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NCAA-F : Kent State vs. Buffalo
final | SIDE | O/U | SCORE |
---|---|---|---|
Kent State | 9.5 |
Over 66.50 |
41 |
Buffalo | -9.5 | 70 |
Free Picks
Jack Jones
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Buffalo -7
The Buffalo Bulls are the best team in the MAC this year.  They went 8-5 last season and while they didn’t win the MAC, I would have had them favored over every team in the conference in the title game.  They were 2nd in the MAC with a +138.0 yards per game differential and they only got better as the season went on.
Now head coach Lance Leipold has his best team yet with 15 returning starters, making the Bulls the 16th-most experienced team in the country. Â They also got in nine spring practices, which was the second-most in the MAC. Â That was a huge advantage heading into this shortened MAC season.
The Bulls are loaded everywhere on offense with eight returning starters. Â They have two 1,000-yard rushers in Jaret Patterson (1,799 yards, 19 TD, 5.8/carry last year) and Kevin Marks (1,035, 8 TD, 4.6/carry). Â Each of their top three receivers are back as are their top two quarterbacks. Â They return seven starters defensively from a unit that gave up just 21.3 points per game last year. Â They are great at getting after opposing quarterbacks, recording 43 sacks last year.
Buffalo got off to a nice start this season with a 49-30 win as a closing 14.5-point favorite at Northern Illinois. Â Buffalo led 49-16 with five minutes left in the 4th quarter. Â Northern Illinois tacked on two garbage touchdowns in the final five minutes to make the score appear closer than it was. Â The Bulls averaged 7.0 yards per play offensively while giving up just 5.0 yards per play to the Huskies.
They then crushed Miami Ohio 42-10 as a 7-point favorite.  They outgained the Redhawks 558 to 258 for the game.  That’s a Miami Ohio team that was the defending MAC champions.  And last week Buffalo made easy work of Bowling Green 42-17, but they did fail to cover as 31.5-point favorites after taking their foot off the gas in the 4th quarter.
Now Buffalo comes in highly motivated this week to avenge a fluky 27-30 loss to Kent State last year. Â The Bulls blew a 27-6 lead in the 4th quarter as the Golden Flashes outscored them 24-0 over the final eight minutes of that game. Â That is not going to happen again, and the Bulls have not forgotten. Â They are the more complete team here and should be more than 7-point favorites.
But Kent State is getting respect from oddsmakers after starting 3-0 against three of the worst teams in the MAC. Â Two of the wins came against Akron and Bowling Green, which are easily the two worst teams in the conference. Â And the other was a 27-23 win over Eastern Michigan as 5.5-point favorites. Â This is a big step up in class here for the Golden Flashes.
The Bulls are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games.  Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite.  It’s revenge time for the Bulls here.  Bet Buffalo Saturday.
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For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.