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NFL : Ravens vs. Bills
final | SIDE | O/U | SCORE |
---|---|---|---|
Ravens | -7.0 | 43.00 | 24 |
Bills | 7.0 | 17 |
Free Picks
Brandon Lee
10* FREE NFL PICK (Bills +6.5)Â
My early lean here would be to take the points with Buffalo at home, as it just feels like the line here has been inflated pretty heavily on Baltimore because of how much a public play they have become. We saw this last week when they really had no business being a near touchdown favorite over the 49ers.
Another thing here is this not an ideal spot for the Ravens, as they are coming off two huge games. The first being that MNF showdown at the Rams in Week 12 and then last week the biggest game on the board against the 49ers. It's really hard to play at your best 3 weeks in a row, especially against a quality team like the Bills.Â
One big positive for Buffalo is that we know they have a really good defense and we just saw the Ravens high-powered offense struggle a strong 49ers defense. This will also be a much fresher Bills teams, as they get three extra days off to prepare and rest up having played on Thanksgiving. Buffalo is also much more difficult place to play than a lot of people realize.
It's also worth noting that the Bills are off that impressive 26-15 upset win at Dallas, as home teams off an upset win as a dog are 29-8 (78%) ATS if playing in a game where you got two teams that have won 75% or more of their games. At the same time, road favorites in the month of December that come in having won 8 or more in a row are just 4-23 (15%) ATS since 1983. Give me Buffalo +6.5!Â
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Ricky Tran
My 1*Â FREE PLAYÂ is on the Baltimore Ravens.
The Ravens are 10-2 and the Bills are 9-3. The Patriots seem to be "dead in the water" right now, so to say this is a "big game" for these two teams would be an understatement. So far though every "great defense" which has faced the Ravens and Lamar Jackson this year has come up short and I do indeed think that'll again be the case this weekend. Josh Allen has admittedly looked a lot more comfortable in directing Buffalo's offense over the last month, but he now faces one of the hottest defenses in the entire league this week.
Key Trends:
- Baltimore is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 on the road (including 4-1 ATS this season.)
- The Ravens are already 3-1 ATS this year following a home victory.
- Buffalo is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven following a road victory.
The verdict: Baltimore has won three of the last four matchups vs. Buffalo, including a 47-3 destruction last September. I'm not calling for a blowout of that proportion, but in my opinion everything does point to a comfortable Ravens cover on Sunday. Consider laying the points in this one!
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For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.