– Last Updated on December 22, 2022 3:13 pm
Free Week 4 NFL Prediction: Bills vs Falcons NFL Odds
Looking for Buffalo Bills vs. Atlanta Falcons free week 4 picks & NFL odds? Week 4 NFL betting sees the Bills taking on the Falcons on Sunday October 1st at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Bills Falcons matchup.
NFL Week 4 Handicapping
(2-1) Buffalo Bills vs. Atlanta Falcons (3-0)
Date: Sunday, October 1
Time: 1:00 PM
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: Falcons -8
NFL Week 4 Moneyline Odds: Falcons -400, Bills +325
Week 4 NFL Betting Total: 48.5
Live NFL Odds
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The Bills should be feeling pretty good about their win last week over Denver.
They are not going to dominate many teams but proved that if they don’t make mistakes they can hang.
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The Falcons were thisclose to losing at Detroit. It is hard to imagine a game being any closer than tackled on the 1/2 yard line.
The question is whether that is a wake up call or creating a letdown spot. I can see it either way.
Buffalo Bills
The Bills were home underdogs against Denver last week and won by 10. That is an impressive result but it was as much about avoiding mistakes as anything else.
That was especially true for Tyrod Taylor. The QB has physical tools but is mistake prone. That is nothing new.
Against a good Broncos defense the Bills were unable to get much out of Lesean McCoy and the running game. Atlanta is a better team overall but they are not a better defensive team. He can be a difference maker.
The offense is likely going to have to be more productive against Atlanta, a quuick strike team they may have difficulty defending.. Running the ball better will be key.
Taylor will have to avoid making mistakes and if he does they can keep this one close.
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Even though they won the Bills were outgained on the day against Denver. It i snot a ton but hey gave up more than 100 yards on the ground. Atlanta has a much better stable of running backs.
The key was two interceptions from Trevor Siemien. They are going to find forcing Matt Ryan into those much more difficult.
For the Bills to really be in this game they have to win the turnover battle and propably need to be really good on special teams too.
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta escaped Detroit with a win last week. Matt Ryan was uncharacteristically misake prone and that gave the Lions a chance to win the ball game late.
Buffalo does have a good defense but the odds of Ryan having back to back multi interception games seems low. It was nothng more than the occasional bad game.
Atlanta ran the ball really well against Detroit, averaging more than 5 yards per carry. If Buffalo can’t limit them thereit is going to be a long day.
Even though the Bills have a good secondary there are few, if any, that can really lock up Julio Jones. Atlanta is good about not forgetting who their star is.
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The Atlanta defense is not elite. They compliment the offense and can apply pressure when they can play extra aggressively. It seems like their style varies a lot depending on who has the lead.
Fortunaltey they should be able to control this game most of the time. If they get up two scores this one might be over by halftime.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Over is 4-0 in Bills last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games in Week 4.
Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games on grass.
Over is 6-0 in Falcons last 6 games in Week 4.
Over is 3-0-2 in Falcons last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 8-0 in Falcons last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Falcons -8
Eight might has well be 10 points but Ithink the Falcons can win at that number anyway so go ahead and punch it now before it moves.
NFL Free Week 4 Score Prediction: Falcons 31 – Bills 16
If Atlanta plays a clean game there is no way the Bills can keep pace. I think that is what we see Nothing spectacular.
Look for Atlanta to build an early lead and maintain a nice working margin. They are good at that.
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