– Last Updated on November 21, 2022 2:52 pm
NFL Week 17 Odds + Predictions
Looking for NFL Week 17 Odds and free NFL picks? Week 16 of the NFL season is in the books – time to look ahead at Week 17 and its slate of games. Week 17 is a notoriously tough week in which to pick winners- those teams who are locked into playoff positions will rest players – those out of contention may sit a few superstars as well.
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Without further adieu here is a look at every game on the schedule, the early Week 15 lines associated with the contests and what should play out on what is sure to be another scintillating week of NFL action.
This week we trudge on without Derek Carr and Marcus Mariota – it should greatly affect how their teams do.
Texans (9-6) at Titans (8-7)
Opening line: Titans, -3 points
You gotta think that all of the wind has come out of Tennessee’s sails.
I mean not only did they lose their chance to play for a spot in the postseason this week – they lost Marcus Mariota to a season-ending injury. Enter Matt Cassel – ugh!
On the other hand the Texans have clinched and have ZERO to play for Sunday. My bet is that Houston rests their starters and that Tennessee improves on their horrid 1-4 record SU and ATS divisional record this week and steals the win at home.
Tennessee’s running game will be heavily leaned upon – not a bad crutch!
Buffalo Bills (7-8) at New York Jets (4-11)
Opening line: Bills, -5 points
It’s pretty hard to like anything about the Jets right now – period! Add in the fact that Buffalo will be playing for a beloved Rex Ryan that was fired Tuesday – and you have to like the Bills to prevail against Ryan’s former team.
The Jets won the only meeting of the teams this year but since then New York’s defense has given up and the offense has been stuck in neutral.
The Jets are an awful 5-10 ATS this year and look like they started their Winter Holidays in November – expect Shady McCoy and company to have a field day en route to an easy win.
Baltimore Ravens (8-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-9-1)
Opening line: Bengals, -2.5 points
The Ravens lost on Christmas Day and were eliminated from playoff contention in heartbreaking fashion but that doesn’t change the fact that they played well against Pittsburgh.
The Bengals have won five of the past six games in this series and are 4-0 at home against the Ravens dating back to 2012 – but Baltimore won their only meeting this year.
Baltimore is one of the best in the league against Divisional opponents and they still boast a superb defense. Expect that defense to force a few mistakes and for the Ravens to prevail here.
New York Giants (10-5) at Washington Redskins (8-6-1)
Opening line: Redskins, -5 points
The Skins are favored here likely because the Giants are likely going to rest some of their key guys with nothing to play for – they are locked into the fifth seed. On the other hand Washington has a ton to play for – the playoffs are still within their grasps.
The Skins won the only meeting of the season between these teams 29-27 and with New York sure to sit some members of their stout defense the door is open for a Washington win here. 30-20 seems about right.
Green Bay Packers (9-6) at Lions (9-6)
Opening line: Packers, -3 points
It all comes down to this on Sunday night! The scorching Packers try to surpass the scuffling Lions for the NFC North title.
Green Bay has won five straight games SU and is 4-1 ATS over that span – the offense has been unstoppable and the defense has actually been fine. The Lions have lost two straight and have failed to cover in either.
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Forget that Green Bay is 1-3 as road fave this year – they have won three of the last four in the series and are on a different level right now.
I like the Packers by double-digits on the road this week!
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12) at Indianapolis Colts (7-8)
Opening line: Colts, -7 points
The Jaguars looked like a different team under interim coach Doug Marrone in Week 16 and now they face a team that they have already beaten this year – 30-27 in London.
Andrew Luck however has been terrific in his career in divisional games. I think Luck and the Colts get it done again but the Jaguars play hard and keep this game close.
After all Jacksonville has won two straight against the Colts while stumbling badly against EVERONE else. This looks like a 27-24 game to me.
Dallas Cowboys (12-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-9)
Opening line: Eagles, -6.5 points
This is another situation worth monitoring. The Cowboys have nothing to gain this week by suiting up their starters except for reps for their offensive Studs. Coach Jason Garrett said that his guys will be on the field but we need to take that news with a grain of salt.
