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Tom Macrina
Tom Macrina is your one stop handicapper excelling in all major North American sports. Tom has been building his name in the industry posting WINNING seasons in multiple sports. Let's cash some tickets!
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Free picks
Indiana vs. Nebraska, Saturday at Noon
Pick: Nebraska +7.5
Two unbeatens meet in Lincoln, and the numbers say this game is much closer than the spread suggests.
Both teams are 5-0 and both are averaging more than 42 points per game. Both are just as strong on defense. Indiana allows fewer than 11 points per game and Nebraska allows 14. Curt Cignetti's Hoosiers have looked dominant, including a 593-yard offensive outing against Rutgers, but when the statistical profiles are this even, laying more than a touchdown on the road against a disciplined undefeated home team is a tall order.
The betting trends back that up. Indiana is just 1-4 ATS, though they did cover last week against Rutgers. Nebraska is 4-1 ATS and has been the more profitable side. The line has also come down from 9.5, with support coming in on Indiana. We'll gladly take the extra points.
Anthony Colandrea is the key. Against Maryland he went 26 of 39 for 238 yards and three touchdowns, and he added a career-high 108 rushing yards on 10 carries. He now has 1,142 passing yards, 13 touchdown passes and 249 rushing yards. His ability to extend plays matters against an Indiana defense that hasn't created many takeaways.
Lean: Under. Both offenses are potent, but both defenses are among the stingiest around. In a high-stakes game like this, expect a tight, physical contest that stays below the total.
The better play is the home dog. We're taking Nebraska +7.5.
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Tom Macrina (WryCape) is a Philadelphia guy through and through. He's been handicapping 15+ years. WryCape is an expert in Nascar, but is efficient in MLB, NFL, UFC, NBA, CFB, NHL and CBB.
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