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NFL : Texans vs. Lions
final | SIDE | O/U | SCORE |
---|---|---|---|
Texans | 2.0 |
Over 52.00 |
41 |
Lions | -2.0 | 25 |
Free Picks
Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on Texans/Lions over 50½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
Stephen Nover
Deshaun Watson is reason enough to back the Texans here. Watson is one of the five best QB's in the NFL right now. But the Lions are worth a fade all by themselves.
The Lions have lost their last three Thanksgiving games. Their best player is punter Jack Fox.
The Lions were missing their two best wide receivers, Kenny Golladay and Danny Amendola, plus their top running back, D'Andre Swift, this past Sunday. Matthew Stafford is dealing with a thumb injury. The result was a 20-0 loss to the Panthers, who were missing starting QB Teddy Bridgewater, star RB Christian McCaffrey and have a mediocre defense. The Lions managed just 185 yards and 3.4 yards per play. This being a short week for Detroit doesn't bode well for those key skill position players returning.
The Lions have never bought into Matt Patricia. The Lions have a long and sad history of bad coaches. Patricia can proudly take his place among them. He makes Jim Caldwell look like Vince Lombardi. Patricia would have to win 23 games in a row to match Caldwell's winning percentage. That's how bad Patricia is.
Detroit has failed to cover 15 of its last 21 games and is 4-11 ATS the past 15 times as a 'dog. There's the possibility the Lions fire Patricia if Detroit loses this nationally televised game, their lone prime time game of the year. Lions players probably wouldn't mind that happening. So Detroit motivation could be lacking.
Houston is a highly flawed team. But the Texans remain dangerous - as the Patriots found out - because of Watson. The Texans' 3-7 record is misleading due to the brutal schedule they've played with six of their defeats coming to the Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers, Titans, Packers and Browns. Those six opponents have a combined record of 46-14. Watson should be in line for a huge game. The Lions are 28th in scoring defense. They had just one sack and one QB hit in last week's game against an inexperienced backup QB who dropped back 34 times.
The Texans have stepped up their game and improved morale since the egregious Bill O'Brien was canned. I trust Watson and the Texans far more than Patricia and Detroit especially during a short week with the Lions so banged-up.
Sean Murphy
Thursday NFL Free play. My selection is on Houston minus the points over Detroit at 12:30 pm et on Thursday.
While this line has flipped since opening, I still believe there's some value backing the Texans as they head to the Motor City to face the Lions on Thanksgiving Day. Houston has actually looked like a respectable football team since kicking head coach Bill O'Brien to the curb earlier in the season. Here, it draws another favorable matchup against a Lions squad that probably isn't quite as good as its four-win record indicates. Detroit doesn't get after opposing quarterbacks with any semblance of a pass rush and that spells trouble as it tries to contain QB DeShaun Watson and an improving Texans offense. Meanwhile, Lions QB Matt Stafford will continue to play without his favorite target in WR Kenny Golladay. Coming off a shutout loss on the road against Carolina, Detroit should be in line for a bounce back here but its track record on Thanksgiving Day certainly isn't favorable. I believe the oddsmakers have got it right installing the Texans as the short road favorite. Take Houston (8*).
Sean is putting his 25-10 NFL big ticket run to the test with his 10* Turkey Day Total of the Year in EARLY action on Thanksgiving Day! Your best bet is a weekly or monthly subscription package, giving you access to ALL of Murph's winners every day!
Frank Sawyer
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR THURSDAY, 11/26:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play on my cut list for Thursday in the NFL is on the Detroit Lions plus the points versus the Houston Texans. Detroit (4-6) has lost three of their last four games after their 20-0 upset loss at Carolina. The Lions managed only 3.7 Yards-Per-Play in the loss — but they have then covered the point spread in 26 of their last 35 games after averring no better than 4.0 YPP in their last game. Detroit has also covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after getting shut out in their last game. Houston (3-7) comes off a 27-20 upset victory at home against New England as a 2.5-point underdog. The Texan have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after an upset victory as a home underdog. Houston has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road when favored. Take Detroit plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.
Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports DELIVERED their 25* NFL Monday Night Football Game of the Month on the LA Rams to further their RED HOT 17 of 26 (65%) NFL Game of the Month/Year mark! Now Frank furthers his 13 of 21 (62%) NFL TOTALS TEAR with his 25* NFL CBS-TV Total of the Month for the Houston-Detroit O/U winner on CBS-TV at 12:30 PM ET! WATCH and WIN — and DO NOT MISS OUT!
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For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.