My guess is that most of the Dallas core rests at some point during the game but the Boys still manage to keep this game close.
If news comes that Dallas is indeed resting players the whole game I like Philadelphia but if Dak/Zeke/Dez play even a half this game could turn into another Cowboys win.
Chicago Bears (3-12) at Minnesota Vikings (7-8)
Opening line: Vikings, -6.5 points
The Bears are winless on the road this season and 0-4 in their last four trips to Minnesota. But the Bears won the first meeting between the teams 20-10 and they have been playing decent football down the stretch.
I’m not saying the Bears win here but I do think that 6.5 points is a little rich.
I like Chicago to cover – an outright win wouldn’t be a shock either.
Carolina Panthers (6-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7)
Opening line: Buccaneers, -3.5 points
Carolina is 0-5 ATS in divisional games this year and is 1-4 SU over that span. Tampa won the first meeting between the two on the road – 17-14.
Tampa hasn’t been eliminated quite yet – they have a ton to play for although they will need some help along the way. I’m taking the Bucs to cover here – barely. 24-20 is what I see.
Browns (1-14) at Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5)
Opening line: Steelers, -12.5 points
Could the Browns end the year with a win streak? I don’t think so although Big Ben, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown will probably sit this game out. Truth be told, the Steelers’ back-up guys are better than the Browns mish-mash of talent.
Although I like Pittsburgh to win this game I think it is a close-ish low-scoring affair. Take Pittsburgh by a TD here.
New Orleans Saints (7-8) at Atlanta Falcons (10-5)
Opening line: Falcons, -6.5 points
The Falcons, at home with a lot on the line – the #2 seed is up for grabs for Atlanta in this game. Needless to say a first round bye is a big prize for Atlanta this week.
New Orleans has been playing OK – they arrive on a two game win streak in which they have averaged nearly 40 points per game. The first meeting between the teams resulted in a 45-32 win for Atlanta – I see a similar outcome this week. In a shootout there is no better team that the high-flying Falcons.
I like them by a touchdown this week meaning they cover the 6.5 points.
New England Patriots (13-2) at Miami Dolphins (10-5)
Opening line: Patriots, -6 points
A win for the Patriots means that they have home-field throughout the playoffs while Miami could get the fifth seed with a win – but they will need a virtual miracle to accomplish that goal. Word is that Miami coach Adam Gase may rest some of his key guys on defense which could open the flood-gates for New England.
The Pats may only need a half of football to run up the score. I’m taking a New England team that is 12-3 ATS on the year to build a huge early lead and to win going away here.
New England has been the safest best all season – no reason to think differently about Week 17.
Arizona Cardinals (6-8-1) at Los Angeles Rams (4-11)
Opening line: Cardinals, -7.5 points
The Rams got beat by a pretty bad 49ers team last week and the Cards went into Seattle and marched out with a win. LA is 1-10 SU and 1-9-1 in third last 11 games overall – one of the worst bets in football this year.
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Arizona isn’t going quietly – expect them to show up in Week 17 and blow out the Rams.
Kansas City Chiefs (11-4) at San Diego Chargers (5-10)
Opening line: Chiefs, -4.5 points
The Chiefs are on a roll – the Chargers lost to the Browns last week! KC should have their foot on the pedal in this contest – they have to win in order to keep their hopes of a first round bye alive.
KC won the first meeting between the teams 33-27 – don’t think the Chiefs defense giving up 27 in this one – KC should roll.
Seattle Seahawks (9-5-1) at 49ers (2-13)
Opening line: Seahawks, -9 points
The Seattle Seahawks get a bit of a gift in their Regular Season finale against an awful San Francisco team that is 3-11-1 ATS this year. Seattle has won five straight meetings – all by at least 10 points.
Take Seattle to run up the score in this one.
Raiders (12-3) at Denver Broncos (8-7)
Opening line: Broncos, -3 points
Whew – all of the air went out of this anticipated finale. It is hard to imagine that Matt McGloin will be able to rally his team on the road in Denver.
Denver is still a decent team – I think they win by at least a touchdown Sunday.
If you missed our Week 16 NFL picks here they are.
NFL Week 17 Handicapping
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