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MLB : Marlins vs. Braves
final | ML | O/U | SCORE |
---|---|---|---|
Marlins | 175.0 |
Over 8.00 |
14 |
Braves | -190.0 | 8 |
Free Picks
Sean Murphy
Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Atlanta over Miami at 7:20 pm et on Tuesday.
The Braves couldn't hold a late lead last night, ultimately falling 5-3 in extra innings in their second consecutive heart-breaking loss against an N.L. East opponent. I do expect them to bounce back on Tuesday, however, as they send Max Fried to the hill against Pablo Lopez. Fried will be looking to put a tough start to the season behind him. Here in April it's important not to overreact to early results as we're talking about very small sample sizes. Fried has posted an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.43 through two starts but should bounce back against a Marlins club he owns a career 6-1 team record against. Note that Fried owns an impressive 53.1% career ground ball percentage not to mention a 15.9% fly ball percentage - seven full percentage points below the MLB average. Keep in mind, Fried finished fifth in N.L. Cy Young Award voting and 18th in N.L. MVP voting, along with earning his first career Gold Glove. The Braves are 13-1 in Fried's last 14 starts as a favorite, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 3.7 runs in those contests. Pablo Lopez has shown some improvement each season with the Marlins but owns a career 2-7 team record in starts against the Braves. Note that he has made it through six innings in just three of nine career outings against Atlanta. Take Atlanta (8*).
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For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.