunders is also 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Cleveland. Take the Tribe.

7* Run Line Rout of the Week on Pirates -1.5 +100
The Key: The Pirates have owned the Astros. They've won 12 of the last 16 meetings overall and 16 of the last 21 at home. Plus, they've never lost to Houston when facing Jordan Lyles. They are 5-0 against the 'stros when Lyles gets the start. Lyles has a 7.77 ERA in these 5 starts. It's also worth noting that the Astros are 0-9 in Lyles' last 9 starts as a road underdog of +151 to +200 and 0-7 in his last 7 interleague starts. Take Pittsburgh on the run line.

6* Money Line Massacre on Orioles -115
The Key: The Orioles are a good buy here as they are 10-4 in their last 14 games against the Rays. They are also 6-1 in their last 7 home games versus Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay's Jeremy Hellickson has been hit hard over his last 4 starts. Plus, the Rays are 0-8 in Hellickson's last 8 road starts, 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a road underdog and 0-5 in his last 5 road starts versus a team with a winning record. The Orioles are 6-0 in Jason Hammel's last 6 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take Baltimore.

7* NBA Playoffs 2nd Round Game of the Year on Knicks -5
The Key: Back home and needing a win to stay alive, I fully expect the Knicks to rise to the occasion. Indiana won Games 3 and 4 at home by double digits, but the Knicks are on a 22-8 ATS run when checking in off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 points or more. Plus, the home team is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. These 8 wins have come by an average of 14.6 points with all of them coming by at least 5. It is also worth noting that the Knicks are 29-15 ATS the last 3 seasons as a home favorite of 6 points or less. Lay the points.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Yankees -163
The Key: The Yankees have an advantage on the mound that's worth paying the juice for. New York's Andy Pettitte is 4-2 with a 3.83 ERA while Seattle's Aaron Harang is 1-4 with a 7.30 ERA. It is also worth noting that Pettitte has given up 2 earned runs or less in 6 of his last 8 starts against Seattle. The Yankees are 70-25 in Pettitte's last 95 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 45-10 in his last 55 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Mariners are 33-92 in their last 125 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. Take the Yanks.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder -4
The Key: The defending Western Conference champs aren't going to go down without a fight. They are down 1-3 in the series but could easily be up 3-1 had Kevin Durant been able to close out games. Durant can't be at all happy with how he's performed late in games, and I expect him to respond tonight as he feeds off the energy of the home crowd. The Thunder are an impressive 16-6 ATS the last 2 seasons in home games when out for revenge for a same-season loss. They have won by an average score of 106.4 to 94.0 in this situation. Lay the points.

6* Wednesday Night Baseball *CA$H COW* on Rays -118
The Key: The Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 games, and I expect them to keep right on rolling against the Red Sox, who are 0-4 in their last 4 road games and 4-22 in their last 26 road games versus clubs that have a winning record. Boston is hitting just .249 and scoring only 3.9 runs per game off left-handed starters this season and is 0-5 in its last 5 games versus a left-handed starter as a result. It will have its work cut out for itself against David Price, who is 8-4 lifetime with a 2.99 ERA versus the Red Sox. The Rays are 3-0 in his last 3 home starts versus Boston. While Boston has struggled against southpaw starters, Tampa Bay has flourished. It's hitting them at a .273 clip and averaging 5.3 runs per game against them. The Rays have had their share of success against Jon Lester lately. He's 1-4 on the money line in his last 5 starts against them. Take Tampa Bay.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bulls +14.5
The Key: The Bulls aren't winning this series, but this game is about pride. They were brutally embarrassed last time out as Miami held them to 25.7% shooting and 65 points. Chicago will leave it all on the floor tonight to save face and to make Miami earn the "W". The Bulls are an awesome 10-1 ATS the last 3 seasons when playing with triple revenge. The Heat are 0-7 ATS in home games this season following 2 or more consecutive road wins. They have won in this situation, but only by 2.0 points on average. Take the points.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Warriors/Spurs Over 194.5
The Key: These teams have finished under the total in 3 consecutive games as each has shot below 40% twice during this stretch. I don't see the cold shooting continuing. Offensively, Golden State has been just as good on the road this season. It averages 101.7 ppg on the road, which is what it averages on the season. However, it isn't nearly as good defensively on the road where it has allowed 103.5 ppg. The Spurs are much better offensively at home where they average 104.5 ppg on 49.1% shooting. 13 of the last 15 meetings between these teams in San Antonio have gone over the posted total for this game. Take the Over.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Orioles -132
The Key: The Orioles have the edge on the mound with Chris Tillman. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts, and he's posted a 2.03 ERA during this span. The Orioles are also 5-0 in Tillman's last 5 starts series-opening starts. San Diego's Andrew Cashner is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in 2 road starts this season. Plus, the Padres have struggled on the road in general. They are 0-6 in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a right-handed starter. Bet Baltimore.

7* Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Knicks +5.5
The Key: The Pacers held the Knicks to only 71 points in Game 3, but there is plenty of history supporting a bounce-back from New York tonight. Road teams that check in off a road loss where they were held to less than 80 points, provided they are playing 6 games or less in 14 days, are 27-11 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, the Knicks are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games after being held to less than 75 points in their previous game while the Pacers are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. New York is also a fantastic 33-15 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less the last 3 seasons. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder +4.5
The Key: I expect the Thunder to even this series tonight, but I'll take the points for insurance. Oklahoma City has lost 3 consecutive games only once this season, and it lost the third game during that stretch by just 3 points on the road versus Houston. The Thunder have lost consecutive games 3 other times and responded with a win in each of these instances. OKC has been very resilient over the years, as evidenced by the fact its 38-18 ATS in its last 56 games following a loss. The Thunder have also been outstanding in revenge spots, going 106-66 ATS when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent under coach Brooks. They are 45-28 ATS under Brooks when playing with double revenge. It is also worth noting that the Thunder are on a 49-31 ATS run as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Take the points.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Cardinals -1.5 +119
The Key: The Cardinals have the edge on the mound with Lynn, who has a 2.72 ERA on the season and a 1.35 ERA at home. The Cards are 6-0 in his last 6 regular-season home starts and have won these by 4.33 runs on average. They are also 7-0 in his last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game. New York's Hefner has an ERA of 4.24 and that number balloons to 5.73 on the road. The Mets are 0-6 in his last 6 starts, losing these by 2.0 runs on average. The Mets are batting just .233 against righty starters this season and are 0-7 in their last 7 games versus a right-handed starter. The Cards are hitting .272 against righty starters and are 9-0 in their last 9 games versus them. The Mets are only 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in St. Louis. Take the Cards on the run line.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Heat/Bulls Under 187
The Key: The Bulls hang their hat on defense so they are not at all happy with the fact they have allowed Miami to shoot 60% and 50% the last two games. Having had two days to rest and prepare, and knowing they need a win here to have a chance at winning the series, I expect a tremendous defensive effort from the Bulls. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls' last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Chicago is also 9-1 under the last two seasons off a home loss by 10 points or more. It's also worth noting that the Bulls are on a 31-15 unders run when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that scored 100 points or more on them. The extra rest should help Miami's defense too. The under is 7-1 in the Heat's last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Plus, Miami won't be able to keep up its hot shooting. It's on a 34-16 unders run following 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. Take the Under.

6* Sunday Night Baseball *CA$H COW* on White Sox -118
The Key: The Angels have won the first two games of this series but are still just 6-13 in their last 19 road games and 4-9 in their last 13 in the third game of a series. The White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 Game 3's and find themselves in good hands with Chris Sale toeing the rubber. The White Sox are 13-3 in Sale's last 16 home starts, including a perfect 3-0 this season. He has an ERA of just 2.08 in those 3 wins. The Sox are also 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus teams with a losing record and 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus the American League West. C.J. Wilson has pitched well for the Angels but hasn't been as sharp as Sale. His road ERA (3.75) is nearly 2 runs higher than Sale's home ERA. The Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take the South Siders.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Warriors +1.5
The Key: I expect the Warriors to bounce back here. They will be lacking no confidence because of how well they performed in the first two games of the series. Plus, I believe they'll be the fresher team. This will be the fourth game in six days for these teams, which favors the more youthful Warriors. Stephen Curry is listed as probable, but I believe Golden State has enough fire power to get the job done even if he's limited by his ankle. The Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home while the Spurs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a win. The Warriors are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 1 day of rest while the Spurs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games when playing on 1 day of rest. Take Golden State.

6* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Nationals -1.5 +128
The Key: The Cubs won yesterday but had lost 5 straight to Washington by an average of 5.2 runs prior. Gio Gonzalez has been the NL Central's worst nightmare. The Nationals are 13-1 in his 14 starts against the NL Central and have won these by an average score of 6.6 to 3.2. They have won both of his starts against the Cubs by 3 and 8 runs. It's also noting that Washington is 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200, winning these by an average of 4.75 runs. The Cubs are 8-23 in their last 31 games following a win, 14-42 in their last 56 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200 and 3-9 in their last 12 games versus a left-handed starter. Take Washington on the run line.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers -4
Bottom Line: The Pacers were crushed in Game 2 as they turned the ball over 21 times and gave up 10 3-point makes. Look for them to come storming back in Game 3 as they take better care of the rock and tighten the screws on their perimeter defense. Indiana only averages 14 turnovers at home on the season. Also, it ranked No. 1 in the NBA in 3-point field goal percentage defense during the regular season, limiting foes to 32.7% from beyond the arc. The Pacers have held the Knicks to 4 and 5 3-point makes, respectively, in their last 2 visits to Indiana. The Pacers are 14-5 ATS in home games this season versus good 3-point shooting teams that make 36% or more of their attempts. They have defeated these foes by an average score of 101.4 to 89.3. This trend says a lot about how well they defend the 3-point shot. The Pacers are also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The home team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings with all 6 wins coming by at least 5 points. Mike Woodson's teams are 4-15 ATS all-time in road playoff games. Lay the points.