– Last Updated on December 22, 2022 3:10 pm
Free NFL Prediction: Dolphins vs Bills NFL Odds
Looking for Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills free picks & NFL odds? Week 16 NFL betting sees the Dolphins taking on the Bills on Saturday December 25 at Ralph Wilson Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions.
Week 16
(9-5) Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills (7-7)
Date: Saturday December 24
Time: 1:00 PM
Venue: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, New York
ATS Betting Lines: Buffalo Bills -3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Off
NFL Betting Total: 42
Live NFL Odds
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With Christmas Day on a Sunday this year we are getting a full Saturday of action in the NFL. This is one of a few games that has real meaning for both teams.
Miami has the most to gain/lose as they are currently in a playoff position in the AFC. In Buffalo, who knows what is going to happen from week to week, on or off the field.
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Kick off is set for 1:00 PM ET with Miami behind backup Matt Moore looking to brave the cold in Buffalo.
I am expecting a very entertaining game.
Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins are in control your own destiny mode with two weeks to go. That is pretty good given how maligned this team was early and it has not helped to lose their starting quarterback, even though I am not a fan of Ryan Tannehill.
With Tannehill out that puts even more pressure on Jay Ajayi and the Dolphins running game. He made some noise with back to back 200 yard games but in the past six weeks has not even got to 80 yards.
They do keep feeding him though because they really want a balanced attack.
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If you loot at Miami’s stats you don’t see a team that is headed to the playoffs.
Every year there is one of those teams that wins by a little and loses by a lot or gets lucky. Miami could be this year’s version but they are not there yet. They have won three of their last four on the road though and are good enough to beat Buffalo.
Miami has to hope that they can get the running game going in Buffalo to take the pressure off Matt Moore and a defense which is below in average, except against the pass.
Buffalo Bills
Things are not right in Buffalo but at least they won last week and I think there are still a couple of scenarios that could have them in the playoffs if they keep winning and get A LOT of help.
The Bills beat Cleveland by doing what they do best, run the ball. Shady McCoy had 153 yards on the ground against Cleveland and they rushed for 280 as a team.
Without having to do too much Tyrod Taylor did not embarrass himself and the Bills live to fight another day.
It would be nice if they could get the ball to Sammie Watkins more than once per game though.
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The Bills were able to get to the QB against the Browns with 6 sacks. They have been sporting a strong pass defense all season long thanks to a nice group of defensive backs that can make plays. They have the ability to try and make offenses one dimensional.
The earlier game between these two was one of those 200 yard outbursts from Ajayi. They have struggled against the run all season long.
They should be a little better at home and under the expected weather conditions.
NFL Betting Trends:
- BUFFALO is 29-23 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
- BUFFALO is 28-24 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
- 29 of 51 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
- BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
- BUFFALO is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
- 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Buffalo -3.5
I hate the hook in this one but I think Buffalo is the smart play in this one regardless. I see them winning by at least a TD but you can wait and see where this line goes if you like.
NFL Free Score Prediction: Buffalo 27 – Miami 17
The Bills will be able to run the ball and spring some big ones. Miami will not and Moore won’t be able to bring his team back in the snow.
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